WEBVTT - Kopi Time E142 - Tech and security with Gaurav Keerthi

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Copy Time, a podcast series on Markets and

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<v Speaker 1>Economies from D BS Group Research. I'm Timur, big chief economist,

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<v Speaker 1>welcoming you to our 142nd episode. We've had experts from

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<v Speaker 1>many walks of life on copy time, but a former

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<v Speaker 1>military officer, I'm quite sure if that's a first today.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm looking forward to having a chat with gov Ky,

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<v Speaker 1>head of Advisory and Emerging Business at Ensign Infosec Security.

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<v Speaker 1>His advisory firm helps organizations boards and leadership navigate cybersecurity

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<v Speaker 1>risks in their digital transformation.

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<v Speaker 1>Previously, Brigadier General Kirti was the Deputy chief executive of

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<v Speaker 1>the cybersecurity Agency of Singapore and the Deputy Commissioner for cybersecurity.

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<v Speaker 1>He was formerly a pilot in the Republic of Singapore

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<v Speaker 1>Air Force and rose to become the Commander of the

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<v Speaker 1>Air Defense and Operations Command K. Kirti. Welcome to Kobe Time.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much for having me looking forward to

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<v Speaker 2>the conversation.

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<v Speaker 1>It's

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<v Speaker 1>great to, great to have you. I've been looking forward

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<v Speaker 1>to this chat gov, I'm going to try to get

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<v Speaker 1>our conversation going with the intersection of geopolitics and cyber security.

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<v Speaker 1>I remember a couple of years ago when Russia's invasion

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<v Speaker 1>of Ukraine began, there were all these fears, particularly in

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<v Speaker 1>Europe

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<v Speaker 1>grids will shut down and hacking will take place and

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<v Speaker 1>then with all the stuff that's going on in the

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<v Speaker 1>Middle East, we've seen Israel, you know, do cyber attacks

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<v Speaker 1>on Iran's nuclear facility. Iran has tried to match, I

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<v Speaker 1>think they have failed to match the Israelis, but they've tried.

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<v Speaker 1>So there are all sorts of things going on. So

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<v Speaker 1>tell us a little bit about that area where geopolitics

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<v Speaker 1>collides with cybersecurity.

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<v Speaker 2>Sure. So that's a fascinating question. It's a great place

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<v Speaker 2>to start because there's so much happening there.

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<v Speaker 2>And it's probably the place where most people read about

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<v Speaker 2>it in the news. That's the stuff that grabs the headlines.

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<v Speaker 2>But let me step back a little bit just to

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<v Speaker 2>help people understand why it's become such an intersection. Fundamentally,

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<v Speaker 2>the internet is insecure. It was not built securely. It

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<v Speaker 2>was built by a bunch of tech nerds and universities

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<v Speaker 2>to help them share information. So it's never built to

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<v Speaker 2>be that robust to withstand that kind of attacks, the

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<v Speaker 2>stuff that we built on top of it, all the

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<v Speaker 2>software or the content

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<v Speaker 2>also not built with security in mind. There's this whole

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<v Speaker 2>movement now to make things secure by design because surprise

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<v Speaker 2>they were not secure by design.

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<v Speaker 2>The second thing about the internet that we need to

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<v Speaker 2>understand is that there is an asymmetry, Attackers have the advantage.

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<v Speaker 2>It is the only place where you can get robbed

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<v Speaker 2>from 1000 miles away. And in the physical world, you

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<v Speaker 2>have your wallet, you have your phone in your pockets.

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<v Speaker 2>As long as you keep your hands nearby, you can

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<v Speaker 2>avoid being pickpocketed because somebody has to come up close

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<v Speaker 2>to you. There's a physical proximity to a real world robbery.

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<v Speaker 2>But in the digital world, firstly, it's built insecurely. And secondly,

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<v Speaker 2>there's this geographical depth that people can have, the Attackers

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<v Speaker 2>can rob anything anywhere

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<v Speaker 2>you put those two together and you have a toxic

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<v Speaker 2>and potent combination for Attackers running wild. So that's the

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<v Speaker 2>starting point.

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<v Speaker 2>There are three types of Attackers that we talk about

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<v Speaker 2>when we talk about geopolitics and generally cyber attacks. The

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<v Speaker 2>first are the ones that are state sponsored. There are

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<v Speaker 2>some bad guys out there who it's their day job.

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<v Speaker 2>They are funded by either the government or the military

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<v Speaker 2>of that country to specifically go after digital targets. And

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<v Speaker 2>that's that, that day job. Their mission, they work 9

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<v Speaker 2>to 5 hours and that's what they do.

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<v Speaker 2>There's another group which are ideologically motivated.

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<v Speaker 2>They can be sometimes state affiliated. They believe in the

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<v Speaker 2>vision of their country. You mentioned Russia, Ukraine. That was

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<v Speaker 2>a very good example. I'll talk about that later on

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<v Speaker 2>and they want to push a certain message out. Sometimes

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<v Speaker 2>it's cause based, sometimes it's country based, sometimes it's supporting

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<v Speaker 2>their country in war.

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<v Speaker 2>The third group are the straightforward ones, criminals. They just

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<v Speaker 2>want the money. But in geopolitical contest, sometimes they want

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<v Speaker 2>money to sponsor activities that their cause is doing or

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<v Speaker 2>sometimes they want the money to loot while there's a ramp,

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<v Speaker 2>while there's chaos going on.

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<v Speaker 2>So those are the Attackers. Now we come to the

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<v Speaker 2>geopolitics itself and the stuff that we're reading about. The

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<v Speaker 2>most exciting event in the last couple of weeks was

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<v Speaker 2>the US election.

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<v Speaker 2>Elections are a great time for Attackers to go to

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<v Speaker 2>work for a number of reasons. Those who are state

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<v Speaker 2>sponsored Attackers,

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<v Speaker 2>they want to influence the outcome. Some countries want their

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<v Speaker 2>preferred candidate to win. Some countries want just so instability

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<v Speaker 2>and discord within a country to make them less effective

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<v Speaker 2>as a competitor. And there are all sorts of narratives

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<v Speaker 2>that go on at play in an election anyways,

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of the attacks that you usually read about

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<v Speaker 2>are information attacks, fake news about this candidate, fake news

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<v Speaker 2>about that party, fake news about this incident. That's the

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<v Speaker 2>information space,

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<v Speaker 2>but there's a lot of attacks that happened on not

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<v Speaker 2>just election infrastructure but technical infrastructure in the run up

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<v Speaker 2>to an election to cause people to lose a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit of faith in the prevailing party or system.

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<v Speaker 2>One of the most compelling hacks that we saw in

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<v Speaker 2>recent years was the Democratic National Congress hack where a

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<v Speaker 2>whole bunch of emails were leaked out. Was there anything

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<v Speaker 2>terribly damaging in the emails? Not really, but it cast

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<v Speaker 2>shadow over the particular candidate that was hacked and in

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<v Speaker 2>the end, that can be lost because of the hack,

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<v Speaker 2>maybe not but became enough of a trending conversation. Obviously,

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<v Speaker 2>since then, all of the candidates have learned how to

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<v Speaker 2>protect themselves and to protect themselves a bit better in

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<v Speaker 2>an election.

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<v Speaker 2>But geopolitics and cyber interface most sharply when it comes

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<v Speaker 2>to elections.

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<v Speaker 1>Can I ask you one

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<v Speaker 1>question, elections, electronic voting

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<v Speaker 1>machines?

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<v Speaker 2>That's a great question. So look, there is this conference

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<v Speaker 2>in the US called De Corner Love it. It's a

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<v Speaker 2>conference where

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<v Speaker 2>many industries have conferences. This is an industry conference among

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<v Speaker 2>the bad guys. So they come together and they're not

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<v Speaker 2>really bad people. They just people who are interested in

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<v Speaker 2>how things work and how to break things. So they

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<v Speaker 2>get together, we call them white hats. Some of them

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<v Speaker 2>are gray hats, some of them are black hats, which

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<v Speaker 2>means they operate in the not so legal realm of work.

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<v Speaker 2>But one of the things that they do is they

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<v Speaker 2>look at election voting machines, electronic voting machines and they

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<v Speaker 2>try to see if they can break it.

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<v Speaker 2>Surprise, surprise, all of the voting machines can be broken,

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<v Speaker 2>they can all be interfered with. And the challenge is

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<v Speaker 2>that actually building an an election system at scale in

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<v Speaker 2>a large country which is completely immune to disruption or

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<v Speaker 2>interference is incredibly expensive and difficult

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<v Speaker 2>as a result. Most countries still use paper ballot,

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<v Speaker 2>much harder to interfere with that. But even then, even

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<v Speaker 2>if you're voting on paper at some point, you have

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<v Speaker 2>to count the number of slips and send that electronically

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<v Speaker 2>to somebody else. Those systems are also part of the

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<v Speaker 2>whole machinery that people try to interrupt. And even if

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<v Speaker 2>you can change the result, just disrupting the sending of

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<v Speaker 2>data from one state back to central

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<v Speaker 2>has significant implications. There's timelines they need to meet if

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<v Speaker 2>your system goes down and you can't meet that count

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<v Speaker 2>before the clock ends.

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<v Speaker 2>What does that mean? Is it an invalid election? Do

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<v Speaker 2>you need to do it again? Is there doubt over

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<v Speaker 2>the quality of the results? Just showing that kind of

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<v Speaker 2>doubt is enough. So electronic voting machines, people have been

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<v Speaker 2>studying them for a while but the cost of implementing

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<v Speaker 2>them at scale, I mean for a small country like Singapore,

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<v Speaker 2>maybe you can get away with it. But for a

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<v Speaker 2>much larger country which is geographically spread out, it's expensive.

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<v Speaker 1>We've had some really large elections this year. Indonesia, India,

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<v Speaker 1>United States. So literally billions of people have voted this year.

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<v Speaker 1>So shall we take some comfort in that this year

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<v Speaker 1>was not characterized by hiking related risks on elections?

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<v Speaker 2>I

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<v Speaker 1>think.

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<v Speaker 2>So we can take some comfort from it, but I

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<v Speaker 2>will

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<v Speaker 2>color it slightly differently.

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<v Speaker 2>There were enough other reasons for cyber Attackers to go

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<v Speaker 2>on war without having the elections as the primary target

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<v Speaker 2>this year. As you mentioned at the start was there's

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<v Speaker 2>conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Still the Middle East conflict

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<v Speaker 2>has really expanded. The East West tensions have also grown

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<v Speaker 2>quite significantly, particularly China and the West. In terms of

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<v Speaker 2>tech application, there are layers and layers than the South

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<v Speaker 2>China Sea in Taiwan. There's layers and layers of confrontations

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<v Speaker 2>happening around the world.

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<v Speaker 2>There's enough reasons for people to be involved in cyberattacks

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<v Speaker 2>already without having to target specifically elections. So that's the

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<v Speaker 2>not so good news of it

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<v Speaker 1>when we talk about ju political actors who are adversaries.

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<v Speaker 1>But are you telling me that sometimes they are also

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<v Speaker 1>going after a very mundane private sector stuff which we

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<v Speaker 1>might think that actually are targets of playing. They are

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<v Speaker 1>bad guys. But actually those 9 to 5 guys who

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<v Speaker 1>are getting paid to work for a country or a

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<v Speaker 1>cause are also doing what we think are just like

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<v Speaker 1>going after companies ransomware or companies. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah. So there's a really difficult line to draw between

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<v Speaker 2>pure espionage state actors and then the cyber criminal gangs.

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<v Speaker 2>I'll give you one specific example. So North Korea, there's

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<v Speaker 2>a group called Lazarus, the Lazarus group which is strongly

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<v Speaker 2>affiliated to them. They go after the financial sector targets

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<v Speaker 2>in ransomware. Usually if your browser slows down, they are

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<v Speaker 2>the culprits, they're crypto mining on your, on your systems

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<v Speaker 2>and they've done some really fascinating hacks including I think

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<v Speaker 2>a couple of years ago the Bangladesh Bank Heist, which

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<v Speaker 2>in and of itself should at some point be made

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<v Speaker 2>into a Hollywood movie. They are already podcasts and there's

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<v Speaker 2>a show about it which you should watch, but

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<v Speaker 2>they are both financially motivated and state motivated in the

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<v Speaker 2>sense that North Korea has a number of restrictions on

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<v Speaker 2>what they can do to earn money.

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<v Speaker 2>Cybercrime is a great way to augment that. And there

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<v Speaker 2>are some uh kind of uh studies floating around that

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<v Speaker 2>suggest that close to a third of North Korea's income

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<v Speaker 2>comes out of the Lazarus group.

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<v Speaker 2>It is. If you imagine what a third of your

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<v Speaker 2>GDP A contribute to that would be looking like that's

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<v Speaker 2>huge for a country. So that is the kind of

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<v Speaker 2>scale that they operate in now. Are they purely commercial?

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<v Speaker 2>Are they purely state sponsored? Nobody really knows, how much

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<v Speaker 2>do they get to keep themselves? We're also unclear. But

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<v Speaker 2>we do know that if you have access to high

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<v Speaker 2>speed internet in North Korea,

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<v Speaker 2>somebody gave you that access, you didn't just walk into

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<v Speaker 2>a store and buy a modem and like log in,

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<v Speaker 2>somebody gave you that access, somebody is allowing you to

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<v Speaker 2>have that kind of connectivity. If you're logging in through

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<v Speaker 2>VPN servers that connect through places, we think our embassies

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<v Speaker 2>in overseas countries, somebody is allowing you to route that traffic.

