WEBVTT - OpenAI's Developer Conference and Big Tech Earnings

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<v Speaker 1>From the heart where Innovation, money and power Collie in

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<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley, NBN.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde.

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<v Speaker 3>And edlud Love.

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<v Speaker 4>Live from Bloomberg's World headquarters in New York.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Ed Ludlow.

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<v Speaker 4>Caroline Hyde is off today. This is Bloomberg Technology. Coming

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<v Speaker 4>up on the program. Open ai kicks off its first

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<v Speaker 4>ever developers conference, with engineers and entrepreneurs gathering in downtown

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<v Speaker 4>San Francisco. We'll break down what we expect from the event.

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<v Speaker 4>Plus we'll push your head to earnings this week and

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<v Speaker 4>get the macro take on big text results as companies

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<v Speaker 4>deliver even bigger profits than Wall Street anticipated, will it last?

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<v Speaker 4>And Apple is in search of a new growth engine

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<v Speaker 4>after warning on a slower holiday season. Can the vision

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<v Speaker 4>pro solve that problem we discussed at first? The maker

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<v Speaker 4>chat Chat GPT sorry is about to still go through

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<v Speaker 4>a kind of Silicon rally rite of passage. Today is

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<v Speaker 4>OpenAI's first Developers conference in downtown San Francisco. Hundreds of

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<v Speaker 4>software engineers and entrepreneurs gathering to hear about the best

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<v Speaker 4>use of the company's tools and how they can build

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<v Speaker 4>their own products with the underlying GBT technology. Who have

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<v Speaker 4>we got on the ground. Bloomberg's Rachel Metz is at

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<v Speaker 4>the developers conference set the scene for us. What is

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<v Speaker 4>this event symbolized?

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<v Speaker 5>Rachel, this event is a really big deal through open ai.

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<v Speaker 5>It has to have a developer conference before. We've seen

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<v Speaker 5>so many technology companies that are big and want to

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<v Speaker 5>be larger create these events to get developers more involved

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<v Speaker 5>with their products over time, like Apple and Meta and Microsoft, Amazon,

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<v Speaker 5>and they do these events here after year, and they've

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<v Speaker 5>in many cases become a really big deal for a

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<v Speaker 5>company to telegraph what they want to share book with

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<v Speaker 5>developers and eventually with consumers.

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<v Speaker 4>We relaunched the Bloomberg Technology Show almost a year ago

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<v Speaker 4>to the day, and it's almost a year ago to

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<v Speaker 4>the day that the chat GPT has made public. It's

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<v Speaker 4>more towards the end of November, but open Eyes just

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<v Speaker 4>dominated basically the discussion at least around the work in

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<v Speaker 4>generative AI and the foundation models that power them. How

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<v Speaker 4>big is that lead right now? Do you think, Rachel,

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<v Speaker 4>based on all the reporting you've done over the last

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<v Speaker 4>twelve months.

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's big.

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<v Speaker 5>But there are a lot of companies that are really

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<v Speaker 5>getting in there and creating their own models, coming up

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<v Speaker 5>with their own tools of open source. There's also from

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<v Speaker 5>large tech companies. A lot of people are really interested

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<v Speaker 5>in this space, and it's going to be interesting to

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<v Speaker 5>see both what open AI brings out so it can

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<v Speaker 5>stay ahead, and also what happens in the months to come.

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<v Speaker 4>So the one side of the AI story that we

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<v Speaker 4>love is there's still a human side. There's who's who

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<v Speaker 4>in the world of AI. We expect Sam Mountman of

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<v Speaker 4>course to be on site, right Rachel absolutely.

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<v Speaker 5>I think well, there's probably bunch of executives here. I

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<v Speaker 5>haven't had time to wander around too much yet, but

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<v Speaker 5>Sam's expected to be here.

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<v Speaker 3>I believe Mira Murradi.

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<v Speaker 6>Will probably be here.

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<v Speaker 5>She's also a very important executive at the company, and

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<v Speaker 5>probably a bunch of other people. I mean that it's

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<v Speaker 5>a really interesting time for the company. I would guess

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<v Speaker 5>that if you could be here, you'd probably want to

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<v Speaker 5>be here.

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<v Speaker 4>Boombos. Rachel Metz on the ground at the Open AIS

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<v Speaker 4>Developers conference, and she will be reporting across all Bloindoe

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<v Speaker 4>platforms throughout the day. Thank you so much. Another story

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<v Speaker 4>we're watching, Elon Musk revealed his own artificial intelligence spot

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<v Speaker 4>to challenge chat GPT over the weekend called grock. He

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<v Speaker 4>claims the prototype is already superior to GPT three point

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<v Speaker 4>five across several benchmarks. It's the first product of Musk's

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<v Speaker 4>XAI company that is currently testing with a limited group

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<v Speaker 4>of users in the US. But interestingly, you have to

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<v Speaker 4>be an ex the company formerly known as Twitter Premium

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<v Speaker 4>subscriber to get on that waitlist, something that I signed

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<v Speaker 4>up for overnight. Let's stick with AI and bring in

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<v Speaker 4>Mike Mason, he's Chief AI officer of global tech consultancy

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<v Speaker 4>thought Works, and Mike I wanted to get you on

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<v Speaker 4>the program because this is a moment where we can say, Wow,

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<v Speaker 4>what are twelve months it's been? You heard me frame

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<v Speaker 4>it to Rachel in terms of what open ai did

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<v Speaker 4>first in November of twenty twenty two, do you see

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<v Speaker 4>them as having, particularly in the software space right a

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<v Speaker 4>clear lead in the field of generative AI.

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<v Speaker 1>I think they certainly do have a lead. They were

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<v Speaker 1>first out of the gate with GPT three point five,

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<v Speaker 1>then four point zero, and just a month or so

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<v Speaker 1>ago they added GPT four V, which is adding vision

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<v Speaker 1>to their product. They're also scaling very strongly from a

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<v Speaker 1>revenue perspective, but I think they are not the only

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<v Speaker 1>game in town. Certainly we're seeing features from Microsoft, Google, Amazon,

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<v Speaker 1>and all of the cloud players are really adding AI

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<v Speaker 1>into their platforms. I think AI is going to be

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<v Speaker 1>the next battleground for those large companies. It is almost

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<v Speaker 1>a bewildering array of options.

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<v Speaker 3>So the thought works.

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<v Speaker 1>As a technology consulting firm, we advise our clients on

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<v Speaker 1>how they can build technology to solve their biggest challenges,

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<v Speaker 1>and AI is certainly in that list. We worked with

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<v Speaker 1>one client where we were helping them with their AI strategy,

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<v Speaker 1>and before we'd even got started, they showed us two

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and seventy ideas for how GENAI might improve their

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<v Speaker 1>business and create value for them. And so you know,

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<v Speaker 1>clearly having ideas is not the difficult bit. It's figuring

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<v Speaker 1>out which of those ideas are really going to create

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<v Speaker 1>business value for you, and then doing a proof of

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<v Speaker 1>value and then getting that into production. Something that we're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing a lot happening is that companies are able to

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<v Speaker 1>do a proof of concept, but they don't really have

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<v Speaker 1>the machinery in place to take that through into production

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<v Speaker 1>at scale delivering value. And so that's an area where

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<v Speaker 1>we can help.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, a company having two hundred and seventy ideas, I

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<v Speaker 4>don't know that there are two hundred and seventy large

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<v Speaker 4>language models on the market to choose from. Maybe there

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<v Speaker 4>are that many. I think we're talking about those with

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<v Speaker 4>sort of tens of billions of parameters, you know, from

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<v Speaker 4>GPT three point five LAMA to the work then thropic inflection.

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<v Speaker 4>AI are doing things like that. Today is the Open

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<v Speaker 4>AI dev conference. And when a company holds an event

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<v Speaker 4>like this, Mike, what is it you want to hear

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<v Speaker 4>from them?

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<v Speaker 1>Well, so I would expect to hear more about model features,

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<v Speaker 1>So new features that they're introducing, maybe more vision, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>some cogeneration. Maybe also multimodal models, so that's a model

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<v Speaker 1>that can work across text and speech and image and

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<v Speaker 1>possibly video, both for input and output, and can kind

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<v Speaker 1>of fluidly move between those modes of interaction. I'd expect

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<v Speaker 1>to see greater clarity around costs of using these models.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the problems with generative AI is that the

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<v Speaker 1>costs are unpredictable, and that can be a serious barrier

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<v Speaker 1>to getting these things into production and creating value from them.

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<v Speaker 1>I might also expect to see some words around safety features. Safety,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, is a huge factor in AI. We put

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<v Speaker 1>out some consumer research a couple of weeks ago where

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<v Speaker 1>we interviewed ten thousand consumers about their attitudes towards AI,

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<v Speaker 1>and we found that more than ninety percent of people

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<v Speaker 1>had concerns about data privacy, their data usage, and whether

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<v Speaker 1>companies are being responsible and transparent with AI. And actually,

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<v Speaker 1>I really think there's something there. You know, taking a

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<v Speaker 1>privacy forward stance can be a brand enhancing move.

