WEBVTT - Week 2 NFL Best Bets (Ep. 56) 0:00:13.840 --> 0:00:16.760 Hey there, everybody. Welcome back to the Betting Pros NFL podcast. 0:00:16.800 --> 0:00:18.680 I'm your host Dan Harris. You can find me on 0:00:18.680 --> 0:00:21.720 Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. With me, of course, is 0:00:21.800 --> 0:00:24.560 Matt Perrault, host of the Daily Juice podcast. You can 0:00:24.600 --> 0:00:27.640 find him on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. What's up, Matt? 0:00:27.680 --> 0:00:28.720 How's it going well? 0:00:28.720 --> 0:00:30.840 And? Okay? Week one for US? Huh, three and two. 0:00:31.080 --> 0:00:34.159 I'm still smarting from the Titans game. Still hurting, but 0:00:34.680 --> 0:00:36.479 otherwise it's good talking football. 0:00:36.760 --> 0:00:39.159 Yeah, it's good. And was three and two in the 0:00:39.159 --> 0:00:40.279 circa as well. 0:00:40.440 --> 0:00:41.720 Two and three in the circa. 0:00:42.720 --> 0:00:45.919 All right, all right, so let's touch briefly on what 0:00:45.920 --> 0:00:47.920 we did last week. And actually I realized, Matt, I 0:00:47.920 --> 0:00:49.200 don't know if you can do this in the circa, 0:00:49.240 --> 0:00:52.360 but you can see the breakdown of the pick percentage 0:00:52.920 --> 0:00:55.160 on draftings well from last week. 0:00:55.240 --> 0:00:57.400 Yeah. What circa does is Circa gives you what's called 0:00:57.440 --> 0:01:00.600 the consensus odds that they come out before the before 0:01:00.600 --> 0:01:03.080 the games kick on Sunday, they'll they'll give you the 0:01:03.120 --> 0:01:05.200 number of picks and tell you what the most popular 0:01:05.200 --> 0:01:08.679 picks were. So that's often been a key here in 0:01:08.760 --> 0:01:12.440 Vegas that when the Westgate in the circa, consensus comes out, 0:01:12.560 --> 0:01:14.800 the you can fade or follow it. You know, either 0:01:14.880 --> 0:01:16.480 either you like it or you don't. But people have 0:01:16.560 --> 0:01:19.080 actually used that for betting information to help them as 0:01:19.120 --> 0:01:21.360 to what side to be on for games. When the 0:01:21.400 --> 0:01:24.560 consensus comes out, when you've got quote unquote the handicappers 0:01:24.640 --> 0:01:25.760 picking one side of the other. 0:01:26.160 --> 0:01:29.199 Okay, so that comes out though for this week, right, 0:01:29.240 --> 0:01:31.600 I mean for the upcoming week? Is that what you're saying. 0:01:31.880 --> 0:01:34.800 Once, once everything is submitted on Saturday at three o'clock, 0:01:35.400 --> 0:01:37.800 then it comes out either Saturday night or Sunday morning. 0:01:37.840 --> 0:01:40.120 You finally before the game's kick, you know what the 0:01:40.160 --> 0:01:40.840 consensus is. 0:01:41.160 --> 0:01:44.119 So do you know what the most heavily picked game 0:01:44.200 --> 0:01:45.080 was in the circa? 0:01:45.120 --> 0:01:47.319 I do, but I forget what it was. Yeah, I 0:01:47.319 --> 0:01:48.320 can find out though. 0:01:48.400 --> 0:01:51.760 I'm looking at the breakdown at DraftKings, and it's interesting 0:01:51.800 --> 0:01:54.360 the most picked game actually where the most picked team 0:01:54.440 --> 0:01:56.960 was the Panthers getting three and a half, which is 0:01:57.000 --> 0:01:59.280 probably why people didn't have, you know, such a great 0:01:59.320 --> 0:02:04.080 day because obviously the Raiders covered winning by four. But yeah, 0:02:04.160 --> 0:02:07.480 we're three and two, just to recount it before and 0:02:07.520 --> 0:02:09.880 one should be four and one. We hit on the 0:02:09.960 --> 0:02:11.760 Ravens lane eight and a half to the Browns. The 0:02:11.800 --> 0:02:13.919 Cardinals lank six and a half, getting six and a 0:02:13.960 --> 0:02:16.840 half from the forty nine ers. That was a peralte special. 