WEBVTT - Best Bets for NFL Week 7: Top Picks and Predictions (Ep. 555)

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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<v Speaker 1>your bets. It's me Joey p Joe Piezapia and this

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<v Speaker 1>is VP NFL. We're looking ahead to the best bets

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<v Speaker 1>of Week seven in the NFL, and last week the

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<v Speaker 1>favorites bit back and hopefully these two guys are recovering

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<v Speaker 1>from a tough week there and they are ready to

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<v Speaker 1>make a rebound after a really chalky Week six. And

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<v Speaker 1>I understand guys that, you know, sometimes you want to

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<v Speaker 1>fade the public, but every now and then the public

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<v Speaker 1>does win and they are correct, which means we don't

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<v Speaker 1>stray from what we do. No, no, no, we stick

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<v Speaker 1>with a process. It's a long season. So Terrell is

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<v Speaker 1>that the special sauce here is to not let last

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<v Speaker 1>week get you down and just continue on with the process.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, don't you see my face? This is my locked in,

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<v Speaker 2>very frustrated here my last week's performances. You know, it's like,

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<v Speaker 2>you know a player, like when they go in a

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<v Speaker 2>interview to players after a loss. Why are you interviewing

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<v Speaker 2>me after I'm emotionally charged after losing a game. I

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<v Speaker 2>had a bad week. I feel horrible about it. I'm

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<v Speaker 2>sick and disgusted, But I also understand I do not

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<v Speaker 2>bet with the public majority of the time, and when

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<v Speaker 2>I do or when I do, is very very subtle.

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<v Speaker 2>And so the fact that the public had a really,

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<v Speaker 2>really good week just means that I was going to

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<v Speaker 2>have a bad week. So guess what, it's time to

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<v Speaker 2>bounce back, because no way the public cash is twice

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<v Speaker 2>in a row.

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<v Speaker 1>It is my upset special did not hit either. So

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<v Speaker 1>it was a tough week Erics, and I think I

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<v Speaker 1>know what your problem is, just not enough under So

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<v Speaker 1>I brought here a new sponsor, the unofficial man here.

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<v Speaker 1>Look at him. He is ready for Week seven ericson

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<v Speaker 1>now he's officially.

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<v Speaker 3>Ready ready, He's ready for the unders.

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<v Speaker 1>Baby, I hope.

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<v Speaker 2>There's last week you are going one on one with me.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm like, let's go play, all right, Let's get to

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<v Speaker 1>the bigs for Week seven in the NFL, and don't

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<v Speaker 1>forget everybody. The Betting pros app is here for you

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<v Speaker 1>Let's start with the first bet of week seven here, Terrell,

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<v Speaker 1>let's talk about the Seattle Seahawks. I know you got

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<v Speaker 1>some feelings against them, and you know all year, I

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<v Speaker 1>feel like you're just not a fan of the Atlanta Falcons.

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<v Speaker 1>I think Terrell has no love. I feel like for

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<v Speaker 1>the Atlanta Falcons, no matter what they do, they can't

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<v Speaker 1>seem to get any love from you. So I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>surprised by this at all. Take me through the Seahawks

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<v Speaker 1>here and the points.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think the Seahawks are I mean out the Seahawks.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think the Falcons are a good team like

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<v Speaker 2>I mean I'm really really hesitant on the Seahawks too,

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<v Speaker 2>But this is a Seahawks spot. You're getting them as

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<v Speaker 2>a dog. You're getting Geno Smith as a dog. I've

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<v Speaker 2>been on here time after time telling you when we

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<v Speaker 2>fake the Seahawks, that is when you're laying points with

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<v Speaker 2>Geno Smith. Now you're getting him plus the points, and

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<v Speaker 2>you're getting him in Atlanta in a dome. So I

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<v Speaker 2>think that he's gonna be able to move the football.

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<v Speaker 2>How do teams beat this Atlanta team by running the

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<v Speaker 2>football as well? And when Kenneth Walker gets ten plus

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<v Speaker 2>carries or gets a heavy workload in a game, the

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<v Speaker 2>Seattle Seahawks are very very good. I think they're gonna

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<v Speaker 2>be able to move the ball on the ground and

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<v Speaker 2>be able to move the ball through the air. On

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<v Speaker 2>this defense, there's virtually no pass rusher. I think Gino

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<v Speaker 2>Smith is gonna have all day. And ultimately, what it

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<v Speaker 2>is on the other side of the ball is I

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<v Speaker 2>trust Mike McDaniel to craft up a defense that's going

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<v Speaker 2>to get Kirk Cousins rattled. They're going to get to them,

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<v Speaker 2>they're gonna get pressure, and they're gonna force him into

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<v Speaker 2>mistakes with the really really good secondary behind them. So

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<v Speaker 2>I think this is a hammer spot. This is a

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<v Speaker 2>great spot to get Seattle on a bounce back against

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<v Speaker 2>a fraudulent Atlanta team. Like, I don't think any team

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<v Speaker 2>in the NFC South is really worth much, but I

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<v Speaker 2>definitely think the Bucks are probably the cream of the

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<v Speaker 2>crop through there. I think Atlanta is just just complete

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<v Speaker 2>for show. They got lucky with the overtime win they

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<v Speaker 2>beat the Panthers, they went and had a comeback against

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<v Speaker 2>the Eagles. Like, there hasn't been anything that really really

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<v Speaker 2>impressed me with the Atlanta Falcons, and I just don't

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<v Speaker 2>think they should be layd points here. So I love

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<v Speaker 2>getting a free with Gino.

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<v Speaker 1>What do the Falcons have to do to impress you?

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<v Speaker 1>NF Championship game? Is that where it starts to build.

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<v Speaker 2>About actually, how about actually look good? How about actually

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<v Speaker 2>rush the passer and have a defensive line? Like you

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<v Speaker 2>went out here and did all of this to get

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<v Speaker 2>Matthew Judon and the defensive line still sucks. That was

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<v Speaker 2>something in the offseason you should have attacked with the

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<v Speaker 2>draft pick. Maybe if you drafted an edge rusher instead

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<v Speaker 2>of drafting Michael Pennix, I would have something good to

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<v Speaker 2>say about the Falcons. So no, I have nothing good

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<v Speaker 2>to say about the Falcons. I don't think they're being.

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<v Speaker 1>Run right, Andrew upset special. Originally I was leaning towards

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<v Speaker 1>your next pick, actually just to win outright on the

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<v Speaker 1>money line. But the injury that crapped up yesterday with

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<v Speaker 1>Drake May gives me pause. They say it's not a

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<v Speaker 1>big deal, but he's going for an MRI. I have

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<v Speaker 1>a hard time putting those two phrases in my brain

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<v Speaker 1>together and having them make sense. So let's make sense

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<v Speaker 1>to the Patriots here, because I know they keep telling

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<v Speaker 1>me everything's fine, everything's fine, but I don't know why.

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<v Speaker 1>I have a hard time believing them right now. But

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<v Speaker 1>used to like the Patriots regardless. It seems like with

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<v Speaker 1>the points in London against the Jacks, let's talk about it.

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<v Speaker 3>I do because I think Drake May's gonna be fine.

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<v Speaker 3>He practiced in full before getting the MRI, so we'll

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<v Speaker 3>get more information about it, but I think it'll be okay.