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<v Speaker 4>We're just showing on the screen, you know that the

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<v Speaker 4>cloud provider perspective, because ultimately, if you're a company that

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<v Speaker 4>wants to invest in AI, what we're talking about here

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<v Speaker 4>is compute and you mentioned the costs associated with that.

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<v Speaker 4>I've reported that open ai will likely book a billion

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<v Speaker 4>dollars of revenue this year, but there is a concern

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<v Speaker 4>about the competitive pricing to bring in customers and then

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<v Speaker 4>the long term profitability because crunching the data is proving expensive.

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<v Speaker 4>How closely do you look at that, mic Well, I.

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<v Speaker 1>Think it's difficult to look at it closely because those

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<v Speaker 1>figures closely guarded secrets from those companies. But reading the

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<v Speaker 1>tea leaves I would say that I don't think they

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<v Speaker 1>really know whether they're pricing is where it needs to

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<v Speaker 1>be to make the money. You've seen both Google and

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<v Speaker 1>Microsoft with Duet and Office three six five add GENAI

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<v Speaker 1>features to their productivity tool suites, and that's kind of

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<v Speaker 1>in the thirty dollars per person per month zone. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think they actually know whether they're going to make

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<v Speaker 1>money from that. It's something that's going to shake out

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<v Speaker 1>in the long term. Rumors around chatch EPT five, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>say the open AI is really focused on efficiency, and

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<v Speaker 1>efficiency really means bringing down the cost to run that.

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<v Speaker 1>I think another option that should not be overruled is

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<v Speaker 1>to look at the open source world. There's amazing progress

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<v Speaker 1>with models that are less big, smaller. You know, you

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<v Speaker 1>can run them yourself, you can run them in house,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's especially useful if you want to keep tight

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<v Speaker 1>control over your data and not actually use a cloud

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<v Speaker 1>provider for your AI.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, the event is underwear in San Francisco in about

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<v Speaker 4>an hour's time, so whether their rumors or not, we

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<v Speaker 4>will get some more information later on in Monday's day.

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<v Speaker 4>Foult Works Chief AI Officer Mike Mason, thank you so

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<v Speaker 4>much now coming up here on Bloobow Technology. Earnings of

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<v Speaker 4>the big tech companies are kind of about the way.

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<v Speaker 4>We're going to take a deeper look at how the

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<v Speaker 4>group delivered in the past quarter, what that spells for

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<v Speaker 4>the sets going forward, big emphasis on profit. We're also

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<v Speaker 4>taking a look at another Elon Musk company, Tesla. Reuter's

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<v Speaker 4>reporting that Berlin and Gigaberlin will be home to this

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<v Speaker 4>twenty five thousand euro next generation platform. That's around twenty

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<v Speaker 4>seven thousand dollars. You know, I was speaking to sources

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<v Speaker 4>throughout the day. The long term expectation was that it

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<v Speaker 4>would be Shanghai that went first, but it looks like

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<v Speaker 4>in the battle for affordable EBS that battleground, at least

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<v Speaker 4>Tesla's perspective, and according to Reuter's reporting, is going to

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<v Speaker 4>be done out of Berlin. The stockdown half of percent.

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<v Speaker 4>Tesla did not respond to requests for comment and a

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<v Speaker 4>note on programming. Tomorrow, Bloomberg will introduced a new podcast

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<v Speaker 4>called Elon Inc. It's going to break down the most

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<v Speaker 4>important stories on Mask all of his companies in his

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<v Speaker 4>empire across the Bloomberg newsroom. Tune into that. This is

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<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg Technology okay, time for talking tech. First up, Bumble

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<v Speaker 4>founder Whitney wolf Heard is stepping down from her role

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<v Speaker 4>as CEO. Wolf Heard founded the women's centric dating app

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<v Speaker 4>in twenty fourteen and later took it public in twenty

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<v Speaker 4>twenty one. She also briefly became one of the world's

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<v Speaker 4>few women billionaires, who will be succeeded by Slack CEO

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<v Speaker 4>Lydian Jones in January. And a Chinese startup founded by

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<v Speaker 4>bench capitalist Kaifu Lee has taken the artificial intelligence space

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<v Speaker 4>by storm with its one billion dollar valuation just eight

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<v Speaker 4>months into its existence. I'm talking about zero one AI,

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<v Speaker 4>which also received funding from the likes of Aali Barber's

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<v Speaker 4>cloud unit. The startup developed an open source large language

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<v Speaker 4>model available in both Chinese and English. Plus a flurry

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<v Speaker 4>of AI related hearings are set to take place on

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<v Speaker 4>Capitol Hill this week. US lawmakers in both the House

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<v Speaker 4>and the Senate will gather to discuss possible measures to

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<v Speaker 4>rain in the technology, especially as campaigning for the twenty

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<v Speaker 4>twenty four general election heats up. This comes amid President

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<v Speaker 4>Biden's sweeping executive order, which of course was issued last week.

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<v Speaker 4>Now earnings for most big tech companies have come out,

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<v Speaker 4>and while the group deliver better than expected profits, the

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<v Speaker 4>outlook for those stocks are on shaky ground based on

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<v Speaker 4>sales joining us from Chicago blooms Bloomberg's Ryan Lostellica. It's

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<v Speaker 4>so interesting how the story changed. Right we go into

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<v Speaker 4>it going, oh, that the magnificent five or seven. They're

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<v Speaker 4>propping up profit estimates for twenty twenty four. We've come

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<v Speaker 4>out the other side, and now everyone's worried about the

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<v Speaker 4>sale out the ryme.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, absolutely.

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<v Speaker 7>I mean the thing about this earning season is really

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<v Speaker 7>that no matter what narrative you really want to abscribe to,

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<v Speaker 7>you will find a big tech result that will kind

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<v Speaker 7>of fit your point of view. So Microsoft, for example,

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<v Speaker 7>had very strong results. The stock initially did quite well,

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<v Speaker 7>but given concerns about the macro backdrop and the Fed

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<v Speaker 7>and treasure yields and things like that, the stock barely

0:12:21.280 --> 0:12:23.720
<v Speaker 7>ended higher on the day, you know, pretty slight gain. Then,

0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:26.280
<v Speaker 7>on the other hand, you have something like Alphabet, which

0:12:26.320 --> 0:12:29.040
<v Speaker 7>was also a pretty strong result except for some weakness

0:12:29.040 --> 0:12:31.400
<v Speaker 7>in their cloud business, and that stock saying almost ten

0:12:31.440 --> 0:12:35.200
<v Speaker 7>percent following results, So a pretty outsized reaction, especially for

0:12:35.240 --> 0:12:37.040
<v Speaker 7>a company that would probably classify as one of the

0:12:37.760 --> 0:12:41.600
<v Speaker 7>cheaper of the big tech stocks at these traditional evaluation metrics.

0:12:41.800 --> 0:12:43.720
<v Speaker 7>And then last week we saw Apple come out and

0:12:43.720 --> 0:12:45.880
<v Speaker 7>they really gave a sort of a discouraging forecast for

0:12:45.960 --> 0:12:49.800
<v Speaker 7>their holiday season, especially given concerns about the strength of

0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:52.680
<v Speaker 7>their business in China, which is a major market for

0:12:52.720 --> 0:12:57.480
<v Speaker 7>them for both supply chain and consumer demand purposes. That stock, however,

0:12:57.640 --> 0:13:00.760
<v Speaker 7>it fell on the day, but not too much considering

0:13:01.520 --> 0:13:03.440
<v Speaker 7>because there was a little bit of optimism about FED

0:13:03.480 --> 0:13:07.160
<v Speaker 7>policy and you know that path going forward there. So

0:13:07.400 --> 0:13:09.400
<v Speaker 7>again a very mixed thing. There's a lot of focus

0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:12.800
<v Speaker 7>on the macroeconomic environment. But I'd say overall the big

0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:16.000
<v Speaker 7>tech earnings have been mixed so far. But it does

0:13:16.000 --> 0:13:18.599
<v Speaker 7>seem like people, you know, overall have been kind of

0:13:18.600 --> 0:13:20.720
<v Speaker 7>looking past them and looking to what's the come next.

0:13:21.120 --> 0:13:23.440
<v Speaker 4>Ran you are a member of the Bloomberg newsroom who's

0:13:23.480 --> 0:13:26.199
<v Speaker 4>just like zeroed in on the Bloomberg terminal, every headline,

0:13:26.280 --> 0:13:28.640
<v Speaker 4>every piece of data, and you flagged me before the

0:13:28.679 --> 0:13:31.680
<v Speaker 4>show this UBS note right, which shows us that not

0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:35.080
<v Speaker 4>everyone agrees with the fair you know, UBS's perspective is

0:13:35.080 --> 0:13:36.760
<v Speaker 4>that tech stocks look contractive right now.

0:13:37.760 --> 0:13:37.960
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:13:38.000 --> 0:13:38.520
<v Speaker 3>Absolutely.

0:13:38.559 --> 0:13:40.560
<v Speaker 7>It says that some of the figures surrounding the group

0:13:40.640 --> 0:13:44.000
<v Speaker 7>are overdone, and the you know, the sector looks pretty

0:13:44.000 --> 0:13:46.400
<v Speaker 7>well positioned for growth, especially in twenty twenty four. It

0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:48.240
<v Speaker 7>expects it to be one of the most you know,

0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:50.680
<v Speaker 7>robustly growing sectors in the economy.

