WEBVTT - Your questions about the election, answered

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<v Speaker 1>This podcast is produced in partnership with the Australian Electoral Commission.

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<v Speaker 1>Camera already and.

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<v Speaker 2>This is the Daily This is the Daily OS.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh now it makes sense. Good morning and welcome to

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<v Speaker 3>the Daily OS. It's Sunday, the twenty seventh of April.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm belief, it's Simon's.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Sam because losky Sam.

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<v Speaker 3>Can you smell that?

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<v Speaker 1>Is that a democracy?

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<v Speaker 3>It is the smell of democracy in action. And we

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<v Speaker 3>are so happy, aren't we, Sam, to be here on

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<v Speaker 3>another Sunday with another bonus episode, this time on all

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<v Speaker 3>of the questions that you have about Australia's election process.

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<v Speaker 3>Think of this as going right back to the basics.

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<v Speaker 3>We are doing politics one oh one.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a good time to tune in, isn't it. Because

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<v Speaker 1>we are going to the polls next Saturday.

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<v Speaker 3>It is a very good time to tune in all

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<v Speaker 3>of Australia. Like you said, Sam will be heading to

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<v Speaker 3>the polls on Saturday day, the third of May, when

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<v Speaker 3>the country will decide who will next form government. Now,

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<v Speaker 3>Sam over on Instagram, We asked our audience what they

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<v Speaker 3>wanted to know and we were completely inundated with questions.

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<v Speaker 3>So today we are answering all of those questions.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's start off with the first one from Sharane. She

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<v Speaker 1>asked what positions or roles are we actually voting for.

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<v Speaker 3>That's the perfect one to start us off because it

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<v Speaker 3>does take us right back to the basics and it's

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<v Speaker 3>really important for us to understand. So in this election,

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<v Speaker 3>we're all actually voting for a couple of things at

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<v Speaker 3>the federal election. So you're voting for who you want

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<v Speaker 3>to represent your local area in the House of Representatives,

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<v Speaker 3>and you're also voting for who you want to represent

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<v Speaker 3>your state or territory in the Senate. Now, I think

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<v Speaker 3>for this episode we will mostly focus on the House

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<v Speaker 3>of Representatives just because that is the house that determines

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<v Speaker 3>which party will be in government.

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<v Speaker 1>Cool.

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<v Speaker 3>So it's in the House of Reps that voters will

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<v Speaker 3>be electing someone from their area, which is also known

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<v Speaker 3>as an electorate, and that person will speak on their

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<v Speaker 3>behalf in Parliament. Now, Sam, do you know how many

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<v Speaker 3>electorates there are in Australia, Well, I.

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<v Speaker 1>Do know that you need seventy six seats to win.

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<v Speaker 1>That is true, So therefore there would be seventy five

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<v Speaker 1>times two, which is one hundred and fifty.

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<v Speaker 3>That is true and a great guest because last election

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<v Speaker 3>there were actually one hundred and fifty one electorates, but

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<v Speaker 3>now there's been a redistribution and now, yeah, did you

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<v Speaker 3>not know?

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<v Speaker 1>I didn't know that.

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<v Speaker 3>I love that you learned something new along with the audience.

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<v Speaker 3>That's so good. So now there are one hundred and

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<v Speaker 3>fifty electorates in Australia, and so that means that there

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<v Speaker 3>are one hundred and fifty seats up for grabs in

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<v Speaker 3>the House of Reps. And those electorates are based on

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<v Speaker 3>population side, so there are roughly about one hundred and

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<v Speaker 3>twenty thousand voters who live in each electorate.

