1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:01,599 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here. 2 00:00:01,680 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 2: Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, 3 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 2: and we are so excited about what that means for 4 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 2: the future of this show. 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: This is the only place where you can find honest 6 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: perspectives from the left and the right that simply does 7 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: not exist anywhere else. 8 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 2: So if that is something that's important to you, please 9 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 2: go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and 10 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 2: you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free 11 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 2: and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. 12 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: We need your help to build the future of independent 13 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints 14 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: dot com. Good morning, everybody, Happy Thursday. We have an 15 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 1: amazing show for everybuddy today where we have Crystal. 16 00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:38,960 Speaker 2: Indeed we do so a lot of military assets. Moving 17 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:42,279 Speaker 2: back to the golf region, Jeffrey Sachs is saying that 18 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:46,040 Speaker 2: new war with Iran is imminent, so we will take 19 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:48,160 Speaker 2: a look at that. At the same time, Marco Rubio 20 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:49,839 Speaker 2: was on the hill testifying and taking a lot of 21 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:52,240 Speaker 2: heat from Rand Paul among others. You'll definitely want to 22 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 2: see that. We've got a bunch of economic news, in particular, 23 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 2: we're going to start with the dire warning from Peterschiff, 24 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 2: who called the two thousand and eight crash correctly, who 25 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 2: is once again sounding the alarm bells. Trump also out 26 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:07,279 Speaker 2: with his new Trump accounts for all the babies down there. 27 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 2: Pretty interesting play. There's a lot to say about that one. 28 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:13,400 Speaker 1: We'll discuss it. I'll discuss yes, as a personal finance 29 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: nerd and as someone whose child will benefit from the 30 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:18,839 Speaker 1: Trump account. I will break down Trump. I will Trump 31 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:20,480 Speaker 1: be a breakdown the Trump account forever. 32 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 2: We've got new video of Alex Party that was taken 33 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 2: eleven days before he was ultimately murdered. That has gotten 34 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 2: a lot of attention. We also have a bunch of 35 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:34,399 Speaker 2: new developments there. The agents involved have apparently been put 36 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:37,520 Speaker 2: on leave. We've got some updates and investigation. We've also 37 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 2: got another wild one. The FBI raided the Fulton County 38 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:48,080 Speaker 2: election headquarters in the context of Trump's wild twenty twenty 39 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:52,880 Speaker 2: stop the Steel delusions. Tulci Gabbert, who is the Director 40 00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 2: of National Intelligence, was there lurking at the scene. What 41 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 2: the hell is going on? Nobody should feel comfortable with 42 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,760 Speaker 2: whatever is unfolding there. And we've also got polling in 43 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 2: the show poor whites actually turning on Trump. It's kind 44 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:09,799 Speaker 2: of an undernoticed trend, but that's been a core part 45 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 2: of his base that seems to be very unhappy with 46 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:15,239 Speaker 2: his economic stewardship among other things. That it makes perfect sense, 47 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 2: just hasn't gotten a lot of attention. 48 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:19,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right, all right. So before we get to that, 49 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 1: we have a couple of housekeeping things. So because technically 50 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 1: the way that we do it for the AMA, we're 51 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 1: not able to do it this week. However, remember on 52 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: the Friday Show they do take AMA questions, So on 53 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 1: locals there's an AMA link and you can leave your 54 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 1: questions there. That will count as the AMA for this week. 55 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,560 Speaker 1: Remember it's available to all premium subscribers. And then second, 56 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 1: Spotify is close to being fixed. We have narrowed down 57 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 1: what the problem is for Spotify Video for our premium subscribers, 58 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:47,920 Speaker 1: which is a good reminder, by the way, if you 59 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 1: can help support us Breakingpoints dot com. As we have 60 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:53,919 Speaker 1: noted all of the controversial topics that we cover, many 61 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:57,559 Speaker 1: of them get demonetized or under ranked in the algorithm, 62 00:02:57,840 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 1: and we've especially seen that in recent days in coverage 63 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 1: with Ice, which is what makes it most important to 64 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:06,640 Speaker 1: get premium support, so Breakingpoints dot Com if you're able 65 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 1: to support the show. But let's go ahead and start 66 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 1: with Iran. So a lot of moving parts. Whenever it 67 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: comes to Iran, another attack appears imminent, and that is 68 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 1: definitely the analysis of Professor Jeffrey Sachs we always rely on. 69 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 3: Here. 70 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:23,079 Speaker 1: He is from an interview Jess yesterday on the Glenn 71 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 1: Decent Show. Let's take a listen. 72 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:29,560 Speaker 4: I think it's clear well for Israel, this has been 73 00:03:29,560 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 4: a thirty year effort to overthrow the Iranian government. The 74 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 4: United States basically does what Israel says, and so Israel 75 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 4: has been pulling the United States into war with Iran 76 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 4: and attempting to do that endlessly. It did that last summer. 77 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 1: The goal was. 78 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:56,960 Speaker 4: To create regime change, to have an overthrow. That didn't work. 79 00:03:57,640 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 4: The US then has been using economic instruments what our 80 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:08,800 Speaker 4: Treasury Secretary Scott Besnt called economic state craft, but he 81 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 4: laid out the deliberate measures by the United States to 82 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 4: destroy the Iranian economy. The idea, again was regime change. 83 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 4: That didn't work, and so now we have a carrier 84 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 4: strike group on its way to attack Iran. So an 85 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 4: attack is imminent. I think the goal here has never 86 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:39,320 Speaker 4: been negotiation. Whenever there has been negotiation, Israel has jumped 87 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:45,520 Speaker 4: up and down saying don't negotiate. Of course, a nuclear 88 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 4: agreement was reached with Iran a decade ago, the Joint 89 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:57,680 Speaker 4: Comprehensive Plan of Action JCPOA. It was actually ratified by 90 00:04:57,720 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 4: the UN Security Council Resolution twenty two thirty one on 91 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 4: the twentieth of July twenty fifteen. Then Trump ripped it 92 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 4: up in his first term. So there's never been any 93 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:19,760 Speaker 4: desire by Israel to have a negotiated settlement. And since 94 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 4: the United States does what Israel tells it to do, 95 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:27,120 Speaker 4: there has never been a readiness of the United States 96 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 4: to have real negotiations. 97 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,640 Speaker 1: So I think this is very important for his analysis. 98 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:35,599 Speaker 1: In the overall context, and as we begin to see 99 00:05:35,600 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 1: things moving behind the scenes, a lot of this is 100 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:40,760 Speaker 1: backed up. Let's put the next one, please mac up 101 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:43,919 Speaker 1: on the screen. Truth social that kind of came not 102 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:46,159 Speaker 1: out of nowhere, per se, if you've been paying attention. 103 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 1: But of course it's been a lot else going on 104 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:51,040 Speaker 1: in the news. Donald Trump, A massive armada is heading 105 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 1: to Iran. It is moving quickly with great power, enthusiasm 106 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 1: and purpose. It is a larger fleet, headed by the 107 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:59,599 Speaker 1: great aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln, that sent to Venezuela like 108 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:02,520 Speaker 1: within as it is ready, willing and able to rapidly 109 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 1: fulfill its mission with speed and violence if necessary. Hopefully 110 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:08,719 Speaker 1: Iran will quickly come to the table and negotiate a 111 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 1: fair and equitable deal no nuclear weapons, one that is 112 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:15,039 Speaker 1: good for all parties. Time is running out. It is 113 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 1: truly of the essence. As I told Iran before, make 114 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 1: a deal. They didn't. There was Operation Midnight Hammer. The 115 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:24,119 Speaker 1: next attack will be far worse. Don't make that happen again. 116 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 1: I really think everyone should sit with this for a second, 117 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 1: because the justification of Midnight Hammer was that we would 118 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:35,599 Speaker 1: wipe out all of Iran's nuclear facilities. Thus no deal. 119 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 1: We've eliminated the threat, and yet here we are some 120 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 1: six months later, and now the criticism is, oh, well, 121 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 1: we have to strike Iran because they won't make a 122 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 1: deal on nuclear weapons. But wait, you told us that 123 00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:49,279 Speaker 1: you had eliminated their nuclear capacity, so why does their 124 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 1: need to be some deal. It's all fake. What it 125 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 1: traces back to is Israel actually moved the goalposts and 126 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:59,280 Speaker 1: they said now it's no longer about nuclear facilities, nuclear fission, 127 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 1: or nuclear producuction. Now it's about long range or regional 128 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,040 Speaker 1: range missiles. Now again keep that in mind, is that 129 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 1: regional range missiles are ones that are no threat to 130 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 1: the United States. They'll say that it's a threat to 131 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:11,960 Speaker 1: our basis or any of that, irl, what is it 132 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 1: really a threat to to Israel? And then even then 133 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 1: they're saying that with the nuclear threat that could potentially 134 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: be attached. Again they said that it was all destroyed. 135 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 1: So either they lied, which I obviously always said that 136 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 1: they did on nuclear nuclear facilities and actually eradicating them, 137 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:30,720 Speaker 1: or they told the truth and they're moving the goalposts. 138 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:33,400 Speaker 1: And let's also not forget all of this was precipitated 139 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 1: with nothing to do with nukes. It's not like there 140 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:38,120 Speaker 1: was some breakout period or any of that. Like again 141 00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 1: they were falsely caming in the days up to Midnight Hammer. 