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<v Speaker 1>OK. I want to stay with your politics. But before that,

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<v Speaker 1>on that very specific question, North Koreans who have massive

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<v Speaker 1>sanctions and restrictions on receiving payments are still getting ransomware done.

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<v Speaker 1>So they are settling in Cryptocurrency.

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<v Speaker 2>There are. Yes. So they are settling in Cryptocurrency. And

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<v Speaker 2>in fact, if you look at the whole ecosystem of ransomware,

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<v Speaker 2>which is another fascinating topic, might as well get into it.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a fun area. Ransomware has evolved from being a

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<v Speaker 2>very niche, bespoke technical attack to being an ecosystem. It's

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<v Speaker 2>an entire economy out there. In fact,

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<v Speaker 2>there are estimates that if you add together the entire

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<v Speaker 2>cyber criminal ecosystem in the world, it is the third

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<v Speaker 2>largest economy,

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<v Speaker 2>it is the third largest economy in the world. That's

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<v Speaker 2>how much money is being floating around. Now. Obviously, it's

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<v Speaker 2>hard to estimate what it actually is because a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of it is in Cryptocurrency and Cryptocurrency today could be

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<v Speaker 2>the

0:10:52.080 --> 0:10:54.020
<v Speaker 2>could be 95,000, it could be 80,000, it could be

0:10:54.030 --> 0:10:56.079
<v Speaker 2>10,000 depending on what happens. So it's really hard to

0:10:56.090 --> 0:10:59.239
<v Speaker 2>estimate the value, but it is huge. Cryptocurrency provides a

0:10:59.250 --> 0:11:03.799
<v Speaker 2>great way for people to obfuscate their intentions and their transactions.

0:11:04.090 --> 0:11:07.030
<v Speaker 2>Even though a lot of the legitimate cryptocurrencies, we talk

0:11:07.039 --> 0:11:11.440
<v Speaker 2>about Bitcoins advertise themselves as having the ledger that give

0:11:11.450 --> 0:11:13.439
<v Speaker 2>clarity and transparency of transactions.

0:11:13.900 --> 0:11:16.809
<v Speaker 2>There are alternative cryptocurrencies like Monro for example, and if

0:11:16.820 --> 0:11:19.099
<v Speaker 2>you go to, please don't. But if you ever visit

0:11:19.109 --> 0:11:22.130
<v Speaker 2>the Monro website, the logo is actually a policeman with

0:11:22.140 --> 0:11:24.409
<v Speaker 2>a cross through it. That's their logo you can only

0:11:24.419 --> 0:11:26.500
<v Speaker 2>imagine the kind of services that they offer and that

0:11:26.510 --> 0:11:27.199
<v Speaker 2>is their logo.

0:11:27.479 --> 0:11:29.609
<v Speaker 2>So they are deliberately trying to hide things. There are

0:11:29.619 --> 0:11:32.710
<v Speaker 2>systems in place in that ecosystem of ransomware that allow

0:11:32.719 --> 0:11:36.030
<v Speaker 2>you to money launder, they call them laundromats you put

0:11:36.039 --> 0:11:39.270
<v Speaker 2>in Bitcoin, it mashes it up with 3040 different other currencies,

0:11:39.280 --> 0:11:41.859
<v Speaker 2>sends it out to different accounts, sends it back, send

0:11:41.869 --> 0:11:43.539
<v Speaker 2>it out, sends it back and eventually when it reaches

0:11:43.549 --> 0:11:44.419
<v Speaker 2>the final destination,

0:11:45.229 --> 0:11:45.789
<v Speaker 2>it's untreatable.

0:11:46.869 --> 0:11:49.489
<v Speaker 2>And so that's why law enforcement has this huge challenge

0:11:49.500 --> 0:11:52.079
<v Speaker 2>figuring out how did the money get out and how

0:11:52.090 --> 0:11:53.919
<v Speaker 2>did money who's receiving it at the other end?

0:11:54.940 --> 0:12:00.059
<v Speaker 2>Um Cryptocurrency unfortunately means that these transactions can happen anywhere

0:12:00.070 --> 0:12:02.789
<v Speaker 2>and everywhere. And the fiat banking system doesn't have the

0:12:03.099 --> 0:12:07.530
<v Speaker 2>KC visibility into what happened. Um And again, there is

0:12:07.539 --> 0:12:10.679
<v Speaker 2>a difference between the more legitimate cryptocurrencies that are out

0:12:10.690 --> 0:12:12.719
<v Speaker 2>there and the ones that are illegitimate, but they all

0:12:12.729 --> 0:12:14.770
<v Speaker 2>have the same function getting money from one place to

0:12:14.780 --> 0:12:17.200
<v Speaker 2>the other. One of the more interesting functions that you

0:12:17.210 --> 0:12:19.549
<v Speaker 2>see on the ransomware ecosystem is customer service.

0:12:19.979 --> 0:12:21.719
<v Speaker 2>You probably have no idea how to get my narrow.

0:12:21.770 --> 0:12:24.280
<v Speaker 2>But if you get ransom, you can call somebody. And

0:12:24.289 --> 0:12:26.348
<v Speaker 2>in any language you choose, they will walk you step

0:12:26.359 --> 0:12:28.619
<v Speaker 2>by step how to set up a wallet, how to

0:12:28.630 --> 0:12:30.820
<v Speaker 2>get the Cryptocurrency and how to transfer to their preferred

0:12:30.830 --> 0:12:33.840
<v Speaker 2>account and their customer service. No offense is better than

0:12:33.849 --> 0:12:37.039
<v Speaker 2>most banks because 24 7, they have a huge financial

0:12:37.049 --> 0:12:39.309
<v Speaker 2>incentive to get you to pay them their $3 million.

0:12:39.809 --> 0:12:41.460
<v Speaker 2>And these are not small sums of money we're talking

0:12:41.469 --> 0:12:41.799
<v Speaker 2>about

0:12:42.450 --> 0:12:44.189
<v Speaker 1>just on that issue of

0:12:44.679 --> 0:12:47.109
<v Speaker 1>you, you share with us some estimates of how large

0:12:47.119 --> 0:12:52.030
<v Speaker 1>this cybercrime economy is. How do we differentiate between things

0:12:52.039 --> 0:12:54.488
<v Speaker 1>that we hear about? Gets reported to say Interpol or

0:12:54.500 --> 0:12:57.619
<v Speaker 1>Singapore's security services and stuff that people just don't report

0:12:57.630 --> 0:13:00.469
<v Speaker 1>because they're embarrassed or they feel that it will make

0:13:00.479 --> 0:13:02.979
<v Speaker 1>their company look weak if they were to report that.

0:13:03.590 --> 0:13:06.739
<v Speaker 2>That's a, that's a real challenge. So, within the law

0:13:06.750 --> 0:13:09.440
<v Speaker 2>enforcement system, we're quite aware that what we see in

0:13:09.450 --> 0:13:11.718
<v Speaker 2>terms of reporting is the tip of the iceberg. And

0:13:11.729 --> 0:13:13.830
<v Speaker 2>the vast majority of people who suffer some form of

0:13:13.840 --> 0:13:17.590
<v Speaker 2>cyber attack either don't see a need to report it

0:13:17.700 --> 0:13:21.210
<v Speaker 2>or like you said, have challenges in reporting it. Maybe

0:13:21.219 --> 0:13:23.689
<v Speaker 2>I'll give two quick anecdotes. One is fascinating.

0:13:24.000 --> 0:13:27.090
<v Speaker 2>There was an attack on a financial institution in the

0:13:27.099 --> 0:13:31.700
<v Speaker 2>US and the cyber Attackers came in, they attacked the

0:13:31.710 --> 0:13:34.799
<v Speaker 2>company and the company tried to keep it quiet. This

0:13:34.809 --> 0:13:37.728
<v Speaker 2>was a listed company. The cyber Attackers then filed an

0:13:37.739 --> 0:13:42.640
<v Speaker 2>sec report complaining that the victim did not file a

0:13:42.650 --> 0:13:45.900
<v Speaker 2>material breach notification in time with the sec.

0:13:46.859 --> 0:13:49.500
<v Speaker 2>The Attackers filed an S ECs EC reports are not

0:13:49.510 --> 0:13:51.719
<v Speaker 2>easy to file. So these guys went through the trouble

0:13:51.729 --> 0:13:54.780
<v Speaker 2>of filing that to basically punish this person punish the

0:13:54.789 --> 0:13:57.099
<v Speaker 2>company like, hey, you're not paying me ransom and you're

0:13:57.109 --> 0:13:59.479
<v Speaker 2>not revealing to the regulators. I got you.

0:14:00.210 --> 0:14:02.469
<v Speaker 2>So that's the level of kind of complexity that we

0:14:02.479 --> 0:14:04.988
<v Speaker 2>live in. Now, these guys are really sophisticated.

0:14:06.969 --> 0:14:10.130
<v Speaker 2>The whole ecosystem has just evolved to a point where

0:14:11.260 --> 0:14:13.830
<v Speaker 2>there's a, so there's the open internet that we talk

0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:16.080
<v Speaker 2>about your things that you can find with the Google search.

0:14:16.280 --> 0:14:18.840
<v Speaker 2>There's the deep web, your whatsapp chats and signal chats

0:14:18.849 --> 0:14:20.799
<v Speaker 2>and stuff that they're on the internet, but they're hard

0:14:20.809 --> 0:14:22.719
<v Speaker 2>to search. And then there's the dark web

0:14:23.630 --> 0:14:26.719
<v Speaker 2>when we talk about estimates on the financial transactions that

0:14:26.729 --> 0:14:29.070
<v Speaker 2>are happening out there, that's what people monitor. That's where

0:14:29.080 --> 0:14:31.830
<v Speaker 2>we get maybe not a source of truth, but a

0:14:31.840 --> 0:14:34.440
<v Speaker 2>second perspective on how much money is slushing around in

0:14:34.450 --> 0:14:37.239
<v Speaker 2>this ecosystem because that's where you see people making the transaction.

0:14:37.250 --> 0:14:39.380
<v Speaker 2>Like I will sell this data for this amount of money.

0:14:39.390 --> 0:14:40.950
<v Speaker 2>I will pay you for that amount of service. I'll

0:14:40.960 --> 0:14:43.359
<v Speaker 2>get this for you. So those transactions are where we

0:14:43.369 --> 0:14:45.659
<v Speaker 2>see the liquidity happening. So

0:14:45.669 --> 0:14:48.070
<v Speaker 1>even beyond the realm of the reporting to the former

0:14:48.080 --> 0:14:50.049
<v Speaker 1>law is absolutely fascinating.

0:14:50.570 --> 0:14:53.750
<v Speaker 1>Um I want to stay on the geopolitical side. Um

0:14:54.260 --> 0:14:58.770
<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of talk about countries, critical infrastructure, electricity

0:14:58.780 --> 0:15:04.080
<v Speaker 1>healthcare database or the way you know, systems run for

0:15:04.090 --> 0:15:06.950
<v Speaker 1>hospitals and airports and so on. Um

0:15:08.109 --> 0:15:10.770
<v Speaker 1>Looking at sort of the data on how many times

0:15:10.780 --> 0:15:15.169
<v Speaker 1>these things are getting compromised. How worried or how relieved

0:15:15.179 --> 0:15:16.940
<v Speaker 1>are you? I mean, are we on top of these things?

0:15:17.419 --> 0:15:22.080
<v Speaker 2>Ok. Um So I am relieved. I live in Singapore

0:15:22.869 --> 0:15:25.450
<v Speaker 2>and I'll say that because so a couple of years ago,

0:15:25.460 --> 0:15:28.190
<v Speaker 2>we pushed this thing called the cyber Security Act. When

0:15:28.200 --> 0:15:31.349
<v Speaker 2>we first pushed it out, it was seen globally as

0:15:32.099 --> 0:15:33.080
<v Speaker 2>a little bit extreme.

0:15:33.700 --> 0:15:36.770
<v Speaker 2>Um forcing private sector companies to meet some sort of

0:15:36.780 --> 0:15:41.239
<v Speaker 2>technical standard by law with the threat of jail. Wow,

0:15:41.320 --> 0:15:44.989
<v Speaker 2>that's an unusual requirement. And when we first push it out,

0:15:45.000 --> 0:15:46.789
<v Speaker 2>there was a lot of pushback from the companies as well.

0:15:46.799 --> 0:15:49.619
<v Speaker 2>I mean, people said, look, it's a, it's a free market.

0:15:49.739 --> 0:15:52.869
<v Speaker 2>If you don't like my hospital, my power service get

0:15:52.880 --> 0:15:54.739
<v Speaker 2>somebody else. Like why are you forcing me to comply

0:15:54.750 --> 0:15:55.479
<v Speaker 2>to these standards?

0:15:56.020 --> 0:15:58.119
<v Speaker 2>But you have to remember that tech is probably the

0:15:58.130 --> 0:16:00.880
<v Speaker 2>only industry that's been immune from regulatory standards for a

0:16:00.890 --> 0:16:03.219
<v Speaker 2>very long time. If you drive a car, you have

0:16:03.229 --> 0:16:04.789
<v Speaker 2>to meet all of these requirements, you fly a plane,

0:16:04.799 --> 0:16:07.000
<v Speaker 2>there are all these requirements, even if you buy a toaster,

0:16:07.010 --> 0:16:09.330
<v Speaker 2>there are requirements about what the toaster safety looks like.

