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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn.

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Speaker 1: Ten seconds of any just go throw up the basket,

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Speaker 1: under the basket, it's.

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Speaker 2: The truth for the wind. God, they go a miracle.

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Speaker 2: I'm just it's up the water. Hit that one from

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Speaker 2: the parking lot. Shuck it all at Codge Basketball. It's

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Speaker 2: not the size on the dog in the fight, it's

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Speaker 2: the size of the fight in the dog. What's up

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Speaker 2: the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast.

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Speaker 2: This is the NCAA Tournament Betting Preview Round one, Part two.

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Speaker 2: Today we are going to talk about the East and

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Speaker 2: the Midwest regions. Of course, I'm stuck. You enjoining me

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Speaker 2: to talk about the East. To kick things off, Maddie

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Speaker 2: of the Three Man Weave one of his partners in crime,

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Speaker 2: Kime Cune, will join me in a bit, Matt, how

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Speaker 2: goes it? Where's the excitement level? Christmas is almost here?

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Speaker 1: Good? I'm uh well?

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Speaker 3: Timing wise, you're about to watch Indiana kick off their

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Speaker 3: first of many consecutive wins and what should be an

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Speaker 3: improbable but majestic run to the Promised Land. Should be

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Speaker 3: a pseudo home game there in Wyoming, I'm sorry. In

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Speaker 3: Dayton against Wyoming, I should.

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Speaker 2: Say, yeah, the the Indiana Hoosiers, Uh, they deserve to

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Speaker 2: get in and I'm glad they did for their fans.

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Speaker 2: It's been quite some time, so I'm looking forward to

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Speaker 2: that one. I'm looking forward to discussing the East region

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Speaker 2: with you. So let's uh a lot further too. Let's

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Speaker 2: just dive right in Baylor, top overall seed in the East.

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Speaker 2: They'll be playing their first two games in Fort Worths.

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Speaker 2: You think they would have a little bit of a

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Speaker 2: home contingent. Two seed Kentucky. Pretty loaded region at the top.

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Speaker 2: You know, you have the three seed. Is Purdue like before,

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Speaker 2: you know, maybe about a month ago month, two months

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Speaker 2: what you could have said, maybe Kentucky gets to the

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Speaker 2: one line, maybe Purdue to the one line. You know

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Speaker 2: of UCLA team with a final four on the four line,

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Speaker 2: a super tough, difficult, well coached team in St. Mary's

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Speaker 2: the five, So Texas the six. I think they were

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Speaker 2: a top five team preseason. You go on and on,

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Speaker 2: it's a pretty loaded region. Does anyone touch Baylor before

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Speaker 2: the Elite eight? Who do you have coming out of

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Speaker 2: this bracket? What are your thoughts on the region as

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Speaker 2: a whole. We'll start high level and start diving into

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Speaker 2: some of these games.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the legit case caun we made this

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Speaker 3: is the toughest region, especially from the one through eight

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Speaker 3: seed lines. I like a lot of chalk, to be honest,

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Speaker 3: not to spoil our takes as we go through game

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Speaker 3: by game here, but there's a lot of favorites I

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Speaker 3: think match up well with. You know, I look at

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Speaker 3: Perdue Yale, for example. I know you're big on the

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Speaker 3: Akron potential live dog spot against UCLA, Kentucky, Saint Peter's.

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Speaker 3: I'm looking at Kentucky to come out of this region.

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Speaker 3: I don't feel great about it. I still believe in Baylor.

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Speaker 3: I worry about that roster with basically six and a

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Speaker 3: half guys at this point, still not fully healthy, especially

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Speaker 3: with Saint Mary's lurking in a potential Elite eight matchup.

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Speaker 3: But I also worry that everyone and their mother is

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Speaker 3: on the whole Saint Mary's thing and we've gone too

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Speaker 3: far with this. Love also worried about that as well.

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Speaker 3: But no, it's it's just out region. I mean, I

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Speaker 3: can see upwards of five to sixteams coming out of here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I ultimately have Kentucky coming out as well. And look,

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Speaker 2: Baylor's bagged up now, not fully healthy, whereas Kentucky, I.

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Speaker 1: Think that they getting healthful strength.

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Speaker 2: Potentially they could be the best team in the country.

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Speaker 2: And their metrics are kind of underweighted a bit because

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Speaker 2: in a lot of their biggest games of the year

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Speaker 2: right early, you know, early in SEC play, they either

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Speaker 2: suffered injuries during the game two.

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Speaker 1: Key players or have key times too, right.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, So I think that that's kind of and their

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Speaker 2: metrics are still outstanding. But I think with their guard play,

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Speaker 2: with Big O' the cheat code in the middle, even

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Speaker 2: if you have an off shooting night, He's going to

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Speaker 2: keep you in it. I think that Kentucky is the

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Speaker 2: best team in this region. I have them coming out,

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Speaker 2: But let's let's dive in to the individual games trying

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Speaker 2: to find some value it go from there. We'll are

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Speaker 2: at the top. Baylor Norfolk State Game one in Fort Worth,

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Speaker 2: Norfolk State. Joe Bryant really good player on the perimeter

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Speaker 2: for Norfolk State. They're gonna run that floppy zone out, yea,

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Speaker 2: you know they're gonna Baylor's probably gonna get a lot

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Speaker 2: of three point looks here? Is there too much size

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Speaker 2: for Baylor? Turnover issues could be a problem for Norfolk

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Speaker 2: State against Baylor? Does Bailer come out here and make

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Speaker 2: a statement after? Interesting enough? I should notes no team

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Speaker 2: since nineteen eighty five who's lost in before the semi

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Speaker 2: finals of their conference tournament has won the national championship,

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Speaker 2: and Baylor would be one of those teams. But does

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Speaker 2: Baller just come out and smoke Norfolk State here twenty

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Speaker 2: one point favorites? Or is the line a bit too high?

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Speaker 2: What are your thoughts here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I look at this matchup and I think Baylor is

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Speaker 3: going to smash Norfolks State. They're going to pick the

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Speaker 3: Robert Jones myriad of zone press schemes to shreds. However,

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Speaker 3: I worry about Baylor's lack of depth, being able to

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Speaker 3: keep their foot on the gas pedal for a full

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Speaker 3: forty minutes, that furious pace that you need. I like

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Speaker 3: what my colleague Jim said earlier. I think First has

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Speaker 3: a better play.

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Speaker 1: You bet.

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Speaker 3: You basically take away that second half maybe foot off

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Speaker 3: the gas that Baylor could be prone to doing it.

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Speaker 3: You're thinking from Scott Drew's perspective, right, He's got to

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Speaker 3: win six games. I have six and a half players.

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Speaker 3: Why am I going to roll out you know, Flagler

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Speaker 3: and Meyer going ball to the wall for a full

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Speaker 3: forty minutes. That said, I think the matchup is definitely

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Speaker 3: in Baylor's favor. I would not be looking to back

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Speaker 3: norfolks stayed in a cute dog spot here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree. Not one of the A sixteen seed

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Speaker 2: that I think has enough firepower matchup advantages, so Baylor

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Speaker 2: should walk through easily. We won't spend so much time

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Speaker 2: on the one sixteen game. The next game a little

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Speaker 2: more intriguing, and we'll talk after this individual give if

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Speaker 2: you think the winner where we think is going to

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Speaker 2: win this game shot at taking up. But North Carolina

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Speaker 2: mark Quette, North Carolina coming out of the agency, really

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Speaker 2: inconsistent team, like you could see there at their peak

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Speaker 2: when they're playing really well and everything's you know, their

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Speaker 2: guards are hitting shots, you have Bakott is tremendous inside.

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Speaker 2: It might be a really big problem for Marquette. The

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Speaker 2: boards might be a problem for Marquette, But you know,

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Speaker 2: North Carolina just looked great one day and not the next.

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Speaker 2: See you see what they did at Duke and you

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Speaker 2: see what they did. I guess Virginia Tech. He's all

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Speaker 2: and loves at home the Boston College. But Marquette really

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Speaker 2: faded down the stretch. They can their pressure have success.

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Speaker 4: Here?

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Speaker 2: Is this line too high? If we' over sold Marquette.

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Speaker 2: Who do you think comes out of this eight to

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Speaker 2: nine matchup between North Calda Markette North Carolina three and

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Speaker 2: a half point favorite here, pretty high over under game

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Speaker 2: should be played? I think with some pace.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I flip flopped on this probably ten times. I

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Speaker 3: think if North Carolina does get past Marquette, they're the better,

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Speaker 3: the bigger threats to Baylor and the potential eight over

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Speaker 3: one upset. But I think I'm taking Marquette here outright,

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Speaker 3: and with the points we're catching a field goal now,

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Speaker 3: it does feel like this game plays closer to pick them.

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Speaker 3: We've mentioned the Shaka as a dog angle the thing

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Speaker 3: to worry about or to think about. What's North Carolina?

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Speaker 3: It's like, what is that Virginia Tech ACC tournament final

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Speaker 3: loss uplip on the radar or was there or was

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Speaker 3: that more indicative of their erratic nature?

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Speaker 2: Right?

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Speaker 3: Because you just look at what six games prior they

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Speaker 3: were dominant, and I think the narrative was starting to

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Speaker 3: be like, oh here comes the UNC we thought we

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Speaker 3: were going to see preseason. Maybe they've ironed out some

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Speaker 3: of the defensive issues, and I think Armando Baykok continues

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Speaker 3: to emerge as a monster threat. And you mentioned the

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Speaker 3: rebounding issues for Marquette, dead last and the Big east

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Speaker 3: On both ends on the glass on a per possession basis.

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Speaker 3: They are physical and they're top, but there's not that

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Speaker 3: big and I know the knock on UNC is that

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Speaker 3: they're soft, but they are pretty tall and they are

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Speaker 3: long and they can still get to the glass and

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Speaker 3: that's where I think Baykok could have a field day.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree. I think the rebounding pollas it's kind

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Speaker 2: of that ends up being the difference Black on Lewis.

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Speaker 2: I think is a good matchup for Carolina to kintain.

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Speaker 1: Them, right, yeap, I agree?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think North Carolina really tough team to trust.

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Speaker 2: So like if you want to the problem is like

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Speaker 2: picking the eight to nine here, this is a probably

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Speaker 2: a lot of eight nine, Like do you trust count

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Speaker 2: On to get through? And you know, if you're gonna

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Speaker 2: pick them to upset Baylor and then they don't get

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Speaker 2: through then there goes your back and then you're just

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Speaker 2: a really big Marquette fan. But if we assume we

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Speaker 2: can talk about both teams getting through, but which one

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Speaker 2: do you think has a better chance meeting down? If

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Speaker 2: you think it's Carolina, you can they can they upset

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Speaker 2: the one here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? I think they can.

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Speaker 3: That's what I end up taking Baylor because you mentioned

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Speaker 3: I just don't really trust you and see to get

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Speaker 3: out of round one. But if they do, I look

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Speaker 3: pretty hard to bend un C against Baylor in that

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Speaker 3: In that second h at the end of the weekend spot,

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Speaker 3: I guess another good match to mention here is Darryl

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Speaker 3: Morcel as a ballhawk. To shut down Caleb Love, you

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Speaker 3: have to contain UNCS guards, especially in transition, and more

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Speaker 3: cells a glove at the point of attack. So another

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Speaker 3: I guess matchup personnel angle in Marquette's favor. Again, I

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Speaker 3: flip a plot back and forth. I ultimately took Marquete

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Speaker 3: plus three, but do not feel great about it.

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Speaker 2: Shock as a dog can't hate it feels like it'll

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Speaker 2: be close, all right. Let's move down to the games

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Speaker 2: of Portland on the bottom half of this pod, Starting

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Speaker 2: off with Saint Mary's their five seed, just well coached,

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Speaker 2: veteran team, just suffocate you on defense, run great offense.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna be taking on the winner of Wyoming in Indiana,

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Speaker 2: which is coming up here shortly before we of course,

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Speaker 2: we don't know who they're gonna play. When I first

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Speaker 2: looked as I said, man, you know Indiana really wants

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Speaker 2: to score inside. Wyoming the heaviest post offense in the country.

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Speaker 2: You can't really get much inside against Saint Mary's really

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Speaker 2: fortunately the tough shots man. So I was like, this

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Speaker 2: is a bad matchup. It's gonna be you know, short

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Speaker 2: rest as well with some travel involved. So I have

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Speaker 2: Saint Mary's moving on probably depending on the spread. It's

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Speaker 2: not a team in a matchup that I would love

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Speaker 2: to like lay points with most likely. What are your

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Speaker 2: thoughts on either one of those potential matchups.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's I think they're all three quite similar, all

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Speaker 3: three very post centric, post up centric offenses. There's actually

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Speaker 3: an analysis by Synergy Sports that came out a couple

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Speaker 3: months ago, and it talked about how Saint Mary's and

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Speaker 3: Wyoming to of the top I think four most post

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Speaker 3: reliant offense in the country. Whether it be points via

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Speaker 3: the post up directly or through kickouts and subsequent actions.

