1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,640 Speaker 1: Major overhaul has been announced for the Reserve Bank and 2 00:00:03,760 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: to tell us exactly what it all means. Michelle Maynard 3 00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 1: from the Carbon Group. Hello, Michelle, Michelle right, coming to 4 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 1: our rescue to explain to us. This is an interesting 5 00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: way Clayman's terms. What exactly is the overhaul? 6 00:00:17,720 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, so basically the Reserve Bank, we all know it's 7 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 2: our friend, we love them. Every month they meet and 8 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 2: they set the monetary policy, which basically for most everyday 9 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:29,640 Speaker 2: people is interest rates. That's what they do. But we 10 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 2: know over the past twelve months they haven't really done 11 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 2: what they said they were going to do, which was 12 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:38,559 Speaker 2: not touched interest rates until twenty twenty four. So what 13 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 2: they're doing is they're splitting out a separate monetary policy board, 14 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 2: which means that we only eight people who are going 15 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 2: to be setting interest rates and what the government does 16 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 2: in terms of monetary policy, and they're going to be 17 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 2: changing how they do that. So the hope is not 18 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 2: that it's going to bring interest rates down, because that 19 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 2: might not be the effect, but it means that we're 20 00:00:57,320 --> 00:00:59,640 Speaker 2: going to be able to understand what they do better. 21 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 3: Is this a real kick in the teeth of Philip 22 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 3: Lohan's team, you know, because it's not a vote of 23 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:06,880 Speaker 3: confidence in them, is it. 24 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:09,759 Speaker 2: Well, if somebody else was brought in to do your job, 25 00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:12,600 Speaker 2: you probably didn't think you were doing it that well. 26 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 2: And that's basically what this is about. Is he said 27 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:16,479 Speaker 2: interest rates weren't going to go up into a twenty 28 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:18,960 Speaker 2: twenty four, and we've had ten in a row. And 29 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 2: so with this new board, they're only going to meet 30 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:23,640 Speaker 2: eight times a year, so once every six weeks. So 31 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:25,480 Speaker 2: we're going to have to set our clocks a little 32 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:27,959 Speaker 2: bit differently to when we watch for that announcement. But 33 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 2: rather than being a one page press release after this 34 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 2: meeting to say why they've made a decision, the board 35 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:35,960 Speaker 2: is actually going to have to front a media conference 36 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 2: and answer questions and also disclose who voted for the 37 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 2: interest rate rise and who didn't. So it's going to 38 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 2: be really interesting because we're going to be able to 39 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 2: rather just lump blame on one person, good old Fiel, 40 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 2: We're going to see everybody there and understand what I understand, 41 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:53,920 Speaker 2: the reasons why they're making the decisions they're making. 42 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 1: Rather than just telling us decisions being made. I guess 43 00:01:56,720 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: most people with the Mortgage's question is what does this 44 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 1: just essentially mean for me? 45 00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 2: What I'm really happy about with is and it doesn't 46 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 2: come into effect until twenty twenty four, so we've got 47 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 2: some time. Yesterday I got another letter from my bank 48 00:02:09,520 --> 00:02:11,360 Speaker 2: to say that my interest rate was going up again, 49 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 2: and the last time the Reserve Bank made that decision 50 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:17,959 Speaker 2: was two months ago. So by getting this at once 51 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 2: every six weeks, not once every four, it's going to 52 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 2: do two things. One's going to allow the economy to 53 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 2: feel the effects of that a little bit more so 54 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 2: we're going to be able to understand. But also for 55 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 2: mortgage told us, it's going to allow us to feel 56 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 2: the effects and get prepared and not get these letters 57 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:34,320 Speaker 2: months after the decision because the banks are trying to 58 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:34,960 Speaker 2: play catch up. 59 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, I found that I'm getting I'm getting the letter 60 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 1: before the other one that went you know that changed 61 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 1: last time has even gone into effects. 62 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 3: They've changed. 63 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,280 Speaker 1: Your mouth's coming out getting a letter saying there's more 64 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:48,919 Speaker 1: and I'm totally confused. 65 00:02:49,320 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 2: I mean, it's selling the letters. I'm sure that would 66 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 2: take millions out of the economy in terms of posting anyway, 67 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 2: So that you know, I know that really a great idea. 68 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:00,240 Speaker 3: I'm a little bit baffled. Boy, there's one now with 69 00:03:00,280 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 3: Elbow and Jim Charmers. And why didn't this happen with 70 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 3: Hawk competing in eighty nine when the interest rates are 71 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 3: over seven night percent? What's changed? 72 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 2: Well, Clery, I was four in nineteen eighty nine. I'm 73 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:12,360 Speaker 2: tali is sure what happened back then? Mate, we didn't get. 74 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:15,160 Speaker 1: I'm doing. 75 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 2: But I think I think it's a long long time coming. 76 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 2: Definitely a long time coming, and it's got bipartisan support 77 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:25,640 Speaker 2: to which is what I love is that the government 78 00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:27,760 Speaker 2: is looking at these not from a political perspect there, 79 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 2: but both sides are getting on board to make these 80 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:33,239 Speaker 2: changes in printable. Once obviously the legislation goes to government, 81 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:35,440 Speaker 2: we'll see what they fight out over then after that, Yeah. 82 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 3: Gotcha, Michelle. 83 00:03:36,080 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 1: All this aside, where do you think interest rates will 84 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: go for the rest of the year. 85 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 2: Well, interestingly, a couple of the majors have quietly, quietly 86 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 2: dropped their long term fixed interest rates, and what that 87 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:47,640 Speaker 2: normally means is they think interest rates are going to 88 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 2: be coming down. So look, I think there may be one, 89 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 2: possibly two more upwards rate rises for this year, depending 90 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 2: on how inflation goes and then by the end of 91 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 2: the year we should hopefully start seeing them come back 92 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 2: be on again. 93 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 1: Right, all right, Michelle, Two board meetings, all right, fantastic, 94 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 1: Always lovely to talk to you and get a little 95 00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 1: splaining Michelle's plaining. 96 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 3: Have a great, great date, and my favorite line on 97 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:18,720 Speaker 3: the show this week clazy always four and sorry guys. 98 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 2: Great