WEBVTT - It Pays to Invest in Your Vices

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carole Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanibek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. This next guest we actually

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<v Speaker 1>caught up with in Dallas last month at the b

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<v Speaker 1>N y Mail and Pershing Insight twenty two conference. We

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<v Speaker 1>talked about investing what's often called vice company. So great

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<v Speaker 1>to have back with us. Dan Aaron's is managing director

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<v Speaker 1>and portfolio manager at Advisor Shares in Investments. Joining us

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<v Speaker 1>from Dallas. Dan, how are you. I'm doing well. Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>for having me on again. Guys, Well, it's great to

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<v Speaker 1>have you back. My first question is did you get

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<v Speaker 1>COVID at that event? Because I did, Oh, I did not.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry that makes two of us. Dan, I'm glad

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<v Speaker 1>to hear that you were okay after that, because Carol

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<v Speaker 1>came back from Texas with a little gift that ended

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<v Speaker 1>up lessing what aryl about a month. Yeah, I ended

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<v Speaker 1>up with back to back COVID because I had a

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<v Speaker 1>rebound case. Um. It was not fun, but it was

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<v Speaker 1>so fun that we got to meet and catch up

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<v Speaker 1>with you, UM and talk a little bit about vice investing.

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<v Speaker 1>We've been checking out some of your e t F

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<v Speaker 1>they're actively managed. They invest in things like cannabis. There's

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<v Speaker 1>a handful of them. Uh, there's also psychedelics, there's hotel,

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<v Speaker 1>there's restaurants. They've all had a pretty good month overall.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell us about your world and if you're seeing inflows

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<v Speaker 1>into these funds and how you're thinking about them in

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<v Speaker 1>today's current environment. Certainly, and there's UM quite a few

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<v Speaker 1>different funds that we have, but a lot of people

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<v Speaker 1>have been interested in, you know, investing in certain themes.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a good thing you can do in e t

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<v Speaker 1>F And you know, we've always espoused a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>about investing in vice and what it really means though,

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<v Speaker 1>is just investing in people's habits, investing in what people

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<v Speaker 1>do no matter what the stock markets doing or no

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<v Speaker 1>matter what the economy is doing. And that's why there's

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<v Speaker 1>probably some more eyeballs on our types of funds because

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<v Speaker 1>the Fed's raising rates. There's all this talk about is

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<v Speaker 1>it a recession, is it not a recession, or are

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<v Speaker 1>they moving the goal line? But but Danner, eyeballs meaning

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<v Speaker 1>that people are actually investing money in your funds. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so um, you know, we think people should be looking

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<v Speaker 1>at the vice investments now forment for investment. Our cannabis

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<v Speaker 1>funds have once again been seeing some inflows, some movement

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<v Speaker 1>in this past month, and that might be what you're

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<v Speaker 1>referring to. So um, you know, a few different things

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about here, But we've always said that alcohol,

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<v Speaker 1>even tobacco stocks, things like gaming. So these are things

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<v Speaker 1>that have long history of weathering difficult times or rough

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<v Speaker 1>markets historically. They've done it for decades, holding up better

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<v Speaker 1>in recessionary or or rough times. I can't say they're

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<v Speaker 1>always going to go up when the market is going

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<v Speaker 1>down or anything crazy like that, but they have a

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<v Speaker 1>long history of holding up. What is now, Dann, I

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<v Speaker 1>want to jump in here because we don't have a

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<v Speaker 1>ton of time, and I'm really curious about consumer behavior.

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<v Speaker 1>It's something that I've been taking a lot about because

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<v Speaker 1>the consumer is absolutely in charge when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>this economy. But I get what you're saying about tobacco.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean it's, after all, it's addictive, so you know,

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<v Speaker 1>in a recessionary times and it's held up. Um, alcohol,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering do people trade down because we've been hearing

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<v Speaker 1>about from Walmart, for example, that people are trading down

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to generics versus name brands. I'm wondering

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<v Speaker 1>if we see that type of behavior when it comes

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<v Speaker 1>to vices we commonly do. Now it's been too short term.

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<v Speaker 1>We don't really have the statistics yet for what's going

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<v Speaker 1>on right now. But what we'll typically see, um, Actually,

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<v Speaker 1>in the last few years, craft bears have been very hot,

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<v Speaker 1>and craft liquors, a lot of your smaller batch designer

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<v Speaker 1>alcohols have been more in vogue. But if things last,

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<v Speaker 1>if we actually go into a real recession, um, what

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<v Speaker 1>you're gonna see is more of the middle brands and

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<v Speaker 1>more of the mass produced beer holding up better than

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<v Speaker 1>some of the other things. We might see, as you said,

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<v Speaker 1>some people trading down from the from the higher end liquors.

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<v Speaker 1>That's true when I asked about psychedelics, because we recently

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<v Speaker 1>in Bloomberg Pursuits did a whole thing on magic mushrooms.

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<v Speaker 1>The entire Pursuit section last week dedicated to it. It's

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<v Speaker 1>pretty remarkable, right, and talks about the psychic psychedelics, but

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<v Speaker 1>also consumer products. Um, what else we talk about alternative

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<v Speaker 1>meats based off of funky and you know the root

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<v Speaker 1>of mushroom. Really interesting stuff happening in the space. So

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<v Speaker 1>what are you seeing and what's I'm curious about the

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<v Speaker 1>opportunities for you since it's actively managed, are you finding

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<v Speaker 1>more opportunities companies publicly held to actually invest in. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>a few years ago, it wouldn't have been possible to

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<v Speaker 1>have a psychedelics ets like we do. UM that ticker

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<v Speaker 1>symbol p SILL, which is short for psilocybin. But now

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<v Speaker 1>there are enough companies to invest in. But I want

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<v Speaker 1>to stress the people, it's still a very small fund.

