1 00:00:00,640 --> 00:00:00,960 Speaker 1: Hello. 2 00:00:01,520 --> 00:00:05,000 Speaker 2: My name's Santasha Nabananga Bamblet. I'm a proud yr the 3 00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 2: Order Kerni Whalbury and a waddery woman. And before we 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 2: get started on She's on the Money podcast, I would 5 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 2: like to acknowledge the traditional custodians of the land of 6 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:18,640 Speaker 2: which this podcast is recorded on a wondery country, acknowledging 7 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 2: the elders, the ancestors and the next generation coming through 8 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:27,120 Speaker 2: as this podcast is about connecting, empowering, knowledge sharing and 9 00:00:27,200 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 2: the storytelling of you to make a difference for today 10 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:32,599 Speaker 2: and lasting impact for tomorrow. 11 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 1: Let's get into it. 12 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:54,080 Speaker 3: She's on the Money, She's on the Money. 13 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:01,959 Speaker 4: Hello, and welcome to Money, the Podcast for millennials who 14 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 4: want financial freedom. My name is Georgia King, and joining 15 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:08,479 Speaker 4: me as she does each and every week, is Victoria 16 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:09,040 Speaker 4: Divine V. 17 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:12,559 Speaker 1: How are we you, lucky duck? I am so good because, 18 00:01:12,600 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 1: to be really honest, we are recording two episodes this week. 19 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:18,039 Speaker 1: We just did one, we had a lunch break and 20 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 1: now we're doing this one, which I'm really excited about. 21 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:23,640 Speaker 1: But I'm really good because we just had a like 22 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:28,600 Speaker 1: panco crusted egg plant barn me mouth ordering. If you've 23 00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:30,480 Speaker 1: never had that you're missing out. 24 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 4: You are missing out, So we're feeling energized, is what 25 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 4: we're challenging. 26 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:36,639 Speaker 1: We are so ready to talk about shares and EBIT 27 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 1: ratings and what a PE ratio is. But let's go 28 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: back to the investment series that we did a couple 29 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 1: of months ago. Was ages ago. I feel like it 30 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 1: was only two months ago, but I feel like it 31 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 1: would have been like six months ago. But in saying that, 32 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 1: we do lots of investing contents, so I'm not surprised 33 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 1: that I'm confused. But we looked at the difference between 34 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:54,600 Speaker 1: different types of investing platforms, and I feel like that 35 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:57,080 Speaker 1: would be a really good precursor to today. Right, So if 36 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 1: you haven't listened to that episode, I would recommend going 37 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:01,480 Speaker 1: back and having a listen to that because I feel 38 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 1: like this is the next level. We're not talking about 39 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: ETFs or managed funds or different product We're actually talking 40 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:10,360 Speaker 1: about what it means to assess an individual company. And 41 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 1: I get asked this all the time, like how do 42 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:14,079 Speaker 1: I look at a share that I'm going to buy? 43 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:15,959 Speaker 1: And it's like, okay, well, if you've gotten to the 44 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:18,360 Speaker 1: point where you've done your risk profile and you've worked 45 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:21,400 Speaker 1: out what you want to invest in, and that investment 46 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 1: strategy includes individual shares. How do you pick it? 47 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 2: Like? 48 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 1: What happens if you log onto shares is and you're 49 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:30,400 Speaker 1: trying to pick shares? Like, how do you do that? 50 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 1: So that's what this is about today. If you're new 51 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 1: to being a shared trader, you might be like WHOA well, 52 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,079 Speaker 1: hold back, like, this is not my thing. We did 53 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:39,680 Speaker 1: do a four part investment series which I would absolutely 54 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:42,119 Speaker 1: recommend you go back to. But we're at a point 55 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:44,400 Speaker 1: in life, Gee, where the community is saying, vee, we 56 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:47,240 Speaker 1: really want to know more about how to individually value 57 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:50,119 Speaker 1: stock and value a company, and that's what this episode 58 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:53,080 Speaker 1: is all about. Now we're in a bear market, terrifying 59 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 1: but also really normal, Like the investment world and the 60 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 1: investment markets have cycles, and we're going through them. We've 61 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:03,399 Speaker 1: sen this time and time again. Gee, We've been through 62 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:05,919 Speaker 1: market corrections, We've been through bear markets, and we've been 63 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 1: through recessions before. It's not new. It's just so scary 64 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: that I think people tend to jump up and down 65 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:15,520 Speaker 1: a little bit more than they need to, which puts 66 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 1: you in a position where consumers and us like basically 67 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:21,079 Speaker 1: people who use the stock market to buy and sell trades, 68 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 1: we lose a bit of confidence. So I think now 69 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:25,639 Speaker 1: is a really good time to start honing in and 70 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:28,079 Speaker 1: focusing on it and going, yeah, you're right. The media 71 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 1: is jumping up and down and making us really scared. 72 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 1: But is this a bad thing? No, because shares could 73 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 1: be on sale, you could get a really good deal. 74 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 1: It could be a good time for you to start 75 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 1: your investment journey if you haven't before. So today we're 76 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 1: talking about tips and tricks that day traders use, not 77 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 1: necessarily tips and tricks I want you to necessarily use 78 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 1: because you might turn around g and go all right, well, actually, 79 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 1: after all that, that sounds like a lot of responsibility. 80 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 1: I actually just want to go buy an ETF or 81 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 1: I want to go and sign up to six Park 82 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 1: and have a robo advice platform because that aligns to 83 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 1: my values. But I use these tips every single day 84 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 1: when I am picking client portfolios, because I think a 85 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 1: good precursor to this is I am not just a 86 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: financial advisor. I am a direct share financial advisor, which 87 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 1: not all financial advisors are. It's not a flex it's 88 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:16,280 Speaker 1: just part of your job of what you focus on 89 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 1: so my focus with my clients is often about creating 90 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:23,560 Speaker 1: comprehensive investment portfolios made up of direct shares that I 91 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 1: then manage on their behalf. So a lot of my 92 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:29,160 Speaker 1: clients don't have ETFs or managed funds. They actually have 93 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 1: direct shares, and we have a platform of maybe eight 94 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:35,480 Speaker 1: to twelve different shares at any point in time. And 95 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 1: I usually deal with I guess you could say high 96 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:40,720 Speaker 1: net wealth individuals, and I say that right here, G 97 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:42,680 Speaker 1: not so I can go, hey, G, I work with 98 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: really rich people, Like, that's not it at all. I 99 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 1: say that because did you hear the number I said before? 100 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 1: Eight to twelve individual shares. That's what people with a 101 00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:56,040 Speaker 1: million dollar portfolio have. They're not picking thousands of companies. 102 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:58,720 Speaker 1: They're not picking hundreds of companies. They are making sure 103 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 1: they have good diversification across the portfolio that makes sense 104 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,680 Speaker 1: to them. But I don't think it's as comprehensive as 105 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:07,040 Speaker 1: people think it's going to be, because I think if 106 00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 1: I put up a pole, I really should have done this. 107 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: Maybe we'll do this another time. But if I put 108 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:13,159 Speaker 1: up a pole on cheese on the money and said 109 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:16,200 Speaker 1: how many different shares do you think someone with a 110 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,359 Speaker 1: million dollar portfolio would hold. I guarantee you people be 111 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:22,120 Speaker 1: like fifty one, one hundred and fifty because that's what 112 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:25,279 Speaker 1: they think diversification entails, when it's not actually the case. 113 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:28,120 Speaker 1: So I say this because I use these tips and tricks, 114 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 1: but I also say this as a hey, you can 115 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:33,440 Speaker 1: go and be an individual share trader. These are some 116 00:05:33,520 --> 00:05:35,520 Speaker 1: tips and tricks that might help you along the way, 117 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:39,040 Speaker 1: but it doesn't necessarily mean you'll get instant diversification because 118 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 1: to get good diversification you actually have to have a 119 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 1: fair bit of money behind it if you're picking. So 120 00:05:44,320 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: I think that's enough disclaimery. 