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<v Speaker 3>I think he's going to play in this game, and

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<v Speaker 3>that's why I like the Patriots plus five and a

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<v Speaker 3>half against Jacksonville. Should Jacksonville be favored by five and

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<v Speaker 3>a half points against any team in the NFL. That's

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<v Speaker 3>the question I posed on the Early look Ahead Show

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<v Speaker 3>because I don't think they should be because they're a

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<v Speaker 3>horrible team, up and down across the board on offense,

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<v Speaker 3>on defense, horrible. They have failed to cover the spread

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<v Speaker 3>in eight of their last twelve games. They also played

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<v Speaker 3>the league's highest rate of man coverage despite not having

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<v Speaker 3>the personnel to actually play in man coverage. So Jacksonville

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<v Speaker 3>is in a weird spot where they're doing things schematically

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<v Speaker 3>that don't make sense based on today's NFL. They're playing

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<v Speaker 3>a ton of man coverage when they don't have the

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<v Speaker 3>guys to do it. They throw the ball downfield at

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<v Speaker 3>the highest rate when teams are playing two high safeties

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<v Speaker 3>all the time to stop downfield attacks. So, Doug Peterson,

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<v Speaker 3>I think your days are numbered. Maybe you need to

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<v Speaker 3>take out a time share in London, because I'm not

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<v Speaker 3>sure you're going to be coming back to Jacksonville anytime soon.

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<v Speaker 3>So I like the Patriots here with the points. I

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<v Speaker 3>think Drake May is gonna be able to run again.

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<v Speaker 3>We hit again. As bad as the picks against the

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<v Speaker 3>spread were last week, the props were on fire. I

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<v Speaker 3>wasn't even upset. I thought even the process with Calvin

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<v Speaker 3>Ridley was right. Zach Ertz one yard away from scoring

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<v Speaker 3>a touchdown and by any time touchdown bet so felt

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<v Speaker 3>great about the Props. I think Drake May is gonna

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<v Speaker 3>run wild here. And last week he drew one of

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<v Speaker 3>the toughest matchups the Texans, number one in the NFL

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<v Speaker 3>in pass rush and pressure rate, and he threw three touchdowns. Yes,

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<v Speaker 3>he did get sacked a couple of times, got banged up,

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<v Speaker 3>but ultimately the offense moved the ball better than they

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<v Speaker 3>had at any point, which Yakobe Brissett ad War's rank

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<v Speaker 3>thirtieth in pressure rate this season. So I think the

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<v Speaker 3>matchup is significantly better for the Patriots and Drake May

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<v Speaker 3>as long as he's the quarterback. I like back of

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<v Speaker 3>the Patriots here plus five and a half. Even in London.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it feels like the Jags are already kind of

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<v Speaker 1>throwing into the towel. It seems like things are not

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<v Speaker 1>going well for them. We'll see coming off London. Last

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<v Speaker 1>time the team, you know, came off a loss in London,

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<v Speaker 1>then if you recall, the coach got fired. So two

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<v Speaker 1>losses I don't know, if you get fired and then

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<v Speaker 1>what like, what's the second thing that happens to you.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll find out. Let's get you to.

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<v Speaker 2>Go immediately home. Like they're like, no, you don't have

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<v Speaker 2>to wait for the plan. You can go fly, just

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<v Speaker 2>go home.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, all right, there you go. All right, let's talk

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<v Speaker 1>about the Packers and Texans. You're mentioning that pass rush

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<v Speaker 1>of the Texans. Jordan Love Drell you know, loves to

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<v Speaker 1>throw the football. Last week, again, you saw some big

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<v Speaker 1>moments out of Jordan Love, especially as the game went

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<v Speaker 1>on there, utilizing Christian Watson, Romeo Doms, like all these

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<v Speaker 1>guys were getting involved, which was great because Jane Reid

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<v Speaker 1>got banged up in that game. So do the Packers

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<v Speaker 1>have enough here to beat the Tech at home?

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, they do, and it's because of the fact that

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<v Speaker 2>they're at home and we're fading this Sexans team on

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<v Speaker 2>the road. Yet again, like, this has not been a

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<v Speaker 2>team that I think that I've wanted to back on

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<v Speaker 2>the road. I know they played the Patriots on the road,

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<v Speaker 2>but they gave up twenty one points to Drake May

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<v Speaker 2>in his first start, so you know, a little bit

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<v Speaker 2>questionable about that there. And then look at what they

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<v Speaker 2>did on the road against the competent offense this season,

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<v Speaker 2>they got destroyed by the Minnesota Vikings. I think that

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<v Speaker 2>this is a continuous continuing from last season where this

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<v Speaker 2>Sexans defense is really good at home stout at home.

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<v Speaker 2>They get up for big games at home, but when

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<v Speaker 2>they go on the road, they have let down spots.

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<v Speaker 2>It reminds you of the Browns last year as well,

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<v Speaker 2>who let down on the road. Like I think that

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<v Speaker 2>I'm just going to continue to fade this Sexans team

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<v Speaker 2>on the road because it seems that everybody wants to

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<v Speaker 2>be bought in on them being this world class team,

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<v Speaker 2>but there's kind of a night and day difference between

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<v Speaker 2>how they're scoring. Let's up on defense on the road

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<v Speaker 2>then at home. And if you sit here and you

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<v Speaker 2>tell me that this Packers defense is going to be

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<v Speaker 2>opportunistic like Xavier McKinney has been all year, be able

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<v Speaker 2>to force turnovers to this Texans offense, keep them rattled.

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<v Speaker 2>Jordan Love in this Packers' receiving corps has been locked

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<v Speaker 2>in and I think there are one hundred percent going

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<v Speaker 2>to be throwing all around the field of this game.

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<v Speaker 2>I like Jordan Love in this offense laying two and

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<v Speaker 2>a half the short number here against Texas.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I agree. I think they pull this one out here.

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<v Speaker 1>Texans too without Nico Collins. Not quite the same as

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<v Speaker 1>Texans in my opinion. Although last week did have some

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<v Speaker 1>moments that are this against the Patriots, I think a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit different here against that Green Bay defense, especially

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<v Speaker 1>the secondary. Let's get to Ericson's second pick of the week.

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<v Speaker 1>I've got a lot of feelings about this game, but

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to save him for later. Let's talk about

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<v Speaker 1>Miami in Indianapolis. I want to hear yours here because

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<v Speaker 1>we're not in the stage where we're getting to a back.

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<v Speaker 1>We still have a lot of weapons in Miami, not

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<v Speaker 1>much defense in Miami. Not much defense for Indianapolis or

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<v Speaker 1>turning Anthony Richardson is looming here. But a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>injuries on this front here for the Colts that they

0:09:53.160 --> 0:09:55.560
<v Speaker 1>are dealing with too. Maybe that bye week is what

0:09:55.640 --> 0:09:58.280
<v Speaker 1>the Miami Dolphins needed to get back on track. I

0:09:58.320 --> 0:10:00.560
<v Speaker 1>don't know, But Andrew, how do you feel about this

0:10:00.600 --> 0:10:02.840
<v Speaker 1>contest here coming up in Week seven between the Colts

0:10:03.600 --> 0:10:04.720
<v Speaker 1>and the Miami Dolphins.

0:10:05.520 --> 0:10:07.680
<v Speaker 3>I like the over in this game over forty three

0:10:07.760 --> 0:10:09.839
<v Speaker 3>and a half points. You look at the Colts team,

0:10:09.920 --> 0:10:11.960
<v Speaker 3>especially when they play at home. This is a team

0:10:12.000 --> 0:10:15.320
<v Speaker 3>that typically trends towards the over because their defense is horrible.

0:10:15.440 --> 0:10:17.720
<v Speaker 3>Six of the last eight Colts games when they've been favored,

0:10:18.040 --> 0:10:21.240
<v Speaker 3>how they've gone over the total points. When I'm looking

0:10:21.280 --> 0:10:23.640
<v Speaker 3>at the matchup, I think we have two of the

0:10:23.679 --> 0:10:26.120
<v Speaker 3>better offensive minds going head to head in this spot.

0:10:26.440 --> 0:10:28.800
<v Speaker 3>The strengths of these teams are not their defenses in

0:10:28.840 --> 0:10:31.959
<v Speaker 3>any shape or form. You look at Chanstiken versus Mike McDaniel.

