1
00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:06,440
Speaker 1: What two three Brits And in the middle of the

2
00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:13,640
Speaker 1: family time, Hello's chockball. Who's got it down in the

3
00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:19,919
Speaker 1: one yard line? About that then is the ultimate kabash.

4
00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:29,920
Speaker 2: And we are underway. Hello everyone, welcome back to another

5
00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:32,479
Speaker 2: episode of the Action Network NFL podcast. It is the

6
00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:36,120
Speaker 2: Conference Championship Wednesday Show. I'm Matthew Friedman, the editor in

7
00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:39,240
Speaker 2: chief of Fantasy Labs, and here with me are Ianhearts,

8
00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:42,320
Speaker 2: Peter Jennings and Sean Corner. Ian is the director of

9
00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:45,599
Speaker 2: the Fantasy Labs NFL platform and an Action Network NFL analyst.

10
00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:47,800
Speaker 2: Peter is a Fantasy Labs co founder in two time

11
00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:51,320
Speaker 2: DFS World champion, and Sean is the Action Network Director

12
00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:53,960
Speaker 2: of Predictive Analytics, one of the top end season Fantasy

13
00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:57,160
Speaker 2: pros rankers for the past half decade. You can follow

14
00:00:57,160 --> 00:00:59,760
Speaker 2: them in the Action App, the Action Network app at

15
00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:03,160
Speaker 2: csram ab eight and the Underscore Odds maker. Use the

16
00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:06,160
Speaker 2: app to get real time NFL odds and track your bets. Guys,

17
00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:08,840
Speaker 2: only two games left before the Super Bowl, if, of

18
00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:10,880
Speaker 2: course you don't count the Pro Bowl, which no one

19
00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:13,039
Speaker 2: ever should. But anyway, we're going to look at the

20
00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:15,120
Speaker 2: guys who right now are popping on our pro models.

21
00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:17,200
Speaker 2: We're going to think about some players we might want

22
00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:19,559
Speaker 2: to fade, some teams we would maybe be looking to stack,

23
00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:21,440
Speaker 2: and then each of us is going to give our

24
00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:23,200
Speaker 2: favorite bet of the week and we're going to make

25
00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:26,119
Speaker 2: some NFL props. As you are listening to the show,

26
00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:30,600
Speaker 2: please rate and review the Action Network NFL podcast on iTunes, Subscribe, unsubscribe,

27
00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:33,039
Speaker 2: and resubscribe, and for all of our written content, go

28
00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:35,360
Speaker 2: to the Action Network in Fantasy Labs. You can get

29
00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:40,399
Speaker 2: our weekly fantasy rankings at actionnetwork dot com slash fantasy. Okay, guys,

30
00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:43,760
Speaker 2: let's start looking at the pro models, and regardless of

31
00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:46,759
Speaker 2: which version of the model you are looking at, there

32
00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:49,400
Speaker 2: is really only one quarterback who is stating out, and

33
00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:52,840
Speaker 2: that is Patrick mahomes In. I want to get your

34
00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:55,040
Speaker 2: thoughts on this. Is he the guy that you were

35
00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:57,120
Speaker 2: kind of looking to lock in or does any one

36
00:01:57,160 --> 00:02:00,080
Speaker 2: of the other three quarterbacks catch your eye?

37
00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:02,240
Speaker 3: I'm fine locking him a home, especially at this price.

38
00:02:02,280 --> 00:02:04,000
Speaker 3: I mean, this is the cheapest we've seen him since

39
00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:06,520
Speaker 3: the really the second week of October when he was

40
00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:09,120
Speaker 3: playing the Jaguars and everyone was kind of still ticking.

41
00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:11,679
Speaker 3: All these defenses matter more than ever. But now we

42
00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:13,680
Speaker 3: got a situation where he just played you know, the

43
00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:15,680
Speaker 3: cole smokes his own heavy team in the league, you know,

44
00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:19,040
Speaker 3: fifth best team and explosive pass play rate allowed. Now

45
00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:21,400
Speaker 3: we've got Patriots defense that runs the most man coverage

46
00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:22,600
Speaker 3: in the league and they were fifteenth and.

47
00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:24,320
Speaker 2: Explosive pass play rate allowed.

48
00:02:24,320 --> 00:02:26,560
Speaker 3: So I think we all remember kind of Mahomes dicing

49
00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:28,839
Speaker 3: up that secondary the entire second half. It's just hard

50
00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:31,680
Speaker 3: to run with these receivers for sixty four minutes. But

51
00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:34,720
Speaker 3: the big different differentialator for me with Mahomes versus other

52
00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:37,600
Speaker 3: quarterbacks is he at least gives you some rushing floor.

53
00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:39,720
Speaker 3: I mean, Mahomes has two hundred and eighty rushing yards

54
00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:42,360
Speaker 3: this year. Golf Breeze and Brady have only combined for

55
00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:44,400
Speaker 3: one hundred and seventy six. So you know, you might

56
00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:46,840
Speaker 3: get the Drew Brees Leaf touchdown at the goal line

57
00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:49,079
Speaker 3: every now and again, but Mahomes is the only guy

58
00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:50,800
Speaker 3: that can actually kind of move and give you that

59
00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:53,320
Speaker 3: upside on the ground as well. So you know, best

60
00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:55,359
Speaker 3: offense and I think this is having that extra element.

61
00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:56,480
Speaker 3: He's the lock play for me.

62
00:02:57,120 --> 00:02:59,320
Speaker 2: Sean. I'd like to get your thoughts, because right now,

63
00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:01,800
Speaker 2: the reason in part why Mahomes is popping so much

64
00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,320
Speaker 2: on our models is because he has the highest projection,

65
00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:07,679
Speaker 2: the highest medium projection, the highest ceiling projection. He had

66
00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:10,600
Speaker 2: a good real life game last week, but not a

67
00:03:10,639 --> 00:03:13,839
Speaker 2: good fantasy game. What are your thoughts? And then, of course,

68
00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:17,600
Speaker 2: right now he is facing the Patriots, He's faced them

69
00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:20,240
Speaker 2: once before. I'm curious if you have any thoughts as

70
00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:22,880
Speaker 2: to what we might see out of the Patriots defense

71
00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:25,280
Speaker 2: in terms of seeing him a second time, whether they

72
00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:28,520
Speaker 2: gain plan differently, and whether that could impact his projection

73
00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:30,200
Speaker 2: at all. But what are your thoughts on Mahomes?

74
00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:33,639
Speaker 4: Yeah, so right now on the models, I haven't projected

75
00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:36,240
Speaker 4: for three points higher than the next guy, Drew Brees.

76
00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:38,680
Speaker 4: You know, he's a lock for cash games for me

77
00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,400
Speaker 4: this week. Last week his box score was pretty disappointing,

78
00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,880
Speaker 4: but the Chiefs led that game almost you know, from

79
00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:45,640
Speaker 4: the get go, so they didn't really mean Mahomes to

80
00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:49,360
Speaker 4: throw as much. You know, I can't recommend any other

81
00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:51,960
Speaker 4: quarterbacks because I'd be recommending half the field here, So

82
00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:53,760
Speaker 4: I'm all out on Mahomes, and I think the one

83
00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:57,640
Speaker 4: thing I'm hoping for, you know, the weather forecast could

84
00:03:57,640 --> 00:04:01,279
Speaker 4: be ugly, and I'm hoping that actually lowers his ownership percentage.

85
00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:03,560
Speaker 4: I think people might shy away and maybe go to

86
00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:06,119
Speaker 4: the Dome game. So I'm hoping that we can get

87
00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:08,120
Speaker 4: Mahomes lower owned than he should be this week. But

88
00:04:08,800 --> 00:04:11,880
Speaker 4: I don't see the reason to bank on him, you know,

89
00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:14,360
Speaker 4: coming back here and throwing for multiple touchdowns against his

90
00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:16,599
Speaker 4: path defense that you know, I think it's too slow

91
00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:18,120
Speaker 4: to keep up with guys like.

92
00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:21,000
Speaker 5: Damien and Tyreek. So I love Mahomes here.

93
00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:23,080
Speaker 2: All right, Pete, what do you think?

94
00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:26,800
Speaker 6: Yeah, obvious spot and Mahomes. I mean, I don't really

95
00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:29,200
Speaker 6: need to say more about him. I do think in

96
00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:32,479
Speaker 6: tournaments my favorite play is going to be Drew Brees.

97
00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:35,479
Speaker 6: I really think he makes a lot of sense giving

98
00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:37,800
Speaker 6: his ownership relative to what I think will be a

99
00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:41,240
Speaker 6: really chocky Mahomes. The downside is Sin Syingram's come back

100
00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:44,039
Speaker 6: to have been much of a more run heavy team. However,

101
00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:47,320
Speaker 6: against this Rams defense, and if the Rams put pressure

102
00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:49,760
Speaker 6: on the Saints, we could see Breeze throwing a lot more.

103
00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:52,120
Speaker 6: And he didn't have a lot of yards last game,

104
00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:54,719
Speaker 6: just not the touchdowns. So I'm pretty high on Breeze

105
00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:56,720
Speaker 6: as a pivot. I think you'll get him at least

106
00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:59,200
Speaker 6: half the ownership, maybe more, maybe like a third of

107
00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,279
Speaker 6: the ownership of my whole. And yeah, I think Mahomes

108
00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:04,400
Speaker 6: is clear the cash game quarterback and who have a

109
00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:07,200
Speaker 6: lot of exposure too in most formats, But for tournaments,

110
00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:08,240
Speaker 6: I think it's worth bringing up.

