1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,040 Speaker 1: Now joining me live on the line from the Bureau 2 00:00:02,080 --> 00:00:07,480 Speaker 1: of Meteorology, it is Jesslin Guard. Good morning, Jess, Morning Katie. Jess. 3 00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:09,440 Speaker 1: I'll tell you what, there's been a hell of a 4 00:00:09,480 --> 00:00:11,800 Speaker 1: lot of rain. Talk us through what we've sort of 5 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: seen in the last twenty four hours. 6 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:17,759 Speaker 2: We certainly have, and it's mainly been sort of around 7 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:20,799 Speaker 2: that the central Daily district up towards the sort of 8 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:23,960 Speaker 2: outer reaches of the Darwin area. One hundred and sixty 9 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 2: seven millimeters of rainfall into the Adelaide Rivertown in the 10 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 2: two hours to four point thirty this morning, Nunamar picking 11 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 2: up one hundred and forty six point six millimeters, Bachelor 12 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty six millimeters, and around the rest 13 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:43,040 Speaker 2: of this sort of Darwin area picking up widespread falls 14 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 2: of twenty to forty millimeters. We did issue a series 15 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 2: of severe thunderstorm warnings early yesterday afternoon because of some 16 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 2: very slow moving thunderstorms. Because they're slow moving, they drop 17 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:57,640 Speaker 2: all their rainfall in one spot rather than sharing it 18 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 2: out nicely, and so unfortunately we did see some of 19 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:05,119 Speaker 2: these really high rainfall figures falling around the region. Now 20 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 2: yesterday when I spoke to Sarah. We were discussing the 21 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 2: good news of the forecast that from now today, the 22 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:15,920 Speaker 2: monsoon trough is easing, that monsoon surge is easing, so 23 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 2: rainfall totals are significantly lower forecast from yesterday to today. 24 00:01:23,240 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 2: Yesterday we were forecasting sort of well twenty to one 25 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:30,759 Speaker 2: hundred and twenty millimeters across the Darwin region. Today that's 26 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:33,559 Speaker 2: sort of down below sort of fifty to sixty millimeters, 27 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 2: So it should be a quiet day across the region. 28 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 2: That's not to rule out the risk of potentially some 29 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 2: slow moving storms, potentially some isolated areas of higher rainfall. Unfortunately, 30 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 2: I can't rule that out completely, but I can say 31 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 2: that the risk is significantly reduced and we're not expecting 32 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:57,240 Speaker 2: quite as much rainfall into the gauges across the western 33 00:01:57,640 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 2: top end. We do still have a lot of flooding 34 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 2: around the region, especially around well now the Daily the 35 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:10,079 Speaker 2: Daily River. I'm just going to bring it up. Where 36 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 2: are we? So the Daily River at the Daily River 37 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:16,679 Speaker 2: Police station is currently above the major flood level. It's 38 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 2: been up there since about Saturday afternoon. This is a 39 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 2: very slow to respond river and very slow to recede river. 40 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 2: So we are likely to be above the major flood 41 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 2: level for potentially several days, if not up to a week, 42 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 2: and then we will slowly see that river, you know, 43 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 2: easing and receding in the coming week, So likely to 44 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 2: be a prolonged period of flooding along the daily Just 45 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:42,640 Speaker 2: you know. 46 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:45,519 Speaker 1: What that is in meters? Is it above that fifteen 47 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:46,679 Speaker 1: point three meters? 48 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 2: At the moment the daily River at the Daily River 49 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 2: police station is currently at fourteen point nine meters, So 50 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: it's just shy of fifteen meters, right. 51 00:02:57,040 --> 00:03:00,160 Speaker 1: And so you said then it like it Obviously it 52 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 1: takes a long time to go down. Are you expecting 53 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:05,760 Speaker 1: it to go up much further in the next twenty 54 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 1: four hours or so? 55 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 2: It is likely that we will see a few more 56 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 2: centimeters added to that river height. As I say, it's 57 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 2: a very slow to respond river. We have not reached 58 00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 2: the peak of the river height yet. I'm not sure 59 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:25,440 Speaker 2: when that peak will be achieved, but likely to be 60 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 2: over the coming days, especially with the increased rainfall that 61 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 2: we've just seen. 62 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,399 Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, goodness me so, just I know you said 63 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 1: the good news, is it really that monsoonal pulse is 64 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:38,120 Speaker 1: going to ease off a bit from a bit later today, 65 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 1: I think you seed, you know, is that I mean, 66 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: is that going to sort of help you know, for 67 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 1: us up here in Darwin, Yes, we've had a heck 68 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 1: of a lot of rain, but we seem to be 69 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:50,160 Speaker 1: tracking okay, aside from the issues that we're currently seeing 70 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:54,120 Speaker 1: out of our dam. But for Catherine residents as well, 71 