1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:04,840 Speaker 1: The latest Suburb Trends Rental Pain Index for August has 2 00:00:04,880 --> 00:00:09,320 Speaker 1: been released and it highlights the ongoing rental crisis in Australia, 3 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 1: with rising rental prices and a shortage of homes. Urgent 4 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:16,960 Speaker 1: action is needed to alleviate the stress on renters across 5 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:20,440 Speaker 1: the nation. Joining me on the line is Kent Ladner, 6 00:00:20,560 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 1: the founder of suburb Trends. Good morning to you. 7 00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 2: Kent, Good morning, How are you yeah? 8 00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:29,640 Speaker 1: Really good? Thank you so much for your time this morning, Kent. 9 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 1: What has the data found. 10 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:36,560 Speaker 2: We found a number of states that are under very 11 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:41,519 Speaker 2: significant levels of stress. We're still seeing rent prices increase, 12 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:45,839 Speaker 2: but at a much lower level than in past months. 13 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 2: If I zero in on the Northern Territory as an example, 14 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 2: we've got an affordability rate on overach of around twenty 15 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 2: five percent. What that really means is how much am 16 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:59,560 Speaker 2: I spending of my household income each week on rents? 17 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 2: If you compare that to other states, other states are 18 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 2: climbing up above thirty one or thirty two percent, which 19 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:06,959 Speaker 2: is a significant problem. 20 00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 1: So do you reckon it's more a matter of our 21 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 1: rents maybe remaining stable, or is it more a situation 22 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 1: that we're earning quite good incomes in the Northern Territory. 23 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 2: It's a very similar situation to the ACT. It's very 24 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:24,120 Speaker 2: much income related. So when you've got a higher than 25 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 2: average income, that relative to rents obviously pushes that down 26 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:31,679 Speaker 2: below thirty percent. But there is a call out here. 27 00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 2: The measure of household income is an average, it's the medium, 28 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 2: and what we find is a lot of renters find 29 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 2: themselves well and truly below that medium, So a lot 30 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 2: of these figures can actually be understated. 31 00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 1: We've seen a massive growth in house prices in recent years. 32 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 1: Has that also sort of created some issues? 33 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 2: It does. They are correlated. If you're an investor, typically 34 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:58,639 Speaker 2: you're looking to buy a properly property and make a yield, 35 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 2: a certain return. A lot of investors look for at 36 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 2: least four percent now in terms of gross yield. So 37 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 2: what that really means is if you're buying a property 38 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:12,079 Speaker 2: above five hundred thousand dollars and expecting a decent return, 39 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 2: that really doesn't translate to an affordable rental for a 40 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 2: lot of Australians. Jee Like it. 41 00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:20,280 Speaker 1: Makes it hard, doesn't it for a lot of people 42 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:23,679 Speaker 1: to either you know, stay on the rental sort of 43 00:02:24,320 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 1: the rental cycle or to get out of it and 44 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 1: really try to purchase their own place. 45 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:33,079 Speaker 2: It is really tough. I know the politicians are now 46 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:36,959 Speaker 2: standing up and facing the issue. They're saying the right 47 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 2: things and acknowledging that if you're not born in the 48 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:42,919 Speaker 2: right postcode, if you don't have the right parents, you're 49 00:02:42,919 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 2: going to find it very very tough to on this ladder. 50 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 2: And if you're trapped in that private rental market, you're 51 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:50,799 Speaker 2: going to find it very very hard to accumulate a 52 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 2: deposit without that help. And if you go back to 53 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 2: the mensi z era, the post World War II era, 54 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 2: how the housing crisis was not a new thing and 55 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,080 Speaker 2: he's not a new thing for Australia, but we climbed 56 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 2: out of that before and we did a lot of 57 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:06,800 Speaker 2: that on the back of social housing. 58 00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:10,799 Speaker 1: What kind of things do you think could be happening realistically, 59 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:13,679 Speaker 1: you know, to try to make the dream I guess 60 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:16,079 Speaker 1: of owning your own home a little bit more attainable. 61 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:20,839 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's an interesting conundrum right now. I just read 62 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 2: a post from Alan Kohla who really put out a 63 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 2: long list of things that he thought needed to be 64 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 2: done directify the problem, the issue I have is if 65 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 2: rent level out or prices level out, that's great, but 66 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 2: it still doesn't solve the problem for a lot of 67 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:38,119 Speaker 2: people for many, many years because we need to wait 68 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 2: for wages to catch up. So we've got to We've 69 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 2: got this gap in between where we are today and 70 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 2: what things are going to be like in ten years 71 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 2: time when the supply starts to pick up, etc. So 72 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 2: there are some immediate things we can do as a nation. 