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Speaker 3: Then Indiana as the third banana in this little tripod

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Speaker 3: is basically I mean, everyone knows that's where their strength is.

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Speaker 3: The best interior defense in the Big Ten on an

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Speaker 3: adjusted efficiency basis Race Thompson tj D. Upfront. It's all

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Speaker 3: three teams. Like I said, looking in the mirror, I

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Speaker 3: just trust Saint Mary's more. I think I'm going to

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Speaker 3: look to back them. If Indiana wins, I think we'll

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Speaker 3: get a better price against Indiana. Against Wyoming, they may

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Speaker 3: be laying a little bit too much for me, but

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Speaker 3: I think they advance. I feel pretty safe about both matchups.

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Speaker 3: Tommy Kusey's the X factor, right. I just don't think

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Speaker 3: either team can contain him in ball screen. He looks

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Speaker 3: like Steve Nash the last few weeks. I mean, he

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Speaker 3: can carve up Gonzaga. I've watched Indiana garb ball screens

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Speaker 3: this year. It's not exactly pretty in Wyoming. Wyoming has

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Speaker 3: some personal limitations defensively on the priver as well. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: I love Saint Mary's to get out of this.

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Speaker 2: If Saint Mary's doesn't, I agree, I have Saint Mary's

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Speaker 2: moving on as well, and they will take the winner

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Speaker 2: of UCLA Acre. I think we disagree on this game.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I ACER could lose by thirty for threes

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Speaker 2: aren't falling, but it's gonna be a slow paced game,

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Speaker 2: really slow paced. I think Akron has the bodies inside.

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Speaker 2: Uh you know, UCLI is the anti analytics team. Like that.

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Speaker 2: The they're outside the top three on it rim, right

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Speaker 2: outside the top three on and three point right. You

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Speaker 2: would think that'd be bad for them, but they thrive

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Speaker 2: in the mid range. So UCLA I think getting healthy

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Speaker 2: at the right time. But I think in a really

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Speaker 2: slow game, like I could see if the actors hitting

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Speaker 2: the threes, they shoot a lot of threes, make a

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Speaker 2: lot of threes, and UCLA catch and shoot three like

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Speaker 2: they're they're very perimeter defense, still a little vulnerable at times.

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Speaker 2: So I actually think Acrod is live here. I like

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Speaker 2: Akron plus fourteen at fifteen, But you disagree. You think

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Speaker 2: you su guys gonna come out here and make a statement.

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Speaker 1: So I thought that I flip plopped here again.

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Speaker 3: It's one of those situations where I worry I was

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Speaker 3: just disrespecting Akron because I was mad they got in

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Speaker 3: the field. I wanted to see another more fun Mac team.

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Speaker 3: But you're right, look at the matchups, the wing length

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Speaker 3: that Akron boasts against what UCLA has become their new identity. Right,

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Speaker 3: It's not like a two, big, upfront, brute old Cincinnati

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Speaker 3: mc cronin team. It's more of a wing laydon type

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Speaker 3: of team, which I think is better suited for Acron

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Speaker 3: to defend. And you're right, in a slow paced, methodical game,

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Speaker 3: there's a lot of parallels for me with the Montana

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Speaker 3: State Texas Tech game, low total, ugly game. You're catching

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Speaker 3: basically of you know, two touchdowns, everything does scream dog.

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Speaker 3: If McK cronin smart holds zone Achron the two times

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Speaker 3: this year Akron sells zone against Central Michigan, who's terrible.

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Speaker 3: They actually had like a lot of issues. I don't

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Speaker 3: know if we'll do that. It might be too cute

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Speaker 3: for a round one matchup, but uh, something to keep

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Speaker 3: an eye on as if mccronin tries to if this

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Speaker 3: game is close, I guess I think you might see

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Speaker 3: some of that, all.

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Speaker 2: Right, I might have, you know, because I think I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna have say Mary's going to the set sixteen yep,

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Speaker 2: I do as well. That's that's one of the reasons

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Speaker 2: why I'm going to pick acron here in my bracket,

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Speaker 2: like because it's a I'm gonna have Say Mary's winning anyway, right,

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Speaker 2: So that's that's what I like to do with some

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Speaker 2: of these A lot of these teams have pulled up

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Speaker 2: a big upset. They're not their their run is not

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Speaker 2: going to be long. Oh but let's assume it is

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Speaker 2: UCLA Saint Mary's and the talk holds. How do you

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Speaker 2: see that one playing out? You're you're agree with it.

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Speaker 2: You think Saint Mary's gets it done. Maybe you feel

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Speaker 2: like you just live in the mid range and that's

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Speaker 2: what Sat Mary's wants.

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Speaker 3: To Yeah, I think exactly. I think they're I think

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Speaker 3: that's actually I mean an overplayed for me. I think

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Speaker 3: they're both teams can score at a pretty efficient clip

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Speaker 3: pace wise. I'm probably going to play to a crawl.

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Speaker 3: Saint Mary's always wins that the tempo tuggle war. But

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Speaker 3: you're right, I mean, I think the mid range concerns

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Speaker 3: of the UCLA has just been debunked by people want

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Speaker 3: to use that as like a knock on them.

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Speaker 1: But they have multiple big time shot makers.

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Speaker 3: What we've seen from Bernard and Hakes while Jewsing was

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Speaker 3: kind of nursing that injury, it's almost like a blessing disguise,

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Speaker 3: like they got two more complimentary scores to now bring

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Speaker 3: to bear with a fully healthy Jewsing, it's starting to

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Speaker 3: look scarily like the team that we saw make that

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Speaker 3: big run last year.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that could could be the case. It's pretty crazy

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Speaker 2: went they could have lost in the first four game

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Speaker 2: last year. It's crazy how things changed, and then they

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Speaker 2: went to the Final four, and then they come into

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Speaker 2: the season and right to the top five, and then

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Speaker 2: they end up safely and as the four seed. So

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Speaker 2: a big roller coaster of changes in UCLA over the

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Speaker 2: past year. But it's a team that's it's certainly a threat,

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Speaker 2: but Saint Mary's is just a toothache to play and

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Speaker 2: I think that Raddy Bennett is has this team prime

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Speaker 2: to make a run. All right, bottom half of the East.

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Speaker 2: Let's go to the bottom pods where Kentucky is the

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Speaker 2: two seed. They'll be playing in Indianapolis, so you can

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Speaker 2: expect all blue in the stadium. There be an enormous

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Speaker 2: Kentucky continent. But let's start up top in Milwaukee Texas

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Speaker 2: taking on Virginia Tech. This cames right around a pick.

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Speaker 2: I keep going back and forth in this one. I

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Speaker 2: love Virginia Tech. They got they cashed my acc future

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Speaker 2: for me. It's a team that was loved by the

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Speaker 2: analytics all year finally put it all together, run great offense.

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Speaker 2: One of the things that does concern me a bit

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Speaker 2: about Texas is that they can, you know, pressure you

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Speaker 2: a little bit pressure the guards of Tech and the

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Speaker 2: turnover issues don't jump off the page and Tech overall,

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Speaker 2: but they play a decent amount of teams that aren't

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Speaker 2: going before you in the turnovers. But when their guards

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Speaker 2: can get pressured, they're a little blurtle bit vulnerable there.

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Speaker 3: Yea.

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Speaker 2: The Texas offense is just hard. When you watch Texas offen,

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Speaker 2: it's just hard to trust. I keep going back and

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Speaker 2: forth in this team. Give a strong take.

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Speaker 1: No, I ultimately to Virginia Tech.

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Speaker 3: But I it seems like I'll be on the popular

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Speaker 3: side of the coin with this one, just because I

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Speaker 3: think everyone's starting to sour on Texas. You mentioned how

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Speaker 3: VT might be overrated by the analytics. I think this

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Speaker 3: is a great first round matchup against a Texas team

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Speaker 3: that also is debatably overrated by the numbers. You watch

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Speaker 3: this team play, the eye test just does not add

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Speaker 3: up with the on paper resume in my opinion. Now,

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Speaker 3: I think that also leads us to maybe undervalue some

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Speaker 3: things that Texas does.

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Speaker 1: Well.

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Speaker 3: It just aren't that sexy, right. I think they take

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Speaker 3: care of the ball for the most part. They supplement

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Speaker 3: on the offensive glass. You know, they they don't really turn.

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Speaker 3: I mean, they'd a sound team outside of running poetic,

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Speaker 3: really harmonious offense, which certainly has not been the case.

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Speaker 1: Like that's sort of gone out the window at this point.

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Speaker 3: It's basically, let's try and run some motion, get open

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Speaker 3: looks our shooters are bad. Maybe Timmy Allen can score

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Speaker 3: against a good matchup up front. Maybe Marcus Carr can

355
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Speaker 3: bail us out. It's very much my turn, your turn.

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Speaker 3: That said, Marcus car is a pretty good bailout card.

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Speaker 3: So if he's on in this game, if Timmy Allen

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Speaker 3: can maybe get going inside, although I think MutS is

359
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Speaker 3: a great counter matchup for him defensively, You're right. Another

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Speaker 3: one where I go back and forth, back and forth. Ultimately,

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Speaker 3: I just took VT. I'm signing with the Hokies here.

362
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Speaker 3: Just trust Mike Young. I think this team's on a roll.

363
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Speaker 3: I don't want to get in the way of this team,

364
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Speaker 3: so I'm on vout Tech.

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Speaker 2: Texas defense is obviously excellent coach by Beard. No middle

366
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Speaker 2: one wild card here with the Big twelve. I watched

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma today in their offense to just looked like it

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Speaker 2: was just breathing, and like they got out of the

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Speaker 2: Big twelve and they got out of those no middle defenses.

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Speaker 2: There's incredible defensive coaches. There's incredible defenses. Like even Iowa

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Speaker 2: State got throw a ball in the ocean.

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Speaker 3: They have a great basis Tech Kansas, yeah, exact, Baylor, right, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I mean it's just across the board and you have

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Speaker 2: a lot of these similar no middle defenses and they're

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Speaker 2: all well schooled, long switchable, so like.

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Speaker 3: You get out of that dungeon. You're right, they did

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Speaker 3: the Big twelve offenses sort of exhale. That's a good point.

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Speaker 2: I like that actually, so we'll see if that is

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Speaker 2: the case. I'm still going back and forth on that one.

380
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Speaker 2: Not a big decision for me because I don't think

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Speaker 2: either one of those teams is going to beat Purdue.

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Speaker 2: Although Purdue has weaknesses. I don't think Purdue is a

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Speaker 2: legit national title contender. Their offense is excellent, arguably the

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Speaker 2: best in the country outside of a few turnover issues

385
00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:33,080
Speaker 2: that can creep up, but their defenses major issues. You

386
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Speaker 2: look back on kempom historically, before the tournament, you pretty

387
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Speaker 2: much you add up your offensive and defensive adjusting efficiency.

388
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Speaker 2: You can't be over fifty when you add those two

389
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Speaker 2: things up, and your offense has to be in pretty

390
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Speaker 2: much in the top twenty five, which is the case

391
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Speaker 2: for Purdue. I think they're one or two. But the

392
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Speaker 2: defense just on the perimeter. They don't force turnovers. They

393
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Speaker 2: struggle guard pick and roll, struggle with quicker guards. The

394
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Speaker 2: defense is number one hundred. There's only been like one

395
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Speaker 2: or two exceptions. And the teams are like fifty five,

396
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Speaker 2: and they have like a star just takes over Yale,

397
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Speaker 2: a guard named Sway. If you haven't seen him play,

398
00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:08,439
Speaker 2: I'm sure most of you might not have. He's an

399
00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:11,600
Speaker 2: incredible shot maker. He can maybe his speed and it

400
00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:13,560
Speaker 2: can be able to have some success, and there's only

401
00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:15,920
Speaker 2: so much one man could do. I think this is

402
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Speaker 2: Purdue's game. I think Purdue blows them out. And I

403
00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:21,560
Speaker 2: think Purdue goes too Sweet sixteen. I think Pretty also

404
00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:23,760
Speaker 2: be focused. They got upset in the first round last

405
00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:26,080
Speaker 2: year against North Texas. This is a much easier test

406
00:18:26,119 --> 00:18:29,320
Speaker 2: for them. I think Yale was like the I think

407
00:18:29,320 --> 00:18:32,240
Speaker 2: Princeton or ten would have been a more interesting option

408
00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:34,680
Speaker 2: in the first round. So Swain might go nuts here

409
00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:38,080
Speaker 2: to keep Yale in it for a bit. But I

410
00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:41,639
Speaker 2: think produced Bigs too many advantages, and then the rebounding

411
00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:44,360
Speaker 2: they should dominate. So I think Purdue rolls here. I'm

412
00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:47,840
Speaker 2: laying it, and I have them advancing to the Sweet

413
00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:50,760
Speaker 2: sixteen in Milwaukee. Probably have decent fan base there.

