1
00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:12,920
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast presented by BET three

2
00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:15,440
Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. I

3
00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:19,000
Speaker 1: am Shad Milman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.

4
00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:22,960
Speaker 1: Today is our week three Thursday NFL episode. This is

5
00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:25,520
Speaker 1: the episode where we're going to get feedback from the

6
00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,080
Speaker 1: wise guys who listen to the show. We're gonna narrow

7
00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:32,280
Speaker 1: down our bets to five. We are leaning towards in

8
00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:36,880
Speaker 1: our new totally free Favorites podcast one hundred thousand dollars

9
00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:39,639
Speaker 1: pro Football Pick Them contest, Plus we will talk Survivor,

10
00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:44,120
Speaker 1: money line, Underdog, Round Robin Parlay, big balls, better the weekend,

11
00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:47,159
Speaker 1: our Foxhole. That's right, you can still join the contest,

12
00:00:47,280 --> 00:00:50,760
Speaker 1: make your picks, get your chance at all our fabulous

13
00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:53,680
Speaker 1: weekly and season long cash prizes in the big NFL

14
00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:58,480
Speaker 1: Pick Them Contest. As our own pal, Colin Cowhert says.

15
00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:00,360
Speaker 2: There's a sea of money out there.

16
00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:03,680
Speaker 1: There's a sea of money out there. Just visit Favorites

17
00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:06,399
Speaker 1: dot Actionnetwork dot com. That's also where you can see

18
00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:08,640
Speaker 1: our five official picks when we lock them in before

19
00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:13,160
Speaker 1: kickoff on Sunday. The contest drops your two lowest scores

20
00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:15,480
Speaker 1: once we get past Thanksgiving so if you haven't signed

21
00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:17,560
Speaker 1: up yet, don't worry. You're still good to go Favorites

22
00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:21,320
Speaker 1: dot Actionnetwork dot com. If you prefer using the award

23
00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:24,280
Speaker 1: winning Action Network app, you can also track all the

24
00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:27,560
Speaker 1: bets Simon and I lock in before kickoff Sunday by

25
00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:33,039
Speaker 1: following two accounts. Those are the Faves five and the

26
00:01:33,080 --> 00:01:38,440
Speaker 1: Favorites Podcast. Now, let's bring in my co host, my companion,

27
00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:42,959
Speaker 1: my capadre, my BFF professional better Simon Hunter.

28
00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:47,920
Speaker 3: Heat. Oh so waymen, Chad, how we doing, my guy?

29
00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:48,760
Speaker 4: Dude?

30
00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:51,680
Speaker 1: We are freaking great. The Chicago Bears, which we're going

31
00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,840
Speaker 1: to get into, are falling apart in the span of

32
00:01:54,880 --> 00:01:58,520
Speaker 1: an hour. I feel really enthusiastic about this weekend. Slate

33
00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:02,480
Speaker 1: had a great couple of days in New York. How

34
00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:05,280
Speaker 1: are you feeling house things in ac you love in life?

35
00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:07,520
Speaker 3: It's good. No, I'm looking forward to getting out of here.

36
00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:10,280
Speaker 3: This is my last day here making some bets tonight.

37
00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:12,280
Speaker 3: I'll stay for the Thursday game and I'm heading back

38
00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:15,360
Speaker 3: towards Philly area. It's definitely while being back in the

39
00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:16,280
Speaker 3: sportsbrook world.

40
00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:19,400
Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Favorites Podcast is presented by bet

41
00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:20,160
Speaker 1: three sixty five.

42
00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:22,960
Speaker 4: BET three sixty five doesn't do ordinary.

43
00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:26,359
Speaker 1: They believe that every sport should be epic, every touchdown,

44
00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:29,360
Speaker 1: every game, every point, every play, from the moments that

45
00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:31,919
Speaker 1: are legendary to the ones that fly under the radar.

46
00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:34,560
Speaker 1: See for yourself when you sign up today with Code

47
00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:37,800
Speaker 1: Action and you'll get three hundred and sixty five dollars

48
00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:41,359
Speaker 1: in bonus bets when you bet just one dollar. Whatever

49
00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:44,360
Speaker 1: the sport, whatever the moment, it's never ordinary. At bet

50
00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:47,480
Speaker 1: three sixty five must be twenty one or older. Must

51
00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:51,440
Speaker 1: be present in Colorado, Iowa, New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia.

52
00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:54,400
Speaker 1: If you or someone you know has a gambling problem

53
00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:57,960
Speaker 1: and wants help, call one eight hundred gambler in Colorado,

54
00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:01,600
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, and Virginia or one eight hundred bets

55
00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:06,400
Speaker 1: off in Iowa. Terms and conditions apply. Also, Week three

56
00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:10,400
Speaker 1: is approaching, Simon, We're seeing opportunities all over the board.

57
00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:15,440
Speaker 1: Well that's not dilly dally. It's time for sharp calls.

58
00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:24,720
Speaker 3: Hello, who's there? I'm talking Rain Rain telephone range, somebody saying,

59
00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:26,320
Speaker 3: maybe what should do?

60
00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:26,720
Speaker 5: Man?

61
00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:29,880
Speaker 3: I wish i'd give another Thursday game. I wish the

62
00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:32,240
Speaker 3: pros were with us on this Giants game Chat but

63
00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:34,960
Speaker 3: I just haven't heard too many, you know, really sharp

64
00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:36,800
Speaker 3: groups coming in heavy on this. They've touched it, they've

65
00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:38,720
Speaker 3: touched the tenth and a half on the Giants team,

66
00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:41,280
Speaker 3: but it's way more split than people would believe. A

67
00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:43,120
Speaker 3: lot a lot of pros do like this fort nineers team.

68
00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:45,160
Speaker 3: They like them here in the short week. So yeah,

69
00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:48,280
Speaker 3: last week Thursday was definitely the Pros versus Joe's the

70
00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:51,040
Speaker 3: Pros all over that Vikings seven, six and a half six,

71
00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:54,440
Speaker 3: So not the same for this Thursday, but for the

72
00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:57,880
Speaker 3: Sunday slate, not too shocking. The games, I'll start with

73
00:03:57,920 --> 00:03:59,680
Speaker 3: the one that's shocked me the most, which is a

74
00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:02,080
Speaker 3: game I thought me and you would just stay away from.

75
00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:05,920
Speaker 3: They love the Browns jet like every pro I've talked

76
00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:08,760
Speaker 3: to loves the Browns against this Tennessee team in the spot.

77
00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:11,360
Speaker 3: So that's a game we're definitely have to go through.

78
00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:14,880
Speaker 3: I'm shocked by it, Like I get where they're coming from,

79
00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:16,920
Speaker 3: this Browns team, and I'll let down spot for Tennessee,

80
00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:19,240
Speaker 3: but I don't know. The three and a half is

81
00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:20,960
Speaker 3: just scaring me. So definitely a game we need to

82
00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:24,440
Speaker 3: talk about as that could be one of the you

83
00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:27,159
Speaker 3: know could be one of the favorites we take. Another

84
00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:29,200
Speaker 3: favorite they love this week is Vegas. We've seen this

85
00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:31,680
Speaker 3: number move from plus one and a half it's now

86
00:04:31,680 --> 00:04:33,800
Speaker 3: two and a half in a lot of books. Not

87
00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:37,480
Speaker 3: that shocking. Another line the pros love this week the Saints.

88
00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:39,280
Speaker 3: I know a really smart group that came in heavy

89
00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:41,120
Speaker 3: on the Saints, and they came in heavy on Washington.

90
00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:44,800
Speaker 3: So these are two teams that they clearly believe in.

91
00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:47,280
Speaker 3: And the last one is a game we already talked about,

92
00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:49,560
Speaker 3: which we'll talk again as the Bucks like. The pros

93
00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:53,520
Speaker 3: like the Bucks against this banged up Eagles secondary. Say

94
00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:55,120
Speaker 3: what you want about this Bucks team, we all know

95
00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:57,400
Speaker 3: they're not as good as our record stage right. They

96
00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:01,040
Speaker 3: played against a Vikings team I was due for aggression,

97
00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:03,680
Speaker 3: and they played against a Bears team that they haven't

98
00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:06,680
Speaker 3: won a game in like a year. So not that

99
00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:09,479
Speaker 3: shocking that the Bucks are two and zero and that

100
00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:12,320
Speaker 3: the Eagles are clearly a better team on paper. But

101
00:05:12,400 --> 00:05:14,560
Speaker 3: I think everyone's in agreement. All the pros are in agreement.

102
00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:16,960
Speaker 3: The Eagles got a lot of injuries, and those injuries

103
00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:19,000
Speaker 3: in the secondary are a big deal against that Bucks team,

104
00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:22,039
Speaker 3: So not too shocking. Here and that they love the

105
00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:24,880
Speaker 3: dogs this week, but they like two favorites as well,

106
00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:26,880
Speaker 3: like the Vegas one. I'm shocked they still look at

107
00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:30,000
Speaker 3: it two and a half and that Browns minus three

108
00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:32,720
Speaker 3: and a half. The Pros are on it. So it

109
00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:34,720
Speaker 3: really I did think that the Pros would be on

110
00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:36,760
Speaker 3: Tennessee with the public, but it looks like that's just

111
00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:39,240
Speaker 3: a public dog this week, taking the Tennessee team up

112
00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:40,039
Speaker 3: plus three and a half.

113
00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:42,800
Speaker 1: All right, we're gonna dig deeper on that game. I

114
00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:46,840
Speaker 1: think you know you and I we talked about this.

115
00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:51,120
Speaker 1: We do the Favorite Film Room for YouTube only. We

116
00:05:51,160 --> 00:05:54,159
Speaker 1: went deep on that game when we did that yesterday.

117
00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:57,000
Speaker 1: If you have not watched it, it's really cool. Simon

118
00:05:57,040 --> 00:06:00,560
Speaker 1: and I break down plays from the previous week that

119
00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:03,720
Speaker 1: impacted bets that we were on but also help us

120
00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:07,120
Speaker 1: make decisions about bets going forward. We looked at Sam

121
00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:09,440
Speaker 1: Howell and the Commanders. The wise guys love the Commanders

122
00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:12,080
Speaker 1: this week against the Bills. And we looked at the

123
00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:14,840
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans O line, which we'll be having a very

124
00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:18,400
Speaker 1: hard time against. Miles Garrett and the Browns. Great stats

125
00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,800
Speaker 1: on how dominant the Browns defense has been. I want

126
00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:23,200
Speaker 1: to get much deeper into that game, because it is

127
00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:26,400
Speaker 1: really I think it's the most interesting game on the board,

128
00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:28,440
Speaker 1: and we talked a lot about it on Tuesday.

129
00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:29,640
Speaker 4: Look kudos to you.

130
00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:33,520
Speaker 1: By the way, I stupidly did not bet the Raiders

131
00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:35,680
Speaker 1: at plus one and a half. I have now bet

132
00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:38,239
Speaker 1: them at two and a half. Stucky in Raybund also

133
00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:41,400
Speaker 1: talked about the Raiders on the Action Network podcasts and

134
00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:43,400
Speaker 1: how bad this Pittsburgh team is. We'll dig a little

135
00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:46,039
Speaker 1: bit deeper into that one. But on Sunday you said

136
00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:47,800
Speaker 1: bet the Raiders at plus one and a half. So

137
00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:50,680
Speaker 1: oh man, we got so many games to talk about.

