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Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio.

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Speaker 2: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly

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Speaker 2: source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and

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Speaker 2: whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show.

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Speaker 2: Now here's your host, Paul Charchian.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul Charchian. Very

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Speaker 1: happy to have you here this week and not making

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Speaker 1: his debut second time ever. We've got co host kent

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Speaker 1: Y Rock.

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Speaker 3: Hi. Kent, Hey, Paul, how's it going. Thanks for bringing

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Speaker 3: me back. I know it's been a while, but I

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Speaker 3: appreciate the reinvitation.

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Speaker 1: We felt like the last time was good enough to

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Speaker 1: bring you back, but not for a year.

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Speaker 3: Yeah that makes sense.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we need it.

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Speaker 3: Well.

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Speaker 1: Cooling off period, I think to let you know, let

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Speaker 1: you really reflect on the Fantasy Football Weekly culture, values, listenership,

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Speaker 1: and you know, just maybe give you some time to

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Speaker 1: really get yourself set up correctly with the right frame

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Speaker 1: of mind. It was, you know, the last time was good.

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Speaker 1: It's good, you know, but you know, not so good

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Speaker 1: that we felt like we needed to have you back

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Speaker 1: in eleven months.

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Speaker 3: That's fine. I had a whole year. I could watch

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Speaker 3: football and kind of enjoy my fantasy leagues and go

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Speaker 3: through the whole draft process. So I've been busy.

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Speaker 1: It's all right, good. I am coming to you listeners

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Speaker 1: once again, like last week, from my closet. And I

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Speaker 1: explained this last week. And we don't spend a lot

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Speaker 1: of time on our on our personal lives in the show,

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Speaker 1: and maybe we should do more in the off season especially,

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Speaker 1: I don't know. But as I said last week, I've

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Speaker 1: moved into this new house in Utah, but I don't

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Speaker 1: have furniture yet, and so all the rooms are empty

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Speaker 1: and echoey, with the one exception of my closet, because

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Speaker 1: there are there's carpeting, there's clothing, and so I am

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Speaker 1: sitting in my closet. Kent, you can see it because

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Speaker 1: you can. You've got video right here. There's there's a

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Speaker 1: non zero chance that my wife's under things are in

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Speaker 1: the background somewhere. I don't know. Hopefully that's not the case.

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Speaker 1: We'll find we'll find out, I guess. But yeah, So

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Speaker 1: that's if it sounds a little bit different, that's why

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Speaker 1: in the closet. But Kent, no such constraints for you.

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Speaker 3: No, my office is just about as small as a closet,

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Speaker 3: but it's a little bigger. So hopefully that goes not

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Speaker 3: too bad in here either.

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Speaker 1: I think it's gonna I think it's gonna go great,

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Speaker 1: and we're excited to have you here at the your

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Speaker 1: real life job as data scientist. And I think what

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Speaker 1: I loved about having you on last time, as we

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Speaker 1: in a serious vein, is you you love grinding up

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Speaker 1: data and a lot of times, you know, our opinions

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Speaker 1: mean something. I test means something. You and I are

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Speaker 1: gonna have an eye test different difference of opinion later

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Speaker 1: in the show. But I love when people can find

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Speaker 1: ways to validate their arguments with statistics data. And you're

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Speaker 1: probably gonna put me to shame, Kent. I am not

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Speaker 1: a data scientist. I'm just I'm just Paul.

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Speaker 3: Well, you know, at the end of the day, Fantasy

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Speaker 3: Football is a case environments. So I think any predictions

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Speaker 3: that are going to be made on the show come

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Speaker 3: with a lot of variants, and you know, it's it's

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Speaker 3: a lot of fun to kind of grind the data

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Speaker 3: and pull in you know, trends and stuff like that.

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Speaker 3: But at the end of the day, there's a lot

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Speaker 3: of injuries trades, weird things that happen every year, so

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Speaker 3: it can fall apart very quickly. I just like doing it.

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Speaker 3: It's a lot of fun. But yeah, we'll go back

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Speaker 3: and forth on it, for sure.

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Speaker 1: That is a deal. What the they are are primary.

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Speaker 1: Primarily today we're going to talk about best ball players

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Speaker 1: you and I've You've done I know many best ball drafts.

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Speaker 1: I've done several. Although now that I'm in Utah, this

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Speaker 1: is something I really hadn't hadn't thought given a lot

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Speaker 1: of thought about I can't play basketball in Utah. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Utah is a legal state. I don't think

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Speaker 1: I haven't. I have not tried because I've been so

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Speaker 1: busy with my move, But I think I don't know

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Speaker 1: that I can play from here. I don't think. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Utah is a state. Now. Fortunately, I'm very

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Speaker 1: near the board of both Arizona and and Nevada, so

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Speaker 1: I can drive like forty five minutes and go scratch

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Speaker 1: that itch.

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Speaker 3: Go right across the border, pull your phone out, do

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Speaker 3: a couple.

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Speaker 1: Of exactly That's exactly. When I was living in Minneapolis,

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Speaker 1: I had to drive all the way to the border

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Speaker 1: of Iowa. So you know, that was almost two hours

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Speaker 1: to get there. So this is is in that regard

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Speaker 1: that's better from a sports betting standpoint. But I could

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Speaker 1: play best ball in Minnesota. It's it's absurd that every

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Speaker 1: state is different, right, So some states you can do

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Speaker 1: best ball and betting. Some states you can do betting

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Speaker 1: not best ball, some you can do best ball not betting,

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Speaker 1: and some you can do neither.

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Speaker 3: And they can't seem to make up their minds about

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Speaker 3: what way it should be.

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Speaker 1: Well, I think I know, but we can. You know,

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Speaker 1: I think our listeners probably know where I stand on this.

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Speaker 1: We've identified are for each of us are three most

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Speaker 1: undervalued and overvalued players for best ball in particular. So

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Speaker 1: we're putting on a lens of a best ball And

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Speaker 1: tell me kent for you. When you're talking best ball

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Speaker 1: as opposed to redraft, Dynasty, higher quillotine, or any other

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Speaker 1: format that you like, what are the things that that

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Speaker 1: make it, that make that go into your best ball

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Speaker 1: decision making that's different from the other formats.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. So one thing that I like to think about

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Speaker 3: a lot is you know, if am I going to

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Speaker 3: have a tough time deciding to start this player on

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Speaker 3: a weekly basis. In a redraft league, I might avoid them,

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Speaker 3: but in a basketball league, you don't really have to

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Speaker 3: think about that. Yeah, you know, you're just aiming for

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Speaker 3: you know, overall points, but also spike weeks where they're

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Speaker 3: going out and scoring three touchdowns or something like that.

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Speaker 3: So high scoring offense is definitely come into play quite

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Speaker 3: a bit if you're looking for guys that are going

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Speaker 3: to contribute in the scoring column. So that's probably the

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Speaker 3: biggest difference, is you just want those high upside guys,

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Speaker 3: that kind of asymmetrical upside, because the lowest thing can

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Speaker 3: go well, I shouldn't say the lowest. I've seen negative

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Speaker 3: scores technically, but yes, for the most part, the lowest

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Speaker 3: score is zero. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: And you know, for me, this is almost like taking

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Speaker 1: everything I look for in a guillotine league player and

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Speaker 1: just reversing it. I'll just do the opposite of all

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Speaker 1: of those guys. You know, we are looking for higher

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Speaker 1: variance players. We are looking We don't ding players for

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Speaker 1: being as in for being inconsistent as much. We want

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Speaker 1: players where if things break right, they have a chance

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Speaker 1: to be league winners. Who want more lottery ticket guys.

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Speaker 1: I think in some cases backup runners have more value.

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Speaker 1: We'll talk about a lot of those, a lot of

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Speaker 1: those different best ball opportunities as we talk through our

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Speaker 1: undervalued and overvalued players. Ken, let's start here. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: start with overvalued players, and I would like you to

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Speaker 1: go first and talk about somebody that you're not taking

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Speaker 1: at ADP.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. So this is gonna be an interesting one, and

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Speaker 3: I know that we may come come to come to

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Speaker 3: blows up this one, but Bucky Irving is gonna be

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Speaker 3: my first selection for overvalued. I want to make one

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Speaker 3: thing very clear right up front. I love Bucky Irving

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Speaker 3: as a player. He's a great player. He had a

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Speaker 3: great rookie season. He's on a great offense. This all

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Speaker 3: sounds rate, but he's currently going at the twenty second

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Speaker 3: overall pick on underdog drafts and that's RB nine. So

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Speaker 3: he's going to be your running back one almost certainly,

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Speaker 3: unless you do some kind of running back running back

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Speaker 3: double up up top. But he's got a lot of

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Speaker 3: equity going into that draft selection. So you know, last

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Speaker 3: year he was drafted a round fourteen fifteen. He was

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Speaker 3: one of those lottery tickets we were talking about. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: and the scoring that you got out of him was

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Speaker 3: immensely valuable because you were able to spend such a

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Speaker 3: late pick on him. But this year, if you're you know,

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Speaker 3: second maybe third round, if you're absolutely lucky, is the

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Speaker 3: only way you can actually get him on your roster.

