1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:05,560 Speaker 1: The Will and Woody podcast that bite sized President Vladimir Putin, 2 00:00:05,640 --> 00:00:08,800 Speaker 1: Russia's president, had announced that Russia will conduct a special 3 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: military operation to demilitarize the Ukraine, which is obviously language 4 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 1: to describe their invasion of the Ukraine. 5 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:21,840 Speaker 2: Have a listen. This is Matthew Chase live on the 6 00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 2: ground for seeing in earlier. 7 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 3: You guys can just get an idea of how intense 8 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 3: this actually is. 9 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 4: Oh, I'll say, well, I just heard a big bang 10 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:34,320 Speaker 4: right here behind me. I thought we shouldn't have done 11 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 4: a live shot here. There are big explosions taking place 12 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 4: in Kief right now. 13 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 2: It's really sad. Stuff is it is evolving. 14 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:46,280 Speaker 3: I'm sure you'll have a chance to get home and 15 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 3: watch some of your TV tonight. 16 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:48,839 Speaker 2: But Huymington joins us. 17 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,519 Speaker 3: He is the national affairs editor from Channel tenet to 18 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:52,959 Speaker 3: join the show. 19 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 1: Go. 20 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 2: Welcome to the show, Hugh. Pleasure to have you on, mate, 21 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:55,279 Speaker 2: Thanks for joining me. 22 00:00:56,080 --> 00:01:00,959 Speaker 5: So the circumstances are what they are? Go again, Hugh, 23 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 5: I said, I'm sorry, the circumstances. 24 00:01:03,440 --> 00:01:05,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, do we haven't a chap? 25 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:07,320 Speaker 5: You tell us. It's fairly grim what we've got at 26 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:09,960 Speaker 5: the moment that you said, and their Putin has made 27 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 5: it official that he's launched. He doesn't call it an invasion, 28 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:17,400 Speaker 5: he calls it a military operation, but that's what it is. Yes, 29 00:01:18,160 --> 00:01:19,320 Speaker 5: so the tanks are on the move. 30 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:21,839 Speaker 3: You can, I ask, I think for a lot of people, 31 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:24,199 Speaker 3: and I know this is obviously a very complex issue 32 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:26,400 Speaker 3: that probably stems all the way back into somewhere in 33 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:31,199 Speaker 3: the seventies, But like, why are Russia invading the Ukraine. 34 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 5: Well, a lot of it has to do with Putin's pride. Really, 35 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:39,440 Speaker 5: Ukraine was part of the Soviet Union into the Communists days, 36 00:01:39,480 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 5: and then after the fall of the Berlin Wall, and 37 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 5: then subsequent to that the fall of the Soviet Union, 38 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:46,559 Speaker 5: the breakup of the Soviet Union, a lot of those 39 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 5: non Russian countries that were within the Soviet Empire, if 40 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 5: you like, gained their own independence. Ukraine was one of those. 41 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 5: And then in more recent times Ukraine has been keen 42 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:02,880 Speaker 5: to really lie itself more with the West than with Russia, 43 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 5: and that has disturbed Putin. He's always felt with the 44 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 5: fall of the Soviet Union was a terrible geopolitical disare 45 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 5: very bad for the Soviet Union, so he wants to 46 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:16,240 Speaker 5: claim it's back. His justification as there are some Russian 47 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 5: speakers in eastern Ukraine, and so his claim as he's 48 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:23,399 Speaker 5: in there to protect and defend them, recognize their independence, 49 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 5: but it really has no justification international war. And on 50 00:02:28,040 --> 00:02:31,679 Speaker 5: the reports that we're hearing in these first hours, it's 51 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 5: not just eastern Ukraine, it's right in the capital Kiev, 52 00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 5: on the Black seaport of Adasa, that's a long way 53 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 5: from eastern Ukraine. Amphibious landings are being told. So this 54 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 5: looks like a wide front invasion, a war that's been 55 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,920 Speaker 5: launched by Vladimir Putin really in the last two or 56 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:51,919 Speaker 5: three hours. 57 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:55,359 Speaker 3: So, Hugh, do you think other countries are going to 58 00:02:55,440 --> 00:03:01,520 Speaker 3: start getting involved now to help or pret ticked the Ukraine? 59 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 5: Well, it's unpredictable, but at the moment you'd say no. 60 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:09,560 Speaker 5: And that's because Ukraine is not part of NATO, and 61 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 5: if a NATO nation is attacked, then all other NATO 62 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:17,120 Speaker 5: nations are required under the treaty to go to their defense. 63 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:19,960 Speaker 5: Right now, Ukraine is not wanted to be part of NATO, 64 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 5: but that. 65 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:23,639 Speaker 3: Was the issue, that was the issue, right like that, 66 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,120 Speaker 3: they'd express that they wanted to be part of NATO, 67 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 3: they wanted to be part of it. 68 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:30,840 Speaker 2: And there's been other states sort of in the west of. 69 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 3: What the formula Soviet Union that have joined so Estonia, Latvia, 70 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 3: those three countries up there, and like steadily it's sort 71 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:40,840 Speaker 3: of being like annexed back off. 72 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 2: What was the old Soviet bloc. 73 00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 3: And this was kind of, as far as I can understand, 74 00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:47,640 Speaker 3: it kind of like the straw that broke the camel's back. 75 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 3: Where as exactly as you said, Hugh comes down to 76 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 3: Vladimir's pride where he's just like, nah, you can't take 77 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 3: that one and correct me. 78 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 2: If I'm wrong, Hugh. 79 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 3: But the Ukraine is kind of like because Russia in 80 00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 3: the west is relatively landlocked. 