WEBVTT - Is There Value in Gorsuch's Congressional Hearings?

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg P and L Podcast. I'm Pim

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<v Speaker 1>Fox along with my co host Lisa Abramowitz. Each day

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<v Speaker 1>we bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews

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<v Speaker 1>for you and your money, whether at the grocery store

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<v Speaker 1>or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg P L Podcast

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<v Speaker 1>on iTunes, SoundCloud and at Bloomberg dot com. Let's now

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<v Speaker 1>turn to our own Supreme Court reporter for Bloomberg, Greg

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<v Speaker 1>Store to give us a little bit of detail about this,

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<v Speaker 1>and Greg, just to bring everyone also up to date.

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<v Speaker 1>The Dow Jones Industrial average a lower. Right now, markets

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<v Speaker 1>are selling off that was down eight tens of a percent.

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<v Speaker 1>The s also lower by about nineteen points. Greg, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>you can give us your thoughts as to the tactics

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<v Speaker 1>of the questioning and whether this will have any effect

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<v Speaker 1>on the outcome of the nomination vote. Look, Democrats are

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<v Speaker 1>doing basically what they averagised they were doing, which is

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<v Speaker 1>first of all, trying to cast him as somebody who

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<v Speaker 1>sides with powerful institutions rather than the little guy. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And they're raising questions about the extent of which he

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<v Speaker 1>would rely on or instead overturned storied precedents like Roe v. Wade. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know it, this is probably not changing a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of minds. But there are some Democrats who are still

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<v Speaker 1>on the fence or havn't said what they'll do. And

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure they're paying close attention. Greg. One particular item

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<v Speaker 1>that caught my attention with the course it's refused to

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<v Speaker 1>preview any possible ruling on President Trump's traveled than is

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<v Speaker 1>this pretty much par for the course that any potential

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<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court nominee would decline from talking about anything specific

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<v Speaker 1>about anything unless it sort of setting stone. Yeah, and

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<v Speaker 1>certainly a case that's in the in the courts right now.

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<v Speaker 1>This is a case that he knows there's an excellent

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<v Speaker 1>chance he will actually have to ruin this in a

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<v Speaker 1>matter of in a matter of a few months. I

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<v Speaker 1>thought it was a fascinating exchange there with him and

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<v Speaker 1>Senator a path lay here democrat from Vermont, where the

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<v Speaker 1>Senator was trying to give him, you know, slight hypothetical

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<v Speaker 1>variations like could you hit it all June Jews from

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<v Speaker 1>entering the country, um, and you know, you know, could

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<v Speaker 1>we have a religious test? And uh, you know, generally

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<v Speaker 1>Judge Gorsch, uh, you know, did try very hard to say.

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<v Speaker 1>I can't commit myself to, uh, you know anything. There

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<v Speaker 1>are these principles in the Constitution. There's equal protection, there's

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<v Speaker 1>due process of law, there's you know, a statute that

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<v Speaker 1>protects religious freedoms. Those all all make a difference. But

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not going to tell you how I might rule

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<v Speaker 1>in a particular case. Greg can you comment on Senator

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<v Speaker 1>arn Hatch, Republican from Utah, and his line of questioning

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<v Speaker 1>in the context of not only this nomination hearing, but

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<v Speaker 1>the lack of any hearing for the previous nominee to

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<v Speaker 1>hold the Supreme Court chair, Merrick Garland, who was nominated

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<v Speaker 1>by former President Barack Obama. Yeah, the I didn't catch

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<v Speaker 1>all the exchange. But Republicans have been been making the

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<v Speaker 1>point that, uh, you know this this was different. This

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<v Speaker 1>was an election year. We put the you know, it

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<v Speaker 1>was basically up to the voters to decide do you

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<v Speaker 1>want Donald Trump silling this seat or do you want

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<v Speaker 1>Hillary Clinton filling the seat. The Republicans have made the

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<v Speaker 1>case that, uh, this was a way to give the

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<v Speaker 1>people a voice and who was going to be on

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<v Speaker 1>the Supreme Court. Judge Gorset did at kind words about

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<v Speaker 1>Mary Garland at this hearing. Um, And I believe at

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<v Speaker 1>one point one of the senators I'm forgetting which one,

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<v Speaker 1>one of the Republican senators, forgot who he was talking

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<v Speaker 1>to and actually referred to him as Judge Garland. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I guess that you're not the only one that's forgetting

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<v Speaker 1>what's who's talking and who's on first, you know, just

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<v Speaker 1>to put us into perspective, Greg, I mean, in general,

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<v Speaker 1>do we get anything out of these hearings? Are they

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<v Speaker 1>basically just an excuse to throw every single question you

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<v Speaker 1>could possibly imagine at somebody and see if they mess up. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>that is a big part of it. Yes, Um, and uh.

