1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:11,879 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What's going on, 2 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: ladies and gentlemen, Straight Fire Jason McIntyre, Friday, March. The 3 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: weekend is here, But first we gotta recap the NBA 4 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:25,880 Speaker 1: trade deadline. I was a little skeptical that anything would 5 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: go down, and plenty went down. We'll break that down shortly. 6 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 1: I do have to plug our guest who's coming up 7 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:35,240 Speaker 1: fift twenty minutes. I think you're gonna like it a lot. 8 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:41,199 Speaker 1: It's a college kid who started some analytics based basketball 9 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 1: website and it is absolutely blowing up. He's had thirty 10 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:49,199 Speaker 1: college basketball programs reach out to him for his service. 11 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:51,839 Speaker 1: He had an NBA g M. I won't tell you 12 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 1: who it is. I won't spoil it. He'll tell you 13 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 1: who it is who emailed him. This is a Colgate 14 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 1: junior twenty years old and he's got an NBA g 15 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 1: M emailing him. This kid, You know, we like to 16 00:01:02,560 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 1: get on stuff early. Okay, That's kind of been my 17 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 1: calling card in back dating back to the website, but 18 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:11,960 Speaker 1: also with radio with finding guests, um and and I 19 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:15,679 Speaker 1: do believe this guy's onto something and you're gonna really 20 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: love this interview. He is a sharp, smart kid. His 21 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 1: name is Simon. He goes to Colgate and the social 22 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,840 Speaker 1: media handle you want to check out is shut Quality. 23 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 1: But first, first we gotta break down the NBA trade deadline. 24 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 1: Obviously some big time losers, some winners, and then I 25 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:38,680 Speaker 1: think there's one team that clearly won everything and they 26 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 1: now are legitimate contenders to get to the finals in 27 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 1: my eyes. But Rob g, I don't know, what do you? 28 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:46,560 Speaker 1: What do you think the best breakdown is? Do we 29 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: start in the East. Do we start with the deals 30 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: that did not happen? Do we start in the West? 31 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 1: What do you You're the producer, you know how these 32 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: things work, you know what the audience wants. Where do 33 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: we begin? Well, the biggest storyline for UM trade deadline 34 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: day was the deal that wasn't made, and that was 35 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 1: the Lakers and Kyle Lowry. Because from everything that was 36 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:11,360 Speaker 1: reported yesterday, the deal was there to be made provided 37 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:15,079 Speaker 1: that the Lakers include Taylor Horton Tucker in their in 38 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 1: their offer of Dennis Shrewder and David's Caldwell Pope and 39 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:21,799 Speaker 1: future draft consideration. They said no, and they have been 40 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 1: getting killed for the most part of the Yes they 41 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 1: have I have been pushing back on in a big 42 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: way because I thought that would have been way too 43 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 1: much to give up for Kyle Lowry. But um, that 44 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:38,920 Speaker 1: is easily the biggest news of the day because the Lakers, 45 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:42,800 Speaker 1: as Shams reported yesterday, they are gonna be at without 46 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:45,079 Speaker 1: Lebron and a D for at least three more weeks, 47 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 1: it looks like, and in the Western Conference, three weeks 48 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: can be the difference between being a three seed and 49 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: being a ten seed. So we'll see what happens with that. 50 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 1: But I think the big story was the move that 51 00:02:57,760 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 1: the Lakers did not make that they're getting killed, and 52 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 1: I think they made the right decision. First of all, 53 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 1: I don't know who these jabronies are killing the Lakers. Okay, 54 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 1: let's let's weed out the d bags on Twitter who 55 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:10,639 Speaker 1: think they know basketball and are like, you've got to 56 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 1: do whatever you can to get you know, one time 57 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: all NBA guard, the big names who who thought it 58 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:21,080 Speaker 1: was a bad move, Who give me the names, let's hear. 59 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:22,880 Speaker 1: Let's call these guys, three of them that have been 60 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:26,520 Speaker 1: on this show before. Chris Bruce, a Fox Sports one 61 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 1: NFL NBA analyst, Rick Buker F S one NBA analyst 62 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: and uh from the odd couple Rob Parker all killed 63 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 1: the Lakers. Of course, you know, if you say the 64 00:03:37,640 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 1: Lakers did a good thing, nobody cares. But if you say, oh, 65 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:43,640 Speaker 1: the Lakers totally screwed up, then then you get traction. 66 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 1: Like I just totally disagree. A thirty five year old 67 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 1: point guard who was All NBA third Team once, who 68 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 1: we don't know what he's got left in the tank, 69 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 1: and you're gonna part without Horton Tucker, who is untouchable 70 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 1: according to the Lakers, which I think is the right move. 71 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 1: I mean, you would sacrifice your entire immediate future outside 72 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 1: of this year with Horton Tucker, Shrewder and k c P. 73 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 1: I mean, I listen if you if you said a 74 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 1: Shrewder and KCP done deal. But that's not enough for 75 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 1: the Raptors. So the Lakers that would have been trotting 76 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 1: out always hurt Anthony Davis, thirty six year old Lebron, 77 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: thirty five year old Kyle Lowry. They could have been 78 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 1: right back to the basement in a year. And the 79 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:27,279 Speaker 1: worst part is the worst part, Rob, you know this, 80 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:31,120 Speaker 1: All the picks go to the Pelicans, Like I know, 81 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:33,600 Speaker 1: they're not gonna be great if Lebron and a d 82 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 1: are out for a considerable amount of time. But if 83 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:38,720 Speaker 1: it were Kyle Lowry, and then you're talking about who 84 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: you caruso. I mean you're talking about like you need Horton. 85 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:44,840 Speaker 1: Tucker's playing big minutes, KCP. Horton Tucker has got a 86 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 1: future in this league. Don't tell me you don't think 87 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:48,920 Speaker 1: he will have a future in the NBA. I don't 88 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:51,520 Speaker 1: know if he's a multi time All Star. It's it's 89 00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:54,920 Speaker 1: too early, guys, twenty years old. But he's clearly a player, 90 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:57,919 Speaker 1: and Shrewder is definitely a player. Lakers were smart to 91 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 1: stand down. That being said, I do believe even the 92 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 1: Miami Heat made the right decision not over paying for 93 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: Kyle Lowry. According to everybody, the asking price for thirty 94 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 1: five year old Kyle Lowry was we want Tyler Hero 95 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 1: or Duncan Robinson. It's like no, no, no, I mean 96 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 1: rob But listen, we disagree on a lot. And I 97 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 1: had a buddy who I told you about, texting me 98 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:25,159 Speaker 1: that he he likes your takes, but he's never disagreed 99 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:28,880 Speaker 1: with you more than on your Lonzo one over Shrewder. 100 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 1: I gotta say this. I'm not parting with Duncan Robinson 101 00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 1: for thirty five year old Kyle Lowry. I'm not doing it. 102 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 1: Duncan Robinson has a major value. This is a sniper 103 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:41,919 Speaker 1: who's maybe your fifth best player, and you got to 104 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: the finals last year. By the way, we'll get to 105 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 1: the Heat more. I thought they had a very very nice, 106 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:52,280 Speaker 1: um successful trade deadline, best in the East, better than 107 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:56,279 Speaker 1: the Celtics. Yes, but listen, this whole Kyle Lowry thing 108 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:58,200 Speaker 1: is like it got blown out of proportion all of 109 00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:02,359 Speaker 1: a sudden. Kyle Lowry is this like mythical hero and 110 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:05,360 Speaker 1: he he was gonna go anywhere and instantly make them 111 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:09,679 Speaker 1: like a massive contender or put some team over the top. 112 00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:12,720 Speaker 1: Like could the Clippers have used him? Certainly, but they 113 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 1: don't have anything to give up. They're not if they 114 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 1: didn't want Lou Williams back in Toronto. I mean, Lou 115 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:21,800 Speaker 1: Williams needs his trip club, so he's headed to Atlanta anyways. 116 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 1: All right, so we got Kyle Lowry out of the 117 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 1: wa Where would you like to go to next, rob Well, 118 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:26,839 Speaker 1: I would love to go to your Miami Heat because 119 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 1: I think we have a difference of opinion on what 120 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 1: the Miami Heat did yesterday. So let me hear yours 121 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:33,040 Speaker 1: and I'll tell you what I think. All right, So 122 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:36,040 Speaker 1: the Miami Heat um kind of sputtered off to an 123 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:41,280 Speaker 1: early rocky start. They were coming off the bubble, an exhausting, excrucery, 124 00:06:41,279 --> 00:06:44,760 Speaker 1: excruciating run. They got off to kind of a rocky start, 125 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:48,280 Speaker 1: and pat Riley, one of the best front office men 126 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 1: and probably the last, you know, five decades in the NBA, 127 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 1: decided I'm not gonna panic, I'm not gonna overpay for anybody. 