138
00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:52,600
Speaker 1: The wise guys are in line with us in a

139
00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:56,040
Speaker 1: lot of these conversations. As a reminder, you can catch

140
00:06:56,160 --> 00:07:00,560
Speaker 1: every episode of The Favorites live on you Tube. So

141
00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:03,080
Speaker 1: for those enjoying on YouTube, don't forget to give us

142
00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:06,520
Speaker 1: a like and subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page. Simon,

143
00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:08,400
Speaker 1: we got to start narrowing down our games. We got

144
00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:10,000
Speaker 1: to get to our Foxhull, we got to get to

145
00:07:10,080 --> 00:07:12,080
Speaker 1: Survivor Big Balls Bet.

146
00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:14,440
Speaker 4: Of the Week. We're gonna start with the Bears at

147
00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:15,320
Speaker 4: plus twelve and a half.

148
00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:22,640
Speaker 1: You mentioned this on Tuesday, yesterday afternoon, this team basically

149
00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:26,000
Speaker 1: started falling apart. The story heading into the afternoon was

150
00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:30,600
Speaker 1: justin Field saying he's robotic because of his coaches. Then

151
00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:36,240
Speaker 1: the defensive coordinator resigns, who already wasn't calling plays last week,

152
00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:41,760
Speaker 1: resigns for health reasons. The rapid fire texts and alerts

153
00:07:41,800 --> 00:07:45,160
Speaker 1: I got yesterday while I was in a very important

154
00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:51,080
Speaker 1: businessman met. I split my time between star talent and

155
00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:55,160
Speaker 1: extremely capable media executive, And in the middle of this

156
00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:58,640
Speaker 1: very important meeting where I'm talking high stakes, I got

157
00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:02,520
Speaker 1: my son texted me about breaking news on the defensive coordinator.

158
00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:05,720
Speaker 1: Then my friends are losing it about the defensive coordinator,

159
00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:08,680
Speaker 1: texting me NonStop, and then I get news that Nathan

160
00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:11,440
Speaker 1: Peterman was released. And my feeling on this is like,

161
00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:14,760
Speaker 1: that's a smoke screen because the defense they're like, the

162
00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:17,520
Speaker 1: Bears are such an incompetent.

163
00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:18,320
Speaker 4: Organization right now.

164
00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:21,119
Speaker 1: They're like, if we make a roster move and release

165
00:08:21,240 --> 00:08:24,720
Speaker 1: Nathan Peterman, people won't realize that our quarterback is calling

166
00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:27,320
Speaker 1: at our coaches in there work and that our defensive

167
00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:31,840
Speaker 1: coordinator is resigning. Nathan Peterman was picked back up today.

168
00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:35,520
Speaker 1: By the way, dude, what the fuck with this team, man,

169
00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:38,800
Speaker 1: I know how I feel about emotionally. I said on Tuesday,

170
00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:43,120
Speaker 1: the Bears don't get enough credit for being a really

171
00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:49,679
Speaker 1: historically poorly run, incompetent organization, and it pains me to

172
00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:52,240
Speaker 1: say that. I know so many people in that organization

173
00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:56,200
Speaker 1: who are amazing. I feel like the organization itself is

174
00:08:56,360 --> 00:08:57,720
Speaker 1: handcuffed because of ownership.

175
00:08:58,040 --> 00:08:58,480
Speaker 4: That's it.

176
00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:03,199
Speaker 1: I just think the McCaskey Hollas rain has been disastrous

177
00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:04,800
Speaker 1: since about nineteen sixty.

178
00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:08,439
Speaker 3: Yeah. Football always stop starts at the top down right.

179
00:09:08,640 --> 00:09:10,679
Speaker 3: I feel like you go through any organization, it's like

180
00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:12,240
Speaker 3: you have to have all three. You have to have

181
00:09:12,280 --> 00:09:14,920
Speaker 3: an owner that knows their place and knows how to

182
00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:17,320
Speaker 3: hire the right people and put them in positions. Then

183
00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:19,719
Speaker 3: you have the GM, then the coach, then the quarterback,

184
00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:23,440
Speaker 3: and it feels like you guys have been lacking like

185
00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:25,959
Speaker 3: the most important things, which is the quarterback, the coach,

186
00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:28,240
Speaker 3: and the GM. And it's been for years now. I mean,

187
00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:33,360
Speaker 3: I know that all those stories yesterday was a lot

188
00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:35,520
Speaker 3: of just bs, right, all the rumors fly and everything

189
00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:38,120
Speaker 3: it turned out to be not true. But stuff that

190
00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:40,840
Speaker 3: was true was you had a quarterback that has the

191
00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:44,800
Speaker 3: worst winning percentage in football ever in fields as a starter,

192
00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:50,000
Speaker 3: bad mouthing his coaches, and you know, that's exactly what

193
00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:51,760
Speaker 3: you don't want to hear from a guy who was

194
00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:54,680
Speaker 3: missing open reads. Okay, that wasn't his coach's fault, that

195
00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:59,240
Speaker 3: was him, and that's just such It's something you just

196
00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:00,960
Speaker 3: don't want to do because that just shows weak, like

197
00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:02,960
Speaker 3: you're a weak person, like you're a weak mentally if

198
00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:04,720
Speaker 3: you're you're trying to push the blame on other people

199
00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:06,800
Speaker 3: instead of just owning up, which is what I think

200
00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:08,680
Speaker 3: all Bears fans want to hear, was him take onus

201
00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:11,079
Speaker 3: on himself and say that he has tough to improve.

202
00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:12,760
Speaker 3: That's how simple would have been, instead of throwing his

203
00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:15,199
Speaker 3: coaches under the bus. So I wanted to be on

204
00:10:15,240 --> 00:10:17,920
Speaker 3: the Bear's chat. I still might throw a little on them,

205
00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:21,600
Speaker 3: but I mean, how can you default anybody for taking

206
00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:23,920
Speaker 3: the chiefs here? Like the Bears seem like an absolute

207
00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:28,600
Speaker 3: train wreck, and you know it's it's rare a team

208
00:10:28,640 --> 00:10:31,079
Speaker 3: can have this much drama during the week and prepare

209
00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:34,880
Speaker 3: for the defending Super Bowl champions. So it is a

210
00:10:35,440 --> 00:10:38,880
Speaker 3: nightmarison air for Barrs fans. Staring O three in the face,

211
00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:41,960
Speaker 3: and not that it's a guarantee they're gonna be knowing three,

212
00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:44,280
Speaker 3: but it feels like they signed it this week. Just

213
00:10:44,280 --> 00:10:46,839
Speaker 3: being unfocused dealing with all this with the media. I mean,

214
00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:48,480
Speaker 3: how many other teams are dealing with all this in

215
00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:50,280
Speaker 3: the media this week? It feels like none. It feels

216
00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:53,400
Speaker 3: like it's just the Bear. So yeah, I feel bad

217
00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:55,040
Speaker 3: for you Chat and all Bears fans. It's just been

218
00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:57,520
Speaker 3: a train wreck this past season so much.

219
00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:59,160
Speaker 4: Do you know what's interesting? Simon?

220
00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:04,840
Speaker 1: You make such a good point about justin Field's response

221
00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:08,880
Speaker 1: to the poor Star. This was a leadership opportunity. This

222
00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:10,920
Speaker 1: was a chance for him to step up and say

223
00:11:11,000 --> 00:11:14,160
Speaker 1: I own this. I'm going to be better, This team

224
00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:15,760
Speaker 1: is going to be better. I'm going to put them

225
00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:19,839
Speaker 1: on my back. And he immediately looked forward excuses.

226
00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:20,120
Speaker 4: And got defensive.

227
00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:24,520
Speaker 1: This is like the argument I have with my sixteen

228
00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:26,959
Speaker 1: year old when I call him out on something, and

229
00:11:27,040 --> 00:11:30,200
Speaker 1: like he immediately gets defensive and tries to deflect the blame,

230
00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:33,720
Speaker 1: And I'm just like, dude, do you know how much

231
00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:37,240
Speaker 1: easier your life is and how much more respect you

232
00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:40,400
Speaker 1: get from people if you just admit the mistake and

233
00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:43,280
Speaker 1: you move on No one's going to hold over your head.

234
00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:45,160
Speaker 1: They're just going to say, like, all right, he gets it.

235
00:11:45,559 --> 00:11:47,679
Speaker 1: I understand, let's move on to the next thing.

236
00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:48,480
Speaker 4: I don't.

237
00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:51,520
Speaker 1: It doesn't mean you're a bad person, but let's focus

238
00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:53,480
Speaker 1: on what's going wrong and I'll work together to make

239
00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:55,719
Speaker 1: it better. And I don't feel like that's happening in

240
00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:59,400
Speaker 1: the Bear's locker room right now. Here's a stat you

241
00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:04,920
Speaker 1: just mentioned, Justin Field's lowest career win percentage. This is

242
00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:12,200
Speaker 1: from JPA Football at JAS Football on Twitter, but JPA

243
00:12:12,280 --> 00:12:16,120
Speaker 1: Football on Twitter as well. This will be the first

244
00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:18,680
Speaker 1: time in fifty three years with a QB with the

245
00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:22,280
Speaker 1: highest career win percentage and Patrick Mahomes plays the QB

246
00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:24,559
Speaker 1: with the lowest career win percentage. He also put a

247
00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:28,839
Speaker 1: nice little reminder the Bears opted to not draft Patrick

248
00:12:28,920 --> 00:12:32,280
Speaker 1: Mahomes in twenty seventeen to trade up, as I used

249
00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:34,800
Speaker 1: to remind people before Mitch Trubisky was traded.

250
00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:38,920
Speaker 4: To trade up for Mitch true Bisky. So there we go.

251
00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:43,920
Speaker 4: We got that. That's the Bears talk right now.

252
00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:45,959
Speaker 3: And even then, though even if they had drafted him,

253
00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:49,080
Speaker 3: can you imagine him with your guys, Matt Naggie and

254
00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:52,680
Speaker 3: the coaching tree you had in Chicago and your offensive weapons.

255
00:12:52,679 --> 00:12:55,920
Speaker 3: It was like imagine going from Mahomes, going from Kelsey

256
00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:57,640
Speaker 3: and Tyree Hill to start your career to what the

257
00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,319
Speaker 3: Bears had. I just don't again, don't know if it

258
00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:01,800
Speaker 3: would have matter, if they would have drafted them. It's

259
00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:05,040
Speaker 3: just it's just all negative right now for the Bears.

260
00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:07,120
Speaker 1: One last stat and then we're moving on to the

261
00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:08,560
Speaker 1: Texans and the Jags, which is a game that we

262
00:13:08,640 --> 00:13:12,400
Speaker 1: both love. When opponents score more than twenty points versus

263
00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:15,440
Speaker 1: a Justin Fields Bears team, they are eighteen and oh

264
00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:18,800
Speaker 1: straight up, all five Justin Field's wins have come with

265
00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:23,480
Speaker 1: opponents scoring twenty points or less. Bears are fucked, all right.

266
00:13:23,960 --> 00:13:26,560
Speaker 1: This line, the Texans and the Jags. We circled this

267
00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:29,640
Speaker 1: game the other day. We talked about it when it

268
00:13:29,679 --> 00:13:31,319
Speaker 1: was eight and a half. The line has moved to

269
00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:33,560
Speaker 1: seven and a half. Full disclosure, I missed the eight

270
00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:35,599
Speaker 1: and a half. I still better at seven and a

271
00:13:35,640 --> 00:13:38,360
Speaker 1: half because I know eight is becoming a key number.

272
00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:41,280
Speaker 1: But I just decided I like the Texans did anything

273
00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:42,800
Speaker 1: more than a touchdown.

274
00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:43,560
Speaker 4: In this game.

275
00:13:44,440 --> 00:13:48,040
Speaker 1: Some good trends that I stole from Chris Raybon in

276
00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:50,559
Speaker 1: the Action Network podcast the six Pack segment he does

277
00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:52,880
Speaker 1: with Stucky.