121 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 4: Stuff's good, that's good. 122 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 2: Yeah. 123 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 4: I definitely am one of the people that would have 124 00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:50,360 Speaker 4: said fifty. 125 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:52,720 Speaker 1: To eighty because it makes sense, right, because I think 126 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:55,719 Speaker 1: if we look at ETFs and managed funds, and when 127 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:59,039 Speaker 1: we talk about funds and indexes, I'll say things like, oh, yeah, gee, 128 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:01,040 Speaker 1: the S and P three and you'll be like, oh, 129 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:04,200 Speaker 1: that makes sense, that's the three hundred top companies. But 130 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 1: when you get into the nitty gritty of it, a 131 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 1: lot of more high net wealth clients actually have less 132 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:12,720 Speaker 1: shares but more of them, And it just depends on 133 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:16,120 Speaker 1: what they are, they're usually more blue chip stocks, So 134 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 1: we're not talking about buying an after pay here. We're 135 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:21,040 Speaker 1: talking about buying one of the big four banks, and 136 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: they're usually high dividend, so good dividend paying shares that 137 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,840 Speaker 1: don't have massive amounts of growth. Because if you're at 138 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 1: that point where you have a million dollars in an 139 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:35,360 Speaker 1: investment portfolio, it's very likely that your tenacity to take 140 00:06:35,400 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 1: on risk is very low because you don't want to 141 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:40,839 Speaker 1: lose what you already have. It's about maintaining capital stability 142 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 1: and about keeping cash in the bank, even if it 143 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: means you're not chasing those you know, sexy twenty percent 144 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:49,279 Speaker 1: returns that some people are getting. My client's usually like 145 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:52,280 Speaker 1: the the AM's five percent, Like that's that's what it is, 146 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:55,279 Speaker 1: because we want to stay rich, like we don't want 147 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:58,000 Speaker 1: to put that wealth at risk. So yeah, that's where 148 00:06:58,000 --> 00:06:59,440 Speaker 1: we're at today, and I feel like it could get 149 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 1: a little bit complex, and I do apologize, and I'll 150 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 1: try my best. 151 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 4: As always, we'll explain it, we'll break it down on 152 00:07:05,680 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 4: the complex note fee, there are a lot of acronyms 153 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 4: in today's episode. You just said S and P three 154 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 4: hundred you said ETF at the top you were like 155 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 4: EP trader or something like that, pe ratio. That's what 156 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 4: I meant to say, Why so many acronyms, Because. 157 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:23,360 Speaker 1: Gee, there's a technical reason and the reason I believe 158 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 1: it exists. So we'll start with the reason I believe 159 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:28,679 Speaker 1: that exists. And I believe that exists because mediocre, middle 160 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:31,160 Speaker 1: aged white men want to make it seem more confusing 161 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 1: for young women to get into the investment market. Or 162 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 1: did you see the S and P five hundred today 163 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 1: It's at one point six percent, which is today great, 164 00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 1: But like then if I said to you, well, actually 165 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:45,559 Speaker 1: that is unnecessary, Like we just don't need this added 166 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:49,679 Speaker 1: level of complexity. Let's shorten it. SMP means the Standard 167 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 1: and Pause and it's literally just the five hundred top 168 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 1: tracking companies in the American market as listed on the 169 00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 1: US Exchange, and it's just tracking the average EBB and 170 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 1: flow of that. And the SMP five hundred is used 171 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 1: as a very normal index in our industry of how 172 00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:08,920 Speaker 1: the market's performing, because like, what are the top five 173 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:11,720 Speaker 1: hundred companies doing? Like if it's up one percent, you're like, oh, 174 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 1: that's like one percent across five hundred companies. That must 175 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 1: mean there's something pretty okay going on in the market. 176 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 1: If it was down ten percent, you'd be like, wow, 177 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:21,920 Speaker 1: what's happening in the industry kind of vibes. So I 178 00:08:21,960 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 1: feel like there's a lot of confusing acronyms, and as 179 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 1: you know, I try to steer away from them because 180 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 1: it's just not necessary, Like I don't need to use 181 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,200 Speaker 1: an acronym to make myself seem smarter so that you 182 00:08:33,240 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 1: don't feel educated. But it's important for you to be 183 00:08:36,760 --> 00:08:38,960 Speaker 1: educated and know what these things are and when they're 184 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:41,160 Speaker 1: used and how they're used. And ebit is one of 185 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 1: those things where I'm like, look, this is just what 186 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:44,520 Speaker 1: it's going to be called on a balance sheet. So 187 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:46,600 Speaker 1: if you're at a point in your investing journey where 188 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 1: you're like, I'm gonna invest in individual shares, cool, You're 189 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 1: probably gonna look at an annual report from a company 190 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:54,360 Speaker 1: and ebit will be on it. So I need you 191 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:56,080 Speaker 1: to know what to look out for. But I also 192 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 1: don't want you to think that they exist to make 193 00:08:58,040 --> 00:09:01,959 Speaker 1: you feel overwhelmed or confused us because how many times 194 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:04,280 Speaker 1: I don't know about you, but I was on Tinder 195 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:06,800 Speaker 1: before I met Steve and the amount of people that 196 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:08,839 Speaker 1: I would meet that would try and be like, oh, 197 00:09:08,960 --> 00:09:11,960 Speaker 1: I'm an investor. I'm maybe it's more of a reflection 198 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 1: of the type of guy. I go, yeah, maybe Steve's 199 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 1: not like that. It's okay, bank time. He's a different kind. 200 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:20,840 Speaker 1: But like the banker types would always like use complex 201 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:23,240 Speaker 1: terminology and I'd be like, do you know what I 202 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 1: do as a job? 203 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:24,319 Speaker 2: No? 204 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:25,400 Speaker 1: Okay, no problems. 205 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 4: Yeah. I think it's a signal of a smarter person 206 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:31,959 Speaker 4: to use simpler language that's much more accessible. But you 207 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 4: always talk about starting a journey of investment when you're 208 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 4: ready for it and not being influenced by other factors, 209 00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:39,679 Speaker 4: not trying to time the market and so on. Why 210 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 4: should I value shares before I buy them and not 211 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:44,680 Speaker 4: just jump in if I feel like I'm ready or 212 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:45,720 Speaker 4: if the prices are down. 213 00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:48,560 Speaker 1: Because as much as we can't time the market, and 214 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 1: we shouldn't be trying to toe the market because again 215 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:53,480 Speaker 1: I'd be really really rich, we don't want to be 216 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:56,680 Speaker 1: overpaying for shares that are driven by hype. We don't 217 00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:59,320 Speaker 1: want to be in a situation where you're ready to 218 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:00,920 Speaker 1: invest in your like you know what I want to 219 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:02,880 Speaker 1: do I want to get some blue chip shares G. 220 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 1: And when I say blue chip, blue chip shares are 221 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:09,439 Speaker 1: companies that are really well known and highly respected, so 222 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:13,120 Speaker 1: it's by customers and the market and business analysts. We're 223 00:10:13,160 --> 00:10:16,440 Speaker 1: not talking businesses that have just come out of nowhere. 