414
00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:51,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you.

415
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Speaker 3: I have a pretty chalky bracket in general, but definitely

416
00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:57,800
Speaker 3: chalky here. Pretty advancing to speed sixteen, I think they

417
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:01,000
Speaker 3: demolished Yale. The Bigs just have shot up front for

418
00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:03,600
Speaker 3: the Bulldogs. I think Yale's only hope for success is

419
00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:07,159
Speaker 3: if if Swain goes bananas. However, I think Painters going

420
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:10,600
Speaker 3: to put ivy on him and eliminate a lot of

421
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Speaker 3: that risk of him having a repeat heroic performance that

422
00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:16,159
Speaker 3: we saw in the IVY Championship. The other route for

423
00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:18,879
Speaker 3: Yale to maybe compete is but ball pressure. The Regards

424
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,600
Speaker 3: are actually pretty athletic like. For as much size as

425
00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:23,199
Speaker 3: they lack of proNT they do have a pretty athletic

426
00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:25,960
Speaker 3: backcourt that really like gives them a huge edge in

427
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,480
Speaker 3: the IVY and actually could give them an edge in

428
00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:30,919
Speaker 3: this matchup if you know, Given we just saw Purdue

429
00:19:31,080 --> 00:19:34,119
Speaker 3: caugh up the rock against iowas pressure and iOS pressure

430
00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:36,560
Speaker 3: is turned into a different animal. I'm not saying Yale

431
00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:38,520
Speaker 3: can replicate that, but James Jones is a smart coach.

432
00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:40,639
Speaker 3: He's probably looking at that game and thinking, hmm, you know,

433
00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:43,960
Speaker 3: I need to do something sort of gimmicky to try

434
00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:45,960
Speaker 3: and flip the odds in my favorite. Yeah, so I

435
00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:49,159
Speaker 3: think you can see something really quirky coming out of

436
00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:51,920
Speaker 3: James Jones bag of tricks, some sort of pressure inducing

437
00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:53,840
Speaker 3: thing to make guys not named j and IVY handle

438
00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:55,800
Speaker 3: the ball. But again that's a reach. I think Yale

439
00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:57,760
Speaker 3: one's by twenty five thirty easily.

440
00:19:57,800 --> 00:19:59,600
Speaker 2: All right, let's go on to the bottom half of

441
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,480
Speaker 2: the time. Iri East Uh the last pot these kids

442
00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:05,560
Speaker 2: we played in Indianapolis, Murray State. You would think they their

443
00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:10,040
Speaker 2: fans travel extremely well for the OVC Conference tournament. Soon

444
00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:13,400
Speaker 2: you're getting You'll get a pretty good uh contingent of

445
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:16,280
Speaker 2: Mary State fans here in Indianapolis, along with Kentucky fans.

446
00:20:16,320 --> 00:20:19,480
Speaker 2: Bluegrass State will be well represented. They'll take on San Francisco.

447
00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:23,000
Speaker 2: Really disappointed in this matchup. We're taking out two really

448
00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,439
Speaker 2: good mid majors that had a potential to make a run.

449
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:31,280
Speaker 2: Murray State is excellent. They ran through the OVC. They

450
00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:37,240
Speaker 2: haven't lost since Auburn. They have a very dynamic duo

451
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:39,800
Speaker 2: in kJ Williams Tevin Brown.

452
00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:40,280
Speaker 1: Uh.

453
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:44,439
Speaker 2: San Francisco great guards as well. Major question here. They're big,

454
00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:47,800
Speaker 2: is potentially hind and they say he's gonna play, but

455
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:50,080
Speaker 2: that could be. You know, that's one of the strengths

456
00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:52,960
Speaker 2: of San Francisco. They really strengthen their their front line,

457
00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:55,720
Speaker 2: but maybe they're not a full strength I keep going

458
00:20:55,720 --> 00:21:00,320
Speaker 2: back forth with one a million times. Yeah, any any

459
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:02,080
Speaker 2: clarity you can offer? No.

460
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:04,199
Speaker 3: I the more I've thought about it, I'm sort of

461
00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:09,000
Speaker 3: trying to take the devil's advocate view against Murray State.

462
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:11,520
Speaker 3: Like the more I think about it, I look at

463
00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:13,800
Speaker 3: their season this year and also a little bit last year.

464
00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 3: Not that that's completely relevant, but two of their kJ

465
00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:20,000
Speaker 3: Williams and Tevin Brown some of the core is still back,

466
00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:22,840
Speaker 3: and that team was someone of an unmitigated disaster last season.

467
00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:25,399
Speaker 3: Now they're at a different level, obviously helped by the

468
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:28,280
Speaker 3: transfer portal. You look at what they've done this year.

469
00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 3: I think they got people's attention because they beat Memphis,

470
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:32,880
Speaker 3: and by the way, they beat Memphis at a time

471
00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:35,640
Speaker 3: that Memphis was in disarray, and they made every shot

472
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:37,760
Speaker 3: out of the sun Night game. Then they ran through

473
00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:43,359
Speaker 3: a historically bad OVC team or OVC not the same

474
00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:46,120
Speaker 3: every year, and the matchups they had issues with what

475
00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:48,000
Speaker 3: morehead right, like a team that could actually match their

476
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 3: size and lessons, and they still took care of business

477
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:50,560
Speaker 3: all three times.

478
00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:51,800
Speaker 1: Give them credit for that.

479
00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:53,440
Speaker 3: But the more you look at it, the more I

480
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:55,200
Speaker 3: think this team maybe not as invincible as I was

481
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,800
Speaker 3: initially thinking. And I know that Todd Golden and the

482
00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:00,480
Speaker 3: USF staff is going to have something cooked up to

483
00:22:00,560 --> 00:22:04,600
Speaker 3: attack whatever matchup edge that pops on tape. I haven't

484
00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:07,359
Speaker 3: found that edge, so a lot of things now that

485
00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:09,359
Speaker 3: they've thought more about it a point toward USU. But

486
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:12,680
Speaker 3: you mentioned off the top there without knowing masolski status.

487
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:14,520
Speaker 3: I can't back it because he's so important to what

488
00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:18,080
Speaker 3: they do on both ends. Just like that physical presence

489
00:22:18,119 --> 00:22:21,959
Speaker 3: up front. He is critical in a matchup against kJ Williams,

490
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:23,800
Speaker 3: who can dominate if he's out potentially.

491
00:22:24,080 --> 00:22:25,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean yeah, when you look at the schedule,

492
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:27,159
Speaker 2: I kind of like that angle. I mean, they beat

493
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:30,760
Speaker 2: Chattanooga at home early in the year. They went on

494
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:32,280
Speaker 2: a run late. I mean the game was tied with

495
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 2: ten to go. They have some good three point variants

496
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 2: that game.

497
00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:37,680
Speaker 1: They've done a lot of the late game runs.

498
00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:40,239
Speaker 3: I mean they have some spurt ability, as muscmle likes

499
00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:41,840
Speaker 3: to say, which again I don't want to take credit

500
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 3: away from them, but I think it's relevant context.

501
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:46,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, Chatt Mungo who got in on a prayer three point?

502
00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:49,520
Speaker 2: Are there only other? But I really like Chatmiga. But

503
00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:51,200
Speaker 2: the only other winner of our turn of team is

504
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:54,199
Speaker 2: when Memphis was in disarray. So yeah, the schedule was

505
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:58,240
Speaker 2: certainly favorable, So maybe I like I like that angle.

506
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:02,840
Speaker 2: Trust in the San Francisco coaching staff to get it done,

507
00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:06,120
Speaker 2: because I was going back and forth there. Kentucky Saint

508
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:08,720
Speaker 2: Peters the last game we'll talk about in the East.

509
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:11,080
Speaker 2: Kentucky out to seventeen and a half eighteen point fair

510
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:14,240
Speaker 2: Saint Peter's surprise team came out of the X when people,

511
00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 2: including myself, what it was gonna be. Iona they've been

512
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 2: a covering machine.

513
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 1: Yes, they had seventeen and.

514
00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:21,000
Speaker 2: Four, seventeen and four I think against the seventeen four

515
00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:23,320
Speaker 2: and two against the spread or something like that in

516
00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:26,719
Speaker 2: twenty twenty two. Their defense is incredible. They'll pressure you,

517
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:30,080
Speaker 2: the top five press rate of Alterney fields. They'll extend

518
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:31,400
Speaker 2: their pressure because they have one of the best rim

519
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:35,480
Speaker 2: defenders in the defo in the country. And he's not

520
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:38,119
Speaker 2: like the seven footer, but he is really strong at

521
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:41,760
Speaker 2: the rim. Their offense a lot to be desired. When

522
00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:43,240
Speaker 2: I look their offense, I need to live on the

523
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:44,840
Speaker 2: offensive glass. I need to get to the line. Kentucky

524
00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:47,640
Speaker 2: doesn't really fail and they're gonna do well on the boards.

525
00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 2: Kentucky X in the ninth percentile against the press, but

526
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 2: about one hundred possessions. We mentioned some of their injuries

527
00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:56,919
Speaker 2: to their guards when they were playing like LSU or

528
00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,679
Speaker 2: other teams, right, I think that's skewing that stat. But

529
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:02,680
Speaker 2: can Peters do enough to stay with inside this number?

530
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:03,000
Speaker 1: I don't.

531
00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:05,680
Speaker 2: I think the talent gap is too big. Yeah, big,

532
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:09,600
Speaker 2: oh is just a different step up in class inside

533
00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:12,639
Speaker 2: for that Peters interior. But can Peters stay within this

534
00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:14,879
Speaker 2: number or do you think this is a Kentucky statement game.

535
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 1: Let's say you yeah, I'm on Kentucky.

536
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:18,280
Speaker 3: I don't feel as confident as I do in the

537
00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 3: Purdue Yale favorite large favorite route here, but I do

538
00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:24,359
Speaker 3: think Kentucky gets over the number. Saint Peter's can be

539
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:26,520
Speaker 3: more of a thorn in the side just in how

540
00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:28,800
Speaker 3: they play. They're going to play slow on offense, and

541
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 3: I think they have a lot of length and can

542
00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:34,800
Speaker 3: have itc and just disrupt you defensively. However, Kentucky could

543
00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:37,200
Speaker 3: shoot what forty free throws in this game, like realistically,

544
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:39,800
Speaker 3: so if they're making free throws, they can kind of

545
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:41,800
Speaker 3: this could be a death by a thousand paper cuts

546
00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:44,080
Speaker 3: sort of cover if you're back in Big Blue Nation.

547
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 3: I look at Saint Peter's run. You mentioned the cover

548
00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:49,399
Speaker 3: street that they just went on through the end of

549
00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:51,720
Speaker 3: second half of the season. They had a lot of

550
00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 3: fortuitus shooting luck best three point shooting team in the

551
00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 3: MAC and then the best opponent three point shooting percentage.

552
00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,560
Speaker 3: They don't really I guess both of them those numbers

553
00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:02,840
Speaker 3: feel a little bit fluky to me. I know, they

554
00:25:02,840 --> 00:25:04,360
Speaker 3: don't shoot a lot of three, so it's a low

555
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:06,960
Speaker 3: volume number, but I think there's a little bit of

556
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,399
Speaker 3: fortune in that ats surge, so to speak. I think

557
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:12,399
Speaker 3: they're in tier defenses for real, but some of that

558
00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:16,159
Speaker 3: outside shooting disparity is a little bit precarious.

559
00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:16,880
Speaker 1: I guess do you.

560
00:25:16,840 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 2: Have one team in mary So we're assuming if Kentucky

561
00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:22,640
Speaker 2: moves on. Now do is the set up a semi

562
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,040
Speaker 2: high number for such a low total. But you make

563
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:27,399
Speaker 2: a point about the free throws, I mean, and Kentucky

564
00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:28,880
Speaker 2: doesn't shoot a lot of threes. I think that they're

565
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:32,760
Speaker 2: the least three point line team in the field, which

566
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:34,879
Speaker 2: could help you if you're on the dog. But the

567
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 2: talent gap is pretty big here. So we'll assume Kentucky

568
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:39,560
Speaker 2: moves on. Very bold of us. But do you have

569
00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:41,920
Speaker 2: one team? I mean, you could get an all Kentucky

570
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:46,640
Speaker 2: matchup against Mary State or against Francisco, two really talented

571
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 2: and pestiman majors. Would you give one of them a

572
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:52,720
Speaker 2: better chance at upsetting Kentucky? Can you see one of

573
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:53,480
Speaker 2: them taking them down?

574
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,520
Speaker 3: I think Murray is the better shot, just on a

575
00:25:56,560 --> 00:26:01,040
Speaker 3: pure Jimmy's and Joe's personnel basis, right. I think that's

576
00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:03,840
Speaker 3: what held. Obviously, the shot making in the Memphis game

577
00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:05,760
Speaker 3: was a big reason they won, and again we talked

578
00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:09,280
Speaker 3: about that was at a different time in Memphis storyline.

