WEBVTT - The U.S. strikes on Iran, explained

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning, and welcome to the Daily Odds. It's Tuesday,

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<v Speaker 1>the twenty fourth of June.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Lucy Tassel, I'm Sam Kulski.

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<v Speaker 1>Over the weekend, the US struck Iran.

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<v Speaker 3>The operation President Trump planned was bold and it was brilliant,

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<v Speaker 3>showing the world that American deterrence is back.

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<v Speaker 2>Iran cannot be allowed to get a nuclear weapon, and

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<v Speaker 2>we support action to prevent that.

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<v Speaker 4>That is what this is.

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<v Speaker 1>It's the largest attack America has ever carried out on

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<v Speaker 1>Iran and comes amid a war between Iran and Israel,

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<v Speaker 1>which counts the US as its closest ally. In today's episode,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll explain the historic strike, discuss Iran's reaction, and catch

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<v Speaker 1>you up with this rapidly evolving story.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, So, Lucy, when you and I chatted in the

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<v Speaker 2>office on Friday afternoon, yeah, the position was that we

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<v Speaker 2>knew that President Trump was considering the possibility of the

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<v Speaker 2>US striking Iran. Here said this very ominous, indecisive quote

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<v Speaker 2>of I may do it, I may not do it.

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<v Speaker 2>Late last week, then on Sunday morning, our time, about

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<v Speaker 2>ten am, he did do it, and he launched strikes

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<v Speaker 2>on three nuclear sites in Iran. There's so much one pack,

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<v Speaker 2>But give me a sense of how we got here.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean it's hard to know where to even start.

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<v Speaker 1>I know that we have been discussing how we can

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<v Speaker 1>explain the US Iran relationship. If that's something you would

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<v Speaker 1>be interested in, please reach out to us.

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<v Speaker 2>I'll let us know.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just going to kind of talk about the last

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<v Speaker 1>few days, just to catch people up to speed. I

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<v Speaker 1>think it starts with a statement from the UN Nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>Watchdog earlier this month. So the watchdog said Iran had

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<v Speaker 1>failed to comply with its international legal obligations to allow

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<v Speaker 1>independent monitors from the UN to fully investigate its nuclear sites.

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<v Speaker 1>It said it hadn't answered questions about activities at certain sites,

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<v Speaker 1>and it said Iran hadn't explained why it was accruing quote,

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<v Speaker 1>highly enriched urani, which is the kind that you need

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<v Speaker 1>for nuclear weapons rather than nuclear energy. The Watchdog did

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<v Speaker 1>not find that Iran had a nuclear weapon or had

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<v Speaker 1>made one, but it said it was the only nation

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<v Speaker 1>without nuclear weapons that is producing such material, which the

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<v Speaker 1>watchdog couldn't ignore given the potential proliferation implications and.

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<v Speaker 2>All of those international regulations that govern the nuclear energy

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<v Speaker 2>and nuclear warfare sphere or comes in this framework of

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<v Speaker 2>the international community trying to figure out how to prevent

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<v Speaker 2>a nuclear war essentially, But what do you mean by

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<v Speaker 2>the word proliferation?

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<v Speaker 1>In this context, the word proliferation means increasing the number

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<v Speaker 1>of nuclear weapons in the world. The UN's main treaty

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<v Speaker 1>on nuclear weapons is called the Treaty on the Non

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<v Speaker 1>Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, which binds countries to never acquire

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<v Speaker 1>nuclear weapons other than a handful which had developed and

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<v Speaker 1>detonated one before nineteen sixty seven. Iran had signed this treaty,

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<v Speaker 1>as has the US. Israel has not. Nuclear weapons are

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<v Speaker 1>obviously catastrophic. We know from the only time in history

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<v Speaker 1>they have been used in conflict, during World War II,

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<v Speaker 1>when the US dropped two atomic bombs on the Japanese

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<v Speaker 1>cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, how wide ranging and long

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<v Speaker 1>lasting the effects can be. There are strict regulations under

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<v Speaker 1>international law around which countries are allowed to have them.

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<v Speaker 1>As I said earlier, we have heard, though from governments

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<v Speaker 1>around the world, including our own, that Iran can never

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<v Speaker 1>be allowed to develop a nuclear weapon, can never become

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<v Speaker 1>a nuclear nation.

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<v Speaker 2>And what is it about Iran that puts it in

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<v Speaker 2>that category of country.