0:16:09.340 --> 0:16:11.820
<v Speaker 2>Tech for some reason has gotten by without it. So

0:16:11.830 --> 0:16:14.909
<v Speaker 2>when we pushed it out, it was quite controversial today,

0:16:15.010 --> 0:16:18.309
<v Speaker 2>more and more countries have some form of technical standard

0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:20.989
<v Speaker 2>requirements in terms of the cyber security of critical infrastructure,

0:16:21.849 --> 0:16:24.650
<v Speaker 2>we've had a head start. So like I said, in Singapore,

0:16:24.659 --> 0:16:27.799
<v Speaker 2>I'm relatively comfortable that most of our critical systems are

0:16:27.809 --> 0:16:31.159
<v Speaker 2>well defended and if they're not well defended enough, they're

0:16:31.169 --> 0:16:33.929
<v Speaker 2>better defended than at least the other targets that might

0:16:33.940 --> 0:16:36.809
<v Speaker 2>be out there. So, I guess the game here is

0:16:36.820 --> 0:16:39.989
<v Speaker 2>just to be to run faster than your neighbor rather

0:16:40.000 --> 0:16:42.880
<v Speaker 2>than the lion. The Attackers are also after money. If

0:16:42.890 --> 0:16:44.669
<v Speaker 2>they can find an easier target, they'll go for that

0:16:45.270 --> 0:16:49.070
<v Speaker 2>globally. Everybody is ratcheting up. So companies, the big companies

0:16:49.080 --> 0:16:52.250
<v Speaker 2>are starting to ask their vendors like are you cyber secure?

0:16:52.260 --> 0:16:55.390
<v Speaker 2>Are you going to introduce risks for me? Uh Countries

0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:58.969
<v Speaker 2>are starting to ask their critical systems, you know, are,

0:16:58.979 --> 0:17:02.070
<v Speaker 2>are my power grids secure? Are my banking systems secure?

0:17:02.179 --> 0:17:05.880
<v Speaker 2>Is my country going to be held hostage or taken

0:17:05.890 --> 0:17:09.738
<v Speaker 2>to its knees by criminal actors? Those are the right

0:17:09.750 --> 0:17:10.699
<v Speaker 2>questions to ask

0:17:11.198 --> 0:17:15.098
<v Speaker 2>but the implementation of regulation to ensure that is incredibly

0:17:15.109 --> 0:17:17.879
<v Speaker 2>difficult and takes a lot of political. Will I go

0:17:17.888 --> 0:17:20.139
<v Speaker 2>back to the Singapore Cyber Security Act? And to some extent,

0:17:21.310 --> 0:17:24.550
<v Speaker 2>it takes almost a criminal negligence point of view. You

0:17:24.560 --> 0:17:27.780
<v Speaker 2>built a hospital and you didn't make it secure. That's

0:17:27.790 --> 0:17:30.688
<v Speaker 2>criminally negligent. People trusted you to build a hospital that

0:17:30.699 --> 0:17:33.228
<v Speaker 2>they can feel confident in. And if you told us

0:17:33.239 --> 0:17:35.619
<v Speaker 2>that you secured it and you didn't, that should actually

0:17:35.630 --> 0:17:38.819
<v Speaker 2>be a jailable offense. So it is extreme, but it

0:17:38.829 --> 0:17:41.969
<v Speaker 2>motivates behavior like more than fines do, at least from

0:17:41.979 --> 0:17:42.489
<v Speaker 2>what we've seen

0:17:43.020 --> 0:17:46.149
<v Speaker 1>when I walk on T road, I walk by the

0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:49.500
<v Speaker 1>international headquarters of Interpol and I think their cybersecurity wing

0:17:49.510 --> 0:17:53.250
<v Speaker 1>is here. Are they and other multilateral organizations trying to

0:17:53.260 --> 0:17:56.400
<v Speaker 1>come up with a set of codes that are universally implement?

0:17:56.489 --> 0:18:00.780
<v Speaker 2>Absolutely. So I spent the last five years prior to

0:18:00.790 --> 0:18:03.660
<v Speaker 2>joining Ensign in the government. And one of the things

0:18:03.670 --> 0:18:05.939
<v Speaker 2>that we did was engage a lot with Interpol and

0:18:05.949 --> 0:18:07.949
<v Speaker 2>also engage a lot with the United Nations.

0:18:08.430 --> 0:18:11.089
<v Speaker 2>To some extent, cyber security is in this odd space

0:18:11.099 --> 0:18:14.079
<v Speaker 2>where it is a problem at state level, but a

0:18:14.089 --> 0:18:18.129
<v Speaker 2>solution at the company level. And I'll explain that. So internationally,

0:18:18.140 --> 0:18:20.819
<v Speaker 2>we need some sort of rules of the road. What

0:18:20.829 --> 0:18:24.280
<v Speaker 2>are the norms and the expectations of countries in the

0:18:24.290 --> 0:18:27.130
<v Speaker 2>way that they use the internet. It took us quite

0:18:27.140 --> 0:18:29.300
<v Speaker 2>a bit of time, but the United Nations has come

0:18:29.310 --> 0:18:32.250
<v Speaker 2>out with what we call the norms of responsible behavior

0:18:33.020 --> 0:18:35.968
<v Speaker 2>and there are 11 norms. They basically state the usual

0:18:35.979 --> 0:18:37.810
<v Speaker 2>expectations of what you can and cannot do on the

0:18:37.819 --> 0:18:39.550
<v Speaker 2>internet and what states should and should not do.

0:18:40.849 --> 0:18:43.069
<v Speaker 2>The good news is that the UN has agreed to them.

0:18:43.079 --> 0:18:46.500
<v Speaker 2>There are some norms of what responsible behavior looks like.

0:18:46.930 --> 0:18:49.959
<v Speaker 2>The bad news is that as with all international agreements,

0:18:49.969 --> 0:18:51.179
<v Speaker 2>some countries are

0:18:52.569 --> 0:18:56.130
<v Speaker 2>more willing to abide by them and some countries blatantly

0:18:56.140 --> 0:18:57.109
<v Speaker 2>flagrantly ignore them.

0:18:58.780 --> 0:19:00.369
<v Speaker 2>We portioned it

0:19:01.109 --> 0:19:04.069
<v Speaker 2>the portion of the countries that have agreed to the

0:19:04.079 --> 0:19:06.800
<v Speaker 2>norms and are trying to implement it. That's, that's the

0:19:06.810 --> 0:19:09.449
<v Speaker 2>ray of hope. That's the part where as more countries

0:19:09.459 --> 0:19:11.260
<v Speaker 2>get on board, as more countries try to understand how

0:19:11.270 --> 0:19:13.920
<v Speaker 2>to secure their critical infrastructure and agree not to attack

0:19:13.930 --> 0:19:17.420
<v Speaker 2>critical infrastructure, we will start to see the seeds of

0:19:17.430 --> 0:19:20.010
<v Speaker 2>a slightly more responsible secure internet coming up.

0:19:20.780 --> 0:19:23.020
<v Speaker 2>But unfortunately, it just takes one bad egg. And if

0:19:23.030 --> 0:19:24.909
<v Speaker 2>they disrespect all of this, if they ignore all of

0:19:24.920 --> 0:19:27.229
<v Speaker 2>it becomes a challenge, Interpol has a huge part to

0:19:27.239 --> 0:19:30.199
<v Speaker 2>play as well because in addition to the states agreeing,

0:19:30.910 --> 0:19:33.709
<v Speaker 2>the police have to enforce the challenge. Now is that

0:19:33.719 --> 0:19:35.319
<v Speaker 2>like I said, it's a state problem and a corporate

0:19:35.329 --> 0:19:35.688
<v Speaker 2>problem

0:19:36.530 --> 0:19:40.300
<v Speaker 2>states on the outcome. So if your water supply is hacked,

0:19:40.510 --> 0:19:41.939
<v Speaker 2>states deal with the problem,

0:19:42.640 --> 0:19:45.979
<v Speaker 2>but water supply is often provided by private companies. Banking

0:19:45.989 --> 0:19:49.589
<v Speaker 2>is private companies. The cloud is private companies. Everything about

0:19:49.599 --> 0:19:53.260
<v Speaker 2>the internet is owned by a private company, the government

0:19:53.270 --> 0:19:56.698
<v Speaker 2>owns nothing of the internet. Even the Telco that provides

0:19:56.709 --> 0:19:58.500
<v Speaker 2>data is a private company.

0:19:59.280 --> 0:20:01.119
<v Speaker 2>So the challenge here is that how do you get

0:20:01.130 --> 0:20:04.540
<v Speaker 2>the private companies to internalize this externality? It is a

0:20:04.550 --> 0:20:09.010
<v Speaker 2>classic economic problem. The cost is significant security is a cost.

0:20:09.689 --> 0:20:13.020
<v Speaker 2>The implications and the outcome of a negative incident is

0:20:13.030 --> 0:20:16.139
<v Speaker 2>some on the company but significantly on the externality of

0:20:16.150 --> 0:20:19.489
<v Speaker 2>the public. How do you internalize this cost? Singapore chose

0:20:19.500 --> 0:20:21.359
<v Speaker 2>regulations to do it. Other countries are trying to find

0:20:21.369 --> 0:20:24.188
<v Speaker 2>other incentives to do it. But no matter what happens,

0:20:24.410 --> 0:20:27.530
<v Speaker 2>the private sector needs to be part of that wider solution.

0:20:27.670 --> 0:20:29.409
<v Speaker 2>And today, not quite

0:20:30.619 --> 0:20:33.819
<v Speaker 1>is it really just a matter of managing the risk?

0:20:33.829 --> 0:20:36.599
<v Speaker 1>Because it doesn't seem to me, you are giving me

0:20:36.609 --> 0:20:38.169
<v Speaker 1>the sense of comfort to think that we can win

0:20:38.180 --> 0:20:38.698
<v Speaker 1>this battle.

0:20:40.140 --> 0:20:43.149
<v Speaker 2>I know. So I'm, I hope I'm not giving you

0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:45.739
<v Speaker 2>the confidence because I don't have that confidence. I, I'm

0:20:45.750 --> 0:20:47.520
<v Speaker 2>a little bit of what we call an octo pass.

0:20:47.650 --> 0:20:50.750
<v Speaker 2>A realist. I hope for the best plan for the worst,

0:20:50.760 --> 0:20:52.670
<v Speaker 2>but I expect reality to come and kick me in

0:20:52.680 --> 0:20:55.709
<v Speaker 2>the stomach. It's, it's a rough world out there. And again,

0:20:55.719 --> 0:20:58.989
<v Speaker 2>cyber security is pretty much the only industry in the

0:20:59.000 --> 0:21:03.170
<v Speaker 2>world which has this dynamic of bad guys. I mean,

0:21:03.369 --> 0:21:05.569
<v Speaker 2>you as a bank, have other competitors. Me as a

0:21:05.579 --> 0:21:08.579
<v Speaker 2>cyber security company, I have other competitors but these competitors

0:21:08.589 --> 0:21:09.689
<v Speaker 2>operate within rules.

0:21:11.069 --> 0:21:13.510
<v Speaker 2>Cyber security and tech is the only space where you

0:21:13.520 --> 0:21:15.780
<v Speaker 2>have an aggressor that doesn't operate within rules and is

0:21:15.790 --> 0:21:18.449
<v Speaker 2>deliberately trying to break you down. We invest in fire

0:21:18.459 --> 0:21:20.979
<v Speaker 2>alarms and buildings but you don't have ar is running

0:21:20.989 --> 0:21:22.849
<v Speaker 2>around trying to set fire to every building to test

0:21:22.859 --> 0:21:25.189
<v Speaker 2>whether your fire alarms work or not. But it cyber security.

0:21:25.199 --> 0:21:27.448
<v Speaker 2>You do and on a daily basis, I'm willing to

0:21:27.459 --> 0:21:29.829
<v Speaker 2>bet that a bank like yours at the scale that

0:21:29.839 --> 0:21:33.739
<v Speaker 2>you operate thousands, hundreds of thousands of probing attacks every

0:21:33.750 --> 0:21:36.609
<v Speaker 2>single day. If not every single minute, the biggest banks

0:21:36.619 --> 0:21:39.069
<v Speaker 2>in the world experience a million attacks an hour,

0:21:39.530 --> 0:21:42.739
<v Speaker 2>a million attacks an hour. So if that scale of

0:21:42.750 --> 0:21:43.630
<v Speaker 2>attacks are happening,

0:21:44.400 --> 0:21:46.339
<v Speaker 2>you just need one to leak through. So I am

0:21:46.349 --> 0:21:49.810
<v Speaker 2>not optimistic that we will solve the problem, but in

0:21:49.819 --> 0:21:52.750
<v Speaker 2>a sense, it's similar to disease control and I'm glad

0:21:52.760 --> 0:21:54.989
<v Speaker 2>that they chose the term viruses for the cyber for

0:21:55.000 --> 0:21:57.209
<v Speaker 2>technical work as well because it is like that

0:21:57.650 --> 0:22:00.800
<v Speaker 2>COVID is now endemic. Will it ever go away? No.