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Speaker 3: So the biggest thing for me is that this Tampa

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Speaker 3: Bay Buccaneers offense is bringing back a lot of guys

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Speaker 3: and then also brought in an additional receiver, so they

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Speaker 3: have a good stable of running backs, you know, regardless

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Speaker 3: of there's been you know, qualms about Rashad White as

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Speaker 3: a lead back, and that's understandable. But last year you

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Speaker 3: did see them begin to go in more of a

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Speaker 3: three headed drag in kind of deployment system where they

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Speaker 3: were using all of them interchangeably. Even though Bucking Irving

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Speaker 3: was the lead and getting a lot of work, they

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Speaker 3: were still rotating in Rashod White, still rotating in Sean Tucker,

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Speaker 3: who had a couple of big spots back last year.

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Speaker 3: And you know, frankly, all these guys did very well.

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Speaker 3: By the advanced metrics that I looked at. There's a

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Speaker 3: step that I used called rushing yards over expectation, which

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Speaker 3: basically takes into account you know where they are on

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Speaker 3: the field, what the scheme is like, and a variety

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Speaker 3: of different attributes for that individual down and says they

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Speaker 3: could run for three and a half yards, but they

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Speaker 3: ran for five instead, so that's one and a half

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Speaker 3: more yards. Yeah, And so you know, all three of

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Speaker 3: these guys were positive last year, and if we're looking

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Speaker 3: at just between the tackles, Bucky Irving was technically the

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Speaker 3: lowest of the three. Sean Tucker was at one point four,

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Speaker 3: Shot White one point one, and Bucky Irving ato point

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Speaker 3: eight over expectation. So again, they all were good, and

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Speaker 3: Bucky Irving was just the least.

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Speaker 1: Good, But that's also just between the tackles.

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Speaker 3: Correct, sure, totally and I totally understand that he's going

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Speaker 3: to be the lead back in his backfield. The question

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Speaker 3: is how much is he going to be on the

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Speaker 3: field if they are going to rotate through Rashad White's

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Speaker 3: technically a better pass blocking running back. You know, on

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Speaker 3: seventy nine pass blocking snaps, White is just seven pressures

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Speaker 3: in one sack last year and Bucky Irving on only

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Speaker 3: twenty eight pass blocking snaps allowed four pressures and three sacks.

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Speaker 3: And you know that could go quarterbacks are largely responsible

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Speaker 3: for when they're they're getting sacked on a pressure or not.

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Speaker 3: But it's still a somewhat telling that that was able

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Speaker 3: to occur on a much lower amount of snaps. So

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Speaker 3: they're they're probably going to trust them a little bit

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Speaker 3: less than Rashad White. And then you know, like I said,

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Speaker 3: they drafted I Mecha Agbuka and he's going to be great.

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Speaker 3: He's going to you know, hopefully contribute very early on

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Speaker 3: in his offense. He's super awesome receivers.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I think he will be a contributor,

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Speaker 1: But I don't I don't necessarily see that is a

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Speaker 1: bad thing. I like, I feel like this is a

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Speaker 1: rising boats thing. If you if you just put more

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Speaker 1: and more weapons on an offense, I just feel like

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Speaker 1: that's more trips over the fifty yard line, more trips

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Speaker 1: into the red zone, more trips at the stripe where

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Speaker 1: Bucky Irving is gonna get paid.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and I guess you're gonna hope that he's gonna

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Speaker 3: have a ten plus touchdown season. That would be one

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Speaker 3: way that he could pay off.

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Speaker 1: Kenny had an eight touchdown season last year. Didn't even

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Speaker 1: start games until halfway through the season.

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Speaker 3: Totally true. But again, it's just that that cost associated

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Speaker 3: with it that I think is the biggest hang up

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Speaker 3: for me. And you know, I'm not saying I won't

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Speaker 3: draft him if he does fall to the third round

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Speaker 3: and I have a good, you know, maybe running back

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Speaker 3: wide receiver setup. He's an awesome dude to take us

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Speaker 3: your second running back, I'm totally in on that. But

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Speaker 3: if he's your first running back, I am going to

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Speaker 3: steer clear and maybe go for more of a like

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Speaker 3: zero or beat type build or something like that. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: I don't know, it's just it's just expensive. I think

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Speaker 3: that's the biggest reason. Love the player, hate the cost.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you and I. You and I are different on

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Speaker 1: this and and we'll see if we have other differences.

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Speaker 1: I love Bucky Irving part of its eye test to do.

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Speaker 1: I think he's I think he is the hardest running

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Speaker 1: full time back in the NFL right now. The metrics

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Speaker 1: are eye popping. You know, you gave some of the

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Speaker 1: down metrics, I'll give some of the up metrics on

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Speaker 1: Bucky Irving. He finished third in avoided tackle rate among

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Speaker 1: players at least one hundred and twenty carries, a twenty

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Speaker 1: seven percent avoided tackle rate. He finished at five and

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Speaker 1: a half yards per carry, and his third down conversion

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Speaker 1: rate was eighty percent, which was highest than the highest

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Speaker 1: in the league among NFL starting backs. There's I just

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Speaker 1: I think this guy is. I think Bucky Irving is

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Speaker 1: a special player. I'm happy to get him at his

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Speaker 1: at his ADP, which is where is his ADP again?

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Speaker 1: Right here?

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Speaker 3: I had him at twenty two.

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Speaker 1: Over twenty two, yep, twenty two running back nine. Honestly,

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Speaker 1: I think it's light he's going to be. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: put on my first rankings the year next week, I expect,

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Speaker 1: and I think he's gonna be. He's gonna off the

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Speaker 1: board in Bestball at running back nine. On underdog. I

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Speaker 1: think I'm gonna have him closer to running back five.

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Speaker 1: So this is just one they use. I think you

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Speaker 1: and I yep, I think you and I are just

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Speaker 1: gonna gonna agree to disagree on that one. My overvalued player,

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Speaker 1: my first overvalue player, a guy was nervous about for

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Speaker 1: a lot of Fantasy Football Weekly Is last year. This

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Speaker 1: one comes a big surprise to people. Joe Mixon, his

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Speaker 1: ADP is fifty, He's running back fifteen, and here's my quibbles,

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Speaker 1: Kent and feel free to jump in anytime. Houston's rebuild

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Speaker 1: offensive line tons of question marks. They were awful last year.

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Speaker 1: They ranked thirtieth in run block win rate, they were

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Speaker 1: twenty seventh in Pro Football Focuses run blocking ranking, and

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Speaker 1: all they did to improve their starting rotation they turned

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Speaker 1: away Laramie Tunsel. And I don't blame him for that either.

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Speaker 1: He was as overpaid as a player as there was

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. But they backfilled him with Cam Robinson,

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Speaker 1: who you'll remember the Jaguars traded for a ham Sandwich

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Speaker 1: to the Vikings. The Vikings started him only because they

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Speaker 1: had to, and then in this offseason the Vikings let

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Speaker 1: him walk, and then they signed Cam Rombinson at left tackle.

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Speaker 1: This will be his third team in two years. And

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Speaker 1: then the other part that worries me about Mixing was

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Speaker 1: how you know, he started off the season really well,

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Speaker 1: got heard, came back still look pretty good, and then

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Speaker 1: he just he just ran out of gas last year.

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Speaker 1: He's had two thousand, three hundred career touches spanning eight seasons.

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Speaker 1: He's going to turn twenty nine years old in a

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Speaker 1: couple of months, and I'm just worried that the end

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Speaker 1: is here for Joe Mixon, and I don't know that

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Speaker 1: it is Kent because the offensive line was so bad.

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of back sort of struggled last

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Speaker 1: year behind this Houston offensive line. But I'd kind of

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Speaker 1: rather get out a year early than a year too late.

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Speaker 1: Last six games of last year for Joe Mixon Kent.

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Speaker 1: He drooped to twenty ninth in rushing yards over the

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Speaker 1: last six games of last year, thirty first in yards

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Speaker 1: per carry at just three point four, which is miserable,

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Speaker 1: and he dropped a twenty fifth and avoided tackle rate,

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Speaker 1: which you can't blame on the offensive line. So I'm

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Speaker 1: just worried. I think I'd rather get out a year

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Speaker 1: early on Joe Mixon, and I think this is the

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Speaker 1: year to get out. What do you think?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not going to fight you too much on

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Speaker 3: this one. He's kind of at the age cliff. He's

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Speaker 3: at the touch cliff, like you were talking about. He

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Speaker 3: saw a big reduction in kind of his value last year.

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Speaker 3: The offense overall had a lot of struggles. Even CJ.

301
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Speaker 3: Stroud himself is not free to blame in this offense.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, that's tough. The only saving grace is that

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Speaker 3: he really has no competition. I don't think that anyone

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Speaker 3: is going to step up and steal a ton of work.

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Speaker 1: That is correct.

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Speaker 3: That is, if you truly want the volume, you can

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Speaker 3: take it. But again, you talk about that upside, I

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Speaker 3: don't think he has much.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's go to your next over valued best

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Speaker 1: ball player. Who are you going with for your second?

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Speaker 1: Your second guy?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Tyreek Hill. This one just

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Speaker 3: feels too easy right now. Honestly, he's going twenty fourth

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Speaker 3: overall wide receiver thirteen. You know, he was drafted as

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Speaker 3: a top five wide receiver for years, and he's not

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Speaker 3: much lower than that, despite having a truly horrific season

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Speaker 3: last year, at least for his case. And he's thirty

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Speaker 3: one years old, frankly, I mean, he's getting up there

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Speaker 3: in age. Even though he is, you know, a slighter fellow,

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Speaker 3: he's able to probably handle that a little bit better

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Speaker 3: than some of the slighter receivers.