278
00:13:53,040 --> 00:13:54,440
Speaker 4: How are you feeling about the Texans?

279
00:13:54,520 --> 00:13:56,800
Speaker 1: You said the other day c J Stroud has been

280
00:13:56,800 --> 00:13:59,600
Speaker 1: really good, And I looked at his stats after because

281
00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:03,040
Speaker 1: I was skeptical, and you're right, no interceptions, completing sixty

282
00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:04,800
Speaker 1: four percent of his pass, has a lot of yardage,

283
00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:07,600
Speaker 1: garbage yardage, but still doing the job that's in front

284
00:14:07,600 --> 00:14:08,240
Speaker 1: of them.

285
00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:10,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's just again, I wasn't saying this guy is

286
00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:13,040
Speaker 3: like all world. It's just one of those where it's

287
00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:14,760
Speaker 3: nice to see he can make the throws. I mean,

288
00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:18,000
Speaker 3: you're a Barriers fan. Justin Field's whole life is in

289
00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:20,680
Speaker 3: garbage time. He's never hit a higher number than CJ's throw.

290
00:14:20,800 --> 00:14:23,000
Speaker 3: So it is one of those where you got to

291
00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:25,280
Speaker 3: make the throws just because you're getting a shell defense.

292
00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:28,080
Speaker 3: And this number actually touched ten at a couple of

293
00:14:28,120 --> 00:14:30,920
Speaker 3: books chat and the pro money did come in and

294
00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:32,520
Speaker 3: hit it down. I'm still seeing nine of a couple

295
00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:35,680
Speaker 3: of books. It's good value there. I mean, everyone's seen

296
00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:39,360
Speaker 3: the stat in his career. Trevor Lawrence is a favorite,

297
00:14:39,560 --> 00:14:42,800
Speaker 3: is zero to four. So I mean, what do we

298
00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:46,960
Speaker 3: do ats this guy? Doesn't cover as a favorite. It's

299
00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:49,040
Speaker 3: a big number, and I know everyone's keeps saying like

300
00:14:49,080 --> 00:14:51,120
Speaker 3: this is a good bounce back spot for the Jaguars.

301
00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:55,400
Speaker 3: It's just there's little things that with this offense, I

302
00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:59,320
Speaker 3: have questions And even even if they do get a lead,

303
00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:01,080
Speaker 3: I think we'll always have a chance at a back

304
00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:03,560
Speaker 3: door here, Chad with this with this Texans offense, So

305
00:15:04,560 --> 00:15:06,280
Speaker 3: I'm not going crazy on this one. Yeah, I'm waiting

306
00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:08,520
Speaker 3: to see what's happening with their offensive line. Like they've

307
00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:11,200
Speaker 3: had major guys missing from that offensive line, which count

308
00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:13,520
Speaker 3: was supposed to play, and that's a big deal to me.

309
00:15:13,640 --> 00:15:15,840
Speaker 3: Like if he's back and they have someone to stop

310
00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:18,320
Speaker 3: Josh Allen coming off that edge, or you know, any

311
00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:20,240
Speaker 3: of these pass rushers of the Jaguars have, that's a

312
00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:22,600
Speaker 3: big deal. So as a QB that has been running

313
00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:24,600
Speaker 3: for his life, I'm excited to see what CJ looks

314
00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:26,840
Speaker 3: like with a good offensive line and his best off

315
00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:30,440
Speaker 3: offensive lineman out there. So, like Chad said, you can

316
00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:32,360
Speaker 3: still get the nine, you can still grab the eight

317
00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:34,120
Speaker 3: and a half. I just grab it now because I

318
00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:35,760
Speaker 3: do I do see it dropping down as we close

319
00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:37,600
Speaker 3: serit of game time, we're playing the number here and

320
00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:39,240
Speaker 3: this is a good number. Like I couldn't I could

321
00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,400
Speaker 3: not believe they got the ten at one point. Now

322
00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:43,680
Speaker 3: it makes sense it's going down towards eight seven and

323
00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:45,000
Speaker 3: a half, like that's where it should be.

324
00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:48,280
Speaker 1: I misspoke. I apologize. I was thinking about the Colts

325
00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:50,640
Speaker 1: and the Ravens. I got the Texans a plus nine

326
00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:53,480
Speaker 1: and a half the other day. It's still settling around

327
00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:55,920
Speaker 1: nine eight and a half. But this is a big

328
00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:57,960
Speaker 1: pros Joe's game, and you can see like a clear

329
00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:02,360
Speaker 1: discrepancy tickets on the Jag money on the Texans simon

330
00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:05,720
Speaker 1: this Also, we've talked about this, like we're making our

331
00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:10,440
Speaker 1: contest picks our five faves on Sunday at about eleven

332
00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:14,720
Speaker 1: forty five, after we do another bet three six five show.

333
00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:17,760
Speaker 4: Convinced me on Sunday mornings at eleven that might.

334
00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:20,440
Speaker 1: Be too late because we could lock in some games

335
00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:23,120
Speaker 1: that we love right now at better numbers. When we're

336
00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:26,120
Speaker 1: seeing on Sunday with these lines changing, we got to

337
00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:28,080
Speaker 1: start thinking about some game theory here.

338
00:16:28,760 --> 00:16:29,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't hate that.

339
00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:30,680
Speaker 4: I don't hate that at all.

340
00:16:31,120 --> 00:16:33,400
Speaker 1: Another game, but right now, what would you say? I

341
00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:36,320
Speaker 1: would say, like I got the Texans a comfortable putting

342
00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:36,680
Speaker 1: in the five.

343
00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:39,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just want to see what the offensive line is. Like,

344
00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:41,760
Speaker 3: I'm not putting them in if they still have two

345
00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:44,800
Speaker 3: starters out on that offensive line, Like that's it's too

346
00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:47,440
Speaker 3: much to ask of a rookie quarterback with the offensive lineman.

347
00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:51,720
Speaker 1: All Right, the Pats they touched three. Now it's down

348
00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:55,160
Speaker 1: to two and a half, which is interesting to me.

349
00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:57,840
Speaker 1: I got it at two and a half. We talked

350
00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:01,840
Speaker 1: about it. We love Bill Belichick in this spot. Why

351
00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:03,560
Speaker 1: did it go to two and a half. Who's playing

352
00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:04,800
Speaker 1: the Jets?

353
00:17:04,840 --> 00:17:07,520
Speaker 3: The Pros? They just it's it's a home divisional dog

354
00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:10,600
Speaker 3: with a great defense. But I mean, you don't care.

355
00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,159
Speaker 3: We will walk into this trap. We will trust the

356
00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:17,360
Speaker 3: numbers that Belichick against these quarterbacks who are terrible. Are

357
00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:20,440
Speaker 3: these are the games he wins? Like this this Patriot defense.

358
00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:22,280
Speaker 3: And if you're scared of this and you just want

359
00:17:22,280 --> 00:17:24,480
Speaker 3: to take the under, I totally get it. Thunder is

360
00:17:24,480 --> 00:17:26,919
Speaker 3: insanely low. It's like thirty seven and a half. Like

361
00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:28,960
Speaker 3: that's a tough player where I think it's just safe

362
00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,480
Speaker 3: for going with this Patriots team that I trust them

363
00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:33,520
Speaker 3: to put the points up, Like I see I see

364
00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:35,560
Speaker 3: ways for Mac to drive the field and get points

365
00:17:35,560 --> 00:17:39,080
Speaker 3: for me and with Zach Wilson. And how horrible that

366
00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:42,119
Speaker 3: Patriots off I mean that Jets offensive line is I

367
00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:43,840
Speaker 3: just don't see it. I mean, you can look at

368
00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:46,920
Speaker 3: the numbers right now through two games, them and Pittsburgh

369
00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:49,199
Speaker 3: are giving up the most pressure right now, there are

370
00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:52,840
Speaker 3: two teams at anytime they're playing against really good defensive lines. Chad, mean,

371
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:54,800
Speaker 3: you're always gonna kind of be skewed to the other team.

372
00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:58,680
Speaker 3: So it's a nice matchup for this Patriots team. It's

373
00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:01,479
Speaker 3: a must win, desperate team. They know they're staying zero

374
00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:03,720
Speaker 3: three in the face. So we could be walking to

375
00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:06,040
Speaker 3: the trap chat like we always say that when they

376
00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:07,359
Speaker 3: move it from three to two and a half and

377
00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:09,560
Speaker 3: they're letting you take the favorite. It's always a little scary.

378
00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:11,600
Speaker 3: But I'll walk into I'll take this and I'll back

379
00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:14,320
Speaker 3: Belichick in the spot. So another team that we like

380
00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:16,280
Speaker 3: the favorite and the Pros do like the dog.

381
00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:18,560
Speaker 1: We got screwed with this on the Browns in the

382
00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:23,880
Speaker 1: exact same situation with almost the exact same number, right, Yeah,

383
00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:28,720
Speaker 1: better defense. Crazy quirky things happen in the NFL. I

384
00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:30,920
Speaker 1: feel like the Patriots have gotten unlucky in a couple

385
00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:33,879
Speaker 1: of games. In the luck rankings, they are the most

386
00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:38,879
Speaker 1: unlucky team after two weeks. We're playing the percentages from

387
00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:40,680
Speaker 1: a luck rankings point of view, and I trust that

388
00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:43,240
Speaker 1: as much as anything like that has become sort of

389
00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:46,440
Speaker 1: for me a huge factor when thinking about these games.

390
00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:50,600
Speaker 1: The percentage of coverage for a luck for a team

391
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,280
Speaker 1: that has been unlucky in this position is north of

392
00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:56,840
Speaker 1: sixty percent, So I'm not uncomfortable with this at all.

393
00:18:56,960 --> 00:18:59,879
Speaker 1: I've marked it down past minus two and a half

394
00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:03,320
Speaker 1: as a near mortal locke for the contest.

395
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:05,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think people are just off of the

396
00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:07,879
Speaker 3: Belichick thing. I mean, I had two pros on me

397
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:09,880
Speaker 3: yesterday and they were just bad mouthing them. I made

398
00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:13,080
Speaker 3: them come inside, I made them watch that Rams Patriots

399
00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:15,200
Speaker 3: Super Bowl, and it's just like, this is why Belichick's

400
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,400
Speaker 3: one of the greatest coaches ever. He totally took away

401
00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:20,159
Speaker 3: everything McVeigh wanted to do on that offense, and I

402
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:22,200
Speaker 3: think people just forget that because he did have Brady

403
00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:26,040
Speaker 3: was incredible, But this man defensively is so smart.

404
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:33,560
Speaker 1: Denver, the Broncos O Denver Broncos touched seven for a

405
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:36,880
Speaker 1: minute last week. This was our exec decision. By the way,

406
00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:39,760
Speaker 1: we still owe people the foxhole. We still owe them

407
00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:40,560
Speaker 1: the big balls.

408
00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:41,480
Speaker 4: I don't know if you do.

409
00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:43,080
Speaker 3: You want to do Patriots of their foxhole?

410
00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:46,120
Speaker 4: I was thinking about that, yeah, because it.

411
00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:48,040
Speaker 3: Feels like it's going to be just in the public

412
00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,800
Speaker 3: on this one, Like no pros are jumping in this Foxhoila.

413
00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:52,000
Speaker 4: All right, we're going to the fox.

414
00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:54,000
Speaker 3: Hole, you know me, regardless of what's going on. I'm

415
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:56,520
Speaker 3: a foxhole guy. I commit to a team, I commit

416
00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:58,200
Speaker 3: to a city. I'm a foxhole guy.

417
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 4: By the way, I'd love to have Bill Belichick in

418
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:02,200
Speaker 4: my foxhole.