142 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 1: This was all precipitated by protests in Iran, which again 143 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 1: by all accounts, even from so called democracy activists in 144 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 1: Iran are telling us that have been quelled by the regime, 145 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 1: and largely the regime remains solidly in power. So there 146 00:07:55,760 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 1: are pretexts upon pretext, just like with the Venezuela operation, 147 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 1: they said it was about drugs, and now it's about 148 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: law enforcement. It's all fake. This is regime change. This 149 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 1: is straight up and down regime change. And what's worse again, 150 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 1: this time there's no organized movement against it. And in fact, 151 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 1: you have multiple voices telling the president, including Lindsay Graham 152 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 1: and other influential ones, sir, the way to take eyes 153 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 1: off of all of the problems with Ice, with Epstein 154 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 1: and all that is to pursue the great democracy project 155 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 1: here in Iran. All signs currently point now. Look, listen, 156 00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:32,760 Speaker 1: he's done this before. You never know. But considering the 157 00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:35,080 Speaker 1: fact that we literally kidnapped Maduro, you know, in the 158 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 1: middle of the night and executed a massive regime change 159 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 1: operation with no congressional you know, authorization or anything, we 160 00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 1: cannot rule any of this out. It could be bluster, 161 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:48,120 Speaker 1: it also could not be And this is ten, i mean, 162 00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 1: one hundred times more dangerous than what could happen with Venezuela. Yeah. 163 00:08:52,440 --> 00:08:55,960 Speaker 2: Well, and he clearly is framing it as another Venezuela 164 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 2: type operation, which tells you a lot about his psychology 165 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 2: and how he thinks of it. Your analysis there is 166 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:07,479 Speaker 2: really worth underscoring because in the same way that Venezuela 167 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:10,200 Speaker 2: was about the drugs, and then it wasn't about the drugs, 168 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:12,280 Speaker 2: and then it was about machine guns, and then you know, 169 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:15,000 Speaker 2: it's about the oil. We had the same thing here. 170 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:17,199 Speaker 2: Originally it's supposed to be about the nukes. Then it's 171 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 2: not about the nukes, it's about oh my god, you're 172 00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 2: being so mean to these protesters. Now it's back to 173 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 2: it's about the nukes. But also, by the way, we 174 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:26,800 Speaker 2: are not going to you know, part of any negotiation 175 00:09:26,880 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 2: with you requires you to give up these ballistic missiles, 176 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 2: which no sovereign nation would agree, I mean, for the 177 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:35,840 Speaker 2: Iranians would be insane to agree to that. So it 178 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 2: seems like a poison pill designed and we already know 179 00:09:39,160 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 2: the negotiations have broken down, designed to lead directly to war, 180 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:46,440 Speaker 2: which is why Jeffrey Saxon others are analyzing that. You know, 181 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:49,280 Speaker 2: this looks like that's where we're heading. Let's go and 182 00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:51,480 Speaker 2: put the CNN tear sheet up on the screen, because 183 00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:54,680 Speaker 2: we have some reporting from them that is worth breaking down. 184 00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 2: So they say that President Trump is weighing a major 185 00:09:57,160 --> 00:10:00,520 Speaker 2: new strike gun run after preliminary discussions between Washington and 186 00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:04,360 Speaker 2: Tehran overlimiting the country's nuclear program and ballistic missile production 187 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:07,920 Speaker 2: failed to make progress. It's a rapid refocusing of the 188 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:11,199 Speaker 2: administration's publicly framed objectives for Iran. Comes only weeks after 189 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:14,720 Speaker 2: Trump seriously considered military action he framed as potential aid 190 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:18,240 Speaker 2: for nationwide protests in Iran. Protesters had faced violent crackdowns. 191 00:10:18,600 --> 00:10:21,959 Speaker 2: Trump on Wednesday posts on True Social demanding Iran come 192 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:26,200 Speaker 2: to the table. Options he is now considering include US 193 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:30,560 Speaker 2: military air strikes aimed at Iran's leaders and the security 194 00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 2: officials believed to be responsible for the killings, as well 195 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:36,520 Speaker 2: as strikes on Irani nuclear sites and government institutions. The 196 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 2: sources said Trump has not made a final decision on 197 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 2: how to proceed, but he believes his military options have 198 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:45,480 Speaker 2: been expanded from earlier this month, now that a US 199 00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 2: carrier strike group is in the region, and we've been. 200 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 5: Saying it for weeks. 201 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 2: Now that they're high on their own supply, they think 202 00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:57,960 Speaker 2: Venezuela was a great like political and military coup. He 203 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 2: loved the coverage it, he loved the spectacle of it, 204 00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:04,960 Speaker 2: and he's trying to figure out how to achieve the 205 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:06,959 Speaker 2: same type of results in Iran. 206 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:10,200 Speaker 1: Yes, Matt, can we please go ahead and put the 207 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:14,080 Speaker 1: Barock Revid report that I sent earlier this morning. This 208 00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:16,760 Speaker 1: is very important and I can explain a little bit. 209 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:21,239 Speaker 1: What's going on is that the Saudi and Israeli ministers 210 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:26,160 Speaker 1: of defense or military officials visited Washington yesterday. Now the 211 00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 1: reason why, reportedly behind the scenes, Israel's military chief is 212 00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 1: only in Washington for one reason, to provide what a 213 00:11:34,559 --> 00:11:38,679 Speaker 1: target list to the United States military, also to coordinate 214 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 1: any potential response, because as we all saw, the reason 215 00:11:42,200 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 1: they're obsessed with Iranian ballistic missiles is because those ballistic 216 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:50,560 Speaker 1: missiles massively penetrated you know, they're supposedly phenomenal missile shield 217 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:53,200 Speaker 1: and actually caused huge amounts of damage. Don't forget that. 218 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 1: You know, it took the full force of the US 219 00:11:55,480 --> 00:11:58,560 Speaker 1: military twenty five percent of all of our interceptors in 220 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:02,160 Speaker 1: the entire world in the so called Twelve Day war, 221 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:05,040 Speaker 1: and there was still huge damage in downtown Tel Aviv 222 00:12:05,240 --> 00:12:07,839 Speaker 1: and all across of Israel, including to many of their 223 00:12:07,880 --> 00:12:11,079 Speaker 1: military targets. Now, the Saudis are very likely here in 224 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:14,840 Speaker 1: Washington reading behind the scenes in that not only do 225 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: they want to prevent some sort of attack, but let's 226 00:12:17,040 --> 00:12:19,560 Speaker 1: say they think that it is inevitable. They in no 227 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:23,520 Speaker 1: way want their airspace to be used as some sort 228 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:27,080 Speaker 1: of staging ground or overfly so that they can deny 229 00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 1: complicity in any attack on Iran, because that would potentially 230 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:35,520 Speaker 1: invite ballistic missiles and other things being sent their way 231 00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:38,960 Speaker 1: if US military assets were to use their airspace, staging 232 00:12:38,960 --> 00:12:41,840 Speaker 1: ground or any of their own military intelligence. So you 233 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 1: can read behind the scenes here and see that things 234 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 1: and the clock is all starting to turn. Mac Please 235 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:49,760 Speaker 1: put the next one that I sent up here on 236 00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:52,840 Speaker 1: the screen. This is also highly relevant, and so we've 237 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:55,680 Speaker 1: talked about the Armada and about the Carrier Strike Group. 238 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 1: This is the Ocean account that I sent. Multiple aerial 239 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:04,400 Speaker 1: ref fueling tanks have departed from peace Peace Air National 240 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:07,400 Speaker 1: Guard Base in New Hampshire, preparing to cross the Atlantic 241 00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 1: towing a flight of six Growler electronic warfare aircraft from 242 00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:14,000 Speaker 1: the Naval Air Station air Base in Spain, likely with 243 00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 1: the final destination to the Middle East. So these aerial 244 00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 1: refueling tankers were critical part of the Midnight Hammer mission. 245 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:23,199 Speaker 1: It is in fact, you know, one of the logistical 246 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:25,760 Speaker 1: things that you really need to mount a full scale 247 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:30,439 Speaker 1: multiple strike operation against Iran. All of the pieces are 248 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:33,600 Speaker 1: being moved in such a way that it could happen now. Again, 249 00:13:33,760 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 1: a lot of this that we saw also happened the 250 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:40,080 Speaker 1: last time that Trump supposedly chickened out tacoed on Iran, 251 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:43,440 Speaker 1: but only for the first time. But as I repeatedly warned, 252 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:46,280 Speaker 1: the main reason, in my opinion, why nothing happened was 253 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:48,960 Speaker 1: because that this carrier was in the South China Sea 254 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 1: and the rest of the naval assets were down in 255 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 1: the Caribbean. Just to show you that the United States 256 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 1: military is not invincible, is that if you actually do 257 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:58,480 Speaker 1: want to do something, you have to pick and choose. 258 00:13:58,600 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 1: There are discrete choices cannot simply blanket across the glow 259 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:07,480 Speaker 1: and all of our focus here an Iran is involving 260 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:11,520 Speaker 1: tens of thousands of troops, something that our own Secretary 261 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:16,440 Speaker 1: of State made very clear yesterday when testifying on Capitol Hill. Guys, 262 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 1: let's mac please play a three just to show you 263 00:14:20,040 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 1: the way that this is being described. Tens of thousands 264 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 1: of American troops in the region and poise for this. 265 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:28,000 Speaker 6: So we have thirty to forty thousand American troops stationed 266 00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 6: across eight or nine facilities in that region. All are 267 00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 6: within the reach theoretically, not theoretically, in reality, all are 268 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:38,040 Speaker 6: within the reach of an array of thousands of Iranian 269 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:43,760 Speaker 6: one way UAVs and Iranian short term ballistic missiles short 270 00:14:43,840 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 6: short range of ballistic missiles that threaten our troop presence. 271 00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:50,600 Speaker 6: We have to have enough force and power in the region, 272 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:54,720 Speaker 6: just on a baseline to defend against that possibility that 273 00:14:54,800 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 6: at some point, as a result of something the Iranian 274 00:14:57,640 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 6: regime decides to strike at our troop presence region. The 275 00:15:00,800 --> 00:15:04,200 Speaker 6: President always reserves the preemptive defensive option in essence, if 276 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,280 Speaker 6: we have indications that in fact they're going to attack 277 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 6: our troops in the region, to defend our personnel in 278 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:11,720 Speaker 6: the region, we also have security agreements, the Defense of 279 00:15:11,840 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 6: Israel Plan and others that require us to have a 280 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:16,560 Speaker 6: forced posture in the region to defend against that. And 281 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 6: so I think it's wise and prudent to have a 282 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 6: forced posture within the region that could respond and potentially 283 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 6: not necessarily what's going to happen, but if necessary, preemptibly 284 00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:30,320 Speaker 6: prevent the attack against thousands of American servicemen and other 285 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:33,280 Speaker 6: facilities in the region and our allies. I hope it 286 00:15:33,280 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 6: doesn't come to that, but that's I think what you're 287 00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:38,040 Speaker 6: seeing now is the ability to posture assets in the 288 00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:41,040 Speaker 6: region to defend against what could be an Iranian threat. 289 00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:43,600 Speaker 1: So I mean, as I said, they're going to say, oh, 290 00:15:43,640 --> 00:15:45,240 Speaker 1: it's a threat to us because we got all these 291 00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 1: bases there. Well, why do we have all these bases there? 292 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: Because of that? 293 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 2: It's certain yet another justification, right, a new justifica. Well, 294 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 2: we think they may attack us. There is zero indication 295 00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 2: of fat okay US and Israel. We are the belligerents 296 00:15:57,960 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 2: in the region. They're the ones that really needs to be, 297 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:04,320 Speaker 2: you know, concerned and striking up defensive positions. I mean, 298 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:07,120 Speaker 2: I think we also need to remember that reporting from 299 00:16:07,200 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 2: last time when Trump pulled back, you know, which we 300 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 2: support the Taco We are in full support of many 301 00:16:13,040 --> 00:16:16,480 Speaker 2: Trump tacos pro taco, especially in this instance. But there 302 00:16:16,520 --> 00:16:18,880 Speaker 2: was a report that the Israelis actually like, yo, we're 303 00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 2: not ready yet. And you know, last time, a lot 304 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 2: of the indications which you wouldn't hear in Western press, 305 00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:27,760 Speaker 2: but what it looked like happened is that the Iranians 306 00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 2: were able to significantly penetrate Israel's missile defense systems. They 307 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:35,360 Speaker 2: were running low on interceptors, and they were like, hey, 308 00:16:35,360 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 2: we got to negotiate some sort of a peace deal 309 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 2: for now so that we can rebuild our supplies. You know, 310 00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:43,000 Speaker 2: this is part of the military assets that are being 311 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 2: moved to the region as well, is more missile defense systems, 312 00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:49,400 Speaker 2: not just to protect us, but also to protect the Israelis, 313 00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:51,960 Speaker 2: which is what we always do. So I think that 314 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:54,520 Speaker 2: was the reason for the that was the reason for 315 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:58,080 Speaker 2: the original ceasefire, that was the reason for the delay. 316 00:16:57,840 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 5: In the plans. 317 00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:00,880 Speaker 2: And now that you have all all of these assets 318 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:03,160 Speaker 2: coming in and you know, the Israelis coming to town 319 00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:07,280 Speaker 2: to give us the target list, it's looking pretty grim here. 320 00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:10,120 Speaker 2: I mean, it's looking like and Trump needs some sort 321 00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:12,520 Speaker 2: of political win, and he thinks the war is great 322 00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:14,840 Speaker 2: for his image. Cheer, and we'll get everybody talking about 323 00:17:14,840 --> 00:17:17,800 Speaker 2: something other than Americans being executed in the street in Minneapolis. 