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Speaker 1: Hey there everyone, and welcome back to the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: NFL Podcast, brought to you by bet MGM. I'm your host,

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Speaker 1: Dan Harris. You can find me on Twitter at Dan

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Speaker 1: Harris Ady. It is time for our early look at

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Speaker 1: next week's lines. And with me to break it all

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Speaker 1: down is Jason Logan, the senior managing editor for Covers.

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Speaker 1: You can find him on Twitter at Covers j Loo. Jason,

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Speaker 1: thanks again for coming on the show. How's it going.

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Speaker 2: It's going pretty well? Pretty well? How about yourself?

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Speaker 1: Not bad? How was week five for you? Out of

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Speaker 1: curiosity in the betting department?

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Speaker 2: Week five, I went a little lighter in week five.

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Speaker 2: Week four was not so good. Yeah, week Week five

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Speaker 2: was a little hit and miss. But I'm waiting on

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Speaker 2: the Browns to come through tonight.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, we're recording this shortly before kickoff, so

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Speaker 1: let's see if we can get you there so you

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Speaker 1: can enjoy the game.

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Speaker 2: I have a TVD yell asto.

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Speaker 1: I got it, I got it. We'll move you in

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Speaker 1: and out real quick. All right, So Jason and I

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Speaker 1: are going to go through each game here on the slate.

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Speaker 1: For week six, we're going to be using the consensus

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Speaker 1: odds over at betting pros dot Com. That's just an

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Speaker 1: aggregation of the odds that are available on the market.

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Speaker 1: As always, there are going to be differences at the

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Speaker 1: various sports books, so make sure you shop around for

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Speaker 1: the best odds, and also if you want to see

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Speaker 1: how some of the top sports betting experts are leaning

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Speaker 1: on any given bet at any given time, bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: Com is going to show you that too. All right, Jason,

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Speaker 1: let's dive right in here with the Giants against the

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Speaker 1: Patriots on Thursday night. Right now, I've seen the spread

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Speaker 1: move all the way up to seventeen. I checked earlier

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Speaker 1: today it was about sixteen and a half, and the

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Speaker 1: over under down to forty two and a half, down

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Speaker 1: from forty four and a half. I don't think I've

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Speaker 1: seen anything on whether or not Sequon Barkley is actually

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Speaker 1: going to play, but it does sound like Sterling Shepherd's

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Speaker 1: probably going to miss this game. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: that accounts for the move. But what do you think

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Speaker 1: about the line?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean they're down to what they're third string

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Speaker 2: running back.

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Speaker 1: Right now, John Hilleman, I believe is that it.

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Speaker 2: Who knows at that point. Barkley wasn't Pats proxicing last week.

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Speaker 2: I mean, these guys are kind of superheroes and the

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Speaker 2: way they can come back. But this one's moved though

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Speaker 2: almost a field goal. Since the opener. Some of the

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Speaker 2: look ahead lines had minus fourteen, now up to minus seventeen.

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Speaker 2: It's it's again it's that Belichick versus rookie QB. So

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Speaker 2: I think, if I have my numbers correct, Patriots versus

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Speaker 2: rookie QB's at home under Belichick. So that since two

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Speaker 2: thy eleven and no straight up seven and four against the.

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Speaker 1: Spread, Okay, well that's certainly something that pour ten's good

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Speaker 1: things for the Patriots.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: The one thing is the Patriots are dealing with, you know,

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Speaker 1: some minor injuries to themselves. You know, Philip dor said

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Speaker 1: it sounds like it's a minor ankle injury. Rex burg

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Speaker 1: Head may again miss his game. They start out kind

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Speaker 1: of slow, oddly enough against the Redskins, right, they didn't

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Speaker 1: look great, and then they wound up you know, and

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Speaker 1: I know because I live in New England, so my

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Speaker 1: entire my in laws were not happy. And I'm like

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Speaker 1: watching the Jets get destroyed by the Eagles. So it's

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Speaker 1: not a happy Sunday for me, but yeah, I agree.

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Speaker 1: I mean I think it's at you know, Thursday games.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how much more this is going to

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Speaker 1: move at this point, but certainly, and the over under

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Speaker 1: is dropped by at least when I checked it earlier,

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Speaker 1: by two points as well. So it sounds like they

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Speaker 1: seem to do you have do you see any value

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Speaker 1: right now? In the early life it's seventeen or forty

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Speaker 1: two and a half or is that about where it is?

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Speaker 2: Boy? I mean is yeah, that's a tough one. I mean,

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Speaker 2: if if you got that early the fourteen, good anya.

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Speaker 2: But now that it's moving up, I mean I expect

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Speaker 2: it to probably move up. I'm not the only one

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Speaker 2: that's going to spit off these Belichick sort of stats,

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Speaker 2: and everyone's going to play into that. And if Saquon

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Speaker 2: Barkley doesn't play, I think that's probably worth another half point,

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Speaker 2: you know, as the public kind of jumps on that too.

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Speaker 2: So I mean, seventeen seventeen is still I mean, if

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Speaker 2: you want to do the football mask stella, seventeen is

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Speaker 2: still kind of a key number. So to say that

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Speaker 2: it might be value to get the Pats at minus seventeen.

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Speaker 2: Right now, it seems funny coming out of my mouth,

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Speaker 2: but it might actually be the right play. However, like

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Speaker 2: you said, they started slow. Brady didn't look good against

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Speaker 2: the Bills. He didn't look great against the first half

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Speaker 2: here against the There was the Jets last week. Correct, No, sorry,

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Speaker 2: never Redskins, Redskins. It might yeah, it could have been anyway.

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Speaker 1: Man, the Redskins, the Jets, the Dolphins, all.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, ring them on. That's right. The Redskins start off

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Speaker 2: slow and then they but they make those second half

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Speaker 2: a job. It was more Sony Michelle than anything. So

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Speaker 2: I mean, if you want to say, well, okay, maybe

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Speaker 2: they stick with Sony Michelle, maybe they stick with the

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Speaker 2: run game, then it doesn't a lot for that amount

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Speaker 2: of points to be scored to cover the spread. But

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Speaker 2: we've seen this defense do work too, so this defense

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Speaker 2: can put up points as well too. So now that

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Speaker 2: it is seventeen and knowing that it is a short

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Speaker 2: week and probably you don't want to rush back Saquon

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Speaker 2: Barkley from a high ankle spring, yeah, the Pats minus

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Speaker 2: seventeen might be as good as it gets right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think if I were going to make a

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Speaker 1: play at this point, it would be on the Pats.

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Speaker 1: If anything, I think it might move I guess possibly

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Speaker 1: a little higher. But this is probably in my mind

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Speaker 1: where it's can settle and if I'm forced to bet

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Speaker 1: some way, it's probably on the Patriots. But these big lines, man,

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Speaker 1: I hate them. You know the fact that this is

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Speaker 1: just every week you're going to get these these monstrous lines,

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Speaker 1: Well just in a parody, I know, I know it's crazy.

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Speaker 1: Well a little more parody here with our next game

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Speaker 1: in London Panthers versus Buccaneers. I actually did not realize,

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Speaker 1: so you told me before we started recording that this

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Speaker 1: is unlike this past week with the Raiders and the Bears,

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Speaker 1: this is actually going to be at nine to third,

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Speaker 1: which just makes me happy because it's all day Sunday football.

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Speaker 1: The Panthers here are laying two and a half. The

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Speaker 1: first time I looked it was at one and a half.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what the look head line was, but

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Speaker 1: when I looked at it early, I think last night

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Speaker 1: it was at Panthers laying one and a half. They're

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Speaker 1: laying two and a half now and it's moved the

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Speaker 1: over under up two points from forty six and a

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Speaker 1: half to forty eight and a half. This is that

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Speaker 1: rough stretch here for the Bucks. This is basically their

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Speaker 1: third straight road game, even though they're right, even though

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Speaker 1: they're the home I don't I don't think they play

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Speaker 1: a home game until Week ten.

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Speaker 2: I believe the Bucks and the Raiders are kind of

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Speaker 2: on that same yeah highway to hell. It's like forty

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Speaker 2: nine days without a home game. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Meanwhile, the Panthers, I mean they've they've kind of righted

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Speaker 1: the ship a bit here with you know, Kyle Allen,

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Speaker 1: who's kind of, you know, relative more accurate than Cam

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Speaker 1: Newton was. Christian McCaffrey not a normal human being.