111
00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:12,640
Speaker 2: Breeze all right. So I'm curious, Pete. One of the

112
00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:15,520
Speaker 2: guys standing out in our model is Alvin Kamara. You've

113
00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:20,160
Speaker 2: been a Kamara backer basically since he exited college. He's

114
00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:22,920
Speaker 2: one of the guys in the mid range. What are

115
00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:24,840
Speaker 2: your thoughts on I'm assuming if you are going with

116
00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:29,000
Speaker 2: Breeze in GPPs, you would potentially be stagging him with Kamara.

117
00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:31,160
Speaker 2: But where does Kamara kind of fall into your hierarchy

118
00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:31,880
Speaker 2: of running backs.

119
00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:37,400
Speaker 6: Yeah, I think he's He's up there. I prefer Damian

120
00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:41,680
Speaker 6: Williams still. Sony Michelle was incredible, amazing start of the year.

121
00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:44,800
Speaker 6: Last week Michelle twenty percent owned and a lot of

122
00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:48,320
Speaker 6: these vandal tournaments seven percent on the two day, which

123
00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:52,760
Speaker 6: is amazing. So I think people might chase the points now.

124
00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:54,360
Speaker 6: And I like the spot a lot less. I think

125
00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:56,560
Speaker 6: it's more of a James White game potentially with game

126
00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:59,960
Speaker 6: flow versus Michelle. But yeah, I mean a lot of

127
00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:02,720
Speaker 6: are gonna go to Gurley even after the CJ Anderson thing.

128
00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:05,479
Speaker 6: I think running back is by far the most interesting position.

129
00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:08,880
Speaker 6: To me, Damian Wills is probably my favorite play after that,

130
00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:12,039
Speaker 6: I do like James White quite a bit. I'm curious Sean,

131
00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:13,920
Speaker 6: what your opinion on Gurley is.

132
00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:14,320
Speaker 5: With CJ.

133
00:06:14,480 --> 00:06:17,760
Speaker 6: Anderson getting more rush attempts but Girley is still on

134
00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:18,480
Speaker 6: the field more.

135
00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:22,599
Speaker 4: Yeah, so I'll bring that up in my pivot section.

136
00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:25,120
Speaker 4: But you know, Girley is too expensive to consider in

137
00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:28,680
Speaker 4: cash because, like you mentioned that CJ Anderson presidence. I mean,

138
00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:30,680
Speaker 4: you know a lot of credit goes to the offensive

139
00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:34,240
Speaker 4: line there. But he did look good. I can't imagine

140
00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:37,200
Speaker 4: they don't just you know, pound it with Gurley in

141
00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:40,279
Speaker 4: this this spot, especially in the playoffs.

142
00:06:40,320 --> 00:06:42,040
Speaker 5: So Gurley is an interesting guy.

143
00:06:42,080 --> 00:06:46,839
Speaker 4: I think I'm gonna be basically targeting Girly and GVPS

144
00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:49,880
Speaker 4: but avoiding completely in cash because of that, I think

145
00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:53,039
Speaker 4: Gurly's gonna be under on this week. He's the guy

146
00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:56,360
Speaker 4: that I don't see people spending up when you could

147
00:06:56,360 --> 00:06:59,040
Speaker 4: get Mahomes and kelseen like that, so I think Gurley

148
00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:02,080
Speaker 4: could be a way to be concuring by spinning up.

149
00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:06,760
Speaker 2: Ian. What are your thoughts right now? So at the

150
00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:08,960
Speaker 2: high end, Gurley is standing out in our models. In

151
00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:11,320
Speaker 2: the mid range, we have Kamara and Damian and Williams

152
00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:15,240
Speaker 2: and then James White kind of on the lower end

153
00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:17,960
Speaker 2: of the east talent respect Frum. Out of those guys,

154
00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:18,680
Speaker 2: who do you like?

155
00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:21,080
Speaker 3: I'm with Sean here is Gurley just seems a little

156
00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:24,160
Speaker 3: too expensive considering we're looking at similar kind of projected

157
00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:27,240
Speaker 3: snap counts for Kamara and Williams at this point. I mean,

158
00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:29,440
Speaker 3: Gurley did out snap C. J. Anderson forty five to

159
00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:32,160
Speaker 3: thirty four last week. I wouldn't think this will be

160
00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:33,640
Speaker 3: the same type of game flow where they're able to

161
00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:34,560
Speaker 3: kind of just pound C. J.

162
00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:35,720
Speaker 2: Anderson away at the line.

163
00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:38,080
Speaker 3: But he is playing well, and it'd also be surprising

164
00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:40,840
Speaker 3: if they completely relegate him back to the bench. My

165
00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:43,000
Speaker 3: biggest problem with Girly is we haven't seen the same

166
00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:45,280
Speaker 3: receiving floor kind of in the second half of the

167
00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:47,280
Speaker 3: season that we kind of used to. I said, three

168
00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:49,640
Speaker 3: or fower receptions in five of those last six games.

169
00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:51,880
Speaker 3: I believe in the first matchup against the Saints. He

170
00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,000
Speaker 3: only had six catches for eleven yards, so it wasn't

171
00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:56,520
Speaker 3: really a good spot for him there. So he did

172
00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:58,160
Speaker 3: have you know, sixty eight yards in a rushing touchdown

173
00:07:58,200 --> 00:08:00,840
Speaker 3: against the Saints, but it seems like a spot where

174
00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:02,800
Speaker 3: you know they're gonna have to at least be throwing

175
00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:04,760
Speaker 3: and if Girly's not going to be the major part

176
00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:07,160
Speaker 3: of the passing game like we kind of saw last year,

177
00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:09,040
Speaker 3: I'm not so far in on him. The guy I

178
00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:10,800
Speaker 3: do think that can really kill it in the receiving

179
00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:13,160
Speaker 3: game is Damian Williams. I mean, what's the strategy achieves

180
00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:15,520
Speaker 3: I've done each of their last two matchups against the Patriots,

181
00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:17,840
Speaker 3: they have killed them with Kareem Hunt in the passing game.

182
00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:21,239
Speaker 3: I mean, he totaled twenty three catches, I'm sorry, ten catches,

183
00:08:21,280 --> 00:08:23,440
Speaker 3: two hundred and three yards and three touchdowns as only

184
00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:25,840
Speaker 3: a receiver in two games against the Patriots. We've seen

185
00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:27,840
Speaker 3: Damian Williams have playing in chemistry with my homes. He's

186
00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:30,160
Speaker 3: got twenty three or twenty four targets this season for

187
00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:32,199
Speaker 3: one hundred and six yards and two touchdowns through the air,

188
00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:34,679
Speaker 3: So I mean might not be as dynamic as hunt

189
00:08:34,720 --> 00:08:37,360
Speaker 3: as a downfield receiver, I get that, but slow moving

190
00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:39,200
Speaker 3: Patriots linebackers. I mean, I feel like we've been kind

191
00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:41,360
Speaker 3: of calling this out all season and Andy reed Joly

192
00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:43,360
Speaker 3: been the premier play caller take advantage of that in

193
00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:46,160
Speaker 3: recent history. So love me all the Damian Williams and

194
00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:48,840
Speaker 3: quickly on Kamara. You know this SeeU Rams defense kind

195
00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:50,920
Speaker 3: of shut down Zeke last week, which I was surprised of.

196
00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:52,960
Speaker 3: But it makes a lot more sense that Kamara and

197
00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:54,480
Speaker 3: the Saints will be better I kind of getting to

198
00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:56,880
Speaker 3: the edge, kind of getting outside and getting that part

199
00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:58,920
Speaker 3: of the running game involved than the Cowboys were. So

200
00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:01,640
Speaker 3: I'm a little more optimate stick in this rebound spotform.

201
00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:06,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, big Damian Williams. Fan liked him a lot in college,

202
00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:11,200
Speaker 2: underrated producer at Oklahoma, and then I think, I mean,

203
00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:14,120
Speaker 2: obviously based on what he's done now, very underutilized in

204
00:09:14,160 --> 00:09:17,000
Speaker 2: his four years with Miami, so a lot of potential

205
00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:20,120
Speaker 2: with him this week. At wide receiver, it's two guys

206
00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:22,680
Speaker 2: at the top, Michael Thomas and Tyreek Hill, both of

207
00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:25,280
Speaker 2: them very dynamic. And then in the middle range we

208
00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:27,600
Speaker 2: have Julian Edelman coming off a really big week, and

209
00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:30,760
Speaker 2: then the two Rams receivers, Robert Woods and Brandon cooks

210
00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:34,520
Speaker 2: Ian Out of those five guys, is there someone in

211
00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:35,720
Speaker 2: particular you really like?

212
00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:38,560
Speaker 3: I think Edelman right now is the guy that's sticking

213
00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:41,079
Speaker 3: out to me at that price. You know, obviously Mike

214
00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:43,520
Speaker 3: Thomas Tyree card to argue with what those guys are

215
00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:46,240
Speaker 3: capable of, but we've seen Edelman getting out twenty nine

216
00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:48,720
Speaker 3: targets in three games without Josh Gordon. I mean, even

217
00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:52,360
Speaker 3: with James White getting everything could handle, he's still number two.

218
00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:53,280
Speaker 2: During that stretch.

219
00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:55,800
Speaker 3: And also, I think without having Gordon, they're forced to

220
00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:58,200
Speaker 3: use Adelman a little more aggressively than we're used to seeing.

221
00:09:58,320 --> 00:10:00,280
Speaker 3: We hit one hundred and fifty one yards last week,

222
00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:02,319
Speaker 3: I've tied a career high. I mean, I think sometimes

223
00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:05,040
Speaker 3: Edelman unfairly gets treated as this slot receiver that really

224
00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:07,520
Speaker 3: doesn't ever stretch the field. But we saw him making

225
00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:10,439
Speaker 3: you know, several kind of contested catches twenty plus yards

226
00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:12,760
Speaker 3: down field last week. And also, you know, I know

227
00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:14,600
Speaker 3: Sean might have a prop about this a little later,

228
00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:17,040
Speaker 3: but I do love Edelman's potential in these playoff games,

229
00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:19,480
Speaker 3: you know, getting a pass, running around these trick plays.