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Speaker 1: Slighter fellow, slighter fellow.

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Speaker 3: You know, he's a little whispy guy out there. He

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Speaker 3: runs fast and that's part of his deal. But you know,

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Speaker 3: last year he was wide receiver thirty three in PPR

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Speaker 3: points per game, and you are not happy if you

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Speaker 3: get that out of him this year. And as far

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Speaker 3: as I remember, he didn't even have any truly explosive

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Speaker 3: weeks either. It was like, you hope he got a

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Speaker 3: touchdown just so you could have a normal fantasy week

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Speaker 3: out of Tyreek Kill. So you know, this is another team,

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Speaker 3: the Miami Dolphins, that has some offensive line issues. That's

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Speaker 3: an interesting rough shape. Yes, yeah, Toronto Arstaid is retired.

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Speaker 3: They signed James Daniels, which is an okay signing, and

335
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Speaker 3: they drafted Jonah seven Aya. I think I'm saying that right.

336
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Speaker 3: I hope I am in round two. But their offensive

337
00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:22,240
Speaker 3: tackles are two guys named Patrick Paul and Austin Jackson.

338
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Speaker 3: And I'll give you a bonus points if you can

339
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Speaker 3: tell me how good they are. But they're just league

340
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Speaker 3: average at best, and they're gonna have a lot of

341
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Speaker 3: issues getting this offense moving, kind of similar to the

342
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Speaker 3: Houston issues over there. But yeah, in twenty twenty four,

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Speaker 3: career lows in yards per route run, yards per target,

344
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Speaker 3: yack after the reception PFF for receiving grade, and he

345
00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:48,080
Speaker 3: tied his rookie season touchdown total as well, but he

346
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Speaker 3: had forty more targets in twenty twenty four, So that's

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Speaker 3: a low for me. It was tough, and if you

348
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Speaker 3: had him, you were not in good shape. And frankly,

349
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Speaker 3: at wide receiver thirteen, I'm not interested. I'm I'm tapping

350
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Speaker 3: out probably on the Miami Dolphins. Dolphins offense in totality

351
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Speaker 3: at their current prices. We may talk about that a

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Speaker 3: little bit more in a bit, but uh, yeah, it's

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Speaker 3: it's tough.

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Speaker 1: I had Tyreek Hill on my list until I saw

355
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Speaker 1: he was on your list, so I was also going

356
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Speaker 1: to do Tyreek Hill, and I think there's, uh, there

357
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Speaker 1: was there's a lot of good reason for that. For

358
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Speaker 1: that you've you've outlined here. Not touching him at twenty

359
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Speaker 1: fourth overall wide receiver thirteen, I don't even know. I

360
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Speaker 1: I you know, the whole two situation as well, is uh,

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Speaker 1: there's just to me, there's just, uh, there's just too

362
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Speaker 1: much risk here for Tyreek Hill at that price point.

363
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Speaker 1: My next over valued player is Marvin Harrison Junior, going

364
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Speaker 1: off the board at pick number twenty eight, Wide receiver sixteen.

365
00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:52,600
Speaker 1: You know, at that ADP kent you he people are

366
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Speaker 1: assuming he's going to get way way better in year

367
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Speaker 1: number two, and I'm not sure that's a safe assumption.

368
00:18:00,320 --> 00:18:03,480
Speaker 1: I hope he does. I hope I'm wrong. He will

369
00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:06,159
Speaker 1: be better next year. I think there's you know, almost

370
00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:08,720
Speaker 1: certainly be better, but so much better that he should

371
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Speaker 1: be going off the board at the twenty eighth pick.

372
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Speaker 1: He wasn't even close to the twenty eighth receiver last year.

373
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Speaker 1: And you know, what we saw last year, to me

374
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Speaker 1: was really troubling. And he was Pro Football focuses wide

375
00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:26,439
Speaker 1: receiver thirty five. He ranked thirty fourth in yards. He

376
00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:30,119
Speaker 1: had one more yard than John Neusmith. That's it, thirty

377
00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:33,760
Speaker 1: seventh in yards after reception. He had two point four

378
00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:37,600
Speaker 1: yards after reception among wide receivers that was thirty seventh.

379
00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:40,879
Speaker 1: That kent two point four yards after reception. You were

380
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Speaker 1: getting you're basically getting tackled and falling forward at that

381
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Speaker 1: point to get your two point four yards at the

382
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Speaker 1: point of the catch. He finished worse than wide receiver

383
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Speaker 1: forty seven different times last year Marvin Harrison. So you know,

384
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Speaker 1: he needs to get so much better from the verse

385
00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:03,800
Speaker 1: we saw last year to live up to ADP twenty

386
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Speaker 1: eight that I don't think Marvin Harrison can get there,

387
00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:08,560
Speaker 1: And I'd have felt better if they'd added a second

388
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Speaker 1: wide receiver opposite side of the field that was going

389
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Speaker 1: to take some of the defensive pressure off Marvin Harrison.

390
00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:18,359
Speaker 1: That is Zay Jones. That doesn't even count. So I

391
00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:21,080
Speaker 1: am out on Marvin Harrison at ADP twenty eight. What

392
00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:21,520
Speaker 1: do you think?

393
00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:24,280
Speaker 3: Yeah? I think the only thing I'll say here is

394
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Speaker 3: that you know, he had eight hundred and eighty five

395
00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:32,120
Speaker 3: yards and eight touchdowns. That's for a rookie season. Pretty good.

396
00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:35,120
Speaker 3: And you know, we for the longest time had this

397
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,920
Speaker 3: like third year breakout kind of strategy for wide receivers.

398
00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:41,040
Speaker 3: We waited a few years, we let them develop. Marveson

399
00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:44,240
Speaker 3: Harrison Junior certainly was seen as a top flight prospect.

400
00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:47,600
Speaker 3: You know, he's got the name, the family value there,

401
00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:51,520
Speaker 3: and honestly, he had a really great prospect profile. I

402
00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:53,359
Speaker 3: think it was just kind of a tough fit in

403
00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:57,480
Speaker 3: Arizona offense. You know, he's a lot better in kind

404
00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,440
Speaker 3: of the contested catch situations. Like you said, he would

405
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:02,240
Speaker 3: catch it and fall forward as pretty much all he

406
00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:05,199
Speaker 3: was doing. But they need to get him moving on

407
00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:07,640
Speaker 3: a little bit different routes go a little bit more laterally,

408
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:09,960
Speaker 3: try and make some space for him in the scheme,

409
00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:12,320
Speaker 3: and I think things could go a little better. I

410
00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,720
Speaker 3: agree with you, I'm probably not going to be drafting him.

411
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:20,080
Speaker 3: I do remain skeptical but hopeful about his year two

412
00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:21,240
Speaker 3: and beyond progress. Though.

413
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Speaker 1: I hope I'm wrong about Marvin Harrison Kent. I hope

414
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:25,560
Speaker 1: he has a great season. Let's go to your third

415
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Speaker 1: and final over valued best ball player.

416
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Speaker 3: Yeah, this is another price point problem, and it's Colston Lovelin,

417
00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:37,240
Speaker 3: the new rookie on the Chicago Bears, drafted even before

418
00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:40,280
Speaker 3: Tyler Warren, which I think was a shock to many people.

419
00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:43,439
Speaker 3: Maybe not everyone, but those two guys were certainly seeing

420
00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:46,040
Speaker 3: as the top two tight ends in his draft class.

421
00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:50,240
Speaker 3: He's being drafted at one ten, so we're looking at

422
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:53,760
Speaker 3: the ninth round roughly and tight end nine. So people

423
00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:56,160
Speaker 3: think he's ready to step in and be a tight

424
00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:58,879
Speaker 3: end one the top twelve tight ends for this season.

425
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 3: I'm not so gung ho about that. You know, he's

426
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 3: probably gonna be a good player, but if you're expecting

427
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:07,720
Speaker 3: anything like what Brock Bauers did last year, you're going

428
00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:12,280
Speaker 3: to be gravely gravely disappointed. Uh and he had roughly

429
00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:14,600
Speaker 3: the same ADP last year as Loveland does. This year

430
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:18,159
Speaker 3: brought Bowers. So I think a lot of people are

431
00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 3: kind of riding on those coattails a little bit and

432
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Speaker 3: thinking that Loveland could do something similar. You know, Cole

433
00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:26,800
Speaker 3: Comett is still in this offense. They're gonna use a

434
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 3: lot of twelve personnel. Ben Johnson, whose new in town,

435
00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:32,359
Speaker 3: loves Dude's twelve personnel. They were third most in the

436
00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:35,640
Speaker 3: league last year for the Lions, that is thirty two

437
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,600
Speaker 3: point two percent. So Cole Comette's gonna be on the

438
00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:42,119
Speaker 3: field too. They're gonna, you know, utilize probably both of

439
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:44,840
Speaker 3: them in the one tight end sets as well. So

440
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:48,639
Speaker 3: if you're getting more than seventy percent snaps out of Loveland,

441
00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:50,879
Speaker 3: I'd be shocked. I think he's gonna be more of

442
00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:56,320
Speaker 3: those middle percentages. And you know, going back to twenty ten,

443
00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,960
Speaker 3: only six instances of tight ends in their rookie season

444
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,439
Speaker 3: had more than ten PPR points per game in their

445
00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:06,399
Speaker 3: rookie year. So yes, I don't I don't particularly believe

446
00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 3: that Loveland is going to be the guy to do

447
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:12,000
Speaker 3: like what Brock Bauers did or anything remotely similar. We

448
00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:14,120
Speaker 3: need we still need to see it from Caleb Williams

449
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:17,399
Speaker 3: on his Bears offense before Yeah, I can trust you know,

450
00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:20,439
Speaker 3: the third, fourth, fifth option on this offense. Who knows

451
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:22,200
Speaker 3: right now? They still have a lot of good pass

452
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 3: catchers there, so it's gonna be very interesting. But yeah,

453
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:28,560
Speaker 3: Titan nine, I will not be drafting Colston Loveland this

454
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,159
Speaker 3: year unless he dips considerably.