324 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:22,000 Speaker 1: Let's put the Iranian response, please mac A five. The 325 00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:25,080 Speaker 1: Islamic Republic of Iran responds with the Trump style statement, 326 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:28,439 Speaker 1: last time the US blundered into wars in Afghanistan, and 327 00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:31,840 Speaker 1: in Iraq it squandered over squandered over seven trillion dollars 328 00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:34,920 Speaker 1: and lost more than seven thousand American lives. Iran stands 329 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 1: ready for dialogue based on mutual respect and interest, but 330 00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:41,280 Speaker 1: if pushed, it will defend itself and respond like never before. Look, 331 00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:44,159 Speaker 1: we have no idea. Remember the Iranians also kind of 332 00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:48,040 Speaker 1: tacoed last time around, because you know, they fired these missiles. Again. 333 00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:50,159 Speaker 1: I supported this is a good thing. They fired these 334 00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:52,879 Speaker 1: thirteen missiles at the Doha base. They basically gave us 335 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,199 Speaker 1: a heads up. We shot him down, and everybody just 336 00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:57,879 Speaker 1: kind of walked away. Everybody gets to live great, good face. 337 00:17:57,880 --> 00:18:01,879 Speaker 1: Saved everybody's cool this time, though, as we saw with Israel. 338 00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:05,160 Speaker 1: Remember with Israel, they did and were able to inflict 339 00:18:05,320 --> 00:18:08,320 Speaker 1: some major damage upon that country. Let's put a six 340 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:11,960 Speaker 1: up here on the screen, Nettanyahu ahead of this, saying 341 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:15,359 Speaker 1: quote Netta Yahu repeats the warning against Iran making a 342 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 1: grave mistake of attacking Israel. So look, these are all 343 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:22,360 Speaker 1: just breadcrumbs. We have no idea of how they will 344 00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:24,600 Speaker 1: all end up. But the stage is set, just like 345 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,640 Speaker 1: it was for Maduro. Is that at any point the 346 00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 1: situa the ripcord can be pulled and something extraordinary could happen. 347 00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:34,360 Speaker 1: Except this time, we're talking about a country with ninety 348 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:39,920 Speaker 1: million people, with multiple different ethnic groups. We've got democracy protesters, 349 00:18:40,040 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 1: we've got the regime elements themselves, all of whom are 350 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:47,199 Speaker 1: highly armed. And yeah, from a basic strategic perspective, you 351 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:52,720 Speaker 1: can understand how watching Venezuela, how can you ever ever 352 00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:57,480 Speaker 1: give up anything that could potentially stave off some sort 353 00:18:57,520 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 1: of attack like this if you are in any way 354 00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:04,159 Speaker 1: an aggressor state or an oppositional state to the United States, 355 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 1: Their ballistic missile threat is the only guarantee guarantee of 356 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,480 Speaker 1: not becoming an Israeli rump state. And by the way, 357 00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:15,520 Speaker 1: that's what the Israelis and apparently the Americans want for them. 358 00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:19,240 Speaker 1: So they either surrender now, which look it's possible, it's 359 00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:22,520 Speaker 1: possible that they may do so that they're supposedly so weak. 360 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:24,719 Speaker 1: But part of the problem is that we always know 361 00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:27,560 Speaker 1: is that the goalposts always move. And basically, as we 362 00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:29,760 Speaker 1: saw during the Twelve Day War, even though they said 363 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:32,560 Speaker 1: that it was over, the end result is always the same. 364 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:35,600 Speaker 1: They will these people will stop at nothing for regime change. 365 00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:38,560 Speaker 1: They will flagrantly lie about it, and the net result 366 00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,960 Speaker 1: will be Syria. I mean, that is the modal outcome 367 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 1: Syria and Libya, even in instances where the United States 368 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:48,280 Speaker 1: is not put so boots on the ground or any 369 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:50,920 Speaker 1: of that. So, you know, and this also is not Venezuela. 370 00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 1: You don't have you know, a similar at least for now, 371 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 1: a situation where there's at least some elements in the 372 00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:58,760 Speaker 1: regime that we may be willing to play. You know, 373 00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 1: you also are going to have Look if the United 374 00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:04,879 Speaker 1: States comes in, it takes out an Iranian leader, the 375 00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:08,119 Speaker 1: Ayatola or any of the IRGC officials, Like, are they 376 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 1: really just going to take it lying down? Maybe for 377 00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:14,200 Speaker 1: five months, maybe for six months, but after that collapse. 378 00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:17,439 Speaker 1: You know, it took what twelve fourteen years something like 379 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,480 Speaker 1: that for USAD to collapse, so it can take it 380 00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:23,080 Speaker 1: can take a long time. They will obviously, just like 381 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:26,160 Speaker 1: with Venezuela, they'll do mission accomplished. They've tried to learn 382 00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:28,440 Speaker 1: the lesson of no boots on the ground, But honestly, 383 00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:31,040 Speaker 1: that can invite even more or even as much chaos 384 00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:33,399 Speaker 1: as when we do. So we will see how this 385 00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:35,800 Speaker 1: situation unfolds. What we did want to, but we had 386 00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:37,159 Speaker 1: to start the show with this because this is this 387 00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:39,240 Speaker 1: is so important to keep your eye on. It can 388 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:42,560 Speaker 1: come literally out of nowhere. Remember, allegedly things were calming 389 00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:44,600 Speaker 1: down with Venezuela and the next thing you know, Maduro 390 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,520 Speaker 1: is on his way to the United States. So everybody 391 00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:48,680 Speaker 1: pay very close attention. 392 00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,439 Speaker 2: Well, and there's there's one other piece that I just 393 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:53,639 Speaker 2: want to mention here, and this is again not to 394 00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,719 Speaker 2: take away anything from the you know, the legitimate protests. 395 00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:59,439 Speaker 2: There's no doubt that the Iranian government is unpopular with 396 00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 2: the largement of the population. What percent that is, I 397 00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:03,320 Speaker 2: don't know, but there is a large segment of the 398 00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 2: population that is very unhappy. Scott Bessant at Davos all 399 00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:12,280 Speaker 2: but admitted bragged about the economic pressure, the economic warfare 400 00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:15,760 Speaker 2: that the US has been waging against Iran and the 401 00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:19,320 Speaker 2: increased pressure. It's important to understand this was something else 402 00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:21,480 Speaker 2: that actually Jeffrey sax laid out in that interview with 403 00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:25,439 Speaker 2: with Glenn deson the recent Scott Bessant became so wealthy 404 00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:28,720 Speaker 2: and what he became known for was working with George 405 00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 2: Soros in the nineties to attack the British Pound successfully 406 00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:34,560 Speaker 2: by the way, so this is a guy who knows 407 00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:39,560 Speaker 2: about attacking currencies and what triggered what was the like 408 00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:43,600 Speaker 2: igniting force behind these protests. It was a currency collapse 409 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:46,120 Speaker 2: and then it you know, spread more broadly. And obviously 410 00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:48,359 Speaker 2: there are a lot of reasons that people in Iran 411 00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:52,399 Speaker 2: are dissatisfied with their government, but that was the precipitating force. 412 00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:55,240 Speaker 2: Then you also had you know, the Israelis and others 413 00:21:55,440 --> 00:21:59,000 Speaker 2: bragging about massad agents into the streets alongside the protesters, 414 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,800 Speaker 2: like we can't be polyami. And imagine that the US 415 00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,040 Speaker 2: were in Israel, were not involved at all, that they 416 00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:06,360 Speaker 2: were totally hands off. No, they were trying to engineer 417 00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:09,119 Speaker 2: this level of pressure. And this has been you know, 418 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:12,359 Speaker 2: acute in this instance, these tactics that are being deployed, 419 00:22:12,359 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 2: but this has been the long term strategy. 420 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:15,320 Speaker 5: Of the US. 421 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,159 Speaker 2: So you know, that's worth putting out there just in 422 00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:22,040 Speaker 2: terms of thinking about They've tried a variety of techniques 423 00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:25,160 Speaker 2: in order to try to effectuate some sort of regime 424 00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:28,840 Speaker 2: change or just regime collapse, which the Israelis would be 425 00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,480 Speaker 2: perfectly happy with because then that state is a mess. 426 00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:32,040 Speaker 1: I would love that. 427 00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:34,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, and they no longer have, you know, any sort 428 00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:38,200 Speaker 2: of challenge for regional hegemony, They would be perfectly happy 429 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,680 Speaker 2: with that. So there have been a variety of techniques 430 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:45,199 Speaker 2: that have been tried, and this may be the latest effort. Now, Trump, 431 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:49,040 Speaker 2: it appears, is very reluctant to actually get in in 432 00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:51,879 Speaker 2: the you know, Iraq war sense and boots on the ground, etc. 433 00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:53,480 Speaker 5: And in Venezuela. 434 00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:56,919 Speaker 2: So far he's been able to pull that off of 435 00:22:57,000 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 2: just doing this decapitation strike and then having Delza red 436 00:22:59,880 --> 00:23:02,119 Speaker 2: ride is in place and having her play ball with 437 00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:04,280 Speaker 2: him and you know, do whatever he wanted her to 438 00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:06,119 Speaker 2: do with the oil. Again, Maduro was willing to do 439 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:09,719 Speaker 2: those things, but put that aside. Iran is more it's 440 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,919 Speaker 2: it's more difficult. I mean, even just from the military perspective, 441 00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:16,480 Speaker 2: Caracas is right on the is on the water. Tehran 442 00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:19,199 Speaker 2: is not right and it's yeah, it's closer by, and 443 00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:21,399 Speaker 2: Tehran is not right on any sort of body of what. 444 00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:23,880 Speaker 2: You have to overfly the country in order to get 445 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:26,879 Speaker 2: to Tehran. So even just from a military perspective, it 446 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:30,800 Speaker 2: is more complex. You are always risking that there is 447 00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:33,720 Speaker 2: some sort of conflagration that American service members died. 448 00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 5: There was a close call actually. 449 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,600 Speaker 2: In Venezuela in that operation where a helicopter was nearly 450 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:40,360 Speaker 2: disabled or was disabled and there had to be a rescue. 451 00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:45,399 Speaker 2: Those sorts of things create so much risk. Military operations 452 00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:48,159 Speaker 2: are not always going to go perfectly one hundred percent 453 00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:51,840 Speaker 2: of the time. Iran is not Venezuela, right, they are 454 00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:55,960 Speaker 2: not identical countries. There are totally different political forces to 455 00:23:56,040 --> 00:23:58,840 Speaker 2: be reckoned with here. So it is an extremely, extremely 456 00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:00,879 Speaker 2: dangerous game that they are. 457 00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:07,000 Speaker 1: And now let's get to Venezuela. There were some great 458 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:10,960 Speaker 1: moments between Senator Ran Paul and and Secretary of State 459 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:15,159 Speaker 1: Marco Rubio on Venezuela. Here's Senator Paul pressing him on 460 00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:17,120 Speaker 1: the Venezuela operation. Let's take a listen. 461 00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:20,040 Speaker 7: So I would ask you if a foreign country bombed 462 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:24,159 Speaker 7: our air defense missiles, captured and removed our president, and 463 00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:27,720 Speaker 7: blockaded our country, would that be considered an active war? 464 00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,679 Speaker 6: Well, I think your question is about the and I 465 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,080 Speaker 6: will acknowledge you been very consistent on all these points 466 00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:36,800 Speaker 6: the entire career. So let me let me no matter 467 00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:38,800 Speaker 6: who the who's in charge. So I will point to 468 00:24:38,840 --> 00:24:41,000 Speaker 6: two things. The first is it's hard for us to 469 00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:43,639 Speaker 6: conceive that an operation that lasted about four and a 470 00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:46,320 Speaker 6: half hours and was a law enforcement operation to capture 471 00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:49,120 Speaker 6: someone we don't recognize as a head of state indicted 472 00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:50,240 Speaker 6: in the United States. 