579
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:12,719
Speaker 3: But that's I think the recipe for success and why

580
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 3: I think Murray can go up against anyone in the

581
00:26:14,280 --> 00:26:16,920
Speaker 3: country and not be outclassed because they have that top

582
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:21,920
Speaker 3: shelf length speed at all five positions. So yeah, I

583
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 3: give Marie a really good chance to win that game.

584
00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 3: I'll probably take Kentucky and really curious to see if

585
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:27,280
Speaker 3: that spread comes out, right, I think we see another

586
00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:30,120
Speaker 3: We made this comparison before, like the twenty eighteen Wafford

587
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,360
Speaker 3: second round game, where it's what a five point spread

588
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:34,159
Speaker 3: four and a half four and a half, right, and

589
00:26:34,240 --> 00:26:36,160
Speaker 3: it's gonna be something. I don't know, it'll be that low.

590
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:39,000
Speaker 3: It's gonna be pretty. It's gonna be less than a

591
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 3: touchdown probably, right.

592
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, maybe six, six and a half, Yeah, depending on

593
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:44,639
Speaker 2: how it's like if it's Mary Say, depending on how

594
00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:47,919
Speaker 2: they look in the first round. Yeah. I remember I

595
00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:50,280
Speaker 2: was on I was ready for Kentucky when I was

596
00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:52,320
Speaker 2: in Vegas and I had Wawford and.

597
00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:57,199
Speaker 1: Just couldn't miss it. Could make a shot, yeah, a.

598
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:00,760
Speaker 2: Shot last one the fall for the cover, but tough

599
00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:04,040
Speaker 2: way for his season to end. And then if we

600
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,359
Speaker 2: assume it's chalk in the bottom, which we do ultimately

601
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:10,280
Speaker 2: from a bracket perspective, Kentucky perdue. Now there's gonna be

602
00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:13,240
Speaker 2: variants in this game. In that big on big crime here,

603
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:17,320
Speaker 2: they just incredible bigs. She way, you know, Purdue as

604
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:19,080
Speaker 2: a pair like who's is there? Faltiable And it's one

605
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:21,040
Speaker 2: of the things that worrey about Kentucky because coach Callen was

606
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,080
Speaker 2: conservative in the country with benching guys of two thousand.

607
00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 2: In the first half of something, she may get some

608
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:27,520
Speaker 2: two you could get in Vautral early and then he's

609
00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:29,320
Speaker 2: sitting and then all of a sudden, Purdue has that

610
00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:32,040
Speaker 2: edge inside. I think the difference though, what happens there

611
00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:37,480
Speaker 2: is that Purdue perimeter defense and guards take Kentucky's guards

612
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:40,960
Speaker 2: take advantage, they advance, and I think ultimately they advanced

613
00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:41,439
Speaker 2: in a final four.

614
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,880
Speaker 3: Told you agree, Yeah, there's too many angles that Kentucky

615
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:46,439
Speaker 3: can come at you from, right Severe Wheeler Ti Ti Washington.

616
00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:49,479
Speaker 3: I think Grady as the sniper on the outside. Too

617
00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:53,120
Speaker 3: many weapons there along with your big o safety album

618
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,159
Speaker 3: front just cleaning up everything. Yeah, the Kentucky I think

619
00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:55,840
Speaker 3: beats Purdue.

620
00:27:55,920 --> 00:27:58,640
Speaker 2: All right, So final four te well, let me before

621
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:00,520
Speaker 2: I let you go, have you finally as your bracket?

622
00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:02,960
Speaker 2: Who's your final four? Most really have coming out of

623
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:04,240
Speaker 2: the East? And then did you have winning it all?

624
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's like my version eight.

625
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 3: So I have the caveat in case I change it

626
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,160
Speaker 3: by tomorrow morning subject to chains.

627
00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:11,479
Speaker 1: Thank you.

628
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,720
Speaker 3: You have to put that caveat in there. Currently have

629
00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:18,040
Speaker 3: a very heavy chalk. I took Gonzaga, Gonzaga Light aka

630
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:21,640
Speaker 3: Tommy Lloyd, and the Arizona Wildcats, so two top one

631
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:25,439
Speaker 3: seeds there. I'm taking Kansas, the third one seed in

632
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:28,520
Speaker 3: that downy south Midwest region, and I'm taking the UK

633
00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:31,160
Speaker 3: Big Blue Nation two to squeak out of the East,

634
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:34,480
Speaker 3: which again I still think is the toughest just from

635
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:37,600
Speaker 3: the depth of the top end teams in that region

636
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:39,720
Speaker 3: one through six, seven, just really good.

637
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:41,640
Speaker 2: That would be an incredible final four.

638
00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:45,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, CBS would be happy. I'm taking the Zags.

639
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:47,800
Speaker 3: I think I've taken them what like four of the

640
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:49,920
Speaker 3: last eight years or something, so obviously it's never come

641
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:52,320
Speaker 3: to fruition. But you look at they're expected, how far

642
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 3: they've gone relative expectations. They've actually been pretty good in tournament.

643
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 3: I mean, what two championship losses is not a not

644
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 3: a lots of scoff at. So yeah, zig zags for me,

645
00:28:59,120 --> 00:28:59,560
Speaker 3: what about you?

646
00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 2: I have good Zaga, Arizona, Kentucky, and we're about to

647
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,600
Speaker 2: talk about the Midwest here, but I don't have either

648
00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:09,920
Speaker 2: of the top two seats, but you have to tune

649
00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:13,960
Speaker 2: in and a crazy seats, but I have Kentucky winning

650
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 2: it all. I always with my bracket. It was my

651
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 2: original preseason future. I thought by the time March round

652
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 2: they'd be a top five team. They were tough five

653
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:23,960
Speaker 2: team earlier than I thought, and now they're fully healthy

654
00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:27,840
Speaker 2: and the region is tough. But I like some of

655
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:30,560
Speaker 2: their matchups, like they just got avoid that scare and

656
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 2: that that second game like that could be scary. But

657
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 2: I like the match up against Purdue. I think they

658
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:38,560
Speaker 2: can get by bailor if they come out of the

659
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:40,920
Speaker 2: top or U C l A. So I think that

660
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 2: their path, even though the East is loaded, I think

661
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,120
Speaker 2: that their their path to the final four is reasonable

662
00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:48,360
Speaker 2: and I think they're the best team, and I'm just

663
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:50,280
Speaker 2: sticking with my guns from the preseason, so I have

664
00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:54,080
Speaker 2: Kentucky winning it all. All right, Thank you for joining me, Matt.

665
00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:57,400
Speaker 2: Now let's talk to your partner in crime. To finish

666
00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:00,520
Speaker 2: one region up here, talk about the Midwest, our fourth

667
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:04,040
Speaker 2: and final region of our first round preview. Keep them

668
00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:05,920
Speaker 2: on Big Bets on Campus live every day of the

669
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 2: tournament this upcoming weekend, ten thirty eight Eastern on Twitter.

670
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:12,320
Speaker 2: It's Kyle A. Cuan, the three man weave Kai. How

671
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:14,240
Speaker 2: goes it? Where the excitement levels?

672
00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 1: We are?

673
00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:19,800
Speaker 2: According to some Tuesday night we are thirty something low

674
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:22,720
Speaker 2: thirty hours before Christmas.

675
00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:24,760
Speaker 4: We are, indeed, and we just had our first game

676
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 4: in the tournament with Texas A and M Corpus CHRISTI

677
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 4: and Texas Southern.

678
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 1: I was on the islanders.

679
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:32,520
Speaker 2: It was not a good reson what an awful final

680
00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 2: seven to eight minutes.

681
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 1: Unbelievable.

682
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:38,479
Speaker 4: The free throw shooting splits were ipopping for two teams

683
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:40,440
Speaker 4: that should have shot the opposite.

684
00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:42,280
Speaker 2: At Texas Southern not a good free throw shooting team.

685
00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:45,320
Speaker 2: It feels like whatever game the swack team is in

686
00:30:45,320 --> 00:30:48,560
Speaker 2: in that first four is always ugly. Yeah, ugly game

687
00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 2: to watch the times, we're gonna have much prettier viewing

688
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:54,280
Speaker 2: pleasure throughout the rest of the tournament in that one.

689
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:56,760
Speaker 2: It only gets better from here. So let's dive right

690
00:30:56,800 --> 00:31:00,920
Speaker 2: in and talk the Midwest region. Kansas the number one overall.

691
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 2: See they'll be in Fort Worth. Auburn the number two seed.

692
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 2: Unfortunately for Auburn fans, they will not be playing at

693
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:08,520
Speaker 2: Auburn Curious get your thoughts on that that we're playing

694
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:14,480
Speaker 2: in Greenville the three seed in this region. Wisconsint the

695
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 2: four seed, Providence. When I first saw that, I was like, Wow,

696
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:22,800
Speaker 2: that's Auburn has been great away from home. Wisconsin definitely overseeded,

697
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 2: Providence definitely overseeded. I was like, this is a a

698
00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 2: week top of the bracket from a seeding perspective. Was

699
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:36,000
Speaker 2: my first thoughts right when they released it. So I

700
00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:38,080
Speaker 2: actually taken into the thing you got. Elis used the

701
00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:41,080
Speaker 2: six seed offensive prompts. They just fired their coach. You know,

702
00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:44,280
Speaker 2: there's a lot Creighton just lost their point guard. You know,

703
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 2: you have Iowa States offenses just in the dumpster. There's

704
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:52,320
Speaker 2: a lot of teams that have just like, didn't that.

705
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:54,239
Speaker 2: I kind of wanted the faith. Oftentially, they're all like

706
00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:56,680
Speaker 2: in the same exact region. What were your thoughts overall

707
00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:59,480
Speaker 2: when this bracket first came out for the Midwest.

708
00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, I assume Bill self is going to send the

709
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:04,560
Speaker 4: committee a love letter or care package of some sort,

710
00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 4: because what a draw that they got. You mentioned the

711
00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 4: team's the bottom of the bracket. Heck, the team's the

712
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:12,000
Speaker 4: top of the bracket. I'm not too scared of either.

713
00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:15,240
Speaker 4: I think Kansas kind of cake walks to the final

714
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:17,480
Speaker 4: four here, or at least sets up that way on paper.

715
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's the one team that I'm super high on

716
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:24,720
Speaker 2: and history is way against me. Here is Iowa. I

717
00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:27,720
Speaker 2: took a future on Iowa about fifty seventy and fifty

718
00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:30,360
Speaker 2: to one and sixty to one two weeks ago. I

719
00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:32,320
Speaker 2: was like, this team's trending up. I'm actually a believer

720
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 2: in them and Keigan Murray, but that has proven to

721
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,840
Speaker 2: be not a good plan in the past to trust

722
00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:42,760
Speaker 2: Iowa in the NCAA tournament. I ticket you're not as

723
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 2: fond of the Hawks as I am.

724
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:49,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, Fran McCaffrey never made a Sweet sixteen. But you

725
00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:52,960
Speaker 4: know the old adage of coaches. You could go on

726
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:56,280
Speaker 4: and on about coaches who were doubted winning in the tournament.

727
00:32:56,520 --> 00:33:00,880
Speaker 4: Small sample size. I mean Jay Wright, Tony Donnett, Jay right, okay, right,

728
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:03,160
Speaker 4: they never thought he'd win a tournament game, and he

729
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 4: wins two titles, and you know, I mean they're basically

730
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:08,280
Speaker 4: in a row. So yeah, Frank could do it, and

731
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:11,040
Speaker 4: this I would seems different, right, it feels different. They

732
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:14,120
Speaker 4: play a little bit better defense. Their offense is ridiculous.

733
00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:16,720
Speaker 4: I believe in them a little bit more than I

734
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:17,120
Speaker 4: usually do.

735
00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:17,800
Speaker 1: I'll put it that way.

736
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:21,400
Speaker 2: Scott Drew, remember peace to just get hate all the time. Right, Yes,

737
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 2: the narratives can change quickly. Someone and done tournament. You

738
00:33:26,400 --> 00:33:29,479
Speaker 2: need some luck on your side. But uh yeah, we'll

739
00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 2: get to Iowa. We'll talk about potential land mines for them.

740
00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:35,120
Speaker 2: But let's start up top. Let's dive in here. Kansas

741
00:33:35,600 --> 00:33:38,000
Speaker 2: taking on Texas Southern who cares? Don't care?

742
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:39,280
Speaker 1: Yeah?

743
00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:41,040
Speaker 2: Do you want to offer any thoughts here or saying

744
00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 2: should we move on?

745
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 4: No, that's to be thoughts right now. We'll see who

746
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:46,480
Speaker 4: the line is, but probably Kansas.

747
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 2: San Diego State the eight seed taking on Creighton and nine.