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Speaker 2: So it has two working legs.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that helps, that is So how do you feel here,

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Speaker 1: Panthers laying two and a half at the moment over

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Speaker 1: under forty eight and a half?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this is kind of Tampa Bay's run defense, which

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Speaker 2: is a giving up only three point one yards per

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Speaker 2: carries versus McCaffrey. And this might as well be the

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Speaker 2: Carolina McCaffrey's because that's how this guy has put the

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Speaker 2: team on his shoulder. But they did a good job

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Speaker 2: against McCaffrey in week two. I mean, this is kind

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Speaker 2: of a this is a rematch, a rare rematch already, right,

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Speaker 2: thirty seven yards on sixteen carries in Week two. The

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Speaker 2: Panthers defense looked good against Minshew there last week, got

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Speaker 2: some pressure on him, forced some fumbles. They have twenty

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Speaker 2: sacks on the season. The Bucks allowed eighteen sacks already

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Speaker 2: this year. We know that that Jameis Winston isn't the

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Speaker 2: best decision maker when under pressure, so I could see

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Speaker 2: why the line has swung such a such so much.

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Speaker 2: I've seen it open around a pick yep. But like

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Speaker 2: you said, three three road games in three weeks for

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Speaker 2: this Bucks team is that's tough. And then you've got

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Speaker 2: to go across the pond, and that's just a whole

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Speaker 2: it's a whole other Hornets mess. There's so much, so

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Speaker 2: many logistics and everything behind those I hate.

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Speaker 1: I hate betting on Bucks games, I really do. You

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Speaker 1: don't know what which Jamis Winston is going to show up, right, and.

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Speaker 2: Then that's exactly what happened last week, exactly looked Terri

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Speaker 2: Well on Sunday the week before. He was a golden

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Speaker 2: fantasy gods.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, yeah, I mean I think for me, right now,

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Speaker 1: I'd probably lean towards the Panthers, but it's just not

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Speaker 1: a game that I feel comfortable with. I like them

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Speaker 1: in that first game. I think they were laying six

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Speaker 1: and a half and they would have won that game,

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Speaker 1: maybe not covering the spread, had Newton basically been able

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Speaker 1: to throw the ball.

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Speaker 2: I'm with you on these early games. I love the

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Speaker 2: English thinglsh brought breakfast games, right, Bengers and beans and

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Speaker 2: the eggs and.

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Speaker 1: Toasts absolutely can't go wrong. Let's move on here to

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Speaker 1: Texans and Chiefs. This one you've seen a load of

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Speaker 1: movement in. I mean I checked last night, so I

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Speaker 1: don't even know what the look aheadline was, but last

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Speaker 1: night the consensus odes were minus eight. Right now it's

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Speaker 1: all the way down to minus five. Now, I get

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Speaker 1: you've got some issues here with the Chiefs after last night.

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes dealing with the ankle injury. It doesn't it's

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Speaker 1: obviously not going to keep him out or anything like that,

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Speaker 1: but it's limiting him. Sammy Watkins now dealing with a

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Speaker 1: hamstring injury on top of the shoulder. Chris Jones suffered

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Speaker 1: a groin strain and is going to miss the games.

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Speaker 1: Davier Williams sprained his ankle. He might play. Maybe Tyreek

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Speaker 1: Hill comes back. Meanwhile, the Texans put up a big

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Speaker 1: number over beating down on the Falcons. How do you

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Speaker 1: feel here? Chiefs now minus five over under still high

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Speaker 1: fifty five and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this one, this one had to move off of

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Speaker 2: sharp money because it was eight around noon today. It

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Speaker 2: was still like eight seven and a half and then boom,

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Speaker 2: instantly within I think within a half an hour, dropped

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Speaker 2: to five. So that's that's big play coming in kind

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Speaker 2: of you know, hedging those injuries. Yeah, I kind of

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Speaker 2: want to get ahead of the get ahead of those injuries.

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Speaker 2: And could this be, you know, the betting public falling

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Speaker 2: out of favor with Kansas City. They had a tough

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Speaker 2: game in Detroit, didn't cover there and then they get

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Speaker 2: rolled by the Colts. And it may be that you

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Speaker 2: look at what the Lions and the Colts did, did

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Speaker 2: they build the blueprint for beating the Chiefs? And I

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Speaker 2: talked about it today with Patrick Eeverson, who's our senior

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Speaker 2: writer in Las Vegas, and said that with this Chiefs defense,

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Speaker 2: you know they're bad, you know they're going to give

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Speaker 2: up yards, but you can't if you if you're the offense,

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Speaker 2: you can't be too greedy that you just blow through

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Speaker 2: them and then give the ball back to my homes.

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Speaker 2: And that's what the that's what the Lions and Colts

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Speaker 2: have done. They've been really really thoughtical with it. The

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Speaker 2: Detroit ran one hundred and eighty six yards on thirty

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Speaker 2: five carries. Time of possession was almost thirty four minutes,

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Speaker 2: and then the Colts ran one hundred and eighty yards

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Speaker 2: on forty five carries. Time of possession was over thirty

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Speaker 2: seven minutes.

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Speaker 1: You know, the problem though, is that the Texans aren't

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Speaker 1: really built to run an offense like that, right, I

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Speaker 1: mean they don't have I mean they have, you know,

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Speaker 1: they have success running the ball so far generally speaking

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Speaker 1: with Hyde and Duke Johnson. But they're they're the type

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Speaker 1: of team that you know, you turn around, then you

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Speaker 1: come back and you know, Deshaun Watson's you know, busted

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Speaker 1: off a fifty yard run or he's throwing them you know, right,

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Speaker 1: So it's it's almost like an odd you know, way

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Speaker 1: to attack them. But this really, I mean, with their injuries,

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Speaker 1: this is really something that's going to be interesting. I know,

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Speaker 1: they lost yesterday. But Arrowhead, of course, is still a

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Speaker 1: difficult place to play. Do you think it's a godly

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Speaker 1: Do you think it's going to drop lower than minus

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Speaker 1: five or is this basically where you expect? Maybe?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, five being that dead number, and they've

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Speaker 2: already just blown through so many key numbers. I don't

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Speaker 2: think it's going to come down too much further than this.

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Speaker 2: I mean, so it goes through seven and a half

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Speaker 2: and seven and six and a half, and so five

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Speaker 2: seems to be that dead number, that's safe number right

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Speaker 2: now until they get some more until they get some

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Speaker 2: more information. Yeah. I need to remember too that usually

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Speaker 2: limits at the sports books are a little bit lower

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Speaker 2: earlier in the week when they open these odds. So

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Speaker 2: I mean, while it is sharp money coming in, they

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Speaker 2: they may be okay.

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Speaker 1: I mean, that's a pretty dramatic move, you know, at

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Speaker 1: least for me. I know you've been doing this for

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Speaker 1: a while, but three points this early, right off the bat,

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Speaker 1: especially when there are these limits coming on, It kind

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Speaker 1: of shocked me to see it go three points without

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Speaker 1: the major injury, you know, to a major offensive lineman

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Speaker 1: or someone like Mahomes. So I was a little bit

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Speaker 1: surprised on this one. All right, Jason, Let's move on

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Speaker 1: to our next game, Seahawks at the Browns. Browns are

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Speaker 1: laying two and a half and the over under is

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Speaker 1: at forty seven. So we're recording this before I guess

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Speaker 1: the Browns game has just started, so we don't know

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Speaker 1: what's going to happen tonight. But I was a little

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Speaker 1: bit surprised about this one. Just the Browns have looked

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Speaker 1: a little disjointed. I know, they looked good last week

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Speaker 1: against the Ravens, but the Seahawks have looked pretty strong.

