1 00:00:01,200 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting pros PGA AT Podcast. I'm Pat 2 00:00:03,760 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: Fitzmorris joined by Bau mcbrear. It's US Open week and 3 00:00:07,440 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: the US Open is returning to perhaps the most classic 4 00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: of all US Open venues, Oakmont's Country Club in western Pennsylvania. 5 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: Bo and I are here to give you a full 6 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: betting preview from the third major of the year. We'll 7 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 1: talk about Oakmont, we'll talk about the odds. We'll talk 8 00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:25,160 Speaker 1: about what sort of form the top players are in 9 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: and whether their games are suited to tame o. Come on, 10 00:00:28,040 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 1: if that's possible, We'll tell you who we're betting this week, 11 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 1: and we will make one and done picks at the 12 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:35,840 Speaker 1: end of the show. First, we'll quickly recap the Canadian Open. 13 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:39,160 Speaker 1: Ryan Fox wins his second tournament of twenty twenty five. 14 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 1: The New Zealander won a marathon sudden death playoff against 15 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,600 Speaker 1: Sam Burns, clinching it with a birdie on the fourth 16 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:49,200 Speaker 1: playoff hole. Burns went out early on Sunday and posted 17 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:51,519 Speaker 1: in eight under par sixty two that got him to 18 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 1: eighteen under par. Then he waited for nearly two hours 19 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:57,960 Speaker 1: to see if anyone could catch him. Several players tried 20 00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 1: but failed Cameron Young, Kevin ben On and others, but 21 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:04,520 Speaker 1: on the final hole of regulation, Ryan Fox rolled in 22 00:01:04,560 --> 00:01:08,640 Speaker 1: a seventeen footer to get to eighteen under par and 23 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:11,880 Speaker 1: force a playoff. Fox's putt barely snuck in on the 24 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 1: low side of the hole. Then Burns and Fox replayed 25 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 1: the par five eighteenth hole three times without breaking the tie. 26 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,559 Speaker 1: Both players made pars on the first three playoff holes. 27 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 1: Fox would later refer to the first three playoff holes 28 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:27,399 Speaker 1: as a pillow fight, with neither player stepping up to 29 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:32,400 Speaker 1: take charge. Tournament officials actually changed the whole location during 30 00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:35,200 Speaker 1: the playoff, giving the two players a more accessible pin 31 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 1: that didn't require as dangerous an approach shot over the 32 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: pond fronting the green. On the fourth playoff all Burns 33 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 1: and Fox both went forward in two. Fox hit his 34 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 1: approach shot to about seven feet, Burns hit his to 35 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 1: about forty feet. Burns then rased his eagle putt ten 36 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 1: feet past the hole. Then he lipped out the ten 37 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 1: footer for birdie that gave Fox two putts from seven 38 00:01:57,360 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: feet for a win. He now his two titles in 39 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:03,120 Speaker 1: PGA Tour career, and they both come this year. Fox 40 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 1: also won last month's one Flight Myrtle Beach Classic, which 41 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:10,200 Speaker 1: also ended up in a playoff. Fox chipped in to 42 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: win a three man playoff in that one bo Fox 43 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:16,000 Speaker 1: made me a little bit of money yesterday at a 44 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 1: couple of bucks on him at eighty to one. One 45 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:22,080 Speaker 1: other note from the Canadian Open. Two time Canadian Open 46 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:25,560 Speaker 1: Chip Rory McElroy was in the field. He finished nine 47 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:28,360 Speaker 1: over par and missed the cut by twelve strokes. Yikes, 48 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 1: not great, not great, not great going into a major. 49 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:34,640 Speaker 1: But what did you make of Ryan Fox's victory? And 50 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,640 Speaker 1: what do you think about the new Canadian Open host 51 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 1: course TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley. 52 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 2: Well, I mean they're going to go back to another 53 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:45,919 Speaker 2: course road after next year. Actually they're going to repeat 54 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 2: Austra Valley next year. And it was pure bomb and gouge, 55 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:51,959 Speaker 2: Like the top of leaderboard was a who's who have 56 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:55,920 Speaker 2: bomb and prey type players because there was no penal 57 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 2: ref there no, there were no penalties ever for any 58 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:02,200 Speaker 2: wayward shots the whole week, and I'm surprised it was 59 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 2: only eighteen under. Some of the guys were having a 60 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 2: trouble putting on the greens, but it seemed like they 61 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 2: were the guys who avoided three putts were the ones 62 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 2: that scored the best. But it was a lot of 63 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:15,840 Speaker 2: bombers and a lot of guys with hot putters. Ryan 64 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:19,520 Speaker 2: Fox not normally known for a short game, especially as putting, 65 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 2: but he came through with one of the longer hitters 66 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:26,920 Speaker 2: out there and remarkably consistent through the week. Sam burns 67 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:30,640 Speaker 2: Is sixty two on Sunday was impressive though. That's a 68 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:35,120 Speaker 2: really really good score even on an easier golf course, 69 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 2: especially when he was done way early. I was kind 70 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 2: of rooting for Burnsy, but I didn't really have a 71 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 2: horse in the fight. I didn't place anybody on that week. 72 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 2: Luckily didn't bet too much because I was saving myself 73 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 2: for the US Open. 74 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 1: Yes, I've heard it's a big tournaments, and especially big 75 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:56,480 Speaker 1: going back to Oakmont. You know, some of the new 76 00:03:56,480 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 1: courses are nice, the LA Country Club and such, but 77 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 1: I like the classics and we will turn our full 78 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,120 Speaker 1: attention to the US Open in just a moment. 79 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 2: But first, download the free Betting pros app for iOS 80 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 2: and Android. With sportsbook Sinc. You can automatically track your 81 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 2: bets across all major sportsbooks in one spot. Easily monitor 82 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:21,680 Speaker 2: your bet performance by sport and bet type, including game picks, props, 83 00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 2: and parlays. Go ahead and create your own custom betting 84 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:29,120 Speaker 2: system to find winning trends and profitable opportunities. Get your 85 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 2: seven day free trial of Betting Pros Premium by downloading 86 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 2: the app at bettingpros dot com slash apps using code 87 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 2: juice juycee and activating your trial on the upgrade screen. 88 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:46,600 Speaker 1: So you have It's back to Oakmont Country Club in Oakmont, Pennsylvania, 89 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 1: which is in western Pennsylvania about fourteen miles northeast of Pittsburgh. 