1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast. 2 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go fifteen Cundy, twenty five, 3 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 2: thirty thirty five, toty forty five fifty. 4 00:00:15,320 --> 00:00:20,439 Speaker 3: And the kick as block Look College Football World stunner. 5 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:25,120 Speaker 1: Oh my goodness. 6 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 2: He stumbled the football. The lateral turn. 7 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:35,080 Speaker 4: The counter of the job. Don't you believe? Tap them off. 8 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:35,919 Speaker 2: The field to night. 9 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 1: It's not the side of the dog in the fight. 10 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 1: It's the side of the. 11 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 2: Fight in the doll. 12 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:50,960 Speaker 1: Welcome into the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by 13 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 1: bet MGM. This is the Group five Deep Dive and 14 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 1: we are in the heart of previews season. The sun belt, 15 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: the fun belt has been strapped on. We went through 16 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 1: that entire slog, teams East and West. We got some 17 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 1: divisionless football to discuss here because the Mountain West Conference 18 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:07,400 Speaker 1: is on tap. And I'm not just doing it as 19 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 1: a one man show. I'm Mike Calbary's I'm joined by 20 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:12,199 Speaker 1: Mike Ianello and Colin Wilson. I'll start with you Colin. 21 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 1: In terms of preview season, is this when you really 22 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: feel that football started? Or do you need to see 23 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 1: the pads popping before you feel like football is really back? 24 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:23,039 Speaker 2: I need the pads popping. But there's enough EA College 25 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:25,319 Speaker 2: Football twenty five going on in my house when I'm 26 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 2: not getting ready for podcasts. So I already feel the 27 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 2: pads popping, the stadium pulse running through my veins. I 28 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 2: can't wait for it all to get here. 29 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 1: I know we've discussed that. You know, the Sun Belt 30 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:36,960 Speaker 1: certainly has a chance to send a team to the 31 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:39,200 Speaker 1: College Football Playoff. Do you feel just as bullish on 32 00:01:39,240 --> 00:01:39,919 Speaker 1: the Mountain West. 33 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:42,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's not more bullish on the Mountain West, to 34 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 4: be honest, I kind of thought going into this conference 35 00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 4: is going to be top heavy, and the more I 36 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 4: did research, the more I was finding myself poking holes 37 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 4: in these top teams and finding myself bullish on some 38 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 4: of the bottom ones. But you know, we'll see what 39 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 4: you guys think about that. But I'm pretty excited to 40 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 4: talk mount and West football here. 41 00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 1: And in addition to mount and West football, we have 42 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: the two little bonus teams in the Pac two. We're 43 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 1: bringing them on over. We're going to talk to Wazoo 44 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: and Oregon State in this episode as well. For those 45 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:08,240 Speaker 1: not in the know, everyone's going to play seven games 46 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 1: in the Mountain West this year and Wazoo and Oregon 47 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: State are going to be sprinkled throughout those schedules, some 48 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 1: teams catching them both, some teams only getting one of them. 49 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 1: It is interesting how it could potentially, at least in 50 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 1: this one special season, be a boost for a conference 51 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:24,520 Speaker 1: champion or a team that gets the double digit wins 52 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: if they are able to win against those former Power 53 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 1: five teams. But we'll get into that in just a moment. First, 54 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: we're going to bring in the Action Networks audio director 55 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell. Matt, let everybody in on the good news. 56 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 5: The Big Bets on Campus YouTube channel has officially launched. 57 00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:44,359 Speaker 5: For seven long years, we've been doing college football episodes 58 00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 5: here at Action Network with Callum and Stuckey in the 59 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 5: whole gang, and for that entire time, our loyal listers 60 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 5: have asked for two things. 61 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 1: They want more college football stuff, and they want it 62 00:02:54,520 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 1: released earlier in the week. 63 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 2: Well you know what, We've heard it. 64 00:02:57,040 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: So we're going to give you a dedicated BBOC YouTube channel. 65 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 1: We're going to meet both of these demands. You guys 66 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 1: have won raised the victory flag. 67 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 5: Okay, So let me give you an example. So when 68 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 5: you subscribe to the new channel, the conference, preview episodes 69 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 5: episodes just like this. They will come out earlier on 70 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 5: the YouTube channel than in the podcast audio version, so 71 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 5: if you want them early, that's where you should go. 72 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,079 Speaker 1: Plus, this YouTube channel is also where we're going to 73 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 1: house all of our extra videos, all the bonus coverage, 74 00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 1: all sorts of fun stuff that we can dream up 75 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:27,520 Speaker 1: at BBOC on YouTube. 76 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 5: Thank you for listening to the podcast. Please continue to 77 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 5: listen and download the show. But growing this new YouTube 78 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:37,920 Speaker 5: channel is a top priority for everybody here, so that 79 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 5: would be the most meaningful thing you can do right 80 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 5: now for the show. Follow the link in this episode description. 81 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 5: If that's too complicated, listen, just go to YouTube, type 82 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 5: in BBOC Betting channel and it'll take you right there. 83 00:03:51,040 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 5: We thank you so much. 84 00:03:52,520 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 3: In advance and rocking down, all right, it's time to 85 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 3: hop on into the mound west top to bottom. 86 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: We're gonna do it just like the sun Belt, where 87 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 1: we're gonna go buy the preseason media poll that is 88 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 1: now up, and we'll go from the top team all 89 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: the way to the bottom, and I'm gonna throw in 90 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,839 Speaker 1: some Oregon and Wazoo. You know, at my discretion, we're 91 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:20,839 Speaker 1: not gonna leave them as leftovers just for the end. 92 00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:23,560 Speaker 1: I'm sure they already feel enough like that as it is. 93 00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:27,279 Speaker 1: All right, let's start at the very top with the 94 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 1: Boise State Broncos. Spencer Danielson took over last year, went 95 00:04:30,440 --> 00:04:33,279 Speaker 1: three and one, won the Mound West title game over UNLV. 96 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 1: They lost to UCLA in the LA Bowl, but they 97 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 1: finish eight and six. They play fourteen games six and 98 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:41,040 Speaker 1: two in Mount and West play. Their win total out 99 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:42,520 Speaker 1: in the market is sitting at nine or nine and 100 00:04:42,560 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 1: a half. Their odds essentially had even money to win 101 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 1: the championship. As a reminder, we're gonna beat the strum 102 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:49,480 Speaker 1: over and over again, make sure to shop around. I've 103 00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 1: seen as goes plus one thirty out in their markets, 104 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:54,360 Speaker 1: so don't leave any money on the table. Also a 105 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:56,720 Speaker 1: new market this year odds to make the college football 106 00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:59,040 Speaker 1: playoff because the top G five team is going to 107 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,600 Speaker 1: get us seed the table. They are plus four fifty 108 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 1: to make the collegeable playoffs. And interestingly, I'll get into 109 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:07,039 Speaker 1: it in just a moment. Six hundred to one to 110 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:09,599 Speaker 1: win the national title. I think that is incredibly miss priced. 111 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: But before I get into the full breakdown, I'm gonna 112 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 1: go to you first, ian el O, So I don't 113 00:05:13,760 --> 00:05:16,480 Speaker 1: steal any of your notes, any of your points of emphasis. 114 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: I just wrote three thousand words in the Action Network 115 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:20,960 Speaker 1: app about why I'm on Boise at six hundred to 116 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:23,040 Speaker 1: one to win the national title. So I had plenty 117 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 1: to say, But let's have you go first. Yeah. 118 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:28,159 Speaker 4: I think you know people kind of forget too that 119 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 4: not only did they win the Mountain West last season, 120 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:33,800 Speaker 4: they did it despite firing their head coach miss mid season, 121 00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 4: rotating qbs throughout the year, having a bunch of players 122 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:40,240 Speaker 4: opt out mid They had half their like receiver romant 123 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:42,320 Speaker 4: to the portal in like November, and they still managed 124 00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 4: to win. Bring back allward running back Ashton gen D. 125 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:46,840 Speaker 4: By the way, you have to decide this year, are 126 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:48,680 Speaker 4: we calling him gen t or I feel like we 127 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:49,680 Speaker 4: said it differently every time. 128 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:53,160 Speaker 1: GenZ is the way to go. It is important. There 129 00:05:53,200 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 1: are some tricky names in this conference, so we have 130 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:56,920 Speaker 1: to make sure we have all. 131 00:05:56,839 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 4: Our dantose states hold defensive lines like part of the 132 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:03,440 Speaker 4: blood line. So I don't even know how to pronounce 133 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:06,240 Speaker 4: any of them. Yeah, they got gen back and then 134 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:11,160 Speaker 4: they're gonna pair him with former five star recruit Malachi Nelson, Calgary's. 135 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 4: We have been picking the Bailey z Appy Our Guy 136 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 4: award for each conference. Should we just rock paper to 137 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:19,039 Speaker 4: this for which one of us gets to pick Malaguy 138 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 4: Nelson as our guy because this is officially a Malachi 139 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 4: Nelson podcast. He is. I think he's going to be 140 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:29,080 Speaker 4: a stud. The charl Caples back at receiver they bring 141 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:31,520 Speaker 4: in Camp Camp or from Indiana. I think this offense 142 00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:34,839 Speaker 4: is gonna be nasty. They do lose PJ Ramsey up 143 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 4: front of defense, but I think this defense is sneaky, 144 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 4: going to be the story of this team. They promoted 145 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 4: Spencer Danielson the head coach. If you saw the video 146 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,160 Speaker 4: of it when they announced that this team loves him 147 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 4: and they were able to bring a lot of guys back, 148 00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:50,600 Speaker 4: which I think kind of shows you that people want 149 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:53,160 Speaker 4: to play for him. They promoted Eric Chandler, the d 150 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 4: line coach, to the defensive coordinator, so I think there's 151 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:57,920 Speaker 4: a lot of continuity here. I is defensly gonna be loaded. 152 00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 4: Amon has signed in twelve and a half sacks last year, 153 00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:05,480 Speaker 4: leading defensive lineman. He's back linebacker Andrew Simpson. He does 154 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:08,159 Speaker 4: everything for this team. You got say Oladipo in the 155 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 4: corner with a Mario McCoy. So I really like what 156 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 4: they're bringing back the secondary. They might have the best 157 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 4: safety duo in the conference with Tubner and Robinson, but 158 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:18,320 Speaker 4: even started slowly and then as soon as they fired 159 00:07:18,320 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 4: the coach, it was terrific down the stretch. So I 160 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 4: think they're gonna win the Mountain West. You mentioned with 161 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:25,080 Speaker 4: the you know, our two newcomers. We have to decide too. 162 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:27,880 Speaker 4: Are we are we officially adopting Washington State and Oregon 163 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 4: State from Colin Stuck? Are we having joint custody with them? 164 00:07:30,600 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 4: How's are we officially their parents? Now? How's that working? 165 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:36,400 Speaker 1: I mean there will be a conference official from the 166 00:07:36,440 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 1: state that will watch us as we take them to 167 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,280 Speaker 1: the park. But yeah, I think this is gonna be 168 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:43,520 Speaker 1: a part where we are sharing them with Stuck and Colin, 169 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 1: and honestly, I just feel so bad for the programs. 170 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 1: I think there's an opportunity for at least one of 171 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 1: them to have a decent season. We'll get into that shortly. 172 00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 4: I think that's perfect for Boise because it gives them 173 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 4: two big names, two big brands, both coming to the 174 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 4: Smurf Turf which sets up nice to get boys d 175 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:03,679 Speaker 4: a few statement wins. I think it should be favored 176 00:08:03,680 --> 00:08:06,119 Speaker 4: in eleven games. I'm going to skip the Mountain West 177 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 4: Conference price. I think it's like plus one ten. Give 178 00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:10,720 Speaker 4: me that plus six hundred for Boise State to make 179 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:12,600 Speaker 4: the playoff. I think an eleven to one Bois team 180 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 4: jumps Liberty. So that is my pick for the Broncos. 181 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:18,320 Speaker 1: When people ask me like, how deep are you getting 182 00:08:18,400 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 1: into your offseason prep? Usually I go to this little nugget. 183 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 1: I was watching Dirk Cutter dial up plays for Jamis 184 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 1: Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to get a feel 185 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 1: for his play calling acumen, his run pass ratio, how 186 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 1: he protects his quarterback at times. Colin, I'm going to 187 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 1: throw this to you in this open ended question. How 188 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:39,120 Speaker 1: good can this Boise offense be? With arguably the best 189 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:42,440 Speaker 1: G five offensive line in front of gen Z protecting Nelson, 190 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:45,920 Speaker 1: and the receiving corps is really really big. This is 191 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:48,840 Speaker 1: atypical for a G five receiving corps. You got multiple 192 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:51,840 Speaker 1: guys over six foot three, big targets, big windows to 193 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:54,840 Speaker 1: throw into. Could this offense be the best in the 194 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 1: G five? And if so, is that enough of them 195 00:08:57,200 --> 00:08:58,760 Speaker 1: not only to make the playoff, but to make some 196 00:08:58,800 --> 00:08:59,680 Speaker 1: noise in your opinion. 