WEBVTT - Kopi Time E098 - Prem Bhatia on shifting sands in the tech start-up scene

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to COVID Time, a podcast series on Markets and

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<v Speaker 1>Economies from Ds Group Research. I'm chief economist, welcoming you

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<v Speaker 1>to our 98th episode.

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<v Speaker 1>Today, we will put aside most of global macro. There

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<v Speaker 1>will be a little bit of it, but mostly it

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<v Speaker 1>will be not the usual global macro that we talk

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<v Speaker 1>about because we will delve into the world of tech startups.

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<v Speaker 1>PAA is co-founder of Grass, which was recently named by

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<v Speaker 1>C B Insights to its annual retail tech 100 list

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<v Speaker 1>showcasing the 100 most promising private retail tech companies in

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<v Speaker 1>the world. According to Grass's website, it is a growth

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<v Speaker 1>as a service technology solution provider using predictive A I

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<v Speaker 1>to help enhance the growth of e-commerce businesses.

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<v Speaker 1>Its proprietary platform integrates previously siloed e-commerce data, but more

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<v Speaker 1>about them about all that from Prem in a second.

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<v Speaker 1>But before Grass Prem founded several companies served at the

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<v Speaker 1>board of several more and has been deeply involved in

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<v Speaker 1>tech investment. Prem. Pat. Welcome to Kobe Time.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you very much, big fan. I started listening back

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<v Speaker 2>in the early days of COVID and I haven't stopped.

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<v Speaker 2>So pleasure to be here. I've

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<v Speaker 1>spoken with your partner and some of your employees and

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<v Speaker 1>that has made me a fan of yours as well.

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<v Speaker 1>Um uh Prem uh we will talk a lot about

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<v Speaker 1>your journey as a tech entrepreneur, uh grass the startup

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<v Speaker 1>scene and so on. I really would love to hear

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<v Speaker 1>about your in and all of that. But first, um

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<v Speaker 1>we're discussing this in the middle of March. A few

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<v Speaker 1>things have happened in the form of Silicon Valley Bank

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<v Speaker 1>and a few other banks that have got under. So

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<v Speaker 1>talk to us about its impact on the tech startup scene.

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<v Speaker 2>Um Well, I mean, I think two lenses to it,

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<v Speaker 2>I think uh as a depositor, it's really quite worrying

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<v Speaker 2>that you can deposit money in, in uh in a

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<v Speaker 2>bank that you trust and then one day wake up

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<v Speaker 2>and not be able to withdraw. Right? Um That is

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<v Speaker 2>obviously extremely worrying. Um I think the other lens is

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<v Speaker 2>that um as a a technology startup,

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<v Speaker 2>uh if this were to continue, um along with high

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<v Speaker 2>interest rates,

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<v Speaker 2>I worry about the venture capital ecosystem and the ability

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<v Speaker 2>for other entrepreneurs and startups to, to raise money. Uh

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<v Speaker 2>things have fundamentally changed since from 12 months ago, since

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<v Speaker 2>we raised money at rest.

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<v Speaker 1>Right? And so let's stay with that a little longer.

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<v Speaker 1>So my understanding is two Fridays ago when the S

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<v Speaker 1>U V issue was front and center. A lot of

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<v Speaker 1>V C

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<v Speaker 1>lobbied Washington DC. Very hard. And their point was that

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<v Speaker 1>in S E V you have a lot of startups

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<v Speaker 1>and tech companies with much more than $250,000 deposits and

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<v Speaker 1>S E V going under without taking care of those

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<v Speaker 1>depositors would be very, very problematic. What were you hearing

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<v Speaker 1>from your peers? Or perhaps even you had some exposure

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<v Speaker 1>to S E V? I mean, what was the mindset

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<v Speaker 1>in those days?

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<v Speaker 2>Fortunately, no good. We are D BS born and bred.

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<v Speaker 2>Um No, I mean, I think, you know, everyone's worried about,

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<v Speaker 2>uh

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<v Speaker 2>what if they have made this mistake or what is

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<v Speaker 2>the mistake? The mistake is they manage risk badly, right.

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<v Speaker 2>Um I don't know where D Bs is my bank.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know where D Bs invests, right? Um And

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<v Speaker 2>everyone is now worried it's fundamental, right? This is existential

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<v Speaker 2>almost uh that if you have to now double click

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<v Speaker 2>on where your bank invests and whether there's timing mismatch

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<v Speaker 2>do your deposits. Um Are they at risk? Right. And

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<v Speaker 2>that's really what is scaring everybody. Um I mean, I

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<v Speaker 2>think that, you know, at a more macro level,

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<v Speaker 2>we're sort of just seeing the after effects of the

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<v Speaker 2>COVID hangover. Uh And, you know, we saw a prolonged

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<v Speaker 2>period of zero interest rates. Uh We saw a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of liquidity in the system. Uh We saw some uh

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<v Speaker 2>fast and loose bets being made, uh during that, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>uh 0% interest rate regime.

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<v Speaker 2>Um And now you've got a fed which is basically

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<v Speaker 2>taking up interest prices and interest rates fast. Right. And, uh,

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<v Speaker 2>and, and, and you're going to see the after effects,

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<v Speaker 2>not just in banking, but in every single sector. Um

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<v Speaker 2>but I would have thought that, you know, banks would

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<v Speaker 2>have been able to manage risk better. Uh long story short.

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<v Speaker 2>Um And now I think you're faced with a sort

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<v Speaker 2>of a question on whether, you know, banks that invested

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<v Speaker 2>in crypto, for example, should they be back, stopped by

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<v Speaker 2>the government or their depositors be back stopped? And uh

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's uh it's an interesting time. It's reminiscent of

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<v Speaker 2>2008 in some respects, hopefully nowhere near as bad. Uh

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<v Speaker 2>where in 2008, a lot of it was banks and,

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<v Speaker 2>and housing, right? And now it's sort of banks and technology.

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<v Speaker 2>Um and uh

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<v Speaker 2>I think that, uh you know, a lot of people

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<v Speaker 2>have climbed all over venture capital. Um And I don't know, I,

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<v Speaker 2>I have a fairly contrarian opinion.

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<v Speaker 1>Right. Right. Now we're going to get into that in

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<v Speaker 1>greater detail. Um, talking to people in Silicon Valley, which

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure you didn't during that time,

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<v Speaker 1>was your sense that there were a lot of companies

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<v Speaker 1>which only had business with S U V and therefore,

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<v Speaker 1>if S V V collapsed, they would not be able

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<v Speaker 1>to make payroll or was it exaggerated that actually companies

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<v Speaker 1>had multiple

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<v Speaker 2>banks. No, I think it was quite the opposite. I

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<v Speaker 2>think TB was, was home not just to funds, um

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<v Speaker 2>but also to their portfolio companies and

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<v Speaker 2>uh hindsight's a, a great thing. But look at the

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<v Speaker 2>end of the day startups, uh uh they've got a

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<v Speaker 2>lot to worry about. It's a bit like, um you know,

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<v Speaker 2>dancing between raindrops trying not to get wet and the

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<v Speaker 2>last thing you need to worry about is managing multiple

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<v Speaker 2>banking entities.

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<v Speaker 2>Um So, yeah, I think most of them

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<v Speaker 2>uh struggle with payroll. Um and uh are still worried

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<v Speaker 2>about when the money and how it's going to come back.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think it's a straightforward process,

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<v Speaker 1>the guarantee is there, but that doesn't mean that everything

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<v Speaker 1>can be.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think right now uh for startup founders, uh

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<v Speaker 2>you know,

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<v Speaker 2>I think 2020 2021 was very much about growth at

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<v Speaker 2>all costs.

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<v Speaker 2>Uh 2022 2023 very much about survival runway cash flow margin.

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<v Speaker 2>Um And, and yeah, cash flow is cash flow. That's

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<v Speaker 2>a good thing.

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<v Speaker 2>I agree. I, I think at a fundraising level, uh

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<v Speaker 2>we've raised 50 million bucks so far. Um Let me

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<v Speaker 2>just put it this way. Uh 40 million, the 1st

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<v Speaker 2>40

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<v Speaker 2>Uh much easier than the last 10. Um and um yeah, investors,

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<v Speaker 2>their LPS everyone is looking at the unit economics um

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<v Speaker 2>and profitability with a magnifying glass and that was not

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<v Speaker 2>the case two years ago. I

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<v Speaker 1>Mean, one wonders whether the

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<v Speaker 1>good thing also has some downside, which is that you

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<v Speaker 1>do want a lot of creative destruction and free uh,

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<v Speaker 1>germination of ideas and very eager money. If that were

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<v Speaker 1>to get constrained a little bit, maybe that

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<v Speaker 1>put some dark cloud for the outlook that, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we won't have that many interesting things percolating through the

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<v Speaker 1>system because the fear of failure would constrain money going in.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, I mean, look, uh

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<v Speaker 2>I think if, if, if you look, if you total

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<v Speaker 2>up all venture capital globally, right? It's

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<v Speaker 2>uh 2021 was about $700 billion right? Uh uh

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<v Speaker 2>But I think it's settling that, that $400 billion 400

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<v Speaker 2>billion

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<v Speaker 2>on a global GDP of 100 trillion, right?

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<v Speaker 2>That is your investment and innovation. And if that dries up,

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<v Speaker 2>um

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<v Speaker 2>I think that,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, innovation in its truest sense, whether it's climate change,

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<v Speaker 2>whether it's health, whether it's commerce, whether it's financial inclusion.

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<v Speaker 2>Um that was slowed out. Um So

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<v Speaker 2>yeah, there's some larger, much larger implication than, than um

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<v Speaker 2>short term blame. Right.

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<v Speaker 1>Right. Now, which is, I think why we have seen

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<v Speaker 1>regulators particularly in the us? Uh not necessarily go with

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<v Speaker 1>the playbook of just letting people who have more than

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<v Speaker 1>$250,000 under the bus because I think those are the

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<v Speaker 1>concerns echoing through them to some extent, right from your journey.

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<v Speaker 1>Are you, are we going to start talking about cricket

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<v Speaker 1>or are we going to talk about something even before that?

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<v Speaker 2>Um Yeah, I mean, we can start anywhere you like

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<v Speaker 2>um how, where would you like to start?

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<v Speaker 1>Well, tell us about your journey. What brought you to grass?

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<v Speaker 1>What are going back to say 20, years?

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<v Speaker 2>Oh man, loaded question. Uh

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<v Speaker 2>So I guess my journey to borrow from Hollywood has

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<v Speaker 2>been um

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<v Speaker 2>I went from Mad Men and Maguire

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<v Speaker 2>to today, Money Ball and Minority Report. I

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<v Speaker 1>hope everybody got that. I got

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<v Speaker 2>it right. So uh grew up in a um uh

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<v Speaker 2>very much in a marketing family that was one job

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<v Speaker 2>only all his life at Unilever mom worked at an agency,

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<v Speaker 2>started off in, in, in advertising, moved into what embarrassed

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<v Speaker 2>my father, which was something called sports marketing.