90 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 1: Oakmont opened in nineteen oh four and was designed by 91 00:04:54,279 --> 00:04:59,159 Speaker 1: Henry Follins, the only course Founds ever designed, and it 92 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:01,159 Speaker 1: really is a class qu us up in course. This 93 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:06,919 Speaker 1: will be the tenth time Oakmont has hosted Yes Vintage 94 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:10,000 Speaker 1: for sure, no other course has hosted it as many 95 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 1: times as Oakmont, and Oakmont is really unique. It has 96 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:16,679 Speaker 1: no water hazards, just a couple of deep drainage ditches 97 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 1: that are considered water hazards with regard to the rules. 98 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 1: Oakmont was originally built as a Lynx course. They added 99 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:26,040 Speaker 1: trees in the fifties and sixties, but the trees were 100 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:30,160 Speaker 1: mostly removed in the two thousands. Oakmont is known for 101 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 1: its blazing fast poa greens. Putting on Oakmont's greens is 102 00:05:34,600 --> 00:05:37,600 Speaker 1: like putting on a marble floor, and there are a 103 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 1: lot of slopes to these greens too, so if you've 104 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:42,520 Speaker 1: got a downhill pot, good luck with that. Oakmont is 105 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:46,120 Speaker 1: also famous for its church pews bunker, which splits the 106 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:48,600 Speaker 1: third and fourth holes. It's one hundred yards long and 107 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:51,839 Speaker 1: has rows of grass strips in the sand, very iconic. 108 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 1: The course will plays a parse seventy measuring seven three 109 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 1: hundred and seventy two yards. It's a long course, but 110 00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 1: not insanely long US Open standards. However, some of the 111 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 1: individual holes are insanely long. The two par fives are 112 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 1: both longer than six hundred yards. The twelfth hole will 113 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:12,040 Speaker 1: play two six hundred and thirty two yards. It actually 114 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:16,359 Speaker 1: played at six eighty four yards back in twenty sixteen. 115 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:20,120 Speaker 1: It is ridiculous. The eighth hole is a par three 116 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:24,159 Speaker 1: measuring two hundred and eighty nine yards, and two of 117 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:26,360 Speaker 1: the par fours on the back nine measure over five 118 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:28,640 Speaker 1: hundred yards. There are also a couple of short holes. 119 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 1: Number two is a three hundred and sixty four yard 120 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:34,479 Speaker 1: par four, and number seventeen is a par four measuring 121 00:06:34,600 --> 00:06:37,719 Speaker 1: three hundred and twelve yards, but it's a blind, uphill 122 00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:42,000 Speaker 1: t shot to a green guarded by five very deep bunkers. 123 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 1: The fairways at Oakmont they're going to be tight, the 124 00:06:45,320 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 1: roughest five inch thick Kentucky bluegrass, and if you find 125 00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:51,400 Speaker 1: one of the fairway bunkers, you might not have a 126 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:53,440 Speaker 1: chance to hit the green with your approach shot. You 127 00:06:53,560 --> 00:06:57,080 Speaker 1: might just have to come out sideways. Driving accuracy is 128 00:06:57,120 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 1: going to be very critical this week. It's on a 129 00:07:01,839 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 1: very let's say not flat patch of land Oakmont is, 130 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:09,840 Speaker 1: so players are going to get all sorts of side 131 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 1: hill downhill lies with their even with the balls they 132 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:17,240 Speaker 1: hit under the fairway and back to those greens, not 133 00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:20,679 Speaker 1: only are they fast, but they are huge. So lag 134 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:23,559 Speaker 1: putting is going to be important this week. In short, 135 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:25,840 Speaker 1: we're in for a wild ride, and the winning score 136 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 1: might not be under par. In two thousand and seven, 137 00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 1: on Hell Cabrera won the US Open at Oakmont with 138 00:07:33,320 --> 00:07:37,040 Speaker 1: a winning score of plus five. The cut line was 139 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 1: The cut line was plus ten that year, and when 140 00:07:41,640 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 1: the US Open was last played at Oakmont in twenty sixteen, 141 00:07:44,920 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 1: Dustin Johnson finished four under part to win by three 142 00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 1: strokes over Shane Lowry, Jim Furick, Scott Pearcy. They were 143 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:54,000 Speaker 1: the only four players to finish under par. The cut 144 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 1: line that year was plus six. So all of this 145 00:07:57,240 --> 00:08:00,200 Speaker 1: makes Johnny Miller's final round sixty three at oak in 146 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 1: nineteen seventy three looked pretty good. And yes, Oakmann was 147 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 1: still a butt kicker back then. Bryce Indy Schambeau is 148 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 1: the defending US Open champion, although he won at Pinehurst 149 00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 1: number two last year. The weather forecast this week calls 150 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 1: for temperatures in the low to mid eighties on Thursday 151 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 1: and Friday, with mild winds in the five to ten 152 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 1: mile an hour range. Saturday's thunderstorms in the forecast along 153 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 1: with slightly cooler temperatures in the seventies. There's also rain 154 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:29,920 Speaker 1: in the forecast for Sunday as well. The wind should 155 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:32,800 Speaker 1: be light on the weekend to five to ten miles 156 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:36,000 Speaker 1: an hour. Bo give me your thoughts on Oakmont Country Club. 157 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:40,760 Speaker 2: It's the quintessential US Open golf course. The US Open 158 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 2: is my favorite tournament to watch every year. Father's Day 159 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:48,559 Speaker 2: weekend every year it's always set up by the USGA 160 00:08:48,679 --> 00:08:53,640 Speaker 2: to be brutally difficult. I love carnage. I love Oakmont 161 00:08:53,679 --> 00:08:57,720 Speaker 2: carnage because it's carnage without a long golf course. This 162 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:03,200 Speaker 2: is a traditional It's a treeless, waterless golf course that says, hey, 163 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:06,199 Speaker 2: hit in the fairway or you're screwed, and then hit 164 00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:09,520 Speaker 2: the green or you're screwed. And even if you do 165 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:12,440 Speaker 2: both of those things, you might still be screwed. On 166 00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:15,560 Speaker 2: these greens. They're gigantic run. They're gonna be running a 167 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 2: fourteen or fifteen on the stip meter, which is as 168 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 2: fast as you're ever going to see on the PGA tour, 169 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 2: and they're used to seeing twelve and thirteens pretty much 170 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 2: every week. Fifteen on the stimp means that they hold 171 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 2: it at a forty five degree angle. They let it 172 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:31,319 Speaker 2: roll down the little one foot ramp and it rolls 173 00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:35,440 Speaker 2: out fifteen inches to a twelve inch drop. That means 174 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:38,560 Speaker 2: it's gonna be lightning fast, like I'm putting on the 175 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:42,560 Speaker 2: hood of a Volkswagen. It's gonna be It's just it's 176 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:44,960 Speaker 2: gonna be fun to watch the best players in the 177 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 2: world start to whine and cry about the tough conditions. Boomoo, yeah, 178 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:54,880 Speaker 2: I love it. I want to see the winning score 179 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:57,160 Speaker 2: way over par. I want to see the cut line 180 00:09:57,160 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 2: to be plus fifteen. I want it to be the 181 00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:01,760 Speaker 2: hardest US Open up all time. I want to see 182 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 2: all of these guys cry. I want to see Scotti 183 00:10:04,200 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 2: Scheffler throw clubs again. I want to see John rom 184 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:10,760 Speaker 2: maybe completely combust from from his anger. I want to 185 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 2: see all of these things happen, and at the end, 186 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 2: I want to see the guy who comes out with 187 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 2: most of his limbs intact holding that trophy. H Oakmont, 188 00:10:20,679 --> 00:10:21,200 Speaker 2: bring it. 189 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:24,680 Speaker 1: I'll be honest. This is my third favorite major, behind 190 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 1: the Masters and the Open Championship. But bo when they 191 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 1: play at a classic venue like oak Mott's or Winged Foot, 192 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:38,679 Speaker 1: then the US Open becomes, in my estimation, the equal 193 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:42,960 Speaker 1: of those other tournaments. Pinehurst number two even. But you know, 194 00:10:43,080 --> 00:10:47,680 Speaker 1: it's just I didn't love the La Country Club. I 195 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:51,080 Speaker 1: certainly didn't love Aaron Hills in Wisconsin, which I actually attended, 196 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:54,079 Speaker 1: and I thought that was a pretty weak US Open venue. 