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<v Speaker 1>These are microcap stocks, but we have a whole handful

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<v Speaker 1>listed on the New York Stock Exchange or more often

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<v Speaker 1>on NASDAC. But people need to understand investing in a

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<v Speaker 1>psychedelics company is it's a lot different than cannabis that

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<v Speaker 1>we also invest in psychedelics. We're talking about real biotech

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<v Speaker 1>pharmaceutical companies here doing real research on mental health treatments

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<v Speaker 1>that can be used with all sorts of psychedelics. Psilocybin

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<v Speaker 1>mushrooms is the most common, but brain injury, PTSD, depression. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>We know that a lot of those drugs have been

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<v Speaker 1>overprescribed by big pharma, and I think this is a

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<v Speaker 1>good solution. Yeah, we've definitely covered that in the magazine

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week. Um, Dan, thanks so much. Dan Aaron's managing director,

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<v Speaker 1>portfolio manager Advisor shares Investments. This is Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. I don't know if you noticed it, Tim,

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<v Speaker 1>You probably did because you watch this closely. Bitcoin and Ether,

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<v Speaker 1>the world's two largest digital tokens, headed toward their best

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<v Speaker 1>month since I'm in a revival of risk capatite and

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<v Speaker 1>global markets and optimism about an Ethereum network upgrade. I

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<v Speaker 1>saw this and I thought to myself, talk about, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>correlation between US equity markets, because yeah, risk on and

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's certainly what we're seeing. I'm interested what

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<v Speaker 1>we hear from Doug Schwank. Though our next guests CEO

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<v Speaker 1>at Digital Asset Research. They provide crypto data, clean crypto

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<v Speaker 1>data for institutions. We should not that Bloomberg did announce

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<v Speaker 1>a partnership with Digital Asset Research back in June to

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<v Speaker 1>provide terminal users with clean crypto pricing. Doug, good to

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<v Speaker 1>have you with us. How are you great? How are

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<v Speaker 1>you doing pretty well? Thanks? Well, I want to start

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<v Speaker 1>with pricing and what Carol mentioned that we're seeing the

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<v Speaker 1>best month in what Carol about a year for Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>for for bitcoin and for for ether um. Is this

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<v Speaker 1>just risk on? Is that what it is? Well, I

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<v Speaker 1>think we're looking at the coming ethereum merge where we

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<v Speaker 1>go to a proof of steak. That's really I think

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest story in the near term. Obviously there's a

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<v Speaker 1>huge macro impact here as well. Um the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>the FED is raising rates um as people expect basis

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<v Speaker 1>points yesterday. I think that's a big part of the story.

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<v Speaker 1>Can you can you? I just want to follow up

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<v Speaker 1>on that and have you explained proof of steak versus

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<v Speaker 1>proof of work for audience if they haven't been following

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<v Speaker 1>this closely. Yeah, So historically um ethereum and today um

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<v Speaker 1>ethereum validates transactions with proof of work. So there are minors.

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<v Speaker 1>You may have heard about this with bitcoin. It's it's

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<v Speaker 1>uh both bitcoin ethereum. It's the way that uh that

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<v Speaker 1>people in a decentralized network agree on transactions. So proof

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<v Speaker 1>of of work involves solving a math puzzle to agree

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<v Speaker 1>on what the right solution to it to um that

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<v Speaker 1>puzzle is, and then if there's enough consensus as it

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<v Speaker 1>as it were, the the word is consensus that that

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<v Speaker 1>suggests what UM will what we will all agree are

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<v Speaker 1>the right transactions to validate on the network. Proof of

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<v Speaker 1>work is a much more um kind of computer intensive

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<v Speaker 1>algorithm versus proof of steake, where we're going to see

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<v Speaker 1>people um uh put their assets at risk. So I'm

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<v Speaker 1>going to stake some assets and if I can confirm

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<v Speaker 1>transactions on the network, If I say, look, this ethereum

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<v Speaker 1>transaction goes through because it's it's a valid transaction, I

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<v Speaker 1>put my assets at risk. And if I am wrong

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<v Speaker 1>and I validate transactions that are nefarious, then I'll lose

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<v Speaker 1>some amount of my assets. So proof of steak is

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<v Speaker 1>a is a much more UM. It's much more driven

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<v Speaker 1>by what I put at risk instead of do I

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<v Speaker 1>solve the right math problem and and uh and therefore

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<v Speaker 1>confirmed the right transactions. So you're all about First of all,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a bunch of us who are like, okay, man,

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<v Speaker 1>I gotta google more and understand this. I mean, it's funny.