419
00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:05,280
Speaker 3: Me too, wouldn't you. Yeah, did you see this meme

420
00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:08,120
Speaker 3: going around Chad? It was like women asking their boyfriends

421
00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:10,160
Speaker 3: and their husbands how often they think of ancient Rome.

422
00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:11,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, it made.

423
00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:13,120
Speaker 3: Me think of like, if someone came around, like how

424
00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:15,720
Speaker 3: often do you think of Bill Belichick, it'd probably be

425
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:18,720
Speaker 3: like once or twice a week. The man's always on

426
00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:19,160
Speaker 3: my mind.

427
00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:21,159
Speaker 1: He is always on my mind because I feel like

428
00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:25,600
Speaker 1: he's still some kind of Spengali even if like the

429
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:28,399
Speaker 1: team isn't performing well and isn't making the playoffs, and

430
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 1: I think what he did last year with Joe Judge

431
00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:37,800
Speaker 1: and Matt Patricia was actually borderline like abusive from Mac Jones.

432
00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:42,720
Speaker 1: I still think he's so good strategically because I think

433
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,960
Speaker 1: it's all he thinks about me too. All Right, so

434
00:20:46,000 --> 00:20:48,280
Speaker 1: we're in the foxhole with Bill Belichick. Don't mind that

435
00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:50,320
Speaker 1: at all. We still owe with big balls. It's very

436
00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:53,919
Speaker 1: possible this next game is the big balls because Denver

437
00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:56,960
Speaker 1: plus six and a half, which was also our exec decision.

438
00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:00,040
Speaker 1: I still love it. It's like becoming one of my

439
00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:00,960
Speaker 1: favorite players of the week.

440
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:05,439
Speaker 3: I love it, but I'm definitely scared where like, I

441
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:07,919
Speaker 3: don't know, talk to twenty pros and maybe three of

442
00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:10,480
Speaker 3: them for their group are putting big money on this

443
00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:13,280
Speaker 3: Denver side with us and a lot of guys who.

444
00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,080
Speaker 1: Those three pros are the most influential of the twenty

445
00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:16,720
Speaker 1: you spoke.

446
00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:22,120
Speaker 3: To, right, I wish I was so, but no, they're definitely.

447
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:24,800
Speaker 3: They're definitely not in the pecking order, but they are

448
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:27,200
Speaker 3: really sharp guys, and I think they're coming from the

449
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 3: same standpoint of me, which is I think Russ is

450
00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:31,600
Speaker 3: way better than people are giving them credit for. This

451
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 3: starts of the season, and you know, Sean Payton, one

452
00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:37,560
Speaker 3: of the best coaches, one of the guys I really respect.

453
00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:40,600
Speaker 3: It really hasn't been his fault. It's been the defense

454
00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:43,160
Speaker 3: that's really let them down in this Denver team, and

455
00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,600
Speaker 3: they have the playbook now. They saw what the Patriots did,

456
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:48,680
Speaker 3: and we're gonna see really fast if other teams start

457
00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:52,159
Speaker 3: implementing the same type of defensive style against this Miami offense,

458
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,720
Speaker 3: which is we will let you dink and dunk all

459
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:56,520
Speaker 3: the way downfield to it, but we're not letting you

460
00:21:56,520 --> 00:22:00,960
Speaker 3: get downfield waddle or tyre hill. So yeah, I love

461
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 3: this number for a bunch of different reasons, but the

462
00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:06,399
Speaker 3: biggest is we're just playing the market and we're buying

463
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:09,320
Speaker 3: a team at their lowest point, an O and two

464
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,639
Speaker 3: team that's oh and two against the spread playing against

465
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:14,159
Speaker 3: the Miami team that's two and oh straight up in

466
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:17,240
Speaker 3: two and oh against the spread and are just loved

467
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:18,960
Speaker 3: by everyone. Like we already talked about it, and I

468
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 3: talked to a bookmaker yesterday. This is one of the

469
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:24,040
Speaker 3: most money lined teased beat games of the week, this

470
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:27,679
Speaker 3: Miami team. So always nice being a big need with

471
00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 3: the books on this to every team. So I got

472
00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:34,199
Speaker 3: no issue making this one of our five if it's

473
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:36,240
Speaker 3: still plus six and a half comes Sunday.

474
00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:39,919
Speaker 1: Cards plus twelve and a half from Evan Abrams. I

475
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:43,080
Speaker 1: asked Evan this the other day, double digit underdogs the

476
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:46,639
Speaker 1: past twenty years at home seventy two and fifty one

477
00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:49,119
Speaker 1: against the spread. But Evan tease me, and Evan's going

478
00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 1: to come on later in the show. He also pointed

479
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:56,679
Speaker 1: out Dak does very well against bad teams twenty six

480
00:22:56,760 --> 00:23:00,159
Speaker 1: twelve and two against the spread versus teams under or

481
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,960
Speaker 1: five hundred. That's the second best mark in the past

482
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:05,880
Speaker 1: twenty years, behind Tom Brady. He doesn't he's not one

483
00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 1: of those guys who plays to the level of the competition.

484
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:11,760
Speaker 3: No, that's what I've had a bunch of arguments about

485
00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:14,159
Speaker 3: this game this week. A lot of guys who've been

486
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:16,919
Speaker 3: riding this Cardinals team are they're skipping this one, and

487
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:19,040
Speaker 3: they just think that Dallas is a juggernaut right now,

488
00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:21,240
Speaker 3: and that's a few teams playing at a higher level.

489
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:24,040
Speaker 3: And I always argue this is kind of the spots

490
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:26,399
Speaker 3: they let down. But it was pointing out to me

491
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,240
Speaker 3: it's not that's at home against double digit dogs usually

492
00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:31,879
Speaker 3: on the road like this, they crush these teams like

493
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:35,120
Speaker 3: there's no distractions, none of that. Where you can attack

494
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:38,960
Speaker 3: this Dallas team is if you get the running game going,

495
00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:40,480
Speaker 3: you can move the ball in them. Like they don't

496
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,000
Speaker 3: have the greatest run stuffers, but the rest of the

497
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,200
Speaker 3: team has no weakness, Like you look at their defense

498
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 3: and they're just there are no real holes. And it's

499
00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:50,800
Speaker 3: gonna be a while before we really learn what their

500
00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:52,720
Speaker 3: weaknesses are because they don't play I think the forty

501
00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 3: nin ers they play week five or week six, that's

502
00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 3: their true litmus test for this Cowboys team. So one

503
00:23:58,080 --> 00:23:59,560
Speaker 3: of the games I was high on, I wanted to

504
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 3: take the car Rdinals here, but just from the lack

505
00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:05,280
Speaker 3: of you know, value on the line because I have

506
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:08,240
Speaker 3: this at thirteen, So technically I should be on this

507
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:11,440
Speaker 3: Cowboys team. I just can't get there, Like I really

508
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:13,719
Speaker 3: can't get there on this number with them. But if

509
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 3: anyone out there wants to tease them or do any

510
00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:17,280
Speaker 3: of that stuff, I agree with it, Like get it

511
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:20,560
Speaker 3: under seven. This this feels like a good number. So yeah,

512
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:22,639
Speaker 3: if we're going who I think is gonna be upset,

513
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:25,640
Speaker 3: Like you could get upset this week. We already talked

514
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 3: about the Jaguars, I could see being upset. We'll talk

515
00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:29,400
Speaker 3: about that Raven.

516
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:30,640
Speaker 4: We're gonna talk about another one.

517
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is one of these big dogs that I

518
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:36,119
Speaker 3: just can't see pulling the upset. Like, there isn't a

519
00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 3: scenario where I see the Cardinals doing it so just

520
00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:41,000
Speaker 3: because of the Dallas defense. Nothing because of the Dallas's offense,

521
00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 3: but defensively, I just don't know if the Cardinals have

522
00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 3: the weapons to really attack the weaknesses of this Dallas team.

523
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:48,119
Speaker 1: You know what I love, Simon. I love when you

524
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,119
Speaker 1: and I aren't a bit of a mind meld and

525
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,119
Speaker 1: we haven't spoken about the games that we're going to

526
00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:57,359
Speaker 1: talk about, but we are finding consensus amongst.

527
00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,320
Speaker 4: The two of us, Like it's.

528
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:02,240
Speaker 1: You know, boken force. I feel like we're in that

529
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:04,080
Speaker 1: kind of zone today.

530
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:06,520
Speaker 3: If I see you five days a week.

531
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 4: That's true.

532
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:10,879
Speaker 1: I also feel like we're in a zone when we

533
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:15,120
Speaker 1: talk about the fastest growing ticketing app in the United States,

534
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:19,440
Speaker 1: that's right, it's our sponsor, game Time. I love game

535
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:23,320
Speaker 1: Time for two reasons. One they sponsor the show. Two

536
00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:26,639
Speaker 1: I actually use game Time to buy tickets. They've got

537
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:30,000
Speaker 1: amazing last minute deals on all sorts of tickets, including

538
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 1: pro and college games. I'm actually going to open game

539
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:38,399
Speaker 1: Time right now from the Action Network studios.

540
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:42,160
Speaker 4: Here in New York City. What am I seeing? Oh?

541
00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:44,879
Speaker 1: I can go see the New York Yankees tonight for

542
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:48,000
Speaker 1: six dollars. I could see the New York Jets this weekend,

543
00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:51,680
Speaker 1: play the New England Patriots and bet on them at

544
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:54,879
Speaker 1: minus two and a half for eighty dollars. That is

545
00:25:54,920 --> 00:26:00,000
Speaker 1: some winning ticket searching. No matter where you live, download

546
00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:01,840
Speaker 1: the Game Time app, get out and have some fun

547
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,560
Speaker 1: this week. Go sweat your bets live and in person,

548
00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:09,240
Speaker 1: and you can redeem code favorites for twenty dollars off

549
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:13,440
Speaker 1: your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply again. Just download

550
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,240
Speaker 1: the app and enter code favorites for twenty dollars off

551
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:20,640
Speaker 1: last minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed. Simon, I screwed up.

552
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:23,400
Speaker 1: I screwed up big time. On Sunday Night. We were

553
00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:26,240
Speaker 1: talking about the games in our Sunday Night podcast, which

554
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 1: I love, and it's a hard podcast to do because

555
00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:32,080
Speaker 1: we are both exhausted and we've been through the ringer

556
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,120
Speaker 1: at that point. But it's great to get our emotions

557
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:37,680
Speaker 1: out and start thinking about the next games right.

558
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:39,360
Speaker 4: We pinpointed a lot of games.

559
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:42,360
Speaker 1: One of the games we pinpointed was the Raiders as

560
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 1: one and a half point dogs against the Steelers at home.

561
00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:49,960
Speaker 1: You're like, grab that right now? Of course, Like my

562
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:52,720
Speaker 1: notes are freaking mess after that show, and so like

563
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:55,159
Speaker 1: I go through and I grab some games and somehow

564
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:57,520
Speaker 1: I missed this one and sort of forgot about it.

565
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:01,919
Speaker 1: Woke up this morning, I'm like, shit, this game's at

566
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,119
Speaker 1: two and a half. And then I panicked at it.

567
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:05,639
Speaker 1: I'm like, I just want to get it before it

568
00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:07,359
Speaker 1: got to three, and it's going to get there. The

569
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:10,400
Speaker 1: tickets are on the Steelers, the pros are on the Raiders.

570
00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,240
Speaker 1: How badly should I feel that I didn't get the

571
00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:14,440
Speaker 1: Raiders until two and a half.

572
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:18,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, it was a bad miss, but it happens all

573
00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 3: the time. I'm exactly there with you where Sunday night.