455
00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:34,199
Speaker 1: The I'm with you one hundred percent on everything you

456
00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:37,080
Speaker 1: just said. Let me give you another another example. We

457
00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 1: all assumed Dalton Kincaid would just mow down Dawson Knox,

458
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 1: and for two years that hasn't happened. You know, we

459
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,440
Speaker 1: saw flashes where he looked better than Dawson Knox, but honestly,

460
00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:50,679
Speaker 1: you know, it's almost a timeshare between those two for

461
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 1: two straight years. And Kincaid had first round equity as well.

462
00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 1: And you know the other thing about Bowers is Bowers

463
00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 1: on a team where though there was nobody else to

464
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:03,480
Speaker 1: even get the ball to, Chicago's got so many more options.

465
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:06,719
Speaker 1: Everybody thinks Romadoonza it's sitting on a big season that

466
00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:09,160
Speaker 1: he's gonna break out. They added Luther Burden, They've got

467
00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:12,160
Speaker 1: DJ Moore. You know, they've got so many other weapons

468
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,720
Speaker 1: they don't have to funnel their offense to their rookie

469
00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:18,080
Speaker 1: tight end the same way the Raiders did. So I

470
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:20,159
Speaker 1: think that's a I think that's a great call in

471
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 1: Colston Lovelin. All right, my final guy that I'm using

472
00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:28,640
Speaker 1: is my over valued best ball player is T Higgins,

473
00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:31,280
Speaker 1: And a little bit like you said with Bucky Irving,

474
00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:34,040
Speaker 1: I wanna be really careful here. T Higgins a good player.

475
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 1: I like him, and you know, but I don't know

476
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:41,000
Speaker 1: that he's going off the board at pick twenty three. Overall,

477
00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:44,720
Speaker 1: I just don't know that any guy who's not who's

478
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:48,440
Speaker 1: the number two receiver on his own team Kent should

479
00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:52,120
Speaker 1: be going off the board at his position at pick

480
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:56,000
Speaker 1: number twenty three. And so this is entirely a conversation

481
00:23:56,080 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 1: about ADP. Like you said with Bucky Irving, he just

482
00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:03,919
Speaker 1: stands in that long, deep shadow cast by Jamar Chase,

483
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:08,120
Speaker 1: who had one hundred and seventy five targets last year,

484
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:10,919
Speaker 1: one hundred and forty five of the year before. You know,

485
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:12,840
Speaker 1: there are just some games where there just aren't enough

486
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 1: balls to go around. For T Higgins, he was under

487
00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:18,480
Speaker 1: sixty yards and one third of his games, and he

488
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,400
Speaker 1: topped eighty eight yards just two times. He's very, very

489
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:25,280
Speaker 1: touchdown dependent. Now, now granted, in best ball touchdown dependent

490
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:26,679
Speaker 1: is not the end of the world. I mean, you

491
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:28,520
Speaker 1: can you know that is okay to have those spike

492
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:31,560
Speaker 1: touchdown weeks. That is all right, but it picked twenty three.

493
00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:35,679
Speaker 1: I'd like to have just more consistency than what I

494
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:40,000
Speaker 1: think I'm gonna get out of T Higgins there at

495
00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:43,679
Speaker 1: that price point. So that to me is that's my

496
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:47,160
Speaker 1: case against against T Higgins and as my third over

497
00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:50,359
Speaker 1: valued best ball player. Kent your thoughts.

498
00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:52,080
Speaker 3: Well, And now that he's got his contract, he's gonna

499
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 3: stop trying. He earned his money and he can just

500
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 3: give up and sit on the bed. No, I'm just kidding.

501
00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:59,960
Speaker 3: Uh yeah, I don't hate this one. I will probably

502
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:02,639
Speaker 3: consider it the only The only thing that makes him

503
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:05,000
Speaker 3: less draftable for me, even though he is a good player,

504
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:07,359
Speaker 3: is that it's really tough to get a Bengals stack

505
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:10,680
Speaker 3: with all these three guys being very expensive in price.

506
00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:13,439
Speaker 3: So it's definitely one of the tough ones to do.

507
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 3: And like you said, if he's the second option on

508
00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:18,520
Speaker 3: the team, you gotta hope you well, pretty much. If

509
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:21,240
Speaker 3: you're not in the top you know two slots, you

510
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:24,560
Speaker 3: might get Chase, but most likely you are not going

511
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:26,680
Speaker 3: to have Chase. So that means you just got Higgins

512
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:29,359
Speaker 3: and Burrow. I'm not in on that, so uh yeah,

513
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:32,160
Speaker 3: that that's a fine call out. But he's a good player,

514
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 3: He's just he's just a little pricey, and so are

515
00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:36,560
Speaker 3: his other very rich compadres.

516
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:38,840
Speaker 1: All right, when we come back, we're gonna give you

517
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:42,480
Speaker 1: six players we love at their price point. So we've

518
00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 1: got kind of negative here ken to start this show.

519
00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:47,719
Speaker 1: We're going to turn things around and look for some

520
00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 1: positivity and identify three each of our favorite best ball

521
00:25:52,520 --> 00:26:03,359
Speaker 1: value players when we come back. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly,

522
00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:07,000
Speaker 1: Paul Jarchian, Kent, why wreck with you as well? Kent.

523
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:09,960
Speaker 1: We've started with the negative side, players that were nervous

524
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,680
Speaker 1: about at their price point. Now let's go to players

525
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:16,800
Speaker 1: that we're excited to draft and in many cases will reach,

526
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 1: will reach for and I will once again, I'll let

527
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:23,160
Speaker 1: you go first. Tell me who, tell me who you're

528
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:25,640
Speaker 1: targeting in best Ball.

529
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, so this is an interesting one, and honestly, I

530
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 3: was a little bit on offense about it. But I

531
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:31,399
Speaker 3: decided to go with my gut and throw it on

532
00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:33,879
Speaker 3: the list. Anyway, Okay, I'm gonna go with Michael Pennix Junior.

533
00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:37,080
Speaker 3: And this might come as a surprise to some people.

534
00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:39,200
Speaker 3: You know, he's pretty cheap right now. He's one hundred

535
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:44,440
Speaker 3: and forty fifth overall QB twenty one. Yeah, very very yeah, exactly.

536
00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 3: So it's very easy to be undervalued when you're when

537
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:50,400
Speaker 3: you're that cheap. But one thing that's very interesting is

538
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:53,760
Speaker 3: that the Atlanta Falcons have the fourth easiest strength of

539
00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:57,160
Speaker 3: schedule this year based on the win totals at Vegas

540
00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:00,960
Speaker 3: as calculated by Sharp Football. So if we have an

541
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:04,760
Speaker 3: opportunity for Penix to come into this offense, get motivated,

542
00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:08,959
Speaker 3: have some wins under his belt, and really develop as

543
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:11,200
Speaker 3: a passer, this is an opportunity for him this year.

544
00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:16,040
Speaker 3: Kirk Cousins is technically on the roster. I think it's

545
00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:19,080
Speaker 3: very likely that he's traded at some point. I think

546
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:21,679
Speaker 3: he is overall resigned from the idea of playing for

547
00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:24,040
Speaker 3: the Atlanta Falcons anymore. I think I could be wrong

548
00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:27,160
Speaker 3: on that, but that does feel like the undertones right now.

549
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:30,600
Speaker 3: You know, Kirk has expressed that he wants to start

550
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:32,439
Speaker 3: in this league still, and I think that, you know,

551
00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 3: maybe the Steelers, with Aaron Rodgers drag and his feet,

552
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:38,040
Speaker 3: maybe they just say, you know what, forget you're We'll

553
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:40,000
Speaker 3: go get Cousins. He'll be able to play for us.

