1 00:00:01,480 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 1: From the heart where Innovation, money and power Collie in 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: Silicon Valley, NBN. 3 00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:10,560 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde. 4 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 3: And edlud Love. 5 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 4: Live from Bloomberg's World headquarters in New York. 6 00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 3: I'm Ed Ludlow. 7 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 4: Caroline Hyde is off today. This is Bloomberg Technology. Coming 8 00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:34,040 Speaker 4: up on the program. Open ai kicks off its first 9 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 4: ever developers conference, with engineers and entrepreneurs gathering in downtown 10 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 4: San Francisco. We'll break down what we expect from the event. 11 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,239 Speaker 4: Plus we'll push your head to earnings this week and 12 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 4: get the macro take on big text results as companies 13 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 4: deliver even bigger profits than Wall Street anticipated, will it last? 14 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:53,200 Speaker 4: And Apple is in search of a new growth engine 15 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 4: after warning on a slower holiday season. Can the vision 16 00:00:56,560 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 4: pro solve that problem we discussed at first? The maker 17 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 4: chat Chat GPT sorry is about to still go through 18 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 4: a kind of Silicon rally rite of passage. Today is 19 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:12,400 Speaker 4: OpenAI's first Developers conference in downtown San Francisco. Hundreds of 20 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 4: software engineers and entrepreneurs gathering to hear about the best 21 00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:18,759 Speaker 4: use of the company's tools and how they can build 22 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 4: their own products with the underlying GBT technology. Who have 23 00:01:22,800 --> 00:01:25,560 Speaker 4: we got on the ground. Bloomberg's Rachel Metz is at 24 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:27,840 Speaker 4: the developers conference set the scene for us. What is 25 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 4: this event symbolized? 26 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:33,839 Speaker 5: Rachel, this event is a really big deal through open ai. 27 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 5: It has to have a developer conference before. We've seen 28 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:40,560 Speaker 5: so many technology companies that are big and want to 29 00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:44,479 Speaker 5: be larger create these events to get developers more involved 30 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 5: with their products over time, like Apple and Meta and Microsoft, Amazon, 31 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 5: and they do these events here after year, and they've 32 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 5: in many cases become a really big deal for a 33 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 5: company to telegraph what they want to share book with 34 00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 5: developers and eventually with consumers. 35 00:01:59,840 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 4: We relaunched the Bloomberg Technology Show almost a year ago 36 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 4: to the day, and it's almost a year ago to 37 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 4: the day that the chat GPT has made public. It's 38 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 4: more towards the end of November, but open Eyes just 39 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 4: dominated basically the discussion at least around the work in 40 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 4: generative AI and the foundation models that power them. How 41 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 4: big is that lead right now? Do you think, Rachel, 42 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:21,679 Speaker 4: based on all the reporting you've done over the last 43 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 4: twelve months. 44 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 2: I think it's big. 45 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:27,680 Speaker 5: But there are a lot of companies that are really 46 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 5: getting in there and creating their own models, coming up 47 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 5: with their own tools of open source. There's also from 48 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 5: large tech companies. A lot of people are really interested 49 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 5: in this space, and it's going to be interesting to 50 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 5: see both what open AI brings out so it can 51 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:45,800 Speaker 5: stay ahead, and also what happens in the months to come. 52 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:48,640 Speaker 4: So the one side of the AI story that we 53 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:52,080 Speaker 4: love is there's still a human side. There's who's who 54 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 4: in the world of AI. We expect Sam Mountman of 55 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 4: course to be on site, right Rachel absolutely. 56 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 5: I think well, there's probably bunch of executives here. I 57 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 5: haven't had time to wander around too much yet, but 58 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 5: Sam's expected to be here. 59 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 3: I believe Mira Murradi. 60 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 6: Will probably be here. 61 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:12,360 Speaker 5: She's also a very important executive at the company, and 62 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:14,679 Speaker 5: probably a bunch of other people. I mean that it's 63 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 5: a really interesting time for the company. I would guess 64 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 5: that if you could be here, you'd probably want to 65 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:19,639 Speaker 5: be here. 66 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 4: Boombos. Rachel Metz on the ground at the Open AIS 67 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 4: Developers conference, and she will be reporting across all Bloindoe 68 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 4: platforms throughout the day. Thank you so much. Another story 69 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:31,680 Speaker 4: we're watching, Elon Musk revealed his own artificial intelligence spot 70 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 4: to challenge chat GPT over the weekend called grock. He 71 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 4: claims the prototype is already superior to GPT three point 72 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 4: five across several benchmarks. It's the first product of Musk's 73 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:47,320 Speaker 4: XAI company that is currently testing with a limited group 74 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 4: of users in the US. But interestingly, you have to 75 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 4: be an ex the company formerly known as Twitter Premium 76 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 4: subscriber to get on that waitlist, something that I signed 77 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 4: up for overnight. Let's stick with AI and bring in 78 00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 4: Mike Mason, he's Chief AI officer of global tech consultancy 79 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 4: thought Works, and Mike I wanted to get you on 80 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 4: the program because this is a moment where we can say, Wow, 81 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 4: what are twelve months it's been? You heard me frame 82 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 4: it to Rachel in terms of what open ai did 83 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 4: first in November of twenty twenty two, do you see 84 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:19,000 Speaker 4: them as having, particularly in the software space right a 85 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:21,119 Speaker 4: clear lead in the field of generative AI. 86 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 1: I think they certainly do have a lead. They were 87 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 1: first out of the gate with GPT three point five, 88 00:04:29,960 --> 00:04:32,520 Speaker 1: then four point zero, and just a month or so 89 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 1: ago they added GPT four V, which is adding vision 90 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 1: to their product. They're also scaling very strongly from a 91 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,480 Speaker 1: revenue perspective, but I think they are not the only 92 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 1: game in town. Certainly we're seeing features from Microsoft, Google, Amazon, 93 00:04:51,480 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 1: and all of the cloud players are really adding AI 94 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:57,280 Speaker 1: into their platforms. I think AI is going to be 95 00:04:57,320 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: the next battleground for those large companies. It is almost 96 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 1: a bewildering array of options. 97 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 3: So the thought works. 