197 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 1: Didn't help that. 198 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 2: The win can all be pebble beats exactly. 199 00:10:57,440 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, give me Pebble, give me Oakmont give me winged 200 00:11:01,120 --> 00:11:03,920 Speaker 1: so we will get to the US Open odds in 201 00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:07,440 Speaker 1: just a moment. Right after Bo tells you about no Vig, are. 202 00:11:07,280 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 2: You looking for a smarter way to play. There's a 203 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 2: new sports trading platform that's changing the game. It's called 204 00:11:14,320 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 2: no Vig. 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That's Bettingpros dot com 214 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 2: slash juice, and our colleague Mike Mayra is on it 215 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 2: every single day. He's a Novig fanatic. He's always dropping screenshots, 216 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:02,920 Speaker 2: winning and losing his greenshots. Mike and picks in the discord. 217 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:05,680 Speaker 2: If you have questions, reach out to Mike Mayor. He's 218 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:06,480 Speaker 2: happy to help. 219 00:12:07,240 --> 00:12:10,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, hopefully more winners than losers for Mayor. He's actually 220 00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:12,880 Speaker 1: pretty sharp when it comes to wagering. 221 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:18,439 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's but he's a braggart about it too. So yeah. 222 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 1: Now for the US Open odds. All odds are courtesy 223 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:24,240 Speaker 1: of DraftKings as of Monday. Some of these odds may 224 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:27,200 Speaker 1: have changed by the time you consume this show. Scotty 225 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 1: Shuffler opens as a heavy favorite. No surprise there. He's 226 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:33,840 Speaker 1: plus two seventy five. Bryson Deshamba is plus seven fifty. 227 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:38,040 Speaker 1: Rory McElroy and John ramerre plus twelve hundred, Xander Schoffley 228 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:41,280 Speaker 1: is plus twenty two hundred, Kala Morricaw was plus twenty 229 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:45,520 Speaker 1: five hundred, Joaquin Neeman and Ludwig Oberg are plus three thousand, 230 00:12:45,920 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 1: Tommy Fleetwood is plus thirty five hundred, Justin Thomas's plus 231 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:53,080 Speaker 1: four thousand, and Tyrol Hatton and Shane Lowry are plus 232 00:12:53,120 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 1: forty five hundred. Let's talk about the favorites. Bo Being 233 00:12:57,000 --> 00:13:00,120 Speaker 1: cautious with Scotty hasn't worked for us lately, and and 234 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:03,440 Speaker 1: one time in the last month that I bet him 235 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:06,880 Speaker 1: out right before the tournament, he didn't win, so are you? 236 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,319 Speaker 2: And that was the only time he didn't win. 237 00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:12,120 Speaker 1: Literally the only time in the last month he hasn't 238 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:15,000 Speaker 1: won when I bet him before the tournament. Are you 239 00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:17,600 Speaker 1: interested in taking him at plus two seventy five? 240 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 2: Absolutely not. And yeah, I'm still gonna keep fading the 241 00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:26,240 Speaker 2: odds on Scotty. We love Scotty. I don't have anything 242 00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 2: bad to say about him, but the books are taking 243 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:33,080 Speaker 2: us all for suckers. They expect Scotty Scheffler to get 244 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:35,440 Speaker 2: a lot of money in on the books and it's 245 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 2: just a money a numbers game. They don't have to 246 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:40,839 Speaker 2: pay very much if Scotty wins. They hope Scotty wins 247 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:43,680 Speaker 2: because as much as money as you're gonna get on 248 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:46,160 Speaker 2: people betting plus two to seventy, you're gonna get even 249 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:48,600 Speaker 2: more money on people at longer odds that have no 250 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:52,360 Speaker 2: chance to win. And Scotti Scheffler, if he wins plus 251 00:13:52,400 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 2: two to seventy that they're paying nothing out unless you 252 00:13:55,440 --> 00:13:58,320 Speaker 2: want to parlay Scotty with something else a little bit 253 00:13:58,440 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 2: sure of bet Like let's say you're an you want 254 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:03,440 Speaker 2: to bet on the Pacers to win Game three, or 255 00:14:03,480 --> 00:14:05,560 Speaker 2: you want to bet on the thunder to win Game three. 256 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:09,280 Speaker 2: Parlay that with Scottie Scheffler's plus two seventy, you might 257 00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 2: get some a little bit banging for your buck. That's 258 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 2: better than the straight up odds that I wouldn't touch 259 00:14:14,880 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 2: with a ten foot poll. I'm going to start my 260 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 2: book my betting at Rory McElroy plus seven fifty. Yeah, 261 00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:24,960 Speaker 2: it's risky. We saw him play last week. He played 262 00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 2: his worst tournament of his career. He had his worst 263 00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:32,400 Speaker 2: strokes gained rounds, the two worst strokes gains rounds since 264 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:35,640 Speaker 2: twenty thirteen when he was a teenager. That should tell 265 00:14:35,640 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 2: you all you need to know about scott where Rory's 266 00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 2: head was last week, in a preparation week for the 267 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 2: US Open, he committed to the Canadian Open early. He 268 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 2: stuck with it instead of going to the Memorial. He 269 00:14:47,080 --> 00:14:49,800 Speaker 2: played terribly. His mind wasn't in it. He was looking 270 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:52,120 Speaker 2: ahead to Oakmont. I'm going to take that at face 271 00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:54,440 Speaker 2: value and say that Rory is still a great fit 272 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 2: for this golf course and still very live to win 273 00:14:57,120 --> 00:15:00,840 Speaker 2: and gonna give us much better odds of paying off 274 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:02,960 Speaker 2: at the plus seven to fifty line. 275 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:07,000 Speaker 1: And now he's plus twelve hundred bo. He drifted big time. 276 00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 2: After I gotta check this out again. 