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Speaker 1: Already and this is this is the.

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Speaker 2: Daily This is the Daily ohs oh, now it makes sense.

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Speaker 1: Good morning and welcome to the Daily ODS. It's Thursday,

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Speaker 1: the seventh of March. I'm Zara, I'm emma.

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Speaker 2: I'm the editor of the Daily ODS.

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Speaker 1: This week, millions of people in the US voted in

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Speaker 1: their state's primary elections in a day known as Super Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: Super Tuesday is here. Today. People in more than a

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Speaker 1: dozen states will vote in the largest single day voting

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Speaker 1: event of the primary season.

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Speaker 3: They call it Super Tuesday for a reason.

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Speaker 2: Super Tuesday is one of the most important days in

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Speaker 2: the US presidential election cycle. But as anyone listening might

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Speaker 2: have worked out, the electoral system in the US is

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Speaker 2: pretty different to how things work here in Australia. So

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Speaker 2: we're going to take you through Super Tuesday, how it

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Speaker 2: all works, and what this sweek's polls actually mean in

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Speaker 2: today's deep dive.

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Speaker 1: But first, Zara, what's making headlights? Prime Minister Anthony Alberzi

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Speaker 1: has announced two billion dollars in trade and investment funding

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Speaker 1: in Southeast Asia. The funding is designed to support a

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Speaker 1: transition to clean energy in the region and the development

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Speaker 1: of new infrastructure. It comes as the Association of Southeast

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Speaker 1: Asian Nation Summit so Asian came to a close in

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Speaker 1: Melbourne yesterday.

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Speaker 2: Australia's economy grew zero point two percent from October to

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Speaker 2: December in twenty twenty three, according to new data from

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Speaker 2: the Australian Bureau of Statistics. This figure is the growth

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Speaker 2: of the gross domestic product or GDP, which is the

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Speaker 2: total value of all goods and services produced within a country.

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Speaker 2: The Head of National Accounts at the ABS said government

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Speaker 2: spending and private business investments were the main causes of

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Speaker 2: growth during the period.

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Speaker 1: Peru's Prime Minister, Alberto Otarala has stepped down over an

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Speaker 1: alleged audio leak accusing him of corruption. The audio recording

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Speaker 1: was allegedly of the Prime minister from before his time

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Speaker 1: in office, speaking to a woman about how much he

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Speaker 1: loved her and telling her to send him his CV.

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Speaker 1: The woman was later awarded contracts to carry out government work.

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Speaker 1: The Prime minister has denied any wrongdoing that announced in

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Speaker 1: a letter to Peru's president that he is formally resigning

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Speaker 1: as prime minister after just over a year in office.

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Speaker 2: And today's good news, global health donors have announced new

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Speaker 2: funding worth nine hundred and twenty million dollars to eliminate

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Speaker 2: cervical cancer. Cervical cancer is the fourth most common cancer

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Speaker 2: in women, and over ninety percent of deaths from cervical

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Speaker 2: cancer occur in low and middle income countries. The new

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Speaker 2: funding aims to meet a number of targets by twenty thirty,

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Speaker 2: such as vaccinating ninety percent of girls against HPV, a

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Speaker 2: precursor to XIX cervical cancer, by the age of fifteen,

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Speaker 2: and ensuring that women with cervical disease receive the correct treatment.

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Speaker 2: Funding donors include the World Bank, UNISEF, and the Bill

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Speaker 2: and Melinda Gates Foundation.

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Speaker 3: ZARA.

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Speaker 2: One of the biggest tests for US presidential candidates has

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Speaker 2: finally come and gone. Super Tuesday. I feel like we

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Speaker 2: were hearing about this day for a long time, and

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Speaker 2: if you're listening wondering why we're talking about a Tuesday

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Speaker 2: on a Thursday, that has a lot to do with

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Speaker 2: time zones.

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Speaker 1: I think this is the hardest maths we've ever had

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Speaker 1: to do, truly perplexing.

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Speaker 2: Voting across more than a dozen US states didn't actually

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Speaker 2: conclude until mid to late in the afternoon for most

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Speaker 2: of us. Here in Australia on Wednesday. That's why Thursday

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Speaker 2: morning we are talking about Super Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: I want to get to Super Tuesday in just a second.

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Speaker 1: But Super Tuesday is just one element of a vastly

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Speaker 1: different election process in the US. The what we have

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Speaker 1: here in Australia. Can you just give us a bit

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Speaker 1: of a lay of the land. How does it actually

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Speaker 1: work in the US.