98 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 1: As a technology consulting firm, we advise our clients on 99 00:05:09,360 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: how they can build technology to solve their biggest challenges, 100 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:16,880 Speaker 1: and AI is certainly in that list. We worked with 101 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: one client where we were helping them with their AI strategy, 102 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 1: and before we'd even got started, they showed us two 103 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: hundred and seventy ideas for how GENAI might improve their 104 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 1: business and create value for them. And so you know, 105 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:35,159 Speaker 1: clearly having ideas is not the difficult bit. It's figuring 106 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:37,599 Speaker 1: out which of those ideas are really going to create 107 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:41,279 Speaker 1: business value for you, and then doing a proof of 108 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 1: value and then getting that into production. Something that we're 109 00:05:44,920 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 1: seeing a lot happening is that companies are able to 110 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 1: do a proof of concept, but they don't really have 111 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:54,039 Speaker 1: the machinery in place to take that through into production 112 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 1: at scale delivering value. And so that's an area where 113 00:05:57,040 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 1: we can help. 114 00:05:57,640 --> 00:05:59,599 Speaker 4: Well, a company having two hundred and seventy ideas, I 115 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:02,320 Speaker 4: don't know that there are two hundred and seventy large 116 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 4: language models on the market to choose from. Maybe there 117 00:06:04,640 --> 00:06:06,719 Speaker 4: are that many. I think we're talking about those with 118 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:09,599 Speaker 4: sort of tens of billions of parameters, you know, from 119 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:13,359 Speaker 4: GPT three point five LAMA to the work then thropic inflection. 120 00:06:13,440 --> 00:06:16,120 Speaker 4: AI are doing things like that. Today is the Open 121 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 4: AI dev conference. And when a company holds an event 122 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:21,839 Speaker 4: like this, Mike, what is it you want to hear 123 00:06:21,880 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 4: from them? 124 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:27,919 Speaker 1: Well, so I would expect to hear more about model features, 125 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 1: So new features that they're introducing, maybe more vision, maybe 126 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:37,479 Speaker 1: some cogeneration. Maybe also multimodal models, so that's a model 127 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:41,359 Speaker 1: that can work across text and speech and image and 128 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:45,159 Speaker 1: possibly video, both for input and output, and can kind 129 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 1: of fluidly move between those modes of interaction. I'd expect 130 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 1: to see greater clarity around costs of using these models. 131 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 1: One of the problems with generative AI is that the 132 00:06:56,520 --> 00:07:00,720 Speaker 1: costs are unpredictable, and that can be a serious barrier 133 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:03,839 Speaker 1: to getting these things into production and creating value from them. 134 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:09,800 Speaker 1: I might also expect to see some words around safety features. Safety, 135 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 1: of course, is a huge factor in AI. We put 136 00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 1: out some consumer research a couple of weeks ago where 137 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:20,200 Speaker 1: we interviewed ten thousand consumers about their attitudes towards AI, 138 00:07:20,560 --> 00:07:22,560 Speaker 1: and we found that more than ninety percent of people 139 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 1: had concerns about data privacy, their data usage, and whether 140 00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:32,600 Speaker 1: companies are being responsible and transparent with AI. And actually, 141 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 1: I really think there's something there. You know, taking a 142 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:39,160 Speaker 1: privacy forward stance can be a brand enhancing move. 143 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:42,160 Speaker 4: We're just showing on the screen, you know that the 144 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 4: cloud provider perspective, because ultimately, if you're a company that 145 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 4: wants to invest in AI, what we're talking about here 146 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 4: is compute and you mentioned the costs associated with that. 147 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 4: I've reported that open ai will likely book a billion 148 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 4: dollars of revenue this year, but there is a concern 149 00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:01,680 Speaker 4: about the competitive pricing to bring in customers and then 150 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 4: the long term profitability because crunching the data is proving expensive. 151 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 4: How closely do you look at that, mic Well, I. 152 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:11,720 Speaker 1: Think it's difficult to look at it closely because those 153 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: figures closely guarded secrets from those companies. But reading the 154 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 1: tea leaves I would say that I don't think they 155 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 1: really know whether they're pricing is where it needs to 156 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:25,120 Speaker 1: be to make the money. You've seen both Google and 157 00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 1: Microsoft with Duet and Office three six five add GENAI 158 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 1: features to their productivity tool suites, and that's kind of 159 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:37,720 Speaker 1: in the thirty dollars per person per month zone. I 160 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 1: don't think they actually know whether they're going to make 161 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:41,679 Speaker 1: money from that. It's something that's going to shake out 162 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:45,560 Speaker 1: in the long term. Rumors around chatch EPT five, of course, 163 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 1: say the open AI is really focused on efficiency, and 164 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 1: efficiency really means bringing down the cost to run that. 165 00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 1: I think another option that should not be overruled is 166 00:08:56,720 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 1: to look at the open source world. There's amazing progress 167 00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 1: with models that are less big, smaller. You know, you 168 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 1: can run them yourself, you can run them in house, 169 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:09,560 Speaker 1: and that's especially useful if you want to keep tight 170 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 1: control over your data and not actually use a cloud 171 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:14,160 Speaker 1: provider for your AI. 172 00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:17,200 Speaker 4: Well, the event is underwear in San Francisco in about 173 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 4: an hour's time, so whether their rumors or not, we 174 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 4: will get some more information later on in Monday's day. 175 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 4: Foult Works Chief AI Officer Mike Mason, thank you so 176 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:27,520 Speaker 4: much now coming up here on Bloobow Technology. Earnings of 177 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:29,679 Speaker 4: the big tech companies are kind of about the way. 178 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 4: We're going to take a deeper look at how the 179 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 4: group delivered in the past quarter, what that spells for 180 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 4: the sets going forward, big emphasis on profit. We're also 181 00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:40,559 Speaker 4: taking a look at another Elon Musk company, Tesla. Reuter's 182 00:09:40,559 --> 00:09:44,440 Speaker 4: reporting that Berlin and Gigaberlin will be home to this 183 00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:48,960 Speaker 4: twenty five thousand euro next generation platform. That's around twenty 184 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,480 Speaker 4: seven thousand dollars. You know, I was speaking to sources 185 00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 4: throughout the day. The long term expectation was that it 186 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 4: would be Shanghai that went first, but it looks like 187 00:09:56,840 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 4: in the battle for affordable EBS that battleground, at least 188 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:03,160 Speaker 4: Tesla's perspective, and according to Reuter's reporting, is going to 189 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:05,400 Speaker 4: be done out of Berlin. The stockdown half of percent. 