0:02:17.320 --> 0:02:18.840 The Saints laying three and a half to the Bucks, 0:02:18.840 --> 0:02:22.120 which we both really like we missed on. The Titans 0:02:22.360 --> 0:02:24.760 lank two and a half to the Broacos, the most 0:02:24.800 --> 0:02:28.040 improbable loss that could possibly be, which you called by 0:02:28.080 --> 0:02:30.480 the way you called like midway through the third he 0:02:30.600 --> 0:02:32.320 was just like, this is a two point loss, guaranteed 0:02:32.360 --> 0:02:34.120 with what's how it's going to play out. And then 0:02:34.160 --> 0:02:36.600 the Dolphins also, I mean they you know, I don't 0:02:36.600 --> 0:02:38.760 feel bad about that one, but they obviously were very 0:02:38.800 --> 0:02:41.079 close to covering the six and a half point spread 0:02:41.120 --> 0:02:41.919 from the Patriots. 0:02:41.919 --> 0:02:44.000 But so here are did just so you know, here 0:02:44.040 --> 0:02:46.640 are the most popular picks in the circa. Okay, the 0:02:46.680 --> 0:02:50.720 most popular pick was the Rams plus three against the Cowboys, yep. 0:02:50.960 --> 0:02:53.079 The second most popular was the Titans minus two and 0:02:53.120 --> 0:02:55.560 a half, which we clearly were on, the Cardinals plus 0:02:55.600 --> 0:02:57.880 six and a half, which we were on. Ye, the 0:02:57.960 --> 0:03:00.839 Bills at minus six and a half, which we also 0:03:00.880 --> 0:03:05.520 were on. In the Browns plus eight was a bad loser. 0:03:05.720 --> 0:03:07.959 That was a loser. Early we were on the other 0:03:08.080 --> 0:03:10.320 side of that, we had the Ravens. It was eight 0:03:10.360 --> 0:03:12.280 in the circle, seven and a half in the DraftKings. 0:03:12.360 --> 0:03:15.200 Yeah, that was split pretty evenly. On DraftKings. Thirteen percent 0:03:15.240 --> 0:03:18.919 took the Ravens, twelve percent took the Browns, as you called. 0:03:19.000 --> 0:03:21.160 By the way, with that Patriots, you know, obviously this 0:03:21.280 --> 0:03:23.280 contest is opened in New Hampshire, so you thought there'd 0:03:23.280 --> 0:03:25.600 be a lot of New England. Twenty two almost twenty 0:03:25.600 --> 0:03:27.400 three percent on the Patriots. 0:03:26.960 --> 0:03:28.520 Like six and a half, so. 0:03:28.160 --> 0:03:31.000 That one would have been big. But we'll talk about that. 0:03:31.040 --> 0:03:33.680 I might have some feelings on that game coming into it. 0:03:33.720 --> 0:03:36.480 But all right, are you ready to get into making 0:03:36.800 --> 0:03:37.960 our week two picks. 0:03:38.120 --> 0:03:39.760 Yeah, I think we're in for a good week this week. 0:03:39.760 --> 0:03:41.800 I like the card this week, all right, all right, 0:03:41.840 --> 0:03:44.440 I like a few games too. I hopefully imagines that. 0:03:44.560 --> 0:03:46.200 But first, before we get into it, we've got a 0:03:46.200 --> 0:03:50.080 great offer for you for new DraftKings users. Make a 0:03:50.120 --> 0:03:53.000 one dollar bet on any team to win either on 0:03:53.120 --> 0:03:56.200 Sunday or Monday, and you get an odds boost to 0:03:56.680 --> 0:03:59.560 one hundred to one if you bet a one dollar bet. 0:03:59.800 --> 0:04:02.640 Just go to bettingpros dot Com Slash DraftKings. 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Now, a couple of things before we 0:04:37.000 --> 0:04:39.600 get into it, really more one thing. Here's the deal. 0:04:39.760 --> 0:04:42.320 This is Wednesday. It's Wednesday night. We're recording this because 0:04:42.360 --> 0:04:45.440 we want to perhaps talk about the Thursday night game. 0:04:45.640 --> 0:04:48.000 We want to do that every week. I'm not putting 0:04:48.000 --> 0:04:50.520 in the picks until late in the week, until Friday, 0:04:50.600 --> 0:04:52.960 maybe Saturday or something like that. It is possible. I'm 0:04:53.000 --> 0:04:54.279 gonna put this out there, mat because you and I 0:04:54.279 --> 0:04:57.200 talked about it a little bit coming into the last week, 0:04:57.400 --> 0:05:00.400 about whether or not we would make the picks final, 0:05:00.440 --> 0:05:02.040 whether we would ever change, and we don't want to 0:05:02.080 --> 0:05:04.760 do that because we're representing this you guys. But follow 0:05:04.839 --> 0:05:08.000 us on Twitter at Dan Harris Adian at Sports Talk, Matt, 0:05:08.040 --> 0:05:10.440 because if we do have something comes up, maybe there's 0:05:10.440 --> 0:05:12.400 a massive injury that changes the way we feel about 0:05:12.400 --> 0:05:13.720 That's why I'm gona wait a little bit again. You 0:05:13.720 --> 0:05:15.640 can wait till Sunday morning. We'll let you know on 0:05:15.680 --> 0:05:18.160 Twitter if we're making a different pick. But for now, 0:05:18.360 --> 0:05:20.480 we're gonna settle on our five picks. So Matt, why 0:05:20.480 --> 0:05:22.080 don't you start us off here? I like the way 0:05:22.120 --> 0:05:24.680 we did it last time, you letting me know what 0:05:25.520 --> 0:05:27.560 what picks you're kind of feeling right now, and it 0:05:27.600 --> 0:05:29.640 sounds like you're you're confident on a couple of them. 0:05:29.680 --> 0:05:32.400 So I like a couple of them, a couple of 0:05:32.640 --> 0:05:35.560 our bounce back spots. And this is where I need 0:05:35.600 --> 0:05:37.480 to see what the number is going to be here, 0:05:37.640 --> 0:05:40.360 yep for the DraftKings, and we won't know that until tomorrow. 0:05:41.040 --> 0:05:43.520 But if the Panthers are catching ten points from Tampa, 0:05:44.240 --> 0:05:47.160 I I think the Panthers are gonna keep that game 0:05:47.240 --> 0:05:53.159 closer than the line suggests. I think Christian McCaffery Week 0:05:53.200 --> 0:05:55.520 one to Week two, I think we're gonna see a 0:05:55.560 --> 0:05:57.800 pretty big jump up here in Joe Brady's offense. And 0:05:57.880 --> 0:06:00.839 I wasn't really all that in the rilled with Tampa's 0:06:00.920 --> 0:06:03.520 defense all that much, and watching the Saints, the Saints 0:06:03.680 --> 0:06:05.360 could have put up a lot more points than they did. 0:06:05.360 --> 0:06:07.160 Now they won and covered, but they could have put 0:06:07.200 --> 0:06:09.200 up more points. That offense wasn't doing very much. And 0:06:09.240 --> 0:06:12.359 I actually watching you know, Bridgewater and them putt up 0:06:12.360 --> 0:06:16.400 thirty points on the Raiders. If it's ten, it's gonna 0:06:16.400 --> 0:06:18.159 be hard for me not to say, first take a 0:06:18.200 --> 0:06:20.960 double digit dog there with plus ten against Tampa. 0:06:21.040 --> 0:06:23.480 First of all, what is it at the CIRCA? Has 0:06:23.520 --> 0:06:24.040 it locked yet? 0:06:24.080 --> 0:06:25.960 It's not locked yet. It would come out tomorrow right now. 0:06:26.000 --> 0:06:27.400 DraftKings has it in nine and a half. 0:06:27.680 --> 0:06:29.680 DraftKings is at nine and a half right now, right right. 0:06:29.600 --> 0:06:32.480 Now, so I'm looking at DraftKings lines, so I'm guessing 0:06:32.560 --> 0:06:34.440 they might it may come out at nine and a half, 0:06:34.440 --> 0:06:36.120 but they might go to ten because they often try 0:06:36.160 --> 0:06:38.520 and try to anticipate where the line movement's going to 0:06:38.520 --> 0:06:43.320 go for these contests. So if it is gonna be ten, okay, 0:06:43.640 --> 0:06:45.479 I mean double digits. I know it's a double digit 0:06:45.600 --> 0:06:50.040 road dog, but double digits in the division. Brady's gonna 0:06:50.080 --> 0:06:52.839 throw picks. That's gonna happen. He's gonna turn the football 0:06:52.880 --> 0:06:55.280 over this year. And I wasn't thrilled with the running game. 0:06:55.680 --> 0:06:58.040 I think Carolina can keep that game relatively close. 