197 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 2: Oh boy, there's a lot of questions here. Let's say this. 198 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 2: I hate to come in here and just throw water 199 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 2: over all this Boise State love, but I think that's 200 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:10,200 Speaker 2: exactly what we do. There are two things on this 201 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 2: team that I love and everything else. I've got serious 202 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:15,600 Speaker 2: questions about what do I love on this team. Dirk 203 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:18,680 Speaker 2: Cotter being the offensive coordinator again. He stepped in towards 204 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:21,200 Speaker 2: the end of what in the middle of twenty twenty two, 205 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 2: and the offense just went absolutely crazy. I suspect Malachi 206 00:09:26,200 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 2: Nelson having him as a mentor and as an offensive 207 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:32,079 Speaker 2: coordinator is going to help his progression because he hasn't 208 00:09:32,080 --> 00:09:34,360 Speaker 2: had it yet, because he hasn't grown an inch, He 209 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 2: hasn't put any muscle on. He looks like Stiff Winn 210 00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:40,080 Speaker 2: could blow him away. He looks like Brett Favre on 211 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:42,560 Speaker 2: the field the spring game, throwing across his body. Looks 212 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 2: like he likes different arm angles, like Patrick Mahomes. That's 213 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes and Brett Farv You're what nineteen years old? 214 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 2: You ay? 215 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 1: What? 216 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:52,040 Speaker 2: One seventy? I'm a little nervous about him leaving the 217 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:53,960 Speaker 2: pocket the spring game. I'm a little nervous about him 218 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:56,760 Speaker 2: thrown across his body. I love Dirt Cotter being the 219 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 2: offensive coordinator here. I think he can cover that up. 220 00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 2: I also love Ashton Genty, best running back in the 221 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 2: group of five. Would start for almost every single Power 222 00:10:06,559 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 2: five team. He created sixty two missed tackles last year. 223 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 2: He's an absolute manchild. Nelson to Genty often because Genty 224 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:17,040 Speaker 2: has great hands. He had a negative average depth of target, 225 00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:20,119 Speaker 2: thirty eight catches out of the backfield, plenty of elusiveness 226 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 2: and breakaway speed downfield. That's the good news about the offense. 227 00:10:23,559 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 2: I don't like the defense. Who is Eric Shenander? Everybody well, 228 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:29,840 Speaker 2: he used to be at UCF with Scott Fross. He 229 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 2: used to be at Nebraska with Scott Fross. He runs 230 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 2: a three to four. It's highly aggressive, and he was 231 00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:35,839 Speaker 2: terrible everywhere he was. All the defenses that he's ever 232 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:37,679 Speaker 2: coached have had problems with tackling, and if you look 233 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:40,080 Speaker 2: at Boise State last year, one hundred and twenty ninth 234 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:44,120 Speaker 2: in tackling graded by PFF. Now he is the defensive coordinator, 235 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 2: there have been serious problems in the past. Andy Avilos 236 00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 2: had the same problem too. So one hundred percent of 237 00:10:49,520 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 2: the stats are returning per tarp. They are going to 238 00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:55,000 Speaker 2: be loaded. But let's ask what this defense did outside 239 00:10:55,000 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 2: the top one hundred and pass rush ninety fourth in coverage, 240 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:01,440 Speaker 2: I'm eighty third in defense of finishing drives. And the 241 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:03,720 Speaker 2: other question is Eric Schnander's always run a three to 242 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 2: four everywhere he's gone. That's not been their defense here. 243 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:08,080 Speaker 2: Avolos has always run a four to twenty five. Spencer 244 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:11,000 Speaker 2: Danielson runs a four towoy five. Now they dodge Air Force, 245 00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:14,199 Speaker 2: Colorado State and Fresno, the teams I wouldn't want to 246 00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:16,679 Speaker 2: play out of the Mountain West. They have a subpar defense. 247 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 2: It might not matter. I mean, the schedule's that easy. 248 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:22,960 Speaker 2: No college football playoff though, guys. No college football playoff 249 00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:25,560 Speaker 2: for me. This game against Orgon I projected twenty one 250 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 2: twenty two points. What if they lose by forty? Is 251 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 2: the committee going to look at that? And there's something 252 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 2: going on with Dan Lanning wiping people like putting them 253 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:35,920 Speaker 2: on the mat and then continuing to beat them with 254 00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 2: a chair when he puts his foot on the pedal 255 00:11:37,800 --> 00:11:39,640 Speaker 2: he keeps going, and I'm not sure a forty point 256 00:11:39,679 --> 00:11:41,760 Speaker 2: loss or Oregon is going to be a good look. Now, 257 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 2: the good news is is I have them favored like 258 00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 2: every game after the organ game, the final ten games 259 00:11:45,760 --> 00:11:47,800 Speaker 2: after that. So and I have a problem with the 260 00:11:47,840 --> 00:11:50,560 Speaker 2: conference odds. I make them fourteen point five percent to win. 261 00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:53,439 Speaker 2: That equates to about plus five eighty. What's this number? 262 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:57,319 Speaker 2: Plus one forty It's way too high. Boise's always overpriced 263 00:11:57,320 --> 00:11:59,000 Speaker 2: because of who they are in the competition that they 264 00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:01,800 Speaker 2: go up against. The best bet from a value perspective 265 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:04,720 Speaker 2: for your dollar is over nine minus one fifty. Considering 266 00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:07,240 Speaker 2: they'll be favored ten times after the Oregon game, they 267 00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:09,720 Speaker 2: can get over that win total schedule in the conference 268 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:12,280 Speaker 2: as a joke. Jeff Tedford not being there means you 269 00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:14,280 Speaker 2: don't have to worry about them in the championship game 270 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 2: when it comes from an experience perspective, I don't like 271 00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:19,520 Speaker 2: them to win this conference championship in the Mountain West. 272 00:12:19,559 --> 00:12:21,560 Speaker 2: I'll tell you who I think does, but the best 273 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:23,800 Speaker 2: bet for me is over nine. I'm not going to 274 00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:26,199 Speaker 2: mess with this playoff stuff because Oregon has the ability 275 00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 2: to end that after the second week. 276 00:12:28,040 --> 00:12:30,480 Speaker 1: I'm sensing a lot of negativity, which I will say. 277 00:12:30,520 --> 00:12:32,920 Speaker 1: The only thing I'll push back on Shenander was that 278 00:12:33,120 --> 00:12:36,520 Speaker 1: at UCF he did create a lot of negative plays. Now, 279 00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:39,200 Speaker 1: the tackling is true, some of the numbers in Nebraska 280 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 1: were absolutely horrific. But when it all goes right, when 281 00:12:42,040 --> 00:12:45,040 Speaker 1: you push the envelope with a team that I believe 282 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:47,440 Speaker 1: will average over thirty points per game, you're gonna have 283 00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:49,079 Speaker 1: a lot of margin for error where if you can 284 00:12:49,120 --> 00:12:51,240 Speaker 1: force two or three turnovers in a game, it doesn't 285 00:12:51,280 --> 00:12:53,440 Speaker 1: necessarily matter if you're not getting off the field. Other 286 00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 1: than that, what are your thoughts there? 287 00:12:54,920 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 2: I'm sure Spencer Danielson is going to have the final 288 00:12:56,920 --> 00:12:58,160 Speaker 2: say at the end of the day, but at the 289 00:12:58,240 --> 00:12:59,720 Speaker 2: end of the day, he wants to do something different 290 00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 2: than what what does assistants want to do? I have 291 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:03,920 Speaker 2: to see it to believe it. Because tackling was still 292 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:06,640 Speaker 2: a consistent issue. They couldn't get pressure on the quarterback. 293 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:08,520 Speaker 2: It was still a consistent issue after they made those 294 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 2: changes last year. 295 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:11,440 Speaker 4: I just want to jump in real quickly and just say, Colin, 296 00:13:11,440 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 4: to your point about the Oregon game possibly being held 297 00:13:14,559 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 4: against them, I'd argue they just have to lose that 298 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:18,960 Speaker 4: game by less than thirty nine points, because that's what 299 00:13:19,040 --> 00:13:21,560 Speaker 4: Oregon wiped Liberty with last year. And I think that's 300 00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 4: going to hold way a lot of weight in the 301 00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:26,560 Speaker 4: committee's head too, is we have this undefeated cupcake Liberty 302 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:29,600 Speaker 4: team get absolutely washed by Oregon. Boys to State just 303 00:13:29,640 --> 00:13:31,440 Speaker 4: has to play him closer than Liberty did. 304 00:13:31,960 --> 00:13:33,800 Speaker 2: I think Boise does have a leg up. They can 305 00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:35,920 Speaker 2: lose to Oregon, probably pretty bad at slab a leg 306 00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:38,839 Speaker 2: up over Liberty, But you got to pretty much whip 307 00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:42,559 Speaker 2: everybody else on this on this schedule to make the playoff. 308 00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 1: Before we hop to the next team. I do want 309 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 1: to flag you brought him up. I l he is 310 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:50,320 Speaker 1: my guy for this entire conference. Ahmed has anin the 311 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:52,719 Speaker 1: Boise State defensive ends. He had sixteen and a half 312 00:13:52,760 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 1: tackles for loss this year. He has to go thermonuclear 313 00:13:55,240 --> 00:13:57,560 Speaker 1: for them to have any chance to create enough pass 314 00:13:57,679 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 1: rush to help out a secondary that Colin is right. 315 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,559 Speaker 1: They finished one hundred and tenth in passing defense, eighty 316 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:05,040 Speaker 1: fifth in passes defended. They had some issues on the 317 00:14:05,040 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 1: back end. He is a special player, though, and he's 318 00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:10,760 Speaker 1: one of my favorites because it's someone who's new to football. 319 00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:13,600 Speaker 1: He comes from Egypt. He was the top ranks CrossFit 320 00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:16,520 Speaker 1: competitor in the entire country. He boxed, he was a 321 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:19,080 Speaker 1: judo champion. He's only been playing football, I believe, for 322 00:14:19,120 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 1: six years now, and he just keeps getting better. He's 323 00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:24,200 Speaker 1: getting All American preseason hype from Phil Steele. I think 324 00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 1: there's an opportunity for him to have a monster year, 325 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 1: kind of similar to Colorado State last year. We had 326 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:33,920 Speaker 1: their defensive ends Kamara, where you need one guy to 327 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:36,040 Speaker 1: essentially beat the pass rush. I think he can help. 328 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 1: And the other person that I would circle and really 329 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: focus in on is Jeremiah Irbee, who comes in from 330 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:46,080 Speaker 1: cal He was a freshman second team All American two 331 00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 1: years ago. He's a big corner at six foot two, 332 00:14:48,520 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 1: and he has chemistry with their other starting quarterback corner McCoy, 333 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:53,800 Speaker 1: because they played in high school together. 334 00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:56,480 Speaker 4: I will tell listeners too. Calbary's telling me Boise State 335 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 4: is the team he picked for his NS double, a 336 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 4: twenty five dynasty team. So is Hasanian? Is that? Who 337 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:04,200 Speaker 4: is that who you're controlling on defense? Are you just 338 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 4: bow rushing him off the edge when you're playing with them? 339 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 1: First of all, anyone who plays with a defensive lineman is 340 00:15:08,920 --> 00:15:10,760 Speaker 1: not welcome in my house. That is not a real 341 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:12,960 Speaker 1: player on the sticks. You gotta at least be a 342 00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:15,200 Speaker 1: linebacker or a safety if you're a real one. So 343 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:17,080 Speaker 1: no I am, I'm not playing with him. I'm letting 344 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:19,680 Speaker 1: him do his own work. Maybe I'll bluff with a linebacker, 345 00:15:19,680 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 1: try to take up an a gap here or there. 346 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:25,120 Speaker 1: All right, let's hop to the second team at least 347 00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 1: in the preseason poll. And for my money, this is 348 00:15:27,760 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 1: where it immediately gets interesting. A team continuing to rise 349 00:15:31,760 --> 00:15:34,160 Speaker 1: and to challenge Boise, and to make this a year 350 00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 1: long race. That is something to keep an eye on 351 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 1: from a national perspective. 352 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 6: Right going to send to send my fire, got a 353 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 6: whole lot of money. 354 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:47,560 Speaker 2: That's rid of the burn. 355 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 1: So get the hosteak exo paia U NLV. Year two 356 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 1: for barry Odom nine to five. Last year, they finally 357 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:57,520 Speaker 1: break through. They win over seven games for the first 358 00:15:57,560 --> 00:16:00,120 Speaker 1: time since the mid eighties. They go six and two 359 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,480 Speaker 1: in conference. They go to the title game. They lay 360 00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:05,200 Speaker 1: in that against Boise. Unfortunately they lose to Kansas in 361 00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:07,960 Speaker 1: a bowl game shootout. Their win total this is what 362 00:16:08,080 --> 00:16:11,280 Speaker 1: surprised me. Seven or seven and a half their odds 363 00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 1: to win the conference once again, shop around, but six 364 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:15,480 Speaker 1: to one at a lot of books, thirty three to 365 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 1: one to make the College Football Playoff. This team, I 366 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 1: still believe has in it factor to be able to 367 00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 1: take it to the next level. And let's keep in 368 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 1: mind they host on a Friday night at the Legion 369 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:28,480 Speaker 1: Stadium October twenty fifth, Boise State comes to town, so 370 00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: they have an opportunity to get their win of the 371 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:33,480 Speaker 1: year in that spot. Now let's get into quarterbacks, and 372 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 1: this where I'm gonna bring Colin in. Matthew Sluca from 373 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 1: holy Cross, hodj Malik Williams from Campbell are in a 374 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:42,040 Speaker 1: fall camp battle for the QB one spot. Both possess 375 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:45,000 Speaker 1: ideal dual threat abilities to run this go go offense. 376 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:46,680 Speaker 1: You want to be able to hurt teams with your 377 00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:48,640 Speaker 1: legs and you want to be accurate in the downfield 378 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:52,160 Speaker 1: passing game. Now, Sluco was a Walter Payton Award finalist 379 00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:55,720 Speaker 1: at holy Cross. He had nearly thirteen hundred yards rushing. 380 00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: If you just watch his highlight tape, he burned a 381 00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 1: lot of teams with his legs and win has really 382 00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: improved in terms of his accuracy over his time starting 383 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 1: at the FCS level. So when I think about Brendan 384 00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:10,000 Speaker 1: Mary in offense, he is the quarterback that I would 385 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 1: prefer to match with a Ricky White, a Jayde Thomas 386 00:17:13,040 --> 00:17:15,080 Speaker 1: to hand off to Jane Thomas by the way, a 387 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:17,520 Speaker 1: freshman All American. But let me stop here. I know 388 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:19,720 Speaker 1: that you were high on Hodge Malik Williams. Do you 389 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:22,200 Speaker 1: think he wins the job or is this just an 390 00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:25,200 Speaker 1: embarrassment of riches a G five level to say? Either 391 00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:27,040 Speaker 1: one who wins it is going to put un l 392 00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:28,920 Speaker 1: be in a good position to compete all year long. 393 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:33,159 Speaker 2: Roll hummos the Campbell University. 