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<v Speaker 1>And then I imagine that would mean that there's many

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<v Speaker 1>electorates in a metropolitan city, but then an electorate might

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<v Speaker 1>be really massive in the outback or exactly in some

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<v Speaker 1>of the more regional areas.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, definitely. And each electorate will have several different candidates,

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<v Speaker 3>usually one from each major party, so from the Labor

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<v Speaker 3>Party and the Liberal Party, and then some from minor

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<v Speaker 3>parties and others will also have independence running in that electorate,

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<v Speaker 3>which means that they just don't belong to a registered party.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's kind of like, there's one hundred and fifty

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<v Speaker 1>different races happening all at once, and the party or

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<v Speaker 1>the coalition of parties that wins the seventy six number

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<v Speaker 1>across the races is going to be the next government exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>So there literally are one hundred and fifty different races

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<v Speaker 3>happening at once. Plus there's also the eight Senate races.

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<v Speaker 3>I know, we said that we were just going to

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<v Speaker 3>focus on the House of Reps, but you can't forget

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<v Speaker 3>about the Senate, so there are also eight Senate races.

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<v Speaker 3>But yeah, I think that's important thing to point out

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<v Speaker 3>because often you just focus on kind of the one

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<v Speaker 3>big federal election race, but in reality, there are so

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<v Speaker 3>many different races all happening at once, which determines that

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<v Speaker 3>one overall big.

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<v Speaker 1>Race, which makes Saturday night, when everyone's counting one hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and fifty races at once or trying to figure out

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<v Speaker 1>what the numbers mean and where and why, it makes

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<v Speaker 1>it such a chaotic, bit exciting night.

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<v Speaker 3>All the more exciting. Yeah, and it's because of this,

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<v Speaker 3>of what's happening in all the different electorates that you

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<v Speaker 3>won't actually see either Labor leader Anthony Albanesi or Liberal

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<v Speaker 3>Party leader Peter Dunden on your ballot paper unless you

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<v Speaker 3>are in their actual electorate. And it's also why when

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<v Speaker 3>you know you're walking around your area and you see

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<v Speaker 3>lots of posters up for the election, you're probably not

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<v Speaker 3>seeing Albanesi or Dudden's faces. You're seeing the faces and

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<v Speaker 3>names of the local candidates in your electorate, which.

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<v Speaker 1>Is one of the big differences we have with the

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<v Speaker 1>American presidential system. Yeah, where it's all about kind of

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<v Speaker 1>the two leaders. We've got that one hundred and fifty

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<v Speaker 1>race system. And when you said the House of Representatives

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<v Speaker 1>is where the government's formed, tell me a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>more about how that actually works, Like how do you

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<v Speaker 1>form a government?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, you kind of just answer that by saying that

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<v Speaker 3>they need to have at least seventy six seats. So

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<v Speaker 3>to just take a quick step back, so to form government,

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<v Speaker 3>a party needs to have at least seventy six of

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<v Speaker 3>their party members winning their electorate. You kind of already

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<v Speaker 3>did the mass for us, sam be I'll do it again.

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<v Speaker 3>So seventy six is the magic number because it is

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<v Speaker 3>a majority of the one hundred and fifty seats up.

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<v Speaker 1>For grabs, And I literally picture a pigraph of the

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<v Speaker 1>House of Reps in my head, and see that kind

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<v Speaker 1>of middle point. And if you can sneak over a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit into the other side, you're forming government.

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<v Speaker 3>You're in government. And it's the Labor Party and the Coalition,

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<v Speaker 3>which is made up of the Liberal and National Parties,

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<v Speaker 3>who are usually the two groups who are able to

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<v Speaker 3>form that majority. So they're trying to reach that number

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<v Speaker 3>of seventy six seats at the election next Saturday.

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<v Speaker 1>And that might happen on Saturday night if they've got

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<v Speaker 1>heaps of seats, but it might take a little bit longer,

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<v Speaker 1>and they might have to kind of figure out deals

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<v Speaker 1>with smaller parties and independence to form a minority government. Right.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, And that is another question that we got a lot,

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<v Speaker 3>which is what exactly is a minority government.

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<v Speaker 1>I hear that term thrown around a lot every couple

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<v Speaker 1>of elections. I feel like it's kind of an almost

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<v Speaker 1>predicted result every so often. Can you explain exactly what

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<v Speaker 1>that means?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So if no one reaches that magic number of

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<v Speaker 3>seventy six seats, then that's when our attention turns to

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<v Speaker 3>a minority government, which is also known as a hung parliament.