0:13:50.720 --> 0:13:52.000
<v Speaker 4>So that's obviously a positive.

0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:55.880
<v Speaker 7>It sees you know, buying opportunity and semiconductors, it sees

0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:59.840
<v Speaker 7>you know, pretty you know, attractive margin prospects for software companies,

0:13:59.840 --> 0:14:02.760
<v Speaker 7>and you know, we're talking about pretty widespread optimism there.

0:14:02.760 --> 0:14:04.240
<v Speaker 7>And I would say that even though there were some

0:14:04.280 --> 0:14:07.360
<v Speaker 7>disappointments this season and some pronounced selloffs, you know, most

0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:10.360
<v Speaker 7>analysts remain pretty positive about the group, especially from a

0:14:10.360 --> 0:14:12.560
<v Speaker 7>longer term perspective as far as their growth potential.

0:14:12.800 --> 0:14:15.720
<v Speaker 4>So there's what's been and then there's what's to come

0:14:16.080 --> 0:14:19.240
<v Speaker 4>for me in Vidia. You know, it's been an incredible

0:14:19.320 --> 0:14:22.400
<v Speaker 4>ride on the stock YEA to date, but now because

0:14:22.400 --> 0:14:24.560
<v Speaker 4>it's so big, like from an index perspective and a

0:14:24.560 --> 0:14:27.400
<v Speaker 4>wasting perspective, the market will pay attention, right.

0:14:28.200 --> 0:14:30.880
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, absolutely, and it's going to get you know, additional

0:14:30.880 --> 0:14:32.520
<v Speaker 7>focus you know again for you know, one of the

0:14:32.520 --> 0:14:34.600
<v Speaker 7>several quarters in a row now just because it is

0:14:34.680 --> 0:14:38.360
<v Speaker 7>so central to the AI thesis right now, chips are

0:14:38.360 --> 0:14:40.440
<v Speaker 7>really the first stop or anyone who's looking to build

0:14:40.440 --> 0:14:43.480
<v Speaker 7>out any kind of AI infrastructure. Past two quarters have

0:14:43.480 --> 0:14:46.400
<v Speaker 7>been extremely strong as far as their forecast goes. Will

0:14:46.400 --> 0:14:47.200
<v Speaker 7>they go for a hat trick?

0:14:47.200 --> 0:14:47.920
<v Speaker 4>Will they do it again?

0:14:47.960 --> 0:14:50.160
<v Speaker 7>I mean, we'll see, And even then if they do,

0:14:50.680 --> 0:14:52.720
<v Speaker 7>who knows how the stock's going to react? Is because

0:14:52.760 --> 0:14:54.520
<v Speaker 7>you know, it's a name that you know by many

0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:57.800
<v Speaker 7>traditional metrics, is you know, kind of looking pricey, especially

0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:01.040
<v Speaker 7>within a context of you know, potential or higher rate environment.

0:15:01.120 --> 0:15:02.520
<v Speaker 7>So that's one that people are going to be paying

0:15:02.560 --> 0:15:02.880
<v Speaker 7>a lot.

0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:03.440
<v Speaker 4>Of attention to.

0:15:03.560 --> 0:15:05.880
<v Speaker 7>And if they kind of give any indication that AI

0:15:05.960 --> 0:15:09.880
<v Speaker 7>demand isn't as strong as maybe some people are hoping for,

0:15:10.120 --> 0:15:12.120
<v Speaker 7>that could have some broader implications as well.

0:15:12.360 --> 0:15:14.800
<v Speaker 4>Definitely in the data center contact we focus so much

0:15:14.800 --> 0:15:16.680
<v Speaker 4>in H one hundred. We have Grace Hopper coming down

0:15:16.720 --> 0:15:19.040
<v Speaker 4>the pipe as well, thanks of billiam I's Ryan Flaseelica

0:15:19.080 --> 0:15:19.480
<v Speaker 4>out there.

0:15:27.640 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 8>People want to keep flying, families want to go on holidays.

0:15:30.240 --> 0:15:32.720
<v Speaker 8>They just don't want to pay of turns as outrageous prices.

0:15:32.760 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 8>So I think fares that next year, I mean, my

0:15:35.280 --> 0:15:38.120
<v Speaker 8>operating assumptions fhares will go by a low double digit

0:15:38.160 --> 0:15:40.200
<v Speaker 8>percentage again through the summer twenty four. It'd be the

0:15:40.240 --> 0:15:42.280
<v Speaker 8>third year in a row, third summer in a row,

0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:44.600
<v Speaker 8>we'll see double digit fare increases in Europe.

0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:49.920
<v Speaker 4>That was Ryan S CEO Michael O'Leary earlier on Bloomberg

0:15:49.960 --> 0:15:53.200
<v Speaker 4>Television with his outlook for travel demands. Also talked about

0:15:53.520 --> 0:15:55.960
<v Speaker 4>the fuel prices at the moment and sort of delays

0:15:56.000 --> 0:16:00.200
<v Speaker 4>in taking new airplanes impacting their ability to meet demand

0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:02.560
<v Speaker 4>and sticking with travel demand delights to say, we're joined

0:16:02.560 --> 0:16:05.960
<v Speaker 4>now by Expedy A CEO Peter Kern, and Peter is

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:08.640
<v Speaker 4>interesting to hear what Michael leary said there, you know,

0:16:08.720 --> 0:16:13.040
<v Speaker 4>the challenges alongside meeting what he sees is demand. What

0:16:13.120 --> 0:16:14.440
<v Speaker 4>kind of demand do you see?

0:16:15.360 --> 0:16:17.840
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, well we've seen thanks ed for having me first

0:16:17.840 --> 0:16:20.160
<v Speaker 9>of all, and I enjoyed the clip.

0:16:20.240 --> 0:16:22.680
<v Speaker 3>What we see is steady demand.

0:16:22.680 --> 0:16:25.480
<v Speaker 9>I would say, I think what he's talking about is

0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:29.160
<v Speaker 9>that we are seeing some shifts as customers are looking

0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:33.200
<v Speaker 9>for lower cost carriers over the main airlines. So he's

0:16:33.240 --> 0:16:35.560
<v Speaker 9>probably benefiting from that and seeing a little bit of

0:16:35.600 --> 0:16:38.360
<v Speaker 9>a move in his direction. I think overall air demand

0:16:38.720 --> 0:16:42.720
<v Speaker 9>in Western Europe and in the North America, et cetera.

0:16:43.120 --> 0:16:47.360
<v Speaker 9>Is pretty steady, but we're seeing generally priced declines across

0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:50.000
<v Speaker 9>the markets. So I think what he's discussing as a

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:54.520
<v Speaker 9>shift in his favor, but it's not necessarily that that's

0:16:54.560 --> 0:16:56.640
<v Speaker 9>true for everything across the board.

0:16:56.720 --> 0:16:59.840
<v Speaker 4>Peter, what fascinates me about Expedire in the portfolio of

0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:05.080
<v Speaker 4>brands and platforms is the granularity of your data. You know,

0:17:05.160 --> 0:17:09.400
<v Speaker 4>you can tell me the demographics of people that are

0:17:09.480 --> 0:17:13.120
<v Speaker 4>not traveling where they're traveling too. Right now, what does

0:17:13.720 --> 0:17:16.639
<v Speaker 4>gen z look like? I know that's a very specific question,

0:17:16.920 --> 0:17:20.320
<v Speaker 4>but who's traveling and particularly how have you seen the

0:17:20.400 --> 0:17:23.600
<v Speaker 4>younger traveler behave in the most recent quarter.

0:17:25.040 --> 0:17:28.080
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I think we don't tend to break it that way,

0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:30.760
<v Speaker 9>but I can tell you that the travelers, you know

0:17:30.760 --> 0:17:35.000
<v Speaker 9>that Weezer travel has remained strong. Corporate still, you know,

0:17:35.200 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 9>still not back to pre COVID levels. You see a

0:17:38.040 --> 0:17:41.080
<v Speaker 9>lot of differences geography to geography. You know, we still

0:17:41.080 --> 0:17:44.600
<v Speaker 9>have Asia is still opening up to a certain extent,

0:17:44.680 --> 0:17:47.600
<v Speaker 9>which has been a tailwind in Asia and Latin America,

0:17:47.640 --> 0:17:50.760
<v Speaker 9>whereas the West has sort of normalized, I would say,

0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:54.399
<v Speaker 9>and in general, by and large, you know, people have

0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:58.440
<v Speaker 9>been waiting for travelers to trade down for cheaper alternatives.

0:17:58.600 --> 0:18:00.440
<v Speaker 3>We haven't seen that very much. Now.

0:18:00.640 --> 0:18:02.399
<v Speaker 9>It's true that at the lower end of the market

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:04.800
<v Speaker 9>you see it a little bit more. But as you

0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:08.280
<v Speaker 9>know it, we introduced our new grand loyalty program called

0:18:08.320 --> 0:18:10.920
<v Speaker 9>one Key, and what we're seeing as people get accustomed

0:18:10.920 --> 0:18:13.280
<v Speaker 9>to that is they're actually trading up when they have

0:18:13.480 --> 0:18:15.560
<v Speaker 9>value that they can use to get a better room.