277 00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 1: Yes, so he drifted severely to plus twelve hundred after 278 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:16,840 Speaker 1: the bad showing at the Canadian Open. My one issue 279 00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:21,240 Speaker 1: with Rory so obviously terrific season so far, wins at 280 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 1: the at and T Pebble Beach Proram Players Championship, the Masters, 281 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:28,640 Speaker 1: but he was forty seventh at the PGA Championship. The 282 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 1: tune up at the Canadian Open was a disaster. I 283 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 1: just wonder bo if he is in this postmaster's hangover, 284 00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 1: and I feel like he'll come out of it. He'll 285 00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:44,800 Speaker 1: take some advil, get some greasy food in his stomach, 286 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:49,200 Speaker 1: be ready when the Open Championship goes to Northern Ireland 287 00:15:49,280 --> 00:15:52,240 Speaker 1: and Royal Port Rush, Like, I've no doubt he's going 288 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:54,680 Speaker 1: to be ready for that. Is he ready for this 289 00:15:54,680 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 1: this week? I don't know. 290 00:15:57,160 --> 00:15:59,480 Speaker 2: I mean yet plus twelve hundred, I'm even more in 291 00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 2: than I was a plus seven fifty. I just looked 292 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:04,480 Speaker 2: at the wrong line. I guess I went cross. I'd 293 00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:06,520 Speaker 2: looking at the odds just a minute ago, because he is, 294 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 2: in fact at plus twelve hundred and now I'm even 295 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 2: more in love with him. 296 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:11,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, Like I wouldn't even think about it at plus 297 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 1: seven to fifty at plus twelve hundred, I can understand 298 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 1: why someone would have won up pounce on that. As 299 00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:22,720 Speaker 1: for Scottie, what's the one major he hasn't won so far? Ooh, 300 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 1: I mean like that's not a. 301 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 2: Really open championship. 302 00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:28,840 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, but he's not won a US Open. 303 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:33,640 Speaker 2: Correct, He's only won a PGA and that was up 304 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:36,680 Speaker 2: until this year. He'd only won the two Green jackets. 305 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 1: So I forgot he had not won an Open championship either. Yeah, 306 00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 1: he finished second in twenty twenty two at the country Club. 307 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 1: He's finished top ten at the US Open three of 308 00:16:46,920 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 1: the last four years, although he did finish a disappointing 309 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:53,880 Speaker 1: forty first at Pinehurst last year. But yeah, plus two 310 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 1: seventy saying. 311 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 2: Just saying this is this is Oakmont. This is gonna 312 00:16:58,280 --> 00:17:01,479 Speaker 2: be where we're looking at a lot of different stats 313 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:05,800 Speaker 2: like boge avoidance, double bogie avoidance. And even though Scotty's 314 00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:09,080 Speaker 2: number one in my model, he's seventieth in putting, he's 315 00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:12,160 Speaker 2: actually one hundredth in the proximity bucket I'm looking at 316 00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:14,920 Speaker 2: and fortieth and three putt avoidance, which is going to 317 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:19,160 Speaker 2: be paramount with these gigantic, super fast greens where we've 318 00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:22,959 Speaker 2: seen Scotty struggle putting are on the really fast greens, 319 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:25,680 Speaker 2: so I think there's something there. Obviously, if he wins, 320 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 2: nobody's going to be surprised, including you and I. But 321 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,760 Speaker 2: when he come down to the very next people in 322 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:35,080 Speaker 2: my model, it's guys like Rory McElroy and John ram 323 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:38,120 Speaker 2: at plus fourteen hundred, Like John, Rom's been playing great 324 00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:40,919 Speaker 2: golf the last month, a lot better than Rory. 325 00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:44,719 Speaker 1: Actually, yeah, so Rom. He was an amateur when he 326 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:47,920 Speaker 1: played the twenty sixteen US Open at Oakmont. Rom tied 327 00:17:47,960 --> 00:17:50,480 Speaker 1: for twenty third that year with a very respectable score 328 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:53,880 Speaker 1: of plus six. It was obviously encouraging to see him 329 00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:56,760 Speaker 1: play so well at the PGA. I just I can't 330 00:17:56,760 --> 00:17:58,760 Speaker 1: get on board with him at twelve to one odds, Bow, 331 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 1: I feel like that's right now four All right, Well, 332 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 1: I'm getting a little more interested. 333 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:08,080 Speaker 2: Okay, twelve On some books, I'm looking at two right now. 334 00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:11,680 Speaker 2: One's twelve, one's fourteen. Uh yeah, I'm with you. It's 335 00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:14,679 Speaker 2: it's kind of teetering there on a decent line. I 336 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:16,160 Speaker 2: just think he's a great fit for the course. 337 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,719 Speaker 1: So Rory's odds are drifting. Ramz odds are drifting. Bryson 338 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 1: d Chambeau's odds are tightening up. Unfortunately, he was at 339 00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:27,480 Speaker 1: plus twelve hundred last week. I'm kind of kicking myself 340 00:18:27,520 --> 00:18:29,879 Speaker 1: for not taking him when I could have gotten that number, 341 00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:32,760 Speaker 1: and now he's plus seven to fifty. He's finished top 342 00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 1: five in each of his last six events. That's four 343 00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:38,880 Speaker 1: live tour events and the two majors of the year. 344 00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:42,600 Speaker 1: Fifth of the Masters, second at the PGA. Bryson has 345 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:46,000 Speaker 1: finished top six in five of the last six majors. 346 00:18:46,080 --> 00:18:48,400 Speaker 1: Bo Can Bryson overpower Oakmont. 347 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:53,879 Speaker 2: No, Oakmont is un overpowerable. That's not a word, but 348 00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 2: it is. For all intents and purposes. Bomb and gouge 349 00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 2: is you get half of that here. It does help 350 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:05,680 Speaker 2: to vomit. But if you're not in these fairways, then 351 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:07,960 Speaker 2: you have no chance at reaching the green, no matter 352 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,680 Speaker 2: how far down there you are none. If you're in 353 00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:13,680 Speaker 2: a fairway bunker or in that five inch Kentucky blue rests, 354 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:16,000 Speaker 2: you are not going to reach the green, whether your 355 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,920 Speaker 2: wrists are made of iron or not. So Bryson, if 356 00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 2: he hits those fairways and he's down there three fifty 357 00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 2: four hundred yards, absolutely can win. This tournament. Rory McElroy, 358 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 2: same thing. These guys that have that advantage, that advantage 359 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:31,160 Speaker 2: is completely null and void if you're not in the fairway. 360 00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 2: And these fairways are tight. So yes, we need guys 361 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:38,359 Speaker 2: who are long and straight, because gouging it out is 362 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:40,640 Speaker 2: not going to be towards the green in any fashion. 363 00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:42,560 Speaker 2: Gouging it out is going to be trying to get 364 00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:44,919 Speaker 2: it back into the short grass so you can scramble 365 00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 2: to make par or even bogie on some of these holes. 366 00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:49,479 Speaker 2: Bogie is a very good score. 367 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,639 Speaker 1: All right. Let's talk about Xander Schaffley a plus twenty 368 00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:55,679 Speaker 1: two hundred and Colin Moore kawat plus twenty five hundred. 369 00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 1: So Xander has played eight US Opens in his career 370 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:03,200 Speaker 1: and has placed top ten in all but one of them. 371 00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:08,000 Speaker 1: His worst finish in a US Open a tie for fourteenth. 372 00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:12,639 Speaker 1: But Schoffley hasn't exactly been challenging for wins lately. Not 373 00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:16,280 Speaker 1: that he's been in bad form, just not really contending. 374 00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:21,400 Speaker 2: He's the quintessential grinder. He and Colin are polar opposites. 