WEBVTT - Do Jauan Best Ball Values? Yes! 0:00:02.600 --> 0:00:06.280 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. 0:00:08.440 --> 0:00:12.680 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly 0:00:12.760 --> 0:00:16.720 source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and 0:00:16.760 --> 0:00:19.480 whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. 0:00:19.920 --> 0:00:21.920 Now here's your host, Paul Charchian. 0:00:23.480 --> 0:00:27.840 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul Charchian. Very 0:00:27.840 --> 0:00:31.320 happy to have you here this week and not making 0:00:31.360 --> 0:00:35.680 his debut second time ever. We've got co host kent 0:00:36.120 --> 0:00:36.560 Y Rock. 0:00:36.760 --> 0:00:40.200 Hi. Kent, Hey, Paul, how's it going. Thanks for bringing 0:00:40.200 --> 0:00:42.199 me back. I know it's been a while, but I 0:00:42.240 --> 0:00:43.480 appreciate the reinvitation. 0:00:43.800 --> 0:00:47.040 We felt like the last time was good enough to 0:00:47.080 --> 0:00:48.440 bring you back, but not for a year. 0:00:49.600 --> 0:00:50.319 Yeah that makes sense. 0:00:50.440 --> 0:00:50.960 Yeah, we need it. 0:00:50.960 --> 0:00:51.120 Well. 0:00:51.159 --> 0:00:53.440 Cooling off period, I think to let you know, let 0:00:53.520 --> 0:00:58.400 you really reflect on the Fantasy Football Weekly culture, values, listenership, 0:00:58.480 --> 0:01:00.440 and you know, just maybe give you some time to 0:01:00.800 --> 0:01:03.360 really get yourself set up correctly with the right frame 0:01:03.400 --> 0:01:05.039 of mind. It was, you know, the last time was good. 0:01:05.800 --> 0:01:08.200 It's good, you know, but you know, not so good 0:01:08.240 --> 0:01:09.640 that we felt like we needed to have you back 0:01:09.680 --> 0:01:10.920 in eleven months. 0:01:11.319 --> 0:01:12.800 That's fine. I had a whole year. I could watch 0:01:12.800 --> 0:01:15.600 football and kind of enjoy my fantasy leagues and go 0:01:15.680 --> 0:01:18.160 through the whole draft process. So I've been busy. 0:01:18.200 --> 0:01:22.000 It's all right, good. I am coming to you listeners 0:01:22.120 --> 0:01:25.240 once again, like last week, from my closet. And I 0:01:25.280 --> 0:01:27.680 explained this last week. And we don't spend a lot 0:01:27.720 --> 0:01:29.440 of time on our on our personal lives in the show, 0:01:29.440 --> 0:01:31.160 and maybe we should do more in the off season especially, 0:01:31.200 --> 0:01:35.839 I don't know. But as I said last week, I've 0:01:35.880 --> 0:01:37.560 moved into this new house in Utah, but I don't 0:01:37.600 --> 0:01:40.000 have furniture yet, and so all the rooms are empty 0:01:40.000 --> 0:01:44.360 and echoey, with the one exception of my closet, because 0:01:44.400 --> 0:01:49.080 there are there's carpeting, there's clothing, and so I am 0:01:49.160 --> 0:01:51.360 sitting in my closet. Kent, you can see it because 0:01:51.400 --> 0:01:55.640 you can. You've got video right here. There's there's a 0:01:55.880 --> 0:01:59.880 non zero chance that my wife's under things are in 0:01:59.880 --> 0:02:03.440 the background somewhere. I don't know. Hopefully that's not the case. 0:02:03.560 --> 0:02:07.240 We'll find we'll find out, I guess. But yeah, So 0:02:07.280 --> 0:02:09.560 that's if it sounds a little bit different, that's why 0:02:09.880 --> 0:02:14.560 in the closet. But Kent, no such constraints for you. 0:02:14.600 --> 0:02:16.880 No, my office is just about as small as a closet, 0:02:16.919 --> 0:02:19.840 but it's a little bigger. So hopefully that goes not 0:02:19.919 --> 0:02:20.720 too bad in here either. 0:02:21.200 --> 0:02:22.840 I think it's gonna I think it's gonna go great, 0:02:22.919 --> 0:02:25.280 and we're excited to have you here at the your 0:02:25.320 --> 0:02:27.519 real life job as data scientist. And I think what 0:02:27.720 --> 0:02:30.240 I loved about having you on last time, as we 0:02:30.800 --> 0:02:34.600 in a serious vein, is you you love grinding up 0:02:34.639 --> 0:02:38.679 data and a lot of times, you know, our opinions 0:02:38.720 --> 0:02:41.360 mean something. I test means something. You and I are 0:02:41.360 --> 0:02:43.639 gonna have an eye test different difference of opinion later 0:02:43.680 --> 0:02:47.320 in the show. But I love when people can find 0:02:47.400 --> 0:02:52.320 ways to validate their arguments with statistics data. And you're 0:02:52.320 --> 0:02:54.080 probably gonna put me to shame, Kent. I am not 0:02:54.160 --> 0:02:56.200 a data scientist. I'm just I'm just Paul. 0:02:57.560 --> 0:02:59.040 Well, you know, at the end of the day, Fantasy 0:02:59.040 --> 0:03:03.760 Football is a case environments. So I think any predictions 0:03:03.760 --> 0:03:05.160 that are going to be made on the show come 0:03:05.240 --> 0:03:07.600 with a lot of variants, and you know, it's it's 0:03:07.600 --> 0:03:09.240 a lot of fun to kind of grind the data 0:03:09.280 --> 0:03:11.440 and pull in you know, trends and stuff like that. 0:03:11.480 --> 0:03:13.160 But at the end of the day, there's a lot 0:03:13.160 --> 0:03:16.919 of injuries trades, weird things that happen every year, so 0:03:17.440 --> 0:03:20.000 it can fall apart very quickly. I just like doing it. 0:03:20.000 --> 0:03:22.359 It's a lot of fun. But yeah, we'll go back 0:03:22.400 --> 0:03:23.320 and forth on it, for sure. 0:03:23.360 --> 0:03:27.160 That is a deal. What the they are are primary. 0:03:27.200 --> 0:03:33.120 Primarily today we're going to talk about best ball players 0:03:33.200 --> 0:03:35.400 you and I've You've done I know many best ball drafts. 0:03:35.440 --> 0:03:38.400 I've done several. Although now that I'm in Utah, this 0:03:38.520 --> 0:03:40.680 is something I really hadn't hadn't thought given a lot 0:03:40.720 --> 0:03:44.760 of thought about I can't play basketball in Utah. I 0:03:44.760 --> 0:03:46.880 don't think Utah is a legal state. I don't think 0:03:46.920 --> 0:03:48.640 I haven't. I have not tried because I've been so 0:03:48.720 --> 0:03:52.080 busy with my move, But I think I don't know 0:03:52.080 --> 0:03:54.120 that I can play from here. I don't think. I 0:03:54.120 --> 0:03:56.280 don't think Utah is a state. Now. Fortunately, I'm very 0:03:56.320 --> 0:04:00.240 near the board of both Arizona and and Nevada, so 0:04:00.320 --> 0:04:02.320 I can drive like forty five minutes and go scratch 0:04:02.360 --> 0:04:02.840 that itch. 0:04:03.600 --> 0:04:05.960 Go right across the border, pull your phone out, do 0:04:05.960 --> 0:04:06.440 a couple. 0:04:06.320 --> 0:04:09.640 Of exactly That's exactly. When I was living in Minneapolis, 0:04:09.640 --> 0:04:11.320 I had to drive all the way to the border 0:04:11.320 --> 0:04:14.640 of Iowa. So you know, that was almost two hours 0:04:14.680 --> 0:04:17.040 to get there. So this is is in that regard 0:04:17.160 --> 0:04:19.000 that's better from a sports betting standpoint. But I could 0:04:19.000 --> 0:04:21.960 play best ball in Minnesota. It's it's absurd that every 0:04:21.960 --> 0:04:24.479 state is different, right, So some states you can do 0:04:24.560 --> 0:04:27.039 best ball and betting. Some states you can do betting 0:04:27.080 --> 0:04:29.200 not best ball, some you can do best ball not betting, 0:04:29.200 --> 0:04:30.160 and some you can do neither. 0:04:32.800 --> 0:04:34.720 And they can't seem to make up their minds about 0:04:34.760 --> 0:04:35.760 what way it should be. 0:04:36.320 --> 0:04:38.440 Well, I think I know, but we can. You know, 0:04:39.160 --> 0:04:41.320 I think our listeners probably know where I stand on this. 0:04:41.720 --> 0:04:46.159 We've identified are for each of us are three most 0:04:46.839 --> 0:04:52.040 undervalued and overvalued players for best ball in particular. So 0:04:52.240 --> 0:04:55.160 we're putting on a lens of a best ball And 0:04:55.480 --> 0:04:58.240 tell me kent for you. When you're talking best ball 0:04:58.240 --> 0:05:01.320 as opposed to redraft, Dynasty, higher quillotine, or any other 0:05:01.400 --> 0:05:04.440 format that you like, what are the things that that 0:05:04.520 --> 0:05:08.599 make it, that make that go into your best ball 0:05:08.720 --> 0:05:11.320 decision making that's different from the other formats. 0:05:12.360 --> 0:05:14.520 Yeah. So one thing that I like to think about 0:05:14.560 --> 0:05:16.720 a lot is you know, if am I going to 0:05:16.800 --> 0:05:19.160 have a tough time deciding to start this player on 0:05:19.200 --> 0:05:21.599 a weekly basis. In a redraft league, I might avoid them, 0:05:21.640 --> 0:05:23.599 but in a basketball league, you don't really have to 0:05:23.600 --> 0:05:26.400 think about that. Yeah, you know, you're just aiming for 0:05:26.680 --> 0:05:29.080 you know, overall points, but also spike weeks where they're 0:05:29.120 --> 0:05:31.280 going out and scoring three touchdowns or something like that. 0:05:31.440 --> 0:05:34.839 So high scoring offense is definitely come into play quite 0:05:34.839 --> 0:05:36.960 a bit if you're looking for guys that are going 0:05:37.000 --> 0:05:40.760 to contribute in the scoring column. So that's probably the 0:05:40.800 --> 0:05:44.080 biggest difference, is you just want those high upside guys, 0:05:44.080 --> 0:05:47.200 that kind of asymmetrical upside, because the lowest thing can 0:05:47.240 --> 0:05:49.279 go well, I shouldn't say the lowest. I've seen negative 0:05:49.320 --> 0:05:52.039 scores technically, but yes, for the most part, the lowest 0:05:52.040 --> 0:05:53.640 score is zero. Yeah. 0:05:53.680 --> 0:05:56.320 And you know, for me, this is almost like taking 0:05:56.440 --> 0:05:59.040 everything I look for in a guillotine league player and 0:05:59.160 --> 0:06:01.360 just reversing it. I'll just do the opposite of all 0:06:01.400 --> 0:06:04.559 of those guys. You know, we are looking for higher 0:06:04.680 --> 0:06:08.680 variance players. We are looking We don't ding players for 0:06:08.760 --> 0:06:12.200 being as in for being inconsistent as much. We want 0:06:12.240 --> 0:06:15.360 players where if things break right, they have a chance 0:06:15.400 --> 0:06:18.000 to be league winners. Who want more lottery ticket guys. 0:06:18.839 --> 0:06:21.839 I think in some cases backup runners have more value. 