0:22:00.810 --> 0:22:03.579
<v Speaker 2>Will it kill a few people? Unfortunately? Yes. But we

0:22:03.589 --> 0:22:06.290
<v Speaker 2>have ways and strategies to manage the risk of its

0:22:06.300 --> 0:22:09.719
<v Speaker 2>becoming a pandemic. Again, we have ways and risks of

0:22:09.729 --> 0:22:13.660
<v Speaker 2>managing the overall population and its immunity and its ability

0:22:13.670 --> 0:22:17.579
<v Speaker 2>to be resilient. So I guess part of the thinking

0:22:17.589 --> 0:22:21.550
<v Speaker 2>is rather than thinking about how to defeat this whole problem,

0:22:21.699 --> 0:22:24.680
<v Speaker 2>how do we become resilient? How do we as a society,

0:22:24.689 --> 0:22:27.260
<v Speaker 2>as a company, as a, as an organization

0:22:27.739 --> 0:22:30.400
<v Speaker 2>build up resilience? So that even if it does come,

0:22:30.410 --> 0:22:33.199
<v Speaker 2>we've got enough immunity. Yes, you took out database A

0:22:33.829 --> 0:22:36.199
<v Speaker 2>but it was all encrypted and I've got database B

0:22:36.209 --> 0:22:38.849
<v Speaker 2>so I'm still working fine. There's a little bit of impact.

0:22:38.859 --> 0:22:40.250
<v Speaker 2>We're down for 1520 minutes.

0:22:40.930 --> 0:22:42.949
<v Speaker 2>Sometimes we had to go back to manual processes like

0:22:42.959 --> 0:22:46.569
<v Speaker 2>the incident at the airport with crowd strike. Unfortunate, but

0:22:46.579 --> 0:22:49.510
<v Speaker 2>the airport went to manual processes and people even mocked

0:22:49.520 --> 0:22:51.849
<v Speaker 2>that they were writing boarding passes. But that's actually a

0:22:51.859 --> 0:22:54.839
<v Speaker 2>great answer. Look, if you have no it systems have

0:22:54.849 --> 0:22:56.649
<v Speaker 2>a drawer full of boarding passes you can take out

0:22:56.660 --> 0:22:59.949
<v Speaker 2>and write and every single organization needs to think about.

0:22:59.959 --> 0:23:02.709
<v Speaker 2>How do you deal with the implications of the impact

0:23:02.719 --> 0:23:04.069
<v Speaker 2>of a cyber incident in a way that

0:23:04.760 --> 0:23:08.520
<v Speaker 2>degrades gracefully that the customer still has some level of service,

0:23:08.530 --> 0:23:10.380
<v Speaker 2>even if it's not the quality and the black level

0:23:10.390 --> 0:23:11.859
<v Speaker 2>that they're normally used to experiencing.

0:23:12.160 --> 0:23:14.380
<v Speaker 1>So backups redundancies.

0:23:14.589 --> 0:23:15.500
<v Speaker 2>Absolutely.

0:23:15.520 --> 0:23:15.739
<v Speaker 1>This is

0:23:15.750 --> 0:23:16.619
<v Speaker 1>a paper.

0:23:16.630 --> 0:23:19.139
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I know whatever works for your organization at the

0:23:19.150 --> 0:23:22.040
<v Speaker 2>scale that you operated. So if you're a really sophisticated

0:23:22.050 --> 0:23:24.819
<v Speaker 2>organization having a completely what we call a second chain,

0:23:24.869 --> 0:23:29.369
<v Speaker 2>a completely backup system that fails over immediately and data

0:23:29.380 --> 0:23:31.140
<v Speaker 2>centers have this all the time, they're supposed to be

0:23:31.150 --> 0:23:34.619
<v Speaker 2>able to fail over instantly. But if you're a small shop,

0:23:34.910 --> 0:23:36.688
<v Speaker 2>maybe just have a print out at the end of

0:23:36.699 --> 0:23:38.449
<v Speaker 2>the day, print out all of your customer records. And

0:23:38.459 --> 0:23:40.439
<v Speaker 2>if really your systems get wiped out, you have a

0:23:40.449 --> 0:23:42.228
<v Speaker 2>whole bunch of print outs in a drawer somewhere, you

0:23:42.239 --> 0:23:44.959
<v Speaker 2>can take it back and reconstruct the systems. Is it tough?

0:23:44.969 --> 0:23:49.188
<v Speaker 2>Is it painful? Yes, but it builds resilience. And so

0:23:49.359 --> 0:23:51.800
<v Speaker 2>we've gone away from, and even though I'm a cyber

0:23:51.810 --> 0:23:56.250
<v Speaker 2>security company and we provide advice, our solution is never

0:23:56.260 --> 0:23:57.969
<v Speaker 2>to invest infinitely in protection.

0:23:58.410 --> 0:24:00.290
<v Speaker 2>It's great money for me, but it's not a wise

0:24:00.300 --> 0:24:03.459
<v Speaker 2>strategy for companies. You need to think about investing in

0:24:03.469 --> 0:24:07.458
<v Speaker 2>resilience and that's a balance between protection and bouncing back.

0:24:07.810 --> 0:24:11.270
<v Speaker 2>And if you don't bounce back, that's a business closure event.

0:24:12.050 --> 0:24:17.040
<v Speaker 1>This is Danny K and I think President Turner's trampoline analogy. Yes, absolutely.

0:24:17.420 --> 0:24:19.609
<v Speaker 2>Absolutely. You will fall and you will hit. And we've

0:24:19.619 --> 0:24:22.119
<v Speaker 2>seen when companies get a cyber attack of a ransomware

0:24:22.130 --> 0:24:25.920
<v Speaker 2>or data breach, stock prices get impacted customer trust gets impacted.

0:24:26.030 --> 0:24:29.369
<v Speaker 2>But we've also seen companies bounce back after that. And

0:24:29.380 --> 0:24:31.569
<v Speaker 2>quite often, what we see is that in about 40

0:24:31.579 --> 0:24:34.030
<v Speaker 2>plus days, stock prices return to normal.

0:24:34.459 --> 0:24:37.790
<v Speaker 2>And if the incident is particularly well handled stock prices

0:24:37.800 --> 0:24:40.719
<v Speaker 2>even improve because the company now takes the security much

0:24:40.729 --> 0:24:43.669
<v Speaker 2>more seriously. They are proactive in managing customers expectations and

0:24:43.680 --> 0:24:46.859
<v Speaker 2>trust and they build up better systems and governance around

0:24:46.869 --> 0:24:49.959
<v Speaker 2>their technologies to be more resilient. And so after that,

0:24:50.170 --> 0:24:51.760
<v Speaker 2>the customers and investors like

0:24:52.520 --> 0:24:54.579
<v Speaker 2>they will not get hit by the same thing. Again,

0:24:54.719 --> 0:24:55.889
<v Speaker 2>it's actually a good strategy.

0:24:55.900 --> 0:24:56.140
<v Speaker 1>Right?

0:24:56.739 --> 0:24:59.510
<v Speaker 1>At the beginning of the conversation, we are talking about

0:24:59.520 --> 0:25:02.250
<v Speaker 1>multiple actors and you said that there are state level actors,

0:25:02.260 --> 0:25:06.390
<v Speaker 1>but then you alluded to this non stake idealistic. I

0:25:06.400 --> 0:25:10.770
<v Speaker 1>don't know this crypto anarchists out there who do also,

0:25:10.780 --> 0:25:13.510
<v Speaker 1>you know damage at the geopolitical level. So give us

0:25:13.520 --> 0:25:17.199
<v Speaker 1>some examples and how do we sort of contextualize this entity?

0:25:17.209 --> 0:25:17.599
<v Speaker 2>There

0:25:17.609 --> 0:25:19.839
<v Speaker 2>are all sorts of fascinating examples. So I'll give one

0:25:19.849 --> 0:25:21.650
<v Speaker 2>that's ideological and not

0:25:23.329 --> 0:25:27.239
<v Speaker 2>not state affiliated. So there's this group that operates in Indonesia,

0:25:27.250 --> 0:25:28.959
<v Speaker 2>we think it's a group, it might be an individual

0:25:28.969 --> 0:25:30.040
<v Speaker 2>called Burka.

0:25:31.000 --> 0:25:33.810
<v Speaker 2>And despite the European sounding name, it's actually we think

0:25:33.819 --> 0:25:38.180
<v Speaker 2>it's an Indonesian person, he attacks Indonesian government systems, he

0:25:38.189 --> 0:25:42.030
<v Speaker 2>or she or they attack Indonesian government systems purely to

0:25:42.040 --> 0:25:44.569
<v Speaker 2>send the message that Indonesia needs to invest more in

0:25:44.579 --> 0:25:45.349
<v Speaker 2>cyber security.

0:25:46.579 --> 0:25:48.959
<v Speaker 2>And after every attack, they will send out a message

0:25:48.969 --> 0:25:50.938
<v Speaker 2>saying this system was not well encrypted. This thing was

0:25:50.949 --> 0:25:51.579
<v Speaker 2>not patched.

0:25:52.819 --> 0:25:54.890
<v Speaker 2>It is fascinating to observe. This person is still a

0:25:54.900 --> 0:25:58.479
<v Speaker 2>bad person is still taking down systems, but the ideology

0:25:58.489 --> 0:26:01.129
<v Speaker 2>behind it is to improve cyber security. That's one kind

0:26:01.160 --> 0:26:01.800
<v Speaker 2>of example,

0:26:02.959 --> 0:26:07.290
<v Speaker 2>I'll use Russia and Ukraine as one a separate example

0:26:07.300 --> 0:26:09.770
<v Speaker 2>and probably the start of this whole HIV

0:26:11.099 --> 0:26:13.929
<v Speaker 2>at the initiation of the conflict. When Russia first came in,

0:26:13.939 --> 0:26:17.560
<v Speaker 2>Ukraine was obviously the underdog and Ukraine needed help. What

0:26:17.569 --> 0:26:19.959
<v Speaker 2>they did was they called for assistance from all of

0:26:19.969 --> 0:26:22.060
<v Speaker 2>the Ukrainians living all around the world and all of

0:26:22.069 --> 0:26:24.709
<v Speaker 2>the Ukrainian supporters around the world. They actually created a

0:26:24.719 --> 0:26:27.169
<v Speaker 2>telegram group. I think it was called the Ukrainian Cyber

0:26:27.180 --> 0:26:29.819
<v Speaker 2>army or something along those lines. And they asked people

0:26:29.829 --> 0:26:31.800
<v Speaker 2>for help. It's like, please, you know, we're under attack,

0:26:31.810 --> 0:26:32.359
<v Speaker 2>help us

0:26:33.290 --> 0:26:36.109
<v Speaker 2>at the start. It sounded like a great idea. Rally

0:26:36.119 --> 0:26:38.209
<v Speaker 2>your friends, rally your troops, rally the people out there

0:26:38.219 --> 0:26:41.270
<v Speaker 2>who could support you in this big conflict with an aggressor,

0:26:41.280 --> 0:26:43.219
<v Speaker 1>both for defense and offense. Like

0:26:43.280 --> 0:26:45.089
<v Speaker 2>so it got complicated

0:26:45.780 --> 0:26:48.708
<v Speaker 2>during that conversation. They were like, hey, there are all

0:26:48.719 --> 0:26:51.489
<v Speaker 2>these Russian systems. If you could disable any of them,

0:26:51.800 --> 0:26:53.839
<v Speaker 2>it would make them less effective. And it would help

0:26:53.849 --> 0:26:54.290
<v Speaker 2>us

0:26:55.369 --> 0:26:57.909
<v Speaker 2>essentially what they were doing was they were motivating

0:26:58.829 --> 0:27:02.880
<v Speaker 2>cyber professionals, technical professionals who worked in companies that had

0:27:02.890 --> 0:27:06.829
<v Speaker 2>access to Russian systems to use that privileged access to

0:27:06.839 --> 0:27:11.250
<v Speaker 2>do bad things. Once you turn white hats, ethical hackers

0:27:11.260 --> 0:27:14.410
<v Speaker 2>into unethical hackers by asking them to go after targets,

0:27:15.069 --> 0:27:19.510
<v Speaker 2>you would breach a very fundamental ethical boundary. And that's

0:27:19.520 --> 0:27:22.869
<v Speaker 2>where things started to go a bit wrong once. And we, we,

0:27:22.880 --> 0:27:25.198
<v Speaker 2>we accepted it because we thought Ukraine was the underdog

0:27:25.209 --> 0:27:26.569
<v Speaker 2>and they need all the help that they could get.

0:27:26.579 --> 0:27:28.750
<v Speaker 2>In fact, we even celebrated articles talking about how they

0:27:28.760 --> 0:27:31.560
<v Speaker 2>were so innovative in getting people to support them. Now

0:27:31.569 --> 0:27:34.310
<v Speaker 2>we realize what they've done is they've unleashed. I mean,

0:27:34.319 --> 0:27:37.669
<v Speaker 2>they've opened Pandora's box, they've created a situation where legitimate

0:27:37.680 --> 0:27:42.458
<v Speaker 2>technical professionals are now distrusted. If you are a Ukrainian

0:27:42.469 --> 0:27:44.530
<v Speaker 2>or Russian working in a big tech company,

0:27:44.810 --> 0:27:46.229
<v Speaker 2>your boss is going to look at you and be like,

0:27:47.030 --> 0:27:48.869
<v Speaker 2>are you using your access to do bad things to

0:27:48.880 --> 0:27:51.969
<v Speaker 2>the other guys? Are you an activist? So it's not

0:27:51.979 --> 0:27:54.920
<v Speaker 2>just the traditional kind of criminal groups that are ideologically

0:27:54.930 --> 0:27:58.438
<v Speaker 2>motivated that are going after things. Now it's professionals, once

0:27:58.449 --> 0:28:00.188
<v Speaker 2>you open that space and you look at Now what's

0:28:00.199 --> 0:28:01.410
<v Speaker 2>happening with Israel and Hamas,

0:28:02.560 --> 0:28:06.089
<v Speaker 2>the spectrum of types of Attackers that come out, some

0:28:06.099 --> 0:28:11.209
<v Speaker 2>are directly enabled by States. Ukraine gave a target list

0:28:11.219 --> 0:28:14.579
<v Speaker 2>in a telegram chat group. Israel and Hamas are giving

0:28:14.589 --> 0:28:16.979
<v Speaker 2>motivation to people to support them,

0:28:17.900 --> 0:28:20.520
<v Speaker 2>what we see in particular in this region. So Southeast

0:28:20.530 --> 0:28:23.150
<v Speaker 2>Asia is that there are a lot of ideologically aligned

0:28:23.160 --> 0:28:26.119
<v Speaker 2>groups that are targeting companies that either for or against

0:28:26.130 --> 0:28:28.930
<v Speaker 2>Israel or Hamas. And unfortunately, it's one of those situations

0:28:28.939 --> 0:28:30.479
<v Speaker 2>where damned if you do, damned if you don't.

