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Speaker 1: Great the flick with Benoshe. Hooray for Hollywood. The Oscars

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Speaker 1: on Monday, and I love that it's on a long

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Speaker 1: weekend for us. Yes, we can watch it.

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Speaker 2: We can finally watch it. It starts early the stars

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Speaker 2: walking down the red carpet, which for a lot of people,

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Speaker 2: that's the main event. They want to see what everybody's

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Speaker 2: wearing at Hollywood's Night of Nights at the Dolby Theater

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Speaker 2: right there in the heart of Hollywood.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be.

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Speaker 2: Very interesting this year for a number of reasons. A

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Speaker 2: few things that we haven't really seen before are going

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Speaker 2: to play out. But in terms of an overall broad

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Speaker 2: picture of what this Oscars is about, it's really been

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Speaker 2: impacted by the writers' strikes and actors strikes of late

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Speaker 2: last year. So a lot of films that could have

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Speaker 2: been released in twenty twenty four weren't. They were held

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Speaker 2: off for this year. So as a result, it's kind

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Speaker 2: of the race for Best Picture is filled with films

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Speaker 2: that are really really solid, more art house films. Right,

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Speaker 2: There's maybe not a lot of really big mainstream hits

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Speaker 2: amongst the list of ten films, and so it reminds

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Speaker 2: me a little bit of the year that Green Book won,

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Speaker 2: where it seemed like it was a very a very

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Speaker 2: even even field and there was no obvious contenders here.

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Speaker 2: It's a bit like that this year. I'll run through. First,

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Speaker 2: the film's in contention for Best Picture. You've got Anora,

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Speaker 2: Sean Baker's indie film, which is a great film. I

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Speaker 2: personally maybe didn't like it as much as some people,

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Speaker 2: but it's it's a very good film that is the

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Speaker 2: favorite for Best Picture at this point in time, didn't

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Speaker 2: she Yeah, Mikey Mikey Addison, the lead actress for Anora,

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Speaker 2: won the bat that she's won some other awards this

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Speaker 2: award season, as well as Sean Baker the director, he'll

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Speaker 2: be He's probably in a two horse race for Best Director.

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Speaker 2: Then its main rival is Ray Fines in Conclave, which

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Speaker 2: is a really really great thriller drama about what happens

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Speaker 2: after the Pope diesty time. Oh yeah, if that's still

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Speaker 2: not in cinemas and put it back on. It's a

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Speaker 2: really really great film, and that's probably second, I think

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Speaker 2: in the favoritism, and that'll also it's also represented in

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Speaker 2: Refines up for Best Actor, and there's Best Adapted Screenplay.

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Speaker 2: I think it is an absolute Locke dead set certainty

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Speaker 2: to win Best Adapted Screenplay. Amelia Perez is one of

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Speaker 2: the most interesting films this award season. At one point

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Speaker 2: it was by far the favorite to take home the

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Speaker 2: most Oscars. It's got the most nominations with thirteen leads

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Speaker 2: the field, but it has been mired in controversy.

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Speaker 1: I think that's affected it just alaly took a turn

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Speaker 1: from the first couple of awards ceremonies to the last couple.

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Speaker 2: Yea, the vibes around Amelia Perez have changed more than

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Speaker 2: I think any film I can remember in living memory

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Speaker 2: as the award season has process. At the start, the

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Speaker 2: vibes were immaculate. It was set to clean up and

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Speaker 2: it certainly was winning big at all of those early

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Speaker 2: awards ceremonies.

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Speaker 1: And it's controversy is it star making some.

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Speaker 2: Yep, so start as a trans woman who posted some

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Speaker 2: sort of historic tweets that now you look at them

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Speaker 2: and you go, it's just a bit racist, you know,

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Speaker 2: some racist tweets really, which is kind of a weird

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Speaker 2: thing for a Spanish trans woman to be, you know,

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Speaker 2: to be kind of like posting that type of stuff

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Speaker 2: I expected, and it had gone from a film that

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Speaker 2: maybe the sort of the bit lefty liberal arts community

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Speaker 2: and voters in Hollywood looked at Amelia Perez's here's a

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Speaker 2: Chance to kind of, you know, put the middle finger

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Speaker 2: up to you know, some political things happening in America.

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Speaker 2: But now all of those people have jumped off the

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Speaker 2: bat because of the racism, and so now that is

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Speaker 2: going to hurt it. Like Carla Gasson was the favorite

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Speaker 2: to win Best Best Actress, she now has zero chance

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Speaker 2: and zero chance at that. But the question is will

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Speaker 2: it hurt the film in particular Zoe Saldana, who's up

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Speaker 2: for Best Supporting Actress. She is just an overwhelming favorite

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Speaker 2: to win that award, But will she be She just

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Speaker 2: wanted to say so. I feel like voters maybe will

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Speaker 2: not hold it against her, which they really shouldn't. They

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Speaker 2: really should hold it against But the controversy happened just

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Speaker 2: as voting started. Yea, the timing is just terrible. Then

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Speaker 2: you've got The Brutalist, which is a film that was

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Speaker 2: brutally long. It was three and a half hours long,

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Speaker 2: but it's amazing film starring Adrian Brody. He is by

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Speaker 2: far the favorite to win.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, that's right. That's maybe added a little bit of.