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Speaker 1: I mean they, you know, not great. They have their

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Speaker 1: defense has been a little leaky, but certainly the offense

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Speaker 1: has been great. So I honestly expected this to be

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Speaker 1: closer to maybe like a pick them. I know, it

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter that much when you're below sort of the

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Speaker 1: key number of three, but I'm a little bit surprised

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Speaker 1: here by the Browns laying two and a half and

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Speaker 1: the over under at forty seven.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think, I mean, there's still a lot to

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Speaker 2: be said here with the Monday night game. There were

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Speaker 2: a lot of positives coming out of Cleveland here over

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Speaker 2: the last two games, even the last three games, the

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Speaker 2: defense starting to really pick up, starting to get stingy,

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Speaker 2: fantastic special teams really pinning teams back. They've got that

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Speaker 2: strapping Scottish punter pinning guys way back in the ends.

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Speaker 2: I've giving the defense a good helping hand as well too.

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Speaker 2: But like you said, this one's still up in the air.

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Speaker 2: But you know they're back home after two straight on

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Speaker 2: the road. They had played i believe, three road games

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Speaker 2: in four weeks, so a tough stretch to get to

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Speaker 2: come back home, and you know, give this crowd what

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Speaker 2: they've been waiting for for a long time now. Seattle, though,

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Speaker 2: doing a lot of things right, limiting opponents on third downs.

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Speaker 2: I think twenty nine percent of the last three games

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Speaker 2: time of possession. They're chewing up the clock, they're running

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Speaker 2: the football, they're not giving away the ball too. They

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Speaker 2: got five takeaways. Russell Wilson no interceptions. He's probably the

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Speaker 2: most It depends on where you're betting and if you're

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Speaker 2: a Seahawks fan or not, but he's probably the most

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Speaker 2: annoying player to watch if you're betting against him, because

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Speaker 2: there's so many times in which you're cheering your mid

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Speaker 2: cheer for a sack and all of a sudden, Wilson

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Speaker 2: slips out. I mean, he's playing, he's he's earning all

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Speaker 2: that money, he's playing out at MVP caliber right now. Again,

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Speaker 2: there's so much to be left to be said here

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Speaker 2: for Cleveland Monday night. But yeah, Seattle just looks really,

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Speaker 2: really good right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and really one of the reasons why I was

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Speaker 1: surprised is you know that the Browns are playing right now,

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Speaker 1: it's Monday night. It's going to be a short week. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: Seattle is basically playing off a mini bi here where

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Speaker 1: they played on Thursday, so they have extra rest. And

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Speaker 1: yet to your point about Wilson at one, correct, I

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Speaker 1: mean to throw the touchdown there that you got it

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Speaker 1: on Thursday night.

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Speaker 2: Not I wasn't even that wasn't upset and I had

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Speaker 2: the Rams. I had the Rams plus two, and I

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Speaker 2: wasn't he been upset. I was like, that's pretty damn nice. Bro.

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Speaker 1: Well you wind up winning anyway, so that's all good.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, well we'll see what happens. I think it's

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Speaker 1: probably going to depend on tonight's game, because again, if

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Speaker 1: the Browns come out and they look really strong again,

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Speaker 1: then then things have probably changed and maybe that that

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Speaker 1: line's correct.

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Speaker 2: And I think the line is set kind of where

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Speaker 2: it can move right now. Sure off of that, so

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Speaker 2: if they have a bad performance, so they can kind

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Speaker 2: of maybe ticket down. If they look good, it can

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Speaker 2: go up to the touchdown or sorry, the field goal.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely. All right, let's move on here to the Bengals

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Speaker 1: at the Ravens. This one, when I first checked was

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Speaker 1: the Ravens laying ten. It has moved to currently Ravens

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Speaker 1: laying eleven and a half. The over under has moved

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Speaker 1: half a point up to forty eight from forty seven

331
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Speaker 1: and a half. Not look the Ravens. They have not

332
00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:46,400
Speaker 1: looked particularly impressive lately. They didn't against the Steelers necessarily,

333
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Speaker 1: they just lost Tony Jefferson. Marquise Brown is dealing with

334
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Speaker 1: an ankle injury. They barely squeak by the Steelers. But really,

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Speaker 1: on the other side you have the Bengals, which is

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00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:57,160
Speaker 1: basically a pure dumpster fire at this point. So, I mean,

337
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Speaker 1: are we gonna keep is this sharp money? By the way,

338
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Speaker 1: do you think that's moving it up from ten to

339
00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:01,360
Speaker 1: eleven and a half?

340
00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:04,960
Speaker 2: I mean, usually early money is sharp money to begin with,

341
00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:08,360
Speaker 2: But there's a lot of injuries to the Cincinnati team

342
00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:09,600
Speaker 2: right now. There is a team that likes to throw

343
00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:11,600
Speaker 2: the ball in seventy percent of snaps and they don't

344
00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:14,920
Speaker 2: have any wide receivers that left. Green's gone, Ross has gone,

345
00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:18,520
Speaker 2: Alec Erickson out with a concussion. Yeah, it's basically Tyler

346
00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:22,240
Speaker 2: Boyd and on and Tate Yeah, and then yeah, they're

347
00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:24,080
Speaker 2: going to be bringing some guys out of the stands

348
00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:27,560
Speaker 2: to catch some balls. Yeah. But it's like you said,

349
00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:30,720
Speaker 2: the Ravens haven't looked great. It's a possible look ahead

350
00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:33,120
Speaker 2: spot for them because they have Seattle next week. They

351
00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:36,400
Speaker 2: go to Seattle. They haven't covered a spread in four

352
00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:40,080
Speaker 2: weeks since the massacre against Miami there, right, And I

353
00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:43,320
Speaker 2: actually I've liked the Bengals this season. I've actually bet

354
00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:46,200
Speaker 2: them three times on the road and they've gone two

355
00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:47,520
Speaker 2: and one for me. And they've been a good bet

356
00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:49,800
Speaker 2: on the road. So since two thousand and seven, they're

357
00:14:49,880 --> 00:14:52,880
Speaker 2: thirteen and six ats on the road yep. And they're

358
00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:55,360
Speaker 2: eleven and six ats as a road dog. However, that

359
00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:59,080
Speaker 2: Monday night game against the Steelers just completely soured me. Here.

360
00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:02,360
Speaker 2: They got gas on the ground by Arizona as well too.

361
00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:04,440
Speaker 2: Gave up two hundred and sixty six yards and that's

362
00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:06,120
Speaker 2: exactly what the Ravens are going to do. They're just

363
00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:08,840
Speaker 2: going to run it down their throats. You know. Do

364
00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:11,440
Speaker 2: the Ravens take their foot off the gas at the end.

365
00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:13,320
Speaker 2: I don't know. It's a divisional game. I guess I

366
00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:15,440
Speaker 2: would have to lean Ravens here, But since the line

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00:15:15,480 --> 00:15:18,160
Speaker 2: is ticking upward and gone through the key numbers there,

368
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Speaker 2: I just I don't want to touch it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I hate this line. I'm not going anywhere near it.

370
00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:23,600
Speaker 1: And I agree, Yeah, I love the Bengals on the road.

371
00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:25,480
Speaker 1: I bet them, you know, especially when they were against

372
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Speaker 1: the Bills and in Week two getting six, which they covered,

373
00:15:29,400 --> 00:15:31,840
Speaker 1: you know, Andy Dalton. In primetime, you never know, you know,

374
00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:33,960
Speaker 1: for that Monday night game that's a little scary. This

375
00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:35,880
Speaker 1: one is not in primetime. But I agree, this is

376
00:15:35,920 --> 00:15:37,920
Speaker 1: a game where look, if I if I had to,

377
00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:40,200
Speaker 1: you know, sort of lay a position, it would probably

378
00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:41,560
Speaker 1: be on the Ravens if it's going to stay at

379
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Speaker 1: eleven and a half. But it is not something where

380
00:15:43,680 --> 00:15:45,760
Speaker 1: I'm looking a bit. It's just something where you could

381
00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:48,160
Speaker 1: easily see, you know, sort of like the Cardinals, not

382
00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:49,520
Speaker 1: in the same way, but they were way ahead and

383
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Speaker 1: they just kind of eased up a little bit and

384
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Speaker 1: in the end almost wound up losing that game.

385
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Speaker 2: And Bengals have Bengals have been strong in the second

386
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Speaker 2: half of games. Yeah, so it could be a dirty

387
00:15:57,960 --> 00:16:02,320
Speaker 2: back door cover. Yeah, talk to me like Sunday at

388
00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:04,200
Speaker 2: like twelve fifty five.