394 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:41,240 Speaker 6: Campbell's from Booey's Creek, North Carolina. 395 00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:42,320 Speaker 3: Check it out. 396 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:46,480 Speaker 2: If you don't know who Hodge Malik Williams is. Hodge 397 00:17:46,520 --> 00:17:48,960 Speaker 2: Malik Williams, we will go back to twenty twenty one. 398 00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 2: The Action Network all of us as a crew hopped 399 00:17:51,840 --> 00:17:54,119 Speaker 2: on Campbell first four games of the season because they 400 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:57,840 Speaker 2: were covering Darlings. Why Because Hodge Malik Williams is the 401 00:17:57,960 --> 00:18:01,359 Speaker 2: craziest thing to ever hit FCS football. Everywhere from the 402 00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 2: air to the ground. He ends his Campbell career, forty 403 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,399 Speaker 2: four touchdowns to sixteen nine t's one thousand yards of 404 00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:10,520 Speaker 2: scrambling and five hundred yards on design druns. He can 405 00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 2: absolutely run the go go of Brandon Marrion. But you're right, Sluca, 406 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 2: and I love Hodsmleake Williams. He is my player here 407 00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 2: in the conference because I have an emotional attachment to 408 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 2: how much money this guy won me back in twenty 409 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:22,960 Speaker 2: twenty one. But when you put on the tape of 410 00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 2: Matthew Sluca, Holy Cow, Holy Cross almost beat Army in 411 00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:29,439 Speaker 2: Boston College last year. He was a big part of it. 412 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 2: And like you said, Calabres, it's all about the rushing game. 413 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:33,840 Speaker 2: He's a fifth year senior. But in his career as 414 00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 2: thirty eight touchdowns on the ground, a quarterback has created 415 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:41,960 Speaker 2: two hundred and fourteen misstackles. That's insane. Running backs don't 416 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:43,640 Speaker 2: do that in their entire career. Don't even get close 417 00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:46,440 Speaker 2: to that. I've never seen a quarterback create that many mistackles. 418 00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:48,960 Speaker 2: And then on this offense. And I don't know who 419 00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:52,240 Speaker 2: wins right between Sluca and Hodgmitleake Williams. My guess is 420 00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:54,920 Speaker 2: they both play. There's been so many injuries at the 421 00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:57,400 Speaker 2: quarterback position over the years of UNLV. I think they're 422 00:18:57,400 --> 00:18:59,400 Speaker 2: going to need him both at some point, so I'm 423 00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:02,120 Speaker 2: not sure who wins. I'm not sure which one makes 424 00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:04,560 Speaker 2: a higher ceiling to tell you the truth. But what 425 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:08,160 Speaker 2: does matter? These guys get Ricky White back. Ricky White returns. 426 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:10,680 Speaker 2: He could win the Bilitzakoff if he actually played for 427 00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:14,160 Speaker 2: a national championship contender that made the playoff. Most explosive 428 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:17,919 Speaker 2: grade in all of PFF of targets over four yards 429 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 2: per route run, most explosive target in college football is 430 00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:25,560 Speaker 2: coming to these two quarterbacks on the go go offense. 431 00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:29,280 Speaker 2: Odum has gone back to Arkansas. Not only did he 432 00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:31,159 Speaker 2: need players in this defense, he went and got his 433 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 2: locker room leader from the Razorbacks in Jalen Catalog Jalen 434 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:36,639 Speaker 2: Catalog hurt last year with Texas, didn't get a lot 435 00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:38,560 Speaker 2: of playing time. He does have the injury bug, but 436 00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:41,640 Speaker 2: he is a captain on this team. Day one linebacker 437 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:43,879 Speaker 2: Jackson Woodard one of the best in Mountain West Conference. 438 00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:45,960 Speaker 2: He's in his second year, led the team with seventy 439 00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:48,040 Speaker 2: one tackles last year, and edge Jalen Dixon his back 440 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:51,080 Speaker 2: second team All Mountain West. The defense really needed to 441 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 2: pick it up. Last year. Secondary returns a couple of 442 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:56,560 Speaker 2: good players. They were top forty. They slipped inside the 443 00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,440 Speaker 2: top forty in on target rate allowed. If you don't 444 00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 2: know what that is, how many times are you hitting 445 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:04,359 Speaker 2: your wide receivers, your tight ends and in stride in 446 00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 2: their numbers and they're going UNLV's defense was good enough 447 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,680 Speaker 2: to get into the top forty and not allowing opposing 448 00:20:10,720 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 2: quarterbacks to hit their targets in stride in their numbers. 449 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:16,320 Speaker 2: So they are progressing under Odam who always plays the 450 00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:19,800 Speaker 2: three three five max protects against explosives. It's a tough 451 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:22,160 Speaker 2: Mountain West schedule, not like Boise. Boise has a soft 452 00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:25,240 Speaker 2: schedule UNLV. I mean they got Boise, they got Fresno 453 00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:27,440 Speaker 2: and Allegiance. They got a non con against Houston. They're 454 00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:30,120 Speaker 2: playing Kansas on a soccer field, Trivian's mercy. We'll see 455 00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:31,840 Speaker 2: what that's all about. And they have a trip to 456 00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:34,200 Speaker 2: Hawaii would generally be tricky, but they do come off 457 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 2: of a bye week. I'll throw it back to you guys, 458 00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:39,520 Speaker 2: this is my pick to win the Mountain West. I 459 00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:41,920 Speaker 2: have five to one in pocket. I know that's falling down. 460 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:43,960 Speaker 2: I know there's a lot of love coming out. You 461 00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:46,399 Speaker 2: cannot tell me these aren't the two best quarterbacks in 462 00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:49,160 Speaker 2: the conference. I love this team so much. 463 00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:52,399 Speaker 1: Love Barry Otem, love the go go Ianello before I 464 00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 1: bring you in. I'm gonna say this from a conference 465 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:58,680 Speaker 1: perception standpoint, it would be really helpful if UNLV could 466 00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:01,679 Speaker 1: get two wins against Houston on the road, Kansas, and 467 00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:04,320 Speaker 1: they also host Syracuse, all in the first five weeks. 468 00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:07,240 Speaker 1: I think this is a team that was lucky to 469 00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:11,080 Speaker 1: bring in two phenomenal FCS quarterbacks who are plug and play, 470 00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:13,399 Speaker 1: who are ready to go, and if one slips or 471 00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:15,280 Speaker 1: gets injured, the other one is right there. By the 472 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:19,040 Speaker 1: way Sluka his last four games against FBS, playing up 473 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:21,800 Speaker 1: to FBS opponents five hundred and sixty rushing yards. The 474 00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:24,440 Speaker 1: guy is a dog, so I can't wait to see 475 00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:27,639 Speaker 1: him in this offense and all the machinations that you 476 00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:29,880 Speaker 1: know Marian can dream up to get him in an 477 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:33,800 Speaker 1: open space. But is the defense good enough for it 478 00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:37,360 Speaker 1: to matter? Because last year, particularly in that title game 479 00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:40,280 Speaker 1: against Boise, that was a rough watch. It felt like 480 00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:42,600 Speaker 1: they were a boxer who had a plan but then 481 00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 1: got punched in the mouth and forgot how to essentially 482 00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:48,160 Speaker 1: play football. Does that memory stick with you as well 483 00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:50,800 Speaker 1: as the Kansas Bowl game where they got shredded or 484 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:52,399 Speaker 1: are you optimistic on the run reps? 485 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,760 Speaker 4: Not completely. First of all, I don't think this is 486 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:57,280 Speaker 4: the second team we should have been talking about here. 487 00:21:57,320 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 4: I'll just throw that out. I don't even need they 488 00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:01,080 Speaker 4: have the second best thoughts, I think Fresdno has better odds, 489 00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:03,200 Speaker 4: but we'll talk about them. Here's what scares in another 490 00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:07,720 Speaker 4: defense is they took a very fitting for Las Vegas 491 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:11,600 Speaker 4: approach last season and they had a risk at all defense. 492 00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:15,520 Speaker 4: They led the Mountain West with twenty seven turnovers force 493 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:19,960 Speaker 4: last year, but they also allowed a whopping eighty seven 494 00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:23,560 Speaker 4: plays of twenty plus yards, the most in the conference 495 00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 4: by a lot. So they were very boom or bust, again, 496 00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:31,000 Speaker 4: very fitting for Vegas. So I'm interested to see if 497 00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:34,240 Speaker 4: that's the approach they continue to take. Do they want 498 00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:36,760 Speaker 4: that risk it for the Biscuit defense or do they 499 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:39,840 Speaker 4: kind of dial it back a little bit. 500 00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:40,679 Speaker 2: I love what you. 501 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,640 Speaker 4: Guys were saying about the quarterbacks, especially because Colin stole 502 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,199 Speaker 4: a lot on my thunder because Ricky White is my 503 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:49,920 Speaker 4: guy for this conference, because he does not get enough credit. Look, 504 00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,680 Speaker 4: we'll talk about Tory Horton. I feel like everyone knows 505 00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:54,960 Speaker 4: Tory Horton. No one talks about Ricky White. This is 506 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,199 Speaker 4: the guy who started his career at Michigan State for 507 00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:01,800 Speaker 4: two seasons, including setting a Michigan State freshman record with 508 00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,760 Speaker 4: one hundred and ninety six receiving yards and a touchdown 509 00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:08,080 Speaker 4: in the Big House against Michigan. He then transferred to 510 00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:12,520 Speaker 4: UNLV in twenty two to play with his high school 511 00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 4: teammate Harrison Bailey. He led the team in receiving despite 512 00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:19,400 Speaker 4: not really playing with Bailey. He caught passes from three 513 00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:22,520 Speaker 4: different quarterbacks he was rotating all year. Bailey was the 514 00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:25,040 Speaker 4: fewest he had catches from, so the fact that he 515 00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:26,960 Speaker 4: even stuck at Unov and then of course he breaks 516 00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,639 Speaker 4: out last year over fourteen hundred yards eight touchdowns. 517 00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:30,639 Speaker 2: He was third in the. 518 00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:34,119 Speaker 4: Country in receiving last year, only behind Romo Dunze and 519 00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:36,840 Speaker 4: the league neighbors ever heard of him. Ricky White was 520 00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:40,959 Speaker 4: right belong. So this guy is a certified dog and 521 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:42,680 Speaker 4: does not get talked about enough. I have all the 522 00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,080 Speaker 4: talk about you know, Unov was the running the go go. 523 00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,159 Speaker 4: You know Maeva Ricky White's a dog, so I do 524 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,000 Speaker 4: love him. But you guys said, I like what the 525 00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:52,760 Speaker 4: defense did? I just think I think it's the schedule. 526 00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:54,359 Speaker 4: I actually think this team will be just as good 527 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:57,840 Speaker 4: as last year, if not better. But this schedule at Houston, 528 00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:01,480 Speaker 4: at Kansas, at Oregon State Sarahcusa, hum Presdo and Boiseer. 529 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 4: You know they're both at home, but those are still 530 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:06,479 Speaker 4: tough games. Look look at the seven and a half. 531 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 4: You know there's eight's out there. Like, if this team 532 00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:12,840 Speaker 4: wins nine games again, that'll be remarkable. And honestly, if 533 00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:15,200 Speaker 4: this team wins the Mountain West, I'm glad Colin loves 534 00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:16,720 Speaker 4: them because Barry odem is probably going to be the 535 00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:21,119 Speaker 4: head coach at Arkansas next year. So if president, if 536 00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:23,919 Speaker 4: the UNLV wins nine games, Colin can take him to 537 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:27,439 Speaker 4: back to Arkansas with him. So I'm passing here. I 538 00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 4: like the team, but I just don't like the schedule. 539 00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:32,280 Speaker 2: I want to throw one thing in before we pivot off. 540 00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:36,640 Speaker 2: UNLV at Mountain West Media days at CIRCA, I ran 541 00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:39,359 Speaker 2: into the Las Vegas Bowl executive director decided to have 542 00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:43,120 Speaker 2: a little conversation with him. I said, hey, hey, where 543 00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:45,480 Speaker 2: is the rebel roller. I want to know where that 544 00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:48,400 Speaker 2: damn slot machine is on the field. Why is it gone? 545 00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:48,960 Speaker 1: Here? 546 00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:54,520 Speaker 3: It comes the Rebel Roller just unveiled today, a giant 547 00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:58,320 Speaker 3: slot machine used in the wake of any UNLV. 548 00:24:57,960 --> 00:24:59,720 Speaker 1: Score or turnover forced. 549 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:03,399 Speaker 2: And the first to pull the lever is the chuck Wagon. 550 00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:07,280 Speaker 2: Charles Williams. We got a phone call from the NCAA. 551 00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:09,640 Speaker 2: It promotes gambling, so they made us take it off 552 00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:11,520 Speaker 2: a field. Now it's sitting in a warehouse. And my 553 00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,680 Speaker 2: first response was which warehouse? 554 00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:16,800 Speaker 1: Yeah? 555 00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:18,760 Speaker 2: So the Rebel rollers gone? 556 00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:20,680 Speaker 4: You mean you mean the conference that had their media 557 00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:23,280 Speaker 4: days in a casino had a problem with promoting gambling. Right. 558 00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:25,840 Speaker 2: That allows me to talk to Timmy Chang on the 559 00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:27,879 Speaker 2: on the floor of the book, I mean, come on, 560 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:29,120 Speaker 2: what are we talking about here? 561 00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:33,840 Speaker 1: So it's gone, all right, let's roll the dice with 562 00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:37,000 Speaker 1: another team here in the Mountdwest Fresno State nine and four, 563 00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:40,120 Speaker 1: four and four in the Mount West Conference last year, 564 00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 1: the Winter was sending it at seven or seven and 565 00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,600 Speaker 1: a half in the market, identical to UNLV in terms 566 00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:46,320 Speaker 1: of odds to win this thing at six to one, 567 00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:48,720 Speaker 1: thirty three to one. To make the college well play 568 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,440 Speaker 1: off the headline of course, is that Jeff Tedferd is out. 569 00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,160 Speaker 1: Tim Skipper, a Fresno lifer, is in as the interim 570 00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,680 Speaker 1: head coach. Last year, they had the inside track to 571 00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:58,920 Speaker 1: the Maundwest title game and they blew it. They're sitting 572 00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:00,680 Speaker 1: at four and one of the conference with the head 573 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:04,359 Speaker 1: wins over both UNLV and Boise, and then they lost 574 00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:07,080 Speaker 1: three in a row to close out the regular season. Now, 575 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:09,800 Speaker 1: even so, this offense still has a chance to be special. 