1 00:00:00,520 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: Already and this is the Daily This is the Daily OS. Oh, 2 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:06,840 Speaker 1: now it makes sense. 3 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 2: Good morning, and welcome to the Daily OS. It's Monday, 4 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 2: the second of March. 5 00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:20,480 Speaker 1: I'm Lucy Tassel, I'm Emma Gillespie. 6 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:23,599 Speaker 2: Over the weekend to the US and Israel launched a 7 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 2: joint attack on Iran, killing the regimes supreme leader and 8 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:31,920 Speaker 2: other key military personnel. The strikes came after indirect nuclear 9 00:00:31,960 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 2: negotiations between the US and Iran ended last week without 10 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:39,200 Speaker 2: a clear deal. In response to the joint attack, Iran 11 00:00:39,320 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 2: has launched strikes across the Middle East. In today's podcast, 12 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:45,199 Speaker 2: will unpack the lead up to this weekend, what we 13 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 2: know about the initial attack, and what we can expect 14 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 2: for the region. 15 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: Okay, Lucy, So on Saturday afternoon our time, we began 16 00:00:56,520 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 1: seeing these breaking news alerts and hearing reports that's something 17 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 1: was happening in Iran. Before we get into what actually 18 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:05,400 Speaker 1: happened over the weekend, can you give us a bit 19 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:09,400 Speaker 1: of background on what had been happening with Iran in 20 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:11,279 Speaker 1: the lead up to this week Yeah. 21 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 2: The interesting thing about the attacks on Saturday was that 22 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 2: they were actually widely expected. That's because Donald Trump had 23 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 2: been threatening to attack Iran for weeks amid ongoing negotiations 24 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:26,120 Speaker 2: between the two countries and internal uprisings. We'll take those 25 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 2: two topics one by one, starting with the internal unrest 26 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 2: in Iran. So back in December, the largest civilian protests 27 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:38,319 Speaker 2: in Iran since the nineteen seventy nine revolution kicked off. 28 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:42,039 Speaker 2: Demonstrators were calling for the end of the Iranian regime, 29 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 2: and local health officials told media that an estimated thirty 30 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 2: thousand protesters have been killed. Though it'll be a long 31 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 2: time before we have something like accepted death toll yep. 32 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: And that's because there was a media communications internet blackout. Yeah, 33 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: very little information that could be verified coming out of Iran. 34 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 1: Different humanitarian groups have estimated the death toll to be 35 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: at different figures, so it will take some time for 36 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 1: a uniform number to come out. But at the moment, 37 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:13,960 Speaker 1: the estimates are well into the tens of thousands. 38 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 2: So that's basically what you need to know in terms 39 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 2: of what's been going on inside Iran now. In terms 40 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 2: of Iran's relationship with the broader world, the US and 41 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 2: Iran ended a round of negotiations to limit Iran's nuclear 42 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 2: capability just last week, okay, So they had been engaging 43 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:35,080 Speaker 2: in diplomacy. The mediator of those negotiations said, quote significant 44 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 2: progress had been made, but there was no deal reached. 45 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 2: And amid those talks, Trump said the US would quote 46 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 2: have to make a meaningful deal with Iran otherwise quote 47 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:46,840 Speaker 2: bad things happen. 48 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 1: Yep. So we heard that language from Trump towards the 49 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:53,519 Speaker 1: end of last week. This kind of threat. I suppose 50 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:56,519 Speaker 1: that if Iran wouldn't come to the table and make 51 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:59,440 Speaker 1: a deal on its nuclear program with the US, that 52 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 1: this loose ming threat of action from the US was 53 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 1: promised by Trump. What was the window that he had 54 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:10,640 Speaker 1: given the regime in terms of an expected response. 55 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 2: So he suggested a ten day window for the regime 56 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 2: to respond. And during this time, the US military presence 57 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 2: in the region continued to grow, and that looked like 58 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 2: an aircraft carrier and guided missile destroyers moving towards Iran, 59 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 2: gathering in the Mediterranean. So the threat, taken together with 60 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 2: the build up of this kind of military presence in 61 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 2: the Middle East, had led many to believe the US 62 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 2: was imminently going to attack Iran. 63 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:39,840 Speaker 1: Lucy, I want to hear more about the events of 64 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 1: the weekend but before we get to that, we're going 65 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:48,120 Speaker 1: to hear a quick message from today's sponsor. So, Lucy, 66 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 1: many were expecting the US would attack Iran. The riding 67 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: was on the wall. Talk me through what actually happened 68 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 1: on the weekend. 