128 00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:59,440 Speaker 1: Let me get Victor Oladipot on the cheap, let me 129 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: put that really rent him, let me pick up Trevor 130 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: Ariza on the wing, and let me add the big kid, Angelica, 131 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:08,599 Speaker 1: Angelica from the Kings, who they got for a bag 132 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 1: of donuts basically. And I think the big potential coup 133 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 1: there is Oladipo, who the number you need to know. Yes, 134 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 1: he's been up and down this year, massive injuries in 135 00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 1: the last two years on catch and shoot threes, and 136 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 1: news flash, Oladipo ain't gonna be the number one, number 137 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 1: two or number three option in Miami. He is strictly 138 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:32,000 Speaker 1: at this point a catch and shoot guy until he's 139 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:37,239 Speaker 1: fully healthy. The apple on or maybe there's a cherry 140 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 1: on top of the apple pie would be LaMarcus Aldridge, 141 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:42,640 Speaker 1: another thirty five year old. I think he's thirty five, 142 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 1: who is just gonna give you added bulk in the 143 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 1: front court. So the Miami Heat, now, who are a 144 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:50,200 Speaker 1: five team? I guess the game under five after losing 145 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 1: last night. They have depth in the backcourt, Dragic, Hero, 146 00:07:55,880 --> 00:08:00,760 Speaker 1: Kendrick second to none, great boxing nickname with a boxer 147 00:08:00,760 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 1: with the nickname second and none, I'm just gonna call 148 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 1: Kendrick None, that Um Duncan Robinson in the backcourt, and 149 00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 1: now Oladipo, You've got Jimmy Butler, Igu Dolla Ariza, and 150 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 1: then up front you got um Bamaa Bio and Bijelica 151 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: with you know, maybe you could get a smattering of 152 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:23,120 Speaker 1: help from the rookie precious out of St. John's. And 153 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 1: you now have a team full of young guys Hero 154 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 1: Duncan Robinson None. You've got the KG veteran Jimmy Butler, 155 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:33,600 Speaker 1: who's like your leader. You've got the vet with the 156 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 1: championship pedigree, Andrea Goudala, Uh Trevor Ariza also has that 157 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:40,840 Speaker 1: and You've got the great young center in Bamada Baio 158 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 1: and the best part of all this rob They did 159 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:47,240 Speaker 1: not give up any of their first round draft picks, 160 00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:50,880 Speaker 1: so they now are in position should somebody hit the market. 161 00:08:51,080 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 1: Be honest, I'm sick of Milwaukee. I gotta get out 162 00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:55,600 Speaker 1: of here. They are still in position with their best 163 00:08:55,600 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 1: assets Hero Duncan, Robinson and bam and the draft picks, 164 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:03,400 Speaker 1: so they are still flexible heading into off season. I 165 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,199 Speaker 1: thought the Miami he were massive winners at the trade deadline. 166 00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:10,640 Speaker 1: I think that they were winners, but I don't think 167 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:14,479 Speaker 1: they were massive winners. And here's the reason why, um 168 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 1: Victor Oladipo. Like you mentioned, he he doesn't look like himself. 169 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:21,199 Speaker 1: He hasn't looked like himself in a minute. But more importantly, 170 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 1: and he brought this up earlier, the reason that they 171 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:28,320 Speaker 1: did not trade for Kyle Lowry was because they did 172 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:31,400 Speaker 1: not want to include Tyler Hero, which is fine and 173 00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:35,320 Speaker 1: I totally understand that, but you go ahead and get 174 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:38,720 Speaker 1: somebody at his position, Victor Oladipo, who are they most 175 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 1: likely gonna be giving a twenty plus million dollar contract 176 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:50,560 Speaker 1: offer to All reports before the trade deadline were depending 177 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:52,440 Speaker 1: where he goes, is probably gonna be a rental because 178 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 1: he's had eyes on Miami for two years now. So 179 00:09:56,360 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 1: I don't understand why you make the move for I mean, 180 00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:02,719 Speaker 1: I guess it is a low risk for low risk move, 181 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 1: so I guess I get it. But if Tyler Hero 182 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 1: is really the future that you're so excited about, and 183 00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:11,679 Speaker 1: Kendrick Nunn, who I think is really really good, he's 184 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 1: he's there's a reason why Tyler Hero was sent to 185 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:17,960 Speaker 1: the bench because Kendrick Nunn has has been great. Um 186 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 1: I don't understand why they make that move if Tyler 187 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 1: Hero is what they think he is. And so right 188 00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:34,559 Speaker 1: now with their current roster, they got four guys basically 189 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 1: for for two positions, and they all need minutes and 190 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:41,760 Speaker 1: they all need the ball for them to be effective 191 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:46,960 Speaker 1: in their best way. That's none, that's Oladipo, that's Dragic, 192 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:52,360 Speaker 1: and then that is um Hero. So I understand getting 193 00:10:52,400 --> 00:10:54,960 Speaker 1: the move. It's a very low risk move with Oladipo, 194 00:10:55,080 --> 00:10:57,960 Speaker 1: and you get him so that you can see what 195 00:10:58,040 --> 00:11:00,080 Speaker 1: he has this season before you offer him that a 196 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:02,640 Speaker 1: contractor they're gonna offer him something you should. We'll see 197 00:11:02,679 --> 00:11:06,079 Speaker 1: if it's between twenty million and twenty four million whatever 198 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 1: that is. But I don't love the fit is the problem. Mhm. 199 00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:14,040 Speaker 1: I First of all, I let's see about this twenty 200 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:16,400 Speaker 1: four million. I gotta see Victor la Depot getting twenty 201 00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 1: four mill to believe it. Um not not at the 202 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 1: rate he's playing. Get after the injuries on Tyler Hero. Okay, yes, 203 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:26,160 Speaker 1: he's going through his sophomore slump. All his numbers are 204 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:29,640 Speaker 1: down across the board. That being said, need I remind 205 00:11:29,679 --> 00:11:34,320 Speaker 1: you Rob as a twenty year old last year, Tyler 206 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:39,040 Speaker 1: Hero in the Eastern Conference Finals gave the Celtics thirty 207 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 1: seven in a game in a pivotal Game four that 208 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,520 Speaker 1: Miami wins to go up three one. Okay, in the series, 209 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:49,680 Speaker 1: Hero shot fifty from the field from three. In the 210 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 1: NBA Finals, his scoring was down a little bit, fourteen 211 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:55,920 Speaker 1: points seven a game, shot forty one percent from deep. 212 00:11:56,840 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 1: This is as a twenty year old rookie. There is 213 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:03,079 Speaker 1: no way on Earth I'm giving up on a guy 214 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:05,760 Speaker 1: who delivered like that in the playoffs. Like it's one 215 00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: thing that you struggle during the regular season. You got hot, 216 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:10,839 Speaker 1: that's fine, What are you doing under the playoff microscope? 217 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:13,320 Speaker 1: And I've seen it from Dylar Hero. He don't have 218 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:15,200 Speaker 1: anything to prove to me. I'm not part of I 219 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:16,559 Speaker 1: agree with you, and that's why I told you I 220 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:18,800 Speaker 1: understood why they wouldn't make that trade for Kyle Lowry. 221 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 1: But my question though, is why then do you make 222 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 1: the move for Oladipo, Because the assumption is they're going 223 00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 1: to resign him, and unless their plan is to have 224 00:12:28,920 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 1: Tie the Hero play point guard, which which is why 225 00:12:31,920 --> 00:12:34,000 Speaker 1: he got benched in the first place, because he's horrible 226 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 1: at point guard. He's not that's not his position. He's 227 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:39,440 Speaker 1: a he's a scoring guard. So unless the plan is 228 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 1: to play the two of them next to each other, 229 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:44,600 Speaker 1: which defensively, you'll get roasted number one, number two. There's 230 00:12:44,640 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 1: no real distributor between the two of them. I don't 231 00:12:48,000 --> 00:12:52,800 Speaker 1: understand the move that. That's what I don't get. I mean, essentially, 232 00:12:53,679 --> 00:12:56,120 Speaker 1: he I guess when you could give up Avery Bradley, 233 00:12:56,200 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 1: who you know, Remember this guy was pivotal with the Lakers, 234 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:02,440 Speaker 1: and a Bradley opts out of the bubble and he's 235 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:04,480 Speaker 1: had injuries, glory, he really has not gotten into the 236 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:09,719 Speaker 1: flow with Miami, Kelly ol Audios Man bun and then 237 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 1: a first round swap rights, which is not as good 238 00:13:15,800 --> 00:13:18,080 Speaker 1: as it sounds, and it doesn't even sound great when 239 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:21,200 Speaker 1: that's all you gotta give up for Roladipot. I don't 240 00:13:21,280 --> 00:13:23,920 Speaker 1: see why you don't say, let's take our chances. It 241 00:13:23,960 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 1: doesn't it just you're not giving up anything. Olick wasn't 242 00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 1: playing any real minutes. Avery Bradley is a shell of himself, 243 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:34,800 Speaker 1: and they got the younger guys. So I don't know. 244 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:37,319 Speaker 1: I I love what the Miami did. I will say 245 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:41,320 Speaker 1: I've been bullish on the Celtics getting to um the 246 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:46,559 Speaker 1: Eastern Conference finals are giving Brooklyn all hell. I would 247 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: not be shocked if we saw the Miami he right 248 00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:51,560 Speaker 1: back in the Eastern Conference Finals. I'm they match up 249 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:55,920 Speaker 1: pretty good, pretty good with the nets, right. Bam is 250 00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:59,240 Speaker 1: the big guy. Jimmy Butler is your dog to guard 251 00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 1: Kevin Durant, or maybe you just have Bam chase around Durant. 252 00:14:02,240 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 1: Bam is very athletic as a as big, and you 253 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:09,080 Speaker 1: put Harden on Butler. I don't know. There's no doubt 254 00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: in my mind Miami was a good coach in Spoilstra 255 00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 1: can hang with the nets. I'm not handing the nets 256 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:16,400 Speaker 1: the East. I would say no doubt that the best team, 257 00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:19,560 Speaker 1: but you still have the nets one for sure, right, 258 00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 1: oh yeah, and I'm actually uh Philly with the healthy mpiade. 259 00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:28,680 Speaker 1: I'm glad you brought up the Celtics though, because yet 260 00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 1: again we had another situation of the trade that Danny 261 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:35,160 Speaker 1: Ainge almost made. I don't know why I talked to 262 00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:39,200 Speaker 1: myself into thinking that they'd be able to get uh 263 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:43,880 Speaker 1: and Aaron Gordon. I mean, history tells us that Danny 264 00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 1: Age is a cheapskate, you know, like like if he's 265 00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:49,120 Speaker 1: going to to McDonald's, they ask me if he wants 266 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:50,880 Speaker 1: to supersize. He says no, thank you, like you know, 267 00:14:50,880 --> 00:14:53,360 Speaker 1: because the actually forty cents is gonna kill him. Like 268 00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:59,480 Speaker 1: his history of almost getting people is long. It's longer 269 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:03,520 Speaker 1: than the sees you get at Walgreens. But I don't 270 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 1: understand how if you're Boston and you know that your 271 00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 1: team has issues, you know that you're in no man's land, 272 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:13,960 Speaker 1: Like it's well documented. You get forty a for nothing. 