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<v Speaker 2>Um and uh managing celebrities like the likes of Tendulkar

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<v Speaker 2>and Ganguli. And um and he was embarrassed

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<v Speaker 2>Until the movie Jerry Maguire came out and then it

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<v Speaker 2>became the new sexy thing to do. Um and yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>I ran that. I was fortunate had an exit uh

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<v Speaker 2>early in my 20's. Um and then went on to

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<v Speaker 2>found uh

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<v Speaker 2>uh tech and digital marketing companies across India and Southeast

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<v Speaker 2>Asia and the Valley um are now very firmly sconc

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<v Speaker 2>in the world of data and artificial intelligence. Uh But

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<v Speaker 2>with a marketing twist. Uh So marketing has run through my,

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<v Speaker 2>I said the common thread, I guess that's run through

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<v Speaker 2>my existence.

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<v Speaker 1>Right? Listen, I want to talk about grass of course.

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<v Speaker 1>But before that, so staying with that issue of your

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<v Speaker 1>sort of journey over the last few decades, I see that,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you also advise a lot of companies and

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<v Speaker 1>you also act as a direct investor in certain stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>So those things are also with the marketing lens or

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<v Speaker 1>you do some other stuff as well.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, myself and my co-founder, we've been advising

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<v Speaker 2>and investing in a multiple startups for a few years,

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<v Speaker 2>but

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<v Speaker 2>more often than not, it's startups that, you know, where

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<v Speaker 2>we can add value uh that typically seed stage investments

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<v Speaker 2>anywhere up to like half a million dollars. Um And yes,

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<v Speaker 2>I would say marketing is the common thread because we're

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<v Speaker 2>investing in companies that have some consumer facing business. Um

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<v Speaker 2>uh advertising included.

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<v Speaker 1>OK.

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<v Speaker 1>All right. Let's talk about Grass and let's see how

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<v Speaker 1>that sort of culminates everything that you've been doing the

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<v Speaker 1>last two decades.

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<v Speaker 2>Um Yeah. So Grass actually is a sort of an

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<v Speaker 2>acronym for growth as a service, which is a nice

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<v Speaker 2>play on. Um And uh they simply put where

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<v Speaker 2>uh we help companies grow online. Um We help them

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<v Speaker 2>grow topline and we help them manage margin. Uh And

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<v Speaker 2>we use artificial intelligence and automation to, to do it.

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<v Speaker 2>Uh So we take

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<v Speaker 2>gut instinct out of the equation and, and we automate

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<v Speaker 2>we automate their decision making via data.

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<v Speaker 2>Um We're not your typical startup. Um

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<v Speaker 2>You know, grass uh raised money in April 22. Uh

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<v Speaker 2>we acquired two software companies. Um our thesis was that

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<v Speaker 2>uh

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<v Speaker 2>um

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<v Speaker 2>retail

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<v Speaker 2>and e-commerce and advertising are gonna become one and the

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<v Speaker 2>same thing. Um And, and our thesis from two years ago,

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's come true. Uh And we go into

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<v Speaker 2>that in a second. Um And

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<v Speaker 2>yeah, I think we're also

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<v Speaker 2>geography is important unlike the US, which, you know, when

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<v Speaker 2>you look at,

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<v Speaker 2>you look at a country's GDP, uh you look at,

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<v Speaker 2>let's say, at a global level, let's say the, the

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<v Speaker 2>world does 100 trillion and, and GDP retail is probably

0:13:50.150 --> 0:13:56.349
<v Speaker 2>about 30 trillion. E-commerce is probably six on that 30 trillion, right?

0:13:56.679 --> 0:14:02.348
<v Speaker 2>Uh It'll vary by country region. Uh But we play

0:14:02.690 --> 0:14:06.169
<v Speaker 2>in from Mumbai to Manila where you're looking at

0:14:06.890 --> 0:14:10.728
<v Speaker 2>A combined GDP of about seven trillion. Um

0:14:11.659 --> 0:14:12.189
<v Speaker 2>um

0:14:13.489 --> 0:14:18.320
<v Speaker 2>30% of that maybe is retail. Um but e-commerce is

0:14:18.330 --> 0:14:21.750
<v Speaker 2>only $200 billion. Uh and so there's a lot of

0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:24.760
<v Speaker 2>room for growth. Now, what's peculiar is that

0:14:25.630 --> 0:14:28.229
<v Speaker 2>in this part of the world, unlike the US or

0:14:28.239 --> 0:14:29.599
<v Speaker 2>China and the US

0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:33.210
<v Speaker 2>to, to do well, online, you sort of, you know,

0:14:33.219 --> 0:14:36.250
<v Speaker 2>you have Amazon, you have maybe Shopify and in China,

0:14:36.260 --> 0:14:38.609
<v Speaker 2>you have Baba and you have G D dot com. And,

0:14:39.440 --> 0:14:43.140
<v Speaker 2>but for some reason in India and Southeast Asia, you

0:14:43.150 --> 0:14:48.270
<v Speaker 2>have a very peculiar um, scenario where you have, uh,

0:14:48.280 --> 0:14:51.260
<v Speaker 2>some of the world's largest companies going head to head

0:14:51.559 --> 0:14:57.289
<v Speaker 2>for two things. Uh, one is e-commerce wallet spend, the

0:14:57.299 --> 0:14:58.989
<v Speaker 2>other is advertising dollars.

0:14:59.419 --> 0:15:04.210
<v Speaker 2>And so you have, uh, Amazon that you have reliance,

0:15:04.219 --> 0:15:07.770
<v Speaker 2>you have 10cent, you have Alibaba, you have the C group,

0:15:07.780 --> 0:15:11.659
<v Speaker 2>you have Tiktok, you have Google, you have Facebook, you

0:15:11.669 --> 0:15:16.229
<v Speaker 2>have all these juggernauts um playing in this arena.

0:15:17.409 --> 0:15:20.299
<v Speaker 2>And so when players of that

0:15:20.979 --> 0:15:28.190
<v Speaker 2>intelligence capitalization and sophistication play in the same arena, um

0:15:28.929 --> 0:15:31.479
<v Speaker 2>the only people who lose out actually are the people

0:15:31.739 --> 0:15:35.599
<v Speaker 2>selling online, the brands, the companies, the, the small and

0:15:35.609 --> 0:15:37.000
<v Speaker 2>medium sized businesses.

0:15:37.619 --> 0:15:39.559
<v Speaker 2>And so we're here to try and level the playing

0:15:39.570 --> 0:15:41.510
<v Speaker 2>field uh via A I

0:15:42.390 --> 0:15:44.400
<v Speaker 1>OK. I'm going to give you a hypothetical. It's not

0:15:44.409 --> 0:15:47.549
<v Speaker 1>entirely hypothetical because I know the company. So this friend

0:15:47.559 --> 0:15:49.960
<v Speaker 1>of mine, he's trying to set up as a fledgling company.

0:15:49.969 --> 0:15:53.679
<v Speaker 1>Uh It's about uh sports content based out of Singapore,

0:15:53.690 --> 0:15:57.349
<v Speaker 1>broadcast sports content, but he has to face ESPN S

0:15:57.359 --> 0:16:00.179
<v Speaker 1>and the, you know, big TV networks of the world.

0:16:00.369 --> 0:16:02.289
<v Speaker 1>And so if he were to come to you and

0:16:02.299 --> 0:16:05.700
<v Speaker 1>say that, you know, I have, you know, some approvals

0:16:05.710 --> 0:16:09.539
<v Speaker 1>from the regulators to capture local sports content,

0:16:10.020 --> 0:16:11.789
<v Speaker 1>but I have no idea how to monetize this. You know,

0:16:11.799 --> 0:16:14.590
<v Speaker 1>who in Singapore wants to watch like school sports or

0:16:14.599 --> 0:16:17.530
<v Speaker 1>premier League of Singapore for football or something like that.

0:16:17.780 --> 0:16:20.250
<v Speaker 1>Um Again, we have not prepared for this at all.

0:16:20.260 --> 0:16:23.159
<v Speaker 1>I'm just completely extempore. What kind of, you know, sort

0:16:23.169 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 1>of strategy would you help a company like that do?

0:16:25.289 --> 0:16:26.609
<v Speaker 1>Because you're talking about smallish

0:16:26.619 --> 0:16:29.669
<v Speaker 2>companies. So he's not doing e-commerce, he's doing content,

0:16:29.679 --> 0:16:31.520
<v Speaker 1>right. But he wants to, hopefully, you know, get a

0:16:31.530 --> 0:16:34.169
<v Speaker 1>subscription service and sell it to people and that sort

0:16:34.179 --> 0:16:37.049
<v Speaker 1>of stuff or sell it to other large content managers

0:16:37.059 --> 0:16:37.690
<v Speaker 1>in the world

0:16:37.700 --> 0:16:40.190
<v Speaker 2>that so that I think is more sort of under

0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:44.260
<v Speaker 2>or subscription services. And, and uh

0:16:45.309 --> 0:16:48.859
<v Speaker 2>yeah, I mean, it's, it's, it's, it's not easy, it's

0:16:48.979 --> 0:16:49.010
<v Speaker 2>not

0:16:49.609 --> 0:16:50.409
<v Speaker 1>notice that already

0:16:51.010 --> 0:16:56.900
<v Speaker 2>you're seeing. So you've got basically two, essentially two monetization models.

0:16:56.909 --> 0:16:57.710
<v Speaker 2>You have

0:16:58.309 --> 0:17:02.830
<v Speaker 2>uh subscription, uh and you have advertising and sometimes you

0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:08.719
<v Speaker 2>have a hybrid. Um and advertising is obviously based on, um,

0:17:09.119 --> 0:17:11.589
<v Speaker 2>it used to be based on eyeballs and how many

0:17:11.599 --> 0:17:16.890
<v Speaker 2>people watch today. It's based on how many people buy. Correct. Right.

0:17:17.369 --> 0:17:21.319
<v Speaker 2>Um So a little more difficult for a generic content

0:17:21.329 --> 0:17:26.839
<v Speaker 2>operator like a Netflix to, to make the, um,

0:17:27.130 --> 0:17:30.800
<v Speaker 2>to tie the, the, the loop between watching something and

0:17:30.810 --> 0:17:31.780
<v Speaker 2>buying something, right.

0:17:33.099 --> 0:17:36.310
<v Speaker 2>So that leaves the other business model which is subscription

0:17:36.319 --> 0:17:40.119
<v Speaker 2>as a service or SAS. Um, look, the reality is,

0:17:40.130 --> 0:17:44.589
<v Speaker 2>is that in India and Southeast Asia, um SARS has

0:17:44.599 --> 0:17:51.030
<v Speaker 2>just started, um, you literally have, you know, a handful

0:17:51.040 --> 0:17:56.430
<v Speaker 2>of companies that have uh exited uh IP O or

0:17:56.439 --> 0:17:57.689
<v Speaker 2>in terms of acquisition.