389
00:16:04,320 --> 00:16:06,880
Speaker 1: All right, we'll do an emergency podcast that'll be like, yeah,

390
00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:10,440
Speaker 1: of course, no, absolutely, Yeah, it's a it's a little tough,

391
00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:13,080
Speaker 1: but I agree, it's just not one that I particularly

392
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Speaker 1: like before. Maybe yeah, I mean, yeah, if you get

393
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Speaker 1: if you get a few more numbers up there for

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Speaker 1: the Ravens, I may bite the bullet here and go

395
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Speaker 1: to the Bengals because you do. You're right, they are

396
00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:26,160
Speaker 1: very good against the spread when they're on the road.

397
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Speaker 1: So the game against the Steelers notwithstanding. But anyway, before

398
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Speaker 1: we move on, I want to tell everybody about the

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430
00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:54,520
Speaker 1: have to be in the state of New Jersey to

431
00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:56,919
Speaker 1: place a sports bet. Visit betmgm dot com for the

432
00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:59,159
Speaker 1: full list of terms and conditions. And if you've got

433
00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:02,800
Speaker 1: a gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. All right, Jason,

434
00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:04,919
Speaker 1: let's move on here to the Saints at the Jaguars.

435
00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:07,520
Speaker 1: Saints are laying one at this point. The over under

436
00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:10,439
Speaker 1: is forty four and a half. Pretty impressive showing by

437
00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:13,080
Speaker 1: the Saints against the Bucks, taking the reins off Teddy Bridgewater.

438
00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,680
Speaker 1: Jags is a tough game against the Panthers. Still looks

439
00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:17,280
Speaker 1: like Jalen Ramsey's gonna be out here. What do you

440
00:18:17,280 --> 00:18:20,080
Speaker 1: think Saints saying one over under at forty four and

441
00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:20,360
Speaker 1: a half.

442
00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:22,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's been there with the Gardner Minshew show the

443
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,000
Speaker 2: last couple of weeks, and he was great and then

444
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:28,359
Speaker 2: horrible at times during Carolina. He's got to and he

445
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,399
Speaker 2: really showed his kind of his rookie stripes in that game.

446
00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:31,960
Speaker 2: There were times in which he should have thrown away

447
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:33,639
Speaker 2: the ball, but he tried to make a little too

448
00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:36,600
Speaker 2: much out of whatever. Uh, and he had those three

449
00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:38,080
Speaker 2: fumbles and it killed me. I was on the Jags

450
00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:40,639
Speaker 2: this weekend, by the way. Yeah, yeah, but they a

451
00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:42,200
Speaker 2: tough spot for them too. They were playing back to

452
00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:45,119
Speaker 2: back road games. That was three and four weeks for

453
00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:47,080
Speaker 2: them as well too. But the Saints defense is really

454
00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:49,880
Speaker 2: starting to show up. Yeah, they had that. I thought

455
00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:51,640
Speaker 2: while they only had the one, they had one big

456
00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:54,800
Speaker 2: sack against Dallas. They got good pressure in Prescott that

457
00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:58,400
Speaker 2: six sacks against the Bucks. And if they can bring

458
00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:00,359
Speaker 2: the heat here, I think they're gonna be okay. And

459
00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:02,960
Speaker 2: the rushing defense stepping up as well too. They only

460
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:04,919
Speaker 2: give up three point six yards per carry over their

461
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:09,400
Speaker 2: last three games, and that includes Seahawks and Cowboys as

462
00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:12,160
Speaker 2: well to two games two teams that really hit the ground,

463
00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:14,800
Speaker 2: run and Fournette. You know, they might be able to

464
00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:16,200
Speaker 2: take away Fournette and kind of put it on the

465
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:18,600
Speaker 2: shoulders of this of this team. It's it seems crazy,

466
00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:21,520
Speaker 2: but you know, Teddy Bridgewater is doing just enough to

467
00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:24,600
Speaker 2: keep them safe. He's not hurting them, and the defense,

468
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:27,119
Speaker 2: just after a terrible start of the season, seems to

469
00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:27,760
Speaker 2: be picking it up.

470
00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:29,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this line's gonna move a little bit

471
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:31,760
Speaker 1: towards the Saints. I mean, it was a pick them

472
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:33,760
Speaker 1: when I first looked at it, and now it's minus one.

473
00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 1: I think you're I don't think you're gonna get close

474
00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:36,959
Speaker 1: to the you know three or anything. I don't think

475
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:38,600
Speaker 1: you're gonna hit the key number. But I think it's

476
00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:40,159
Speaker 1: gonna go towards the Saints, and I kind of like

477
00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:41,760
Speaker 1: it there, you know, if you if you can get

478
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:43,399
Speaker 1: it at minus one, I kind of like it. I

479
00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:44,959
Speaker 1: think the Jags are just kind of the wheels are

480
00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:47,439
Speaker 1: falling off a little bit here, especially with Jayalen Ramsey

481
00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:49,760
Speaker 1: gonna be out and again, yeah, the Saints can stop

482
00:19:49,800 --> 00:19:51,760
Speaker 1: the run, so I think they'll stop Fournette. And as

483
00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:54,680
Speaker 1: good as Minshew has been generally speaking, you know, I

484
00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:57,200
Speaker 1: think asking him to win a game, especially when you

485
00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:59,359
Speaker 1: can have Lattimore maybe take out Chark or something like that,

486
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:01,840
Speaker 1: a little tough. So I like the Saints here, and

487
00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:03,760
Speaker 1: I probably get in on it early because I think

488
00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:07,240
Speaker 1: i'd expect the line to continue to move towards the Saints.

489
00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:09,680
Speaker 1: Let's move on here at the Eagles. At the Vikings.

490
00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:12,320
Speaker 1: Vikings are laying two and a half. It was three, actually,

491
00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:14,160
Speaker 1: and the over under is at forty four. I don't

492
00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:16,080
Speaker 1: know about you, man, I still kind of feel like

493
00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:19,000
Speaker 1: the Vikings are a little undervalued here. I thought they

494
00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:21,600
Speaker 1: were against the Giants. I like them with that spread

495
00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:24,960
Speaker 1: below three, I really like it. I expected it to

496
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:26,920
Speaker 1: climb because the Eagles they beat the Jets easily, but

497
00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:30,119
Speaker 1: their offense didn't look particularly great. It was mostly their defense.

498
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:32,480
Speaker 1: So Vikings two and a half over under forty four,

499
00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:32,919
Speaker 1: what do you think?

500
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:36,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right. They haven't looked good and the slow starts.

501
00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:39,000
Speaker 2: You still kind of haunt this Eagles team here too,

502
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 2: But I mean you look at what they had against

503
00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:42,959
Speaker 2: the Jets had two defensive scores because so I kind

504
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:45,360
Speaker 2: of puffs up that stat line. They didn't pass well,

505
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:49,880
Speaker 2: they didn't run well, and they've found themselves in routinely

506
00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,160
Speaker 2: tight games here. It was a five point game against Washington,

507
00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:54,720
Speaker 2: four point game against Atlanta, three points against Detroit, and

508
00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:56,600
Speaker 2: it was seven points with a win over Green Bay,

509
00:20:56,600 --> 00:21:00,440
Speaker 2: which was a big character win for them, right, But

510
00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:02,680
Speaker 2: still that was that was a tight game. There was

511
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,760
Speaker 2: a seven point game for just about the entire fourth quarter.

512
00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:09,080
Speaker 2: Nothing's really come easy for them. I look at them.

513
00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:10,760
Speaker 2: I agree with you on this one. I think the

514
00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:12,639
Speaker 2: Vikings do have the better offense, or at least the

515
00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 2: more consistent offense. The way they've been able to run

516
00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:17,720
Speaker 2: the football. They kind of they the squeak a wheel,

517
00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:18,720
Speaker 2: got a little bit of the grease.

518
00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:22,239
Speaker 1: They knew it was coming, but they did.