273 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:17,000 Speaker 1: It's two second round picks, which is in the NBA 274 00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:21,520 Speaker 1: the equivalent of nothing, and you let Denver come in 275 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 1: with Gary Harris overpaid contract, one future draft pick, and 276 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:31,240 Speaker 1: I forget whoever the third guy was, but you let 277 00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 1: them comment and beat you to that. You couldn't two 278 00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:38,120 Speaker 1: first round picks. You couldn't do that. You couldn't market smart. Again. 279 00:15:38,640 --> 00:15:41,160 Speaker 1: We we touched on this with the Miami Heat. You 280 00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 1: want to stay flexible. If a superstar says he's unhappy 281 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:46,920 Speaker 1: and he wants out, and that's been the history of 282 00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:49,000 Speaker 1: the last like seven years, you go down the list. 283 00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 1: I mean, Carl Anthony Towns is the guy behind the 284 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:55,320 Speaker 1: scenes right now who's extremely unhappy that the timber Wolves stink. 285 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:58,160 Speaker 1: He's extremely unhappy. I know he's saying all the right 286 00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:01,720 Speaker 1: things about Anthony Edwards, but yeah, he's ticked. They don't 287 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 1: have Lamello ball and Anthony D'Angelo Russell his budd He's hurt. 288 00:16:05,280 --> 00:16:07,440 Speaker 1: Karl Anthony town has been losing his entire career. I 289 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 1: don't know if he has a playoff win. I think 290 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 1: he went once and they got swept, and there is 291 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:15,240 Speaker 1: a thought that is he going to be the next 292 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 1: superstar who says I want out trade me. Okay, they 293 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 1: have ownership issues, the coach, the GM. There's a lot 294 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:26,920 Speaker 1: of questions right now in Minnesota. So the Celtics by 295 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 1: keeping their first round picks remain in the mix for 296 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 1: a Carl Anthony Towns maybe honest is a pipe dream 297 00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 1: could be him. I don't want to get crazy. I 298 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 1: don't think a guy like Luca Dante she just gonna 299 00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 1: pull that. You just don't know. Though. We never saw 300 00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:45,800 Speaker 1: Kyrie Irving saying, oh, yeah, I won Game seven of 301 00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:49,040 Speaker 1: the finals, and um we went back to the finals, 302 00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:50,880 Speaker 1: and now I want get me the hell out of here. Like, 303 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:55,080 Speaker 1: we don't expect that to happen. We don't expect Paul George, 304 00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:57,560 Speaker 1: who seemed like it was going well in indeed, to 305 00:16:57,720 --> 00:16:59,160 Speaker 1: just say I'm out of here, get me out of here. 306 00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:02,040 Speaker 1: And Davis, you know, they went around in the playoffs. 307 00:17:02,080 --> 00:17:04,439 Speaker 1: They go to the second round, played the Warriors kind 308 00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 1: of tough, and then Anti Davis is like, yo, piece, 309 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:09,200 Speaker 1: I'm out trade me. You just don't know who that 310 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 1: next guy is gonna be. So by retaining the first 311 00:17:11,800 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 1: round picks, the Celtics have that flexibility and it's not 312 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:17,359 Speaker 1: like they're wasting core years because Tatum and Brown are 313 00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:20,639 Speaker 1: still super young. My only question an issue with this 314 00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:23,240 Speaker 1: deal is, like you said, forty is nice. He's a 315 00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:27,120 Speaker 1: bench guy in the clutch time minutes. Did they get better? 316 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:32,159 Speaker 1: And I think the answers no, Tatum, Smart Brown, Kemba. 317 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 1: You can't play forty as your fifth guy. You'll get 318 00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 1: destroyed on the inside. Inside you'll get pick and rolled 319 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:42,879 Speaker 1: to death. And Daniel Feast has gone. I like what 320 00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:44,719 Speaker 1: Daniel Theiast did in the playoffs. They're trying to get 321 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:46,800 Speaker 1: under the luxury tax. That to me is a sign 322 00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:49,960 Speaker 1: the owners unhappy with the way things are headed. Because 323 00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 1: if you're dumping Fist after that playoffs series, yeah, I 324 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 1: mean he was good in the playoffs. Rob, I don't know, 325 00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:56,960 Speaker 1: but I thought he was very good. This puts a 326 00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:02,120 Speaker 1: big burden on Tristan Thompson, who us have the postseason pedigree. 327 00:18:02,320 --> 00:18:05,159 Speaker 1: He's been a plenty of playoff battles, obviously, all with Lebron. 328 00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:09,280 Speaker 1: But I just I'm disappointed in the in the Celtics. 329 00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:11,840 Speaker 1: But that sounds like there are bigger issues. That's why 330 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:13,800 Speaker 1: they should have made that move for Aaron Gordon. Just 331 00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 1: you know, if you're saying in the short term, you 332 00:18:15,600 --> 00:18:17,639 Speaker 1: can't play for and crunch time and you can absolutely 333 00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:20,399 Speaker 1: play Aaron Gordon in crunch time minutes. And it's funny 334 00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:22,480 Speaker 1: that you brought up all the picks that they're hoarding, 335 00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:24,639 Speaker 1: or that hoarding the picks that they have that they 336 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:26,880 Speaker 1: refused to part with. Let me give you a list 337 00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:30,640 Speaker 1: of guys that they've, say, two thousand thirteen, that they 338 00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:33,520 Speaker 1: had the assets for, they had the picks, they had 339 00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:36,119 Speaker 1: the players. They've decided, you know what, we're not going 340 00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:37,600 Speaker 1: to do it. So this little flat right in the 341 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:41,160 Speaker 1: face of your Carl Town's you know theory, Jimmy Butler. 342 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:44,159 Speaker 1: Do you wanna start with Jimmy Butler, Chris Paul two thirteen, 343 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:50,440 Speaker 1: Kevin Loved two thousand fourteen in na does not look 344 00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:57,080 Speaker 1: like a bad move. We'll see Blake Griffin, DeMarcus Cousins, Goods, 345 00:18:57,359 --> 00:19:02,399 Speaker 1: Paul George, Jimmy Butler when he's seventeen again, Kawahi Leonard 346 00:19:02,760 --> 00:19:04,719 Speaker 1: eighteen who went to the Raptors. They could have had him, 347 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:06,640 Speaker 1: they said, no, thank you. Wait wait wait they could 348 00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 1: have had him. Yes, Well, that's because they didn't know 349 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:12,200 Speaker 1: if he was gonna sign long term, right, that's who cares? 350 00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 1: And he well, what do you mean, who cares? You 351 00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:15,399 Speaker 1: can't give up all these number one picks and then 352 00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:17,320 Speaker 1: he's gonna piece out. Look at they used all these 353 00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:19,000 Speaker 1: number one picks. And what do they have with Semi 354 00:19:19,080 --> 00:19:23,160 Speaker 1: ojal A, Uh, he's a nice one. Was it? Peyton Pritchard? 355 00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:27,040 Speaker 1: I like him. They have a few guys. I get 356 00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:28,719 Speaker 1: the time Lord is their best guy that they've been 357 00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:31,480 Speaker 1: Robert Williams. Well, if by expending feasts, I guess they 358 00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:34,080 Speaker 1: think time Lord Robert Williams can play back minutes in 359 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:37,600 Speaker 1: the playoffs. Well, so okay, so Kaeen Athony Davis, which 360 00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:40,520 Speaker 1: we said he wasn't gonna resign twenty nineteen. And this 361 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:43,479 Speaker 1: is what I totally forgot about because it got kind 362 00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 1: of swept under the rug quickly. James Harden, Okay, time out. 363 00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:50,439 Speaker 1: I need to I need to throw a flag here, 364 00:19:50,880 --> 00:19:53,760 Speaker 1: Rob and I don't want to go overboard. I know 365 00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:56,160 Speaker 1: we have more l A listeners than Boston. We've seen 366 00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:59,159 Speaker 1: the analytics. We know there's a large portion of l 367 00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:03,159 Speaker 1: A sports fans. Yeah, I'm not a Boston guy. I 368 00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 1: was born in New York. I don't like any Boston teams. 369 00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:10,680 Speaker 1: A perception for the longest time is that Boston, you know, 370 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:14,600 Speaker 1: not exactly welcoming to African American athletes. Now, I know 371 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:17,440 Speaker 1: there's plenty of African American athletes have sad success there. 372 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:20,280 Speaker 1: I'm not calling Boston a racist city. We know the 373 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:25,119 Speaker 1: history in Boston. U Mookie Betts obviously um leaving for 374 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 1: the Dodgers. Uh, we know his his his ending in 375 00:20:29,320 --> 00:20:32,440 Speaker 1: Boston was not great and he's a great talent. I 376 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:36,240 Speaker 1: don't know if guys like Anthony Davis and Paul George 377 00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:38,600 Speaker 1: and James aren't. We're gonna stay in Boston long term. 378 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:41,840 Speaker 1: Kyrie Irvan went there playing for Brad Stevens. You're playing 379 00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:43,720 Speaker 1: with these younger and he left in like five minutes, 380 00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:49,480 Speaker 1: so you could kill Ange. That's fine. I'm not gonna 381 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 1: totally dispute it because the stats are other. These are facts. 382 00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 1: These guys they could have been traded to Boston. But 383 00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:02,200 Speaker 1: I just wonder if there's other stuff at play that 384 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 1: might have factored and maybe the Danny anelones that we 385 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:08,480 Speaker 1: don't And I'm not defending Danny. I'm just that's totally fair. 386 00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:11,280 Speaker 1: But you know, I will say this, the Celtics are 387 00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:19,200 Speaker 1: in the Lakers, Yankees, Patriots, Packers kind of thing where 388 00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:22,200 Speaker 1: just making the playoffs is not good enough for their 389 00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 1: fan base. Like the Celtics, expectations every season should be 390 00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:31,080 Speaker 1: we are a title contender. And if you're more concerned 391 00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:33,440 Speaker 1: with being good for a long period of time than 392 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:35,720 Speaker 1: being great for two or three years, that's a problem. 393 00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:39,399 Speaker 1: It's fair. I mean, they've been to the Eastern Conference 394 00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:42,159 Speaker 1: Finals through the last four years. Do you ever think 395 00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:45,240 Speaker 1: of them as legitimate contenders? Though during those windows, I 396 00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:47,320 Speaker 1: thought they had Miami beat last year. I love the 397 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,440 Speaker 1: Tatum Brown combo, but did you think they were gonna 398 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:52,360 Speaker 1: beat the Lakers if they got to the finals? Um, 399 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:54,520 Speaker 1: I would have given Lebron and a d the advantge, 400 00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 1: of course, exactly. Yeah, but you know Celtics are closed. 