0:10:32.000 --> 0:10:34.680
<v Speaker 3>Mike McDaniel's been working the lab, they had the bye week.

0:10:35.080 --> 0:10:37.560
<v Speaker 3>If we're ever going to see a great performance or

0:10:37.640 --> 0:10:41.200
<v Speaker 3>an average performance from this offense with Tyler Huntley under center,

0:10:41.440 --> 0:10:43.760
<v Speaker 3>it would come this week against Innapolis Colts. Because their

0:10:43.800 --> 0:10:46.040
<v Speaker 3>defense can't stout the pass, their defense can't stout the run.

0:10:46.840 --> 0:10:48.280
<v Speaker 3>I just think that we're going to see points here.

0:10:48.320 --> 0:10:50.000
<v Speaker 3>We're going to finally see Terry kill cash in on

0:10:50.040 --> 0:10:51.640
<v Speaker 3>some of these air yards and targets that he's been

0:10:51.679 --> 0:10:53.920
<v Speaker 3>getting with Tyler hunting over the last couple of weeks.

0:10:54.000 --> 0:10:56.680
<v Speaker 3>I know that it's been tough, especially in fantasy football,

0:10:56.800 --> 0:10:59.839
<v Speaker 3>rostering these Dolphins players because hey, you're you're poking this.

0:11:00.240 --> 0:11:02.839
<v Speaker 3>Please do something, Please do something. I think this week

0:11:02.880 --> 0:11:04.679
<v Speaker 3>you're going to see at least one of these playmakers

0:11:04.920 --> 0:11:06.920
<v Speaker 3>make a big play, and I think you're going to cause

0:11:06.960 --> 0:11:08.839
<v Speaker 3>this game to kind of get a little wacky. You

0:11:08.880 --> 0:11:11.480
<v Speaker 3>have Anthony Richardson back at quarterback for the Colts. Yes,

0:11:11.640 --> 0:11:13.880
<v Speaker 3>he's working inconsistent, but he also generates a lot of

0:11:13.880 --> 0:11:15.720
<v Speaker 3>big plays because he's got a cannon arm and sometimes

0:11:15.760 --> 0:11:18.439
<v Speaker 3>it results in plays for his offense or the opposing

0:11:18.440 --> 0:11:21.560
<v Speaker 3>teams defense. So I think this game, playing inside a

0:11:21.600 --> 0:11:24.320
<v Speaker 3>dome could get kind of wacky with two weeks to prepare.

0:11:24.520 --> 0:11:27.520
<v Speaker 3>I think Miami's offense shows its best form at least

0:11:27.520 --> 0:11:29.200
<v Speaker 3>to an average level, and I think that the total

0:11:29.240 --> 0:11:31.199
<v Speaker 3>at forty three and a half is low based on

0:11:31.240 --> 0:11:34.000
<v Speaker 3>what we would expect from these two high powered offenses

0:11:34.120 --> 0:11:37.440
<v Speaker 3>entering the NFL season. Obviously have been disappointing because of injuries,

0:11:37.600 --> 0:11:39.080
<v Speaker 3>but I think they both get back on track.

0:11:39.120 --> 0:11:39.959
<v Speaker 2>So I like the over here.

0:11:40.000 --> 0:11:41.840
<v Speaker 1>All right. So that's Ericson's pick, and don't forget to

0:11:41.840 --> 0:11:44.000
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0:11:44.080 --> 0:11:47.320
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0:12:00.520 --> 0:12:03.040
<v Speaker 1>even have to be betting on it. You're just making

0:12:03.120 --> 0:12:05.440
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0:12:05.440 --> 0:12:07.640
<v Speaker 1>get involved. There's no money at risk. It's all upsided

0:12:07.679 --> 0:12:10.000
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0:12:10.040 --> 0:12:12.800
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0:12:12.880 --> 0:12:14.199
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0:12:14.280 --> 0:12:17.480
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0:12:17.720 --> 0:12:20.920
<v Speaker 1>get smarter here. Join our discord, Fantasypros dot com and

0:12:21.040 --> 0:12:24.200
<v Speaker 1>of course Bettingpros dot Com, slash Chat. Those discords are

0:12:24.240 --> 0:12:27.600
<v Speaker 1>open for you. In the Betting Pros discord right now,

0:12:27.640 --> 0:12:30.960
<v Speaker 1>you're getting Matt Parlton. Theyre always answering questions. He's posting picks.

0:12:31.000 --> 0:12:33.320
<v Speaker 1>I know Andrew's in there to answering questions. And we're

0:12:33.320 --> 0:12:35.959
<v Speaker 1>gonna be doing more stuff throughout the year, especially as

0:12:36.000 --> 0:12:38.640
<v Speaker 1>the fantasy season starts to wind down a little bit.

0:12:38.960 --> 0:12:40.920
<v Speaker 1>The betting season is going to ramp up and get hotter,

0:12:40.960 --> 0:12:42.400
<v Speaker 1>So we're gonna doing a lot of stuff on our

0:12:42.400 --> 0:12:44.560
<v Speaker 1>Discord community. So join it today at betting pros dot

0:12:44.600 --> 0:12:47.600
<v Speaker 1>com slash chat. All right, let's get back to you, Terrell.

0:12:48.000 --> 0:12:51.480
<v Speaker 1>I know both of you guys have feelings about Lions Vikings.

0:12:51.520 --> 0:12:53.440
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if they're the same feeling or not. So

0:12:53.960 --> 0:12:56.520
<v Speaker 1>Viking's coming off the buy here, coming off a big

0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:59.520
<v Speaker 1>win beat the Jets, A. Lion's coming off a huge

0:12:59.600 --> 0:13:02.080
<v Speaker 1>win where they beat the hell out of the cowboys

0:13:02.200 --> 0:13:07.120
<v Speaker 1>in their building, but they did lose Aiden Hutchinson. So Terrell,

0:13:07.800 --> 0:13:11.200
<v Speaker 1>Lions Vikings probably the marquee matchup of the week. What

0:13:11.240 --> 0:13:12.119
<v Speaker 1>are your thoughts?

0:13:12.679 --> 0:13:14.719
<v Speaker 2>Well, I would first like it like it to be

0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:18.040
<v Speaker 2>said that I put my picks into the sheet first.

0:13:18.520 --> 0:13:21.040
<v Speaker 2>So I just I want everybody to know that when

0:13:21.160 --> 0:13:23.160
<v Speaker 2>I don't, that make may or may not come up.

0:13:23.200 --> 0:13:24.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm just letting you know. But I got there first

0:13:24.920 --> 0:13:26.800
<v Speaker 2>this time, just actually.

0:13:26.520 --> 0:13:29.240
<v Speaker 1>Came up before you showed up for the show. Andrews said, Oh,

0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:32.800
<v Speaker 1>Terrell and I are holding hands on the Vikings, so spoiler.

0:13:33.000 --> 0:13:36.000
<v Speaker 3>I I just want to be right man. After last

0:13:36.040 --> 0:13:39.000
<v Speaker 3>week on five, I'll tell baby, let's go no.

0:13:39.160 --> 0:13:41.720
<v Speaker 2>But I love the under here under fifty and a half.

0:13:41.840 --> 0:13:44.600
<v Speaker 2>And I think that everybody looks at and here's Justin

0:13:44.679 --> 0:13:46.960
<v Speaker 2>Jefferson in this game. They see how the Vikings have

0:13:47.040 --> 0:13:49.400
<v Speaker 2>been this season, and Sam Donald's been moving the football,

0:13:49.760 --> 0:13:53.120
<v Speaker 2>and Jared Goff and this Lion's offense just now, especially

0:13:53.160 --> 0:13:56.880
<v Speaker 2>after demolishing the Cowboys, everybody's thinking points points points, points points.