0:06:58.480 --> 0:07:01.000 So I think Carolina is the right side of it, 0:07:01.040 --> 0:07:03.000 even a nine and a half. Frankly, I think Carolina 0:07:03.080 --> 0:07:05.440 is the right side of it. Don't forget Chris Godwin 0:07:05.600 --> 0:07:08.960 placed in the concussion protocol today. Yeah, probably not gonna play. 0:07:09.000 --> 0:07:10.840 I mean again, you never know with concussions, but when 0:07:10.880 --> 0:07:14.040 you only develop symptoms midweek, it seems really difficult to 0:07:14.040 --> 0:07:15.280 think that he's gonna be able to set up for 0:07:15.320 --> 0:07:17.360 that game. So that does hurt. But obviously they have 0:07:17.440 --> 0:07:19.360 other options like Scotty Miller and everything like that. 0:07:19.440 --> 0:07:21.760 But Mike Evans has a bum hamstring too. 0:07:21.680 --> 0:07:23.880 So but he played. I mean he played a lot 0:07:23.880 --> 0:07:27.200 of snaps, you know, and so who knows my legitimately, 0:07:27.200 --> 0:07:29.920 I think that's the right side. My one thing on it, 0:07:30.040 --> 0:07:32.440 my literally one thing The only thing gives me hesitation 0:07:32.920 --> 0:07:36.480 is that Brady was kind of embarrassed in that game, right, 0:07:36.520 --> 0:07:38.800 I mean, arians is calling him out. It was a 0:07:38.800 --> 0:07:42.480 big game, you know, everybody was watching. Didn't play particularly well. 0:07:42.480 --> 0:07:45.080 Whether or not it was entirely his fault in look great. Certainly, 0:07:46.480 --> 0:07:50.640 the angry Tom Brady bounce back want to put you know, 0:07:50.720 --> 0:07:53.600 his foot on your throat. That worries me a little. However, 0:07:53.640 --> 0:07:55.760 with that said, I'm in complete agreement. I think the 0:07:55.800 --> 0:07:58.120 Panthers defense is terrible. I mean, they're not gonna be 0:07:58.160 --> 0:08:01.680 able to stop anybody, but I like their offense, and 0:08:01.720 --> 0:08:03.160 I do think that they're going to be able to 0:08:03.240 --> 0:08:05.880 I mean, if you're talking double digits, I agree. I 0:08:05.960 --> 0:08:07.760 think that that is the right side of this game, 0:08:07.760 --> 0:08:08.920 that they're going to be able to keep it close. 0:08:08.960 --> 0:08:11.480 And I would even consider it at nine and a half, 0:08:11.720 --> 0:08:14.400 although it's obviously a lot less tempting. So let's put 0:08:14.400 --> 0:08:16.160 that one on the maybe list and let's get to 0:08:16.200 --> 0:08:16.760 your next one. 0:08:17.200 --> 0:08:20.160 Next one is I am going to ride the Cardinals 0:08:20.240 --> 0:08:24.119 this year? Yep, I just Washington wins. So this number 0:08:24.160 --> 0:08:26.880 is below seven. I think if Washington lost that game 0:08:26.920 --> 0:08:29.240 to Philly, if they got beat seventeen three or something. 0:08:29.440 --> 0:08:32.000 This line's probably eight. Maybe it's eight and a half 0:08:32.440 --> 0:08:35.400 under seven six and a half. Cardinals at home home 0:08:35.440 --> 0:08:38.760 opener against Washington. Give me the Cardinals. 0:08:38.800 --> 0:08:41.600 Man, you can't see me right now, but I'm writing 0:08:41.600 --> 0:08:45.280 it in in penn because I like it too. I look, 0:08:45.320 --> 0:08:48.440 I think it was great for Washington to wind up 0:08:48.480 --> 0:08:51.679 winning that game for Ron Rivera, you know what I mean, 0:08:51.679 --> 0:08:54.920 their first game, fantastic, really good. Washington is not a 0:08:54.920 --> 0:08:58.480 good football team. They they have a strong defensive line. 0:08:58.520 --> 0:09:01.840 They can get pressure, but there's a big difference between 0:09:02.160 --> 0:09:05.000 Carson Wentz in the second half holding the ball forever 0:09:05.040 --> 0:09:06.920 and a guy like Kyler Murray who's gonna be able 0:09:06.960 --> 0:09:09.880 to avoid pressure. I liked a lot what I saw 0:09:09.920 --> 0:09:12.040 from the Cardinals, and kudos to you because you were 0:09:12.080 --> 0:09:14.280 on them. I was hesitant with that game either way, 0:09:14.320 --> 0:09:16.360 whichever way we went. We were debating that where the 0:09:16.400 --> 0:09:19.280 Bills against the Jets. We're gonna be right either way. 0:09:19.559 --> 0:09:22.240 But yeah, I really liked what I saw from them, 0:09:22.280 --> 0:09:24.600 certainly from Hopkins. I like their offense. I think their 0:09:24.640 --> 0:09:27.840 defense is you know, not nearly as bad, you know, 0:09:27.920 --> 0:09:30.000 and the you know, where the race Joseph. 