748
00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:54,480
Speaker 2: I really love San Diego State. Here, ya should be

749
00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 2: a war but I think that the loss of Creton's

750
00:33:58,800 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 2: point grub will catch up to them here. You know,

751
00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:03,920
Speaker 2: San Diego Stay can really force turnovers. They're not gonna

752
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:05,360
Speaker 2: give up anything at the room, and I think the

753
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:07,520
Speaker 2: main difference. It's not like San Diego State is gonna

754
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:11,360
Speaker 2: have an open door to offense here. They can struggle

755
00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,799
Speaker 2: offensively at times, but I think the difference even if

756
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:16,760
Speaker 2: it's close laid or just key shots throughout. Maddie Bradley,

757
00:34:17,160 --> 00:34:18,840
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I think he will be the difference. What

758
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:19,600
Speaker 2: are your thoughts there?

759
00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, he's a gamer. I mean Trey Polliam, the guy

760
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:27,040
Speaker 4: can play too. It's not forget about him. Yeah, offensively late,

761
00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:29,839
Speaker 4: yes season, Yes they've gotten a little bit better. But yeah,

762
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:32,080
Speaker 4: it's a defensive game both ends. Crayton's pretty good a

763
00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:35,799
Speaker 4: defense too, but San Diego State they're on another level defensively,

764
00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:38,239
Speaker 4: second best team in the country on defense. For Kem

765
00:34:38,280 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 4: pump Uh the key here. I agree Ryan imhard. He

766
00:34:41,680 --> 00:34:44,400
Speaker 4: hasn't been a huge deal for them being on a lineup,

767
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:47,239
Speaker 4: but they haven't played anybody that really forces turnovers and

768
00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:49,560
Speaker 4: or can stop the paint, and San Diego Stay can

769
00:34:49,560 --> 00:34:50,000
Speaker 4: do both.

770
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:51,640
Speaker 1: I think they are in big trouble.

771
00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:54,680
Speaker 4: Kalf Brinner not gonna have his usual advantage here against Mensa,

772
00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:57,279
Speaker 4: who is probably the best defender in the Mountain West

773
00:34:57,280 --> 00:35:00,759
Speaker 4: in the interior. I think this set great for San

774
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:03,040
Speaker 4: Diego State. And there's one team I'm worried about for

775
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:06,239
Speaker 4: Kansas's run. It's kind of San Diego State because they

776
00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:08,520
Speaker 4: play such good defense. I think defense really goes far

777
00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:09,120
Speaker 4: on the tournament.

778
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:14,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, higher varans game because Santaegos will crawl that as well. Yes,

779
00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:17,320
Speaker 2: I mean I was like way down on Creighton, ready

780
00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:19,560
Speaker 2: to fade them into oblivion. I even faded them against Age.

781
00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:21,920
Speaker 2: They lost number. I faded them against Seaton Hall. Seaton

782
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:23,759
Speaker 2: Hall was under the third point guard in one, and

783
00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:25,560
Speaker 2: then they look better in the In the biggest service

784
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:27,680
Speaker 2: to your point, they played Marquette, a team that can

785
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:29,160
Speaker 2: press you and turn you over, and they did turn

786
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:31,440
Speaker 2: over twenty five percent, but Marquet couldn't stop them inside.

787
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:34,720
Speaker 2: Here's the thing. San Diego State can press you into

788
00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:38,240
Speaker 2: turnovers and you can't get anything at the room on them.

789
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:41,560
Speaker 2: So I think that the loss of the boycott, Bradley's

790
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:45,319
Speaker 2: gonna get his and I think that's ultimately the difference. Yeah,

791
00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:48,320
Speaker 2: San Diego State. I don't know if they have enough offense.

792
00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:48,480
Speaker 4: Now.

793
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:51,680
Speaker 2: If Bradley's just cooking, and you know he has one

794
00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:54,520
Speaker 2: of his knights where he's making everything under the sun,

795
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:57,680
Speaker 2: that's that's an eight nine that I can get behind

796
00:35:57,680 --> 00:35:59,640
Speaker 2: more so than like Seaton Hall Tea whenever Seaton Hall

797
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:04,799
Speaker 2: TCUs Arizona. So yeah, I think Kansas prevails, but San

798
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:07,799
Speaker 2: Diego State will not be comfortable and that game won't

799
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:11,920
Speaker 2: be like Kansas by eighteen. Yeah, especially I agree there,

800
00:36:11,960 --> 00:36:13,160
Speaker 2: So we're have San Diego State. It's one of my

801
00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:15,799
Speaker 2: favorite bets of the first round in the Midwest. Let's

802
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 2: move on to the bottom half of that top pot

803
00:36:18,680 --> 00:36:22,640
Speaker 2: in the Midwest. Iowa taking on Richmond. I was ten

804
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:26,520
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite here against Richmond, the Spiders

805
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:29,279
Speaker 2: who came out of the eight ten four games in

806
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:32,480
Speaker 2: four days. Really talented offensive team and a lot of

807
00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:36,600
Speaker 2: backdoor stuff. Have some good shooters, Tyler Burton the potential pro.

808
00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:39,160
Speaker 2: I don't know if they have anyone that can cover

809
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:41,040
Speaker 2: keeping Mary, but I don't know if anyone really does.

810
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:44,479
Speaker 2: Are you worried about the legs here for Richmond after

811
00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:46,520
Speaker 2: four and four? Like emotional win? Like do they just

812
00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:48,400
Speaker 2: it's like, oh, you come out of a little flat.

813
00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:51,359
Speaker 2: But you know, I was defense been better of late

814
00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:54,879
Speaker 2: and the returning team's over. Richmond won't turn the ball over.

815
00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:58,800
Speaker 2: I could see paths to offenses here for both teams,

816
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:03,479
Speaker 2: So you know, maybe this is a shootout where Iowa

817
00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:05,759
Speaker 2: could find themselves in trouble. I will also, you know,

818
00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 2: I let the potential legs like is Iowa they won

819
00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:12,040
Speaker 2: the Big Ten tournament, nice run solid with Illinois last year, right,

820
00:37:12,040 --> 00:37:13,799
Speaker 2: and then they come out and they kind of sure

821
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:16,319
Speaker 2: lay a little bit of it. Is Richmond live here?

822
00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:17,920
Speaker 2: Do you like them catching double digits? Man?

823
00:37:18,160 --> 00:37:20,800
Speaker 4: They could they could be Yeah, it's a high spread.

824
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:22,919
Speaker 4: I think double digits too much. I like the over

825
00:37:23,040 --> 00:37:25,359
Speaker 4: because to your point, the efficiency on both sides should

826
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:29,400
Speaker 4: be out the out the want zou uh. Richmond's Princeton

827
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:31,719
Speaker 4: offense could be a problem for Iowa. They're not the

828
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:33,560
Speaker 4: best defensive team, have gotten better, but they still have

829
00:37:33,560 --> 00:37:36,319
Speaker 4: their awards. I think Grant Golden is going to be

830
00:37:36,360 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 4: a bit of a challenge for Bratscha if he's playing

831
00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:41,840
Speaker 4: the five to step out on him on the perimeter.

832
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:44,440
Speaker 4: I love Gilliard and experienced guards in general.

833
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:46,640
Speaker 1: In March. He's very poised. Don't think I was going

834
00:37:46,719 --> 00:37:49,000
Speaker 1: to bother them at all the turnovers. On the other end,

835
00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:51,360
Speaker 1: You're absolutely right. No one is guarding Keegan Murray.

836
00:37:51,800 --> 00:37:54,960
Speaker 4: Richmond is not good defensively to begin with, but especially

837
00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:57,440
Speaker 4: against the guy Keegan Murray, it's a huge problem for them.

838
00:37:58,040 --> 00:38:01,160
Speaker 4: So basically Richmond just has to score to keep within ten.

839
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:03,279
Speaker 4: I like the overhear like the Spiders.

840
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:08,239
Speaker 2: Let's see Kegan Mary. Over his last thirteen games, he

841
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 2: is averaging twenty six points per game, fifty six percent

842
00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:13,720
Speaker 2: from the field, forty nine percent from three.

843
00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:16,400
Speaker 4: I mean, he's he might be the favorite now for

844
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:17,359
Speaker 4: Player of the Year right.

845
00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:18,880
Speaker 1: Over she way they talk.

846
00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:22,359
Speaker 2: About and the emergence of his brother Chris has been

847
00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:25,160
Speaker 2: one of the keys to their resurgence. I think he's

848
00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:28,279
Speaker 2: been huge because Keegan is always going to get his

849
00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:32,640
Speaker 2: but his kind of his play late in the season

850
00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:35,239
Speaker 2: I think is a big difference maker for iyweall. But yeah,

851
00:38:35,239 --> 00:38:36,880
Speaker 2: I can see Richmond having success. You're obviously, and I

852
00:38:37,160 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 2: could see this starting into a shootout, So I agree.

853
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:43,160
Speaker 2: Then here's here's a polarizing one. This is the one

854
00:38:44,080 --> 00:38:47,520
Speaker 2: thirteen Providence VERSU South Dakota State. I had a tweet

855
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:49,160
Speaker 2: I don't know what if this is fate or not.

856
00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:52,000
Speaker 2: In February twenty second, I said, when everyone was just

857
00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:54,120
Speaker 2: hating Providence and I was, and like it was just

858
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:56,040
Speaker 2: I was too I was writing stuff about a lucky

859
00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:58,799
Speaker 2: they were. I was like, man, this is going too far.

860
00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:01,520
Speaker 2: I was like, what's going to happen is Providences. I said,

861
00:39:01,560 --> 00:39:05,320
Speaker 2: Providence is going to open up as a one point

862
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:08,680
Speaker 2: favorite or underdog against South Dakota State. Somehow I nailed

863
00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:11,879
Speaker 2: the matchup and they're gonna win by forty five. Now,

864
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:16,879
Speaker 2: obviously I'm just being using hyperbole on Twitter, but wow,

865
00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:20,040
Speaker 2: it's kind of bizarre that I sweed that out. I'm

866
00:39:20,120 --> 00:39:22,360
Speaker 2: leaning Providence here and I wanted the best. South Dakota

867
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 2: stated incredible offense. This game's of Buffalo. Maybe Providence will

868
00:39:26,520 --> 00:39:28,359
Speaker 2: have a little bit more of a contingent here, But

869
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,800
Speaker 2: I don't know who's covering Nate Watson Yam and Naya

870
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:35,279
Speaker 2: who can cover Shireman who has you know, struggled a

871
00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:39,920
Speaker 2: little bit with really athletic long defenders this year. And

872
00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 2: I don't know if South Dakota saike is keep you

873
00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:45,080
Speaker 2: doing forty five percent from three the highest three point

874
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:48,640
Speaker 2: percentage single season percentage since Northern Colorado twenty twelve.

875
00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:49,200
Speaker 1: Wow.

876
00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:51,879
Speaker 2: And if it's a close game late, Providence is gonna

877
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,120
Speaker 2: find a way to win. That is what they've done

878
00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:56,840
Speaker 2: all year, and that will work here. I don't, but

879
00:39:56,920 --> 00:39:58,800
Speaker 2: I can tell you. Look, I don't even feel confident

880
00:39:58,840 --> 00:40:00,239
Speaker 2: that spreads two too, and I don't even a couple

881
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:02,080
Speaker 2: of lengths and a half. So I'm gonna be on

882
00:40:02,120 --> 00:40:08,080
Speaker 2: Profidence money line. I think you like the jack bunnies here.

883
00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:11,120
Speaker 2: I do, so maybe they can. If they lose by one,

884
00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:14,680
Speaker 2: we're both happy. But tell me why this incredible South

885
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 2: of goast at allenson very vulnerable defense but just an

886
00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:20,960
Speaker 2: incredible shooting team. Why they're going to advance?

887
00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:21,439
Speaker 1: Yeah?

888
00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:24,600
Speaker 4: Well, and talk about unprecedents in this pod here. South

889
00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:26,839
Speaker 4: dakost State has never made it out of the first round.

890
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 4: They've only been in D one since like two thousand

891
00:40:28,640 --> 00:40:30,799
Speaker 4: and six. They've lost in the first round every single year.

892
00:40:31,440 --> 00:40:33,919
Speaker 4: I think they can do it here. Obviously, you're gonna

893
00:40:33,920 --> 00:40:36,440
Speaker 4: have nerves on both sides. You said it's polarizing. If

894
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:39,160
Speaker 4: Providence wins, you're gonna get all the Providence backers touting

895
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 4: how stupid this line was and South Dakosa State wins,

896
00:40:42,160 --> 00:40:44,480
Speaker 4: Everyone's going to say, I told you so so lucky,

897
00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:48,640
Speaker 4: always overrated. I like South Dakota State because of the shooting.