0:13:57.000 --> 0:13:59.280
<v Speaker 2>But you got to remember Sam Donald only completed forty

0:13:59.280 --> 0:14:01.640
<v Speaker 2>five percent of his back in London, like he seems

0:14:01.679 --> 0:14:04.200
<v Speaker 2>to have started to come down a little bit. And

0:14:04.200 --> 0:14:06.400
<v Speaker 2>look at both of these defenses like they've been live.

0:14:06.800 --> 0:14:09.080
<v Speaker 2>I don't know if there's a defensive Coordinator of the Year,

0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:11.960
<v Speaker 2>but just put Brian Flores his name next to it,

0:14:12.040 --> 0:14:14.200
<v Speaker 2>because that's one hundred percent what he is. And he's

0:14:14.240 --> 0:14:17.160
<v Speaker 2>probably coaching himself into another head coaching job at some point.

0:14:17.600 --> 0:14:21.720
<v Speaker 2>And so looking at DVOA past DVOA, Minnesota ranks first

0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:26.200
<v Speaker 2>and first in rush, DVOA Detroit is fourth in past

0:14:26.400 --> 0:14:29.920
<v Speaker 2>v fourth and overall DVOA, I think that this is

0:14:29.960 --> 0:14:32.440
<v Speaker 2>a really, really good opportunity here where you're going to

0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:34.800
<v Speaker 2>see everybody talking about it. They're going to talk about

0:14:34.800 --> 0:14:37.200
<v Speaker 2>it in DFS, They're going to talk about it everywhere. Hey,

0:14:37.320 --> 0:14:38.720
<v Speaker 2>this is where the points are going to be. Do

0:14:38.760 --> 0:14:42.360
<v Speaker 2>your touchdown parlays throw these people in your DFS lineup. No,

0:14:42.600 --> 0:14:45.280
<v Speaker 2>I actually think this is gonna be one of those slower,

0:14:45.720 --> 0:14:48.560
<v Speaker 2>hard fought defense is going to step up because eight

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:52.080
<v Speaker 2>and Hutcheson is out. I think they really really target

0:14:52.120 --> 0:14:54.360
<v Speaker 2>the line of scrimmage here and just try to get

0:14:54.400 --> 0:14:56.560
<v Speaker 2>Sam Darnold on his butt and not let him be

0:14:56.640 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 2>comfortable in the pocket. And this Minnesota Vikings defense has

0:14:59.680 --> 0:15:03.160
<v Speaker 2>been throw and weird, obscene looks at every quarterback this season,

0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:05.400
<v Speaker 2>and they've been able to force turnovers. And I think

0:15:05.440 --> 0:15:07.760
<v Speaker 2>that Jared Goff is definitely gonna throw them one. So

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:10.960
<v Speaker 2>I like the defenses overall here. I think they are

0:15:11.040 --> 0:15:13.400
<v Speaker 2>the side of the football that everybody should be talking about,

0:15:13.640 --> 0:15:15.920
<v Speaker 2>not the offensive side. So I don't think it's gonna

0:15:15.920 --> 0:15:17.520
<v Speaker 2>be a lot of points, all right.

0:15:17.600 --> 0:15:19.320
<v Speaker 1>Ericson, what do you want to add to the under here,

0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:23.720
<v Speaker 1>because obviously you are in lockstep with Terrell on this one.

0:15:24.360 --> 0:15:27.840
<v Speaker 3>Yes, the Undertaker approves of this message of his pick

0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:31.480
<v Speaker 3>of the lines and Vikings under fifty and a half points.

0:15:32.120 --> 0:15:34.040
<v Speaker 3>I'll just throw out some stats here, kind of just

0:15:34.080 --> 0:15:36.840
<v Speaker 3>backing up the points that Terrell already made. You look

0:15:36.880 --> 0:15:39.400
<v Speaker 3>at Sam Donald the last so basically since Week four.

0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:42.440
<v Speaker 3>The only quarterback that has a worse PFF passing grade

0:15:42.680 --> 0:15:43.760
<v Speaker 3>than Sam Donald.

0:15:43.640 --> 0:15:50.040
<v Speaker 2>Shawn Watsons will love us. Yes, I tried to get it.

0:15:50.160 --> 0:15:52.560
<v Speaker 2>I thought we was gonna say it at the same time.

0:15:53.000 --> 0:15:55.920
<v Speaker 3>Deshaun Watson's probably right at that same range, but he

0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:58.040
<v Speaker 3>has not been as good as he had started the

0:15:58.080 --> 0:16:00.000
<v Speaker 3>year weeks one to three when he was basically flowed.

0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:03.080
<v Speaker 3>He's thrown a lot of interceptions so far this season.

0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:06.200
<v Speaker 3>And we look at the Vikings, I just think, yeah,

0:16:06.240 --> 0:16:09.480
<v Speaker 3>they're not being highlighted enough on defense. Like Terrell said,

0:16:09.720 --> 0:16:11.760
<v Speaker 3>you look at what they've done at home since the

0:16:11.800 --> 0:16:15.040
<v Speaker 3>start of twenty twenty three. They are two eight and one.

0:16:15.680 --> 0:16:18.800
<v Speaker 3>That's the over under for their record at home. There's

0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:21.240
<v Speaker 3>only two games that have gone over in Minnesota since

0:16:21.280 --> 0:16:24.320
<v Speaker 3>the start of twenty twenty three eight unders eight. So

0:16:24.760 --> 0:16:26.600
<v Speaker 3>I think that this one, especially at the bloated total.

0:16:26.640 --> 0:16:28.360
<v Speaker 3>I think we talked about this Joe on the look

0:16:28.400 --> 0:16:30.880
<v Speaker 3>Ahead Show, where I looked at this number. I think

0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:32.560
<v Speaker 3>it's actually been met down. I think it actually opened

0:16:32.560 --> 0:16:34.360
<v Speaker 3>closer to fifty one half. I think it's actually starting

0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:37.840
<v Speaker 3>to trend down, but still at fifteen and a half points. Yeah,

0:16:38.080 --> 0:16:39.280
<v Speaker 3>I love the under here too.

0:16:39.400 --> 0:16:41.840
<v Speaker 1>Looking at the passing Raiders right now and the rating.

0:16:41.880 --> 0:16:45.560
<v Speaker 1>Excuse me, where everyone Deshaun Watson is twenty eighth in

0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:48.520
<v Speaker 1>the league. Just putting that out on there, so there

0:16:48.600 --> 0:16:51.440
<v Speaker 1>you go. The company he has it seems.

0:16:51.200 --> 0:16:52.800
<v Speaker 2>Like away this week unfortunately.

0:16:54.320 --> 0:16:57.160
<v Speaker 1>Yike, I'm gonna leave that one.

0:16:57.280 --> 0:16:59.560
<v Speaker 2>Hey, well, fun fact. I know we don't have this

0:16:59.640 --> 0:17:00.920
<v Speaker 2>on the car aready I did that game?

0:17:00.960 --> 0:17:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Does scare me? I'm not gonna lie to but I just.

0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:06.879
<v Speaker 2>Want everybody to know that the Bengals have not beaten

0:17:06.880 --> 0:17:08.920
<v Speaker 2>the Browns in Cleveland since the season at the Browns

0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:12.000
<v Speaker 2>and sixteen. That was the last time that the Bengals

0:17:14.280 --> 0:17:16.600
<v Speaker 2>not win a game at all. Was the last time

0:17:16.680 --> 0:17:19.400
<v Speaker 2>the Bengals were able to beat them in Cleveland. I

0:17:19.560 --> 0:17:22.240
<v Speaker 2>just feel like, if you're willing to lay five and

0:17:22.240 --> 0:17:23.600
<v Speaker 2>a half with the Bengals.

0:17:23.200 --> 0:17:27.640
<v Speaker 1>On that right on, bro, That's why I didn't pick

0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:29.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, I had that.