190 00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 4: Tesla did not respond to requests for comment and a 191 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:13,319 Speaker 4: note on programming. Tomorrow, Bloomberg will introduced a new podcast 192 00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 4: called Elon Inc. It's going to break down the most 193 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 4: important stories on Mask all of his companies in his 194 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 4: empire across the Bloomberg newsroom. Tune into that. This is 195 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:35,439 Speaker 4: Bloomberg Technology okay, time for talking tech. First up, Bumble 196 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 4: founder Whitney wolf Heard is stepping down from her role 197 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 4: as CEO. Wolf Heard founded the women's centric dating app 198 00:10:42,040 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 4: in twenty fourteen and later took it public in twenty 199 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 4: twenty one. She also briefly became one of the world's 200 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 4: few women billionaires, who will be succeeded by Slack CEO 201 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:55,440 Speaker 4: Lydian Jones in January. And a Chinese startup founded by 202 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 4: bench capitalist Kaifu Lee has taken the artificial intelligence space 203 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 4: by storm with its one billion dollar valuation just eight 204 00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:06,839 Speaker 4: months into its existence. I'm talking about zero one AI, 205 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:09,120 Speaker 4: which also received funding from the likes of Aali Barber's 206 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:12,320 Speaker 4: cloud unit. The startup developed an open source large language 207 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:16,280 Speaker 4: model available in both Chinese and English. Plus a flurry 208 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 4: of AI related hearings are set to take place on 209 00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:21,800 Speaker 4: Capitol Hill this week. US lawmakers in both the House 210 00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:24,880 Speaker 4: and the Senate will gather to discuss possible measures to 211 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:28,160 Speaker 4: rain in the technology, especially as campaigning for the twenty 212 00:11:28,160 --> 00:11:31,280 Speaker 4: twenty four general election heats up. This comes amid President 213 00:11:31,360 --> 00:11:35,200 Speaker 4: Biden's sweeping executive order, which of course was issued last week. 214 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:38,040 Speaker 4: Now earnings for most big tech companies have come out, 215 00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:41,000 Speaker 4: and while the group deliver better than expected profits, the 216 00:11:41,120 --> 00:11:44,440 Speaker 4: outlook for those stocks are on shaky ground based on 217 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:49,080 Speaker 4: sales joining us from Chicago blooms Bloomberg's Ryan Lostellica. It's 218 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:51,240 Speaker 4: so interesting how the story changed. Right we go into 219 00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 4: it going, oh, that the magnificent five or seven. They're 220 00:11:54,400 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 4: propping up profit estimates for twenty twenty four. We've come 221 00:11:58,120 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 4: out the other side, and now everyone's worried about the 222 00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:00,640 Speaker 4: sale out the ryme. 223 00:12:01,520 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely. 224 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:04,400 Speaker 7: I mean the thing about this earning season is really 225 00:12:04,440 --> 00:12:06,720 Speaker 7: that no matter what narrative you really want to abscribe to, 226 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:09,240 Speaker 7: you will find a big tech result that will kind 227 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 7: of fit your point of view. So Microsoft, for example, 228 00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:16,320 Speaker 7: had very strong results. The stock initially did quite well, 229 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:18,840 Speaker 7: but given concerns about the macro backdrop and the Fed 230 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 7: and treasure yields and things like that, the stock barely 231 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:23,720 Speaker 7: ended higher on the day, you know, pretty slight gain. Then, 232 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:26,280 Speaker 7: on the other hand, you have something like Alphabet, which 233 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:29,040 Speaker 7: was also a pretty strong result except for some weakness 234 00:12:29,040 --> 00:12:31,400 Speaker 7: in their cloud business, and that stock saying almost ten 235 00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:35,200 Speaker 7: percent following results, So a pretty outsized reaction, especially for 236 00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 7: a company that would probably classify as one of the 237 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 7: cheaper of the big tech stocks at these traditional evaluation metrics. 238 00:12:41,800 --> 00:12:43,720 Speaker 7: And then last week we saw Apple come out and 239 00:12:43,720 --> 00:12:45,880 Speaker 7: they really gave a sort of a discouraging forecast for 240 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 7: their holiday season, especially given concerns about the strength of 241 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:52,680 Speaker 7: their business in China, which is a major market for 242 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:57,480 Speaker 7: them for both supply chain and consumer demand purposes. That stock, however, 243 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,760 Speaker 7: it fell on the day, but not too much considering 244 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:03,440 Speaker 7: because there was a little bit of optimism about FED 245 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:07,160 Speaker 7: policy and you know that path going forward there. So 246 00:13:07,400 --> 00:13:09,400 Speaker 7: again a very mixed thing. There's a lot of focus 247 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 7: on the macroeconomic environment. But I'd say overall the big 248 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:16,000 Speaker 7: tech earnings have been mixed so far. But it does 249 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:18,599 Speaker 7: seem like people, you know, overall have been kind of 250 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:20,720 Speaker 7: looking past them and looking to what's the come next. 251 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:23,440 Speaker 4: Ran you are a member of the Bloomberg newsroom who's 252 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:26,199 Speaker 4: just like zeroed in on the Bloomberg terminal, every headline, 253 00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:28,640 Speaker 4: every piece of data, and you flagged me before the 254 00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:31,680 Speaker 4: show this UBS note right, which shows us that not 255 00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 4: everyone agrees with the fair you know, UBS's perspective is 256 00:13:35,080 --> 00:13:36,760 Speaker 4: that tech stocks look contractive right now. 257 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:37,960 Speaker 6: Yeah. 258 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 3: Absolutely. 259 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 7: It says that some of the figures surrounding the group 260 00:13:40,640 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 7: are overdone, and the you know, the sector looks pretty 261 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:46,400 Speaker 7: well positioned for growth, especially in twenty twenty four. It 262 00:13:46,400 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 7: expects it to be one of the most you know, 263 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:50,680 Speaker 7: robustly growing sectors in the economy. 264 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:52,000 Speaker 4: So that's obviously a positive. 265 00:13:52,040 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 7: It sees you know, buying opportunity and semiconductors, it sees 266 00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 7: you know, pretty you know, attractive margin prospects for software companies, 267 00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:02,760 Speaker 7: and you know, we're talking about pretty widespread optimism there. 268 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:04,240 Speaker 7: And I would say that even though there were some 269 00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 7: disappointments this season and some pronounced selloffs, you know, most 270 00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 7: analysts remain pretty positive about the group, especially from a 271 00:14:10,360 --> 00:14:12,560 Speaker 7: longer term perspective as far as their growth potential. 272 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:15,720 Speaker 4: So there's what's been and then there's what's to come 273 00:14:16,080 --> 00:14:19,240 Speaker 4: for me in Vidia. You know, it's been an incredible 274 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:22,400 Speaker 4: ride on the stock YEA to date, but now because 275 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:24,560 Speaker 4: it's so big, like from an index perspective and a 276 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 4: wasting perspective, the market will pay attention, right. 277 00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 7: Yeah, absolutely, and it's going to get you know, additional 278 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 7: focus you know again for you know, one of the 279 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:34,600 Speaker 7: several quarters in a row now just because it is 280 00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:38,360 Speaker 7: so central to the AI thesis right now, chips are 281 00:14:38,360 --> 00:14:40,440 Speaker 7: really the first stop or anyone who's looking to build 282 00:14:40,440 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 7: out any kind of AI infrastructure. Past two quarters have 283 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 7: been extremely strong as far as their forecast goes. Will 284 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:47,200 Speaker 7: they go for a hat trick? 285 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 4: Will they do it again? 286 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:50,160 Speaker 7: I mean, we'll see, And even then if they do, 287 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 7: who knows how the stock's going to react? Is because 288 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:54,520 Speaker 7: you know, it's a name that you know by many 289 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 7: traditional metrics, is you know, kind of looking pricey, especially 290 00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:01,040 Speaker 7: within a context of you know, potential or higher rate environment. 291 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:02,520 Speaker 7: So that's one that people are going to be paying 292 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:02,880 Speaker 7: a lot. 293 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:03,440 Speaker 4: Of attention to. 294 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 7: And if they kind of give any indication that AI 295 00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:09,880 Speaker 7: demand isn't as strong as maybe some people are hoping for, 296 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 7: that could have some broader implications as well. 297 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:14,800 Speaker 4: Definitely in the data center contact we focus so much 298 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:16,680 Speaker 4: in H one hundred. We have Grace Hopper coming down 299 00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:19,040 Speaker 4: the pipe as well, thanks of billiam I's Ryan Flaseelica 300 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:19,480 Speaker 4: out there. 301 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:30,160 Speaker 8: People want to keep flying, families want to go on holidays. 