375 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,520 Speaker 2: You'd say, oh, Colin looks good on this course, because 376 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:28,199 Speaker 2: obviously fairways and greens are huge here. But Xander is 377 00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,800 Speaker 2: the grinder. Xander is the guy who can miss some 378 00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:32,879 Speaker 2: fairways and miss some greens and get out of it 379 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:36,760 Speaker 2: unscathed compared to the other people in this field. If 380 00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:39,439 Speaker 2: Colin's game is on, he can win. But if his 381 00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:42,480 Speaker 2: game is off, he's got no chance. Xander could be 382 00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:45,080 Speaker 2: at eighty five percent form and still win this thing 383 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:48,840 Speaker 2: because he's just got that firepower, that grinded out mentality. 384 00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:52,840 Speaker 2: I think that it's a fragile footing to bet on 385 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:56,000 Speaker 2: Colin Morikawa, but he does have a good chance, especially 386 00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 2: at plus twenty five hundred Xander plus twenty two hundred. 387 00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:04,159 Speaker 2: That is so tempting because the tougher the course gets, 388 00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:06,760 Speaker 2: the more he kind of rises to the top. Anyway, 389 00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:09,720 Speaker 2: That's why his record at the US Open is so good, 390 00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:14,119 Speaker 2: is because when things get really nasty, Xander Shaffley is 391 00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 2: a dog like that. Guy does not buckle down under pressure. 392 00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,520 Speaker 2: He just focuses harder and he makes it happen. So 393 00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:26,840 Speaker 2: gimme Colin because the numbers a little better, and we've 394 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 2: seen Colin play progressively better this season and Xander's kind 395 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 2: of idling, So I'll take Colin. But if Colin gets 396 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:37,560 Speaker 2: off to a bad start, you can pretty much write 397 00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:39,560 Speaker 2: him off because he's not going to have the mental 398 00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:43,199 Speaker 2: fortitude to recover from a bad day or even a 399 00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:43,720 Speaker 2: bad hole. 400 00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, Statistically he's a great fifth though rank second and 401 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:49,800 Speaker 1: tour driving accuracy, one of the best iron players in 402 00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:53,320 Speaker 1: the world. He's sixth in strokes gain and approach. But yeah, 403 00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:57,480 Speaker 1: Morikawa hasn't really contended in any event since the Arnold 404 00:21:57,480 --> 00:22:01,240 Speaker 1: Palmer Invitational in March. Now you want to talk about 405 00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:05,159 Speaker 1: coming into a tournament hot bo well, key Neieman just 406 00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:08,040 Speaker 1: won his fourth live event of the year and had 407 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,320 Speaker 1: his best finish ever in a major at last month's PGA, 408 00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:13,600 Speaker 1: finishing eighth and oh by the way, and winning this 409 00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:17,639 Speaker 1: live event, he just routinely fired a sixty three on 410 00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:21,440 Speaker 1: Sunday to come from behind. So yeah, Neiman hasn't made 411 00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:23,919 Speaker 1: a lot of noise at majors. 412 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:24,800 Speaker 2: But not bad for a third round score. 413 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:29,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly, only three rounds in the event, So still 414 00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:31,399 Speaker 1: pretty impressive. 415 00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:34,399 Speaker 2: Jab, But I'm also laughing because it's still a legit 416 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:36,520 Speaker 2: golf tournament with a very legit competition. 417 00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 1: Yes, and now liveviig Oberg is starting to show signs 418 00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:43,919 Speaker 1: of life after going quiet Following this year's Masters, he 419 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:48,200 Speaker 1: finished sixteenth at the Memorial and thirteenth at the Canadian Open. 420 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:49,760 Speaker 1: What do you think of Nieman and Oberg? 421 00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:55,359 Speaker 2: Nieman more than ober Oberg's short game still worries me. 422 00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,959 Speaker 2: His short approach very much worries me. This is a 423 00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,560 Speaker 2: this is another. It's very similar to Markawa, where from 424 00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:06,040 Speaker 2: tee to green you don't really worry about Oberg. But 425 00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:08,680 Speaker 2: if one little thing is off kilter on a golf 426 00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:12,320 Speaker 2: course like this that has so many penalty areas or 427 00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:17,679 Speaker 2: just punishing wayward shots on the scorecard, Ludvig Oberg is 428 00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:21,360 Speaker 2: not good at avoiding double bogies. He's good at avoiding bogies, 429 00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:25,160 Speaker 2: but there's a difference there. Oakmont like a regular run 430 00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:27,600 Speaker 2: of the Mills Tour, like last week RBC Canadian Open, 431 00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:31,160 Speaker 2: I waited bogey avoidance and didn't even think about double 432 00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 2: bogie avoidance this course, I'm actually weighing both of them 433 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:38,760 Speaker 2: because they're two completely different metrics. It's like there's there's 434 00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:42,960 Speaker 2: avoiding a quote unquote bad score, and then there's avoiding 435 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:48,359 Speaker 2: the the cataclysmic score, which is around every little corner 436 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:52,040 Speaker 2: and nook and cranny. At Oakmont, no trees, no water, 437 00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,720 Speaker 2: you still have no outs if you're if you're off 438 00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:58,000 Speaker 2: one shot, you were gonna it's gonna cost you to 439 00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:01,879 Speaker 2: and Ludwig Obert sixty fourth in this field in double 440 00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:06,320 Speaker 2: bogie avoidance. Joaquin Neeman not a lot of data to 441 00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:08,639 Speaker 2: go with because he's playing a lot fewer rounds. But 442 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:13,560 Speaker 2: what bugs me about Nieman the most is he's just 443 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 2: not good on approach. Everything about his game says if 444 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:22,000 Speaker 2: you're saying, oh, I'm good off the tee tee de green, 445 00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:25,879 Speaker 2: he's eighth, fourteenth and bogie avoidance. He's not good in 446 00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:30,080 Speaker 2: double bogie avoidance either. Fifty sixth, one hundred and fourth 447 00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,840 Speaker 2: and scrambling, which parlay is with one fifty seventh in 448 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:36,920 Speaker 2: proximity at one fifty an in and we're gonna have 449 00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 2: a lot of short approach shots, honestly, because this course 450 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:42,800 Speaker 2: is long average length, you're gonna have a lot of 451 00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:46,639 Speaker 2: short approach shots when you're in the fairway. And he's 452 00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:50,880 Speaker 2: dead last in both of those those little proximity buckets. 453 00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:55,040 Speaker 2: So Nieman better be good on short iron approach, and 454 00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:57,720 Speaker 2: he'd betta be really good dialed in better than ever 455 00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:01,400 Speaker 2: at avoiding blow up Poles, because because all those majors 456 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:05,159 Speaker 2: until the last major he was in where he was 457 00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 2: finishing eighth, he had never finished better than thirtieth in 458 00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:11,760 Speaker 2: any major until then because he always had either one 459 00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:14,840 Speaker 2: bad day or two or three really bad holes and 460 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:18,159 Speaker 2: he was out of contention. Great player, I don't know 461 00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:21,520 Speaker 2: that he has what it takes to win a US Open. 462 00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 2: It's for me, it's just way too short for a 463 00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:27,480 Speaker 2: guy who's shown no propensity at all, is in his 464 00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:30,960 Speaker 2: very long career to do well in majors up until 465 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:31,480 Speaker 2: the PGA. 466 00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:35,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, not that long. Still in his twenties, right, so he's. 467 00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:37,640 Speaker 2: Still young, but he's been playing a long time. 468 00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:41,200 Speaker 1: Yes, Now one more got to mention from this group. 