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<v Speaker 1>I did a future of Money panel at b and

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<v Speaker 1>y Mail and Pershing Insight in June. Tim and I

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<v Speaker 1>were there and we were talking, and I had a

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<v Speaker 1>bunch of crypto experts, you really understand this, And they said,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the language where we are in this whole

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<v Speaker 1>world is very very early on and and there's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're kind of learning and finding our way Doug on this,

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<v Speaker 1>including the terminology UM and and so we're kind of

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<v Speaker 1>learning as we go. But but you talk about clean

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<v Speaker 1>crypto pricing, and that's what you're getting to. I assume, well,

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<v Speaker 1>we think about pricing coming from those who are transacting data.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's a little bit different than the validation,

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<v Speaker 1>the proof of work, proof of mistake, you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>the ethere emerge. We pull prices from the likes of

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<v Speaker 1>a coin base or kracking or or similar types of exchanges,

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<v Speaker 1>and we just we try to clean up those because

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<v Speaker 1>in a it's a very unregulated world, and when the

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<v Speaker 1>when exchanges are unregulated, we see some bad behavior. And

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<v Speaker 1>so when we think about like wash trading or u

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<v Speaker 1>K email issues or other types of things, we just

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<v Speaker 1>want to make sure that the price that people see

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<v Speaker 1>is is a high quality price. And and we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>from people like Michael Saylor is micro Strategy micro Strategy. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>he said, look, I can't rely on what I see

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<v Speaker 1>out there, and that's been in the Wall Street Journal,

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<v Speaker 1>has been on Bloomberg, has been in other places. Look,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we want to make sure that when people

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<v Speaker 1>are relying on a price, they know that it's a

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<v Speaker 1>high quality. I mean, that's what happens when they're different

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<v Speaker 1>exchanges selling sort of the same thing, right, Doug, I mean, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>we do. We only have a minute left, but I

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<v Speaker 1>want to get your take on this because Carol and

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<v Speaker 1>I were talking about this ahead of the interview, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's just I think a lot of this is so

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<v Speaker 1>confusing for the end consumer, and I wonder if if

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<v Speaker 1>that is a barrier to adoption. That plus the volatility

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<v Speaker 1>that we've seen over the last year. Is that a

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<v Speaker 1>barrier to the adoption in the industry and just have

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<v Speaker 1>about thirty seconds. Of course, it is a big barrier,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think there's lots of help that we could

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<v Speaker 1>see from you know, from regulator regulators and uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the congressional and other leaders who could bring kind of

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<v Speaker 1>clarity to some of these issues and help us with

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<v Speaker 1>UM a better UM framework for for prices. But absolutely

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<v Speaker 1>it's a huge barrier. Well, we'll be sure to continue

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<v Speaker 1>this conversation with you, Doug in the future. Dutch Wan

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<v Speaker 1>Key's chief executive officer at our Digital Asset Research. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a provider of crypto asset data and research. This is

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes

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<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. It's all about the climate.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to talk about the author of a book

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<v Speaker 1>about climate restoration, a different way of really protecting our

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<v Speaker 1>environment and really making a difference. Yeah, I get you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's interesting, Carol. We talked about technologies that can actually

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<v Speaker 1>help us avoid a catastrophe when it comes to climate change.

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<v Speaker 1>And the author who's going to be joining us in

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<v Speaker 1>just a second. Your Fakowski argues that there are actually

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<v Speaker 1>technologies out there that are safe and effective in reducing

0:13:06.200 --> 0:13:08.599
<v Speaker 1>carbon Yeah, this is an interesting dude. He's an m

0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:12.720
<v Speaker 1>I T. Educated physicist and engineers worked for NASA. Uh.

0:13:12.720 --> 0:13:15.960
<v Speaker 1>He's also worked at the fair Child Slumbers, a AI

0:13:16.280 --> 0:13:19.480
<v Speaker 1>intel lab in Paladato, California. So he looks at this

0:13:19.520 --> 0:13:21.880
<v Speaker 1>from a very it sounds like scientific way. So let's

0:13:21.880 --> 0:13:24.400
<v Speaker 1>get to Peter. He joins us now via zoom from

0:13:24.440 --> 0:13:27.320
<v Speaker 1>Los Altos, California. Peter, it is good to have you

0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:31.360
<v Speaker 1>here with us. We've only got a certain amount of time. Climate.

0:13:31.400 --> 0:13:33.360
<v Speaker 1>Anything with the climate is a big topic that you

0:13:33.400 --> 0:13:36.360
<v Speaker 1>could spend hours on. Tell us about your thesis. What

0:13:36.559 --> 0:13:42.080
<v Speaker 1>is climate restoration? Well, climate restoration is very interesting. It's

0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:45.640
<v Speaker 1>the it's the goal of restoring a climate that humans

0:13:45.640 --> 0:13:49.160
<v Speaker 1>have actually survived long term, and so it's much more

0:13:49.280 --> 0:13:52.680
<v Speaker 1>radical than the conventional thinking of trying to reduce the damage.

0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:56.760
<v Speaker 1>It's Uh, it's the engineering idea of we want to

0:13:56.800 --> 0:14:01.000
<v Speaker 1>restore what works for human beings, and it turns out

0:14:01.080 --> 0:14:04.839
<v Speaker 1>that we have the technology and the finance to do it.