302 00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 8: They just don't want to pay of turns as outrageous prices. 303 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 8: So I think fares that next year, I mean, my 304 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:38,120 Speaker 8: operating assumptions fhares will go by a low double digit 305 00:15:38,160 --> 00:15:40,200 Speaker 8: percentage again through the summer twenty four. It'd be the 306 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:42,280 Speaker 8: third year in a row, third summer in a row, 307 00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:44,600 Speaker 8: we'll see double digit fare increases in Europe. 308 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:49,920 Speaker 4: That was Ryan S CEO Michael O'Leary earlier on Bloomberg 309 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:53,200 Speaker 4: Television with his outlook for travel demands. Also talked about 310 00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:55,960 Speaker 4: the fuel prices at the moment and sort of delays 311 00:15:56,000 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 4: in taking new airplanes impacting their ability to meet demand 312 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 4: and sticking with travel demand delights to say, we're joined 313 00:16:02,560 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 4: now by Expedy A CEO Peter Kern, and Peter is 314 00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:08,640 Speaker 4: interesting to hear what Michael leary said there, you know, 315 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:13,040 Speaker 4: the challenges alongside meeting what he sees is demand. What 316 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:14,440 Speaker 4: kind of demand do you see? 317 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:17,840 Speaker 9: Yeah, well we've seen thanks ed for having me first 318 00:16:17,840 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 9: of all, and I enjoyed the clip. 319 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:22,680 Speaker 3: What we see is steady demand. 320 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 9: I would say, I think what he's talking about is 321 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:29,160 Speaker 9: that we are seeing some shifts as customers are looking 322 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:33,200 Speaker 9: for lower cost carriers over the main airlines. So he's 323 00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 9: probably benefiting from that and seeing a little bit of 324 00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:38,360 Speaker 9: a move in his direction. I think overall air demand 325 00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:42,720 Speaker 9: in Western Europe and in the North America, et cetera. 326 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:47,360 Speaker 9: Is pretty steady, but we're seeing generally priced declines across 327 00:16:47,400 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 9: the markets. So I think what he's discussing as a 328 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:54,520 Speaker 9: shift in his favor, but it's not necessarily that that's 329 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:56,640 Speaker 9: true for everything across the board. 330 00:16:56,720 --> 00:16:59,840 Speaker 4: Peter, what fascinates me about Expedire in the portfolio of 331 00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 4: brands and platforms is the granularity of your data. You know, 332 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:09,400 Speaker 4: you can tell me the demographics of people that are 333 00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:13,120 Speaker 4: not traveling where they're traveling too. Right now, what does 334 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,639 Speaker 4: gen z look like? I know that's a very specific question, 335 00:17:16,920 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 4: but who's traveling and particularly how have you seen the 336 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:23,600 Speaker 4: younger traveler behave in the most recent quarter. 337 00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:28,080 Speaker 9: Yeah, I think we don't tend to break it that way, 338 00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:30,760 Speaker 9: but I can tell you that the travelers, you know 339 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:35,000 Speaker 9: that Weezer travel has remained strong. Corporate still, you know, 340 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 9: still not back to pre COVID levels. You see a 341 00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 9: lot of differences geography to geography. You know, we still 342 00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:44,600 Speaker 9: have Asia is still opening up to a certain extent, 343 00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 9: which has been a tailwind in Asia and Latin America, 344 00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:50,760 Speaker 9: whereas the West has sort of normalized, I would say, 345 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:54,399 Speaker 9: and in general, by and large, you know, people have 346 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:58,440 Speaker 9: been waiting for travelers to trade down for cheaper alternatives. 347 00:17:58,600 --> 00:18:00,440 Speaker 3: We haven't seen that very much. Now. 348 00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:02,399 Speaker 9: It's true that at the lower end of the market 349 00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 9: you see it a little bit more. But as you 350 00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 9: know it, we introduced our new grand loyalty program called 351 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:10,920 Speaker 9: one Key, and what we're seeing as people get accustomed 352 00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:13,280 Speaker 9: to that is they're actually trading up when they have 353 00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 9: value that they can use to get a better room. 354 00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:17,800 Speaker 9: Like if they have one key cash, which is our 355 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:20,840 Speaker 9: rewards currency, they trade up to a better room or 356 00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 9: a better experience, or use that for something better. 357 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:26,360 Speaker 4: Alongside Sorry to interrupeed, I was gonna say, alongside rewards. 358 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:30,639 Speaker 4: You've also focused kind of on content creation and influences 359 00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,600 Speaker 4: on social media. Has that given any sort of tangible 360 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 4: boost to your sales? 361 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 9: Yeah, well we're you know, we're using all the latest 362 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:41,560 Speaker 9: marketing and reach tools we can. I mean, for us, 363 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:44,520 Speaker 9: it's an education process when we launch something like one Key, 364 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:46,919 Speaker 9: we want people to understand it. When where you have 365 00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:49,680 Speaker 9: one key now in Verbo, which is the only place 366 00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:52,639 Speaker 9: you can get rewards and vacation rentals, we want to 367 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 9: make sure that people that are interested in vacation rentals 368 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:58,880 Speaker 9: understand and appreciate the benefit. So sometimes, you know, old 369 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,679 Speaker 9: fashioned advertising is the best way, and it's easier to 370 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:04,600 Speaker 9: reach people with more information through influencers and such. But 371 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:06,679 Speaker 9: you know, you referred to all the data we have 372 00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:09,360 Speaker 9: on gen z. That's really what's powering our product now 373 00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:11,720 Speaker 9: as we make the product better and better. The fact 374 00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:14,240 Speaker 9: that we have all that data is what allows us 375 00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:16,840 Speaker 9: to now take friction out of the process, use AI 376 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:19,200 Speaker 9: and machine learning to make the. 377 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:21,520 Speaker 3: Experience better, in the product better. And that's really where 378 00:19:21,520 --> 00:19:22,160 Speaker 3: we're focused. 379 00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:25,680 Speaker 4: It's the expedia that the consumer and our audience around 380 00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:27,800 Speaker 4: the world knows. And then there's the B to B business. 381 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:30,720 Speaker 4: When you look at your growth trajectory going forward, what 382 00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:32,800 Speaker 4: is the splitting contribution of those two. 383 00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:35,439 Speaker 9: Yeah, well, B to B it's had a very good 384 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:37,960 Speaker 9: run for us, and in part, as I mentioned earlier, 385 00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:40,119 Speaker 9: it has to do with the exposure of the business, 386 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:42,520 Speaker 9: which is exposed more to Asia and some of the 387 00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 9: markets that have come back more recently post COVID. But 388 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 9: also we've been building that business, building the technology in 389 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:52,200 Speaker 9: that business, expanding our customer base. So that business has 390 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:55,280 Speaker 9: seen you know, growth in the twenties for the last 391 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:57,399 Speaker 9: several years, twenty percent plus. 392 00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 3: Top line growth last quarter. 