0:17:58.030 --> 0:18:01.310
<v Speaker 2>Uh But the important thing is that it has started,

0:18:01.319 --> 0:18:05.300
<v Speaker 2>um you know, and uh it doesn't, the region doesn't

0:18:05.310 --> 0:18:09.319
<v Speaker 2>have the depth of, say A US. Um

0:18:09.910 --> 0:18:11.319
<v Speaker 2>uh But where,

0:18:12.209 --> 0:18:16.260
<v Speaker 2>But it's, it only started 234 years ago, maybe five.

0:18:16.939 --> 0:18:20.770
<v Speaker 2>and we're seeing a lot of innovation in the space

0:18:20.780 --> 0:18:22.760
<v Speaker 2>uh in terms of our monetization model.

0:18:23.510 --> 0:18:28.919
<v Speaker 2>Uh So my advice to him would be um you know,

0:18:29.430 --> 0:18:30.040
<v Speaker 2>uh

0:18:31.890 --> 0:18:36.819
<v Speaker 2>it's difficult uh content is just a very, very difficult business,

0:18:36.829 --> 0:18:37.859
<v Speaker 1>very investment

0:18:37.869 --> 0:18:43.849
<v Speaker 2>intensive, investment intensive, long payback periods and so be patient,

0:18:43.859 --> 0:18:46.880
<v Speaker 2>find your niche, right? But you know how you say

0:18:46.890 --> 0:18:51.260
<v Speaker 2>this and then you and then you have um

0:18:52.000 --> 0:18:55.069
<v Speaker 2>what I thought was almost impossible where, you know, you

0:18:55.079 --> 0:18:56.930
<v Speaker 2>have um

0:18:57.900 --> 0:19:02.930
<v Speaker 2>influencers like a Mr beast who every time they put

0:19:02.939 --> 0:19:05.869
<v Speaker 2>out something is watched more times than the Super Bowl.

0:19:05.880 --> 0:19:09.198
<v Speaker 1>My 10 year old is an avid viewer, Kim

0:19:09.209 --> 0:19:12.500
<v Speaker 2>Kardashian, another one. Every time she puts out something it's

0:19:12.510 --> 0:19:15.949
<v Speaker 2>watched by more people than the Super Bowl or the

0:19:15.959 --> 0:19:17.030
<v Speaker 2>IP L. So,

0:19:17.530 --> 0:19:21.069
<v Speaker 2>uh you got to find that skate, right, right. Or

0:19:21.079 --> 0:19:23.300
<v Speaker 2>you've got to go deep into a niche, I guess.

0:19:23.449 --> 0:19:25.420
<v Speaker 1>OK. This might be a little closer to your heart.

0:19:25.430 --> 0:19:27.410
<v Speaker 1>So I recently was in Bangladesh and we met a

0:19:27.420 --> 0:19:30.300
<v Speaker 1>B2B company. Uh they are trying to become like the

0:19:30.310 --> 0:19:33.300
<v Speaker 1>original form of Alibaba, which is bring brands to their

0:19:33.310 --> 0:19:36.619
<v Speaker 1>marketplace and then connect these brands to retail stores in

0:19:36.630 --> 0:19:39.969
<v Speaker 1>which they have uh good data and information about, you know,

0:19:39.979 --> 0:19:42.140
<v Speaker 1>what is the demand side and they're trying to get

0:19:42.150 --> 0:19:45.319
<v Speaker 1>like say a Unilever to Bangladesh and then market their products.

0:19:46.160 --> 0:19:50.290
<v Speaker 1>They probably can benefit a lot from market intelligence and

0:19:50.300 --> 0:19:52.920
<v Speaker 1>user data and so on. So your A I thread,

0:19:52.930 --> 0:19:54.270
<v Speaker 1>how does that sort of feed in?

0:19:55.250 --> 0:19:55.780
<v Speaker 1>So

0:19:57.119 --> 0:20:00.448
<v Speaker 2>I'll, I'll tell you a story about how grass started and,

0:20:00.459 --> 0:20:03.500
<v Speaker 2>and the moment at which I thought this is now

0:20:03.510 --> 0:20:07.290
<v Speaker 2>something very real and worth pursuing. Um I was talking to,

0:20:07.300 --> 0:20:11.770
<v Speaker 2>I'm not gonna name names but uh a very senior

0:20:12.130 --> 0:20:14.810
<v Speaker 2>chief marketing officer of one of the

0:20:15.500 --> 0:20:19.469
<v Speaker 2>F MC G companies in Asia. Um but he said

0:20:19.479 --> 0:20:20.349
<v Speaker 2>to me, he said,

0:20:21.060 --> 0:20:26.050
<v Speaker 2>if you ask me how many chocolates I sold today

0:20:26.060 --> 0:20:26.949
<v Speaker 2>in Vietnam

0:20:27.630 --> 0:20:34.040
<v Speaker 2>on how many different channels uh website marketplace, uh or

0:20:34.050 --> 0:20:36.150
<v Speaker 2>how much chocolate was like in my warehouse

0:20:36.900 --> 0:20:41.390
<v Speaker 2>or how much Facebook or Google or tiktok contributed towards

0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:42.629
<v Speaker 2>the sale of that chocolate.

0:20:43.449 --> 0:20:45.030
<v Speaker 2>He said it would take me the best part of

0:20:45.040 --> 0:20:48.829
<v Speaker 2>two weeks to find the answer. And I was like, wow,

0:20:48.979 --> 0:20:53.560
<v Speaker 2>if a company of this size, uh has that problem,

0:20:53.569 --> 0:20:56.530
<v Speaker 2>I wonder what's happening with smaller companies. And so we

0:20:56.540 --> 0:21:00.659
<v Speaker 2>went and asked, you know, dozens of, of ecommerce heads

0:21:00.670 --> 0:21:05.040
<v Speaker 2>and CEO S and the response was identical, which is

0:21:05.050 --> 0:21:06.649
<v Speaker 2>that it is almost

0:21:07.069 --> 0:21:12.099
<v Speaker 2>are impossible for companies to put all the different data

0:21:12.109 --> 0:21:14.959
<v Speaker 2>sources together. They're very much in silos.

0:21:15.589 --> 0:21:16.159
<v Speaker 2>Um

0:21:16.869 --> 0:21:20.300
<v Speaker 2>So that's problem. Number one, collecting the data. Problem number

0:21:20.310 --> 0:21:22.099
<v Speaker 2>two is

0:21:23.160 --> 0:21:25.900
<v Speaker 2>what do you do with the data? Right. Uh And

0:21:25.910 --> 0:21:27.149
<v Speaker 2>that's really where

0:21:27.910 --> 0:21:34.040
<v Speaker 2>data science um data engineering uh and A I come in.

0:21:34.369 --> 0:21:36.839
<v Speaker 2>Um So I think India and Asia

0:21:37.810 --> 0:21:41.930
<v Speaker 2>or Southeast Asia where at the start of the journey

0:21:41.939 --> 0:21:47.020
<v Speaker 2>where companies are, are understanding the power of data um

0:21:47.030 --> 0:21:48.859
<v Speaker 2>and putting it all together.

0:21:49.569 --> 0:21:52.119
<v Speaker 2>Um But I would say if you had,

0:21:52.770 --> 0:21:55.890
<v Speaker 2>If you were to ask me, I'd say less than 10%

0:21:55.900 --> 0:22:01.530
<v Speaker 2>of companies uh in this region have understood, how important data,

0:22:01.540 --> 0:22:02.159
<v Speaker 2>is

0:22:02.739 --> 0:22:05.229
<v Speaker 2>how to put it together and what to do with it.

0:22:05.670 --> 0:22:08.910
<v Speaker 2>Uh So it's very much the start of the journey.

0:22:09.000 --> 0:22:09.599
<v Speaker 2>Um

0:22:09.989 --> 0:22:14.619
<v Speaker 1>So I am a prime example of this complication. I

0:22:14.630 --> 0:22:17.589
<v Speaker 1>recognize the value of data. But this podcast, for example,

0:22:17.599 --> 0:22:19.109
<v Speaker 1>will go out on a podcast platform,

0:22:19.579 --> 0:22:22.569
<v Speaker 1>Apple Google, Spotify, et cetera. It'll go out on youtube

0:22:22.819 --> 0:22:24.869
<v Speaker 1>and there's ad V S website in which there will

0:22:24.880 --> 0:22:27.159
<v Speaker 1>be some of my clients who will come and download

0:22:27.170 --> 0:22:30.839
<v Speaker 1>the podcast or what the PDF version or the audio version,

0:22:30.930 --> 0:22:33.750
<v Speaker 1>I can consolidate all this. I cannot. So for me,

0:22:33.760 --> 0:22:35.410
<v Speaker 1>if you were to ask me a week from now,

0:22:35.780 --> 0:22:37.849
<v Speaker 1>how did the podcast go? I'll be able to give

0:22:37.859 --> 0:22:40.699
<v Speaker 1>you some isolated answers about how much download was done

0:22:40.709 --> 0:22:43.879
<v Speaker 1>through the a specific class platform, but I will not

0:22:43.890 --> 0:22:46.419
<v Speaker 1>be able to consolidate. It'll take me also hours, but

0:22:46.430 --> 0:22:46.520
<v Speaker 1>you're

0:22:46.530 --> 0:22:48.930
<v Speaker 2>not alone, you're not alone. Uh I mean, uh

0:22:50.109 --> 0:22:52.040
<v Speaker 2>a lot of people won't admit it but they're in

0:22:52.050 --> 0:22:53.839
<v Speaker 2>exactly the same position. I mean,

0:22:54.650 --> 0:22:57.319
<v Speaker 2>I think that, you know, if you again, pull back

0:22:57.569 --> 0:23:00.869
<v Speaker 2>for a second and you look at what's happened over

0:23:00.880 --> 0:23:03.079
<v Speaker 2>the last 20 or 30 years, I think that,

0:23:04.459 --> 0:23:05.109
<v Speaker 2>um

0:23:06.209 --> 0:23:09.219
<v Speaker 2>You know, there have been sort of 3, 4 mass

0:23:09.229 --> 0:23:10.619
<v Speaker 2>mega trends, right?

