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Speaker 1: We've been talking so much about cyclone NoREL, and we

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Speaker 1: will continue to because we really are not sure what's

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Speaker 1: going to happen over the course of this weekend, what

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Speaker 1: path that cyclone is going to take, and just what

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Speaker 1: impact it's going to have for us here in the

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Speaker 1: top end. Now we know that all lies indeed on Norell.

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Speaker 1: She crossed over the far North Queensland coast this morning.

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Speaker 1: She's still there currently now joining us live on the

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Speaker 1: line from the Bureau of Meteorology. It's Jess Linguard.

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Speaker 2: Good morning, Jess, Morning Katie. Jess.

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Speaker 1: We know that Norell has now hit the coastline there

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Speaker 1: in far North Queensland. Tell us a little bit more

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Speaker 1: about the intensity and what's going on at the moment.

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Speaker 2: Yes, so cross the coast at six thirty Darwin time

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Speaker 2: along the northern coastline there of the Cape York Peninsula.

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Speaker 2: As a category for tropical cyclone, so it did weaken

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Speaker 2: slightly as it moved towards the coast line overnight last night.

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Speaker 2: It's now since been downgraded to a category three system

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Speaker 2: and is likely to be downgraded further to a Category

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Speaker 2: two system this afternoon. It is moving slowly across the

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Speaker 2: Cape York Peninsula and is likely to pop out into

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Speaker 2: the Gulf of Carpenteria tonight. As it starts to move

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Speaker 2: in that westerly direction across the gulf, it's likely to

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Speaker 2: pick up a little bit more steam and a little

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Speaker 2: bit more strength, restrengthening back up to a category three

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Speaker 2: system by tomorrow morning, and we are likely to see

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Speaker 2: it crossing potentially just to the north of Groot Island

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Speaker 2: as a category three system tomorrow night, before making landfall

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Speaker 2: on the mainland as a category two system sort of

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Speaker 2: either really late Tomorrow night or very early on Sunday morning,

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Speaker 2: and then we see it weakening very very quickly through

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Speaker 2: Sunday down to a tropical low as it moves through

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Speaker 2: the top end. A cyclone watch is current for the

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Speaker 2: signed from Borol sorry from Nolanboy down to Port MacArthur

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Speaker 2: and that is likely to be upgraded to a cyclone

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Speaker 2: warning from early this afternoon. So that means that gaale

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Speaker 2: fourth winds are expected are especially around Grout Island from

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Speaker 2: tomorrow afternoon, so within twenty four hours of the warning

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Speaker 2: being issued. As I said, it is likely to weaken

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Speaker 2: fairly quickly as it moves across the top end. At

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Speaker 2: this point, we are expecting it to take path to

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Speaker 2: the north of Catherine. During Sunday, we are expecting widespread

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Speaker 2: heavy rainfall. One hundred and fifty to two hundred millimeters

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Speaker 2: are possible, and we could see some isolated heavier falls

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Speaker 2: with potentially up to four hundred millimeters Across the weekend.

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Speaker 2: We'll see some squally conditions and some damaging wind gas,

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Speaker 2: especially around that the eastern parts of the top end,

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Speaker 2: but it will still have some gusty conditions as it

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Speaker 2: weakens and moves across the top end. As a result

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Speaker 2: of obviously the rainfall that we're likely to see, we

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Speaker 2: are going to see renewed flooding along the Catherine and

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Speaker 2: Waterhouse rivers. At this stage, the hydrologists of forecasting minor

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Speaker 2: to moderate flooding along those two rivers. However, significant flooding

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Speaker 2: is possible for Catherine and Beswick with levels similar to

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Speaker 2: the previous peaks that we have seen recently. For the

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Speaker 2: Daily River, the recession of that river is likely to

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Speaker 2: be slowed, but being on the western side of the

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Speaker 2: top end, hopefully we do see lower rainfall totals as

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Speaker 2: the system draws nearer so we at this stage we're

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Speaker 2: not expecting that river to return to the height of

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Speaker 2: the most recent peak last weekend, So that is some

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Speaker 2: good news.

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Speaker 1: So that's for the Daily Jesse. She touched on the Catherine.