574
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:25,119
Speaker 3: You know your mind's a little loopy. I'm lucky where

575
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:28,359
Speaker 3: I'm making these bets during the games before even hop on,

576
00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:30,119
Speaker 3: and then we do hop on, I'm texting guys are

577
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:32,040
Speaker 3: going to make more bets for me. So yeah, I

578
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,159
Speaker 3: love that we got the value on that number. But

579
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:36,040
Speaker 3: you always cut yourselfs in certain spots where I can

580
00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:38,760
Speaker 3: come back on the other side, like that Tennessee, I

581
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:40,439
Speaker 3: got the four and a half and then when it

582
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:42,480
Speaker 3: moved to three against Cleveland, I grabbed the three. And

583
00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:45,520
Speaker 3: it's like I got an ugly middle, but I really

584
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:47,520
Speaker 3: want to Cleveland to win and cover, like that's where

585
00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:48,960
Speaker 3: most of my money is, even though I did a

586
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:52,479
Speaker 3: small bet on Tennessee. So yeah, I wish i'd tell

587
00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:54,120
Speaker 3: people don't get married too much to what we're saying

588
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,720
Speaker 3: on Sunday, Like we're just taking an early action and

589
00:27:56,760 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 3: trying to get the best of the number on certain games.

590
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,040
Speaker 3: And it's not always like this week where we got

591
00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 3: the Rams, we beat the beat the number by three points,

592
00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:06,399
Speaker 3: and now this Raiders game, we're beating this by three points,

593
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:09,960
Speaker 3: Like that's that's the dream scenario. So yeah, this Raiders game,

594
00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:14,320
Speaker 3: it's just all there for a Raiders bounce back spot.

595
00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,239
Speaker 3: You're playing against a team you already talked about in

596
00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:21,360
Speaker 3: Pittsburgh that their offense is literally one of the most

597
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:24,159
Speaker 3: efficient offenses in awful part. Now it's it's them in

598
00:28:24,200 --> 00:28:28,159
Speaker 3: the Jets. They're one and two, and with Pittsburgh you

599
00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:31,159
Speaker 3: can say, well, they've played really hard defenses. Right, that

600
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,280
Speaker 3: could be your that could be your reasoning for Wow,

601
00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 3: it's been They started the season with Cleveland, I mean

602
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:38,479
Speaker 3: the forty nine ers, and they played Cleveland, and now

603
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 3: they're playing this Raiders team that you expect them to

604
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:44,240
Speaker 3: have better, you know, better stats against. Right, they'll better

605
00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:46,880
Speaker 3: run the ball, make some good passes here with Kenny Pickett,

606
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:51,320
Speaker 3: but when you look up front, you know Max Crosby.

607
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:53,760
Speaker 3: These are kind of the dream scenarios like this is.

608
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:56,040
Speaker 3: You know, if you if you want a great pass

609
00:28:56,120 --> 00:28:57,920
Speaker 3: rusher and you want them to go against Pittsburgh, this

610
00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:01,560
Speaker 3: is this is the dream scenario. So I hate that

611
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:03,239
Speaker 3: it's getting to three for people. If you didn't get

612
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 3: to two and a half, I would grab it now

613
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,720
Speaker 3: it's gone up so much. But I know people are

614
00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:09,600
Speaker 3: shock down with favorites We like this week, But that's

615
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 3: just how it is when're ryan the ups and downs

616
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:14,080
Speaker 3: week the week. This is another home favorite I like

617
00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:16,560
Speaker 3: under a field goal. That's they are bad. They do

618
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 3: have some glaring weaknesses because they've had horrible drafts for

619
00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:23,680
Speaker 3: about six years on that Raiders team, but the superstars

620
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:25,960
Speaker 3: they have, the studs they have, This is a great

621
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:28,680
Speaker 3: matchup for them. I mean, Josh Jacobs, this just should

622
00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 3: be one hundred and fifty yard rushing game for him.

623
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:34,640
Speaker 3: Jimmy Garoppolo horrible against that Bills team, just absolutely horrible.

624
00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:36,560
Speaker 3: It's because he had no run game, and like that's

625
00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 3: what the Bill is new to take away. If you

626
00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:40,200
Speaker 3: take away the run game, Jimmy g all of it

627
00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:43,360
Speaker 3: on his shoulders. He struggles. Pittsburgh doesn't have anyone that

628
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 3: the Bills have to stop the run. So this one

629
00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:49,240
Speaker 3: chat is I'm actually honestly shocked to hear that Stucky

630
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:50,600
Speaker 3: and Chris are on this one because they don't like

631
00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:53,560
Speaker 3: taking favorites either. But all the pros like this, like

632
00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:56,280
Speaker 3: this is just a pros versus Joe's game. We spot

633
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,240
Speaker 3: it right away, but still take it at two and

634
00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:00,120
Speaker 3: a half. If it's three and a half comes Sunday

635
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:02,960
Speaker 3: though for our contest, maybe we don't take this, but

636
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 3: at two and a half, I got to put it in.

637
00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:08,040
Speaker 1: The run defense is terrible. We saw it against the

638
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:11,840
Speaker 1: Browns in that Monday night game. No, Cam Hayward I

639
00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:16,440
Speaker 1: think is impacting them huge, tremendously huge, huge, right because

640
00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 1: Nick Chubb obviously, like before the injury. Sixty four yards

641
00:30:20,280 --> 00:30:22,400
Speaker 1: on ten carries. He might have had one hundred yards

642
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:24,400
Speaker 1: and a touchdown in the first half if not for

643
00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:24,920
Speaker 1: the injury.

644
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:27,360
Speaker 4: But then his backup ended up.

645
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:31,000
Speaker 1: While it wasn't like consistent yardage, he had a massive

646
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 1: play and he had over one hundred yards. And so

647
00:30:33,520 --> 00:30:36,400
Speaker 1: their run defense is truly, truly terrible. Here was a

648
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:39,320
Speaker 1: stat I stole from Raybaun. One team in the NFL

649
00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 1: this year has fewer red zone trips than the Chicago Bears,

650
00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:48,680
Speaker 1: who have three. It's Pittsburgh with two.

651
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:50,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're bad. Pathetic.

652
00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:52,000
Speaker 4: That is pathetic.

653
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:56,440
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh has thirty four rush yards before contact on offense

654
00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:59,000
Speaker 1: in the NFL. This is from Evan It's the fewest

655
00:30:59,000 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 1: in the NFL.

656
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, and their first round running back looks like a

657
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 3: total bust now three years later. So just just not

658
00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:08,720
Speaker 3: I mean Canada, everyone's putting to blame on him in

659
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:12,560
Speaker 3: that offense. He is a terrible OC but just all around,

660
00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 3: it's just bad right now in Pittsburgh.

661
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean they got bailed out by Deshaun Watson.

662
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:20,000
Speaker 1: They really did last week. All right, last week we

663
00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:22,640
Speaker 1: talked about the Bucks plus five and a half. It

664
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:24,960
Speaker 1: was your signon says it's down to four and a half.

665
00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:30,080
Speaker 1: You mentioned it in sharp calls. Do you still like

666
00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:31,840
Speaker 1: it at four and a half? Is it a contest

667
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 1: play at four and a half?

668
00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:36,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, still like it? Still like it a four and

669
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:40,840
Speaker 3: a half. It's definitely, though, one of the games where

670
00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:46,200
Speaker 3: you know it could go wrong for us pretty quick, Chad.

671
00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:50,400
Speaker 3: If Baker turns back into a pumpkin, that's the fear

672
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:53,960
Speaker 3: of taking this Bucks number here. But there's no reason

673
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 3: to believe he will. Like even when I go back

674
00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:57,760
Speaker 3: and watch the film, he's making the smart reads. He's

675
00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:00,560
Speaker 3: going through all the different reads and it's like, Okay,

676
00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:02,880
Speaker 3: Godwin's covered, let me take the next guy. Oh, Mike

677
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:04,640
Speaker 3: Evans is covered. Let me let me look at my

678
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 3: check down like he's playing like the hope for the Browns.

679
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:11,360
Speaker 3: Watson would play right. That's why they got rid of them.

680
00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 3: They brought on Watson to have what Baker's doing now,

681
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 3: which is a guy who's making the easier reads, not

682
00:32:16,280 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 3: forcing it. And you know Eagles team, they're incredibly talented

683
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,959
Speaker 3: all across the board, and they should be able to

684
00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:27,000
Speaker 3: beat this Bucks team. There's no doubt about it. But

685
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:29,880
Speaker 3: I still have a lot of questions about the OC

686
00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:33,680
Speaker 3: and the defensive coordinator, like they're just there's just something

687
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 3: not right with his team, this Eagles team through two games,

688
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:41,360
Speaker 3: and this would be one of the few times I

689
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:44,680
Speaker 3: would say I could see them losing this game out right,

690
00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:45,920
Speaker 3: like if this was in a couple of weeks. So

691
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:47,280
Speaker 3: there's no way I can see the Eagles losing this

692
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 3: game out right. There's just little things to believe that

693
00:32:50,120 --> 00:32:52,760
Speaker 3: something's missing right now with the Eagles team. And we

694
00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:54,640
Speaker 3: see all the time early in the season these teams

695
00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:56,360
Speaker 3: they just don't come out of the gate like they

696
00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:58,080
Speaker 3: were last year. And that's how it feels with the

697
00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:01,760
Speaker 3: Eagles team. So yeah, definitely definitely have the books around money,

698
00:33:01,800 --> 00:33:03,720
Speaker 3: lying around Robin and still like him at four and

699
00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:04,000
Speaker 3: a half.

700
00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:07,600
Speaker 1: Chud look, Simon, the super Bowl hangover is real, Like

701
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:11,800
Speaker 1: it's not something that doesn't have any precedent, right, You

702
00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 1: see it every year. We just saw the most recent

703
00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 1: example was the Rams who completely fell off the ledge

704
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:22,160
Speaker 1: after the Super Bowl.

705
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:24,160
Speaker 4: And they and by the way, when they went to

706
00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:24,840
Speaker 4: the Super Bowl.

707
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:27,280
Speaker 1: With Jared Goff the next year, they weren't nearly as good.

708
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 1: It happens, and you can see it with Jalen Hurts.

709
00:33:29,520 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 1: I hate to say this, but there were things that

710
00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:36,240
Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson was doing when he was running on Monday

711
00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:39,680
Speaker 1: night that looked similar to what Jalen Hurts had done

712
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:43,680
Speaker 1: the week before or earlier in the week on Thursday,

713
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 1: where like he was getting around edge, he was hesitant,

714
00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 1: he was easily tackled at the ankles, He wasn't making

715
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:54,040
Speaker 1: accurate throws, he wasn't decisive when he dropped back. Like

716
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:58,680
Speaker 1: to me, that is him not yet feeling comfortable with

717
00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:01,000
Speaker 1: the offensive play call and we're being in a groove

718
00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 1: with the new offensive coordinator, so I get it. And look,

719
00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 1: with the Bucks, we've talked about this, is Baker a

720
00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:13,560
Speaker 1: serviceable to good quarterback if he has Chris Cotwin and

721
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:17,600
Speaker 1: Mike Evans Like, that's a big difference which he's never had.

722
00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 1: He didn't have with the Rams, didn't have with the Panthers,

723
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:23,759
Speaker 1: barely had it with the Browns. Like when he had

724
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:25,240
Speaker 1: it with the Browns, he had Amari Cooper.

725
00:34:26,040 --> 00:34:26,959
Speaker 4: He was not bad.

726
00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 3: I don't know if a Mark Cooper was there yet.

727
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 3: I think he came in the year after. But right,

728
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:35,640
Speaker 3: I do agree with your sentiment though that he's never

729
00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:38,440
Speaker 3: had these kind of weapons and I was on those people.