576 00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:13,760 Speaker 1: Mikey Keane first team, you know, preseason at quarterback, Malik Sharad, 577 00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 1: first team you know as well at running back. Four 578 00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:19,560 Speaker 1: starters on the offensive line and an experienced receiving corps. 579 00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:23,280 Speaker 1: Once Sharad was the guy last year, firmly entrenched, he 580 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:25,760 Speaker 1: was fed. He had four games with twenty five or 581 00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:28,240 Speaker 1: more touches in his last seven. That really lines up 582 00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:31,080 Speaker 1: with how Tedver likes to, you know, focus on one player. 583 00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:33,680 Speaker 1: We'll see if that carries over to Skipper this year. 584 00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:36,480 Speaker 1: But the defense lost a lot. As Colin puts together, 585 00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:39,280 Speaker 1: you know, his his TARP ratings and is updated throughout 586 00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:42,120 Speaker 1: the offseason. Negative four point five in the defensive TARP. 587 00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:45,160 Speaker 1: Devo Bridges is back at defensive end, after solid twenty 588 00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:48,600 Speaker 1: twenty three, but this defense has been slowly backsliding in 589 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:51,159 Speaker 1: the last two seasons from the G five elite to 590 00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:54,040 Speaker 1: just really good. So the question is will they finally 591 00:26:54,040 --> 00:26:55,960 Speaker 1: fall off a cliff be outside the top fifty for 592 00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,119 Speaker 1: the first time in you know, virtually four or five years. 593 00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:02,640 Speaker 1: Ten book ends at Michigan in the opener, which if 594 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:05,840 Speaker 1: there's a chance to catch Michigan, new offensive line, new quarterback, 595 00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,880 Speaker 1: new head coach, new coordinators, sure, you know, maybe throw 596 00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:11,439 Speaker 1: some couch change on that, and then at UCLA in 597 00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:13,520 Speaker 1: the final. It's hard to wrap my brain rounds and 598 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:15,840 Speaker 1: them being the Big ten, but it's true, no boise, 599 00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:18,200 Speaker 1: but they do go to Ulanilvy and Air Force. I'll 600 00:27:18,200 --> 00:27:19,760 Speaker 1: start with you here. I know, I know this is 601 00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:22,000 Speaker 1: a team that if Tedford was the coach, you would 602 00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:24,760 Speaker 1: absolutely be pulling the trigger, no hesitation on them. Where 603 00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:27,760 Speaker 1: do you come down with an interim head coach. This 604 00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 1: isn't the same as you know, a team in Utah 605 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:32,000 Speaker 1: that we'll get to later in terms of turmoil with 606 00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:35,000 Speaker 1: their head coach turnover, but it certainly hurts them for 607 00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 1: a guy that has been really one of the best 608 00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:40,120 Speaker 1: coaches on the West Coast in the last twenty five years. 609 00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:42,520 Speaker 4: Yeah, you said it. Losing Tedford is honestly the only 610 00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:45,400 Speaker 4: reason I haven't pulled a bet on Fresno State. Here, 611 00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:48,880 Speaker 4: I agree Here, I love mikey Keane back at quarterback, 612 00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:51,360 Speaker 4: Malik's tried a running back. Jalen Moss leads a really 613 00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:54,360 Speaker 4: deep receiving room. They might have the best offensive line 614 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 4: in a conference. So we saw last year when this 615 00:27:56,920 --> 00:28:00,359 Speaker 4: offense works, it really works. So I'm really excited to 616 00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:03,000 Speaker 4: see what the offense does. I think the defense you 617 00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:04,880 Speaker 4: mentioned they took a step back last year, and I'm 618 00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 4: interested to see where they go. They did lose a bunch, 619 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:09,120 Speaker 4: but you mentioned Bridges and light Foot coming back. They 620 00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:13,159 Speaker 4: also bring in Corey Foreman, the former number one overall 621 00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:16,639 Speaker 4: crew from the twenty twenty one Class USC transfer, so 622 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:18,800 Speaker 4: hopefully he still has some juice left in the tank. 623 00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 4: They're getting cam Lockrich back in a secondary after he 624 00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:24,359 Speaker 4: missed most of the last year. The thing with it, 625 00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:28,159 Speaker 4: it's you're trying to almost guess the motivate is losing 626 00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:31,760 Speaker 4: Tedford going to be a crushing blow or a rallying 627 00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:33,840 Speaker 4: cry for this team. You know, we saw them, they 628 00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:36,080 Speaker 4: didn't miss the beat last time, he stepped away and 629 00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:39,600 Speaker 4: Kalin de Boor came in and they took off. Speaking 630 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 4: of by the way, best wishes to Jake Hanner. They 631 00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:45,440 Speaker 4: just I saw the other day he was diagnosed with 632 00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:48,880 Speaker 4: some rare form of skin cancer. So anyone who watches 633 00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:52,280 Speaker 4: these Friendsno State teams and knows Jay Hanner, that dude 634 00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:54,680 Speaker 4: is a winner in all heart and balls, So there's 635 00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:56,719 Speaker 4: no doubt in my mind he will kick cancer's ass. 636 00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,480 Speaker 4: But we saw them kind of not really fall off 637 00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:01,520 Speaker 4: when he left the last time, and then we even 638 00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:03,760 Speaker 4: saw when Tim Skipper stepped in for the bull game. 639 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:07,760 Speaker 4: They they crushed our Aggi's thirty seven to ten. So 640 00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:11,360 Speaker 4: to schedule, you know, UCLA could be horrible. They could 641 00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:13,920 Speaker 4: quit on the team. We saw their head coach introductory 642 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 4: press conference. That's not a guy I'm going to war with. 643 00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:19,240 Speaker 4: So if they're beat up and traveling across the country 644 00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:21,719 Speaker 4: and getting bullied by the Big ten and then all 645 00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:23,280 Speaker 4: of a sudden they got to play fres though, and 646 00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:25,640 Speaker 4: they're half quit, like they could pick off that game 647 00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:28,920 Speaker 4: they get in New Mexico, Nevada, San Jose State, and Hawaii, 648 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:30,960 Speaker 4: who are projected to be the four worst teams in 649 00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 4: the conference, So I think this win total likely comes 650 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 4: down to at UNLV and then you know Washington State 651 00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:40,320 Speaker 4: at home at the end of the year. So they 652 00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:42,360 Speaker 4: have four coin foot games, probably need to win two 653 00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:45,360 Speaker 4: of them to get to eight. So right now you're 654 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:47,960 Speaker 4: looking at a pretty juiced seven and a half or 655 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:50,720 Speaker 4: an eight around there. If that seven and a half 656 00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:53,160 Speaker 4: juice comes down a little bit closer to even money, 657 00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:55,800 Speaker 4: I'll probably pull a trigger on him, honestly. But right 658 00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:57,840 Speaker 4: now I'm just kind of waiting to see probably wait 659 00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:00,400 Speaker 4: to fall camp, just kind of see the vibes out 660 00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:03,120 Speaker 4: of Fresno with Tim Skipper at the helm. 661 00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:04,959 Speaker 1: What do you think call him? 662 00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 2: Well, Brett mc murphy and I were talking to Jed 663 00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:11,360 Speaker 2: Tedford the day face to face, the day before this 664 00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:13,760 Speaker 2: was announced, so it was I mean, it was shocking 665 00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:16,280 Speaker 2: to everybody else. It was really shocking to me because 666 00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:17,880 Speaker 2: there was no word about it coming out of Las 667 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 2: Vegas when we saw him. But then I go back 668 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:22,160 Speaker 2: and I asked myself, like, how much is Jeff Tedford 669 00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:26,080 Speaker 2: worth to the power rating? We just saw Jim Harbass 670 00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:28,840 Speaker 2: set out a handful of games, didn't miss a beat. 671 00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 2: We've seen Urban Meyer have to set out a few 672 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,400 Speaker 2: games and Ryan Day had to take over as interim coach. 673 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:36,760 Speaker 2: Didn't miss a beat. I think the rule of thumb 674 00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:39,240 Speaker 2: for head coach has always been like two points to 675 00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:43,040 Speaker 2: the power rating. Since Pat McCann and Kevin Coyle, the 676 00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:46,000 Speaker 2: offensive and defensive coordinator, do all the designs, they do 677 00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:47,720 Speaker 2: all the calls, I'm not sure this is a drop 678 00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:50,080 Speaker 2: off at all. Maybe it's a drop off from your 679 00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:54,080 Speaker 2: conference standing with recruiting and transfer portal. I'm not sure 680 00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:56,680 Speaker 2: really much how much as an impact on game day 681 00:30:57,320 --> 00:30:59,520 Speaker 2: x's and o's now a couple of notes on both 682 00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:01,840 Speaker 2: sides of the ball. Mikey Kean is continuing to shut down. 683 00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:04,440 Speaker 2: I'm sorry shut down. He's sarting to cut down his mistakes. 684 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,320 Speaker 2: His turnover worthy play rate got cut in half last year. 685 00:31:07,600 --> 00:31:10,840 Speaker 2: It's tremendously improved since he played at Central Florida. White 686 00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:13,120 Speaker 2: Hot Jalen Moss's back with seventy five targets in this 687 00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:16,400 Speaker 2: Idaho State transfer should On James had five hundred snaps 688 00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:18,960 Speaker 2: in the slot for two point one yards per route. 689 00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:21,200 Speaker 2: Run right over the explosive mark that we look for 690 00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 2: and watch out for center. I think if there's a 691 00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:25,200 Speaker 2: hiccup on offense. It actually comes at the center position. 692 00:31:25,240 --> 00:31:27,840 Speaker 2: Looks like mose Bavo is going to move from guard 693 00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:31,160 Speaker 2: over to center. He has twenty four hundred career snaps 694 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:35,680 Speaker 2: at guard, he has eleven at center. So I mean 695 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:37,440 Speaker 2: it's going to be a long camp. He'll get his 696 00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:39,080 Speaker 2: work in. But that's a big it's kind of a 697 00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 2: big change. So on defense, Coil runs in four two five, 698 00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:45,120 Speaker 2: a a little bit aggressive blitz at thirty two percent. 699 00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:47,560 Speaker 2: He's inheriting a bunch of USC players from the portal. 700 00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:49,760 Speaker 2: We'll see if they can tackle. And the leading tackler, 701 00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:52,840 Speaker 2: Malachi Langley returns and edged Devo bridges are there biggest 702 00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:55,640 Speaker 2: havoc makers I think in this conference. This is like 703 00:31:55,680 --> 00:31:58,080 Speaker 2: Gianella said, this is the best schedule of all Mountain 704 00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:00,560 Speaker 2: West teams. I mean to make the conference game is 705 00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:03,200 Speaker 2: going to be acension. Let's keep in mind there's only 706 00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:04,600 Speaker 2: seven games that you have to play. He makes the 707 00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:06,960 Speaker 2: handicap so easy to figure out. Hows a good schedule? 708 00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:10,760 Speaker 2: Easy schedule, tough schedule because there's only seven games after Michigan. 709 00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:13,600 Speaker 2: I think Presno State will be double double digit favorites 710 00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:17,160 Speaker 2: and seven games they'll have short odds against UNLV and Wazoo, 711 00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:19,320 Speaker 2: but I love over seven and a half. It was 712 00:32:19,520 --> 00:32:21,240 Speaker 2: one of the first win totals that I hit when 713 00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:24,920 Speaker 2: G five wind totals came out. I'm not deterred by 714 00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:27,000 Speaker 2: the fact that jeff Teedford's not going to be there. 715 00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:29,560 Speaker 2: I agree with Ianello as far as who's going to 716 00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:31,560 Speaker 2: make the championship game in the Mountain West. This was 717 00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:34,800 Speaker 2: right there with me from UNLV. For me, it comes 718 00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:36,400 Speaker 2: down to the fact I think the negativity is going 719 00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:38,960 Speaker 2: to get so hot between now and mid August. If 720 00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:40,880 Speaker 2: I want Fresno State, I think I can sit in another 721 00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:42,240 Speaker 2: two or three weeks and get a better number. 722 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,440 Speaker 1: I'm leaning right now to the over, but I would 723 00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:47,320 Speaker 1: like to see some better juice on it. 724 00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:51,240 Speaker 4: Did you guys notice did any of the totals lines 725 00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:53,080 Speaker 4: move at all with the Tenford announcement? 726 00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:56,560 Speaker 2: So the conference future dropped, but the win total didn't 727 00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:59,080 Speaker 2: move down at all, which tells you and I think 728 00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:01,040 Speaker 2: I got them a nine point so I think it's 729 00:33:01,080 --> 00:33:03,320 Speaker 2: the win total has got room to run. But there 730 00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:06,200 Speaker 2: are shops where they offer to make the championship game, 731 00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,200 Speaker 2: and I think that's an even better bet for freezos 732 00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:09,960 Speaker 2: because this schedule is a joke. 733 00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:14,760 Speaker 6: This podcast is presented by BETMGM. Used bonus code action 734 00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:17,040 Speaker 6: when signing up to get up to fifteen hundred dollars 735 00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:19,680 Speaker 6: back in bonus bets if your first bet does not win. 736 00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:26,680 Speaker 6: For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, 737 00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:31,440 Speaker 6: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, 738 00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:34,239 Speaker 6: and Wyoming. Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one 739 00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:37,440 Speaker 6: plus gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. 