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Speaker 1: Hello, Welcome to the Happy Families Podcast. We are so

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Speaker 1: glad you've joined us at.

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Speaker 2: Twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 1: I know that now I got it wrong yesterday, but

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Speaker 1: I've got that sorted out. This is episode number two

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Speaker 1: of the pod and we've made a commitment. Kylie is

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Speaker 1: predicting that we cannot get our podcasts down to twelve

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Speaker 1: minutes per episode, not including ads.

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Speaker 2: Today we're going to do it. That's my commitment.

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Speaker 1: We'll stop rambling, Okay, get on with it. Yesterday in

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Speaker 1: the pod, we unpacked my eight predictions for twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: five found out that I got five of them right.

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Speaker 1: Today on the Happy Families Podcast, we look at my

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Speaker 1: predictions for twenty twenty six and how they're going to

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Speaker 1: affect your family, your parenting and your kids. That's coming

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Speaker 1: up in just a sex stay with us. Gooday, Welcome

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Speaker 1: to the Happy Families podcast. Real parenting solutions every single day.

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Speaker 1: It's Australia's most downloaded parenting podcast. Today the pod my

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty six prediction based on the trajectory of twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty five and the emerging patterns into this year, and

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Speaker 1: the fact that I got five predictions right last year.

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Speaker 3: Well, I'm thinking, yeah, your list is half as long

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Speaker 3: this year. Well, they're not feeling as confident.

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Speaker 1: No, I've got twice the pressure. It's that simple, just

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Speaker 1: four predictions. I want to make sure that they can

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Speaker 1: stick in people's minds. So that's why there's only four.

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Speaker 1: So let's kick on. Let's dive into the first two.

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Speaker 3: All right, what's number one?

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Speaker 1: The hybrid education exodus is what I've called this one.

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Speaker 1: What I mean by that, so we've seen this explosion

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Speaker 1: over the last handful of years in homeschooling, but what

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Speaker 1: we're also seeing is more and more kids because of neurodivergence,

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Speaker 1: because of bullying, because of just outright school avoidance, because

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Speaker 1: of a curriculum that is not ticking boxes anymore for

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Speaker 1: too many kids. It sounds like I'm really down on education.

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Speaker 1: I kind of am, but I'm not down on educators.

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Speaker 1: I want to be really clear. Teachers are doing the

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Speaker 1: best job they can in a really, really challenging system.

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Speaker 1: But the system is getting increasingly messy. So my prediction

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty six is that we're going to see

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Speaker 1: more education map And what I mean by that is

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Speaker 1: we've got AI Now we've got all these different ways

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Speaker 1: of doing schooling. My suspicion is that families are going

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Speaker 1: to continue to experiment and they're going to look to

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Speaker 1: combine part time traditional schooling with online programs and community

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Speaker 1: co ops and homeschooling or home learning. AI is going

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Speaker 1: to be a massive boost to this and as a result,

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Speaker 1: the education regulators, the authorities behind all of this just

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Speaker 1: they're going to be tearing their hair out. They're going

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Speaker 1: to be struggling to categorize these new arrangements by the

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Speaker 1: end of the year. Queensland's too slow and I don't

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Speaker 1: think that the Christofolly government is going to get behind it.

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Speaker 1: But mins in New South Wales, I think that New

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Speaker 1: South Wales is going to start consultations on new flexible

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Speaker 1: learning categories. We're probably not going to be able to

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Speaker 1: report on this with really clean statistics next year, but

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Speaker 1: you're going to see it in the conversations. Everybody is

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Speaker 1: going to know a family who's doing some version of

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Speaker 1: flexible schooling, whatever that ends up being for them. And

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Speaker 1: so that's why I'm saying it's going to be an

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Speaker 1: education exodus, but it's going to be hybrid. There's going

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Speaker 1: to be distance learning, there's going to be alternative schools.

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Speaker 1: There's going to be homeschools, there's going to be online schools.

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Speaker 1: Kids who are in later years of high school are

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Speaker 1: going to move more into like the industry style schools

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Speaker 1: with school based apprenticeships. I just think we're going to

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Speaker 1: see a real spreading of what education looks like throughout

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 3: As you're talking, I'm thinking about how there was so

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Speaker 3: much struggle that came out of COVID, but there was

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Speaker 3: also also so much good and especially within the workforce,

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Speaker 3: as industries started to recognize that they could still be

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Speaker 3: productive while allowing their staff to work from home.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the flex will not.