0:18:15.640 --> 0:18:17.800
<v Speaker 9>Like if they have one key cash, which is our

0:18:17.840 --> 0:18:20.840
<v Speaker 9>rewards currency, they trade up to a better room or

0:18:20.880 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 9>a better experience, or use that for something better.

0:18:23.520 --> 0:18:26.360
<v Speaker 4>Alongside Sorry to interrupeed, I was gonna say, alongside rewards.

0:18:26.359 --> 0:18:30.639
<v Speaker 4>You've also focused kind of on content creation and influences

0:18:30.640 --> 0:18:33.600
<v Speaker 4>on social media. Has that given any sort of tangible

0:18:33.640 --> 0:18:34.760
<v Speaker 4>boost to your sales?

0:18:35.920 --> 0:18:38.520
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, well we're you know, we're using all the latest

0:18:38.560 --> 0:18:41.560
<v Speaker 9>marketing and reach tools we can. I mean, for us,

0:18:41.640 --> 0:18:44.520
<v Speaker 9>it's an education process when we launch something like one Key,

0:18:44.800 --> 0:18:46.919
<v Speaker 9>we want people to understand it. When where you have

0:18:47.480 --> 0:18:49.680
<v Speaker 9>one key now in Verbo, which is the only place

0:18:49.720 --> 0:18:52.639
<v Speaker 9>you can get rewards and vacation rentals, we want to

0:18:52.640 --> 0:18:55.800
<v Speaker 9>make sure that people that are interested in vacation rentals

0:18:55.880 --> 0:18:58.880
<v Speaker 9>understand and appreciate the benefit. So sometimes, you know, old

0:18:58.880 --> 0:19:01.679
<v Speaker 9>fashioned advertising is the best way, and it's easier to

0:19:01.720 --> 0:19:04.600
<v Speaker 9>reach people with more information through influencers and such. But

0:19:04.960 --> 0:19:06.679
<v Speaker 9>you know, you referred to all the data we have

0:19:06.800 --> 0:19:09.360
<v Speaker 9>on gen z. That's really what's powering our product now

0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:11.720
<v Speaker 9>as we make the product better and better. The fact

0:19:11.760 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 9>that we have all that data is what allows us

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:16.840
<v Speaker 9>to now take friction out of the process, use AI

0:19:16.960 --> 0:19:19.200
<v Speaker 9>and machine learning to make the.

0:19:19.119 --> 0:19:21.520
<v Speaker 3>Experience better, in the product better. And that's really where

0:19:21.520 --> 0:19:22.160
<v Speaker 3>we're focused.

0:19:22.520 --> 0:19:25.680
<v Speaker 4>It's the expedia that the consumer and our audience around

0:19:25.720 --> 0:19:27.800
<v Speaker 4>the world knows. And then there's the B to B business.

0:19:28.080 --> 0:19:30.720
<v Speaker 4>When you look at your growth trajectory going forward, what

0:19:30.880 --> 0:19:32.800
<v Speaker 4>is the splitting contribution of those two.

0:19:33.960 --> 0:19:35.439
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, well, B to B it's had a very good

0:19:35.520 --> 0:19:37.960
<v Speaker 9>run for us, and in part, as I mentioned earlier,

0:19:38.160 --> 0:19:40.119
<v Speaker 9>it has to do with the exposure of the business,

0:19:40.160 --> 0:19:42.520
<v Speaker 9>which is exposed more to Asia and some of the

0:19:42.520 --> 0:19:46.080
<v Speaker 9>markets that have come back more recently post COVID. But

0:19:46.160 --> 0:19:48.800
<v Speaker 9>also we've been building that business, building the technology in

0:19:48.840 --> 0:19:52.200
<v Speaker 9>that business, expanding our customer base. So that business has

0:19:52.240 --> 0:19:55.280
<v Speaker 9>seen you know, growth in the twenties for the last

0:19:55.280 --> 0:19:57.399
<v Speaker 9>several years, twenty percent plus.

0:19:57.480 --> 0:19:59.800
<v Speaker 3>Top line growth last quarter.

0:19:59.680 --> 0:20:04.000
<v Speaker 9>Was closer to twenty six twenty seven, but we expect

0:20:04.000 --> 0:20:06.239
<v Speaker 9>that to continue. It is a smaller part of our

0:20:06.280 --> 0:20:08.880
<v Speaker 9>overall business, and as you know, we've done a lot

0:20:08.920 --> 0:20:10.719
<v Speaker 9>of work in the last couple of years on our

0:20:10.760 --> 0:20:14.240
<v Speaker 9>core consumer business with one key with the launch of

0:20:14.240 --> 0:20:18.320
<v Speaker 9>new products and capabilities. So we expect our bigger business

0:20:18.359 --> 0:20:21.959
<v Speaker 9>to accelerate now, but the B to B business probably

0:20:22.000 --> 0:20:25.840
<v Speaker 9>has slightly more you know, tailwinds still for a bit.

0:20:26.119 --> 0:20:28.560
<v Speaker 4>Peter, very very quick. Friday, your stock took off like

0:20:28.560 --> 0:20:31.320
<v Speaker 4>a rocket, biggest jump since November twenty twenty. You must

0:20:31.320 --> 0:20:32.120
<v Speaker 4>be happy about that.

0:20:33.119 --> 0:20:33.440
<v Speaker 3>I was.

0:20:33.520 --> 0:20:35.679
<v Speaker 9>I don't pretend to understand the markets, but we've just

0:20:35.720 --> 0:20:37.840
<v Speaker 9>been shipping away at it, and I think the market's

0:20:37.840 --> 0:20:40.080
<v Speaker 9>starting to understand that all the work we've done has

0:20:40.119 --> 0:20:41.960
<v Speaker 9>set us up in a better way to go forward

0:20:42.040 --> 0:20:44.520
<v Speaker 9>than most of our competitors, and that's what we're really

0:20:44.560 --> 0:20:45.120
<v Speaker 9>excited about.

0:20:45.920 --> 0:20:46.960
<v Speaker 3>The market recognize it.

0:20:47.280 --> 0:20:49.720
<v Speaker 4>Expedia ceopiece, can Goods catch up? Have you here on

0:20:49.760 --> 0:21:00.560
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg Technology. Welcome back to Bloomberg Technology ed here in

0:21:00.560 --> 0:21:02.359
<v Speaker 4>New York City this week. I want to get a

0:21:02.400 --> 0:21:04.159
<v Speaker 4>quick check in on bitcoin and it's been interesting to

0:21:04.160 --> 0:21:05.880
<v Speaker 4>track this, honestly, it's kind of been up and down.

0:21:06.080 --> 0:21:08.640
<v Speaker 4>It's trades twenty four to seven, of course, but there's

0:21:08.680 --> 0:21:10.960
<v Speaker 4>a debate whether any movement that we've seen to the

0:21:11.040 --> 0:21:13.840
<v Speaker 4>upside as we are around thirty five thousand US dollars

0:21:13.920 --> 0:21:16.920
<v Speaker 4>per token, has anything at all to do with the

0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:20.600
<v Speaker 4>outcome of the FTX trial and Sam Bankman Freed, who

0:21:20.760 --> 0:21:24.679
<v Speaker 4>was found guilty on multiple counts of fraud, securities fraud,

0:21:25.040 --> 0:21:29.040
<v Speaker 4>and conspiracy. Let's get to Sam Bankman Freed's guilty verdict.

0:21:29.080 --> 0:21:31.800
<v Speaker 4>The thirty one year old MIT graduate has been charged

0:21:31.840 --> 0:21:35.400
<v Speaker 4>on seven counts of wire fraud, securities fraud, and money

0:21:35.440 --> 0:21:39.119
<v Speaker 4>laundering and now faces the possibility of decades in prison

0:21:39.440 --> 0:21:41.960
<v Speaker 4>when he is sentenced, which we think will happen in March.

0:21:42.440 --> 0:21:44.680
<v Speaker 4>Joining us for more reaction on that trial, but its

0:21:44.720 --> 0:21:48.560
<v Speaker 4>impact on the cryptosphirit large is Jilak Joban Putra, founder

0:21:48.560 --> 0:21:51.240
<v Speaker 4>and managing partner of Future Perfect Ventures, an early stage

0:21:51.320 --> 0:21:55.160
<v Speaker 4>VC firm that focuses on blockchain technology, crypto assets, AI,

0:21:55.200 --> 0:21:59.399
<v Speaker 4>and human computer interaction. Your reaction to the outcome of

0:21:59.400 --> 0:22:00.640
<v Speaker 4>the truck, Well.

0:22:00.600 --> 0:22:03.399
<v Speaker 10>It's great to be with you. I think this is

0:22:03.440 --> 0:22:06.800
<v Speaker 10>a huge sigh of relief for the crypto industry. We've

0:22:06.840 --> 0:22:12.480
<v Speaker 10>moved on from this FTX trial or the news for

0:22:12.520 --> 0:22:15.840
<v Speaker 10>the last year. But at the end of the day,

0:22:16.000 --> 0:22:19.560
<v Speaker 10>fraud is fraud is fraud, and it doesn't matter what industry.