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<v Speaker 1>For some context origious statement from the G seven summit

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<v Speaker 1>earlier this month, where world leaders said Iran can never

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<v Speaker 1>have a nuclear weapon because it is the principal source

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<v Speaker 1>of regional instability and terror. We know so that Iran

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<v Speaker 1>financially and militarily supports a number of groups in the region,

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<v Speaker 1>Hamas in Gaza, Hesbla and Lebanon, and the Huthis in Yemen,

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<v Speaker 1>among others. All three groups are designated as terrorist organizations

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<v Speaker 1>by Australia. We also know that the Iranian regime has

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<v Speaker 1>said its goal is to destroy Israel, and again on

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<v Speaker 1>that note of concern about what it would do to

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<v Speaker 1>the region. Saudi Arabia, for example, has said it will

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<v Speaker 1>acquire nuclear weapons if Iran develops one. Israel is believed

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<v Speaker 1>to have nuclear weapons, but it has never publicly confirmed

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<v Speaker 1>or denied either way. Finally, in twenty fifteen, Iran signed

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<v Speaker 1>a treaty that it would not develop nuclear weapons, that

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<v Speaker 1>its nuclear program would only be for energy in exchange

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<v Speaker 1>for other countries, slowly lifting financial restrictions on Iran.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so let me kind of bring that all together.

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<v Speaker 2>You've got a country that is known to be supporting

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<v Speaker 2>and financially facilitating known terrorist groups in the region. And

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<v Speaker 2>it's a region where other countries have said, well, if

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<v Speaker 2>they keep developing their nuclear program, then we'll have to

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<v Speaker 2>as well. So you've got a backdrop of all of

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<v Speaker 2>these concerns. Then you have their promise of not developing

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<v Speaker 2>a weapon, and then last week we got this release

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<v Speaker 2>from the UN Nuclear watchdog saying there are concerns that

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<v Speaker 2>they are in fact making progress. Yeah. Then what after that?

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<v Speaker 1>Israel carried out a series of strikes on Iran. Israel

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<v Speaker 1>said it was targeting military and nuclear infrastructure, including the

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<v Speaker 1>residences of military generals in apartment buildings in Tehran. Here's

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<v Speaker 1>what Israeli PM Benjamin Netnya, who said was Israel's justification.

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<v Speaker 4>In recent months, Iran has taken steps that it has

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<v Speaker 4>never taken before, steps to weaponize this enriched uranium. If

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<v Speaker 4>not stopped, Iran could produce a nuclear weapon in a

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<v Speaker 4>very short time. It could be a year, it could

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<v Speaker 4>be within a few months, less than a you this

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<v Speaker 4>is a clear and present danger to Israel's very survival.

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<v Speaker 1>Iran, for its part, has repeatedly said its nuclear program

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<v Speaker 1>is entirely peaceful, Iran's supreme leader is called the Ayatollah,

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<v Speaker 1>and he said a few times in the past that

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<v Speaker 1>the use of nuclear weapons is haram or forbidden under Islam,

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<v Speaker 1>and Iran, as we know, is an Islamic republic ever

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<v Speaker 1>since its revolution in nineteen seventy nine. Iran responded by

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<v Speaker 1>striking back. It hit Israeli cities Telabev and Haifa. In

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<v Speaker 1>the ensuing days, the nations have struck each other with missiles.

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<v Speaker 1>Both sides say they're aiming for military infrastructure. Both sides

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<v Speaker 1>have killed and injured civilians. The latest death toll that

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<v Speaker 1>we have from Iranian authorities is four hundred and thirty deaths,

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<v Speaker 1>mainly civilians. Israeli authorities report twenty five civilian deaths. During

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<v Speaker 1>this time, there was a lot of discuss about whether

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<v Speaker 1>the US would strike Iran, as we mentioned at the

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<v Speaker 1>top of today's episode, given its close relationship with Israel

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<v Speaker 1>and its capabilities as the world's most powerful military.

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<v Speaker 2>It's crazy to think that from when that nuclear report

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<v Speaker 2>came out to last Friday was only about a week. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>it was about eight or nine days, So so much

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<v Speaker 2>happened in that period, and this idea of US involvement

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<v Speaker 2>started to become more and more present in the new cycle,

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<v Speaker 2>in the language with which all parties were speaking and

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<v Speaker 2>analyzing the situation. And then on Sunday morning, there was

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<v Speaker 2>this strike from the US and we found out via

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<v Speaker 2>a post to President Trump's social media platform Truth Social.