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Speaker 1: So could we see the Catherine River go up to

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Speaker 1: like that nineteen meter mark again?

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Speaker 2: So, as I say, significant flooding is possible at this stage,

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Speaker 2: the hydrologists are forecasting minor too moderate flooding along the rivers,

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Speaker 2: but there is that potential. It really does depend on

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Speaker 2: where all the rainfall falls across the weekend. There is

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Speaker 2: potential for Catherine and Beswick to reach levels similar to

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Speaker 2: the peaks that we have seen.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I mean that is like, it's obviously a concern

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Speaker 1: in terms of the level of water we are anticipating.

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Speaker 1: So talk us through when you know what days are

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Speaker 1: we expecting sort of you know the I guess the

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Speaker 1: heaviest falls in those areas.

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Speaker 2: Okay, So as the system draws closer to the coastline,

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Speaker 2: we are expecting it to cross late on Saturday nights,

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Speaker 2: so we're probably not going to see too much impact

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Speaker 2: for the bulk of the top end really until we

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Speaker 2: start to move into Sunday. We'll see some increasing falls

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Speaker 2: around the east coast of the top end tomorrow, but

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Speaker 2: really Sunday is going to be the most impactful day

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Speaker 2: as the remnants of Naurel move across the top end.

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Speaker 2: At this stage, as I say, expecting anywhere between one

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Speaker 2: hundred and fifty to two hundred two hundred millimeters of

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Speaker 2: rainfall fairly broadly across the top end, sort of extending

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Speaker 2: from Catherine all the way up to maybe even places

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Speaker 2: like Berry Springs Acacia Hills, so fairly far north Jabaru

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Speaker 2: could also see some heavier falls, and then once we

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Speaker 2: move into Monday, that system shifts into wa quite quickly.

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Speaker 2: It does have quite a pace on it this system.

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Speaker 2: It is moving fairly rapidly, and that is good news.

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Speaker 2: By the time we get to Monday, Catherine's probably only

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Speaker 2: looking at ten to twenty millimeters of rainfall, so hopefully

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Speaker 2: it is just one day of significant rainfall for the region.

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Speaker 2: But then we do need to wait and see all

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Speaker 2: of that water making its way through the river catchments,

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Speaker 2: so this won't be just a one day event for

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Speaker 2: the flooding, and we do need to be taking concern

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Speaker 2: and care over the world weekend, paying attention to the

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Speaker 2: forecasts and warnings that are issued not only around the

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Speaker 2: track of Narel but also regarding the flooding along those rivers,

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Speaker 2: and you can grab all the details on the Bureau's

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Speaker 2: website or download the Bureau app to your phone, and

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Speaker 2: then also paying attention to any advice given by the

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Speaker 2: emergency services this weekend.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll be keeping a really close eye and ear

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Speaker 1: on things, Jesse, if you can just talk us through

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Speaker 1: the forecast as well, obviously for Darwin and the Greater

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Speaker 1: Darwin region over the weekend.

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Speaker 2: So as I say, between now for today and tomorrow,

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Speaker 2: things are fairly calm, so please take this time to

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Speaker 2: prepare yourself for the incoming weather on Sunday and the

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Speaker 2: worsening conditions, especially as it relates to the flooding expected

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Speaker 2: across the region. Shower to possible storm broadly across the

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Speaker 2: top end today Darwin heading for a top of thirty

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Speaker 2: one degrees or expecting thirty two degrees for Palmerston and

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Speaker 2: Howard Springs today and thirty three for Berry Springs and Catherine.

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Speaker 2: Conditions will start to deteriorate throughout tomorrow and definitely seeing

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Speaker 2: the worst of the conditions expected on Sunday for the top.

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Speaker 1: End well, Jesslingard from the Bureau of Meteorology. We always

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Speaker 1: appreciate your time and no doubt we will talk on

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Speaker 1: Monday and we'll all be keeping a really close eye

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Speaker 1: on things and making sure that we're alert over the

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Speaker 1: course of the weekend as well.

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Speaker 2: Thanks Katie, stay safe, Thank you, Thanks so much, Jess