0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:33.919
<v Speaker 3>I get Burrow Burrow against the a FC North. He

0:17:34.000 --> 0:17:37.600
<v Speaker 3>always plays bad against the Browns again, the Ravens, against

0:17:37.640 --> 0:17:39.840
<v Speaker 3>the steel against the Tos.

0:17:39.840 --> 0:17:41.359
<v Speaker 1>Against the Ravens, he's at least played okay.

0:17:41.400 --> 0:17:43.600
<v Speaker 3>No, I mean before last week he had not had

0:17:43.600 --> 0:17:44.439
<v Speaker 3>any massive games.

0:17:44.280 --> 0:17:46.320
<v Speaker 1>Against No, that's not true. A couple of years agogainst

0:17:46.320 --> 0:17:49.840
<v Speaker 1>the Ravens, they had that over time years ago, played

0:17:49.880 --> 0:17:51.359
<v Speaker 1>a couple of years in the league, and he's missed

0:17:51.359 --> 0:17:53.440
<v Speaker 1>some time with injuries. So there's only so much sample

0:17:53.480 --> 0:17:55.719
<v Speaker 1>size I could take out of there, all right. The

0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:58.840
<v Speaker 1>one thing I can always take out of these conversations

0:17:58.920 --> 0:18:01.359
<v Speaker 1>is I've been a long time and if you're watching

0:18:01.400 --> 0:18:04.880
<v Speaker 1>the shows last year, betting Patrick Mahomes is an underdog

0:18:04.920 --> 0:18:07.680
<v Speaker 1>is something that in the playhoffs last year. It's very

0:18:07.760 --> 0:18:10.080
<v Speaker 1>very good to me, and I see it there on

0:18:10.119 --> 0:18:13.480
<v Speaker 1>the board. I've already bet it. I'm already in so Terrell,

0:18:13.560 --> 0:18:15.439
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about it. She's forty nine ers. How do

0:18:15.440 --> 0:18:17.440
<v Speaker 1>you want to approach this one. I'm just going straight

0:18:17.480 --> 0:18:21.119
<v Speaker 1>to the Kansas City Chiefs coming off of bye. I

0:18:21.280 --> 0:18:24.000
<v Speaker 1>just look, the forty nine ers might have all the

0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:26.200
<v Speaker 1>revenge narrative in the world that they want here to

0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:27.760
<v Speaker 1>got it. I don't care. I don't want to hear it.

0:18:28.960 --> 0:18:31.440
<v Speaker 1>The preparation of the Chiefs, I think wins out here

0:18:31.480 --> 0:18:32.440
<v Speaker 1>and at the end of the day, I mean the

0:18:32.480 --> 0:18:34.240
<v Speaker 1>forty nine ers just to me, are I have been

0:18:34.359 --> 0:18:35.879
<v Speaker 1>unimpressive all year? Your thoughts?

0:18:36.440 --> 0:18:38.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? And Patrick Mahomes is four and oh against the Niners.

0:18:38.960 --> 0:18:42.359
<v Speaker 2>I'm pretty sure. So yeah, you know, as president Patrick

0:18:42.359 --> 0:18:44.840
<v Speaker 2>Mahomes Fan Club, there's no way I'm fading Patrick Mahomes

0:18:44.880 --> 0:18:45.600
<v Speaker 2>as a dog here.

0:18:45.840 --> 0:18:48.080
<v Speaker 3>But is he gonna score fantasy points this week?

0:18:48.960 --> 0:18:50.280
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, yeah he is.

0:18:50.320 --> 0:18:53.080
<v Speaker 1>Well Juju Smith Schuster's there now, so everything's fine. Yeah,

0:18:53.160 --> 0:18:53.960
<v Speaker 1>everything's fine.

0:18:54.119 --> 0:18:56.080
<v Speaker 2>He does what goes wrong, He does what he needs

0:18:56.080 --> 0:18:57.880
<v Speaker 2>to do to get a win. Nobody has forced him

0:18:57.880 --> 0:18:59.920
<v Speaker 2>to have to be a crazy passer to get a win.

0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:02.280
<v Speaker 2>But I think that.

0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:03.639
<v Speaker 3>That's not what fantasy managers want to hear, Troelle, we

0:19:03.680 --> 0:19:05.040
<v Speaker 3>want to get three hundred yards.

0:19:05.920 --> 0:19:07.720
<v Speaker 2>He's going to give you a solid eight team. It's

0:19:07.720 --> 0:19:09.560
<v Speaker 2>going to be a solid eight team. You're not gonna

0:19:09.560 --> 0:19:11.320
<v Speaker 2>be mad. But it's just not gonna be the big week.

0:19:11.480 --> 0:19:12.960
<v Speaker 2>And the reason is not gonna be the big week

0:19:13.000 --> 0:19:15.320
<v Speaker 2>is because the San Francisco defense is still pretty good.

0:19:15.560 --> 0:19:18.680
<v Speaker 2>And so I being the forward thinker that I am

0:19:19.000 --> 0:19:21.040
<v Speaker 2>knew that both of you would be on the Chiefs,

0:19:21.040 --> 0:19:23.000
<v Speaker 2>and I said, wait, I want to give the people

0:19:23.080 --> 0:19:25.800
<v Speaker 2>more best. So I'm gonna pivot and I'm going to

0:19:25.840 --> 0:19:27.800
<v Speaker 2>play a play that I love as well, and that's

0:19:27.800 --> 0:19:30.679
<v Speaker 2>the under forty seven in this game. Because you mentioned

0:19:30.680 --> 0:19:34.240
<v Speaker 2>Patrick Mahomes. You mentioned Patrick Mahomes, I mentioned Patrick Mahomes,

0:19:34.280 --> 0:19:37.719
<v Speaker 2>Like yet nobody has mentioned this Chiefs defense that is

0:19:37.880 --> 0:19:40.919
<v Speaker 2>absolutely stout and is the reason that they're five and

0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:43.920
<v Speaker 2>oh this season they've been playing absolutely amazing and we

0:19:43.960 --> 0:19:46.639
<v Speaker 2>saw this last season. Last season, the Chiefs defense was

0:19:46.680 --> 0:19:49.800
<v Speaker 2>the story and so we now Spagnola has made this

0:19:49.840 --> 0:19:53.240
<v Speaker 2>a defensive team that's going to rock every single opponent.

0:19:53.560 --> 0:19:57.199
<v Speaker 2>And I've seen with the offensive line with Rock Perdy

0:19:57.359 --> 0:20:00.280
<v Speaker 2>him be rattled multiple times this season. Are Y, I

0:20:00.280 --> 0:20:02.000
<v Speaker 2>think he's gonna get rattled here. I think Chris Jones

0:20:02.119 --> 0:20:03.480
<v Speaker 2>is going to be able to get home. I think

0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:05.320
<v Speaker 2>Carlofkis is going to be able to get home on

0:20:05.359 --> 0:20:08.080
<v Speaker 2>that defensive line. And then on the other side of

0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:09.879
<v Speaker 2>the ball, Yeah, the forty nine ers are going to

0:20:09.960 --> 0:20:11.480
<v Speaker 2>try to get up. They're going to try to play

0:20:11.520 --> 0:20:13.400
<v Speaker 2>hard on defense, fright, and more than all those guys,

0:20:13.400 --> 0:20:15.400
<v Speaker 2>they're gonna be like, hey, we don't want to lose

0:20:15.440 --> 0:20:17.240
<v Speaker 2>to this team again. So I think that we're going

0:20:17.320 --> 0:20:20.520
<v Speaker 2>to see high intensity defense on both sides of the ball,

0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:23.159
<v Speaker 2>and it's going to be one of the uglier games.