224 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:19,840 Speaker 1: We're talking about those tried, true resources. We're talking about 225 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:22,840 Speaker 1: the big four banks G. We're talking about you know, 226 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:26,600 Speaker 1: things like Macquarie and West Farmers, businesses that have been 227 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 1: in the Australian economy for a really long time. They 228 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 1: might not be shares that are completely outperforming the market, 229 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 1: but they're are tried and true and steady, like Telstra 230 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 1: is another blue chip stock. And the reason we say 231 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 1: that these are blue chip stocks is one because they 232 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:46,079 Speaker 1: are literally just well known companies respected have good businesses 233 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:49,400 Speaker 1: behind them. Blue Chip is a term used in the 234 00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:53,200 Speaker 1: financial services industry as a term that's kind of perceived 235 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 1: as being safe havens due to their stability during times 236 00:10:57,120 --> 00:10:59,720 Speaker 1: like now where you know, the markets might not be 237 00:10:59,720 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 1: doing well. So those fancy tech stocks people are going 238 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 1: to sell up. But West Farmers, what do they own? 239 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 1: Their own Bunnings and they own Kmart and Target and 240 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 1: those are all things that people still need during times 241 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:15,640 Speaker 1: of economic downturn, banks, people still need Woolworths, people still 242 00:11:15,679 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 1: need to go to the supermarket. So these are shares 243 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:20,840 Speaker 1: that are going to perform. I mean, they might be down, 244 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:24,160 Speaker 1: but they're going to still exist because they're basic human 245 00:11:24,240 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 1: needs at the end of the day. So you'll often 246 00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 1: see a lot more fluctuation in shares, like again, fancy 247 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:32,400 Speaker 1: tech stocks, where if people have money and they have 248 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 1: a lot of confidence, they're like, oh, I'm buying all 249 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:37,439 Speaker 1: these after pay shares where are second the market turns, 250 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:40,439 Speaker 1: they're like, oh, better pull back on that, Whereas people 251 00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:42,600 Speaker 1: are less likely to pull back on a Woolworths share 252 00:11:42,600 --> 00:11:46,600 Speaker 1: because they're like, oh, pandemic toilet paper sales throw the roof. 253 00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:47,640 Speaker 1: Does that make sense? 254 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, gotcha. So would you say it's like the 255 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 4: best way to value a company's worth. 256 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 1: Toilet paper they sell. 257 00:11:56,600 --> 00:11:58,959 Speaker 4: No, would it be to compare it to a company 258 00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:01,080 Speaker 4: that's similar and see how their stock is. 259 00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:03,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, you absolutely can. And that's why I find it 260 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 1: so interesting talking about share prices, because the share prices 261 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:11,719 Speaker 1: across the big four banks are quite significantly different. You 262 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:14,760 Speaker 1: would assume big four bank right, very similar share price, 263 00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:17,000 Speaker 1: but that's actually not the case at all. So it's 264 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 1: not like comparing apples with apples where you go bank 265 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 1: good cheap. They all have different business structures behind them 266 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:28,199 Speaker 1: and performance analytics and dividend yields and performance that drives 267 00:12:28,240 --> 00:12:30,600 Speaker 1: their perception in the market as to what they're worth. 268 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:33,719 Speaker 1: So a good example of this is combank shares are 269 00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:37,280 Speaker 1: really expensive. So today as of recording combank shares and 270 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:40,040 Speaker 1: ninety one dollars and sixteen cents per share, you go, 271 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 1: all right, no problems. But that is going to be 272 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:45,440 Speaker 1: built up of you know, their historical data, how well 273 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:47,559 Speaker 1: they've done in the market. It's going to be built 274 00:12:47,640 --> 00:12:50,200 Speaker 1: up of what their dividend payart is, so how much 275 00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:52,440 Speaker 1: money you make from owning that share. It's going to 276 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 1: be made up of you know, consumer demand and how 277 00:12:54,720 --> 00:12:58,480 Speaker 1: much somebody wants that share and what their past performance was. 278 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:00,760 Speaker 1: So if I then said, well, it's a NAB share 279 00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:02,679 Speaker 1: worth George, what would you say? 280 00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:04,000 Speaker 4: You'd assume similar? 281 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:06,839 Speaker 1: Right, So a NAB share is twenty seven dollars fifty 282 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 1: eight much cheaper exactly. So are we saying that one 283 00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 1: bank's better than the other? 284 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:12,240 Speaker 2: No? 285 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 1: Do they both have the government guarantee of two hundred 286 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:18,320 Speaker 1: and fifty thousand dollars for everybody. Yes, they do. Do 287 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:21,800 Speaker 1: they all have similar business practices at the crux of it, 288 00:13:21,880 --> 00:13:25,240 Speaker 1: yes and no, But they all have different marketing strategies 289 00:13:25,320 --> 00:13:28,560 Speaker 1: like banks now are bringing out different after pay options 290 00:13:28,640 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 1: or buy now pay later options. Banks are doing different things. 291 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:34,320 Speaker 1: They all are different businesses. So you can't just go 292 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:37,040 Speaker 1: bank compared with bank and assume that that's going to 293 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:40,440 Speaker 1: be like a good deal, because if you look at it, go, 294 00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:43,880 Speaker 1: oh my gosh, Well, if combank shares are ninety one dollars, 295 00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:47,440 Speaker 1: it's a money win to buy NAB shares. Past performance 296 00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 1: over the last five years for a NAB share is 297 00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:53,240 Speaker 1: actually down seven point four percent. You go, okay, no problems. 298 00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 1: Well what does that compare to this ninety one dollar 299 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:58,960 Speaker 1: one This one's so much more expensive. Past performance on 300 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:01,800 Speaker 1: a combank share If today it is ninety one dollars 301 00:14:01,840 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: and nine cents, past performance actually up ten point nine 302 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:08,640 Speaker 1: two percent. Oh wow. So you go, all right, this 303 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 1: clearly isn't apples with apples. When we start to get 304 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:12,960 Speaker 1: into it, and I'm not saying this to confuse you, 305 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:15,120 Speaker 1: I just don't want you lumping all banks in with 306 00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:17,320 Speaker 1: one and going, oh, they must be equal. I've got 307 00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 1: a bank, because it actually becomes a little bit more 308 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:22,480 Speaker 1: finicky than that. And we're having this conversation off air 309 00:14:22,560 --> 00:14:25,600 Speaker 1: right before we started recording, and we're talking about how 310 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 1: Combank shares over the last month have absolutely decreased, like 311 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:32,240 Speaker 1: they've gone over the last month down thirteen point five 312 00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 1: eight percent. And in the investment world, there's a lot 313 00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:38,680 Speaker 1: of conversation about whether it's worth adding to your portfolio 314 00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:40,760 Speaker 1: at the moment. So when I go and talk to 315 00:14:40,800 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 1: my stockbrokers, because as a financial advisor, I obviously pulled 316 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 1: together a portfolio for my clients, but a lot of 317 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:50,840 Speaker 1: that happens because I'm having back and forth conversations with 318 00:14:50,880 --> 00:14:54,320 Speaker 1: different stockbrokers and different research houses and understanding what that 319 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:56,760 Speaker 1: means and how to pull it together. And that seems 320 00:14:56,800 --> 00:14:59,240 Speaker 1: to be a common topic at the moment. What's going 321 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:01,040 Speaker 1: on with Combank? How does that work? Does that mean 322 00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:03,080 Speaker 1: we should be adding it, should we be selling some 323 00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 1: of it? What does that mean for clients? So I 324 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:07,320 Speaker 1: think it's interesting, Ge when you ask me a very 325 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 1: clean question of like, all right, will you do just 326 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,560 Speaker 1: compare it to a like business that makes sense yeah, 327 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 1: but unfortunately it's not as clean car as that. 328 00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:18,440 Speaker 4: So basic question from me be surprise, surprise, but I 329 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:20,400 Speaker 4: think it's probably a good place to start before we 330 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:23,680 Speaker 4: get into the thick of things. What's an undervalued share 331 00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:25,360 Speaker 4: versus an overvalued share? 332 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:28,600 Speaker 1: So, and this gets confusing because I'm going to talk 333 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:33,200 Speaker 1: about intrinsic and extrinsic value here. So an overvalued asset 334 00:15:33,280 --> 00:15:35,760 Speaker 1: is an investment that's trading for more money than what 335 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 1: its intrinsic value is. And an undervalued share is a 336 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:41,800 Speaker 1: financial term for referring to a security or any other 337 00:15:41,880 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 1: type of investment that's selling in a market for a 338 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:48,440 Speaker 1: price that's presumed to be below the investment's true intrinsic value. 