0:09:30.080 --> 0:09:31.760 I mean, I look at some guys are born to 0:09:31.760 --> 0:09:34.400 be coordinators. Okay, some guys aren't good head coaches. Vince 0:09:34.480 --> 0:09:36.840 Joseph was a disaster as a head coach. Yeah, but 0:09:36.880 --> 0:09:39.760 he in the second half made some tremendous adjustments. I 0:09:39.800 --> 0:09:42.319 watched every snap of that game. I just really impressed 0:09:42.400 --> 0:09:44.040 what they did in the second half against the Niners. 0:09:44.360 --> 0:09:47.680 Yeah against that Yeah, no, I completely agree. I watched 0:09:47.720 --> 0:09:51.439 that game closely as well. Yeah, they played really really well. 0:09:51.480 --> 0:09:54.160 Impressed me. I was not on We talked about it 0:09:54.200 --> 0:09:55.920 on a preview on the NFC preview. I was not 0:09:56.000 --> 0:09:58.800 all that in on them before the season, but I 0:09:58.800 --> 0:10:00.920 don't know. I was very impressive. Why I saw so 0:10:01.040 --> 0:10:02.560 that was one of the games that I targeted to 0:10:02.679 --> 0:10:05.000 that is locked in in penn Arizona laying six and 0:10:05.000 --> 0:10:07.200 a half to Washington. All right, what else you have? 0:10:07.520 --> 0:10:09.520 If he runs too, if Murray is allowed to run 0:10:09.520 --> 0:10:11.360 like he was in the second half, Yeah, boy, that's 0:10:11.360 --> 0:10:12.120 gonna be fun to watch. 0:10:12.160 --> 0:10:13.800 I mean, and you need you need a mobile quarterback, 0:10:13.800 --> 0:10:15.040 by the way, I mean that is the one thing 0:10:15.040 --> 0:10:17.880 with the redsk with Washington. Pardon me caught myself, Yes, 0:10:18.000 --> 0:10:20.480 you need a mobile quarterback, and you've got Murray and 0:10:20.480 --> 0:10:23.520 again with Hopkins, he just changes that. I mean really, 0:10:23.559 --> 0:10:25.920 and that's all there was because Christian Kirk had a 0:10:26.160 --> 0:10:29.080 terrible get, like like a really abysmal game. It was 0:10:29.200 --> 0:10:31.440 literally just that and the running game, and they were 0:10:31.440 --> 0:10:33.440 able to do it. And again defensively, as you mentioned, 0:10:33.679 --> 0:10:36.360 they were fairly impressive. So yeah, I'm all about that pick. 0:10:36.400 --> 0:10:37.360 It is written in Penn. 0:10:37.600 --> 0:10:41.000 Go to your next one, Ravens against the Houston Texans. 0:10:41.600 --> 0:10:45.880 The Ravens are going to destroy early. You're not gonna 0:10:46.000 --> 0:10:49.680 without having time to practice. These dudes are gonna run 0:10:49.720 --> 0:10:52.880 the score up. I think on nearly everyone that they play. 0:10:53.400 --> 0:10:56.760 The Texans defense is not good, and I know their 0:10:56.760 --> 0:10:59.000 offense isn't bad. Okay, Watson is not bad, but they're 0:10:59.000 --> 0:11:02.200 missing Hopkins and showed, and I know the number. I 0:11:02.240 --> 0:11:05.000 don't love it at seven it I would prefer it 0:11:05.120 --> 0:11:05.800 six and a half. 0:11:06.000 --> 0:11:08.040 I've got it's now seven and a half in DraftKings. 0:11:08.040 --> 0:11:10.360 By the way, really, i'm staring at the app. Did 0:11:10.440 --> 0:11:12.200 turned the changed while we were talking. 0:11:12.600 --> 0:11:14.360 I'm looking at seven and a half and I thought 0:11:14.360 --> 0:11:15.319 I looked early and it was. 0:11:15.920 --> 0:11:17.839 I'm looking at seven right now, well, are you. 0:11:17.840 --> 0:11:20.640 In the contest. It might be different things for the contest. 