81 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:01,640 Speaker 2: Once it starts. 82 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 3: Losing those nations towards the west, so if the Ukraine 83 00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 3: goes where NATO, all of a sudden, Russia hasn't got 84 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 3: access to a lot of the resources that it would 85 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 3: get down towards other of us that got the Crimea, 86 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 3: but it started to sort of block off their supply chains, 87 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 3: which is a big part of this yere. 88 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:20,720 Speaker 5: Oh look, look, they can access the black seats because 89 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 5: they've taken the Crimean peninsula they did at twenty fourteen. 90 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:27,239 Speaker 5: They've got access to you know, to the Pacific Ocean 91 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 5: through that of Ostok. That far, they've got access to 92 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 5: the Baltic access. So in other. 93 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 2: Words, it's got nothing to do with supply. That's just 94 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 2: what they're saying, and they just want the country. 95 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:42,719 Speaker 5: Yeah, absolutely, yeah, I think that it shouldn't be underestimated 96 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:46,360 Speaker 5: just how significant this is. This is a land war 97 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 5: in Europe. We haven't seen one on this scale, and 98 00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:55,440 Speaker 5: certainly by a force as large as Russia and Ukraine's 99 00:04:55,440 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 5: got a fairly significant military as well. We'll be fighting 100 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 5: on their own, but you know, presumably have some resistance. 101 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:04,720 Speaker 5: But this has the potential to dwarf the wars that 102 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 5: attended the breakup of Yugoslavia back in the nineteen eighties 103 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:12,600 Speaker 5: and ninety and if you look at the death and 104 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 5: all the carnage that came from that, this potentially will 105 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 5: dwarf that. A country of forty four million people in 106 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:21,479 Speaker 5: the business of being invaded at this very hour. 107 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 2: All right, man, well, let's address the elephant in the room. 108 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:26,039 Speaker 3: Because I was outside before here and the producers on 109 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 3: trending on Twitter is World War three. And I actually 110 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:32,240 Speaker 3: said to Woods on air yesterday that Einstein once said 111 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:34,599 Speaker 3: that World War three might be fought with bombs, but 112 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:35,599 Speaker 3: World War four will be. 113 00:05:35,600 --> 00:05:38,839 Speaker 2: Fought with sticks and steins. There is this concept. 114 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 3: Of mutually assured destruction, that we've all got nuclear bombs 115 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:42,559 Speaker 3: and we're never going to end up in that space 116 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 3: because if someone sends one, then we all send one, 117 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:47,600 Speaker 3: and then pretty much we all just absolutely turf each other. 118 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:50,719 Speaker 2: At what point do we start to. 119 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:53,719 Speaker 3: Worry about how far this conflict can expand how far 120 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 3: it will go? Do we trust the people that are 121 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:58,719 Speaker 3: in power not to start using that level of weaponry? 122 00:05:58,880 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 3: Is the conflict going to be contained? Is there any 123 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 3: like I'm just fearmongering here because I'm getting the vibe 124 00:06:04,480 --> 00:06:06,160 Speaker 3: in the office and that's what everyone's thinking. 125 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 2: Is there any chance that it's going to expand that big? 126 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:12,240 Speaker 5: Well, heaven forbid it goes nuclear, because if it does, 127 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 5: then we're on a whole new scale of misery. One. 128 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:20,599 Speaker 5: It's hard to know how that would happen unless it 129 00:06:20,680 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 5: spreads beyond Ukraine's borders and perhaps the United States gets 130 00:06:25,080 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 5: involved and NATO gets involved, or it would goes so 131 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 5: badly for Russia. It starts to putin starts ractically desperate. 132 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:37,120 Speaker 5: But when with several steps ahead. We've got a fairly 133 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 5: diabolical problem right in front of us as a globe, 134 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 5: as a global population right now. I don't want to 135 00:06:44,680 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 5: catastrophize it too too much. It get worse, but it's 136 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 5: plenty bad enough just as it is. 137 00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:50,919 Speaker 2: Yeah, totally fair enough, mate. 138 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:53,919 Speaker 3: She was really not what we wanted to hear this afternoon, 139 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 3: but important to be informed about it. So Hugh Irvington 140 00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:59,480 Speaker 3: from Channel ten, they're joining us. Hugh, thanks so much 141 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:00,960 Speaker 3: for your time. Really appreciate it. 142 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:02,600 Speaker 5: Mate, great to talk to you. Take it. 143 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:08,360 Speaker 2: Hurrington, the National Affairs editor up from Channel ten. Totally wild. Yeah, 144 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 2: that's terrifying. That's terrifying. Yeah, I'd hope it doesn't get 145 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 2: to that. No, well, obviously one hundred percent. That's what's 146 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 2: going on in the UK. 147 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:16,440 Speaker 3: We'll keep you guys informed throughout the show if there 148 00:07:16,440 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 3: are any updates there. 149 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 2: Hear more of the boys on the full show podcast. 150 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:21,920 Speaker 2: You know you want to