339 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 1: So when we talk about intrinsic and extrinsic it's I 340 00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:56,120 Speaker 1: feel like these words get really complex, really quickly. So essentially, 341 00:15:56,200 --> 00:16:01,800 Speaker 1: intrinsic value is like the fundamental objective value of that object. Right, 342 00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:04,640 Speaker 1: So the intrinsic value of a one dollar coin, what 343 00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 1: is it? G one dollar? So if you paid a 344 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 1: dollar ten for a one dollar coin, are you undervaluing 345 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:15,240 Speaker 1: it or overvaluing it? Over over over over over. But 346 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 1: you're overvaluing it because you're paying more than what that 347 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:21,240 Speaker 1: value of that asset is. Same for a two dollar coin, right, 348 00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:23,280 Speaker 1: So a two dollar coin is worth two dollars. If 349 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 1: you want to paid two dollars fifty for that coin 350 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 1: to get it in your possession, you've paid more than 351 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:30,680 Speaker 1: what it's worth. Because when the market settles down, and 352 00:16:30,720 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 1: maybe I don't know, maybe you're a coin collector and 353 00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 1: you will want to jump down my throat. But this 354 00:16:34,120 --> 00:16:37,280 Speaker 1: was a good example. But when the market comes down 355 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:39,800 Speaker 1: and there's heaps of two dollars coins out there, it's 356 00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 1: not going to be worth two dollars fifty anymore. It's 357 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 1: going to go back to what it's genuinely worth. Right, 358 00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:48,640 Speaker 1: So fundamentally base value, it's base value. Fundamentally what is 359 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:53,040 Speaker 1: it worth? And fundamentals in the world of investment are 360 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:57,320 Speaker 1: really important to understand because they sit under market hype, 361 00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:00,840 Speaker 1: they sit under what's going on, and that's what investment 362 00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 1: advisors are looking for. So like I want in a 363 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 1: perfect world, right, I want a client to come to 364 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 1: me and be like they want to start an investment portfolio. 365 00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:09,720 Speaker 1: I've got this amount of money and I go shopping 366 00:17:09,760 --> 00:17:11,680 Speaker 1: for shares and I'm like, oh, my God, all these 367 00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:15,760 Speaker 1: companies are undervalued because they're Intrinsic value is telling me 368 00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:17,600 Speaker 1: I should be paying ten dollars a share for this, 369 00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:20,679 Speaker 1: but they're asking eight dollars a share. This is a 370 00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:23,480 Speaker 1: money win. So it's one of those things where it's 371 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 1: not as confusing so intrinsic value, it's that innate internal 372 00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:31,159 Speaker 1: value of just what that asset is worth. Does that 373 00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:31,680 Speaker 1: make sense? 374 00:17:31,720 --> 00:17:34,480 Speaker 4: It does make sense? And am I right in thinking? 375 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:39,040 Speaker 4: This is Warren Buffett's investing strategy. He buys the undervalued shares, 376 00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 4: who likes the underdog. 377 00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:43,959 Speaker 1: To contrast that, though, the opposite is called an extrinsic value, 378 00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:49,520 Speaker 1: So intrinsic internal, extrinsic external yep, and extrinsic value is 379 00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:52,280 Speaker 1: the difference between the market price of an option and 380 00:17:52,320 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 1: it's premium. So often if we're talking about the extrinsic 381 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:57,440 Speaker 1: value of a share, well, that's that two dollar coin 382 00:17:57,520 --> 00:18:00,240 Speaker 1: that was once touched by Taylor Swift. So therefore you 383 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:02,639 Speaker 1: guys are paying two dollars fifty for it. Is that 384 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:05,200 Speaker 1: asset actually worth two dollars or is it worth two 385 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:08,120 Speaker 1: dollars fifty? Probably two dollars, But you're willing to pay 386 00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:10,600 Speaker 1: a premium. Take t swift, she touched it. 387 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:13,920 Speaker 4: And more people want it, so the price is increased. 388 00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:14,800 Speaker 1: Does that make sense? 389 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:15,480 Speaker 4: Making sense? 390 00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:18,200 Speaker 1: Extrinsic value is how it's driven by the market, and 391 00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:21,919 Speaker 1: intrinsic value is its genuine, fundamental base price. 392 00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:26,639 Speaker 4: So is it always safe, then, to buy an undervalued stock. 393 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:28,199 Speaker 4: That sounds like the right way to go. 394 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 1: It sounds like a really good way Laaren's doing it. 395 00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:33,879 Speaker 1: But what makes it undervalued? So how do you actually 396 00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:35,800 Speaker 1: know that that's a good deal or not. You might go, 397 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:38,480 Speaker 1: all right, well, it's a blue chip stock, it's undervalued. 398 00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:40,960 Speaker 1: Oh what a money win, And then you find out 399 00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:44,399 Speaker 1: that you didn't know something that you needed to know 400 00:18:44,480 --> 00:18:46,920 Speaker 1: to make that decision, and you already purchased those shares. 401 00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:49,720 Speaker 1: For example, you might purchase shares and think it's a 402 00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:52,560 Speaker 1: great money win, but the market's been really slowing down 403 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: and you haven't known why. And then later an annual 404 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,639 Speaker 1: report comes out and that business has not performed as 405 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:00,359 Speaker 1: well as you thought it would. So it's intrinsic value 406 00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:02,879 Speaker 1: is not as much as you actually thought it would be. 407 00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:06,600 Speaker 1: So it might not actually be undervalued. It's been deemed 408 00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:10,399 Speaker 1: undervalued because of the research and information that's available about 409 00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:13,159 Speaker 1: it right now. Same thing happens when we find out 410 00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:16,880 Speaker 1: a company's done something really cheeky or naughty or abused 411 00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 1: the situation or made use of something they shouldn't have 412 00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 1: made use of. When it comes out, they go, well, 413 00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:24,720 Speaker 1: your intrinsic value is going to go down. Because intrinsic 414 00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:26,480 Speaker 1: value is made up of things like, you know, the 415 00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:28,840 Speaker 1: balance sheet and the profit and loss statement and all 416 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:32,879 Speaker 1: those financial things, but it's also like brand reputation. Yeah, Like, 417 00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:36,000 Speaker 1: if you look at Telstra, what's their brand reputation in 418 00:19:36,040 --> 00:19:38,840 Speaker 1: the industry for service they provide when you compare it 419 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:41,119 Speaker 1: to any other phone carrier, right, Like, there's a reason 420 00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,560 Speaker 1: their consumers are willing to pay more for that product. 421 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 1: And it's not just about coverage, Like, guys, it's twenty 422 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:49,640 Speaker 1: twenty two coverage not that hard to sort out anymore. 423 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 1: But people are still willing to pay more for that 424 00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:57,640 Speaker 1: service because they align it with quality. So intrinsic value 425 00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:01,439 Speaker 1: is obviously those fundamental things. You've also got to have 426 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 1: your hat on the right way and know that it's 427 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:07,920 Speaker 1: not just about the financial sometimes, gotcha, that makes sense. 428 00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:08,640 Speaker 4: It does make sense. 429 00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:11,280 Speaker 1: The ones would all just be buying Cole's home brand everything, 430 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:11,840 Speaker 1: wouldn't we. 431 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:14,920 Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly right? So on that, how do you actually 432 00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:17,560 Speaker 4: analyze the market though, Like, how do you know what's 433 00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 4: undervalued and what's overvalued? 434 00:20:19,280 --> 00:20:19,520 Speaker 2: Where? 435 00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:20,440 Speaker 4: Like where do we begin? 436 00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:23,359 Speaker 1: Are you ready? Are you ready? All right? So there's 437 00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:25,960 Speaker 1: two schools of thought on this when it comes down 438 00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:29,680 Speaker 1: to it. There's technical and fundamental analysis And what did 439 00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:34,840 Speaker 1: I teach you before? Fundamental is intrinsically valued nice and 440 00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:39,520 Speaker 1: technical sits more on the extrinsically valued side of things. Ah, 441 00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:43,760 Speaker 1: Investors and financial advisors and traders use both of these 442 00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:46,439 Speaker 1: to research and work out what stock price is. And 443 00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:49,600 Speaker 1: from my perspective as a financial advisor, I think that 444 00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:52,440 Speaker 1: they go hand in hand. But you will meet some 445 00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:56,479 Speaker 1: financial advisors or some investment advisors or some economists that 446 00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:59,080 Speaker 1: only subscribe to one of those schools of thought, and 447 00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:01,720 Speaker 1: they'll be like, we are look at fundamental or we 448 00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:05,520 Speaker 1: only like technical or whatever it is, because sometimes people 449 00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:08,080 Speaker 1: get really caught up in the semantics of it. Go figure, 450 00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:11,040 Speaker 1: So we've got the intrinsic and the extrinsic and it 451 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:12,919 Speaker 1: kind of goes back to when I was doing my 452 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:16,080 Speaker 1: psych degree, just way back when I feel like it 453 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,560 Speaker 1: was yesterday, the same time as being told that we've 454 00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:20,280 Speaker 1: got a ten year reunion coming up. 455 00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 4: So what. 456 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:26,640 Speaker 1: But we spoke a lot about qualitative versus quantitative measurement 457 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:29,600 Speaker 1: and the different ways that you can measure things. So 458 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 1: qualitative data is like that kind of more fluffier data gee, 459 00:21:34,320 --> 00:21:37,840 Speaker 1: So it's not necessarily a numerical value. Whereas if we 460 00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:42,959 Speaker 1: talked about quantitative quantity, like the number associated with it, 461 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:44,920 Speaker 1: so it might be, you know, a scale of one 462 00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 