0:11:20.640 --> 0:11:22.800 And by the way, Matt, I'm not one hundred percent 0:11:22.840 --> 0:11:25.040 shory that these aren't the final lines. They may have 0:11:25.120 --> 0:11:27.520 set the lines already for the contest. And that's what 0:11:27.559 --> 0:11:28.360 I'm wondering about. 0:11:28.559 --> 0:11:30.840 Did they send them out to you? 0:11:30.440 --> 0:11:33.160 You know, I'm just I'm just logged in, I'm looking at. 0:11:33.160 --> 0:11:34.839 Am I I'm looking at the app. On the app, 0:11:34.880 --> 0:11:36.560 I'm looking at it says seven on the app. 0:11:36.600 --> 0:11:38.320 But are you in the contest? 0:11:38.480 --> 0:11:39.000 No, I'm not. 0:11:39.320 --> 0:11:41.320 That is the difference. I think. I think they may 0:11:41.360 --> 0:11:42.800 have set the contest line. 0:11:42.840 --> 0:11:45.800 That's good, right, because they try to anticipate that makes sense, correct. 0:11:45.800 --> 0:11:47.679 What they try to do is guess where the line's 0:11:47.720 --> 0:11:50.319 gonna move exactly. So it's seven and a half in the. 0:11:50.280 --> 0:11:53.560 Contract, correct. And that's why I was I was really 0:11:53.600 --> 0:11:54.880 surprised when you came out with that. 0:11:55.000 --> 0:11:57.319 I was like, WHOA, all right, all right, I was 0:11:57.360 --> 0:11:59.960 looking at seven, So that's on me, so I a lot. 0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:03.400 All right, So let's know, I'm gonna switch here. What's 0:12:03.679 --> 0:12:06.480 what's the number for the Rams and the Eagles? 0:12:06.920 --> 0:12:09.960 The Rams and the Eagles, I believe as the Eagles 0:12:10.160 --> 0:12:11.440 laying one and a half. 0:12:11.880 --> 0:12:16.120 See they're plus one at DraftKings. Wow. So the Rams, 0:12:16.480 --> 0:12:18.160 the Rams are getting so they think Philly money is 0:12:18.160 --> 0:12:19.960 gonna come in heavy, which makes sense of where they are. 0:12:20.040 --> 0:12:21.440 I do too, by the way, I mean, I think 0:12:21.440 --> 0:12:22.920 that's the right side of this game, as much as 0:12:23.000 --> 0:12:24.800 I'm a little scared because I think you made the 0:12:24.840 --> 0:12:26.839 great point, which I think is one hundred percent true 0:12:27.280 --> 0:12:30.439 that the whole no fans golf being able to hear 0:12:30.520 --> 0:12:32.880 McVeigh until the last possible second is really going to 0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:36.040 make a difference. But this is the classic by low 0:12:36.320 --> 0:12:39.280 Sell high right, I mean, because the Cowboys easily could 0:12:39.280 --> 0:12:41.240 have won that game easily with you know, if you 0:12:41.280 --> 0:12:43.840 if you get rid of that you know, bogus offensive 0:12:43.840 --> 0:12:46.440 pass interference calling, Gallup easily could have won that game. 0:12:46.640 --> 0:12:49.520 So Eagles are one of the games that I'm kind 0:12:49.520 --> 0:12:52.520 of looking at. I'm nervous about it again, but they're 0:12:52.559 --> 0:12:54.920 obviously anticipating that money is going to come in on 0:12:55.000 --> 0:12:55.640 the Eagles here. 0:12:55.559 --> 0:12:57.559 So look at oh and two starts in Philadelphia do 0:12:57.640 --> 0:12:58.920 not go over very well. Right. 0:12:59.000 --> 0:13:02.120 So the by the way, Miles Sanders and I think 0:13:02.200 --> 0:13:05.600 Lane Johnson are both expected to play. So I think 0:13:05.600 --> 0:13:06.199 that's a big deal. 0:13:06.640 --> 0:13:08.839 I I like the Eagles here, and if we're laying 0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:11.439 a point, okay, if we're catching a point, okay, it doesn't. 0:13:11.160 --> 0:13:13.360 Really It's basically right, it doesn't make a difference, right. 0:13:13.280 --> 0:13:15.880 So so I'm I'm going, I'm going. I think the 0:13:15.880 --> 0:13:17.760 Eagles will bounce back. I think they'll they'll play better. 