0:20:23.200 --> 0:20:25.320
<v Speaker 2>Like this is another game where people are probably throwing

0:20:25.320 --> 0:20:27.439
<v Speaker 2>it into DFS and all of that. I would love

0:20:27.480 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 2>to see DFS ownership in this game as well. I

0:20:29.880 --> 0:20:31.080
<v Speaker 2>don't think this is going to be it. I think

0:20:31.119 --> 0:20:32.879
<v Speaker 2>it's gonna be under So, yeah, are you going to

0:20:32.920 --> 0:20:35.199
<v Speaker 2>get your thirty points from Patrick Mahomes? No, but you

0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:36.000
<v Speaker 2>might get eighteen.

0:20:37.080 --> 0:20:38.960
<v Speaker 1>All right, I'll take day honestly. I'll take the team

0:20:38.960 --> 0:20:41.760
<v Speaker 1>with the way things are going. Erickson, let's get your

0:20:41.800 --> 0:20:43.720
<v Speaker 1>thoughts on the Chiefs game too. Do you want to

0:20:43.720 --> 0:20:45.200
<v Speaker 1>just take Chiefs straight up on the money line or

0:20:45.240 --> 0:20:46.359
<v Speaker 1>do you want to take the points? Where do you

0:20:46.359 --> 0:20:46.679
<v Speaker 1>want to go?

0:20:47.359 --> 0:20:49.280
<v Speaker 3>Take the points, take the money line, take them to

0:20:49.320 --> 0:20:51.400
<v Speaker 3>win by a touchdown. I just want the Chiefs, man,

0:20:51.440 --> 0:20:53.520
<v Speaker 3>I just want the Chiefs. We did this all last

0:20:53.600 --> 0:20:56.679
<v Speaker 3>year when the Chiefs were underdogs, and what do they do?

0:20:56.720 --> 0:21:01.520
<v Speaker 3>They just kept winning every single game? Seven games as underdogs.

0:21:01.840 --> 0:21:05.159
<v Speaker 3>Seven and oh Patrick Mahomes as an underdog in his

0:21:05.280 --> 0:21:08.840
<v Speaker 3>career eighty eight percent against the spread. That is the

0:21:08.920 --> 0:21:11.520
<v Speaker 3>highest percentage for any quarterback as an underdog as a

0:21:11.520 --> 0:21:14.439
<v Speaker 3>favorite among any of these starting quarterbacks. If you just

0:21:14.480 --> 0:21:17.240
<v Speaker 3>blindly bet Mahomes as an underdog, you're going to win money.

0:21:17.520 --> 0:21:20.399
<v Speaker 3>So trust the process. Just keep betting on Patrick Mahomes.

0:21:20.480 --> 0:21:22.639
<v Speaker 3>Especially when you look at the forty nine ers what

0:21:22.680 --> 0:21:27.160
<v Speaker 3>they've done at home Historically, they've been super overrated against

0:21:27.200 --> 0:21:29.000
<v Speaker 3>the spread. They haven't covered the spread in eight of

0:21:29.000 --> 0:21:30.720
<v Speaker 3>the last ten home games. Now they've done it twice

0:21:30.720 --> 0:21:34.240
<v Speaker 3>this year against two the Jets and Patriots. Yeah, we're

0:21:34.320 --> 0:21:37.000
<v Speaker 3>really impressive wins against those teams covering the spread, and

0:21:37.040 --> 0:21:40.480
<v Speaker 3>they didn't cover against the Cardinals. So I think that. Yeah,

0:21:40.760 --> 0:21:43.480
<v Speaker 3>just the way that enjoy, the way to not enjoy

0:21:43.520 --> 0:21:45.920
<v Speaker 3>Sunday is to bet against Patrick Mahomes. It's gonna be

0:21:45.960 --> 0:21:48.560
<v Speaker 3>so much more fun knowing that you bet on Mahomes

0:21:49.040 --> 0:21:51.840
<v Speaker 3>in this matchup. So have fun on Sunday. Bet the Chiefs.

0:21:51.920 --> 0:21:53.800
<v Speaker 1>By the way. Actually, you know what, maybe I'm gonna

0:21:53.840 --> 0:21:56.479
<v Speaker 1>save this. Maybe I'm gonna change my parlay of the day.

0:21:56.520 --> 0:21:58.800
<v Speaker 1>There's the same game partly. Maybe I'll just do two.

0:21:59.000 --> 0:22:01.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna give two. It's bonus time because last week

0:22:01.680 --> 0:22:03.480
<v Speaker 1>wasn't good, so we got to give bonuses out. That's

0:22:03.480 --> 0:22:05.840
<v Speaker 1>what we're gonna do. We're gonna bonus it up. Let's get

0:22:05.840 --> 0:22:07.800
<v Speaker 1>to the next one and final one of the game.

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:09.640
<v Speaker 1>Before we get to the upsets special and the parlay

0:22:09.640 --> 0:22:14.679
<v Speaker 1>of the week two, Let's get to the Chargers game here, Terrell,

0:22:14.800 --> 0:22:16.760
<v Speaker 1>I like this one too. You're on the Chargers of

0:22:16.760 --> 0:22:18.399
<v Speaker 1>the minus two and a half. Let's talk about it

0:22:18.440 --> 0:22:21.000
<v Speaker 1>because this one stuck out to me too, because I'm

0:22:21.080 --> 0:22:23.600
<v Speaker 1>just tired of Arizona. They're gonna be without Marvin Harrison

0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:26.160
<v Speaker 1>most likely. That hasn't come official yet, but it seems

0:22:26.160 --> 0:22:29.080
<v Speaker 1>as de trending that way. I'm just you know, I

0:22:29.080 --> 0:22:31.720
<v Speaker 1>thought Arizona might be the plucky underdog this year to

0:22:31.760 --> 0:22:35.479
<v Speaker 1>surprise people. That hope is gone. For me, it's dead.

0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:39.280
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, absolutely not. And I know Kyler has a dog,

0:22:39.320 --> 0:22:41.680
<v Speaker 2>all the best stuff, blah blah blah. But at this point,

0:22:41.800 --> 0:22:44.679
<v Speaker 2>this defense is horrible. This defense is really bad, and

0:22:44.760 --> 0:22:46.520
<v Speaker 2>I think they're going to give up a bunch of points.

0:22:46.560 --> 0:22:49.760
<v Speaker 2>My question on Justin Herbert was how healthy is he?

0:22:50.200 --> 0:22:54.000
<v Speaker 2>How locked in can John Harvard get this team on offense,

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:59.040
<v Speaker 2>because defense they are defense. You can point to Harball,

0:22:59.160 --> 0:23:01.920
<v Speaker 2>Jim Harbor, I'm sorry, I said, John, Jim Harball being

0:23:01.960 --> 0:23:05.560
<v Speaker 2>the guy that invigorated his defense. These are the same

0:23:05.560 --> 0:23:07.600
<v Speaker 2>players as last year for a defense that was horrible,

0:23:07.960 --> 0:23:10.240
<v Speaker 2>and they're actually really good like that. These are the

0:23:10.280 --> 0:23:12.800
<v Speaker 2>exact same players, but he's coaching them up and they're

0:23:12.840 --> 0:23:14.920
<v Speaker 2>playing really, really well on that side of the ball.

0:23:15.080 --> 0:23:17.080
<v Speaker 2>You look at Arizona on the other side of the ball,

0:23:17.119 --> 0:23:19.720
<v Speaker 2>twenty eighth, then past Dvoa. That's not going to get

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:23.119
<v Speaker 2>you any Do you any favors playing against this Chargers team,

0:23:23.240 --> 0:23:26.120
<v Speaker 2>especially with Justin Herbert moving the ball down the field.

0:23:26.119 --> 0:23:28.399
<v Speaker 2>If he can't get pressure on Herbert, he's going to

0:23:28.520 --> 0:23:31.439
<v Speaker 2>pick you apart. I don't think this is relatively going

0:23:31.520 --> 0:23:33.439
<v Speaker 2>to be that close. I think that the Chargers are

0:23:33.440 --> 0:23:36.040
<v Speaker 2>gonna run away with this because they are far better team.