69 00:03:56,920 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, So all of this backdrop then led to the 70 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 2: US and Israel launching a joint attack on Iran. Now 71 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 2: following initial reports, Trump said, quote, our objective is to 72 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 2: defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the 73 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 2: Iranian regime. And so what he's talking about there is 74 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 2: about or we can sort of infer that what he's 75 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 2: talking about there is the possibility of Iran building a 76 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:27,919 Speaker 2: nuclear weapon. So, as we've said, the US and Iran 77 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 2: were in these negotiations. They're in these negotiations because the 78 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 2: US and Iran had previously signed a deal where Iran 79 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:40,040 Speaker 2: promised to only develop nuclear energy, not weapons, and in exchange, 80 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 2: the US was going to lift some of its limitations. 81 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:46,360 Speaker 2: The US pulls out of that deal back during Trump's 82 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:49,560 Speaker 2: first term, so they've been involved in negotiations to come 83 00:04:49,640 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 2: up with a different deal. And it was also the source, 84 00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 2: according to the US and Israel, of the strikes on 85 00:04:57,200 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 2: Iran last winter Australian winter. What the US and Israel 86 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:05,960 Speaker 2: said they were doing targeting nuclear and military facilities in Iran, and. 87 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 1: From Trump's reports after that strike last year, the US 88 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 1: framing was that Iran's nuclear capability had been obliterated, yeah, 89 00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:18,400 Speaker 1: by US strikes. But then we heard later from other 90 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 1: experts who questioned that and estimated that perhaps the strikes 91 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:26,080 Speaker 1: had set Iran's nuclear capability back somewhat, but had not 92 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 1: destroyed it entirely. 93 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:32,640 Speaker 2: Yeah. On Saturday local time, Trump confirmed that the strikes 94 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:37,720 Speaker 2: had killed the regime's supreme leader, that's Ayatola Ali Hami. 95 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:41,760 Speaker 2: It can't be overstated how important the supreme leader is 96 00:05:41,800 --> 00:05:45,159 Speaker 2: to the running of the regime. Since the nineteen seventy 97 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 2: nine revolution, Aali Kamini has held almost all decision making 98 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:53,599 Speaker 2: powers in Iran. Okay, So on this Trump said the 99 00:05:53,640 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 2: Ayatola was quote one of the most evil people in history. 100 00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:00,440 Speaker 2: He said he was dead, which was quote not only 101 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 2: justice for the people of Iran, but for all great 102 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 2: Americans and those people from many countries throughout the world 103 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 2: that have been killed or mutilated by the Ayatola and 104 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:13,840 Speaker 2: what Trump called quote his gang of bloodthirsty thugs. In 105 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 2: addition to the Supreme leader, the strikes also killed another 106 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:22,400 Speaker 2: seven Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps leaders. Now, I know we've 107 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 2: talked about this on the podcast before, but just to recap, 108 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 2: the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps or the IRGC, this is 109 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 2: sort of a paramilitary organization that exists in Iran alongside 110 00:06:35,200 --> 00:06:39,159 Speaker 2: to the country's official military, and it's very very closely 111 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:43,159 Speaker 2: tied to the Ayatola. Now, a representative for Iran actually 112 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:46,159 Speaker 2: spoke to the UN Security Council on Sunday. They had 113 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:50,880 Speaker 2: an emergency meeting, and this representatives said US and Israeli 114 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:54,920 Speaker 2: strikes on a school had killed more than one hundred children. 115 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:58,120 Speaker 2: Trump has not commented on these reports, and they have 116 00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:01,760 Speaker 2: not been independently verified by any media organization at the 117 00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 2: time of reporting. 118 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:05,520 Speaker 1: Okay, so what we do know for sure is the 119 00:07:05,680 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 1: US and Israel have launched these significant strikes on Iran. 120 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 1: As a result, their supreme leader, the Ayatola, has been killed. 121 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 1: How has Iran responded. 122 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, So beyond that appearance at the UN Security Council meeting, 123 00:07:22,160 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 2: we have some reporting from the Iranian state media. So 124 00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:30,280 Speaker 2: we've heard from the speaker of the Iranian Parliament. In 125 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 2: a statement published by state media, he said, quote the 126 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:36,800 Speaker 2: Americans and Israelis have crossed a red line and will 127 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:40,640 Speaker 2: be held accountable. He said the retaliation will be quote 128 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:43,480 Speaker 2: so devastating that they will be forced to beg for mercy. 129 00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 2: And the regime then responded with retaliatory strikes across the 130 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:51,760 Speaker 2: Middle East, striking Israel, striking the UAE, where the Defense 131 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 2: Ministry said one civilian had been killed in a residential area. 132 00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:59,360 Speaker 2: The UAA also said it had intercepted quote a number 133 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 2: of missile and there were reports that Dubai Airport had 134 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 2: been hit. Over in Iraq, strikes killed two military personnel 135 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 2: and wounded three others, according to Reuters, and Bahrain has 136 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 2: confirmed a US Navy base and residential buildings have been struck. 