554
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 3: We still have a decent roster less one wide receiver

555
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:47,560
Speaker 3: in George Pickens who's now gone. But regardless, back to

556
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:51,280
Speaker 3: the Falcons Pennix. You know, in his third start last year,

557
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:53,440
Speaker 3: which was the last three weeks of twenty twenty four,

558
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:56,200
Speaker 3: he had three hundred and twelve passing yards, two passing

559
00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:58,960
Speaker 3: touchdowns and a rushing touchdown. That was twenty six fantasy

560
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:01,280
Speaker 3: points roughly to be And what league format you're in

561
00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:03,920
Speaker 3: and all that, but that is a higher single game

562
00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:07,760
Speaker 3: total than Drake May, Trevor Lawrence, C J. Stroud, which

563
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:09,920
Speaker 3: we talked about his struggles last year. Those three guys

564
00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:11,720
Speaker 3: are all going ahead of him right now. And he

565
00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,600
Speaker 3: played just three games. Now, granted it was Week eighteen,

566
00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:16,720
Speaker 3: and granted it was against the Carolina Fans.

567
00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:18,480
Speaker 1: That's a pretty big asterisk right there.

568
00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:21,840
Speaker 3: But that is a big aster risk and I will

569
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:25,160
Speaker 3: accept it. But you know, he's got some exciting value

570
00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:28,639
Speaker 3: to him and they're bringing back essentially the identical offense

571
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 3: from last year, Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts. You know,

572
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,840
Speaker 3: we're all gonna convince ourselves once again that Kyle Pitts

573
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:38,760
Speaker 3: has an opportunity. But it's a good pass catching group

574
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,000
Speaker 3: and you know, be John Robinson at Tyler Lgier at

575
00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:46,640
Speaker 3: the running back position. It's a great offense. So okay, okay,

576
00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:47,800
Speaker 3: pretty good?

577
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:49,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, pretty good.

578
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:51,560
Speaker 3: I'll go now I want an adjective on there. Pretty good.

579
00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:56,440
Speaker 3: But I think this is a good opportunity for them

580
00:28:56,520 --> 00:28:58,760
Speaker 3: to have the entire offseason to work together. They can

581
00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:01,000
Speaker 3: review the film from last year, talk about what didn't work.

582
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:03,720
Speaker 3: He can step in as the starter. Kirk is still

583
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:06,959
Speaker 3: technically there for now to you know, mentor him as

584
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:10,520
Speaker 3: much as he might feel compelled to. But you know,

585
00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:12,720
Speaker 3: I think this is a good year for Michael Pennock junior.

586
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,080
Speaker 3: And like I said, it's the cheap value where I'm

587
00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:17,160
Speaker 3: going to swing for one of those guys that could

588
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,440
Speaker 3: have like a top ten upside type of season if

589
00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:24,680
Speaker 3: he steps into his prospect profile. And at Washington he

590
00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:27,480
Speaker 3: was averaging three hundred and forty one passing yards a game.

591
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:30,240
Speaker 3: So this guy can sling it, and I'm hoping that

592
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:32,440
Speaker 3: he can step into the Falcons offense and sling it too.

593
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:34,880
Speaker 3: And the best part, you know, talking about making those

594
00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 3: stacks and cheaper ADP. This is not a Bengal situation.

595
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 3: Drake is sixteenth overall, Darnold Mooney is ninetieth, Kyle Pitts

596
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:44,440
Speaker 3: one forty six, and Ray Ray McLeod who you know,

597
00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:46,640
Speaker 3: kind of a throwaway last pick type guy. But if

598
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,000
Speaker 3: you have a stack going fee, feel free to add

599
00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:51,240
Speaker 3: him to the list. And you've got a nice little

600
00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,640
Speaker 3: stack here that could make you some money if it

601
00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:57,200
Speaker 3: does step up into something slightly better than pretty good.

602
00:29:57,320 --> 00:30:00,400
Speaker 3: So yeah, we're hoping for that. I just I think

603
00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 3: it's an interesting case where a lot could go right

604
00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 3: and then things turn out really well for him.

605
00:30:05,520 --> 00:30:08,040
Speaker 1: That's Michael Penix, I the guy, the out of the

606
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:10,080
Speaker 1: guy out of that Falcons offense, a guy I'm targeting.

607
00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:12,640
Speaker 1: I've been targeting Darnell Mooney because he's the you know

608
00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:16,760
Speaker 1: this big play speed and you know he did. He

609
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:20,800
Speaker 1: does give you the bigger variance than obviously Drake London does.

610
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 1: But I like I do, I like them. I like

611
00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 1: the Darnell Mooney side of it at ADP ninety more

612
00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 1: than I like paying the Drake London at sixteen, for sure. Yeah,

613
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:37,479
Speaker 1: all right, my first undervalued player is my favorite sleeper

614
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:40,600
Speaker 1: from last year, and so your listeners are gonna be like,

615
00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:43,640
Speaker 1: oh charge, Here he goes again, reminding us that he

616
00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:47,720
Speaker 1: nailed his favorite sleeper last year. Yeah, that is kind

617
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:50,120
Speaker 1: of happening here too. But he's still undervalued. And it's

618
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:53,680
Speaker 1: Khalil Shakir, the Buffalo wide receiver currently going off the

619
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 1: board at pick eighty one, wide receiver forty five. What

620
00:30:58,600 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 1: that doesn't even make sen That is a calculate to

621
00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:04,760
Speaker 1: me at all. So last year for Khalil shakir breakout season,

622
00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 1: he jumped from forty targets the year before to one

623
00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 1: hundred targets. He went from thirty nine receptions to seventy

624
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 1: six receptions. And Shakir's really good among receivers with more

625
00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:23,880
Speaker 1: than fifty catches. He finished number one in yards after

626
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:27,320
Speaker 1: catch last year eight yards after catch, and that was

627
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:29,560
Speaker 1: no fluke. Last year, when I was trying to make

628
00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 1: my case for Khalil Shakir to be the last pick

629
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:35,400
Speaker 1: of your draft, he was third in yards after catch

630
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 1: behind Deebo Samuel and Tyreek Hill. I mean, that's awfully

631
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:40,840
Speaker 1: good company. And this year he's number one. Coming out

632
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 1: of last season, they get the Bills liked him so

633
00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 1: much they gave him a four year new contract, so

634
00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:51,640
Speaker 1: obviously they believe in him. And he's the number one

635
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:55,640
Speaker 1: target for the first quarterback being taken in Best Ball

636
00:31:55,760 --> 00:32:00,280
Speaker 1: drafts Josh Allen. He had just two drops last year out.

637
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:03,080
Speaker 1: Shakir is not bulletproof. I mean, you know, there is

638
00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:05,360
Speaker 1: a reason he's going at wide receiver forty five, and

639
00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:08,560
Speaker 1: that's mostly because it's a lot of short stuff. You know,

640
00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:12,440
Speaker 1: typically in Best Ball you want some explosiveness to your game.

641
00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:15,120
Speaker 1: His a dot was just five and a half yards.

642
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:17,560
Speaker 1: It's one of the shortest in the league. He is

643
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:20,840
Speaker 1: not an end zone target guy, just a ten percent

644
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:26,160
Speaker 1: end zone target rate. But you know, he had the big,

645
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:29,120
Speaker 1: big move last year Kent where he got so much

646
00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 1: better than Khalil Shakir was the year before. You know,

647
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:36,200
Speaker 1: if he gets just incrementally better this year, I think

648
00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:39,479
Speaker 1: we're gonna see the touchdown the touchdown numbers go up,

649
00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:42,680
Speaker 1: and the explosive plays go up, and I think Khalil

650
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 1: Shakir is simply better than the forty fifth best fantasy

651
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:46,600
Speaker 1: wide receiver.

652
00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:49,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I'm not gonna fight you too much

653
00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 3: here because he is so cheap. My only commentary would

654
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:54,760
Speaker 3: be that, you know, the Buffalo Bills. I don't know

655
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:56,680
Speaker 3: if you saw the deal with Brandon Bean talking about

656
00:32:56,760 --> 00:33:00,400
Speaker 3: drafting receivers or not, and how that's an ordeal amongst

657
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:03,280
Speaker 3: the fans, but you know they did go get Elijah Moore,

658
00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 3: that they have Joshua Palmer there now they might have

659
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:09,640
Speaker 3: some kind of a platoon system. Yeah, I know, I'm

660
00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:10,480
Speaker 3: not They're not.

661
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:12,480
Speaker 1: Touching a guy. They just those guys are not touching

662
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:14,239
Speaker 1: a guy. They just gave fifty million dollars too.

663
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:16,280
Speaker 3: I trust me. I totally agree he's going to be

664
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:18,640
Speaker 3: the top guy on this offense. But they were the

665
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,880
Speaker 3: number one scoring offense last year and they did something

666
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 3: similar with their wide receiver group last year, so you

667
00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:27,320
Speaker 3: know that that'd be my only argument. But again, he's cheap.

668
00:33:27,320 --> 00:33:28,560
Speaker 3: I'm not going to push too much here.

669
00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:31,840
Speaker 1: Let's go to your number two undervalued best ball player.

670
00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:37,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Alvin Kamara, And honestly, it's

671
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:38,800
Speaker 3: tough because he's getting up there in age two. I

672
00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:41,160
Speaker 3: talked about Tyreek Hill earlier, and we talked about Joe

673
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:44,560
Speaker 3: Mixon getting up there in age I think again, another

674
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:46,480
Speaker 3: slightly fellow, if you'll allow me to use the phrase

675
00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 3: once again.

676
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:49,640
Speaker 1: How many slight fellows are there in the league?

677
00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:52,640
Speaker 3: Now, Well, there's just at least two, at least two.