0:06:21.960 --> 0:06:23.520 We'll talk about a lot of those, a lot of 0:06:23.520 --> 0:06:26.719 those different best ball opportunities as we talk through our 0:06:26.839 --> 0:06:30.640 undervalued and overvalued players. Ken, let's start here. I'm gonna 0:06:30.640 --> 0:06:34.520 start with overvalued players, and I would like you to 0:06:34.600 --> 0:06:37.960 go first and talk about somebody that you're not taking 0:06:38.080 --> 0:06:38.760 at ADP. 0:06:39.960 --> 0:06:42.719 Yeah. So this is gonna be an interesting one, and 0:06:42.760 --> 0:06:44.719 I know that we may come come to come to 0:06:44.720 --> 0:06:48.320 blows up this one, but Bucky Irving is gonna be 0:06:48.360 --> 0:06:51.560 my first selection for overvalued. I want to make one 0:06:51.560 --> 0:06:54.240 thing very clear right up front. I love Bucky Irving 0:06:54.320 --> 0:06:56.479 as a player. He's a great player. He had a 0:06:56.520 --> 0:06:59.560 great rookie season. He's on a great offense. This all 0:06:59.600 --> 0:07:03.440 sounds rate, but he's currently going at the twenty second 0:07:03.440 --> 0:07:06.400 overall pick on underdog drafts and that's RB nine. So 0:07:06.440 --> 0:07:09.760 he's going to be your running back one almost certainly, 0:07:09.800 --> 0:07:11.760 unless you do some kind of running back running back 0:07:11.760 --> 0:07:15.160 double up up top. But he's got a lot of 0:07:15.280 --> 0:07:18.360 equity going into that draft selection. So you know, last 0:07:18.400 --> 0:07:21.280 year he was drafted a round fourteen fifteen. He was 0:07:21.320 --> 0:07:23.560 one of those lottery tickets we were talking about. Yeah, 0:07:23.600 --> 0:07:25.520 and the scoring that you got out of him was 0:07:25.720 --> 0:07:28.560 immensely valuable because you were able to spend such a 0:07:28.640 --> 0:07:31.360 late pick on him. But this year, if you're you know, 0:07:31.520 --> 0:07:35.040 second maybe third round, if you're absolutely lucky, is the 0:07:35.040 --> 0:07:36.640 only way you can actually get him on your roster. 0:07:36.840 --> 0:07:40.160 So the biggest thing for me is that this Tampa 0:07:40.160 --> 0:07:42.360 Bay Buccaneers offense is bringing back a lot of guys 0:07:42.400 --> 0:07:46.720 and then also brought in an additional receiver, so they 0:07:46.760 --> 0:07:49.560 have a good stable of running backs, you know, regardless 0:07:49.600 --> 0:07:53.640 of there's been you know, qualms about Rashad White as 0:07:53.640 --> 0:07:56.720 a lead back, and that's understandable. But last year you 0:07:56.760 --> 0:07:59.120 did see them begin to go in more of a 0:07:59.160 --> 0:08:02.680 three headed drag in kind of deployment system where they 0:08:02.680 --> 0:08:05.119 were using all of them interchangeably. Even though Bucking Irving 0:08:05.280 --> 0:08:07.840 was the lead and getting a lot of work, they 0:08:07.880 --> 0:08:10.880 were still rotating in Rashod White, still rotating in Sean Tucker, 0:08:10.880 --> 0:08:13.640 who had a couple of big spots back last year. 0:08:13.880 --> 0:08:17.400 And you know, frankly, all these guys did very well. 0:08:17.480 --> 0:08:20.240 By the advanced metrics that I looked at. There's a 0:08:20.240 --> 0:08:22.840 step that I used called rushing yards over expectation, which 0:08:22.880 --> 0:08:26.320 basically takes into account you know where they are on 0:08:26.360 --> 0:08:29.840 the field, what the scheme is like, and a variety 0:08:29.920 --> 0:08:32.880 of different attributes for that individual down and says they 0:08:32.960 --> 0:08:34.679 could run for three and a half yards, but they 0:08:34.760 --> 0:08:37.360 ran for five instead, so that's one and a half 0:08:37.480 --> 0:08:41.320 more yards. Yeah, And so you know, all three of 0:08:41.360 --> 0:08:43.680 these guys were positive last year, and if we're looking 0:08:44.000 --> 0:08:47.000 at just between the tackles, Bucky Irving was technically the 0:08:47.040 --> 0:08:50.160 lowest of the three. Sean Tucker was at one point four, 0:08:50.360 --> 0:08:53.640 Shot White one point one, and Bucky Irving ato point 0:08:53.640 --> 0:08:57.440 eight over expectation. So again, they all were good, and 0:08:57.480 --> 0:08:59.160 Bucky Irving was just the least. 0:08:58.960 --> 0:09:01.960 Good, But that's also just between the tackles. 0:09:01.960 --> 0:09:06.719 Correct, sure, totally and I totally understand that he's going 0:09:06.800 --> 0:09:09.600 to be the lead back in his backfield. The question 0:09:09.720 --> 0:09:11.640 is how much is he going to be on the 0:09:11.679 --> 0:09:14.680 field if they are going to rotate through Rashad White's 0:09:14.720 --> 0:09:18.600 technically a better pass blocking running back. You know, on 0:09:18.720 --> 0:09:22.480 seventy nine pass blocking snaps, White is just seven pressures 0:09:22.520 --> 0:09:26.439 in one sack last year and Bucky Irving on only 0:09:26.520 --> 0:09:30.440 twenty eight pass blocking snaps allowed four pressures and three sacks. 0:09:30.440 --> 0:09:34.600 And you know that could go quarterbacks are largely responsible 0:09:34.760 --> 0:09:37.120 for when they're they're getting sacked on a pressure or not. 0:09:37.320 --> 0:09:40.800 But it's still a somewhat telling that that was able 0:09:40.840 --> 0:09:43.000 to occur on a much lower amount of snaps. So 0:09:43.000 --> 0:09:44.560 they're they're probably going to trust them a little bit 0:09:44.600 --> 0:09:47.760 less than Rashad White. And then you know, like I said, 0:09:47.760 --> 0:09:51.160 they drafted I Mecha Agbuka and he's going to be great. 0:09:51.160 --> 0:09:53.760 He's going to you know, hopefully contribute very early on 0:09:53.760 --> 0:09:56.120 in his offense. He's super awesome receivers. 0:09:56.200 --> 0:09:58.120 Yeah, I think I think he will be a contributor, 0:09:58.120 --> 0:10:00.679 But I don't I don't necessarily see that is a 0:10:00.720 --> 0:10:02.800 bad thing. I like, I feel like this is a 0:10:02.880 --> 0:10:05.120 rising boats thing. If you if you just put more 0:10:05.160 --> 0:10:07.480 and more weapons on an offense, I just feel like 0:10:07.520 --> 0:10:09.640 that's more trips over the fifty yard line, more trips 0:10:09.640 --> 0:10:11.720 into the red zone, more trips at the stripe where 0:10:11.760 --> 0:10:13.320 Bucky Irving is gonna get paid. 0:10:14.679 --> 0:10:16.640 Yeah, and I guess you're gonna hope that he's gonna 0:10:16.679 --> 0:10:19.640 have a ten plus touchdown season. That would be one 0:10:19.640 --> 0:10:21.040 way that he could pay off. 0:10:22.000 --> 0:10:24.480 Kenny had an eight touchdown season last year. Didn't even 0:10:24.520 --> 0:10:26.440 start games until halfway through the season. 0:10:27.120 --> 0:10:31.000 Totally true. But again, it's just that that cost associated 0:10:31.000 --> 0:10:32.840 with it that I think is the biggest hang up 0:10:32.840 --> 0:10:35.280 for me. And you know, I'm not saying I won't 0:10:35.320 --> 0:10:37.120 draft him if he does fall to the third round 0:10:37.120 --> 0:10:39.160 and I have a good, you know, maybe running back 0:10:39.160 --> 0:10:41.520 wide receiver setup. He's an awesome dude to take us 0:10:41.559 --> 0:10:43.520 your second running back, I'm totally in on that. But 0:10:44.400 --> 0:10:46.319 if he's your first running back, I am going to 0:10:46.360 --> 0:10:48.560 steer clear and maybe go for more of a like 0:10:48.720 --> 0:10:52.440 zero or beat type build or something like that. So yeah, 0:10:52.480 --> 0:10:54.480 I don't know, it's just it's just expensive. I think 0:10:54.520 --> 0:10:56.800 that's the biggest reason. Love the player, hate the cost. 0:10:57.400 --> 0:10:58.880 Yeah, you and I. You and I are different on 0:10:58.920 --> 0:11:01.520 this and and we'll see if we have other differences. 0:11:01.640 --> 0:11:04.200 I love Bucky Irving part of its eye test to do. 0:11:04.280 --> 0:11:07.679 I think he's I think he is the hardest running 0:11:08.480 --> 0:11:11.360 full time back in the NFL right now. The metrics 0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:13.600 are eye popping. You know, you gave some of the 0:11:13.600 --> 0:11:15.480 down metrics, I'll give some of the up metrics on 0:11:15.559 --> 0:11:22.400 Bucky Irving. He finished third in avoided tackle rate among 0:11:22.480 --> 0:11:25.680 players at least one hundred and twenty carries, a twenty 0:11:25.840 --> 0:11:29.960 seven percent avoided tackle rate. He finished at five and 0:11:30.000 --> 0:11:34.600 a half yards per carry, and his third down conversion 0:11:34.679 --> 0:11:38.880 rate was eighty percent, which was highest than the highest 0:11:38.920 --> 0:11:42.560 in the league among NFL starting backs. There's I just 0:11:42.720 --> 0:11:44.679 I think this guy is. I think Bucky Irving is 0:11:44.679 --> 0:11:47.040 a special player. I'm happy to get him at his 0:11:47.440 --> 0:11:51.360 at his ADP, which is where is his ADP again? 