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Speaker 2: So the first thing to say is that there are

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Speaker 2: two major parties in the US. So we have the

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Speaker 2: Republican Party, the traditionally more conservative or right leaning party,

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Speaker 2: and the Democrats with the sort of traditionally more progressive

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Speaker 2: or left leaning values. Joe Biden, the current President of

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Speaker 2: the US, is a Democrat. So going into a US election,

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Speaker 2: there might be anywhere from one to a handful of

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Speaker 2: hopefuls on both sides who are competing to become their

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Speaker 2: party's official presidential candidate, and that candidate is known as

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Speaker 2: the party's nominee. So when it comes to the lead

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Speaker 2: up to a presidential election, each of the fifty states

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Speaker 2: in the US has its own rules, but most hold

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Speaker 2: a vote called a primary ballot or primaries. You've probably

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Speaker 2: heard yeah discussed, and this is where voters have their

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Speaker 2: say on who they think should be their party's presidential candidate.

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Speaker 1: So just to clarify here, we're talking about states going

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Speaker 1: to vote for who the candidate for the major parties

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Speaker 1: should be, not who should actually be president. Yep, exactly.

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Speaker 2: So if we were in California on Tuesday, we might

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Speaker 2: go to the polls to decide who our favorite Republican

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Speaker 2: candidate was or who our favorite Democrat candidate was. A

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Speaker 2: small number of states hold something called a caucus instead

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Speaker 2: of a primary, and they're run by political parties where

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Speaker 2: registered members can cast their vote at a meeting. They

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Speaker 2: only happen in a few of those fifty states.

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Speaker 1: So those are primaries. What Super Tuesday then.

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Speaker 2: So Super Tuesday refers to a day, the first Tuesday

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Speaker 2: of March, when a group of states hold their primaries

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Speaker 2: on the same day, so a bunch of states. We're

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Speaker 2: talking sixteen this year, but that number varies from year

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Speaker 2: to year. It's not the day when the nominees are confirmed,

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Speaker 2: so the Republican nominee, Democrat nominee. It's a day that does,

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Speaker 2: give us, however, a pretty good idea of who will

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Speaker 2: ultimately lead each of the major.

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Speaker 1: Parties, because there are so many primaries in one day

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Speaker 1: that if you see someone sweeping all of those primaries,

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Speaker 1: it's a pretty clear indication.

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Speaker 2: Exactly. So the number of primaries varies every election on

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Speaker 2: Super Tuesday, as I said, but this year we had

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Speaker 2: those sixteen primaries all on the same day, hence Super Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: But it's very literal, Yeah, very literal. It's just super.

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Speaker 1: It's just big sixteen.

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Speaker 2: Is not a super as it's been before. To give

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Speaker 2: you a sense of how super it can get. Before

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Speaker 2: Obama became president in two thousand and eight, he faced

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Speaker 2: off with Hillary Clinton in twenty four Democrat contests for

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Speaker 2: the nomination for his party. So, okay, twenty four primaries

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Speaker 2: on that Super Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So is there anything behind why Super Tuesday exists?

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Speaker 1: Like why is it on a Tuesday? We vote on

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Speaker 1: a Saturday. Why are they doing on a Tuesday? That

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Speaker 1: feels really inconvenient for everybody involved.

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Speaker 2: Yep, this is a really good question and one with

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Speaker 2: a pretty interesting answer, a little bit of a strange one.

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Speaker 2: Voting is not compulsory in the US, we should say

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Speaker 2: off the bat, But voting on a Tuesday is actually

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Speaker 2: an American tradition that dates back to the nineteenth century, right.

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Speaker 1: Get this.

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Speaker 2: It's because back in the day, Christian farmers needed enough

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Speaker 2: time to travel from their towns and their farms to

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Speaker 2: voting booths in voting centers and cities after Sunday church services.

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Speaker 2: So Tuesday was considered the least inconvenient because it would

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Speaker 2: be like, farmer wakes up, goes to church on Sunday

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Speaker 2: and then they have enough time to get the horse

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Speaker 2: and cart into town to vote on a Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: Wow, so go Yeah, that's why.

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Speaker 2: And both the November presidential election and Super Tuesdays fall

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Speaker 2: on the first Tuesday of the month, So the final

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Speaker 2: big US election day moment that will also come on

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Speaker 2: a Tuesday this year.

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Speaker 1: I am so looking forward to using that fact at

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Speaker 1: a trivia night and never again at any point in

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Speaker 1: my life. It's a good one. Let's bring ourselves back

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Speaker 1: into the twenty first century. What do we need to

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Speaker 1: know about the Super Tuesday results?