0:22:20.119 --> 0:22:22.879
<v Speaker 10>It's good to see that justice is served and we

0:22:22.920 --> 0:22:26.440
<v Speaker 10>can go back to backing and talking about the builders

0:22:26.480 --> 0:22:29.880
<v Speaker 10>that are in it to create a better world using

0:22:29.880 --> 0:22:30.879
<v Speaker 10>this new technology.

0:22:30.960 --> 0:22:33.280
<v Speaker 4>That is sentiment I think echoed by a number of

0:22:33.280 --> 0:22:36.760
<v Speaker 4>our guests on the show. There are those that acknowledge, however,

0:22:36.840 --> 0:22:40.359
<v Speaker 4>that it had an impact right up until the jury

0:22:40.400 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 4>gave its verdict because of what it represented from a

0:22:44.359 --> 0:22:46.879
<v Speaker 4>sort of high to low collapse of the industry. As

0:22:46.920 --> 0:22:49.120
<v Speaker 4>a venture capitalist, have you been able to go out

0:22:49.160 --> 0:22:52.280
<v Speaker 4>and write checks with confidence over the last twelve months

0:22:52.320 --> 0:22:54.840
<v Speaker 4>into startups that are working on the underlying technology or

0:22:54.880 --> 0:22:57.200
<v Speaker 4>even backing a token of their.

0:22:57.119 --> 0:23:00.919
<v Speaker 10>Own Absolutely, I mean we were long term investors. We

0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:03.400
<v Speaker 10>have a ten year fund. I've been in the industry,

0:23:04.119 --> 0:23:06.880
<v Speaker 10>in the venture industry since nineteen ninety nine, so I've

0:23:06.920 --> 0:23:10.080
<v Speaker 10>certainly seen many cycles, and even within crypto for the

0:23:10.119 --> 0:23:14.520
<v Speaker 10>last ten years, there have been many cycles. So look,

0:23:14.560 --> 0:23:18.480
<v Speaker 10>I'm not going to lie FTX and what happened there

0:23:18.640 --> 0:23:21.960
<v Speaker 10>was such a magnitude that it did impact and have

0:23:22.000 --> 0:23:27.080
<v Speaker 10>an effect on all entrepreneurs, large companies and smaller companies

0:23:27.440 --> 0:23:33.000
<v Speaker 10>in the sector. But what the jury showed is four

0:23:33.080 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 10>hours to come to decision shows that the evidence was

0:23:36.320 --> 0:23:38.960
<v Speaker 10>so compelling that people are not going to get away

0:23:39.200 --> 0:23:41.800
<v Speaker 10>with this type of fraud in the industry. And I

0:23:41.800 --> 0:23:45.800
<v Speaker 10>think entrepreneurs can rest easy there and people who are

0:23:45.840 --> 0:23:49.640
<v Speaker 10>passionate about the sector continue to build and have continued

0:23:49.680 --> 0:23:54.199
<v Speaker 10>to build. Downturns are notorious for giving birth to some

0:23:54.280 --> 0:23:57.840
<v Speaker 10>of the most impactful companies throughout history.

0:23:58.040 --> 0:24:00.880
<v Speaker 4>Nick Kotta was on the show and Friday Costwhile Adventures

0:24:00.920 --> 0:24:03.600
<v Speaker 4>and he said that they were offer the opportunity twice

0:24:03.640 --> 0:24:06.400
<v Speaker 4>to invest in FDx, but they didn't feel right about

0:24:06.400 --> 0:24:09.480
<v Speaker 4>it and so they didn't. Just for sheer transparency of

0:24:09.480 --> 0:24:12.160
<v Speaker 4>our audience, did you ever have the opportunity to back

0:24:12.280 --> 0:24:15.880
<v Speaker 4>FDx or an associated group and did you? Yeah, I'll do.

0:24:15.880 --> 0:24:18.400
<v Speaker 10>Nick one better on that. We had an opportunity three

0:24:18.480 --> 0:24:22.920
<v Speaker 10>times to invest in FTX and did not. So we

0:24:23.160 --> 0:24:26.880
<v Speaker 10>are early stage investors. We like to see governance even

0:24:26.880 --> 0:24:32.280
<v Speaker 10>from the earliest stages in companies. Look crypto regulations very

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:35.200
<v Speaker 10>uncertain around the world is getting more and more clarity

0:24:35.240 --> 0:24:38.680
<v Speaker 10>as we move on over the years. But that lack

0:24:38.720 --> 0:24:42.439
<v Speaker 10>of regulatory clarity actually creates more need for diligence on

0:24:42.480 --> 0:24:46.000
<v Speaker 10>the part of investors because we don't have regulators overseeing

0:24:46.080 --> 0:24:50.000
<v Speaker 10>these companies. So it's really important to know that, you know,

0:24:50.080 --> 0:24:53.600
<v Speaker 10>other co investors have the same it's kind of the

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:57.280
<v Speaker 10>same incentives we do. That we trust the entrepreneur in

0:24:57.320 --> 0:25:00.440
<v Speaker 10>a sector that that's new, and there's lots of capital

0:25:00.480 --> 0:25:04.640
<v Speaker 10>floating around even right now in a downturn.

0:25:04.400 --> 0:25:06.760
<v Speaker 4>So where does the capital go, particularly in the context

0:25:06.840 --> 0:25:10.600
<v Speaker 4>of the underlying blockchain right you know, on this show

0:25:10.640 --> 0:25:13.280
<v Speaker 4>most recently we increasingly talk about it in the context

0:25:13.280 --> 0:25:18.320
<v Speaker 4>of gaming as opposed to crypto, where right now excites

0:25:18.359 --> 0:25:20.240
<v Speaker 4>you most well.

0:25:20.280 --> 0:25:24.040
<v Speaker 10>Our thesis from our inception feature of Perfect Ventures in

0:25:24.040 --> 0:25:29.440
<v Speaker 10>twenty fourteen is that crypto which is part of Web three.

0:25:29.600 --> 0:25:36.280
<v Speaker 10>So this intersection of crypto, AI, machine learning, Internet of things,

0:25:36.400 --> 0:25:42.000
<v Speaker 10>this collection and analnalytics of data as well as a

0:25:42.000 --> 0:25:44.800
<v Speaker 10>distribution of data is going to be the next Internet.

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:48.520
<v Speaker 10>And so just like the Internet has impacted every industry,

0:25:48.840 --> 0:25:53.520
<v Speaker 10>the media, industry, financial services, we believe that Web three

0:25:53.640 --> 0:25:56.800
<v Speaker 10>crypto being a part of that will impact every industry,

0:25:56.840 --> 0:25:59.880
<v Speaker 10>so gaming is certainly one. I wrote a blog post

0:26:00.040 --> 0:26:03.719
<v Speaker 10>recently about what we're seeing around deep fakes in the media.

0:26:04.119 --> 0:26:08.960
<v Speaker 10>So one of the really great elements of crypto and

0:26:09.119 --> 0:26:12.480
<v Speaker 10>blockchain is the fact that you can track data prominence.

0:26:12.720 --> 0:26:16.000
<v Speaker 10>And that's why FTX is a little ironic because the

0:26:16.080 --> 0:26:19.359
<v Speaker 10>industry is supposed to be all about transparency, not about

0:26:19.359 --> 0:26:25.840
<v Speaker 10>cover ups, and so this provenance tracking of data. We

0:26:26.400 --> 0:26:29.800
<v Speaker 10>know if we're seeing a clip whether or not that

0:26:29.960 --> 0:26:33.720
<v Speaker 10>is authentic data. What we need now is the intersection

0:26:34.040 --> 0:26:37.679
<v Speaker 10>of machine learning where we can collect and analyze this

0:26:37.800 --> 0:26:43.080
<v Speaker 10>data in real time. So WhatsApp has forty million messages

0:26:43.160 --> 0:26:46.720
<v Speaker 10>that get posted per minute worldwide. Now there's no way

0:26:46.960 --> 0:26:50.919
<v Speaker 10>to quickly analyze all of those messages right now in

0:26:51.000 --> 0:26:53.919
<v Speaker 10>real time, but we are getting there, and when we

0:26:54.119 --> 0:26:57.439
<v Speaker 10>get there, we'll know that our data is authentic, or

0:26:57.440 --> 0:26:59.520
<v Speaker 10>it'll at least be water marked in a way where

0:26:59.520 --> 0:27:01.600
<v Speaker 10>we know what we're consuming is authentic.

0:27:02.520 --> 0:27:06.200
<v Speaker 4>Galacto Van Puncher, founder and managing partner of Future Perfect Ventures.