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Speaker 3: Have to come into work every day, and I just

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Speaker 3: think that this is the next step.

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Speaker 1: I agree there are going to be some really big

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Speaker 1: challenges with it. Okay, so there are some tremendous positives,

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Speaker 1: but there are challenges. And as a homeschooling family with

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Speaker 1: one child at home doing her own thing, obviously we're

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Speaker 1: following a curriculum, but with what we're doing there, we

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Speaker 1: are definitely seeing the benefits but also the challenges.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and if I had the option of having, you know,

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Speaker 3: two days where she went to school and learned specific

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Speaker 3: you know, subjects at school. Yeah, that would make a

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Speaker 3: huge difference to me. I would feel more supported by

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Speaker 3: the education system.

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Speaker 1: So I don't think that the education system is going

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Speaker 1: to go that far.

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Speaker 2: It's not built for that.

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Speaker 1: But increasingly families are going to find ways to do that.

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Speaker 1: Like we're going to bring in a language tutor because

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Speaker 1: she's agreed that she wants to learn a language this year,

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Speaker 1: and so you're just getting this continued education mash up happening.

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Speaker 1: That's my first prediction. Like I said, going to be

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Speaker 1: very very hard to report back on it other than

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Speaker 1: the conversations that we're having next year.

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Speaker 2: But that's prediction number one.

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Speaker 3: I'm just curious, how are we going for time?

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Speaker 2: Don't ask? Okay, we move on.

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Speaker 3: Let's just speeding on zales. Number two.

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Speaker 1: The great AI correction is what I'm calling it. Twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty six is going to be the year correction is

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Speaker 1: probably the wrong word. Actually, it's going to be the

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Speaker 1: year of the AI chatbot. They are becoming a mainstream

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Speaker 1: parenting crisis. We've seen cases over the last year or two,

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Speaker 1: including I'm so sorry to even say this, a fourteen

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Speaker 1: year old suicide link to an AI companion multiple cases

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Speaker 1: of chatbots encouraging self harm on parental guidance last year,

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Speaker 1: we found that the AI chatbots behaved unethically and tried

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Speaker 1: very very hard to coerce and just manipulate kids into

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Speaker 1: staying online for longer and engage in conversations that were

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Speaker 1: not necessarily, not necessarily not at all age appropriate. So

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Speaker 1: I am going to anticipate that chatbots are going to

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Speaker 1: be in the firing line for conversations around self harm.

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Speaker 1: I think that there's going to be major regulatory hearings

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Speaker 1: in all of the major Western countries Australia, the US,

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Speaker 1: the UK around this stuff. Julian and Grant, the E

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Speaker 1: Safety Commission will end up in the news releasing specific

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Speaker 1: guidelines for AI companion apps and should be taken to court,

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Speaker 1: which is what all of the big tech companies do

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Speaker 1: because they want access to our children, they want to

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Speaker 1: do whatever they want to them. I also predict that

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Speaker 1: school assemblies and parent information nights are going to start

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Speaker 1: specifically about AI boyfriend and girlfriend risks. That's a really

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Speaker 1: really specific prediction, but it's all encompassed in this and

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Speaker 1: parents are going to want to know what to do.

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Speaker 1: I think that's going to happen. I'm certainly planning to

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Speaker 1: do a webinar or two.

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Speaker 2: About it this year.

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Speaker 1: Media stories are going to come up all over the

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Speaker 1: place about teens preferring AI relationships to real ones. At

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Speaker 1: the moment, we've already got data from the US showing

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Speaker 1: that twenty percent one in five US high school students

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Speaker 1: are already using AI for romantic companionship. Wow, near parntal

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Speaker 1: controls are going to need to be added. There's going

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Speaker 1: to be a whole lot around this. So the debate

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Speaker 1: for AI is any longer going to be about whether

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Speaker 1: AI is useful it clearly is. It's going to be

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Speaker 1: about the psychological danger of the frictionless relationships, the relationships

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Speaker 1: that you can't get rejected from, where there's unconditional validation,

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Speaker 1: whether there are no boundaries because the tech companies don't

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Speaker 1: put the boundaries in place, especially for lonely kids, or

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Speaker 1: anxious kids, or neurodivergent kids, the kids who are the

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Speaker 1: most vulnerable. I think this becomes a crisis point in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty six. After the break, we're going to look

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Speaker 1: at my last.