0:23:11.369 --> 0:23:16.739
<v Speaker 2>Um I think thanks to uh Nokia and then Steve Jobs,

0:23:16.750 --> 0:23:21.448
<v Speaker 2>I think uh mobile and, and mobile internet to be

0:23:21.459 --> 0:23:23.619
<v Speaker 2>specific was the big theme

0:23:24.880 --> 0:23:27.869
<v Speaker 2>in the 2000s, right? Um I think that

0:23:28.859 --> 0:23:35.010
<v Speaker 2>somewhere in the the succeeding decade that mega trend became

0:23:35.020 --> 0:23:38.790
<v Speaker 2>the cloud, right? Um And then

0:23:39.979 --> 0:23:41.959
<v Speaker 2>I think the next trend is A I, I mean,

0:23:41.969 --> 0:23:45.500
<v Speaker 2>there was a, there was smaller, maybe trends like crypto

0:23:45.569 --> 0:23:48.540
<v Speaker 2>and web three and, and the metaverse and who knows

0:23:48.550 --> 0:23:51.219
<v Speaker 2>how that will play out. But I think that A

0:23:51.229 --> 0:23:54.550
<v Speaker 2>I is the next mega trend and you're seeing with

0:23:54.560 --> 0:23:58.629
<v Speaker 2>T GP T and all that. Um But I think

0:23:58.640 --> 0:24:02.520
<v Speaker 2>it all begins with putting all the data together and

0:24:02.530 --> 0:24:05.859
<v Speaker 2>uh that's really what grass does. We're helping companies put

0:24:05.869 --> 0:24:06.949
<v Speaker 2>their data together,

0:24:07.479 --> 0:24:11.930
<v Speaker 2>we're helping them make decisions based on that data in

0:24:11.939 --> 0:24:17.589
<v Speaker 2>real time. Um And uh we're taking gut instinct out

0:24:17.599 --> 0:24:21.510
<v Speaker 2>of the equation and automating a lot of those decisions. No.

0:24:21.520 --> 0:24:23.290
<v Speaker 1>So you are at the cutting edge because I think that's,

0:24:23.300 --> 0:24:26.130
<v Speaker 1>that's a big hold right now. But even in my

0:24:26.140 --> 0:24:30.130
<v Speaker 1>podcast example, technically speaking, it's all out there, but I

0:24:30.140 --> 0:24:32.400
<v Speaker 1>don't have a neat set of API S or a

0:24:32.410 --> 0:24:35.500
<v Speaker 1>consolidator out there to give me a full picture at

0:24:35.510 --> 0:24:37.189
<v Speaker 1>any real time, a given moment.

0:24:37.579 --> 0:24:40.489
<v Speaker 1>Um, OK, so that certainly tells us a bit about

0:24:40.500 --> 0:24:43.060
<v Speaker 1>grass and you talked about your fundraising round. So congratulations

0:24:43.069 --> 0:24:46.030
<v Speaker 1>on the 50 million fundraising. So given that

0:24:46.859 --> 0:24:50.520
<v Speaker 1>companies right now are going to be struggling either in

0:24:50.530 --> 0:24:54.119
<v Speaker 1>terms of higher cost for the availability itself. Give us

0:24:54.130 --> 0:24:57.739
<v Speaker 1>a sense of the startup scene. Um maybe not just

0:24:57.750 --> 0:24:59.659
<v Speaker 1>what's happening right now, but overall, you know, I mean,

0:24:59.670 --> 0:25:03.270
<v Speaker 1>are you excited by South Asia and Southeast Asia startup

0:25:03.280 --> 0:25:03.989
<v Speaker 1>scene right now?

0:25:04.000 --> 0:25:07.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, look, I meet about 100 maybe 50 to 100

0:25:07.170 --> 0:25:12.000
<v Speaker 2>founders every month uh across, you know, seven countries that

0:25:12.010 --> 0:25:15.849
<v Speaker 2>we operate in. And uh it is hot.

0:25:16.300 --> 0:25:17.630
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it is,

0:25:18.369 --> 0:25:18.978
<v Speaker 2>oh,

0:25:20.400 --> 0:25:25.130
<v Speaker 2>In the innovation that's happening is honestly, it's for me,

0:25:25.140 --> 0:25:29.300
<v Speaker 2>I'm 48 years old. I haven't seen this, the volume

0:25:29.310 --> 0:25:32.729
<v Speaker 2>of innovation happening at the startup level. Um

0:25:33.670 --> 0:25:35.920
<v Speaker 2>But I think that what's happened over the last couple

0:25:35.930 --> 0:25:40.938
<v Speaker 2>of weeks um is really worrying because if venture capital

0:25:40.949 --> 0:25:42.879
<v Speaker 2>dries up, um

0:25:44.239 --> 0:25:46.819
<v Speaker 2>what happens then um I mean, at the end of

0:25:46.829 --> 0:25:47.250
<v Speaker 2>the day,

0:25:48.020 --> 0:25:51.930
<v Speaker 2>I have a question for you, right? I mean, if,

0:25:51.939 --> 0:25:53.229
<v Speaker 2>if you were a billionaire

0:25:54.479 --> 0:25:59.188
<v Speaker 2>And maybe you are good one. But if you were

0:25:59.199 --> 0:26:02.669
<v Speaker 2>a billionaire, would you rather put five, uh, put, put

0:26:02.680 --> 0:26:05.430
<v Speaker 2>your money into a fixed deposit at five

0:26:06.310 --> 0:26:10.219
<v Speaker 2>Or give it to a venture capitalist in the hope

0:26:10.229 --> 0:26:14.989
<v Speaker 2>that he could return 20% IRR triple your money for

0:26:15.000 --> 0:26:17.839
<v Speaker 2>in five years. It's, it's a tough call right now.

0:26:17.849 --> 0:26:20.438
<v Speaker 2>And so my question to you is that

0:26:21.130 --> 0:26:24.770
<v Speaker 2>I don't think most founders or if any founders have

0:26:24.780 --> 0:26:25.699
<v Speaker 2>ever seen

0:26:26.319 --> 0:26:30.879
<v Speaker 2>Um a global situation in which interest rates may remain

0:26:30.890 --> 0:26:33.430
<v Speaker 2>between five and 10% for the next five years.

0:26:34.829 --> 0:26:35.920
<v Speaker 2>What happens?

0:26:35.930 --> 0:26:36.280
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:26:37.550 --> 0:26:40.389
<v Speaker 1>Prem I mean, I don't want to come across as

0:26:40.599 --> 0:26:43.780
<v Speaker 1>utterly pessimistic because, you know, I am with the founder

0:26:43.790 --> 0:26:45.560
<v Speaker 1>and I know founders tend to be optimistic. But in

0:26:45.569 --> 0:26:47.550
<v Speaker 1>this particular instance, I have no way of sugar quitting

0:26:47.560 --> 0:26:50.199
<v Speaker 1>the answer that the choice that you mentioned, I think

0:26:50.209 --> 0:26:52.719
<v Speaker 1>the answer is very clear. It's the 5% um

0:26:53.719 --> 0:26:56.849
<v Speaker 1>the zero rate environment enabled a lot of things that

0:26:56.859 --> 0:26:58.589
<v Speaker 1>you and I I think will agree that, you know,

0:26:58.750 --> 0:27:01.589
<v Speaker 1>whether there was access or not, it create an unleashing

0:27:01.599 --> 0:27:05.149
<v Speaker 1>of capital to all sorts of projects. And that was

0:27:05.859 --> 0:27:08.409
<v Speaker 1>even if there were excesses, it had an overall positive

0:27:08.420 --> 0:27:10.520
<v Speaker 1>impact to your point that, you know, the scene became

0:27:10.530 --> 0:27:13.390
<v Speaker 1>hot and there are all these, you know, dreamers and

0:27:13.400 --> 0:27:16.760
<v Speaker 1>thinkers and entrepreneurs, bringing their thoughts and ideas together. And

0:27:16.770 --> 0:27:19.698
<v Speaker 1>there was a capital of a flow of capital that

0:27:19.709 --> 0:27:21.910
<v Speaker 1>was available for them. It's going to be difficult. Uh

0:27:21.920 --> 0:27:25.750
<v Speaker 1>I spent earlier today talking about the impact of the

0:27:25.760 --> 0:27:29.229
<v Speaker 1>S E V uh collapse. And we can talk about

0:27:29.239 --> 0:27:31.050
<v Speaker 1>a wide range of impacts. But the bottom line is

0:27:31.060 --> 0:27:32.969
<v Speaker 1>it translates into higher cost of capital.

0:27:33.439 --> 0:27:36.219
<v Speaker 1>Uh and, and the higher cost of capital changes, a

0:27:36.229 --> 0:27:38.560
<v Speaker 1>wide range of calculations in terms of R O E,

0:27:38.569 --> 0:27:40.900
<v Speaker 1>in terms of margin and so on. But that takes

0:27:40.910 --> 0:27:43.129
<v Speaker 1>me back to my question for you that when you

0:27:43.140 --> 0:27:44.430
<v Speaker 1>look at entrepreneur, I

0:27:44.439 --> 0:27:47.369
<v Speaker 2>Had one question, right? So

0:27:48.130 --> 0:27:52.739
<v Speaker 2>the flip side to that is that valuations have halved, right?

0:27:53.069 --> 0:27:53.659
<v Speaker 2>Uh

0:27:54.839 --> 0:27:57.510
<v Speaker 2>It's a great time to be investing in, in, in

0:27:57.520 --> 0:28:04.630
<v Speaker 2>younger companies, right? And so 5% versus a curated list

0:28:04.640 --> 0:28:08.369
<v Speaker 2>of investments uh that could be the home run.

0:28:08.670 --> 0:28:10.639
<v Speaker 2>It's not that easy a call, right? OK.

0:28:10.650 --> 0:28:13.619
<v Speaker 1>So I I met an investor who's on that camp

0:28:13.630 --> 0:28:16.479
<v Speaker 1>yesterday and that investor was basically saying that, you know,

0:28:16.630 --> 0:28:19.339
<v Speaker 1>but it was not your typical, it was a family office.

0:28:19.349 --> 0:28:22.540
<v Speaker 1>They've been successful, they have a lot of cash and

0:28:22.550 --> 0:28:25.119
<v Speaker 1>they rather bluntly told me that they're waiting for the

0:28:25.130 --> 0:28:27.719
<v Speaker 1>crash because they want to deploy capital and they want

0:28:27.729 --> 0:28:29.530
<v Speaker 1>to buy a lot of things to your point because

0:28:29.540 --> 0:28:32.520
<v Speaker 1>they felt that the valuations were excessive in recent years

0:28:32.719 --> 0:28:35.000
<v Speaker 1>and they don't think the valuation adjustment is done, but

0:28:35.010 --> 0:28:36.760
<v Speaker 1>they have a lot of dry powder and they will

0:28:36.770 --> 0:28:37.619
<v Speaker 1>deploy it

0:28:38.079 --> 0:28:40.189
<v Speaker 1>my response to them was that if there are many

0:28:40.199 --> 0:28:42.550
<v Speaker 1>people like you, then maybe the valuation will not go

0:28:42.560 --> 0:28:44.890
<v Speaker 1>down much further because people are sniffing around and looking

0:28:44.900 --> 0:28:45.530
<v Speaker 1>for value.