0:11:51.559 --> 0:11:51.920 Right here? 0:11:51.960 --> 0:11:53.000 I had him at twenty two. 0:11:52.960 --> 0:11:56.160 Over twenty two, yep, twenty two running back nine. Honestly, 0:11:56.200 --> 0:11:58.600 I think it's light he's going to be. I'm gonna 0:11:58.640 --> 0:12:02.240 put on my first rankings the year next week, I expect, 0:12:02.640 --> 0:12:05.559 and I think he's gonna be. He's gonna off the 0:12:05.559 --> 0:12:08.199 board in Bestball at running back nine. On underdog. I 0:12:08.240 --> 0:12:09.960 think I'm gonna have him closer to running back five. 0:12:10.360 --> 0:12:12.400 So this is just one they use. I think you 0:12:12.400 --> 0:12:13.640 and I yep, I think you and I are just 0:12:13.679 --> 0:12:18.560 gonna gonna agree to disagree on that one. My overvalued player, 0:12:18.640 --> 0:12:21.960 my first overvalue player, a guy was nervous about for 0:12:22.000 --> 0:12:24.480 a lot of Fantasy Football Weekly Is last year. This 0:12:24.520 --> 0:12:27.240 one comes a big surprise to people. Joe Mixon, his 0:12:27.320 --> 0:12:31.800 ADP is fifty, He's running back fifteen, and here's my quibbles, 0:12:31.960 --> 0:12:34.680 Kent and feel free to jump in anytime. Houston's rebuild 0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:39.160 offensive line tons of question marks. They were awful last year. 0:12:39.280 --> 0:12:42.439 They ranked thirtieth in run block win rate, they were 0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:47.120 twenty seventh in Pro Football Focuses run blocking ranking, and 0:12:47.320 --> 0:12:51.160 all they did to improve their starting rotation they turned 0:12:51.240 --> 0:12:53.520 away Laramie Tunsel. And I don't blame him for that either. 0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:55.960 He was as overpaid as a player as there was 0:12:56.000 --> 0:12:59.880 in the NFL. But they backfilled him with Cam Robinson, 0:13:00.240 --> 0:13:04.079 who you'll remember the Jaguars traded for a ham Sandwich 0:13:04.120 --> 0:13:06.400 to the Vikings. The Vikings started him only because they 0:13:06.480 --> 0:13:08.600 had to, and then in this offseason the Vikings let 0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:11.560 him walk, and then they signed Cam Rombinson at left tackle. 0:13:12.679 --> 0:13:15.440 This will be his third team in two years. And 0:13:15.440 --> 0:13:18.240 then the other part that worries me about Mixing was 0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:21.040 how you know, he started off the season really well, 0:13:21.080 --> 0:13:23.160 got heard, came back still look pretty good, and then 0:13:23.160 --> 0:13:25.520 he just he just ran out of gas last year. 0:13:26.080 --> 0:13:33.280 He's had two thousand, three hundred career touches spanning eight seasons. 0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:36.120 He's going to turn twenty nine years old in a 0:13:36.120 --> 0:13:39.679 couple of months, and I'm just worried that the end 0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:42.280 is here for Joe Mixon, and I don't know that 0:13:42.360 --> 0:13:45.040 it is Kent because the offensive line was so bad. 0:13:45.160 --> 0:13:47.000 I think a lot of back sort of struggled last 0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:50.360 year behind this Houston offensive line. But I'd kind of 0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:52.960 rather get out a year early than a year too late. 0:13:53.840 --> 0:13:56.000 Last six games of last year for Joe Mixon Kent. 0:13:56.520 --> 0:13:59.520 He drooped to twenty ninth in rushing yards over the 0:13:59.559 --> 0:14:03.640 last six games of last year, thirty first in yards 0:14:03.679 --> 0:14:07.559 per carry at just three point four, which is miserable, 0:14:08.040 --> 0:14:10.640 and he dropped a twenty fifth and avoided tackle rate, 0:14:10.679 --> 0:14:15.120 which you can't blame on the offensive line. So I'm 0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:16.960 just worried. I think I'd rather get out a year 0:14:17.000 --> 0:14:18.960 early on Joe Mixon, and I think this is the 0:14:19.040 --> 0:14:20.480 year to get out. What do you think? 0:14:20.960 --> 0:14:22.520 Yeah, I'm not going to fight you too much on 0:14:22.560 --> 0:14:24.840 this one. He's kind of at the age cliff. He's 0:14:24.880 --> 0:14:27.560 at the touch cliff, like you were talking about. He 0:14:27.600 --> 0:14:30.320 saw a big reduction in kind of his value last year. 0:14:30.480 --> 0:14:33.160 The offense overall had a lot of struggles. Even CJ. 0:14:33.200 --> 0:14:35.440 Stroud himself is not free to blame in this offense. 0:14:35.520 --> 0:14:39.680 So yeah, that's tough. The only saving grace is that 0:14:39.880 --> 0:14:43.120 he really has no competition. I don't think that anyone 0:14:43.200 --> 0:14:45.480 is going to step up and steal a ton of work. 0:14:45.680 --> 0:14:46.360 That is correct. 0:14:46.760 --> 0:14:51.440 That is, if you truly want the volume, you can 0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:54.000 take it. But again, you talk about that upside, I 0:14:54.000 --> 0:14:55.040 don't think he has much. 0:14:55.480 --> 0:14:57.880 All right, let's go to your next over valued best 0:14:57.880 --> 0:15:00.800 ball player. Who are you going with for your second? 0:15:01.000 --> 0:15:01.720 Your second guy? 0:15:02.560 --> 0:15:05.080 Yeah, I'm gonna go with Tyreek Hill. This one just 0:15:05.160 --> 0:15:08.840 feels too easy right now. Honestly, he's going twenty fourth 0:15:08.880 --> 0:15:13.040 overall wide receiver thirteen. You know, he was drafted as 0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:15.560 a top five wide receiver for years, and he's not 0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:19.760 much lower than that, despite having a truly horrific season 0:15:19.800 --> 0:15:23.120 last year, at least for his case. And he's thirty 0:15:23.120 --> 0:15:25.440 one years old, frankly, I mean, he's getting up there 0:15:25.440 --> 0:15:28.040 in age. Even though he is, you know, a slighter fellow, 0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:30.520 he's able to probably handle that a little bit better 0:15:30.600 --> 0:15:32.360 than some of the slighter receivers. 0:15:32.800 --> 0:15:35.520 Slighter fellow, slighter fellow. 0:15:35.560 --> 0:15:39.320 You know, he's a little whispy guy out there. He 0:15:39.400 --> 0:15:42.000 runs fast and that's part of his deal. But you know, 0:15:42.120 --> 0:15:45.200 last year he was wide receiver thirty three in PPR 0:15:45.320 --> 0:15:49.120 points per game, and you are not happy if you 0:15:49.160 --> 0:15:51.000 get that out of him this year. And as far 0:15:51.040 --> 0:15:54.040 as I remember, he didn't even have any truly explosive 0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:56.360 weeks either. It was like, you hope he got a 0:15:56.400 --> 0:15:58.480 touchdown just so you could have a normal fantasy week 0:15:58.520 --> 0:16:02.080 out of Tyreek Kill. So you know, this is another team, 0:16:02.160 --> 0:16:06.400 the Miami Dolphins, that has some offensive line issues. That's 0:16:06.440 --> 0:16:09.760 an interesting rough shape. Yes, yeah, Toronto Arstaid is retired. 0:16:10.120 --> 0:16:12.440 They signed James Daniels, which is an okay signing, and 0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:15.720 they drafted Jonah seven Aya. I think I'm saying that right. 0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:19.200 I hope I am in round two. But their offensive 0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:22.240 tackles are two guys named Patrick Paul and Austin Jackson. 0:16:22.320 --> 0:16:24.480 And I'll give you a bonus points if you can 0:16:24.840 --> 0:16:27.360 tell me how good they are. But they're just league 0:16:27.400 --> 0:16:29.400 average at best, and they're gonna have a lot of 0:16:29.440 --> 0:16:31.960 issues getting this offense moving, kind of similar to the 0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:36.120 Houston issues over there. But yeah, in twenty twenty four, 0:16:36.440 --> 0:16:39.720 career lows in yards per route run, yards per target, 0:16:40.160 --> 0:16:43.920 yack after the reception PFF for receiving grade, and he 0:16:44.160 --> 0:16:48.080 tied his rookie season touchdown total as well, but he 0:16:48.120 --> 0:16:50.480 had forty more targets in twenty twenty four, So that's 0:16:50.480 --> 0:16:54.080 a low for me. It was tough, and if you 0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:56.560 had him, you were not in good shape. And frankly, 0:16:56.600 --> 0:17:00.720 at wide receiver thirteen, I'm not interested. I'm I'm tapping 0:17:00.760 --> 0:17:04.600 out probably on the Miami Dolphins. Dolphins offense in totality 0:17:05.720 --> 0:17:08.040 at their current prices. We may talk about that a 0:17:08.080 --> 0:17:10.760 little bit more in a bit, but uh, yeah, it's 0:17:10.760 --> 0:17:11.280 it's tough. 0:17:12.160 --> 0:17:15.480 I had Tyreek Hill on my list until I saw 0:17:15.520 --> 0:17:17.760 he was on your list, so I was also going 0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:20.200 to do Tyreek Hill, and I think there's, uh, there 0:17:20.240 --> 0:17:22.320 was there's a lot of good reason for that. For 0:17:22.400 --> 0:17:25.240 that you've you've outlined here. Not touching him at twenty 0:17:25.280 --> 0:17:29.280 fourth overall wide receiver thirteen, I don't even know. I 0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:34.359 I you know, the whole two situation as well, is uh, 0:17:34.400 --> 0:17:36.359 there's just to me, there's just, uh, there's just too 0:17:36.400 --> 0:17:38.840 much risk here for Tyreek Hill at that price point. 0:17:39.200 --> 0:17:44.520 My next over valued player is Marvin Harrison Junior, going 0:17:44.520 --> 0:17:47.720 off the board at pick number twenty eight, Wide receiver sixteen. 0:17:48.160 --> 0:17:52.600 You know, at that ADP kent you he people are 0:17:52.640 --> 0:17:56.960 assuming he's going to get way way better in year 0:17:57.040 --> 0:17:59.840 number two, and I'm not sure that's a safe assumption. 