0:14:05.120 --> 0:14:07.400
<v Speaker 1>We just need to start talking about it because we've

0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:10.120
<v Speaker 1>been talking about a much worse schal What's interesting is

0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:13.480
<v Speaker 1>I've never heard of this technology that you argue we

0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:18.319
<v Speaker 1>have right now. Ocean pasture restoration, for example, synthetic limestone manufacture,

0:14:18.400 --> 0:14:22.760
<v Speaker 1>seaweed permaculture, and methane oxidation. These are the four technologies

0:14:22.800 --> 0:14:25.160
<v Speaker 1>you say that can help us get us there. Let's

0:14:25.160 --> 0:14:28.440
<v Speaker 1>start with ocean pasture restoration. How does it work? Yeah,

0:14:28.640 --> 0:14:31.360
<v Speaker 1>so the four methods. First of all, the reason that

0:14:31.440 --> 0:14:33.640
<v Speaker 1>you haven't heard about them is that we haven't had

0:14:33.640 --> 0:14:36.200
<v Speaker 1>a goal of restoring the climate yet. These have all

0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:40.480
<v Speaker 1>been around for quite a while. UM ocean pastor restoration

0:14:40.840 --> 0:14:45.720
<v Speaker 1>also called ocean iron fertilization. It is this the same

0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:50.320
<v Speaker 1>process that nature uses to uh to cool the planet

0:14:50.440 --> 0:14:54.240
<v Speaker 1>before ice ages, and so nature removes a trillion tons

0:14:54.240 --> 0:14:57.360
<v Speaker 1>of CEO two before for each ice age. There have

0:14:57.440 --> 0:15:00.640
<v Speaker 1>been ten in the last million years, and we know

0:15:00.640 --> 0:15:03.760
<v Speaker 1>how to do the same thing. And the idea is, uh,

0:15:04.080 --> 0:15:08.440
<v Speaker 1>we all know that photosynthesis, like trees, absorbed c O two.

0:15:08.640 --> 0:15:10.880
<v Speaker 1>But the trouble with trees, of course, is that they

0:15:10.920 --> 0:15:13.720
<v Speaker 1>end up dying after a few decades and the carbon

0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:16.520
<v Speaker 1>goes back into the air when the trees rock in

0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:20.480
<v Speaker 1>the ocean. When plants grow, they sink and so and

0:15:20.520 --> 0:15:23.400
<v Speaker 1>then there's no oxygen in the deep ocean, and so

0:15:23.480 --> 0:15:26.640
<v Speaker 1>the carbon. They take the carbon with them as they

0:15:26.880 --> 0:15:28.640
<v Speaker 1>and of course a lot of the plants are eaten

0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:32.320
<v Speaker 1>by fish and all the detritus sinks into the deep ocean.

0:15:32.880 --> 0:15:37.160
<v Speaker 1>And as I said, that's how nature uh cool the

0:15:37.160 --> 0:15:40.520
<v Speaker 1>planet for our ice ages. And so the way this operates,

0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:44.040
<v Speaker 1>and it was tested ten years ago. It was tested

0:15:44.080 --> 0:15:51.560
<v Speaker 1>also by mont Pinitubo thirty years ago. Um is uh local,

0:15:51.760 --> 0:15:56.000
<v Speaker 1>it's localized, and it's intermittent. So you do it. They

0:15:56.040 --> 0:15:58.960
<v Speaker 1>do it in eddies which are about a hundred miles

0:15:58.960 --> 0:16:02.720
<v Speaker 1>in diameter in the ocean. And uh, the eddie contains

0:16:02.760 --> 0:16:06.000
<v Speaker 1>the iron. The iron is phenomenally small amount. It's like

0:16:06.040 --> 0:16:10.600
<v Speaker 1>a hundredth of a teaspoon per square meter. And um,

0:16:10.640 --> 0:16:14.480
<v Speaker 1>within days it turns green from blue. Blue is beautiful,

0:16:14.480 --> 0:16:17.160
<v Speaker 1>but it's not green. Green is where you have photosynthesis.

0:16:17.560 --> 0:16:21.480
<v Speaker 1>And then within another week or so fish start coming

0:16:21.480 --> 0:16:25.960
<v Speaker 1>in and feeding on there on the the luncheon counter there,

0:16:26.760 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 1>uh and and off you go. When it was tested

0:16:30.280 --> 0:16:33.360
<v Speaker 1>they were told that they just a question of a

0:16:33.480 --> 0:16:36.480
<v Speaker 1>hundred million tons of CEO two. That sounds like a

0:16:36.520 --> 0:16:40.960
<v Speaker 1>lot what's interesting is, you know, and we're gonna continue

0:16:40.960 --> 0:16:42.840
<v Speaker 1>the conversation just a moment and maybe talk about some

0:16:42.880 --> 0:16:44.480
<v Speaker 1>of the other methods and just got about a minute

0:16:44.520 --> 0:16:46.280
<v Speaker 1>here and then we'll continue on the other side of

0:16:46.320 --> 0:16:49.120
<v Speaker 1>the break. But I do wonder at the same time,

0:16:49.240 --> 0:16:52.360
<v Speaker 1>do we not also though you need to think about

0:16:52.360 --> 0:16:57.840
<v Speaker 1>reducing our carbon footprint? Yes, we absolutely do? Well, yes

0:16:57.920 --> 0:17:00.760
<v Speaker 1>or no, that we we need to reduce our carbon footprint.