0:27:06.280 --> 0:27:09.760
<v Speaker 4>Great wide, broad ranging conversation, Thank you very much. Now

0:27:09.760 --> 0:27:11.000
<v Speaker 4>coming up here on the show, we're going to talk

0:27:11.040 --> 0:27:14.040
<v Speaker 4>about the state of investing in Europe's tech sector, and

0:27:14.119 --> 0:27:18.520
<v Speaker 4>celebrate an anniversary with Shnali Dereika of AXL That coming

0:27:18.600 --> 0:27:31.680
<v Speaker 4>up next from London, This is Bloomberg Technology. Some news

0:27:31.680 --> 0:27:34.960
<v Speaker 4>out of Europe. Artificial intelligence startup alif Alfa has raised

0:27:34.960 --> 0:27:37.840
<v Speaker 4>more than five hundred million dollars from a consortium of

0:27:37.920 --> 0:27:41.399
<v Speaker 4>industrial giants and financial investors as it tries to build

0:27:41.440 --> 0:27:44.639
<v Speaker 4>a European rival to the large language models created by

0:27:44.720 --> 0:27:47.520
<v Speaker 4>Open Ai and Google. Schwartz Group and the venture arm

0:27:47.560 --> 0:27:49.560
<v Speaker 4>of Robert Bosch joined a group of seven other new

0:27:49.600 --> 0:27:54.200
<v Speaker 4>investors in the financing round, which included SAP and HPE.

0:27:54.920 --> 0:27:57.120
<v Speaker 4>Right sticking with tech in Europe, It's time for today's

0:27:57.240 --> 0:28:00.359
<v Speaker 4>VC Spotlight. And joining us today is Sonali Deria, a

0:28:00.400 --> 0:28:03.440
<v Speaker 4>partner at Excel, where she focuses on the consumer next

0:28:03.520 --> 0:28:08.680
<v Speaker 4>generation financial services and software companies. Excel is also celebrating

0:28:08.760 --> 0:28:13.840
<v Speaker 4>this week four decades of operating in Europe. Shanali, welcome

0:28:13.880 --> 0:28:19.280
<v Speaker 4>to the program. Forty years of venture activity globally and

0:28:19.359 --> 0:28:21.760
<v Speaker 4>in Europe. How did the firm do it?

0:28:23.680 --> 0:28:25.720
<v Speaker 11>Thank you for having me here. Ed It's great to

0:28:25.720 --> 0:28:28.040
<v Speaker 11>see you, even if I'm in London and you're in

0:28:28.080 --> 0:28:32.359
<v Speaker 11>New York. You know, forty years it's a big milestone

0:28:32.359 --> 0:28:35.719
<v Speaker 11>and it's a really important time to be reflective. And

0:28:35.760 --> 0:28:38.880
<v Speaker 11>what I'll say is that we've always had the DNA

0:28:38.920 --> 0:28:43.200
<v Speaker 11>at Excel to find to build a relationship and to

0:28:43.320 --> 0:28:47.920
<v Speaker 11>invest in founders, exceptional founders really regardless of where they are,

0:28:48.280 --> 0:28:51.680
<v Speaker 11>and typically that's been in really far fun places. And

0:28:51.760 --> 0:28:54.960
<v Speaker 11>it's this philosophy that made us open up our London

0:28:55.000 --> 0:28:58.960
<v Speaker 11>office twenty three years ago, opened up India fifteen years

0:28:59.040 --> 0:29:01.840
<v Speaker 11>later in two thousand and fifteen, and it's really been

0:29:01.880 --> 0:29:04.080
<v Speaker 11>a core part of our success and why we were

0:29:04.120 --> 0:29:08.480
<v Speaker 11>able to invest in companies like Qualtrics in Utah, a

0:29:08.560 --> 0:29:13.120
<v Speaker 11>Classian in Australia, in Romania and Bucharest UiPath, one of

0:29:13.160 --> 0:29:16.720
<v Speaker 11>the most iconic companies to come out of Europe, companies

0:29:16.800 --> 0:29:22.000
<v Speaker 11>like fresh Works in Chennai in India, and to construct

0:29:22.040 --> 0:29:24.880
<v Speaker 11>a firm that things.

0:29:24.520 --> 0:29:25.640
<v Speaker 2>Global from the get go.

0:29:26.720 --> 0:29:28.600
<v Speaker 11>We sort of walk our walk and talk our talk,

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:30.760
<v Speaker 11>if you will, and help our companies and help our

0:29:30.800 --> 0:29:34.920
<v Speaker 11>founders to become these category leaders. Wasn't easy, but I

0:29:34.920 --> 0:29:37.840
<v Speaker 11>think it's really been quite unique and it's been core

0:29:38.080 --> 0:29:39.800
<v Speaker 11>to everything we've achieved so far.

0:29:40.320 --> 0:29:44.560
<v Speaker 4>The rapid pace of companies being founded and funds being

0:29:44.640 --> 0:29:47.000
<v Speaker 4>raised in the AI context kind of set up this

0:29:47.200 --> 0:29:51.920
<v Speaker 4>nice USA versus Europe discussion, Right, is there going to

0:29:51.960 --> 0:29:55.920
<v Speaker 4>be a viable European maker builder of lms to take

0:29:55.960 --> 0:29:58.400
<v Speaker 4>on the likes of open AI. You heard me mention

0:29:58.480 --> 0:30:01.600
<v Speaker 4>alf Alfha now seeing a five hundred million dollar raise

0:30:01.640 --> 0:30:05.800
<v Speaker 4>this morning. What do you see as being potential for

0:30:06.440 --> 0:30:08.040
<v Speaker 4>European AI builders?

0:30:08.800 --> 0:30:10.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I know, it's a great question.

0:30:10.400 --> 0:30:13.600
<v Speaker 11>What I'd say is that if you just take a

0:30:13.680 --> 0:30:17.040
<v Speaker 11>pause and think back around AI, because AI is really,

0:30:17.520 --> 0:30:20.200
<v Speaker 11>you know, the overnight revolution that's actually been going for decades.

0:30:20.240 --> 0:30:22.880
<v Speaker 11>It's more generative AREI that's probably less than a year old.

0:30:23.440 --> 0:30:27.480
<v Speaker 11>And when it comes to research, when it comes to citations,

0:30:28.080 --> 0:30:30.960
<v Speaker 11>Europe's probably had sort of fifty percent more in terms

0:30:31.000 --> 0:30:33.719
<v Speaker 11>of publications than the US. I mean, if you're going

0:30:33.720 --> 0:30:36.760
<v Speaker 11>to do the US versus Europe. That said, I think

0:30:36.760 --> 0:30:40.520
<v Speaker 11>a lot of the funding activity and a lot of

0:30:40.520 --> 0:30:44.000
<v Speaker 11>the startup activity and even the incombing activity has been

0:30:44.040 --> 0:30:46.800
<v Speaker 11>more in the US. But we're seeing a lot of

0:30:46.840 --> 0:30:52.480
<v Speaker 11>promising companies and entrepreneurs over here, and the majority of

0:30:52.480 --> 0:30:56.000
<v Speaker 11>the activity so far has been more in the infrastructure.

0:30:56.400 --> 0:31:01.240
<v Speaker 11>The large language model space, if you will. But the

0:31:01.320 --> 0:31:04.280
<v Speaker 11>Denovo the native applications if you will, that'll come in

0:31:04.360 --> 0:31:07.800
<v Speaker 11>and really native to AI, it's really still early innings.

0:31:07.920 --> 0:31:10.360
<v Speaker 11>So I think we're very much a little bit like

0:31:10.400 --> 0:31:13.160
<v Speaker 11>what mobile was and if you think six or seven

0:31:13.200 --> 0:31:17.800
<v Speaker 11>o eight when iOS and Android came out, but it

0:31:17.840 --> 0:31:21.240
<v Speaker 11>took a while for the Denovo apps on mobile to

0:31:21.320 --> 0:31:24.080
<v Speaker 11>really become big. And I think we'll see Europe play

0:31:24.160 --> 0:31:26.600
<v Speaker 11>probably a bigger role in some of the more vertical AI.

0:31:26.440 --> 0:31:30.200
<v Speaker 4>Applications Sonali As an aside, did you look at alif

0:31:30.280 --> 0:31:33.000
<v Speaker 4>Alfa or even a Mistral, you know that made a

0:31:33.040 --> 0:31:35.640
<v Speaker 4>debut with such a giant round earlier in the summer.

0:31:37.160 --> 0:31:37.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:31:37.480 --> 0:31:40.720
<v Speaker 11>See, it's our job to, as you can imagine, to

0:31:41.000 --> 0:31:42.920
<v Speaker 11>meet with all the great founders, and we tend to

0:31:42.920 --> 0:31:46.000
<v Speaker 11>do this even when the founders haven't even started to

0:31:46.040 --> 0:31:48.880
<v Speaker 11>become founders themselves. We sort of track the builders, if

0:31:48.920 --> 0:31:51.880
<v Speaker 11>you will, as you called it. So, yes, I think,

0:31:52.000 --> 0:31:54.120
<v Speaker 11>you know, we've spent time with all of the interesting

0:31:54.120 --> 0:31:56.640
<v Speaker 11>companies in the AI space, and I think what I'd

0:31:56.680 --> 0:32:00.400
<v Speaker 11>say is that generally there's so many flavors of how

0:32:00.440 --> 0:32:03.840
<v Speaker 11>to think about these large language models. This infrastructure part

0:32:03.880 --> 0:32:09.160
<v Speaker 11>of the stack, from data, sovereignty, from privacy, from language,

0:32:09.240 --> 0:32:12.000
<v Speaker 11>from security. That there are a number of companies that

0:32:12.040 --> 0:32:15.240
<v Speaker 11>are sort of trying to figure out which part open source,

0:32:15.240 --> 0:32:18.440
<v Speaker 11>close source, which part of the box, if you will,

0:32:18.520 --> 0:32:20.640
<v Speaker 11>or the part of the market that they own. So

0:32:20.680 --> 0:32:23.600
<v Speaker 11>there's a number of these companies, and yeah, we spend

0:32:23.680 --> 0:32:24.600
<v Speaker 11>time with all of them.