230
00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:21,960
Speaker 3: The guy ages, round ten rush attempts a year, he's

231
00:10:22,000 --> 00:10:23,920
Speaker 3: returning punts. There's just a lot of side you know,

232
00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:26,960
Speaker 3: potential for Edelman to get a weird touchdown in this game.

233
00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:29,600
Speaker 3: So at that price in his target share, I'll take it,

234
00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:32,280
Speaker 3: even if Kendall Fuller is the Chiefs you know, best cornerback.

235
00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:36,040
Speaker 2: Okay, Sean, how many passing touchdowns do you have Julian

236
00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:39,920
Speaker 2: Edelman projected for this week that was passing touch passing

237
00:10:39,920 --> 00:10:44,319
Speaker 2: touchdowns to point oh two? Yeah, hey that's Mordan zero. Yeah.

238
00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:45,920
Speaker 2: What do you think about wide receiver? Sean?

239
00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:48,199
Speaker 4: Yeah, So the guy I'm king in right now is

240
00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:50,880
Speaker 4: Robert Woods. He's the top of my model. You know,

241
00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:53,719
Speaker 4: he has probably the best matchup against PJ. Williams in

242
00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:56,400
Speaker 4: the slot. So you know, I'm thinking the Rams they

243
00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:58,000
Speaker 4: won't be able to just pound it with Gurley and

244
00:10:58,040 --> 00:10:58,280
Speaker 4: c J.

245
00:10:58,360 --> 00:10:59,920
Speaker 5: Andrews, and this week they're gonna have to throw it.

246
00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:02,040
Speaker 5: They're likely going to be down.

247
00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:05,240
Speaker 4: I think I do like the Saints here, so I

248
00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:07,600
Speaker 4: think this is a big Woods game, so I'm gonna

249
00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:08,679
Speaker 4: have a lot of him.

250
00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:12,280
Speaker 5: You know, Ian mentioned it to Edelman. I think he's

251
00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:13,160
Speaker 5: gonna have a huge week.

252
00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:15,040
Speaker 4: Although it's you know, it's gonna be hard to sneak

253
00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:16,679
Speaker 4: him in when he had a ceiling game last week,

254
00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:19,439
Speaker 4: so I think he's gonna be pretty chalky. And then

255
00:11:19,559 --> 00:11:22,719
Speaker 4: farther down, I do like Sammy Watkins at four K.

256
00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:25,920
Speaker 4: It seems like the Chiefs waited until he was close

257
00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:27,840
Speaker 4: one hundred percent. He looked pretty good last week, so

258
00:11:28,600 --> 00:11:30,080
Speaker 4: you know, he might be one of the guys that

259
00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:33,480
Speaker 4: I'll save money on by you know, he's four K,

260
00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:37,040
Speaker 4: so he's a good punp play, but other than that, it's,

261
00:11:37,400 --> 00:11:39,480
Speaker 4: you know, pretty straight up. And again, Michael Thomas is

262
00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:41,400
Speaker 4: super expensive this week, but man, you have to jam

263
00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:45,079
Speaker 4: him in. He's He's my top ranked receiver this week,

264
00:11:45,160 --> 00:11:48,480
Speaker 4: to no surprise. But yeah, I like Michael Thomas in

265
00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:50,000
Speaker 4: the spot as well, but.

266
00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:53,560
Speaker 6: Just said I think Michael Thomas clearly at the top. Amazing.

267
00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:56,120
Speaker 6: I said Nime a better receiver than Michael Thomas on Twitter,

268
00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:58,679
Speaker 6: and the response are are pretty nice. One guy who

269
00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:01,480
Speaker 6: showed up consistently, which I'm actually on your side with Freeman.

270
00:12:01,840 --> 00:12:04,079
Speaker 6: I would say the most popular answer is Antonio Brown

271
00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:07,120
Speaker 6: is better. Michael Thomas, in my opinion, is clearly better

272
00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:07,960
Speaker 6: than Antonio Brown.

273
00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:10,040
Speaker 2: So I got obj over both.

274
00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:14,360
Speaker 6: I think my rankings would go Julio given if he's

275
00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:16,880
Speaker 6: one hundred percent, and then it's close with Thomas and

276
00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:17,960
Speaker 6: Obj and Hopkins.

277
00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:19,800
Speaker 5: I'm a Hopkins guy.

278
00:12:20,040 --> 00:12:22,320
Speaker 6: Yeah, I think those I think those are the clear

279
00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:24,520
Speaker 6: four and then there's a drop off after that.

280
00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:25,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think we can say all four

281
00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,280
Speaker 2: of those guys, you're clearly better than Antonio Brown. I

282
00:12:28,280 --> 00:12:29,960
Speaker 2: mean I agree with that, But then we can we

283
00:12:29,960 --> 00:12:32,400
Speaker 2: can throw Tyreek Hill in there if we want Tyreek Kill.

284
00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:34,360
Speaker 6: I was gonna say is in that next year for sure,

285
00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:37,720
Speaker 6: but yeah, this week, I mean, we have a lot

286
00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:40,120
Speaker 6: of good options. I totally agree on the Robert Woods

287
00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:42,000
Speaker 6: and Sammy Watkins call. I think Watkins is one of

288
00:12:42,040 --> 00:12:44,320
Speaker 6: my favorite plays on the slate. Definitely looking at him

289
00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:46,520
Speaker 6: to say, like a ton of snaps. And then the

290
00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:48,680
Speaker 6: one other guy that hasn't really been talked about that

291
00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:52,040
Speaker 6: makes sense, does draw a tougher matchup, most likely is

292
00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:55,160
Speaker 6: Brandon Cooks. We have a revenge game here for Brandon Cooks.

293
00:12:55,200 --> 00:12:57,000
Speaker 6: Going back to New Orleans, he used to have pretty

294
00:12:57,000 --> 00:12:59,760
Speaker 6: severe splits playing indoors, which makes sense given the type

295
00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:03,280
Speaker 6: of play areas. But Latimore had an unbelievable game, and

296
00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:06,040
Speaker 6: I retweeted what you have put out a great stat

297
00:13:06,640 --> 00:13:09,560
Speaker 6: with GoF splits with and without Cooper Cup and then

298
00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:12,280
Speaker 6: if you add in the home Road splits. It's hard

299
00:13:12,280 --> 00:13:14,559
Speaker 6: to be optimistic, but I think game flow could work

300
00:13:14,559 --> 00:13:16,760
Speaker 6: in their favor, and Brandon Cooks will probably be pretty

301
00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:19,120
Speaker 6: low owned. I think people will click on Edelman and

302
00:13:19,120 --> 00:13:21,160
Speaker 6: some of these other options over Cooks.

303
00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:23,920
Speaker 2: All right, let's close it out here with tight End.

304
00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:27,800
Speaker 2: I mean there's one guy and then there's the human

305
00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:31,040
Speaker 2: husk of another guy. We have Kelsey at the top

306
00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:33,720
Speaker 2: of the model and then Gronk as someone in the

307
00:13:33,760 --> 00:13:36,680
Speaker 2: mid range who's popping in a couple of our models. Pete,

308
00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:38,000
Speaker 2: I want to kick it to you here. What are

309
00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:38,840
Speaker 2: you doing at tight End?

310
00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:40,480
Speaker 6: Kelsey's a lock. I mean, I don't know how you

311
00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:44,120
Speaker 6: don't play Kelsey. He's probably my number one priority with

312
00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:46,319
Speaker 6: Mahomes in terms of where I'm starting my cash games,

313
00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:49,240
Speaker 6: should say Mahomes, Damien Williams. Kelsey, I think is the

314
00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:52,480
Speaker 6: core you want to build around for cash. The drop

315
00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:55,560
Speaker 6: off is just so massive with Kelsey, and he's cheaper

316
00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:57,839
Speaker 6: than Michael Thomas and Tyreek Hill and all these other

317
00:13:57,880 --> 00:14:01,199
Speaker 6: guys that are the top end receivers and of raw rejections,

318
00:14:01,840 --> 00:14:04,080
Speaker 6: I have him really close. I think he's gonna just

319
00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:07,160
Speaker 6: go completely off in this game. New England has really

320
00:14:07,160 --> 00:14:10,319
Speaker 6: slow linebackers. They could choose to double cover him, which

321
00:14:10,360 --> 00:14:12,640
Speaker 6: would be the only downside frohim in this game other

322
00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:14,880
Speaker 6: than an injury, in which case all these other guys

323
00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:16,959
Speaker 6: are just gonna go ham. But I don't think the

324
00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:19,840
Speaker 6: Patriots have any solution for him in tournaments. I mean,

325
00:14:19,880 --> 00:14:21,960
Speaker 6: I don't hate the pivot to Gronk and it's just

326
00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:24,960
Speaker 6: total trash. After that, I played Gerald Everett on the

327
00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,920
Speaker 6: main slate and that did not work out last week

328
00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:31,440
Speaker 6: in Gronkowski my favorite bet of the weekend in the

329
00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:36,640
Speaker 6: Sportsman Championship. For some Gronk unders seany any chance he

330
00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:38,360
Speaker 6: played Gronk or anyone else other than Kelsey.

331
00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:39,520
Speaker 5: Nope.

332
00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:42,360
Speaker 4: Like you said, I've been messing around with Gerald Everett

333
00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:44,440
Speaker 4: for a few weeks now and that has not panned out.

334
00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:46,360
Speaker 4: I don't think he has a catch in the past

335
00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:50,200
Speaker 4: two three games, so I'm sure he'll go off this week.

