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Speaker 1: Hey guys onmar are you happy Sunday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Diligence Podcast with me

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Speaker 2: Matt Perult at Sports Talk Matt my social handles across

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Speaker 2: all socials and this podcast being brought to you by

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Speaker 2: oh Maaha steaks dot com. They've got a special url

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Speaker 1: You go there.

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Speaker 2: sure you use that url Omaha steaks dot com slash juice.

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Speaker 1: To get on in Okay two and one day.

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Speaker 2: Yesterday could have been a sweep if Baylor hit free

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Speaker 2: throws at the end of that game. But when you

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Speaker 2: give up forty one points in the first half to Houston,

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Speaker 2: you're gonna lose most games overtime. Houston covered game, shouldn't

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Speaker 2: have gone to overtime, should have been a Baylor win outright,

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Speaker 2: but unfortunately that was the one loss. Get the other

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Speaker 2: two relatively easy. The over in the Alabama game was

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Speaker 2: a walk in the park. In the under in the

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Speaker 2: Virginia North Carolina game was equally easy. So two more

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Speaker 2: wins in the college basketball angle for us on this Okay,

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Speaker 2: So where are we? Uh fifty seven and forty three.

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Speaker 2: That is our record currently in college basketball betting. That

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Speaker 2: is up nearly thirteen units on the year, so we've

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Speaker 2: done pretty well here. We are down though for the

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Speaker 2: week one point eight units going in to Sunday. Now

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Speaker 2: we are up seven point five units on the week, sorry,

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Speaker 2: on the year rather in twenty twenty four, so we're

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Speaker 2: still profitable this year through the first to you know,

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Speaker 2: six weeks, seven weeks of the year.

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Speaker 1: Let's see what we can do here today.

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Speaker 2: Okay, let's see what we could potentially pull out, because

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Speaker 2: I got a couple of things cooking here that we

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Speaker 2: can jump on into. And we'll start with the NBA

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Speaker 2: with the Spurs who are on the road against the

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Speaker 2: Utah Jazz. They are seven point docs. This number is

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Speaker 2: really and look, I have been god awful in the NBA.

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Speaker 2: I mean as good as I've been in college in

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Speaker 2: college basketball. I think I'm two and thirteen in the NBA. Guy,

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Speaker 2: I am just dead god awful. So take these bets

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Speaker 2: with the grain assault fade these plays. But when you

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Speaker 2: look at the way that the Utah Jazz are playing,

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Speaker 2: explain to me why why are they seven point favorites.

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Speaker 2: They've lost five games in a row. They lost. They

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Speaker 2: have lost four in a row at home. They've lost

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Speaker 2: to Charlotte by eight, Golden State by three, the Lakers

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Speaker 2: by sixteen, in Golden State by twenty two, all on

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Speaker 2: this homestand now the Spurs have lost three games in

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Speaker 2: a row themselves, and this has been an absolutely horrific

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Speaker 2: road trip for them.

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Speaker 1: They have one win on this road trip, where this.

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Speaker 2: Is now the eighth game in a row they will

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Speaker 2: play at home. Rodeo is going on in Texas. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that's what happens this year. Houston has it a lot,

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Speaker 2: but San Antonio has it too. They lose their building,

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Speaker 2: they lose the ability to be there, so they get

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Speaker 2: sent on this horrific long road trip. It started back

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Speaker 2: on the seventh of February in Miami. They lost to

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Speaker 2: Miami by twelve, Orlando by sixteen, Brooklyn by twenty. Then

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Speaker 2: they beat Toronto, turned around and lost to Dallas by

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Speaker 2: twenty three. But they've covered three of the last four games.

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Speaker 2: They lost to Sacramento by five and they lost to

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Speaker 2: Lakers by five. They were catching ten and a half

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Speaker 2: and eleven. I mean at home. Yes, Utah beat OKC

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Speaker 2: three point dogs the one by seven, but that was

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Speaker 2: over two weeks ago. Milwaukee laying two and a half

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Speaker 2: they won by fifteen. Milwaukee didn't have Giannis lost to

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Speaker 2: Philadelphia laying four and a half points, lost by three.