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Speaker 2: Intrigue to the Best Actor category because it looked like

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Speaker 2: Adrian Brody was a sure thing timidate. Schalo May for

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Speaker 2: playing Bob Dylan in a complete unknown one The Sag,

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Speaker 2: which is not a bad not a bad predictor for

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Speaker 2: the Oscars. He came out of nowhere to make it

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Speaker 2: at least a two horse race. I feel like I

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Speaker 2: feel like Brody still got the still got the edge

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Speaker 2: there because his performance is just just phenomenal in that

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Speaker 2: film and also was on screen for three and a

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Speaker 2: half hours.

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Speaker 1: I want to give you an Oscar sitting through it

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Speaker 1: about taking.

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Speaker 2: If he had a fifteen minute toilet break in the middle,

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Speaker 2: that's incredible. And then you've got Wicked, and so that is,

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Speaker 2: you know, sort of in the second tier of Oscar nominations.

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Speaker 2: It's got ten nominations along with Conclave. I feel like

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Speaker 2: this could be every year there's a film that gets

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Speaker 2: heaps of nominations and they end up just kind of

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Speaker 2: getting pipped at the post in every category. And I

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Speaker 2: think Wicked is going to be that film. It's up

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Speaker 2: for Best Picture. It won't win that, it'll do really

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Speaker 2: well in the technical category of you know, best set design,

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Speaker 2: best makeup, best costume, because in all of those things,

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Speaker 2: you know, it is phenomenal, phenomenal piece of work technically.

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Speaker 2: But I think you know, Ariana Grande up for you know,

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Speaker 2: sort of Best Supporting Actor. You know, she she's got

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Speaker 2: a chance the book he is like her, but I

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Speaker 2: don't think the voters will and so, you know, and

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Speaker 2: then you've got the substance an interesting film starting doing more,

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Speaker 2: which you know, she has a pretty good chance at

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Speaker 2: Best Actress. I think it's between this is a coin

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Speaker 2: toss between between Demi Moore and Mikey Madison. I think,

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Speaker 2: you know, Demi Moore has won pretty much everything and

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Speaker 2: Mikey Madison's wont to cut couple of Key awards though,

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Speaker 2: So it's how you weigh up the relative importance of

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Speaker 2: those things. Fernanda Torres is another, you know, another sort

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Speaker 2: of a ruffy in this race as well. So she

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Speaker 2: was from a film I'm Still Here's kind of a

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Speaker 2: Brazilian biographical drama about a political political activist who goes missing.

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Speaker 2: Her performance in that film is phenomenal and she has

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Speaker 2: won a couple of Key awards as well.

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Speaker 1: So set up beautiful.

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Speaker 2: So it's between those three and if any any of

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Speaker 2: the three win, I don't think anybody would complain about it.

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Speaker 2: In terms of one that you can already you know,

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Speaker 2: pencil it in that's already been engraved on the bottom

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Speaker 2: of the statuette. Kieran Culkin, who played Roman Roy in Succession.

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Speaker 2: He is beyond a favorite of winning Best Supporting Actors.

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Speaker 1: Gummer of a year for Guy Peers to be unfair actor.

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Speaker 2: It's so unfair. Guy Peers is amazing in The Brutalist,

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Speaker 2: and Jeremy Strong is amazing in Their Princess. Edward Norton

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Speaker 2: is amazing in a Complete Unknown. So there's some really

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Speaker 2: great performances. But Kieran Culkin in a Real Pain, directed

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Speaker 2: and written by Jesse eisen Berg, who also stars in

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Speaker 2: the film. Did you see Karen Colkin's acceptance speech at

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Speaker 2: the Sex He is Roman Roy, and I think him

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Speaker 2: his acceptance speech could be the highlight of the whole thing.

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Speaker 1: You said to him six years ago, You're going to

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Speaker 1: be a shoe in from Oscar.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, amazing, and so that's certainty. So that's basically all

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Speaker 2: of the major awards, and I think some of the

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Speaker 2: others will be split. It's going to be hosted by

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Speaker 2: Conan O'Brien like a big star started array of presenters.

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Speaker 2: On the night, you will see a performance by Ariana

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Speaker 2: Grande and Cynthia Aruvco from Wicked, and they're going to

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Speaker 2: use them in the in the in the show somehow.

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Speaker 2: They're not quite revealing how they're going to use them

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Speaker 2: in the broadcast, but look out for that, Wicked fans.

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Speaker 2: And the only other thing that I will say is

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Speaker 2: the in memoriam is always a huge and someone always

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Speaker 2: gets the kind of final lingering shot in Memoriam. Who

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Speaker 2: all the people who died in twenty twenty four, and

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Speaker 2: so who do you think it's going to be. We've

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Speaker 2: got Maggie Smith, We've got David Lynch, Luke go so junior,

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Speaker 2: so we've got Oscar winnersly Maggie Smith was late Donald

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Speaker 2: Sutherland also, So there's some really really really amazing, amazing

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Speaker 2: acclaimed actors who we lost in twenty twenty four, so

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Speaker 2: we'll remember those. That'll be a bit of a tear jerker. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: absolutely right, Thanks guys. And Channel seven or seven plus

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Speaker 2: on Monday morning, so weekend's.

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Speaker 1: About eight o'clock. Our time for the you can thank you,

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Speaker 1: Thank you guys. We'll get the popcorn. Thanks Bert,