401 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:00,800 Speaker 1: All right. Let's wrap up real quick with who we 402 00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:02,840 Speaker 1: I think we both agree is the big winner, and 403 00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:06,280 Speaker 1: that's the Denver Nuggets. And I am that guy who 404 00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:11,840 Speaker 1: has a I think nineteen eighties seven throwback Denver Nuggets hat. Um, 405 00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:14,479 Speaker 1: that's super cool. And I'm telling a random story here, 406 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:16,440 Speaker 1: and I know the guy listens to the podcast. So 407 00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:18,920 Speaker 1: I I would take my kids to school, I walk 408 00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:22,760 Speaker 1: them over, and I would wear like different hats almost 409 00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 1: every day, and usually a lot of more throwback. I 410 00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:29,800 Speaker 1: like obscure. I want to be different. I'm Jason, I'm unique. 411 00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:32,760 Speaker 1: I wear different hats that not everybody else's wear. I'm 412 00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:35,639 Speaker 1: not gonna rock a Dodgers hat. Okay, everybody's wearing a 413 00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:37,440 Speaker 1: Dodger's hat. I'm not gonna really wear a Lakers hat. 414 00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:39,760 Speaker 1: Everybody got Lakers hat. So I'll roll up with the 415 00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:42,160 Speaker 1: Denver Nuggets. Had I got an old school Milwaukee Bucks hat. 416 00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:45,800 Speaker 1: And a dad commented to my wife one time, He's like, oh, 417 00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:48,159 Speaker 1: your husband's Jason He's She's like yeah, He's like, oh, 418 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,680 Speaker 1: the guy with the cool hats, and like, you know, 419 00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:52,840 Speaker 1: one of the dads was like noticing, Like people know, 420 00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:55,840 Speaker 1: I love the throwback stuff, and secretly I'm a bit 421 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 1: of a closet Denver Nuggets fan simply because of those 422 00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:03,160 Speaker 1: nineteen eighties jerseys. They're sick. And I'm telling you, Rob, 423 00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:06,880 Speaker 1: we can disagree to I'm you and I are blue 424 00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:09,879 Speaker 1: in the face, but I'm telling you right now, the 425 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:16,240 Speaker 1: Denver Nuggets have probably the best roster in the Western Conference. Yes, 426 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 1: better than the Lakers. You're talking about yo, Kich Murray 427 00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 1: and Aaron Gordon is a big three. Okay, They're gonna 428 00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:24,320 Speaker 1: get top four in the West. We know that Aaron 429 00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:27,240 Speaker 1: Gordon his prime coming off the bench. You have Michael 430 00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:31,280 Speaker 1: Porter Jr. Who was apparently untouchable. Okay in trades they 431 00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:34,120 Speaker 1: would not port with with Porter Jr. Coming off the bench. 432 00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,120 Speaker 1: You've also got Will Barton, a nice wing player. You've 433 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:39,880 Speaker 1: got Paul Millsap, a veteran big coming off the bench. 434 00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:43,680 Speaker 1: Joe Michael Green, he's been into playoff games. This is 435 00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:46,480 Speaker 1: a really good team and I'm I challenge you, Rob 436 00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:50,240 Speaker 1: to show me a better big three in the West. 437 00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:55,080 Speaker 1: Portland has Dame c J and don't there isn't like 438 00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:59,760 Speaker 1: a third. The Clippers have Kauai PG, and there is 439 00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:03,280 Speaker 1: an third. And I gotta be honest, Lakers have Lebron 440 00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:05,280 Speaker 1: a d n. We'll see who shows up on every 441 00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 1: other night. You've given me Aaron Gordon. I know Aaron 442 00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:11,119 Speaker 1: Gordon has never been an All Star, Okay, I know 443 00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:13,040 Speaker 1: he's just a dunker and a guy who can make 444 00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:16,800 Speaker 1: some threes. I just think his talent on the wing 445 00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:20,120 Speaker 1: is exactly what they've been missing. They had Jeremy Grant 446 00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:24,159 Speaker 1: last year, who was able to do well enough defensively 447 00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:26,600 Speaker 1: on Kawai and Paul George. Then they lost him to 448 00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:28,600 Speaker 1: the Pistons. By the way, Jeremy Grants putting up some 449 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:33,680 Speaker 1: big stats with the Pistons, and now Aaron Gordon is 450 00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:38,600 Speaker 1: that wing who can body at least physically Lebron Kauai 451 00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:41,760 Speaker 1: Paul George, and they already beat the Clippers. I think 452 00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:45,520 Speaker 1: the Clippers are scared. They see fear when they look 453 00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 1: at the Denver and said, damn, we're scared of these guys. 454 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:51,000 Speaker 1: I think the Clippers are fearful of the Denver Nuggets. 455 00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:54,359 Speaker 1: And I'm telling you, is Denver nuggest team. If Lebron 456 00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:57,240 Speaker 1: and a d are not healthy, you could pencil in 457 00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:00,480 Speaker 1: the Denver Nuggets into the NBA Finals, go and lock 458 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:03,720 Speaker 1: it up. I'm looking for odds on the Nuggets futures 459 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:08,680 Speaker 1: when they resurface, because you know, I like their coach, Um. 460 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:12,359 Speaker 1: I really like Jamal Murray. I know losing Gary Harris 461 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:15,359 Speaker 1: wasn't great. Shooting can be an issue. Monty Morris is 462 00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:20,119 Speaker 1: a nice uh a little point guard. I I'm bullish 463 00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:25,320 Speaker 1: on the Nuggets fight me. Uh No. I agree that 464 00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:29,000 Speaker 1: they have the deepest team because they have guys that 465 00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 1: have a lot of time they can't get minutes for, 466 00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:34,080 Speaker 1: Like I think bow Bowl has potential to be a 467 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:36,760 Speaker 1: rotational guy. They just they can't even find a minute 468 00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:39,600 Speaker 1: to even flash anything. Um. The only thing I will 469 00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:42,399 Speaker 1: say is as good as their top three is, and 470 00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:44,720 Speaker 1: either top four if you include Porter Jr. I would 471 00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:49,280 Speaker 1: not put their best three over Lebron, A D and whoever, 472 00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:51,879 Speaker 1: just because I think those two who I don't care 473 00:25:51,920 --> 00:25:53,800 Speaker 1: whoever the third guy is, that those Lebron and A 474 00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:58,240 Speaker 1: D are so much head and shoulders better than Yoki Murray, 475 00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:02,160 Speaker 1: Yoget Murray together that whoever the third guy is, it's 476 00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:04,840 Speaker 1: it's a really tough hill to climb. Yokichi is great, 477 00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:09,720 Speaker 1: but Murray is not what you think that he might be. 478 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:13,359 Speaker 1: I I feel like his his bubble performance was great. 479 00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:15,240 Speaker 1: He was great in the bubble. But other than that, 480 00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:18,960 Speaker 1: you know, Jamal Murray is he's fine, but he's not 481 00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:23,200 Speaker 1: at He's fine. He's not in on threes against the 482 00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:28,320 Speaker 1: Clippers average twenty two a game. Again, he had playoff 483 00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:31,440 Speaker 1: games they were down. Uh oh no, I'm sorry. It 484 00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:34,639 Speaker 1: was it was m give me anything that bubble he 485 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:38,600 Speaker 1: had fifty anything other than the bubble because a lot 486 00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:40,920 Speaker 1: of guys shot k C. P was lights out in 487 00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:42,960 Speaker 1: the bubble and we saw what he looks like. You 488 00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:46,160 Speaker 1: know when there's an actual arena and sound and maybe 489 00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:47,959 Speaker 1: some fans in the building. Well, I guess the only 490 00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:50,639 Speaker 1: difference there is KCP is like a third or fourth option. Okay, 491 00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:54,159 Speaker 1: and Murray had to carry them. Murray had to carry them. 492 00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:58,280 Speaker 1: He's fine, But if you actually I'm just looking at 493 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,760 Speaker 1: the stats. Rob career high from the field this year, 494 00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:06,640 Speaker 1: career best from three this year, one points per game, 495 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:10,000 Speaker 1: career high, four point eight assists tied for his best, 496 00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:13,200 Speaker 1: four point rebounds tied for his best. Like Jamal Murray's 497 00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:14,879 Speaker 1: having a monster, How the hell was he not an 498 00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:20,480 Speaker 1: All Star because their team only recently to the top six. Yeah, 499 00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:22,440 Speaker 1: they were struggling out of the gate, right right, right, Okay, 500 00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:24,840 Speaker 1: so we agreed Denver doug as of right now, give 501 00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:28,399 Speaker 1: me your final four in the West. Well, the problem is, 502 00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:30,200 Speaker 1: I don't know if Lebron and eight are healthy, because, 503 00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:33,080 Speaker 1: like I said, if they say everybody's healthy, everybody's healthy 504 00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:40,240 Speaker 1: throughout the league. Okay. In the West, Lakers, uh, Jazz 505 00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:45,440 Speaker 1: Lakers versus the Jazz four? Final four meaning to find 506 00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:49,119 Speaker 1: the conference championship games in the league. Yeah, in the 507 00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:59,320 Speaker 1: league okay, Uh, Lakers, Nuggets, Nets Sixers. Oh, you're really 508 00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,480 Speaker 1: stuck on the six. Here's okay, huh, I need to 509 00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:04,359 Speaker 1: see what they look like with them be back East 510 00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:06,600 Speaker 1: is a little tougher for me. I'm still you know, 511 00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:09,000 Speaker 1: I might have some futures bets on the Celtics that 512 00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:11,240 Speaker 1: have be tied to them. It's like an albatross around 513 00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:14,440 Speaker 1: my neck. I will go over reaction and say the 514 00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:18,920 Speaker 1: Miami Heat against the Brooklyn Nets in the Eastern Conference Finals. 515 00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:22,600 Speaker 1: All right, without further ado, let's get to our guests. 516 00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:28,159 Speaker 1: You're gonna love this guy, Colgate College student Simon Gersberg. 