519
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:24,040
Speaker 2: They did it early on and then they got right

520
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:25,639
Speaker 2: back to the running game and pounded out. I think

521
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,159
Speaker 2: they I think they do have the better defense at

522
00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:31,680
Speaker 2: only three at home, like you said, And if you

523
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:33,600
Speaker 2: look at the vig around this game too, like this

524
00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 2: afternoon it was minus it was Vikings minus three flat. Yeah, right,

525
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:40,440
Speaker 2: So that that tells me that, you know, should this

526
00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:41,880
Speaker 2: one go to minus two and a half, I'm gonna

527
00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:42,800
Speaker 2: take the Vikes right away.

528
00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:44,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, right now. The consensus at two and a half.

529
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:47,359
Speaker 1: So you know, you obviously could get it at some

530
00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 1: sports books at this point if you can. I agree,

531
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:51,159
Speaker 1: I jump all over that. The one thing is that

532
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,159
Speaker 1: Eagles are pretty good against the run, but you know,

533
00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:56,360
Speaker 1: the the Vikings show that they can pass in this game.

534
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:58,280
Speaker 1: They finally opened it up a little bit, so I

535
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:00,399
Speaker 1: really like them at home. I don't see much of

536
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:01,920
Speaker 1: a letdown coming in here. I think they know they're

537
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:04,080
Speaker 1: going to keep moving it, so I like them. If

538
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:05,480
Speaker 1: you can get a below three, even APT three, I

539
00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:08,239
Speaker 1: think I like them. But I'm surprised that it, at

540
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:10,960
Speaker 1: least the consensus odds appear to have dropped from three

541
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:11,960
Speaker 1: to two and a half.

542
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:16,280
Speaker 2: I'll admit i'm actually checking accounts.

543
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:18,399
Speaker 1: You've got to have an alert set up.

544
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:21,360
Speaker 2: Well, actually, well I'm not gonna i'll plug a new app,

545
00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:25,440
Speaker 2: but we do have an app that can alert to

546
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:26,440
Speaker 2: those sort of things.

547
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:28,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, see if you could find it at two

548
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 1: and a half, I don't let me see it. Hold

549
00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:31,040
Speaker 1: on very quickly, let.

550
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:34,040
Speaker 2: Me see it. I'm shopping it as we speak. Isn't that.

551
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:39,840
Speaker 1: That's It looks like it's two and a half based

552
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,639
Speaker 1: on architects at DraftKings, So if you can get in

553
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:44,600
Speaker 1: on there, it's apparently two and a half there, it's

554
00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:48,400
Speaker 1: two and a half at Sugarhouse. This is just fun.

555
00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:50,360
Speaker 1: This is just two degenerates by the way, sitting here

556
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:51,800
Speaker 1: thinking where we can get the best odds.

557
00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:54,000
Speaker 2: So no, you need to Now I I am. I

558
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,400
Speaker 2: am located in the Great White North of Canada. Ah,

559
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:59,280
Speaker 2: so we do not have all those Pennsylvania and New

560
00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:02,119
Speaker 2: Jersey sports books. However, I do have all the filthy

561
00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:03,159
Speaker 2: online books.

562
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:06,880
Speaker 1: Okay, fantastic, We'll keep looking at GET two and a half.

563
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:08,080
Speaker 1: We'll be all over that.

564
00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:10,080
Speaker 2: I'm just seeing threes. I'm seeing threes again.

565
00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:12,400
Speaker 1: All right, all right, well, I gotta go to New Jersey,

566
00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:13,359
Speaker 1: come to the States.

567
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,440
Speaker 2: I gotta I gotta gas up the Honda Odyssey and

568
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:18,399
Speaker 2: get my butt over the border.

569
00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 1: Perfect. All right, you look real cool moving in there

570
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:22,919
Speaker 1: to the sports we like. Give me everything on two

571
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:24,440
Speaker 1: and a half. Al right, let's move on to another

572
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:26,640
Speaker 1: game that's going to show us essentially how many gamblers

573
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:29,800
Speaker 1: there are in the country or in Canada. Of course,

574
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:33,120
Speaker 1: with the Redskins at the Dolphins. Redskins here are laying

575
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 1: three and a half the over unders of forty one.

576
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:38,520
Speaker 1: I don't know. To me, this line's crazy. I mean,

577
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:41,600
Speaker 1: I get that the Dolphins are terrible and that they

578
00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:44,960
Speaker 1: kind of you know, but the Redskins are in complete

579
00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:46,960
Speaker 1: disarray at this point. I'm not even sure the Redskins

580
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:47,639
Speaker 1: should be favored.

581
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:50,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I totally agree with you. Patrick and I

582
00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 2: discussed this one today and I said, I think the

583
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,200
Speaker 2: wrong team is favored here. I think it really comes

584
00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 2: down to is do you trust the tank or not?

585
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:02,959
Speaker 2: He is Miami active tanking And if you think they are,

586
00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 2: then by all means bet the Redskins. But I made

587
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:07,640
Speaker 2: that mistake a couple of weeks ago and it's still

588
00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:10,399
Speaker 2: still a sour taste. But if you look at if

589
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:11,920
Speaker 2: you look at these teams right now, like you said,

590
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:15,320
Speaker 2: like the QB situation is a mess, Gruden's gone, it's

591
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:19,119
Speaker 2: a mess. And then you've got Miami coming off of

592
00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 2: bye week and they actually have the better QB situation.

593
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:26,760
Speaker 2: Josh Rosen has looked okay over the last few weeks,

594
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:29,080
Speaker 2: like he's he had a good day against the Charger

595
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:32,440
Speaker 2: seventeen to twenty four, and he's playing with like zero

596
00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:35,359
Speaker 2: offensive line defenses know that he's passing it because the

597
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,280
Speaker 2: Dolphins are trailing by twenty one. And then he has

598
00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:40,200
Speaker 2: wide receiver corps that has the worst butter fingers in

599
00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:42,320
Speaker 2: the league. I've never seen so many just spot on

600
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 2: passes get dropped.

601
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,600
Speaker 1: Right, No, I completely agree I mean, I guess the

602
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:50,119
Speaker 1: one thing is it's a variable with you know, Gruden,

603
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,040
Speaker 1: Gon and it's something where we don't know how the

604
00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:55,000
Speaker 1: team's going to react. Maybe somehow they rally around. But

605
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:57,440
Speaker 1: I agree. When I saw that this was especially over three,

606
00:24:57,560 --> 00:24:59,920
Speaker 1: I was shocked. I expected this to be maybe a pick.

607
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:02,760
Speaker 2: Maybe this was the first bet I made of the week. Yeah,

608
00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:06,320
Speaker 2: Dolphins was Dolphins plus three. And then you know what

609
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:08,359
Speaker 2: I did, I went, I'm waiting for it because I

610
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:09,800
Speaker 2: don't think it was out at the time. I'll have

611
00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:11,760
Speaker 2: to go back and check it was the first half spread.

612
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:13,800
Speaker 1: Oh that's a good idea.

613
00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:16,200
Speaker 2: Because you protect against the tanks and they may actually

614
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 2: And the Dolphins have played okay in the early works

615
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 2: the game. They were down ten to seven the first

616
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:24,040
Speaker 2: quarter against the Chargers, they were losing seventeen ten at

617
00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:27,320
Speaker 2: the half. They were down ten three to the Cowboys.

618
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 2: In the first quarter. They were down ten six and

619
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:31,159
Speaker 2: a half. So they haven't been terrible. Yeah, what an

620
00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:32,960
Speaker 2: he means in the first thirty minutes, And if you

621
00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:35,080
Speaker 2: do actively think that they're tanking, then go ahead and

622
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:37,639
Speaker 2: you know, grab them plus two or plus one and

623
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,040
Speaker 2: a half or whatever. They kind of put that first

624
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:42,320
Speaker 2: half line at and then the great thing is that

625
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:43,840
Speaker 2: you don't have to watch the rest of this terrible

626
00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:44,440
Speaker 2: football game.

627
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:45,680
Speaker 1: That it's brilliant.

628
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:47,320
Speaker 2: Frank, you can just get on. You can get on

629
00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:50,560
Speaker 2: at your day and you know it's a brilliant strategy.

630
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:52,200
Speaker 1: But I think for right now, if we're forced to

631
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:54,760
Speaker 1: bet at you and I both like the Dolphins getting

632
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 1: three and a half, which makes me feel disgusting, but

633
00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 1: I'm willing to go with it for now. Nice forty

634
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:02,600
Speaker 1: nine ers at the Rams Rams here are laying four.

