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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daly Juice Podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Perrelt at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: That's Omaha Steaks dot com. Keyword is juice. All right,

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Speaker 1: two and one day yesterday, bounce back day upo point

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Speaker 1: eighty five pirates. Yikes. I was really afraid of this.

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Speaker 1: Somebody sent me in this note and this is if

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Speaker 1: you don't want to bet this today, this is probably

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Speaker 1: the day maybe not to bet the Pirates. The Pirates

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Speaker 1: are now oh in twenty one on the run line

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Speaker 1: against American League opponents over their last twenty one games. Yikes,

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Speaker 1: one more game left against Pittsburgh here today for the A's.

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Speaker 1: It is plus money, So if you want to do it,

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Speaker 1: that's not bad. But I'm doing it just because I'm

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Speaker 1: betting it every day all the way until the middle

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Speaker 1: of June. So like Jude's, I think the day it

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Speaker 1: is so now we're eleven and seven up three point

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Speaker 1: one units, still profitable on this experiment, but you know,

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Speaker 1: coming back down to Earth lost a couple of days,

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Speaker 1: it's expected. Here with the Pirates against the A's, I've

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Speaker 1: got two basketball bets for game number three, and I've

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Speaker 1: got one baseball bet to make here today. I don't

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Speaker 1: think I'll do NBA player props. If there's something that

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Speaker 1: really jumps out at me, maybe I'll put it in

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel bettingpros dot Com slash chat. But if

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Speaker 1: you look at the numbers as to what I've been doing,

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Speaker 1: so I'm forty two and twenty two so far in

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Speaker 1: the NBA this season, with just straight up one unit

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Speaker 1: to win one unit bets. That's sixty five percent up

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Speaker 1: eighteen point sixty four units. Okay, by far the best, okay,

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Speaker 1: and by far the reason why this podcast is now

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Speaker 1: up ten units historically since I came back is it

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Speaker 1: has been the NBA, so I'm not as good with

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Speaker 1: the props. Let's just say that I'm twenty and eighteen.

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Speaker 1: That's fifty two point six percent not over on the viig.

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Speaker 1: I'm down point one point nine, okay, so basically, you know,

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Speaker 1: zero point two units, So basically flat, but not nearly

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Speaker 1: as good as I am when I'm just betting full

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Speaker 1: unit NBA sides and totals in first quarters and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: Probably should just stick with that, to be quite honest,

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Speaker 1: So we're doing that. NHL I need to end strong here.

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Speaker 1: Tomorrow is game Game three of the NHL Finals. I mean, Florida,

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Speaker 1: Come on, man, I gotta bet. I'm gonna bet Florida tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: If I lose Game three, if I lose money betting

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Speaker 1: on hockey, I'll probably stop. I'll probably be done betting

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Speaker 1: on the NHL for the season because I'm ninety three

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Speaker 1: and eighty six up three point three units. I don't

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Speaker 1: I want to end the year in the negative. That

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Speaker 1: would really be annoying. We've had a very good year

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Speaker 1: in hockey. Betting on the NHL is really hard in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs. The numbers are so sharp, so I don't

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Speaker 1: want to give it up. I don't want to blow it.

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Speaker 1: So Game three is a pretty important game for me

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Speaker 1: when it comes to the Cup finals, so I needed

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Speaker 1: to perform well. I need to hit on what's going

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Speaker 1: to happen in Game three. But I mean NBA tonight

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Speaker 1: forty two and twenty two. Let's have some fun here.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the first half total. It's one ten

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Speaker 1: between Miami and Denver. I expect a really slow game.