898
00:40:48,960 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 4: I think it's real. There's five guys that can shoot

899
00:40:51,160 --> 00:40:52,400
Speaker 4: on the floor at all times, and all of them

900
00:40:52,440 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 4: shoot like forty percent. It's nuts. With the exception Douglas

901
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:57,960
Speaker 4: Wilson more of an inside guy. He can get in

902
00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:00,600
Speaker 4: foul trouble. I'm worried about that. I think Watson's going

903
00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:02,000
Speaker 4: to get him out of the game pretty quick. But

904
00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:04,680
Speaker 4: santh Dakota Hate has other guys. They're not going to

905
00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:06,799
Speaker 4: stop him. Would you believe it's the best defensive team

906
00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:09,479
Speaker 4: in the Summit because that they are, but they still

907
00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:12,040
Speaker 4: allow over like one point oh one points per possession.

908
00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:14,279
Speaker 4: It's not a good defensive team at all. It is

909
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:16,080
Speaker 4: kind of like Iowa Richmond. I think it's gonna be

910
00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:18,600
Speaker 4: a lot of efficiency in this game. You're right, Jared

911
00:41:18,600 --> 00:41:21,440
Speaker 4: Bidham is a killer in late game situations. Providence. I

912
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:23,680
Speaker 4: don't really want to fade them in a close to Dorham.

913
00:41:23,719 --> 00:41:24,640
Speaker 2: Dorham is so clutching.

914
00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:28,399
Speaker 4: He's like, yeah, it's ridiculous, But I'm going with South

915
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:30,319
Speaker 4: Dakota State. I gotta stick to my guns here. Hey,

916
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:32,320
Speaker 4: I kind of wanted this matchup as well during the season.

917
00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:34,239
Speaker 4: Someone put my money where my mouth is.

918
00:41:34,560 --> 00:41:37,440
Speaker 2: Fair enough, stop in your bracket? Do you South Dakota

919
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:40,480
Speaker 2: State beating Iowa or Richmond? Now, Richmond, do you have

920
00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:41,279
Speaker 2: complete casts here?

921
00:41:41,600 --> 00:41:43,799
Speaker 1: I took Iowa. I's a guy with sweet sixteen. I'm

922
00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:44,560
Speaker 1: going with fran here.

923
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 2: Love to hear it all right, let's go to the

924
00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:50,000
Speaker 2: bottom half of the Midwest. We'll start with Well, albert

925
00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:52,719
Speaker 2: is a two seed down here, and Wisconsin is the

926
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:57,640
Speaker 2: three seed. Really interesting game one, or I should say

927
00:41:57,719 --> 00:42:01,320
Speaker 2: round one matchup six eleven between two power conferencings LSU

928
00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:03,800
Speaker 2: and Iowa State. Two teams that can really struggle in

929
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:06,480
Speaker 2: the half court offensively, I always state even more so

930
00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:08,719
Speaker 2: than LSU. They put up a couple of stinkers down there,

931
00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:13,080
Speaker 2: thirty six points and forty four. These two teams cause

932
00:42:13,080 --> 00:42:14,800
Speaker 2: a lot of turnovers. They will turn it over a

933
00:42:14,840 --> 00:42:16,680
Speaker 2: lot themselves. You have the LSU, we don't have a

934
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:19,759
Speaker 2: coach Jangle now with a little aid getting canned, how

935
00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:23,839
Speaker 2: does that affect things? LSU four point favorite here over

936
00:42:23,920 --> 00:42:26,200
Speaker 2: under sitting on one twenty seven, and then you got

937
00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:28,200
Speaker 2: Wisconsin Colgate next, which we'll talk about. It's like, I

938
00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 2: don't know who's coming out of this for Yeah, it's

939
00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:32,799
Speaker 2: tough to choose, But what do you got in the

940
00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:35,920
Speaker 2: first game? LSU versus Iowa State in Milwaukee. Wisconsin obviously

941
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:37,640
Speaker 2: have a big path. What avantage?

942
00:42:38,200 --> 00:42:39,640
Speaker 4: I think it spreads a little high. I like I

943
00:42:39,680 --> 00:42:41,840
Speaker 4: always stay plus four like the under as well. To

944
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:44,080
Speaker 4: your point, it's going to be ugly. Both teams are

945
00:42:44,120 --> 00:42:46,920
Speaker 4: top six and turnover rate in the country defensively, and

946
00:42:46,960 --> 00:42:48,600
Speaker 4: both teams are in the ball over so I think

947
00:42:48,640 --> 00:42:50,759
Speaker 4: you're going to get a lot of turnovers. It's going

948
00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:52,799
Speaker 4: to be a pain to watch. No other team really

949
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:57,000
Speaker 4: good offensively either can't really shoot. Both teams really stop

950
00:42:57,040 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 4: the ball inside. I alway States not athletic, are not

951
00:43:01,160 --> 00:43:04,279
Speaker 4: more athletic than the LSU. They're certainly the underdogs in

952
00:43:04,280 --> 00:43:07,160
Speaker 4: that sense, but they play really hard and they scrap

953
00:43:07,239 --> 00:43:09,520
Speaker 4: and that's hard to measure, but you watch that team play.

954
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:13,520
Speaker 4: They're well coached. TJ Alzeberger major advantage here against nickel

955
00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:16,480
Speaker 4: Berry from a coaching perspective. In x's and o's, I

956
00:43:16,480 --> 00:43:18,200
Speaker 4: think it actually matters a bit here so I like

957
00:43:18,239 --> 00:43:18,760
Speaker 4: the Clones.

958
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:20,719
Speaker 1: I took him to advance my bracket too.

959
00:43:21,600 --> 00:43:23,800
Speaker 2: Isaiah Brocketing goes if he has a big day and

960
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:27,200
Speaker 2: it's hitting shots, then they'll be okay. If he's off,

961
00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:30,600
Speaker 2: then it's trouble. The one thing I'm worried about is

962
00:43:30,640 --> 00:43:32,919
Speaker 2: like a lot of fouls. I'm worried about the teams

963
00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:34,880
Speaker 2: getting them, teams getting it on in transitions. They're not

964
00:43:34,880 --> 00:43:36,239
Speaker 2: gona able to score in much of the half court.

965
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:38,840
Speaker 2: And because both teams turn you over, and both teams

966
00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:40,640
Speaker 2: turn it over, that might keep me off the under.

967
00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:42,160
Speaker 2: But when I first saw this matchup and looked at

968
00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:43,759
Speaker 2: this game, I was like, this is under. I mean

969
00:43:44,160 --> 00:43:47,319
Speaker 2: I always they could score forty one points, all right,

970
00:43:47,560 --> 00:43:51,720
Speaker 2: score forty five like, it could get really ugly, especially

971
00:43:51,760 --> 00:43:55,440
Speaker 2: if they're not calling it tight. So I would agree.

972
00:43:55,880 --> 00:43:57,320
Speaker 2: I wilt see you. By the way, I think they

973
00:43:57,200 --> 00:43:59,319
Speaker 2: they won a game without a coach before that will

974
00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:00,040
Speaker 2: Wade before.

975
00:43:59,880 --> 00:44:00,560
Speaker 1: Right, we did?

976
00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:02,960
Speaker 4: I think they went they made the Sweet sixteen if

977
00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:07,000
Speaker 4: I remember correctly. Yeah, so it's been done. Yeah, there's precedents.

978
00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:11,080
Speaker 2: Yeah. Their assistant he came from Malebury on head coach Howard.

979
00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:13,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, Howard, and he coached Hampton too. He did not

980
00:44:13,960 --> 00:44:17,440
Speaker 4: do well at either school, So that's okay, Yeah.

981
00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:18,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, it'll be interesting to see. I think we'll wade.

982
00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:21,000
Speaker 2: It's done a good job defensively, Like, but uls you

983
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:22,799
Speaker 2: will mix it up like they're gonna. I bet you

984
00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:25,520
Speaker 2: they they they'll use zone, they'll press. They can have

985
00:44:25,560 --> 00:44:28,560
Speaker 2: some success against Iowa State because you can zone Iowa State.

986
00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:30,239
Speaker 2: But like, does okay, when do we do?

987
00:44:30,320 --> 00:44:30,400
Speaker 1: What?

988
00:44:30,680 --> 00:44:33,040
Speaker 2: Is there continuity issues that could pop up here?

989
00:44:33,280 --> 00:44:33,480
Speaker 1: Yep?

990
00:44:33,520 --> 00:44:36,759
Speaker 2: With would seemingly a drop off from the head coach

991
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:38,960
Speaker 2: to the assistant coach and who knows if is there

992
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:42,400
Speaker 2: a rallying point or are they distracted by all this?

993
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:42,960
Speaker 2: You don't know?

994
00:44:43,840 --> 00:44:46,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, the distraction? How can they not be right? Yeah?

995
00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:52,080
Speaker 2: Man, okay, don't hate that. But the problem is, like

996
00:44:52,080 --> 00:44:53,640
Speaker 2: I don't I don't know. If I like, if you advanced,

997
00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:55,200
Speaker 2: I would say that they trust him enough to move

998
00:44:55,320 --> 00:44:58,719
Speaker 2: to the sweet sixteen. Then do you know Wisconsin is sixteen?

999
00:44:58,719 --> 00:45:00,879
Speaker 2: Because I think Wisconsin is vulnerable even know they're playing

1000
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:04,080
Speaker 2: Milwaukee against Colgate. They are seven and a half eight

1001
00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:08,120
Speaker 2: point favorite, and I think this is decent matchup for Coley.

1002
00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:11,760
Speaker 2: Colgate incredible shooters across the board. I mean Jack Ferguson,

1003
00:45:11,800 --> 00:45:12,960
Speaker 2: they all can shoot it. Go look. I mean they

1004
00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:15,600
Speaker 2: got a kid from Forget where he transferred.

1005
00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:16,280
Speaker 1: From Houston Baptist.

1006
00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:19,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's shooting like fifty percent. I mean everyone's shooting.

1007
00:45:19,440 --> 00:45:22,640
Speaker 2: This team, you know, records is they're big. It's like

1008
00:45:22,680 --> 00:45:25,080
Speaker 2: a four out around him. He's were very underrated around

1009
00:45:25,080 --> 00:45:28,200
Speaker 2: the rim, and they're not gonna get overwhelmed athletically here.

1010
00:45:28,200 --> 00:45:29,759
Speaker 2: And I think that one of the keys is that

1011
00:45:30,600 --> 00:45:32,040
Speaker 2: Johnny Davis is one of the best players in the

1012
00:45:32,040 --> 00:45:35,640
Speaker 2: country who would be a matchup edge for Wisconsin here

1013
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:39,799
Speaker 2: is potentially not fully healthy. Maybe he is, but it

1014
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:42,560
Speaker 2: can only work in Colgate's favor if he's not. So

1015
00:45:42,600 --> 00:45:44,600
Speaker 2: this game is in Milwaukee, but you got a home

1016
00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:46,440
Speaker 2: edge here, but that could end up working against them,

1017
00:45:46,440 --> 00:45:47,839
Speaker 2: like well, the nerves, you're gonna have all these other

1018
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:50,239
Speaker 2: fans that are drunk at night of Milwaukee, they're gonna

1019
00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:54,960
Speaker 2: start rooting for Colgate. Colgate. You know it's I think

1020
00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:57,680
Speaker 2: that they can shoot well enough here against the wisconsinin

1021
00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:00,520
Speaker 2: it's a way overseeded in my opinion, I've got very

1022
00:46:00,640 --> 00:46:04,600
Speaker 2: lucky all year, and they can hang athletically that's the key.

1023
00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:07,480
Speaker 2: I actually I got a little crazy. I have Colgate

1024
00:46:07,480 --> 00:46:10,120
Speaker 2: go to the sweet sixteen with them twelve to one. Also,

1025
00:46:10,480 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 2: you can find out there to go to the sweet sixteen,

1026
00:46:12,440 --> 00:46:14,759
Speaker 2: especially give it's something like the vulnerability of LSU and

1027
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:18,680
Speaker 2: Iowa State. And I think I said Wisconsin is overseeded.

1028
00:46:18,680 --> 00:46:21,920
Speaker 2: What do you see with Wisconsin Colgate? And then who

1029
00:46:21,920 --> 00:46:23,320
Speaker 2: do you have going to your sweet sixteen out of

1030
00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:25,560
Speaker 2: this little pot of chaos?

1031
00:46:25,680 --> 00:46:28,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, yeah, same reason. I like South Dakota State.

1032
00:46:29,000 --> 00:46:29,760
Speaker 3: Colgate can shoot.

1033
00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:30,200
Speaker 1: You said it.