0:28:30.770 --> 0:28:33.640
<v Speaker 2>If you support Israel. There are groups who support Hamas

0:28:33.650 --> 0:28:35.609
<v Speaker 2>who will attack you. If you support Hamas, there are

0:28:35.619 --> 0:28:37.669
<v Speaker 2>groups that support Israel, they will attack you. If you

0:28:37.680 --> 0:28:39.729
<v Speaker 2>support neither, both will feel that you need to take

0:28:39.739 --> 0:28:41.709
<v Speaker 2>a stand and will attack you as well. So it's

0:28:41.719 --> 0:28:44.849
<v Speaker 2>really a difficult situation with companies and we are seeing

0:28:44.859 --> 0:28:48.939
<v Speaker 2>groups in particular in Malaysia and Indonesia going after targets

0:28:48.949 --> 0:28:50.780
<v Speaker 2>purely on an ideological basis.

0:28:52.420 --> 0:28:54.800
<v Speaker 2>And it's a difficult situation. We're really far away from

0:28:54.810 --> 0:28:57.060
<v Speaker 2>the conflict. It has very little to do with us

0:28:57.069 --> 0:28:59.420
<v Speaker 2>on a day to day basis. But because again, the

0:28:59.430 --> 0:29:01.099
<v Speaker 2>geography of the internet has collapsed,

0:29:02.430 --> 0:29:05.780
<v Speaker 1>I, I was only aware of the product boycott and

0:29:05.790 --> 0:29:07.579
<v Speaker 1>things like that. I wasn't aware that even in this

0:29:07.589 --> 0:29:10.140
<v Speaker 1>part of the world, we have seen cyber related incidents

0:29:10.150 --> 0:29:11.650
<v Speaker 1>based on the Middle East conflict.

0:29:11.660 --> 0:29:13.619
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. So the most visible ones that we see are

0:29:13.630 --> 0:29:16.380
<v Speaker 2>website defacements. So if you have a company website and

0:29:16.390 --> 0:29:18.859
<v Speaker 2>it's poorly secure, some bad guy will take over it

0:29:19.109 --> 0:29:21.939
<v Speaker 2>and put a message saying, you know, you supported either

0:29:21.949 --> 0:29:24.540
<v Speaker 2>Israel or Hamas and you are therefore a bad company,

0:29:24.550 --> 0:29:24.859
<v Speaker 2>you know,

0:29:25.199 --> 0:29:27.930
<v Speaker 2>so those are the most visible ones, but under the surface,

0:29:27.939 --> 0:29:30.390
<v Speaker 2>we see a ton of attacks and sometimes those attacks

0:29:30.400 --> 0:29:33.729
<v Speaker 2>are on systems that are either built by Israeli companies

0:29:33.739 --> 0:29:36.579
<v Speaker 2>or that supporters or vice versa. So there is a

0:29:36.589 --> 0:29:39.319
<v Speaker 2>ton of stuff happening below the sea level that you

0:29:39.329 --> 0:29:40.900
<v Speaker 2>can't really see, but it is happening

0:29:41.430 --> 0:29:42.420
<v Speaker 1>China us.

0:29:44.180 --> 0:29:46.760
<v Speaker 2>That's going to be a fascinating thing to watch, especially

0:29:46.770 --> 0:29:49.400
<v Speaker 2>in the next four years. Um I think one of

0:29:49.410 --> 0:29:53.400
<v Speaker 2>the biggest challenges that we saw was at the start

0:29:53.410 --> 0:29:58.729
<v Speaker 2>of China's kind of technical rise. People didn't quite take

0:29:58.739 --> 0:30:02.780
<v Speaker 2>it as seriously and to some extent, the US industrial

0:30:02.790 --> 0:30:05.650
<v Speaker 2>base had hollowed out already when we had the five

0:30:05.660 --> 0:30:08.280
<v Speaker 2>G debates. A while back, it was not a choice

0:30:08.290 --> 0:30:10.790
<v Speaker 2>between the American five G and the Chinese five G

0:30:10.800 --> 0:30:12.239
<v Speaker 2>because there was no American five G,

0:30:12.579 --> 0:30:14.949
<v Speaker 2>it was all European and they had no alternative to

0:30:14.959 --> 0:30:15.359
<v Speaker 2>offer

0:30:17.150 --> 0:30:20.160
<v Speaker 2>the rise of China's technical innovations in the last few

0:30:20.170 --> 0:30:24.030
<v Speaker 2>years has been tremendous. And I think partly fueled by

0:30:24.040 --> 0:30:27.760
<v Speaker 2>the lessons that they're learning from Russia, Ukraine, what happened

0:30:27.770 --> 0:30:29.469
<v Speaker 2>and I'll kind of jump around a little bit. But

0:30:29.479 --> 0:30:32.589
<v Speaker 2>what happened during Russia, Ukraine was the West decided that

0:30:32.599 --> 0:30:35.369
<v Speaker 2>the best strategy to contain Russia was to isolate them

0:30:35.380 --> 0:30:37.560
<v Speaker 2>on a technical level. So they took them off some

0:30:37.569 --> 0:30:39.760
<v Speaker 2>backing systems, they took them off some international kind of

0:30:39.770 --> 0:30:43.329
<v Speaker 2>technical situations systems and tried to isolate them as much

0:30:43.339 --> 0:30:43.890
<v Speaker 2>as possible.

0:30:45.900 --> 0:30:51.209
<v Speaker 2>China watched and realized that having dependencies on Western technology

0:30:51.219 --> 0:30:54.510
<v Speaker 2>and Western infrastructure was a risk. They already have their

0:30:54.520 --> 0:30:57.880
<v Speaker 2>great firewall, but now they started building their own operating systems,

0:30:57.890 --> 0:31:01.160
<v Speaker 2>their own cloud system, their whole infrastructure, the whole tech stack,

0:31:01.180 --> 0:31:03.660
<v Speaker 2>they're looking at every layer and see which part of

0:31:03.670 --> 0:31:05.880
<v Speaker 2>this do I have a dependency on something that if

0:31:05.890 --> 0:31:09.260
<v Speaker 2>it's taken out, I crumble and they're replacing it. So

0:31:09.270 --> 0:31:12.540
<v Speaker 2>instead of trying to encourage a situation where

0:31:12.920 --> 0:31:17.229
<v Speaker 2>they become more interdependent, they become more independent, I'll explain

0:31:17.239 --> 0:31:19.380
<v Speaker 2>what the problem with that is now. So

0:31:20.180 --> 0:31:20.479
<v Speaker 2>that

0:31:21.099 --> 0:31:23.760
<v Speaker 2>maybe as an analogy that I think it's an African proverb,

0:31:23.849 --> 0:31:27.000
<v Speaker 2>if you live in a village with one shared, well,

0:31:27.290 --> 0:31:29.430
<v Speaker 2>no matter how much my family hates your family and

0:31:29.439 --> 0:31:32.119
<v Speaker 2>your family hates my family, we will never poison that well,

0:31:32.319 --> 0:31:34.550
<v Speaker 2>because there is absolutely no incentive for us to do so.

0:31:34.760 --> 0:31:37.400
<v Speaker 2>The minute I have my well, and you have your, well,

0:31:37.560 --> 0:31:39.880
<v Speaker 2>the incentives flip and the game theory outcome is I

0:31:39.890 --> 0:31:41.619
<v Speaker 2>will try my best to poison your well and you

0:31:41.630 --> 0:31:43.280
<v Speaker 2>will try your best to poison my well,

0:31:44.020 --> 0:31:46.510
<v Speaker 2>in an era where we had one banking system globally

0:31:46.869 --> 0:31:49.020
<v Speaker 2>in an era where we had one technical infrastructure for

0:31:49.030 --> 0:31:50.800
<v Speaker 2>the whole cloud, for the whole internet.

0:31:51.430 --> 0:31:54.680
<v Speaker 2>I had no incentive to poison your. Well, our well,

0:31:54.689 --> 0:31:58.349
<v Speaker 2>our shared well, but when you have a western technical

0:31:58.359 --> 0:32:01.160
<v Speaker 2>ecosystem and an Eastern technical ecosystem and that tech by

0:32:01.280 --> 0:32:05.089
<v Speaker 2>location is completely segregated, the incentives flip and we will

0:32:05.099 --> 0:32:07.579
<v Speaker 2>spend all day trying to poison each other's wells. At

0:32:07.829 --> 0:32:10.189
<v Speaker 2>the point where all of our companies rely on Microsoft

0:32:10.199 --> 0:32:12.479
<v Speaker 2>Windows to power up our systems.

0:32:13.300 --> 0:32:14.900
<v Speaker 2>I'm not going to poison it. I need it as

0:32:14.910 --> 0:32:17.479
<v Speaker 2>much as you do. But if I have my country's

0:32:17.489 --> 0:32:20.369
<v Speaker 2>operating system and you have your country's operating system, it's

0:32:20.380 --> 0:32:22.400
<v Speaker 2>going to be a much more fragile world. So this

0:32:22.410 --> 0:32:24.829
<v Speaker 2>whole idea of de risking, which came about with this

0:32:24.839 --> 0:32:27.380
<v Speaker 2>whole East West conversation came about at the start of

0:32:27.390 --> 0:32:30.609
<v Speaker 2>this whole five G conversation while it addresses the tactical

0:32:30.619 --> 0:32:34.579
<v Speaker 2>risk creates a strategic risk. The tactical risk is yes,

0:32:34.589 --> 0:32:36.969
<v Speaker 2>I no longer depend on Chinese tech or Western tech,

0:32:36.979 --> 0:32:37.880
<v Speaker 2>whichever side you're from.

0:32:38.630 --> 0:32:41.109
<v Speaker 2>But the strategic risk is now, I am going to

0:32:41.119 --> 0:32:43.770
<v Speaker 2>be constantly under a barrage of attacks from the other

0:32:43.780 --> 0:32:46.989
<v Speaker 2>side that will not lead to any sort of stability.

0:32:47.000 --> 0:32:51.890
<v Speaker 2>There is no stable dynamic between this situation. So it's

0:32:51.900 --> 0:32:52.670
<v Speaker 2>going to be very tough.

0:32:53.199 --> 0:32:56.439
<v Speaker 1>This is a fascinating insight. Why aren't people listening to you?

0:32:56.449 --> 0:32:59.459
<v Speaker 1>Because this is, yeah, I I totally relate to this

0:32:59.469 --> 0:33:01.619
<v Speaker 1>point and the fact that in the name of the scheme,

0:33:01.630 --> 0:33:03.089
<v Speaker 1>we're actually increasing vulnerabilities

0:33:03.800 --> 0:33:06.040
<v Speaker 2>because on a very tactical, very short term level, it

0:33:06.050 --> 0:33:08.219
<v Speaker 2>seems to make sense, right? It seems to make sense

0:33:08.229 --> 0:33:11.339
<v Speaker 2>that hey, I I have concerns with the supplier ABC.

0:33:11.760 --> 0:33:14.599
<v Speaker 2>I'm just going to remove supplier ABC. And if supplier

0:33:14.609 --> 0:33:17.550
<v Speaker 2>abcs are from a country that I have general geopolitical

0:33:17.560 --> 0:33:20.739
<v Speaker 2>concerns with, then yes, I'll remove all of those companies

0:33:20.989 --> 0:33:25.229
<v Speaker 2>but that in the longer term and unfortunately most Corporates

0:33:25.239 --> 0:33:28.550
<v Speaker 2>in most countries don't plan and act in very long

0:33:28.560 --> 0:33:32.219
<v Speaker 2>term interests, creates a very unstable equilibrium.

0:33:33.530 --> 0:33:35.849
<v Speaker 2>I have made this point and I'm not alone. There

0:33:35.859 --> 0:33:38.130
<v Speaker 2>are many others who are making similar points. But you

0:33:38.140 --> 0:33:40.859
<v Speaker 2>look at like the Chips Act, you look at de risking,

0:33:40.869 --> 0:33:43.170
<v Speaker 2>you look at all the conversations that are happening on Telco.

0:33:43.510 --> 0:33:46.949
<v Speaker 2>It is a very similar line of logic. The other

0:33:46.959 --> 0:33:48.989
<v Speaker 2>implication for all of this is in terms of great

0:33:49.000 --> 0:33:51.849
<v Speaker 2>power competition. So part of the reason why the US

0:33:51.859 --> 0:33:54.670
<v Speaker 2>started the Chips Act was because firstly, the risking they

0:33:54.680 --> 0:33:57.699
<v Speaker 2>wanted to have onshore chip production capabilities. But secondly, they

0:33:57.709 --> 0:34:01.630
<v Speaker 2>wanted to reignite the industrial base, get tech back up.