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Speaker 1: I think this could the game could go under. But

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Speaker 1: Miami's not gonna shoot like they did in Game two. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Miami's also not gonna let Denver shoot aggressively or run

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Speaker 1: as much as they do at home. Denver's a different

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Speaker 1: team on the road than they are at home. Most

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Speaker 1: teams are, but at altitude it's much different. I don't

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Speaker 1: think Miami's gonna hit the shots that they hit. I

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Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna shoot fifty percent from three in

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Speaker 1: the you know, for the game. I don't think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna hit sixty plus percent of their shots in the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter. But in the first half, I expect Denver

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Speaker 1: to be much more aggressive. I expect Denver to come

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Speaker 1: out firing on defense, maybe not on offense, but firing

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Speaker 1: on defense, and actually play a full four quarter game,

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Speaker 1: because they did not do that in Game two totals

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Speaker 1: one ten. I think Miami's cold. I think Denver locks

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Speaker 1: down early in the first half. I'm going under one ten,

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Speaker 1: minus one ten, one point one units down on this here.

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Speaker 1: First quarter. Easily see Miami being in the lead. I

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Speaker 1: don't mind it, but the numbers two and a half

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Speaker 1: for the game, and you're getting you know, it's Pritsky

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Speaker 1: got pick in most of these quarters. I think this

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Speaker 1: is gonna be a tight, low scoring first half, a

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Speaker 1: lot of nervous energy on the court, a lot of

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Speaker 1: missed shots on both sides, under minus one, under one

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Speaker 1: ten first half total for both teams here at minus

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Speaker 1: one ten for one point one units. And then I

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Speaker 1: think Denver. I mean, look, I thought Denver would win

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Speaker 1: this thing in five or six. We have that bet going.

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Speaker 1: I'm kind of doubling down a little bit here on

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Speaker 1: this because if Denver loses this game, more than likely,

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Speaker 1: if Denver's gonna win it, they're gonna go seven. If

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Speaker 1: Denver wins this game, they're up two games to one.

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Speaker 1: They can lose Game three, win Game I, lose game four,

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Speaker 1: win Game five, and then close it out in six

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Speaker 1: to win it four games to two in Denver. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so that's kind of how I'm playing this out. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take Denver, and I'm gonna lay the two and

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Speaker 1: a half points. Okay, I don't think it really matters

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Speaker 1: all that much. I don't see Denver winning this game close.

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Speaker 1: If they win this game, I think they win it

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Speaker 1: by a couple of possessions. So I'm not really afraid

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Speaker 1: of the number. It's minus one forty minus one thirty

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Speaker 1: five on the money line, So not really interesting in

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Speaker 1: getting involved in that too much. I think I just

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Speaker 1: lay the points Denver minus two and half to win

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Speaker 1: Game three and cover here to take a two games

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Speaker 1: to one lead in the NBA Finals. I think Michael

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Speaker 1: Malow will make some great adjustments here. I think Denver

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Speaker 1: is gonna shoot the ball a whole lot more. I

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Speaker 1: expect a better version of Michael Porters Junior, and I

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Speaker 1: expect Denver to find mismatches like they did in Game

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Speaker 1: one where they had Aaron Aaron Gordon all over the

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Speaker 1: place on the younger, on the smaller, tinier guards. I

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Speaker 1: think that happens again. Denver wins. Denver covers first half

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Speaker 1: under one ten for one point one units, Denver minus

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Speaker 1: two and a half for one point one units. So

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Speaker 1: if I do player props like I mentioned, I'll get involved,

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Speaker 1: But I don't think I'm gonna do player props here tonight.

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Speaker 1: What I am going to do is one baseball play.

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Speaker 1: Officially a baseball play went two and one. Yesterday the

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Speaker 1: Royals are playing the Marlins. Now we have a win

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Speaker 1: bet on the Marlins win total at over seventy six

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Speaker 1: and a half wins. The Marlins are rolling right now,

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Speaker 1: six to one winners. Yesterday they beat Granking Company and

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Speaker 1: now Jordan Lyles pitches for Kansas City OH to nine

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Speaker 1: six point eight nine ERA. Jordan Lyles has a nine

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Speaker 1: point eight nine ERA on the road OH to four

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Speaker 1: opposing batting average of two eighty seven. He's given up

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Speaker 1: twenty six earned runs in twenty three and two thirds

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Speaker 1: innings worth of work on the road, and they keep

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Speaker 1: on sending him out there to pitch. I mean it's

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Speaker 1: almost a little bit mean. He's lost his last three

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Speaker 1: starts on the road. On the run line. Ed Cabrera

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Speaker 1: counters here for the Marlins, who has been pretty good

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Speaker 1: is four and four four point five ozho era is

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Speaker 1: is a little bit bloated because he hasn't pitched well

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Speaker 1: here in the month of May. Pitched okay in April.