678
00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:55,960
Speaker 3: But you know he he's been drafted as the running

679
00:33:55,960 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 3: back twenty one and last year he was running back

680
00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 3: six in points per game and he'll had eight total touchdowns.

681
00:34:01,640 --> 00:34:03,120
Speaker 3: Now that's been a kind of a trend for a

682
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 3: few years. He hasn't had those big touchdown seasons like

683
00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 3: he did. Yeah, don't if you remember Becking, what was

684
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:10,600
Speaker 3: that twenty twenty dropped? Was it six against the Vikings?

685
00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:10,839
Speaker 1: Yes?

686
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:13,600
Speaker 3: Five or six? Yeah, that was hard to get out.

687
00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 1: I got I got knocked. I lost a fantasy championship

688
00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:18,520
Speaker 1: and that was a Saturday. I'm in the fantasy I'm

689
00:34:18,520 --> 00:34:22,160
Speaker 1: in a Guillotine League fantasy championship, might I add? You know,

690
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:25,320
Speaker 1: so you make it all the way through seventeen weeks

691
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 1: of cuts, you're in the championship game and it's over

692
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 1: on Saturday when your opponent starts. Alvin Kamara it was

693
00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:33,160
Speaker 1: still best.

694
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:35,120
Speaker 3: You were just going to the week like I've lost,

695
00:34:35,200 --> 00:34:37,239
Speaker 3: even though I have my entire roster left the play

696
00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 3: for the most part. But you know, regardless of that,

697
00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:43,680
Speaker 3: twenty twenty four was his highest scrimmage yardage total since

698
00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:47,000
Speaker 3: twenty twenty So he had fourteen hundred and ninety three

699
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:49,160
Speaker 3: scrimmage yards. That was the eleventh most in the league

700
00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:52,719
Speaker 3: last year behind Devon Ah Chang, who you know, he's

701
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:55,359
Speaker 3: being drafted as running back seven right now, and that's

702
00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:58,440
Speaker 3: a pretty stark difference in cost. Now, granted he had

703
00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:01,640
Speaker 3: a few more touchdowns and all that, but you know,

704
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:04,000
Speaker 3: I think that Alvin Kamara has a good opportunity to

705
00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:08,359
Speaker 3: repeat his usage. The Saint sign Clyde Edwards a Laire

706
00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 3: drafted a sixth rounder in Devin Neil.

707
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:13,440
Speaker 1: Well, I like, you know, we've and Thorn and I

708
00:35:13,520 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 1: talked about this just last week. I believe we both

709
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:22,160
Speaker 1: think Devin Neil is a really intriguing player to uh

710
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 1: to target near the end and it might be the

711
00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:26,919
Speaker 1: very last pick of your draft. Uh. You know, if

712
00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:30,160
Speaker 1: if you think Alvin Kamara and you're right, last year

713
00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:32,439
Speaker 1: he looked good. I mean, Kamara still looked a lot

714
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:34,640
Speaker 1: like the player we've seen. But if you just feel

715
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 1: like this is this might be the beginning of the

716
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:41,200
Speaker 1: end for Alvin Kamara. Devin Neil brings the table pass

717
00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:45,839
Speaker 1: catching chops, interior running chops, super good footwork. He's he's

718
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 1: a really intriguing player and and there's something to be

719
00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:51,600
Speaker 1: said about at a minimum, hancuffing those guys. So just

720
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:54,080
Speaker 1: a quick aside on Devin Neil before we should just

721
00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:56,480
Speaker 1: throw him away here. I think there's, uh, there is

722
00:35:56,520 --> 00:35:57,759
Speaker 1: something to like about that kid.

723
00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:01,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, only come you know. The only thing I'll

724
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 3: say is he was a sixth rounder, so you know,

725
00:36:03,600 --> 00:36:06,200
Speaker 3: at least maybe give him some time to acclimate to

726
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:08,560
Speaker 3: the NFL that that the NFL told us what they

727
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 3: think about him. He could outperform that for sure. But

728
00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:13,120
Speaker 3: and like you said, you can add him in the

729
00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:14,239
Speaker 3: back of your draft if you want to go with

730
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:17,920
Speaker 3: a handcuff situation. Yeah, totally agree. But you know, as

731
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:20,080
Speaker 3: far as his main competition, I think Andre Miller is

732
00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:22,319
Speaker 3: still the guy that you're the most worried about, but

733
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,239
Speaker 3: I'm not. At the end of last season, he was

734
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:28,480
Speaker 3: truly horrendous. Head In a final two games of the year,

735
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:31,040
Speaker 3: he had eleven rushes for eighteen yards on the ground.

736
00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:33,279
Speaker 3: He had three receptions for thirty two yards. But it

737
00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:36,400
Speaker 3: was really bad. And honestly, I don't know if you

738
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 3: know this. Last year Kamara rushed sixteen point three times

739
00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:41,200
Speaker 3: per game, which was the second highest in his career.

740
00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:43,880
Speaker 1: So you put you but Kent. We could use that

741
00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:46,080
Speaker 1: both ways, right, You could be like, look, we're just

742
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:49,360
Speaker 1: we're adding more hits onto an already what is he

743
00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 1: in his seventh year something like that at least, Yeah, yeah,

744
00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:55,480
Speaker 1: you know, we're adding yet more hits and more workload

745
00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:58,680
Speaker 1: onto that frame. And you know that's you know that

746
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:01,160
Speaker 1: might that might have end up that workload from last

747
00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:03,200
Speaker 1: year might end up working against Alvin Kamara.

748
00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:04,879
Speaker 3: Well, And that's kind of what I was going to

749
00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:08,040
Speaker 3: lead into here, is that he historically has thrived on

750
00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:11,879
Speaker 3: limited yet valuable touches. He's you know, obviously a really

751
00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:14,319
Speaker 3: great receiver, probably one of the best receiving running backs

752
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:16,360
Speaker 3: in the game right now or the last decade or so.

753
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:19,359
Speaker 3: He's done a very good job catching the ball and

754
00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 3: making yardage out of that. So I think that he

755
00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:25,880
Speaker 3: still has an opportunity to land in a twelve to

756
00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:29,240
Speaker 3: thirteen rush four to seven reception range that he's always

757
00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 3: kind of done, and that's a reduction from last year,

758
00:37:31,680 --> 00:37:34,839
Speaker 3: but it's enough to get those high value touches if

759
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:37,399
Speaker 3: he can have any kind of upsing on touchdowns, which

760
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:39,960
Speaker 3: you know, might be asking a lot if Derek Carr

761
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:43,280
Speaker 3: can't play, and that's something we're yet to be determined here,

762
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:46,520
Speaker 3: but I think maybe this is a little bit kind

763
00:37:46,520 --> 00:37:49,719
Speaker 3: of galaxy brained, but Tyler Shuck draft pick might be

764
00:37:49,800 --> 00:37:51,920
Speaker 3: a sign of confidence for Derek Carr being able to

765
00:37:51,920 --> 00:37:54,359
Speaker 3: play at the beginning of the season. They really don't

766
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:56,239
Speaker 3: have a lot as far as a starting quarterback on

767
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:59,800
Speaker 3: the roster. Spencer Ratler and Ja Hayner are non starters.

768
00:38:00,160 --> 00:38:02,160
Speaker 3: Do not have the confidence to put those guys out

769
00:38:02,160 --> 00:38:04,359
Speaker 3: there week one, And I don't think Schuck's the guy

770
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:06,719
Speaker 3: you want playing week one either. You've probably sit him

771
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:08,920
Speaker 3: down for a season and develop them up a little bit.

772
00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:13,200
Speaker 3: So if Derek Carr does start, this offense is again

773
00:38:13,640 --> 00:38:17,000
Speaker 3: not great, but still decent, good enough to score some touchdowns.

774
00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:19,719
Speaker 3: And if Alvin Kamara has little to no competition for

775
00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:22,400
Speaker 3: you know, this year, at least I'm all in running

776
00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:25,120
Speaker 3: back twenty one, that's pretty affordable and if he can

777
00:38:25,160 --> 00:38:28,359
Speaker 3: repeat last year and maybe throw on another touchdown or two,

778
00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:30,080
Speaker 3: that's that's making money right there.

779
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:36,440
Speaker 1: My second undervalued basketball player is Vikings running back Jordan Mason.

780
00:38:37,160 --> 00:38:40,520
Speaker 1: His ADP is one hundred and six running back, thirty

781
00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:43,799
Speaker 1: four off the board. They're thirty two NFL team, so

782
00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:47,400
Speaker 1: this is one of the top backups going and correctly so.

783
00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:49,560
Speaker 1: So there's not a lot of times where I can

784
00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:53,239
Speaker 1: talk about Kent like personal experience where you know, I

785
00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:56,040
Speaker 1: talked to a player. I worked the official Vikings draft

786
00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:58,279
Speaker 1: party and Aaron Jones is there and I asked him.

787
00:38:58,360 --> 00:39:00,720
Speaker 1: I asked Aaron Jones about his role in this offense,

788
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:03,680
Speaker 1: and he said he's going to yield short yardage carries

789
00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:06,600
Speaker 1: to Jordan Mason. So you know, right from his mouth,

790
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 1: we know that Jordan Mason is going to get those carries,

791
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:12,279
Speaker 1: and it makes sense. Aaron Jones from inside the five

792
00:39:12,360 --> 00:39:17,799
Speaker 1: yard line last year thirteen carries, negative two yards and

793
00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:22,440
Speaker 1: just three touchdowns on the thirteen carries. That's terrible. So

794
00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:25,120
Speaker 1: here comes Jordan Mason. We know he's a good interior runner.