0:34:02.500 --> 0:34:06.089
<v Speaker 2>But by doing so, they've also incentivized China to double

0:34:06.099 --> 0:34:09.609
<v Speaker 2>down on. It's their splitting moment. It is there, it

0:34:09.620 --> 0:34:12.989
<v Speaker 2>is their moment to now suddenly spark off. And previously,

0:34:13.000 --> 0:34:15.770
<v Speaker 2>when they would have been in a more interdependent economic system,

0:34:15.780 --> 0:34:17.729
<v Speaker 2>they like, you know, it's OK. I'll get some stuff

0:34:17.739 --> 0:34:20.419
<v Speaker 2>from them, I'll sell some stuff from them there, there's

0:34:20.429 --> 0:34:23.859
<v Speaker 2>an ecosystem of buying and selling and we don't have

0:34:23.870 --> 0:34:24.800
<v Speaker 2>to have all of it on our own.

0:34:25.520 --> 0:34:28.699
<v Speaker 2>But once you make it such an obvious strategy that

0:34:28.709 --> 0:34:32.510
<v Speaker 2>you want to have your own capacity and capabilities, the

0:34:32.520 --> 0:34:34.279
<v Speaker 2>other guy is going to do the same thing. And

0:34:34.290 --> 0:34:37.310
<v Speaker 2>at this point in the technological evolution, China does have

0:34:37.320 --> 0:34:39.409
<v Speaker 2>a little bit of a head start. They have the

0:34:39.419 --> 0:34:41.489
<v Speaker 2>capabilities and the capacity to do a lot of things.

0:34:41.510 --> 0:34:43.919
<v Speaker 1>Actually, I've been thinking about this issue myself, which is

0:34:44.050 --> 0:34:46.719
<v Speaker 1>I think the view in the West, particularly the US

0:34:46.729 --> 0:34:49.040
<v Speaker 1>has been that if you sort of stop the Chinese

0:34:49.050 --> 0:34:52.379
<v Speaker 1>from accessing the latest in tech technology or rather chip technology,

0:34:52.688 --> 0:34:55.089
<v Speaker 1>that there will be a widening gap. I think the

0:34:55.099 --> 0:34:57.529
<v Speaker 1>lesson from the last eight years is that there is

0:34:57.539 --> 0:35:02.628
<v Speaker 1>a whole range of stack on non chip specific technology

0:35:02.638 --> 0:35:05.857
<v Speaker 1>from like building green transition related things to large tractors

0:35:05.868 --> 0:35:09.509
<v Speaker 1>to protein folding. You don't need the two nanometers, what

0:35:09.518 --> 0:35:12.049
<v Speaker 1>the Chinese have, they can get by and do very well.

0:35:12.118 --> 0:35:15.519
<v Speaker 1>And even the journey from say 7 to 5. Now

0:35:15.529 --> 0:35:17.627
<v Speaker 1>when I talk to chips especially, they don't say it's impossible.

0:35:17.638 --> 0:35:19.308
<v Speaker 1>Four or five years ago, people told me it was

0:35:19.319 --> 0:35:21.549
<v Speaker 1>impossible for the Chinese to ever come up with smaller

0:35:21.559 --> 0:35:22.349
<v Speaker 1>chips on their own.

0:35:22.560 --> 0:35:24.810
<v Speaker 1>But even like lithography and stuff, nobody thinks that it

0:35:24.820 --> 0:35:27.459
<v Speaker 1>is only a Sm L's game. Forever. Forever is a

0:35:27.469 --> 0:35:28.569
<v Speaker 1>very long time. So

0:35:29.159 --> 0:35:32.350
<v Speaker 2>no I, so without getting to the technicalities of it,

0:35:32.510 --> 0:35:35.830
<v Speaker 2>I also don't think it's impossible. But I will say

0:35:35.840 --> 0:35:38.729
<v Speaker 2>that even if, even if it takes them a really

0:35:38.739 --> 0:35:41.409
<v Speaker 2>long time, there's a lot of stuff you can do,

0:35:41.419 --> 0:35:44.479
<v Speaker 2>which is more compute. I said it is more condensed, correct.

0:35:44.909 --> 0:35:48.540
<v Speaker 2>And they have scale, right? They have production capacity at

0:35:48.709 --> 0:35:52.250
<v Speaker 2>enormous scale which does not require them to force that

0:35:52.260 --> 0:35:55.189
<v Speaker 2>miniaturization that the West is looking at and it is

0:35:55.199 --> 0:35:58.090
<v Speaker 2>more efficient, it is more effective, etcetera, etcetera. But they

0:35:58.100 --> 0:36:01.409
<v Speaker 2>have scale and they have data, right? Put those two together,

0:36:01.540 --> 0:36:03.120
<v Speaker 2>you look at what A I is happening in China

0:36:03.129 --> 0:36:05.469
<v Speaker 2>and it's tremendous, the scale and the speed that they're

0:36:05.479 --> 0:36:05.819
<v Speaker 2>moving

0:36:05.830 --> 0:36:06.100
<v Speaker 2>at.

0:36:06.260 --> 0:36:08.030
<v Speaker 1>OK. I was waiting for you to mention the word

0:36:08.040 --> 0:36:10.689
<v Speaker 1>A I, all right. So cyber security and A I,

0:36:11.820 --> 0:36:15.000
<v Speaker 2>oh that I think is the game changer on both sides.

0:36:15.010 --> 0:36:18.270
<v Speaker 2>Um I was just involved in conversations again at the

0:36:18.280 --> 0:36:21.198
<v Speaker 2>United Nations looking at how A I is impacted cyber

0:36:21.209 --> 0:36:23.280
<v Speaker 2>from the offensive and the defensive side.

0:36:24.149 --> 0:36:26.270
<v Speaker 2>It is a productivity tool for the Attackers just as

0:36:26.280 --> 0:36:28.589
<v Speaker 2>it is for the defenders. And we're seeing it, we're

0:36:28.600 --> 0:36:29.459
<v Speaker 2>seeing

0:36:30.790 --> 0:36:35.689
<v Speaker 2>amateur maybe beginner Attackers used their version of Chad GPT

0:36:35.889 --> 0:36:39.050
<v Speaker 2>to build out and understand technical vulnerabilities and exploits.

0:36:40.800 --> 0:36:43.859
<v Speaker 2>One of the most apparent examples that ordinary people feel

0:36:43.870 --> 0:36:46.290
<v Speaker 2>is that the quality of phishing emails has gotten better.

0:36:46.669 --> 0:36:48.500
<v Speaker 2>There was an era where we used to all joke

0:36:48.510 --> 0:36:50.870
<v Speaker 2>about the Nigerian Princes and how badly written those emails

0:36:50.879 --> 0:36:51.139
<v Speaker 2>were

0:36:52.199 --> 0:36:55.409
<v Speaker 2>today, you cannot tell the difference between a human and

0:36:55.419 --> 0:36:58.340
<v Speaker 2>a bot. And in fact, there was a period where

0:36:58.350 --> 0:37:00.090
<v Speaker 2>we used to tell people spot the signs of fishing,

0:37:00.100 --> 0:37:02.149
<v Speaker 2>look out for the spelling errors and the grammatical errors

0:37:02.159 --> 0:37:05.560
<v Speaker 2>and the punctuation errors today. If there are no spelling

0:37:05.570 --> 0:37:08.520
<v Speaker 2>errors and no grammatical errors, that's the, that's the phishing

0:37:08.530 --> 0:37:11.800
<v Speaker 2>email because the humans still make typos. I still have

0:37:11.810 --> 0:37:13.340
<v Speaker 2>punctuation errors in my emails.

0:37:14.159 --> 0:37:16.859
<v Speaker 2>We are now in a situation where telling fiction from

0:37:16.870 --> 0:37:20.138
<v Speaker 2>reality is incredibly difficult because of generative A I and

0:37:20.149 --> 0:37:22.010
<v Speaker 2>the Attackers are using it not just for the deep

0:37:22.020 --> 0:37:24.429
<v Speaker 2>fake images and the fake news and all of that,

0:37:24.560 --> 0:37:27.198
<v Speaker 2>but also just to lure people into clicking a link

0:37:27.209 --> 0:37:32.300
<v Speaker 2>to create websites that look incredibly realistic on the fly.

0:37:32.560 --> 0:37:35.780
<v Speaker 2>And that generative A I capability is tremendously powerful in

0:37:35.790 --> 0:37:36.449
<v Speaker 2>their hands.

0:37:38.000 --> 0:37:40.300
<v Speaker 2>The challenges that we are going to see with A

0:37:40.310 --> 0:37:42.709
<v Speaker 2>I being both a productivity tool as well as a

0:37:42.719 --> 0:37:45.540
<v Speaker 2>tool for greater sophistication means that the quality and the

0:37:45.550 --> 0:37:47.010
<v Speaker 2>volume of attacks are going to go up

0:37:48.050 --> 0:37:52.250
<v Speaker 2>on the defender side. It is incredibly useful. And I

0:37:52.260 --> 0:37:54.610
<v Speaker 2>would say that A I in my view does two

0:37:54.620 --> 0:37:59.570
<v Speaker 2>things very well. It finds needles and organizes haystacks, it

0:37:59.580 --> 0:38:01.850
<v Speaker 2>finds needles in the sense that it finds unusual spiky

0:38:01.860 --> 0:38:02.399
<v Speaker 2>behavior

0:38:03.459 --> 0:38:05.860
<v Speaker 2>on a daily basis. Go checks his email from 9

0:38:05.870 --> 0:38:08.419
<v Speaker 2>to 5 suddenly on a Thursday at 3 a.m. he

0:38:08.429 --> 0:38:10.929
<v Speaker 2>sends out a one gigabyte file. That's a needle, that's

0:38:10.939 --> 0:38:14.360
<v Speaker 2>a spiky behavior. That's unusual. Something was wrong, either legitimate

0:38:14.620 --> 0:38:18.000
<v Speaker 2>but unusual or illegitimate. And so it will flag that

0:38:18.010 --> 0:38:21.280
<v Speaker 2>up and say, look, sending out an email of three

0:38:21.290 --> 0:38:24.020
<v Speaker 2>gigabytes is allowed by our system. But this guy, it's

0:38:24.060 --> 0:38:26.719
<v Speaker 2>unusual based on our behavioral analysis and A I is

0:38:26.729 --> 0:38:27.419
<v Speaker 2>great at that.

0:38:27.840 --> 0:38:31.459
<v Speaker 2>The other thing it's great at is organizing haystacks, small

0:38:31.469 --> 0:38:34.060
<v Speaker 2>data points that on their own don't really mean much.

0:38:34.250 --> 0:38:36.530
<v Speaker 2>But if you put them together in an interesting way,

0:38:36.540 --> 0:38:40.320
<v Speaker 2>you get an insight. Like over time, your computer has

0:38:40.330 --> 0:38:44.069
<v Speaker 2>been performing slower and slower over time, the data that

0:38:44.080 --> 0:38:46.500
<v Speaker 2>is sending up to this particular address is increasing a

0:38:46.510 --> 0:38:49.739
<v Speaker 2>little bit by little bit each day. Why would that be,

0:38:49.899 --> 0:38:52.729
<v Speaker 2>what's an insight we can gain from that? So it's

0:38:52.739 --> 0:38:54.899
<v Speaker 2>great at organizing these kind of haystacks.

0:38:55.300 --> 0:38:57.729
<v Speaker 2>You put those two needles and haystacks together and that's

0:38:57.739 --> 0:39:00.949
<v Speaker 2>cyber security. It's trying to understand when there is malicious

0:39:00.959 --> 0:39:05.090
<v Speaker 2>activity inside your corporate network and usually manifest in either

0:39:05.100 --> 0:39:08.479
<v Speaker 2>spiky unusual behavior or a trend of unusual things. And

0:39:08.489 --> 0:39:10.729
<v Speaker 2>if you can catch that early enough, you can stop

0:39:10.739 --> 0:39:13.659
<v Speaker 2>it from becoming an impact. So the whole game now

0:39:13.669 --> 0:39:15.899
<v Speaker 2>is for A I for defenders is to use A

0:39:15.909 --> 0:39:18.860
<v Speaker 2>I in detecting malicious activity inside the networks.

0:39:19.290 --> 0:39:22.729
<v Speaker 2>Attackers still cannot use A I. Once they get it,

0:39:22.979 --> 0:39:25.370
<v Speaker 2>they use it to knock on the door to break in.

0:39:25.590 --> 0:39:27.580
<v Speaker 2>But once they get in, they're on their own, you

0:39:27.590 --> 0:39:30.500
<v Speaker 2>can't bring it with you. It's a huge payload to

0:39:30.510 --> 0:39:33.709
<v Speaker 2>bring into an attack. But defenders have the entire perimeter

0:39:33.719 --> 0:39:36.260
<v Speaker 2>on their own so they can put A I to work.

0:39:36.479 --> 0:39:38.158
<v Speaker 2>And I think at the scale of data that most

0:39:38.169 --> 0:39:40.280
<v Speaker 2>companies are operating at now, you can get a lot

0:39:40.290 --> 0:39:43.149
<v Speaker 2>of fascinating insights. And more importantly, humans can't do it.