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Speaker 2: So I'm going to focus more on the Republican primaries

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Speaker 2: here because President Joe Biden is expected to be chosen

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Speaker 2: as the Democrat nominee and he has no serious challenges,

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Speaker 2: but Republican voters this week in states like California, Alabama, Virginia,

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Speaker 2: just to name a few, were tasked with choosing between

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Speaker 2: the former US President Donald Trump and his last legitimate challenger,

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Speaker 2: Nicky Hayley, who.

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Speaker 1: We have spoken about a number of times exactly.

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Speaker 2: So going into Super Tuesday, they were the remaining two

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Speaker 2: Republican candidates in these primaries. Nicki Haley a quick reminder,

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Speaker 2: the former governor of South Carolina, a former UN ambassador,

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Speaker 2: and despite losing in almost every primary before this week

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Speaker 2: except Washington, where there's I'm sure a joke here about

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Speaker 2: how there are less than five Republicans in the state

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Speaker 2: of Washington, Hailey had vowed to hang in there. She

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Speaker 2: promised voters that she was going to stick it out

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Speaker 2: to at least Super Tuesday as an alternative to Trump.

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Speaker 3: South Carolina has spoken, We're the fourth state to do so.

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Speaker 3: In the next ten days, another twenty one states and

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Speaker 3: territories will speak. They have the right to a real choice,

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Speaker 3: not a Soviet style election with only one candidate, and

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Speaker 3: I have a duty to give them that choice.

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Speaker 2: So, going into Super Tuesday, then this week, Trump was

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Speaker 2: considered the overwhelming favorite, and the results are consistent with

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Speaker 2: that trend. Nikki Haley won in at least the state

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Speaker 2: of Vermont with fifty point one percent of the vote,

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Speaker 2: But it does look like, at least at the time

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Speaker 2: of recording, Trump has won at least a dozen more

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Speaker 2: states in the primaries, and that paid the way for

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Speaker 2: what many have been expecting a twenty twenty presidential election

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Speaker 2: rematch showdown between Biden and Trump.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if we have the rights to play

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Speaker 1: Beyonce's d but if we did, I would play it

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Speaker 1: right now.

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Speaker 2: I would sing it right now if I didn't think

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Speaker 2: it would ruin everyone's day exactly.

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Speaker 1: Good morning, and here's our voices. Okay, So, if Donald

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Speaker 1: Trump is expected to be the Republican nominee, I presume

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Speaker 1: that means that Nicky Haley's presidential hope. So all bit over.

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Speaker 2: Trump's victories in all of these states, and they are many,

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Speaker 2: doesn't actually officially crown him the Republican nominee. So he

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Speaker 2: hasn't really formally secured that. But what he has secured

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Speaker 2: are lots of delegates, so bear with me. In most cases,

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Speaker 2: you can think of delegates as points. So during a

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Speaker 2: primary election, the candidate will win a certain number of

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Speaker 2: delegates or points, depending on how big the state is.

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Speaker 2: A state with more people like California will have more

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Speaker 2: delegates up for grabs whoever wins the primary vote, and

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Speaker 2: a small er state like Rhode Island will have fewer

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Speaker 2: delegates up for grabs. So whoever wins the majority of delegates,

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Speaker 2: so again, think of it like points, they will typically

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Speaker 2: become their party's nominee den party's presidential candidate.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So, because Nikki Hayley has won barely any primaries, she

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Speaker 2: has barely any.

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Speaker 1: Delegates, understood, and so Trump would have many delegates hundreds Okay,

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Speaker 1: So if Trump has won that many delegates, it's likely

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Speaker 1: he could win the Republican nomination, But we have to

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Speaker 1: wait for that to be declared officially. Right when does

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Speaker 1: that happen?

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Speaker 2: Yep? So after Super Tuesday, there will still be a

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Speaker 2: few more primaries to come in the next couple of months,

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Speaker 2: and then both major parties will hold national conventions later

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Speaker 2: in the year where their presidential and vice presidential nominees

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Speaker 2: will be confirmed. So, even if we know that Trump

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Speaker 2: has hundreds and hundreds more delegates than any other challenger.

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Speaker 1: He has to wait for the big dance, has to

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Speaker 1: wait for the.