393 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:04,000 Speaker 9: Was closer to twenty six twenty seven, but we expect 394 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:06,239 Speaker 9: that to continue. It is a smaller part of our 395 00:20:06,280 --> 00:20:08,880 Speaker 9: overall business, and as you know, we've done a lot 396 00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:10,719 Speaker 9: of work in the last couple of years on our 397 00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:14,240 Speaker 9: core consumer business with one key with the launch of 398 00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 9: new products and capabilities. So we expect our bigger business 399 00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:21,959 Speaker 9: to accelerate now, but the B to B business probably 400 00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:25,840 Speaker 9: has slightly more you know, tailwinds still for a bit. 401 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,560 Speaker 4: Peter, very very quick. Friday, your stock took off like 402 00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:31,320 Speaker 4: a rocket, biggest jump since November twenty twenty. You must 403 00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:32,120 Speaker 4: be happy about that. 404 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:33,440 Speaker 3: I was. 405 00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:35,679 Speaker 9: I don't pretend to understand the markets, but we've just 406 00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:37,840 Speaker 9: been shipping away at it, and I think the market's 407 00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 9: starting to understand that all the work we've done has 408 00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:41,960 Speaker 9: set us up in a better way to go forward 409 00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:44,520 Speaker 9: than most of our competitors, and that's what we're really 410 00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:45,120 Speaker 9: excited about. 411 00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:46,960 Speaker 3: The market recognize it. 412 00:20:47,280 --> 00:20:49,720 Speaker 4: Expedia ceopiece, can Goods catch up? Have you here on 413 00:20:49,760 --> 00:21:00,560 Speaker 4: Bloomberg Technology. Welcome back to Bloomberg Technology ed here in 414 00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:02,359 Speaker 4: New York City this week. I want to get a 415 00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:04,159 Speaker 4: quick check in on bitcoin and it's been interesting to 416 00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:05,880 Speaker 4: track this, honestly, it's kind of been up and down. 417 00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:08,640 Speaker 4: It's trades twenty four to seven, of course, but there's 418 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:10,960 Speaker 4: a debate whether any movement that we've seen to the 419 00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 4: upside as we are around thirty five thousand US dollars 420 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:16,920 Speaker 4: per token, has anything at all to do with the 421 00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 4: outcome of the FTX trial and Sam Bankman Freed, who 422 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:24,679 Speaker 4: was found guilty on multiple counts of fraud, securities fraud, 423 00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:29,040 Speaker 4: and conspiracy. Let's get to Sam Bankman Freed's guilty verdict. 424 00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:31,800 Speaker 4: The thirty one year old MIT graduate has been charged 425 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:35,400 Speaker 4: on seven counts of wire fraud, securities fraud, and money 426 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:39,119 Speaker 4: laundering and now faces the possibility of decades in prison 427 00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:41,960 Speaker 4: when he is sentenced, which we think will happen in March. 428 00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:44,680 Speaker 4: Joining us for more reaction on that trial, but its 429 00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 4: impact on the cryptosphirit large is Jilak Joban Putra, founder 430 00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:51,240 Speaker 4: and managing partner of Future Perfect Ventures, an early stage 431 00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:55,160 Speaker 4: VC firm that focuses on blockchain technology, crypto assets, AI, 432 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:59,399 Speaker 4: and human computer interaction. Your reaction to the outcome of 433 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:00,640 Speaker 4: the truck, Well. 434 00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:03,399 Speaker 10: It's great to be with you. I think this is 435 00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:06,800 Speaker 10: a huge sigh of relief for the crypto industry. We've 436 00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:12,480 Speaker 10: moved on from this FTX trial or the news for 437 00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:15,840 Speaker 10: the last year. But at the end of the day, 438 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:19,560 Speaker 10: fraud is fraud is fraud, and it doesn't matter what industry. 439 00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,879 Speaker 10: It's good to see that justice is served and we 440 00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:26,440 Speaker 10: can go back to backing and talking about the builders 441 00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:29,880 Speaker 10: that are in it to create a better world using 442 00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:30,879 Speaker 10: this new technology. 443 00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 4: That is sentiment I think echoed by a number of 444 00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:36,760 Speaker 4: our guests on the show. There are those that acknowledge, however, 445 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:40,359 Speaker 4: that it had an impact right up until the jury 446 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:44,320 Speaker 4: gave its verdict because of what it represented from a 447 00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:46,879 Speaker 4: sort of high to low collapse of the industry. As 448 00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:49,120 Speaker 4: a venture capitalist, have you been able to go out 449 00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 4: and write checks with confidence over the last twelve months 450 00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 4: into startups that are working on the underlying technology or 451 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,200 Speaker 4: even backing a token of their. 452 00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:00,919 Speaker 10: Own Absolutely, I mean we were long term investors. We 453 00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,400 Speaker 10: have a ten year fund. I've been in the industry, 454 00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:06,880 Speaker 10: in the venture industry since nineteen ninety nine, so I've 455 00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 10: certainly seen many cycles, and even within crypto for the 456 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:14,520 Speaker 10: last ten years, there have been many cycles. So look, 457 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:18,480 Speaker 10: I'm not going to lie FTX and what happened there 458 00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:21,960 Speaker 10: was such a magnitude that it did impact and have 459 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:27,080 Speaker 10: an effect on all entrepreneurs, large companies and smaller companies 460 00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:33,000 Speaker 10: in the sector. But what the jury showed is four 461 00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:36,320 Speaker 10: hours to come to decision shows that the evidence was 462 00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:38,960 Speaker 10: so compelling that people are not going to get away 463 00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:41,800 Speaker 10: with this type of fraud in the industry. And I 464 00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:45,800 Speaker 10: think entrepreneurs can rest easy there and people who are 465 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:49,640 Speaker 10: passionate about the sector continue to build and have continued 466 00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:54,199 Speaker 10: to build. Downturns are notorious for giving birth to some 467 00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:57,840 Speaker 10: of the most impactful companies throughout history. 468 00:23:58,040 --> 00:24:00,880 Speaker 4: Nick Kotta was on the show and Friday Costwhile Adventures 469 00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:03,600 Speaker 4: and he said that they were offer the opportunity twice 470 00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:06,400 Speaker 4: to invest in FDx, but they didn't feel right about 471 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:09,480 Speaker 4: it and so they didn't. Just for sheer transparency of 472 00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:12,160 Speaker 4: our audience, did you ever have the opportunity to back 473 00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:15,880 Speaker 4: FDx or an associated group and did you? Yeah, I'll do. 474 00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:18,400 Speaker 10: Nick one better on that. We had an opportunity three 475 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:22,920 Speaker 10: times to invest in FTX and did not. So we 476 00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:26,880 Speaker 10: are early stage investors. We like to see governance even 477 00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:32,280 Speaker 10: from the earliest stages in companies. Look crypto regulations very 478 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:35,200 Speaker 10: uncertain around the world is getting more and more clarity 479 00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:38,680 Speaker 10: as we move on over the years. But that lack 480 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:42,439 Speaker 10: of regulatory clarity actually creates more need for diligence on 481 00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:46,000 Speaker 10: the part of investors because we don't have regulators overseeing 482 00:24:46,080 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 10: these companies. So it's really important to know that, you know, 483 00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:53,600 Speaker 10: other co investors have the same it's kind of the 484 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:57,280 Speaker 10: same incentives we do. That we trust the entrepreneur in 485 00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:00,440 Speaker 10: a sector that that's new, and there's lots of capital 486 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:04,640 Speaker 10: floating around even right now in a downturn. 487 00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:06,760 Speaker 4: So where does the capital go, particularly in the context 488 00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:10,600 Speaker 4: of the underlying blockchain right you know, on this show 489 00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 4: most recently we increasingly talk about it in the context 490 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 4: of gaming as opposed to crypto, where right now excites 491 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,240 Speaker 4: you most well. 492 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 10: Our thesis from our inception feature of Perfect Ventures in 493 00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:29,440 Speaker 10: twenty fourteen is that crypto which is part of Web three. 