0:28:47.310 --> 0:28:48.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. Well, I, I mean, I hope,

0:28:50.219 --> 0:28:51.829
<v Speaker 2>uh, one way or the other, I mean, I obviously

0:28:51.839 --> 0:28:56.560
<v Speaker 2>hope that interest rates do come down, um, which allows

0:28:56.790 --> 0:29:01.280
<v Speaker 2>LP S of investors and venture capital to, to, to

0:29:01.290 --> 0:29:04.400
<v Speaker 2>be a bit more bullish. But I do worry. As

0:29:04.410 --> 0:29:06.949
<v Speaker 2>I said earlier, I said, if venture capital as an

0:29:06.959 --> 0:29:09.900
<v Speaker 2>ecosystem dries up, um I think it will have a

0:29:09.910 --> 0:29:13.630
<v Speaker 2>fundamental effect on global innovation and

0:29:14.050 --> 0:29:17.020
<v Speaker 2>innovation that, you know, it could be in health care,

0:29:17.030 --> 0:29:21.060
<v Speaker 2>could be in climate change, it could be in science, commerce,

0:29:21.069 --> 0:29:25.329
<v Speaker 2>financial inclusion. Um And that really is the worry um

0:29:25.339 --> 0:29:30.219
<v Speaker 2>because if that dries up and that innovation evaporates or

0:29:30.229 --> 0:29:33.760
<v Speaker 2>slows down, that's not good for anyone, I think.

0:29:34.489 --> 0:29:36.430
<v Speaker 1>So, I just want to stay with that Southeast Asia,

0:29:36.439 --> 0:29:39.500
<v Speaker 1>South Asia startups a little longer. Um given that, you know,

0:29:39.510 --> 0:29:42.010
<v Speaker 1>you literally need hundreds of uh founders on a regular

0:29:42.020 --> 0:29:44.369
<v Speaker 1>basis and you look at their books um or the

0:29:44.380 --> 0:29:46.859
<v Speaker 1>playbooks rather um margin

0:29:47.459 --> 0:29:49.880
<v Speaker 1>are, are these e-commerce businesses in South and South East

0:29:49.890 --> 0:29:53.479
<v Speaker 1>Asia capable of showing the kind of margin that we

0:29:53.489 --> 0:29:55.910
<v Speaker 1>have seen in the US tech startup system.

0:29:56.430 --> 0:29:57.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, obviously, it's a

0:29:58.400 --> 0:30:01.900
<v Speaker 2>startups have and so a very wide spectrum. But let

0:30:01.910 --> 0:30:05.729
<v Speaker 2>me just sort of give you some examples um

0:30:06.439 --> 0:30:10.020
<v Speaker 2>of India, Southeast Asia in the sector that I'm familiar with,

0:30:10.030 --> 0:30:14.650
<v Speaker 2>which is, which is commerce, right? Um So it just

0:30:14.660 --> 0:30:15.890
<v Speaker 2>so happens that

0:30:16.829 --> 0:30:22.489
<v Speaker 2>the success stories, the local success stories are all have

0:30:22.500 --> 0:30:25.800
<v Speaker 2>a common flavor to it. So Southeast Asia, you would

0:30:25.810 --> 0:30:27.170
<v Speaker 2>probably say AC group

0:30:27.939 --> 0:30:30.630
<v Speaker 2>uh go to um

0:30:31.390 --> 0:30:37.229
<v Speaker 2>um grab um in India, um me uh maybe P

0:30:37.239 --> 0:30:38.900
<v Speaker 2>T M, right? For parts of it.

0:30:39.510 --> 0:30:40.199
<v Speaker 2>Um

0:30:42.089 --> 0:30:48.280
<v Speaker 2>We've seen C group demonstrate profitability last quarter Q four.

0:30:48.560 --> 0:30:51.900
<v Speaker 2>And that's great news. We need these local stars to,

0:30:52.890 --> 0:30:56.699
<v Speaker 2>to shine because if they don't shine, then, you know,

0:30:56.709 --> 0:31:00.560
<v Speaker 2>it makes things even more difficult for earlier stage startups.

0:31:02.329 --> 0:31:04.260
<v Speaker 2>The flip side to that is, is that,

0:31:05.739 --> 0:31:08.000
<v Speaker 2>and this again goes back to venture capital and the

0:31:08.010 --> 0:31:09.280
<v Speaker 2>ecosystem is that

0:31:10.420 --> 0:31:13.030
<v Speaker 2>you look at Southeast Asia and there is a hole

0:31:13.040 --> 0:31:13.469
<v Speaker 2>and

0:31:15.030 --> 0:31:16.540
<v Speaker 2>there are not that many exits,

0:31:17.729 --> 0:31:22.729
<v Speaker 2>right? Not yet, not yet, right? Um And so you

0:31:22.739 --> 0:31:25.069
<v Speaker 2>can't compare it to America because it's still early as

0:31:25.079 --> 0:31:28.770
<v Speaker 2>a region. Uh and I E commerce as a discipline.

0:31:29.229 --> 0:31:30.739
<v Speaker 2>Um But

0:31:33.949 --> 0:31:36.959
<v Speaker 2>we need the local heroes to shine,

0:31:37.890 --> 0:31:40.130
<v Speaker 2>right? Um And

0:31:41.489 --> 0:31:46.060
<v Speaker 2>if you break up commerce, let's say, was selling whatever

0:31:46.069 --> 0:31:49.060
<v Speaker 2>you want to sell ties, right? If you break up

0:31:49.069 --> 0:31:50.939
<v Speaker 2>your P N L at the highest level,

0:31:52.479 --> 0:31:56.410
<v Speaker 2>you'd find that the cost of goods would probably

0:31:57.140 --> 0:31:59.180
<v Speaker 2>Be about 30%.

0:32:00.239 --> 0:32:04.640
<v Speaker 2>Um You would find that logistics and warehousing and the

0:32:04.650 --> 0:32:07.030
<v Speaker 2>last mile delivery would probably be about

0:32:08.280 --> 0:32:09.290
<v Speaker 2>20%.

0:32:10.349 --> 0:32:11.030
<v Speaker 2>And then

0:32:13.010 --> 0:32:17.699
<v Speaker 2>The last 50% would probably be advertising costs

0:32:18.510 --> 0:32:19.859
<v Speaker 2>50%,

0:32:21.599 --> 0:32:23.729
<v Speaker 2>And that's where the game is being played now.

0:32:24.400 --> 0:32:28.810
<v Speaker 2>Uh And that's why you're seeing a blurring of boundaries

0:32:28.819 --> 0:32:35.880
<v Speaker 2>between Facebook, Google tiktok content companies, search engines, social media

0:32:35.890 --> 0:32:36.550
<v Speaker 2>networks

0:32:37.150 --> 0:32:43.880
<v Speaker 2>and commerce companies like Alibaba, Walmart Flip, Amazon, et cetera.

0:32:45.140 --> 0:32:48.050
<v Speaker 2>Amazon to give you an example and don't quote me

0:32:48.060 --> 0:32:51.469
<v Speaker 2>on this. But I, I'm, I'm maybe I'm off 5%.

0:32:51.880 --> 0:33:00.469
<v Speaker 2>Um Amazon makes more profit from its ads business, which

0:33:00.479 --> 0:33:04.630
<v Speaker 2>is five years old at best than it does from

0:33:04.640 --> 0:33:08.060
<v Speaker 2>Amazon web services, which is a 20 year old business

0:33:08.239 --> 0:33:09.030
<v Speaker 1>supposed to be the crown

0:33:09.040 --> 0:33:11.849
<v Speaker 2>jewel, which is the crown jewel, but has a lot

0:33:11.859 --> 0:33:12.349
<v Speaker 2>of

0:33:13.119 --> 0:33:17.199
<v Speaker 2>uh Capex, correct. Advertising has no Capex. And so you'll

0:33:17.209 --> 0:33:17.890
<v Speaker 2>see

0:33:19.060 --> 0:33:22.689
<v Speaker 2>a lot of these guys look at Walmart's latest report.

0:33:22.699 --> 0:33:26.209
<v Speaker 2>Um They have never seen the margin like they have

0:33:26.219 --> 0:33:31.150
<v Speaker 2>in advertising, right? Uh If you look at Alibaba, if

0:33:31.160 --> 0:33:35.420
<v Speaker 2>you look at the, the C groups, advertising is making

0:33:35.430 --> 0:33:39.349
<v Speaker 2>up a huge component of profitability. Uh And why is that?

0:33:39.839 --> 0:33:42.079
<v Speaker 2>Why have they all been able to do it is

0:33:42.089 --> 0:33:42.930
<v Speaker 2>because

0:33:44.199 --> 0:33:48.209
<v Speaker 2>they sit on the data, they know that they are more,

0:33:49.290 --> 0:33:53.050
<v Speaker 2>has bought a B and C 21 days ago and

0:33:53.060 --> 0:33:57.250
<v Speaker 2>is likely to purchase again. They know that has a

0:33:57.260 --> 0:34:01.280
<v Speaker 2>family account and his wife buys D E N F.

0:34:01.619 --> 0:34:02.819
<v Speaker 2>Uh And

0:34:03.510 --> 0:34:06.520
<v Speaker 2>I would say that the power of balance over the

0:34:06.530 --> 0:34:11.560
<v Speaker 2>next decade is going to shift from Google Facebook um

0:34:12.418 --> 0:34:14.948
<v Speaker 2>To owners of 1st party data.

0:34:15.780 --> 0:34:16.860
<v Speaker 2>Uh It could be

0:34:17.520 --> 0:34:23.259
<v Speaker 2>retailers like Amazon Walmart could also be banks and credit

0:34:23.270 --> 0:34:25.419
<v Speaker 2>card companies. Um

0:34:26.129 --> 0:34:28.850
<v Speaker 2>I mean, the truth is, is that if you were

0:34:28.860 --> 0:34:30.100
<v Speaker 2>a shareholder in Apple

0:34:30.888 --> 0:34:32.698
<v Speaker 2>and you were sitting next to Tim Cook,

0:34:34.360 --> 0:34:38.649
<v Speaker 2>May you would ask him Tim, where's the next $50

0:34:38.659 --> 0:34:40.570
<v Speaker 2>billion dollars coming from? I know the answer.

0:34:41.860 --> 0:34:45.149
<v Speaker 2>I'd say there's a 5050 chance he'd say it's advertised.

0:34:45.739 --> 0:34:47.879
<v Speaker 1>I've been hearing in tech podcast for the last one

0:34:47.889 --> 0:34:50.570
<v Speaker 1>year that when is Apple going to get in the business? Right. Yeah.

0:34:50.669 --> 0:34:50.959
<v Speaker 1>And

0:34:50.969 --> 0:34:56.030
<v Speaker 2>So I think that we've reached 2023 is the inflection

0:34:56.040 --> 0:34:59.909
<v Speaker 2>point where commerce and advertising have become the same thing.

0:35:00.820 --> 0:35:05.250
<v Speaker 2>I might be wrong and, and correct me if I am.

0:35:05.260 --> 0:35:07.219
<v Speaker 2>But I think we've reached that stage now.

0:35:08.229 --> 0:35:10.719
<v Speaker 1>And of course, all of those things are interlinked with

0:35:10.729 --> 0:35:14.070
<v Speaker 1>the usage of data and getting intelligent insights and intelligent nudges.