795
00:39:25,160 --> 00:39:28,840
Speaker 1: He weighs twenty pounds more than Aaron Jones. He's his

796
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:31,800
Speaker 1: career average is five point three yards per carry. Granted

797
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:35,720
Speaker 1: I'm relatively light workloads because it's it's he's a young player.

798
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:39,839
Speaker 1: Remember the Vikings traded to get a Jordan Mason, so

799
00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:42,480
Speaker 1: they gave up equity to get him, so obviously they

800
00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:44,959
Speaker 1: like him. He's not going to be somebody who's gonna

801
00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:47,040
Speaker 1: catch a lot of passes. But Jordan Mason is going

802
00:39:47,080 --> 00:39:52,359
Speaker 1: to bring every week one touchdown, two touchdown, maybe even

803
00:39:52,400 --> 00:39:56,520
Speaker 1: three touchdown offense unless JJ McCarthy's awful, and that.

804
00:39:56,560 --> 00:39:58,520
Speaker 3: Is oh well, well, don't let thor hear you say.

805
00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:01,160
Speaker 1: I know right exactly. I think JJ is gonna be good,

806
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:04,920
Speaker 1: but maybe I just want him to be good. But

807
00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:07,280
Speaker 1: I think JJ is going to be good, and Jordan Mason,

808
00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:10,520
Speaker 1: you know he's got He's going to be the touchdown

809
00:40:10,560 --> 00:40:13,799
Speaker 1: guy in this offense. You could make the opposite side

810
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:16,200
Speaker 1: of this is I feel like in best ball especially,

811
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 1: you can't touch Aaron Jones. He could be sitting on

812
00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 1: a three four touchdown season and that would that would

813
00:40:23,520 --> 00:40:27,200
Speaker 1: really worry me, even at his depressed ADP. I think

814
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:29,160
Speaker 1: you can't touch Aaron Jones, who, by the way, thirty

815
00:40:29,200 --> 00:40:32,080
Speaker 1: years old and has a history of getting dinged up.

816
00:40:32,080 --> 00:40:34,240
Speaker 1: Although he played all the games last year for the Vikings,

817
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:37,040
Speaker 1: but that again, that might work against him at age thirty,

818
00:40:37,080 --> 00:40:39,879
Speaker 1: that he was given such a big workload. So we're

819
00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:41,480
Speaker 1: going to see a lot of Jordan Mason this year,

820
00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:43,799
Speaker 1: and I'm buying at ADP one h six.

821
00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:47,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, earlier I mentioned, you know, rushing back excuse me,

822
00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:50,919
Speaker 3: running backs, rushing yards over expectation. Jordan Mason was third

823
00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:52,399
Speaker 3: per attempt last year. He's good.

824
00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:52,799
Speaker 1: I love it.

825
00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:55,120
Speaker 3: He's good at football, and you know, I'm glad we

826
00:40:55,160 --> 00:40:57,440
Speaker 3: got him in a deal that was relatively cheap from

827
00:40:57,480 --> 00:40:59,839
Speaker 3: a Vikings perspective, so that should be a good one

828
00:40:59,840 --> 00:41:02,400
Speaker 3: to punch in Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason. I was

829
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:05,480
Speaker 3: a little surprised to see how high his ADP came up.

830
00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:07,560
Speaker 3: I was hoping it would be a little cheaper me too,

831
00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:11,040
Speaker 3: But I do understand why people are excited because he

832
00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:13,160
Speaker 3: has had the juice every time he touched the ball

833
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:16,319
Speaker 3: last year. So it's a lot of fun, that's for sure.

834
00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:19,680
Speaker 1: There's a chance that he's better than Aaron Jones and

835
00:41:19,719 --> 00:41:22,040
Speaker 1: that that this roles are gonna flip flop in Jordan

836
00:41:22,160 --> 00:41:25,160
Speaker 1: Mason at some point in the year, and maybe sooner

837
00:41:25,160 --> 00:41:28,799
Speaker 1: than later he turns into the Alpha Jones turns into

838
00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:30,799
Speaker 1: the change of pace guy and the passing down guy

839
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:34,439
Speaker 1: because Mason can't catch there is it goes that way.

840
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:37,680
Speaker 1: All right, your final undervalued best ball player is somebody

841
00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:39,680
Speaker 1: I wanted to use, but you had already picked him.

842
00:41:40,080 --> 00:41:42,920
Speaker 1: So let's go agree on Juwan Jennings.

843
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:46,000
Speaker 3: All right, Yeah, I'm glad to do it again talking

844
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:49,200
Speaker 3: about someone who's he's wide receiver thirty seven right now,

845
00:41:49,800 --> 00:41:54,479
Speaker 3: ADP sixty six, So he's very affordable for a guy

846
00:41:54,520 --> 00:41:57,239
Speaker 3: who put up some really impressive numbers last year, and

847
00:41:57,360 --> 00:42:00,759
Speaker 3: now the Deebo Samuel's gone. Brandon Aiyuk, there's still some

848
00:42:01,400 --> 00:42:03,800
Speaker 3: you know, floaters in the air about him potentially being traded.

849
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:07,000
Speaker 3: I think there's a lot of tenuous conversations going on

850
00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:09,320
Speaker 3: in the forty nine ers building around him. You know,

851
00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:12,799
Speaker 3: Ricky pearsall who showed flashes last year and the year

852
00:42:12,840 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 3: really strong, but he played more, you know, I would say,

853
00:42:16,560 --> 00:42:18,600
Speaker 3: an average of seventy percent of the snaps and was

854
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:21,440
Speaker 3: mostly invisible for a lot of those games. So you know,

855
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:22,840
Speaker 3: at the end of the year he turned it on

856
00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:25,320
Speaker 3: a bit that might translate to the entire next season.

857
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:27,200
Speaker 3: But I have a feeling that's probably going to be

858
00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:29,279
Speaker 3: a trend that continues. He'll have games where he's there

859
00:42:29,280 --> 00:42:31,799
Speaker 3: in games where he's not. Juwan Jennings, on the other hand,

860
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:35,760
Speaker 3: he was there every game. Yeah, he was performing outstanding

861
00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:39,200
Speaker 3: and on among the forty nine ers pass catching options,

862
00:42:39,360 --> 00:42:42,400
Speaker 3: Jennings was second in receiving yards per game, just Bryank Kittle,

863
00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:46,760
Speaker 3: first in red zone targets, second in receiving touchdowns behind Kittle,

864
00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:49,759
Speaker 3: second in yards per route run behind Kittle, second in

865
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 3: PFF receiving grade behind Kittle. Yeah, and then of course

866
00:42:54,080 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 3: first in targets of twenty plus yards, which is you

867
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:59,239
Speaker 3: know something that I don't know if you recall this

868
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:00,960
Speaker 3: is a while ago now. When he was coming out

869
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:02,719
Speaker 3: he was a seventh rounder. He had a really slow

870
00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:04,359
Speaker 3: forty times. It was like a four to seven four

871
00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:06,880
Speaker 3: or something like that, and he had some off the

872
00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:09,560
Speaker 3: field stuff to really tank his stock. But he has

873
00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:12,560
Speaker 3: had a lot of opportunity to work on his route tree.

874
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:15,680
Speaker 3: He's got pretty good hands. He's putting it all together.

875
00:43:15,960 --> 00:43:18,319
Speaker 3: In the last year was his fourth year, entering his

876
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:21,400
Speaker 3: fifth year. Now, he's really brought himself up to a

877
00:43:21,480 --> 00:43:24,839
Speaker 3: level that's been quite impressive as an NFL receiver. And

878
00:43:25,040 --> 00:43:28,120
Speaker 3: he was a transition out of quarterback in high school

879
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:31,320
Speaker 3: into receiver in college. So he's twenty seven and a

880
00:43:31,360 --> 00:43:33,560
Speaker 3: half years old, roughly. It took him a little while,

881
00:43:33,560 --> 00:43:36,440
Speaker 3: but I think he's figured it out. And fun fact,

882
00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:38,239
Speaker 3: this is a great fun fact. I absolutely had to

883
00:43:38,239 --> 00:43:40,680
Speaker 3: bring this up. Juan Jennings is the second player in

884
00:43:40,760 --> 00:43:45,360
Speaker 3: Super Bowl history who threw and caught a touchdown, joining

885
00:43:45,600 --> 00:43:48,400
Speaker 3: who else but Nick Foles, Yes, Chars.

886
00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:50,480
Speaker 1: Philly's Company special of course.

887
00:43:50,560 --> 00:43:53,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, yep, you know he's and he's six three, two twelve.