635
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:04,720
Speaker 1: Originally I think I saw might have been at five,

636
00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:08,399
Speaker 1: but it's come down over under at forty nine. I mean,

637
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:10,239
Speaker 1: I guess you know, we'll see how the forty nine

638
00:26:10,320 --> 00:26:12,480
Speaker 1: ers look tonight. As it's going on. They've looked pretty

639
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 1: impressive early on.

640
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:16,960
Speaker 2: I think they're killing me. They're killing the Rams.

641
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:18,960
Speaker 1: Have not looked great in recent weeks. They've lost to

642
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:21,680
Speaker 1: the Bucks and the Seahawks. The offensive line is struggling,

643
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,480
Speaker 1: and in turn, so is Jared Goff Brandon Cooks dealing

644
00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 1: with the concussions. So what do you think here, Rams mind?

645
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:28,000
Speaker 1: As far you think, given how the forty nine ers

646
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:29,200
Speaker 1: look tonight, we haven't seen the end of the game.

647
00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:31,840
Speaker 1: Is this gonna move further towards the forty nine.

648
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:35,119
Speaker 2: Ers they if they do win, Yeah, honestly, yeah, I

649
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:38,879
Speaker 2: mean they're undefeated. They and they go in and come

650
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 2: off the by with a strong performance. The Rams A

651
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:45,359
Speaker 2: crazy statu with the Rams. You know, the Rams are

652
00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:49,680
Speaker 2: the only NFL team without a first quarter touchdown this season. Really,

653
00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 2: the only team without a first quarter touchdown are the.

654
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:57,040
Speaker 1: Yes That Actually, now that I'm thinking back at all

655
00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:59,119
Speaker 1: their games, Yeah, wow.

656
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 2: Golf has been incredibly slow. Fifty seven percent completion rate

657
00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:04,840
Speaker 2: in the first quarter, two hundred and fifty seven total

658
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 2: yards just in the first quarter. Teams kind of doing

659
00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:10,480
Speaker 2: the same thing that they're doing to the Chiefs doing

660
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:12,120
Speaker 2: it to the Rams here. In the last few weeks,

661
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:16,720
Speaker 2: they've they've dominated time of possession and then the Rams

662
00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:18,600
Speaker 2: have also been terrible trying to get them off the

663
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:20,280
Speaker 2: field on third downs, which is something that was the

664
00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:23,480
Speaker 2: strength of this team last year. Like I said, I'm

665
00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:25,680
Speaker 2: still waiting to see the final of the San Francisco

666
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:29,480
Speaker 2: game before I kind of go all in here, but yeah,

667
00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 2: the Rams have at least not look good in the

668
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:34,120
Speaker 2: early workings of the games, and if San Francisco gets

669
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:35,680
Speaker 2: off to a quick start like they are here against

670
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:39,680
Speaker 2: the Browns tonight, then you know the Rams are forced

671
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:43,840
Speaker 2: to throw that football. Todd Gurley showed flashes of goodness

672
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 2: there in his last game. He had a couple a

673
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:47,919
Speaker 2: couple of mistakes here and there.

674
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,360
Speaker 1: But yeah, he did fumble, but he had the two touchdowns,

675
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:52,440
Speaker 1: and he had a couple of good runs. But his overall,

676
00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:54,440
Speaker 1: I mean not that yards per carry is really the measure,

677
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:57,159
Speaker 1: but it wasn't great overall. Of still waiting kind of

678
00:27:57,240 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 1: to see him. The big thing was he dominated the snap,

679
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:03,040
Speaker 1: so he's to play more. The Malcolm Brown experiment is silly,

680
00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:04,800
Speaker 1: but I agree. If the forty nine ers, you know,

681
00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 1: finish this game, you don't know how it's gonna look.

682
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 1: But if they do, I mean, I'm gonna expect this

683
00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:11,320
Speaker 1: to move closer to three as we get there, because

684
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,399
Speaker 1: the Rams really have not looked great. Let's move on

685
00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:16,000
Speaker 1: here to the Falcons. At the Cardinals. Falcons currently at

686
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:18,640
Speaker 1: minus two. They were minus one when I looked early

687
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:21,000
Speaker 1: on the over under has jumped to fifty two. It

688
00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:25,480
Speaker 1: was at forty nine. Uh, it's a little surprising to me.

689
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 1: I mean, well, I guess not now that it's now

690
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:29,760
Speaker 1: that it's minus two, that that's really what I thought

691
00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:32,119
Speaker 1: when I first looked at minus one. As it's trending

692
00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:33,840
Speaker 1: towards the Falcons, that's kind of what I thought. I mean,

693
00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:36,480
Speaker 1: I get that, you know, the Cardinals had their first

694
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:39,200
Speaker 1: win over the Bengals and the Falcons defense is terrible.

695
00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:42,400
Speaker 1: But you know, I guess I'm a little surprised. I

696
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 1: kind of expected it to be a little more towards

697
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,360
Speaker 1: the Falcons, But now that it's trending that way, that

698
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:47,960
Speaker 1: that makes a little more sense to me. I don't

699
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:48,320
Speaker 1: know about you.

700
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:50,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's the hot seat game for Dan Quinn, right

701
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 2: if he doesn't win this game, I think I think

702
00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:54,040
Speaker 2: the axe has to fall.

703
00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:57,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean there, I mean I feel, you know, again,

704
00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:00,440
Speaker 1: they've had tons of injuries on the defense can O'Neil

705
00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:02,880
Speaker 1: being out, but I kind of expect them to rout.

706
00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:04,480
Speaker 1: I just I don't trust the Cardinals, man. I mean,

707
00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:06,280
Speaker 1: as much as you know to to win the game,

708
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 1: I think the Falcons win it. And if you you know,

709
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:10,120
Speaker 1: if you think the Falcons are going to win it,

710
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 1: then you probably think the Falcons are going to win it.

711
00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:14,680
Speaker 2: Possible, let down for Kingsbury and these guys after their

712
00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:18,000
Speaker 2: first win. Yeah, no, absolutely that there. And then David

713
00:29:18,080 --> 00:29:21,480
Speaker 2: Johnson has back issues, correct, that's right, said he couldn't

714
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 2: sit down. And I've had back issues, and as someone

715
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:27,320
Speaker 2: that just purchased a brand new office chair, it's this

716
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,200
Speaker 2: is nice, this is nice right now. But I've had

717
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 2: I've had those back issues where you can't sit down

718
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:33,959
Speaker 2: because it's sciatic pain and stuff like that. And if

719
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,280
Speaker 2: that's what it is, then that's deep rooted. That's like

720
00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:38,160
Speaker 2: bulging disc type stuff.

721
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:40,560
Speaker 1: Yes, And I am a giant human, so I also

722
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:42,640
Speaker 1: have back problems. And I agree it's hard when you

723
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 1: really when you win. And again Chase Edmonds is not

724
00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:46,560
Speaker 1: going to get it done. It's unclear if Christian Kirk

725
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:47,960
Speaker 1: is going to play. So this strikes me as a

726
00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:49,920
Speaker 1: game where the Falcons are absolutely desperate if they have

727
00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:52,160
Speaker 1: any you know, belief at all, and Dan Quinn and

728
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:53,640
Speaker 1: I think they're going to come out firing. So I

729
00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 1: think more money is going to come in on the Falcons.

730
00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:57,400
Speaker 1: I think the line will probably move, not get up

731
00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:57,720
Speaker 1: to three.

732
00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:00,280
Speaker 2: But can they scored a ton of points yeah, yeah,

733
00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:02,680
Speaker 2: thank Houston. They just allowed a lot more.

734
00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 1: Right, and they'll put up a ton of point That's

735
00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:06,000
Speaker 1: why the over unders are fifty two. They'll put up

736
00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:07,320
Speaker 1: a ton of points. I don't think they'll give up

737
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 1: quite the offensive explosion to the Cardinals that they did

738
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:12,840
Speaker 1: against Texans. Before we finish up with our last couple

739
00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 1: of games, I do want tomind everyone about our September

740
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 1: contest where we were giving away assigned Alvin Kamara helmet.