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Speaker 1: May has been okay for him at home, though. Cabrera

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Speaker 1: has a two point seven seven ERA four and oh

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Speaker 1: opposing batting average of two point fifteen only eight eight

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Speaker 1: earned runs given up in twenty six innings worth of

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Speaker 1: work here. You can go money line on the first five.

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Speaker 1: I don't hate that play at all, but I think

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Speaker 1: I like the bullpen to get lit up here a

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Speaker 1: little bit. Cabrera won four not thing against Oakland in

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Speaker 1: his last start. We had the run line in that game.

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Speaker 1: He won eight to five against the Angels. He lost

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Speaker 1: five to three at Colorado, won four to three against Washington,

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Speaker 1: five to four on the road against Arizona. He's won

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Speaker 1: three of his last sorry four of his last five starts.

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Speaker 1: The Marlins have won here it's miss one seventy five

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Speaker 1: on the money line, a little expensive. I'm gonna keep

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Speaker 1: that bullpen in play for the Royals because it's so bad.

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Speaker 1: And we saw Miami do a lot of work yesterday

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Speaker 1: in that game, scoring five runs in the fifth, one

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Speaker 1: run in the seventh. Here, Gregg, he gave up five

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Speaker 1: and then the bullpen came in. But actually wasn't that

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Speaker 1: bad for the Royals yesterday. But the Royals now are

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Speaker 1: nine and twenty on the road. Marlins are twenty and

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Speaker 1: thirteen at home. They're playing much better. They've won both

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Speaker 1: games here. On the run line against the Royals, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna come back with a plus money bet plus one

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Speaker 1: seventeen Marlins run line against the Royals at one unit

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Speaker 1: at plus one seventeen. Okay, so yes, the Pirates play

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Speaker 1: is going to be in. I'm making the Pirates bet.

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Speaker 1: I think it's plus one twenty today on the run

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Speaker 1: line for the Pirates. They have a name of starting pitcher.

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Speaker 1: I don't think so. Not every every book has a

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Speaker 1: number up for the Pirates game. It's an early game too,

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Speaker 1: by the way, it's a nine to thirty five game.

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Speaker 1: Getaway Day Wednesday, start time here. Looks like Harris is

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Speaker 1: pitching against Catreras for the Pirates. Harris hasn't recorded a

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Speaker 1: win or a loss. He's an opener. Looks like Lefty

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Speaker 1: six six ninety seven era rubber match between these two teams.

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Speaker 1: Pirates won Game one, five to four A's eleven to

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Speaker 1: two eleven runs for the a I mean, yikes, with

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Speaker 1: their best pitcher on the mound for the Pirates. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: snapping that unbelievable fifteen game road losing streak for the A's,

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Speaker 1: they finally snapped it. We're gonna fade back in here

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Speaker 1: with the Pirates. Not officially, though, I will be on

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Speaker 1: the Pirates run line for them, but officially it's Marlins

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Speaker 1: run line at plus one seventeen here at home against

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Speaker 1: the Royals. All right, so under one ten first half,

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Speaker 1: Game three, NBA Finals, Denver, minus two and a half

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Speaker 1: for the game here, Game three of the NBA Finals

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Speaker 1: and the Marlins early on the run line. We'll see

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Speaker 1: if we get off to a good start here with

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Speaker 1: the Marlins hopefully scoring a bunch of runs and killing

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Speaker 1: Lyle's early for one unit at plus one seventeens. Matt

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Speaker 1: Parol following me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt Each

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Speaker 1: and every morning it is the Dil Jucee Podcast. I

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Speaker 1: was being brought to you by Omah Sakes dot com.

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Speaker 1: Don't do Me Bull,