494 00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:36,280 Speaker 10: So this intersection of crypto, AI, machine learning, Internet of things, 495 00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 10: this collection and analnalytics of data as well as a 496 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,800 Speaker 10: distribution of data is going to be the next Internet. 497 00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 10: And so just like the Internet has impacted every industry, 498 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:53,520 Speaker 10: the media, industry, financial services, we believe that Web three 499 00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:56,800 Speaker 10: crypto being a part of that will impact every industry, 500 00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:59,880 Speaker 10: so gaming is certainly one. I wrote a blog post 501 00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:03,719 Speaker 10: recently about what we're seeing around deep fakes in the media. 502 00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:08,960 Speaker 10: So one of the really great elements of crypto and 503 00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:12,480 Speaker 10: blockchain is the fact that you can track data prominence. 504 00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:16,000 Speaker 10: And that's why FTX is a little ironic because the 505 00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:19,359 Speaker 10: industry is supposed to be all about transparency, not about 506 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:25,840 Speaker 10: cover ups, and so this provenance tracking of data. We 507 00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:29,800 Speaker 10: know if we're seeing a clip whether or not that 508 00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:33,720 Speaker 10: is authentic data. What we need now is the intersection 509 00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:37,679 Speaker 10: of machine learning where we can collect and analyze this 510 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:43,080 Speaker 10: data in real time. So WhatsApp has forty million messages 511 00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,720 Speaker 10: that get posted per minute worldwide. Now there's no way 512 00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:50,919 Speaker 10: to quickly analyze all of those messages right now in 513 00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:53,919 Speaker 10: real time, but we are getting there, and when we 514 00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:57,439 Speaker 10: get there, we'll know that our data is authentic, or 515 00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:59,520 Speaker 10: it'll at least be water marked in a way where 516 00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 10: we know what we're consuming is authentic. 517 00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:06,200 Speaker 4: Galacto Van Puncher, founder and managing partner of Future Perfect Ventures. 518 00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:09,760 Speaker 4: Great wide, broad ranging conversation, Thank you very much. Now 519 00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:11,000 Speaker 4: coming up here on the show, we're going to talk 520 00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,040 Speaker 4: about the state of investing in Europe's tech sector, and 521 00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:18,520 Speaker 4: celebrate an anniversary with Shnali Dereika of AXL That coming 522 00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:31,680 Speaker 4: up next from London, This is Bloomberg Technology. Some news 523 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:34,960 Speaker 4: out of Europe. Artificial intelligence startup alif Alfa has raised 524 00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,840 Speaker 4: more than five hundred million dollars from a consortium of 525 00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:41,399 Speaker 4: industrial giants and financial investors as it tries to build 526 00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,639 Speaker 4: a European rival to the large language models created by 527 00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:47,520 Speaker 4: Open Ai and Google. Schwartz Group and the venture arm 528 00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:49,560 Speaker 4: of Robert Bosch joined a group of seven other new 529 00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:54,200 Speaker 4: investors in the financing round, which included SAP and HPE. 530 00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:57,120 Speaker 4: Right sticking with tech in Europe, It's time for today's 531 00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:00,359 Speaker 4: VC Spotlight. And joining us today is Sonali Deria, a 532 00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:03,440 Speaker 4: partner at Excel, where she focuses on the consumer next 533 00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:08,680 Speaker 4: generation financial services and software companies. Excel is also celebrating 534 00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:13,840 Speaker 4: this week four decades of operating in Europe. Shanali, welcome 535 00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:19,280 Speaker 4: to the program. Forty years of venture activity globally and 536 00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:21,760 Speaker 4: in Europe. How did the firm do it? 537 00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:25,720 Speaker 11: Thank you for having me here. Ed It's great to 538 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,040 Speaker 11: see you, even if I'm in London and you're in 539 00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:32,359 Speaker 11: New York. You know, forty years it's a big milestone 540 00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:35,719 Speaker 11: and it's a really important time to be reflective. And 541 00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:38,880 Speaker 11: what I'll say is that we've always had the DNA 542 00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:43,200 Speaker 11: at Excel to find to build a relationship and to 543 00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:47,920 Speaker 11: invest in founders, exceptional founders really regardless of where they are, 544 00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:51,680 Speaker 11: and typically that's been in really far fun places. And 545 00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,960 Speaker 11: it's this philosophy that made us open up our London 546 00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:58,960 Speaker 11: office twenty three years ago, opened up India fifteen years 547 00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:01,840 Speaker 11: later in two thousand and fifteen, and it's really been 548 00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:04,080 Speaker 11: a core part of our success and why we were 549 00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:08,480 Speaker 11: able to invest in companies like Qualtrics in Utah, a 550 00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:13,120 Speaker 11: Classian in Australia, in Romania and Bucharest UiPath, one of 551 00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:16,720 Speaker 11: the most iconic companies to come out of Europe, companies 552 00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:22,000 Speaker 11: like fresh Works in Chennai in India, and to construct 553 00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 11: a firm that things. 554 00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:25,640 Speaker 2: Global from the get go. 555 00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:28,600 Speaker 11: We sort of walk our walk and talk our talk, 556 00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:30,760 Speaker 11: if you will, and help our companies and help our 557 00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 11: founders to become these category leaders. Wasn't easy, but I 558 00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:37,840 Speaker 11: think it's really been quite unique and it's been core 559 00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:39,800 Speaker 11: to everything we've achieved so far. 560 00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:44,560 Speaker 4: The rapid pace of companies being founded and funds being 561 00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:47,000 Speaker 4: raised in the AI context kind of set up this 562 00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:51,920 Speaker 4: nice USA versus Europe discussion, Right, is there going to 563 00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:55,920 Speaker 4: be a viable European maker builder of lms to take 564 00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:58,400 Speaker 4: on the likes of open AI. You heard me mention 565 00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:01,600 Speaker 4: alf Alfha now seeing a five hundred million dollar raise 566 00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:05,800 Speaker 4: this morning. What do you see as being potential for 567 00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:08,040 Speaker 4: European AI builders? 568 00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:10,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, I know, it's a great question. 569 00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:13,600 Speaker 11: What I'd say is that if you just take a 570 00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:17,040 Speaker 11: pause and think back around AI, because AI is really, 571 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:20,200 Speaker 11: you know, the overnight revolution that's actually been going for decades. 572 00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:22,880 Speaker 11: It's more generative AREI that's probably less than a year old. 573 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:27,480 Speaker 11: And when it comes to research, when it comes to citations, 574 00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:30,960 Speaker 11: Europe's probably had sort of fifty percent more in terms 575 00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:33,719 Speaker 11: of publications than the US. I mean, if you're going 576 00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:36,760 Speaker 11: to do the US versus Europe. That said, I think 577 00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:40,520 Speaker 11: a lot of the funding activity and a lot of 578 00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:44,000 Speaker 11: the startup activity and even the incombing activity has been 579 00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:46,800 Speaker 11: more in the US. But we're seeing a lot of 580 00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:52,480 Speaker 11: promising companies and entrepreneurs over here, and the majority of 581 00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 11: the activity so far has been more in the infrastructure. 582 00:30:56,400 --> 00:31:01,240 Speaker 11: The large language model space, if you will. But the 583 00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:04,280 Speaker 11: Denovo the native applications if you will, that'll come in 584 00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:07,800 Speaker 11: and really native to AI, it's really still early innings. 