473 00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:51,920 Speaker 7: One with a fifty million. 474 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:53,960 Speaker 8: Dollars bout would be if it only took four hours 475 00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:57,040 Speaker 8: to take our presidents very short. Nobody dies on the 476 00:24:57,040 --> 00:25:00,600 Speaker 8: other side, nobody dies on our side. It's perfect. Would 477 00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:01,480 Speaker 8: it be an active war? 478 00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 6: We just don't believe that this operation comes anywhere close 479 00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,000 Speaker 6: to the constitutional definition. 480 00:25:05,560 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 7: Of But would it be an active war? 481 00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,600 Speaker 8: Someone did it does nobody does, few casualties there in 482 00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:13,879 Speaker 8: and out, boom, It's a perfect military operation. Would that 483 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:16,359 Speaker 8: be an active war? Of course it would be an 484 00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:19,280 Speaker 8: active war. I'm probably the most anti war person in 485 00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:22,280 Speaker 8: the Senate, and I would vote to declare war if 486 00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:24,720 Speaker 8: someone invaded our country and took our president. 487 00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:27,720 Speaker 7: So I think we need to at least. 488 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 8: Acknowledge this is a one way argument. One way arguments 489 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:34,359 Speaker 8: that don't rebound, that you can't apply to yourselves, that 490 00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:37,200 Speaker 8: cannot be universally applicable, are bad arguments. 491 00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:37,560 Speaker 4: Yep. 492 00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,600 Speaker 1: I mean, he's obviously right, and the fact that Rubio 493 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,080 Speaker 1: can't even respond. There are a lot of moments here 494 00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:46,040 Speaker 1: for mister Rubio where there was some mask off here. 495 00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:50,400 Speaker 1: Next one is on Cuba. This is about regime change 496 00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:53,360 Speaker 1: in Cuba. He would not rule it out. Let's take 497 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:53,800 Speaker 1: a listen. 498 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:57,120 Speaker 9: Will you make a public commitment today to rule out 499 00:25:57,359 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 9: US regime change in Cuba? 500 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:00,680 Speaker 1: Change? Yes? 501 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:02,480 Speaker 6: Oh no, I think we would like to see the regime, 502 00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:04,399 Speaker 6: no change. We would like to That doesn't mean that 503 00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:05,879 Speaker 6: we're going to make a change, but we would love 504 00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:06,600 Speaker 6: to see a change. 505 00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,080 Speaker 9: I'm not asking you whether we would prefer a different 506 00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:12,639 Speaker 9: kind of government. I'm asking whether you are trying to 507 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:14,760 Speaker 9: precipitate the fall of the current regime. 508 00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:15,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, but that's statutory. 509 00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:19,960 Speaker 6: The Helms Burton Act, the US embargo on Cuba is codified. 510 00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:22,920 Speaker 6: It was codified in law, and it requires regime change 511 00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:24,360 Speaker 6: in order for US to lift the embargo. 512 00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:26,680 Speaker 1: So he will not rule out regime change in Cuba. 513 00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:29,840 Speaker 1: It started off talking about Iran. Refuses to say that 514 00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:32,360 Speaker 1: it is an act of war. This is it. I mean, 515 00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:36,359 Speaker 1: this is the Donro doctrine fully in effect. But you know, 516 00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:39,160 Speaker 1: to the Iran Let's just take the Iran situation again 517 00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:42,760 Speaker 1: as why it's very important. They wanted to do something, 518 00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:44,919 Speaker 1: couldn't do it a bunch of naval assets down here 519 00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,200 Speaker 1: in Caribbean, a bunch of naval assets in the South 520 00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:49,760 Speaker 1: trying to see now what they're basically trying to do. 521 00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:53,159 Speaker 1: This is the basic equivalent of world policemen, like pure 522 00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:57,120 Speaker 1: two thousand and five neo conservatism, without any of the democracy. 523 00:26:57,160 --> 00:27:00,000 Speaker 1: It's just the idea. It's like the famous Joanah Goldberg quote, 524 00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:01,920 Speaker 1: like every once in a while, the United States should 525 00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:04,400 Speaker 1: go out and just overthrow a dictator just to show 526 00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:08,040 Speaker 1: that we can, right, And that's effectively like what this means. 527 00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:11,840 Speaker 1: What this ignores is the economic situation that we're all 528 00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,439 Speaker 1: currently in. It ignores the fact that we it's no 529 00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:16,920 Speaker 1: longer the unipolar moment that we have not just a 530 00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:21,720 Speaker 1: rising China, very capable China. We have multiple strategic allies 531 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:25,520 Speaker 1: who are thinking very differently about their own security situation. 532 00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:29,160 Speaker 1: India comes to mind, Japan, South Korea, all of these countries. 533 00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:32,679 Speaker 1: We have a totally different global economy. And ironically, you know, 534 00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:36,440 Speaker 1: this time around, the Europeans are all in on Venezuela 535 00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:38,960 Speaker 1: and regime change. By the way, France just took a 536 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,360 Speaker 1: step yesterday to trying to put even more regime pressure 537 00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:45,480 Speaker 1: on Iran just so everybody understands where they're coming from. 538 00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:48,160 Speaker 1: But the rest of the world, a much more powerful 539 00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:50,240 Speaker 1: rest of the world, which had very little say in 540 00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:53,320 Speaker 1: global affairs in back in two thousand and three, they 541 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:56,119 Speaker 1: don't think so different. They think very differently than the 542 00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:59,120 Speaker 1: rest of these people. So you could see very clearly 543 00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:03,760 Speaker 1: how this all come to a head and invite global chaos, 544 00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:06,880 Speaker 1: not even just regional chaos like we had during Iraq. 545 00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:09,080 Speaker 1: And then what do we do. We have to pick 546 00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:12,200 Speaker 1: and choose, and worse, this one would be entirely of 547 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:14,600 Speaker 1: our own making. It would be a war of choice, 548 00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:16,800 Speaker 1: just like Iraq was, and we all know how that 549 00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:17,320 Speaker 1: worked out. 550 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:22,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, Well, if you put Roan and Venezuela and Cuba 551 00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 2: and Greenland and even Canada, I mean, I think they're 552 00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:29,120 Speaker 2: actually serious about the like annexing Canada thing they keep 553 00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,440 Speaker 2: talking about Alberta separatists like I think they are. They 554 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,600 Speaker 2: do not believe in this principle that we've all sort 555 00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:37,960 Speaker 2: of taken for granted, the idea of sovereignty. 556 00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:39,960 Speaker 5: They don't believe in that. And you put that. 557 00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:43,720 Speaker 2: Together with the Board of Peace, which is meant to 558 00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:47,080 Speaker 2: replace the un like Trump's wants himself to be the 559 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:51,280 Speaker 2: undisputed emperor of the world. It's not enough to have 560 00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:54,920 Speaker 2: multilateral institutions that are dominated by the US, that the 561 00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:58,320 Speaker 2: US like by and large ninety percent of the time, controls. 562 00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:01,080 Speaker 2: He wants to have one hundred percent of control. He 563 00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:03,240 Speaker 2: wants to be the chairman of the Board, as he's 564 00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:06,360 Speaker 2: putting himself in terms of the quote unquote Board of Peace, 565 00:29:06,600 --> 00:29:09,840 Speaker 2: which was originally sold as just being about Gaza and 566 00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:12,760 Speaker 2: then you know, lo and behold once the documents come 567 00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:15,080 Speaker 2: out as no, no, no, this is a total replacement 568 00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:17,360 Speaker 2: for the UN that puts me as. 569 00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:19,040 Speaker 5: The lifetime king. 570 00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:22,400 Speaker 2: And yeah, you other countries can join, especially if you 571 00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:24,440 Speaker 2: give me a billion dollars that I can do whatever 572 00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 2: I want with. But if you piss me off, I'm 573 00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:28,800 Speaker 2: gonna kick you off, which he already did with Canada. 574 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,080 Speaker 2: You know, Mark Carney stepped down a line and went 575 00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:32,480 Speaker 2: and did a deal with chiny He's like, all right, 576 00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:35,520 Speaker 2: you're out. Then forget about it. He has total control. 577 00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:38,760 Speaker 2: He has absolute vetote power. That is the way he 578 00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:41,360 Speaker 2: wants to run the world. I mean, he said it 579 00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:46,200 Speaker 2: himself that the only check on his on what he does. 580 00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:49,920 Speaker 2: There's no legal institution either here or internationally. It's just 581 00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:53,480 Speaker 2: his own mind, his own quote unquote morality. And so, 582 00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:57,040 Speaker 2: you know Cuba, there's again a parallel here with Iran, 583 00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:59,680 Speaker 2: where they tried to use economic pressure to collapse the 584 00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:03,040 Speaker 2: regime hasn't succeeded yet. That's what they're trying to do 585 00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:06,200 Speaker 2: with Cuba. They're blocking you know, Venezuela and other oil 586 00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 2: from reaching Cuba. That country is already because of you know, 587 00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,440 Speaker 2: a variety of reasons, but predominantly because of our decades 588 00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:19,080 Speaker 2: long economic warfare against Cuba. The conditions truly are incredibly dire. 589 00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:20,040 Speaker 5: It would not be. 590 00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:23,760 Speaker 2: Surprising if just the economic warfare worked out. But that's 591 00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:26,480 Speaker 2: the tactic they're deploying now, and if that doesn't succeed, 592 00:30:26,520 --> 00:30:28,880 Speaker 2: then they'll try another tactic, just like what we have 593 00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:30,960 Speaker 2: seen them cycling through with regard to Iran. 594 00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:34,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, very important, as you said, And just to continue 595 00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:37,760 Speaker 1: to keep an eye a little bit on Venezuela. There's 596 00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:40,480 Speaker 1: weird stuff that is currently happening. Can we put a 597 00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:44,920 Speaker 1: ten up here on the screen. Delsa Rodriguez now claiming 598 00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:49,480 Speaker 1: that she has quote had enough of US interference in 599 00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 1: US orders? How much KFA is going on here. We 600 00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:57,040 Speaker 1: have no idea, you know, is she a collaborator? To me, 601 00:30:57,080 --> 00:31:00,320 Speaker 1: it seems very likely she's probably the one that sold 602 00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:03,000 Speaker 1: them out. We don't really know for sure. What we 603 00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:06,320 Speaker 1: do generally kind of know is that this oil scheme 604 00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 1: seems to be going very well for Venezuela and for 605 00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:12,920 Speaker 1: the United States. And in fact, Rubio was asked about 606 00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 1: this and these oil funds which are currently in a 607 00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:17,640 Speaker 1: Katari bank account, and how exactly they're all going to 608 00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:20,240 Speaker 1: be administered. So A nine MAC, can you go ahead 609 00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:20,719 Speaker 1: and roll it? 610 00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:24,240 Speaker 9: Earlier you testified that the funds are being held short 611 00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:27,160 Speaker 9: term and Cutter and then we'll move to a Treasury 612 00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:31,520 Speaker 9: blocked account. What is the statutory authority for the administration 613 00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:34,520 Speaker 9: relying on Cutter to hold the funds. 614 00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:35,520 Speaker 6: It's not our funds. 615 00:31:35,560 --> 00:31:39,280 Speaker 7: The funds are in an account that's owned and signed. 616 00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:42,560 Speaker 6: It's an account that belongs to Venezuela, but it has 617 00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:44,760 Speaker 6: US sanctions as a blocking mechanism on it. 618 00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:47,520 Speaker 9: And you're saying it's Venezuela's money. But it does sound 619 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,360 Speaker 9: like according to the EO, according to the President's statements, 620 00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:54,560 Speaker 9: you are in charge of that money. How what authority 621 00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:58,000 Speaker 9: are you relying on to be in charge almost in 622 00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:03,080 Speaker 9: a sort of receivership kind of arrangement of how funds 623 00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:05,640 Speaker 9: are both received and expended for a foreign country, Like, 624 00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:08,800 Speaker 9: wouldn't you have to come to Congress to establish. 625 00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 7: That kind of Really? 626 00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:11,120 Speaker 6: Well no, because the money never enters our hands. We 627 00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:13,720 Speaker 6: only control the disbursement of the money. We don't control 628 00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:16,720 Speaker 6: the actual money. But if it comes into our bank account. 