741
00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 1: We have extended it until October thirteenth, so you've got

742
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:22,920
Speaker 1: a few more days to get in there now. To

743
00:30:23,080 --> 00:30:24,920
Speaker 1: be entered into the contest, all you have to do

744
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:27,080
Speaker 1: is leave a review for the show on iTunes or

745
00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:30,080
Speaker 1: Stitcher and send a screenshot of that review to contest

746
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,440
Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com. Takes two seconds to do it,

747
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:35,719
Speaker 1: and you're automatically entered into this and all future contests.

748
00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 1: So go ahead and do it, all right, your Cowboys,

749
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 1: If I remember correctly, right at my Jets, Cowboys right

750
00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 1: now are laying eight and a half. It was at

751
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:47,440
Speaker 1: seven the over unders of forty three and a half.

752
00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:49,400
Speaker 1: Here's my take on it. You go ahead with it.

753
00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:52,640
Speaker 1: If Sam Darnold plays, I'm going to feel disgusting, but

754
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:54,840
Speaker 1: I think I kind of like the Jets if the

755
00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 1: number is going to stay it eight and a half. Now,

756
00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:58,120
Speaker 1: I don't know if this is going to move dramatically

757
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:00,479
Speaker 1: once we find out about Darnald sentence. If it's I'm

758
00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 1: all over the Cowboys, it doesn't matter because the defense

759
00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:04,600
Speaker 1: is going to do it, and I assume that the

760
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 1: number will move substantially. But if it's at eight and

761
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:09,440
Speaker 1: a half with Darnold, I kind of like the Jets.

762
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 2: Is that crazy? No, it's not crazy. I absolutely agree

763
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 2: with you. You know, they they've and the defense has

764
00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 2: played very very well for the Jets. Yeah, very very well.

765
00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 2: Now they're physical, they get after eight takeaways on the season.

766
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:23,160
Speaker 2: The problem is is that when they're playing offense, they're

767
00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:26,040
Speaker 2: still playing defense, correct, you know what I mean. It's

768
00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 2: just don't just don't do it, don't screw anything up, right, Yeah,

769
00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:32,320
Speaker 2: they still do. They still screw it up. Yeah. And

770
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:34,560
Speaker 2: then the Cowboys play Philly next week as well too,

771
00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:38,160
Speaker 2: so that's a big, big look ahead spot for them there.

772
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,120
Speaker 2: Turnovers have just killed the Cowboys here. They had two

773
00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:43,000
Speaker 2: crucial fumbles in that game against the Saints. It was

774
00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:45,280
Speaker 2: a tight game and that made the difference. Went and fumbled,

775
00:31:45,800 --> 00:31:49,040
Speaker 2: and then Zeke fumbled, and then Dak was all over

776
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 2: the place there yesterday with those turnovers, and they still,

777
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:53,120
Speaker 2: you know, they still had a chance at the end

778
00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:55,800
Speaker 2: of the game. Had they not had those turnovers, had

779
00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 2: they had taken care of the football, probably a different result.

780
00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 2: But you've got a very dangerous Jets team here, and

781
00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:03,600
Speaker 2: if they do get Donald back, it actually gives them

782
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 2: a little teeth on offense.

783
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:06,959
Speaker 1: Wow, that's the first time I've ever heard anybody call

784
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:09,480
Speaker 1: the Jets dangerous, so I really appreciate it. But yeah,

785
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 1: I mean, look, they their cornerback situation is not good,

786
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 1: so you know, I'm sure that Dak's gonna be able,

787
00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:16,280
Speaker 1: but they stop the run fairly well. They can get

788
00:32:16,280 --> 00:32:19,640
Speaker 1: pressure on the quarterback, especially if CJ. Moseley does come

789
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 1: back for this, so I'm inclined to agree. I think,

790
00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:23,440
Speaker 1: you know, all this talk about the Jets, they've been terrible,

791
00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:26,480
Speaker 1: but anybody would be terrible with Luke Falk at quarterback.

792
00:32:26,520 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 1: So if Donald comes back, I'm kind of lean towards

793
00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:31,080
Speaker 1: the Jets. Sounds like you do too, so, but again,

794
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:33,240
Speaker 1: we're going to see where this line goes once we

795
00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:36,920
Speaker 1: learn the health of Darnald Titans at the Broncos. Broncos

796
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 1: here laying two and a half. The over under is

797
00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:40,760
Speaker 1: at thirty eight and a half. It wasn't forty. It's

798
00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 1: come down a bit. I want you to know that

799
00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:45,000
Speaker 1: there is no team I hate more than the Titans,

800
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,760
Speaker 1: just because thank you for do you agree?

801
00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:49,720
Speaker 2: Oh my god, I was just what to say. There's

802
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 2: no way in hell a bet in this game because

803
00:32:51,200 --> 00:32:53,520
Speaker 2: the goddamn Tennessee Titans. I said to a guy the

804
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:56,240
Speaker 2: other day that I work with, I said, the Tennessee.

805
00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:58,960
Speaker 2: Betting on the Tennessee Titans is like watching my fourteen

806
00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 2: year old load the dish. It's the most frustrating, frustrating,

807
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:06,480
Speaker 2: goddamn thing to sit through because he means well and

808
00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:09,720
Speaker 2: they're trying really hard. But yeah, man, at the end,

809
00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:10,880
Speaker 2: at the end of it, I've got to do the

810
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 2: whole dish. One.

811
00:33:12,280 --> 00:33:14,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I took him laying three to the Bills. I

812
00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:16,760
Speaker 1: thought that they were gonna and you know, really they

813
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:18,360
Speaker 1: should have won that game. They had four miss field

814
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:20,800
Speaker 1: goes and the fact that they released Caro Sandoz is

815
00:33:20,840 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 1: of just no consolation. So I agree for me, you know,

816
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:26,280
Speaker 1: in in in Denver, it's never an easy place to

817
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 1: play no matter what, and they're coming off that big win.

818
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,040
Speaker 1: It's just not I'm just not gonna bet this at all.

819
00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 1: I don't have any faith, you know, in them whatsoever.

820
00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:36,720
Speaker 1: Sounds like you don't either, so let's just move That's.

821
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:38,840
Speaker 2: The one advantage we have over the bookmakers is that

822
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,320
Speaker 2: they have to set odds for every single game, but

823
00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:43,160
Speaker 2: we can choose which once in one a bit.

824
00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:45,400
Speaker 1: We're gonna choose to avoid this one. Let's move on

825
00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:48,720
Speaker 1: to the Steelers. At the Chargers, this was five and

826
00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:50,800
Speaker 1: a half, it's now six and a half. The over

827
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:52,960
Speaker 1: under was forty three and a half, it's now forty

828
00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:55,680
Speaker 1: one and a half. I assume that you know, bookmakers

829
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,959
Speaker 1: are basically reacting to the Mason Rudolph injury and preparing

830
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,760
Speaker 1: for Devlin Hodges. Doesn't. I mean, I'm not a doctor,

831
00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:03,920
Speaker 1: but given how hard it was, it it's going to

832
00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:06,360
Speaker 1: shock me if Rudolf is able to recover in time

833
00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:08,440
Speaker 1: to play for this. So I think you're probably looking

834
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:11,680
Speaker 1: at Devlin Hodges right, that Chargers predictably lay this egg

835
00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:14,239
Speaker 1: against Denver when they come in when it was all

836
00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:15,840
Speaker 1: set up for them to sort of go. So how

837
00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:18,120
Speaker 1: do you feel out of curiosity assuming that Hodges starts

838
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:20,319
Speaker 1: Chargers laying six and a half over under forty one

839
00:34:20,360 --> 00:34:20,680
Speaker 1: and a half.

840
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:22,800
Speaker 2: I mean, it's under the key number right now, so

841
00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:24,239
Speaker 2: that might be the best it's going to get once

842
00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:26,239
Speaker 2: the once the injury reports finally roll out, you're going

843
00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:29,800
Speaker 2: to see reaction to it. Chargers seven to three ats

844
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:32,480
Speaker 2: in their last ten awful loss, which is just classic

845
00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:34,360
Speaker 2: Chargers for you, Yes, just up and down and up

846
00:34:34,360 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 2: and down. So I would say, if you if you

847
00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:38,000
Speaker 2: are leaning towards the favorite in this one, I don't

848
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:41,160
Speaker 2: think it's going to get any better than this one hundred. Yeah,

849
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:42,239
Speaker 2: that's exactly right.