0:17:00.760 --> 0:17:03.800
<v Speaker 1>Worrying is really less effective than doing it, and so

0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:07.000
<v Speaker 1>I focus on just do it. Uh. You know, I'm

0:17:07.000 --> 0:17:09.320
<v Speaker 1>planning to have an electric car be my next car

0:17:09.359 --> 0:17:12.879
<v Speaker 1>when my current car wears out, and I think probably

0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:15.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the people listening are already planning on that,

0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:20.080
<v Speaker 1>so that transition is happening, but we haven't been thinking

0:17:20.119 --> 0:17:24.480
<v Speaker 1>about actually restoring the climate. And especially for our young listeners,

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:29.160
<v Speaker 1>plan on being around rather than giving up the ghosts,

0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:31.080
<v Speaker 1>because if you plan on being around, then you'll pay

0:17:31.080 --> 0:17:34.040
<v Speaker 1>attention to these big four solutions. And I want to

0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:37.840
<v Speaker 1>continue with that and talk seaweed permaculture and exactly what

0:17:37.880 --> 0:17:41.560
<v Speaker 1>it is and how it gets carbon out of the ecosystem. Yeah,

0:17:41.720 --> 0:17:48.160
<v Speaker 1>seaweed perma culture is a variation on on the iron fertilization.

0:17:48.400 --> 0:17:53.000
<v Speaker 1>So as I said, Uh, the important thing in the

0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:56.359
<v Speaker 1>ocean is when you grow plants, when they die, they

0:17:56.400 --> 0:17:59.439
<v Speaker 1>sink is no oxygen and the oxygen stays out. And

0:17:59.560 --> 0:18:03.000
<v Speaker 1>with sea permaculture, the for the nutrients that are missing

0:18:03.280 --> 0:18:05.359
<v Speaker 1>are brought up from the deep ocean in a large

0:18:05.400 --> 0:18:09.960
<v Speaker 1>pipe solar powered, takes very very little energy, and then um,

0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:14.440
<v Speaker 1>the seaweed grows. Some of the seaweed is used, is

0:18:14.440 --> 0:18:18.840
<v Speaker 1>actually harvested and sold for products, some of which sell

0:18:18.960 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 1>for a thousand dollars a ton um. And uh, probably

0:18:23.640 --> 0:18:27.280
<v Speaker 1>half the seaweed ends up falling deep into the ocean. Uh,

0:18:27.320 --> 0:18:29.719
<v Speaker 1>some of it cut, some of it just naturally falling.

0:18:30.400 --> 0:18:34.840
<v Speaker 1>And it's fairly simple. The difficulty is you've got they

0:18:34.880 --> 0:18:40.040
<v Speaker 1>build a structure that this the help grows on and

0:18:40.040 --> 0:18:44.200
<v Speaker 1>and that takes some technology. But just like the the

0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:49.280
<v Speaker 1>iron fertilization, it's that's a commercial product, and so so

0:18:49.760 --> 0:18:52.560
<v Speaker 1>it pays for itself a peter you spent it. It's

0:18:52.560 --> 0:18:56.040
<v Speaker 1>a commercial product. Let's talk an end there, because I'm wondering,

0:18:56.080 --> 0:18:59.000
<v Speaker 1>if this is so effective, where's the money in it?

0:18:59.040 --> 0:19:01.399
<v Speaker 1>And I asked in the you know, the question not

0:19:01.480 --> 0:19:03.879
<v Speaker 1>in a cynical way, but in a way that motivates

0:19:03.880 --> 0:19:06.520
<v Speaker 1>companies to do this to make sure that we have

0:19:06.560 --> 0:19:12.719
<v Speaker 1>a future. Yes, it's an interesting challenge because uh you know,

0:19:12.760 --> 0:19:17.440
<v Speaker 1>of the we have are the four pathways, and they're

0:19:17.480 --> 0:19:21.600
<v Speaker 1>all self financing. UM and this is the same model

0:19:21.680 --> 0:19:25.040
<v Speaker 1>that put a c O two into the air. That is,

0:19:25.240 --> 0:19:28.240
<v Speaker 1>we had companies selling us heat and energy which had

0:19:28.280 --> 0:19:33.840
<v Speaker 1>a byproduct putting CEO two. Up with these four products,

0:19:33.880 --> 0:19:42.440
<v Speaker 1>the the UH, the seaweed, the limestone, the ocean fertilization

0:19:42.480 --> 0:19:44.800
<v Speaker 1>which leads to fish. You get product which has a

0:19:44.880 --> 0:19:49.120
<v Speaker 1>byproduct of pulling CEO two out. Right now, the challenge

0:19:49.160 --> 0:19:51.800
<v Speaker 1>is UM and this is something that we're dealing with

0:19:51.920 --> 0:19:55.080
<v Speaker 1>right now, is we're afraid to list these on the

0:19:55.240 --> 0:19:57.800
<v Speaker 1>on the open market because the customers I can say,

0:19:57.840 --> 0:20:01.440
<v Speaker 1>wait a minute, my U retirement depends on it. And

0:20:02.000 --> 0:20:04.240
<v Speaker 1>so we want to make sure that people doing this

0:20:04.560 --> 0:20:09.280
<v Speaker 1>are primarily interested in restoring the climate for our children

0:20:09.359 --> 0:20:12.479
<v Speaker 1>and grandchildren a second really interested in making money. Well,

0:20:12.520 --> 0:20:14.640
<v Speaker 1>it almost sounds like you've got to have governments involved

0:20:15.480 --> 0:20:19.439
<v Speaker 1>who recognize these methods and before it gets too late.

0:20:19.480 --> 0:20:22.719
<v Speaker 1>Peter Fakowski, thank you so much. Founder uh In Germany,

0:20:22.800 --> 0:20:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Meritus a foundation for climate restoration. Check out his book

0:20:25.440 --> 0:20:28.199
<v Speaker 1>that has got the title of climate restoration in it.