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<v Speaker 3>And it means that the major parties will need to

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<v Speaker 3>negotiate with minor parties or independents to form government. Now,

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<v Speaker 3>this doesn't mean that those parties formally join forces or

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<v Speaker 3>that the minor parties and independence become part of the government. Rather,

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<v Speaker 3>they kind of just agree to guarantee something called confidence

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<v Speaker 3>and supply.

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<v Speaker 1>Explain what that means.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So that means that they agree to keep the

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<v Speaker 3>government in power and to vote to pass the budget

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<v Speaker 3>so that money can be allocated to keep the country

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<v Speaker 3>essentially running. And in exchange for that support, minor parties

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<v Speaker 3>and independents will likely impose some sort of conditions which

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<v Speaker 3>could look like support for particular policies that are important

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<v Speaker 3>to them.

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<v Speaker 1>I remember it would have to be maybe fifteen years

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<v Speaker 1>ago or so. Now we went through one of these

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<v Speaker 1>scenarios and it was down to a group of three

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<v Speaker 1>independents to pick who they were going to back for

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<v Speaker 1>that confidence and supply.

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<v Speaker 3>You're talking about when Julia Gillard was Prime Minister exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and I remember it almost feeling like a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit of an Australian Idol style press conference when they

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<v Speaker 1>were announcing who they were going to back, and it

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<v Speaker 1>was incredible that we have this big system with all

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<v Speaker 1>of these races all over the country, and because of

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<v Speaker 1>the dynamics of that election, it all came down to

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<v Speaker 1>who those independents were going to back.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm picturing like ten year old Sam or twelve year

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<v Speaker 3>old Sam when that was going on TV. So excited.

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<v Speaker 1>But it can be really confusing.

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<v Speaker 3>It can be confusing, and so I want to just

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<v Speaker 3>give you an example, and I'm going to use made

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<v Speaker 3>up parties and policies here to just explain how a

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<v Speaker 3>minority government works. So, Sam, let's say the Orange Party

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<v Speaker 3>is a major party and they after the election has

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<v Speaker 3>been held, only have seventy four seats.

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<v Speaker 1>So on my pigraph, in my head, they're not over

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<v Speaker 1>the halfway line.

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<v Speaker 3>They're not over the halfway line, and so they need

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<v Speaker 3>two more seats to form government and to get over

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<v Speaker 3>that halfway line. And then let's say that we have

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<v Speaker 3>the Pink Party, which is a minority party, and they

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<v Speaker 3>have won two seats. So if the Orange Party and

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<v Speaker 3>the Pink Party came together, then that would mean that

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<v Speaker 3>they have seventy six seats and that's enough to form government.

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<v Speaker 3>So Sam, in your paragraph, that's about fifty one percent

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<v Speaker 3>or maybe a little bit over if my mass is correct,

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<v Speaker 3>and that could mean that they could then form government,

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<v Speaker 3>but in exchange for it support the Pink Party, which

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<v Speaker 3>is the minor party. They might say, I can a

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<v Speaker 3>lot about every person getting a free puppy, and I'll

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<v Speaker 3>only support you if you make that law. And so

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<v Speaker 3>then it's up to the Orange Party, the major party,

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<v Speaker 3>to decide whether or not they're actually willing to make

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<v Speaker 3>that compromise, since giving everyone free puppies wasn't actually part

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<v Speaker 3>of what they wanted to do when they were campaigning

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<v Speaker 3>to be in government.

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<v Speaker 1>It's such an interesting way that power can kind of

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<v Speaker 1>evolve in those situations. I mean, it's a quirk of

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<v Speaker 1>the system.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah. And so basically, if you're kind of listening to

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<v Speaker 3>this and a little bit lost, all you need to

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<v Speaker 3>know is that when it comes to the House of Representatives,

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<v Speaker 3>which is where government is formed, minor parties and independents

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<v Speaker 3>are most important. When there is a minority government.