730
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:40,520
Speaker 3: I buried Baker like I left him for dead. I

731
00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:44,040
Speaker 3: thought Trash was gonna win this position. But yeah, Baker

732
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:48,560
Speaker 3: is a resilient dude, Like you can't deny that. So yeah,

733
00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 3: I love this spot for this Bucks team.

734
00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:53,839
Speaker 1: All right, So two games that I want to talk

735
00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 1: about before we get to the Titans and the Browns.

736
00:34:58,600 --> 00:35:01,080
Speaker 1: Give me your thoughts on Minnesota. I was a big

737
00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:08,800
Speaker 1: Minnesota fan on Tuesday. It's still lingering around Minnesota.

738
00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:09,839
Speaker 4: As a very short favorite.

739
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:13,360
Speaker 1: It's a little scary to me because it feels like

740
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:18,560
Speaker 1: a trap, and maybe it is. But right now that

741
00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:21,520
Speaker 1: line hold on. I'm trying to see here. It's moved

742
00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:24,040
Speaker 1: up to one and a half. But it is a

743
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:28,400
Speaker 1: pros Joe's game. Fifty six percent of the tickets on

744
00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:34,720
Speaker 1: the Chargers, sixty three percent of the money on Minnesota.

745
00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:35,000
Speaker 3: And yeah, I just don't know how anyone can model

746
00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:38,279
Speaker 3: this game, Like I just I don't know where you're

747
00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:40,640
Speaker 3: gonna find value in this game wherehereas the ball last

748
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:44,160
Speaker 3: is probably gonna win, and no one knows what either

749
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:46,640
Speaker 3: team is going to do in this game, Like it's

750
00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:49,520
Speaker 3: all the stats you see about Herbert he's been he's

751
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:53,280
Speaker 3: doing things that have never happened before. He's been almost perfect,

752
00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:54,919
Speaker 3: and his team is zero and three in his last

753
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:57,920
Speaker 3: three starts, Like the man can't play much better and

754
00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 3: his team just can't win because they just their coach

755
00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:03,399
Speaker 3: is so bad. And it's the weirdest part is he's

756
00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:06,759
Speaker 3: a defensive mind, and when he first got there, their

757
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:08,800
Speaker 3: defense was actually pretty good, and they just have gotten

758
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 3: worse every game he's coached them. Like, I don't know

759
00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:16,120
Speaker 3: what's happened, you know, with the Chargers defense, but it's

760
00:36:16,160 --> 00:36:19,560
Speaker 3: completely fallen off. So I just can't get there with

761
00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:22,640
Speaker 3: you on Minnesota Chat. It's just if I had to

762
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:24,680
Speaker 3: see the future and say, what what team to be

763
00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:27,319
Speaker 3: zero and three is more likely it's Minnesota. They just

764
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:31,400
Speaker 3: the Chargers have a better team all around compared to Minnesota.

765
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:34,160
Speaker 3: They have guys on defense who can't get stops. On

766
00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:37,000
Speaker 3: the Chargers. I don't know anyone on the Vikings defense

767
00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:38,640
Speaker 3: I can make a stop or make a big play,

768
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:41,120
Speaker 3: like I just I'm not seeing it with that Vikings defense.

769
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:44,800
Speaker 3: So yeah, I think this is one of the highest

770
00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:48,080
Speaker 3: highest totals of the week. Fifty four. I threw a

771
00:36:48,080 --> 00:36:49,480
Speaker 3: lit on the over and that was really it for

772
00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:51,640
Speaker 3: me on this game chat. It's just I see there

773
00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:53,200
Speaker 3: have been a lot of points and I just have

774
00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:55,400
Speaker 3: no read on either of these teams and no faith

775
00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:58,319
Speaker 3: in either of these teams to win a game. It's

776
00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 3: just both both of them have so much any question

777
00:37:00,520 --> 00:37:04,600
Speaker 3: marks for me right now. It's crazy to think though

778
00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:05,960
Speaker 3: one of these guys are going to be owing three.

779
00:37:06,080 --> 00:37:09,680
Speaker 3: So I totally get your coming from the Vikings. I

780
00:37:10,040 --> 00:37:10,720
Speaker 3: just can't get.

781
00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:16,120
Speaker 4: There all right very quickly.

782
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:21,440
Speaker 1: Falcons are three and a half at the Lions. I'm

783
00:37:21,520 --> 00:37:23,319
Speaker 1: kind of waiting at this point. Like we talked about

784
00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:26,120
Speaker 1: this on Sunday night, I love the Falcons at five

785
00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:28,680
Speaker 1: and a half, but you kind of talked me out

786
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:31,759
Speaker 1: of it in that moment. We agreed on Tuesday that

787
00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:33,640
Speaker 1: we probably should have bet at five.

788
00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:35,960
Speaker 4: And a half. It's now at three and a half.

789
00:37:36,280 --> 00:37:38,480
Speaker 1: I'm kind of just hoping it gets to three and

790
00:37:38,480 --> 00:37:40,400
Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna take the Lions.

791
00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:42,880
Speaker 3: Nothing on this game. Too many injuries for the Lions,

792
00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 3: and I don't have any blind I don't have blind

793
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,880
Speaker 3: faith taking rider on the road in this spot.

794
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:49,520
Speaker 4: All right?

795
00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:52,520
Speaker 1: Can we talk about this Browns Titans game? It's everything

796
00:37:52,600 --> 00:37:55,640
Speaker 1: that we sort of believe in on both sides of it.

797
00:37:56,480 --> 00:38:01,760
Speaker 1: Brown's defense statistically is actually better than the Yeah, right now,

798
00:38:02,239 --> 00:38:05,759
Speaker 1: they are more aggressive, they are more dominant. This is

799
00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:09,880
Speaker 1: a terrible matchup for the Titans. No one has sniffed

800
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:14,680
Speaker 1: the red zone against the Browns. In two games. Opponents

801
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:18,400
Speaker 1: have not had a play inside the red zone. Credit

802
00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:23,560
Speaker 1: Anthony de Bundo Action Network. Like and this Titans online

803
00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:25,480
Speaker 1: I talked about at the top of the show, I'm

804
00:38:25,480 --> 00:38:29,360
Speaker 1: begging you people, go watch the Favorites film room with

805
00:38:29,400 --> 00:38:32,840
Speaker 1: me and Simon ten minutes YouTube only where we break

806
00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:36,000
Speaker 1: down different plays, and we broke down the Titans offensive

807
00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:40,880
Speaker 1: line doesn't communicate it's not very good. It's gonna be

808
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:44,960
Speaker 1: hard to keep Brian Tannehill upright against the Browns. But like,

809
00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:47,520
Speaker 1: we had to bet the Titans at four and a

810
00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:51,400
Speaker 1: half and four, and now I'm kind of just thinking,

811
00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:54,480
Speaker 1: I gotta take I gotta basically balance it out and

812
00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:57,760
Speaker 1: bet the Browns because it's a pretty good spot for them.

813
00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:01,000
Speaker 3: And this is the big balls bet of the week.

814
00:39:01,239 --> 00:39:05,680
Speaker 3: No way, doesn't this take some balls here d taking

815
00:39:05,719 --> 00:39:06,760
Speaker 3: this Browns team.

816
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:08,959
Speaker 1: It takes massive balls. I actually thought we were gonna

817
00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:10,880
Speaker 1: go with the Colts against the Ravens.

818
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 3: That's fair, but no, this, this one, this one takes

819
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:16,320
Speaker 3: some balls. Like, of all the bets, all the pros,

820
00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:19,040
Speaker 3: everyone's saying to me, it's making me feel sick. Every

821
00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 3: time I bet it. At three, I still felt sick.

822
00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:22,799
Speaker 3: Now it's minus three and a half and it's like,

823
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:25,600
Speaker 3: I still gotta bet this. This is just a sick,

824
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:29,560
Speaker 3: sick bet. Yeah, big, big balls. Better the Week's gotta

825
00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:33,360
Speaker 3: be the browns of all the ones, better the week.

826
00:39:33,880 --> 00:39:35,439
Speaker 3: This is definitely our toughest bet of the week.

827
00:39:37,719 --> 00:39:39,040
Speaker 4: I am sick to my stomach.

828
00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:41,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're gonna have to talk with Watson. Don't be

829
00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:44,080
Speaker 3: a fucking idiot, and we be two and zero. No,

830
00:39:44,080 --> 00:39:46,200
Speaker 3: no more of trying to have Watson win us games

831
00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 3: like that. That's got to be off the table at

832
00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:51,280
Speaker 3: this point. I'll sack up a lot of favorites this week.

833
00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:53,919
Speaker 3: A lot of favorites, a lot of favorites. Oh god,

834
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 3: this is a terrible week.

835
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:58,640
Speaker 1: Quickly, quickly, quickly, Colts plus seven and a half against

836
00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:00,919
Speaker 1: the Ravens. That's the one i' this morning. And seven

837
00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:04,760
Speaker 1: and a half definitely missed the number. But I still

838
00:40:04,800 --> 00:40:07,000
Speaker 1: like the Cults more than a touchdown.

839
00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:09,320
Speaker 3: Well the pass I'm on the Ravens. These are the

840
00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:11,560
Speaker 3: kind of teams that Lamar beats the shit out of.

841
00:40:12,400 --> 00:40:16,319
Speaker 1: Saints plus two against Green Bay we touched on it

842
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:19,359
Speaker 1: a little bit, you mentioned it in sharp calls. Has

843
00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:21,799
Speaker 1: it changed your mind now?

844
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:23,680
Speaker 3: If we get there, I would love to take the Saints.

845
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:25,960
Speaker 3: I know a bunch of pros that are on both

846
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:27,760
Speaker 3: sides though, so it's definitely one of the more split

847
00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:30,759
Speaker 3: games of the week. Like you know, if it's two

848
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:32,880
Speaker 3: and a half comes Sunday, I just have a hard time.

849
00:40:32,960 --> 00:40:35,080
Speaker 3: Let's not get it in there. This is by far

850
00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:37,960
Speaker 3: the best defense that Jordan Love is ever going to

851
00:40:38,080 --> 00:40:43,280
Speaker 3: play this season. And the fear with us taking Derek

852
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:47,320
Speaker 3: Carr in this spot is, you know, he just if

853
00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:49,879
Speaker 3: he gets any type of pressure and throws him off.

854
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:52,440
Speaker 3: But what I've seen from Green Bay is their defense

855
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:55,120
Speaker 3: is underperforming through two games. Like even that Bears game,

856
00:40:55,120 --> 00:40:57,719
Speaker 3: the Bears had tons of opportunities to beat them. It

857
00:40:57,760 --> 00:40:59,319
Speaker 3: was just kind of just that feels not taking that.

858
00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 3: I think Derek Carr will like, they got three really

859
00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:06,920
Speaker 3: good receivers and alive still hasn't had that one hundred

860
00:41:06,920 --> 00:41:09,080
Speaker 3: and fifty two hundred yard receiving game that he could

861
00:41:09,080 --> 00:41:12,040
Speaker 3: break out with. So if Kamara, Alvin Kamara was playing

862
00:41:12,080 --> 00:41:14,040
Speaker 3: this game, I'd be all over the Saints team. This

863
00:41:14,120 --> 00:41:15,839
Speaker 3: is the last game he's out for. He'll be back

864
00:41:15,880 --> 00:41:18,560
Speaker 3: next week. So that's why I'm not going crazy on

865
00:41:18,600 --> 00:41:20,400
Speaker 3: the Saints one. But I do love the spot here,

866
00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:21,760
Speaker 3: especially if against the two and a half.