336
00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:52,040
Speaker 4: But no, I think this is a week just to

337
00:14:52,080 --> 00:14:56,680
Speaker 4: load up on Kelsey. You know, for tournaments, you know, GPPs,

338
00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,280
Speaker 4: you can try to figure out which tight end from

339
00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:04,000
Speaker 4: the Rams Saints game might score a touchdown or something.

340
00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:07,000
Speaker 4: But for cash, there's absolutely no reason to go away

341
00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:09,720
Speaker 4: from Kelsey. And you know, Gronk's cheap enough, we have

342
00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:12,920
Speaker 4: to consider him. But man, he just looks done. I

343
00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:16,960
Speaker 4: was calling him like Herman monster. He looks just so uncoordinated.

344
00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:20,840
Speaker 4: Just you know, he's still physically a monster. But unless

345
00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:23,280
Speaker 4: he scores a touchdown, there's absolutely no way he's gonna

346
00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:23,880
Speaker 4: hit value.

347
00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:25,800
Speaker 6: Yeah, he spoke a block or two at this point

348
00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:28,040
Speaker 6: in his career, which is where the Patriots have been

349
00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:30,720
Speaker 6: leveraging him. He could fog the end zone, but yeah,

350
00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:32,560
Speaker 6: the back injuries and everything else, you just can't move.

351
00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:33,120
Speaker 5: Yeah.

352
00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:34,480
Speaker 2: I mean, here's the thing. I don't know if we

353
00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:36,560
Speaker 2: want to write him off because you know, this is

354
00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:39,720
Speaker 2: a hashtag retirement game for him, you know, potentially just

355
00:15:39,760 --> 00:15:41,360
Speaker 2: saying just saying.

356
00:15:41,840 --> 00:15:43,640
Speaker 6: Worked out for Gates in the retirement game.

357
00:15:43,920 --> 00:15:47,080
Speaker 2: Yeah no, no, Joe, of course, now he wants to

358
00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:49,440
Speaker 2: come back in twenty nineteen. But that's that's just how

359
00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:53,440
Speaker 2: it works. Ian. I kind of want your football perspective

360
00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:57,680
Speaker 2: on Travis Kelsey, So, like, what are the Patriots going

361
00:15:57,720 --> 00:16:00,440
Speaker 2: to do to try to stop these weapons. They have

362
00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:03,200
Speaker 2: to respect the run game with Damian Williams, they have

363
00:16:03,280 --> 00:16:06,520
Speaker 2: to respect the deep game with Tyreek Hill Seammy Watkins

364
00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:09,680
Speaker 2: isn't someone they can entirely ignore, but of course they

365
00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:13,000
Speaker 2: can't ignore Kelsey either, So, like, defensively, how did they

366
00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:15,080
Speaker 2: try to stop these guys? And like who do they

367
00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:16,120
Speaker 2: scheme to take away?

368
00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:19,080
Speaker 3: So when they played earlier this year, they had Stefan

369
00:16:19,160 --> 00:16:23,080
Speaker 3: Gilmour track Sammy Watkins on the outside, which makes sense

370
00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:26,520
Speaker 3: less kind of slot snaps and Tyreek and just the

371
00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:29,960
Speaker 3: bigger receiver that Gilmour is kind of better inclined to

372
00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:32,760
Speaker 3: fit with. So we're expecting J. C. Jackson and mccordy

373
00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:35,120
Speaker 3: on Tyreek. I mean, you know, they gave him a

374
00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,040
Speaker 3: ton of safety help in that first matchup. I saw

375
00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:38,800
Speaker 3: a good one of the Patriots beat writers did a

376
00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:41,040
Speaker 3: nice film review of kind of how they were trying

377
00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:44,120
Speaker 3: to handle Tyreek and Mahomes last time around. But you know,

378
00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:47,840
Speaker 3: everything's fine until one player, McCarty doesn't cover his own correctly,

379
00:16:47,840 --> 00:16:50,240
Speaker 3: and then ty Freek's gone for a seventy yard touchdowns.

380
00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:52,760
Speaker 3: So it seems like they have kind of focused on

381
00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:55,520
Speaker 3: Kelsey in these past matchups. I mean last three times

382
00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:57,760
Speaker 3: Kelsey's played in New England, six catches twenty three yards,

383
00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:01,560
Speaker 3: zero touchdowns, forty yards, zero touchdown, sixty one yard, zero touchdowns.

384
00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:04,040
Speaker 3: So I know it's been setting up as a good matchup,

385
00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:06,520
Speaker 3: but it does seem like Belichick's identified him as the

386
00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:08,800
Speaker 3: guy to stop and because of that, we've seen ty

387
00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:11,240
Speaker 3: Freak just go absolutely bonkers. I mean, two hundred and

388
00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:14,240
Speaker 3: seventy five yards and four receiving touchdowns in two games.

389
00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:15,280
Speaker 2: I mean that's absurd.

390
00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:17,840
Speaker 3: So it makes you think that this time around, Belichick

391
00:17:17,840 --> 00:17:19,280
Speaker 3: will say, you know, there's no way we can let

392
00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:23,080
Speaker 3: Tyree beat us. But I don't know, man, It's it's

393
00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:24,720
Speaker 3: just so much speed on this offense. You know, maybe

394
00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:27,240
Speaker 3: a defense that doesn't have that speed, like the Patriots,

395
00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:29,760
Speaker 3: just isn't built that well to stop them consistently. So

396
00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:32,640
Speaker 3: it's I'm interested to see how they stop it because

397
00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:34,719
Speaker 3: I think right now, when you do add Walkins, you

398
00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:37,000
Speaker 3: you have Kelsey, you had you had Tyree. I mean,

399
00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:38,879
Speaker 3: there really isn't a good answer for how to stop

400
00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:40,720
Speaker 3: this type of offense. I think we've seen that play

401
00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:43,080
Speaker 3: out for most of the season, so I'm excited to

402
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:45,200
Speaker 3: see what happens. You know, Chiefs the only score nine

403
00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:47,280
Speaker 3: points in that first half against the Patriots last time.

404
00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:50,399
Speaker 3: So at the very least, maybe if you're feeling confident

405
00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:52,520
Speaker 3: about the Patriots defense, put something now in that first

406
00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:54,959
Speaker 3: half under it, because I think sixty minutes is too

407
00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:56,160
Speaker 3: long to keep those guys in check.

408
00:17:56,800 --> 00:18:01,399
Speaker 2: So even with Kelsey not having fantastic Performlawrence's previously against

409
00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:04,200
Speaker 2: the Patriots, you're still locking him in though I'm assuming.

410
00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I still love it. I mean, like last week too,

411
00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:08,639
Speaker 3: even I guess the Colts. I mean there's some stats

412
00:18:08,640 --> 00:18:10,280
Speaker 3: that said he wasn't that good against zone, but when

413
00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:12,360
Speaker 3: the guy's getting nine plus targets a game, it's hard

414
00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:14,000
Speaker 3: to complain too much about the matchup.

415
00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:16,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I mean the Colts. I mean they were

416
00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:18,720
Speaker 2: giving up the most receiving yards in the league to

417
00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:21,520
Speaker 2: tight ends entering the game. Like it's you know, like

418
00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:23,359
Speaker 2: you can say what you want about zone defense, but

419
00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:26,040
Speaker 2: if they're that horrible against tight ends and Kelsey's the

420
00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:28,159
Speaker 2: best tight end in the league, probably a good matchup.

421
00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:31,359
Speaker 2: Let's talk about some of the high priced guys or

422
00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:33,199
Speaker 2: some guys who might be popular that we might be

423
00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:37,280
Speaker 2: interested in fading Sean. I want to kick it to you.

424
00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:40,199
Speaker 5: Yeah, so I mentioned it earlier. I think I'm going

425
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:41,520
Speaker 5: to be fading c J. Anderson.

426
00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:44,639
Speaker 4: GPPs, he's up to five K now. I think he's

427
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:46,880
Speaker 4: gonna be pretty popular after last week. I mean, how

428
00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:50,240
Speaker 4: could you not want some exposure to that. But I'm

429
00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:52,760
Speaker 4: going a pivot to Todd Gurley and I think spinning

430
00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:55,359
Speaker 4: up to get him this week. I'm hoping he's going

431
00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:56,840
Speaker 4: to be under owned. But I think this is a

432
00:18:56,880 --> 00:18:59,560
Speaker 4: Todd Gurley game where you know, the Rams will probably

433
00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:01,159
Speaker 4: be trailing most of the games, so they can't just

434
00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:03,240
Speaker 4: pound it with CJ and Todd.

435
00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:06,040
Speaker 5: So and you know, Ian mentioned that earlier.

436
00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:09,080
Speaker 4: Gurley hasn't been really involved in the past game lately,

437
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,639
Speaker 4: so I hope that changes if they get down, you know,

438
00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:14,159
Speaker 4: dump offs to Gurley. I just think this is a

439
00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:16,800
Speaker 4: spot to you know, be somewhat contrained by spending up

440
00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:18,800
Speaker 4: to take Gurly and fading CJ.

441
00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:19,880
Speaker 5: Anderson in the process.

442
00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,000
Speaker 2: Pete, any thoughts on who you might be looking to

443
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:23,760
Speaker 2: get away from.

444
00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:27,560
Speaker 6: Yeah, I was gonna say c J. Anderson as well.

445
00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:29,960
Speaker 6: I just don't think it's a great spot for him.

446
00:19:30,640 --> 00:19:32,840
Speaker 6: Todd Gurley. They are talking a lot about the cardio issue.

447
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,600
Speaker 6: He looked good to me relatively, obviously, is discouraging that

448
00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:37,480
Speaker 6: he wasn't on the field as much as I anticipated,

449
00:19:37,560 --> 00:19:40,560
Speaker 6: But I think Todd Gurley is still a better player.

450
00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:42,560
Speaker 6: I think ce Janer's a nice change of pace for them,

451
00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:43,520
Speaker 6: and he's running well.