740 00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 1: All right, we're gonna welcome in a PAC twelve castaway 741 00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:44,840 Speaker 1: from the PAC two Oregon states and talk about the 742 00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:47,720 Speaker 1: Beeves here. Trent Bray, a first time head coach, played 743 00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:50,400 Speaker 1: at Oregon State assistant dating back to twenty twelve at 744 00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:53,200 Speaker 1: Oregon State, so essentially a lifer. He takes over for 745 00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,160 Speaker 1: a team that went eight and five last year five 746 00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:57,560 Speaker 1: and four in the PAC twelve. They get waxed by 747 00:33:57,560 --> 00:33:59,760 Speaker 1: Notre Dame in the Sun Bowl. At one point they 748 00:33:59,760 --> 00:34:01,840 Speaker 1: had an all the way to number eleven in the 749 00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:04,560 Speaker 1: polls and then it all fell apart, so their win 750 00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:07,040 Speaker 1: total at seven and a half, I think we're probably 751 00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:08,839 Speaker 1: going to get some pretty hot takes on this one 752 00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:10,799 Speaker 1: one way or the other. Twenty to one to make 753 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:13,759 Speaker 1: the college football Playoff. Let's start with the headline here 754 00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:17,759 Speaker 1: from Collins tarp offseason numbers negative nine in the net 755 00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:21,200 Speaker 1: tarp coach off to Michigan State, starting quarterback off to 756 00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:24,799 Speaker 1: Florida State, best offensive player down to Miami. Only one 757 00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:27,200 Speaker 1: offensive line in returns from a team that wanted to 758 00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:32,000 Speaker 1: be physical upfront, one hundred and twenty fourth in returning production. Woof. 759 00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:35,600 Speaker 1: So I have some bigger questions as well, but there 760 00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:37,920 Speaker 1: are some reasons for optimism. So before I continue to 761 00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:40,520 Speaker 1: pile on here, Giovanni McCoy was a star at the 762 00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:43,759 Speaker 1: FCS level and a former Jerry Rice Award winner that's 763 00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:46,600 Speaker 1: given to the top freshman of the FCS level. He's 764 00:34:46,680 --> 00:34:49,440 Speaker 1: in at quarterback. He's not a statue, but he's not 765 00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:51,680 Speaker 1: a big runner either. He's somewhere in between, and he 766 00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:54,040 Speaker 1: played pretty well in his two starts against FBS teams 767 00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:56,799 Speaker 1: last year at Nevada and Cal. But he needs to 768 00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,000 Speaker 1: be really good for them to go over this win 769 00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:01,759 Speaker 1: total in my opinion, and you'll get the schedule. Idaho State, 770 00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,839 Speaker 1: Nevada will chuck those up as easy wins. Then they 771 00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:08,239 Speaker 1: should win at home against Purdue, Colorado State, San Jose State. 772 00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:10,319 Speaker 1: So we're at five wins, and this is where it 773 00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:13,920 Speaker 1: gets a little bit dicey. The other seven Oregon, UNLV, 774 00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:16,279 Speaker 1: Wazoo all at home. Now, let's talk about the road 775 00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:19,360 Speaker 1: trips at San Diego State, at col At Air Force, 776 00:35:19,480 --> 00:35:22,200 Speaker 1: at Boise. There's a lot of teams on that list 777 00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:24,480 Speaker 1: that can really run the ball. And this front seven 778 00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:28,040 Speaker 1: is completely brand new. I'm pulling the trigger under seven 779 00:35:28,080 --> 00:35:29,719 Speaker 1: and a half. I at it circled. I was like, 780 00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:31,440 Speaker 1: as soon as it pops up to seven and a 781 00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:34,000 Speaker 1: half from seven, I'm going under. I don't mind laying 782 00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,160 Speaker 1: some juice maybe up to let's call it minus one 783 00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:38,560 Speaker 1: p thirty. The Beavs are a team that I was 784 00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:41,440 Speaker 1: very bullsh on last year. They were built up by 785 00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:44,920 Speaker 1: a consummate program builder and Jonathan Smith, and then all 786 00:35:44,960 --> 00:35:48,600 Speaker 1: the pieces fell apart. Teams falling apart, teams being built 787 00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:50,479 Speaker 1: at US take years in college football, it can happen 788 00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:53,319 Speaker 1: in an instant now, particularly when the music stops and 789 00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:55,719 Speaker 1: you don't have a conference affiliation anymore and no seat 790 00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:58,160 Speaker 1: at the table. So I'm out on the beaves this year. 791 00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:01,080 Speaker 1: What do you think I Knowella, Yeah, I'm not gonna lie. 792 00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:04,000 Speaker 4: I don't actually have a hot take. I am much 793 00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:09,520 Speaker 4: much more eager to feet fade the other adopted son 794 00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:12,160 Speaker 4: of ours. So it's good that you know one of 795 00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:14,360 Speaker 4: us will hate well each hat our adopted son a 796 00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:17,160 Speaker 4: little bit. I'm actually much more excited to pay the cougar, 797 00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:19,680 Speaker 4: so I will see my time to Colin and wait 798 00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:22,000 Speaker 4: to for Wazi to talk about them. 799 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:24,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this is This is team is a 800 00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:27,000 Speaker 2: complete rebuild. Washington State isn't as much of a rebuild, 801 00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:28,759 Speaker 2: but this one is from a coaching perspective. From a 802 00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:31,560 Speaker 2: player perspective, you know, we've wiped the chalkboard clean. We're 803 00:36:31,600 --> 00:36:34,200 Speaker 2: ready to start writing again. There are things that I 804 00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:36,440 Speaker 2: like about the seam. Ryan Gunderson comes in as the 805 00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:39,239 Speaker 2: offensive coordinator. He was the quarterback coach at U C 806 00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:42,680 Speaker 2: l A and DTR completely changed his turnover worthy play 807 00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,560 Speaker 2: rate the second Gunderson got there. So from a quarterback perspective, 808 00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:48,759 Speaker 2: I like who they got. Can he call plays? I 809 00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:49,879 Speaker 2: don't know, can he? 810 00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:50,839 Speaker 1: You know? 811 00:36:51,600 --> 00:36:54,080 Speaker 2: Can he get this? Oregon State offense to be in 812 00:36:54,120 --> 00:36:58,120 Speaker 2: a spread versus the heavy you know rush, you know, 813 00:36:58,160 --> 00:37:00,279 Speaker 2: the heavy rush initiative that they've had there for years, 814 00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:02,200 Speaker 2: although that entire team has gone. I got them thirty 815 00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:05,480 Speaker 2: seven percent back on offense, don't know now. On defense, 816 00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:08,280 Speaker 2: Brave promoted you know, from within for his defensive coordinator 817 00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:11,560 Speaker 2: with Keith Hayward, lowest TARP of all FBS teams, and 818 00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:14,239 Speaker 2: there's a two four five. There's a heavy tendency for 819 00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:17,320 Speaker 2: man coverage here, so you can give up explosives. Blitz 820 00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:19,520 Speaker 2: is at a really high thirty five percent rate, which 821 00:37:19,719 --> 00:37:23,120 Speaker 2: Trey I'm sorry Trent Bray did last year. But you 822 00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:25,160 Speaker 2: don't have the horses anymore, so does that bring your 823 00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:28,800 Speaker 2: aggressive blitz scheme down a little bit? One returning starter 824 00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:32,960 Speaker 2: yo Oregon State's projected for me to be favored in 825 00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:35,520 Speaker 2: eight games, but some of those are really really, really 826 00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:37,919 Speaker 2: tight because I have them at about seven point eight 827 00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:40,640 Speaker 2: for a win total. But I do not take overs 828 00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:45,160 Speaker 2: on new coaches, new schemes, knew everything. One returning starter, 829 00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:47,080 Speaker 2: no thanks, I'm out. 830 00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:49,839 Speaker 1: I think it's also important you don't want to get 831 00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:52,680 Speaker 1: too far into what's going on between the ears for people. 832 00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:55,680 Speaker 1: But there's been so much negativity and this feeling like 833 00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:59,239 Speaker 1: you essentially when you were recruited by this school years ago, 834 00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:01,440 Speaker 1: when or in State sends you that first letter in 835 00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:04,120 Speaker 1: the mail. I get to play in the Conference of Champions. 836 00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:05,760 Speaker 1: If we win it, we go to the Rose Bowl. 837 00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:09,040 Speaker 1: And now there's not a direct path anywhere. And if 838 00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:11,600 Speaker 1: things start going bad in September on October, I think 839 00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:14,360 Speaker 1: it's just human nature to be like, for who, for what, 840 00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:16,239 Speaker 1: I'll just go to the portal. I'm out of here. 841 00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:18,160 Speaker 1: This didn't work. So I think this is a team 842 00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:21,399 Speaker 1: to monitor very closely week to week to see what 843 00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:23,560 Speaker 1: that quick factor looks like. And sometimes it can go 844 00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:25,799 Speaker 1: to the opposite direction. Sometimes it's like, you know, the 845 00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:28,520 Speaker 1: hell with everybody, let's band together and play like our 846 00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:30,680 Speaker 1: hairs on fire. So it's a team I'm going to 847 00:38:30,760 --> 00:38:33,200 Speaker 1: keep an eye on from a week to week playing basis. 848 00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:35,520 Speaker 1: But in terms of what they bring back, how can 849 00:38:35,560 --> 00:38:37,640 Speaker 1: you have faith in what they're going to put on 850 00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:40,120 Speaker 1: the field. At this point where we sit at seven 851 00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:41,600 Speaker 1: and a half, I think that's just too rich. So 852 00:38:41,640 --> 00:38:45,359 Speaker 1: I'm on the under there, all right. Let us now 853 00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:48,600 Speaker 1: turn to the Air Force Academy. Unlike a first year 854 00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:51,760 Speaker 1: head coach. We got year eighteen of the Troy Calhoun experience, 855 00:38:51,800 --> 00:38:54,160 Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty and eighty two, eight bowl wins, 856 00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:56,800 Speaker 1: a twenty second finish in the polls in twenty nineteen. 857 00:38:57,000 --> 00:39:00,600 Speaker 1: He's won double digit games four times since twenty sixteen. 858 00:39:00,880 --> 00:39:03,680 Speaker 1: But last year it was unfortunate with Larrer getting hurt 859 00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:06,000 Speaker 1: because it seems like they had some special brewing. They 860 00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:08,120 Speaker 1: end up going nine to four, five and three in 861 00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:10,799 Speaker 1: conference and a bowl win over James Madison. Their win 862 00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:13,719 Speaker 1: total sit pretty appropriately in my opinion, six and a 863 00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:15,920 Speaker 1: half seven in the market. They're oddesomeed to win the 864 00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:18,520 Speaker 1: conference fifteen to one sixty to one to make the 865 00:39:18,560 --> 00:39:22,399 Speaker 1: college football Playoff. Now, new quarterback, brand new offensive line, 866 00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:25,840 Speaker 1: John Busha isn't as fast as Larrier was. No one was, 867 00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:28,160 Speaker 1: by the way. He was a track legend at air Force. 868 00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:31,279 Speaker 1: He was the outdoor and indoor two hundred meter champ 869 00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:34,520 Speaker 1: in the Mountain West Conference, second fastest time in air 870 00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:36,879 Speaker 1: Force history in the two hundred meters at twenty point 871 00:39:36,960 --> 00:39:39,560 Speaker 1: nine to five seconds. But Bush has the potential at 872 00:39:39,640 --> 00:39:42,560 Speaker 1: least to be a better passer downfield. The secondary should 873 00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:44,640 Speaker 1: be really good again. Two big six to two and 874 00:39:44,680 --> 00:39:47,920 Speaker 1: six foot four starting quarterbacks. And that's important because if 875 00:39:47,920 --> 00:39:49,800 Speaker 1: you look at the way that they set up defensively, 876 00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:51,920 Speaker 1: they like to leave those guys on islands and focus 877 00:39:51,960 --> 00:39:54,000 Speaker 1: on shutting down the run. But not a lot of 878 00:39:54,120 --> 00:39:57,160 Speaker 1: experience in their front six. Luckily, they have winnable games 879 00:39:57,200 --> 00:40:00,279 Speaker 1: early to gain some experience, Mary Mack. I know, as 880 00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:02,400 Speaker 1: a stay at home, then a road game at Baylor 881 00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:05,239 Speaker 1: at Wyoming versus Navy. You come out of that four 882 00:40:05,280 --> 00:40:07,680 Speaker 1: and one or three and two. You know, another bowl 883 00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:10,480 Speaker 1: game potentially flirting with seven or eight wins I think 884 00:40:10,560 --> 00:40:12,759 Speaker 1: is on the table. There's four or five winnable games 885 00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:15,320 Speaker 1: down the stretch as well. When you look at the schedule, Colin, 886 00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:17,600 Speaker 1: I'll go to you first. On an air Force team, 887 00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:19,960 Speaker 1: that usually we know what we're going to get. It's 888 00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:23,120 Speaker 1: not the same as looking at other teams where it's like, oh, 889 00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,800 Speaker 1: there's new pieces moving in. They constantly have to refresh 890 00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:28,360 Speaker 1: their offensive line. They go from having a ton of 891 00:40:28,440 --> 00:40:30,919 Speaker 1: experience four and five starters to a brand new line 892 00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:33,120 Speaker 1: it seems like every three or four years. So this 893 00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:35,520 Speaker 1: is a refresh. The staff knows what they're doing. Calhoun 894 00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:37,640 Speaker 1: knows what he's doing. Are you a believer in them 895 00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:39,719 Speaker 1: or is this a situational spot where you're going to 896 00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:41,719 Speaker 1: pick some spots on the falcons this year? 897 00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:44,759 Speaker 2: Well, I mean, the one thing that's very characteristic about 898 00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:46,799 Speaker 2: air Force was the number of turnovers last year. They 899 00:40:46,840 --> 00:40:49,880 Speaker 2: lost eleven fumbles on the season's worst turnover margin that 900 00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:52,759 Speaker 2: air Force has had since twenty seventeen. So you have 901 00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:55,480 Speaker 2: to ask does that get correct because generally it's never 902 00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:57,880 Speaker 2: a problem. It was kind of new to see that happen. 903 00:40:58,120 --> 00:41:00,520 Speaker 2: You go to the quarterback, John Bush's gop to the start. 904 00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:02,520 Speaker 2: He only had nineteen passing attempts, so we have no 905 00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:03,880 Speaker 2: clue if he's the kind of guy that likes to 906 00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:06,439 Speaker 2: throw the ball on the carpet thousand rushing yards during 907 00:41:06,440 --> 00:41:07,840 Speaker 2: his senior year of high school. So you're going to 908 00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:09,560 Speaker 2: see Busher run the triple. He's going to be just 909 00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:11,560 Speaker 2: fine doing it. But really, if you're going to handicap 910 00:41:11,600 --> 00:41:14,480 Speaker 2: the air Force offense, which is thirty two percent returning 911 00:41:14,520 --> 00:41:17,320 Speaker 2: per tart, look at the full back, look at the center, 912 00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:19,120 Speaker 2: and let's look at Costin Cooley. He's going to be 913 00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:22,279 Speaker 2: playing center uber important for that full bit fullback dive 914 00:41:22,280 --> 00:41:25,480 Speaker 2: which they run more than they do the triple. They 915 00:41:25,680 --> 00:41:28,479 Speaker 2: only played Costin Cooley. I'm sorry, the center only played 916 00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:30,480 Speaker 2: six snaps last year, so that would make me a 917 00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:33,000 Speaker 2: little bit worried. Now, Dylan Carr Carson, it's going to 918 00:41:33,040 --> 00:41:35,400 Speaker 2: take over full back. It four or ninety three yards 919 00:41:35,440 --> 00:41:37,719 Speaker 2: last year and four yards after contact. That tells me 920 00:41:37,760 --> 00:41:40,120 Speaker 2: he's hitting the A gap hard and he's making it 921 00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:43,279 Speaker 2: past that first initial hit from the defensive line, So 922 00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:46,000 Speaker 2: that is good news. I think it all just comes 923 00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,279 Speaker 2: down to are you able to run the system. We 924 00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:50,880 Speaker 2: don't know with Busha, We don't know if this center 925 00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:53,120 Speaker 2: is going to be experienced enough to create those holes 926 00:41:53,120 --> 00:41:56,000 Speaker 2: for our full back. A lot of questions here for me, 927 00:41:56,480 --> 00:41:58,840 Speaker 2: you know, defensive side, I have even more questions. Thirteen 928 00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:01,600 Speaker 2: percent returns from arans perceptive, I think the lowest in 929 00:42:01,640 --> 00:42:05,080 Speaker 2: all of G five. They're going to be favorites over Merrimack. 930 00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:07,800 Speaker 2: But you know, half the schedule projects within a touchdown 931 00:42:07,840 --> 00:42:10,439 Speaker 2: both ways. It is extremely hard to play a wind 932 00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:13,120 Speaker 2: total when you've got a bunch of spreads within six points. 