867
00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 1: All right, I like it too if it gets to

868
00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:28,479
Speaker 1: two and a half. I've listed it on our list,

869
00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:32,759
Speaker 1: which like is causing this confusion when we talk on

870
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:35,200
Speaker 1: Sunday because we're going too fast. So I want to

871
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:37,640
Speaker 1: confirm this with you, but I also want us to

872
00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:41,200
Speaker 1: be thoughtful and not worry about that we're talking with

873
00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:44,120
Speaker 1: only fifteen minutes to make the picks, because we'll look

874
00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:47,319
Speaker 1: at the whole board on Sunday. Let's commit that to

875
00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:50,399
Speaker 1: each other. Please, Like Sunday, we'll both have.

876
00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:52,279
Speaker 4: Up the lines. We'll go through every game.

877
00:41:52,520 --> 00:41:54,879
Speaker 1: We'll make sure that as the lines have moved, we're

878
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:56,640
Speaker 1: not going to be so committed just to the ones

879
00:41:56,640 --> 00:41:57,360
Speaker 1: I have in my notes.

880
00:41:57,960 --> 00:42:01,080
Speaker 4: Please, I'll try my best, Okay.

881
00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:04,400
Speaker 1: Right now, we've talked about the Texans plus nine and

882
00:42:04,440 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 1: a half, the Pats minus two and a half. We've

883
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:10,680
Speaker 1: talked about Denver plus six and a half, Las Vegas

884
00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:13,760
Speaker 1: minus two and a half, Bucks plus four and a half,

885
00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 1: and then on the outside looking in, we're talking about

886
00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:19,719
Speaker 1: the Browns if they're still a three, the Saints that

887
00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:20,480
Speaker 1: they can get to two and.

888
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:21,920
Speaker 4: A half, and we'll see.

889
00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:23,120
Speaker 3: Yeah.

890
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:27,400
Speaker 1: Before we get to our money line Underdog round Robin parlay,

891
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:32,600
Speaker 1: reminder that the Week three contest tiebreaker is longest Bengals

892
00:42:32,880 --> 00:42:36,399
Speaker 1: touchdown against the Rams. Our predictive analyst Billy Ward wrote

893
00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:40,480
Speaker 1: another tiebreaker strategy article. Will include the link in this

894
00:42:40,640 --> 00:42:42,120
Speaker 1: episode's description.

895
00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:48,240
Speaker 2: Mot Dog blocks Your dogs, Your dog blocks.

896
00:42:48,040 --> 00:42:50,120
Speaker 4: Mot Dog Simon.

897
00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:54,960
Speaker 1: Let's get to our money line, round Robin Underdog Parlay.

898
00:42:55,040 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 1: We know we're gonna put the Bucks in there. Should

899
00:42:57,520 --> 00:42:58,520
Speaker 1: we put the Saints in there?

900
00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:02,000
Speaker 3: They are? The Saints in there, Houston Texans in there.

901
00:43:02,040 --> 00:43:03,080
Speaker 3: Get a big one in there.

902
00:43:03,160 --> 00:43:04,799
Speaker 4: I like it. I like it.

903
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:09,200
Speaker 3: Let's get a little crazy here the Broncos.

904
00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:12,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, we're on the same page again. We're back, We're

905
00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:14,480
Speaker 4: find nothing. It's all happening again.

906
00:43:15,080 --> 00:43:16,799
Speaker 3: And this last one, I know it pains you, but

907
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:18,960
Speaker 3: you know again, we don't want to be two attached

908
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:22,080
Speaker 3: to our Sunday bets. Let's go Commanders. Let's take a

909
00:43:22,080 --> 00:43:24,720
Speaker 3: little on the comedies starting three and oh that ugly

910
00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:27,560
Speaker 3: random team. There's always one that wins a couple of

911
00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:31,960
Speaker 3: games I shouldn't win. And we saw it. How was

912
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:34,880
Speaker 3: making those big time fuck it throws? And like, I

913
00:43:34,960 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 3: love seeing that last week out of them and the

914
00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:40,200
Speaker 3: Bills coming off such a huge win. This would be

915
00:43:40,200 --> 00:43:43,279
Speaker 3: a nice little letdown spot for them. And this defensive line.

916
00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:45,880
Speaker 3: There's few teams that give Josh Allen big trouble and

917
00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:50,240
Speaker 3: it's really talented, incredibly gifted athletes that play defensive line,

918
00:43:50,400 --> 00:43:54,279
Speaker 3: and that's exactly what Washington has. Washington's front four is mean,

919
00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:57,000
Speaker 3: and they're fast, and they're angry, and you know, I

920
00:43:57,080 --> 00:43:59,759
Speaker 3: look at this matchup, I'm just like these guys all

921
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:02,440
Speaker 3: I've been talking about Josh Allen and what they need

922
00:44:02,480 --> 00:44:04,440
Speaker 3: to get done here. So yeah, we might not get

923
00:44:04,480 --> 00:44:06,640
Speaker 3: them in our contest, even though I do love it.

924
00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:08,839
Speaker 3: We gotta get in the money line around Robin Kid

925
00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:09,719
Speaker 3: Washington in there.

926
00:44:10,120 --> 00:44:11,080
Speaker 4: We still got a lot to do.

927
00:44:11,680 --> 00:44:15,440
Speaker 1: Make Little Caesars, the official pizza sponsor of the NFL.

928
00:44:15,680 --> 00:44:19,440
Speaker 1: Part of your Game Day, Simon is Pizza, The Ultimate

929
00:44:19,480 --> 00:44:23,439
Speaker 1: game day food it is, Chad, I love it. Order

930
00:44:23,480 --> 00:44:26,560
Speaker 1: online during our pizza pizza pre game that's one hour

931
00:44:26,600 --> 00:44:30,800
Speaker 1: before NFL games, and get ready for some football and fun.

932
00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:34,480
Speaker 1: Choose your favorite Little Caesars pizza or pick the toppings

933
00:44:34,480 --> 00:44:39,320
Speaker 1: you crave. Simon, if I invited you over for veggie pizza,

934
00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:41,400
Speaker 1: you'd still eat that pizza.

935
00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:44,640
Speaker 3: Ah, yeah, I would just pick off the toppings. Oh man.

936
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:46,920
Speaker 4: Either way, you win because it's pizza.

937
00:44:47,080 --> 00:44:50,839
Speaker 1: Speaking of winning, everyone scores with convenient delivery or our

938
00:44:50,920 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 1: in store pizza portal pickup. So grab some friends and

939
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:58,600
Speaker 1: enjoy a few slices during the tastiest hour before kickoff. Simon,

940
00:44:58,960 --> 00:45:03,480
Speaker 1: we gotta give people a survivor. Pick who's it going

941
00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:03,799
Speaker 1: to be?

942
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:06,719
Speaker 4: I get? Is it the Ravens? Like you like the

943
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:07,560
Speaker 4: Ravens so much?

944
00:45:09,440 --> 00:45:11,880
Speaker 3: This week was tough though, because we're trying to do

945
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:13,800
Speaker 3: Game three and like, there's certain teams you want to

946
00:45:13,800 --> 00:45:17,400
Speaker 3: play to say it for later and yeah, that's always

947
00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:20,879
Speaker 3: the toughest thing about doing these different games. And there's

948
00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:23,200
Speaker 3: so many big double digit favorites this week.

949
00:45:24,760 --> 00:45:31,680
Speaker 4: You know, Patriots, that's a little risky, that is major risky, but.

950
00:45:31,600 --> 00:45:33,560
Speaker 3: That would that would be smart because we'll never, We'll never.

951
00:45:33,560 --> 00:45:34,800
Speaker 3: We're never going to use them anyway.

952
00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 4: I mean, we're never going to use them again.

953
00:45:37,239 --> 00:45:39,480
Speaker 3: Oh man. Like part of me wanted to use the

954
00:45:39,560 --> 00:45:41,920
Speaker 3: Jaguars because when else whatever, we use it again. But

955
00:45:42,160 --> 00:45:45,239
Speaker 3: they just this feels the game they could lose. Damn it.

956
00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:46,799
Speaker 3: Chat are we are? We are do? We just got

957
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:50,040
Speaker 3: to dive in and just take the Chiefs Like that's

958
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:53,640
Speaker 3: just as safe as it gets. The Chiefs go Chicago

959
00:45:53,680 --> 00:45:55,839
Speaker 3: and then they go at the Jets, So we either

960
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 3: could do them this week or take them at the

961
00:45:57,640 --> 00:45:58,480
Speaker 3: Jets next week.

962
00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:00,279
Speaker 1: Well, I would take them at home before I would

963
00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:02,360
Speaker 1: take them on the road against that defense.

964
00:46:02,719 --> 00:46:05,480
Speaker 3: Then this is it. We could take them all the

965
00:46:05,480 --> 00:46:09,120
Speaker 3: way Monday, December twenty fifth at home against Vegas, but

966
00:46:09,320 --> 00:46:11,560
Speaker 3: that's so far away to plan on taking the Chiefs.

967
00:46:11,560 --> 00:46:13,600
Speaker 3: I'd rather use them now. Just get it done.

968
00:46:13,840 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 4: Let's get them to beat up on the Bears.

969
00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:18,440
Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Favorite podcast is presented by bet

970
00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:21,360
Speaker 1: three sixty five. Bet three six five doesn't do ordinary.

971
00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:24,759
Speaker 1: They believe that every sport should be epic. Every touchdown,

972
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:27,840
Speaker 1: every game, every point, every play, from the moments that

973
00:46:27,880 --> 00:46:30,320
Speaker 1: are legendary to the ones that fly under the radar.

974
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:33,439
Speaker 4: See for yourself when you sign up today with Code.

975
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:36,040
Speaker 1: Action and you'll get three hundred and sixty five dollars

976
00:46:36,080 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 1: in bonus bets when you bet just one dollar or

977
00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:43,640
Speaker 1: whatever the sport, whatever the moment, it's never ordinary. At

978
00:46:43,640 --> 00:46:46,640
Speaker 1: bet three sixty five must be twenty one or older.

979
00:46:46,840 --> 00:46:51,560
Speaker 1: You also must be present in Colorado, Iowa, New Jersey, Ohio,

980
00:46:51,760 --> 00:46:54,000
Speaker 1: or Virginia. If you or someone you know as a

981
00:46:54,000 --> 00:46:57,800
Speaker 1: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred gambler

982
00:46:57,880 --> 00:47:02,719
Speaker 1: in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio, and Virginia or one off

983
00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:07,520
Speaker 1: in Iowa. Terms and conditions apply. Time for a new

984
00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:10,320
Speaker 1: final segment. We're adding to the Thursday show because we

985
00:47:10,360 --> 00:47:13,600
Speaker 1: love Evan Abrams. We love all of his research and

986
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:15,520
Speaker 1: all the data and all the notes that he gives us.

987
00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:22,480
Speaker 1: The last word with Evan Abrams, Evan, welcome, my friend.

988
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:23,560
Speaker 3: What's going on?

989
00:47:23,640 --> 00:47:23,920
Speaker 2: Guys?

990
00:47:24,360 --> 00:47:26,319
Speaker 5: One thing I do have to say, so I'll be

991
00:47:26,360 --> 00:47:28,160
Speaker 5: a tony reality here, a little stat guy.

992
00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:31,200
Speaker 2: So i'mon't said something Trevor Lawrence related.

993
00:47:31,719 --> 00:47:34,359
Speaker 5: He's never finished as high as a favorite zero to

994
00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:36,719
Speaker 5: five against the spread. I believe it is as a

995
00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:39,239
Speaker 5: home favorite, so never covered in this spot, so a

996
00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:41,959
Speaker 5: little correction there, but bad spot for Jacksonville.