1: to five, where do you sit on this? Most people 463 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:51,720 Speaker 1: were three. It is very fact based, whereas quantitative is like, well, 464 00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:54,080 Speaker 1: how did the podcast make you feel? Or how did 465 00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:56,520 Speaker 1: this business make you feel? And then we collect a 466 00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:58,919 Speaker 1: whole heap of data and we actually just look for 467 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:02,639 Speaker 1: similarities in it. There's no hard and fast rule or 468 00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 1: number associated with it. So there's like the soft and 469 00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:08,399 Speaker 1: the hard, and from my perspective, we're making a good 470 00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:10,880 Speaker 1: investment decision. We need to take both of these things 471 00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:15,800 Speaker 1: into a consideration. Right, Because I'm quite vocal not online, 472 00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:18,879 Speaker 1: but just quite vocal in my everyday life about you know, 473 00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:21,439 Speaker 1: the importance of ethical fashion. So if we looked at 474 00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:24,920 Speaker 1: a company like Sheen, right, they at their crux of it, 475 00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:28,240 Speaker 1: they probably have really good financials. They probably are blowing 476 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,159 Speaker 1: it out of the water. They are a fast fashion 477 00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:32,600 Speaker 1: brand who have managed to capture a massive part of 478 00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:37,480 Speaker 1: the market. They are churning out shitloads of clothes and content, 479 00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:41,119 Speaker 1: and from their perspective, they're probably doing really well. Then 480 00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:43,320 Speaker 1: you look at the quality of data on that and 481 00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 1: you go, but they're abusing the system. They aren't doing 482 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,240 Speaker 1: the right thing when it comes to child labor, they 483 00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:50,359 Speaker 1: aren't doing the right thing when it comes to you know. 484 00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 4: The environment. 485 00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:51,679 Speaker 3: Yeah. 486 00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:54,280 Speaker 1: So for me to make a good decision as to 487 00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:58,240 Speaker 1: whether Geking on Tour should be buying that as a share, 488 00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:00,439 Speaker 1: I don't want to just look at their fine I 489 00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:02,400 Speaker 1: want to look at the holistic picture. And I think 490 00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:05,720 Speaker 1: that when it comes to looking at shares and putting 491 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,600 Speaker 1: something in your portfolio, I think everybody should be doing that, 492 00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 1: not just because of your values, but because values often 493 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:15,240 Speaker 1: drive economies, and I think that that should be really 494 00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:18,360 Speaker 1: taken into consideration. But that is my take. You might 495 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:20,520 Speaker 1: be like, V love Sheen and I'll be like, we're 496 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:22,359 Speaker 1: probably not friends, But that's. 497 00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 4: Okay, okay in terms of value something on Sheen. No, Yeah, 498 00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:29,600 Speaker 4: for good reasoning or not, you're a nagnata kind of gal. 499 00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:31,879 Speaker 4: I just can't see you buying fast fashion ge King, 500 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,639 Speaker 4: But I mean, I understand why people do, but I 501 00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,160 Speaker 4: think it's something that we're really turning away from as 502 00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,800 Speaker 4: a society, which is brilliant because it's. 503 00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:42,719 Speaker 1: A huge I agree, and I think that's maybe a 504 00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 1: really good point for me to just drop in there. 505 00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:48,760 Speaker 1: I'm not actually against fast fashion. I think that there 506 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,640 Speaker 1: is a place for it. I'm not actually against fast 507 00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:53,960 Speaker 1: fashion in the way you think that I might be, 508 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,919 Speaker 1: because I think that accessibility is really important, and I 509 00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,159 Speaker 1: think that if you're starting to crucify people just for 510 00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:03,199 Speaker 1: buying cheaply, there's something fundamentally wrong with our economy and 511 00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:06,800 Speaker 1: our system and our community. Like some people genuinely need 512 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:11,400 Speaker 1: access to clothing items that are at a kmart price point, 513 00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:12,960 Speaker 1: like at the end of the day, that is what 514 00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:15,400 Speaker 1: it is. And I think it's really beautiful that there 515 00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,119 Speaker 1: is a level of quality there that they can be 516 00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:20,320 Speaker 1: assured of so that they can get wear out of 517 00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:23,240 Speaker 1: clothes if that's you know, that's aligned to their budget. 518 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:26,919 Speaker 1: What I don't like is the consumerism behind fast fashion, 519 00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:28,639 Speaker 1: where it's like we're that top onees and throw it 520 00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:31,160 Speaker 1: away exactly. That's what we're crucifying when we talk about 521 00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:34,520 Speaker 1: fast fashion, not about companies who are selling cheap clothes. 522 00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:35,360 Speaker 1: Does that make sense? 523 00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:40,040 Speaker 4: Back to finance, So, yes, we've got fundamental analysis speed, 524 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:42,480 Speaker 4: and we've got technical analysis. Tell me a little bit 525 00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:43,720 Speaker 4: more about technical analysis. 526 00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:45,199 Speaker 1: I know you don't mean that. I know you're just 527 00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:47,520 Speaker 1: like looking at it. Going V mentioned this, I probably 528 00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 1: should follow up because people are interested. 529 00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:50,440 Speaker 4: On behalf of the listeners. 530 00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:53,879 Speaker 1: Thank you, you are so kind. So technical analysis is 531 00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:56,920 Speaker 1: all that like stats and algorithms that analyze the share 532 00:24:56,960 --> 00:25:00,240 Speaker 1: price movement over time to find out the underl lying 533 00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:03,320 Speaker 1: market trends or what we call market sentiment based on 534 00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 1: the number of people that are buying and selling that stock. 535 00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:07,840 Speaker 1: So you know, if it's really popular, it might be 536 00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:10,600 Speaker 1: worth more, not necessarily because the business is doing better, 537 00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:14,320 Speaker 1: but because everybody's talking about after pay. Does that make sense. 538 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:14,960 Speaker 4: Yeah. 539 00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:18,560 Speaker 1: So analysts then use stock charts to identify patterns which 540 00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 1: maybe will suggest future trends for stocks and shares and 541 00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:26,160 Speaker 1: stuff like that. Also clarify stock and share same thing. 542 00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,439 Speaker 1: I use them interchangeably. I much prefer the word share 543 00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:31,960 Speaker 1: only because I feel like it's a little bit more Australian, 544 00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:35,160 Speaker 1: whereas stock feels very stock. Mard Yeah, I just feel 545 00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:38,040 Speaker 1: like it's got like a mansplainy vibe to it. So 546 00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:41,280 Speaker 1: often shy away from it. But the core assumption is 547 00:25:41,320 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 1: that all known fundamentals from fundamental analysis are already factored 548 00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:47,960 Speaker 1: into price, and thus there's no need to pay close 549 00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,840 Speaker 1: attention to them. I don't particularly subscribe to that, you 550 00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:53,320 Speaker 1: know how I said before, some people will like poopoo 551 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:55,760 Speaker 1: fundamental and be like it's a waste of time. I 552 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:57,320 Speaker 1: just don't think it is. I just want to know 553 00:25:57,400 --> 00:25:59,000 Speaker 1: what's going on. I want to know when I'm getting 554 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:01,159 Speaker 1: a good deal. I want to genuinely be able to 555 00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,440 Speaker 1: explain that to my clients as well. I don't want 556 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:05,639 Speaker 1: to just say I know what I'm talking about, trust me, 557 00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:07,120 Speaker 1: Like it's just it's not enough for. 558 00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:09,399 Speaker 4: Me, okay, perfect, I feel like I grasp what a 559 00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:12,000 Speaker 4: technical analysis is. Thank you so much for me. I 560 00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:14,639 Speaker 4: think we should press pause here, go to a little break, 561 00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:16,639 Speaker 4: and then on the other side we are going to 562 00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:20,040 Speaker 4: dive into exactly how it can value stocks, How to 563 00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:21,040 Speaker 4: make sense of all is that. 564 00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:23,520 Speaker 1: About pe ratios? The pig ratio We're going to talk 565 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:26,160 Speaker 1: about the price book ratio, which is the PB ratio, 566 00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:28,480 Speaker 1: which is not a PB and jelly sandwich, which is 567 00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:30,040 Speaker 1: kind of disappointing. 