137 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: That US Navy base, I think it's worth noting had 138 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 1: already been evacuated, so there were not American troops at 139 00:08:22,760 --> 00:08:26,440 Speaker 1: the facility. They'd been evacuated in preparation for these strikes, 140 00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 1: but still an important part of the response to note 141 00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:33,480 Speaker 1: so lucy. It appears then that this isn't just contained 142 00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:38,960 Speaker 1: to Iran. There are multiple nations regions that seemed to 143 00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:41,080 Speaker 1: be affected. Why is that? 144 00:08:41,640 --> 00:08:46,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, so it appears that Iran is attacking not just Israel, 145 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 2: but also anywhere that there is an American presence and 146 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 2: Rykan military base. Okay, So Iran is a long way 147 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:55,280 Speaker 2: from the US. You need a special kind of missile 148 00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 2: in order to be able to launch it across such 149 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 2: a far distance. So if they want to attack America, 150 00:09:00,679 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 2: they go to a target closer to home. And there's 151 00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 2: also the fact that Iran backs and supports a number 152 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 2: of groups across the region. 153 00:09:08,400 --> 00:09:09,160 Speaker 1: So that looks like. 154 00:09:09,160 --> 00:09:14,120 Speaker 2: Hamas in Gaza, the Whothis in Yemen, and Hesbala in Lebanon. 155 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 2: So that connection could bring other players into this conflict, 156 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:18,640 Speaker 2: although we'll have to wait and see. 157 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, what about Australia. Obviously the United States is a 158 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:27,040 Speaker 1: key ally for the Australian government. How have we responded 159 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:30,200 Speaker 1: to the strikes? Have we heard from Albanzi? Yeah? 160 00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:33,960 Speaker 2: So Prime Minister Albanzi said, quote, we support the United 161 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 2: States acting to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon 162 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 2: and to prevent Iran continuing to threaten international peace and security. 163 00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:45,440 Speaker 2: That was right after the first wave of strikes. He added, 164 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:48,600 Speaker 2: quote Australia stands with the brave people of Iran in 165 00:09:48,679 --> 00:09:53,000 Speaker 2: their struggle against oppression. On Thursday, the Australian government told 166 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:57,240 Speaker 2: the families of diplomats to evacuate their postings in Lebanon 167 00:09:57,320 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 2: and Israel, and it also told those families of diplomats 168 00:10:01,080 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 2: in other countries including Jordan. It's sort of very strongly 169 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 2: suggested that they should leave the region. Smart Traveler, which 170 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:11,880 Speaker 2: is the Department of Foreign Fairs and Trades kind of 171 00:10:12,160 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 2: public facing arm has put Iran, Israel and Lebanon on 172 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 2: its do not travel list quote due to the volatile 173 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 2: security situation, armed conflict, civil unrest and terrorism. And there's 174 00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:28,720 Speaker 2: another kind of aspect that can affect Australians beyond those 175 00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:33,520 Speaker 2: who have family members across the region. Obviously Australia very multicultural. 176 00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:37,200 Speaker 2: There's also the aspect that the airspace has closed above 177 00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:40,040 Speaker 2: multiple Middle Eastern countries, and that's one of the main 178 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:42,439 Speaker 2: ways that Australians trying to get to other parts of 179 00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 2: the world, you have to go through the Middle East. 180 00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:48,320 Speaker 2: So at the time of recording, the airspace above Katar 181 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 2: is either closed or very limited. So that is going 182 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:53,800 Speaker 2: to be affecting a lot of Australians around the world. 183 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 1: A huge travelport for millions of Australians and travelers everywhere. Really, yeah, Lucy, 184 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 1: thank you so much for breaking that down for us. 185 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 1: By no means a simple one to tackle, but we 186 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 1: really appreciate you explaining it to us so well. This 187 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:12,320 Speaker 1: is obviously a developing story. There are so many headlines 188 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 1: continuing to come out, and we will of course keep 189 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 1: you updated on everything you need to know and making 190 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:19,360 Speaker 1: sense of it all for you over on the Dally 191 00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 1: Ozzi Instagram, So keep an eye out there. We'll be 192 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:24,520 Speaker 1: answering your big questions throughout the week. That's it for 193 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:26,920 Speaker 1: today's episode. We will be back a little bit later 194 00:11:26,920 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 1: on today with your evening news headlines. Until then, have 195 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 1: a good one. 196 00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:36,880 Speaker 2: My name is Lily Maddon and I'm a proud Aarunda 197 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 2: bunge Lung Kalkotin woman from Gadighl Country. The Daily oz 198 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:44,120 Speaker 2: acknowledges that this podcast is recorded on the lands of 199 00:11:44,120 --> 00:11:47,440 Speaker 2: the Gadighl people and pays respect to all Aboriginal and 200 00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 2: Torres Strait Island and nations. We pay our respects to 201 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:53,480 Speaker 2: the first peoples of these countries, both past and present,