0:23:36.440 --> 0:23:39.359
<v Speaker 2>And I am just not a believer in this Cardinals

0:23:39.359 --> 0:23:41.800
<v Speaker 2>team right now. So no, I think the Chargers are

0:23:41.800 --> 0:23:43.160
<v Speaker 2>going to go out here and get them win. Plus,

0:23:43.200 --> 0:23:45.800
<v Speaker 2>the team looks forward to being on the road because

0:23:45.800 --> 0:23:46.840
<v Speaker 2>they have no home field.

0:23:48.359 --> 0:23:52.639
<v Speaker 1>Now, it's certainly some good context there, and I'm with

0:23:52.680 --> 0:23:55.320
<v Speaker 1>you one hundred percent on this one, ericson last one

0:23:55.359 --> 0:23:59.399
<v Speaker 1>for you, Titans go to Buffalo. Buffalo got their new

0:23:59.440 --> 0:24:03.320
<v Speaker 1>wide receiver, Marii Cooper, so everyone's very excited about that. Buffalo.

0:24:04.000 --> 0:24:05.760
<v Speaker 1>You know, kind of was struggle busts a little bit

0:24:05.760 --> 0:24:07.640
<v Speaker 1>there against the Jets, a good defense, and I don't

0:24:07.640 --> 0:24:09.320
<v Speaker 1>know if Marii Cooper can come into one week and

0:24:09.359 --> 0:24:11.520
<v Speaker 1>make that much of a difference. But the bigger issue

0:24:11.560 --> 0:24:14.240
<v Speaker 1>to me is the James Cook injury and how that

0:24:14.280 --> 0:24:18.160
<v Speaker 1>impacts this offense potentially too. So Titans are nine point

0:24:18.320 --> 0:24:20.560
<v Speaker 1>underdogs in this game, nine and a half some other

0:24:20.640 --> 0:24:22.640
<v Speaker 1>markets here. How are you approaching this one?

0:24:23.480 --> 0:24:26.200
<v Speaker 3>It's two many points, So I'm taking the Titans here

0:24:26.320 --> 0:24:28.160
<v Speaker 3>plus nine and a half. I don't care. Again, it's

0:24:28.160 --> 0:24:30.360
<v Speaker 3>a pick six for Will Levis, not a pick nine

0:24:30.359 --> 0:24:32.320
<v Speaker 3>and a half points. The last time I checked, that's

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:34.000
<v Speaker 3>how much pick six it is? Six points nine.

0:24:34.040 --> 0:24:35.960
<v Speaker 1>It feels like that if you're a Titans fan, that

0:24:36.680 --> 0:24:37.160
<v Speaker 1>it does.

0:24:37.720 --> 0:24:40.080
<v Speaker 3>But you know, there's just too many points here, even

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:42.800
<v Speaker 3>if you get the boneheaded Will Levis turnover. Yes, but

0:24:42.840 --> 0:24:44.960
<v Speaker 3>we're covered because we got nine and a half points

0:24:45.000 --> 0:24:47.480
<v Speaker 3>to work with here. I just think that schematically. Match

0:24:47.560 --> 0:24:49.160
<v Speaker 3>up wise, the Bills don't really match up that great

0:24:49.200 --> 0:24:51.280
<v Speaker 3>against the Titans. You saw them run the ball down

0:24:51.320 --> 0:24:53.160
<v Speaker 3>the throats of the New York Jets. Well, the Titans

0:24:53.200 --> 0:24:55.679
<v Speaker 3>have the number one stuff rate in the NFL against

0:24:55.680 --> 0:24:57.720
<v Speaker 3>the run. They also ranked top five in terms of

0:24:57.840 --> 0:25:00.200
<v Speaker 3>yards per pass attempt allowed. So this is a very

0:25:00.280 --> 0:25:03.280
<v Speaker 3>good defense. And what's the Bill's biggest weakness on their

0:25:03.320 --> 0:25:05.800
<v Speaker 3>side of the field on defense is against the run.

0:25:05.840 --> 0:25:09.760
<v Speaker 3>We saw Bresol run wild against the Buffalo Bills defense.

0:25:10.080 --> 0:25:12.920
<v Speaker 3>And how do you protect the Levis from losing the game?

0:25:13.160 --> 0:25:15.879
<v Speaker 3>Established the run, Tony Pollard is gonna get twenty plus

0:25:15.880 --> 0:25:18.000
<v Speaker 3>carries in this matchup. Ta Jay Spears is gonna miss

0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:20.720
<v Speaker 3>this game, so you're gonna get prime Tony Pollard against

0:25:20.720 --> 0:25:23.359
<v Speaker 3>this Bill's run defense. I think they're gonna keep it close.

0:25:23.440 --> 0:25:24.760
<v Speaker 3>I like kind of like under in this game. I

0:25:24.800 --> 0:25:26.640
<v Speaker 3>think this is an ugly game. Again, the Bill's coming

0:25:26.640 --> 0:25:29.560
<v Speaker 3>off Monday night game an emotional win over an AFC

0:25:29.600 --> 0:25:32.200
<v Speaker 3>team or an AFC East rival. They got Amari Cooper.

0:25:32.320 --> 0:25:34.439
<v Speaker 3>He's not gonna fix all the problems in one week.

0:25:34.600 --> 0:25:36.639
<v Speaker 3>They have serious problems still in the passing game. And

0:25:36.680 --> 0:25:39.120
<v Speaker 3>think it's gonna take a little bit of time. So ultimately, yes,

0:25:39.280 --> 0:25:40.520
<v Speaker 3>I think the Bills are gonna pull out the wind,

0:25:40.520 --> 0:25:41.639
<v Speaker 3>but I think it's gonna be ugly, and I think

0:25:41.640 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 3>could Titans keep it close. So Titans plust nine and

0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:44.200
<v Speaker 3>a half.

0:25:44.080 --> 0:25:46.960
<v Speaker 1>And the Bills struggle against running backs this year catching

0:25:46.960 --> 0:25:48.840
<v Speaker 1>the football in the backfields. Why we took advantage of

0:25:48.840 --> 0:25:52.439
<v Speaker 1>the Breese Haall thing earlier on Monday night. If you

0:25:52.520 --> 0:25:54.879
<v Speaker 1>were following us on social media, you caught my Monday

0:25:54.880 --> 0:25:58.000
<v Speaker 1>bets was over on Breshall receiver over Bresol rushing. It

0:25:58.040 --> 0:26:00.280
<v Speaker 1>was over on Breesaw on Bresol. I just it was

0:26:00.320 --> 0:26:03.240
<v Speaker 1>just over. You know, I didn't bet him to score

0:26:03.240 --> 0:26:07.000
<v Speaker 1>a touchdown because my faithor of the Jets offense is shook.

0:26:07.760 --> 0:26:09.040
<v Speaker 1>Is that the easy way to say? I don't know.

0:26:09.400 --> 0:26:12.600
<v Speaker 1>But but Tony Poward, especially having that backfield to himself,

0:26:12.600 --> 0:26:14.440
<v Speaker 1>Now that's a guy in the DFS world. I'm curious about.

0:26:14.480 --> 0:26:16.439
<v Speaker 1>That's a guy tomorrow. I hope we're talking about on

0:26:16.480 --> 0:26:18.480
<v Speaker 1>the Prop show too, because we'd better be. I don't

0:26:18.480 --> 0:26:19.920
<v Speaker 1>know what those lines are yet for Tony Power. I

0:26:19.960 --> 0:26:21.960
<v Speaker 1>haven't checked him out yet, but I think it's gonna

0:26:21.960 --> 0:26:24.400
<v Speaker 1>be overs for Uncle Joie. All right, let's talk about

0:26:24.400 --> 0:26:28.000
<v Speaker 1>the upset special of the week. Look, Colet's defense is bad,

0:26:28.400 --> 0:26:31.200
<v Speaker 1>Josh Downs isn't healthy, Jonathan Taylor is not healthy. Michael

0:26:31.240 --> 0:26:33.760
<v Speaker 1>Pittman's trying to play, he's not healthy. I don't know

0:26:33.760 --> 0:26:36.160
<v Speaker 1>if Anthony Richardson is healthy. We'll see, we'll find out.