629 00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:19,520 Speaker 9: Do you think that you have somewhere in the statute 630 00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:25,400 Speaker 9: or the constitution the authority to control disbursements of a 631 00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 9: foreign country. 632 00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:29,040 Speaker 1: Well, they've agreed to this, so yeah. I mean, this 633 00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:31,160 Speaker 1: is why I think that the del c. Rodriguez thing 634 00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:33,440 Speaker 1: is kind of a cafe. Remember, they're going to be 635 00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 1: massively enriched the Maduro regime, by the way. Current reports 636 00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:40,760 Speaker 1: that are coming out from Venezuela are that all of 637 00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:43,600 Speaker 1: the Maduro gangs continue to roam the streets and to 638 00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:47,240 Speaker 1: control security checkpoints. So, if anything, the regime is going 639 00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:49,040 Speaker 1: to be quite a bit stronger. Again, not that they 640 00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:52,240 Speaker 1: ever particularly cared about democracy in Venezuela. And then the 641 00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:54,480 Speaker 1: very last thing that we had to put up here 642 00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:59,840 Speaker 1: is this new CNN report A twelve Shall we see 643 00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:02,960 Speaker 1: and then had this report. They say, it remains to 644 00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:05,120 Speaker 1: be seen how the Venezuelan people respond to a more 645 00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:08,520 Speaker 1: overt CIA presence in the country post Maduro. For years, 646 00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:12,840 Speaker 1: Maduro casts a CIA as a convenient boogeyman, repeatedly accusing 647 00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:16,280 Speaker 1: the agency without evidence, of attempting to topple his regime 648 00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:19,400 Speaker 1: as he clung to power. Now, the CIA has helped 649 00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:22,440 Speaker 1: supplant Maduro and his boys to help manage the Trump 650 00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:26,960 Speaker 1: administrate his dealings with Venezuela new leadership. So without evidence, 651 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:29,360 Speaker 1: he claimed that the CIA was trying to topple him, 652 00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:32,560 Speaker 1: and the next paragraph they say, and the CIA. 653 00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:35,720 Speaker 2: And then the CIA toppled it. Yes, so lacky Maduro. 654 00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:38,920 Speaker 2: Don't know where he gets these crazy ideas. 655 00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:41,320 Speaker 1: From oh Oudam Maduro stand or anything. But you know, 656 00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:43,080 Speaker 1: I haven't. 657 00:33:42,840 --> 00:33:44,960 Speaker 2: Trying to coo him for like how long now at 658 00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:46,760 Speaker 2: this point. I mean the first Trumpet ministry, we all 659 00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:49,240 Speaker 2: had the whole wanguido thing and some failed. 660 00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:51,280 Speaker 5: What did they call it. They didn't call it bea pigs. 661 00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 2: They called it I don't remember, something akin to that 662 00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:55,760 Speaker 2: that was like, you know, embarrassed. Anyway, there was a 663 00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:59,680 Speaker 2: whole failed plot during the first Trump regime as well, 664 00:33:59,760 --> 00:34:02,160 Speaker 2: And so I love whether that crazy Maduro with his 665 00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:04,760 Speaker 2: paranoid delusion thing in the CIA is out to get 666 00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:09,160 Speaker 2: him anyway when the CIA came and take to that now, yeah, 667 00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:11,880 Speaker 2: oh my god, it's how do you write this stuff 668 00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:14,680 Speaker 2: and like have zero self awareness. 669 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:16,879 Speaker 1: Because that's what they do. Look, you know, these people. 670 00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:18,560 Speaker 2: Look at this and not be like, you know, these 671 00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:21,160 Speaker 2: two lines that are right next to each other kind 672 00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:23,279 Speaker 2: of contradict each other and don't really make sense. At 673 00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:25,360 Speaker 2: least space them ount a little bit in terms of 674 00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:25,920 Speaker 2: the article. 675 00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:27,719 Speaker 1: I don't know for all to talk about how the 676 00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:29,640 Speaker 1: press is anti Trump and all that, and that can 677 00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:32,560 Speaker 1: be true on like a character level. They do not 678 00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 1: object to the core like project of not just US empire, 679 00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:40,120 Speaker 1: but of the idea that anything that we do is legitimate, 680 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:43,280 Speaker 1: anything that other people do is illegitimate. They are completely 681 00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:46,160 Speaker 1: unable to like put yourself in another person's shoes or 682 00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:48,400 Speaker 1: see things from the others. You see this with Russia, 683 00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:51,840 Speaker 1: says in the Ukraine situation's a NATO. It just it 684 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:55,040 Speaker 1: never ends. And like, if there's any core project that 685 00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:57,520 Speaker 1: I try to instill with all these people is it's 686 00:34:57,520 --> 00:34:59,000 Speaker 1: like the around thing they're like, well, why don't they 687 00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:00,920 Speaker 1: just give up their ballistic miss I'm like, well, would 688 00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,719 Speaker 1: you what would you do? You just watched the Venezuela Vigo, 689 00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,520 Speaker 1: what would you do? Same with North Korea? I mean 690 00:35:06,600 --> 00:35:09,080 Speaker 1: during the whole deal. Oh, Kim Jong un, he just 691 00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:11,000 Speaker 1: he just won't give up these nukes. I'm like, yeah, 692 00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:14,200 Speaker 1: why would he? I'm like, he's this like literally, the 693 00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:16,560 Speaker 1: Kim family is one of the most vindicated people in 694 00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:19,400 Speaker 1: all of the most vindicated family in all of history. 695 00:35:19,640 --> 00:35:22,040 Speaker 1: Not saying they're good people. They killed a shitload, all right, 696 00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:25,480 Speaker 1: they're bad, they're bad dictators, et cetera pure strategic logic, 697 00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:28,120 Speaker 1: they were correct, Okay, Kim Il sung, Kim Jong Al, 698 00:35:28,120 --> 00:35:31,080 Speaker 1: and Kim Jong un all dedicated themselves to a single project, 699 00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:33,640 Speaker 1: we will secure a nuclear weapon as a credible deterrent 700 00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:36,480 Speaker 1: against the United States. They get to sleep very happy 701 00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:39,800 Speaker 1: in their compounds of luxury while they watch basketball or whatever. 702 00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:41,960 Speaker 1: And yes, their people suffer, but we can't do anything 703 00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,439 Speaker 1: about it. And this is this is the core reason why. 704 00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:47,600 Speaker 1: That's probably the most important lesson for any person who's 705 00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:52,120 Speaker 1: in opposition to the United States to learn Pakistan India. 706 00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:55,360 Speaker 1: You know, do do you really think those countries wouldn't 707 00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:57,560 Speaker 1: have been way more severely messed with if they didn't 708 00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:00,560 Speaker 1: have nukes. It is the only reason why they're allowed 709 00:36:00,560 --> 00:36:03,319 Speaker 1: to exist, and so I think that that's just, I mean, again, 710 00:36:03,520 --> 00:36:06,799 Speaker 1: very very important lesson. And if you're if you want 711 00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:08,560 Speaker 1: to survive in the long run, you should probably get 712 00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:10,880 Speaker 1: a nuclear weapon. I wish weren't the case. I'm an 713 00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:14,239 Speaker 1: advocate of non ploriferation. However, you know, the logic is 714 00:36:14,360 --> 00:36:16,120 Speaker 1: extremely simple at this point. 715 00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:19,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I can't even really say, like I 716 00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:21,400 Speaker 2: would like in an ideal world at some point in 717 00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:24,399 Speaker 2: the future to advocate for non proliferation. But for each 718 00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:27,160 Speaker 2: of these individual countries, I mean, for Iran, the most 719 00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:28,920 Speaker 2: sensible thing at this point would be for them to 720 00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:31,160 Speaker 2: race to a bomb like that would be the smartest, 721 00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:34,160 Speaker 2: smartest play, and nobody should be surprised if that is 722 00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:36,560 Speaker 2: the path that they ultimately pursue. 723 00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:39,440 Speaker 5: But this also underscores the. 724 00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:44,520 Speaker 2: Reason why Trump's approach here is so incredibly dangerous, because. 725 00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:46,640 Speaker 5: You know, we live in a nuclear world. 726 00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:49,240 Speaker 2: We live in a world well where we can completely 727 00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:53,160 Speaker 2: annihilate each other, and so if we are going back 728 00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:57,840 Speaker 2: to these you know like East India Company type colonialism 729 00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:00,600 Speaker 2: and the law of the jungle, and my makes right. 730 00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:04,920 Speaker 2: We are doing so in an era of the possibility 731 00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:08,319 Speaker 2: of complete and utter annihilation. Like we should be very 732 00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:10,560 Speaker 2: clear that that's what we're playing with. And I'm not 733 00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:13,879 Speaker 2: here saying that that's happening tomorrow or whatever, but that 734 00:37:14,120 --> 00:37:16,359 Speaker 2: is what we are playing with right now. 735 00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:22,719 Speaker 1: All right. Turning now to the economy, some major developments 736 00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:25,359 Speaker 1: whenever it comes to the status of the US dollar. 737 00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:28,440 Speaker 1: We did see a very noteworthy clip here from Peter Schiff, 738 00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:31,440 Speaker 1: who has been very prescient on major collapses. He was 739 00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:34,719 Speaker 1: on Fox Business dropping some truth bonds. Here's what he 740 00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:35,200 Speaker 1: had to say. 741 00:37:35,600 --> 00:37:38,080 Speaker 3: And the world is now pulling the rug out from 742 00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:40,640 Speaker 3: under the US. The dollar is going to collapse. The 743 00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:43,279 Speaker 3: dollar is going to be replaced by gold. Central banks 744 00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:45,840 Speaker 3: are buying goal they are to back up their pertrecies. 745 00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,719 Speaker 3: They're getting rid of dollars, they're getting rid of treasuries. 746 00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:52,000 Speaker 3: We are headed for an economic crisis again that will 747 00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:54,800 Speaker 3: make the two thousand and eight financial crisis look like 748 00:37:54,840 --> 00:37:58,240 Speaker 3: a Sunday school picnic. The biggest difference between the crisis 749 00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:00,359 Speaker 3: that we're about to have and the one we had 750 00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:03,479 Speaker 3: back then is this one is all in America, all. 751 00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:06,480 Speaker 1: Right, So all of this is part and parcel, as 752 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:10,240 Speaker 1: we've said here in the past, of a major movement 753 00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,080 Speaker 1: against the dollar. Now, I want to be very clear, 754 00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:15,000 Speaker 1: even when we say dollar crash, we're talking about like 755 00:38:15,080 --> 00:38:18,120 Speaker 1: point six one percent or whatever drop. But what this 756 00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:21,480 Speaker 1: generally can mean in a longer term trend, especially as 757 00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:24,759 Speaker 1: we started here with global affairs, with wars, with what's 758 00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:28,440 Speaker 1: going on with Venezuela, the Greenland situation, some reporting that 759 00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:31,040 Speaker 1: actually behind the scenes, the Danes and the EU had 760 00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:34,800 Speaker 1: threatened the United States with massively selling off big portions 761 00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:38,600 Speaker 1: of our debt. Is instability of reserve currency and the 762 00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:42,000 Speaker 1: simultaneous spike in gold could lead to some sort of 763 00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:45,920 Speaker 1: event like this. Peter Schiff is effectively echoing Ray Dalio thought, 764 00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:49,439 Speaker 1: and I don't even really agree necessarily, but I do 765 00:38:49,480 --> 00:38:52,080 Speaker 1: think it is important to air this type of perspective 766 00:38:52,160 --> 00:38:54,400 Speaker 1: in the midst of all this gold insanity that I 767 00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:57,799 Speaker 1: certainly don't fully understand. Let's go and let's go ahead 768 00:38:57,800 --> 00:39:00,480 Speaker 1: and queue up Ray Daalio, who has been talking about 769 00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:03,080 Speaker 1: this now for quite some time, of video that he 770 00:39:03,120 --> 00:39:05,960 Speaker 1: put out just yesterday. Mac, can we take a listen. 771 00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:11,360 Speaker 10: It's the beginning of the end of the monetary system 772 00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:13,960 Speaker 10: as we know it. It's not just the US Darmer, 773 00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:20,240 Speaker 10: it's the fiat monetary currencies, So the UK, the Euro, Japan, 774 00:39:21,040 --> 00:39:24,880 Speaker 10: China all have similar debt problems and so on and 775 00:39:24,960 --> 00:39:28,440 Speaker 10: are dealing with the same inter relationships, which is the 776 00:39:28,520 --> 00:39:32,400 Speaker 10: reason you're seeing gold being chosen by the central banks. 777 00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:37,239 Speaker 11: They want a currency. Gold has always been the main currency, 778 00:39:37,719 --> 00:39:41,160 Speaker 11: and it's the only non fiat currency in other words, 779 00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:44,959 Speaker 11: not the currency that can't be printed that they want. 780 00:39:45,200 --> 00:39:48,440 Speaker 11: And so that's why you're seeing central banks move and 781 00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:51,760 Speaker 11: sovereign will funds moved to gold, and that's the nature 782 00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:53,640 Speaker 11: of the shift of the monetary system. 