0:18:00.320 --> 0:18:03.480 I hope he does. I hope I'm wrong. He will 0:18:03.520 --> 0:18:06.159 be better next year. I think there's you know, almost 0:18:06.160 --> 0:18:08.720 certainly be better, but so much better that he should 0:18:08.720 --> 0:18:11.040 be going off the board at the twenty eighth pick. 0:18:11.800 --> 0:18:16.240 He wasn't even close to the twenty eighth receiver last year. 0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:18.720 And you know, what we saw last year, to me 0:18:19.040 --> 0:18:22.840 was really troubling. And he was Pro Football focuses wide 0:18:22.840 --> 0:18:26.439 receiver thirty five. He ranked thirty fourth in yards. He 0:18:26.480 --> 0:18:30.119 had one more yard than John Neusmith. That's it, thirty 0:18:30.160 --> 0:18:33.760 seventh in yards after reception. He had two point four 0:18:33.840 --> 0:18:37.600 yards after reception among wide receivers that was thirty seventh. 0:18:37.680 --> 0:18:40.879 That kent two point four yards after reception. You were 0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:44.760 getting you're basically getting tackled and falling forward at that 0:18:44.880 --> 0:18:47.080 point to get your two point four yards at the 0:18:47.160 --> 0:18:50.840 point of the catch. He finished worse than wide receiver 0:18:51.080 --> 0:18:56.119 forty seven different times last year Marvin Harrison. So you know, 0:18:56.400 --> 0:18:59.960 he needs to get so much better from the verse 0:19:00.320 --> 0:19:03.800 we saw last year to live up to ADP twenty 0:19:03.880 --> 0:19:06.080 eight that I don't think Marvin Harrison can get there, 0:19:06.400 --> 0:19:08.560 And I'd have felt better if they'd added a second 0:19:08.560 --> 0:19:11.080 wide receiver opposite side of the field that was going 0:19:11.160 --> 0:19:14.000 to take some of the defensive pressure off Marvin Harrison. 0:19:14.680 --> 0:19:18.359 That is Zay Jones. That doesn't even count. So I 0:19:18.760 --> 0:19:21.080 am out on Marvin Harrison at ADP twenty eight. What 0:19:21.119 --> 0:19:21.520 do you think? 0:19:22.440 --> 0:19:24.280 Yeah? I think the only thing I'll say here is 0:19:24.280 --> 0:19:27.800 that you know, he had eight hundred and eighty five 0:19:27.840 --> 0:19:32.120 yards and eight touchdowns. That's for a rookie season. Pretty good. 0:19:32.520 --> 0:19:35.120 And you know, we for the longest time had this 0:19:35.240 --> 0:19:37.920 like third year breakout kind of strategy for wide receivers. 0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:41.040 We waited a few years, we let them develop. Marveson 0:19:41.240 --> 0:19:44.240 Harrison Junior certainly was seen as a top flight prospect. 0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:47.600 You know, he's got the name, the family value there, 0:19:48.520 --> 0:19:51.520 and honestly, he had a really great prospect profile. I 0:19:51.520 --> 0:19:53.359 think it was just kind of a tough fit in 0:19:53.480 --> 0:19:57.480 Arizona offense. You know, he's a lot better in kind 0:19:57.520 --> 0:20:00.440 of the contested catch situations. Like you said, he would 0:20:00.480 --> 0:20:02.240 catch it and fall forward as pretty much all he 0:20:02.280 --> 0:20:05.199 was doing. But they need to get him moving on 0:20:05.280 --> 0:20:07.640 a little bit different routes go a little bit more laterally, 0:20:07.840 --> 0:20:09.960 try and make some space for him in the scheme, 0:20:10.000 --> 0:20:12.320 and I think things could go a little better. I 0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:14.720 agree with you, I'm probably not going to be drafting him. 0:20:14.840 --> 0:20:20.080 I do remain skeptical but hopeful about his year two 0:20:20.119 --> 0:20:21.240 and beyond progress. Though. 0:20:21.280 --> 0:20:23.320 I hope I'm wrong about Marvin Harrison Kent. I hope 0:20:23.359 --> 0:20:25.560 he has a great season. Let's go to your third 0:20:25.640 --> 0:20:28.359 and final over valued best ball player. 0:20:29.440 --> 0:20:33.800 Yeah, this is another price point problem, and it's Colston Lovelin, 0:20:33.920 --> 0:20:37.240 the new rookie on the Chicago Bears, drafted even before 0:20:37.280 --> 0:20:40.280 Tyler Warren, which I think was a shock to many people. 0:20:40.760 --> 0:20:43.439 Maybe not everyone, but those two guys were certainly seeing 0:20:43.560 --> 0:20:46.040 as the top two tight ends in his draft class. 0:20:46.920 --> 0:20:50.240 He's being drafted at one ten, so we're looking at 0:20:50.280 --> 0:20:53.760 the ninth round roughly and tight end nine. So people 0:20:53.800 --> 0:20:56.160 think he's ready to step in and be a tight 0:20:56.240 --> 0:20:58.879 end one the top twelve tight ends for this season. 0:20:59.240 --> 0:21:02.000 I'm not so gung ho about that. You know, he's 0:21:02.000 --> 0:21:04.840 probably gonna be a good player, but if you're expecting 0:21:04.880 --> 0:21:07.720 anything like what Brock Bauers did last year, you're going 0:21:07.800 --> 0:21:12.280 to be gravely gravely disappointed. Uh and he had roughly 0:21:12.320 --> 0:21:14.600 the same ADP last year as Loveland does. This year 0:21:14.640 --> 0:21:18.159 brought Bowers. So I think a lot of people are 0:21:18.200 --> 0:21:20.320 kind of riding on those coattails a little bit and 0:21:20.480 --> 0:21:24.200 thinking that Loveland could do something similar. You know, Cole 0:21:24.200 --> 0:21:26.800 Comett is still in this offense. They're gonna use a 0:21:26.840 --> 0:21:29.520 lot of twelve personnel. Ben Johnson, whose new in town, 0:21:29.640 --> 0:21:32.359 loves Dude's twelve personnel. They were third most in the 0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:35.640 league last year for the Lions, that is thirty two 0:21:35.680 --> 0:21:38.600 point two percent. So Cole Comette's gonna be on the 0:21:38.600 --> 0:21:42.119 field too. They're gonna, you know, utilize probably both of 0:21:42.160 --> 0:21:44.840 them in the one tight end sets as well. So 0:21:45.400 --> 0:21:48.639 if you're getting more than seventy percent snaps out of Loveland, 0:21:48.640 --> 0:21:50.879 I'd be shocked. I think he's gonna be more of 0:21:51.440 --> 0:21:56.320 those middle percentages. And you know, going back to twenty ten, 0:21:56.880 --> 0:21:59.960 only six instances of tight ends in their rookie season 0:22:00.080 --> 0:22:02.439 had more than ten PPR points per game in their 0:22:02.480 --> 0:22:06.399 rookie year. So yes, I don't I don't particularly believe 0:22:06.440 --> 0:22:08.480 that Loveland is going to be the guy to do 0:22:08.720 --> 0:22:12.000 like what Brock Bauers did or anything remotely similar. We 0:22:12.080 --> 0:22:14.120 need we still need to see it from Caleb Williams 0:22:14.160 --> 0:22:17.399 on his Bears offense before Yeah, I can trust you know, 0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:20.439 the third, fourth, fifth option on this offense. Who knows 0:22:20.560 --> 0:22:22.200 right now? They still have a lot of good pass 0:22:22.200 --> 0:22:25.600 catchers there, so it's gonna be very interesting. But yeah, 0:22:25.640 --> 0:22:28.560 Titan nine, I will not be drafting Colston Loveland this 0:22:28.640 --> 0:22:31.159 year unless he dips considerably. 0:22:31.440 --> 0:22:34.199 The I'm with you one hundred percent on everything you 0:22:34.280 --> 0:22:37.080 just said. Let me give you another another example. We 0:22:37.119 --> 0:22:41.560 all assumed Dalton Kincaid would just mow down Dawson Knox, 0:22:42.440 --> 0:22:44.840 and for two years that hasn't happened. You know, we 0:22:44.920 --> 0:22:48.440 saw flashes where he looked better than Dawson Knox, but honestly, 0:22:48.480 --> 0:22:50.679 you know, it's almost a timeshare between those two for 0:22:50.720 --> 0:22:53.760 two straight years. And Kincaid had first round equity as well. 0:22:54.200 --> 0:22:56.760 And you know the other thing about Bowers is Bowers 0:22:56.800 --> 0:22:58.800 on a team where though there was nobody else to 0:22:59.080 --> 0:23:03.480 even get the ball to, Chicago's got so many more options. 0:23:03.560 --> 0:23:06.719 Everybody thinks Romadoonza it's sitting on a big season that 0:23:06.800 --> 0:23:09.160 he's gonna break out. They added Luther Burden, They've got 0:23:09.240 --> 0:23:12.160 DJ Moore. You know, they've got so many other weapons 0:23:12.240 --> 0:23:14.720 they don't have to funnel their offense to their rookie 0:23:14.800 --> 0:23:18.080 tight end the same way the Raiders did. So I 0:23:18.080 --> 0:23:20.159 think that's a I think that's a great call in 0:23:20.240 --> 0:23:23.800 Colston Lovelin. All right, my final guy that I'm using 0:23:23.920 --> 0:23:28.640 is my over valued best ball player is T Higgins, 0:23:29.320 --> 0:23:31.280 And a little bit like you said with Bucky Irving, 0:23:31.320 --> 0:23:34.040 I wanna be really careful here. T Higgins a good player. 0:23:34.640 --> 0:23:37.560 I like him, and you know, but I don't know 0:23:37.600 --> 0:23:41.000 that he's going off the board at pick twenty three. Overall, 0:23:41.760 --> 0:23:44.720 I just don't know that any guy who's not who's 0:23:44.760 --> 0:23:48.440 the number two receiver on his own team Kent should 0:23:48.440 --> 0:23:52.120 be going off the board at his position at pick 0:23:52.240 --> 0:23:56.000 number twenty three. And so this is entirely a conversation 0:23:56.080 --> 0:24:00.000 about ADP. Like you said with Bucky Irving, he just 0:24:00.119 --> 0:24:03.919 stands in that long, deep shadow cast by Jamar Chase, 0:24:04.200 --> 0:24:08.120 who had one hundred and seventy five targets last year, 0:24:08.400 --> 0:24:10.919 one hundred and forty five of the year before. You know, 0:24:10.960 --> 0:24:12.840 there are just some games where there just aren't enough 0:24:12.880 --> 0:24:15.960 balls to go around. For T Higgins, he was under 0:24:16.080 --> 0:24:18.480 sixty yards and one third of his games, and he 0:24:18.560 --> 0:24:21.400 topped eighty eight yards just two times. He's very, very 0:24:21.400 --> 0:24:25.280 touchdown dependent. Now, now granted, in best ball touchdown dependent 0:24:25.400 --> 0:24:26.679 is not the end of the world. I mean, you 0:24:26.680 --> 0:24:28.520 can you know that is okay to have those spike 0:24:28.600 --> 0:24:31.560 touchdown weeks. That is all right, but it picked twenty three. 