933 00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:16,000 Speaker 2: You know, Wyoming and Fresno are built to stop the 934 00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:18,440 Speaker 2: full back dive the egg. You really just go down 935 00:42:18,480 --> 00:42:21,480 Speaker 2: the schedule and say, do I have defensive interior to 936 00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:23,160 Speaker 2: stop the A gap? And you know some of these 937 00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:25,799 Speaker 2: teams Fresno, Wyoming, they are completely built to stop that. 938 00:42:26,880 --> 00:42:28,680 Speaker 2: I'm taking the under here. I believe I have them 939 00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:31,879 Speaker 2: projected at five point six under. Six and a half 940 00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:33,880 Speaker 2: is a plus money. I'll take that all day. I 941 00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:36,279 Speaker 2: think their ceiling is six wins. If they have a 942 00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:38,319 Speaker 2: turnover regression, they come back to the norm. Six wins 943 00:42:38,440 --> 00:42:38,919 Speaker 2: is what they are. 944 00:42:39,760 --> 00:42:43,440 Speaker 1: Question about Mount West Media days for you, Colin. Was 945 00:42:43,480 --> 00:42:46,799 Speaker 1: anyone offering free drinks to Ken Niu Matalolo to say, 946 00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:48,919 Speaker 1: how do we stop the option? We got an option 947 00:42:49,000 --> 00:42:51,320 Speaker 1: expert here in the conference. You're not running it anymore? 948 00:42:51,360 --> 00:42:54,440 Speaker 1: Open secrets or was he pretty tight lipped about that. 949 00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:56,920 Speaker 2: It's kind of interesting because Sato's a state is not 950 00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:58,880 Speaker 2: going to run the option, which we'll get to. But 951 00:42:58,960 --> 00:43:02,319 Speaker 2: were they serving drinks? The answer is yes. The Arizona 952 00:43:02,400 --> 00:43:06,480 Speaker 2: bowl Snoop dogg Gin and juice executives were there and 953 00:43:06,600 --> 00:43:08,759 Speaker 2: I got to sip every single one of those Jenna 954 00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:12,359 Speaker 2: Juice products. So yes, there was drinking, but nobody was 955 00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:16,000 Speaker 2: offering it to Air Force and Ken at San Jose State. 956 00:43:16,200 --> 00:43:18,040 Speaker 1: All right, Speaking of drinking. You're drinking the kool aid 957 00:43:18,160 --> 00:43:20,479 Speaker 1: il o on Air Force or is this a full pass? 958 00:43:20,560 --> 00:43:22,520 Speaker 1: Year after we were more bullish on them on twenty 959 00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:23,000 Speaker 1: twenty three. 960 00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:25,880 Speaker 4: I'm so glad Colin first because I didn't want to 961 00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:28,279 Speaker 4: sound on American when I say I love under seven here. 962 00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:32,560 Speaker 4: I feel like we just kind of you know this, 963 00:43:32,840 --> 00:43:35,719 Speaker 4: I mean, and they are earned it. The service academies, 964 00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:38,640 Speaker 4: I feel like, get the tar pass where it's like, oh, 965 00:43:39,080 --> 00:43:42,000 Speaker 4: they'll figure it out. It's service academy. This team was 966 00:43:42,120 --> 00:43:45,239 Speaker 4: carried by its defense for the last four years, and 967 00:43:45,280 --> 00:43:49,120 Speaker 4: now they have to replace stud safety Trade Taylor, PJ Ramsey, 968 00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:52,439 Speaker 4: Bo Richter, Alec Mack, Jaden Goodwin. They returned just three 969 00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:54,960 Speaker 4: starters to their defense, and we're just assuming they're going 970 00:43:55,000 --> 00:43:57,919 Speaker 4: to be fine because it's a service academy. But I'm 971 00:43:57,960 --> 00:44:00,800 Speaker 4: not so sure. The offense brings back to two starters 972 00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:03,480 Speaker 4: and they're both at wide receiver, so that's basically useless. 973 00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:06,640 Speaker 4: You mentioned that, like they just I feel like that 974 00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:09,759 Speaker 4: the triple option is so based on timing, it's so 975 00:44:09,920 --> 00:44:12,680 Speaker 4: based on reps. That's why we see these service academies 976 00:44:12,719 --> 00:44:15,719 Speaker 4: pop off when they have seven seven year seniors that 977 00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:19,320 Speaker 4: are thirty five years old running the option like there's 978 00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:22,200 Speaker 4: just so much turnover all at once, so many new parts, 979 00:44:22,200 --> 00:44:25,200 Speaker 4: so many new moving pieces. We saw this team fall 980 00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:28,400 Speaker 4: apart last season. They lost their last four games, and 981 00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:30,120 Speaker 4: I'm just super nervous that that's going to carry over. 982 00:44:30,160 --> 00:44:32,880 Speaker 4: I'm nervous about this season. And you look at the schedule. 983 00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:35,520 Speaker 4: I usually like to get, you know, if I'm going 984 00:44:35,560 --> 00:44:39,440 Speaker 4: to bet over seven, I want to find five pretty 985 00:44:39,480 --> 00:44:42,560 Speaker 4: much sure sure wins. How many sure wins are on 986 00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:47,560 Speaker 4: the schedule? Three you look at their most winnable conference games, Nevada, 987 00:44:47,640 --> 00:44:50,680 Speaker 4: New Mexico, and San Diego State are all on the road, 988 00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:52,880 Speaker 4: so like those are supposed to be your gimmes and 989 00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:53,600 Speaker 4: they now come. 990 00:44:55,080 --> 00:44:57,600 Speaker 2: Two of them are off bys, like New Mexico and Nevada, 991 00:44:57,680 --> 00:44:58,560 Speaker 2: so like. 992 00:44:58,520 --> 00:45:02,040 Speaker 4: Your gimme wins are are all on the road. You 993 00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:04,760 Speaker 4: got you know, obviously Army Navy are kind of always 994 00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:07,680 Speaker 4: just coin flips. That's gonna be thirteen to seventeen. Whoever 995 00:45:07,719 --> 00:45:11,919 Speaker 4: has the ball ass. But after Merrimack, I can't sit 996 00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:14,239 Speaker 4: here and look at this schedule and be like they're 997 00:45:14,239 --> 00:45:16,280 Speaker 4: gonna be double digit, They're gonna be a touchdown favor 998 00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:20,200 Speaker 4: in really any game, but Merrimack. So getting you're getting 999 00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:24,120 Speaker 4: the seven eight you need eight wins on coin flip 1000 00:45:24,200 --> 00:45:30,040 Speaker 4: games is nuts. So I hate betting anything service academies typically, 1001 00:45:30,160 --> 00:45:32,799 Speaker 4: but I love under seven year. I don't see it 1002 00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:33,440 Speaker 4: with this team. 1003 00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:36,480 Speaker 1: I mean, we can just dub over all the nasty 1004 00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:39,200 Speaker 1: stuff we said and just have me say fly fight win, 1005 00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:42,000 Speaker 1: best of luck this year, Air Force, We're probably not 1006 00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:43,600 Speaker 1: gonna be backing you a whole lot, all right, onto 1007 00:45:43,640 --> 00:45:45,359 Speaker 1: a team that we do have some optimism about, or 1008 00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:49,879 Speaker 1: at least I do. Colorado State j Norvel in year 1009 00:45:49,920 --> 00:45:53,160 Speaker 1: three went from three to nine. Their quarterback got murdered. 1010 00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:56,279 Speaker 1: In twenty twenty two to five and seven. Last year 1011 00:45:56,360 --> 00:45:58,600 Speaker 1: three and five in the conference, they got so much 1012 00:45:58,600 --> 00:46:00,560 Speaker 1: better on the offensive line. They win. It'll set at 1013 00:46:00,560 --> 00:46:03,080 Speaker 1: six and a half. Their odds to win the conference 1014 00:46:03,120 --> 00:46:05,359 Speaker 1: sixteen to one, sixty to one to make the college 1015 00:46:05,360 --> 00:46:08,520 Speaker 1: who All playoff. This was our darling last year. So 1016 00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:10,480 Speaker 1: many of us bet over on the wind total. At 1017 00:46:10,520 --> 00:46:14,520 Speaker 1: least we cash that. There was some just heartbreaks. 1018 00:46:13,960 --> 00:46:16,400 Speaker 4: That Clay Millen was your guy last year. Clay Millan 1019 00:46:16,520 --> 00:46:18,720 Speaker 4: was the Mountain West our guy. 1020 00:46:18,760 --> 00:46:21,239 Speaker 1: He was, And we'll get to Braden Fowler Nickelosi in 1021 00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:24,080 Speaker 1: a moments just for the post mortem here on the Rams, 1022 00:46:24,080 --> 00:46:26,840 Speaker 1: they losing double overtime to Colorado. That was a gut punch. 1023 00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:29,880 Speaker 1: They mount an insane comeback win over boise I was like, 1024 00:46:29,920 --> 00:46:32,880 Speaker 1: we're back baby. Then they lose by two at UNLV 1025 00:46:33,080 --> 00:46:36,239 Speaker 1: and with ball eligibility on the line, they lose by 1026 00:46:36,320 --> 00:46:39,239 Speaker 1: three at Hawaii on a walk off fifty one yard 1027 00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:43,440 Speaker 1: field goal. Now the benefit obviously finding Fower Nickelosi and 1028 00:46:43,680 --> 00:46:46,760 Speaker 1: having him he basically played like a really high upside 1029 00:46:46,920 --> 00:46:50,880 Speaker 1: freshman through twenty two tds through sixteen picks. As I mentioned, 1030 00:46:50,920 --> 00:46:52,960 Speaker 1: the line went from god awful to fifty ninth in 1031 00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:56,000 Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus pass blocking, which is certainly good enough 1032 00:46:56,040 --> 00:46:58,560 Speaker 1: in the Mountain West to compete and have that offense humming. 1033 00:46:58,719 --> 00:47:00,759 Speaker 1: When you're throwing the ball at Tory Horton, the best 1034 00:47:00,800 --> 00:47:03,760 Speaker 1: G five wide receiver, obviously you think it's Ricky White. 1035 00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:06,200 Speaker 1: We can make an argument about that either way. Those 1036 00:47:06,239 --> 00:47:08,719 Speaker 1: two guys are studs. They're very deep at running back, 1037 00:47:08,840 --> 00:47:11,040 Speaker 1: kind of you know, running back by committee. So if 1038 00:47:11,040 --> 00:47:13,440 Speaker 1: they can run the ball a tiny bit better, this 1039 00:47:13,560 --> 00:47:15,799 Speaker 1: offense should average over thirty points per game. They're at 1040 00:47:15,840 --> 00:47:19,560 Speaker 1: twenty six and change last year, hopefully with some better 1041 00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:23,080 Speaker 1: ball security, better decisions by Fowler Nicolosi. They score if 1042 00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:26,000 Speaker 1: they don't give the ball away so often the entire secondary. 1043 00:47:26,040 --> 00:47:29,120 Speaker 1: Their seniors. They absolutely need to manufacture a better pass 1044 00:47:29,160 --> 00:47:32,480 Speaker 1: rush because they can't rely on Kamara and grey Kelly anymore. Upfront. 1045 00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:35,880 Speaker 1: On special teams, they were awesome thanks to senior specialists 1046 00:47:36,200 --> 00:47:39,000 Speaker 1: and Horden in the punt return game. And when I 1047 00:47:39,040 --> 00:47:42,000 Speaker 1: look at the schedule, the swing game for this entire season, 1048 00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:44,399 Speaker 1: as it relates to the win total at least Week 1049 00:47:44,440 --> 00:47:48,120 Speaker 1: three at home against the Colorado Buffaloes, that is going 1050 00:47:48,160 --> 00:47:50,799 Speaker 1: to be super Bowl vibes in Fort Collins. They win that, 1051 00:47:50,920 --> 00:47:53,680 Speaker 1: I'm feeling seven and five in a bowl game. If not, 1052 00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:56,680 Speaker 1: that's going to be some issues. So instead of tying 1053 00:47:56,719 --> 00:47:58,799 Speaker 1: my money up for the whole season, I know that's 1054 00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:00,520 Speaker 1: the game that's going to make the different and I'd 1055 00:48:00,600 --> 00:48:02,799 Speaker 1: rather play the money line in that spot with them 1056 00:48:02,840 --> 00:48:04,840 Speaker 1: at Kanvas Stadium. It's going to be a zoo. I 1057 00:48:04,880 --> 00:48:06,799 Speaker 1: goin to go ahead with that as my official play 1058 00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:09,120 Speaker 1: on the Rams. Who wants to jump in first on 1059 00:48:09,160 --> 00:48:13,200 Speaker 1: the Jay Norvel year three outlook, Well. 1060 00:48:13,040 --> 00:48:15,439 Speaker 2: Colin Wilson loves j Norvel, right. I mean this could 1061 00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:16,959 Speaker 2: have been an eight win team last year. They should 1062 00:48:16,960 --> 00:48:18,640 Speaker 2: have beaten Colorado. They had a couple of other one 1063 00:48:18,680 --> 00:48:21,080 Speaker 2: possession games they should have pulled out. And you have 1064 00:48:21,120 --> 00:48:23,319 Speaker 2: to remember that when Jane Norvel got here two years ago, 1065 00:48:24,239 --> 00:48:27,320 Speaker 2: they were a complete year zero rebuild with an offensive 1066 00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:29,279 Speaker 2: line that was all like five foot eight, two hundred 1067 00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:30,960 Speaker 2: and ten pounds like it was the most it was 1068 00:48:31,040 --> 00:48:34,200 Speaker 2: the craziest thing ever. He won three games. Last year 1069 00:48:34,239 --> 00:48:37,120 Speaker 2: he wins five, should have won eight. I mean they 1070 00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:39,400 Speaker 2: are continuing to go up. I will say one thing 1071 00:48:39,440 --> 00:48:42,120 Speaker 2: we talked about on the offense, Colorado has Coloria State 1072 00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:45,239 Speaker 2: has to improve on the pressure rate that was on 1073 00:48:45,440 --> 00:48:48,600 Speaker 2: Fowler Nicolosi twenty six percent, one of the highest in 1074 00:48:48,680 --> 00:48:51,040 Speaker 2: all of college football. They have to get better at 1075 00:48:51,080 --> 00:48:54,160 Speaker 2: protecting him. The good news is all of their linemen 1076 00:48:54,239 --> 00:48:56,840 Speaker 2: on the offensive line list at at least six foot 1077 00:48:56,840 --> 00:49:00,080 Speaker 2: four and three hundred pounds. So that's good because a 1078 00:49:00,200 --> 00:49:01,960 Speaker 2: Tory Horton is your cheat code at one hundred and 1079 00:49:02,000 --> 00:49:04,920 Speaker 2: thirty four targets at two point seven yards per route run. 1080 00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:07,959 Speaker 2: And the defense is progressing for Freddy Banks, they're getting 1081 00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:09,880 Speaker 2: a little bit better. Over seventy percent of the tackles 1082 00:49:09,920 --> 00:49:12,239 Speaker 2: are going to return. Safety Jack Howe's most important piece. 1083 00:49:12,239 --> 00:49:16,359 Speaker 2: He was all Mountain West linebackers, probably the best unit. 1084 00:49:16,400 --> 00:49:19,440 Speaker 2: They're solid, they projected the top of the Mountain West rankings. 1085 00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:22,160 Speaker 2: Things to chase Wilson. Then when you go to the schedule, 1086 00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:24,399 Speaker 2: I kind of weaved in and out what I'm gonna 1087 00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:26,719 Speaker 2: do with the wind total. It's kind of nice that 1088 00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:28,960 Speaker 2: I'm going to see this Colorado State passing offense take 1089 00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:31,759 Speaker 2: on Texas's secondary right out of the gate. Could have 1090 00:49:31,840 --> 00:49:33,920 Speaker 2: some damage here, could be an over cook it up. 1091 00:49:34,800 --> 00:49:36,200 Speaker 2: There's a lot of things going on in the schedule, 1092 00:49:36,200 --> 00:49:37,480 Speaker 2: but I think the one game that I came back 1093 00:49:37,480 --> 00:49:40,480 Speaker 2: to was Colorado once again. And if nobody remembers what 1094 00:49:40,520 --> 00:49:43,960 Speaker 2: happened last year, I pumped my chest. I got Colorado 1095 00:49:43,960 --> 00:49:45,839 Speaker 2: State plus ten against Colorado in a Game of the Year. 1096 00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:48,399 Speaker 2: I'm so proud of myself that game closed. I think 1097 00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:52,400 Speaker 2: twenty three Colorado minus twenty three Colorado State covered all 1098 00:49:52,400 --> 00:49:55,279 Speaker 2: the numbers. That's the good news. I'm turning around. I'm 1099 00:49:55,280 --> 00:49:57,840 Speaker 2: buying this again. You know, if you go off the 1100 00:49:57,840 --> 00:49:59,759 Speaker 2: Game of year market, I'm gonna say Colorado State plus 1101 00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:01,920 Speaker 2: seven and a half. I'm going against Colorado on the 1102 00:50:01,960 --> 00:50:06,920 Speaker 2: spot because it is a major, major overlook sandwich hangover spot. 1103 00:50:07,520 --> 00:50:09,319 Speaker 2: Colorado is going to start off their season with North 1104 00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:12,400 Speaker 2: Dakota State, or, as Dion said at Big Twelve Media Days, 1105 00:50:12,600 --> 00:50:15,600 Speaker 2: can't we get a layup? Who scheduled this the next week? 1106 00:50:15,600 --> 00:50:18,000 Speaker 2: He's got to go and play Nebraska? And what's going 1107 00:50:18,080 --> 00:50:20,359 Speaker 2: to be a grind? What's Colorado State doing? Oh, they're 1108 00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:22,719 Speaker 2: hanging out playing Northern Colorado. I'm not sure where they 1109 00:50:22,760 --> 00:50:24,759 Speaker 2: didn't get the school of Mimes on there. And then 1110 00:50:24,840 --> 00:50:26,480 Speaker 2: if you look at Colorado when they play this game, 1111 00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:28,440 Speaker 2: they got overlooked to Baylor the following week. 1112 00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:29,440 Speaker 1: Plus. 1113 00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:33,480 Speaker 2: I was told the Big Twelve Media Days Dion does 1114 00:50:33,520 --> 00:50:36,360 Speaker 2: not care about Colorado State. He doesn't understand the rivalry. 1115 00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:38,759 Speaker 2: He doesn't understand what it means to the Buffaloes and 1116 00:50:38,760 --> 00:50:41,480 Speaker 2: to the Rams and to the community, and then it's 1117 00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:43,640 Speaker 2: not important to him. So that makes it an even 1118 00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:46,360 Speaker 2: bigger sandwich spot. I'll take Colorado State plus seven and 1119 00:50:46,400 --> 00:50:51,200 Speaker 2: a half. I'll be happy to see Fowler to Colsi Nicolosi. 1120 00:50:51,400 --> 00:50:54,560 Speaker 2: Just throw all over Shiloh and Travis Hunter to see 1121 00:50:54,600 --> 00:50:55,840 Speaker 2: how it goes. But I like that game of the. 1122 00:50:55,880 --> 00:50:58,799 Speaker 4: Year money not worried about the one you're not worried 1123 00:50:58,840 --> 00:51:02,440 Speaker 4: about the Travis Hunter hars On a revenge game. I 1124 00:51:02,960 --> 00:51:05,160 Speaker 4: was the dirty hit that sent him out, so I wouldn't. 1125 00:51:05,239 --> 00:51:07,160 Speaker 1: Hey, they patched it up. They did like a social 1126 00:51:07,239 --> 00:51:09,279 Speaker 1: media post together. They were walking hand in hand. I 1127 00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:10,560 Speaker 1: think it's all good. It's all yeah. 1128 00:51:10,560 --> 00:51:12,719 Speaker 2: Trust trust me. They love each other. Yeah, trust me, 1129 00:51:12,760 --> 00:51:14,759 Speaker 2: they still those coaching stabs. Love each other. I heard 1130 00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:16,360 Speaker 2: it for both of them. 1131 00:51:16,640 --> 00:51:18,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm kind of in the same spot as you 1132 00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:20,560 Speaker 4: guys were. I overall liked the team, but just couldn't 1133 00:51:20,560 --> 00:51:23,719 Speaker 4: get to the win total. Over you know, I'm pretty 1134 00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:25,920 Speaker 4: excited about the offense, ninth in the country and passing 1135 00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:28,960 Speaker 4: last year. You mentioned kind of the step follower Nicolosi took. Obviously, 1136 00:51:29,000 --> 00:51:32,120 Speaker 4: Tory Horton is an NFL player playing in the Mountain West. 1137 00:51:33,360 --> 00:51:35,160 Speaker 4: The good thing that I liked about you know, you 1138 00:51:35,280 --> 00:51:37,440 Speaker 4: kind of mentioned the running back by committee. I expect 1139 00:51:37,480 --> 00:51:40,480 Speaker 4: the lead guy to be Justin Marshall, who red shirted 1140 00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:42,840 Speaker 4: last year as a true freshman, but he played the 1141 00:51:42,840 --> 00:51:45,279 Speaker 4: final three games once he kind of was able to 1142 00:51:45,480 --> 00:51:47,880 Speaker 4: establish that redsher in the final three games, he rushed 1143 00:51:47,880 --> 00:51:50,160 Speaker 4: for one hundred and nineteen yards, ninety eight yards, and 1144 00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:52,799 Speaker 4: ninety four yards. So this is a true freshman who 1145 00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:54,440 Speaker 4: came on the scene after sitting on the bench for 1146 00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:57,680 Speaker 4: nine games and just went off. So I'm really excited 1147 00:51:57,680 --> 00:52:00,360 Speaker 4: to see what Justin Marshall does taking over his running 1148 00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:03,799 Speaker 4: back committee. And yeah, this just the defense was so 1149 00:52:03,960 --> 00:52:06,040 Speaker 4: bad last year. Gave up the game winning score in 1150 00:52:06,040 --> 00:52:09,440 Speaker 4: the final minute three times. Obviously you're not going to 1151 00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:12,240 Speaker 4: replace Kamara, but Colin mentioned it. Jack Howell and Henry 1152 00:52:12,239 --> 00:52:16,360 Speaker 4: Blackburn make a great safety duo, So I think the 1153 00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:20,680 Speaker 4: whole season comes down to can faler Nicolosi just cut 1154 00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:24,759 Speaker 4: down on those sixteen interceptions, but the good signs when 1155 00:52:24,760 --> 00:52:26,840 Speaker 4: you really break it down. He had eleven picks in 1156 00:52:26,880 --> 00:52:28,840 Speaker 4: the first half of the year and just five in 1157 00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:30,919 Speaker 4: the second half, so we did see him get better 1158 00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:32,560 Speaker 4: as the year got on, did a better job attacking 1159 00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:35,600 Speaker 4: the football. So I went to back this team so badly. 