783 00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:56,000 Speaker 1: So I mean, effectively, what he's saying is about a 784 00:39:56,000 --> 00:40:00,320 Speaker 1: flight from US reserve status in the midst of global instability. Again, 785 00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:03,319 Speaker 1: I don't fully buy a lot of goldbug arguments and 786 00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:06,520 Speaker 1: gold standard stuff that could I think can go to 787 00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:10,040 Speaker 1: kukery very very quickly. But it is undeniable that this 788 00:40:10,160 --> 00:40:15,040 Speaker 1: massive price spike in goal is not connected deeply to 789 00:40:15,160 --> 00:40:18,440 Speaker 1: the actions of the Trump administration and of the United States, 790 00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:21,200 Speaker 1: especially in the last you know year or so under 791 00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:25,279 Speaker 1: the under Donald Trump, the terror regime, global instability, and 792 00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:28,560 Speaker 1: it could be you know, about flight to its Usually 793 00:40:28,640 --> 00:40:30,520 Speaker 1: it's what it really signals. And this is why I 794 00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:33,000 Speaker 1: think he's talking about collapse. It's not just about currency, 795 00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:36,719 Speaker 1: but about flight to safety away from US assets, and 796 00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:40,200 Speaker 1: what that broadly means is about lack of strength and 797 00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:43,080 Speaker 1: faith in the overall US economy, which of course is 798 00:40:43,080 --> 00:40:45,000 Speaker 1: what all of our four oh one k you know, 799 00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:49,400 Speaker 1: rely on, all of our retirement accounts. Everybody's just general 800 00:40:49,440 --> 00:40:52,839 Speaker 1: ability to buy and trade with foreign goods. It's going 801 00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:55,520 Speaker 1: to make exports and you know, very different in terms 802 00:40:55,560 --> 00:40:59,279 Speaker 1: of our relationship manufacturing inputs, all those types of things. 803 00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:01,840 Speaker 1: So that's why I do think it is still interesting. 804 00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:03,640 Speaker 1: We do have to, you know, I like to pay 805 00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:06,760 Speaker 1: attention to the dalios and the shifts of the world, 806 00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:10,239 Speaker 1: even though I don't necessarily one hundred percent agree per se. 807 00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:12,279 Speaker 1: But like you can't look at the current movement in 808 00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:15,120 Speaker 1: the gold market and say it doesn't sew something. It's 809 00:41:15,120 --> 00:41:17,400 Speaker 1: definitely showing us something and we're all just trying to 810 00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:18,279 Speaker 1: figure out what that is. 811 00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:23,440 Speaker 2: Daalio has a theory of the cycles that societies go 812 00:41:23,600 --> 00:41:27,160 Speaker 2: through that is worth engaging with as well, and in 813 00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:31,719 Speaker 2: his view. We've now moved from phase five to phase six, 814 00:41:31,760 --> 00:41:35,440 Speaker 2: which is basically like imminent civil war and some sort 815 00:41:35,520 --> 00:41:39,359 Speaker 2: of you know, mass turmoil. And you know, I think 816 00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:41,880 Speaker 2: there are signs that we could be heading towards that. 817 00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:44,839 Speaker 2: We'll talk more in the block about Minneapolis and what's 818 00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:47,160 Speaker 2: going on there. The sort of face saving moves that 819 00:41:47,480 --> 00:41:50,239 Speaker 2: Trump is engaging in now to sort of step back 820 00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:52,680 Speaker 2: from the brink. I think that's all very good. I'm 821 00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:55,440 Speaker 2: glad to see it, because the temperature has been so 822 00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:58,720 Speaker 2: incredibly high that, you know, I've been quite worried about 823 00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:00,880 Speaker 2: it spiling out of control. Doesn't mean it's not going 824 00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:02,839 Speaker 2: to spiral out of control, but at least maybe there's 825 00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:04,760 Speaker 2: a step back from the brink right at this moment. 826 00:42:05,120 --> 00:42:09,359 Speaker 2: You know, my understanding of what this Trump administration is 827 00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:12,880 Speaker 2: doing right now, and Trump himself and Scott Bessett and 828 00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:15,920 Speaker 2: others have sort of indicated this. They've laid out their strategy, 829 00:42:15,960 --> 00:42:19,760 Speaker 2: et cetera. Trump was asked about the decline of the dollar, 830 00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:22,520 Speaker 2: and when the dollar declines, you know, most of the 831 00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:25,040 Speaker 2: things that we all buy at this point are imported 832 00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:25,800 Speaker 2: from abroad. 833 00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:28,040 Speaker 5: So if the dollar. 834 00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:31,320 Speaker 2: Isn't buying as many goods abroad. That means everything's getting 835 00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:33,759 Speaker 2: more expensive for you. That means whatever you've got in 836 00:42:33,800 --> 00:42:36,640 Speaker 2: your savings account or whatever wages you're earning, they're not 837 00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:39,719 Speaker 2: going as far. Right, So, for your average person who 838 00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:43,319 Speaker 2: doesn't own a lot of assets, the dollar's decline is 839 00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:46,680 Speaker 2: it's really bad, right. It takes away your purchasing power, 840 00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:50,440 Speaker 2: It makes you poor. If you are a very wealthy 841 00:42:50,440 --> 00:42:54,239 Speaker 2: person who is an asset owner, it actually can be beneficial. 842 00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:56,839 Speaker 2: It also is beneficial, and this is part of their 843 00:42:57,440 --> 00:42:59,480 Speaker 2: part of why they're moving in this direction, I think 844 00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:03,280 Speaker 2: intention only. It also is beneficial in terms of making 845 00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:07,520 Speaker 2: your exports more competitive. So if you do want to rebuild, 846 00:43:07,560 --> 00:43:10,320 Speaker 2: you know, in the manufacturing basis, this is something you're prioritizing. 847 00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:12,880 Speaker 2: This would be something that you would do, and so 848 00:43:12,960 --> 00:43:16,600 Speaker 2: for people who own those capital producing assets, it also 849 00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:20,440 Speaker 2: is beneficial. The other reason to do this is because 850 00:43:20,520 --> 00:43:23,200 Speaker 2: we have a massive amount of debt. 851 00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:24,560 Speaker 5: So if you. 852 00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:29,280 Speaker 2: Make the dollar value like that those dollars worth less, 853 00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:32,759 Speaker 2: then it is easier to pay off that debt. And 854 00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:35,560 Speaker 2: that has also been you know something that has been Yeah, 855 00:43:35,640 --> 00:43:38,000 Speaker 2: this is a tactic that's been deployed over any number. 856 00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:40,200 Speaker 1: Of currency manipulation is very common. 857 00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:43,759 Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly, So I think that is what is going on. So, 858 00:43:43,920 --> 00:43:45,719 Speaker 2: you know, when Trump comes out and he gets asked 859 00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:48,239 Speaker 2: about the dollar's decline and he's like, I'm happy with it, 860 00:43:48,280 --> 00:43:50,359 Speaker 2: Like I'm happy with the where the dollars, I think 861 00:43:50,360 --> 00:43:52,719 Speaker 2: you should take his word for it that that is 862 00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:55,480 Speaker 2: actually their plan, and you need to understand what that 863 00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:58,080 Speaker 2: means for you, for what's in your savings account, for 864 00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:01,000 Speaker 2: what's in your you know, ability to purchase, and that 865 00:44:01,160 --> 00:44:04,879 Speaker 2: is a plan directly to make you poor in terms. 866 00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:07,920 Speaker 2: So that's one piece. The other piece is this question 867 00:44:08,080 --> 00:44:13,120 Speaker 2: of selling American right, not purchasing American not buying American bonds, 868 00:44:13,160 --> 00:44:18,000 Speaker 2: off loading treasury bonds, not holding as much in terms 869 00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:20,520 Speaker 2: of dollar reserve. Central banks have reduced their amount of 870 00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:24,880 Speaker 2: dollar reserves. That is a separate piece which really reflects 871 00:44:24,920 --> 00:44:28,960 Speaker 2: the sort of you know, the shrinking power of the US, 872 00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:31,400 Speaker 2: the fact that a lot of countries are very unhappy 873 00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:33,840 Speaker 2: with US and the way we run the global financial system, 874 00:44:33,960 --> 00:44:37,320 Speaker 2: the increasing realization that we are not in the unipolar 875 00:44:37,480 --> 00:44:41,000 Speaker 2: moment anymore, countries wanting to protect themselves from you know, 876 00:44:41,120 --> 00:44:46,400 Speaker 2: our ability to completely manipulate their financial system, and you 877 00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:48,680 Speaker 2: know the part of Peter Shift's analysis there that I'm 878 00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:51,239 Speaker 2: skeptical of is I don't know that it happens in 879 00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:53,880 Speaker 2: this big collapse all at once, but you can see 880 00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:57,520 Speaker 2: this sort of slow and steady erosion moving in a 881 00:44:57,560 --> 00:45:02,080 Speaker 2: direction away from the US being the central player and 882 00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:04,120 Speaker 2: you know, the one and only central player in the 883 00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:05,160 Speaker 2: global financial system. 884 00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:05,640 Speaker 4: Yeah right. 885 00:45:05,680 --> 00:45:07,440 Speaker 1: And by the way, as we speak, gold is currently 886 00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:09,920 Speaker 1: a fifty five hundred per Houns. It's insane. I mean, 887 00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:12,600 Speaker 1: I literally, I mean not only not sitting like this, 888 00:45:12,680 --> 00:45:14,680 Speaker 1: but everyone's calling it safe haven. And yeah, you're right. 889 00:45:14,680 --> 00:45:17,080 Speaker 1: I mean, this is again why I also generally look 890 00:45:17,120 --> 00:45:19,480 Speaker 1: the goldbugs. You know, many of them are also invested, 891 00:45:19,520 --> 00:45:22,120 Speaker 1: and that's why I'm always a little bit skeptical sometimes 892 00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:24,200 Speaker 1: of their analysis. But they have good critiques of the 893 00:45:24,200 --> 00:45:26,520 Speaker 1: global financial system. And I think one of the things 894 00:45:26,560 --> 00:45:29,640 Speaker 1: that you know you're pointing to is if we look 895 00:45:29,680 --> 00:45:32,360 Speaker 1: at the way that empires kind of fade away, is 896 00:45:32,360 --> 00:45:35,640 Speaker 1: that this is kind of sometimes can be canary in 897 00:45:35,680 --> 00:45:39,440 Speaker 1: the coal mine. Usually what happens is a great war. Unfortunately, 898 00:45:39,520 --> 00:45:41,960 Speaker 1: what we just talked about was a war with Iran, 899 00:45:42,080 --> 00:45:44,560 Speaker 1: you know, so who knows it could be certainly something. 900 00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:47,120 Speaker 1: So you see instability. Then you have an outbreak of 901 00:45:47,160 --> 00:45:50,920 Speaker 1: a great war, and immediately afterwards. Usually what happens is 902 00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:53,520 Speaker 1: you don't immediately acknowledge. You're like, oh, well, we're no 903 00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:57,000 Speaker 1: longer an empire, but you slowly, within the next decade, 904 00:45:57,040 --> 00:45:59,680 Speaker 1: you know, find yourself no longer let's say the Pound 905 00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:03,280 Speaker 1: Stirling no longer as powerful as it once was, and you, 906 00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:05,880 Speaker 1: you know, watch your empire kind of fade from nineteen 907 00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:08,719 Speaker 1: nineteen all the way up until the nineteen sixties. That's 908 00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:10,680 Speaker 1: usually what the story can look like, let's say the 909 00:46:10,719 --> 00:46:12,960 Speaker 1: Roman Empire, any of these others, if you've studied this, 910 00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:17,960 Speaker 1: but internally also a key part of strength is not 911 00:46:18,560 --> 00:46:21,319 Speaker 1: just how you trade abroad, but what happens to you 912 00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:24,480 Speaker 1: at home. So yesterday we talked, sorry, two days ago, 913 00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:28,040 Speaker 1: we talked about the long term unemployment rate. We also 914 00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:31,279 Speaker 1: have this AI data spending that's all been happening. You know, 915 00:46:31,280 --> 00:46:33,440 Speaker 1: we haven't covered it in quite some time, but it 916 00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:36,200 Speaker 1: is still like a massive monolith of all of our 917 00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:39,640 Speaker 1: GDP per capita spend. And we're also beginning to see 918 00:46:39,640 --> 00:46:42,120 Speaker 1: the effects of this in the white collar marketplace. So 919 00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:44,360 Speaker 1: can we put B four please up on the screen. 920 00:46:44,640 --> 00:46:48,840 Speaker 1: This is a you know, massively influential story. Amazon is 921 00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:53,880 Speaker 1: set to act another sixteen thousand corporate jobs. The cuts 922 00:46:53,920 --> 00:46:57,240 Speaker 1: will bring the total number of layoffs to thirty thousand 923 00:46:57,400 --> 00:47:00,720 Speaker 1: over the last three months, and a higher spending on AI, 924 00:47:00,920 --> 00:47:05,560 Speaker 1: and they said organization changes, reducing layers, removing bureaucracy. Most 925 00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:08,680 Speaker 1: US Bays based employees would be given ninety days to 926 00:47:08,800 --> 00:47:12,440 Speaker 1: look for a new role internally or offered service severance 927 00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:16,360 Speaker 1: pay and the cuts basically from thirty thousand all appears 928 00:47:16,520 --> 00:47:19,360 Speaker 1: to be part of the AI and how it would 929 00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:23,480 Speaker 1: reduce the Amazon headcount, which they previewed last year in 930 00:47:23,520 --> 00:47:25,840 Speaker 1: their investor letter. And this is you know, the second 931 00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:29,719 Speaker 1: round that we've seen already. If you total it up 932 00:47:29,760 --> 00:47:32,359 Speaker 1: back to twenty twenty three, it's like tens of thousands 933 00:47:32,400 --> 00:47:35,880 Speaker 1: actually that have been laid off from Amazon. So I 934 00:47:35,880 --> 00:47:38,520 Speaker 1: think it's really really important for people to pay attention, 935 00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:41,040 Speaker 1: you know, in these white collar tech more focused workplaces, 936 00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:44,319 Speaker 1: because that can be a precursor to what's happening to you. 937 00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:46,640 Speaker 1: And so if we have high unemployment, then we're going 938 00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:49,920 Speaker 1: to be thinking also about our own domestic federal interest 939 00:47:50,000 --> 00:47:53,280 Speaker 1: rate policy and how that interacts with the globe safe 940 00:47:53,280 --> 00:47:55,759 Speaker 1: like this is where chaos. I'm not saying it's the 941 00:47:55,760 --> 00:47:58,400 Speaker 1: Great Depression, but you can see why the Great Depression 942 00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:01,440 Speaker 1: was so massively influential, where we had to balance not 943 00:48:01,480 --> 00:48:03,720 Speaker 1: only what was happening here but with the global system 944 00:48:03,719 --> 00:48:06,640 Speaker 1: itself and how that unleashed, you know, an insane war 945 00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:07,839 Speaker 1: in the Second World War. 946 00:48:08,320 --> 00:48:10,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, and from the sound of it, p is very 947 00:48:10,120 --> 00:48:14,520 Speaker 2: unhappy about all developments, which I understand if you can 948 00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:14,839 Speaker 2: hear that. 949 00:48:15,239 --> 00:48:18,640 Speaker 1: Sorry, that's baby life. That is baby life. They don't 950 00:48:18,680 --> 00:48:21,040 Speaker 1: care about the microphone. In fact, she likes the microphone. 951 00:48:21,080 --> 00:48:22,840 Speaker 1: She likes to come and to play with it whenever. 