1034
00:46:30,840 --> 00:46:33,400
Speaker 4: Every single player on this team can shoot. I like

1035
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:35,279
Speaker 4: the fact that they're not tasing then athletic team. I

1036
00:46:35,280 --> 00:46:37,320
Speaker 4: think we mentioned that today on our show. Wisconsin's not

1037
00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:40,760
Speaker 4: going to overwhelm them. That's kind of Colgate's weakness. Colgate

1038
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:42,640
Speaker 4: has also been here before. There's guys in this team

1039
00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:45,600
Speaker 4: that have been to the tournament twice for Colgate. They

1040
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:48,920
Speaker 4: were up on Arkansas last year. They hung tight with

1041
00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:51,200
Speaker 4: Tennessee two years ago. They're not gonna be intimidated by

1042
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:54,680
Speaker 4: this game. It's not a little it's not a men's

1043
00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:55,680
Speaker 4: versus boys type of game.

1044
00:46:55,719 --> 00:46:57,440
Speaker 1: This one. It's more so equally matched.

1045
00:46:57,440 --> 00:47:01,080
Speaker 4: I think between these two teams tuning sent back against Tennessee.

1046
00:47:01,560 --> 00:47:03,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, they were tinn of books a tend to go.

1047
00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:05,160
Speaker 2: They would have twelve to that and they had. They

1048
00:47:05,239 --> 00:47:07,600
Speaker 2: lost their best player, arguably the best player, or one

1049
00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:10,640
Speaker 2: of them, I should say, Sad Burns in the first

1050
00:47:10,680 --> 00:47:12,640
Speaker 2: half to an eye injury. He didn't plan the second.

1051
00:47:12,800 --> 00:47:14,600
Speaker 2: So there's a team with a lot of attorney experience,

1052
00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:16,760
Speaker 2: a lot of experience overall, and as you said, everyone

1053
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:19,480
Speaker 2: can shoot it. Their second in the nation in three

1054
00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:21,719
Speaker 2: point percentage South Dakota State, as you mentioned, his number one,

1055
00:47:21,760 --> 00:47:23,439
Speaker 2: the only teams over forty I believe again.

1056
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:25,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, so I think there's value on them.

1057
00:47:25,400 --> 00:47:27,640
Speaker 4: It's gonna be really funny to watch, man because it's

1058
00:47:27,640 --> 00:47:29,480
Speaker 4: in Milwaukee. Like you said, it's the last game of

1059
00:47:29,480 --> 00:47:32,200
Speaker 4: the night. You know, the beer's gonna be flowing. Wisconsin

1060
00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:36,280
Speaker 4: fans are going are gonna go crazy here. I'm taking

1061
00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:39,799
Speaker 4: Colgate here. I'm not as worried about Wisconsin kind of

1062
00:47:39,840 --> 00:47:42,640
Speaker 4: seizing up. They do have really experienced cards. Brad Davison.

1063
00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:44,680
Speaker 4: Pat him or love him, I mean he is a

1064
00:47:44,719 --> 00:47:47,840
Speaker 4: poised player in crunch time, and the Davis question is

1065
00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:49,960
Speaker 4: a good one. He played thirty four minutes last game,

1066
00:47:50,000 --> 00:47:53,400
Speaker 4: but three for nineteen from before. Maybe hobble, Maybe he's

1067
00:47:53,440 --> 00:47:56,000
Speaker 4: playing hurt, had a couple of days off. I tend

1068
00:47:56,080 --> 00:47:58,520
Speaker 4: to think he's fine, but still like Colgate here.

1069
00:47:58,560 --> 00:48:00,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's only something. But even if you think it's

1070
00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:02,200
Speaker 2: only something, that could work in Colgate's favor if you're

1071
00:48:02,200 --> 00:48:05,480
Speaker 2: paying right right, he can't be healthier than healthy. So

1072
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:07,360
Speaker 2: if it's healthy, I still think is a shot. But

1073
00:48:07,360 --> 00:48:10,799
Speaker 2: if he's not, this is a major upset alert because

1074
00:48:10,840 --> 00:48:14,600
Speaker 2: Wisconsin without a healthy Davis is not great. All right,

1075
00:48:14,680 --> 00:48:16,160
Speaker 2: let's move on to well, who did you have go

1076
00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:16,880
Speaker 2: to this week sixteen?

1077
00:48:16,880 --> 00:48:20,600
Speaker 4: Then I'm default into Wisconsin. I don't love it, don't

1078
00:48:20,640 --> 00:48:24,000
Speaker 4: have any team here, but default. You don't love any team.

1079
00:48:24,280 --> 00:48:27,520
Speaker 2: To fall into the favorite is the smart move, and

1080
00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:30,080
Speaker 2: then pick your battles elsewhere in the bracket. Let's move

1081
00:48:30,120 --> 00:48:33,400
Speaker 2: to the bottom pod the final four teams of the Midwest,

1082
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:38,960
Speaker 2: USC taking on Miami. Really interesting game here. One coach

1083
00:48:38,960 --> 00:48:40,760
Speaker 2: wh's had a lot of success against the spreading the tournament.

1084
00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:44,480
Speaker 2: One really excellent prep coach in Laraonega. How do you

1085
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:47,160
Speaker 2: see USC Miami playing out face of the game that's

1086
00:48:47,200 --> 00:48:49,399
Speaker 2: basically around to pick them one point?

1087
00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:52,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, USC is one of my favorite bets of the

1088
00:48:52,160 --> 00:48:56,120
Speaker 4: first round. That size edge is massive, and they have

1089
00:48:56,200 --> 00:48:59,920
Speaker 4: big guards. USC Drew Peterson six to nine guard Miami

1090
00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:02,920
Speaker 4: really really rim, attack focused. You can't really do that

1091
00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:06,719
Speaker 4: against USC's interior. I think USC's backcourt can even slow

1092
00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:10,279
Speaker 4: down their guards on the penetration Isaiah Mobi is a

1093
00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:13,160
Speaker 4: tough matchup for Miami. Miami's defense is the worst in

1094
00:49:13,200 --> 00:49:16,080
Speaker 4: the Layernega Era. So even though USC is not a

1095
00:49:16,120 --> 00:49:18,480
Speaker 4: great offensive team, I think they find ways to score here.

1096
00:49:18,960 --> 00:49:20,640
Speaker 4: So I really like USC. I need to just bottle

1097
00:49:20,719 --> 00:49:22,319
Speaker 4: up Miami on the defensive end.

1098
00:49:22,520 --> 00:49:24,200
Speaker 2: One of the things that I would be worried about

1099
00:49:24,600 --> 00:49:30,480
Speaker 2: with USC is you know, USC is say there, I

1100
00:49:30,520 --> 00:49:32,880
Speaker 2: would say I would take their defense over their offense.

1101
00:49:33,160 --> 00:49:37,200
Speaker 2: They're not gonna like bury a team generally speaking, and

1102
00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:40,879
Speaker 2: you know, craziness ensues in the tournament, and Miami's had

1103
00:49:40,880 --> 00:49:46,120
Speaker 2: some crazy finishes. And if Miami's down, like you know,

1104
00:49:46,440 --> 00:49:51,759
Speaker 2: four to six late and they start fouling or just

1105
00:49:51,800 --> 00:49:55,400
Speaker 2: throughout the game, USC free throws are a problem in

1106
00:49:55,520 --> 00:49:58,879
Speaker 2: a game, you know, in a tournament setting, that might

1107
00:49:58,920 --> 00:50:00,360
Speaker 2: I don't know if to bite them this for round,

1108
00:50:00,560 --> 00:50:05,200
Speaker 2: but that is a major issue for the Trojans. I'm

1109
00:50:05,200 --> 00:50:08,680
Speaker 2: still undecided on that one, but it's good to hear

1110
00:50:08,719 --> 00:50:13,520
Speaker 2: that you love it. It'll factor into my process. The

1111
00:50:13,560 --> 00:50:15,560
Speaker 2: winner of that game, who you think is USC, will

1112
00:50:15,560 --> 00:50:18,040
Speaker 2: take on the winner of Auburn Jacksonville State. If you

1113
00:50:18,040 --> 00:50:22,439
Speaker 2: want to get crazy, I would look at Jacksonville State

1114
00:50:22,640 --> 00:50:25,359
Speaker 2: as like I'm talking extremely crazy, like you just want

1115
00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:27,680
Speaker 2: to have a bracket right, just because I think this

1116
00:50:27,719 --> 00:50:29,640
Speaker 2: game will have a ton of three point barants. Jacksonville

1117
00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:32,359
Speaker 2: State is gonna their only course of offense here. They

1118
00:50:32,360 --> 00:50:34,040
Speaker 2: have four guys who can really shoot the lights out

1119
00:50:34,040 --> 00:50:37,840
Speaker 2: of the ball, and then they will. They're very packed in,

1120
00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:39,560
Speaker 2: they're gonna get a lot of defensive rebound, which is

1121
00:50:39,560 --> 00:50:41,880
Speaker 2: important against Auburn, and they're gonna but they give up

1122
00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:43,680
Speaker 2: a ton of three. So if they're falling for Auburn,

1123
00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:46,319
Speaker 2: good night. Auburn wins this game by thirty. But if

1124
00:50:46,320 --> 00:50:48,600
Speaker 2: Auburt's chucking up a lot of bad shots and Jacksonville

1125
00:50:48,600 --> 00:50:50,359
Speaker 2: State as their guards doing, it's not a great three

1126
00:50:50,360 --> 00:50:53,480
Speaker 2: point shooting team. And Jacksonville State, who I think pretty commits,

1127
00:50:53,520 --> 00:50:55,680
Speaker 2: they're gonna slow this game down to a crawl or

1128
00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:57,839
Speaker 2: walk the ball at the court, which is weird because

1129
00:50:57,840 --> 00:51:00,320
Speaker 2: I go back and forth this because if Auburn speeds

1130
00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:02,680
Speaker 2: this game up, because there's turn of issues for Jacksonville State.

1131
00:51:02,880 --> 00:51:04,640
Speaker 2: Maybe Jacksonville State, like they got out to get out

1132
00:51:04,640 --> 00:51:05,799
Speaker 2: of the a Sun and they have a lot of

1133
00:51:05,840 --> 00:51:07,759
Speaker 2: like athletes and they're actually in the ninety nine percent

1134
00:51:07,800 --> 00:51:10,919
Speaker 2: tile in transition offense. But they played to play slow,

1135
00:51:10,920 --> 00:51:12,239
Speaker 2: and I think, do you want to slow this one up?

1136
00:51:12,520 --> 00:51:13,880
Speaker 2: It's going back and forth on that one, but I

1137
00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:15,480
Speaker 2: think there'll be a ton of threes in this game.

1138
00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:17,960
Speaker 2: And Auburn hasn't been great their guards just to play

1139
00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:21,000
Speaker 2: a ratic away from home. At home, they're an absolute monster.

1140
00:51:21,040 --> 00:51:24,080
Speaker 2: But this isn't on the road, and Auburn obviously probably

1141
00:51:24,080 --> 00:51:26,920
Speaker 2: the best rim defense in the country, a lot of talent,

1142
00:51:27,160 --> 00:51:29,680
Speaker 2: just the erratic guards. You have a first round draft

1143
00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:33,120
Speaker 2: pick if Walker Kessler defending the rim. Jacksonville State didn't

1144
00:51:33,120 --> 00:51:34,640
Speaker 2: win their coffers or didn't get their conference title. In

1145
00:51:34,680 --> 00:51:38,560
Speaker 2: there here as the automatic entry, poor Belloman, what do

1146
00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:41,880
Speaker 2: you see in this one? Auburn sixteen point favor.

1147
00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:44,680
Speaker 4: That's kind of what I like your narrative of Jacksonville

1148
00:51:44,680 --> 00:51:47,080
Speaker 4: State wins. All the talk of they didn't even win

1149
00:51:47,080 --> 00:51:49,440
Speaker 4: their conference tournament. They shouldn't even be here in the moments.

1150
00:51:49,719 --> 00:51:54,360
Speaker 4: Funny baby, Yeah, second round. This is the best chance

1151
00:51:54,400 --> 00:51:56,200
Speaker 4: you have at a fifteen seat upset in my opinion,

1152
00:51:56,280 --> 00:51:58,680
Speaker 4: just based on how the twos and fifteen stacked out.

1153
00:51:58,840 --> 00:52:01,960
Speaker 4: Because your point, Axonvill State's gonna dare Auburn to shoot

1154
00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:06,000
Speaker 4: threes and you can bet Wendell Green Katie Johnson they're

1155
00:52:06,000 --> 00:52:08,160
Speaker 4: going to oblige. They're going to jack up so many

1156
00:52:08,160 --> 00:52:10,040
Speaker 4: shots that they're off like they were against Texas A

1157
00:52:10,080 --> 00:52:13,759
Speaker 4: and M. Yeah, Jacksonville State's gonna hang tight. They also

1158
00:52:13,760 --> 00:52:15,880
Speaker 4: have this in the middle of Brandon Huffman, a former

1159
00:52:15,960 --> 00:52:19,080
Speaker 4: UNC player Carolina. Yeah, he's big, He's not going to

1160
00:52:19,120 --> 00:52:21,640
Speaker 4: score a bunch, but he can maybe slow Keslo down

1161
00:52:21,640 --> 00:52:23,840
Speaker 4: a little bit. He can maybe be a force inside,

1162
00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:26,320
Speaker 4: maybe keep av off the glasses somewhat. There's no matchup

1163
00:52:26,320 --> 00:52:30,239
Speaker 4: for Jabari Smith, but again that erratic guard play and

1164
00:52:30,280 --> 00:52:34,200
Speaker 4: you're right again, a low possession game. I think Jacksonville

1165
00:52:34,200 --> 00:52:36,359
Speaker 4: State's really going to try to slow it down here.