452
00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:44,000
Speaker 5: I mean c J.

453
00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:47,040
Speaker 6: Anderson. Everyone just hates someone because he's fat and doesn't

454
00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:48,600
Speaker 6: look like he should be a great running back, but

455
00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:52,600
Speaker 6: he's been effective everywhere he's gone except I mean Carolina

456
00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:54,560
Speaker 6: this year just doesn't give an opportunity because MacCaffrey is

457
00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:58,320
Speaker 6: so successful. So I'm a believer in c J. Anderson's talent,

458
00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:01,120
Speaker 6: but I think they should be using and I'm expecting

459
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,440
Speaker 6: him that to throw more in this game, So I'm

460
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:04,760
Speaker 6: not going to be playing much CJ.

461
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:05,400
Speaker 2: Anderson.

462
00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:07,840
Speaker 6: And then I was all in on Michelle last week,

463
00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:09,719
Speaker 6: but I think I will be fading him for the

464
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:13,200
Speaker 6: most part in favor of James White Builds, hoping that

465
00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:15,920
Speaker 6: that game starts off with Kansas City getting a lead

466
00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:18,040
Speaker 6: in New England having to pass from behind.

467
00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:18,640
Speaker 2: Yeah.

468
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:20,640
Speaker 3: I know Pete mentioned Brandon Cooks earlier as a nice

469
00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:23,120
Speaker 3: GPP play, but I'm probably just still gonna be underground

470
00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:25,600
Speaker 3: to him relative to the field. You know, we have

471
00:20:25,680 --> 00:20:28,000
Speaker 3: seen these big indoor outdoor splits throughout his career, but

472
00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:30,679
Speaker 3: I think that's more just kind of a superdome effect

473
00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:32,160
Speaker 3: when he was still in New Orleans. I mean, we've

474
00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:35,000
Speaker 3: seen him go for thirty five scrollless yards against Zona,

475
00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:37,560
Speaker 3: sixty two scrollless yards against the Lions in his last.

476
00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:38,320
Speaker 2: Two games indoors.

477
00:20:38,520 --> 00:20:41,040
Speaker 3: Yes, he did go for a buck fifteen and touchdowns

478
00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 3: last game against New Orleans, but you know that was

479
00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:45,760
Speaker 3: earlier in the season. I think it's Saints secondary as

480
00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:48,679
Speaker 3: they've grown accustomed to more Eli Apple, I've really been

481
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:51,320
Speaker 3: playing at a high level for a while now, expecting

482
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:53,680
Speaker 3: him to run most of his routes at Marshawn Lottimore.

483
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,160
Speaker 3: You know we saw last week and really second half

484
00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:59,400
Speaker 3: the season just being playing at a very very high level.

485
00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,560
Speaker 3: Pete mentioned earlier. Man, these Cooper Cup splits with them

486
00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:05,000
Speaker 3: with I'm sorry, Jared Goff, splits with them without Cooper

487
00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:07,199
Speaker 3: Cup are just bonkers at this point. I mean, he

488
00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:09,680
Speaker 3: was averaging three hundred and thirty passing yards per game,

489
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:11,960
Speaker 3: and eight games with Cup without He's all the way

490
00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:14,200
Speaker 3: down to two hundred and forty nine. All his rates

491
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,520
Speaker 3: again slash big time. I mean the home and away splits.

492
00:21:17,560 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 3: I mean, I was kind of riding those last week

493
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:20,840
Speaker 3: thick and he'd come back and be able to have

494
00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:23,479
Speaker 3: a nice game against that Cowboys secondary. But it just

495
00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:25,560
Speaker 3: makes sense that, you know, his most reliable, kind of

496
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:27,520
Speaker 3: most efficient receiver, take him out of the offense.

497
00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:28,400
Speaker 2: He's going to struggle.

498
00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:30,560
Speaker 3: So I'm just I'm gonna be on the Saints, I

499
00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:32,439
Speaker 3: think overall in this game because I just have too

500
00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:34,080
Speaker 3: many questions about this RAMS passing game.

501
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:38,000
Speaker 2: Okay, well, I think it's a good point to transition

502
00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:41,280
Speaker 2: thinking about the teams that we might be looking at

503
00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:43,800
Speaker 2: to sack. Obviously, there are only two games, so it's

504
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:46,000
Speaker 2: not as if there's a lot that you can do

505
00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:49,040
Speaker 2: that's sort of contrariant in a way by going with

506
00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:51,840
Speaker 2: any particular team. But we have the Rams that the Saints,

507
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 2: that game is right now at fifty seven points for

508
00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,600
Speaker 2: the over under the Pats and Chiefs. That game right

509
00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,440
Speaker 2: now is fifty five points. It opened it fifty nine

510
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:02,800
Speaker 2: and a half, but very quickly moved down from there

511
00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:04,440
Speaker 2: and really kind of the first number that lots of

512
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:06,400
Speaker 2: people would have been able to grab is fifty seven

513
00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:08,919
Speaker 2: and a half, but it's continued to move down and

514
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:12,720
Speaker 2: there are definitely weather concerns with that game. Ian you've

515
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:15,160
Speaker 2: mentioned you're thinking that you might be kind of more

516
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:19,639
Speaker 2: on the Saints in this slate. Can you talk about

517
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:22,639
Speaker 2: them or about any of the other teams that you

518
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 2: might be looking to stack and maybe kind of like

519
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,320
Speaker 2: the ways that you're thinking about doing that.

520
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:28,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, one thing with the Saints is if you want

521
00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:31,199
Speaker 3: to look at that offense, we have basically our I

522
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:34,600
Speaker 3: think cheapest viable play in Keith Kirkwood, who is their

523
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:36,840
Speaker 3: slot receiver, and he's stayed in that role since again

524
00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 3: came back. I mean he's played sixty four percent of

525
00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:41,800
Speaker 3: their snaps in Week sixteen, this divisional round game where

526
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 3: we've seen kind of them be at full strength in

527
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,800
Speaker 3: the receiving course. So trey Quan Smith has been that

528
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:48,680
Speaker 3: odd man out. You know, it's not a super high

529
00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:51,200
Speaker 3: ceiling play, but he does get some end zone targets

530
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 3: in thirty two hundred. You know, it gives us a

531
00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:56,320
Speaker 3: lot of flexibility elsewhere. One thing I am keeping in

532
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:58,280
Speaker 3: mind for the small slate, I mean, you just got

533
00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:01,040
Speaker 3: to hope something crazy happen. Sometimes get some exposure to

534
00:23:01,080 --> 00:23:04,159
Speaker 3: these double dip opportunities. We got Tyreek Kill he's you know,

535
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:08,200
Speaker 3: the Chiefs part returner, Havin Kamara is the Saints kick returner.

536
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 3: Edelman is the Patriots part returner, and even quarter O

537
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 3: Patterson baby, he's the Patriots kick returner as well. So

538
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:16,480
Speaker 3: I don't know if you're feeling crazy enough to play

539
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:18,280
Speaker 3: a quarter all this week, but just keep in mind

540
00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:20,880
Speaker 3: that a you know, a return touchdown can completely swung

541
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:21,680
Speaker 3: a small slate like.

542
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:24,639
Speaker 2: This, Sean, where might you be looking to stack?

543
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:25,679
Speaker 5: Yeah?

544
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:27,960
Speaker 4: So in actually still my thunder because I was going

545
00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:30,479
Speaker 4: to talk about some of the returner and defense stacks

546
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:33,280
Speaker 4: that you could do. But also also you know, don't

547
00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:35,800
Speaker 4: be afraid to play a few or you know, one

548
00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:37,480
Speaker 4: to two guys against your defense.

549
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 5: We were talking about before the show.

550
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 4: But this, you know, the defenses are all super low

551
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,240
Speaker 4: projected this week. You know, they're all going to allow

552
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:49,920
Speaker 4: probably twenty five plus points, not going to be very

553
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,399
Speaker 4: many sacks, not going to be very many turnovers. So

554
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 4: you know, we we kind of have to get those

555
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:57,479
Speaker 4: random touchdowns, and I think you know, a special team's touchdown,

556
00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:01,000
Speaker 4: especially with the guy like a Tyreek kill if you

557
00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 4: stacked him with the Chiefs defense, I think that would

558
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 4: be a sneaky way to sort of stack on this

559
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:06,200
Speaker 4: smaller slate.

560
00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 2: All right, Pete, where might you be looking to stack?

561
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,400
Speaker 6: So I like the saying second I mentioned. I think

562
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:14,400
Speaker 6: people are going to be on that. You know, a

563
00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:17,760
Speaker 6: full blown game stack of Kansas City and New England

564
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,600
Speaker 6: makes sense. I think Mahomes is the chalkier option with

565
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 6: more equity, but could go Brady. I mean, a Brady

566
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:25,400
Speaker 6: White Edelman team could make a lot of sense, maybe

567
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:29,439
Speaker 6: throwing a fourth wide receiver. But yeah, it's it's a

568
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:31,680
Speaker 6: tricky slate because there's so limited options, and I think

569
00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 6: all the stacks makes sense. The least amount of equity,

570
00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:35,840
Speaker 6: and I don't know if they think the least ownership

571
00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:39,520
Speaker 6: is going to be the golf stacks, but yeah, I

572
00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:41,240
Speaker 6: think I think I'll end up having a lot of

573
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 6: these Kansas City, New England game stacks and hope we

574
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:45,280
Speaker 6: see something like we saw earlier in the year in

575
00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:45,800
Speaker 6: New England.

576
00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:50,160
Speaker 2: Okay, let's get to the bold picks section of the show.

577
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:53,359
Speaker 2: Maybe not even bold picks, but favorite picks, one for

578
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,760
Speaker 2: real life and one for fantasy and Ian, let's start

579
00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:57,120
Speaker 2: with you.