469 00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:43,919 Speaker 1: It should be noted that Shane Lowry was the fifty 470 00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 1: four hole leader when the US Opened was last played 471 00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:50,200 Speaker 1: at Oakmont in twenty sixteen. Unfortunately, he went six over 472 00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:53,760 Speaker 1: par on Sunday and finished three shots behind winter Dustin Johnson. 473 00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:56,920 Speaker 2: I just and guess who I bet on that week? 474 00:25:57,560 --> 00:26:02,800 Speaker 1: Lowry? Oh? Yeah, I mean, I just like, he's just 475 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:07,119 Speaker 1: not made for Sunday at majors, and he just I 476 00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:09,760 Speaker 1: don't know if he can pot well enough to contend. 477 00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:12,280 Speaker 2: I'm still betting him at fifty to one though. 478 00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:16,120 Speaker 1: Really interesting. Yes, yes, all right, let's run through more 479 00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:19,240 Speaker 1: of the odds. We have Stepstraka at plus five thousand, 480 00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:22,520 Speaker 1: Patrick Cantlay and Brooks Kopka at plus fifty five hundred, 481 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:26,119 Speaker 1: Corey Connors and Victor Hovlin at plus six thousand, Russell 482 00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:29,320 Speaker 1: Henley at plus sixty five hundred, Ben Griffin, Jordan Speith 483 00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:32,760 Speaker 1: and Hideki Matsuyam at plus seven thousand. Sam Burns is 484 00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:35,879 Speaker 1: plus eight thousand, and at one hundred and one odds 485 00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:40,479 Speaker 1: are Daniel Berger, Aaron Raie, Tony Fino, Patrick Reed, Keegan 486 00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:44,400 Speaker 1: Bradley and Harris English. Does anyone stand out from this group? 487 00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:49,320 Speaker 2: Bo Sammy ballgame should have won the Canadian Open. He 488 00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:54,880 Speaker 2: is a dog. Three pet avoidance, bogie avoidance, double bogie avoidance, 489 00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:59,000 Speaker 2: pretty accurate off the tee and right now, right this 490 00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:02,920 Speaker 2: minute approach not that bad. If Sam Burns can get 491 00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:06,760 Speaker 2: near the hole on some approach shots this week, he's 492 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:09,920 Speaker 2: gonna be live. And with his putting stroke, his short game, 493 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:14,160 Speaker 2: his recovery game. Sam Burns at ninety to one, right now, 494 00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:17,720 Speaker 2: that's pretty darn good. I think I'll take that. That's 495 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:21,399 Speaker 2: a guy who can get hot, very good grinder, just 496 00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:25,240 Speaker 2: at avoiding those big blow up holes. His approach game 497 00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:28,120 Speaker 2: is his weak spot. But at the same time, I'm 498 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:31,080 Speaker 2: not too worried about it because he's number one in 499 00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:35,040 Speaker 2: both putting metrics and strokes game putting on fast greens 500 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:38,600 Speaker 2: and number one and three put avoidance fourteenth and scrambling, 501 00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:41,840 Speaker 2: and that's it's just everything I'm looking at with Sam Burns. 502 00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:44,520 Speaker 2: The only thing that scares me is approach, and lately 503 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,440 Speaker 2: it's been better. I love that number. I love the 504 00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:49,760 Speaker 2: way he's coming into this tournament a little bit of 505 00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:53,080 Speaker 2: little anger because he had many chances to win that 506 00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:56,879 Speaker 2: tournament on Sunday and just didn't quite have enough in 507 00:27:56,920 --> 00:28:00,000 Speaker 2: the playoff holes to beat Ryan Fox, which I thought 508 00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:02,920 Speaker 2: was I couldn't believe it. I was so blown away 509 00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:06,520 Speaker 2: by all the chances that Burns had to vanquish Fox. 510 00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:08,600 Speaker 2: The key we just kept slipping through the cracks with 511 00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:14,040 Speaker 2: terrible pars on that part five hole, and Burns just 512 00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:16,200 Speaker 2: couldn't get out of his own way. I think Burns 513 00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:18,440 Speaker 2: is a live bet to win the same at ninety 514 00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:22,040 Speaker 2: to one and Keegan Bradley hundred to one. Long Irons 515 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:27,680 Speaker 2: short Irons grinded out mentality Captain America himself, I got, 516 00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:30,160 Speaker 2: I gotta, I go with my guy Keegan Bradley. That's 517 00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:33,320 Speaker 2: that's so much fun to look at those odds and say, hey, 518 00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:34,959 Speaker 2: that's a guy who's fun to root for. 519 00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:37,680 Speaker 1: Their games are sort of polar opposite in a way. 520 00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:40,560 Speaker 1: Burns are just not that great tea to Green but 521 00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:42,800 Speaker 1: maybe the best putter in the world, at least at 522 00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:46,040 Speaker 1: the moment. And by the way, Burns did finish ninth 523 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:51,080 Speaker 1: in last year's US Open at Pinehurst. Yeah, so he 524 00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:52,960 Speaker 1: seems like he's made for this. And as you said, 525 00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:55,240 Speaker 1: bo I think top twenty and four of US last 526 00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,840 Speaker 1: five events Keg and Bradley is not really fared all 527 00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:00,360 Speaker 1: that well at US Opens. Throughout his career. He's had 528 00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:04,760 Speaker 1: two top tens, but also five missed cuts. But yeah, 529 00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:07,840 Speaker 1: his te degree in game has just been on point 530 00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:09,920 Speaker 1: this year. The putting not so much. 531 00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 2: So, Yeah, he's streaky. 532 00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:18,720 Speaker 1: Let's talk about Sepstraca and Patrick Cantley. Struck has missed 533 00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:21,160 Speaker 1: the cut in the first two majors of the year, 534 00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:24,200 Speaker 1: and his best finish in his last three US Opens 535 00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,560 Speaker 1: was a tie for fifty sixth. But Struck is having 536 00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:30,080 Speaker 1: a really nice season. His game seems like it's a 537 00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:33,160 Speaker 1: good fit for Oakmont. He ranks fifteenth in driving, anchoracy 538 00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 1: third and strokes gain, an approach seventeenth and putting. Oh 539 00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:39,440 Speaker 1: and he has already won in Pennsylvania this year at 540 00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:43,360 Speaker 1: the Truest Championship. And then you've got Patrick Cantlay his 541 00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:47,680 Speaker 1: last four US Open finishes fifteenth, fourteenth, fourteenth, and third. 542 00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:51,000 Speaker 1: He was twelfth at the Memorial, which was the last 543 00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 1: of any played and not dissimilar to a US Open. 544 00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:57,520 Speaker 1: But he's sixty first in strokes gained putting this year, 545 00:29:57,600 --> 00:30:00,520 Speaker 1: and he's outside the top one twenty five and scre rambling. 