0:13:17.800 --> 0:13:19.520 So I like that game. I like the Eagles to 0:13:19.600 --> 0:13:22.000 cover that, to cover that and basically pick them type 0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:24.960 of type of spread. Another game that that I like. 0:13:25.000 --> 0:13:27.320 And I'm curious to get your take on. So, and 0:13:27.320 --> 0:13:28.920 I don't know if I'm too close to this because 0:13:28.920 --> 0:13:31.560 of where I live. But the Raiders are at home 0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:35.200 catching six at DraftKings. What's the contest line? 0:13:35.280 --> 0:13:35.959 Six and a half? 0:13:36.080 --> 0:13:39.800 Beautiful yep, Raiders plus six and a half against the Saints. 0:13:40.000 --> 0:13:42.320 No, no, no, no, oh no oh no, this is 0:13:42.360 --> 0:13:44.199 my bad five and a half. I thought it was 0:13:44.240 --> 0:13:47.000 six and a half when I checked five and a half. 0:13:47.160 --> 0:13:51.320 Yeah, well, we can't play that because that's my rule. 0:13:51.400 --> 0:13:54.640 So I know I would love it five and a half. 0:13:54.640 --> 0:13:58.079 You're just I'm done. I I won't touch it. It's 0:13:58.080 --> 0:14:00.240 just it's just a number that I can't I can't 0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:02.160 do because I want to. I would say the right 0:14:02.200 --> 0:14:03.760 side here is the Raiders at six and a half, 0:14:03.800 --> 0:14:05.440 because I think it's probably a three to four point 0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:07.840 win for the Saints. Yeah, and I think the Vegas 0:14:07.920 --> 0:14:11.160 Raiders will will keep the game close. And look it, 0:14:11.280 --> 0:14:13.120 Ruggs got hurt a little bit in the game in 0:14:13.480 --> 0:14:15.640 that last week, which was against Carolina, which a little 0:14:15.640 --> 0:14:17.760 bit concerning, so hopefully the knee is okay. He says 0:14:17.760 --> 0:14:18.280 he's fine. 0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:19.800 Yeah, it sounds like he'll be a right and he 0:14:19.840 --> 0:14:20.200 came back. 0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:23.240 I mean that was a big Jacobs is a monster. 0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:27.200 I love Waller. The offensive line is incredibly good, and 0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:28.960 they got some good news with Trent Brown who's supposed 0:14:29.000 --> 0:14:33.160 to be okay at right tackle, so that's big. The defense, look, 0:14:33.280 --> 0:14:36.920 Abram is a thumper at safety. They Farrell made the 0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:39.440 play of the game to stop the fullback dive to 0:14:39.640 --> 0:14:41.560 win the game. So that's a guy that people always 0:14:41.600 --> 0:14:43.240 ripped and said, hey, not a first round pick. Now 0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:45.240 a top four not top five pickers should say coming 0:14:45.240 --> 0:14:47.080 out of Clemson. I love the pick. I mean, whoever 0:14:47.120 --> 0:14:49.480 you like, take the guy who cares he's supposed to 0:14:49.520 --> 0:14:51.280 be taken in the fifteenth round. Oh cares if you 0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:53.040 like him, take him. I don't care. If he works 0:14:53.040 --> 0:14:55.280 well for your system, who cares where he's supposed to 0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:58.520 be projected to be taken. And he played really well 0:14:58.920 --> 0:15:01.960 other than that, though, the linebacking issues you've got, you know, 0:15:02.080 --> 0:15:05.120 some corner issues. But I don't like that Saints offense 0:15:05.160 --> 0:15:07.560 all that much. So I mean, I guess I could 0:15:07.560 --> 0:15:09.040 be talked into five and a half if you really 0:15:09.040 --> 0:15:11.560 really like it, but