0:20:28.880 --> 0:20:36.119
<v Speaker 1>I'm roc journal. Yeah, but you let me drive? Oh no,

0:20:36.119 --> 0:20:44.159
<v Speaker 1>no, no no home leave, I'll do. I want to drive.

0:20:45.080 --> 0:20:51.080
<v Speaker 1>It's good question to drive. This is the drive to

0:20:51.160 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 1>the globe coming down on Bluebird Radio. All right, everybody,

0:20:57.119 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 1>tick talk just about tidn't happen. It's left in today's

0:21:01.080 --> 0:21:03.119
<v Speaker 1>trading sessions and we are getting ready to wrap up

0:21:03.119 --> 0:21:06.760
<v Speaker 1>the day, wrap up the week. It's been a trade

0:21:06.880 --> 0:21:08.880
<v Speaker 1>wrap up the month, and we know it's been an

0:21:08.960 --> 0:21:11.520
<v Speaker 1>unbelievable one for equities. Ever. All yeah, it's been pretty

0:21:11.520 --> 0:21:13.440
<v Speaker 1>remarkable for the S and p F foundered up eight

0:21:13.480 --> 0:21:17.199
<v Speaker 1>point three percent this month. The nasdak uh can posit

0:21:17.280 --> 0:21:20.600
<v Speaker 1>up eleven percent this month. Still not positive for the year,

0:21:20.680 --> 0:21:23.240
<v Speaker 1>but what a difference just a month. Makes really curious

0:21:23.240 --> 0:21:24.800
<v Speaker 1>to hear what Jimmy Lee has to think about it.

0:21:24.800 --> 0:21:26.760
<v Speaker 1>He's the founder and CEO of the Wealth Consulting Group.

0:21:26.800 --> 0:21:29.320
<v Speaker 1>They've got two point nine billion dollars in assets under management,

0:21:29.320 --> 0:21:31.080
<v Speaker 1>and I would imagine after a rally in the last

0:21:31.119 --> 0:21:32.960
<v Speaker 1>couple of days that number has gone up a little

0:21:33.000 --> 0:21:35.960
<v Speaker 1>bit Jimmy joining us on the phone from Las Vegas. Jimmy,

0:21:35.960 --> 0:21:40.160
<v Speaker 1>how are you? I'm great and good afternoon. Yeah, good

0:21:40.160 --> 0:21:42.320
<v Speaker 1>afternoon to YouTube. So the big question that that Carol

0:21:42.359 --> 0:21:44.439
<v Speaker 1>and I have been asking each other off air and

0:21:44.480 --> 0:21:46.479
<v Speaker 1>asking our guests on air has been is this is

0:21:46.520 --> 0:21:48.439
<v Speaker 1>just a bear market rally because we're getting so much

0:21:48.480 --> 0:21:53.080
<v Speaker 1>conflicting data here. Well, I'm a little surprised that we've

0:21:53.080 --> 0:21:56.119
<v Speaker 1>had such a strong run with equities. You're not the

0:21:56.160 --> 0:22:00.119
<v Speaker 1>only one, yeah, without having a better inflation pread at

0:22:00.200 --> 0:22:03.880
<v Speaker 1>least one. But as I've been saying for the last

0:22:03.920 --> 0:22:05.800
<v Speaker 1>few months, I think that we could be in for

0:22:05.840 --> 0:22:08.240
<v Speaker 1>a strong fourth quarter. It looks like we're getting it

0:22:08.240 --> 0:22:11.200
<v Speaker 1>a little bit earlier. So what I think has changed

0:22:11.520 --> 0:22:14.719
<v Speaker 1>is that maybe while the consumer sentiment is still awful,

0:22:14.960 --> 0:22:18.280
<v Speaker 1>just horrible, I think investor sentiment may have changed, and

0:22:18.320 --> 0:22:20.919
<v Speaker 1>maybe instead of selling into the rallies, it's gonna be

0:22:20.960 --> 0:22:24.040
<v Speaker 1>more about buying into the dips Again, who do you

0:22:24.080 --> 0:22:28.400
<v Speaker 1>believe consumers are investors? And some of the economic data

0:22:28.440 --> 0:22:30.479
<v Speaker 1>points I will point out that we've talked about certainly

0:22:30.480 --> 0:22:33.680
<v Speaker 1>today are Michael McKee, who follows a global economics says,

0:22:33.720 --> 0:22:35.200
<v Speaker 1>you know a lot of the state is backward looking.

0:22:35.280 --> 0:22:38.080
<v Speaker 1>You have to remember that markets tend to be forward looking.

0:22:38.119 --> 0:22:40.240
<v Speaker 1>So I'm just curious when you look at it. And

0:22:40.240 --> 0:22:42.199
<v Speaker 1>then let's throw the bond market into it. You know,

0:22:42.240 --> 0:22:45.720
<v Speaker 1>that tenure, I feel like comfortably staying below that three mark.