517 00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:32,359 Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in 518 00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:35,359 Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox sports 519 00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:38,600 Speaker 1: Radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app 520 00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:45,280 Speaker 1: search f s R to listen live. Jason likes to 521 00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:48,440 Speaker 1: think he knows everything when it comes to sports. I 522 00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:51,600 Speaker 1: know what sports dance want, But for everything he doesn't. 523 00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:54,840 Speaker 1: He knows a guy who does. Let's just say I 524 00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:58,440 Speaker 1: know a guy who knows the guy knows another guy. 525 00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,080 Speaker 1: All right, let's welcome into stray fire. You know, we 526 00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:03,720 Speaker 1: try to do it differently around here. Bring in some 527 00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:06,880 Speaker 1: new voices, guys you may or may not have heard of. 528 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:13,240 Speaker 1: This kid started this analytics based I don't know algorithm, Uh, 529 00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:16,800 Speaker 1: if you will, and it's pretty pretty dead on in 530 00:29:16,840 --> 00:29:19,080 Speaker 1: the n c A Tournament. I'm sure he's gonna do 531 00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:22,640 Speaker 1: it for the NBA playoffs, hopefully. Let's welcome in Simon Gerzberg, 532 00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:26,760 Speaker 1: a junior at Colgate. Simon, how are you, man, I'm 533 00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:29,040 Speaker 1: doing great. Thank you for having me. I'm decided to 534 00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:32,920 Speaker 1: share some knowledge on all things college basketball. Yes. So 535 00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:34,560 Speaker 1: a lot of the people who tune in to the podcast, 536 00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:37,000 Speaker 1: they're like, oh, I know Brian Winhorst, I know this 537 00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,640 Speaker 1: media member from NFL Network and now here. It is 538 00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:42,800 Speaker 1: like a college kid. But I had noticed you were 539 00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,080 Speaker 1: putting out stuff during the college basketball season. I'm kind 540 00:29:45,080 --> 00:29:47,480 Speaker 1: of a geek about college hoops. I need to ask 541 00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:49,800 Speaker 1: how the hell you got started on this stuff because 542 00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:52,920 Speaker 1: it is um shot shot quality is, you know, high 543 00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:55,080 Speaker 1: end stuff that a lot of our audience is just 544 00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:58,000 Speaker 1: not gonna understand. Yes, so I'll try to make it 545 00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:01,000 Speaker 1: a simple simplified as possible. So basically, I worked for 546 00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:03,920 Speaker 1: the cold Gate basketball team freshman and sophomore year, calculating 547 00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:06,040 Speaker 1: the quality of shots by hand. So I was sitting 548 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:08,120 Speaker 1: on the bench watching the games. I was bored of 549 00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:10,240 Speaker 1: cour as hell because I couldn't even watch the games. 550 00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,560 Speaker 1: I basically to think about all the stats while I'm watching, 551 00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:15,320 Speaker 1: very tedious, but not in this process. I'd be like, okay, 552 00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,400 Speaker 1: that's at shot when my point guard goes off the 553 00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:21,000 Speaker 1: jibble here, that's a fifty two shot, and basically just 554 00:30:21,080 --> 00:30:23,680 Speaker 1: spinning out all these numbers onto a clipboard during the game. 555 00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:27,360 Speaker 1: And basically my solution was, if I could automate this, 556 00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:30,040 Speaker 1: I can actually pay attention to the gold Get games 557 00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:33,320 Speaker 1: and actually enjoy watching them like once again. So once 558 00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:35,760 Speaker 1: I was able to automate it for the cold Gate team, um, 559 00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:37,960 Speaker 1: it brought a lot of value to the team, and 560 00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:40,680 Speaker 1: I realized that because I have the ability to automate 561 00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:41,880 Speaker 1: for cold Gate, I could do it for all of 562 00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:44,560 Speaker 1: college basketball. So then during quarantine, obviously had a lot 563 00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:47,160 Speaker 1: of free time and I just started crunching all the 564 00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:50,400 Speaker 1: numbers for all the teams in college basketball. Wow, all right, 565 00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:53,320 Speaker 1: so did Cold Gate? Did the basketball team find you? 566 00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:55,520 Speaker 1: Or did you find them? Were you a big high 567 00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:58,800 Speaker 1: school basketball guy or just a numbers guy. I was 568 00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:00,480 Speaker 1: definitely more of a numbers because I was just always 569 00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:05,040 Speaker 1: interested in how stacks led to certain competitive advantages and 570 00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 1: other sports, like I had done a lot of satistics 571 00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:10,760 Speaker 1: or baseball. I worked on internships senior year for Sports Illustrated, 572 00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:14,120 Speaker 1: and then when I got to Coldgate, I just got 573 00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:15,560 Speaker 1: lucky enough that I matched up with one of the 574 00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:18,040 Speaker 1: coaches who was just very analytically minded as well, and 575 00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:21,480 Speaker 1: we just saw it. I obviously, Okay, So when you 576 00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:24,280 Speaker 1: start crunching these numbers and you go to the coaches 577 00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:26,640 Speaker 1: with it, what is their reaction? Because I I would 578 00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:29,280 Speaker 1: assume there's still a massive divide among the old school 579 00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:31,960 Speaker 1: coaches who are like, oh man, what is this? What 580 00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:33,800 Speaker 1: does that come on? Don't give me this, We need 581 00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:36,440 Speaker 1: to really pick and roll or whatever. I'm curious what 582 00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:39,160 Speaker 1: the hurdles you had when you approach to coaches with 583 00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:41,720 Speaker 1: this stuff. So I actually enjoyed talking more to the 584 00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:44,720 Speaker 1: coaches that are more old school because the way I 585 00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:47,880 Speaker 1: frame shot quality, it's it's not as simple as like, oh, 586 00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:49,680 Speaker 1: if you take a shot, if you take a layup, 587 00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:51,680 Speaker 1: or if you take a three, it's a high quality shot. 588 00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:54,480 Speaker 1: It's more about the possession quality. So there are actually 589 00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 1: opportunities where you could take terrible shots in the paint. 590 00:31:57,480 --> 00:31:59,920 Speaker 1: But if you're a great offensive rebounding team like Texas 591 00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,240 Speaker 1: Tech like Tennessee. You could take bad shots and still 592 00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:06,200 Speaker 1: have high possession quality. And that's kind of where the 593 00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:09,840 Speaker 1: old school coaches enjoy it more or buy in more 594 00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:12,760 Speaker 1: because it's not just like oh, rim and three, Oh 595 00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:14,440 Speaker 1: that's all that matters, because I feel like that's what 596 00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:16,920 Speaker 1: the analytics say. But kind of what we're doing a 597 00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:20,040 Speaker 1: chocouality is really looking at the most valuable possessions. So 598 00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:21,920 Speaker 1: I kind of should change the name to possession quality 599 00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:25,120 Speaker 1: if I could. All Right, So, I mean, obviously we'll 600 00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:26,640 Speaker 1: get to the Sweet sixteen in a second, but I'm 601 00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:29,920 Speaker 1: curious when you're charting all these shots. Obviously you don't 602 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:32,479 Speaker 1: have time to watch every college basketball game. Where are 603 00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:34,160 Speaker 1: I mean, do you Maybe you don't want to reveal 604 00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:36,120 Speaker 1: your secrets, but how are you able to get where 605 00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:39,120 Speaker 1: all the shots are, whether they're off the dribble or what. Yeah, 606 00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:42,200 Speaker 1: So I just we basically have multiple different data sources 607 00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:44,880 Speaker 1: and then we combine all of them to find the 608 00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:48,080 Speaker 1: like extensive play by play data, and it's just automated 609 00:32:48,120 --> 00:32:49,760 Speaker 1: for all the games, so we really don't have to 610 00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:52,480 Speaker 1: I mean, obviously, it was really challenging to create the automation, 611 00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:55,040 Speaker 1: but um, it just works for all the games. I 612 00:32:55,320 --> 00:32:57,480 Speaker 1: think they spit out like three hours after every game. 613 00:32:57,920 --> 00:33:01,680 Speaker 1: So I give it again, go ahead. Um So, basically, 614 00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,720 Speaker 1: like for the Kansas USC game, that was the epitome 615 00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:08,280 Speaker 1: of a shock quality lucky loss for Kansas. So if 616 00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:12,040 Speaker 1: you watch the game, that's the funniest part. That's the 617 00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:14,120 Speaker 1: funniest part. I know. So they lost by thirty, but 618 00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:16,200 Speaker 1: if you look at the three point numbers, USC shot 619 00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:19,960 Speaker 1: six from three, Isaiah Mobli hit like four threes in 620 00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:22,960 Speaker 1: the first half, and I know, and I was getting 621 00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:25,240 Speaker 1: a lot of backlash on Twitter from this. And it's 622 00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:27,440 Speaker 1: funny because the Kansas beat writer was like trying to 623 00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:30,240 Speaker 1: like calm down all the Kansas, all the Kansas fans 624 00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:33,880 Speaker 1: because Kansas shot from three and USC shot sixty five. 625 00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:36,240 Speaker 1: On the long run, that's not going to consistently happen. 626 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:38,600 Speaker 1: So as a coach, obviously it's one of Donna march mannis. 627 00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:40,360 Speaker 1: But as a coach, you have to put every game 628 00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:43,080 Speaker 1: to perspective and say, was that a lucky win, was 629 00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:45,240 Speaker 1: that an unlucky loss, or do we just get blown 630 00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:47,200 Speaker 1: out because we got crappy shots? And then it got 631 00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:50,760 Speaker 1: a very important justification for coaches to understand after the game. 632 00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:54,560 Speaker 1: So let's let's take that USC beats Kansas by thirty four, 633 00:33:54,760 --> 00:33:56,720 Speaker 1: and I go to the part score, and then I 634 00:33:56,800 --> 00:33:58,880 Speaker 1: go to the play by play and they show where 635 00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:01,160 Speaker 1: all the shots are from. So I'm assuming you guys 636 00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:04,520 Speaker 1: just scraped that data, right, put it into your algorithm 637 00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:07,600 Speaker 1: and it spits out information. Yes, and it's based off 638 00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:09,960 Speaker 1: each players that most part, it's based off each player's 639 00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:13,080 Speaker 1: individual numbers. So when Evan Mobili is on the left 640 00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:16,799 Speaker 1: block and he shoots a jump hook, that's an expercent shot. 641 00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:19,520 Speaker 1: When Isaiah Mobile is picking a catcher shoot three has 642 00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:22,280 Speaker 1: an expercent shot. So it's all based off each player's 643 00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:25,200 Speaker 1: individual numbers, which obviously is the most important part of 644 00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:28,160 Speaker 1: the algorithm because every player is an individual skill. I'm 645 00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:30,080 Speaker 1: sure there are people listening to this being like, man, 646 00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:32,400 Speaker 1: that's just I I don't care, that's too nerdy. But 647 00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:36,200 Speaker 1: I don't think simon they understand that this is where 648 00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:39,200 Speaker 1: basketball is headed, Like this is the future, if not 649 00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:42,800 Speaker 1: already the present. I mean, we've seen Darryl Morey and 650 00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:46,160 Speaker 1: a lot of these analytics based NBA teams have I 651 00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:47,719 Speaker 1: don't want to say flip the script. But you know, 652 00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:51,360 Speaker 1: Golden State Warriors, nobody had them doing any of the 653 00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:54,160 Speaker 1: damnage like this when they drafted Curry and Clay and 654 00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:57,560 Speaker 1: Draymond and they were pretty much at the forefront. Would 655 00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:01,520 Speaker 1: you say of this analytic revolution or yeah, no, for sure. 656 