0:35:14.229 --> 0:35:16.520
<v Speaker 2>If you have the data, if you sit on the data,

0:35:17.620 --> 0:35:20.948
<v Speaker 2>you can command advertising dollars. It's as simple as that

0:35:20.959 --> 0:35:23.590
<v Speaker 2>because you can prove purchase right

0:35:24.010 --> 0:35:25.939
<v Speaker 1>later in the podcast. I'm gonna ask you about this

0:35:25.949 --> 0:35:28.560
<v Speaker 1>A I driven search will that, you know, disrupt and

0:35:28.570 --> 0:35:31.449
<v Speaker 1>change the ad industry. But before I go there, um

0:35:31.459 --> 0:35:33.969
<v Speaker 1>I just want to talk about this issue of

0:35:34.659 --> 0:35:35.709
<v Speaker 1>the likely

0:35:36.350 --> 0:35:37.888
<v Speaker 1>sort of, you know, the run with that we have

0:35:37.899 --> 0:35:41.020
<v Speaker 1>ahead in terms of regulation, this banking system and problem

0:35:41.030 --> 0:35:43.929
<v Speaker 1>the need for regulators to step in or questions about

0:35:43.939 --> 0:35:47.270
<v Speaker 1>data privacy and the impact of social media interactions on

0:35:47.280 --> 0:35:50.129
<v Speaker 1>mental health. All these things are being discussed at length

0:35:50.139 --> 0:35:54.159
<v Speaker 1>in the political corridors of Washington DC and Europe elsewhere.

0:35:54.169 --> 0:35:56.780
<v Speaker 1>So on, even China sell the tech regulation

0:35:56.854 --> 0:35:59.425
<v Speaker 1>that Xi Jinping has undertaken has been in the guise

0:35:59.435 --> 0:36:03.834
<v Speaker 1>of that anti monopoly behavior, privacy and so on. So

0:36:03.844 --> 0:36:09.524
<v Speaker 1>how prepared is the tech startup scene to deal with

0:36:09.534 --> 0:36:14.225
<v Speaker 1>this likely tightening of the regulatory oversight on the sector?

0:36:14.830 --> 0:36:17.719
<v Speaker 2>So I think just to pull back again, I think

0:36:17.729 --> 0:36:21.560
<v Speaker 2>at a more fundamental level, ask me as an entrepreneur,

0:36:23.300 --> 0:36:26.270
<v Speaker 2>what would I choose between

0:36:27.500 --> 0:36:31.129
<v Speaker 2>interest which a bank provides me on my deposit

0:36:32.260 --> 0:36:33.189
<v Speaker 2>or safety

0:36:34.729 --> 0:36:35.600
<v Speaker 2>safety

0:36:37.110 --> 0:36:40.330
<v Speaker 2>every day of the week? Right. Right. And am I

0:36:40.340 --> 0:36:43.989
<v Speaker 2>prepared to pay for that? Yes. Yeah. Right. So I

0:36:44.000 --> 0:36:44.439
<v Speaker 2>think

0:36:45.050 --> 0:36:48.139
<v Speaker 2>you got to ask yourself whether banking as a business

0:36:48.149 --> 0:36:51.409
<v Speaker 2>model needs to change. Right. A little bit. And uh

0:36:52.080 --> 0:36:52.709
<v Speaker 2>um

0:36:54.209 --> 0:36:59.520
<v Speaker 2>Fundamentally the question is, do you want interest and return

0:36:59.530 --> 0:37:03.780
<v Speaker 2>on your deposit or do you want 100%?

0:37:05.790 --> 0:37:06.489
<v Speaker 1>Exactly.

0:37:06.570 --> 0:37:09.589
<v Speaker 2>So I, I tell you as a, as an individual,

0:37:10.459 --> 0:37:13.679
<v Speaker 2>I may gamble. I'm not gonna gamble with investor money. I'll,

0:37:13.689 --> 0:37:17.389
<v Speaker 2>I'll take safety seven days out of seven. Right. Simple. Right.

0:37:18.090 --> 0:37:22.379
<v Speaker 1>Um And so then if we want the Ecommerce system,

0:37:22.560 --> 0:37:25.340
<v Speaker 1>the data that e-commerce companies use that to be also

0:37:25.350 --> 0:37:28.929
<v Speaker 1>absolutely safe. And we start putting more and more safeguards

0:37:28.939 --> 0:37:32.239
<v Speaker 1>around that and we make tech companies more liable for

0:37:32.250 --> 0:37:34.138
<v Speaker 1>the data that they use. Um

0:37:35.030 --> 0:37:36.629
<v Speaker 1>I mean, do you see that coming? And if it

0:37:36.639 --> 0:37:39.760
<v Speaker 1>is coming, you know, how's that? I mean, are, are

0:37:39.770 --> 0:37:42.399
<v Speaker 1>the other entrepreneurs ready to deal with that?

0:37:43.949 --> 0:37:47.070
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. So privacy and data. Let's talk about that a

0:37:47.080 --> 0:37:47.600
<v Speaker 2>little bit.

0:37:48.760 --> 0:37:50.729
<v Speaker 2>What's your favorite restaurant in Singapore?

0:37:51.959 --> 0:37:55.089
<v Speaker 1>Well, right now, yes. Uh the revolvers,

0:37:55.100 --> 0:37:57.069
<v Speaker 2>but when you walk into a revolver,

0:37:59.310 --> 0:38:03.689
<v Speaker 2>you, you like it, when, when the says, hey, here's

0:38:03.699 --> 0:38:06.929
<v Speaker 2>your table, here's your, they say, oh, we might not

0:38:06.939 --> 0:38:09.040
<v Speaker 2>have the chicken but we have this. I think you'll

0:38:09.050 --> 0:38:10.419
<v Speaker 2>like it. You like that. Right. Right. Right.

0:38:11.689 --> 0:38:16.260
<v Speaker 2>That's one side of privacy, right? And that's sharing of data.

0:38:16.939 --> 0:38:19.810
<v Speaker 2>The other side is when it becomes creepy and, and

0:38:19.820 --> 0:38:24.639
<v Speaker 2>uh advertising follows you around and things like that. Um I,

0:38:24.649 --> 0:38:27.429
<v Speaker 2>I don't know what the answer is. Um I think that,

0:38:27.750 --> 0:38:29.449
<v Speaker 2>you know, you ask my kids,

0:38:30.050 --> 0:38:33.860
<v Speaker 2>our teenagers, they don't care about privacy like we do.

0:38:34.580 --> 0:38:36.060
<v Speaker 2>Um And so

0:38:37.239 --> 0:38:43.049
<v Speaker 2>the regulators unfortunately are more often than not people in

0:38:43.060 --> 0:38:48.060
<v Speaker 2>the latter part of their lives. Um And they may

0:38:48.070 --> 0:38:51.040
<v Speaker 2>not see it the same way as teenagers do. Uh

0:38:51.050 --> 0:38:54.409
<v Speaker 2>But I think privacy is, is um

0:38:55.350 --> 0:38:55.919
<v Speaker 2>um

0:38:56.600 --> 0:38:57.049
<v Speaker 2>but

0:39:01.270 --> 0:39:06.080
<v Speaker 2>it's, it's changing the definition of privacy. Um

0:39:06.699 --> 0:39:07.270
<v Speaker 2>And,

0:39:08.050 --> 0:39:12.469
<v Speaker 2>and time will tell, um we've seen what Apple has

0:39:12.479 --> 0:39:16.659
<v Speaker 2>done to Facebook in the guise of privacy um,

0:39:18.750 --> 0:39:22.659
<v Speaker 1>there's the opt in clause that they, after the year

0:39:22.770 --> 0:39:26.290
<v Speaker 2>two years ago. Yeah. Yeah. Now it's, uh, every new

0:39:26.300 --> 0:39:28.389
<v Speaker 2>app you open, you ask whether you want to opt

0:39:28.399 --> 0:39:31.899
<v Speaker 2>in chances are that you're gonna say no, uh, which

0:39:31.909 --> 0:39:34.270
<v Speaker 2>nine out of 10 people do and, and then that's

0:39:34.280 --> 0:39:41.469
<v Speaker 2>affected the companies like Facebook's ability to serve your advertising. Um,

0:39:41.479 --> 0:39:46.239
<v Speaker 2>and that's what's really caused the stock to implode. Um,

0:39:46.790 --> 0:39:50.250
<v Speaker 2>privacy is a pretty big debate. I don't know which

0:39:50.260 --> 0:39:51.359
<v Speaker 2>will play out.

0:39:52.139 --> 0:39:55.040
<v Speaker 1>What about this issue related to national security? So India

0:39:55.050 --> 0:39:58.239
<v Speaker 1>banned tiktok. The US is getting very tough on tiktok

0:39:58.310 --> 0:40:00.810
<v Speaker 1>is under the guise that you know, their data may

0:40:00.820 --> 0:40:03.399
<v Speaker 1>be used. American citizens data would be used by the

0:40:03.409 --> 0:40:08.520
<v Speaker 1>Chinese government. Um You, your take feel free to be controversial.

0:40:08.629 --> 0:40:10.840
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, I mean, I don't know what the answer is.

0:40:10.850 --> 0:40:11.600
<v Speaker 2>Uh

0:40:12.459 --> 0:40:15.110
<v Speaker 2>um I think what I do know is this,

0:40:15.949 --> 0:40:19.530
<v Speaker 2>I think that India tiktok is uh

0:40:20.530 --> 0:40:23.969
<v Speaker 2>never going to allow them. And if the US and

0:40:23.979 --> 0:40:27.179
<v Speaker 2>Europe don't allow it, I think Tik Tok will double

0:40:27.189 --> 0:40:32.080
<v Speaker 2>down on Southeast Asia, this region of 700 million people

0:40:32.090 --> 0:40:35.939
<v Speaker 2>will become their primary play, play playground and it will

0:40:35.949 --> 0:40:40.120
<v Speaker 2>become a force to reckon with both on content and

0:40:40.129 --> 0:40:44.379
<v Speaker 2>ads and commerce. So watch out for Tik Tok and

0:40:44.389 --> 0:40:44.560
<v Speaker 2>it's

0:40:44.600 --> 0:40:47.949
<v Speaker 1>really been transformation, right? The way they deploy their technologies,

0:40:47.959 --> 0:40:48.760
<v Speaker 1>it's phenomenal.

0:40:49.110 --> 0:40:52.989
<v Speaker 2>It's a I at its very best like um Right.