0:22:45.760 --> 0:22:50.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean, how do you kind of you know, size

0:22:50.480 --> 0:22:55.240
<v Speaker 1>each of them against one another. It's very confusing, and

0:22:55.400 --> 0:22:58.359
<v Speaker 1>especially with the bond market. But I think that the

0:22:58.359 --> 0:23:02.520
<v Speaker 1>consumer is still strong. I think in certain areas of

0:23:02.560 --> 0:23:06.080
<v Speaker 1>the economy, such as housing, other areas have been you

0:23:06.119 --> 0:23:07.800
<v Speaker 1>know that we're just bit up so high. I think

0:23:07.840 --> 0:23:11.480
<v Speaker 1>obviously we're seeing uh pullbacks there, which is great. I

0:23:11.480 --> 0:23:13.919
<v Speaker 1>think it's healthier to get that in some of these

0:23:13.920 --> 0:23:16.880
<v Speaker 1>sectors that were so hot. But you know, I think

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:20.639
<v Speaker 1>that again, I've been talking about record cash balances with

0:23:20.720 --> 0:23:23.159
<v Speaker 1>the consumer, which we know makes up the majority of

0:23:23.160 --> 0:23:24.680
<v Speaker 1>our U S economy, And so as long as the

0:23:24.680 --> 0:23:28.719
<v Speaker 1>consumer keep spending and businesses um can also invest down

0:23:28.760 --> 0:23:31.440
<v Speaker 1>the road. So you know, I think that's that's the key,

0:23:31.440 --> 0:23:34.000
<v Speaker 1>as consumers need to continue to continue spending in And

0:23:34.200 --> 0:23:37.280
<v Speaker 1>one thing that you know, I've been noticing over the

0:23:37.359 --> 0:23:40.000
<v Speaker 1>last several months is that not just the consumer, but

0:23:40.200 --> 0:23:44.200
<v Speaker 1>major investors were so bearish. It's been a long time

0:23:44.240 --> 0:23:47.479
<v Speaker 1>since I felt that so many investors, professional investors were

0:23:47.520 --> 0:23:49.760
<v Speaker 1>so barish that it made me feel like we could

0:23:49.800 --> 0:23:52.439
<v Speaker 1>have been kind of sneering the bottom. And here we

0:23:52.480 --> 0:23:55.040
<v Speaker 1>are with the nice bounds we have seen that and

0:23:55.080 --> 0:23:57.000
<v Speaker 1>our been Signella has written about this. Tim we talked

0:23:57.000 --> 0:23:59.760
<v Speaker 1>about it. Um that the U S personal savings rate

0:23:59.800 --> 0:24:02.920
<v Speaker 1>is a acentage of disposable income has been dropping steadily

0:24:03.400 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 1>since the pandemic, while revolving credit we're talking about credit

0:24:06.560 --> 0:24:09.800
<v Speaker 1>card debt has been steadily rising. Jimmy, doesn't that maybe

0:24:09.800 --> 0:24:11.679
<v Speaker 1>borrow that at some point that's gonna all come home

0:24:11.720 --> 0:24:15.200
<v Speaker 1>to roost. You know, as long as we don't go

0:24:15.240 --> 0:24:17.919
<v Speaker 1>into a royal recession, UM, I think will be okay.

0:24:18.000 --> 0:24:21.600
<v Speaker 1>So sure, those statistics are not good, um, and there

0:24:21.640 --> 0:24:24.959
<v Speaker 1>was a lot of money still is floating around our economy.

0:24:25.119 --> 0:24:27.800
<v Speaker 1>But um, as long as we don't lose major lots

0:24:27.800 --> 0:24:31.400
<v Speaker 1>of jobs across the board, across you know, industries, I think,

0:24:31.600 --> 0:24:33.240
<v Speaker 1>I think we're gonna be all right. And so I think,

0:24:33.600 --> 0:24:35.199
<v Speaker 1>you know, on the long end of the bond market

0:24:35.320 --> 0:24:38.960
<v Speaker 1>is predicting kind of a weak economy. Um, I think

0:24:39.000 --> 0:24:40.359
<v Speaker 1>what we could be set up for is a very

0:24:40.440 --> 0:24:42.959
<v Speaker 1>volatile third quarter. So maybe we end up, you know,

0:24:43.240 --> 0:24:46.520
<v Speaker 1>getting some sell off off these recent gains, some profit

0:24:46.600 --> 0:24:49.560
<v Speaker 1>taking from traders. But I think in the fourth quarter

0:24:50.040 --> 0:24:54.240
<v Speaker 1>we've got some catalysts such as potentially Ukraine. Um, we've

0:24:54.280 --> 0:24:56.320
<v Speaker 1>got the FED, which is the biggest one. So if

0:24:56.359 --> 0:24:59.080
<v Speaker 1>the Fed, you know, at some point when they say

0:24:59.119 --> 0:25:01.520
<v Speaker 1>that they're gonna pause, my guess is that the markets

0:25:01.520 --> 0:25:04.159
<v Speaker 1>were gonna be up fifteen by then, which can be

0:25:04.160 --> 0:25:09.440
<v Speaker 1>getting close to now, but that could be a lows

0:25:09.440 --> 0:25:13.320
<v Speaker 1>from the lows, which obviously we're we're pretty close to now, um,

0:25:13.359 --> 0:25:15.600
<v Speaker 1>But so we could get some trading back and forth.

0:25:15.680 --> 0:25:17.199
<v Speaker 1>But by the time they say that, I think we're

0:25:17.200 --> 0:25:21.440
<v Speaker 1>going to get a lot of the returns back already.

0:25:21.440 --> 0:25:23.120
<v Speaker 1>And then once they say that, I think that's gonna

0:25:23.119 --> 0:25:24.879
<v Speaker 1>help to see in a rally in equities. So you

0:25:24.880 --> 0:25:26.200
<v Speaker 1>don't think you don't think the FED is going to

0:25:26.280 --> 0:25:29.000
<v Speaker 1>continue raising rates, you think the pause is coming in September.