850
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:44,600
Speaker 1: That's exactly right, because I mean, right now it's possible

851
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:46,560
Speaker 1: you don't know about my summer off. He was released

852
00:34:46,680 --> 00:34:49,200
Speaker 1: from the hospital, so maybe they're thinking, but I'm going

853
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:50,840
Speaker 1: to be shocked. If he's gonna play, it's gonna be

854
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:53,080
Speaker 1: Devlin Hodges, and I think they're gonna come out angry,

855
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:56,040
Speaker 1: and right now below the key number of seven, I

856
00:34:56,080 --> 00:34:57,759
Speaker 1: think is if you like the Chargers like I do,

857
00:34:58,040 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 1: you gotta hop all over it if you're if you're

858
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:01,920
Speaker 1: in life at them. So let's move on to our

859
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:05,360
Speaker 1: final game Lions at Packers. Really interesting one here. The

860
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:09,040
Speaker 1: Packers were originally favored by six. They're now favored by

861
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:11,680
Speaker 1: four and a half. The over under was forty six

862
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:14,320
Speaker 1: and a half now it's forty seven. Some injuries to

863
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:16,800
Speaker 1: the Packers secondary here, it sounds like Darnold Savage is

864
00:35:17,160 --> 00:35:19,400
Speaker 1: going to be okay. I think Kevin King probably is

865
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:21,480
Speaker 1: going to be okay. It's unclear if DeVante Adams is

866
00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:22,920
Speaker 1: going to play in this one. But you know, the

867
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:24,400
Speaker 1: Lions off of bye, what do you think They've been

868
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:26,440
Speaker 1: impressive so far? Packers laying four and a half over

869
00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:27,319
Speaker 1: under forty seven.

870
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:29,520
Speaker 2: Yeah. I like the Lions coming into the season. I

871
00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:31,200
Speaker 2: thought they were going to be much more improved on

872
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:34,680
Speaker 2: defense under Matt Patricia in year two, and they lost

873
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:36,600
Speaker 2: so many key pieces of this offense at the end

874
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:39,560
Speaker 2: of last year that you really didn't get a fair

875
00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:42,360
Speaker 2: shake and see what they could do. And this is

876
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:44,239
Speaker 2: a team that can hit the home run, which is great.

877
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:46,400
Speaker 2: And it's funny to come into a matchup where Detroit

878
00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:48,920
Speaker 2: and Green Bay plays and you're like, you know what

879
00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:51,360
Speaker 2: this is the home run team is the Detroit Lions.

880
00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:54,600
Speaker 2: Because what we saw from what we've seen from Green Bay.

881
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:58,120
Speaker 2: Is you know this? They dominated Dallas on the ground,

882
00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 2: a little shorter, shorter, quicker passes. You want to know

883
00:36:02,080 --> 00:36:04,400
Speaker 2: another crazy stat here, Aaron Rodgers does not have a

884
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:05,920
Speaker 2: fourth quarter touchdown pass?

885
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was thinking, is he not the king of

886
00:36:08,520 --> 00:36:12,200
Speaker 1: fourth quarter touchdown They they have completely taken just through

887
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:13,799
Speaker 1: if you took at the season as a whole, they

888
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:16,359
Speaker 1: basically stopped playing in the second half. They barely had

889
00:36:16,400 --> 00:36:18,759
Speaker 1: scored points right coming in. I don't really get it.

890
00:36:19,160 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, it has to make you worry if you are

891
00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:25,879
Speaker 2: laying with the chief heads right near one point eight

892
00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:28,480
Speaker 2: points in the final fifteen minutes of action so far

893
00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:30,759
Speaker 2: on the season they did. I think they put up

894
00:36:30,840 --> 00:36:32,399
Speaker 2: I think they put up fourteen to the fourth court

895
00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:34,439
Speaker 2: sort in the third quarter versus the Cowboys. But they're

896
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:37,799
Speaker 2: still only averaging five point six points in the third quarter. Yeah,

897
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:40,440
Speaker 2: so definitely definitely one of those. You know, check out

898
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 2: the derivative odds for that one. Yeah.

899
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:43,960
Speaker 1: I mean, for me right now, I kind of lean

900
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:45,840
Speaker 1: towards the Lions coming off the by I was a

901
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:49,160
Speaker 1: little surprised the Cowboys didn't just run NonStop. It's almost

902
00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:51,520
Speaker 1: felt like they outthoughted themselves a little bit at the

903
00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:53,440
Speaker 1: beginning where they went to the pass a little too much.

904
00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:55,920
Speaker 1: I thought they could have just ran Zeke exactly exactly.

905
00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 2: And they still they had with they ran the ball

906
00:36:57,560 --> 00:36:59,640
Speaker 2: twenty one times, they had honored twenty one yards rushing

907
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:02,200
Speaker 2: almost that's what five point eight yards per carry.

908
00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, right, And you know, Matt Patricia really deep down

909
00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:07,480
Speaker 1: wants to just kind of control the ball and run

910
00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:09,080
Speaker 1: it and sort of have that even though they are

911
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:11,640
Speaker 1: explosive because Matt Stafford is not playing with a broken

912
00:37:11,719 --> 00:37:14,200
Speaker 1: back anymore, so they do have the big playability. But

913
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 1: I think, you know, you're you're you're gonna see a

914
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:19,040
Speaker 1: lot of Kerry On Johnson. And I think, you know,

915
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:20,640
Speaker 1: with it being four and a half, I love I

916
00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:22,600
Speaker 1: loved it at six. I still like it at four

917
00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:24,200
Speaker 1: and a half. If if it keeps coming down, I'll

918
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:24,840
Speaker 1: be a little nervous.

919
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:27,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, that Packer's pass rush is nasty though.

920
00:37:27,120 --> 00:37:29,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, they are there. They're nasty, they are, but

921
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,400
Speaker 1: they really are vulnerable on the ground. So I do

922
00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:33,360
Speaker 1: think that, you know, with an extra week to prepare,

923
00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:35,560
Speaker 1: they'll probably go after him that one. Well, that is

924
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:37,600
Speaker 1: going to do it. We did it, buddy, We made

925
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 1: it through. Today's show was great having you on. Remind

926
00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:41,879
Speaker 1: everyone where they can find more of you and your work.

927
00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:44,560
Speaker 2: Sure, well, I'm on covers dot com. Obviously she can't

928
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:46,920
Speaker 2: come there and find tons of stats and data and information.

929
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:49,800
Speaker 2: I had a pre editorial team. We have great content,

930
00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:53,960
Speaker 2: video content, podcast content, great social content. You can find

931
00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:55,440
Speaker 2: it all there. You can follow me on Twitter at

932
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:58,160
Speaker 2: covers j Lo. I also do a podcast as well too,

933
00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:00,400
Speaker 2: which is the Cover's opening line, reports it down and

934
00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:02,319
Speaker 2: kind of break down the biggest games of the week.

935
00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:04,279
Speaker 1: That's awesome. Well, it was great talking to you. I

936
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:05,439
Speaker 1: hope we can do it again this season.

937
00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:07,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely awesome.

938
00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:09,280
Speaker 1: Back on awesome man. Well, thanks again to the sponsor

939
00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:12,160
Speaker 1: of today's show, bet MGM. Remember to download the bet

940
00:38:12,320 --> 00:38:14,800
Speaker 1: MGM Sports app and use the promo code Harris to

941
00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 1: get your risk free first wager of up to five

942
00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:19,120
Speaker 1: hundred dollars, and don't forget to rate and review the

943
00:38:19,160 --> 00:38:22,160
Speaker 1: podcast and send a screenshot of that review to contest

944
00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:24,480
Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com for your chance to an a

945
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:27,040
Speaker 1: signed Alvin Kamara helmet. We'll be back later this week

946
00:38:27,080 --> 00:38:29,359
Speaker 1: giving you some of our best bets for Week six.

947
00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:30,279
Speaker 1: I'll talk to you, that