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<v Speaker 2>Tell me about the strike.

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<v Speaker 1>We know the US struck three nuclear sites in Iran.

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<v Speaker 1>US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth said on Sunday night

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<v Speaker 1>our time that the US flew B two Spirit planes,

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<v Speaker 1>which are really big and really quiet aircraft. He said

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<v Speaker 1>these were flown into Iranian airspace without being detected and

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<v Speaker 1>dropped what he called massive ordinance penetrators. We would know

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<v Speaker 1>these better as bunker busters. It's a kind of bomb

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<v Speaker 1>that drops deeply into the earth before exploding. These were

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<v Speaker 1>dropped because at least one of Iran's nuclear sites is

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<v Speaker 1>deep underground.

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<v Speaker 2>About ninety meters I think underground, so a substantial amount

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<v Speaker 2>of earth to get through with the bomb. Yeah, to

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<v Speaker 2>actually do some damage to the facility, yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Hegsath said it was the first time these had ever

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<v Speaker 1>been used. He added that the goal of the operation

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<v Speaker 1>was to quote neutralize the threats to our national interests

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<v Speaker 1>posed by the Iranian nuclear program and the collective self

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<v Speaker 1>defense of our troops and our ally Israel.

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<v Speaker 2>So to translate some of that kind of corporate political

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<v Speaker 2>speak to what Hags Earth is actually saying there, He's saying,

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<v Speaker 2>essentially that the US needed to bomb these Iranian nuclear

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<v Speaker 2>facilities because there was a threat to America and a

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<v Speaker 2>threat to Israel and a threat to American troops in

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<v Speaker 2>the region. Yeah, and what is his boss, President Trump

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<v Speaker 2>said about this?

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<v Speaker 1>Shortly after Trump made that truth social post, he spoke

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<v Speaker 1>at the White House. He is a bit of what

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<v Speaker 1>he said.

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<v Speaker 3>This cannot continue. There will be either peace or there

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<v Speaker 3>will be tragedy. For I ran far greater than we

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<v Speaker 3>have witnessed over the last eight days. Remember, there are

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<v Speaker 3>many targets left. The nights was the most difficult of

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<v Speaker 3>them all by far, and perhaps the most lethal. But

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<v Speaker 3>if peace does not come quickly, we will go after

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<v Speaker 3>those other targets with precision, speed and skill. Most of

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<v Speaker 3>them can be taken out in a matter of minutes.

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<v Speaker 2>And that last part of the statement, Lucy, was probably

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<v Speaker 2>of the most concerns of you and I when we

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<v Speaker 2>were watching that address live on Sunday. It really brought

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<v Speaker 2>to the fronts this idea that the US could continue

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<v Speaker 2>striving which the international community might consider more of a

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<v Speaker 2>full blown war with Iran, rather than this language around

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<v Speaker 2>a targeted strike, a limited strike, allumited operation. What has

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<v Speaker 2>the reaction been from Iran to these strikes, especially with

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<v Speaker 2>that framing by President Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>So Iran called for the UN Security Council to have

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<v Speaker 1>an emergency meeting, which happened on Monday morning our time.

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<v Speaker 1>The Security Council, for those who might not know, is

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<v Speaker 1>one of the UN's main bodies. It's responsible for the

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<v Speaker 1>maintenance of international peace and security. It's the only body

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<v Speaker 1>in the UN that actually has the power to make

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<v Speaker 1>decisions that member states are obligated to implement. It has

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<v Speaker 1>fifteen members. Some of these are permanent, some of them

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<v Speaker 1>are temporary. The US is one of the permanent members.

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<v Speaker 1>Australia has been a temporary member in the past. We

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<v Speaker 1>are not currently on the makeup of the Security Council.

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<v Speaker 1>So at that Security Council meeting, Iran's delegate used Netnyahu again,

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<v Speaker 1>he's the Israeli Prime Minister of quote hijacking US foreign policy,

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<v Speaker 1>dragging the United States into yet another costly, baseless war.