580
00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 3: Real life Saints beat the Rams by at least that touchdown,

581
00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:02,919
Speaker 3: going back to the super Bowl like the most complete

582
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 3: team in the league again. Just you know, I think

583
00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:08,240
Speaker 3: Golf's the worst quarterback remaining here, and maybe he'll prove

584
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 3: me wrong, but I think, you know, he played pretty

585
00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 3: bad last week and they were able to hand the

586
00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 3: ball to Girle and CJ, you know, thirty nine times

587
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,560
Speaker 3: and pretty much control the entire game that way. I

588
00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 3: think I'll have to do a lot more this week

589
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:20,960
Speaker 3: to get a win. And you know I'll take Drew

590
00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 3: Brees when it comes down to that DFS. Yeah, I

591
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:26,159
Speaker 3: got Julian Edelman finishing this week as the wide receiver.

592
00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:26,360
Speaker 2: One.

593
00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 3: He's scoring a receiving touchdown and another type of touchdown

594
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 3: I don't know yet. I don't know which one yet,

595
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:33,800
Speaker 3: but it's gonna happen. Y'all can thank me when it does.

596
00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:36,560
Speaker 3: So Edelman and the Saints, let's get it, guys.

597
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:38,159
Speaker 2: Okay, shot what you got.

598
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 4: So for real life, I'm going with this casey again

599
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:46,399
Speaker 4: going over sixty points. So I've been tracking the betting market.

600
00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:49,639
Speaker 4: It's dropping right now due to weather understandblely. You know,

601
00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:51,440
Speaker 4: if there's gonna be a ton of snow, I think,

602
00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 4: you know, we could see the total drop to maybe

603
00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,840
Speaker 4: fifty three and then at that point all come in

604
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 4: on the over. John Ewing did a pretty good piece

605
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:04,240
Speaker 4: on this on Action Network, analyzing you know, over enders

606
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:07,560
Speaker 4: in playoffs with weather, and I do think that the

607
00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:10,720
Speaker 4: public tends to overreact to these types of situations. So

608
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:13,760
Speaker 4: you know, both offenses should be able to still move

609
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:16,160
Speaker 4: the ball in potential snow.

610
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:18,879
Speaker 5: So I'm taking over sixty points in that game as

611
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:19,480
Speaker 5: my bold call.

612
00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:22,879
Speaker 4: And then for DFS, my goold call is Jared Goff

613
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 4: is gonna be the top scoring quarterback. All four quarterbacks

614
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:29,280
Speaker 4: are are pretty good, so I think he's gonna be

615
00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:31,400
Speaker 4: a little on your own. He's the cheapest one, so

616
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,200
Speaker 4: I could see them trailing and him needing to throw

617
00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:37,679
Speaker 4: most of the game, and also be looking if you know,

618
00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,879
Speaker 4: the sportsbooks are offering most yardage props again this week,

619
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 4: I'd be looking to take him potentially at five or

620
00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:46,239
Speaker 4: six to one. We'll see if they do that, But

621
00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:49,560
Speaker 4: I think Jared Goff has a sneaky spy here to

622
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:50,920
Speaker 4: you know, throw a ton.

623
00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:52,919
Speaker 6: I think I'm with you guys and a lot of

624
00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:54,920
Speaker 6: these it's just it's a it's a tough it's tough

625
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:57,240
Speaker 6: this week to find the pivots that are going to

626
00:26:57,280 --> 00:27:00,320
Speaker 6: make a lot of sense here. So that's that's the

627
00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:02,080
Speaker 6: main thing I'm trying to figure out, and maybe we'll

628
00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:04,119
Speaker 6: get into some of this prop stuff. Curious what you

629
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,919
Speaker 6: guys think is is there before we get into Sean's props,

630
00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:09,480
Speaker 6: you had to throw like a dark horse, really cheap guy.

631
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,880
Speaker 6: I think we all three. Watkins is probably the best guy,

632
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:14,959
Speaker 6: like at four k or less, But if you had

633
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:16,720
Speaker 6: to throw a dark throw it it'd be a door set.

634
00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:20,479
Speaker 6: Cordrell Patterson, I know you mentioned Cook Kirkwood. Is there

635
00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:22,600
Speaker 6: anyone that you guys like really cheap? Maybe if you

636
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:24,760
Speaker 6: got really sneaky, you could go to, you know, like

637
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 6: a Rex Burkhead. I guess at the running back position.

638
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:28,560
Speaker 6: Is there any of these like super punts that you

639
00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:29,560
Speaker 6: guys are comfortable with?

640
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:32,520
Speaker 2: I mean Ted Ginn might be someone he was at

641
00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:36,520
Speaker 2: least targeted and targeted pretty deep. So like you know

642
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:39,320
Speaker 2: Josh Hermsmeyer for five thirty eight, you know he has

643
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,400
Speaker 2: the air Yards model. It wouldn't be surprising if Ted

644
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,400
Speaker 2: Ginn ended up kind of popping in the air yards

645
00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 2: model this week. I think he's someone who has some upside,

646
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:48,840
Speaker 2: Like they, well, how many targets was it was it

647
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:50,959
Speaker 2: like seven something like that, like they, I mean they

648
00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:52,520
Speaker 2: wanted to get him the ball, Like he was kind

649
00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:54,919
Speaker 2: of integrated into the game plan right away. He just

650
00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:56,880
Speaker 2: didn't catch a lot of passes, but that's just kind

651
00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:58,879
Speaker 2: of how it is with him. But yeah, I think

652
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:01,200
Speaker 2: he has a lot of upside. Yeah, I'm a freeman.

653
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:04,040
Speaker 3: I'm curious to see what Levitan's ownership projection show with

654
00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:06,919
Speaker 3: walkins versus gain. But first play of the game, I

655
00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 3: mean again had a couple of steps on the guy

656
00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:10,360
Speaker 3: and Breeze just didn't quite put enough on the ball.

657
00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:13,280
Speaker 3: So he's always got you know, that's seventy yard touchdown upside.

658
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:15,280
Speaker 3: And I mean if you if you look at Breeze's

659
00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:18,440
Speaker 3: correlations and our Fantasy Labs NFL models, I mean, Gen's

660
00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:20,960
Speaker 3: easily his kind of top receiver. So if you want

661
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:22,600
Speaker 3: to go all in on a Breeze game, you know

662
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:25,160
Speaker 3: you probably got bank on gain getting loose at least once.

663
00:28:25,240 --> 00:28:27,760
Speaker 3: So definitely, Kim if you're looking at the Saints.

664
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, my guy you mentioned him, but rex burg Head

665
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:34,680
Speaker 4: at running back super cheap. He got that six yard

666
00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:37,240
Speaker 4: touchdown last week. But you know, with a small slay

667
00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 4: like this, if there's any sort of reason for James

668
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 4: White or suming Michelle will leave the game, burke Head

669
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:45,560
Speaker 4: a benefit. And you know, if you've been playing diff

670
00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 4: as long enough, you know any slate.

671
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,720
Speaker 5: Never goes according to plan. So Burkehead could be you

672
00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:52,080
Speaker 5: know the reason for that.

673
00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:54,720
Speaker 4: So I think he'd be a sneaky guy to just

674
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 4: have just in case something crazy happens to either running back.

675
00:28:57,760 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 4: And you know, he's thirty four hundred, so you can

676
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:02,800
Speaker 4: spend up everywhere else. So I think burke might be

677
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:05,240
Speaker 4: an interesting flyer this week.

678
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:09,640
Speaker 2: Okay, So it seems as if Pete really definitely sidestepped

679
00:29:09,680 --> 00:29:13,320
Speaker 2: having to give any bold predictions by asking us questions.

680
00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 6: Pete fine, maybe called Typhreak scores four touchdowns and Chiefs.

681
00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 2: That's good. Okay. So my bold call for the game,

682
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:27,479
Speaker 2: I don't know exactly. I mean, it's Pezai. It's kind

683
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 2: of hard to be bold on a two games late.

684
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:31,480
Speaker 2: I don't know how bold this is, but I'm calling

685
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 2: a like a middle for the Chiefs. Pats game, So

686
00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:36,960
Speaker 2: I bet the under at fifty seven and a half.

687
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:40,120
Speaker 2: I think this is going to fall to as Sean mentioned,

688
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:42,680
Speaker 2: like fifty three. I think maybe even you know, if

689
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:45,160
Speaker 2: it's like Armageddon snow, it falls to like fifty two

690
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:48,160
Speaker 2: and a half. And so I'm gonna say the total

691
00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:52,040
Speaker 2: falls within that middle range of like fifty three to

692
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,760
Speaker 2: fifty seven ish, like that's I think it's gonna fall

693
00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:57,400
Speaker 2: in there. So I'm I'm predicting that as like my

694
00:29:57,560 --> 00:30:01,560
Speaker 2: bold call of grabbing the middle. Yeah, so that's that's

695
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 2: what I'm chooting for for fantasy. I'm gonna say Michael

696
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:08,520
Speaker 2: Thomas number one receiver, you know, coming off a great week,

697
00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:12,960
Speaker 2: number one you know in receptions for this season, and

698
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 2: then of course in Week nine just totally dominated the Rams.

699
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,000
Speaker 2: Twelve receptions, two hundred and eleven yards, a touchdown on

700
00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:21,960
Speaker 2: fifteen targets. A key to leave is back, So that

701
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:24,920
Speaker 2: is a difference. The pass defense should be better, but

702
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 2: the Ram still I don't think have anyone who can

703
00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:30,720
Speaker 2: really stop Thomas, and Breeze is relying on him a lot.