00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:03,920 Speaker 1: I mean definitely the Warriors. I think the Rockets are 657 00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,440 Speaker 1: just the epitome an example, just like taking it to 658 00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:09,400 Speaker 1: the next level, just shooting like three second I was 659 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,400 Speaker 1: in the saturation, but like just taking it overboard, like Okay, 660 00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:14,520 Speaker 1: we know our most efficient plays a harden Isa, so 661 00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:16,560 Speaker 1: we're just gonna around the harden Is every single time 662 00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:20,400 Speaker 1: we can. Um. Yeah, I mean, it's obviously expanding, and 663 00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:23,160 Speaker 1: I think it's interesting how far behind college basketball really 664 00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:25,879 Speaker 1: is right now to the NBA. So it is kind 665 00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:29,000 Speaker 1: of a it's just a market inefficiency, it kind of 666 00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,160 Speaker 1: seems like at this point of time, and obviously people 667 00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:33,080 Speaker 1: like kempom have been around for years and years, but 668 00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:36,719 Speaker 1: hopefully expanding. I mean, if you can profit off the 669 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,880 Speaker 1: market inefficiency while there's a window, that's the move. So 670 00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:42,080 Speaker 1: let's look at this week sixteen games. Let's stick with 671 00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 1: usc UM versus Oregon in a way, you know, and 672 00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:48,840 Speaker 1: I watched that game USC because I had USC. I 673 00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:50,920 Speaker 1: was like, this is easy, this is a layoup and 674 00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:53,560 Speaker 1: Isaiah Mobile hits four or five threes. And then I 675 00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:56,640 Speaker 1: think I saw the stat that during the regular season 676 00:35:56,680 --> 00:35:59,040 Speaker 1: he had made like eleven three pointers or something insane, 677 00:35:59,640 --> 00:36:02,239 Speaker 1: and here he is splashing all these threes. You're like, wait, 678 00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:05,480 Speaker 1: what the hell's going on here? And I do wonder 679 00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:08,680 Speaker 1: do you see an edge and advantage in Oregon? Here 680 00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:11,520 Speaker 1: the line has moved towards USC. I think an open pick, 681 00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:13,120 Speaker 1: and now it went out to like one or two, 682 00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:15,480 Speaker 1: might might be two and a half. So this is 683 00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:18,760 Speaker 1: the interesting thing with Shakray. Obviously, the way we value 684 00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:21,399 Speaker 1: games is based off the spelling of the three point 685 00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:24,080 Speaker 1: luck and really just value the objective shots that each 686 00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:27,000 Speaker 1: team is getting. So Oregon also in the Iowa games, 687 00:36:27,040 --> 00:36:30,000 Speaker 1: despite winning by a lot, they overplayed, They played over 688 00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:33,320 Speaker 1: their heads compared to their expectation. So it's kind of interesting. 689 00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:36,360 Speaker 1: Both of these teams might be slightly overvalued by Vegas. 690 00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:39,640 Speaker 1: But you're right, I do lean towards Oregon. We actually 691 00:36:39,680 --> 00:36:42,480 Speaker 1: have the game at sixty nine sixty nine, which I guess, 692 00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:45,239 Speaker 1: so basically I'll pick them um and what's the spread 693 00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:48,239 Speaker 1: right now? Three for USA, USC has favored, but I 694 00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:50,560 Speaker 1: mean they beat him during the regular season. And I 695 00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:52,600 Speaker 1: mean again, I know you're looking at the numbers, but 696 00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:56,120 Speaker 1: when you look at that the box score from earlier 697 00:36:56,200 --> 00:37:00,239 Speaker 1: this season, and USC crushed him without Isaiah Mobile and 698 00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:03,040 Speaker 1: you factor in, Okay, beating Iowa was one thing in 699 00:37:03,040 --> 00:37:06,560 Speaker 1: the middle of the day. Beating Kansas in prime time, 700 00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:09,160 Speaker 1: it feels like the casual better is going to gravitate 701 00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:12,160 Speaker 1: towards USC. Right, Yes, you would think so, especially after 702 00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:15,000 Speaker 1: a thirty point when just pure domination over a really 703 00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:18,000 Speaker 1: good Kansas team. But I means similar to also Oregon. 704 00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:20,240 Speaker 1: I mean, Oregon did dominate a two seed in Iowa 705 00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:23,520 Speaker 1: that I thought it was really really good entering majority 706 00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:27,880 Speaker 1: obviously didn't pan out. But yeah, so so you with 707 00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:29,800 Speaker 1: it at sixty nine, all, I guess you have a 708 00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:32,960 Speaker 1: slight edge to Oregon. Correct, totally, So maybe maybe a 709 00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:36,279 Speaker 1: little juice on the ot uh, I don't know. Wow, yeah, 710 00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:39,440 Speaker 1: that's a risky play, but okay, sure, all right, let's 711 00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:43,000 Speaker 1: look at Gonzaga Creton. Now again, this is another interesting one. 712 00:37:43,080 --> 00:37:46,480 Speaker 1: Like Creighton. Uh, you know they got lucky to beat 713 00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:48,800 Speaker 1: U C. S B. I had the U C. S 714 00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:50,719 Speaker 1: B guys and they miss a layup with like two 715 00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:53,520 Speaker 1: seconds left, and then they face a tired Ohio team 716 00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:56,120 Speaker 1: off to win over Virginia, and you know, Creighton's third 717 00:37:56,239 --> 00:37:58,960 Speaker 1: I think thirteen and a half maybe, and we have 718 00:37:59,080 --> 00:38:02,040 Speaker 1: Gonzaga a jugger. Know what do the numbers say according 719 00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:04,600 Speaker 1: to shot quality? So this is really interesting. Think Creating 720 00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:06,799 Speaker 1: was one of the most interesting shot quality teams over 721 00:38:06,840 --> 00:38:08,839 Speaker 1: the course of this season. So basically through the first 722 00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:11,799 Speaker 1: twenty games they were actually consistently a top ten team 723 00:38:11,840 --> 00:38:14,840 Speaker 1: on the site, just getting great shots and just putting 724 00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:18,480 Speaker 1: together great overall quality of looks on the offensive defensive end. 725 00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:22,279 Speaker 1: But the last five games they've really been tanking. So 726 00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:25,440 Speaker 1: it's kind of interesting because like if they could somehow 727 00:38:25,520 --> 00:38:29,400 Speaker 1: revert back to their previous performance. The spread basically I 728 00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:32,359 Speaker 1: have in the game. It values more recent games more 729 00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:36,160 Speaker 1: in the algorithm, but it obviously values previous play also, 730 00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:39,840 Speaker 1: So the spread has created losing by nine to Gonzaga 731 00:38:40,560 --> 00:38:44,160 Speaker 1: seven before, so I guess it's taking created on the spread. Yeah, 732 00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:46,880 Speaker 1: why do you and actually bigger edge there than the 733 00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,480 Speaker 1: Oregon USC game. But I guess my question would be, 734 00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:51,680 Speaker 1: what what do you think happened in the last five games. 735 00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:54,520 Speaker 1: Did that line up with the coach getting suspended for 736 00:38:54,640 --> 00:38:57,160 Speaker 1: his comment or whatever? It could be something with that 737 00:38:57,280 --> 00:39:01,040 Speaker 1: with coach mac Um. I think it's interesting. So a 738 00:39:01,120 --> 00:39:03,240 Speaker 1: lot of the quality of shot, like when a team 739 00:39:03,400 --> 00:39:05,319 Speaker 1: gets worst quality shots throughout the season. It's a lot 740 00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:07,120 Speaker 1: of it us to do with turnovers because obviously a 741 00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:09,480 Speaker 1: turnovers the worst quality looking and get so if a 742 00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:12,280 Speaker 1: team becomes more turnover prone, they're getting worse offensive quality 743 00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:15,320 Speaker 1: it looks. But in terms of like actual shot attempts, 744 00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:17,200 Speaker 1: I don't think that's been changing as much. I think 745 00:39:17,239 --> 00:39:19,120 Speaker 1: they're just turning it over a little bit more recently. 746 00:39:19,280 --> 00:39:23,120 Speaker 1: Huh okay, interesting. I kind of like Creton to keep 747 00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:27,000 Speaker 1: that one close enough. Um in that one again you're 748 00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:31,040 Speaker 1: looking at I'm curious with because you know, you want 749 00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:32,759 Speaker 1: to look at the matchups a little bit, and they 750 00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:36,840 Speaker 1: have some good players, right, And how do you weigh 751 00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:39,400 Speaker 1: matchups versus what the numbers say because some you know, 752 00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:43,239 Speaker 1: the eye test, it matters simon obviously the tests and 753 00:39:43,440 --> 00:39:46,759 Speaker 1: and you know, Gonzaga being undefeated, five extra days to 754 00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:50,480 Speaker 1: think about being undefeated. Um So, so what do you 755 00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:53,040 Speaker 1: come in on this? Ultimately, obviously a stats guy, but 756 00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:55,640 Speaker 1: I'm in on the eye test as well. Um it's 757 00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:57,960 Speaker 1: for creating. I mean, I think they're so interesting because 758 00:39:58,040 --> 00:39:59,800 Speaker 1: they can get hot from through Like they're one of 759 00:39:59,800 --> 00:40:01,880 Speaker 1: those teams that like could if you look at the 760 00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:03,160 Speaker 1: box too at the end of the game and they're 761 00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:07,040 Speaker 1: shooting from three, this could be a one two point 762 00:40:07,120 --> 00:40:09,800 Speaker 1: game like that, It is conceivable that they keep it 763 00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:12,160 Speaker 1: close if they just get hot from three and they 764 00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:14,919 Speaker 1: shoot so many of them. With Mitchell Balach, Marcus Zigarowski, 765 00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:18,400 Speaker 1: Damien Jefferson, they really do have the shooters. And I 766 00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:20,600 Speaker 1: think with matchups, I think that's just where you have 767 00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:23,279 Speaker 1: to that's just where like the individual handicappers will have 768 00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:26,560 Speaker 1: an advantage over just an algorithm because like there's a 769 00:40:26,640 --> 00:40:29,359 Speaker 1: random example, but like when Iowa plays Michigan, Like if 770 00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:30,920 Speaker 1: you have someone on Hunter Dickens, if you coul put 771 00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:33,520 Speaker 1: Hunter Dickenson on Luca Garza, that's probably the worst possible 772 00:40:33,560 --> 00:40:35,600 Speaker 1: matchup you could have. So obviously that's going to affect 773 00:40:35,640 --> 00:40:38,920 Speaker 1: the line and be more impactful than whatever the algorithm 774 00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:42,160 Speaker 1: that's say. So I'm looking at can obviously, I'm sure 775 00:40:42,160 --> 00:40:44,120 Speaker 1: you look at Ken Palm and to Vic and all 776 00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:46,879 Speaker 1: these sites. Ken Palm has Gonzaga as the seventh best 777 00:40:46,920 --> 00:40:50,920 Speaker 1: defense in America. However, we know that their conference, the 778 00:40:51,080 --> 00:40:54,399 Speaker 1: WCC was awful this year, right would you agree or yes? 779 00:40:54,520 --> 00:40:57,320 Speaker 1: They were not great? How much can we put it? 780 00:40:57,320 --> 00:41:02,000 Speaker 1: I mean Iowa put up on Gonzaga, UM West Virginia 781 00:41:02,120 --> 00:41:05,880 Speaker 1: eight two. Like teams can score pretty easily on Gonzaga, 782 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:08,239 Speaker 1: So I like great in here, I don't know where 783 00:41:08,239 --> 00:41:10,720 Speaker 1: are you? So that's really interesting. You mentioned the defense 784 00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:13,240 Speaker 1: of Gonzaga. So basically, based off the quality of shots 785 00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:15,880 Speaker 1: that Gonzaga has let up this season, they're ranked on 786 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:20,439 Speaker 1: shock quality as the best defense, which definitely is a big, 787 00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:23,600 Speaker 1: big gap compared to kempom. And the difference is like 788 00:41:23,680 --> 00:41:26,920 Speaker 1: what I've noticed, a differences from kem pom to shock quality. 