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<v Speaker 1>He called the US attack quote aggression and unlawful action,

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<v Speaker 1>and said the allegations of nuclear development were baseless. He

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<v Speaker 1>said Iran had a right to defend itself and that

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<v Speaker 1>its response would be quote proportionate in terms of what

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<v Speaker 1>that attack could involve. We should remember Iran is a

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<v Speaker 1>long way from even the US East Coast, and not

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<v Speaker 1>many countries have missiles that have a long enough range

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<v Speaker 1>to travel that far. I would think it would be

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<v Speaker 1>more likely for Iran to attack a US military base

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<v Speaker 1>in the region, which, as we said, was something that

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<v Speaker 1>Trump was thinking about.

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<v Speaker 2>The other potential, therefore, Iran is a response directly against

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<v Speaker 2>Israel they see as part of this duo with the US.

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<v Speaker 2>That indeed happened in the twenty four hours after the

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<v Speaker 2>strikes on the three nuclear facilities. What has the position

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<v Speaker 2>been from the US and Israel in the days since

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<v Speaker 2>the strike?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah. So.

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<v Speaker 1>At that Security Council meeting, the US said its move

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<v Speaker 1>was justified because of the UN Watchdog report and that

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<v Speaker 1>it needed to act now to quote eliminate a longstanding

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<v Speaker 1>but rapidly escalating source of global insecurity and to aid

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<v Speaker 1>our ally Israel in our inherent right of collective self defense.

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<v Speaker 1>Israel's representative called the attack a quote last line of defense,

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<v Speaker 1>saying the cost of inaction would have been catastrophic. A

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<v Speaker 1>nuclear Iran would have been a death sentence, just as

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<v Speaker 1>much for you as it would have been for us.

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<v Speaker 2>We'll be back with more of today's date dive right

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<v Speaker 2>after this. I want to talk a little bit more

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<v Speaker 2>about this idea about self defense and the way that

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<v Speaker 2>that's used in coordination with an idea of a preemptive

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<v Speaker 2>strike as well. There's been a number of times in

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<v Speaker 2>the international arena in the last couple of years that

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<v Speaker 2>we've seen self defense and preemptive strike language US. We

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<v Speaker 2>can talk about Hamas attacking Israel on the seventh of

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<v Speaker 2>October twenty twenty three. We can also talk about Russia

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<v Speaker 2>invading Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 4>The year before.

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<v Speaker 2>Where does this idea of self defense come from? Because

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<v Speaker 2>I know there's a body of international law. It's a

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<v Speaker 2>notoriously hard area to actually police, But give me a

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<v Speaker 2>sense of kind of the rule book that sits behind

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<v Speaker 2>all of this.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, the idea of the right to self defense comes

0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:29.520
<v Speaker 1>from the United Nations Charter. It's kind of its founding document.

0:13:29.600 --> 0:13:32.800
<v Speaker 1>It was signed when the organization was being formed in

0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:36.000
<v Speaker 1>the dying days of World War II. Under that charter,

0:13:36.160 --> 0:13:39.160
<v Speaker 1>which member states agree to, countries have a right to

0:13:39.240 --> 0:13:43.360
<v Speaker 1>quote individual or collective self defense if an armed attack

0:13:43.440 --> 0:13:46.720
<v Speaker 1>occurs against a member of the United Nations until the

0:13:46.760 --> 0:13:51.160
<v Speaker 1>Security Council has taken measures necessary to maintain international peace

0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:55.160
<v Speaker 1>and security. So that's what the US is talking about

0:13:55.200 --> 0:13:59.120
<v Speaker 1>in relation to collective self defense acting on behalf of

0:13:59.160 --> 0:14:02.480
<v Speaker 1>their ally is. It remains to be seen if the

0:14:02.600 --> 0:14:07.439
<v Speaker 1>UN its other members will accept the possibility of progress

0:14:07.520 --> 0:14:11.440
<v Speaker 1>towards a nuclear bomb as enough to justify an attack

0:14:11.480 --> 0:14:16.440
<v Speaker 1>of individual self defense by Israel on Iran. Iran would

0:14:16.480 --> 0:14:20.400
<v Speaker 1>argue and has argued, because Israel attacked it, it now

0:14:20.440 --> 0:14:22.040
<v Speaker 1>has a right to self defense.

0:14:22.240 --> 0:14:25.560
<v Speaker 2>So we've talked through the United Nations response to this

0:14:25.640 --> 0:14:30.080
<v Speaker 2>and the Security Council. Let's hone in though, on Australia's reaction. Yeah,

0:14:30.120 --> 0:14:32.840
<v Speaker 2>what has the reaction been from the Australian government.