568 00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:31,200 Speaker 4: A little bit, but there's so much fun to come. 569 00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:39,080 Speaker 4: Don't go anywhere, guys, All right, straight back into it. VD, 570 00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:41,840 Speaker 4: tell me how on earth do I begin it to 571 00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:44,320 Speaker 4: value a share? Seems overwhelmed, Okay. 572 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:47,080 Speaker 1: So let's strip it back. There are three different ways 573 00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:50,280 Speaker 1: that you're able to put a value or a relative 574 00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:53,480 Speaker 1: value on a share. So the first is the PE ratio, 575 00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:57,280 Speaker 1: that is the price to earnings ratio, the second is 576 00:26:57,320 --> 00:27:02,200 Speaker 1: the price to earning growth ratio, and then the third 577 00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 1: is the price book ratio. There are going to be, 578 00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,280 Speaker 1: if you google it, a million different ways to value 579 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:11,680 Speaker 1: a share, but in the industry in Australia, these are 580 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:15,880 Speaker 1: the most common or the top three most common ways 581 00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:18,440 Speaker 1: of valuing a share. Yes, there's more. Do you need 582 00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:20,800 Speaker 1: to know more at this point in your journey? Probably not, 583 00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:23,160 Speaker 1: So we're just going to focus on getting these three right. 584 00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:25,720 Speaker 1: So first things first, I know you are on the 585 00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:27,120 Speaker 1: edge of your seat, Georgia. 586 00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:29,320 Speaker 4: King, price earnings ratio, what is it? 587 00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:30,080 Speaker 1: PE ratio? 588 00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:31,040 Speaker 4: PE ratio? 589 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,640 Speaker 1: So it looks at a company's recent or forecasted so 590 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:38,239 Speaker 1: recent or predicted earnings per share so against what the 591 00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:40,560 Speaker 1: current market price of the share is, and it has 592 00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:42,679 Speaker 1: a look at that and says, is what we are 593 00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:47,000 Speaker 1: predicting they are worth in the future actually similar to 594 00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 1: the current market priuce of what people are paying for 595 00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:53,200 Speaker 1: this share. And sometimes that'll be really low or sometimes 596 00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:56,160 Speaker 1: that'll be really high. But that ratio gives people a 597 00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:58,760 Speaker 1: really good indicator of whether it's a good deal or not. 598 00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:01,960 Speaker 1: So the earnings per share, or what the industry calls 599 00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:05,600 Speaker 1: that the EPs, is the proportion of the company's profit 600 00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:09,119 Speaker 1: allocated back to each individual share. To figure out a 601 00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:12,560 Speaker 1: company's PE ratio, we need to do some really quick maths. 602 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:15,159 Speaker 1: We need to look at the company's earnings per share, 603 00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:18,440 Speaker 1: which is really readily available in their annual report or 604 00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:20,960 Speaker 1: their quarterly report, or it's usually on their website. It's 605 00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:23,679 Speaker 1: not a hard number to find. Then you divide the 606 00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:27,560 Speaker 1: current price per share by the earnings per share to 607 00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:31,040 Speaker 1: find your PE ratio. So if a company has a 608 00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:35,760 Speaker 1: quote adjusted EPs figures or earnings per share figures, use 609 00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:37,920 Speaker 1: these instead. Is they going to take into account any 610 00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:40,840 Speaker 1: major expenses that were incurred during that period that might 611 00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,800 Speaker 1: affect the EPs. So for example, if they acquired a 612 00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:47,240 Speaker 1: new factory, or they bought something really big or invested 613 00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:50,720 Speaker 1: in a new database or something like that, that's an outlier, 614 00:28:51,080 --> 00:28:52,840 Speaker 1: like that's not a common thing to happen each and 615 00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,360 Speaker 1: every single year, so they might have an adjusted figure 616 00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:57,600 Speaker 1: fit used so that you can still value the company 617 00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:00,640 Speaker 1: without absolutely blowing it out of border. So to run 618 00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:02,840 Speaker 1: a quick example for you, if a company currently has 619 00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:05,160 Speaker 1: a share price of one hundred bucks, so close to 620 00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,720 Speaker 1: what Combank has, but like imagine if Combank got to 621 00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 1: one hundred, I think my group chat for financial advisors 622 00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:13,760 Speaker 1: would go off. It would be a fleet. Anyway, company 623 00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:15,800 Speaker 1: has a share price of one hundred dollars and an 624 00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 1: earnings per share of ten dollars as stated in its 625 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,320 Speaker 1: latest report. If we use the formula, the company's PEE 626 00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:24,680 Speaker 1: ratio would then be ten. Pretty quick maths. 627 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:25,560 Speaker 4: Pretty quick maths. 628 00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:28,040 Speaker 1: Feel like it was so confusing, guys. It's podcast will 629 00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:30,080 Speaker 1: do a whole lot of post on this, and it 630 00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:32,000 Speaker 1: will be in the blog post because it's in front 631 00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 1: of me. We've already done the work. We will share 632 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 1: it with you. But the pe ratio works best when 633 00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:39,920 Speaker 1: comparing apples with apples. So most investors would argue that 634 00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:42,720 Speaker 1: a share price with a lower pe ratio compared to 635 00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:46,360 Speaker 1: its peers is cheaper and could be undervalued. So that's 636 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:47,760 Speaker 1: a way of having a look at it and going 637 00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:50,760 Speaker 1: what does this mean? How does that work? But see 638 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:54,040 Speaker 1: how now we're into talking about a price per earning ratio, 639 00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 1: not a price per share George, So before I gave 640 00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:59,440 Speaker 1: you the example and said, wow, twenty seven dollars for 641 00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,720 Speaker 1: a NAB share but ninety one for a Combak share, 642 00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:03,880 Speaker 1: and you go, well, that makes no sense. How do 643 00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:06,840 Speaker 1: I pick? But then we introduce something like this price 644 00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:10,080 Speaker 1: to earnings ratio and you go, oh okay. So I 645 00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:12,680 Speaker 1: would just take the share price and what it actually 646 00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:15,200 Speaker 1: paid and I'd get a score. And then the lower 647 00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:18,880 Speaker 1: the score, the quote cheaper it is. So it doesn't 648 00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:22,560 Speaker 1: actually matter that one's twenty seven dollars and one's ninety one. 649 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,120 Speaker 1: We kind of put them on a level playing field, 650 00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:27,480 Speaker 1: and that's the way we do that. Does that make sense? 651 00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:28,160 Speaker 4: Does make sense? 652 00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:30,520 Speaker 1: Makes you go, oh, that's not as overwhelming. I don't 653 00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:33,200 Speaker 1: have to go ones expensive or one's cheap. You go, well, 654 00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:36,160 Speaker 1: what is that twenty seven dollars returning if that's what 655 00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:38,160 Speaker 1: we're paying for a NAB share, or what is that 656 00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:41,280 Speaker 1: ninety one dollars returning for that combat share? Does that 657 00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:43,560 Speaker 1: make sense? I hope I'm making sense. This is really hard. 658 00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:45,400 Speaker 1: But gee, at the end of the day, there's no 659 00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:49,040 Speaker 1: definitive what's quote good ratio when it comes to it, 660 00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:50,800 Speaker 1: I can't be like, hey, a five is good and 661 00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:53,320 Speaker 1: a ten's bad, Like that's not how it works. So 662 00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:55,640 Speaker 1: over the last forty years, that all ordinaries, which you've 663 00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:57,600 Speaker 1: probably heard, like you know when you watch TV or 664 00:30:57,600 --> 00:30:59,200 Speaker 1: when you were younger, you used to watch TV and 665 00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:00,600 Speaker 1: your mom and dad had the new on there, like 666 00:31:00,600 --> 00:31:02,040 Speaker 1: the all lords are up? Who are rah? 667 00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:03,880 Speaker 4: The all odds? 668 00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, the all odds. That's just an index. It just 669 00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:10,280 Speaker 1: tracks the market. It's like the S and P five hundred. 670 00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:12,320 Speaker 4: Sure, okay, but the Australian. 671 00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:15,280 Speaker 1: Verse, like the Australian version oka tracking shares in Australia 672 00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 1: and seeing what the average price of the share market's 673 00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:20,760 Speaker 1: looking so that they can say, oh my god, all 674 00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:23,120 Speaker 1: the all ords are down, which means the share market 675 00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:26,600 Speaker 1: across the board is a bit down, not oh, nabs 676 00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:30,280 Speaker 1: up and combanks down like nobody. Nobody can conceptualize that 677 00:31:30,360 --> 00:31:33,120 Speaker 1: we need one common measure, and in Australia we use 678 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:35,880 Speaker 1: the all odds. Okay, but if we look at the 679 00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,360 Speaker 1: all odds over the last forty years, it's averaged a 680 00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:41,640 Speaker 1: PE of about fifteen, which is sometimes seen as a 681 00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 1: broad threshold. Is kind of fair value to give you 682 00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:46,480 Speaker 1: a bit of an indicator. 683 00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:48,240 Speaker 4: Very good. I'm going to keep an eye out for 684 00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:49,800 Speaker 4: the all odds with the news is on and. 685 00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:54,440 Speaker 1: I know exactly what that is. Yes, yes, we're educated, queen, 686 00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:55,160 Speaker 1: exactly right. 