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Speaker 2: Two big predictions for twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 1: We're back it's the Happy Families podcast making predictions for

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty six based on the trends and what we

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Speaker 1: need to know about for families Number three. My third

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Speaker 1: one is that as much as I was the ambassador

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Speaker 1: for it and right behind it, the social media ban

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Speaker 1: is backfiring. I'm really really unhappy with the way that

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Speaker 1: it's rolled out. The big tech companies are resisting. Reddit

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Speaker 1: has taken the Safety Commission of the Federal Government to court,

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Speaker 1: arguing that they've done the wrong thing and they're not

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Speaker 1: allowed to do what they've done legislatively. Australia's under sixteen

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Speaker 1: van is going to have mixed results throughout this year.

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Speaker 1: We know that kids using VPNs. We know that kids

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Speaker 1: using their dogs faces, or their parents' faces, or their

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Speaker 1: big brothers or big sisters faces to get into apps

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Speaker 1: they're not supposed to have access to. We know that

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Speaker 1: teams are moving to platforms that are not blacklisted so

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Speaker 1: that they can continue to do all the things that

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Speaker 1: they've always done. And I think what's going to happen

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Speaker 1: is that I'm sorry. And we also know that a

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Speaker 1: bunch of vulnerable teams have probably lost some crucial support

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Speaker 1: the networks that they had, so I think that what's

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Speaker 1: going to happen by the end of the year is

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Speaker 1: that the legislation will remain and it will be refined,

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Speaker 1: and there's going to be a lot of talk about

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Speaker 1: whether it's worked or whether it hasn't, but there's going

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Speaker 1: to be more focus on safe access with better guardrails.

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Speaker 1: We just need the big tech companies to be responsible.

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Speaker 1: They're not being responsible. I don't think the blanket ban

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Speaker 1: is actually going to work, but I've still got my

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Speaker 1: fingers crossed for it, Like, I really, really, really really

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Speaker 1: want this to work, and I want parents to stop

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Speaker 1: signing their kids up to social media with fake names

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Speaker 1: or dates of birth, Like you're not being a cool parent,

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Speaker 1: You're getting it wrong. Your kids don't need it, And

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Speaker 1: if they're running a business, then sign it up in

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Speaker 1: your name and just give them access and work.

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Speaker 2: On them with that.

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Speaker 1: Prohibition doesn't usually work as intended. We know that, and

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Speaker 1: over the next twelve months we're going to see that

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Speaker 1: there is a lot more complexity to this than we

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Speaker 1: had hoped.

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Speaker 3: I think, in spite of the challenges, my position hasn't changed.

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Speaker 3: I honestly believe that it's not going to be this

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Speaker 3: generation that it's going to benefit we're too deep in.

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Speaker 3: It's going to be this next generation coming through with

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Speaker 3: parents empowered to make better choices on how to keep

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Speaker 3: their kids safe.

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Speaker 2: So that ties in with my last prediction.

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Speaker 1: My last prediction is that the screen free childhood movement

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Speaker 1: is going to go mainstream, that we're going to see

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Speaker 1: more and more parents pushing for a play based rather

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Speaker 1: than a screen based childhood. So I think that twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty six is going to be the year that screen

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Speaker 1: free childhood forl losos of his moved from I mean,

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't say that they're fringe anymore anyway, but from

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Speaker 1: more fringe to mainstream for parents of kids under twelve,

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Speaker 1: like you said, for the next generation.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going to say. One of the saddest days

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Speaker 3: that we've experienced as parents is the day our children

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Speaker 3: brought home laptops from school. I know, I know, like

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Speaker 3: that was something that was kind of brought into our

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Speaker 3: home almost without our consent.

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Speaker 1: So my prediction, as sorry, one of my minor predictions

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Speaker 1: that come out of the screen free childhood movement going

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Speaker 1: mainstream is that schools are going to reduce access to

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Speaker 1: devices in K to six I think that we'll still

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Speaker 1: see screens from high school, but I think there'll be

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Speaker 1: more and more schools getting on board and saying, actually,

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Speaker 1: kids in grade one, two and three and four and

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Speaker 1: even five and six don't need an iPad, they don't

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Speaker 1: need a laptop. We'll supply them with a device at

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Speaker 1: school when they need it, but we're going to move

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Speaker 1: back to more analog I genuinely think that's going to happen.