0:32:25.040 --> 0:32:26.760
<v Speaker 4>The last time that I was in New York City

0:32:27.160 --> 0:32:30.600
<v Speaker 4>was in that September period of the IPO windows suddenly

0:32:30.640 --> 0:32:33.920
<v Speaker 4>opening up, and I was looking at your current portfolio

0:32:34.320 --> 0:32:38.280
<v Speaker 4>and then the historic Excel portfolio. So many successes you

0:32:38.280 --> 0:32:41.160
<v Speaker 4>know of companies that went public and built a legacy.

0:32:41.760 --> 0:32:44.240
<v Speaker 4>What's next in the IPO market? What is the next

0:32:44.320 --> 0:32:46.640
<v Speaker 4>name to your mind, particularly out of Europe to tap

0:32:46.680 --> 0:32:47.640
<v Speaker 4>the public markets.

0:32:49.200 --> 0:32:50.240
<v Speaker 2>Oh and I wish I knew.

0:32:50.240 --> 0:32:52.560
<v Speaker 11>I don't have a crystal ball to figure out what

0:32:53.000 --> 0:32:55.200
<v Speaker 11>is going to be nice, I will say, you know,

0:32:55.280 --> 0:32:58.400
<v Speaker 11>from an investor, from an entrepreneur perspective, it is a

0:32:58.400 --> 0:33:00.200
<v Speaker 11>bit of a confounding time time.

0:33:00.680 --> 0:33:01.960
<v Speaker 2>There is this deglobalization.

0:33:02.200 --> 0:33:04.720
<v Speaker 11>Everyone's trying to figure out what the next move is

0:33:04.720 --> 0:33:08.640
<v Speaker 11>from the central banks. We have some serious geopolitical issues

0:33:08.640 --> 0:33:12.520
<v Speaker 11>to wars, and so really thinking about what's going to

0:33:12.600 --> 0:33:16.080
<v Speaker 11>make the IPO window, which feels standardive right now truly

0:33:16.160 --> 0:33:19.440
<v Speaker 11>open isn't clear to anybody. I think the obvious answer

0:33:19.480 --> 0:33:23.480
<v Speaker 11>would be a real bell Weather stock to go public. So,

0:33:23.920 --> 0:33:25.840
<v Speaker 11>but time will tell. I think nobody's in a hurry.

0:33:26.320 --> 0:33:29.280
<v Speaker 11>A lot of these companies have a lot of cash

0:33:29.320 --> 0:33:31.560
<v Speaker 11>on their balance sheet, so everybody wants to make sure

0:33:31.600 --> 0:33:35.480
<v Speaker 11>they have time to execute and really have that be successful,

0:33:35.520 --> 0:33:36.640
<v Speaker 11>and so time will tell.

0:33:37.400 --> 0:33:40.760
<v Speaker 4>One portfolio company currently is Monzo, and I think Bloomberg's

0:33:40.760 --> 0:33:43.920
<v Speaker 4>listed Monso at least is a candidate for IPO at

0:33:43.920 --> 0:33:47.400
<v Speaker 4>some point. What happens next for them?

0:33:47.960 --> 0:33:51.040
<v Speaker 11>Mcmonzo is it's a special company. I mean from a

0:33:51.040 --> 0:33:53.760
<v Speaker 11>standing start, it's what is it the seventh largest bank

0:33:54.120 --> 0:33:55.920
<v Speaker 11>already in the UK. I think eight and a half

0:33:55.960 --> 0:34:02.240
<v Speaker 11>million customers. I think one one in every three six

0:34:02.280 --> 0:34:04.960
<v Speaker 11>people sorry in the UK have a Monso bank account,

0:34:05.400 --> 0:34:09.719
<v Speaker 11>and most of those customers find Monso pretty organically, so

0:34:09.800 --> 0:34:12.680
<v Speaker 11>it's got to a sizeable position. And I think, you know,

0:34:13.080 --> 0:34:15.360
<v Speaker 11>there was a point that a lot of the fintech

0:34:15.360 --> 0:34:17.600
<v Speaker 11>companies were out of favor, and I think Monzo really

0:34:17.600 --> 0:34:21.480
<v Speaker 11>prevailed because why of their promise to really deliver a

0:34:21.480 --> 0:34:25.200
<v Speaker 11>fabulous product with trust and safety to the consumers. So

0:34:25.640 --> 0:34:28.600
<v Speaker 11>I think companies like that really have a lot of

0:34:28.640 --> 0:34:30.480
<v Speaker 11>options open to them, and I think that will be

0:34:30.560 --> 0:34:32.759
<v Speaker 11>the name of the game, where companies really want to

0:34:32.760 --> 0:34:35.560
<v Speaker 11>control their own destiny. And that's the way we you know,

0:34:35.600 --> 0:34:38.719
<v Speaker 11>that's really our language with our founders and on the

0:34:38.760 --> 0:34:40.920
<v Speaker 11>bords is make sure you can control your own destiny

0:34:40.920 --> 0:34:41.880
<v Speaker 11>to the extent possible.

0:34:42.400 --> 0:34:44.800
<v Speaker 4>Sinari, I want to reflect on the next forty years

0:34:44.840 --> 0:34:48.040
<v Speaker 4>hopefully for Excel and maybe the role that London will

0:34:48.040 --> 0:34:50.160
<v Speaker 4>play in that. You know, that's city where I was born,

0:34:50.200 --> 0:34:53.000
<v Speaker 4>It is my home for most of my life. Caroline

0:34:53.000 --> 0:34:56.760
<v Speaker 4>as well. We're talking about London more and more outside

0:34:56.760 --> 0:34:59.279
<v Speaker 4>of a more narrow scope of fintech. But as you

0:34:59.320 --> 0:35:02.000
<v Speaker 4>look at the firm future, what role do you see

0:35:02.000 --> 0:35:05.960
<v Speaker 4>that city playing in your portfolio strategy and where you're

0:35:05.960 --> 0:35:07.040
<v Speaker 4>writing checks.

0:35:07.719 --> 0:35:10.000
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, you know we're based in London, but we really

0:35:10.040 --> 0:35:13.600
<v Speaker 11>cover a very vast footprint from the London office. I

0:35:13.640 --> 0:35:17.480
<v Speaker 11>think at last COUMP we've invested in over sixty eight cities,

0:35:17.520 --> 0:35:20.480
<v Speaker 11>more than twenty countries just in Europe and Monumn counting

0:35:20.520 --> 0:35:22.040
<v Speaker 11>sort of outside of the European market.

0:35:22.160 --> 0:35:24.000
<v Speaker 2>So London is an important base.

0:35:24.080 --> 0:35:27.520
<v Speaker 11>I think it's probably the second most exciting place when

0:35:27.560 --> 0:35:30.600
<v Speaker 11>it comes to deep tech AI talent, and there's spades

0:35:30.640 --> 0:35:33.759
<v Speaker 11>of it and I count sort of Greater London in

0:35:33.800 --> 0:35:37.120
<v Speaker 11>that too, and our ability to really spend time with

0:35:37.160 --> 0:35:40.760
<v Speaker 11>the right founders in the region from the London office

0:35:41.040 --> 0:35:43.239
<v Speaker 11>is going to be very important, and so that's how

0:35:43.280 --> 0:35:44.839
<v Speaker 11>we really view it. In the UK is of course

0:35:44.840 --> 0:35:47.880
<v Speaker 11>a big part of the venture capital scene. But as

0:35:48.320 --> 0:35:52.800
<v Speaker 11>the principles and rewards of entrepreneurship really become even better understood,

0:35:52.840 --> 0:35:55.840
<v Speaker 11>and as technology becomes pervasive, there are really going to

0:35:55.880 --> 0:35:58.360
<v Speaker 11>be great founders coming from everywhere and this is the

0:35:58.360 --> 0:36:00.800
<v Speaker 11>best place for us to be in order to travel

0:36:00.840 --> 0:36:02.000
<v Speaker 11>and see them and spend.

0:36:01.719 --> 0:36:02.480
<v Speaker 2>Time with them.

0:36:02.640 --> 0:36:07.160
<v Speaker 4>Snarali de Riiker of Excel. Congratulations on forty years of

0:36:07.160 --> 0:36:10.200
<v Speaker 4>a bench capital in Europe and beyond, and stick with

0:36:10.280 --> 0:36:20.120
<v Speaker 4>us in the next forty Thank you very much. Okay.