0:39:43.439 --> 0:39:45.370
<v Speaker 2>The amount of data that a bank like yours would

0:39:45.379 --> 0:39:49.199
<v Speaker 2>process on a daily basis internally would overwhelm your human operator.

0:39:49.209 --> 0:39:51.290
<v Speaker 2>So you have to use some sort of algorithms or

0:39:51.379 --> 0:39:53.760
<v Speaker 2>A I for it. The challenge we have is that

0:39:53.770 --> 0:39:57.129
<v Speaker 2>A I is a little bit unpredictable by design. It

0:39:57.139 --> 0:40:01.020
<v Speaker 2>is a statistical system and statistical systems inherently work on probabilities,

0:40:01.389 --> 0:40:03.870
<v Speaker 2>which means that there is a 90% chance it's correct.

0:40:03.879 --> 0:40:05.949
<v Speaker 2>There's a 10% chance it hallucinated and give you a

0:40:05.959 --> 0:40:07.419
<v Speaker 2>completely bad answer.

0:40:08.350 --> 0:40:09.888
<v Speaker 2>And that will always be the case. So we need

0:40:09.899 --> 0:40:12.800
<v Speaker 2>to figure out a way to design around that. There's

0:40:12.810 --> 0:40:15.469
<v Speaker 2>a whole other interesting conversation about securing A I itself,

0:40:15.479 --> 0:40:18.959
<v Speaker 2>which today is a very nascent area. We don't quite

0:40:18.969 --> 0:40:21.090
<v Speaker 2>understand how to secure A I because it doesn't work

0:40:21.100 --> 0:40:25.000
<v Speaker 2>like traditional software, traditional software is if this, then that,

0:40:25.219 --> 0:40:27.300
<v Speaker 2>which means if I program a software to say what

0:40:27.310 --> 0:40:29.779
<v Speaker 2>color is the sky, the answer is blue. And if

0:40:29.790 --> 0:40:31.530
<v Speaker 2>it doesn't give me the answer of blue. I'll flag

0:40:31.540 --> 0:40:33.229
<v Speaker 2>up an error and I know somebody hacked my system

0:40:33.239 --> 0:40:35.209
<v Speaker 2>because the answer is not blue. But if you ask

0:40:35.219 --> 0:40:36.620
<v Speaker 2>A I, what color is the sky? Where? Well, it's

0:40:36.629 --> 0:40:37.330
<v Speaker 2>black at night.

0:40:38.090 --> 0:40:41.010
<v Speaker 2>That's true. It's red in the morning. That's true. It's

0:40:41.020 --> 0:40:44.279
<v Speaker 2>gray in London also. True. So it may not ever

0:40:44.290 --> 0:40:46.629
<v Speaker 2>give you blue. But is that an error, is that

0:40:46.639 --> 0:40:47.709
<v Speaker 2>performing correctly?

0:40:48.429 --> 0:40:51.429
<v Speaker 2>You can't build those same security rules to determine if

0:40:51.439 --> 0:40:52.810
<v Speaker 2>the A I is failed because it might just be

0:40:52.820 --> 0:40:55.879
<v Speaker 2>performing as expected. And so securing A I is another

0:40:55.889 --> 0:40:58.320
<v Speaker 2>huge challenge that we're going to see as more companies

0:40:58.330 --> 0:41:00.110
<v Speaker 2>incorporate A I into the infrastructure.

0:41:00.989 --> 0:41:06.449
<v Speaker 1>Our cyber practices are largely driven by infrastructure created by

0:41:06.459 --> 0:41:10.040
<v Speaker 1>very large companies from Aws to Google and then on

0:41:10.050 --> 0:41:11.330
<v Speaker 1>the social media world, all the

0:41:11.770 --> 0:41:14.979
<v Speaker 1>Facebook of the world. So in this new A I

0:41:15.000 --> 0:41:18.050
<v Speaker 1>wave that is now just about two years old. Are

0:41:18.060 --> 0:41:20.929
<v Speaker 1>we seeing large companies play as dominant a role or

0:41:20.939 --> 0:41:22.790
<v Speaker 1>is it becoming a more of a decentralized world?

0:41:23.560 --> 0:41:24.179
<v Speaker 2>But

0:41:25.010 --> 0:41:27.709
<v Speaker 2>you have, so I'll talk about the decentralized portion. First,

0:41:27.719 --> 0:41:31.979
<v Speaker 2>you have a tremendous amount of tools available in the

0:41:31.989 --> 0:41:35.080
<v Speaker 2>open source area in the open source domain that already

0:41:35.090 --> 0:41:37.000
<v Speaker 2>empower a vast number of people to use A I

0:41:37.010 --> 0:41:40.080
<v Speaker 2>at home. You can go to this place called Hugging Face,

0:41:40.090 --> 0:41:43.330
<v Speaker 2>download a model, run it on your Macbook super easy

0:41:43.340 --> 0:41:45.629
<v Speaker 2>and you can do everything from generating poetry to generating

0:41:45.639 --> 0:41:50.110
<v Speaker 2>photographs by yourself. Without the internet, after you've downloaded the models,

0:41:50.239 --> 0:41:51.989
<v Speaker 2>that's a few gigabytes. It's not difficult to do

0:41:53.469 --> 0:41:56.689
<v Speaker 2>at the same time. While it's decentralized to the extent

0:41:56.699 --> 0:41:59.310
<v Speaker 2>that individuals can run their own and build their own models,

0:41:59.320 --> 0:42:02.759
<v Speaker 2>it's also become a game of very high performance compute.

0:42:03.209 --> 0:42:05.139
<v Speaker 2>So part of the reason why NVIDIA is kind of

0:42:05.149 --> 0:42:07.780
<v Speaker 2>surged ahead is because they offer the kind of high

0:42:07.790 --> 0:42:09.469
<v Speaker 2>powered computer that's optimized for A I.

0:42:10.610 --> 0:42:15.550
<v Speaker 2>These cloud service providers and chip manufacturers and the providers

0:42:15.560 --> 0:42:20.050
<v Speaker 2>of high performance compute will run far ahead. The type

0:42:20.060 --> 0:42:22.320
<v Speaker 2>of complex work that they can do. And I'm, you know,

0:42:22.330 --> 0:42:24.669
<v Speaker 2>my company is building many of these tools with them.

0:42:25.899 --> 0:42:28.379
<v Speaker 2>The type of high performance A I things that you

0:42:28.389 --> 0:42:32.520
<v Speaker 2>can do will be fascinating. We are already seeing the

0:42:32.530 --> 0:42:35.239
<v Speaker 2>surge of activity in terms of use cases for A

0:42:35.250 --> 0:42:38.080
<v Speaker 2>I and to some extent, I am far more bullish

0:42:38.090 --> 0:42:40.149
<v Speaker 2>on A I than I ever was on crypto. But

0:42:40.159 --> 0:42:43.120
<v Speaker 2>I do think that this whole space will continue to

0:42:43.129 --> 0:42:45.850
<v Speaker 2>create a lot of productivity and a lot of interesting

0:42:45.860 --> 0:42:48.639
<v Speaker 2>use cases and value for ordinary people and for companies

0:42:49.600 --> 0:42:52.520
<v Speaker 1>and the large companies that we're talking about which have

0:42:52.530 --> 0:42:56.250
<v Speaker 1>all those great M one and M 100 chips. Are

0:42:56.260 --> 0:42:59.060
<v Speaker 1>they being cognizant of the cybersecurity aspect?

0:43:01.409 --> 0:43:04.638
<v Speaker 2>We still operate in a world where the fundamental mantra

0:43:04.649 --> 0:43:08.100
<v Speaker 2>for tech is move fast and break. That's right. And

0:43:08.110 --> 0:43:11.080
<v Speaker 2>there is no better example of what move fast and

0:43:11.090 --> 0:43:14.020
<v Speaker 2>break things looks like than what we saw in terms

0:43:14.030 --> 0:43:17.110
<v Speaker 2>of the governance of open A I very few companies

0:43:17.120 --> 0:43:19.360
<v Speaker 2>have the ability to fire their own board.

0:43:20.750 --> 0:43:23.070
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, very few companies have the ability to fire their

0:43:23.080 --> 0:43:25.569
<v Speaker 2>own board. And at the point where you can fire

0:43:25.580 --> 0:43:27.830
<v Speaker 2>the governance layer for your own company because you want

0:43:27.840 --> 0:43:30.959
<v Speaker 2>to move faster, you have to ask real questions about

0:43:30.969 --> 0:43:32.510
<v Speaker 2>what is the actual

0:43:33.770 --> 0:43:38.830
<v Speaker 2>risk management culture in that organization? How fast are they

0:43:38.840 --> 0:43:42.069
<v Speaker 2>prepared to move and how slow are they prepared to

0:43:42.080 --> 0:43:46.030
<v Speaker 2>take the risks? I offer an analogy with another domain

0:43:46.040 --> 0:43:49.929
<v Speaker 2>of technology where we deliberately slow down cloning, we have

0:43:49.939 --> 0:43:52.090
<v Speaker 2>the ability to do cloning. In the late nineties. I

0:43:52.100 --> 0:43:54.989
<v Speaker 2>think we all read about Dolly. The shape and human

0:43:55.000 --> 0:43:58.909
<v Speaker 2>cloning is eminently possible. Today, bioengineering is also very possible,

0:43:59.219 --> 0:44:03.429
<v Speaker 2>but we as a human society decided, let's slow down.

0:44:03.959 --> 0:44:06.219
<v Speaker 2>This doesn't feel like a good idea. At this point,

0:44:06.600 --> 0:44:08.889
<v Speaker 2>I don't think we should do this. So we slow

0:44:08.899 --> 0:44:10.250
<v Speaker 2>that entire trajectory down.

0:44:11.659 --> 0:44:15.040
<v Speaker 2>That industry is heavily regulated, medical testing, medical experimentation is

0:44:15.050 --> 0:44:18.790
<v Speaker 2>a heavily regulated industry. You cannot try cloning without getting

0:44:18.800 --> 0:44:20.600
<v Speaker 2>into a whole bunch of problems in most countries.

0:44:21.500 --> 0:44:24.550
<v Speaker 2>But tech again is an unregulated space. So A I

0:44:24.560 --> 0:44:27.399
<v Speaker 2>is doing a lot of things and it's adding value,

0:44:27.889 --> 0:44:31.239
<v Speaker 2>but it's not managing the risks very well. And you'll

0:44:31.250 --> 0:44:34.040
<v Speaker 2>see this in every single A I solution out there.

0:44:34.050 --> 0:44:36.540
<v Speaker 2>It's trying its best to prevent it from being used

0:44:36.550 --> 0:44:38.760
<v Speaker 2>to generate deep fake nudes, for example.

0:44:39.469 --> 0:44:43.010
<v Speaker 2>But we have an epidemic right now rampant deep fake news,

0:44:43.020 --> 0:44:45.330
<v Speaker 2>South Korea. It's happening in Singapore. It's happening everywhere in

0:44:45.340 --> 0:44:48.620
<v Speaker 2>the world. How do you stop that? Fake news is

0:44:48.629 --> 0:44:49.689
<v Speaker 2>a general concept.

0:44:50.429 --> 0:44:53.159
<v Speaker 2>It's impossible at this point to stop because everybody has

0:44:53.169 --> 0:44:56.010
<v Speaker 2>access to a simple tool that can create a photograph

0:44:56.100 --> 0:44:58.750
<v Speaker 2>of me doing a bad thing and me and a

0:44:58.760 --> 0:45:01.750
<v Speaker 2>story being written about that bad thing, I can't stop it.

0:45:01.889 --> 0:45:04.520
<v Speaker 2>And you put companies on the defensive all the time.

0:45:04.909 --> 0:45:07.080
<v Speaker 2>The challenge with the big companies is that they are

0:45:07.090 --> 0:45:10.419
<v Speaker 2>going to keep pushing really far and really fast. They

0:45:10.429 --> 0:45:12.360
<v Speaker 2>do say all the right things. So most of the

0:45:12.370 --> 0:45:15.969
<v Speaker 2>big tech companies have great frameworks around ethical A I

0:45:16.050 --> 0:45:18.819
<v Speaker 2>have great frameworks about responsible and secure A I.

0:45:19.300 --> 0:45:22.879
<v Speaker 2>But the actual implementation lacks many of those safeguards because

0:45:23.000 --> 0:45:27.629
<v Speaker 2>it's hard and because it's hard, they may not prioritize

0:45:27.639 --> 0:45:31.280
<v Speaker 2>them all the time. I'm not optimistic that companies will

0:45:31.729 --> 0:45:34.909
<v Speaker 2>take the cloning path for example and slow down deliberately

0:45:34.919 --> 0:45:36.250
<v Speaker 2>so that they're comfortable with

0:45:36.260 --> 0:45:36.469
<v Speaker 2>it.