0:40:53.000 --> 0:40:55.189
<v Speaker 1>OK. Since you mentioned A I I, I want to

0:40:55.199 --> 0:40:57.860
<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about A I. Um Of course,

0:40:57.870 --> 0:40:59.830
<v Speaker 1>the last three months, the flavor of the last three

0:40:59.840 --> 0:41:02.500
<v Speaker 1>months has been chat GP T. Uh Even yesterday I

0:41:02.510 --> 0:41:06.279
<v Speaker 1>asked Chad G V T using just 21 2021 data

0:41:06.500 --> 0:41:09.469
<v Speaker 1>to give me a synopsis of Silicon Valley banks issues

0:41:09.479 --> 0:41:12.489
<v Speaker 1>and problems. It was amazing. It was absolutely amazing that

0:41:12.500 --> 0:41:13.319
<v Speaker 1>just using

0:41:13.600 --> 0:41:17.239
<v Speaker 1>15 month old data, they flag the duration risk, they

0:41:17.250 --> 0:41:21.209
<v Speaker 1>flag the concentration risk and so on. Um so in

0:41:21.219 --> 0:41:25.280
<v Speaker 1>terms of using a I for search and using a

0:41:25.290 --> 0:41:27.149
<v Speaker 1>I for the kind of work that you are doing,

0:41:27.510 --> 0:41:29.669
<v Speaker 1>where do you see the most compelling use cases?

0:41:30.540 --> 0:41:32.669
<v Speaker 2>Again? Let me just step back and give you my

0:41:32.679 --> 0:41:35.259
<v Speaker 2>because I, I'm not a tech guy, I'm a business guy.

0:41:35.590 --> 0:41:37.189
<v Speaker 2>Here's my um

0:41:37.969 --> 0:41:42.699
<v Speaker 2>definition or my understanding of, of A I. Um So

0:41:43.629 --> 0:41:45.899
<v Speaker 2>imagine an Excel sheet

0:41:47.239 --> 0:41:51.129
<v Speaker 2>with a billion rows and a billion columns

0:41:51.959 --> 0:41:54.689
<v Speaker 2>and every cell moving in in real time.

0:41:56.050 --> 0:41:59.939
<v Speaker 2>And I imagine a billion of those excels, right?

0:42:00.939 --> 0:42:02.709
<v Speaker 2>The ability to

0:42:03.570 --> 0:42:06.259
<v Speaker 2>extract the beta and pattern match

0:42:07.199 --> 0:42:09.919
<v Speaker 2>is what we call machine learning, right?

0:42:11.290 --> 0:42:13.580
<v Speaker 2>The ability to predict what will happen

0:42:14.590 --> 0:42:15.320
<v Speaker 2>is A I,

0:42:15.989 --> 0:42:17.959
<v Speaker 2>right? Uh Now

0:42:20.110 --> 0:42:24.070
<v Speaker 2>GP T uh or open A I, the parent company.

0:42:24.080 --> 0:42:24.620
<v Speaker 2>Um

0:42:25.719 --> 0:42:29.570
<v Speaker 2>We've seen the, we've seen over the last few months.

0:42:30.419 --> 0:42:34.149
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it's amazing what it can do. Um But

0:42:34.159 --> 0:42:36.590
<v Speaker 2>it is, it's still text

0:42:37.340 --> 0:42:38.739
<v Speaker 2>I think the next version

0:42:39.659 --> 0:42:41.830
<v Speaker 2>uh probably would be a video

0:42:42.719 --> 0:42:47.770
<v Speaker 2>or photography and we text image video, right? And that's

0:42:48.590 --> 0:42:51.320
<v Speaker 2>uh I, I think that's gonna happen quite quickly.

0:42:51.479 --> 0:42:53.699
<v Speaker 1>So I will ask you to make me a movie

0:42:53.879 --> 0:42:57.989
<v Speaker 1>about such care hanging out with the party in 1997

0:42:58.000 --> 0:42:58.489
<v Speaker 1>and I'll do

0:42:58.500 --> 0:43:02.120
<v Speaker 2>it. Yeah. Or it can be uh give me um

0:43:03.909 --> 0:43:08.629
<v Speaker 2>40 minute episode of Demo in podcasting and doing an

0:43:08.639 --> 0:43:09.719
<v Speaker 2>interview with the

0:43:10.729 --> 0:43:10.879
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:43:11.080 --> 0:43:14.000
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. And it'll be then, you know, you have 30 seconds.

0:43:14.010 --> 0:43:19.509
<v Speaker 2>So what is, what, what you believe is real, is

0:43:19.520 --> 0:43:22.919
<v Speaker 2>going to change and what is actually real, what is certified?

0:43:22.929 --> 0:43:25.580
<v Speaker 2>And I think that has impacts on education. I, I

0:43:25.590 --> 0:43:27.080
<v Speaker 2>worry about, you know,

0:43:27.439 --> 0:43:30.489
<v Speaker 2>my Children asking me, can I use GP T for

0:43:30.500 --> 0:43:35.929
<v Speaker 2>this exam? How schools and universities will react? Um

0:43:36.739 --> 0:43:38.860
<v Speaker 2>So I think it's a, it's a game changer and I,

0:43:38.870 --> 0:43:42.439
<v Speaker 2>I also think that when a company like Microsoft puts

0:43:42.449 --> 0:43:45.089
<v Speaker 2>$10 billion in it,

0:43:46.560 --> 0:43:49.659
<v Speaker 2>it ain't looking for an extra term. It's looking at

0:43:49.669 --> 0:43:52.850
<v Speaker 2>something substantially more, right? And I think that

0:43:54.570 --> 0:43:58.069
<v Speaker 2>it's a very shrewd move because I think it's going

0:43:58.080 --> 0:44:03.770
<v Speaker 2>to enable them Microsoft to compete with Google or the browser, right?

0:44:04.080 --> 0:44:07.850
<v Speaker 2>Uh So it'll be Chrome versus whatever Google come up with.

0:44:08.250 --> 0:44:13.899
<v Speaker 2>Uh It'll help Microsoft compete with Amazon for the cloud.

0:44:14.659 --> 0:44:17.189
<v Speaker 2>Um And there's gonna be,

0:44:18.439 --> 0:44:20.649
<v Speaker 2>it's gonna be a wild ride the next two years.

0:44:20.659 --> 0:44:21.020
<v Speaker 2>Sounds

0:44:21.030 --> 0:44:23.010
<v Speaker 1>like you've already picked a favorite MS F T.

0:44:23.810 --> 0:44:27.250
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, you know, I think uh I've got,

0:44:28.969 --> 0:44:31.189
<v Speaker 2>I tell my Children, I've got two kids. I say

0:44:31.199 --> 0:44:31.860
<v Speaker 2>one of you

0:44:32.550 --> 0:44:35.540
<v Speaker 2>is your, your future is in the hands of Amazon

0:44:35.550 --> 0:44:38.639
<v Speaker 2>and the other, your future is in the hand of microphone.

0:44:40.040 --> 0:44:43.520
<v Speaker 1>Um um Agree or disagree that the advent of the

0:44:43.530 --> 0:44:48.360
<v Speaker 1>internet was subject to too light regulatory touch. As a result,

0:44:48.370 --> 0:44:51.199
<v Speaker 1>we saw some of the negative aspects of internet proliferate

0:44:51.209 --> 0:44:53.319
<v Speaker 1>in the last two or three decades and the issue

0:44:53.330 --> 0:44:55.580
<v Speaker 1>that we were talking about privacy and so on uh

0:44:55.919 --> 0:44:56.370
<v Speaker 1>and

0:44:57.080 --> 0:45:01.370
<v Speaker 1>chastened by that experience, regulators will be very, very tough

0:45:01.520 --> 0:45:04.399
<v Speaker 1>on A I companies that start rolling out these provocative

0:45:04.409 --> 0:45:05.040
<v Speaker 1>things that you're talking

0:45:05.050 --> 0:45:05.610
<v Speaker 2>about. Yeah.

0:45:06.750 --> 0:45:07.840
<v Speaker 2>How are they gonna stop

0:45:07.850 --> 0:45:07.979
<v Speaker 1>it?

0:45:08.989 --> 0:45:12.919
<v Speaker 1>They will make companies level if your voice is being

0:45:12.929 --> 0:45:16.229
<v Speaker 1>used in their platform to create a persona that is

0:45:16.239 --> 0:45:16.799
<v Speaker 1>not yours

0:45:18.590 --> 0:45:22.979
<v Speaker 2>and difficult one to police stack, right? Um It's uh

0:45:24.100 --> 0:45:25.060
<v Speaker 2>um I mean,

0:45:26.500 --> 0:45:26.949
<v Speaker 2>I'm not,

0:45:27.689 --> 0:45:32.419
<v Speaker 2>we saw the senate hearings on Facebook and privacy.

0:45:32.780 --> 0:45:35.219
<v Speaker 1>The senators did not wrap themselves in glory.

0:45:36.080 --> 0:45:40.590
<v Speaker 2>Uh A I is gonna be infinitely more complicated uh

0:45:40.600 --> 0:45:44.050
<v Speaker 2>because we're just starting on that journey. So how a

0:45:44.060 --> 0:45:47.659
<v Speaker 2>regulator or a senator or a politician is going to

0:45:47.669 --> 0:45:50.049
<v Speaker 2>be able to play out in their own minds? What

0:45:50.060 --> 0:45:50.919
<v Speaker 2>is coming ahead?

0:45:51.580 --> 0:45:55.070
<v Speaker 2>I, I, I don't, I'm not sure they're going to

0:45:55.080 --> 0:45:57.290
<v Speaker 2>be successful,

0:45:59.830 --> 0:46:02.120
<v Speaker 2>but yeah, I mean, as I said, earlier, I think

0:46:02.330 --> 0:46:06.500
<v Speaker 2>A I is not a pretender, like some people say

0:46:06.510 --> 0:46:12.189
<v Speaker 2>crypto and the metaverse were pretenders to the mega trend throne, right?

0:46:12.800 --> 0:46:14.419
<v Speaker 2>I think A I is the real deal.

0:46:15.580 --> 0:46:18.429
<v Speaker 2>And I think that at a fundamental level

0:46:20.080 --> 0:46:24.399
<v Speaker 2>because it increases productivity.

0:46:28.290 --> 0:46:31.510
<v Speaker 2>I, I think it's just gonna be an amazing, great

0:46:31.520 --> 0:46:35.280
<v Speaker 2>thing for the global economy. OK?

0:46:35.290 --> 0:46:37.859
<v Speaker 1>You're convinced that A I raises productivity and I think

0:46:37.979 --> 0:46:41.529
<v Speaker 1>it's an easy case to make software services. How does

0:46:41.540 --> 0:46:44.959
<v Speaker 1>it increase productivity or does it not always increase productivity?

0:46:46.159 --> 0:46:48.149
<v Speaker 2>How does A I increase productivity?

0:46:48.260 --> 0:46:49.909
<v Speaker 1>Well, that I think we will agree that, you know,

0:46:49.919 --> 0:46:54.030
<v Speaker 1>potentially substantial. So just as software services or the subscription business,

0:46:54.679 --> 0:46:56.979
<v Speaker 1>I can see it's very lucrative from the seller of

0:46:56.989 --> 0:46:59.889
<v Speaker 1>that service. But is it always clear that the buyer

0:46:59.899 --> 0:47:02.029
<v Speaker 1>of the service is seeing significant productivity enhancement?