1160 00:52:35,800 --> 00:52:38,239 Speaker 4: I'm not really necessarily going to specifically jump on the 1161 00:52:38,239 --> 00:52:42,360 Speaker 4: Colorado train, but you look at the you know a 1162 00:52:42,360 --> 00:52:45,280 Speaker 4: lot of those kind of conference coin flip games, Air Force, 1163 00:52:45,480 --> 00:52:48,040 Speaker 4: you know, Utah State, San Jose State Like those are spots. 1164 00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:51,000 Speaker 4: I'm definitely going to be looking to back Colorado State. Honestly, 1165 00:52:51,040 --> 00:52:53,400 Speaker 4: I kind of hope that they lose they like Texas, Colorado, 1166 00:52:53,440 --> 00:52:55,600 Speaker 4: Oregon State early and then I can get a better 1167 00:52:55,680 --> 00:52:57,600 Speaker 4: number on them, you know, San Jose stay and at 1168 00:52:57,640 --> 00:52:59,520 Speaker 4: air Force. I just mentioned I'm down in air Force. So 1169 00:53:00,040 --> 00:53:02,239 Speaker 4: I'll be looking to back the Rams in like that 1170 00:53:02,320 --> 00:53:04,880 Speaker 4: game specifically, and probably a couple more throughout the slates. 1171 00:53:04,880 --> 00:53:06,799 Speaker 4: They're definitely a buy on team, but nothing from a 1172 00:53:06,840 --> 00:53:07,680 Speaker 4: future perspective. 1173 00:53:08,440 --> 00:53:10,600 Speaker 1: One thing I'll say positively because I think there's just 1174 00:53:10,640 --> 00:53:13,440 Speaker 1: so much negativity around Coach Prime. He's an easy target. 1175 00:53:13,480 --> 00:53:16,480 Speaker 1: He doesn't mind popping off and taking on all comers 1176 00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:19,680 Speaker 1: when it comes to running his mouth. He has made 1177 00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:22,160 Speaker 1: the Rocky Mountain Showdown a real game with juice. 1178 00:53:22,640 --> 00:53:25,160 Speaker 4: I ain't never been one from pim pressure, but I 1179 00:53:25,200 --> 00:53:27,240 Speaker 4: do put pressure on my peers. 1180 00:53:27,320 --> 00:53:28,600 Speaker 2: Wow, it's really tough. 1181 00:53:29,040 --> 00:53:31,399 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna say thank you. I really appreciate that 1182 00:53:31,600 --> 00:53:33,120 Speaker 1: the fact of the matter is neither of those teams 1183 00:53:33,120 --> 00:53:35,000 Speaker 1: are going to stiff the College Shable Playoff, and that 1184 00:53:35,120 --> 00:53:37,799 Speaker 1: is appointment television there for me in week three. So 1185 00:53:37,840 --> 00:53:40,200 Speaker 1: I appreciate a coach prime, thank you for your service. 1186 00:53:40,719 --> 00:53:41,680 Speaker 4: This is unbelievable. 1187 00:53:42,120 --> 00:53:47,440 Speaker 1: I love it. Onto Wyoming first year head coach j 1188 00:53:47,680 --> 00:53:51,520 Speaker 1: Sawvel three years of defensive coordinator at Wyoming. The win 1189 00:53:51,560 --> 00:53:53,520 Speaker 1: total send at six and a half odds to win 1190 00:53:53,560 --> 00:53:55,680 Speaker 1: the conference at thirteen to one, eighty to one to 1191 00:53:55,680 --> 00:54:00,440 Speaker 1: make the College Saball Playoff. A farewell to Craig Bowl coach. 1192 00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:04,440 Speaker 1: What a man perfect for Wyoming. He looked the part. 1193 00:54:04,719 --> 00:54:07,800 Speaker 1: His teams were salty, they ran the ball, they played 1194 00:54:07,800 --> 00:54:10,560 Speaker 1: good defense. He won three straight national titles at North 1195 00:54:10,640 --> 00:54:13,080 Speaker 1: Dakota State. He took the Pokes to six bowl games 1196 00:54:13,080 --> 00:54:15,799 Speaker 1: in ten years. He found Josh Allen and coached him 1197 00:54:15,840 --> 00:54:18,000 Speaker 1: up and sent him on his way to NFL Riches. 1198 00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:21,240 Speaker 1: I love the guy. As a home dog, he cashed 1199 00:54:21,239 --> 00:54:24,040 Speaker 1: sixty percent of the time and won outright nearly half 1200 00:54:24,080 --> 00:54:27,360 Speaker 1: the time. Thirteen and fifteen straight up as a home dog. 1201 00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:30,319 Speaker 1: A great team to bet in Laramie and Craig Bowl 1202 00:54:30,440 --> 00:54:30,880 Speaker 1: was a big. 1203 00:54:30,760 --> 00:54:31,120 Speaker 2: Part of that. 1204 00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:33,880 Speaker 1: Now we move on to this year's team and I 1205 00:54:33,920 --> 00:54:36,640 Speaker 1: expect them to have very similar identity. Four starters back 1206 00:54:36,680 --> 00:54:39,160 Speaker 1: on the line, Harrison Whaley will get a chance to 1207 00:54:39,200 --> 00:54:41,240 Speaker 1: crack one thousand yards for the first time in his career, 1208 00:54:41,239 --> 00:54:43,239 Speaker 1: which I was surprised when I saw that, because he 1209 00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:46,239 Speaker 1: enters with almost twenty nine hundred career rushing yards. But 1210 00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:48,480 Speaker 1: he always gets banged up and he doesn't quite make it, 1211 00:54:49,640 --> 00:54:52,440 Speaker 1: you know, to the full season. Evan Seboda will manage 1212 00:54:52,480 --> 00:54:55,000 Speaker 1: this offense. He's going to use his legs when he can. 1213 00:54:55,880 --> 00:54:57,879 Speaker 1: When I look at the defense, they were solid last year. 1214 00:54:57,920 --> 00:55:00,720 Speaker 1: They bring back eight starters, including super seam years Jordan 1215 00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:05,000 Speaker 1: Bertanoli at tackle. Secondary returns a lot of experience and 1216 00:55:05,040 --> 00:55:07,000 Speaker 1: they continue to play really well at home after going 1217 00:55:07,040 --> 00:55:10,160 Speaker 1: seven to oher in Laramie, impressive wins over Texas Tech, 1218 00:55:10,400 --> 00:55:13,960 Speaker 1: app State Fresno, and a drubbing of Hawaii Late toss 1219 00:55:14,040 --> 00:55:15,799 Speaker 1: in a great kicker, and I think this team is 1220 00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:18,720 Speaker 1: primed to win a lot of close games again. Schedule wise, 1221 00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:21,480 Speaker 1: they go to Arizona State and Wazoo. They host BYU 1222 00:55:21,560 --> 00:55:24,399 Speaker 1: Boise and San Diego State. If they can win two 1223 00:55:24,440 --> 00:55:26,480 Speaker 1: of those five, I love them over six and a half. 1224 00:55:26,600 --> 00:55:28,080 Speaker 1: I'm gonna kick it to you first, Colin, what are 1225 00:55:28,080 --> 00:55:29,160 Speaker 1: your thoughts on the Pokes? 1226 00:55:29,600 --> 00:55:31,919 Speaker 2: Absolutely love him. I just wish I had a little 1227 00:55:31,960 --> 00:55:33,880 Speaker 2: bit more film and a little bit more clue about 1228 00:55:33,880 --> 00:55:37,120 Speaker 2: how good this offense is going to be under Under Evansboda, 1229 00:55:38,000 --> 00:55:39,719 Speaker 2: he is going to be the next Josh Allen, or 1230 00:55:39,719 --> 00:55:41,480 Speaker 2: at least he wants to. He's wearing the exact same 1231 00:55:41,600 --> 00:55:45,200 Speaker 2: number he listed, six foot five, two hundred and forty 1232 00:55:45,239 --> 00:55:48,319 Speaker 2: five pounds, only thirty six passing attempts last season, so 1233 00:55:48,400 --> 00:55:49,880 Speaker 2: not a lot of film to go back there and 1234 00:55:49,960 --> 00:55:52,920 Speaker 2: check on. But with Harrison Walley, this is a potent 1235 00:55:53,200 --> 00:55:55,960 Speaker 2: zone read offense and can run a little rpo. Jay 1236 00:55:56,040 --> 00:55:58,440 Speaker 2: Johnson steps in as the offensive coordinator that's going to 1237 00:55:58,480 --> 00:56:01,879 Speaker 2: put more balance into this offense. He's formerly with Mel 1238 00:56:01,960 --> 00:56:06,520 Speaker 2: Tucker at Michigan State. He's balanced, he runs inside outside zone. 1239 00:56:06,840 --> 00:56:08,840 Speaker 2: So this heavy rush rate that we've always had at Wyoming, 1240 00:56:08,880 --> 00:56:10,480 Speaker 2: it's going to come down a little bit, especially if 1241 00:56:10,480 --> 00:56:13,080 Speaker 2: Siboda can throw the ball. Now there's no changes on 1242 00:56:13,080 --> 00:56:15,560 Speaker 2: the defensive side whatsoever. Soavole's moving up to head coach 1243 00:56:16,080 --> 00:56:18,560 Speaker 2: Craig bulls Son Aaron Ball moves up with the DC 1244 00:56:19,040 --> 00:56:21,239 Speaker 2: still going to run the four two five. As you know, 1245 00:56:21,280 --> 00:56:23,640 Speaker 2: they return more than eighty percent of their tackles pressures 1246 00:56:23,640 --> 00:56:29,200 Speaker 2: in PBUs and you know Jordan Burton BERTAGNOI he's a 1247 00:56:29,280 --> 00:56:31,560 Speaker 2: name to know. On the defensive line, Wyoming was top 1248 00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:33,879 Speaker 2: twenty five in limiting ground explosives. He was a big 1249 00:56:33,920 --> 00:56:36,239 Speaker 2: part of that, and the linebacker unit is supposed to 1250 00:56:36,239 --> 00:56:38,520 Speaker 2: be top three in the conference. As far as the 1251 00:56:38,520 --> 00:56:40,840 Speaker 2: schedule goes, I mean, they're a heavy favorite over Idaho, 1252 00:56:41,200 --> 00:56:45,120 Speaker 2: North Texas, coin flips against really poor rush defenses in 1253 00:56:45,200 --> 00:56:49,280 Speaker 2: Arizona State and BYU that's where Someboboda and Harrison Whaley 1254 00:56:49,320 --> 00:56:53,239 Speaker 2: can cook. No Fresno, no Hawaii Boising Air Force have 1255 00:56:53,320 --> 00:56:55,520 Speaker 2: to come to War Memorial. I project eight point two 1256 00:56:55,600 --> 00:56:58,800 Speaker 2: wins and five conference wins. I went over six and 1257 00:56:58,840 --> 00:57:00,759 Speaker 2: a half plus one hundred. 1258 00:56:59,840 --> 00:57:02,279 Speaker 4: I should hold back. 1259 00:57:02,400 --> 00:57:05,520 Speaker 2: I have this rule about coaches and new quarterbacks and 1260 00:57:05,520 --> 00:57:07,440 Speaker 2: all that, but I feel that the coaching staff is 1261 00:57:07,480 --> 00:57:10,520 Speaker 2: not a big drop off because these guys all have 1262 00:57:10,600 --> 00:57:13,200 Speaker 2: all been in house for a long time, and the 1263 00:57:13,239 --> 00:57:18,760 Speaker 2: Wyoming offense was so bad. How could what Evans vote 1264 00:57:18,800 --> 00:57:21,000 Speaker 2: is going to run it up a quarterback be any 1265 00:57:21,040 --> 00:57:23,240 Speaker 2: worse than what they've had in the past. It can't. 1266 00:57:23,400 --> 00:57:26,160 Speaker 2: So over six and a half for me, I won't 1267 00:57:26,200 --> 00:57:26,560 Speaker 2: hold back. 1268 00:57:26,600 --> 00:57:28,880 Speaker 4: This is my favorite win total of the conference. I 1269 00:57:28,920 --> 00:57:31,360 Speaker 4: love the over here. Preseason prep takes a little bit 1270 00:57:31,400 --> 00:57:34,560 Speaker 4: longer these days with transfer portal stuff. Wyoming had the 1271 00:57:34,680 --> 00:57:37,680 Speaker 4: shortest transfer portal page of any G five team by 1272 00:57:37,840 --> 00:57:41,440 Speaker 4: a mile. They lost three total players to the portal, 1273 00:57:41,760 --> 00:57:46,080 Speaker 4: and cornerback Colby Taylor is the only even remote contributor 1274 00:57:46,080 --> 00:57:49,000 Speaker 4: that they lost, So I think that speaks volumes to 1275 00:57:49,040 --> 00:57:51,960 Speaker 4: what this team thinks about Jay Suavel. Normally, when you 1276 00:57:51,960 --> 00:57:54,520 Speaker 4: get a new head coach, the whole team leaves for 1277 00:57:54,560 --> 00:57:57,480 Speaker 4: the portal. Nobody left. I think that speaks volumes to 1278 00:57:57,520 --> 00:57:59,800 Speaker 4: what this team believes in him. You mentioned it. They 1279 00:57:59,840 --> 00:58:02,880 Speaker 4: lose Andrew Peasley to old age, but I had never 1280 00:58:02,920 --> 00:58:05,360 Speaker 4: thought he was any good. They lose linebacker to Easton Gibbs, 1281 00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:07,480 Speaker 4: which is really their only loss that I kind of 1282 00:58:08,560 --> 00:58:11,360 Speaker 4: stayed like. They returned nearly every starter on both sides 1283 00:58:11,360 --> 00:58:13,960 Speaker 4: of the ball. Harrison Whale, You said, you know, Savoda, 1284 00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:16,520 Speaker 4: I love what everyone I'm hearing about him. He's getting 1285 00:58:16,560 --> 00:58:18,960 Speaker 4: compared to Josh Allen left and right. Whether that's true 1286 00:58:19,040 --> 00:58:21,720 Speaker 4: or not, it's at least a good sign. The defense 1287 00:58:21,720 --> 00:58:23,800 Speaker 4: should be great again. They have the best home field 1288 00:58:23,800 --> 00:58:26,360 Speaker 4: advantage in college football. I know Stuckey would want to 1289 00:58:26,360 --> 00:58:30,520 Speaker 4: bring this up. They have a phenomenal special teams. John 1290 00:58:30,560 --> 00:58:32,720 Speaker 4: Hoyland is one of the best kickers in the conference. 1291 00:58:32,800 --> 00:58:34,960 Speaker 4: He like single handedly won them like two games last year. 1292 00:58:34,960 --> 00:58:36,960 Speaker 4: He was like four for four in one of the 1293 00:58:36,960 --> 00:58:40,320 Speaker 4: games and they basically won by that. So you mentioned 1294 00:58:40,360 --> 00:58:44,920 Speaker 4: that the schedule Arizona State, Idaho, BYU North Texas, they 1295 00:58:44,920 --> 00:58:46,680 Speaker 4: could be four and oh you know, they can win 1296 00:58:46,720 --> 00:58:49,040 Speaker 4: all four of those. And then they get air Force 1297 00:58:49,040 --> 00:58:50,920 Speaker 4: in San Diego State at home, both of whom I'm 1298 00:58:50,920 --> 00:58:53,120 Speaker 4: down on. Also, nobody wins in Wyoming, so those are 1299 00:58:53,120 --> 00:58:55,680 Speaker 4: just wins. And then the road games are San Jose State, 1300 00:58:55,720 --> 00:58:58,680 Speaker 4: New Mexico and Colorado State. I mean, I'm certainly not 1301 00:58:58,720 --> 00:59:01,640 Speaker 4: afraid of Santois State and New Mexican go. Then they 1302 00:59:01,640 --> 00:59:03,320 Speaker 4: finished year with you know, Boise at home and then 1303 00:59:03,320 --> 00:59:07,160 Speaker 4: at Washington State. But they very realistically could be nine 1304 00:59:07,200 --> 00:59:09,720 Speaker 4: to one going to that Boise State game. They could 1305 00:59:09,800 --> 00:59:12,440 Speaker 4: cash this win total before they play their two hardest games. 1306 00:59:12,880 --> 00:59:16,240 Speaker 4: So I absolutely love Wyoming over six and a half. 1307 00:59:16,400 --> 00:59:18,200 Speaker 4: I'll say it. I don't hate them to win the conference. 1308 00:59:18,360 --> 00:59:20,920 Speaker 4: I think I think that I haven't found that Colin 1309 00:59:21,600 --> 00:59:25,320 Speaker 4: make the conference title game pick. But I mean they're 1310 00:59:25,360 --> 00:59:27,920 Speaker 4: nine to one going to Boise. They could lose that 1311 00:59:27,960 --> 00:59:29,520 Speaker 4: game and still be in the title game. So I 1312 00:59:29,520 --> 00:59:31,600 Speaker 4: actually kind of like a flyer on Wyoming to make 1313 00:59:31,600 --> 00:59:33,560 Speaker 4: them out in the West title game. I'm pretty high. 1314 00:59:33,400 --> 00:59:34,440 Speaker 2: In this team. 1315 00:59:35,000 --> 00:59:38,400 Speaker 1: As some bold talk. I was not strapped in for 1316 00:59:38,520 --> 00:59:40,800 Speaker 1: a nine and one at one point in the season 1317 00:59:40,800 --> 00:59:43,960 Speaker 1: Wyoming team. But I think we need it with this 1318 00:59:44,080 --> 00:59:47,000 Speaker 1: next team coming up on the map because it's in 1319 00:59:47,040 --> 00:59:50,480 Speaker 1: the opposite direction Utah State. The Aggies win total five, 1320 00:59:50,600 --> 00:59:53,120 Speaker 1: five and a half odds to win the conference, thirty 1321 00:59:53,120 --> 00:59:54,960 Speaker 1: two to one, two hundred to one to win the 1322 00:59:55,000 --> 00:59:58,520 Speaker 1: College to All playoff. It's disaster time and logan. According 1323 00:59:58,560 --> 01:00:01,120 Speaker 1: to a termination letter sent to Blake Anderson, the coach 1324 01:00:01,200 --> 01:00:04,880 Speaker 1: was fired for contacting a potential domestic violent violence victim 1325 01:00:05,160 --> 01:00:07,680 Speaker 1: and a witness to the incident after Naggi's football player 1326 01:00:07,680 --> 01:00:11,960 Speaker 1: was arrested and failing to properly report the case. Big yikes, 1327 01:00:12,480 --> 01:00:15,080 Speaker 1: huge disaster. Not the same as a coach stepping away 1328 01:00:15,080 --> 01:00:18,000 Speaker 1: because of health concerns or just getting fired because he 1329 01:00:18,000 --> 01:00:19,760 Speaker 1: didn't make, you know, the kind of bowl game that 1330 01:00:19,760 --> 01:00:22,240 Speaker 1: the alumni wanted. This is a major issue and now 1331 01:00:22,320 --> 01:00:24,680 Speaker 1: Utah State is forced to insert a thirty three year 1332 01:00:24,720 --> 01:00:28,520 Speaker 1: old first time head coach in Nate Dryling. Spencer Petris 1333 01:00:28,640 --> 01:00:31,360 Speaker 1: is his quarterback, who was exactly who you picture when 1334 01:00:31,400 --> 01:00:33,840 Speaker 1: you think of an Iowa quarterback from the past five years. 1335 01:00:34,120 --> 01:00:37,040 Speaker 1: In his last season in Iowa City, fifty five percent completions, 1336 01:00:37,160 --> 01:00:41,160 Speaker 1: five tds, five picks, somehow one negative one hundred and 1337 01:00:41,160 --> 01:00:44,200 Speaker 1: eighty two rushing yards all those sacks. On the plus side, 1338 01:00:44,240 --> 01:00:46,800 Speaker 1: they have an intact offensive line and Petris is a 1339 01:00:46,840 --> 01:00:49,920 Speaker 1: great wide receiver in Jalen Royals. But will it matter 1340 01:00:50,120 --> 01:00:53,920 Speaker 1: with all this upheaval within their facility. I think this 1341 01:00:53,960 --> 01:00:55,600 Speaker 1: is a potential for it all to fall apart for 1342 01:00:55,640 --> 01:00:58,520 Speaker 1: the Aggies. And defensively, this was low key one of 1343 01:00:58,520 --> 01:01:00,880 Speaker 1: the worst defenses in the Mountain West Common. Looking at 1344 01:01:00,920 --> 01:01:03,600 Speaker 1: the back half of the schedule from last year, you 1345 01:01:03,680 --> 01:01:06,080 Speaker 1: have thirty seven to Colorade of State, forty two to Fresno, 1346 01:01:06,320 --> 01:01:09,520 Speaker 1: forty five to Boise, forty one to New Mexico in overtime, 1347 01:01:09,880 --> 01:01:12,360 Speaker 1: and forty five to Georgia State in the bowl game. 1348 01:01:12,880 --> 01:01:15,800 Speaker 1: Very little experience upfront, which is concerning, And when you 1349 01:01:15,800 --> 01:01:18,160 Speaker 1: look at the first six weeks of the year, this 1350 01:01:18,200 --> 01:01:19,960 Speaker 1: is I talked about it earlier in the podcast with 1351 01:01:20,000 --> 01:01:23,800 Speaker 1: another program, that Quick Factor at USC versus Utah, at 1352 01:01:23,800 --> 01:01:27,800 Speaker 1: Temple Bye Week at Boise VERSU UNLV, give me under five. 1353 01:01:27,960 --> 01:01:30,640 Speaker 1: I'm not overthinking this. I was already down a little 1354 01:01:30,680 --> 01:01:33,320 Speaker 1: bit on them because the defense was so weak, and 1355 01:01:33,360 --> 01:01:36,040 Speaker 1: now you throw in all this chaos in Logan, Utah. 1356 01:01:36,280 --> 01:01:38,200 Speaker 1: I think this somebody's got to lose a lot of games. 1357 01:01:38,240 --> 01:01:41,200 Speaker 1: If wyomings winning nine or ten games this year, somebody's 1358 01:01:41,200 --> 01:01:43,320 Speaker 1: got to start stacking up some losses. I think it's 1359 01:01:43,320 --> 01:01:44,160 Speaker 1: gonna be Utah State. 1360 01:01:45,360 --> 01:01:47,160 Speaker 4: I don't hate it. I don't have much thoughts on here, 1361 01:01:47,160 --> 01:01:48,760 Speaker 4: so I'll just go quick and then throw it to Colin. 1362 01:01:49,240 --> 01:01:51,360 Speaker 4: The two things that I just wrote down by this 1363 01:01:51,400 --> 01:01:53,840 Speaker 4: team was, I think with the you have that late firing. 