687 00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 4: Now we have the PEG ratio and the price book 688 00:31:57,520 --> 00:31:59,440 Speaker 4: ratio to get to. So let's start with PEG. Tell 689 00:31:59,440 --> 00:31:59,880 Speaker 4: me about that. 690 00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,719 Speaker 1: So the PEG ratio or the price earnings to growth ratio. 691 00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:06,560 Speaker 1: So it's taking that first ratio and building off it. 692 00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:10,120 Speaker 1: So before we had the PE, so the price earnings. 693 00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:13,280 Speaker 1: Now it's the PE to growth, which is comparing its 694 00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 1: price earnings to growth. Does that make sense? I feel 695 00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:18,840 Speaker 1: like it was obvious if you really think about it, 696 00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:20,680 Speaker 1: but no one's going to really think about it. They 697 00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:22,520 Speaker 1: just look at it and go, peg ratio, What the hell? 698 00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:27,080 Speaker 1: So the PEG ratio considers the company's earnings growth, so 699 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:28,680 Speaker 1: to figure this out. You need to find out the 700 00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:31,600 Speaker 1: company's estimated earnings per share, which we talked about just before, 701 00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:34,120 Speaker 1: which will be in the latest down your report or 702 00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:37,320 Speaker 1: on the website, all really accessible if they are listed company. 703 00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:40,480 Speaker 1: And then to calculate the PEG ratio, you use the 704 00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:43,280 Speaker 1: PE that we just did and you divide by the 705 00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:47,400 Speaker 1: growth in earnings per share or the EPs. So I 706 00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:49,600 Speaker 1: feel like this is getting really complicated, but I know 707 00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:51,280 Speaker 1: you guys are following, and if not, just go back 708 00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:53,080 Speaker 1: listen to it again. I'm lucky for you to have 709 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,560 Speaker 1: to listen to me more and more. But a good 710 00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:57,600 Speaker 1: example of this is let's say the company has an 711 00:32:57,600 --> 00:33:00,400 Speaker 1: EPs of eleven dollars over the next year as stated 712 00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:02,760 Speaker 1: in its report. You go, great, no problems, thank you. 713 00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:05,960 Speaker 1: This is an increase of ten percent on its current 714 00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,440 Speaker 1: EPs of ten dollars. Because we're using the same example 715 00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:11,400 Speaker 1: as we had before, so using the PEG formula, So 716 00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,080 Speaker 1: the price to earnings growth formula of the PE, so 717 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:17,080 Speaker 1: the PE was ten as we spoke about before, and 718 00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:20,000 Speaker 1: you divide it by the growth in EPs, which is 719 00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:23,440 Speaker 1: ten percent. We then have a PEG ratio of a one. 720 00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:27,240 Speaker 1: You go, he that makes absolutely no sense, but he 721 00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:30,520 Speaker 1: out here, me out, sit down. Just like a PE ratio, 722 00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:33,440 Speaker 1: the PEG ratio compares peer performance, so it's trying to 723 00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,600 Speaker 1: compare apples with apples. Again, there's no set PEG ratio 724 00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:38,640 Speaker 1: that's considered to be like the gold standard, or this 725 00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:41,000 Speaker 1: is like a by signal. If you get a PEG 726 00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:43,240 Speaker 1: ratio of x, like bye bye bye. That's not how 727 00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:45,800 Speaker 1: this works. These are all just ratios that we use, 728 00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:48,080 Speaker 1: We write them down, we take them into consideration of 729 00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:52,480 Speaker 1: our larger piece of research. But fundamentalists, so people who 730 00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:55,680 Speaker 1: are really subscribed to that school of like fundamental analysis, 731 00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,600 Speaker 1: they might treat that share with a PEG ratio of 732 00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:01,120 Speaker 1: less than one as an UNDERVAALP share, so they might 733 00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:05,760 Speaker 1: go less than one undervalued over one overvalued one on par. 734 00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:06,960 Speaker 1: Does that make sense? 735 00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:07,240 Speaker 4: It does. 736 00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 1: So, it doesn't necessarily mean it absolutely is or it 737 00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:10,560 Speaker 1: absolutely isn't that. 738 00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:12,880 Speaker 4: It's an indicator indicata. 739 00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:13,839 Speaker 1: We have a little look at it. 740 00:34:14,200 --> 00:34:15,839 Speaker 4: The I really thought peg was going to be more 741 00:34:15,840 --> 00:34:17,200 Speaker 4: fun than that. I'm not gonna lie to you. 742 00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:18,439 Speaker 1: Really you have more fun. 743 00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:22,920 Speaker 4: It took me back to your eleven maths anyway, let's 744 00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:23,279 Speaker 4: move on. 745 00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:25,319 Speaker 1: That's what you were doing in your eleven maths. 746 00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:29,280 Speaker 4: Let's move on to the final method of valuing a stock, 747 00:34:29,520 --> 00:34:31,839 Speaker 4: the price book ratio. Tell me all about it in 748 00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:33,040 Speaker 4: twenty seconds or less. 749 00:34:33,120 --> 00:34:35,520 Speaker 1: PB ratio. I always think of peanut butter and jelly. 750 00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:37,520 Speaker 1: I don't know why. I'm not even American. I don't 751 00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:39,440 Speaker 1: even eat peanut butter and jelly. Sandwich has had them 752 00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:43,680 Speaker 1: one time? Terrible. Why would you mix those two things together? 753 00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 1: But I really do like the price book ratio. So 754 00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:49,840 Speaker 1: the price book ratio gives us a little bit of 755 00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:53,600 Speaker 1: a snapshot of company's value according to the book value 756 00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:55,799 Speaker 1: of assets on its balance sheet. So it kind of 757 00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:58,440 Speaker 1: makes sense, like price book, what's on its book? Let's 758 00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 1: have a look a little, right, I'm going to put 759 00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:04,400 Speaker 1: myself in the bin. We really do need that break. 760 00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:07,480 Speaker 1: But a price book ratio is calculated by dividing the 761 00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:11,400 Speaker 1: current share price by the stocks book value divided by 762 00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:13,680 Speaker 1: the number of shares that have been issued. So the 763 00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:16,399 Speaker 1: book value is worked out from the balance sheet as 764 00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:20,399 Speaker 1: the total assets minus the total liabilities, and so liabilities 765 00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:23,000 Speaker 1: is costs. So you take what they own and then 766 00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:25,800 Speaker 1: minus what they owe or what they have in costs, 767 00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:28,560 Speaker 1: and then you get that number. So the balance sheet 768 00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:30,839 Speaker 1: with these figures is super easy to locate if you're 769 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:32,920 Speaker 1: looking for it. It will be on the company's website, 770 00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:34,960 Speaker 1: it will be in their annual report. It's a very 771 00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:37,440 Speaker 1: large part of the report. They are legally not allowed 772 00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:40,200 Speaker 1: to skip on. So to give you an example of that, 773 00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:42,799 Speaker 1: because we love an example in this community, let's take 774 00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:46,280 Speaker 1: an example of a company's market price being currently two dollars, 775 00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:49,080 Speaker 1: and they have fifty million shares in the market, all 776 00:35:49,120 --> 00:35:53,000 Speaker 1: issued out. They're all bought right, So the total assets 777 00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:56,319 Speaker 1: are eighty million dollars. I'd love this business. I'm glad 778 00:35:56,360 --> 00:35:59,759 Speaker 1: we did this example. So the total assets in this 779 00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:03,320 Speaker 1: business at eighty million dollars, and then the total liabilities 780 00:36:03,400 --> 00:36:06,840 Speaker 1: in this business are twenty million dollars. That then equals 781 00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:10,680 Speaker 1: a total book value of sixty million dollars. So the 782 00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:14,359 Speaker 1: price book ratio is two dollars divided by the eighty 783 00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:17,520 Speaker 1: minus twenty million dollars, rich is sixty divided by fifty 784 00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:20,640 Speaker 1: million dollars, which equals one point seven. And I know 785 00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:23,080 Speaker 1: you didn't follow that, so you've just got to trust 786 00:36:23,160 --> 00:36:27,759 Speaker 1: me that the PB ratio is one point seven. But basically, 787 00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:31,560 Speaker 1: the closer the PB ratio is to one or below 788 00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:35,200 Speaker 1: the greater the perceived value of the stock, and the 789 00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:38,600 Speaker 1: PB or the price book ratio is used more often 790 00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:41,960 Speaker 1: for more mature companies, so like it's for the older 791 00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:46,040 Speaker 1: hens in the share market that don't have as much growth, 792 00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:48,960 Speaker 1: so they say it's for limited growth. But at the 793 00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:51,319 Speaker 1: same time, I feel like, you look at a bank, right, 794 00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:54,120 Speaker 1: They're not going to triple in value overnight, But are 795 00:36:54,120 --> 00:36:57,160 Speaker 1: they a good, solid, steady steed that's maybe going to 796 00:36:57,239 --> 00:36:59,480 Speaker 1: win the race. Maybe that's where we would look at 797 00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:02,319 Speaker 1: a price ratio. You wouldn't really look at a price 798 00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:05,239 Speaker 1: book ratio again for a company like after Pay. I 799 00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:07,920 Speaker 1: used this example a lot, and I've really needed to 800 00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:09,919 Speaker 1: check myself recently on it. It's not because I don't 801 00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:12,480 Speaker 1: like after pay, which I don't for the community, but 802 00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:16,479 Speaker 1: it's because the community so recently had been talking about 803 00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:19,080 Speaker 1: buying and selling after pay shares and it was so topical, 804 00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:22,359 Speaker 1: and I feel like it's a trendy share that people buy. 805 00:37:22,400 --> 00:37:24,399 Speaker 1: So people were buying Tesla, or they're buying after pay, 806 00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:28,000 Speaker 1: or they're buying Apple or whatever. But my example of 807 00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:30,720 Speaker 1: after pay is used a fair bit because it's pbe 808 00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:34,400 Speaker 1: ratio wouldn't be indicative of what it is like after 809 00:37:34,480 --> 00:37:38,239 Speaker 1: pay is such an interesting company where you go commercially 810 00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:40,520 Speaker 1: that makes a lot of sense. Is it putting the 811 00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:44,080 Speaker 1: community in the best possible position. Absolutely not. But when 812 00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:46,919 Speaker 1: you look at it's PB ratios, is it actually turning 813 00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:47,360 Speaker 1: a profit? 