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<v Speaker 1>Of the answers are are fairly predictable, but there are

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<v Speaker 1>some nuances and for people who are really watching the

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<v Speaker 1>courts closely, Um, you know there's some good substance in

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<v Speaker 1>the nitty gritty of of what they say. And in addition,

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<v Speaker 1>I think you know people who might not agree with

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<v Speaker 1>a nominee about some things. Do you think there is

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<v Speaker 1>some value in having Neil Gorsage say Roe v. Wade

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<v Speaker 1>is a precedent of the court and it's entitled to respect.

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<v Speaker 1>Um and uh, you know every nominee who has who

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<v Speaker 1>has come before the Court, are come before the Judiciary

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<v Speaker 1>Committee that I can recall has said something along those lines,

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<v Speaker 1>and that there is some value in just having the

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<v Speaker 1>person say say out loud that I'm not going to

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<v Speaker 1>immediately move to overturn precedents. I wonder if you could

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<v Speaker 1>tell us a little bit about cases that are going

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<v Speaker 1>to be coming before the Supreme Court and which ones

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<v Speaker 1>you believe are going to have the most effect on business,

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<v Speaker 1>but also on the legal issues that presented by President

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump. Well, the travel band that we've already talked about,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, is a big one that's hanging out there,

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<v Speaker 1>and there's an excellent chance that gets to the Supreme

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<v Speaker 1>Court one way or another. Uh one. Uh. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to see that the Court has been a

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<v Speaker 1>little slow in taking cases while it's shorthanded. But if

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<v Speaker 1>Judge Gorstch gets confirmed, I think you can imagine very

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<v Speaker 1>quickly you'll start to see more cases about class action

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<v Speaker 1>litigation and efforts to curb that. We may see a

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<v Speaker 1>new case involving mandatory fees to unions, if you recall

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<v Speaker 1>the Supreme Court deadlocked on that right after Justice Scalia

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<v Speaker 1>died um and we'll probably have issues about arbitration. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>certainly we'll have more patent cases. You know, there's gonna

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<v Speaker 1>be a lot of big business cases that Neil Gorcach

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<v Speaker 1>is gonna have a chance to rule on. Greg Start,

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<v Speaker 1>we really appreciate you joining us. I'm sure that it's

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<v Speaker 1>going to be a busy couple of days for you,

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<v Speaker 1>and frankly a couple of weeks. Great story, Supreme Court

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<v Speaker 1>reporter for Bloomberg talking about, uh, the Neil Gorcerge confirmation

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<v Speaker 1>hearings that we were listening into. He is testifying in

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<v Speaker 1>front of the Senate about his views and anything under

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<v Speaker 1>the sun in his path to go to the Supreme Court.

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<v Speaker 1>In addition to hearings at the Senate Judiciary Committee on

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<v Speaker 1>the nomination of Judge Neil Gorsuch to take a place

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<v Speaker 1>on the Supreme Court. There was a meeting today between

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<v Speaker 1>President Donald Trump and Republican leaders of the House to

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<v Speaker 1>talk about repeal and replace the American the Affordable Care

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<v Speaker 1>Act for Me, sometimes known as Obamacare. Anna Edney is

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<v Speaker 1>our Bloomberg healthcare reporter and uh, and I'm wondering if

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<v Speaker 1>you could describe for us exactly what did we learn

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<v Speaker 1>from that meeting. Well, what we heard that President Trump

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<v Speaker 1>said was if this healthcare bill doesn't pass, the Republicans

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<v Speaker 1>are going to lose their seats in the elections. So

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<v Speaker 1>he basically said, do this or you know, bad things

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<v Speaker 1>could happen. And there were Republicans who are against this, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>who don't want to vote yes for it, and they

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<v Speaker 1>still feel that way. They don't. I don't think that UM,

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<v Speaker 1>his please kind of changed that at all. I think

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<v Speaker 1>they are actually afraid of the opposite if if they

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<v Speaker 1>do vote for it, that the Republicans are going to

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<v Speaker 1>lose their majority. So can you put this into perspective

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<v Speaker 1>as far as what the main issues are that some

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<v Speaker 1>of the Republican representatives are fighting back on. Well, the

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<v Speaker 1>ones who are still against it right now, a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of them are in a very conservative group of about

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<v Speaker 1>forty members. They're called the Freedom Caucus, and their biggest

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<v Speaker 1>issue is they just want a complete repeal of Obamacare UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and a lot of that isn't in this legislation because

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<v Speaker 1>of the way that it has to be done to

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<v Speaker 1>get through the Senate. They're using this sort of complicated

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<v Speaker 1>process called reconciliation, and so they're not able to deal

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<v Speaker 1>with a lot of them, for example, the regular Leasians

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<v Speaker 1>on insurance companies. UM. That kind of tells them what

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<v Speaker 1>sort of things they have to cover and things like that, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and those won't be repealed in this this piece of

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<v Speaker 1>what Republicans plan to do. And those who are against