0:24:32.200 --> 0:24:35.679 I'd like to have just more consistency than what I 0:24:35.720 --> 0:24:40.000 think I'm gonna get out of T Higgins there at 0:24:40.000 --> 0:24:43.679 that price point. So that to me is that's my 0:24:43.800 --> 0:24:47.160 case against against T Higgins and as my third over 0:24:47.280 --> 0:24:50.359 valued best ball player. Kent your thoughts. 0:24:50.080 --> 0:24:52.080 Well, And now that he's got his contract, he's gonna 0:24:52.119 --> 0:24:54.840 stop trying. He earned his money and he can just 0:24:54.880 --> 0:24:56.800 give up and sit on the bed. No, I'm just kidding. 0:24:57.080 --> 0:24:59.960 Uh yeah, I don't hate this one. I will probably 0:25:00.119 --> 0:25:02.639 consider it the only The only thing that makes him 0:25:02.680 --> 0:25:05.000 less draftable for me, even though he is a good player, 0:25:05.359 --> 0:25:07.359 is that it's really tough to get a Bengals stack 0:25:07.880 --> 0:25:10.680 with all these three guys being very expensive in price. 0:25:10.840 --> 0:25:13.439 So it's definitely one of the tough ones to do. 0:25:13.480 --> 0:25:15.080 And like you said, if he's the second option on 0:25:15.119 --> 0:25:18.520 the team, you gotta hope you well, pretty much. If 0:25:18.520 --> 0:25:21.240 you're not in the top you know two slots, you 0:25:21.359 --> 0:25:24.560 might get Chase, but most likely you are not going 0:25:24.560 --> 0:25:26.680 to have Chase. So that means you just got Higgins 0:25:26.680 --> 0:25:29.359 and Burrow. I'm not in on that, so uh yeah, 0:25:29.400 --> 0:25:32.160 that that's a fine call out. But he's a good player, 0:25:32.200 --> 0:25:34.320 He's just he's just a little pricey, and so are 0:25:34.440 --> 0:25:36.560 his other very rich compadres. 0:25:36.640 --> 0:25:38.840 All right, when we come back, we're gonna give you 0:25:38.920 --> 0:25:42.480 six players we love at their price point. So we've 0:25:42.520 --> 0:25:45.000 got kind of negative here ken to start this show. 0:25:45.520 --> 0:25:47.719 We're going to turn things around and look for some 0:25:47.800 --> 0:25:52.280 positivity and identify three each of our favorite best ball 0:25:52.520 --> 0:26:03.359 value players when we come back. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly, 0:26:03.359 --> 0:26:07.000 Paul Jarchian, Kent, why wreck with you as well? Kent. 0:26:07.680 --> 0:26:09.960 We've started with the negative side, players that were nervous 0:26:09.960 --> 0:26:12.680 about at their price point. Now let's go to players 0:26:12.720 --> 0:26:16.800 that we're excited to draft and in many cases will reach, 0:26:17.240 --> 0:26:20.520 will reach for and I will once again, I'll let 0:26:20.520 --> 0:26:23.160 you go first. Tell me who, tell me who you're 0:26:23.160 --> 0:26:25.640 targeting in best Ball. 0:26:25.840 --> 0:26:28.320 Yeah, so this is an interesting one, and honestly, I 0:26:28.359 --> 0:26:29.720 was a little bit on offense about it. But I 0:26:29.720 --> 0:26:31.399 decided to go with my gut and throw it on 0:26:31.400 --> 0:26:33.879 the list. Anyway, Okay, I'm gonna go with Michael Pennix Junior. 0:26:34.080 --> 0:26:37.080 And this might come as a surprise to some people. 0:26:37.400 --> 0:26:39.200 You know, he's pretty cheap right now. He's one hundred 0:26:39.200 --> 0:26:44.440 and forty fifth overall QB twenty one. Yeah, very very yeah, exactly. 0:26:44.520 --> 0:26:46.600 So it's very easy to be undervalued when you're when 0:26:46.640 --> 0:26:50.400 you're that cheap. But one thing that's very interesting is 0:26:50.480 --> 0:26:53.760 that the Atlanta Falcons have the fourth easiest strength of 0:26:53.760 --> 0:26:57.160 schedule this year based on the win totals at Vegas 0:26:57.600 --> 0:27:00.960 as calculated by Sharp Football. So if we have an 0:27:01.000 --> 0:27:04.760 opportunity for Penix to come into this offense, get motivated, 0:27:06.080 --> 0:27:08.959 have some wins under his belt, and really develop as 0:27:08.960 --> 0:27:11.200 a passer, this is an opportunity for him this year. 0:27:11.600 --> 0:27:16.040 Kirk Cousins is technically on the roster. I think it's 0:27:16.320 --> 0:27:19.080 very likely that he's traded at some point. I think 0:27:19.080 --> 0:27:21.679 he is overall resigned from the idea of playing for 0:27:21.680 --> 0:27:24.040 the Atlanta Falcons anymore. I think I could be wrong 0:27:24.040 --> 0:27:27.160 on that, but that does feel like the undertones right now. 0:27:28.000 --> 0:27:30.600 You know, Kirk has expressed that he wants to start 0:27:30.640 --> 0:27:32.439 in this league still, and I think that, you know, 0:27:32.480 --> 0:27:35.280 maybe the Steelers, with Aaron Rodgers drag and his feet, 0:27:35.320 --> 0:27:38.040 maybe they just say, you know what, forget you're We'll 0:27:38.040 --> 0:27:40.000 go get Cousins. He'll be able to play for us. 0:27:40.119 --> 0:27:43.560 We still have a decent roster less one wide receiver 0:27:43.640 --> 0:27:47.560 in George Pickens who's now gone. But regardless, back to 0:27:47.600 --> 0:27:51.280 the Falcons Pennix. You know, in his third start last year, 0:27:51.280 --> 0:27:53.440 which was the last three weeks of twenty twenty four, 0:27:53.880 --> 0:27:56.200 he had three hundred and twelve passing yards, two passing 0:27:56.240 --> 0:27:58.960 touchdowns and a rushing touchdown. That was twenty six fantasy 0:27:59.000 --> 0:28:01.280 points roughly to be And what league format you're in 0:28:01.320 --> 0:28:03.920 and all that, but that is a higher single game 0:28:03.960 --> 0:28:07.760 total than Drake May, Trevor Lawrence, C J. Stroud, which 0:28:07.800 --> 0:28:09.920 we talked about his struggles last year. Those three guys 0:28:09.960 --> 0:28:11.720 are all going ahead of him right now. And he 0:28:11.800 --> 0:28:14.600 played just three games. Now, granted it was Week eighteen, 0:28:14.760 --> 0:28:16.720 and granted it was against the Carolina Fans. 0:28:16.800 --> 0:28:18.480 That's a pretty big asterisk right there. 0:28:19.240 --> 0:28:21.840 But that is a big aster risk and I will 0:28:21.880 --> 0:28:25.160 accept it. But you know, he's got some exciting value 0:28:25.160 --> 0:28:28.639 to him and they're bringing back essentially the identical offense 0:28:28.640 --> 0:28:32.840 from last year, Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts. You know, 0:28:32.880 --> 0:28:35.840 we're all gonna convince ourselves once again that Kyle Pitts 0:28:35.880 --> 0:28:38.760 has an opportunity. But it's a good pass catching group 0:28:38.800 --> 0:28:41.000 and you know, be John Robinson at Tyler Lgier at 0:28:41.000 --> 0:28:46.640 the running back position. It's a great offense. So okay, okay, 0:28:47.280 --> 0:28:47.800 pretty good? 0:28:48.000 --> 0:28:49.240 Yeah, all right, pretty good. 0:28:49.080 --> 0:28:51.560 I'll go now I want an adjective on there. Pretty good. 0:28:52.880 --> 0:28:56.440 But I think this is a good opportunity for them 0:28:56.520 --> 0:28:58.760 to have the entire offseason to work together. They can 0:28:58.800 --> 0:29:01.000 review the film from last year, talk about what didn't work. 0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:03.720 He can step in as the starter. Kirk is still 0:29:03.720 --> 0:29:06.959 technically there for now to you know, mentor him as 0:29:07.040 --> 0:29:10.520 much as he might feel compelled to. But you know, 0:29:10.600 --> 0:29:12.720 I think this is a good year for Michael Pennock junior. 0:29:12.720 --> 0:29:15.080 And like I said, it's the cheap value where I'm 0:29:15.120 --> 0:29:17.160 going to swing for one of those guys that could 0:29:17.240 --> 0:29:20.440 have like a top ten upside type of season if 0:29:20.480 --> 0:29:24.680 he steps into his prospect profile. And at Washington he 0:29:24.760 --> 0:29:27.480 was averaging three hundred and forty one passing yards a game. 0:29:27.560 --> 0:29:30.240 So this guy can sling it, and I'm hoping that 0:29:30.280 --> 0:29:32.440 he can step into the Falcons offense and sling it too. 0:29:32.920 --> 0:29:34.880 And the best part, you know, talking about making those 0:29:34.920 --> 0:29:38.000 stacks and cheaper ADP. This is not a Bengal situation. 0:29:38.440 --> 0:29:41.840 Drake is sixteenth overall, Darnold Mooney is ninetieth, Kyle Pitts 0:29:41.880 --> 0:29:44.440 one forty six, and Ray Ray McLeod who you know, 0:29:44.600 --> 0:29:46.640 kind of a throwaway last pick type guy. But if 0:29:46.640 --> 0:29:49.000 you have a stack going fee, feel free to add 0:29:49.080 --> 0:29:51.240 him to the list. And you've got a nice little 0:29:51.280 --> 0:29:53.640 stack here that could make you some money if it 0:29:53.680 --> 0:29:57.200 does step up into something slightly better than pretty good. 0:29:57.320 --> 0:30:00.400 So yeah, we're hoping for that. I just I think 0:30:00.440 --> 0:30:03.120 it's an interesting case where a lot could go right 0:30:03.280 --> 0:30:04.760 and then things turn out really well for him. 0:30:05.520 --> 0:30:08.040 That's Michael Penix, I the guy, the out of the 0:30:08.040 --> 0:30:10.080 guy out of that Falcons offense, a guy I'm targeting. 