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Speaker 2: Big dance, and that will be for the Republican Party

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Speaker 2: in July in Milwaukee, and the Democratic Convention will be

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Speaker 2: in August in Chicago. Now that's where President Joe Biden

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Speaker 2: is expected to be chosen is his party's candidate for

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Speaker 2: the White House race. And then we can look forward

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Speaker 2: to three months of campaigning, which I'm sure will be

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Speaker 2: mutually respectful and exciting, before the US election on the

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Speaker 2: fifth of November, which as we know, is a Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: Now, we do know that before we wrap up. It

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Speaker 1: feels like we've been talking about a Biden Trump showdown

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Speaker 1: for a long time. At least it seems like that

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Speaker 1: was what was going to happen. We know both of

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Speaker 1: them can win an election. Both of them have won

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Speaker 1: an election. Do we have any more of a sense

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Speaker 1: of how things might turn out this time?

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Speaker 2: Yeah. It's a very different world for Donald Trump going

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Speaker 2: into this election than the context that he won the

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Speaker 2: twenty sixteen election, in he defeated Hillary Clinton, she was

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Speaker 2: the Democrat nominee at the time. But since then, you know,

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Speaker 2: we've seen numerous criminal cases brought against him, multiple lawsuits,

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Speaker 2: fraud investigations, and of course the fallout from the January

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Speaker 2: sixth attack on the Capitol in twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 1: But as chaotic is that.

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Speaker 2: Might all sound, and as wild as the headlines have

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Speaker 2: been in the years since his presidency, it doesn't really

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Speaker 2: seem to have impacted his popularity with voters.

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Speaker 1: But nor does it actually impact his ability to run exactly, like,

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Speaker 1: none of these criminal trials will actually make any difference

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Speaker 1: to his chances of being able to run.

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Speaker 2: And just this week we saw court action that was

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Speaker 2: overturned in the Supreme Court after states like Colorado vowed

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Speaker 2: to remove his name from the election ballot. That decision

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Speaker 2: was overturned in the US's highest court this week. So

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Speaker 2: you're absolutely right that despite those headlines, there hasn't really

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Speaker 2: been any significant obsticle stopping him from running. And if

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Speaker 2: we look at Super Tuesday, you know there were huge

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Speaker 2: swings towards him in some states like Texas and Alabama.

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Speaker 2: He won around eighty percent of the vote in those primaries.

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Speaker 1: So it's clear that he has both the popularity to

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Speaker 1: win the Republican nomination but also the ability to run

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Speaker 1: for president. What do we know about how this showdown

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Speaker 1: between Trump and Biden is shaping up. Do we have

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Speaker 1: any indication of I know, it was still a bit

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Speaker 1: far away of who could win in November.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it's funny thinking about the fact that

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Speaker 2: the election is still eight months away.

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Speaker 1: I can't be long eight months.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, a long eight months. But it's already been a

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Speaker 2: long year or so since we first started to talk

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Speaker 2: about Trump throwing his hat back in the ring. But

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Speaker 2: in terms of the numbers, four substantial polls in the

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Speaker 2: US this week show that Trump is in front of

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Speaker 2: Biden with leads of between two to four percent. So

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Speaker 2: that's not nothing, but it's not a dundee. That being said,

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Speaker 2: as well, despite Biden being behind in the polls, he

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Speaker 2: has the advantage of being an incumbent. Now, this is

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Speaker 2: the idea of someone in office seeking re election, and

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Speaker 2: historically what we've seen in the US is when a

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Speaker 2: current president runs for a second term, they're typically more

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Speaker 2: successful than the candidate challenging them. So in the last

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Speaker 2: twelve elections in the US, to put this into perspective,

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Speaker 2: incumbent candidates have won eight times, leaving four one term presidents.

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Speaker 2: So that's gerald for Jimmy Carter, George Bush Senior, and

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Speaker 2: of course Trump because he failed to win office for

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Speaker 2: a second term when he was an incumbent in that race.

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Speaker 2: So history tells us that Joe Biden has that advantage.

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Speaker 2: Polls tell us that Trump has the popularity advantage. It's

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Speaker 2: going to be a long.

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Speaker 1: Road ahead that it is a lot could change, but

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Speaker 1: I appreciate you telling us the lay of the land today. Hey,

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Speaker 1: thanks for joining us today on the Daily os. If

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Speaker 1: you learn something from today's episode, don't forget to hit subscribe.

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Speaker 1: So there is a TDA episode waiting for you every

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Speaker 1: weekday morning. We'll be back again tomorrow, but until then,

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Speaker 1: have a fabulous day. My name is Lily Maddon and

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Speaker 1: I'm a proud Arunda Bungelung Calcotin woman from Gadighl Country.

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