I'm a little bit scared of 0:15:11.560 --> 0:15:12.800 that number being five. 0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:14.560 And a half, so I broke it down. I don't 0:15:14.560 --> 0:15:16.800 have the I won't play five and a half Matt 0:15:17.000 --> 0:15:20.720 perraultism that you like, I would play it. It's not 0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.680 one of my favorite games of the week, but I 0:15:23.720 --> 0:15:25.480 think that is the right side, even at five and 0:15:25.480 --> 0:15:28.360 a half. And again, don't forget Michael Thomas almost surely 0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:30.480 out and you know, I get that. You know it's 0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:32.360 a wide receiver. It's not the type of player who 0:15:32.440 --> 0:15:36.360 would necessarily move a line huge by himself. But seriously, 0:15:36.600 --> 0:15:40.120 that offense goes through Breeze and Michael Thomas. I mean, 0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:42.400 obviously you have Kamara and they're gonna lean on the 0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:45.160 running game, which they they tried to do again against Tampa, 0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:47.440 even though again that's not really a defense that you 0:15:47.440 --> 0:15:50.240 can run against. But on that their number one wide 0:15:50.280 --> 0:15:52.760 receiver is now Emmanuel Sanders and their number two wide 0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:55.400 receiver is trey Quan Smith. That's just not an offense. 0:15:55.400 --> 0:15:56.880 And I get they have Darren Cook. It's not an 0:15:56.920 --> 0:15:59.760 offense you expect to go crazy. And again the raiders 0:15:59.760 --> 0:16:01.640 off and is decent. 0:16:01.760 --> 0:16:03.600 I mean, if it's gonna be more than deepest, I'm 0:16:03.600 --> 0:16:05.480 telling you it's gonna be more than decent. They're gonna 0:16:05.520 --> 0:16:07.560 put It all comes down to Derek Carr, who made 0:16:07.560 --> 0:16:10.560 a couple of unbelievable throws against Carolina. If he plays, 0:16:10.760 --> 0:16:12.800 if he steps up and has you know, a twenty 0:16:12.840 --> 0:16:15.800 sixteen Derek Carr version, that offense is gonna be a 0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:17.360 ton of fun and they're gonna put up points. 0:16:17.640 --> 0:16:20.120 All right. So that was one where I was I 0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:24.760 had like the I like, I maybe like and I 0:16:25.040 --> 0:16:26.680 sort of kind of a little bit like that was 0:16:26.720 --> 0:16:28.080 sort of the sort of kind of little bit like, 0:16:28.160 --> 0:16:29.760 So I'm on the let's put that one on the 0:16:29.880 --> 0:16:30.760 on the side for now. 0:16:31.000 --> 0:16:33.120 When anything else, Yeah, which game do you like better? 0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:35.960 Which which road favor do you like better forty nine 0:16:36.040 --> 0:16:38.240 Ers at the Jets or Buffalo Bills of Dolphins. 0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:41.560 Okay, I'll be honest. I neither one of those games 0:16:41.640 --> 0:16:43.560 is on my list. And here's my problem with the 0:16:43.600 --> 0:16:47.800 forty nine ers. I they should absolutely destroy the Jets. 0:16:48.320 --> 0:16:50.960 We talked about that. You saw now what I know, 0:16:51.120 --> 0:16:54.280 which is the Jets are like a really, really awful 0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:56.320 football team and now they have no Levon Belt. Even 0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:59.240 Jameson Crowder was limited with a knee injury in practice 0:16:59.240 --> 0:17:02.400 this week. But I don't think George Kittle is gonna play. 0:17:03.240 --> 0:17:06.800