546 00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:02,840 Speaker 1: Any of those guys interest you. 547 00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:07,160 Speaker 2: I'm looking at the odds, they're they're similar. Now. I 548 00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,479 Speaker 2: think that you're gonna start to see more action on 549 00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:13,000 Speaker 2: Can't Lay than Straka just be and that making can't 550 00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:16,840 Speaker 2: lay shorter than he already is can't lay short game 551 00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:19,360 Speaker 2: one hundred and eighteenth around the greens. That worries me, 552 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:23,480 Speaker 2: especially since his approach is good but not as good 553 00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:26,560 Speaker 2: as Straka. I think I'll take Straca at face value 554 00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:29,880 Speaker 2: with that odds difference, because although both of them are 555 00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:33,040 Speaker 2: awful around the greens, which is going to be very 556 00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:36,080 Speaker 2: important this week. If they're not hitting the right spots 557 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:39,880 Speaker 2: on these greens, they're gonna have to be using wearing 558 00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,520 Speaker 2: out their short game. Wearing it out is going to 559 00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:47,640 Speaker 2: be the key. Straka is twelfth on approach and all 560 00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:50,800 Speaker 2: these all these buckets look really good. He's seventeenth and 561 00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:52,720 Speaker 2: three put of avoidance, which is going to be great 562 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:56,120 Speaker 2: better than can't lay at bogie avoidance. Although they're both 563 00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:58,760 Speaker 2: strong there, I think they're both valuable picks. I just 564 00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:01,680 Speaker 2: think Straca with the difference being a little bit longer 565 00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:04,320 Speaker 2: and playing a little bit better this year, I think 566 00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:07,280 Speaker 2: I'll take Straka at face value. But I'm not really 567 00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 2: interested in betting either one of them right at this point. 568 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:11,880 Speaker 2: I just think, if you're gonna give me a choice, 569 00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:12,960 Speaker 2: I'll take Straca. 570 00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:16,680 Speaker 1: Speaking of awful around the greens ball, we can't bet 571 00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:19,040 Speaker 1: Victor Hoveland at sixty to one, can we? 572 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,120 Speaker 2: A lot of people are a lot of people are, 573 00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:23,200 Speaker 2: and it's because he's so good from tee to green. 574 00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:26,760 Speaker 2: But I don't know, man, He's just he's he's a 575 00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:29,680 Speaker 2: head case, and so can he show up like he 576 00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:32,640 Speaker 2: did at the vals? Bar and win somehow. Of course 577 00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 2: he can't. He's Victor Hovland. I just don't know that 578 00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:40,800 Speaker 2: he has the ticker up top there to come through 579 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:42,760 Speaker 2: four days in a row. That's the tough part is 580 00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 2: Victor is good for two or three really strong rounds, 581 00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:48,920 Speaker 2: but he might throw in an eighty plus round this week, 582 00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:50,880 Speaker 2: and that's what's gonna sink him. 583 00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:53,080 Speaker 1: Two more guys. I want to talk about Ben Griffin 584 00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:56,840 Speaker 1: coming in red hot obviously. Last three tournaments, he was 585 00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:59,960 Speaker 1: eighth at the PGA, he won the Charles Schwab Challenge, 586 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,720 Speaker 1: and he was runner up to Scotti Scheffler at the Memorial. 587 00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:06,520 Speaker 1: And I really like Harris English this week at one 588 00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:08,400 Speaker 1: hundred to one bow. We've talked about how he's a 589 00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:11,400 Speaker 1: grinder who's always had his best on the toughest courses. 590 00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:14,400 Speaker 1: He's had three top ten finishes in the last five 591 00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:18,120 Speaker 1: US Opens, and English was second at the PGA last month. 592 00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:21,960 Speaker 1: What about players with odds longer than one hundred to 593 00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,880 Speaker 1: one bow who's capable of surprising us and giving better 594 00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:25,760 Speaker 1: is a big payoff. 595 00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:29,480 Speaker 2: I'm just gonna go with one guy. A lot of 596 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,280 Speaker 2: my betting money is going to go towards the top 597 00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:33,560 Speaker 2: with Rory and John Rahm and call him or Kaw 598 00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:35,600 Speaker 2: with Shane Lowry, those guys that we've already mentioned. But 599 00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:39,760 Speaker 2: Denny McCarthy, for some reason just completely shot to the top. 600 00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:45,600 Speaker 2: Great short game, great putter, and honestly a really decent 601 00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:48,600 Speaker 2: tee to green game this season. This is a Denny 602 00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:52,680 Speaker 2: McCarthy guy who's dangerous when you're having to grind it out. 603 00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:55,360 Speaker 2: When I ran my first model with no filters for 604 00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:59,840 Speaker 2: difficult scoring relative to part and fast and lightning speed greens, 605 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:03,440 Speaker 2: we're gonna see he wasn't anything special. But as soon 606 00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:06,920 Speaker 2: as I filtered for difficult conditions with lightning fast greens. 607 00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:10,280 Speaker 2: Look at Denny McCarthy's shoot to the top because he's 608 00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:14,640 Speaker 2: so good around and on the greens that when things 609 00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:17,400 Speaker 2: get really tough, that's where you lean on. That's where 610 00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:20,800 Speaker 2: these guys score. That's where I think Scottie Scheffler falls 611 00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:23,760 Speaker 2: short this week is because when things get really nasty 612 00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:27,600 Speaker 2: on and around the greens, is those strengths that he 613 00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:31,680 Speaker 2: has on approach they're neutralized. Is these greens are so big, 614 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,160 Speaker 2: you have to be super close and below the hole 615 00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:36,720 Speaker 2: all the time. I think if you take away all 616 00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:40,720 Speaker 2: the other ancillary stats like driving distance and strokes gained 617 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:42,960 Speaker 2: off the tee, which I don't think is as valuable. 618 00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:45,920 Speaker 2: This week, Danny McCarthy is top ten and six of 619 00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:48,680 Speaker 2: my categories, and he's one hundred and fifty to one. 620 00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,920 Speaker 1: He shows up at US Opens two bow, he's in 621 00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:55,680 Speaker 1: his last three. He's finished seventh, twentieth and thirty second. 622 00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:57,120 Speaker 2: He's a grinder. 623 00:33:57,320 --> 00:34:01,120 Speaker 1: He is a grinder. Indeed, I'll mention three more. So. 624 00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:03,840 Speaker 1: We have Taylor Pendrith at one hundred and twenty to one, 625 00:34:04,520 --> 00:34:07,200 Speaker 1: said four top tens this season and has played pretty 626 00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:09,919 Speaker 1: well of late. He ranks fourth in strokes gained off 627 00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:13,759 Speaker 1: the te and thirty fifth in strokes ganned unapproach. I'm 628 00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:17,920 Speaker 1: surprised you didn't mention this guy. Bol Akha Batilla one 629 00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:22,120 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty to one, finished sixteenth at Pinehurst last 630 00:34:22,200 --> 00:34:24,600 Speaker 1: year and what was only his second US Open. It's 631 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:28,319 Speaker 1: reasonably accurate off the tee, good unapproach, top fifteen in 632 00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:33,520 Speaker 1: strokes gained putting this season, and uh, just because you 633 00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:36,239 Speaker 1: didn't come through with a guy with super long odds, boy, 634 00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:39,920 Speaker 1: I have to mention at least one. Emiliano Grio is 635 00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:44,520 Speaker 1: twenty fourth in driving accuracy, thirty fourth in strokes gain unapproached. 