0:30:10.080 --> 0:30:12.640 I've been targeting Darnell Mooney because he's the you know 0:30:12.760 --> 0:30:16.760 this big play speed and you know he did. He 0:30:16.800 --> 0:30:20.800 does give you the bigger variance than obviously Drake London does. 0:30:21.720 --> 0:30:24.440 But I like I do, I like them. I like 0:30:24.480 --> 0:30:27.880 the Darnell Mooney side of it at ADP ninety more 0:30:27.920 --> 0:30:32.120 than I like paying the Drake London at sixteen, for sure. Yeah, 0:30:32.200 --> 0:30:37.479 all right, my first undervalued player is my favorite sleeper 0:30:37.480 --> 0:30:40.600 from last year, and so your listeners are gonna be like, 0:30:40.720 --> 0:30:43.640 oh charge, Here he goes again, reminding us that he 0:30:43.720 --> 0:30:47.720 nailed his favorite sleeper last year. Yeah, that is kind 0:30:47.720 --> 0:30:50.120 of happening here too. But he's still undervalued. And it's 0:30:50.200 --> 0:30:53.680 Khalil Shakir, the Buffalo wide receiver currently going off the 0:30:53.680 --> 0:30:57.960 board at pick eighty one, wide receiver forty five. What 0:30:58.600 --> 0:31:00.720 that doesn't even make sen That is a calculate to 0:31:00.760 --> 0:31:04.760 me at all. So last year for Khalil shakir breakout season, 0:31:05.280 --> 0:31:08.800 he jumped from forty targets the year before to one 0:31:08.880 --> 0:31:13.360 hundred targets. He went from thirty nine receptions to seventy 0:31:13.520 --> 0:31:19.200 six receptions. And Shakir's really good among receivers with more 0:31:19.240 --> 0:31:23.880 than fifty catches. He finished number one in yards after 0:31:23.960 --> 0:31:27.320 catch last year eight yards after catch, and that was 0:31:27.400 --> 0:31:29.560 no fluke. Last year, when I was trying to make 0:31:29.560 --> 0:31:32.160 my case for Khalil Shakir to be the last pick 0:31:32.200 --> 0:31:35.400 of your draft, he was third in yards after catch 0:31:35.400 --> 0:31:38.520 behind Deebo Samuel and Tyreek Hill. I mean, that's awfully 0:31:38.560 --> 0:31:40.840 good company. And this year he's number one. Coming out 0:31:40.880 --> 0:31:43.120 of last season, they get the Bills liked him so 0:31:43.240 --> 0:31:46.920 much they gave him a four year new contract, so 0:31:47.120 --> 0:31:51.640 obviously they believe in him. And he's the number one 0:31:51.800 --> 0:31:55.640 target for the first quarterback being taken in Best Ball 0:31:55.760 --> 0:32:00.280 drafts Josh Allen. He had just two drops last year out. 0:32:00.560 --> 0:32:03.080 Shakir is not bulletproof. I mean, you know, there is 0:32:03.120 --> 0:32:05.360 a reason he's going at wide receiver forty five, and 0:32:05.400 --> 0:32:08.560 that's mostly because it's a lot of short stuff. You know, 0:32:08.640 --> 0:32:12.440 typically in Best Ball you want some explosiveness to your game. 0:32:13.040 --> 0:32:15.120 His a dot was just five and a half yards. 0:32:15.160 --> 0:32:17.560 It's one of the shortest in the league. He is 0:32:17.640 --> 0:32:20.840 not an end zone target guy, just a ten percent 0:32:21.920 --> 0:32:26.160 end zone target rate. But you know, he had the big, 0:32:26.200 --> 0:32:29.120 big move last year Kent where he got so much 0:32:29.160 --> 0:32:32.880 better than Khalil Shakir was the year before. You know, 0:32:32.960 --> 0:32:36.200 if he gets just incrementally better this year, I think 0:32:36.280 --> 0:32:39.479 we're gonna see the touchdown the touchdown numbers go up, 0:32:39.520 --> 0:32:42.680 and the explosive plays go up, and I think Khalil 0:32:42.680 --> 0:32:46.000 Shakir is simply better than the forty fifth best fantasy 0:32:46.000 --> 0:32:46.600 wide receiver. 0:32:47.520 --> 0:32:49.520 Yeah, I mean, I'm not gonna fight you too much 0:32:49.560 --> 0:32:52.600 here because he is so cheap. My only commentary would 0:32:52.640 --> 0:32:54.760 be that, you know, the Buffalo Bills. I don't know 0:32:54.760 --> 0:32:56.680 if you saw the deal with Brandon Bean talking about 0:32:56.760 --> 0:33:00.400 drafting receivers or not, and how that's an ordeal amongst 0:33:00.440 --> 0:33:03.280 the fans, but you know they did go get Elijah Moore, 0:33:03.320 --> 0:33:06.560 that they have Joshua Palmer there now they might have 0:33:06.640 --> 0:33:09.640 some kind of a platoon system. Yeah, I know, I'm 0:33:09.680 --> 0:33:10.480 not They're not. 0:33:10.400 --> 0:33:12.480 Touching a guy. They just those guys are not touching 0:33:12.440 --> 0:33:14.239 a guy. They just gave fifty million dollars too. 0:33:14.400 --> 0:33:16.280 I trust me. I totally agree he's going to be 0:33:16.320 --> 0:33:18.640 the top guy on this offense. But they were the 0:33:18.720 --> 0:33:21.880 number one scoring offense last year and they did something 0:33:21.920 --> 0:33:24.400 similar with their wide receiver group last year, so you 0:33:24.440 --> 0:33:27.320 know that that'd be my only argument. But again, he's cheap. 0:33:27.320 --> 0:33:28.560 I'm not going to push too much here. 0:33:28.640 --> 0:33:31.840 Let's go to your number two undervalued best ball player. 0:33:32.800 --> 0:33:37.040 Yeah, I'm gonna go with Alvin Kamara, And honestly, it's 0:33:37.120 --> 0:33:38.800 tough because he's getting up there in age two. I 0:33:38.800 --> 0:33:41.160 talked about Tyreek Hill earlier, and we talked about Joe 0:33:41.200 --> 0:33:44.560 Mixon getting up there in age I think again, another 0:33:44.640 --> 0:33:46.480 slightly fellow, if you'll allow me to use the phrase 0:33:46.520 --> 0:33:47.040 once again. 0:33:47.160 --> 0:33:49.640 How many slight fellows are there in the league? 0:33:49.640 --> 0:33:52.640 Now, Well, there's just at least two, at least two. 0:33:52.760 --> 0:33:55.960 But you know he he's been drafted as the running 0:33:55.960 --> 0:33:58.360 back twenty one and last year he was running back 0:33:58.400 --> 0:34:01.160 six in points per game and he'll had eight total touchdowns. 0:34:01.640 --> 0:34:03.120 Now that's been a kind of a trend for a 0:34:03.120 --> 0:34:05.440 few years. He hasn't had those big touchdown seasons like 0:34:05.480 --> 0:34:07.680 he did. Yeah, don't if you remember Becking, what was 0:34:07.680 --> 0:34:10.600 that twenty twenty dropped? Was it six against the Vikings? 0:34:10.680 --> 0:34:10.839 Yes? 0:34:11.280 --> 0:34:13.600 Five or six? Yeah, that was hard to get out. 0:34:13.640 --> 0:34:16.040 I got I got knocked. I lost a fantasy championship 0:34:16.080 --> 0:34:18.520 and that was a Saturday. I'm in the fantasy I'm 0:34:18.520 --> 0:34:22.160 in a Guillotine League fantasy championship, might I add? You know, 0:34:22.280 --> 0:34:25.320 so you make it all the way through seventeen weeks 0:34:25.320 --> 0:34:28.520 of cuts, you're in the championship game and it's over 0:34:28.600 --> 0:34:32.680 on Saturday when your opponent starts. Alvin Kamara it was 0:34:32.680 --> 0:34:33.160 still best. 0:34:33.440 --> 0:34:35.120 You were just going to the week like I've lost, 0:34:35.200 --> 0:34:37.239 even though I have my entire roster left the play 0:34:37.360 --> 0:34:40.239 for the most part. But you know, regardless of that, 0:34:41.000 --> 0:34:43.680 twenty twenty four was his highest scrimmage yardage total since 0:34:43.719 --> 0:34:47.000 twenty twenty So he had fourteen hundred and ninety three 0:34:47.000 --> 0:34:49.160 scrimmage yards. That was the eleventh most in the league 0:34:49.200 --> 0:34:52.719 last year behind Devon Ah Chang, who you know, he's 0:34:52.760 --> 0:34:55.359 being drafted as running back seven right now, and that's 0:34:55.360 --> 0:34:58.440 a pretty stark difference in cost. Now, granted he had 0:34:58.520 --> 0:35:01.640 a few more touchdowns and all that, but you know, 0:35:01.680 --> 0:35:04.000 I think that Alvin Kamara has a good opportunity to 0:35:04.040 --> 0:35:08.359 repeat his usage. The Saint sign Clyde Edwards a Laire 0:35:09.080 --> 0:35:11.160 drafted a sixth rounder in Devin Neil. 0:35:11.280 --> 0:35:13.440 Well, I like, you know, we've and Thorn and I 0:35:13.520 --> 0:35:16.480 talked about this just last week. I believe we both 0:35:16.520 --> 0:35:22.160 think Devin Neil is a really intriguing player to uh 0:35:22.239 --> 0:35:24.120 to target near the end and it might be the 0:35:24.200 --> 0:35:26.919 very last pick of your draft. Uh. You know, if 0:35:27.239 --> 0:35:30.160 if you think Alvin Kamara and you're right, last year 0:35:30.160 --> 0:35:32.439 he looked good. I mean, Kamara still looked a lot 0:35:32.480 --> 0:35:34.640 like the player we've seen. But if you just feel 0:35:34.719 --> 0:35:37.120 like this is this might be the beginning of the 0:35:37.200 --> 0:35:41.200 end for Alvin Kamara. Devin Neil brings the table pass 0:35:41.280 --> 0:35:45.839 catching chops, interior running chops, super good footwork. He's he's 0:35:45.880 --> 0:35:49.200 a really intriguing player and and there's something to be 0:35:49.239 --> 0:35:51.600 said about at a minimum, hancuffing those guys. So just 0:35:51.760 --> 0:35:54.080 a quick aside on Devin Neil before we should just 0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:56.480 throw him away here. I think there's, uh, there is 0:35:56.520 --> 0:35:57.759 something to like about that kid. 0:35:58.680 --> 0:36:01.520 Yeah, absolutely, only come you know. The only thing I'll 0:36:01.520 --> 0:36:03.520 say is he was a sixth rounder, so you know, 0:36:03.600 --> 0:36:06.200 at least maybe give him some time to acclimate to 0:36:06.200 --> 0:36:08.560 the NFL that that the NFL told us what they 0:36:08.600 --> 0:36:11.480 think about him. He could outperform that for sure. But 0:36:11.760 --> 0:36:13.120 and like you said, you can add him in the 0:36:13.120 --> 0:36:14.239 back of your draft if you want to go with 0:36:14.239 --> 0:36:17.920 a handcuff situation. Yeah, totally agree. But you know, as 0:36:17.920 --> 0:36:20.080 far as his main competition, I think Andre Miller is 0:36:20.120 --> 0:36:22.319 still the guy that you're the most worried about, but 0:36:22.520 --> 0:36:25.239 I'm not. At the end of last season, he was 0:36:25.360 --> 0:36:28.480 truly horrendous. Head In a final two games of the year, 0:36:28.480 --> 0:36:31.040 he had eleven rushes for eighteen yards on the ground. 0:36:31.239 --> 0:36:33.279 He had three receptions for thirty two yards. But it 0:36:33.400 --> 0:36:36.400 was really bad. And honestly, I don't know if you 0:36:36.400 --> 0:36:39.080 know this. Last year Kamara rushed sixteen point three times 0:36:39.080 --> 0:36:41.200 per game, which was the second highest in his career. 