0:45:36.739 --> 0:45:41.879
<v Speaker 1>The money talks girl, you said that you're very constructive

0:45:41.889 --> 0:45:44.719
<v Speaker 1>on the productivity gains from A I, not as much

0:45:44.729 --> 0:45:46.120
<v Speaker 1>as you have been on crypto,

0:45:46.580 --> 0:45:47.919
<v Speaker 1>but there seems to be a lot of people who

0:45:47.929 --> 0:45:49.679
<v Speaker 1>are really bullish crypto these days as you and I

0:45:49.689 --> 0:45:53.590
<v Speaker 1>speak it's hitting 95,000 Bitcoin. Um One of the appeals

0:45:53.600 --> 0:45:56.989
<v Speaker 1>of crypto is that, you know, it's compute heavy to,

0:45:57.000 --> 0:45:59.860
<v Speaker 1>you know, counterfeit and therefore there's a fixed number of

0:45:59.870 --> 0:46:03.649
<v Speaker 1>bitcoins and the mining gets progressively increased, expensive because of

0:46:03.659 --> 0:46:07.250
<v Speaker 1>all the cryptography element of boundary. And leading us into

0:46:07.260 --> 0:46:11.469
<v Speaker 1>the question of quantum, will that entire infrastructure

0:46:11.870 --> 0:46:18.439
<v Speaker 1>become sort of completely undermined if quantum computing becomes ubiquitous?

0:46:18.909 --> 0:46:22.929
<v Speaker 2>So it will be uh there's a transition, there's a journey.

0:46:22.939 --> 0:46:24.909
<v Speaker 2>And I I do think that there are risk. I

0:46:24.919 --> 0:46:28.169
<v Speaker 2>sit in both conversations. So I'm in conversations with folks

0:46:28.179 --> 0:46:30.540
<v Speaker 2>who are very optimistic on cryptography. I'm also in conversation

0:46:30.550 --> 0:46:32.049
<v Speaker 2>with folks who are very optimistic on quantum.

0:46:33.129 --> 0:46:36.689
<v Speaker 2>Those two conversations rarely intersect because it's it's it's a

0:46:36.699 --> 0:46:37.790
<v Speaker 2>bit of oil and water.

0:46:39.659 --> 0:46:43.399
<v Speaker 2>The whole Blockchain and kind of Cryptocurrency world exists on

0:46:43.409 --> 0:46:46.320
<v Speaker 2>the basis of cryptographic fundamentals. And as you mentioned, the

0:46:46.330 --> 0:46:48.669
<v Speaker 2>cryptographic fundamentals are robust enough such that you need a

0:46:48.679 --> 0:46:50.229
<v Speaker 2>lot of compute in order to break it.

0:46:51.300 --> 0:46:52.520
<v Speaker 2>But if you could break it,

0:46:53.169 --> 0:46:57.409
<v Speaker 2>if you can break the cryptographic fundamentals behind Bitcoin or

0:46:57.419 --> 0:46:58.189
<v Speaker 2>whatever it is,

0:46:59.199 --> 0:47:03.280
<v Speaker 2>you undermine the entire value proposition that that thing offered.

0:47:04.510 --> 0:47:07.889
<v Speaker 2>The argument is that quantum will come out in stages.

0:47:08.149 --> 0:47:11.090
<v Speaker 2>The first stage is the ability to decrypt things

0:47:11.729 --> 0:47:15.810
<v Speaker 2>and the ability to decrypt things will be destructive. It

0:47:15.820 --> 0:47:17.790
<v Speaker 2>will undermine for example, Bitcoin

0:47:18.550 --> 0:47:21.260
<v Speaker 2>more so than some of the other ones because the

0:47:21.270 --> 0:47:23.009
<v Speaker 2>crypto referendums are rather old.

0:47:24.370 --> 0:47:26.790
<v Speaker 2>The challenge with cryptocurrencies is that if you try to

0:47:26.969 --> 0:47:32.000
<v Speaker 2>change the cryptographic fundamentals halfway through, it's really hard. Once

0:47:32.010 --> 0:47:34.250
<v Speaker 2>you end up doing a hard fork, you actually lose

0:47:34.260 --> 0:47:36.489
<v Speaker 2>the previously, you actually lose all of the previous value.

0:47:36.949 --> 0:47:39.270
<v Speaker 2>And it's very difficult to transition that value into the

0:47:39.280 --> 0:47:42.139
<v Speaker 2>new fork. And you've seen this with other cryptocurrencies that

0:47:42.149 --> 0:47:44.540
<v Speaker 2>they have done a hard fork and have lost previous value.

0:47:45.310 --> 0:47:47.419
<v Speaker 2>There are some cryptocurrencies that will come out that are newer,

0:47:47.429 --> 0:47:52.060
<v Speaker 2>that will use more modern cryptographic standards, perhaps even quantum

0:47:52.070 --> 0:47:56.429
<v Speaker 2>resistant post quantum cryptography, but they will be new and

0:47:56.439 --> 0:47:59.520
<v Speaker 2>they won't be the $95,000 guy. So there will be

0:47:59.530 --> 0:48:03.810
<v Speaker 2>this era of transition and difficulty because the first use

0:48:03.820 --> 0:48:05.770
<v Speaker 2>case of quantum computing will be to decrypt.

0:48:07.459 --> 0:48:11.659
<v Speaker 2>Once enough people have access to a quantum computer, then

0:48:11.669 --> 0:48:13.060
<v Speaker 2>you can use it to encrypt,

0:48:13.850 --> 0:48:17.709
<v Speaker 2>then you can have a Blockchain that uses quantum as

0:48:17.719 --> 0:48:21.509
<v Speaker 2>the cryptographic fundamental generator. But we're very far away from

0:48:21.520 --> 0:48:25.040
<v Speaker 2>that at the point where quantum cryptography becomes something that's

0:48:25.050 --> 0:48:29.370
<v Speaker 2>accessible to the ordinary person. We're a decade at least away.

0:48:29.489 --> 0:48:31.510
<v Speaker 2>And the reason why it's different from cloud is because

0:48:31.520 --> 0:48:34.089
<v Speaker 2>quantum is a physics problem. It's not just a scaling

0:48:34.100 --> 0:48:37.129
<v Speaker 2>problem cloud is a scaling problem. If you know Zimbabwe

0:48:37.139 --> 0:48:39.260
<v Speaker 2>wants it. If Brunei wants it, if Singapore wants it,

0:48:39.270 --> 0:48:41.229
<v Speaker 2>it's a scaling problem. And in fact, you don't even

0:48:41.239 --> 0:48:42.489
<v Speaker 2>need to have your own cloud, you just need to

0:48:42.500 --> 0:48:43.589
<v Speaker 2>have access to the internet

0:48:44.149 --> 0:48:46.709
<v Speaker 2>quantum will be different. You will need to have a

0:48:46.719 --> 0:48:51.090
<v Speaker 2>physical environment that's stable enough to actually build a quantum

0:48:51.100 --> 0:48:53.620
<v Speaker 2>computer and very few countries will have access to that.

0:48:53.729 --> 0:48:55.409
<v Speaker 2>And if you look at the programs around the world,

0:48:55.419 --> 0:48:58.739
<v Speaker 2>most of the quantum programs are being sponsored by militaries,

0:48:59.229 --> 0:49:01.820
<v Speaker 2>which indicates, I mean, I'm sure many militaries are interested

0:49:01.830 --> 0:49:02.580
<v Speaker 2>in curing cancer,

0:49:03.750 --> 0:49:06.000
<v Speaker 2>but there will also be other use cases that they

0:49:06.010 --> 0:49:09.379
<v Speaker 2>have for it in terms of espionage. And once you

0:49:09.389 --> 0:49:15.870
<v Speaker 2>start to decrypt internet protocols, decrypt transaction protocols, decrypt cryptographic fundamentals,

0:49:16.129 --> 0:49:21.419
<v Speaker 2>you create that instability. That makes me wonder whether today's

0:49:21.429 --> 0:49:25.709
<v Speaker 2>cryptography based tokens products tools will survive,

0:49:25.840 --> 0:49:28.580
<v Speaker 1>right? So let me broaden that specific discussion in the

0:49:28.590 --> 0:49:30.138
<v Speaker 1>context of geopolitics.

0:49:30.409 --> 0:49:33.389
<v Speaker 1>Um who has the lead in quantum is the us

0:49:33.399 --> 0:49:35.409
<v Speaker 1>way ahead of the Russians and the Chinese and the

0:49:35.419 --> 0:49:36.189
<v Speaker 1>North Koreans.

0:49:36.219 --> 0:49:36.239
<v Speaker 2>It

0:49:36.570 --> 0:49:40.750
<v Speaker 2>is really hard to tell. Um So the Europeans, so

0:49:40.760 --> 0:49:43.979
<v Speaker 2>what we know about is what the West openly declares

0:49:43.989 --> 0:49:46.120
<v Speaker 2>and I think they are quite transparent in terms of

0:49:46.129 --> 0:49:48.330
<v Speaker 2>what they are building and what they're doing. There are

0:49:48.340 --> 0:49:52.360
<v Speaker 2>many open quantum initiatives I was talking to leads at

0:49:52.370 --> 0:49:56.030
<v Speaker 2>some in Geneva and they're pushing this idea of openness

0:49:56.040 --> 0:49:58.100
<v Speaker 2>because they want quantum to be something that people talk

0:49:58.110 --> 0:49:59.110
<v Speaker 2>about and understand

0:49:59.899 --> 0:50:01.250
<v Speaker 2>and used responsibly.

0:50:02.429 --> 0:50:04.169
<v Speaker 2>But there are many other countries who invest in quantum

0:50:04.179 --> 0:50:05.330
<v Speaker 2>that don't tell people what they're doing.

0:50:06.129 --> 0:50:07.819
<v Speaker 2>And so I have no idea whether they are ahead

0:50:07.830 --> 0:50:12.129
<v Speaker 2>or not. My assumption is that the West is currently

0:50:12.139 --> 0:50:13.340
<v Speaker 2>likely to be ahead.

0:50:14.080 --> 0:50:17.129
<v Speaker 2>But we have another trajectory that's come in, that's kind

0:50:17.139 --> 0:50:17.290
<v Speaker 2>of

0:50:18.020 --> 0:50:20.639
<v Speaker 2>made things a bit harder to assess. And I'll explain

0:50:20.649 --> 0:50:24.489
<v Speaker 2>why we assume that research in quantum was a straight line.

0:50:24.500 --> 0:50:27.979
<v Speaker 2>More phd students studying quantum, it will move a little

0:50:27.989 --> 0:50:30.080
<v Speaker 2>bit faster. But now I've got a I

0:50:31.229 --> 0:50:34.649
<v Speaker 2>that a conversation has become a productivity tool for phd

0:50:34.659 --> 0:50:37.669
<v Speaker 2>S as well for the researchers, the types of work

0:50:37.679 --> 0:50:40.750
<v Speaker 2>that they are asking their models to do overnight before

0:50:40.760 --> 0:50:43.729
<v Speaker 2>they come back previously, took a year of phd research

0:50:43.739 --> 0:50:47.239
<v Speaker 2>systems to produce. So we are now seeing a sudden

0:50:47.250 --> 0:50:49.739
<v Speaker 2>change in the trajectory of research in quantum.

0:50:50.459 --> 0:50:52.550
<v Speaker 2>Does that mean it move faster? Does that mean countries

0:50:52.560 --> 0:50:54.800
<v Speaker 2>will suddenly be able to accelerate countries that have A

0:50:54.810 --> 0:50:59.169
<v Speaker 2>I at scale in their domestic environment? Can they do

0:50:59.179 --> 0:51:01.889
<v Speaker 2>more with it? I don't know. So that's the disruptive

0:51:01.899 --> 0:51:04.360
<v Speaker 2>power which I'm not quite sure how the trajectory plays out.

0:51:04.479 --> 0:51:07.319
<v Speaker 2>All I do know is comment everybody A I is

0:51:07.330 --> 0:51:09.959
<v Speaker 2>making a difference in their research and we're seeing things

0:51:09.969 --> 0:51:10.638
<v Speaker 2>move faster.

0:51:11.340 --> 0:51:14.489
<v Speaker 1>This is just so cool. I was going to end

0:51:14.500 --> 0:51:17.520
<v Speaker 1>our conversation with your advice for corporate leaders. I think

0:51:17.530 --> 0:51:19.459
<v Speaker 1>we have talked about it already. We should really stop

0:51:19.469 --> 0:51:22.840
<v Speaker 1>in that really fascinating, brave new world phase go Kirsty.

0:51:23.000 --> 0:51:24.790
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much for your insights.

0:51:25.000 --> 0:51:25.330
<v Speaker 2>Thank

0:51:25.340 --> 0:51:26.610
<v Speaker 2>you so much. For having me and I hope I

0:51:26.620 --> 0:51:29.179
<v Speaker 2>didn't scare you too much. I am still an optimist

0:51:29.189 --> 0:51:31.449
<v Speaker 2>at heart. I just plan for the worst and we

0:51:31.459 --> 0:51:33.080
<v Speaker 2>figure out how to deal with reality a lot. What

0:51:33.090 --> 0:51:34.870
<v Speaker 2>was the phrase octo realist, realist?

0:51:35.689 --> 0:51:37.070
<v Speaker 1>You heard it for the first time here?

0:51:37.360 --> 0:51:40.860
<v Speaker 1>Uh Thanks to our listeners as well. All 142 episodes

0:51:40.870 --> 0:51:43.750
<v Speaker 1>of copy time are available on youtube and on all

0:51:43.760 --> 0:51:47.570
<v Speaker 1>major podcast platforms including Apple Google and Spotify. Uh The

0:51:47.580 --> 0:51:50.840
<v Speaker 1>podcast was produced by Ken Delbridge from spy studios, Violet

0:51:50.850 --> 0:51:54.409
<v Speaker 1>Lee and Daisy Sherman provided additional assistance. Uh As for

0:51:54.419 --> 0:51:56.870
<v Speaker 1>our research publications, webinars, you can find them all by

0:51:56.879 --> 0:51:59.500
<v Speaker 1>Googling devious research library. Have a great day.