704
00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:34,600
Speaker 2: So as Sean mentioned earlier, I believe we bet on

705
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:37,680
Speaker 2: him last week to have the most receiving yards on

706
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:41,920
Speaker 2: the slate that paid off wonderfully. I will probably be looking,

707
00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 2: if not that prop, at least you know his normal

708
00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:48,360
Speaker 2: his normal props to be looking on the over for that,

709
00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:50,680
Speaker 2: which brings us, of course to the prop betting segment

710
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 2: of the show, in which the odds maker sets lines

711
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:56,760
Speaker 2: for us. Sean. We received right as we started recording

712
00:30:56,800 --> 00:31:00,440
Speaker 2: this the email from Scott, the intern tone producer, who

713
00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:02,640
Speaker 2: gave us the results from last week. It did not

714
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 2: go well for you, my friend. You were ten and

715
00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:08,560
Speaker 2: twenty six. Ian you you dominated the slate at ten

716
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:11,320
Speaker 2: and two. Pete and I were both eight and four.

717
00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:14,480
Speaker 2: So for the season, odds Maker you are two ninety

718
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:17,880
Speaker 2: one to three eighteen. Our guests are one eleven to

719
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 2: ninety five. I am one thirteen to ninety seven, and

720
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 2: Pete you are ninety eight to oneh three. Sean got

721
00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:25,760
Speaker 2: kind of gott to pick it up here a little bit.

722
00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:26,200
Speaker 2: What do you got?

723
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:28,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, it did not go well elast six, so

724
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:29,360
Speaker 4: looking to bounce back here.

725
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:30,800
Speaker 5: So quarterback.

726
00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 4: The first prop I got is which game will have

727
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:36,760
Speaker 4: the most passing yards? The Chiefs Pats or the Rams

728
00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:38,680
Speaker 4: Saints Ram Saints.

729
00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:41,479
Speaker 3: I got Chief Pats here, I'm right in my jarre

730
00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:43,760
Speaker 3: Goff isn't going to do anything this week train until

731
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:46,960
Speaker 3: you know, he inevitably breaks the week's yardis record. Like

732
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:49,320
Speaker 3: Sean said, so this is.

733
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:52,240
Speaker 2: Too simplistic, but basically like we have one game between

734
00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:54,560
Speaker 2: two high scoring offenses taking place in like such a

735
00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 2: high scoring environment, and then another game taking place, even

736
00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:00,959
Speaker 2: though it's two good offenses taking place towards in a

737
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:05,920
Speaker 2: really negative environment historically. So it's very simplistic, but that's

738
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:06,840
Speaker 2: just the way I'm gonna.

739
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 6: Go This weather is the hard part about this prop

740
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:13,320
Speaker 6: here on Tuesday morning, I'm still going to take the

741
00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 6: Chiefs and Pats.

742
00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:16,400
Speaker 2: I mean, here's one more thing. The Chiefs are so

743
00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:19,400
Speaker 2: bad in run defense, and I think the Patriots in

744
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:22,080
Speaker 2: this game are going to be such a backfield reliant

745
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,840
Speaker 2: type of team that I could see them running a

746
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:27,160
Speaker 2: little bit more. Whereas the super Dome, I think both

747
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:30,200
Speaker 2: teams are just kind of looking to throw almost right away. Yeah,

748
00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:31,200
Speaker 2: that's a good point for you, man.

749
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 3: I mean, I know it's not a Sony game script game,

750
00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:35,400
Speaker 3: but he did go twenty four carries for one hundred

751
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 3: and six yards and two touchdowns when they played before

752
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 3: you know, Patriots did build a big lead, you know,

753
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:43,560
Speaker 3: even by like halftime, third quarter to run comeback mode there,

754
00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:46,040
Speaker 3: so that might not happen again. But yeah at LEAG'ST

755
00:32:46,040 --> 00:32:49,200
Speaker 3: thirty second ranked defense and RUSS DVOA there at Kansas City.

756
00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:51,760
Speaker 3: I mean, we've seen Sony get at least fifteen carries

757
00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:53,560
Speaker 3: a game, it seems like on a weekly basis, so

758
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:55,360
Speaker 3: small slate could certainly happen.

759
00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 4: So next up, it's a prop that Bovada actually just

760
00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:01,880
Speaker 4: posted while we're on and they have the same exact number,

761
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:05,560
Speaker 4: but total passing touchdowns on this late over under eight

762
00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:06,720
Speaker 4: and a half, I'll.

763
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:07,880
Speaker 2: Take over over.

764
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 3: I wrote down seven and a half when we got

765
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:11,800
Speaker 3: this question, so I'll take the under.

766
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 4: Well you should, you should head over the water right

767
00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:17,120
Speaker 4: seven and a half. And then the next one. I

768
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:20,160
Speaker 4: love the next one, especially with your Edelman prediction. But

769
00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:22,720
Speaker 4: how many different players will attempt to pass this week

770
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:24,320
Speaker 4: over under four and a half?

771
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:27,720
Speaker 2: Over over attempt to pass?

772
00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:29,800
Speaker 6: Yeah, oh yeah, definitely.

773
00:33:29,360 --> 00:33:33,479
Speaker 5: Over yeah completion damn it.

774
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:37,320
Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, But Taysom Hill, You're right, even a fake.

775
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 6: Over, I feel like that's a that's like one of

776
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 6: the best eb's we've gotten all year.

777
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:44,240
Speaker 2: Of course, the last time we said that, Sean ended

778
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:44,720
Speaker 2: up winning.

779
00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:47,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, that was that was literally the only profit one

780
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:51,200
Speaker 4: last week, so I took. Yeah, you know, in hindsight,

781
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:54,280
Speaker 4: I should have made this completed passes. Oh well you

782
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,320
Speaker 4: take the over run attempts for sure, right, yeah, yeah,

783
00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:00,480
Speaker 4: especially after we went through like Taysom Hill, and yeah,

784
00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:02,360
Speaker 4: I should have made it completed passes.

785
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:05,280
Speaker 5: That's my mistake, you guys. You guys probably won that one.

786
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:06,320
Speaker 2: You hung a bad line.

787
00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly, I'll eat it. So next up and running back?

788
00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:12,680
Speaker 4: How many rushing yards will see g Anderson get over

789
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:17,279
Speaker 4: under thirty six and a half over?

790
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:19,879
Speaker 6: Take under? But now I throw out thirty six, I'll

791
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:20,359
Speaker 6: take over?

792
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:21,160
Speaker 2: Yeah?

793
00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:23,200
Speaker 3: Over yet?

794
00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:25,720
Speaker 5: What was that throughout?

795
00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:27,439
Speaker 6: Like fifty or something? And I could take under?

796
00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:29,160
Speaker 5: Yeah, you cans do it too sharp. I can't. I

797
00:34:29,160 --> 00:34:31,719
Speaker 5: can't pull that kind of stuff. Are you all three over?

798
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:31,920
Speaker 6: Then?

799
00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 2: Yeah? I'm thirty six for sure, like.

800
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:37,279
Speaker 6: A ten rush attempts for sure, I think. And it's

801
00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:39,560
Speaker 6: even remotely close. I think I think he'll at least

802
00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:40,960
Speaker 6: be out there for yeah.

803
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:42,400
Speaker 2: I think so. I think they're going to continue to

804
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:43,520
Speaker 2: work him in a little bit.

805
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:47,320
Speaker 4: Too successful, not That's that's sort of my my disadvantage

806
00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:50,000
Speaker 4: here is you guys kind of attack my number at once.

807
00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:51,719
Speaker 5: I would slowly move it up.

808
00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:53,799
Speaker 4: Before it got to like Freeman like, it probably would

809
00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:55,799
Speaker 4: have been at forty two by the time I got

810
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:58,800
Speaker 4: to all right. Next up, will will Todd Gurley score

811
00:34:58,840 --> 00:34:59,840
Speaker 4: a rushing touchdown?

812
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:02,240
Speaker 2: Yes, I'll take yes.

813
00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:03,799
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'll take yes too.

814
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 4: So do you think if they if they get to

815
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:08,480
Speaker 4: like the one airline, do you think there's a chance

816
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:09,120
Speaker 4: to use CJ.

817
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:10,560
Speaker 5: Anderson over Gurley?

818
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:12,160
Speaker 2: That's a good ques. I mean, I think if he's

819
00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:16,120
Speaker 2: on the field, then they use him. But I don't know.

820
00:35:16,120 --> 00:35:18,279
Speaker 2: I think Gurly's going to see enough snaps and I

821
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:21,120
Speaker 2: just kind of trust like his history of touchdown production.

822
00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:24,000
Speaker 2: I mean, like, no one's gotten the ball more inside

823
00:35:24,080 --> 00:35:26,520
Speaker 2: the ten yard line over the past two years than

824
00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:30,080
Speaker 2: Gurley has. Especially this year, it's just been ridiculous.

825
00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:32,479
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm a free I think just whatever running backs

826
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:34,240
Speaker 3: on the field is going to get those reps. I'd

827
00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:36,200
Speaker 3: be shocking if they took out Giry around the five

828
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:37,359
Speaker 3: yard line, all right.

829
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:42,800
Speaker 4: Next up, James White total receiving yards at case over

830
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:44,520
Speaker 4: under fifty four and.

831
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 3: A half around twelve catches for him.

832
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:50,680
Speaker 4: Then yeah, over under eleven receptions.

833
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:52,000
Speaker 6: That's telting.

834
00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:55,640
Speaker 2: Add some context to this. We were low in our

835
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 2: projections on him last week, and it was like this

836
00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:02,000
Speaker 2: internal like can that I had, because on the one hand,

837
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:04,799
Speaker 2: it's like I never want to go against Sean's projections

838
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:08,680
Speaker 2: because like he's he's clearly the best in the industry.