952 00:48:23,520 --> 00:48:24,680 Speaker 5: That's a terrible There we go. 953 00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:28,000 Speaker 2: Let's go and put B three up because I actually 954 00:48:28,040 --> 00:48:32,480 Speaker 2: think this relates to the Trump account block that we're. 955 00:48:32,320 --> 00:48:33,279 Speaker 5: About to do here. 956 00:48:33,760 --> 00:48:35,920 Speaker 2: So I really had to sit with this one for 957 00:48:35,960 --> 00:48:38,320 Speaker 2: a while to figure out whether this was any meaningful 958 00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:42,040 Speaker 2: in any way. But basically, people have been sharing this chart, 959 00:48:42,080 --> 00:48:44,319 Speaker 2: and this isn't like, you know, a new invention that 960 00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:47,839 Speaker 2: people use, but people track the stock market not only 961 00:48:48,200 --> 00:48:51,600 Speaker 2: valued in US dollars, but also okay, compared to the 962 00:48:51,680 --> 00:48:53,600 Speaker 2: value of gold. And so the persis is if you 963 00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:57,160 Speaker 2: measure the stock market in gold instead of in dollars, 964 00:48:57,200 --> 00:49:00,600 Speaker 2: the US stock market has basically collapsed. No, I mean 965 00:49:00,640 --> 00:49:04,280 Speaker 2: this makes logical sense when you consider how much gold 966 00:49:04,560 --> 00:49:08,239 Speaker 2: has gone up in price, it has vastly exceeded the 967 00:49:08,560 --> 00:49:11,720 Speaker 2: you know, returns, the increase in returns on the stock market. 968 00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:14,960 Speaker 2: So that's the relationship that is being tracked here. And 969 00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:17,560 Speaker 2: what this points to is that in a sense, some 970 00:49:17,600 --> 00:49:20,359 Speaker 2: of the stock market gains are a bit of an 971 00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:24,359 Speaker 2: illusion because if the dollars are worth less and you're 972 00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:29,840 Speaker 2: valuing it in dollars, then it stands to reason that 973 00:49:29,960 --> 00:49:32,799 Speaker 2: you know, your store of value is not staying at 974 00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:35,359 Speaker 2: the same level. So that's what this chart is is 975 00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:38,480 Speaker 2: trying to establish. And like I said, this will kind 976 00:49:38,520 --> 00:49:40,799 Speaker 2: of shift us into this Trump account thing, because what 977 00:49:40,880 --> 00:49:44,520 Speaker 2: this administration has said is, first of all, they're. 978 00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:46,320 Speaker 5: Very interested in the stock market performance. 979 00:49:46,560 --> 00:49:48,839 Speaker 2: It's the one thing that really causes Trump to you know, 980 00:49:48,880 --> 00:49:50,719 Speaker 2: I think it's a reason he backed down from his 981 00:49:50,840 --> 00:49:53,759 Speaker 2: greenland threat threats because he saw the market reacting. He 982 00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:56,720 Speaker 2: didn't like that and whatever. And they really talk about 983 00:49:56,800 --> 00:50:00,440 Speaker 2: as we move into this AI era, rather than having 984 00:50:00,560 --> 00:50:03,680 Speaker 2: more progressive taxation, rather than having public ownership of the 985 00:50:03,680 --> 00:50:07,520 Speaker 2: AI technology rather than having some sort of universal basic income. 986 00:50:07,960 --> 00:50:10,560 Speaker 2: Their view is, well, why don't we just get everybody 987 00:50:10,600 --> 00:50:12,759 Speaker 2: more invested in the stock market, and so then when 988 00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:15,920 Speaker 2: Nvidia goes up, you guys, you commoners out there, will 989 00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:18,480 Speaker 2: sort of, you know, get the second order gains from 990 00:50:18,480 --> 00:50:21,560 Speaker 2: whatever your holdings are in the stock market. That seems 991 00:50:21,600 --> 00:50:24,880 Speaker 2: to be their view of how to handle the shift 992 00:50:25,239 --> 00:50:28,359 Speaker 2: to the AA economy, where the idea is that you 993 00:50:28,400 --> 00:50:30,719 Speaker 2: are going to be out of a job and you know, 994 00:50:30,760 --> 00:50:33,800 Speaker 2: you're going to have an even greater consolidation of wealth 995 00:50:33,800 --> 00:50:36,120 Speaker 2: and power in the hands of a few. We're already 996 00:50:36,160 --> 00:50:38,680 Speaker 2: starting to see in some isolated instances like what we 997 00:50:38,800 --> 00:50:41,560 Speaker 2: just covered with Amazon, that job loss. We're seeing an 998 00:50:41,560 --> 00:50:44,279 Speaker 2: impact you know, on college grads right now. And so 999 00:50:44,600 --> 00:50:47,879 Speaker 2: that is the direction that they think they should push 1000 00:50:47,920 --> 00:50:50,040 Speaker 2: things in, and I think that is the you know, 1001 00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:52,480 Speaker 2: the sort of genesis of the idea of these of 1002 00:50:52,560 --> 00:50:56,080 Speaker 2: these Trump accounts and these investments for babies which are 1003 00:50:56,080 --> 00:50:57,120 Speaker 2: being piloted. 1004 00:50:57,160 --> 00:51:02,960 Speaker 1: Now, Yeah, that's a great actually transition, because there's a 1005 00:51:03,000 --> 00:51:06,319 Speaker 1: lot going on here with these Trump accounts. Trump yesterday 1006 00:51:06,520 --> 00:51:09,279 Speaker 1: announced them. Before we get into it, is something that 1007 00:51:09,320 --> 00:51:13,399 Speaker 1: had been passing the Big Beautiful Bill. What they effectively 1008 00:51:13,480 --> 00:51:17,080 Speaker 1: do is they set up like a child custodial account 1009 00:51:17,320 --> 00:51:20,279 Speaker 1: which will be funded with one thousand dollars from the 1010 00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:24,479 Speaker 1: United States government. Now various philanthropies, people like Michael Dell 1011 00:51:24,800 --> 00:51:27,480 Speaker 1: and others, have announced that they also will be giving 1012 00:51:27,680 --> 00:51:29,439 Speaker 1: some money, so it could actually be more like twelve 1013 00:51:29,520 --> 00:51:32,640 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty. The accounts will be very tightly controlled 1014 00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:35,640 Speaker 1: by the government and will solely invest in low cost 1015 00:51:35,760 --> 00:51:38,279 Speaker 1: index funds. But I think what's important, you know, and 1016 00:51:38,360 --> 00:51:41,000 Speaker 1: if you're watching this continuously, this will make more sense, 1017 00:51:41,360 --> 00:51:44,240 Speaker 1: is that what happened is that in order to potentially 1018 00:51:44,280 --> 00:51:46,640 Speaker 1: to prop up stock gains, you actually have kind of 1019 00:51:46,680 --> 00:51:50,360 Speaker 1: a circular share where the government itself will be purchasing 1020 00:51:50,680 --> 00:51:53,000 Speaker 1: index funds in companies, which of course is going to 1021 00:51:53,080 --> 00:51:55,760 Speaker 1: have some sort of distortionary effect on the overall price 1022 00:51:55,760 --> 00:51:57,160 Speaker 1: if you have I mean, I don't know how many 1023 00:51:57,160 --> 00:51:59,400 Speaker 1: millions of children were born in twenty twenty five, whenever 1024 00:51:59,440 --> 00:52:03,080 Speaker 1: all of these will be when these who will qualify 1025 00:52:03,280 --> 00:52:05,840 Speaker 1: for this, but in and of itself, like when they buy, 1026 00:52:06,120 --> 00:52:08,360 Speaker 1: is going to be important for the overall price and 1027 00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:10,919 Speaker 1: for the index, and kind of a faith in the US. 1028 00:52:10,960 --> 00:52:13,800 Speaker 1: This is somewhat common sometimes and sovereign wealth funds and 1029 00:52:13,840 --> 00:52:16,239 Speaker 1: all that. So it's not in a completely extraordinary thing, 1030 00:52:16,280 --> 00:52:18,960 Speaker 1: but it has not generally happened here in the history 1031 00:52:19,120 --> 00:52:21,440 Speaker 1: of the United States. But it's also being sold as 1032 00:52:21,480 --> 00:52:24,000 Speaker 1: a way for parents and for children. Why these accounts 1033 00:52:24,000 --> 00:52:25,640 Speaker 1: and all of that are great. And to be clear, 1034 00:52:25,680 --> 00:52:27,880 Speaker 1: I do not in any way object to giving children 1035 00:52:27,880 --> 00:52:29,520 Speaker 1: who are born in the United States money, but I 1036 00:52:29,560 --> 00:52:31,640 Speaker 1: do have some problems with the way that this account 1037 00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:33,239 Speaker 1: is set up. So with all of that being said, 1038 00:52:33,239 --> 00:52:37,080 Speaker 1: here's Donald Trump announcing and talking about the Trump account yesterday. 1039 00:52:37,200 --> 00:52:37,960 Speaker 1: Let's take a listen. 1040 00:52:38,200 --> 00:52:41,800 Speaker 12: Perhaps no provision of the Great, Big, Beautiful Bill will 1041 00:52:42,360 --> 00:52:47,319 Speaker 12: prove more consequential than Trump accounts. Under this program, the 1042 00:52:47,400 --> 00:52:51,400 Speaker 12: US government will automatically create a tax free investment account 1043 00:52:51,600 --> 00:52:56,640 Speaker 12: for every newborn American child, something that nobody really would 1044 00:52:56,640 --> 00:53:00,440 Speaker 12: have even thought of. There were some brilliant people that 1045 00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:02,440 Speaker 12: thought of it for a long time. They're here with 1046 00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:04,600 Speaker 12: us today. We're going to introduce a couple of them, 1047 00:53:05,200 --> 00:53:08,239 Speaker 12: but nobody really. I mean, I've had friends that the 1048 00:53:08,239 --> 00:53:10,400 Speaker 12: top people in business, they came up to me, whose 1049 00:53:10,440 --> 00:53:13,239 Speaker 12: idea was this? This is great I never thought they said, 1050 00:53:13,239 --> 00:53:17,520 Speaker 12: I never thought of that. We'll fund those personal accounts 1051 00:53:17,560 --> 00:53:21,000 Speaker 12: with a seed contribution of one thousand dollars, which will 1052 00:53:21,040 --> 00:53:24,000 Speaker 12: compound and grow over the course of their lives and 1053 00:53:24,040 --> 00:53:29,920 Speaker 12: could grow it to very very substantial numbers. Parents, employers, churches, states, 1054 00:53:29,960 --> 00:53:32,239 Speaker 12: and loved ones will also be able to add up 1055 00:53:32,280 --> 00:53:35,600 Speaker 12: to five thousand dollars in additional money for those accounts, 1056 00:53:36,440 --> 00:53:39,960 Speaker 12: and with every modest contribution, Trump accounts should reach at 1057 00:53:40,080 --> 00:53:44,239 Speaker 12: least fifty thousand dollars in value by the time the 1058 00:53:44,360 --> 00:53:48,239 Speaker 12: child turns eighteen, and could be very substantially more than that. 1059 00:53:48,480 --> 00:53:52,920 Speaker 13: Today there's one hundred and ten million Americans who basically 1060 00:53:52,960 --> 00:53:56,160 Speaker 13: have no plan for their future. They never did have 1061 00:53:56,239 --> 00:53:58,680 Speaker 13: a plan, and they don't know what they're going to 1062 00:53:58,719 --> 00:54:04,760 Speaker 13: do retirement. This idea, the Trump account solves that problem, 1063 00:54:04,840 --> 00:54:05,719 Speaker 13: or a good part of. 1064 00:54:05,640 --> 00:54:08,360 Speaker 14: It, because you're basically. 1065 00:54:07,719 --> 00:54:10,960 Speaker 13: Making an investment, not just in an individual that's born 1066 00:54:11,800 --> 00:54:13,200 Speaker 13: in their family. 1067 00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:16,840 Speaker 14: The burden of a family to educate or help a 1068 00:54:16,960 --> 00:54:21,320 Speaker 14: child launch can be really difficult, particularly you have a 1069 00:54:21,400 --> 00:54:25,800 Speaker 14: large one. Think about this and this money you can't 1070 00:54:26,120 --> 00:54:30,360 Speaker 14: touch for eighteen years. Let the power of the world's 1071 00:54:30,600 --> 00:54:34,279 Speaker 14: large the economy go to work for a child for 1072 00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:38,920 Speaker 14: eighteen years and stand back in awe and see what 1073 00:54:39,120 --> 00:54:42,640 Speaker 14: happens if you can't touch it and you let it 1074 00:54:42,760 --> 00:54:46,839 Speaker 14: do its thing. What I love about this is it's 1075 00:54:47,080 --> 00:54:48,799 Speaker 14: better than Social Security. 1076 00:54:49,520 --> 00:54:53,080 Speaker 1: It really is. Okay, so let's talk about this. And 1077 00:54:53,120 --> 00:54:55,040 Speaker 1: I want him to pay very close attention to the 1078 00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:57,720 Speaker 1: words he said, you can't touch it for eighteen years. 1079 00:54:57,760 --> 00:55:00,640 Speaker 1: I am a huge believer in compound, in tryst in, 1080 00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:03,879 Speaker 1: set forget it, in investment, and I wish way more 1081 00:55:03,880 --> 00:55:06,120 Speaker 1: people would do it. And if it leads to more 1082 00:55:06,480 --> 00:55:09,200 Speaker 1: general interests, and I think that that's fine. But but, 1083 00:55:09,440 --> 00:55:12,520 Speaker 1: and I think this is very important. The key theory 1084 00:55:12,880 --> 00:55:15,799 Speaker 1: behind this is that these accounts, which not only can 1085 00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:18,799 Speaker 1: be given from the government, but that you yourself as a 1086 00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:22,960 Speaker 1: family can invest in, will be transferred as custom to 1087 00:55:23,239 --> 00:55:27,480 Speaker 1: total control account of this account at age eighteen. That's 1088 00:55:27,520 --> 00:55:29,680 Speaker 1: where I don't know, if Crystal I start to get 1089 00:55:29,760 --> 00:55:31,680 Speaker 1: a little bit scared. I actually looked into this when 1090 00:55:31,680 --> 00:55:34,080 Speaker 1: my daughter was born and decided to instead put money 1091 00:55:34,120 --> 00:55:36,239 Speaker 1: in the five twenty nine plan instead of something called 1092 00:55:36,239 --> 00:55:38,560 Speaker 1: an UTMA. It's like, I'm not going to go into it. Basically, 1093 00:55:38,719 --> 00:55:41,279 Speaker 1: it's a similar style account with very littable restrictions, but 1094 00:55:41,320 --> 00:55:44,040 Speaker 1: the child gets total custody of set account at either 1095 00:55:44,080 --> 00:55:46,440 Speaker 1: eighteen or twenty one, depending on the state that you 1096 00:55:46,480 --> 00:55:49,359 Speaker 1: created in the issue with that account is they get 1097 00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:51,840 Speaker 1: total control of this account. Now, everyone says, oh, you 1098 00:55:51,880 --> 00:55:54,200 Speaker 1: should raise your child so that that's not going to 1099 00:55:54,239 --> 00:55:56,960 Speaker 1: be a problem. Well, I mean, Crystal, it's just a 1100 00:55:57,000 --> 00:55:58,960 Speaker 1: basic thing where I think, you know, even as I 1101 00:55:58,960 --> 00:56:01,120 Speaker 1: am learning, there's only so much that you can do. 1102 00:56:01,200 --> 00:56:03,480 Speaker 1: And also, I think my parents were great parents. If 1103 00:56:03,520 --> 00:56:06,239 Speaker 1: you had given me fifty thousand dollars when I was 1104 00:56:06,320 --> 00:56:09,160 Speaker 1: age of eighteen, I was an idiot, okay literally an 1105 00:56:09,200 --> 00:56:13,479 Speaker 1: idiot well with a very underdeveloped brain. And I think 1106 00:56:13,520 --> 00:56:15,919 Speaker 1: that that is where I'm starting to get a little 1107 00:56:15,920 --> 00:56:18,719 Speaker 1: bit afraid. So some of my friends in the financial 1108 00:56:18,719 --> 00:56:22,000 Speaker 1: industry have told me I'm freaking out too much. They're like, look, 1109 00:56:22,040 --> 00:56:24,600 Speaker 1: it's much more like a retirement account, because if you 1110 00:56:24,680 --> 00:56:27,279 Speaker 1: do pull it out before the age of retirement from 1111 00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:29,719 Speaker 1: the Trump account, you're gonna have to pay taxes and penalties. 1112 00:56:29,880 --> 00:56:32,879 Speaker 1: But do children who are age eighteen really think hard 1113 00:56:32,880 --> 00:56:35,400 Speaker 1: about taxes and penalties or do they say a shitload 1114 00:56:35,440 --> 00:56:37,880 Speaker 1: of free money, Like if you see fifty thousand dollars 1115 00:56:37,960 --> 00:56:39,160 Speaker 1: and they're like, oh, but you're gonna have to pay 1116 00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:41,000 Speaker 1: forty percent. They're like, oh, I don't care. I'll just 1117 00:56:41,000 --> 00:56:42,920 Speaker 1: pull it out and spend it on whatever I want. 1118 00:56:42,960 --> 00:56:45,600 Speaker 1: And if you, as a parent, can't necessarily do much 1119 00:56:45,600 --> 00:56:48,520 Speaker 1: about it. So for me, I would like to see 1120 00:56:48,680 --> 00:56:52,400 Speaker 1: government funded let's say five twenty nine plans with strict 1121 00:56:52,440 --> 00:56:55,120 Speaker 1: things that you could take that money out of, for example, 1122 00:56:55,400 --> 00:56:59,920 Speaker 1: either college education, college related types expenses, first time down payment, 1123 00:57:00,120 --> 00:57:03,120 Speaker 1: but the rest of the money, the money basically should 1124 00:57:03,160 --> 00:57:05,880 Speaker 1: be up to I think either the parent or should 1125 00:57:05,920 --> 00:57:08,759 Speaker 1: be created in such a way to not just incentivize, 1126 00:57:08,760 --> 00:57:11,480 Speaker 1: but to create strict control. There's a reason why if 1127 00:57:11,520 --> 00:57:14,480 Speaker 1: you look at inherited wealth across the world, and even 1128 00:57:14,520 --> 00:57:17,000 Speaker 1: the richest families in America today, they don't just give 1129 00:57:17,080 --> 00:57:19,120 Speaker 1: trust fund accounts to eighteen year olds, and when they do, 1130 00:57:19,160 --> 00:57:22,480 Speaker 1: it's usually a disaster. They write very strict instructions about 1131 00:57:22,520 --> 00:57:24,720 Speaker 1: the type of things that money can and should be 1132 00:57:24,720 --> 00:57:26,919 Speaker 1: spent on. And then let's say when you're age thirty 1133 00:57:26,960 --> 00:57:29,400 Speaker 1: and you're much more mature and you're developed than maybe 1134 00:57:29,440 --> 00:57:32,520 Speaker 1: you can have total control and spending over that account. 