0:36:20.160 --> 0:36:22.440
<v Speaker 4>So Apple has not managed to snap out of a

0:36:22.520 --> 0:36:24.719
<v Speaker 4>year long sales slump, and on a conference call with

0:36:24.719 --> 0:36:27.880
<v Speaker 4>analyst last week, the company hitted at a holiday period

0:36:27.920 --> 0:36:31.680
<v Speaker 4>that would not be stellar, maybe a little sluggish, It

0:36:31.680 --> 0:36:35.719
<v Speaker 4>would mark potentially it's fifth straight quarter of sales declines

0:36:35.760 --> 0:36:38.560
<v Speaker 4>in a row. So now Apple's in need of a

0:36:38.640 --> 0:36:42.440
<v Speaker 4>new growth engine. Can the vision pro mixed reality headset

0:36:42.480 --> 0:36:45.479
<v Speaker 4>for Phil batt Let's bring in Bloomberg's chief correspondent Mark German,

0:36:45.480 --> 0:36:47.759
<v Speaker 4>who's been writing about this idea and power on. It

0:36:47.840 --> 0:36:50.080
<v Speaker 4>was interesting on the call, right that the analysts ask

0:36:50.200 --> 0:36:53.759
<v Speaker 4>questions about vision pro in how it's been received with developers,

0:36:54.280 --> 0:36:57.240
<v Speaker 4>the early signs that they'll get when they start shipping it.

0:36:57.280 --> 0:36:59.759
<v Speaker 4>But you've got a pretty clear thesis outlined in today's news.

0:36:59.840 --> 0:36:59.920
<v Speaker 3>That.

0:37:01.960 --> 0:37:05.680
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, it was interesting because going into the call, Wall

0:37:05.719 --> 0:37:08.520
<v Speaker 6>Street and the breadth of vandalysts we cite were pretty

0:37:08.520 --> 0:37:11.000
<v Speaker 6>adamant that Apple would grow about five percent in the

0:37:11.000 --> 0:37:13.400
<v Speaker 6>holiday period, right, but then look on my instry of

0:37:13.400 --> 0:37:17.200
<v Speaker 6>the company's CFO, he dropped this figurative, you know, this

0:37:17.200 --> 0:37:19.920
<v Speaker 6>this big announcement saying that it would be similar. Right,

0:37:19.920 --> 0:37:21.960
<v Speaker 6>the holiday quarter would come in similar to last year,

0:37:22.160 --> 0:37:26.360
<v Speaker 6>which means, like you there a decline or no growth,

0:37:26.400 --> 0:37:29.200
<v Speaker 6>so flat for the fifth quarter in a row. And

0:37:29.239 --> 0:37:31.920
<v Speaker 6>so this is a pretty you know, interesting situation for

0:37:31.920 --> 0:37:34.200
<v Speaker 6>Apple where they are making a ton of money, but

0:37:34.239 --> 0:37:35.800
<v Speaker 6>they're not growing like they used to.

0:37:36.000 --> 0:37:37.480
<v Speaker 3>And so Wall Street.

0:37:37.160 --> 0:37:40.280
<v Speaker 6>And analysts and investors. They're looking for a new growth engine,

0:37:40.400 --> 0:37:42.960
<v Speaker 6>and there's this strong potential for the Apple Vision Pro,

0:37:43.160 --> 0:37:47.280
<v Speaker 6>this mixture that's to one day be that growth engine

0:37:47.320 --> 0:37:48.120
<v Speaker 6>for the company.

0:37:48.239 --> 0:37:49.320
<v Speaker 3>Right, it's a new.

0:37:49.160 --> 0:37:52.040
<v Speaker 6>Category, but it's still very nascent, and at the get go,

0:37:52.080 --> 0:37:54.360
<v Speaker 6>it's going to be very expensive. And when they're putting

0:37:54.360 --> 0:37:56.440
<v Speaker 6>it on sale in their Apple retail source, it's going

0:37:56.480 --> 0:37:59.960
<v Speaker 6>to be a very curative experience that requires appointments, it's

0:38:00.080 --> 0:38:03.200
<v Speaker 6>going to require tryals sizing, and it's not, like kin

0:38:03.239 --> 0:38:06.799
<v Speaker 6>Cook said, going to be a graund like experience, which

0:38:06.840 --> 0:38:08.560
<v Speaker 6>means it's going to take a long time for them

0:38:08.600 --> 0:38:11.920
<v Speaker 6>to gather numbers gather revenue on this device. So combined

0:38:11.960 --> 0:38:14.520
<v Speaker 6>with that retail approach, combined with the price, this is

0:38:14.560 --> 0:38:16.920
<v Speaker 6>going to start out very slow, and eventually I think

0:38:16.960 --> 0:38:18.600
<v Speaker 6>they're going to need to switch more to an Apple

0:38:18.640 --> 0:38:21.400
<v Speaker 6>Watch model where they're moving from a curated experience with

0:38:21.440 --> 0:38:23.640
<v Speaker 6>appointments to something that is a bit more grab and go,

0:38:23.920 --> 0:38:25.320
<v Speaker 6>let's say like a mac ipowder.

0:38:25.400 --> 0:38:27.800
<v Speaker 4>I film even, well, it's interesting how they plan to

0:38:27.840 --> 0:38:29.840
<v Speaker 4>sell it, but also what it is. Right, I remember

0:38:29.880 --> 0:38:32.840
<v Speaker 4>being in Koubatino for the unveil Vision Pro You've written

0:38:32.880 --> 0:38:36.200
<v Speaker 4>so much about this. It's a thirty five hundred dollars product,

0:38:36.600 --> 0:38:40.000
<v Speaker 4>high end, but it's almost designed for developers, not a

0:38:40.040 --> 0:38:43.080
<v Speaker 4>mass market. So what is the plan with Apple for

0:38:43.120 --> 0:38:48.160
<v Speaker 4>a sort of more approachable, mainstream headset for a broader audience.

0:38:50.000 --> 0:38:51.839
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, the first iteration of the product, like you said,

0:38:52.040 --> 0:38:54.920
<v Speaker 6>is essentially a development device, right, This is a device

0:38:54.960 --> 0:38:57.880
<v Speaker 6>that developers are going to build mixed reality vision os

0:38:57.920 --> 0:39:00.799
<v Speaker 6>apps for and then eventually hope and pray that they

0:39:00.800 --> 0:39:03.520
<v Speaker 6>come out with a down market version, something maybe in

0:39:03.560 --> 0:39:06.880
<v Speaker 6>the one to two thousand dollars range that eventually, eventually,

0:39:06.920 --> 0:39:11.839
<v Speaker 6>I say, maybe ten years from now, be a computer replacement.

0:39:12.080 --> 0:39:14.320
<v Speaker 6>And the goal is to have that app ecosystem ready

0:39:14.480 --> 0:39:16.879
<v Speaker 6>for when that day comes. And then the ultimate holy

0:39:16.960 --> 0:39:19.440
<v Speaker 6>grail in this space, in the future of computing space

0:39:19.440 --> 0:39:23.040
<v Speaker 6>with wearables, are lightweight augmented reality glasses. Now, if Apples

0:39:23.040 --> 0:39:25.280
<v Speaker 6>are able to come out with well priced augmented reality

0:39:25.280 --> 0:39:27.400
<v Speaker 6>glasses in five to ten years from now with a

0:39:27.440 --> 0:39:32.080
<v Speaker 6>full blown app ecosystem, going to have a huge hit

0:39:32.120 --> 0:39:35.480
<v Speaker 6>on their hands, potentially something that rivals the iPhone. But

0:39:35.560 --> 0:39:38.600
<v Speaker 6>the only way to launch with that type of success,

0:39:38.719 --> 0:39:40.840
<v Speaker 6>that type of interest in that type of market is

0:39:40.920 --> 0:39:44.160
<v Speaker 6>consumer education and to build an app ecosystem. So the

0:39:44.239 --> 0:39:46.120
<v Speaker 6>vision pro for at least the next few years is

0:39:46.120 --> 0:39:50.560
<v Speaker 6>going to be about educating consumers about this mixed reality technology,

0:39:51.560 --> 0:39:54.240
<v Speaker 6>how these applications work, and to get developers on board

0:39:54.480 --> 0:39:56.440
<v Speaker 6>because of course, many of the apps written for this

0:39:56.480 --> 0:39:59.120
<v Speaker 6>device will of course one day be compatible with other

0:39:59.200 --> 0:40:00.920
<v Speaker 6>augmented reality had it sets from Apple.

0:40:01.320 --> 0:40:04.520
<v Speaker 4>All right, Bloombog's chief correspondent for all things devices Apple, Markum,

0:40:04.560 --> 0:40:07.239
<v Speaker 4>and I really recommend our audience world, why do subscribe

0:40:07.440 --> 0:40:09.720
<v Speaker 4>to power on because it has all of the detail

0:40:09.760 --> 0:40:13.359
<v Speaker 4>about present and future products coming out of Apple. Well,

0:40:13.640 --> 0:40:16.480
<v Speaker 4>that does it for this edition of Bloomberg Technology. Thanks

0:40:16.520 --> 0:40:19.200
<v Speaker 4>so much to everyone out there that's reading the news

0:40:19.280 --> 0:40:21.960
<v Speaker 4>but also listening to the podcast wherever you get your podcasts,

0:40:22.040 --> 0:40:24.120
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0:40:24.200 --> 0:40:27.919
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0:40:28.000 --> 0:40:31.520
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