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Speaker 2: I mean, if you go back in the month of February,

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Speaker 2: so far for Utah they have two wins this month

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Speaker 2: two now not much better. Only one win here for

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Speaker 2: San Antonio. But like I don't know, it's weird to me.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna do something here. I'm gonna give you a

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Speaker 2: parlay for props for Victor Wembin Yama, and I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: give you a bet you could make with the points

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Speaker 2: two leg half a unit parlay. All right, I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: take the Spurs at plus seven, and I'm gonna combine

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Speaker 2: it with the Rockets, who are at home up against

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Speaker 2: a team that they could beat outright in Oklahoma City.

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Speaker 2: Houston is nineteen nine and one one. ATS number opened

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Speaker 2: up at four and a half. It's been bet to six.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: OKAC on the road is fifteen eleven and one, very impressive.

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Speaker 2: But Houston at home beat Phoenix as two and a

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Speaker 2: half point dogs one by four, beat New York laying one,

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Speaker 2: beat Toronto laying four and a half one by twenty

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Speaker 2: nine points. They lost to New Orleans, but they beat

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Speaker 2: the Lakers home. Game wise and Western Conference wise are

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Speaker 2: eighteen twelve and two ats. Now OKC is twenty one,

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Speaker 2: fourteen and one. I'm not knocking it, but they're twenty

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Speaker 2: and nine at home. Houston at home is really tough.

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Speaker 2: Last two times they've played at home they've won the

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Speaker 2: game outright, actually three times. Last three home games Toronto,

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Speaker 2: New York, Phoenix all outright wins. Now four games in

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Speaker 2: a row here for OKC, they've won and they've covered.

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Speaker 2: They killed Washington Washington stakes one by forty one points,

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Speaker 2: beat the Clipper at home by twenty two points. Impressive

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Speaker 2: for sure. At home, went to Orlando, won by fourteen,

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Speaker 2: laying two and a half.

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Speaker 1: Fine.

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Speaker 2: But in the road games before that, at Dallas lost

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Speaker 2: by thirty five, at Utah lost by seven, at Detroit

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Speaker 2: lost by sixteen. They beat New Orleans, and they beat

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Speaker 2: San Antonio pretty easily. But you go that was Beck

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Speaker 2: in January, like recently, things have not gone great for

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Speaker 2: OKC on the road, while Houston's been tremendous at home.

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Speaker 2: Plus two sixty four parlay take the points with both

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Speaker 2: dogs San Antonio on the road at Utah plus seven

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Speaker 2: rockets plus six half a unit, it's a plus two

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Speaker 2: sixty four parlay.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be sweaty and crazy.

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Speaker 2: And one team might get blown out and blow this

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Speaker 2: whole thing up. And yep, that could happen half a unit.

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Speaker 2: So what do we do with the other half a unit? Well,

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Speaker 2: you can do the same game parlay. All right, I

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Speaker 2: don't do these things. It's actually plus two thirty if

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Speaker 2: you want to do this with the same game parlay

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Speaker 2: spurs plus seven Victor wembin Yama over one and a

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Speaker 2: half threes and Victor wembin Yama over twenty three and

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Speaker 2: a half points.

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Speaker 1: Now, I don't do that.

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Speaker 2: Crap, Okay, I don't believe in same game parlays. They're

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Speaker 2: losing bets. But I am eyeballing this because Victor webbin

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Speaker 2: Yama has scored twenty three and a half points. Has

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Speaker 2: becwored more than twenty three and a half points in

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Speaker 2: three of his last four games. He has shot or

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Speaker 2: hit rather more than one and a half threes in

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Speaker 2: every game except the game against the Kings. In the

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Speaker 2: second and last game dating back to the beginning of

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Speaker 2: the month the third of February. Since the third of February,

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Speaker 2: Victor weber Yama is hit two three two three two two.