0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:36.360
<v Speaker 1>We've heard that the government supports the US strikes, with

0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:40.320
<v Speaker 1>Foreign Minister Pennywong saying it supports quote action to prevent

0:14:40.400 --> 0:14:43.760
<v Speaker 1>Iran obtaining a nuclear weapon, and that is what this is.

0:14:44.480 --> 0:14:48.120
<v Speaker 1>She said, these sites are specific to Iran's nuclear program,

0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:50.680
<v Speaker 1>and we know that the UN Nuclear watchdog has said

0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:55.880
<v Speaker 1>that Iran is enriching to almost military levels. However, both

0:14:56.160 --> 0:15:00.520
<v Speaker 1>Penny Wong and Prime Minister Anthony Albanizi have been to

0:15:01.280 --> 0:15:06.280
<v Speaker 1>emphasize that these strikes were unilaterally from the US, that

0:15:06.360 --> 0:15:09.000
<v Speaker 1>this was carried out by the US without any other

0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:14.000
<v Speaker 1>country involved. The Prime Minister said Australia supported action to

0:15:14.040 --> 0:15:17.040
<v Speaker 1>prevent Iran from making a nuclear weapon, but said the

0:15:17.080 --> 0:15:21.520
<v Speaker 1>government wanted to quote diplomacy, dialogue and de escalation in

0:15:21.600 --> 0:15:22.200
<v Speaker 1>the region.

0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:24.640
<v Speaker 2>And the other part of this story is that there

0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:28.520
<v Speaker 2>are Australians in the conflict zone, both in Iran and

0:15:28.640 --> 0:15:32.560
<v Speaker 2>in Israel. What's the update on planned evacuations of these

0:15:32.800 --> 0:15:35.400
<v Speaker 2>citizens and their families in both of those countries.

0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:39.760
<v Speaker 1>So Penny one confirmed yesterday morning twenty nine hundred Australians

0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:43.680
<v Speaker 1>and their families have requested help to leave Iran. In Israel,

0:15:43.840 --> 0:15:47.120
<v Speaker 1>thirteen hundred Australians have applied to leave. The government is

0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:50.920
<v Speaker 1>working on various ways of getting people out of the region.

0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:54.600
<v Speaker 2>So ultimately where we're at is still a number of

0:15:54.680 --> 0:15:58.600
<v Speaker 2>unknowns and a lot of this story to still play

0:15:58.600 --> 0:16:01.160
<v Speaker 2>out over the week ahead. Lucy, I don't think this

0:16:01.200 --> 0:16:03.200
<v Speaker 2>is the last time we're going to be chatting about

0:16:03.200 --> 0:16:05.760
<v Speaker 2>this story on the podcast this week, let alone into

0:16:05.800 --> 0:16:08.560
<v Speaker 2>the future. Thank you for breaking down what happened over

0:16:08.600 --> 0:16:11.600
<v Speaker 2>the last couple of days, and we look forward to

0:16:11.840 --> 0:16:15.240
<v Speaker 2>chatting again as this story does progress. And thank you

0:16:15.320 --> 0:16:17.840
<v Speaker 2>for joining us on the Daily Os. We'd love to know,

0:16:17.880 --> 0:16:20.760
<v Speaker 2>as Lucy mentioned in the podcast, what questions you've got

0:16:20.800 --> 0:16:22.800
<v Speaker 2>about this topic so we can be as helpful as

0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:25.680
<v Speaker 2>possible amid the uncertainty. We'll be back again with some

0:16:25.720 --> 0:16:34.440
<v Speaker 2>headlines in the afternoon. Until then, have a beautiful day.

0:16:38.720 --> 0:16:41.040
<v Speaker 2>My name is Lily Maddon and I'm a proud Arunda

0:16:41.280 --> 0:16:46.080
<v Speaker 2>Bungelung Kalkuttin woman from Gadigol Country. The Daily os acknowledges

0:16:46.160 --> 0:16:48.320
<v Speaker 2>that this podcast is recorded on the lands of the

0:16:48.360 --> 0:16:51.880
<v Speaker 2>Gadighl people and pays respect to all Aboriginal and Torres

0:16:51.880 --> 0:16:54.840
<v Speaker 2>Strait Island and nations. We pay our respects to the

0:16:54.840 --> 0:16:57.640
<v Speaker 2>first peoples of these countries, both past and present.