997
00:47:42,239 --> 00:47:43,920
Speaker 2: Honestly, want to talk about the Cardinals.

998
00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:46,680
Speaker 5: I'm actually obsessed with Arizona this year just because no

999
00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:48,640
Speaker 5: one wants to bet on them. So just a few

1000
00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:50,759
Speaker 5: stats that I think are really fun. So in the

1001
00:47:50,760 --> 00:47:53,880
Speaker 5: Wildcard Era since nineteen ninety, no two to zero against

1002
00:47:53,880 --> 00:47:56,160
Speaker 5: the spread team has ever been a double digit home dog,

1003
00:47:56,200 --> 00:47:59,200
Speaker 5: so Arizona would be the first in this scenario, and

1004
00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:00,040
Speaker 5: they'd be just.

1005
00:48:00,120 --> 00:48:02,680
Speaker 2: The fourth double digit double digit dog in general.

1006
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:05,600
Speaker 5: The other three oh and three straight up owing three

1007
00:48:05,600 --> 00:48:07,920
Speaker 5: against the spread failed to cover by twenty five points

1008
00:48:07,960 --> 00:48:09,600
Speaker 5: in total, so not great.

1009
00:48:10,080 --> 00:48:11,640
Speaker 3: Thank you for that though, Like that just saved me

1010
00:48:11,680 --> 00:48:12,400
Speaker 3: a lot of money.

1011
00:48:12,640 --> 00:48:14,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, but here, here's just like, honestly the fun part

1012
00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:15,239
Speaker 2: about this.

1013
00:48:15,760 --> 00:48:20,200
Speaker 5: Right now, Arizona has just eleven percent of tickets against Dallas.

1014
00:48:20,560 --> 00:48:23,359
Speaker 5: No team has closed with eleven percent or lessons two

1015
00:48:23,360 --> 00:48:25,640
Speaker 5: thousand and eight, even at twelve twelve and a half

1016
00:48:25,680 --> 00:48:28,319
Speaker 5: points at home. They can't get a single dollar on

1017
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:31,200
Speaker 5: Arizona after going to and against the spread.

1018
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:33,319
Speaker 1: So and that, by the way, is also when you

1019
00:48:33,400 --> 00:48:37,720
Speaker 1: want to bet the underdog at home as a double

1020
00:48:37,840 --> 00:48:41,680
Speaker 1: digit underdog, like of course you want to back the Cardinals.

1021
00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:44,200
Speaker 1: And yet I'm with Simon, I don't know if I can.

1022
00:48:44,480 --> 00:48:46,040
Speaker 1: I don't know if I can hold my nose and

1023
00:48:46,080 --> 00:48:50,080
Speaker 1: do that. All right, tell me a scenario with the

1024
00:48:50,440 --> 00:48:53,720
Speaker 1: Jets in New England. You say there's something similar.

1025
00:48:53,880 --> 00:48:56,040
Speaker 2: Just something fun. This is just a great nugget.

1026
00:48:56,520 --> 00:48:59,319
Speaker 5: So the Patriots are field goal favorites now about two

1027
00:48:59,360 --> 00:49:01,200
Speaker 5: and a half over the Jets. That means over the

1028
00:49:01,280 --> 00:49:03,680
Speaker 5: last twenty years, the Jets have been favorite versus the

1029
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:07,080
Speaker 5: Patriots just once in the last forty four meetings. So

1030
00:49:07,520 --> 00:49:10,280
Speaker 5: one time forty four meetings the Jets have been favorite

1031
00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:12,600
Speaker 5: over the Patriots. Good trivia question. So it happened in

1032
00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:15,960
Speaker 5: twenty eleven. Mark Sanchez did it, so that was the

1033
00:49:16,040 --> 00:49:19,960
Speaker 5: last Jets quarterback to do that. But the stat Patriots

1034
00:49:20,080 --> 00:49:23,440
Speaker 5: have defeated the Jets fourteen straight times. That is the

1035
00:49:23,480 --> 00:49:27,640
Speaker 5: second longest active streak Chiefs over Broncos fifteen straight. So

1036
00:49:27,680 --> 00:49:29,759
Speaker 5: we get the bet those in the next few weeks

1037
00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:30,160
Speaker 5: as well.

1038
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:33,920
Speaker 1: Well, Simon, we're automatically screwed on the Pats now, so

1039
00:49:34,400 --> 00:49:36,960
Speaker 1: we made the wrong decision on the Cardinals. We're screwed

1040
00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:39,759
Speaker 1: in the Pats. Evan can you go three and zero

1041
00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:43,399
Speaker 1: in making Simon and I feel it like shit, we're.

1042
00:49:43,280 --> 00:49:45,480
Speaker 5: About to turn the tables a little bit. This is

1043
00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:48,640
Speaker 5: a Chad special. So we always talk about, and he's

1044
00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:51,080
Speaker 5: always talked about for years betting bad teams. It's what

1045
00:49:51,160 --> 00:49:52,920
Speaker 5: we always love doing. So this is a bet the

1046
00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:55,319
Speaker 5: bad team system. These are the teams you don't want

1047
00:49:55,320 --> 00:49:57,520
Speaker 5: to bet. So off a double digit loss early in

1048
00:49:57,560 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 5: the year and on the road fift thirty and one

1049
00:50:01,760 --> 00:50:05,560
Speaker 5: against the Spreadsons twenty seventeen, so early success. More recently

1050
00:50:05,680 --> 00:50:07,799
Speaker 5: and then over the last twenty years it's fifty nine

1051
00:50:07,840 --> 00:50:08,680
Speaker 5: to sixty percent.

1052
00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:11,440
Speaker 2: That would be the Bears that would give the Texans.

1053
00:50:11,920 --> 00:50:14,920
Speaker 5: So the two teams that look the worst that no

1054
00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:17,160
Speaker 5: one wants tend to cover.

1055
00:50:17,760 --> 00:50:20,359
Speaker 1: Evan Abrams, thank you for coming on the show. I'm

1056
00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:22,280
Speaker 1: looking forward to this segment every week.

1057
00:50:22,480 --> 00:50:24,160
Speaker 3: One thing to keep in mind this weekend, people, we

1058
00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:27,600
Speaker 3: have major storms coming up the East Coast, like they're

1059
00:50:27,880 --> 00:50:32,120
Speaker 3: talking about like semi tropical storms. So if you're thinking

1060
00:50:32,200 --> 00:50:34,719
Speaker 3: yourself what games might be affected by this right now,

1061
00:50:34,719 --> 00:50:39,240
Speaker 3: they're saying New England, the Jets game, Washington, Buffalo, Indianapolis,

1062
00:50:39,280 --> 00:50:43,200
Speaker 3: and Baltimore. So just before you start going crazy betting overs.

1063
00:50:44,120 --> 00:50:45,600
Speaker 3: Those are the games you want to pause on before

1064
00:50:45,640 --> 00:50:46,759
Speaker 3: you put any money on it, and know what the

1065
00:50:46,840 --> 00:50:48,920
Speaker 3: weather's going to be like. Don't try to overthinking like well,

1066
00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:50,480
Speaker 3: it's gonna be wet and slipper out there, like take

1067
00:50:50,520 --> 00:50:52,960
Speaker 3: the over. We just take the unders. Like if it's

1068
00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:55,840
Speaker 3: raining really hard and really windy. Always go back to

1069
00:50:55,960 --> 00:50:58,319
Speaker 3: that Buffalo forty nine Ers game from last year. It's

1070
00:50:58,360 --> 00:51:01,120
Speaker 3: a total shit show when you afthrow the ball downfield

1071
00:51:01,200 --> 00:51:02,880
Speaker 3: and you can't get any traction on the ground. So

1072
00:51:03,200 --> 00:51:04,919
Speaker 3: definitely something to keep your eye on this weekend. People,

1073
00:51:04,920 --> 00:51:06,480
Speaker 3: a big weather from coming East coast.

1074
00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:08,239
Speaker 1: You know what I thought of when you said that,

1075
00:51:08,600 --> 00:51:11,520
Speaker 1: I wasn't thinking about betting ankles. I was thinking we

1076
00:51:11,680 --> 00:51:16,080
Speaker 1: had hurricane tsunami in Connecticut last weekend, and I forgot

1077
00:51:16,080 --> 00:51:19,360
Speaker 1: to put the covers on our brand new outdoor patio furniture.

1078
00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:21,960
Speaker 1: So I am going to race home from the city

1079
00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:24,520
Speaker 1: tonight and I'm going to make sure tomorrow I put

1080
00:51:24,520 --> 00:51:26,680
Speaker 1: the covers on the furniture because I don't want to

1081
00:51:26,680 --> 00:51:29,040
Speaker 1: get that stuff wet. It's a whole new ball game.

1082
00:51:29,040 --> 00:51:32,520
Speaker 1: I'm not ruining another set of patio furniture. Let's recap

1083
00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:35,680
Speaker 1: our foxhol New England Patriots minus two and a half,

1084
00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:36,480
Speaker 1: our Big.

1085
00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:38,319
Speaker 4: Balls bet of the week.

1086
00:51:39,960 --> 00:51:43,239
Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns minus three and a half. Right now, I

1087
00:51:43,280 --> 00:51:45,239
Speaker 1: prefer to wait until it gets to three, but I

1088
00:51:45,239 --> 00:51:47,920
Speaker 1: guess we're going with it. The exact decision was Denver

1089
00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:50,240
Speaker 1: plus seven. Also like it at six and a half,

1090
00:51:50,440 --> 00:51:52,560
Speaker 1: Simon says was Tampa Bay plus five and a half.

1091
00:51:52,600 --> 00:51:53,760
Speaker 4: It's down to four and a half.

1092
00:51:54,160 --> 00:52:02,000
Speaker 1: Our money line round Robin Parlay, Bucks, Saints, Texans, Broncos,

1093
00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:08,719
Speaker 1: Washington Commanders. Before we sign off, Simon and I will

1094
00:52:08,719 --> 00:52:12,560
Speaker 1: be back with our week three recap episode live on

1095
00:52:12,680 --> 00:52:15,480
Speaker 1: AMP and on the Action Network YouTube page this Sunday

1096
00:52:15,480 --> 00:52:20,080
Speaker 1: and every Sunday, seven thirty pm. Also a reminder, tiebreakers

1097
00:52:20,280 --> 00:52:23,480
Speaker 1: absolutely crucial in our contest if you want to cash.

1098
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:27,120
Speaker 1: Last week we had a ten way tie because folks

1099
00:52:27,280 --> 00:52:31,920
Speaker 1: nailed the tiebreaker. Billy Ward, as we said, is writing

1100
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:36,080
Speaker 1: an article to the tiebreaker topic every week. This week

1101
00:52:36,120 --> 00:52:41,600
Speaker 1: it is longest Cincinnati touchdown. Make sure you pay attention

1102
00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:46,040
Speaker 1: to that. For Simon Hunter, I am Chad Millman. This

1103
00:52:46,120 --> 00:52:49,879
Speaker 1: has been the Favorites podcast presented by BED three sixty five,

1104
00:52:50,040 --> 00:52:54,120
Speaker 1: part of The Action Network downloads from Spotify, from Apple Podcasts,

1105
00:52:54,280 --> 00:52:57,840
Speaker 1: watch us on YouTube, leave us five stars. Feedback is

1106
00:52:57,880 --> 00:52:59,880
Speaker 1: a gift until Sunday.

1107
00:53:00,640 --> 00:53:11,600
Speaker 4: Love You. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If

1108
00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:14,240
Speaker 4: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1109
00:53:14,520 --> 00:53:17,480
Speaker 4: help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred

1110
00:53:17,560 --> 00:53:18,000
Speaker 4: gambler