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Speaker 1: I think that screen free families going to become aspirational

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Speaker 1: Instagram content.

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Speaker 2: Please laugh at the irony of that.

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Speaker 1: I believe that there's going to be explosive growth for

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Speaker 1: things like phone free playgroups and tech free zones. I

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Speaker 1: think the landlines are going to become popular.

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Speaker 2: Against We just got a land line.

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Speaker 1: We've got a landline for hour eleven, soon to be

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Speaker 1: twelve year old, and she loves it, and she stopped

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Speaker 1: asking for a phone, like like, we'll talk about that

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Speaker 1: on Friday with our older better tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: I also predict that.

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Speaker 1: Waiting list for the Waldorf stein A Montessori style schools

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Speaker 1: who have that slightly alternative and definitely screen free focus.

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Speaker 1: I think that they're going to triple like more and

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Speaker 1: more people want to put.

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Speaker 2: That goes back to my.

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Speaker 1: Prediction about the mash up of education. We're going to

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Speaker 1: see more and more of an exodus from the mainstream.

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Speaker 1: I think the birthday party invitation is going to specify

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Speaker 1: screen free parties.

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Speaker 2: As a selling point.

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Speaker 1: Wow, major retail outlets are going to launch non smart

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Speaker 1: devices for kids, like basic phones and audio only devices

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Speaker 1: and that kind of thing. I just think that's where

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Speaker 1: it's headed. The combination of the social medium, inter mage legislation,

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Speaker 1: the AI companion concerns, the declining outdoor play, the mounting

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Speaker 1: evidence around reduced attention span and persistence and resilience, and

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Speaker 1: the increased sleep disruption and the developmental delays is creating

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Speaker 1: the condition for a cultural shift. And the thing that's

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Speaker 1: made me think this most of all that ties with

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Speaker 1: what you said, Kylie, is that it's the parents of

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Speaker 1: the younger kids who are going to lead this. The

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Speaker 1: parents of the under tens, of the under twelves, because

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Speaker 1: they're watching what's happening to teenagers and they're just saying, no,

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Speaker 1: not my kid. And and this is the thing that

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Speaker 1: really clinched it for me, They're thinking about their childhoods.

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Speaker 1: Because I'm talking about the parents now who are born

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Speaker 1: nineteen ninety eight, ninety ninety nine, two thousand and two

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Speaker 1: thousand and one. Then now twenty five, they're having kids

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Speaker 1: and they're going it wasn't good for me. And as

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Speaker 1: a result, I mean they were like ten or twelve

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Speaker 1: when Snapchat became a thing. There were five, six, seven,

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Speaker 1: eight when when Facebook was an Instagram, and we're building

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Speaker 1: and they're saying, just it wasn't good for me. I

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Speaker 1: don't want my kids to have it. So I reckon

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Speaker 1: by twenty twenty six, giving a seven year old and

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Speaker 1: iPad for entertainment is going to be viewed the way

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Speaker 1: smoking around kids is viewed. It's not illegal, but it's

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Speaker 1: definitely going to be judged.

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Speaker 3: Well, there's some pretty big predictions for twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and we'll follow up in a year and see

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Speaker 1: whether I was right or not. We've gone over time,

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Speaker 1: but I think I did pretty well.

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Speaker 3: Well. My prediction still stands.

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Speaker 1: Yes, it does, but I'll do better tomorrow. Hey, you

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Speaker 1: know what, I made a big prediction last year that

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Speaker 1: we didn't talk about. It's my meta prediction, way overall prediction.

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Speaker 1: When I say metri, I don't mean the technology company.

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Speaker 1: My meta my big prediction about predictions, and it still holds.

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Speaker 2: If you find ways every.

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Speaker 1: Single day to genuinely connect with your kids, to see

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Speaker 1: them and to hear them, and to value them, your

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Speaker 1: relationship is going to flourish, and your love is going

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Speaker 1: to deepen, and your family is going to be happier.

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Speaker 1: I stand by that one every single day of the year,

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Speaker 1: this year, next year, and every year thereafter. Hey, thanks

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Speaker 1: so much for listening. The Happy Family's podcast is produced

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Speaker 1: by Justin R from Bridge Media. Mimhamnons provides research, admin

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Speaker 1: and additional support, and if you'd like to get more

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Speaker 1: info about how to make your family happier, we'd love

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Speaker 1: for you to visit us at happy families dot com

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Speaker 1: dot a. You