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Speaker 1: One in three.

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Speaker 2: Victor webbn Yama also is taking at least four threes

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Speaker 2: attempted a game eight six six four six four five

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Speaker 2: four volume usage. Things you want when you bet over

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Speaker 2: one and a half threes for Victor webbin Yama. If

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Speaker 2: you combine Victor wenbin Yama over twenty three and a half,

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Speaker 2: FanDuel has this okay over twenty three and a half,

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Speaker 2: and I can bet at FanDuel luckily in Vegas because

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Speaker 2: they do offer some things here. Over twenty three and

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Speaker 2: a half points, Victor webbin Yama over one and a

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Speaker 2: half threes is a plus one thirty parlay same game parlay,

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Speaker 2: but at parlay plus one thirty half a unit.

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Speaker 1: That's what we're doing here.

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Speaker 2: For the NBA, wembin Yama over twenty three and a

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Speaker 2: half combined with wembin Yama over one and a half

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Speaker 2: made threes plus one thirty for a half a unit.

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Speaker 2: Spurs plus seven combined with the Rockets plus six is

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Speaker 2: a plus US to sixty four. Parlay that for half

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Speaker 2: a unit. Okay, look at my NBA betting has been horrendous.

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Speaker 1: Fade away.

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Speaker 2: Okay, it's only one unit. Fade away, go crazy if

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Speaker 2: you want. So what do we doing elsewhere? Let's go

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Speaker 2: to college basketball. You guys know I'm gonna have a

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Speaker 2: play in the Creighton Blue Jays, who are on the

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Speaker 2: road up against Saint John's. Saint John's is a mess.

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Speaker 2: They only beat Georgetown by five. Georgetown stinks. That was

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Speaker 2: on the road, though, but Georgetown stinks. Things are not

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Speaker 2: going well for Saint John's. You got Rick Patino who's

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Speaker 2: talking all starts a junk about his team and whatnot.

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Speaker 2: They don't like him. It seems like he doesn't like them.

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Speaker 2: They lost four games before that against Marquette Providence or

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Speaker 2: three games, sorry, against Marquette Providence in Seaton Hall. He

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Speaker 2: lost at home to yukon seventy seven sixty four at

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Speaker 2: MSG where this game is being played, and lost a

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Speaker 2: Xavier on the road eighty eight to seventy seven. Now

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Speaker 2: the Jay's played at home against Sint John's and they

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Speaker 2: won by one sixty six sixty five. They shot this

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Speaker 2: slee in that game. Now, Creighton's coming off of a

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Speaker 2: huge win. Okay, and I'm gonna give you this. You

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Speaker 2: beat the number one team in the country. You're the

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Speaker 2: big man on camp. But you're going across the country,

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Speaker 2: much like what happened when Yukon destroyed and I mean

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Speaker 2: destroyed Marquette and then went to Omaha and got whacked

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Speaker 2: by the Creighton Blue Jays. The Creton Blue Jays whack Yukon,

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Speaker 2: and now they got to go across the country to

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Speaker 2: play Saint John's at MSG. Here's the thing, this is

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Speaker 2: where the biggiest tournament's gonna get played. Though coach McDermott

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Speaker 2: normally has a pretty good job, does a pretty good

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Speaker 2: job of motivating his guys and trying to find a

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Speaker 2: way to keep them focused and motivated. Because if this

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Speaker 2: was like a trip to Xavier or something, or a

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Speaker 2: trip to I don't know, even to Paul, like I

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Speaker 2: could see the Jay is taking it easy and not

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Speaker 2: playing up to their abilities. But because this game is

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Speaker 2: being played in New York and they're gonna be right

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Speaker 2: back in New York, for MSG, and it's an early

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Speaker 2: start time. It's a noon Eastern Star time, so it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be a good atmosphere but not going to be

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Speaker 2: a great atmosphere because Saint John's.

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Speaker 1: It's sort of like, you know, this.