585 00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:10,360 Speaker 11: So I think we're very much a little bit like 586 00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:13,160 Speaker 11: what mobile was and if you think six or seven 587 00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:17,800 Speaker 11: o eight when iOS and Android came out, but it 588 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:21,240 Speaker 11: took a while for the Denovo apps on mobile to 589 00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:24,080 Speaker 11: really become big. And I think we'll see Europe play 590 00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:26,600 Speaker 11: probably a bigger role in some of the more vertical AI. 591 00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:30,200 Speaker 4: Applications Sonali As an aside, did you look at alif 592 00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:33,000 Speaker 4: Alfa or even a Mistral, you know that made a 593 00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:35,640 Speaker 4: debut with such a giant round earlier in the summer. 594 00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:37,360 Speaker 2: Yeah. 595 00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:40,720 Speaker 11: See, it's our job to, as you can imagine, to 596 00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:42,920 Speaker 11: meet with all the great founders, and we tend to 597 00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:46,000 Speaker 11: do this even when the founders haven't even started to 598 00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:48,880 Speaker 11: become founders themselves. We sort of track the builders, if 599 00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,880 Speaker 11: you will, as you called it. So, yes, I think, 600 00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:54,120 Speaker 11: you know, we've spent time with all of the interesting 601 00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:56,640 Speaker 11: companies in the AI space, and I think what I'd 602 00:31:56,680 --> 00:32:00,400 Speaker 11: say is that generally there's so many flavors of how 603 00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:03,840 Speaker 11: to think about these large language models. This infrastructure part 604 00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:09,160 Speaker 11: of the stack, from data, sovereignty, from privacy, from language, 605 00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,000 Speaker 11: from security. That there are a number of companies that 606 00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:15,240 Speaker 11: are sort of trying to figure out which part open source, 607 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:18,440 Speaker 11: close source, which part of the box, if you will, 608 00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:20,640 Speaker 11: or the part of the market that they own. So 609 00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:23,600 Speaker 11: there's a number of these companies, and yeah, we spend 610 00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:24,600 Speaker 11: time with all of them. 611 00:32:25,040 --> 00:32:26,760 Speaker 4: The last time that I was in New York City 612 00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:30,600 Speaker 4: was in that September period of the IPO windows suddenly 613 00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:33,920 Speaker 4: opening up, and I was looking at your current portfolio 614 00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:38,280 Speaker 4: and then the historic Excel portfolio. So many successes you 615 00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:41,160 Speaker 4: know of companies that went public and built a legacy. 616 00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:44,240 Speaker 4: What's next in the IPO market? What is the next 617 00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:46,640 Speaker 4: name to your mind, particularly out of Europe to tap 618 00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:47,640 Speaker 4: the public markets. 619 00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:50,240 Speaker 2: Oh and I wish I knew. 620 00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:52,560 Speaker 11: I don't have a crystal ball to figure out what 621 00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:55,200 Speaker 11: is going to be nice, I will say, you know, 622 00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 11: from an investor, from an entrepreneur perspective, it is a 623 00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:00,200 Speaker 11: bit of a confounding time time. 624 00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:01,960 Speaker 2: There is this deglobalization. 625 00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:04,720 Speaker 11: Everyone's trying to figure out what the next move is 626 00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:08,640 Speaker 11: from the central banks. We have some serious geopolitical issues 627 00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:12,520 Speaker 11: to wars, and so really thinking about what's going to 628 00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:16,080 Speaker 11: make the IPO window, which feels standardive right now truly 629 00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:19,440 Speaker 11: open isn't clear to anybody. I think the obvious answer 630 00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:23,480 Speaker 11: would be a real bell Weather stock to go public. So, 631 00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:25,840 Speaker 11: but time will tell. I think nobody's in a hurry. 632 00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:29,280 Speaker 11: A lot of these companies have a lot of cash 633 00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:31,560 Speaker 11: on their balance sheet, so everybody wants to make sure 634 00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:35,480 Speaker 11: they have time to execute and really have that be successful, 635 00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:36,640 Speaker 11: and so time will tell. 636 00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:40,760 Speaker 4: One portfolio company currently is Monzo, and I think Bloomberg's 637 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:43,920 Speaker 4: listed Monso at least is a candidate for IPO at 638 00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:47,400 Speaker 4: some point. What happens next for them? 639 00:33:47,960 --> 00:33:51,040 Speaker 11: Mcmonzo is it's a special company. I mean from a 640 00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:53,760 Speaker 11: standing start, it's what is it the seventh largest bank 641 00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:55,920 Speaker 11: already in the UK. I think eight and a half 642 00:33:55,960 --> 00:34:02,240 Speaker 11: million customers. I think one one in every three six 643 00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:04,960 Speaker 11: people sorry in the UK have a Monso bank account, 644 00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:09,719 Speaker 11: and most of those customers find Monso pretty organically, so 645 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:12,680 Speaker 11: it's got to a sizeable position. And I think, you know, 646 00:34:13,080 --> 00:34:15,360 Speaker 11: there was a point that a lot of the fintech 647 00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,600 Speaker 11: companies were out of favor, and I think Monzo really 648 00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:21,480 Speaker 11: prevailed because why of their promise to really deliver a 649 00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:25,200 Speaker 11: fabulous product with trust and safety to the consumers. So 650 00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:28,600 Speaker 11: I think companies like that really have a lot of 651 00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:30,480 Speaker 11: options open to them, and I think that will be 652 00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:32,759 Speaker 11: the name of the game, where companies really want to 653 00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:35,560 Speaker 11: control their own destiny. And that's the way we you know, 654 00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:38,719 Speaker 11: that's really our language with our founders and on the 655 00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:40,920 Speaker 11: bords is make sure you can control your own destiny 656 00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:41,880 Speaker 11: to the extent possible. 657 00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:44,800 Speaker 4: Sinari, I want to reflect on the next forty years 658 00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:48,040 Speaker 4: hopefully for Excel and maybe the role that London will 659 00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:50,160 Speaker 4: play in that. You know, that's city where I was born, 660 00:34:50,200 --> 00:34:53,000 Speaker 4: It is my home for most of my life. Caroline 661 00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:56,760 Speaker 4: as well. We're talking about London more and more outside 662 00:34:56,760 --> 00:34:59,279 Speaker 4: of a more narrow scope of fintech. But as you 663 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 4: look at the firm future, what role do you see 664 00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:05,960 Speaker 4: that city playing in your portfolio strategy and where you're 665 00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:07,040 Speaker 4: writing checks. 666 00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:10,000 Speaker 11: Yeah, you know we're based in London, but we really 667 00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:13,600 Speaker 11: cover a very vast footprint from the London office. I 668 00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:17,480 Speaker 11: think at last COUMP we've invested in over sixty eight cities, 669 00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:20,480 Speaker 11: more than twenty countries just in Europe and Monumn counting 670 00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:22,040 Speaker 11: sort of outside of the European market. 671 00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:24,000 Speaker 2: So London is an important base. 672 00:35:24,080 --> 00:35:27,520 Speaker 11: I think it's probably the second most exciting place when 673 00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:30,600 Speaker 11: it comes to deep tech AI talent, and there's spades 674 00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:33,759 Speaker 11: of it and I count sort of Greater London in 675 00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:37,120 Speaker 11: that too, and our ability to really spend time with 676 00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:40,760 Speaker 11: the right founders in the region from the London office 677 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:43,239 Speaker 11: is going to be very important, and so that's how 678 00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:44,839 Speaker 11: we really view it. In the UK is of course 679 00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,880 Speaker 11: a big part of the venture capital scene. But as 680 00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:52,800 Speaker 11: the principles and rewards of entrepreneurship really become even better understood, 681 00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:55,840 Speaker 11: and as technology becomes pervasive, there are really going to 682 00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:58,360 Speaker 11: be great founders coming from everywhere and this is the 683 00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:00,800 Speaker 11: best place for us to be in order to travel 684 00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:02,000 Speaker 11: and see them and spend. 