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<v Speaker 1>Can you imagine a country where everyone had a free puppy.

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<v Speaker 3>That's why I use that example because I think it

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<v Speaker 3>would be a happier country.

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<v Speaker 1>I would try and figure out how to be selling

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<v Speaker 1>like leashes or you've got that's incredible. Let's let's stick

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<v Speaker 1>to a more real, listic scenario. Though. The next question

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<v Speaker 1>came through. It's a really interesting one. Tell me about

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<v Speaker 1>a marginal seat.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, so a marginal seat is basically an electorate where

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<v Speaker 3>it's not clear who's going to win because it appears

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<v Speaker 3>to be a really close race.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's worth noting that we don't actually know who's

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<v Speaker 1>going to win in any seat though, right.

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<v Speaker 3>No, that's true, But the AEC has a formal definition

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<v Speaker 3>of a marginal seat, so they define it as one

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<v Speaker 3>where the winner last time, So at the last election

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<v Speaker 3>in twenty twenty two received less than fifty six percent

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<v Speaker 3>of the final vote. Now, last election, they were actually

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<v Speaker 3>about a third of the seat, so a third of

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<v Speaker 3>the one hundred and fifty one remember last time, it

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<v Speaker 3>was different. A third of the one hundred and fifty

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<v Speaker 3>one seats that fit that description of being a marginal seat.

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<v Speaker 3>So that's quite a few. So that tells us that

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<v Speaker 3>there were lots of really tight races at the last election. Now,

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<v Speaker 3>anything above that fifty six percent vote is considered a

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<v Speaker 3>safe seat. So those are the ones where we can

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<v Speaker 3>pretty confidently say who will win that race, got it.

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<v Speaker 3>But it's the marginal seats that tend to get a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of the attention because they are ultimately the ones

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<v Speaker 3>that will determine who wins government.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, that's really interesting and it kind of gives you

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit of guidance. If you're sitting on the

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<v Speaker 1>couch next Saturday night watching the election, what you should

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<v Speaker 1>be focused on is how some of those marginal seats

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<v Speaker 1>are going to fall. Definitely, Billy, we've got time for

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<v Speaker 1>one more question. What if the leader of the winning

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<v Speaker 1>party doesn't win their seat, So Anthony Aberenezi or Peter Dutton,

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<v Speaker 1>whoever wins, they're one of the one hundred and fifty races.

0:11:43.640 --> 0:11:46.480
<v Speaker 1>If they don't win their seat locally, what happens then?

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<v Speaker 3>So in theory, that could happen because, like you just said, Sam,

0:11:50.559 --> 0:11:53.079
<v Speaker 3>the leaders of the parties they don't just need to

0:11:53.120 --> 0:11:55.720
<v Speaker 3>win the election, they also need to win the race

0:11:55.800 --> 0:11:58.800
<v Speaker 3>in their electorate. Now, I do think it's worth mentioning

0:11:58.840 --> 0:12:01.199
<v Speaker 3>that this is rare that it would happened, but it

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<v Speaker 3>can happen. So the most recent example which I only

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<v Speaker 3>learned about this whilst researching for this podcast, and I

0:12:08.400 --> 0:12:10.959
<v Speaker 3>couldn't believe. I didn't know it was so interesting. You're

0:12:11.000 --> 0:12:12.040
<v Speaker 3>a political not so you're.

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<v Speaker 1>Absolutely eleven year old Sam soaked this up.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, So for those who don't know, the most recent

0:12:18.960 --> 0:12:22.000
<v Speaker 3>example of something slightly similar happening is in two thousand

0:12:22.040 --> 0:12:26.079
<v Speaker 3>and seven when John Howard, who was the incumbent Prime

0:12:26.080 --> 0:12:28.480
<v Speaker 3>Minister at the time, and he was also the leader

0:12:28.520 --> 0:12:32.400
<v Speaker 3>of the Liberal Party, he lost his electorate during the

0:12:32.440 --> 0:12:35.600
<v Speaker 3>two thousand and seven election. He lost it to Kevin

0:12:35.720 --> 0:12:38.160
<v Speaker 3>Right at Kevin O seven. How could we forget? But

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<v Speaker 3>the difference with the question that you asked is that

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<v Speaker 3>he didn't just lose his seat. His party, the Liberal Party,

0:12:44.640 --> 0:12:46.440
<v Speaker 3>also lost the entire election.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you know who he lost his seat to.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's a female journalist.