789 00:41:26,920 --> 00:41:28,560 Speaker 1: I've done a lot of research on this obviously, because 790 00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:31,359 Speaker 1: kempom sides like the greatest thing of all time. Um, 791 00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:34,279 Speaker 1: it has to do with three point luck. So I 792 00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:36,600 Speaker 1: can break this down. But basically what three point luck is, 793 00:41:36,719 --> 00:41:41,320 Speaker 1: it's just let's say, um Isaiah Bold is actually a 794 00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:43,800 Speaker 1: great example for that Kansas game. So basically it's not 795 00:41:43,920 --> 00:41:47,920 Speaker 1: like Kansas's defense played that poorly to allow USC to 796 00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:50,839 Speaker 1: shoot six from three, but rather it was just they 797 00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:53,040 Speaker 1: just had a crazy three point shooting games. So that 798 00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:56,680 Speaker 1: would be a perfect example of Kansas's defense and Camps 799 00:41:56,920 --> 00:42:00,359 Speaker 1: defense performing unlucky to the three point nine, which really 800 00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:03,279 Speaker 1: isn't fair for the Kansas defense down the road in 801 00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:06,440 Speaker 1: terms of Vegas's expectation of that. So that's where Gonzaga's 802 00:42:06,480 --> 00:42:09,400 Speaker 1: defense might be overvalued, I think from a Vegas perspective 803 00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:13,440 Speaker 1: of that. Interesting, Yeah, you know, Gonzaga is gonna They're 804 00:42:13,440 --> 00:42:15,920 Speaker 1: gonna feel the weight and the pressure of being undefeated, 805 00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:18,400 Speaker 1: and what about the fact and again, I don't know 806 00:42:18,560 --> 00:42:21,840 Speaker 1: if you're factoring in the gym, like Crighton has played 807 00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:24,799 Speaker 1: in this gym before, because it is um. I guess 808 00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:30,319 Speaker 1: they're playing in Hinkel, is it? I'm not I'm not sure. 809 00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:32,640 Speaker 1: I'm not exactly sure which stadium they're playing in, but 810 00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:35,200 Speaker 1: it's one that they've played in before. Gonzagas doesn't obviously, 811 00:42:35,480 --> 00:42:37,440 Speaker 1: So I don't know if that factors. One last thing 812 00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:40,480 Speaker 1: on Gonzaga because they've had so many blowouts in Division. 813 00:42:40,680 --> 00:42:42,800 Speaker 1: Do you try to strip out the final five minutes 814 00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:45,200 Speaker 1: worth of shots and data or does that factory because 815 00:42:45,239 --> 00:42:47,359 Speaker 1: maybe the end of the bench guys aren't trying as 816 00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:49,840 Speaker 1: hard on D So that's actually something I have not 817 00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:51,880 Speaker 1: been able to do this season. But that's literally my 818 00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:53,640 Speaker 1: first goal for next season. I've got a bunch of 819 00:42:53,680 --> 00:42:56,840 Speaker 1: emails contracting out garbage time, So great idea, that's exactly 820 00:42:56,880 --> 00:42:59,320 Speaker 1: what I haven't had next season. So let me you 821 00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:01,840 Speaker 1: say you've got a bunch of emails. Now, again, I 822 00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:04,040 Speaker 1: don't know what you want to reveal, but who who 823 00:43:04,280 --> 00:43:06,640 Speaker 1: is reading shot quality? Because you know, I don't know 824 00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:08,400 Speaker 1: if it's a casual fan, it's probably a bunch of 825 00:43:08,520 --> 00:43:11,640 Speaker 1: degenerate gamblers. But I would assume simon that there are 826 00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:14,319 Speaker 1: some teams out there that are looking at what you're 827 00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:16,439 Speaker 1: doing and being like, we could really use his data. 828 00:43:16,520 --> 00:43:18,640 Speaker 1: He's just putting it out there for everybody. If we 829 00:43:18,840 --> 00:43:22,360 Speaker 1: had this just proprietary to us, all of a sudden, 830 00:43:22,400 --> 00:43:25,960 Speaker 1: we gain an edge. Have you had either college programs, 831 00:43:26,160 --> 00:43:27,920 Speaker 1: NBA any Have you had people reach out to you, 832 00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:31,960 Speaker 1: uh from sports leagues? Yes? So we have over thirty 833 00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:34,359 Speaker 1: n C Double A teams actually Crating is one of them. Um, 834 00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:36,480 Speaker 1: we have over thirty n double teams signed up for 835 00:43:36,560 --> 00:43:38,560 Speaker 1: this season, and we have a bunch of NBA teams 836 00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:41,480 Speaker 1: as well looking at NBA draft prospects, because it's obviously 837 00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:44,720 Speaker 1: just a different it's a different analysis like analytics tool 838 00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:50,600 Speaker 1: to evaluate passing ability. Um, obviously like the quality of 839 00:43:50,640 --> 00:43:52,959 Speaker 1: shots are getting. So I had a bunch of NBA 840 00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:55,120 Speaker 1: teams reach out to me right before the draft last year. 841 00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:57,840 Speaker 1: I'm recomnected. I mean, listen, I don't know if you 842 00:43:57,880 --> 00:43:59,399 Speaker 1: want to say the teams, but just talk me through 843 00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:01,400 Speaker 1: that process. And it's like you're in the middle of uh, 844 00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:04,520 Speaker 1: you know, intermoral basketball, and then you've got the bio 845 00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:06,680 Speaker 1: test the next day and you come home to an 846 00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:11,879 Speaker 1: email from you know, the GM, the Milwaukee Bucks, no great, 847 00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:14,480 Speaker 1: great ones. So basically I'm at I'm coming home from 848 00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:16,400 Speaker 1: my dorm and I get an email from David Griffin 849 00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:19,560 Speaker 1: pop up on my on my computer. Definitely surreal feeling 850 00:44:19,680 --> 00:44:22,080 Speaker 1: to see something like that. Obviously a huge fan of 851 00:44:22,160 --> 00:44:27,239 Speaker 1: David Kurfin's from Caps days and Pelicans. Pretty crazy to see. Um. Well, yeah, 852 00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:29,480 Speaker 1: hopefully I'll reconnect with them before the draft and the 853 00:44:29,520 --> 00:44:32,920 Speaker 1: other teams as well. And so I just I do wonder, 854 00:44:33,520 --> 00:44:36,200 Speaker 1: you know, how do you make the decision whether you 855 00:44:36,360 --> 00:44:38,480 Speaker 1: wanna I mean, have you had people offer to buy this. 856 00:44:39,520 --> 00:44:42,200 Speaker 1: I am not, but obviously I just want to keep 857 00:44:42,200 --> 00:44:43,719 Speaker 1: building it out as much as I can. I mean, 858 00:44:43,760 --> 00:44:47,000 Speaker 1: I am just like a student act Colgate. I still 859 00:44:47,000 --> 00:44:50,960 Speaker 1: gotta focus on my philosophy. My philosophy essays, um, but 860 00:44:52,440 --> 00:44:54,640 Speaker 1: what is your major? By the way, I'm assuming something 861 00:44:54,719 --> 00:44:57,319 Speaker 1: in the math department? Yes, sack it psychon said, are 862 00:44:57,360 --> 00:45:00,680 Speaker 1: my two majors? Basically? Huh okay, all right, so let's 863 00:45:00,719 --> 00:45:02,759 Speaker 1: go to the rest of this week sixteen. I want 864 00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:05,399 Speaker 1: to just I'll pick out Houston Syracuse is a game 865 00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:09,680 Speaker 1: that jumps out. So Syracuse plays the two three zone. Obviously, 866 00:45:09,719 --> 00:45:13,560 Speaker 1: they've exceeded every expectation shooting the ball. But in addition, 867 00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:17,360 Speaker 1: if you look at the Houston offensive rebound numbers Syracuse, 868 00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:19,520 Speaker 1: we know it's tough to rebound from a two three zone. 869 00:45:19,600 --> 00:45:21,920 Speaker 1: This could be a problem for the quse the public 870 00:45:22,200 --> 00:45:24,960 Speaker 1: loading up on Syracuse here, that makes sense, and I 871 00:45:25,040 --> 00:45:26,800 Speaker 1: think that's exactly where you can get an advantage on 872 00:45:26,840 --> 00:45:30,080 Speaker 1: the public because of the last two games that Syracuse 873 00:45:30,120 --> 00:45:32,600 Speaker 1: has played based off the quality of shots they've got in. 874 00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:34,960 Speaker 1: So I actually predicted the chuck all the out of them, 875 00:45:35,040 --> 00:45:37,160 Speaker 1: had them to beat San Diego State in the game. 876 00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:39,759 Speaker 1: But based on the quality of shots San Diego State 877 00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:42,239 Speaker 1: got in the game, they were supposed to basically blow 878 00:45:42,280 --> 00:45:45,400 Speaker 1: them out. Even though they got blown out, hold on 879 00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:48,280 Speaker 1: who was supposed to win, San Diego State was expected 880 00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:50,640 Speaker 1: to win that game after the result, basically they just 881 00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:53,600 Speaker 1: missed every shot. Buddy Behind went seven for ten from three. 882 00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:56,279 Speaker 1: Like these things and these big differences in the gas 883 00:45:56,400 --> 00:45:59,239 Speaker 1: between quality of shots and results. A lot of it 884 00:45:59,320 --> 00:46:01,439 Speaker 1: has to do with red point luck and like, yeah, 885 00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:03,680 Speaker 1: like funny Behind going seven for ten from three, like 886 00:46:03,760 --> 00:46:06,719 Speaker 1: that's not expected on the long run, So that's kind 887 00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:11,720 Speaker 1: of hopefully they Syracuse fife from three and San Diego 888 00:46:11,760 --> 00:46:14,040 Speaker 1: State eleven for forty And I know eleven sounds like 889 00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:15,360 Speaker 1: a lot, but I feel like at one point it 890 00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:17,480 Speaker 1: was like four for twenty nine if I was if 891 00:46:17,560 --> 00:46:21,160 Speaker 1: memory serves, like, you miss all those threes. Yeah, when 892 00:46:21,200 --> 00:46:23,600 Speaker 1: when people say it's a make or mis league the NBA, 893 00:46:24,239 --> 00:46:26,840 Speaker 1: basically that was a make or miss game, right totally. 894 00:46:27,080 --> 00:46:29,680 Speaker 1: When you missed twenty nine threes in the game, Um, 895 00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:33,239 Speaker 1: that's just like obviously less than your average percentage, I mean, 896 00:46:33,880 --> 00:46:35,520 Speaker 1: is great shoots whatever. But what I was getting out 897 00:46:35,560 --> 00:46:38,440 Speaker 1: with Syracuse Basically the last two games have played slightly 898 00:46:38,520 --> 00:46:40,520 Speaker 1: over their heads, and I think this is a good 899 00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:43,200 Speaker 1: advantage where you could actually yet because I don't know 900 00:46:43,239 --> 00:46:45,600 Speaker 1: if it's Behi magic, I don't know. These are obviously 901 00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:48,440 Speaker 1: unquantified with forces whatever coach be Hive does in the 902 00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:51,439 Speaker 1: post tournament in March badness. But I think basically they're 903 00:46:51,440 --> 00:46:53,560 Speaker 1: shooting way over their heads and I would expect negative 904 00:46:53,600 --> 00:46:56,160 Speaker 1: progression if I but I do wonder, and again, I 905 00:46:56,200 --> 00:46:58,359 Speaker 1: don't know how you can factor in the zone here. 906 00:46:58,719 --> 00:47:01,560 Speaker 1: You know Houston has seen some zone this season obviously, 907 00:47:01,880 --> 00:47:04,680 Speaker 1: but the zone in the a A c ain't the 908 00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:08,120 Speaker 1: Syracuse matchup to three that always wins in the tournament. 909 00:47:08,200 --> 00:47:10,560 Speaker 1: And you know, I know Houston's number two in the 910 00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:13,160 Speaker 1: country offensive rebound, but they're not a great three point 911 00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:18,000 Speaker 1: shooting team. Again, how do you what do you do here? Simon? 912 00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:20,319 Speaker 1: What's what's the play? Because Ken Palm has it as 913 00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:22,719 Speaker 1: Houston by eight. The line I think was six or 914 00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:25,719 Speaker 1: six and a half because everybody's bet in Syracuse. So 915 00:47:25,960 --> 00:47:28,040 Speaker 1: the one stat that I think really sticks out for 916 00:47:28,120 --> 00:47:32,040 Speaker 1: me for Houston against circuses games, So Cycus one of 917 00:47:32,080 --> 00:47:35,680 Speaker 1: the highest deal rates in the country actually, but Houston 918 00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:37,760 Speaker 1: is one of the lowest turnover rates in the country, 919 00:47:37,840 --> 00:47:40,160 Speaker 1: so I think basically them not turning with the ball 920 00:47:40,239 --> 00:47:41,920 Speaker 1: over them and you never know if that'll if that 921 00:47:41,960 --> 00:47:44,279 Speaker 1: will backfire, but them not turning with the ball over 922 00:47:44,280 --> 00:47:47,520 Speaker 1: against that Syracuse D I think just getting solid looks up. 923 00:47:48,160 --> 00:47:50,640 Speaker 1: I would expect used to actually roll them and cover this. 924 00:47:50,880 --> 00:47:53,319 Speaker 1: I think the shock already spread actually has the same 925 00:47:53,440 --> 00:47:55,800 Speaker 1: as Vegas at six points. But I actually do like 926 00:47:55,880 --> 00:47:59,839 Speaker 1: Houston personally intuition there. I know you have a luck 927 00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,640 Speaker 1: going on. Obviously, you know your psychology tests and all 928 00:48:02,680 --> 00:48:06,279 Speaker 1: that fun stuff. But between the David Griffin emails, have 929 00:48:06,480 --> 00:48:08,400 Speaker 1: you been able to try to bet a lot of 930 00:48:08,440 --> 00:48:12,040 Speaker 1: these games? I try to stay. I don't know what 931 00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:13,680 Speaker 1: you could say that you're in New York. I should 932 00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:15,279 Speaker 1: say New York. I don't know if it's legal to 933 00:48:15,320 --> 00:48:17,120 Speaker 1: gamble there, but not not trying to get you in trouble. 