73 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:55,400 Speaker 2: We can stop ignoring the fact that population growth and 74 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 2: housing are two different things. They're what they should be, 75 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 2: one of the same in terms of POB We can't 76 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 2: have runaway population growth without supporting it with housing supply, 77 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 2: So I'd say that's number one. Number two for me. 78 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 2: We do need to focus on homelessness, and that it's 79 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:14,720 Speaker 2: great for us to focus on housing supply that might 80 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 2: come in two or three or four years time, but 81 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:19,720 Speaker 2: we need to focus on those that are homeless right 82 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:22,159 Speaker 2: here and right now, because those numbers are getting very, 83 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:25,039 Speaker 2: very large, and some of the statistics we've seen from 84 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:29,720 Speaker 2: the calls to help groups, et cetera. They're runaway. They 85 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 2: are in runaway numbers, especially in a couple of states, 86 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 2: namely Victorian New South Wales. But that's spreading all over 87 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 2: the country. I know. 88 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:39,039 Speaker 1: It's something we've spoken about quite a bit on the 89 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:42,040 Speaker 1: show previously. We've spoken to the likes of NT Shelter 90 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:45,520 Speaker 1: about the need for more social housing, the need for 91 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 1: more public housing, you know, sort of filling that gap 92 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:52,159 Speaker 1: as well. I guess like there does seem to be 93 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:55,000 Speaker 1: quite a bit of money that has been announced over 94 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 1: the last year or so by both the federal government 95 00:04:57,839 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 1: in conjunction with the Northern Territory government in in this space, 96 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:02,720 Speaker 1: but it just doesn't seem to be sort of turning 97 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 1: over fast enough. 98 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:08,239 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that the problem's been amplified obviously through 99 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:13,760 Speaker 2: that excessive population growth and not matching a housing supply. 100 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 2: They're the right strategies, obviously, we want to very very 101 00:05:17,040 --> 00:05:20,240 Speaker 2: or we need a very very high proportion of housing 102 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:24,040 Speaker 2: coming from state and all community housing groups. I think 103 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:27,120 Speaker 2: that's important because it's a bedrock for a lot of 104 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:30,720 Speaker 2: people to climb out of poverty. Actually, for a lot 105 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:32,960 Speaker 2: of people like myself, it gives you an opportunity to 106 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 2: step out of that and get into home ownership yourself. 107 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:39,200 Speaker 2: So I really think it's an important part of it. 108 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 2: Needs to be part of the Australian makeup. If I 109 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:44,480 Speaker 2: look back, you can understand why governments in the past 110 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 2: had thought, great, we can have everyone as homeowners. That 111 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:52,040 Speaker 2: made sense at a certain time when houses were affordable. 112 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:54,839 Speaker 2: They're no longer affordable, So we do need a solution 113 00:05:55,080 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 2: like public housing straight away, Kent. 114 00:05:57,520 --> 00:06:00,279 Speaker 1: What else needs to happen? I mean specifically when you 115 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:02,560 Speaker 1: look at the likes of the Northern Territory, are there 116 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 1: are there different things that could be happening right now 117 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:08,480 Speaker 1: to sort of to ease this pressure that we're seeing 118 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:11,719 Speaker 1: on renters but people needing a home. 119 00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:15,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, we need to make sure that land banking is 120 00:06:15,400 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 2: not happening. A lot of developers I understand, like to 121 00:06:18,920 --> 00:06:22,480 Speaker 2: land bank and their progatives are slightly different to ours. 122 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:25,479 Speaker 2: Their pative is to make profit. I get that, But 123 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:27,920 Speaker 2: we need the government to step in and help us 124 00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:30,520 Speaker 2: when markets are starting to fail the poorest in the 125 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 2: nation and what we're seeing is a very very high 126 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,840 Speaker 2: proportion of people feeling poor right now. So we need 127 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:40,279 Speaker 2: land based solutions. We need to find ways to get 128 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:44,839 Speaker 2: housing supply done cheaply that are and great initiatives emerging 129 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:49,719 Speaker 2: around three D printing, and prefabrication. I think that's essential, 130 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 2: especially for places like the Northern Territory where getting access 131 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 2: to a whole stack of plumbers and builders and brickies 132 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:59,279 Speaker 2: is not easy. If you get an area that suddenly 133 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 2: has a massive urging demand, especially in a regional location, 134 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 2: it's not easy to fix the supply very quickly well. 135 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 1: Suburb Trends. Kent Lardner, the founder of Suburb Trends, We 136 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 1: really appreciate your time this morning. Thanks very much for 137 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:14,080 Speaker 1: having a chat with me. 138 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:17,120 Speaker 2: I appreciate the opportunity. Thank you. 139 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 1: No worries at all,