0:36:42.160 --> 0:36:43.880 So you put you but Kent. We could use that 0:36:43.880 --> 0:36:46.080 both ways, right, You could be like, look, we're just 0:36:46.160 --> 0:36:49.360 we're adding more hits onto an already what is he 0:36:49.440 --> 0:36:53.000 in his seventh year something like that at least, Yeah, yeah, 0:36:53.040 --> 0:36:55.480 you know, we're adding yet more hits and more workload 0:36:55.640 --> 0:36:58.680 onto that frame. And you know that's you know that 0:36:58.800 --> 0:37:01.160 might that might have end up that workload from last 0:37:01.200 --> 0:37:03.200 year might end up working against Alvin Kamara. 0:37:03.320 --> 0:37:04.879 Well, And that's kind of what I was going to 0:37:05.120 --> 0:37:08.040 lead into here, is that he historically has thrived on 0:37:08.320 --> 0:37:11.879 limited yet valuable touches. He's you know, obviously a really 0:37:11.920 --> 0:37:14.319 great receiver, probably one of the best receiving running backs 0:37:14.360 --> 0:37:16.360 in the game right now or the last decade or so. 0:37:17.120 --> 0:37:19.359 He's done a very good job catching the ball and 0:37:19.400 --> 0:37:23.160 making yardage out of that. So I think that he 0:37:23.239 --> 0:37:25.880 still has an opportunity to land in a twelve to 0:37:25.960 --> 0:37:29.240 thirteen rush four to seven reception range that he's always 0:37:29.320 --> 0:37:31.640 kind of done, and that's a reduction from last year, 0:37:31.680 --> 0:37:34.839 but it's enough to get those high value touches if 0:37:34.880 --> 0:37:37.399 he can have any kind of upsing on touchdowns, which 0:37:37.600 --> 0:37:39.960 you know, might be asking a lot if Derek Carr 0:37:40.000 --> 0:37:43.280 can't play, and that's something we're yet to be determined here, 0:37:43.320 --> 0:37:46.520 but I think maybe this is a little bit kind 0:37:46.520 --> 0:37:49.719 of galaxy brained, but Tyler Shuck draft pick might be 0:37:49.800 --> 0:37:51.920 a sign of confidence for Derek Carr being able to 0:37:51.920 --> 0:37:54.359 play at the beginning of the season. They really don't 0:37:54.360 --> 0:37:56.239 have a lot as far as a starting quarterback on 0:37:56.280 --> 0:37:59.800 the roster. Spencer Ratler and Ja Hayner are non starters. 0:38:00.160 --> 0:38:02.160 Do not have the confidence to put those guys out 0:38:02.160 --> 0:38:04.359 there week one, And I don't think Schuck's the guy 0:38:04.400 --> 0:38:06.719 you want playing week one either. You've probably sit him 0:38:06.719 --> 0:38:08.920 down for a season and develop them up a little bit. 0:38:09.040 --> 0:38:13.200 So if Derek Carr does start, this offense is again 0:38:13.640 --> 0:38:17.000 not great, but still decent, good enough to score some touchdowns. 0:38:17.200 --> 0:38:19.719 And if Alvin Kamara has little to no competition for 0:38:19.920 --> 0:38:22.400 you know, this year, at least I'm all in running 0:38:22.400 --> 0:38:25.120 back twenty one, that's pretty affordable and if he can 0:38:25.160 --> 0:38:28.359 repeat last year and maybe throw on another touchdown or two, 0:38:28.560 --> 0:38:30.080 that's that's making money right there. 0:38:30.840 --> 0:38:36.440 My second undervalued basketball player is Vikings running back Jordan Mason. 0:38:37.160 --> 0:38:40.520 His ADP is one hundred and six running back, thirty 0:38:40.600 --> 0:38:43.799 four off the board. They're thirty two NFL team, so 0:38:43.880 --> 0:38:47.400 this is one of the top backups going and correctly so. 0:38:47.400 --> 0:38:49.560 So there's not a lot of times where I can 0:38:49.600 --> 0:38:53.239 talk about Kent like personal experience where you know, I 0:38:53.360 --> 0:38:56.040 talked to a player. I worked the official Vikings draft 0:38:56.080 --> 0:38:58.279 party and Aaron Jones is there and I asked him. 0:38:58.360 --> 0:39:00.720 I asked Aaron Jones about his role in this offense, 0:39:00.760 --> 0:39:03.680 and he said he's going to yield short yardage carries 0:39:03.680 --> 0:39:06.600 to Jordan Mason. So you know, right from his mouth, 0:39:06.920 --> 0:39:09.040 we know that Jordan Mason is going to get those carries, 0:39:09.040 --> 0:39:12.279 and it makes sense. Aaron Jones from inside the five 0:39:12.360 --> 0:39:17.799 yard line last year thirteen carries, negative two yards and 0:39:17.960 --> 0:39:22.440 just three touchdowns on the thirteen carries. That's terrible. So 0:39:22.480 --> 0:39:25.120 here comes Jordan Mason. We know he's a good interior runner. 0:39:25.160 --> 0:39:28.840 He weighs twenty pounds more than Aaron Jones. He's his 0:39:28.880 --> 0:39:31.800 career average is five point three yards per carry. Granted 0:39:31.840 --> 0:39:35.720 I'm relatively light workloads because it's it's he's a young player. 0:39:36.239 --> 0:39:39.839 Remember the Vikings traded to get a Jordan Mason, so 0:39:39.880 --> 0:39:42.480 they gave up equity to get him, so obviously they 0:39:42.719 --> 0:39:44.959 like him. He's not going to be somebody who's gonna 0:39:44.960 --> 0:39:47.040 catch a lot of passes. But Jordan Mason is going 0:39:47.080 --> 0:39:52.359 to bring every week one touchdown, two touchdown, maybe even 0:39:52.400 --> 0:39:56.520 three touchdown offense unless JJ McCarthy's awful, and that. 0:39:56.560 --> 0:39:58.520 Is oh well, well, don't let thor hear you say. 0:39:58.719 --> 0:40:01.160 I know right exactly. I think JJ is gonna be good, 0:40:01.960 --> 0:40:04.920 but maybe I just want him to be good. But 0:40:05.000 --> 0:40:07.280 I think JJ is going to be good, and Jordan Mason, 0:40:08.000 --> 0:40:10.520 you know he's got He's going to be the touchdown 0:40:10.560 --> 0:40:13.799 guy in this offense. You could make the opposite side 0:40:13.840 --> 0:40:16.200 of this is I feel like in best ball especially, 0:40:16.320 --> 0:40:19.120 you can't touch Aaron Jones. He could be sitting on 0:40:19.160 --> 0:40:23.480 a three four touchdown season and that would that would 0:40:23.520 --> 0:40:27.200 really worry me, even at his depressed ADP. I think 0:40:27.200 --> 0:40:29.160 you can't touch Aaron Jones, who, by the way, thirty 0:40:29.200 --> 0:40:32.080 years old and has a history of getting dinged up. 0:40:32.080 --> 0:40:34.240 Although he played all the games last year for the Vikings, 0:40:34.440 --> 0:40:37.040 but that again, that might work against him at age thirty, 0:40:37.080 --> 0:40:39.879 that he was given such a big workload. So we're 0:40:39.920 --> 0:40:41.480 going to see a lot of Jordan Mason this year, 0:40:41.640 --> 0:40:43.799 and I'm buying at ADP one h six. 0:40:43.920 --> 0:40:47.400 Yeah, earlier I mentioned, you know, rushing back excuse me, 0:40:47.560 --> 0:40:50.919 running backs, rushing yards over expectation. Jordan Mason was third 0:40:50.960 --> 0:40:52.399 per attempt last year. He's good. 0:40:52.400 --> 0:40:52.799 I love it. 0:40:52.840 --> 0:40:55.120 He's good at football, and you know, I'm glad we 0:40:55.160 --> 0:40:57.440 got him in a deal that was relatively cheap from 0:40:57.480 --> 0:40:59.839 a Vikings perspective, so that should be a good one 0:40:59.840 --> 0:41:02.400 to punch in Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason. I was 0:41:02.760 --> 0:41:05.480 a little surprised to see how high his ADP came up. 0:41:05.640 --> 0:41:07.560 I was hoping it would be a little cheaper me too, 0:41:07.880 --> 0:41:11.040 But I do understand why people are excited because he 0:41:11.120 --> 0:41:13.160 has had the juice every time he touched the ball 0:41:13.280 --> 0:41:16.319 last year. So it's a lot of fun, that's for sure. 0:41:16.400 --> 0:41:19.680 There's a chance that he's better than Aaron Jones and 0:41:19.719 --> 0:41:22.040 that that this roles are gonna flip flop in Jordan 0:41:22.160 --> 0:41:25.160 Mason at some point in the year, and maybe sooner 0:41:25.160 --> 0:41:28.799 than later he turns into the Alpha Jones turns into 0:41:28.800 --> 0:41:30.799 the change of pace guy and the passing down guy 0:41:30.840 --> 0:41:34.439 because Mason can't catch there is it goes that way. 0:41:34.600 --> 0:41:37.680 All right, your final undervalued best ball player is somebody 0:41:37.719 --> 0:41:39.680 I wanted to use, but you had already picked him. 0:41:40.080 --> 0:41:42.920 So let's go agree on Juwan Jennings. 0:41:43.239 --> 0:41:46.000 All right, Yeah, I'm glad to do it again talking 0:41:46.000 --> 0:41:49.200 about someone who's he's wide receiver thirty seven right now, 0:41:49.800 --> 0:41:54.479 ADP sixty six, So he's very affordable for a guy 0:41:54.520 --> 0:41:57.239 who put up some really impressive numbers last year, and 0:41:57.360 --> 0:42:00.759 now the Deebo Samuel's gone. Brandon Aiyuk, there's still some 0:42:01.400 --> 0:42:03.800 you know, floaters in the air about him potentially being traded. 0:42:03.840 --> 0:42:07.000 I think there's a lot of tenuous conversations going on 0:42:07.040 --> 0:42:09.320 in the forty nine ers building around him. You know, 0:42:09.440 --> 0:42:12.799 Ricky pearsall who showed flashes last year and the year 0:42:12.840 --> 0:42:16.560 really strong, but he played more, you know, I would say, 0:42:16.560 --> 0:42:18.600 an average of seventy percent of the snaps and was 0:42:18.680 --> 0:42:21.440 mostly invisible for a lot of those games. So you know, 0:42:21.480 --> 0:42:22.840 at the end of the year he turned it on 0:42:22.920 --> 0:42:25.320 a bit that might translate to the entire next season. 