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Speaker 2: Is the first time the Jays have played at MSG

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Speaker 2: against Saint John's normally. I mean, they play in the

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Speaker 2: biggest tournaments, but they don't normally play Saint John's at MSG,

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Speaker 2: the nationally ranked the opponent, I mean all that thing.

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Speaker 2: There's a lot of hype now around the Creighton Blue Jays,

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Speaker 2: so let's go ahead and play the game in MSG.

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Speaker 2: This is not like Yukon. It's different. Yukon brings a

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Speaker 2: lot of people. Saint John's fans get excited. New York

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Speaker 2: people hear about a team from almost Nebraska and they're like, eh,

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Speaker 2: all right, yeah, maybe I'll go.

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Speaker 1: It's early. I don't like this for Saint John's.

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Speaker 2: I think if the Jays just play an average game

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Speaker 2: and they shoot better than they did the first matchup,

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Speaker 2: they were horrific shooting, creating is healthy. They're just a

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Speaker 2: better basketball team. Look, I know, Jenkins is tremendous and

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Speaker 2: he almost beat the Jays bioms self. But I think

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Speaker 2: defensively this game, I lean towards the under in this game.

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Speaker 2: I mean, if you don't like laying the two and

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Speaker 2: a half points here with the Creighton Blue Jays, I

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Speaker 2: don't hate. You can come up and just say, look,

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Speaker 2: I just bet the under. I don't mind it. Under's

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Speaker 2: one fifty three, don't mind that play. But game opened

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Speaker 2: it two, it's now two and a half. I don't

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Speaker 2: want it to go to three. I'm gonna lay with

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Speaker 2: the Creighton Blue Jays. I think the Jays, even though

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Speaker 2: they've been you know, not the greatest of teams on

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Speaker 2: the road ats wise, and it's an easy fade. I

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Speaker 2: get the fade, right, you just like forget this. I

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Speaker 2: don't trust the Creyton Blue Jays to do anything here

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Speaker 2: on the road because well, coming off that win over Yukon,

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Speaker 2: things might be you know, they're definitely poised potentially for

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Speaker 2: a letdown here. But I don't like Saint John's. They

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Speaker 2: play on so many different places, you know, all over

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Speaker 2: the country. They're one and four over the last five ats,

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Speaker 2: two and eight over the last ten. They're seven and

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Speaker 2: six at home ats. But like which building the Jays

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Speaker 2: are eight and five this year away from home, and

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Speaker 2: beat Butler by twenty two on the road, beat Xavier

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Speaker 2: by seven on the road.

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Speaker 1: They've been playing much better on the road of late.

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Speaker 2: I'll lay the short number crighton Blue Jays minus two

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Speaker 2: and a half for one point one units, and you

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Speaker 2: can absolutely sell me on Saint John's. Okay, you want

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Speaker 2: to push back and say, maunt, I'm taking Saint John's.

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Speaker 2: It was the same thing that happened yesterday because I

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Speaker 2: was like, it's hard to win on the road. I

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Speaker 2: was gonna be on Baylor. I looked at the numbers

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Speaker 2: and I took Sorry, I was going on Houston and

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Speaker 2: I took Baylor, and it was I mean, coin flip game,

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Speaker 2: right one way or the other. This Creton game is

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Speaker 2: gonna be a coin flip game.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I think it comes down to one possession free throws

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Speaker 2: at the end. It's not gonna I don't think the

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Speaker 2: Jays whack them by twenty Okay. I don't think it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be easy walk in the park. I do expect

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Speaker 2: that game to come to the wire. But I'll take

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Speaker 2: the better team. Jayser's a better are just better than

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Speaker 2: Saint John's I'll lay the short number Creighton minus two

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Speaker 2: and a half for one point one units. You know,

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Speaker 2: let's stay in the state. Let's stay in Nebraska. Let's

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Speaker 2: talk about Nebraska. Take it on Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: We were on the Gophers last game. Why because the

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Speaker 2: Gophers are really really good at home. The Gophers are

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Speaker 2: a different team on the road. Seventeen and one ats

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Speaker 2: at home, and it's really easy to fall in love

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Speaker 2: with them. This is a night game on Sunday night,

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Speaker 2: night game on Sunday night, which is a little a

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Speaker 2: bit o weird, but it's a place to forget the

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Speaker 2: national audience's attention on the Big Ten Network. Nebraska's thirteen

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Speaker 2: and four, thirteen and four ats. Now, Minnesota's not bad

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Speaker 2: on the road, six and two. They've covered nine straight games,

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Speaker 2: but five out of six for Nebraska.