839
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:11,360
Speaker 2: And on the other hand, like the person who like

840
00:36:11,480 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 2: pretends to know football but doesn't really know football all

841
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:15,600
Speaker 2: that well, in my head was looking at this game

842
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,400
Speaker 2: and thinking like this feels so much like a James

843
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:22,200
Speaker 2: White game. Uh, and so like again, this feels like

844
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:24,840
Speaker 2: a James White game to me, but like that is

845
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:27,399
Speaker 2: just that is a high number for a running back

846
00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:28,520
Speaker 2: for receiving yards.

847
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:31,040
Speaker 6: Looking through the sheet, right, like you had.

848
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 4: To bump that, Yeah, well I bumped up quite a bit.

849
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:36,840
Speaker 4: But yeah, but it's extreme. You know, it depends on

850
00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 4: the game flow. So it wouldn't be crazy to see

851
00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:41,920
Speaker 4: him put up ninety, get phased out and put up thirty.

852
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:44,480
Speaker 5: So, uh, you know, this is a tough number. So

853
00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:45,759
Speaker 5: I just need your guys help.

854
00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:47,160
Speaker 2: I think it's a good I think it's a good

855
00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:49,560
Speaker 2: number that it makes. It's good enough to make me

856
00:36:49,680 --> 00:36:51,520
Speaker 2: not want to bet it, But I mean I have

857
00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:52,680
Speaker 2: to bet it, and I have to take a side

858
00:36:52,680 --> 00:36:55,880
Speaker 2: on this. I'll take the over. I think it's a

859
00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:56,799
Speaker 2: James White game.

860
00:36:57,200 --> 00:36:58,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, agreed, I'll.

861
00:36:58,200 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 2: Take the over as well.

862
00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:01,640
Speaker 3: I will say, I mean, we got the Patriots, the Rams,

863
00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 3: and the Saints. As these backfields that are kind of

864
00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:07,520
Speaker 3: using multiple backs, I feel most comfortable putting White and

865
00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:10,080
Speaker 3: Michelle in the same lineup, I think, out of that group,

866
00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:13,239
Speaker 3: just because they do each have their kind of defined roles.

867
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:15,359
Speaker 3: We saw last week each of them got fifteen plus touches.

868
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:17,800
Speaker 3: It seems like, you know, even if it's not ideal

869
00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:19,600
Speaker 3: game flow from one of the guys, they have a

870
00:37:19,600 --> 00:37:21,680
Speaker 3: better chance I was staying involved than maybe you know,

871
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:23,960
Speaker 3: your mark Ingramer one of these other games.

872
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:25,080
Speaker 2: So we'll see what happens.

873
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:27,360
Speaker 6: Heed's life under. But I'm gonna have a lot of

874
00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:28,080
Speaker 6: James Waite.

875
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:28,239
Speaker 5: All right.

876
00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:32,799
Speaker 4: Next up at wide receiver, Michael Thomas receiving yards. Yeah,

877
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:34,399
Speaker 4: you mentioned that you're gonna hammer the over.

878
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 5: So I'm going to try to step this.

879
00:37:36,520 --> 00:37:38,480
Speaker 2: Line as high as I scared myself here.

880
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:42,560
Speaker 5: Over under, I'll go ninety two and a half.

881
00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:45,560
Speaker 2: I'll take I'll take the over, just you know, for

882
00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:49,000
Speaker 2: the brand, but that that is a respectably high number.

883
00:37:49,239 --> 00:37:50,240
Speaker 2: I got over as well.

884
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:52,960
Speaker 3: He got shadowed by Marcus Peters in their first matchup,

885
00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:55,319
Speaker 3: which probably won't happen this time around. But I mean,

886
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:57,759
Speaker 3: Sean Payton can still line them up on Peter's all

887
00:37:57,760 --> 00:37:59,719
Speaker 3: he wants if that's what the Rams want to do,

888
00:37:59,800 --> 00:38:01,359
Speaker 3: So I'll take the over all right.

889
00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:04,560
Speaker 4: Next up, Sammy Watkins total receiving yards. This one's tricky

890
00:38:04,560 --> 00:38:06,319
Speaker 4: because of the weather too, but I'm gonna go with

891
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:10,120
Speaker 4: over under forty three and a half over over.

892
00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:12,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got the over. I mean, I got a

893
00:38:12,320 --> 00:38:15,200
Speaker 3: lot of respect for Stefan Gilmore PFS number one cornerbackground

894
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:17,319
Speaker 3: we saw last week, Keenan Allen. You know, it's only

895
00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:19,799
Speaker 3: one play, kind of busted coverage, and he already got

896
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:22,200
Speaker 3: over forty on that. So someone will walk in speed

897
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:23,640
Speaker 3: give me the over, and.

898
00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:26,360
Speaker 4: Then the last but not least, Brandon Cooks. I almost

899
00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:28,279
Speaker 4: feel like this line doesn't even matter because it's gonna

900
00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:32,000
Speaker 4: be way over, way under, but over under sixty nine

901
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:35,719
Speaker 4: and a half yards receiving under under, and so that

902
00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:38,040
Speaker 4: doesn't include rushing yards. I just wanted to make that clear.

903
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:44,400
Speaker 2: That's a good cavey out there, man. Yeah, I will.

904
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:47,759
Speaker 2: I will take the under, although I really am just

905
00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:48,960
Speaker 2: so tempted to take the over.

906
00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:51,359
Speaker 6: I think the mean. I'll take the over on the mean,

907
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:52,680
Speaker 6: and I'll take the under on the mean.

908
00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:53,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, love it.

909
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:55,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I'll take the under.

910
00:38:56,760 --> 00:39:00,560
Speaker 4: All right, onto the dumpster fire position tight end, not

911
00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:02,480
Speaker 4: really much to work with here, but I'll go with

912
00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:07,320
Speaker 4: the Travis Kelcey DK point prop over under nineteen DK

913
00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:10,200
Speaker 4: points over smash the over.

914
00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:15,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gone over. You don't make money betting against Kelsey.

915
00:39:17,239 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 2: I'll take the under. Just kind of be contrarion. I

916
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:22,680
Speaker 2: think that's a I think that's a pretty decent line.

917
00:39:23,200 --> 00:39:26,000
Speaker 2: And as Ian mentioned, I mean the Patriots have been

918
00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:28,719
Speaker 2: able to U I wouldn't say, like totally shut down

919
00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:31,239
Speaker 2: Kelsey in the past, but like he hasn't really gone

920
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:34,279
Speaker 2: off against them, so I don't know. I'll take the

921
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:34,759
Speaker 2: under there.

922
00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:35,279
Speaker 5: Good.

923
00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:36,919
Speaker 4: I need I need you guys to balance the book

924
00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:40,520
Speaker 4: a little bit, so I appreciate that. Next up, will

925
00:39:40,560 --> 00:39:43,880
Speaker 4: any tight end in the Rams Saints game outscore Gronk

926
00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 4: in DK points yes.

927
00:39:45,840 --> 00:39:49,640
Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, let's get Josh hell season.

928
00:39:51,120 --> 00:39:53,200
Speaker 4: And then last but I couldn't come up with another

929
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:55,920
Speaker 4: tight end prop, So I'm making a super Bowl prop. Well,

930
00:39:55,960 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 4: will it be the opening total for the Super Bowl

931
00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:00,000
Speaker 4: be over under fifty eight?

932
00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:00,600
Speaker 5: Over?

933
00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:03,239
Speaker 2: That's a good line. I'll say fifty eight. Actually, no,

934
00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:05,520
Speaker 2: I'm not saying fifty eight exactly, but I'll say I'll

935
00:40:05,520 --> 00:40:07,840
Speaker 2: say over. I'll take a fifty nine and a half.

936
00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:08,760
Speaker 2: Heard it here first?

937
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:12,680
Speaker 5: They Actually that would be something that would be the

938
00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:13,320
Speaker 5: chief Saints.

939
00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:17,000
Speaker 6: If the Chiefs win, it'll be over fifty eight either way.

940
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:18,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll take over.

941
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:24,719
Speaker 6: If the Patriots win, Patriots Rams is probably fifty seven ish.

942
00:40:24,680 --> 00:40:27,400
Speaker 5: Maybe, I guess, yeah, it would be fifty seven and

943
00:40:27,440 --> 00:40:27,840
Speaker 5: a half.

944
00:40:28,160 --> 00:40:31,560
Speaker 2: I think regardless of what happens, the line probably won't

945
00:40:31,560 --> 00:40:33,920
Speaker 2: be any lower than fifty seven, right.

946
00:40:34,760 --> 00:40:37,799
Speaker 4: I take under on Patriots that, Yeah, pat Saints will

947
00:40:37,840 --> 00:40:39,879
Speaker 4: be fifty three and a half somewhere around there.

948
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:44,239
Speaker 5: Really, chiefs Rams is what I'm rooting for. That would

949
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:47,840
Speaker 5: be one. Yeah, it would be over sixty.

950
00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:53,160
Speaker 2: Yeah. Interesting. Okay, Ian, what what pieces do you have

951
00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:54,120
Speaker 2: coming out this week?

952
00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:57,880
Speaker 3: Scouting these matchups? Later this afternoon, so be on the

953
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:01,120
Speaker 3: lookout for that piece matchup Man of Festo tomorrow to

954
00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:04,440
Speaker 3: look at all sorts of matchup specific stats for these games.

955
00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:07,520
Speaker 3: Then wide receiver cornerback breakdown coming your way on Thursday.

956
00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:10,600
Speaker 2: All right, awesome stuff everyone, be sure to check out

957
00:41:10,640 --> 00:41:12,880
Speaker 2: those articles. That is going to do it. For this

958
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:16,200
Speaker 2: episode of the Action Network NFL Podcast For Peter Jennings,

959
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:18,920
Speaker 2: Shawn Corner, and Ian Hartitz, I'm Matthew Freeman. Matt at

960
00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:21,480
Speaker 2: the Oracle See again next episode