0:26:37.160 --> 0:26:39.680
<v Speaker 1>And the Colts have had some matchups that were kind

0:26:39.680 --> 0:26:41.119
<v Speaker 1>of in their favor the last couple of weeks. So

0:26:41.960 --> 0:26:44.880
<v Speaker 1>I think that a week off to kind of reset

0:26:44.920 --> 0:26:47.119
<v Speaker 1>the brain, give Tyler Huntley a lot more practice, a

0:26:47.119 --> 0:26:48.840
<v Speaker 1>lot more time with the playbook, a lot more time

0:26:48.920 --> 0:26:51.640
<v Speaker 1>with his weapons to get the timing down. I think

0:26:51.680 --> 0:26:53.560
<v Speaker 1>can go a long way. I like the Dolphins on

0:26:53.600 --> 0:26:56.520
<v Speaker 1>the road here on the money line plus one thirty four.

0:26:56.560 --> 0:26:58.840
<v Speaker 1>He could take the points to plus three minus one ten.

0:26:59.440 --> 0:27:04.120
<v Speaker 1>But I think, finally, this is where both defenses are bad.

0:27:04.440 --> 0:27:06.239
<v Speaker 1>I'm not touching the over unner. I'm not touching This

0:27:06.320 --> 0:27:07.919
<v Speaker 1>is too many ranges of outcomes. But I think at

0:27:07.960 --> 0:27:09.760
<v Speaker 1>the end of the day, it's the Dolphins finding a

0:27:09.840 --> 0:27:12.240
<v Speaker 1>victory and scratching and calowing their way back into relevance

0:27:12.280 --> 0:27:15.000
<v Speaker 1>here and hopefully getting to a back now. I promise

0:27:15.040 --> 0:27:18.080
<v Speaker 1>you the bonus. So let's get to the parlay of

0:27:18.119 --> 0:27:19.960
<v Speaker 1>the week. Let's take those Dolphins on the money line.

0:27:21.400 --> 0:27:23.760
<v Speaker 1>Even if the Titans cover. I don't think the Bills

0:27:23.800 --> 0:27:26.520
<v Speaker 1>lose this football game. So give me the Bills heavy

0:27:26.600 --> 0:27:28.600
<v Speaker 1>juice on the money line and the Chiefs on the

0:27:28.600 --> 0:27:32.400
<v Speaker 1>money line. Give me Dolphins, Bills, Chiefs three money line bets.

0:27:32.400 --> 0:27:34.199
<v Speaker 1>You get plus four sixty four when you put those

0:27:34.240 --> 0:27:37.520
<v Speaker 1>three things together like that, and the same game parlay

0:27:37.520 --> 0:27:40.120
<v Speaker 1>of the week. If you take the Chiefs with the point,

0:27:40.440 --> 0:27:43.000
<v Speaker 1>the Chiefs on the money line, and the under that

0:27:43.119 --> 0:27:45.440
<v Speaker 1>Terrell was talking about, you get plus two forty five.

0:27:45.520 --> 0:27:48.160
<v Speaker 1>So just you want to go Chiefs, that's the way

0:27:48.160 --> 0:27:51.040
<v Speaker 1>to go, Chiefs. Just go all in baby. Great stuff, gentlemen,

0:27:51.760 --> 0:27:54.640
<v Speaker 1>Very exciting, Terrell. Before we go, any quick thoughts about

0:27:54.680 --> 0:27:57.040
<v Speaker 1>what these Steelers are doing here with this quarterback situation,

0:27:57.119 --> 0:27:59.840
<v Speaker 1>because I was kind of curious what your take is.

0:28:01.119 --> 0:28:06.359
<v Speaker 2>So I don't think that I don't think that you know,

0:28:06.520 --> 0:28:09.240
<v Speaker 2>it is a foregone thing that people know that. I

0:28:09.240 --> 0:28:14.680
<v Speaker 2>think Russ sucks. He's not good. He's not a person

0:28:14.720 --> 0:28:16.320
<v Speaker 2>that you want to be around. He's a cancer to

0:28:16.359 --> 0:28:20.399
<v Speaker 2>a locker room. He's like the Jehovah witness that just

0:28:20.440 --> 0:28:23.800
<v Speaker 2>comes around, it possibly knocks on the door, and you

0:28:23.840 --> 0:28:26.159
<v Speaker 2>don't want to turn them away because you think that

0:28:26.200 --> 0:28:30.080
<v Speaker 2>they're doing good work, but they're just really annoying because

0:28:30.119 --> 0:28:32.560
<v Speaker 2>they keep coming at the worst optimal times. And this

0:28:32.720 --> 0:28:36.119
<v Speaker 2>is probably the worst optimal time for Russell Wilson to

0:28:36.200 --> 0:28:39.160
<v Speaker 2>be making a start against the Jets, because what if

0:28:39.200 --> 0:28:42.840
<v Speaker 2>the Jets now win this game, and now you're like, oh, dang,

0:28:42.880 --> 0:28:44.760
<v Speaker 2>we went to russ and we gave up a win

0:28:44.880 --> 0:28:46.600
<v Speaker 2>to the Jets, who everybody's.

0:28:46.120 --> 0:28:48.160
<v Speaker 1>Said in their conference That's what I keep saying. Why

0:28:48.160 --> 0:28:50.200
<v Speaker 1>would you do this in a conference game? You want

0:28:50.240 --> 0:28:52.720
<v Speaker 1>to screw around with Russell Wilson and give him one shot.

0:28:52.760 --> 0:28:55.120
<v Speaker 1>Maybe got some trade value. Maybe the Tennessee Titans want

0:28:55.120 --> 0:28:56.840
<v Speaker 1>to call you up and make a trade for Russell

0:28:56.880 --> 0:28:58.440
<v Speaker 1>Wilson because it's better than Will Levis.

0:28:58.560 --> 0:29:01.120
<v Speaker 2>What I will say I don't guess is that Mike

0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:05.240
<v Speaker 2>Tomlin is my frat brother. Both seven five seven VA guys,

0:29:05.320 --> 0:29:08.760
<v Speaker 2>we have a lot of connections with each other. I

0:29:08.840 --> 0:29:12.719
<v Speaker 2>trust my guy. He turned a team around with Mason

0:29:12.800 --> 0:29:16.480
<v Speaker 2>Rudolph and Duck Hodges. I trust Tomlin. I'm just letting

0:29:16.560 --> 0:29:19.840
<v Speaker 2>you know, my brother, this is a hard decision to

0:29:19.840 --> 0:29:22.440
<v Speaker 2>trust you with right now. But I'm going to trust you.

0:29:22.760 --> 0:29:25.400
<v Speaker 2>But I'm telling you you're not making it easy on me.

0:29:25.720 --> 0:29:29.800
<v Speaker 1>You're really not. That's at the reunion, I'm tell you

0:29:29.880 --> 0:29:31.520
<v Speaker 1>right now. Next year at that reunion is gonna be

0:29:31.560 --> 0:29:34.880
<v Speaker 1>some words there at the open bar. Great stuff, gentlemen.

0:29:34.960 --> 0:29:37.200
<v Speaker 1>As always, don't forget download the Betting Pros app and

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<v Speaker 1>That'll do for us, but the story of the game

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<v Speaker 1>goes on for Andrew Erickson and Terrell Furman. I'm Joey P.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll see you next time. Kids.

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