636 00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:46,840 Speaker 1: His US Open history isn't great, but he's at a 637 00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:49,239 Speaker 1: top fifteen finish at the PGA, a top twenty at 638 00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:52,680 Speaker 1: the Masters, so he's got a little tiny bit of 639 00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:54,840 Speaker 1: Major's pedigree. 640 00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:56,479 Speaker 2: Yes, all right, Bob. 641 00:34:56,680 --> 00:34:59,080 Speaker 1: So who's on your early betting card for the US 642 00:34:59,120 --> 00:34:59,960 Speaker 1: Open as of right now? 643 00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,920 Speaker 2: Now? All right? So I got Rory McElroy at plus 644 00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:06,400 Speaker 2: twelve hundred, John Rahm plus fourteen hundreds where I got him, 645 00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:09,440 Speaker 2: Colin more Kabba plus twenty seven hundreds where I got him. 646 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:11,800 Speaker 2: But he's going at plus twenty five right now, Shane 647 00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:14,560 Speaker 2: Lowry at fifty to one, Sam Burns ninety to one, 648 00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:18,720 Speaker 2: Keegan Bradley hundred to one, and Denny McCarthy one hundred 649 00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:19,719 Speaker 2: and fifty to one. 650 00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:24,720 Speaker 1: All right. Riding the high of my Ryan Fox fumes 651 00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:28,359 Speaker 1: from the Canadian Open, I'm playing it a little bit different, bo. 652 00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:32,759 Speaker 1: I'm going kind of off vibes this week, and I'm 653 00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,399 Speaker 1: gonna take Bryson even at plus seven to fifty again, 654 00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:37,239 Speaker 1: matt At myself. I didn't take him at twelve to 655 00:35:37,239 --> 00:35:38,759 Speaker 1: one last week when I could have had him. But 656 00:35:39,480 --> 00:35:42,160 Speaker 1: you know, I obviously think Scotti Scheffler is a better 657 00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:45,399 Speaker 1: chance to win, but Bryson at plus seven fifty seems 658 00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:47,839 Speaker 1: like a better value proposition than Scotty at plus two 659 00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:52,319 Speaker 1: seventy five, so here's hoping. I know Oakmont is not 660 00:35:53,040 --> 00:35:55,600 Speaker 1: a bombing gouge course, but I didn't think Wingfoot was 661 00:35:55,600 --> 00:36:00,520 Speaker 1: a bombing gouge course either, and Bryson made it work well. 662 00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:03,160 Speaker 1: Keen Neeman at plus three thousand, he's just been so 663 00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:06,280 Speaker 1: good lately, and his top ten at the PGA seemed 664 00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:08,240 Speaker 1: to I don't know, it seem like a good indicator 665 00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:11,440 Speaker 1: that he's ready to start contending at majors. Ben Griffin 666 00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:13,400 Speaker 1: is on such a heater. I'm taking him at plus 667 00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:16,440 Speaker 1: seven thousand, a little worried that he doesn't hit enough fairways, 668 00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:18,680 Speaker 1: but I'm also going to take him for a top 669 00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:21,719 Speaker 1: five kicker at plus nine hundred. Harris English, I'm all 670 00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:24,000 Speaker 1: over at one hundred to one, with a top five 671 00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:26,960 Speaker 1: kicker at twelve to one and a top thirty at 672 00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:29,800 Speaker 1: plus one fifteen. The dude has never missed the cottonam 673 00:36:29,800 --> 00:36:33,040 Speaker 1: mate in a US Open, so I like that top 674 00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:35,759 Speaker 1: thirty beat quite a bit, and I'm going to throw 675 00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:39,480 Speaker 1: a buck or two each on Akshay and on Emiliano 676 00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:44,000 Speaker 1: Grio at Okha one fifty to one, Grio four hundred 677 00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:44,919 Speaker 1: to one. 678 00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:45,879 Speaker 2: Yeah. 679 00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:49,440 Speaker 1: Now for our one done picks, Bo took Native Canadian 680 00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:52,440 Speaker 1: Corey Connors in the Canadian Open. He finished tied for 681 00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:56,200 Speaker 1: twenty seventh one bow sixty four, three hundred and fifty 682 00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:59,760 Speaker 1: four dollars. I'd Robert McIntyre. He tied for thirty sixth 683 00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:03,279 Speaker 1: good for forty four, six hundred and sixty dollars. Not 684 00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:05,799 Speaker 1: a lot of blood bows. Doll is a big lead. 685 00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:08,960 Speaker 1: But I'm up first this week. I'm going to take 686 00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:12,000 Speaker 1: Bryson d Shambeau. Who are you taking? Bow? 687 00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:15,600 Speaker 2: I'm going to go and use up one of my 688 00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:19,520 Speaker 2: live characters that I'm hoping doesn't go completely nuclear in 689 00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:23,440 Speaker 2: the wrong direction. I'm going with the fiery spaniard John Rahm. 690 00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:26,279 Speaker 1: Ah Rom For a second, I don't know, I had 691 00:37:26,280 --> 00:37:28,919 Speaker 1: a feeling that you were going to take our guy, 692 00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:32,319 Speaker 1: Tyrrell Hatton, who we didn't really talk about any any 693 00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:34,440 Speaker 1: interest in him whatsoever or. 694 00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:37,240 Speaker 2: No, uh not as odds as are too. 695 00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:40,480 Speaker 1: Short, yeah, too short, And I just I don't really 696 00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:44,000 Speaker 1: like the uh the personality for a major. I just 697 00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:47,479 Speaker 1: don't know if he'll he can keep it together deep 698 00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:50,719 Speaker 1: down the stretch if things are close before we go bow, 699 00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:53,600 Speaker 1: your your prediction for a winning score at Oakmont this week. 700 00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:57,240 Speaker 2: I have a hope and a prayer that it's plus 701 00:37:57,280 --> 00:38:00,720 Speaker 2: eight as the winning score, but I'll predict plus four. 702 00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:06,839 Speaker 1: Oh, you're such a sadist. I'm gonna say someone. I'm 703 00:38:06,840 --> 00:38:09,480 Speaker 1: gonna say one or two players get under par this week. 704 00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:13,080 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with minus two. I know that would 705 00:38:13,120 --> 00:38:16,239 Speaker 1: make you deeply unhappy, so I apologize for taking such a. 706 00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:18,560 Speaker 2: If it's minus two, I hope it's just one guy 707 00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:21,319 Speaker 2: that breaks part like that and he just runs away 708 00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:24,560 Speaker 2: because it's a spectacle of just incredible golf. That's what 709 00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:26,799 Speaker 2: it takes to be to be minus two. It is 710 00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:30,319 Speaker 2: definitely possible, but it's gonna take a really special four 711 00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:31,120 Speaker 2: rounds to do that. 712 00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:33,920 Speaker 1: Yep. You've got to be playing lights out to go 713 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:38,279 Speaker 1: under par at Oakmont for four rounds. And that's all 714 00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:41,279 Speaker 1: for this week's Betting Pro PGA podcast. Good luck with 715 00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:44,320 Speaker 1: your US Open wagering, and please come join us again 716 00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:48,160 Speaker 1: next week when we will be previewing the Travelers Championship. 717 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:51,520 Speaker 1: Until then, so long everyone. Thanks for listening to the 718 00:38:51,560 --> 00:38:54,480 Speaker 1: Betting Pros podcast. If you love the show, the best 719 00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:57,120 Speaker 1: freeway to support us is by leaving a positive review 720 00:38:57,280 --> 00:39:00,400 Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Follow us on x and 721 00:39:00,480 --> 00:39:03,920 Speaker 1: TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram at betting Pros NFL. 722 00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:07,279 Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com 723 00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:08,320 Speaker 1: slash Betting Pros.