814 00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:47,839 Speaker 3: No? 815 00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:50,120 Speaker 1: But people are still buying into it and still loving it. 816 00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:53,000 Speaker 1: So I really like using it as an example because 817 00:37:53,000 --> 00:37:55,080 Speaker 1: of the hype that was surrounded it. Right, you know, 818 00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:56,640 Speaker 1: we should go to a break because I think you 819 00:37:56,640 --> 00:37:59,040 Speaker 1: guys are so sick of that. But to summarize that 820 00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:02,280 Speaker 1: was my PE ratio, my PEG ratio, and my price 821 00:38:02,280 --> 00:38:05,279 Speaker 1: book ratio explained, there'll be blong on it. 822 00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:08,680 Speaker 4: Okay, So I feel like I'm getting met a price 823 00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:11,880 Speaker 4: book ratio. I get it, PEG, I get it. You 824 00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,680 Speaker 4: get paid price earnings, I get it. I get it all. 825 00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,480 Speaker 1: Do you actually no? But I will re. 826 00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:20,600 Speaker 4: Listen to this episode and I'm sure I will get there. 827 00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:23,640 Speaker 1: I feel like these things feel really overwhelming when you 828 00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:26,439 Speaker 1: first hear them, and you're like, holy moly. But then 829 00:38:26,680 --> 00:38:29,120 Speaker 1: after a few times and a few miles over, you're like, yea, 830 00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:30,480 Speaker 1: all right, I can't get my head around that. I 831 00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:32,439 Speaker 1: don't expect anyone to get that. On the first time, 832 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:34,759 Speaker 1: because I remember evening in an accounting class when I was 833 00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:36,760 Speaker 1: learning this for the very first time, I was like, cool, 834 00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:39,160 Speaker 1: I'm never going to get there. But now I'm like, okay, 835 00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:41,000 Speaker 1: these three things make a lot of sense. And I'm 836 00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:43,400 Speaker 1: actually quite a visual learner, so I need to see 837 00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:45,879 Speaker 1: how it plays out and see what does this mean 838 00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:47,759 Speaker 1: and where does this plug in and what does that 839 00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:50,440 Speaker 1: look like? And for me, that's how I learned. But 840 00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:52,960 Speaker 1: we all learn really differently, and I think that the 841 00:38:53,000 --> 00:38:55,160 Speaker 1: main thing here is that nobody is going to pick 842 00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:57,520 Speaker 1: that up after me explaining it to you once, especially 843 00:38:57,520 --> 00:38:59,680 Speaker 1: when you can't contextualize it. So it's once you start 844 00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:01,640 Speaker 1: you're in investment journey and you start looking at it 845 00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:03,759 Speaker 1: and you go, oh, this makes sense, like this is 846 00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:06,880 Speaker 1: where this goes. That's when you start to comprehend it properly. 847 00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:09,640 Speaker 4: Amazing. So, for people who have really vibed with this 848 00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:12,880 Speaker 4: chat v and they're feeling confident and ready to invest, 849 00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:16,080 Speaker 4: which platforms would you suggest they use to get cracking? 850 00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:19,360 Speaker 1: Look, I can't recommend specific platforms because that would be 851 00:39:19,400 --> 00:39:22,239 Speaker 1: wildly inappropriate of me. But our community has a number 852 00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:24,560 Speaker 1: of different platforms that they love. Obviously, you guys are 853 00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:27,759 Speaker 1: obsessed with shares's which is really nice. Say are classified, 854 00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:30,719 Speaker 1: I guess as a mid level DIY platform, so you 855 00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:33,359 Speaker 1: can go on and buy shares. But the thing that 856 00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:35,400 Speaker 1: you guys seem to really like about them is that 857 00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:38,080 Speaker 1: you can buy portions of shares. So if you thought, hey, 858 00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:40,120 Speaker 1: be I really want to own combat, but I don't 859 00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:42,120 Speaker 1: have ninety one dollars to do that, you can actually 860 00:39:42,200 --> 00:39:45,080 Speaker 1: purchase a portion of that share instead of the whole deal, 861 00:39:45,200 --> 00:39:47,520 Speaker 1: which I think is really nice to get exposure to 862 00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:50,400 Speaker 1: an asset that you might really love. Not recommending that 863 00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:53,319 Speaker 1: share at all. That was just an example. They have 864 00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:56,160 Speaker 1: access as well to a number of different platforms other 865 00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:59,319 Speaker 1: platforms in the industry. I mean, our community has been 866 00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:02,600 Speaker 1: talking a lot recently about self Wealth and Superhero. Obviously 867 00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:06,719 Speaker 1: those are more direct. When we talk about investing platforms, 868 00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:10,239 Speaker 1: we're not talking about platforms like Rays or Spaceship or 869 00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:13,320 Speaker 1: even six Park, which is a robo advice platform, because 870 00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:16,279 Speaker 1: none of those enabled you to invest directly. So if 871 00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:18,600 Speaker 1: you were looking to invest directly, what you'd be looking 872 00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:21,360 Speaker 1: for is a DIY platform, And the things I'd be 873 00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:24,719 Speaker 1: taking into consideration is just really, is this aligned to 874 00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,000 Speaker 1: my values is this aligned to how much I want 875 00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:29,319 Speaker 1: to pay for a platform, And you can find all 876 00:40:29,320 --> 00:40:32,400 Speaker 1: of that information out on those websites for those companies. 877 00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:34,600 Speaker 1: But at the end of the day, completely up to 878 00:40:34,640 --> 00:40:37,240 Speaker 1: you what you pick, just as long as they are legit, 879 00:40:37,320 --> 00:40:38,440 Speaker 1: my friends incredible. 880 00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:40,680 Speaker 4: Remember as well, as we flagged at the top of 881 00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:44,480 Speaker 4: the episode, guys, we have done many an episode on investing, 882 00:40:44,520 --> 00:40:47,080 Speaker 4: so have a scroll back and you'll find everything from 883 00:40:47,120 --> 00:40:50,440 Speaker 4: what micro investing is, to how to use entry level platforms, 884 00:40:50,480 --> 00:40:53,760 Speaker 4: so on and so forth. That's a really good place to start. 885 00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:56,600 Speaker 4: We are going to wrap today's episode here. We were 886 00:40:56,640 --> 00:41:02,279 Speaker 4: going to talk about e bits and ebitday, so we 887 00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:05,160 Speaker 4: are actually now going to make that a completely new episode, 888 00:41:05,239 --> 00:41:07,120 Speaker 4: So keep an eye on your feed for that one. 889 00:41:07,120 --> 00:41:08,600 Speaker 4: It will go dropping not too far a well. 890 00:41:08,600 --> 00:41:11,839 Speaker 1: George is decided after recording this episode and only half 891 00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:13,920 Speaker 1: of the episode, that she's like, nah, mate, this is 892 00:41:14,000 --> 00:41:17,040 Speaker 1: too much. It's Victoria divine. You are canceled and you 893 00:41:17,080 --> 00:41:19,880 Speaker 1: are dense. So you guys, just get the ratios in 894 00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:22,120 Speaker 1: the first one and we will extend it out over 895 00:41:22,160 --> 00:41:24,920 Speaker 1: a few other episodes. Because I feel like that's you're right, George, 896 00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:27,040 Speaker 1: I feel not for today. Yeah, but it's easier to 897 00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:29,920 Speaker 1: absorb in smaller bits. And to be honest, the feedback 898 00:41:29,960 --> 00:41:32,280 Speaker 1: I've heard from people who are listening to the investing 899 00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:34,200 Speaker 1: episodes is that they listen to it a couple of 900 00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:36,759 Speaker 1: times just for it to really sink in. So I 901 00:41:36,760 --> 00:41:40,800 Speaker 1: feel like that's a good idea. Yeah, geniuses, that's boring, 902 00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:43,080 Speaker 1: but important stuff. Get it done, Liz, do you talk 903 00:41:43,120 --> 00:41:44,960 Speaker 1: about investment, Yes, exactly. 904 00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:47,920 Speaker 4: The advisor shared on She's on the Money is general 905 00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:51,440 Speaker 4: in nature and does not consider your individual circumstances. She's 906 00:41:51,440 --> 00:41:54,720 Speaker 4: on the Money exists purely for educational purposes and should 907 00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:57,760 Speaker 4: not be relied upon to make an investment or financial decision. 908 00:41:58,200 --> 00:42:00,920 Speaker 4: And we promised Victoria Divine and She's on the Money 909 00:42:00,960 --> 00:42:05,880 Speaker 4: are authorized representatives of Infocused Securities Australia Proprietary Limited ABN 910 00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:08,399 Speaker 4: four seven zero nine seven seven nine seven zero four 911 00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:11,160 Speaker 4: nine a FOSL two three six five two three. We 912 00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:12,919 Speaker 4: will see you on Friday, guys soon. 913 00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:13,480 Speaker 1: Guys by