1166
00:52:36,680 --> 00:52:38,640
Speaker 4: Fifteen and a halves a lot of points.

1167
00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:42,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, I'm looking at Jacksonville State there as well.

1168
00:52:43,680 --> 00:52:47,600
Speaker 2: We have nine to fifteen seats have won in the

1169
00:52:47,719 --> 00:52:50,960
Speaker 2: NCAA tournament. Doesn't happen often, but I think this is

1170
00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:54,400
Speaker 2: the one that you would want to. Tappened twice in

1171
00:52:54,400 --> 00:52:56,800
Speaker 2: the last five or six months. We saw it Middle

1172
00:52:56,800 --> 00:53:01,040
Speaker 2: Tennessee beat in Michigan State or Roberts last year Ohio State.

1173
00:53:01,960 --> 00:53:03,719
Speaker 2: But yeah, they're gonna play three two, They're gonna play

1174
00:53:03,719 --> 00:53:05,239
Speaker 2: the three twos. They're gonna pack it all the way in. So,

1175
00:53:05,280 --> 00:53:06,880
Speaker 2: I mean Smith, they have no matchup for him, but

1176
00:53:06,920 --> 00:53:10,200
Speaker 2: they're gonna make him two jumpers, crash the defensive glass

1177
00:53:10,200 --> 00:53:13,200
Speaker 2: and walking up the court shoot three themselves. If Auburn's off,

1178
00:53:13,400 --> 00:53:16,400
Speaker 2: that's one could get interesting, all right, bottom half have

1179
00:53:16,440 --> 00:53:18,960
Speaker 2: Wisconsin were luckily going through them, like we're you know,

1180
00:53:18,960 --> 00:53:20,640
Speaker 2: we're saying Auburn might be I mean, who do you

1181
00:53:20,640 --> 00:53:21,960
Speaker 2: have coming out of here to go to the elite

1182
00:53:21,960 --> 00:53:23,200
Speaker 2: eight from the bottom half.

1183
00:53:23,040 --> 00:53:25,120
Speaker 4: Again, I defaulted to the high seed. I defaulted to

1184
00:53:25,200 --> 00:53:29,080
Speaker 4: Auburn because they're good. Is among the best in the country. Yeah,

1185
00:53:29,080 --> 00:53:31,640
Speaker 4: if they're on, they can win the national title. So

1186
00:53:31,680 --> 00:53:34,160
Speaker 4: I'm kind of hoping they start to swing back towards that.

1187
00:53:34,480 --> 00:53:36,279
Speaker 4: Got a coach in Bruce Pearl, who didn't even mention

1188
00:53:36,360 --> 00:53:37,760
Speaker 4: he's been to the Final four before.

1189
00:53:38,440 --> 00:53:40,600
Speaker 1: He has what it takes. He knows what it takes

1190
00:53:40,600 --> 00:53:41,279
Speaker 1: to make it that far.

1191
00:53:41,440 --> 00:53:44,640
Speaker 4: So I did take Auburn out of that bottom region,

1192
00:53:44,800 --> 00:53:46,240
Speaker 4: about bottom part of the region.

1193
00:53:46,680 --> 00:53:48,080
Speaker 1: I got Kansas going to the final four.

1194
00:53:48,120 --> 00:53:48,359
Speaker 4: Though.

1195
00:53:48,520 --> 00:53:50,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the two hardest the lead eight selections

1196
00:53:50,880 --> 00:53:52,720
Speaker 2: are from that, so you might just want to default

1197
00:53:52,760 --> 00:53:56,239
Speaker 2: of the favor and then I'm the West the you know, Alabama,

1198
00:53:56,280 --> 00:54:01,680
Speaker 2: Texas Tech, Duke, there's some land minds there, you know, Rutgers.

1199
00:54:01,680 --> 00:54:04,120
Speaker 2: If they get like Alabama is just that high variant team.

1200
00:54:04,120 --> 00:54:06,520
Speaker 2: If they're hitting threes and they can shoot against Texas Tech.

1201
00:54:06,560 --> 00:54:10,400
Speaker 2: Texas Tech is probably the biggest, the steadiest team. Duke's

1202
00:54:10,440 --> 00:54:12,400
Speaker 2: the most talented. They have defensive issues, but I mean

1203
00:54:12,440 --> 00:54:14,239
Speaker 2: they seem like Alabama. Texas Tech doesn't want to see

1204
00:54:14,239 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 2: them misses every three, but they're gonna make you shoot threes.

1205
00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:19,000
Speaker 2: And Albabma's gonna shoot a million threes, and that they

1206
00:54:19,000 --> 00:54:22,000
Speaker 2: were in they could be Texas Tech. Uh problem is

1207
00:54:22,040 --> 00:54:23,880
Speaker 2: round because it was the Bruckers. I mean, there was

1208
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:25,520
Speaker 2: a difficult one for me to pick the lead it

1209
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:27,480
Speaker 2: as well as Albert, so it might be smartest just

1210
00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:30,239
Speaker 2: to go with the chalk and unless you want to

1211
00:54:30,239 --> 00:54:32,759
Speaker 2: get crazy and pick Jackson will State over Auburn. But

1212
00:54:32,800 --> 00:54:35,640
Speaker 2: I think that's the highest variance two verse fifteen game,

1213
00:54:35,640 --> 00:54:36,759
Speaker 2: which is if you want to pick one of these

1214
00:54:36,800 --> 00:54:39,960
Speaker 2: two verse fifteens, they happened like once every couple of years.

1215
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:43,520
Speaker 2: I think that's the one the target, all right, So

1216
00:54:44,360 --> 00:54:46,600
Speaker 2: I spoiler out of Iowa coming out of this and

1217
00:54:46,680 --> 00:54:48,240
Speaker 2: a lot of it's I have two futures of Kentucky

1218
00:54:48,239 --> 00:54:50,080
Speaker 2: in of Iowa, and I just stick with them. That's

1219
00:54:50,080 --> 00:54:53,000
Speaker 2: what I do, unless you know so I'm sticking with

1220
00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:55,160
Speaker 2: my futures. I think Iowa Kansas will be an incredible game,

1221
00:54:56,200 --> 00:54:59,560
Speaker 2: and I think that it can go either way. I

1222
00:54:59,560 --> 00:55:01,720
Speaker 2: think on see that game would be like Kansas minus

1223
00:55:01,960 --> 00:55:05,640
Speaker 2: two as of right now, and I will have a

1224
00:55:05,640 --> 00:55:07,840
Speaker 2: good shot to win it. Hopefully I doesn't disappoint me

1225
00:55:07,880 --> 00:55:10,080
Speaker 2: before then. But I have Iowa coming out going to

1226
00:55:10,120 --> 00:55:15,719
Speaker 2: the final four, and I have them taking on Arizona.

1227
00:55:16,160 --> 00:55:17,840
Speaker 2: Maybe I'll get crazy and put them in the final.

1228
00:55:17,840 --> 00:55:21,120
Speaker 2: I have Kentucky winning. It doesn't matter. But I still

1229
00:55:21,160 --> 00:55:24,440
Speaker 2: haven't pennsil did my other favorite yet. But I just

1230
00:55:24,640 --> 00:55:26,760
Speaker 2: why not have both your futures meet in the title

1231
00:55:26,800 --> 00:55:29,439
Speaker 2: and then win a bracket pool. If it's Iover's Kentucky,

1232
00:55:29,880 --> 00:55:33,400
Speaker 2: why not just go for it all, no diversification whatsoever.

1233
00:55:33,480 --> 00:55:36,720
Speaker 2: So we'll say, how about your final four title matchup

1234
00:55:36,719 --> 00:55:37,200
Speaker 2: and champion.

1235
00:55:37,280 --> 00:55:39,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, I like the waynes world make a happy ending.

1236
00:55:39,440 --> 00:55:42,919
Speaker 4: You got there the Iowa Kentucky future. There, I went

1237
00:55:43,040 --> 00:55:45,600
Speaker 4: pretty pretty chalky, I would say. And that's kind of

1238
00:55:45,680 --> 00:55:49,600
Speaker 4: usually my my my forte I've done up since in

1239
00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:51,880
Speaker 4: the past hasn't worked out for me. Got to too

1240
00:55:51,960 --> 00:55:54,600
Speaker 4: cute with stuff. But I got Kansas over Auburn in

1241
00:55:54,640 --> 00:55:56,919
Speaker 4: the Midwest. I think their path is just too good

1242
00:55:56,920 --> 00:56:00,360
Speaker 4: to pass up. Kate Ku from the South, I actually

1243
00:56:00,360 --> 00:56:03,000
Speaker 4: have Billanova. I have been beating Houston, so I did

1244
00:56:03,040 --> 00:56:06,279
Speaker 4: to take Houston over Arizona. I'm a big believer in

1245
00:56:06,280 --> 00:56:09,800
Speaker 4: the Cougar is very underseated compared to analytics. Got Gonzaga

1246
00:56:09,880 --> 00:56:12,480
Speaker 4: coming out of the West over Texas Tech, and I

1247
00:56:12,480 --> 00:56:15,080
Speaker 4: got Kentucky coming out of the East over Baylor. I

1248
00:56:15,200 --> 00:56:19,040
Speaker 4: got Gonzag over Kansas in the finals. Mark few Tuttndom

1249
00:56:19,080 --> 00:56:20,560
Speaker 4: the nuts love it.

1250
00:56:20,960 --> 00:56:23,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I went with Mike strategy my bracket. I kind

1251
00:56:23,960 --> 00:56:26,440
Speaker 2: of did the same thing every year. Obviously it's future's

1252
00:56:26,480 --> 00:56:28,760
Speaker 2: influence because I mean I also believe in those teams

1253
00:56:29,160 --> 00:56:31,520
Speaker 2: generally speaking compared to the market. But I have like

1254
00:56:31,960 --> 00:56:33,960
Speaker 2: I like to have, like two ones do here in

1255
00:56:34,000 --> 00:56:37,279
Speaker 2: Arizona and Gonzaga, a two or three, and then like

1256
00:56:37,320 --> 00:56:41,280
Speaker 2: a four or five that comes from a weaker region.

1257
00:56:42,080 --> 00:56:44,080
Speaker 2: So I would fit that mole because I have a

1258
00:56:44,080 --> 00:56:46,040
Speaker 2: future of them. I believe in them, and I think

1259
00:56:46,080 --> 00:56:51,040
Speaker 2: the Midwest is the most vulnerable region from you know,

1260
00:56:51,120 --> 00:56:55,000
Speaker 2: one through five or six with and I was included

1261
00:56:55,000 --> 00:56:57,000
Speaker 2: in that with the other teams in the one through six,

1262
00:56:57,520 --> 00:56:59,959
Speaker 2: so I will vie with their But like your final,

1263
00:57:00,280 --> 00:57:02,360
Speaker 2: I wish you lucked, my friend. Thanks for all the insight.

1264
00:57:03,239 --> 00:57:06,279
Speaker 2: Thanks also to Matt Cox for joining me to talk

1265
00:57:06,320 --> 00:57:11,160
Speaker 2: the East bracket. Both of our college basketball NCAA Tournament

1266
00:57:11,360 --> 00:57:13,759
Speaker 2: Round one previews one and two are both out now

1267
00:57:13,800 --> 00:57:15,600
Speaker 2: Big Bets on campus. Wherever you listen to podcast, make

1268
00:57:15,600 --> 00:57:18,720
Speaker 2: sure you subcribe on Subscribe subscribe. Hope you enjoyed the content,

1269
00:57:18,920 --> 00:57:22,760
Speaker 2: Hopefully it helps you with your bracket and find some winners.

1270
00:57:23,320 --> 00:57:25,960
Speaker 2: Enjoy the madness, and we will see you ten thirty

1271
00:57:26,000 --> 00:57:28,240
Speaker 2: Aemies or Big Bets on campus live every day the

1272
00:57:28,240 --> 00:57:30,880
Speaker 2: tournament this weekend. Myself and the guys from Three Men

1273
00:57:30,960 --> 00:57:34,760
Speaker 2: week including Kai to try and help you guide you

1274
00:57:34,840 --> 00:57:36,880
Speaker 2: threw the cards each day, so thanks for listening again,

1275
00:57:37,000 --> 00:57:39,840
Speaker 2: good luck, enjoy the madness. Christmas is almost here. We'll

1276
00:57:39,880 --> 00:57:40,880
Speaker 2: see you over the weekend.