888
00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:56,879
Speaker 3: He's got really kind of rare size these days, as

889
00:43:57,200 --> 00:43:59,880
Speaker 3: you know, the NFL gets smaller and quicker, both on

890
00:43:59,880 --> 00:44:03,160
Speaker 3: the wide receivers and the cornerbacks. It's nice to have

891
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:06,720
Speaker 3: a guy who, you know, despite his concerns for his speed,

892
00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:11,120
Speaker 3: is able to create separation, catch the ball with confidence,

893
00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:15,080
Speaker 3: turn get up field. He could stand to improve his

894
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:18,400
Speaker 3: yack ability a little bit. That's probably his most glaring

895
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:22,480
Speaker 3: fix that needs to happen. But he's likely going to

896
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:24,319
Speaker 3: be the top receiver on the forty nine ers offense

897
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:26,480
Speaker 3: this year. I think that's I think too.

898
00:44:26,880 --> 00:44:28,560
Speaker 1: I think so too. I just love him. You know,

899
00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:33,680
Speaker 1: some guys are just players. And Juwan Jennings he loves

900
00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:37,720
Speaker 1: to block, he loves to hit guys. He loves physical play.

901
00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:40,880
Speaker 1: He's big, he's a bully. I just I love the

902
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:43,600
Speaker 1: way he plays. I think Kyle Shanahan does too. And

903
00:44:43,680 --> 00:44:45,759
Speaker 1: I agree that he's going to lead the forty nine ers.

904
00:44:46,040 --> 00:44:50,719
Speaker 1: And given his ADP of wide receiver thirty seven, I'm in.

905
00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:53,879
Speaker 1: I'm in. That's a that is a you know, it's

906
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:56,000
Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna be a great San Francisco offense,

907
00:44:56,040 --> 00:44:58,279
Speaker 1: and it'll be a good San Francisco offense and I

908
00:44:58,280 --> 00:45:00,719
Speaker 1: can get the best receiver at wide receiver thirty seven,

909
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:03,720
Speaker 1: pick sixty six overall, I'll take it for Juwan Jennings.

910
00:45:05,120 --> 00:45:07,319
Speaker 1: All right. Our last player to be covered in this show,

911
00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:13,760
Speaker 1: My final undervalued best ball player is David Montgomery. ADP

912
00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:18,640
Speaker 1: is picked seventy two, running back twenty four. Hey, Ken,

913
00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:20,799
Speaker 1: do you like touchdowns?

914
00:45:22,200 --> 00:45:23,799
Speaker 3: I've enjoyed them from time to time.

915
00:45:23,920 --> 00:45:30,800
Speaker 1: Yes, no touchdown enjoyer. Yes. If I told you right now,

916
00:45:31,239 --> 00:45:35,520
Speaker 1: David Montgomery is going to lead the NFL in rushing

917
00:45:35,560 --> 00:45:39,960
Speaker 1: touchdowns in twenty twenty five. Is that a plausible statement.

918
00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:43,560
Speaker 3: Plausible Yes, for sure, Yes, I.

919
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:46,760
Speaker 1: Mean that's not it is absolutely in the realm of possibility.

920
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:50,880
Speaker 1: And he's running back twenty four in Best Ball. You know,

921
00:45:51,040 --> 00:45:54,560
Speaker 1: we know the Lions love to run the ball near

922
00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 1: the stripe, and that's not going away with Ben Johnson.

923
00:45:57,640 --> 00:45:59,959
Speaker 1: Dan Campbell is going to do. That's a Dan camp

924
00:46:00,400 --> 00:46:02,840
Speaker 1: that if Dan Gambele is he is going to punish

925
00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:05,719
Speaker 1: you at the stripe. The Lions over the last two

926
00:46:05,719 --> 00:46:09,040
Speaker 1: seasons have ranked number one in rushing attempts from inside

927
00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:12,919
Speaker 1: the five yard line. And they've done that without having

928
00:46:12,960 --> 00:46:15,680
Speaker 1: a quarterback doing the tush push to inflate those stats,

929
00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:19,040
Speaker 1: having Josh Allen do inflace those stats. Jared Goff's not

930
00:46:19,120 --> 00:46:22,040
Speaker 1: running the ball from the three yard line, that's all

931
00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:25,879
Speaker 1: they're running backs. And more Montgomery than Jamiir Gibbs and

932
00:46:26,239 --> 00:46:28,640
Speaker 1: the other side that I like about Montgomery, not just

933
00:46:28,680 --> 00:46:31,799
Speaker 1: the touchdown upside, which in Best Ball we do. We

934
00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:35,920
Speaker 1: want touchdown upside. We want those explosive games where David

935
00:46:35,920 --> 00:46:37,600
Speaker 1: Montgomery gets you two or three in a game, which

936
00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:42,560
Speaker 1: which he's done many times. But if anything God forbid

937
00:46:42,640 --> 00:46:45,279
Speaker 1: were to happen to Jamier Gibbs. You've got a top

938
00:46:45,320 --> 00:46:48,439
Speaker 1: five running back for your best ball team, so there's

939
00:46:49,080 --> 00:46:52,160
Speaker 1: a ton to like at David Montgomery at eightp. Seventy two,

940
00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:53,759
Speaker 1: I believe. Are you with me on this.

941
00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:58,080
Speaker 3: Ken, Yeah, I think the biggest challenge to David Montgomery

942
00:46:58,080 --> 00:47:00,919
Speaker 3: scoring a touchdown inside the three is Jumior Gibbs scoring

943
00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:02,880
Speaker 3: it from inside the ten. I think that's the biggest

944
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:05,120
Speaker 3: challenge because they're going to score, it's just a matter

945
00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:06,520
Speaker 3: of who it's going to be. And honestly, I'm on

946
00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:08,839
Speaker 3: Rossain Brown's a great red zone threat as well.

947
00:47:10,320 --> 00:47:13,359
Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, They've got Yeah, they've got so many they

948
00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:15,960
Speaker 1: have so many players that there's gonna be variants with Montgomery,

949
00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:18,879
Speaker 1: but it's best Ball. We're embracing the variants here, Kent.

950
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:22,879
Speaker 3: That's right, Yes, absolutely, yeah, I'm in on that one.

951
00:47:23,880 --> 00:47:26,760
Speaker 3: Like you said, so, I don't there's no visual component

952
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:29,239
Speaker 3: to this particular podcast right now. But I raise my

953
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:31,000
Speaker 3: eyebrows when you said what his price tag was. I

954
00:47:31,040 --> 00:47:32,920
Speaker 3: had not even looked at that one specifically yet, so

955
00:47:33,000 --> 00:47:36,040
Speaker 3: that that is honestly a very very affordable price point.

956
00:47:36,040 --> 00:47:38,359
Speaker 3: I would love to buy in on the potential for

957
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:41,200
Speaker 3: fifteen touchdowns. Yes, if you want to, if you want

958
00:47:41,200 --> 00:47:42,480
Speaker 3: to go towards that route.

959
00:47:42,560 --> 00:47:47,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, if Montgomery plays a full season of seventeen games,

960
00:47:47,760 --> 00:47:50,360
Speaker 1: I think he is sitting at that twelve thirteen, fourteen

961
00:47:50,360 --> 00:47:53,680
Speaker 1: to fifteen sixteen touchdown range because it's just it's such

962
00:47:53,680 --> 00:47:56,040
Speaker 1: a good offense and we know they're going to run

963
00:47:56,080 --> 00:47:59,719
Speaker 1: the ball. So yeah, David Montgomery, our final guy. Thank

964
00:47:59,760 --> 00:48:03,400
Speaker 1: you listening. Everybody had great job. I'd like to have

965
00:48:03,480 --> 00:48:07,480
Speaker 1: you this time. I have you back in next week.

966
00:48:07,360 --> 00:48:08,440
Speaker 3: I believe. Yeah, or.

967
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:13,279
Speaker 1: All right, spoiler alert right now. Every everybody thought it

968
00:48:13,280 --> 00:48:14,680
Speaker 1: was gonna be ten months and then you'd come back

969
00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:17,720
Speaker 1: and they'd all be pleasantly surprised next week or well,

970
00:48:18,480 --> 00:48:20,360
Speaker 1: cats out of the bank. We'll have you back next week.

971
00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:22,759
Speaker 1: And uh, I'm trying to remember what what's our? What

972
00:48:22,880 --> 00:48:24,399
Speaker 1: is our? What are we talking about? Next week?

973
00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:26,080
Speaker 3: We are breaking down the divisions.

974
00:48:26,360 --> 00:48:28,719
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, we're going to start our divisional breakdowns. Right,

975
00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:32,319
Speaker 1: so we're we've got uh, we've got I believe six

976
00:48:32,400 --> 00:48:34,200
Speaker 1: shows or is it three shows? I think trying to

977
00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:37,200
Speaker 1: remember we're doing two four show We're.

978
00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:41,120
Speaker 3: Going, uh direction, Yeah, that is it, NFC East first

979
00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:42,279
Speaker 3: around the Horn.

980
00:48:42,480 --> 00:48:46,080
Speaker 1: We're going to highlight notable changes and offenses for each

981
00:48:46,320 --> 00:48:49,439
Speaker 1: of the divisions beginning next week with Ken. Stay tuned

982
00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:52,719
Speaker 1: for that, everybody, and thank you for listening. Fantasy Football

983
00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:55,840
Speaker 1: Weekly is a production of iHeart Radio. For more podcasts

984
00:48:55,840 --> 00:48:59,840
Speaker 1: from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever

985
00:48:59,880 --> 00:49:01,400
Speaker 1: you listen to your favorite shows.