1135 00:57:32,560 --> 00:57:34,360 Speaker 1: But that is my biggest fear is that this will 1136 00:57:34,360 --> 00:57:39,320 Speaker 1: turns a well intentioned thing about the lessons of compound interests, 1137 00:57:39,400 --> 00:57:42,520 Speaker 1: but unfortunately, because of the lack of financial literacy, is 1138 00:57:42,560 --> 00:57:44,840 Speaker 1: that probably eighteen years from now, there will be a 1139 00:57:44,960 --> 00:57:47,640 Speaker 1: huge number of people who will just take all the 1140 00:57:47,680 --> 00:57:50,640 Speaker 1: money out taxes and penalties, and there's not enough of 1141 00:57:50,680 --> 00:57:53,640 Speaker 1: an incentive or even really rules that are built in 1142 00:57:54,320 --> 00:57:56,760 Speaker 1: to encourage and make sure that the money is spent 1143 00:57:56,800 --> 00:57:58,360 Speaker 1: in a way that we as a society, since it 1144 00:57:58,400 --> 00:58:01,600 Speaker 1: is tax payer money, is going to be spent again responsibly. 1145 00:58:01,640 --> 00:58:03,520 Speaker 1: So yes, some of it's on the parents. Of course, 1146 00:58:03,520 --> 00:58:06,680 Speaker 1: I believe in financial literacy and in education, but there 1147 00:58:06,720 --> 00:58:10,280 Speaker 1: are reasons why people do not do this, and that's 1148 00:58:10,320 --> 00:58:12,480 Speaker 1: the biggest worry that I have about this account. 1149 00:58:13,280 --> 00:58:17,280 Speaker 2: So the question for me is also around you know, 1150 00:58:17,880 --> 00:58:20,400 Speaker 2: we have finanite resources, we don't do a lot of 1151 00:58:20,400 --> 00:58:23,760 Speaker 2: social spending, So what are the alternatives here and who 1152 00:58:23,840 --> 00:58:26,800 Speaker 2: is this primarily going to benefit. The way this is 1153 00:58:26,800 --> 00:58:30,320 Speaker 2: structured is the government gives you that first thousand dollars 1154 00:58:30,680 --> 00:58:32,840 Speaker 2: and then you're on your own. So it is similar 1155 00:58:32,840 --> 00:58:34,840 Speaker 2: to a five to twenty nine plan, where you know 1156 00:58:34,880 --> 00:58:37,040 Speaker 2: it's tax advantage money. So you can put in what 1157 00:58:37,120 --> 00:58:39,640 Speaker 2: is it, five thousand dollars a year, and so for 1158 00:58:39,760 --> 00:58:42,880 Speaker 2: parents who have an extra five grand or ten grand 1159 00:58:42,960 --> 00:58:44,880 Speaker 2: or fifteen grand, depending on how many kids they have, 1160 00:58:45,680 --> 00:58:47,840 Speaker 2: they can put that in and that's a tremendous benefit 1161 00:58:47,920 --> 00:58:52,120 Speaker 2: to them. So it's prenominantly going to benefit people who 1162 00:58:52,280 --> 00:58:56,200 Speaker 2: are at least middle or upper middle or wealthy, same 1163 00:58:56,240 --> 00:58:59,280 Speaker 2: as with five twenty nines. And that is that is 1164 00:58:59,360 --> 00:59:01,840 Speaker 2: real spending. So there's no taxes being paid on this 1165 00:59:02,000 --> 00:59:05,360 Speaker 2: tax advantage, and so that is real spending, and it's 1166 00:59:05,360 --> 00:59:09,200 Speaker 2: going once again to benefit people who are already comparatively privileged. 1167 00:59:09,520 --> 00:59:12,360 Speaker 2: So if you care about something like, you know, reducing inequality, 1168 00:59:12,360 --> 00:59:14,720 Speaker 2: which I think even if you don't give a shit 1169 00:59:14,800 --> 00:59:17,880 Speaker 2: about inequality from like a moral perspective, I think everyone 1170 00:59:17,920 --> 00:59:20,960 Speaker 2: should really be very concerned about inequality from like a 1171 00:59:21,200 --> 00:59:25,600 Speaker 2: society surviving perspective. If you care about that, this is 1172 00:59:25,600 --> 00:59:28,000 Speaker 2: not going to do anything to solve that. In fact, 1173 00:59:28,120 --> 00:59:31,440 Speaker 2: because of the structure of it, it could actually increase 1174 00:59:31,800 --> 00:59:34,760 Speaker 2: that level of inequality. The other thing to point out is, 1175 00:59:34,880 --> 00:59:37,600 Speaker 2: you know, even with quote unquote just one thousand dollars 1176 00:59:38,000 --> 00:59:41,160 Speaker 2: going to all of all of these babies. That's still 1177 00:59:41,200 --> 00:59:44,280 Speaker 2: a very expensive program that costs a lot of money. 1178 00:59:44,400 --> 00:59:46,000 Speaker 2: There are a lot of other things that you could 1179 00:59:46,040 --> 00:59:48,800 Speaker 2: do with that program, something like you know, universal childcare 1180 00:59:49,040 --> 00:59:53,200 Speaker 2: that would have a more broad based benefit and would 1181 00:59:53,320 --> 00:59:56,240 Speaker 2: go further to you know, helping to ease the burden 1182 00:59:56,280 --> 00:59:58,360 Speaker 2: for people who need it the most, but still have 1183 00:59:58,560 --> 01:00:01,640 Speaker 2: still be a universal program. So I have some issues 1184 01:00:01,680 --> 01:00:04,200 Speaker 2: with it because of you know, the opportunity cost of 1185 01:00:04,240 --> 01:00:06,320 Speaker 2: what this money could otherwise go to, and because of 1186 01:00:06,360 --> 01:00:10,440 Speaker 2: who It ultimately ends up being a somewhat regressive program 1187 01:00:10,800 --> 01:00:13,480 Speaker 2: because of the structure of it now again similar to 1188 01:00:13,520 --> 01:00:15,920 Speaker 2: five twenty nine's which is for people who don't know, 1189 01:00:16,320 --> 01:00:19,160 Speaker 2: that's this tax advantage college saving program you can put 1190 01:00:19,160 --> 01:00:21,640 Speaker 2: money in, and again it's you know, tax advantage, and 1191 01:00:21,720 --> 01:00:24,600 Speaker 2: so people who are upper middle class or better off 1192 01:00:24,880 --> 01:00:27,360 Speaker 2: typically are investing in those and they're getting the benefit 1193 01:00:27,400 --> 01:00:29,000 Speaker 2: from it. People who are poor and don't have that 1194 01:00:29,080 --> 01:00:33,200 Speaker 2: extra cash obviously they're not benefiting from it. So there's that, 1195 01:00:33,400 --> 01:00:37,840 Speaker 2: and then you know, on a broader ideological plane, this 1196 01:00:37,920 --> 01:00:40,200 Speaker 2: gets to what I was talking about before, in terms 1197 01:00:40,280 --> 01:00:45,920 Speaker 2: of the Trump administration's plan for dealing with the reality of. 1198 01:00:45,920 --> 01:00:47,040 Speaker 5: An AI future. 1199 01:00:47,560 --> 01:00:51,920 Speaker 2: In which people don't have jobs, where there's a massive 1200 01:00:52,040 --> 01:00:56,160 Speaker 2: labor disruption and there are many fewer jobs, and you 1201 01:00:56,320 --> 01:00:59,640 Speaker 2: have the world's first trillionaires, and you have this incredible 1202 01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:03,040 Speaker 2: wealth and power, the likes of which we cannot even comprehend, 1203 01:01:03,440 --> 01:01:06,640 Speaker 2: consolidated in the hands of a few. And their answer 1204 01:01:06,720 --> 01:01:10,160 Speaker 2: to that is basically the stock market is, look, we're 1205 01:01:10,200 --> 01:01:12,880 Speaker 2: gonna you know, we're going to keep inflating the stock 1206 01:01:12,880 --> 01:01:14,840 Speaker 2: market and pushing this line goes up and up and 1207 01:01:14,920 --> 01:01:17,480 Speaker 2: up as much as we possibly can, and so we're 1208 01:01:17,480 --> 01:01:20,680 Speaker 2: going to give you some ways to increase your axis 1209 01:01:20,680 --> 01:01:24,480 Speaker 2: and exposure. So you feel like as Nvidia, you know, 1210 01:01:24,640 --> 01:01:27,360 Speaker 2: goes up, or as you know, Elon Musk's wealth or 1211 01:01:27,400 --> 01:01:30,800 Speaker 2: whoever else, as their wealth skyrockets, you feel like at 1212 01:01:30,920 --> 01:01:34,120 Speaker 2: least you were getting some piece of that. Now, is 1213 01:01:34,160 --> 01:01:36,440 Speaker 2: that going to be adequate to overcome the fact that 1214 01:01:36,480 --> 01:01:39,240 Speaker 2: you're going to have these massive labor disruptions, et cetera. 1215 01:01:39,400 --> 01:01:42,600 Speaker 2: I think that's very unlikely. But that's the broader sort 1216 01:01:42,640 --> 01:01:45,680 Speaker 2: of like ideological or policy scheme that I think that 1217 01:01:45,760 --> 01:01:48,520 Speaker 2: these Trump accounts really fit into. And then the last things, Sorry, 1218 01:01:48,520 --> 01:01:49,720 Speaker 2: I know, I'm going on for a long time, and 1219 01:01:49,720 --> 01:01:52,040 Speaker 2: I thought a lot about this too. The last thing 1220 01:01:52,120 --> 01:01:54,479 Speaker 2: is with Trump, you know, everything is about is about 1221 01:01:54,480 --> 01:01:57,680 Speaker 2: the corruption and is about the like cronyism. You already 1222 01:01:57,680 --> 01:02:00,160 Speaker 2: have a bunch of companies that have titled up to 1223 01:02:00,200 --> 01:02:03,280 Speaker 2: the table, some of whom have you know, are facing 1224 01:02:03,520 --> 01:02:07,320 Speaker 2: lawsuit DOJ lawsuits or regulatory action who are like, hey, 1225 01:02:07,480 --> 01:02:11,280 Speaker 2: we love mister Trump, what a brilliant idea. You know, 1226 01:02:11,480 --> 01:02:14,160 Speaker 2: we're going to donate some to these Trump accounts as well. 1227 01:02:14,520 --> 01:02:19,240 Speaker 2: So it's yet another avenue for companies to curry favor 1228 01:02:19,960 --> 01:02:25,040 Speaker 2: with Trump himself. Yeah, we know, hes Yeah, exactly, that's 1229 01:02:25,080 --> 01:02:28,240 Speaker 2: exactly right. And you know, and there's still questions about like, well, 1230 01:02:28,240 --> 01:02:29,800 Speaker 2: what are these going to be invested in. They're saying, 1231 01:02:29,840 --> 01:02:32,680 Speaker 2: you know, high quality index funds. If so, that's relatively neutral, 1232 01:02:32,680 --> 01:02:34,600 Speaker 2: but you could imagine them gaining the system with that 1233 01:02:34,720 --> 01:02:37,360 Speaker 2: to prop up to be able to shovel government money 1234 01:02:37,640 --> 01:02:40,000 Speaker 2: to their fronts and allies. I don't think anyone would 1235 01:02:40,000 --> 01:02:41,800 Speaker 2: put that past them. So, you know, there's a lot 1236 01:02:41,800 --> 01:02:45,280 Speaker 2: of questions of like direct cronyism and potential corruption here. 1237 01:02:45,520 --> 01:02:46,800 Speaker 1: Well, there's a lot of problems with it, And this 1238 01:02:46,880 --> 01:02:48,720 Speaker 1: is kind of what I'm getting at and this is 1239 01:02:48,760 --> 01:02:50,520 Speaker 1: where you know, the libertarians always get mad at me 1240 01:02:50,560 --> 01:02:52,439 Speaker 1: because they're like, oh, you don't believe in freedom of choice. 1241 01:02:52,440 --> 01:02:54,760 Speaker 1: I'm like, well, there's a reason why the vast majority 1242 01:02:54,760 --> 01:02:56,720 Speaker 1: of people with means don't just hand an eighteen year 1243 01:02:56,760 --> 01:02:59,440 Speaker 1: old a shitload of money. It's because we generally have 1244 01:02:59,520 --> 01:03:01,240 Speaker 1: to try and to like, what are the types of 1245 01:03:01,280 --> 01:03:02,880 Speaker 1: things that we're trying to identivize? This is it gets 1246 01:03:02,920 --> 01:03:05,040 Speaker 1: to your point. This is why I've also just ultimately 1247 01:03:05,080 --> 01:03:08,080 Speaker 1: turned against this idea of UBI as well, because they're like, well, 1248 01:03:08,120 --> 01:03:10,160 Speaker 1: for eighteen years. By the way, you know, if you 1249 01:03:10,200 --> 01:03:12,320 Speaker 1: want to do the compound math, you know, for one 1250 01:03:12,320 --> 01:03:15,040 Speaker 1: thousand dollars compounding depending on what it will come to, 1251 01:03:15,080 --> 01:03:17,800 Speaker 1: it's like eighteen thousand dollars, which, again, if you withdraw 1252 01:03:18,040 --> 01:03:21,640 Speaker 1: at age eighteen, after penalty and tax inflation adjusted, not 1253 01:03:21,760 --> 01:03:24,240 Speaker 1: exactly a ton of money. Like yeah, maybe like how 1254 01:03:24,320 --> 01:03:27,040 Speaker 1: much does an use cargo for these days? Like twenty 1255 01:03:27,040 --> 01:03:30,040 Speaker 1: five thousand dollars? Right, and so okay, so you could 1256 01:03:30,040 --> 01:03:32,400 Speaker 1: buy half of a used car, like great. I mean 1257 01:03:33,000 --> 01:03:35,640 Speaker 1: what you're trying to get at also is that at 1258 01:03:35,640 --> 01:03:38,120 Speaker 1: the same time, if you don't do anything about the 1259 01:03:38,160 --> 01:03:41,560 Speaker 1: general cost of living, about housing, about the actual like 1260 01:03:41,600 --> 01:03:44,680 Speaker 1: structural and let's say educational inflation. If a stock market 1261 01:03:44,720 --> 01:03:47,040 Speaker 1: is going to return seven percent on average over here, 1262 01:03:47,040 --> 01:03:49,880 Speaker 1: but healthcare inflation for education is going to be like 1263 01:03:49,880 --> 01:03:52,520 Speaker 1: twenty five thirty percent, even a five twenty nine, you're 1264 01:03:52,640 --> 01:03:56,280 Speaker 1: still losing money in the long run considering how much 1265 01:03:56,440 --> 01:03:58,680 Speaker 1: the overall tuition. So it doesn't deal with any of 1266 01:03:58,720 --> 01:04:01,800 Speaker 1: the cost structure. It's kind of a libertarian ideology, right, 1267 01:04:01,880 --> 01:04:05,480 Speaker 1: And so it gets to this idea of like compounding interest, 1268 01:04:05,520 --> 01:04:07,960 Speaker 1: which again is phenomenal and is great, and I think 1269 01:04:08,000 --> 01:04:11,840 Speaker 1: people should take advantage, but also when it's taxpayer dollars, 1270 01:04:11,880 --> 01:04:13,960 Speaker 1: we should also have somewhat of a say, not only 1271 01:04:13,960 --> 01:04:16,280 Speaker 1: in the structure around us, in terms of the way 1272 01:04:16,360 --> 01:04:18,720 Speaker 1: that the money is spent, and so just broadly, like 1273 01:04:18,960 --> 01:04:21,120 Speaker 1: looking at all this, I'm going to take advantage of it, 1274 01:04:21,120 --> 01:04:23,480 Speaker 1: all right. I'm not above taking free money from the government. 1275 01:04:23,520 --> 01:04:26,600 Speaker 1: I definitely will take it, but it's not really something 1276 01:04:26,600 --> 01:04:28,840 Speaker 1: I'm going to be like plowing a whole bunch of 1277 01:04:28,920 --> 01:04:31,640 Speaker 1: money into. And the only real reason from one of 1278 01:04:31,720 --> 01:04:35,240 Speaker 1: my friends who talks about this is that in some 1279 01:04:35,320 --> 01:04:38,520 Speaker 1: ways it's a good workaround for rich because a lot 1280 01:04:38,520 --> 01:04:41,680 Speaker 1: of rich people are obsessed with putting money in their kids' 1281 01:04:41,920 --> 01:04:44,520 Speaker 1: wroth iras. And you can only put money into a 1282 01:04:44,560 --> 01:04:47,720 Speaker 1: roth ira if your child is working, So people come 1283 01:04:47,800 --> 01:04:49,800 Speaker 1: up with all kinds of elaborate schemes to put their 1284 01:04:49,840 --> 01:04:52,600 Speaker 1: kids on payroll so that they can fund their roth ira. 1285 01:04:52,880 --> 01:04:55,200 Speaker 1: He's like, well, you know, the big brain way to 1286 01:04:55,280 --> 01:04:57,920 Speaker 1: do this is to like max out these Trump accounts 1287 01:04:57,960 --> 01:04:59,720 Speaker 1: and then when your kid turns eighteen, you roll it 1288 01:04:59,720 --> 01:05:02,160 Speaker 1: all in to a roth ira and they can become 1289 01:05:02,240 --> 01:05:04,720 Speaker 1: retire with ten million. Now, I'm sure, you know, very 1290 01:05:04,760 --> 01:05:07,800 Speaker 1: financially illiterate, wealthier households will take advantage of that. It 1291 01:05:07,880 --> 01:05:10,080 Speaker 1: sounds like a good loophole. Remember, though, you have to 1292 01:05:10,080 --> 01:05:12,320 Speaker 1: tell the eighteen year old and they have to agree 1293 01:05:12,760 --> 01:05:14,520 Speaker 1: to this, which you may or may not, you know, 1294 01:05:14,520 --> 01:05:17,160 Speaker 1: you know, I don't know that for sure. But in general, 1295 01:05:17,280 --> 01:05:19,480 Speaker 1: like this stuff is really only used by twenty something 1296 01:05:19,560 --> 01:05:22,360 Speaker 1: percent of households, and that is also kind of the 1297 01:05:22,360 --> 01:05:25,760 Speaker 1: bigger problem that surrounds this entire thing. So that's your 1298 01:05:25,800 --> 01:05:28,640 Speaker 1: you know, your diatribe here on the Trump account. I'm 1299 01:05:28,720 --> 01:05:31,160 Speaker 1: much more of a fan of five twenty nine, of 1300 01:05:31,280 --> 01:05:33,880 Speaker 1: funding five twenty nine, while by the way, simultaneously doing 1301 01:05:33,920 --> 01:05:37,320 Speaker 1: something about the overall costs, making sure that it's highly 1302 01:05:37,400 --> 01:05:41,560 Speaker 1: structurally incentivized towards down payments, towards things that are very 1303 01:05:42,080 --> 01:05:45,480 Speaker 1: childcare expenses, let's say, or let's say that you know, 1304 01:05:45,520 --> 01:05:48,840 Speaker 1: whenever you have a child, you can take money from 1305 01:05:48,880 --> 01:05:52,280 Speaker 1: that as replacement income if you or your wife want 1306 01:05:52,320 --> 01:05:54,600 Speaker 1: to stay home. Right, Like, these are the types of 1307 01:05:54,600 --> 01:05:57,040 Speaker 1: things that if you put and set it in these 1308 01:05:57,240 --> 01:06:00,640 Speaker 1: specific ways, then you can highly incentivize exactly the type 1309 01:06:00,680 --> 01:06:04,400 Speaker 1: of behavior which we think is important instead of you know, 1310 01:06:04,480 --> 01:06:07,040 Speaker 1: pumping money into whatever the S and P five hundred 1311 01:06:07,040 --> 01:06:09,080 Speaker 1: stock is and then giving it to an eighteen year 1312 01:06:09,080 --> 01:06:10,840 Speaker 1: old who's probably going to go blow it on something 1313 01:06:10,840 --> 01:06:11,720 Speaker 1: incredibly stupid. 1314 01:06:11,920 --> 01:06:14,959 Speaker 2: So well, all the other thing is it assumes line 1315 01:06:14,960 --> 01:06:16,919 Speaker 2: goes up forever, and maybe it does. 1316 01:06:17,280 --> 01:06:18,360 Speaker 5: We've kind of gotten used to that. 1317 01:06:18,840 --> 01:06:20,880 Speaker 2: But it means that you're, you know, you're putting your 1318 01:06:20,960 --> 01:06:22,920 Speaker 2: child's future in the hands of like the whims of 1319 01:06:22,960 --> 01:06:26,560 Speaker 2: the market and investing Americans even more in this you know, uh, 1320 01:06:26,960 --> 01:06:28,080 Speaker 2: rigged casino. 1321 01:06:27,840 --> 01:06:29,480 Speaker 5: That is the stock market. 1322 01:06:29,640 --> 01:06:32,720 Speaker 2: So that to your point about it being very ideological, 1323 01:06:33,040 --> 01:06:37,919 Speaker 2: very libertarian, that is the philosophy that undergirds this, and 1324 01:06:38,640 --> 01:06:40,640 Speaker 2: you know, we'll see, we'll see how that goes. 1325 01:06:40,880 --> 01:06:43,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, by the way, all that being said, 1326 01:06:43,360 --> 01:06:45,200 Speaker 1: if you had a kid this year like me, take 1327 01:06:45,240 --> 01:06:46,160 Speaker 1: the money, it's freemo. 1328 01:06:46,240 --> 01:06:47,040 Speaker 5: Oh yeah, of course. 1329 01:06:47,400 --> 01:06:50,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, take it car all right, open it and sentivize it. 1330 01:06:50,640 --> 01:06:52,600 Speaker 1: Take the dollars because we paid too much in fucking 1331 01:06:52,640 --> 01:06:55,200 Speaker 1: taxes to it. Not least, you know, get the crumbs 1332 01:06:55,680 --> 01:06:56,800 Speaker 1: whenever they do occasionally. 1333 01:06:57,000 --> 01:06:58,920 Speaker 5: Yeah, take that thousand dollars from Pallaineer. 1334 01:06:59,360 --> 01:07:01,880 Speaker 1: I'm going to take my thousand bucks and I'm gonna 1335 01:07:01,880 --> 01:07:03,800 Speaker 1: give it to her, and I'm gonna say, have some 1336 01:07:03,880 --> 01:07:05,680 Speaker 1: fun when you're okay,