934 00:48:17,400 --> 00:48:22,839 Speaker 1: But you know, I wager a very slight amount. I'm 935 00:48:22,880 --> 00:48:24,360 Speaker 1: not I don't have a lot of money as a 936 00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:26,640 Speaker 1: college student, so I really don't have much to put in. 937 00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:29,160 Speaker 1: But hopefully down the road I'll get more and more 938 00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:32,960 Speaker 1: into it. Honestly, Okay, what does shot quality, say for 939 00:48:33,120 --> 00:48:36,319 Speaker 1: the Florida State Michigan game, because that is a game 940 00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:38,680 Speaker 1: I had circled. I've had Florida State all along winning this. 941 00:48:38,960 --> 00:48:42,360 Speaker 1: I'm fairly loaded up on the seminoles here. How do 942 00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:45,600 Speaker 1: you factor in the Liver's injury for Michigan. So let 943 00:48:45,640 --> 00:48:47,680 Speaker 1: me tell you this. I think Florida State to chuck 944 00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:50,200 Speaker 1: all the OUTAM has Michigan by three points in the game, 945 00:48:50,239 --> 00:48:52,120 Speaker 1: which I think it's similar the spread, but that's not 946 00:48:52,280 --> 00:48:55,719 Speaker 1: factoring the full magnitude of how long liverage has been out. 947 00:48:56,080 --> 00:48:57,920 Speaker 1: So basically, I think if I had to create a 948 00:48:57,960 --> 00:49:00,600 Speaker 1: new spread just sprinkling the livers and jury, I would 949 00:49:00,600 --> 00:49:03,360 Speaker 1: expect it would be Florida State probably be favorite to 950 00:49:03,400 --> 00:49:05,400 Speaker 1: lose by one. So I do think that is some 951 00:49:05,480 --> 00:49:09,040 Speaker 1: good value there, and I think Florida's State really could 952 00:49:09,040 --> 00:49:10,719 Speaker 1: beat them. I mean the way Michigan has played, they 953 00:49:10,760 --> 00:49:14,239 Speaker 1: played like crap against Texas Southern, played terrible against not 954 00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:17,239 Speaker 1: great against l s U. I don't think. I think 955 00:49:17,280 --> 00:49:19,560 Speaker 1: the quality of shots is really deteriorated the last few 956 00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:21,840 Speaker 1: games without livers, and I do like that play Florida 957 00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:25,120 Speaker 1: State a lot. Okay is there again? Now Alabama? You 958 00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:27,480 Speaker 1: u Cee l A is one that everybody's projecting as 959 00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:31,080 Speaker 1: a massive blowout, and you see l A. I'm assuming 960 00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:33,359 Speaker 1: has exceeded expectations because they were not a great team 961 00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:37,160 Speaker 1: this season. They definitely have exceed the expectations. They're like 962 00:49:37,239 --> 00:49:39,680 Speaker 1: the epitome of the anti shot quality team because they 963 00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:42,240 Speaker 1: just they let up so many threes and ram shots 964 00:49:42,280 --> 00:49:44,560 Speaker 1: and they don't shoot. They shoot so many mid range, 965 00:49:44,600 --> 00:49:47,000 Speaker 1: so they're like the anti shot quality team, I'd say, 966 00:49:47,000 --> 00:49:49,359 Speaker 1: and Alabama is probably like the most pro shot. All 967 00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:51,000 Speaker 1: they do is I mean, if you've seen their shot 968 00:49:51,080 --> 00:49:54,759 Speaker 1: charts after the games, it's all threes and layups. Um uh. 969 00:49:55,480 --> 00:49:58,160 Speaker 1: The interesting thing is with betting on Alabama, which always 970 00:49:58,200 --> 00:50:01,560 Speaker 1: scares me and other betters, and it's just the volatility 971 00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:04,400 Speaker 1: with the three point shot with them, because if you 972 00:50:04,440 --> 00:50:06,400 Speaker 1: shoot forty three a game at thirty five, three is 973 00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:09,040 Speaker 1: a game and John Petty just misses one or two 974 00:50:09,320 --> 00:50:11,200 Speaker 1: or two or three, like that's what everyone in the spread. 975 00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:14,000 Speaker 1: So that always scares me, just the variability. I had 976 00:50:14,640 --> 00:50:17,680 Speaker 1: some handicapper I was texting with after the the other game. 977 00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:21,239 Speaker 1: I think he had the under in the Maryland Alabama game, 978 00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:25,400 Speaker 1: and basically, yeah, when Bama gets off from three, like 979 00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:27,279 Speaker 1: what can you do? Like, it's just like it's just 980 00:50:27,440 --> 00:50:30,480 Speaker 1: so volatile, and it's just obviously frustrated. It is funny 981 00:50:30,560 --> 00:50:34,279 Speaker 1: to watch Maryland's defense totally lock up Yukon. Yukon could 982 00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:36,800 Speaker 1: do nothing. Book night was pretty terrible. I had Maryland 983 00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:38,560 Speaker 1: and that one, and then the next game out and 984 00:50:38,600 --> 00:50:40,759 Speaker 1: Alabama makes I don't know they made like twelve out 985 00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:43,239 Speaker 1: of threes at one point, but that you're right, they 986 00:50:43,280 --> 00:50:46,800 Speaker 1: do shoot forty threes a game, fifteenth in the country. 987 00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:48,800 Speaker 1: And then you look over at U c l and 988 00:50:48,840 --> 00:50:50,680 Speaker 1: it's like, oh, U c l A does not the 989 00:50:50,880 --> 00:50:54,160 Speaker 1: twenty seven threes a game two fifty five. So I 990 00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:56,440 Speaker 1: don't know, Simon, is that a game where you kind 991 00:50:56,480 --> 00:50:58,040 Speaker 1: of like U c l A Or is there better? 992 00:50:58,280 --> 00:51:01,080 Speaker 1: Is it better to in game bet that given how 993 00:51:01,200 --> 00:51:04,600 Speaker 1: things are going, I think the best live bets of 994 00:51:04,680 --> 00:51:07,279 Speaker 1: teams like Alabama. So basically, like let's say Alabama starts 995 00:51:07,360 --> 00:51:09,600 Speaker 1: one for ten for three, uh U c l A 996 00:51:09,680 --> 00:51:12,440 Speaker 1: is up twelve. Those are my favorite times to hammer 997 00:51:12,560 --> 00:51:14,359 Speaker 1: the team that's just suffering from a lot of three 998 00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:16,440 Speaker 1: point luck like games. Obviously not a ten percent three 999 00:51:16,440 --> 00:51:18,680 Speaker 1: point treot team, so if Bama gets down early or 1000 00:51:18,719 --> 00:51:20,120 Speaker 1: something like that, I think that would be a good 1001 00:51:20,160 --> 00:51:22,759 Speaker 1: live better. All right, we'll close out with this one 1002 00:51:23,440 --> 00:51:26,560 Speaker 1: unless there's a game you really really love, not Illinois. 1003 00:51:26,600 --> 00:51:30,040 Speaker 1: Loyola takes down Illinois. Let's start to finish. I'm assuming 1004 00:51:30,040 --> 00:51:33,160 Speaker 1: shot quality did not have that upset they did not. 1005 00:51:33,360 --> 00:51:36,880 Speaker 1: Loyala Chicago dominated the shots in that game and legitimately 1006 00:51:37,120 --> 00:51:39,560 Speaker 1: beat them, Like this was not a game where oh 1007 00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:41,560 Speaker 1: they got worse shots and they just got locked in. 1008 00:51:41,600 --> 00:51:44,480 Speaker 1: Loyal Chicago is an elite team and they legitimately took 1009 00:51:44,560 --> 00:51:47,200 Speaker 1: down Illinois, which is crazy. And where are you on 1010 00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:49,400 Speaker 1: Oregon State Loyola Because I feel like a lot of 1011 00:51:49,480 --> 00:51:53,040 Speaker 1: people almost want to gravitate toward Oregon State, but I don't. 1012 00:51:53,719 --> 00:51:55,759 Speaker 1: I really don't like this is my probably one of 1013 00:51:55,800 --> 00:51:57,600 Speaker 1: my most favorite players of the weekend. I think, so 1014 00:51:57,719 --> 00:52:01,239 Speaker 1: Oregon State. They've won the last five games, but I 1015 00:52:01,400 --> 00:52:03,320 Speaker 1: just said the last four. They've won the last four games, 1016 00:52:03,680 --> 00:52:07,480 Speaker 1: and of those four games, Oregon, Colorado, Tennessee, Oklahoma State, 1017 00:52:07,960 --> 00:52:10,319 Speaker 1: based off the quality of shots they've gotten of all 1018 00:52:10,320 --> 00:52:13,359 Speaker 1: their individual players, they were expecting to lose all four 1019 00:52:13,520 --> 00:52:16,560 Speaker 1: those games. So they are playing way way over their 1020 00:52:16,600 --> 00:52:19,640 Speaker 1: heads and loyal Chicago is just a great freaking team, 1021 00:52:19,680 --> 00:52:22,080 Speaker 1: and I think they there's a really good chance and 1022 00:52:22,120 --> 00:52:23,600 Speaker 1: the I'm just washing them. That one feels like a 1023 00:52:23,640 --> 00:52:25,800 Speaker 1: blood bath. Okay. Al right, so who do you have 1024 00:52:26,120 --> 00:52:30,680 Speaker 1: winning the title right now? I'm assuming Gonzaga, right. It's 1025 00:52:30,719 --> 00:52:33,640 Speaker 1: really based off like the shot quality side, Like Gonzaga 1026 00:52:33,719 --> 00:52:36,399 Speaker 1: is just a huge favor right now. The closest teams 1027 00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:39,800 Speaker 1: are Baylor and then Loyalist Chicago. So I guess that 1028 00:52:39,840 --> 00:52:42,320 Speaker 1: would be the final four right when I was Baylor, Gonzaga, 1029 00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:46,960 Speaker 1: Loyalist Chicago, and then um FSU were Alabama. Yeah, bam 1030 00:52:47,040 --> 00:52:49,520 Speaker 1: my bam bam Bama. I've went higher than Okay, So 1031 00:52:49,760 --> 00:52:52,239 Speaker 1: let me close out by asking this on the NBA. Well, 1032 00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:56,560 Speaker 1: first of all, you're a junior senior, junior junior, okay, 1033 00:52:56,800 --> 00:53:00,439 Speaker 1: so you're still used a year out from du eating. 1034 00:53:00,760 --> 00:53:02,960 Speaker 1: Do you have any internships or anything lined up this 1035 00:53:03,080 --> 00:53:05,400 Speaker 1: all this summer or anything? Maybe you can't talk about it. 1036 00:53:05,440 --> 00:53:08,239 Speaker 1: I don't know, and you send Simon you know, people 1037 00:53:08,239 --> 00:53:12,400 Speaker 1: have been like grabbing at you. Um No, I have 1038 00:53:12,520 --> 00:53:14,680 Speaker 1: nothing lined up at this point. I honestly, my goal 1039 00:53:14,760 --> 00:53:17,040 Speaker 1: is just to keep working on shot cars as at 1040 00:53:17,239 --> 00:53:19,320 Speaker 1: as long as I possibly can and just keep building 1041 00:53:19,360 --> 00:53:21,279 Speaker 1: it out because I do think I hopefully have something 1042 00:53:21,400 --> 00:53:24,880 Speaker 1: here and just can keep rolling with it. Do you 1043 00:53:25,680 --> 00:53:27,640 Speaker 1: have you dabbled in football at all? Or is it 1044 00:53:27,760 --> 00:53:32,560 Speaker 1: just simply been basketball? So I have not dabbled in football. 1045 00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:35,000 Speaker 1: I've done some NBA stuff a little bit, just looking 1046 00:53:35,040 --> 00:53:37,120 Speaker 1: at like shot Quate with because I'm a big nick fans. 1047 00:53:37,160 --> 00:53:39,839 Speaker 1: I've just checked that out a little bit. I haven't 1048 00:53:39,880 --> 00:53:41,960 Speaker 1: posted anything on Twitter or anything like that, but um, 1049 00:53:42,360 --> 00:53:45,080 Speaker 1: done a little with the n B A nothing with football. 1050 00:53:45,160 --> 00:53:47,000 Speaker 1: I did a lot of baseball analytics before I got 1051 00:53:47,080 --> 00:53:49,000 Speaker 1: to college, but I kind of got bored baseball a 1052 00:53:49,040 --> 00:53:51,320 Speaker 1: little bit. It's just a little too slow based for 1053 00:53:51,360 --> 00:53:55,960 Speaker 1: me at this point. But definitely yeah. Uh. One more thing, Um, 1054 00:53:56,440 --> 00:53:59,600 Speaker 1: your background growing up? Were you big into sports or 1055 00:53:59,680 --> 00:54:01,800 Speaker 1: more the numbers? And I guess you grew up in 1056 00:54:01,840 --> 00:54:05,640 Speaker 1: the computer cell phone era. Um, just for the audience 1057 00:54:05,680 --> 00:54:07,759 Speaker 1: out there who's got young kids and are like, hey, man, 1058 00:54:08,040 --> 00:54:11,000 Speaker 1: I want my kid on that Simon path towards uh, 1059 00:54:11,360 --> 00:54:13,200 Speaker 1: you know, going to a good school like col Gate. 1060 00:54:13,719 --> 00:54:16,960 Speaker 1: How did you get into all the numbers? Well, it's 1061 00:54:17,000 --> 00:54:18,960 Speaker 1: kind of funny. I'm not like like a math Like 1062 00:54:19,000 --> 00:54:20,759 Speaker 1: I'm not even like that good with math. I kind 1063 00:54:20,760 --> 00:54:22,480 Speaker 1: of just picked up on this because I really enjoyed 1064 00:54:22,600 --> 00:54:25,520 Speaker 1: just watching sports and I knew I was gonna play 1065 00:54:25,600 --> 00:54:27,960 Speaker 1: sports anywhere, and once I got to college, I was 1066 00:54:28,040 --> 00:54:32,400 Speaker 1: just really infatuated with just the way box scores tell 1067 00:54:32,760 --> 00:54:35,040 Speaker 1: so much about the game, but also leave out so 1068 00:54:35,200 --> 00:54:37,719 Speaker 1: much about the game, Like like, I just think there's 1069 00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:41,160 Speaker 1: so much that we aren't able to pick up on 1070 00:54:41,320 --> 00:54:43,520 Speaker 1: when you checked the score after like even like that 1071 00:54:43,640 --> 00:54:45,600 Speaker 1: Kansas CRC game, Like you check the box score, you 1072 00:54:45,680 --> 00:54:49,520 Speaker 1: see Isaiah Mobli shot whenever seven five from three, They're like, oh, 1073 00:54:49,640 --> 00:54:52,160 Speaker 1: great game from Isaiah Mobli. I just think there's so 1074 00:54:52,320 --> 00:54:55,400 Speaker 1: much that we're missing as fans when we're not watching. 1075 00:54:55,440 --> 00:54:57,080 Speaker 1: And that's why I believe so much in the eye test, 1076 00:54:57,160 --> 00:55:00,160 Speaker 1: because we pick up so much with our eyes, and 1077 00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:03,440 Speaker 1: I think hopefully with the shockball on the other sides, 1078 00:55:03,560 --> 00:55:08,240 Speaker 1: we could just keep expanding with figuring out the correct 1079 00:55:08,760 --> 00:55:14,480 Speaker 1: more intuitive box scores. Alright, Simon Gerzberg, Colgate Jr. Unbelievable? 1080 00:55:14,560 --> 00:55:17,680 Speaker 1: What are you? Are you twenty one yet? Or no? Oh, 1081 00:55:17,840 --> 00:55:20,600 Speaker 1: my goodness, twenty the world is his voice? All right? Simon? 1082 00:55:20,640 --> 00:55:23,800 Speaker 1: Thanks a lot man. We'll talk to you soon. Appreciate Jason, 1083 00:55:23,880 --> 00:55:24,200 Speaker 1: thank you,