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<v Speaker 1>it want that done. They don't feel like they have

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<v Speaker 1>assurances that it will get done down the line. They

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<v Speaker 1>don't know that they can um, exactly trust the Desk

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<v Speaker 1>Secretary to do that on his own through regulation and

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<v Speaker 1>that something like that would stand up in court. Does

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<v Speaker 1>the President need these members of which it described the

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<v Speaker 1>Republican the Freedom Caucus, such as Congressman Mark Meadows in

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<v Speaker 1>North Carolina? Does he need their votes in order to

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<v Speaker 1>get this to the Senate? He needs at least some

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<v Speaker 1>of their votes. UM. You know, they can't lose any

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<v Speaker 1>more than twenty one members and so you've got they

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<v Speaker 1>need to get to to sixteen. UM. And so he

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<v Speaker 1>does need to flip some of those in, even in

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<v Speaker 1>the Freedom Caucus. And you know, right now we don't

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<v Speaker 1>know they are opposed to it as a block, but

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<v Speaker 1>we know that UM, a lot of them are opposed

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<v Speaker 1>to it, and that the chairman who you mentioned Mark

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<v Speaker 1>Meadows has said, you know, we have enough to block

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<v Speaker 1>this bill right now, and so somewhere along the line

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<v Speaker 1>between that one Thursday, Um, you know, Paul Ryan and

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump are going to have to flip some of them. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>and you know, talking about Thursday, can you walk us

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<v Speaker 1>through what happens if President Trump and how Speaker Ryan

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<v Speaker 1>do not get sufficient votes to get this through on Thursday?

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<v Speaker 1>What happens next if they don't have enough votes, they're

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<v Speaker 1>basically just going to have to go back to the

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<v Speaker 1>drawing board. And you know, but but they have time

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<v Speaker 1>to do that. I mean, given that what's going on

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<v Speaker 1>with with Obamacare and getting the insurance companies queued up

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<v Speaker 1>for any potential changes, there's not a lot of time

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<v Speaker 1>to do it at all. Um. But the process I

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<v Speaker 1>mentioned earlier that they need to get it through the Senate,

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<v Speaker 1>this thing has to start in the House. So there's

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<v Speaker 1>really they've to find out what they can give to them,

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<v Speaker 1>the insurers or I'm sorry to the conservative Republicans to

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<v Speaker 1>be able to get this through. That might be something

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<v Speaker 1>like moving a little quicker on those regulations to undo

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<v Speaker 1>some of the um the limits on insurers that Tom

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<v Speaker 1>Prices said he would do, it might be bringing most

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<v Speaker 1>to light because we haven't seen those yet, and that

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<v Speaker 1>might give them some sort of assurance that this piece

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<v Speaker 1>of the puzzle that they've been promised is going to happen.

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<v Speaker 1>There any ideas to who would be most affected, meaning

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<v Speaker 1>the company's most affected, if indeed the plan as it

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<v Speaker 1>stands is actually passed by the Senate right now, that

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<v Speaker 1>would be hospitals. They stand to lose, you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of money because of uncompensated care, which kind of

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<v Speaker 1>was the case before Obamacare, and Obamacare has been able

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<v Speaker 1>to decrease that because a lot more people had coverage,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot more people were able to qualify for Medicaid,

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<v Speaker 1>and so hospitals we're getting paid when people went to

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<v Speaker 1>the emergency room. And under this plan, um in, they'll

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<v Speaker 1>be twenty four million more people without insurance um than

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<v Speaker 1>would have been if Obamacare had stayed the law. And

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<v Speaker 1>so that's a lot of money for hospitals, and they're

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<v Speaker 1>already stretched very thin and and sort of closing in

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<v Speaker 1>record numbers. Anna Edney, we really appreciate you taking the

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<v Speaker 1>time to speak with us. Anna Edney as Bloomberg Healthcare reporter,

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<v Speaker 1>talking about the GOP's plan to replace Obamacare and what

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<v Speaker 1>has to happen on Thursday for this to proceed. Right now,

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<v Speaker 1>just to cut you up with markets, as Greg Jarrett

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<v Speaker 1>was saying, you did have a stock sell off that

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<v Speaker 1>is more significant than we've seen over the past couple

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<v Speaker 1>of days. Also in the bond market, you could see

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<v Speaker 1>the sixth day rally in thirty year treasuries is the

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<v Speaker 1>biggest since September. So definitely a risk off sentiment. Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>for listening to the Bloomberg pen L podcast. You can

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<v Speaker 1>subscribe and listen to interviews at iTunes, SoundCloud, or whatever

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<v Speaker 1>podcast platform you prefer. I'm Pim Fox. I'm out there

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at pim Fox. I'm out there on Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>at Lisa Abramo. It's one before the podcast. You can

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<v Speaker 1>always catch us worldwide on Bloomberg Radio.