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<v Speaker 1>Maxine McHugh, a former ABC journalist.

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<v Speaker 3>Interesting who's no longer in politics.

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<v Speaker 1>No longer in politics, But for an eleven year old

0:13:00.280 --> 0:13:02.360
<v Speaker 1>Sam aspiring journalist, that was pretty cool.

0:13:02.520 --> 0:13:04.400
<v Speaker 3>Eleven year old Sam is getting so much air time.

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<v Speaker 3>He would be so proud, he would be so proud.

0:13:06.600 --> 0:13:09.080
<v Speaker 3>But just quickly to answer your actual question of what

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<v Speaker 3>would happen if a leader of a party lost their

0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:16.640
<v Speaker 3>seat but the party won the entire election. If that happened,

0:13:17.080 --> 0:13:20.400
<v Speaker 3>then the party would simply need to decide who the

0:13:20.440 --> 0:13:22.280
<v Speaker 3>new leader of their party would be.

0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:25.920
<v Speaker 1>Right, So it's unlikely, but there is a process of

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<v Speaker 1>what could happen should that be the case. And it

0:13:28.200 --> 0:13:32.320
<v Speaker 1>does just remind us all that we operate in this party.

0:13:31.960 --> 0:13:34.040
<v Speaker 3>Structure and it is That's what I was going to say.

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<v Speaker 1>It's less about the prime minister.

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<v Speaker 3>It is much less about the prime minister because in

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<v Speaker 3>Australia we are voting for which party we want to govern,

0:13:41.760 --> 0:13:44.840
<v Speaker 3>not which leader we want to be our prime minister.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like we were all taught that in school,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's always worth reminding ourselves that that's how our

0:13:49.920 --> 0:13:51.160
<v Speaker 1>system actually works.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and you mentioned the differences with the US before.

0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:57.800
<v Speaker 3>That's again the key difference. We are voting for the party,

0:13:57.840 --> 0:13:59.480
<v Speaker 3>We're not voting for the leader.

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<v Speaker 1>It's really important to get familiar with the mechanics of

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<v Speaker 1>the election and I think it's a point of pride

0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:09.480
<v Speaker 1>always for me when we dive into how our democracy works,

0:14:10.360 --> 0:14:13.839
<v Speaker 1>all the different tools available to politicians to get over

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<v Speaker 1>the line get that magic seventy six seat number. Billy,

0:14:17.040 --> 0:14:19.080
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for taking us through that, Thank

0:14:19.120 --> 0:14:21.760
<v Speaker 1>you so much, and we'll be back in your ears

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<v Speaker 1>tomorrow morning for the final countdown towards the federal election.

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<v Speaker 1>It's only six days away now. That is super exciting,

0:14:30.200 --> 0:14:32.400
<v Speaker 1>a huge week for news, a huge week for the

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<v Speaker 1>Daily os. We can't wait to be there with you.

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<v Speaker 2>See then, my name is Lily Maddon and I'm a

0:14:41.280 --> 0:14:46.080
<v Speaker 2>proud Arunda Bunjelung Kalkotin woman from Gadigl Country. The Daily

0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:49.160
<v Speaker 2>oz acknowledges that this podcast is recorded on the lands

0:14:49.160 --> 0:14:52.400
<v Speaker 2>of the Gadighl people and pays respect to all Aboriginal

0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:55.400
<v Speaker 2>and Torres Strait Island and nations. We pay our respects

0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:58.600
<v Speaker 2>to the first peoples of these countries, both past and present.