0:25:29.040 --> 0:25:31.440
<v Speaker 1>I want to make sure I understand this. No, no no, no, no,

0:25:31.480 --> 0:25:33.640
<v Speaker 1>I think they're gonna raise rates at least at least

0:25:34.000 --> 0:25:37.160
<v Speaker 1>once or twice. The second time could be mu flowers.

0:25:37.280 --> 0:25:40.760
<v Speaker 1>As most people predict but the futures markets are predicting.

0:25:40.840 --> 0:25:44.800
<v Speaker 1>But you know, if the economic data seems lousy, and

0:25:44.800 --> 0:25:49.439
<v Speaker 1>if if inflation data actually um comes lower over the

0:25:49.440 --> 0:25:52.200
<v Speaker 1>next several months, UM, then I think they've got a

0:25:52.280 --> 0:25:54.760
<v Speaker 1>chance to say that. And so as we talked about

0:25:54.800 --> 0:25:57.360
<v Speaker 1>information lagging, I actually do think inflation is getting better.

0:25:57.400 --> 0:25:59.320
<v Speaker 1>We just haven't seen it in the numbers yet, and

0:25:59.359 --> 0:26:02.840
<v Speaker 1>so hopefully um, this next month, you know, we'll see that. Hey,

0:26:02.880 --> 0:26:05.240
<v Speaker 1>you're watching the high yield market. Always important to get

0:26:05.280 --> 0:26:07.800
<v Speaker 1>an idea of whether or not we're starting to see

0:26:07.800 --> 0:26:10.879
<v Speaker 1>more companies get into trouble. UM, tell us more about

0:26:10.880 --> 0:26:13.959
<v Speaker 1>that and what you are seeing. And we've we've been

0:26:14.000 --> 0:26:16.200
<v Speaker 1>we've been watching that and it's one of the triggers

0:26:16.200 --> 0:26:18.600
<v Speaker 1>that we used to be risk off to a degree.

0:26:18.840 --> 0:26:23.160
<v Speaker 1>And you know, but the spreads have kind of tightened

0:26:23.160 --> 0:26:25.800
<v Speaker 1>a little bit, so as they were widening, we're getting

0:26:25.800 --> 0:26:27.919
<v Speaker 1>a little bit concerned. But what I do know is

0:26:27.920 --> 0:26:30.600
<v Speaker 1>is that there are some institutional investors out there that

0:26:30.640 --> 0:26:35.040
<v Speaker 1>are getting ready for, you know, a potential opportunity if

0:26:35.040 --> 0:26:38.080
<v Speaker 1>we do have a recession, and if there are opportunities

0:26:38.119 --> 0:26:41.400
<v Speaker 1>to buy distress that a major discounts. I know, that

0:26:41.760 --> 0:26:44.080
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the players that its historically done that

0:26:44.119 --> 0:26:47.120
<v Speaker 1>are getting ready to do it, raising funds and and

0:26:47.200 --> 0:26:49.520
<v Speaker 1>calling on people like this, like us to to see

0:26:49.520 --> 0:26:51.359
<v Speaker 1>if we have investors that might be interested in that.

0:26:51.920 --> 0:26:54.399
<v Speaker 1>And so we're really watching that. But they've tightened a

0:26:54.400 --> 0:26:56.520
<v Speaker 1>little bit. So it's getting a little better. What about

0:26:57.080 --> 0:26:59.640
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to the global outlook here and and

0:26:59.640 --> 0:27:02.240
<v Speaker 1>how you're thinking about Ukraine, how you're thinking about energy

0:27:02.240 --> 0:27:05.680
<v Speaker 1>and Europe, and how are you thinking about China? Yeah,

0:27:05.720 --> 0:27:07.600
<v Speaker 1>I think I think that it's going to get better.

0:27:07.880 --> 0:27:13.240
<v Speaker 1>So I'm hopeful, you know, that as time continues on,

0:27:13.359 --> 0:27:18.040
<v Speaker 1>that the global economy becomes more and more open in China, um,

0:27:18.080 --> 0:27:21.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, doesn't close up again. And so I'm hoping

0:27:21.080 --> 0:27:23.920
<v Speaker 1>that the COVID situation gets better, not worse, and that

0:27:24.000 --> 0:27:27.000
<v Speaker 1>the global economy improves. I think the US will lead it.

0:27:27.680 --> 0:27:32.280
<v Speaker 1>And again, but I think there are some values overseas,

0:27:32.480 --> 0:27:35.240
<v Speaker 1>and so I think investors still should be allocated overseas.

0:27:35.520 --> 0:27:37.840
<v Speaker 1>All right, we gotta ron, Hey, listen, nice to spend

0:27:37.840 --> 0:27:40.600
<v Speaker 1>some time with you. Jimmy Lee, founder and CEO of

0:27:40.640 --> 0:27:43.680
<v Speaker 1>Wealth Consulting Group uh and it has about two point

0:27:43.760 --> 0:27:46.200
<v Speaker 1>nine billion in assets under management, joining us once again

0:27:46.240 --> 0:27:50.320
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Las Vegas. Thanks for listening to

0:27:50.320 --> 0:27:53.919
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or

0:27:53.920 --> 0:27:56.080
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to our

0:27:56.160 --> 0:27:58.800
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0:27:58.800 --> 0:28:06.960
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