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Speaker 1: They just killed Indiana on the road.

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Speaker 2: They killed Penn State at home, they killed Michigan at home.

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Speaker 2: They beat Wisconsin by eight in a pickup situation. Three

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Speaker 2: and oh over the last three home games. Sorry, four

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Speaker 2: and oh over the last five and oh, sorry five

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Speaker 2: and oh over the last five home games ats for

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Speaker 2: Nebraska and Fred Hoiberg's team. I know you have a

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Speaker 2: hot team here in Minnesota. Six and two is pretty impressive.

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Speaker 2: Thirteen and two in conference is really impressive. But you know,

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Speaker 2: big numbers here against Purdue catching sixteen and a half,

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Speaker 2: they lost by eight. Against Iowa catching seven and a half,

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Speaker 2: they lost by five. Against Penn State, catching two and

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Speaker 2: a half, they won by nine. Against Michigan State catching twelve,

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Speaker 2: they lost by ten. They're catching six and a half here.

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Speaker 2: Kempom has this as a six point win for Nebraska,

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Speaker 2: so again it's it's just like the Creighton game. Kemp

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Speaker 2: pom has it as a two point win. This is

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Speaker 2: a six point win. So the hook on both sides.

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Speaker 2: But the move here came four and a half. It opened,

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Speaker 2: and the move came quickly on Nebraska, and I think

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Speaker 2: it's right, and it's oh sorry, opened six and a

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Speaker 2: halfs right, four opened six and a half, it's still

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Speaker 2: six and a half. And some books are at seven

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Speaker 2: and a half. Actually, wow, some books are already DraftKings

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Speaker 2: already at seven and a half. So draftkins already sprinted

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Speaker 2: out six and a half here in Vegas seven and

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Speaker 2: a half at DraftKings. I just think it's a tough

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Speaker 2: environment for Minnesota to go into coming off of a

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Speaker 2: big win over Ohio State. They beat Rutgers, they beat

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Speaker 2: Ohio State, they go on the road, they've lost. Let's

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Speaker 2: see how many straight road games?

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Speaker 1: One?

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Speaker 2: Two, Well, they beat Penn State, so that was that

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Speaker 2: would have been they won that. So one in three

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Speaker 2: straight up, one in four straight up over the last

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Speaker 2: five road games.

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Speaker 1: Nebraska's playing really well.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Huskers minus six and a half

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Speaker 2: Nebraska one point one units down. Take the home team

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Speaker 2: Nebraska lay in six and a half to snap this

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Speaker 2: streak from Minnesota as they've been covering like crazy. Let's

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Speaker 2: take the Huskers to upend the Gophers here mine six

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Speaker 2: and a half. Okay, So NBA plays Webbin Yama over

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Speaker 2: twenty three and a half parlay with over one and

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Speaker 2: a half threes at plus one thirty for a half

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Speaker 2: a unit, Spurs plus seven rockets plus six parlayed at

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Speaker 2: plus two sixty four for a half a unit, creating

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Speaker 2: Blue Jays minus two and a half for one point

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Speaker 2: one units on the road at St. John's, Nebraska at

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Speaker 2: home laying six and a half for one point one

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Speaker 2: units up against Minnesota. My has Matt Parolt follow me

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Speaker 2: across all socials at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning the

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Speaker 2: Juice Podcast I was being brought to you by Omaha

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Speaker 2: Steaks dot com