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:56,680 Speaker 1: I mean, is are things starting to ease off for 72 00:03:56,720 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 1: them now? 73 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:02,440 Speaker 2: Certainly? I yes, so rainfall forecasts for around the Catherine 74 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 2: area are much lower than they have been in recent days, 75 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 2: potentially looking at still seeing maybe twenty to forty millimeters 76 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 2: added to the gauges today and potentially you know, showers 77 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:17,800 Speaker 2: continuing all the way across this week. But as I said, 78 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:22,680 Speaker 2: that risk of the really heavy triple digit falls is 79 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,920 Speaker 2: much much lower now, you know, sort of sitting probably 80 00:04:26,000 --> 00:04:30,880 Speaker 2: below ten percent chance. But the more likely falls sort 81 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:33,440 Speaker 2: of daily figures from now through to the end of 82 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 2: the weekend is likely to be you know, below twenty 83 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:37,680 Speaker 2: to thirty millimeters a day. 84 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 1: Well, I mean, Jesse, you probably don't have the numbers 85 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 1: with you, but have we brought like are we smashing 86 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:44,040 Speaker 1: records with all these rain? 87 00:04:46,120 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 2: I've been having a look at the river heights. Some 88 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:52,279 Speaker 2: areas are sort of nudging up to sort of record heights. 89 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 2: But in terms of rainfall, let me just see if 90 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:57,360 Speaker 2: I can quickly do a bit of live on air. 91 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:02,360 Speaker 1: You don't have a Google like while while we continue 92 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 1: to talk, because yes, all eyes have been on that weather, 93 00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 1: and I know that anecdotally people are sort of saying 94 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:10,239 Speaker 1: it feels like it's been a record breaking wet season. 95 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:13,119 Speaker 1: But I guess we really kicked things off when Feena 96 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 1: struck and it just seems to have been a much 97 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:18,919 Speaker 1: sort of wetter season than what we've maybe had in 98 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:19,839 Speaker 1: previous years. 99 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 2: It does feel like it, doesn't it. And I think, 100 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 2: as you say, starting off with Fena early in the season, 101 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 2: that certainly gave us quite a boost. If I go 102 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:32,760 Speaker 2: to season to date rainfall, I do remember having a 103 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:35,719 Speaker 2: look at the some of these rainfall figures earlier and 104 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:38,840 Speaker 2: sort of commenting, yeah, actually we were nudging clothes so 105 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:44,360 Speaker 2: Darwin Airport, we've had nearly two meters of rainfall, So 106 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:47,480 Speaker 2: we are sitting above average in terms of where that 107 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 2: sits in in sort of seasons to date. Where are 108 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 2: we tell? 109 00:05:54,760 --> 00:06:00,240 Speaker 1: All right, we can do it another day? Yes, I 110 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:02,320 Speaker 1: know we'll have you gone again throughout the week. 111 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, Look, let me do some homework when I'm 112 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 2: not so frazzled. I'll have that prepared for you when 113 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 2: we challenge. 114 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 1: I know, we definitely had a fairly wet year back 115 00:06:15,080 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 1: in twenty eleven. I think it was as well. I 116 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 1: think we had cyclone Carlos. There's been a few of 117 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:22,599 Speaker 1: them over the years. Trying to remember the different cyclones 118 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: and what they bought with them. 119 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:27,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I've managed to find the right graph now, so 120 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 2: the highest year to date, you know, as of you know, 121 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:34,039 Speaker 2: nine am this morning, we have to go back to 122 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:37,719 Speaker 2: twenty ten, and at this stage in twenty ten we'd 123 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 2: had two and a half meters of rainfall, as I said, 124 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 2: at the moment, we're in about nineteen hundred, so just 125 00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 2: below two meters, all right, Well, where are there? 126 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:50,600 Speaker 1: Very wet, very wet, indeed, And just so the good 127 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 1: news is said, it is looking at this stage, based 128 00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:56,160 Speaker 1: on the forecast and the modeling that you've got, that 129 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:58,920 Speaker 1: things are going to start to ease off a bit. 130 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right. So rainfall is still going to be falling. 131 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 2: We've still got some fairly persistent showers, especially over western 132 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:09,800 Speaker 2: parts of the top end, but the risk of those 133 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 2: super heavy falls has reduced, and the forecast for at 134 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 2: least the next week or so is for daily rainfall 135 00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 2: to continue, but at a lower level. 136 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, oh well, Jessling Guard. We always appreciate you joining 137 00:07:22,600 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 1: us on the show and keeping us up up to 138 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 1: date with what's going on with the weather. No doubt 139 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 1: we'll talk to you again throughout the. 140 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 2: Week, I'm sure. 141 00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 1: Thanks Kank, you thanks so much.