0:47:03.260 --> 0:47:06.709
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, I think so, I think at its

0:47:06.949 --> 0:47:09.389
<v Speaker 2>most atomic level is

0:47:10.020 --> 0:47:11.069
<v Speaker 2>you can,

0:47:14.209 --> 0:47:16.340
<v Speaker 2>you can pay when you want to, you can pay

0:47:16.350 --> 0:47:18.879
<v Speaker 2>on a daily basis, you can pay on a monthly basis,

0:47:18.889 --> 0:47:21.070
<v Speaker 2>you can pay on an annual basis. That's really what

0:47:21.080 --> 0:47:23.699
<v Speaker 2>soft you can eat as much as you can. You

0:47:23.709 --> 0:47:26.419
<v Speaker 2>remember the old days of software where,

0:47:27.429 --> 0:47:31.159
<v Speaker 2>you know, I B M and Microsoft and you were

0:47:31.169 --> 0:47:36.260
<v Speaker 2>like buying physical servers and, and C Ds C Ds. Yeah.

0:47:37.129 --> 0:47:40.370
<v Speaker 2>Um That's all changed because of a, now software is

0:47:40.379 --> 0:47:43.320
<v Speaker 2>being delivered over the internet and you can pay uh

0:47:43.330 --> 0:47:46.159
<v Speaker 2>when you want, you can switch it off when you want.

0:47:46.169 --> 0:47:49.239
<v Speaker 2>And so a is just a sort of a monetization.

0:47:49.669 --> 0:47:51.520
<v Speaker 2>I think um

0:47:53.340 --> 0:47:54.189
<v Speaker 2>I think

0:47:55.050 --> 0:47:55.739
<v Speaker 2>his

0:47:56.379 --> 0:47:57.110
<v Speaker 2>might,

0:47:58.250 --> 0:47:59.919
<v Speaker 2>that is that

0:48:02.939 --> 0:48:04.399
<v Speaker 2>I will

0:48:06.679 --> 0:48:10.560
<v Speaker 2>if it can become, if you can charge customers based

0:48:10.570 --> 0:48:11.330
<v Speaker 2>on outcome,

0:48:13.330 --> 0:48:14.280
<v Speaker 2>which is

0:48:15.010 --> 0:48:16.340
<v Speaker 2>you are selling something.

0:48:17.139 --> 0:48:21.010
<v Speaker 2>Um I offer you my software as a service but

0:48:21.020 --> 0:48:22.790
<v Speaker 2>I say, listen, don't pay me every month,

0:48:24.580 --> 0:48:26.580
<v Speaker 2>only pay me when it succeeds.

0:48:29.030 --> 0:48:31.879
<v Speaker 2>Um Tough thing to say no to, right.

0:48:32.649 --> 0:48:36.590
<v Speaker 2>Um I think that's what A I enables. Um I

0:48:36.610 --> 0:48:38.060
<v Speaker 2>think that just the

0:48:39.350 --> 0:48:41.149
<v Speaker 2>the ability to

0:48:41.969 --> 0:48:47.100
<v Speaker 2>increase productivity to automate decision making.

0:48:48.030 --> 0:48:51.879
<v Speaker 2>Um I think that's what A I delivers. Um

0:48:52.750 --> 0:48:57.399
<v Speaker 2>And it has a another implication on labor uh which

0:48:57.429 --> 0:49:01.479
<v Speaker 2>uh which no one wants to discuss. Um But the

0:49:01.489 --> 0:49:02.839
<v Speaker 2>reality is is that

0:49:03.479 --> 0:49:04.089
<v Speaker 2>um

0:49:04.679 --> 0:49:08.310
<v Speaker 2>you know, most companies, uh I read this amazing article

0:49:08.320 --> 0:49:09.719
<v Speaker 2>the other day about uh

0:49:11.540 --> 0:49:15.320
<v Speaker 2>you have leaders who give vision in a company and

0:49:15.330 --> 0:49:19.110
<v Speaker 2>then you have front line workers who execute on that vision.

0:49:20.209 --> 0:49:24.129
<v Speaker 2>Um And in the middle, you have what is called

0:49:24.139 --> 0:49:26.199
<v Speaker 2>process managers. I have read the article too.

0:49:26.639 --> 0:49:27.000
<v Speaker 1>Yes, it's

0:49:27.010 --> 0:49:30.520
<v Speaker 2>amazing. Yes. And that's going to and that is what

0:49:30.530 --> 0:49:36.340
<v Speaker 2>A I will kill because process management is overhead. That

0:49:36.350 --> 0:49:38.360
<v Speaker 2>isn't required because

0:49:41.659 --> 0:49:46.350
<v Speaker 2>you will tie data into workflows and decision making and

0:49:46.360 --> 0:49:50.129
<v Speaker 2>it will become instantaneous rather than hours and hours of

0:49:50.139 --> 0:49:54.000
<v Speaker 2>meetings and, and, and things like that. Um And I

0:49:54.010 --> 0:49:54.669
<v Speaker 2>think that

0:49:55.600 --> 0:49:58.989
<v Speaker 2>at least in the short term uh is what's worrying

0:49:59.000 --> 0:50:05.600
<v Speaker 2>people uh because it may fundamentally change uh employment and labor.

0:50:06.270 --> 0:50:09.479
<v Speaker 1>Well, then my final question is related to that in

0:50:09.489 --> 0:50:12.529
<v Speaker 1>your company right now. Is it fundamentally changing your notion

0:50:12.540 --> 0:50:15.189
<v Speaker 1>of labor? And also how globalized are you? I know

0:50:15.199 --> 0:50:17.169
<v Speaker 1>that your work is based in South and South Asia.

0:50:17.179 --> 0:50:19.959
<v Speaker 1>But do you have staff sitting in Silicon Valley and

0:50:19.969 --> 0:50:21.300
<v Speaker 1>Middle East elsewhere?

0:50:22.149 --> 0:50:22.839
<v Speaker 2>Um

0:50:24.090 --> 0:50:26.739
<v Speaker 2>How has it changed our company? Um

0:50:30.540 --> 0:50:32.780
<v Speaker 2>We try and run a lean ship. I mean, we

0:50:32.790 --> 0:50:36.629
<v Speaker 2>have 350 people across seven countries. Um

0:50:38.209 --> 0:50:41.590
<v Speaker 2>But I can tell you that it is already changing

0:50:41.600 --> 0:50:44.570
<v Speaker 2>our customers and, and how

0:50:45.350 --> 0:50:48.860
<v Speaker 2>they perceive it. The customers are turning around to us

0:50:48.870 --> 0:50:50.739
<v Speaker 2>and saying, um

0:50:52.090 --> 0:50:52.979
<v Speaker 2>I had

0:50:53.729 --> 0:50:57.899
<v Speaker 2>nine data analysts and with your software, I only need three.

0:50:58.560 --> 0:51:01.819
<v Speaker 2>Uh we have customers who are saying, um

0:51:02.590 --> 0:51:09.339
<v Speaker 2>I have staff who overlooks commerce on Shopify or Magento

0:51:09.350 --> 0:51:13.959
<v Speaker 2>or Lazada or shop or flip card or tiktok. Um

0:51:14.439 --> 0:51:17.209
<v Speaker 2>I don't need that many managers because with the also

0:51:17.219 --> 0:51:19.820
<v Speaker 2>fair solution because I, I, I open my laptop, I

0:51:19.830 --> 0:51:23.549
<v Speaker 2>look at your software at nine AM and by 9 15,

0:51:23.560 --> 0:51:26.580
<v Speaker 2>I know exactly what I need to do and, and

0:51:26.590 --> 0:51:27.979
<v Speaker 2>that's what the A I does,

0:51:29.600 --> 0:51:33.350
<v Speaker 1>Right? Um so the final bit. Do you have employees

0:51:33.360 --> 0:51:35.319
<v Speaker 1>around the world just beyond the seven core

0:51:35.330 --> 0:51:38.540
<v Speaker 2>markets? No, our employees are in the our seven core

0:51:38.550 --> 0:51:42.439
<v Speaker 2>markets and we have consultants and specialists and M L and,

0:51:42.449 --> 0:51:46.260
<v Speaker 2>and data science who sit elsewhere. But our employees uh

0:51:46.270 --> 0:51:50.419
<v Speaker 2>we're playing Mumbai to Manila until further notice, until

0:51:50.429 --> 0:51:51.899
<v Speaker 1>further notice. Um

0:51:52.389 --> 0:51:54.820
<v Speaker 1>Look, I mean, as I said, sometimes I take sort

0:51:54.830 --> 0:51:56.750
<v Speaker 1>of pessimist end of the argument, that's why I really

0:51:56.760 --> 0:52:00.120
<v Speaker 1>enjoy talking to our founders who have an optimistic bend.

0:52:00.280 --> 0:52:02.689
<v Speaker 1>So while I do worry about A I and privacy

0:52:02.699 --> 0:52:05.560
<v Speaker 1>and so on, I I see where you're coming from from. So,

0:52:05.570 --> 0:52:07.979
<v Speaker 1>uh thank you very much for your time and insights.

0:52:08.300 --> 0:52:11.370
<v Speaker 2>Thank you very much. Uh Good to meet you again.

0:52:11.379 --> 0:52:13.929
<v Speaker 2>Big fan of the show. And how many episodes have

0:52:13.939 --> 0:52:17.290
<v Speaker 2>you done? Now? We're at 98 98. Oh my God.

0:52:17.300 --> 0:52:19.290
<v Speaker 2>It's adding. Who is the guest on the 100?

0:52:19.300 --> 0:52:20.570
<v Speaker 1>It will be a surprise.

0:52:21.250 --> 0:52:23.790
<v Speaker 2>All right. Well, thanks. Thanks very much for inviting me

0:52:24.260 --> 0:52:24.979
<v Speaker 2>um

0:52:25.310 --> 0:52:27.270
<v Speaker 2>and a great chat. Thanks very

0:52:27.280 --> 0:52:29.080
<v Speaker 1>much. You know, I had a great time, learned a lot.

0:52:29.090 --> 0:52:32.050
<v Speaker 1>Uh Thank you to our listeners as well. Koby Time

0:52:32.060 --> 0:52:35.100
<v Speaker 1>was produced by Ken Delbridge, Violet, Lee and Daisy Sherma

0:52:35.110 --> 0:52:39.000
<v Speaker 1>provided additional assistance. All 98 episodes of Coby Time are

0:52:39.010 --> 0:52:42.280
<v Speaker 1>available on Apple Google, Spotify as well as on youtube.

0:52:42.590 --> 0:52:45.429
<v Speaker 1>It is for information only and does not constitute any

0:52:45.439 --> 0:52:49.219
<v Speaker 1>investment advice. As for all our research publications and webinars

0:52:49.229 --> 0:52:51.669
<v Speaker 1>are concerned you can find them all by Googling D

0:52:51.679 --> 0:52:53.860
<v Speaker 1>BS Research Library. Have a great day.