0:42:25.360 --> 0:42:27.200 But I have a feeling that's probably going to be 0:42:27.239 --> 0:42:29.279 a trend that continues. He'll have games where he's there 0:42:29.280 --> 0:42:31.799 in games where he's not. Juwan Jennings, on the other hand, 0:42:31.960 --> 0:42:35.760 he was there every game. Yeah, he was performing outstanding 0:42:35.880 --> 0:42:39.200 and on among the forty nine ers pass catching options, 0:42:39.360 --> 0:42:42.400 Jennings was second in receiving yards per game, just Bryank Kittle, 0:42:42.600 --> 0:42:46.760 first in red zone targets, second in receiving touchdowns behind Kittle, 0:42:46.840 --> 0:42:49.759 second in yards per route run behind Kittle, second in 0:42:49.880 --> 0:42:54.080 PFF receiving grade behind Kittle. Yeah, and then of course 0:42:54.080 --> 0:42:56.719 first in targets of twenty plus yards, which is you 0:42:56.719 --> 0:42:59.239 know something that I don't know if you recall this 0:42:59.320 --> 0:43:00.960 is a while ago now. When he was coming out 0:43:01.000 --> 0:43:02.719 he was a seventh rounder. He had a really slow 0:43:02.760 --> 0:43:04.359 forty times. It was like a four to seven four 0:43:04.480 --> 0:43:06.880 or something like that, and he had some off the 0:43:06.880 --> 0:43:09.560 field stuff to really tank his stock. But he has 0:43:09.600 --> 0:43:12.560 had a lot of opportunity to work on his route tree. 0:43:12.719 --> 0:43:15.680 He's got pretty good hands. He's putting it all together. 0:43:15.960 --> 0:43:18.319 In the last year was his fourth year, entering his 0:43:18.360 --> 0:43:21.400 fifth year. Now, he's really brought himself up to a 0:43:21.480 --> 0:43:24.839 level that's been quite impressive as an NFL receiver. And 0:43:25.040 --> 0:43:28.120 he was a transition out of quarterback in high school 0:43:28.120 --> 0:43:31.320 into receiver in college. So he's twenty seven and a 0:43:31.360 --> 0:43:33.560 half years old, roughly. It took him a little while, 0:43:33.560 --> 0:43:36.440 but I think he's figured it out. And fun fact, 0:43:36.480 --> 0:43:38.239 this is a great fun fact. I absolutely had to 0:43:38.239 --> 0:43:40.680 bring this up. Juan Jennings is the second player in 0:43:40.760 --> 0:43:45.360 Super Bowl history who threw and caught a touchdown, joining 0:43:45.600 --> 0:43:48.400 who else but Nick Foles, Yes, Chars. 0:43:48.200 --> 0:43:50.480 Philly's Company special of course. 0:43:50.560 --> 0:43:53.960 Yeah, yep, you know he's and he's six three, two twelve. 0:43:53.960 --> 0:43:56.879 He's got really kind of rare size these days, as 0:43:57.200 --> 0:43:59.880 you know, the NFL gets smaller and quicker, both on 0:43:59.880 --> 0:44:03.160 the wide receivers and the cornerbacks. It's nice to have 0:44:03.200 --> 0:44:06.720 a guy who, you know, despite his concerns for his speed, 0:44:07.200 --> 0:44:11.120 is able to create separation, catch the ball with confidence, 0:44:11.920 --> 0:44:15.080 turn get up field. He could stand to improve his 0:44:15.320 --> 0:44:18.400 yack ability a little bit. That's probably his most glaring 0:44:18.800 --> 0:44:22.480 fix that needs to happen. But he's likely going to 0:44:22.560 --> 0:44:24.319 be the top receiver on the forty nine ers offense 0:44:24.360 --> 0:44:26.480 this year. I think that's I think too. 0:44:26.880 --> 0:44:28.560 I think so too. I just love him. You know, 0:44:28.640 --> 0:44:33.680 some guys are just players. And Juwan Jennings he loves 0:44:33.719 --> 0:44:37.720 to block, he loves to hit guys. He loves physical play. 0:44:38.120 --> 0:44:40.880 He's big, he's a bully. I just I love the 0:44:40.920 --> 0:44:43.600 way he plays. I think Kyle Shanahan does too. And 0:44:43.680 --> 0:44:45.759 I agree that he's going to lead the forty nine ers. 0:44:46.040 --> 0:44:50.719 And given his ADP of wide receiver thirty seven, I'm in. 0:44:51.320 --> 0:44:53.879 I'm in. That's a that is a you know, it's 0:44:53.880 --> 0:44:56.000 I don't think it's gonna be a great San Francisco offense, 0:44:56.040 --> 0:44:58.279 and it'll be a good San Francisco offense and I 0:44:58.280 --> 0:45:00.719 can get the best receiver at wide receiver thirty seven, 0:45:00.760 --> 0:45:03.720 pick sixty six overall, I'll take it for Juwan Jennings. 0:45:05.120 --> 0:45:07.319 All right. Our last player to be covered in this show, 0:45:08.600 --> 0:45:13.760 My final undervalued best ball player is David Montgomery. ADP 0:45:13.960 --> 0:45:18.640 is picked seventy two, running back twenty four. Hey, Ken, 0:45:19.480 --> 0:45:20.799 do you like touchdowns? 0:45:22.200 --> 0:45:23.799 I've enjoyed them from time to time. 0:45:23.920 --> 0:45:30.800 Yes, no touchdown enjoyer. Yes. If I told you right now, 0:45:31.239 --> 0:45:35.520 David Montgomery is going to lead the NFL in rushing 0:45:35.560 --> 0:45:39.960 touchdowns in twenty twenty five. Is that a plausible statement. 0:45:41.400 --> 0:45:43.560 Plausible Yes, for sure, Yes, I. 0:45:43.520 --> 0:45:46.760 Mean that's not it is absolutely in the realm of possibility. 0:45:47.000 --> 0:45:50.880 And he's running back twenty four in Best Ball. You know, 0:45:51.040 --> 0:45:54.560 we know the Lions love to run the ball near 0:45:54.600 --> 0:45:57.560 the stripe, and that's not going away with Ben Johnson. 0:45:57.640 --> 0:45:59.959 Dan Campbell is going to do. That's a Dan camp 0:46:00.400 --> 0:46:02.840 that if Dan Gambele is he is going to punish 0:46:02.920 --> 0:46:05.719 you at the stripe. The Lions over the last two 0:46:05.719 --> 0:46:09.040 seasons have ranked number one in rushing attempts from inside 0:46:09.080 --> 0:46:12.919 the five yard line. And they've done that without having 0:46:12.960 --> 0:46:15.680 a quarterback doing the tush push to inflate those stats, 0:46:15.920 --> 0:46:19.040 having Josh Allen do inflace those stats. Jared Goff's not 0:46:19.120 --> 0:46:22.040 running the ball from the three yard line, that's all 0:46:22.160 --> 0:46:25.879 they're running backs. And more Montgomery than Jamiir Gibbs and 0:46:26.239 --> 0:46:28.640 the other side that I like about Montgomery, not just 0:46:28.680 --> 0:46:31.799 the touchdown upside, which in Best Ball we do. We 0:46:32.400 --> 0:46:35.920 want touchdown upside. We want those explosive games where David 0:46:35.920 --> 0:46:37.600 Montgomery gets you two or three in a game, which 0:46:37.760 --> 0:46:42.560 which he's done many times. But if anything God forbid 0:46:42.640 --> 0:46:45.279 were to happen to Jamier Gibbs. You've got a top 0:46:45.320 --> 0:46:48.439 five running back for your best ball team, so there's 0:46:49.080 --> 0:46:52.160 a ton to like at David Montgomery at eightp. Seventy two, 0:46:52.239 --> 0:46:53.759 I believe. Are you with me on this. 0:46:53.760 --> 0:46:58.080 Ken, Yeah, I think the biggest challenge to David Montgomery 0:46:58.080 --> 0:47:00.919 scoring a touchdown inside the three is Jumior Gibbs scoring 0:47:00.960 --> 0:47:02.880 it from inside the ten. I think that's the biggest 0:47:02.960 --> 0:47:05.120 challenge because they're going to score, it's just a matter 0:47:05.160 --> 0:47:06.520 of who it's going to be. And honestly, I'm on 0:47:06.600 --> 0:47:08.839 Rossain Brown's a great red zone threat as well. 0:47:10.320 --> 0:47:13.359 Right, Yeah, They've got Yeah, they've got so many they 0:47:13.400 --> 0:47:15.960 have so many players that there's gonna be variants with Montgomery, 0:47:15.960 --> 0:47:18.879 but it's best Ball. We're embracing the variants here, Kent. 0:47:19.400 --> 0:47:22.879 That's right, Yes, absolutely, yeah, I'm in on that one. 0:47:23.880 --> 0:47:26.760 Like you said, so, I don't there's no visual component 0:47:26.800 --> 0:47:29.239 to this particular podcast right now. But I raise my 0:47:29.280 --> 0:47:31.000 eyebrows when you said what his price tag was. I 0:47:31.040 --> 0:47:32.920 had not even looked at that one specifically yet, so 0:47:33.000 --> 0:47:36.040 that that is honestly a very very affordable price point. 0:47:36.040 --> 0:47:38.359 I would love to buy in on the potential for 0:47:38.480 --> 0:47:41.200 fifteen touchdowns. Yes, if you want to, if you want 0:47:41.200 --> 0:47:42.480 to go towards that route. 0:47:42.560 --> 0:47:47.120 Yeah, if Montgomery plays a full season of seventeen games, 0:47:47.760 --> 0:47:50.360 I think he is sitting at that twelve thirteen, fourteen 0:47:50.360 --> 0:47:53.680 to fifteen sixteen touchdown range because it's just it's such 0:47:53.680 --> 0:47:56.040 a good offense and we know they're going to run 0:47:56.080 --> 0:47:59.719 the ball. So yeah, David Montgomery, our final guy. Thank 0:47:59.760 --> 0:48:03.400 you listening. Everybody had great job. I'd like to have 0:48:03.480 --> 0:48:07.480 you this time. I have you back in next week. 0:48:07.360 --> 0:48:08.440 I believe. Yeah, or. 0:48:10.320 --> 0:48:13.279 All right, spoiler alert right now. Every everybody thought it 0:48:13.280 --> 0:48:14.680 was gonna be ten months and then you'd come back 0:48:14.719 --> 0:48:17.720 and they'd all be pleasantly surprised next week or well, 0:48:18.480 --> 0:48:20.360 cats out of the bank. We'll have you back next week. 0:48:20.680 --> 0:48:22.759 And uh, I'm trying to remember what what's our? What 0:48:22.880 --> 0:48:24.399 is our? What are we talking about? Next week? 0:48:24.600 --> 0:48:26.080 We are breaking down the divisions. 0:48:26.360 --> 0:48:28.719 Oh yeah, we're going to start our divisional breakdowns. Right, 0:48:28.800 --> 0:48:32.319 so we're we've got uh, we've got I believe six 0:48:32.400 --> 0:48:34.200 shows or is it three shows? I think trying to 0:48:34.200 --> 0:48:37.200 remember we're doing two four show We're. 0:48:37.120 --> 0:48:41.120 Going, uh direction, Yeah, that is it, NFC East first 0:48:41.719 --> 0:48:42.279 around the Horn. 0:48:42.480 --> 0:48:46.080 We're going to highlight notable changes and offenses for each 0:48:46.320 --> 0:48:49.439 of the divisions beginning next week with Ken. Stay tuned 0:48:49.480 --> 0:48:52.719 for that, everybody, and thank you for listening. Fantasy Football 0:48:52.719 --> 0:48:55.840 Weekly is a production of iHeart Radio. For more podcasts 0:48:55.840 --> 0:48:59.840 from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever 0:48:59.880 --> 0:49:01.400 you listen to your favorite shows.