685 00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:02,480 Speaker 2: Time with them. 686 00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:07,160 Speaker 4: Snarali de Riiker of Excel. Congratulations on forty years of 687 00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:10,200 Speaker 4: a bench capital in Europe and beyond, and stick with 688 00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:20,120 Speaker 4: us in the next forty Thank you very much. Okay. 689 00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:22,440 Speaker 4: So Apple has not managed to snap out of a 690 00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:24,719 Speaker 4: year long sales slump, and on a conference call with 691 00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:27,880 Speaker 4: analyst last week, the company hitted at a holiday period 692 00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:31,680 Speaker 4: that would not be stellar, maybe a little sluggish, It 693 00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:35,719 Speaker 4: would mark potentially it's fifth straight quarter of sales declines 694 00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:38,560 Speaker 4: in a row. So now Apple's in need of a 695 00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:42,440 Speaker 4: new growth engine. Can the vision pro mixed reality headset 696 00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:45,479 Speaker 4: for Phil batt Let's bring in Bloomberg's chief correspondent Mark German, 697 00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:47,759 Speaker 4: who's been writing about this idea and power on. It 698 00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:50,080 Speaker 4: was interesting on the call, right that the analysts ask 699 00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:53,759 Speaker 4: questions about vision pro in how it's been received with developers, 700 00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:57,240 Speaker 4: the early signs that they'll get when they start shipping it. 701 00:36:57,280 --> 00:36:59,759 Speaker 4: But you've got a pretty clear thesis outlined in today's news. 702 00:36:59,840 --> 00:36:59,920 Speaker 3: That. 703 00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:05,680 Speaker 6: Yeah, it was interesting because going into the call, Wall 704 00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:08,520 Speaker 6: Street and the breadth of vandalysts we cite were pretty 705 00:37:08,520 --> 00:37:11,000 Speaker 6: adamant that Apple would grow about five percent in the 706 00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:13,400 Speaker 6: holiday period, right, but then look on my instry of 707 00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:17,200 Speaker 6: the company's CFO, he dropped this figurative, you know, this 708 00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:19,920 Speaker 6: this big announcement saying that it would be similar. Right, 709 00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:21,960 Speaker 6: the holiday quarter would come in similar to last year, 710 00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:26,360 Speaker 6: which means, like you there a decline or no growth, 711 00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:29,200 Speaker 6: so flat for the fifth quarter in a row. And 712 00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:31,920 Speaker 6: so this is a pretty you know, interesting situation for 713 00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,200 Speaker 6: Apple where they are making a ton of money, but 714 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:35,800 Speaker 6: they're not growing like they used to. 715 00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:37,480 Speaker 3: And so Wall Street. 716 00:37:37,160 --> 00:37:40,280 Speaker 6: And analysts and investors. They're looking for a new growth engine, 717 00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:42,960 Speaker 6: and there's this strong potential for the Apple Vision Pro, 718 00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:47,280 Speaker 6: this mixture that's to one day be that growth engine 719 00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:48,120 Speaker 6: for the company. 720 00:37:48,239 --> 00:37:49,320 Speaker 3: Right, it's a new. 721 00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:52,040 Speaker 6: Category, but it's still very nascent, and at the get go, 722 00:37:52,080 --> 00:37:54,360 Speaker 6: it's going to be very expensive. And when they're putting 723 00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:56,440 Speaker 6: it on sale in their Apple retail source, it's going 724 00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:59,960 Speaker 6: to be a very curative experience that requires appointments, it's 725 00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:03,200 Speaker 6: going to require tryals sizing, and it's not, like kin 726 00:38:03,239 --> 00:38:06,799 Speaker 6: Cook said, going to be a graund like experience, which 727 00:38:06,840 --> 00:38:08,560 Speaker 6: means it's going to take a long time for them 728 00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:11,920 Speaker 6: to gather numbers gather revenue on this device. So combined 729 00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,520 Speaker 6: with that retail approach, combined with the price, this is 730 00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:16,920 Speaker 6: going to start out very slow, and eventually I think 731 00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:18,600 Speaker 6: they're going to need to switch more to an Apple 732 00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:21,400 Speaker 6: Watch model where they're moving from a curated experience with 733 00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:23,640 Speaker 6: appointments to something that is a bit more grab and go, 734 00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:25,320 Speaker 6: let's say like a mac ipowder. 735 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:27,800 Speaker 4: I film even, well, it's interesting how they plan to 736 00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:29,840 Speaker 4: sell it, but also what it is. Right, I remember 737 00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:32,840 Speaker 4: being in Koubatino for the unveil Vision Pro You've written 738 00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:36,200 Speaker 4: so much about this. It's a thirty five hundred dollars product, 739 00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:40,000 Speaker 4: high end, but it's almost designed for developers, not a 740 00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:43,080 Speaker 4: mass market. So what is the plan with Apple for 741 00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:48,160 Speaker 4: a sort of more approachable, mainstream headset for a broader audience. 742 00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:51,839 Speaker 6: Yeah, the first iteration of the product, like you said, 743 00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:54,920 Speaker 6: is essentially a development device, right, This is a device 744 00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,880 Speaker 6: that developers are going to build mixed reality vision os 745 00:38:57,920 --> 00:39:00,799 Speaker 6: apps for and then eventually hope and pray that they 746 00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:03,520 Speaker 6: come out with a down market version, something maybe in 747 00:39:03,560 --> 00:39:06,880 Speaker 6: the one to two thousand dollars range that eventually, eventually, 748 00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:11,839 Speaker 6: I say, maybe ten years from now, be a computer replacement. 749 00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:14,320 Speaker 6: And the goal is to have that app ecosystem ready 750 00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:16,879 Speaker 6: for when that day comes. And then the ultimate holy 751 00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:19,440 Speaker 6: grail in this space, in the future of computing space 752 00:39:19,440 --> 00:39:23,040 Speaker 6: with wearables, are lightweight augmented reality glasses. Now, if Apples 753 00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:25,280 Speaker 6: are able to come out with well priced augmented reality 754 00:39:25,280 --> 00:39:27,400 Speaker 6: glasses in five to ten years from now with a 755 00:39:27,440 --> 00:39:32,080 Speaker 6: full blown app ecosystem, going to have a huge hit 756 00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:35,480 Speaker 6: on their hands, potentially something that rivals the iPhone. But 757 00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:38,600 Speaker 6: the only way to launch with that type of success, 758 00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:40,840 Speaker 6: that type of interest in that type of market is 759 00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:44,160 Speaker 6: consumer education and to build an app ecosystem. So the 760 00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:46,120 Speaker 6: vision pro for at least the next few years is 761 00:39:46,120 --> 00:39:50,560 Speaker 6: going to be about educating consumers about this mixed reality technology, 762 00:39:51,560 --> 00:39:54,240 Speaker 6: how these applications work, and to get developers on board 763 00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:56,440 Speaker 6: because of course, many of the apps written for this 764 00:39:56,480 --> 00:39:59,120 Speaker 6: device will of course one day be compatible with other 765 00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:00,920 Speaker 6: augmented reality had it sets from Apple. 766 00:40:01,320 --> 00:40:04,520 Speaker 4: All right, Bloombog's chief correspondent for all things devices Apple, Markum, 767 00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:07,239 Speaker 4: and I really recommend our audience world, why do subscribe 768 00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:09,720 Speaker 4: to power on because it has all of the detail 769 00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:13,359 Speaker 4: about present and future products coming out of Apple. Well, 770 00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:16,480 Speaker 4: that does it for this edition of Bloomberg Technology. Thanks 771 00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:19,200 Speaker 4: so much to everyone out there that's reading the news 772 00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:21,960 Speaker 4: but also listening to the podcast wherever you get your podcasts, 773 00:40:22,040 --> 00:40:24,120 Speaker 4: all of the Bloomberg platforms, but we're also putting it 774 00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:27,919 Speaker 4: up on Apple, Spotify, and iHeart from New York City 775 00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:31,520 Speaker 4: this week, all week long, this is Bloomberg Technology