1364 01:01:54,000 --> 01:01:56,400 Speaker 4: I just I thought it was a weird decision to 1365 01:01:56,440 --> 01:01:59,320 Speaker 4: promote Nate Driling to the interim head coach, considering he 1366 01:01:59,440 --> 01:02:01,680 Speaker 4: just got hired in December. So it's not like, if 1367 01:02:01,720 --> 01:02:03,680 Speaker 4: you're trying to keep continuity, you have a coach that 1368 01:02:03,720 --> 01:02:06,520 Speaker 4: they barely even know. He was in Mexico State's DC 1369 01:02:06,720 --> 01:02:08,440 Speaker 4: before that, so the last time we saw him, he 1370 01:02:08,480 --> 01:02:11,600 Speaker 4: gave up a thousand points to Liberty. But maybe my 1371 01:02:11,760 --> 01:02:14,800 Speaker 4: favorite transfer portal swap ever, this just made me laugh 1372 01:02:14,840 --> 01:02:17,200 Speaker 4: out loud. Was like Uta State last year kind of 1373 01:02:17,280 --> 01:02:20,680 Speaker 4: rotated the three headed monster of Cooper Lega, McKay, Hillstead, 1374 01:02:20,720 --> 01:02:23,520 Speaker 4: and Levi Williams. All three of them leave and they 1375 01:02:23,560 --> 01:02:26,240 Speaker 4: basically just copy and pasted it. They lose lagat Hill 1376 01:02:26,240 --> 01:02:29,240 Speaker 4: said in Williams and replaced them with Spencer Petris, Bryson 1377 01:02:29,320 --> 01:02:34,320 Speaker 4: Barnes and Jacob Conover. Just absolute copy and paste, generic 1378 01:02:34,400 --> 01:02:36,880 Speaker 4: white guys and you have the safe three headed monster. 1379 01:02:37,440 --> 01:02:40,880 Speaker 4: That little transfer portal swap really made me laugh. Yeah, 1380 01:02:40,920 --> 01:02:42,760 Speaker 4: I don't have a ton of thoughts. Defense was terrible, 1381 01:02:42,880 --> 01:02:44,600 Speaker 4: can't stop the run. So I really just don't know 1382 01:02:44,640 --> 01:02:46,920 Speaker 4: what to expect from this team. But schedule starts out brutal, 1383 01:02:47,000 --> 01:02:48,360 Speaker 4: so they better figure things out quickly. 1384 01:02:49,120 --> 01:02:50,760 Speaker 2: I am waiting in the weeds because I think I'm 1385 01:02:50,800 --> 01:02:52,600 Speaker 2: going to make a play on these guys in mid August. 1386 01:02:52,760 --> 01:02:56,320 Speaker 2: So the generation of this firing, it's really quite interesting. 1387 01:02:56,400 --> 01:02:59,720 Speaker 2: So this incident happens with this player, who, by the way, 1388 01:02:59,800 --> 01:03:03,520 Speaker 2: was in the portal looking to leave. He reports it 1389 01:03:03,560 --> 01:03:08,680 Speaker 2: to Blake Anderson as misconduct. It happens right before Easter weekend. 1390 01:03:09,160 --> 01:03:11,200 Speaker 2: Blake Anderson tries to get a hold of him, but 1391 01:03:11,200 --> 01:03:12,760 Speaker 2: it's Easter weekend. He doesn't get a hold of him 1392 01:03:12,760 --> 01:03:17,480 Speaker 2: back till Monday. Coach I was arrested misconduct kind of 1393 01:03:17,480 --> 01:03:19,200 Speaker 2: fills him in on the details. It didn't really tell 1394 01:03:19,280 --> 01:03:22,160 Speaker 2: him anything, and it happened off campus. Blake Anderson doesn't 1395 01:03:22,200 --> 01:03:24,680 Speaker 2: report it. From what I've heard on the side as 1396 01:03:24,680 --> 01:03:26,920 Speaker 2: an intermad that's been dying to get rid of him anyway. 1397 01:03:27,040 --> 01:03:29,240 Speaker 2: So here we are. There's a huge lawsuit. It's going 1398 01:03:29,280 --> 01:03:31,080 Speaker 2: to take two years to play out. Blake Anderson's going 1399 01:03:31,160 --> 01:03:33,440 Speaker 2: to say he was wrongfully terminated because he was told 1400 01:03:33,440 --> 01:03:37,760 Speaker 2: by the player's misconduct and not aggravated assault, which is felony. 1401 01:03:37,880 --> 01:03:40,520 Speaker 2: So that's going to play on now as far as 1402 01:03:40,560 --> 01:03:43,680 Speaker 2: the team goes. Let's move on to the team. I 1403 01:03:43,760 --> 01:03:48,120 Speaker 2: don't think this equals a complete disaster. Northwestern stripped their 1404 01:03:48,160 --> 01:03:51,880 Speaker 2: coach in the exact same scenario, and ad had it 1405 01:03:51,920 --> 01:03:55,120 Speaker 2: out pulled them aside. All of a sudden, a defensive 1406 01:03:55,120 --> 01:03:58,360 Speaker 2: coordinator who just got there from North Dakota State takes 1407 01:03:58,400 --> 01:04:01,440 Speaker 2: the team more than double their win total, which closed 1408 01:04:01,440 --> 01:04:03,760 Speaker 2: at two and a half. Northwest was three and a 1409 01:04:03,800 --> 01:04:06,080 Speaker 2: half when it opened last year, it closed the two 1410 01:04:06,080 --> 01:04:08,120 Speaker 2: and a half right before first kick. The same thing 1411 01:04:08,200 --> 01:04:10,840 Speaker 2: is happening here. You have to ask yourself, is Utah 1412 01:04:10,880 --> 01:04:12,760 Speaker 2: State going to be okay without Blake Anderson. You have 1413 01:04:12,880 --> 01:04:16,640 Speaker 2: Kyle sef Sefu running the offensive coordinator. He's been with 1414 01:04:16,720 --> 01:04:19,760 Speaker 2: Anderson since before the Arkansas State Day, since twenty seventeen. 1415 01:04:20,280 --> 01:04:22,880 Speaker 2: Zero change is expected on staff now. Spencer Peatrice does 1416 01:04:22,920 --> 01:04:25,560 Speaker 2: come in, but so does our favorite pig farmer, Bryson 1417 01:04:25,600 --> 01:04:28,080 Speaker 2: Barnes is here from Utah. They're going to battle it out. 1418 01:04:28,280 --> 01:04:30,760 Speaker 2: Although the staff did tell me at Mountain West Media 1419 01:04:30,840 --> 01:04:34,040 Speaker 2: Days that Spencer Peatrice's arm is a sight to be 1420 01:04:34,120 --> 01:04:36,200 Speaker 2: seen and they've got their eyes on him to do 1421 01:04:36,240 --> 01:04:37,800 Speaker 2: a lot of great things. And I'm just like, well, 1422 01:04:37,840 --> 01:04:41,600 Speaker 2: I've seen this at Iowa. They're wide receivers Jalen royal 1423 01:04:41,640 --> 01:04:43,360 Speaker 2: Is and Mike Davis. They're both over two point one 1424 01:04:43,400 --> 01:04:45,880 Speaker 2: yards per route run. So there is a semblance of 1425 01:04:45,920 --> 01:04:48,640 Speaker 2: a passing attack here, if not anything else. Now, Dryling 1426 01:04:49,680 --> 01:04:53,240 Speaker 2: was multiple in New Mexico State and one hundred at 1427 01:04:53,320 --> 01:04:56,440 Speaker 2: least one hundred and forty defensive snaps. I believe in 1428 01:04:56,640 --> 01:04:59,720 Speaker 2: five different packages Nickel dime. There was a two to 1429 01:04:59,720 --> 01:05:01,560 Speaker 2: two seven in there that he did over one hundred 1430 01:05:01,600 --> 01:05:04,280 Speaker 2: and forty STAPs. He runs zone ninety percent of the time, 1431 01:05:05,160 --> 01:05:06,480 Speaker 2: So it's gonna be really interesting to see what this 1432 01:05:06,520 --> 01:05:08,760 Speaker 2: defense is now because seventy percent of their pressures and 1433 01:05:08,800 --> 01:05:12,080 Speaker 2: their pbu's return. So this coach is extremely aggressive and 1434 01:05:12,120 --> 01:05:14,960 Speaker 2: he's got the personnel back to do it. I'm not 1435 01:05:15,080 --> 01:05:17,080 Speaker 2: expecting like the world out of these guys. I mean, 1436 01:05:17,080 --> 01:05:19,360 Speaker 2: I only project him just to shade over five wins. 1437 01:05:19,400 --> 01:05:22,120 Speaker 2: But the way the market is handling this, this five 1438 01:05:22,160 --> 01:05:23,320 Speaker 2: that's out there is going to be a four and 1439 01:05:23,360 --> 01:05:24,720 Speaker 2: a half soon. I don't know what the number is 1440 01:05:24,720 --> 01:05:26,640 Speaker 2: going to be. Is people start to come into college 1441 01:05:26,680 --> 01:05:29,040 Speaker 2: football and the public has their say and moving some 1442 01:05:29,120 --> 01:05:31,320 Speaker 2: of these futures down. They're gonna be a double digit 1443 01:05:31,400 --> 01:05:34,880 Speaker 2: underdog to USC, Utah, Boise, Wyoming, and Wazoo. All right, 1444 01:05:34,880 --> 01:05:36,800 Speaker 2: there's five right there. Knock them off the table. Your 1445 01:05:36,800 --> 01:05:40,120 Speaker 2: ceiling is seven double digit favorites against Robert Morris, Temple 1446 01:05:40,520 --> 01:05:42,480 Speaker 2: and New Mexico. So there's three that you can put 1447 01:05:42,480 --> 01:05:45,200 Speaker 2: in their category. You need two more. San Diego State 1448 01:05:45,240 --> 01:05:46,960 Speaker 2: comes the logan on back to back travel as a 1449 01:05:47,000 --> 01:05:49,560 Speaker 2: TD underdog that could be a win there. Then you 1450 01:05:49,600 --> 01:05:52,800 Speaker 2: have your two coin flips UNLV, Hawaii, I'm sorry, three 1451 01:05:52,800 --> 01:05:57,200 Speaker 2: coin flips, UNLV Hawaii and Colorado State. Crazy enough, UNLV 1452 01:05:57,280 --> 01:05:59,760 Speaker 2: and Utah State are built pretty much the same same thing. 1453 01:05:59,760 --> 01:06:02,360 Speaker 2: With Colorado State. I'm not sure that they can beat him, 1454 01:06:02,400 --> 01:06:04,120 Speaker 2: but all three project in the top half of the 1455 01:06:04,120 --> 01:06:06,560 Speaker 2: Mountain West Conference and the defensive backfield, so that is 1456 01:06:06,600 --> 01:06:08,960 Speaker 2: a bad thing against Utah State. Let's just put it 1457 01:06:09,000 --> 01:06:10,720 Speaker 2: this way. At four and a half, I am considering 1458 01:06:10,720 --> 01:06:13,280 Speaker 2: it over. I don't think it's as bad because the 1459 01:06:13,320 --> 01:06:16,120 Speaker 2: offensive coordinator knows the system and he's been with Anderson 1460 01:06:16,120 --> 01:06:19,200 Speaker 2: since twenty seventeen Arkansas State, So what's it worth two 1461 01:06:19,200 --> 01:06:21,600 Speaker 2: points to the power rating that just you know it's 1462 01:06:21,600 --> 01:06:23,760 Speaker 2: still a shade. It's still projected at five, So no 1463 01:06:23,840 --> 01:06:26,200 Speaker 2: money down. The one take up a lot of time, 1464 01:06:26,280 --> 01:06:28,080 Speaker 2: But in the middle of August, I'm gonna recheck what 1465 01:06:28,120 --> 01:06:28,880 Speaker 2: this number. 1466 01:06:28,600 --> 01:06:31,800 Speaker 1: Is if Petris wins the job. But in terms of 1467 01:06:31,880 --> 01:06:34,800 Speaker 1: trusting him to beat a team like UNLD that you 1468 01:06:34,880 --> 01:06:37,320 Speaker 1: just brought out, I am in love with those quarterbacks. 1469 01:06:37,360 --> 01:06:39,240 Speaker 1: I am not in love with the Iowa transfer. We'll 1470 01:06:39,280 --> 01:06:42,320 Speaker 1: keep it at that keep these things moving here onto 1471 01:06:42,320 --> 01:06:45,320 Speaker 1: San Diego State. Sean Lewis, come on down as tech 1472 01:06:45,400 --> 01:06:47,439 Speaker 1: fast is the word of the day. They were four 1473 01:06:47,440 --> 01:06:49,960 Speaker 1: to eight last year, two and six. Their offense has 1474 01:06:50,000 --> 01:06:52,040 Speaker 1: been stuck in the mud for it feels like ten years. 1475 01:06:52,240 --> 01:06:54,280 Speaker 1: Their win total set at five and a half. Odds 1476 01:06:54,320 --> 01:06:56,520 Speaker 1: to win the conference title, thirty two to one, one 1477 01:06:56,600 --> 01:06:59,040 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty to one to make the college football Playoff. 1478 01:06:59,440 --> 01:07:01,800 Speaker 1: They have a in line, they got a former blue 1479 01:07:01,840 --> 01:07:04,800 Speaker 1: chip quarterback in aj Duffy. They got new faces of 1480 01:07:04,840 --> 01:07:07,240 Speaker 1: the skill positions. But I do like Jayshaun Pok from 1481 01:07:07,240 --> 01:07:10,520 Speaker 1: the old Kent State days and Louis Brown from Colorado State. 1482 01:07:10,600 --> 01:07:13,160 Speaker 1: Lewis Brown, howeveryone's to say it. I'm going to trust 1483 01:07:13,200 --> 01:07:15,960 Speaker 1: in Lewis to make this offense at least score in 1484 01:07:16,000 --> 01:07:19,400 Speaker 1: the high twenties right away. He's a genius his You know, 1485 01:07:19,440 --> 01:07:22,880 Speaker 1: there's downsides to playing really fast, but there's also clear 1486 01:07:22,960 --> 01:07:25,960 Speaker 1: upsides in terms of a quick turnaround. So I'm gonna 1487 01:07:25,960 --> 01:07:28,560 Speaker 1: trust him to get that done. For close to touchdown improvement, 1488 01:07:28,640 --> 01:07:31,960 Speaker 1: let's call it year over year. Defense Unfortunately returns just 1489 01:07:32,000 --> 01:07:35,720 Speaker 1: one guy, Tupoo Alu Alu on the line that's it. 1490 01:07:36,040 --> 01:07:39,120 Speaker 1: Eric Schmidt, the former special teams coordinator and edge rush 1491 01:07:39,240 --> 01:07:42,720 Speaker 1: coach at University Washington, is in. He's dealing with so 1492 01:07:42,840 --> 01:07:46,360 Speaker 1: much roster turnover and depth issues. I'm going to hold 1493 01:07:46,360 --> 01:07:48,479 Speaker 1: off my opinion of him for at least one year 1494 01:07:48,560 --> 01:07:50,680 Speaker 1: because he's just got to get everybody's names down. They 1495 01:07:50,680 --> 01:07:52,960 Speaker 1: got the you know, the tape on the helmets, They 1496 01:07:53,000 --> 01:07:54,240 Speaker 1: got the names. He's just trying to get on a 1497 01:07:54,280 --> 01:07:56,840 Speaker 1: first name basis with everybody. Got to stay healthy and 1498 01:07:56,880 --> 01:07:58,600 Speaker 1: it's got to click in the first five weeks because 1499 01:07:58,600 --> 01:08:01,640 Speaker 1: the schedule was backloaded A and M Commerce at cal 1500 01:08:01,720 --> 01:08:05,160 Speaker 1: at Central Michigan. Why are all winnable if they play 1501 01:08:05,240 --> 01:08:07,560 Speaker 1: really well early? But you look at the back end 1502 01:08:07,760 --> 01:08:11,720 Speaker 1: going to Laramie Home against Wazoo, at Boise Home against 1503 01:08:11,760 --> 01:08:14,200 Speaker 1: New Mexico, which late we're going to talk about New 1504 01:08:14,200 --> 01:08:16,680 Speaker 1: Mexico at that point is damp year. You know, a 1505 01:08:16,760 --> 01:08:19,719 Speaker 1: threat as a dual threat quarterback at UNLV at Utah 1506 01:08:19,800 --> 01:08:23,439 Speaker 1: State Home against Air Force. This is a pass for me. 1507 01:08:23,520 --> 01:08:25,760 Speaker 1: I think this number is just about right. Even with 1508 01:08:25,880 --> 01:08:28,960 Speaker 1: an offensive renaissance in year one under Sean Lewis, It's 1509 01:08:29,000 --> 01:08:31,519 Speaker 1: gonna take time to get the right pieces to make 1510 01:08:31,520 --> 01:08:34,840 Speaker 1: his offense truly shine, and unlike the last we'll call 1511 01:08:34,880 --> 01:08:36,760 Speaker 1: it six to seven years, when they were relying more 1512 01:08:36,800 --> 01:08:40,960 Speaker 1: on their defense. Last year, it clearly wasn't enough this year, 1513 01:08:41,040 --> 01:08:44,320 Speaker 1: with so many new faces, I could be convinced for 1514 01:08:44,520 --> 01:08:45,960 Speaker 1: under five and a half. Are you going to take 1515 01:08:46,000 --> 01:08:47,080 Speaker 1: me in that direction? Ianello? 1516 01:08:48,040 --> 01:08:50,960 Speaker 4: No, but I would definitely you know, gone ahead, you 1517 01:08:51,000 --> 01:08:52,880 Speaker 4: said tick one, I would lean under. But I'm not 1518 01:08:52,920 --> 01:08:55,880 Speaker 4: gonna play it for me. It's just you said it perfectly. 1519 01:08:55,960 --> 01:08:58,519 Speaker 4: It's gonna take a year. It's a complete system overhaul. 1520 01:08:58,560 --> 01:09:01,479 Speaker 4: They're going from you know, Ray Hope. Deshaun Lewis just 1521 01:09:01,520 --> 01:09:04,439 Speaker 4: an all time culture shock. Yeah, he's got you know, 1522 01:09:04,520 --> 01:09:07,040 Speaker 4: Marcus Cooper to kind of stabilized the offense, and I'm 1523 01:09:07,040 --> 01:09:09,840 Speaker 4: sure they leon him a lot early. But defense is 1524 01:09:09,840 --> 01:09:11,880 Speaker 4: switching to a four to two five stack and has 1525 01:09:12,120 --> 01:09:16,360 Speaker 4: you know, one new guy, so the I'm super concerned 1526 01:09:16,360 --> 01:09:18,639 Speaker 4: about the secondary. I mean, Lewis has never had good 1527 01:09:18,640 --> 01:09:21,599 Speaker 4: defense at Kent State, So in that kind of combite 1528 01:09:21,640 --> 01:09:23,439 Speaker 4: you if you have an offense that goes fast or 1529 01:09:23,479 --> 01:09:25,479 Speaker 4: they're going to give you the ball back, you're gonna 1530 01:09:25,479 --> 01:09:27,040 Speaker 4: be back on the field quickly, or you know, one 1531 01:09:27,080 --> 01:09:28,840 Speaker 4: way or the other, and if you stink that's that's 1532 01:09:28,840 --> 01:09:31,400 Speaker 4: a problem. So I just think this is going to 1533 01:09:31,600 --> 01:09:34,000 Speaker 4: take at least a year to do this system overhaul. 1534 01:09:34,080 --> 01:09:36,439 Speaker 4: So I'd lean five and a half under. But I'm 1535 01:09:36,479 --> 01:09:38,280 Speaker 4: not really playing anything on this team. 1536 01:09:38,760 --> 01:09:40,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this is an under bet for me. 1537 01:09:40,320 --> 01:09:41,639 Speaker 2: It was one of the very first group of five 1538 01:09:41,680 --> 01:09:43,880 Speaker 2: bets that I made. It's a win total light project 1539 01:09:43,920 --> 01:09:46,719 Speaker 2: at three point nine. There's a huge tempo change coming 1540 01:09:46,760 --> 01:09:49,120 Speaker 2: for the Aztecs here, in case you didn't know, they're 1541 01:09:49,160 --> 01:09:50,360 Speaker 2: going to be top ten. I got to talk to 1542 01:09:50,360 --> 01:09:53,080 Speaker 2: Sean Lewis at media at Mountain West Media Days. It 1543 01:09:53,160 --> 01:09:56,200 Speaker 2: was nice to a see him smile. B I asked him, 1544 01:09:56,200 --> 01:09:58,080 Speaker 2: what's it like adjusting to San Diego. He says, I 1545 01:09:58,080 --> 01:09:59,800 Speaker 2: get the freshest Mexican food I've ever had in my 1546 01:09:59,840 --> 01:10:02,200 Speaker 2: life every single night. So it's good that he's in 1547 01:10:02,240 --> 01:10:03,800 Speaker 2: a better position than he was when he was the 1548 01:10:03,840 --> 01:10:10,480 Speaker 2: coordinator at Colorado. Kent No, No, yeah, I mean he's 1549 01:10:10,800 --> 01:10:12,759 Speaker 2: I think you're getting better Mexican food in San Diego 1550 01:10:12,760 --> 01:10:15,960 Speaker 2: that you are in Kent, Ohio. Huge tempo change coming here. 1551 01:10:16,040 --> 01:10:19,559 Speaker 2: There's six quarterbacks that are competing for this job. Yeah, 1552 01:10:19,640 --> 01:10:22,360 Speaker 2: Ajduff should win the job, but literally all six have 1553 01:10:22,479 --> 01:10:25,000 Speaker 2: life here. They got legs, you know. On the defensive side, 1554 01:10:25,160 --> 01:10:27,720 Speaker 2: it's one of the most inexperienced groups in all of 1555 01:10:27,720 --> 01:10:32,000 Speaker 2: college football. San Diego State's winnable games there, they do exist. 1556 01:10:32,000 --> 01:10:34,440 Speaker 2: There's a couple of them Texas A and m Commerce. 1557 01:10:34,960 --> 01:10:38,879 Speaker 2: They're gonna be a dog of Tea and then Central Michigan, Hawaii, 1558 01:10:39,280 --> 01:10:42,719 Speaker 2: Utah State air Force. They're possible wins, but San Diego 1559 01:10:42,800 --> 01:10:45,000 Speaker 2: State will be a short underdog in all of those. 1560 01:10:45,040 --> 01:10:47,919 Speaker 2: There's only real, one, real true win on this schedule. 1561 01:10:48,560 --> 01:10:50,439 Speaker 2: Like I said, I project him at three point nine. 1562 01:10:50,960 --> 01:10:52,960 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take under five and a half. I did 1563 01:10:53,200 --> 01:10:55,800 Speaker 2: at the beginning of the year. But the real handicap 1564 01:10:55,840 --> 01:10:58,960 Speaker 2: on this team. Over every single week we are betting 1565 01:10:58,960 --> 01:11:02,920 Speaker 2: overs because this offer than you are as tech overs. Yeah, 1566 01:11:03,080 --> 01:11:05,040 Speaker 2: is this not my dream? San Diego State with Shawn 1567 01:11:05,120 --> 01:11:08,320 Speaker 2: Lewis the worst defense in group of five, combined with 1568 01:11:08,320 --> 01:11:11,479 Speaker 2: the fastest tempo and who cares if they can score 1569 01:11:11,520 --> 01:11:13,519 Speaker 2: or not. It's the fastest tempo. It works for both sides. 1570 01:11:13,640 --> 01:11:15,559 Speaker 2: We're bet overs every single week, baby, but on the 1571 01:11:15,560 --> 01:11:22,280 Speaker 2: season we're bet under five and a half. 1572 01:11:26,080 --> 01:11:28,519 Speaker 1: Let's move on to Hawaii. The Rainbow Warriors five and eight. 1573 01:11:28,600 --> 01:11:30,920 Speaker 1: Last year three and five in conference. Their win total 1574 01:11:30,960 --> 01:11:32,559 Speaker 1: at four and a half to five and a half 1575 01:11:32,560 --> 01:11:35,240 Speaker 1: out in the market. That's the biggest range of any 1576 01:11:35,280 --> 01:11:37,160 Speaker 1: team in the Memalist Conference, so make sure to shop 1577 01:11:37,160 --> 01:11:39,960 Speaker 1: around depending which direction you're going there to win the 1578 01:11:39,960 --> 01:11:42,200 Speaker 1: conference thirty two to one, three hundred to one, to 1579 01:11:42,200 --> 01:11:44,400 Speaker 1: win the college table, or to make the college football playoff. 1580 01:11:44,720 --> 01:11:47,519 Speaker 1: Timmy Chang entering year three, we talked about Jay Norvell, 1581 01:11:47,640 --> 01:11:49,920 Speaker 1: the little engine that could well. Timmy Chick's got a 1582 01:11:49,920 --> 01:11:53,719 Speaker 1: pretty similar trajectory here three and ten, then five and eight. 1583 01:11:54,160 --> 01:11:56,360 Speaker 1: They're clearly feisty at this point, and they have six 1584 01:11:56,400 --> 01:11:58,240 Speaker 1: returning starters on both sides of the ball. You get 1585 01:11:58,240 --> 01:12:01,920 Speaker 1: senior quarterback Braden Shager, two quality pass catchers in Puffe 1586 01:12:02,040 --> 01:12:05,799 Speaker 1: Le Ashlock and freshman All American Stephen McBride, three returning 1587 01:12:05,840 --> 01:12:08,160 Speaker 1: starters on the line, both tackles, and they were twenty 1588 01:12:08,280 --> 01:12:11,000 Speaker 1: ninth in pass protection according to Pro Football Focused. Last year. 1589 01:12:11,320 --> 01:12:14,720 Speaker 1: Defense was horrible at times, but they were decent top 1590 01:12:14,760 --> 01:12:17,560 Speaker 1: fifty against the pass. Four starters back in that secondary 1591 01:12:17,600 --> 01:12:19,960 Speaker 1: of their four two five look Dennis Thurman in a 1592 01:12:20,040 --> 01:12:23,120 Speaker 1: defensive coordinator. He was Rex Ryan's d C with both 1593 01:12:23,160 --> 01:12:24,960 Speaker 1: the Jets and the Bills and was on coach Prime 1594 01:12:25,040 --> 01:12:28,200 Speaker 1: staff last year in Boulder. Linebackers have a really cool name. 1595 01:12:28,240 --> 01:12:30,559 Speaker 1: They call it the Lions Den. Their position. Coach Chris 1596 01:12:30,600 --> 01:12:34,040 Speaker 1: Brown sends them videos of lions hunting prey. We'll see 1597 01:12:34,080 --> 01:12:36,280 Speaker 1: if now that they're healthy in that room, if they 1598 01:12:36,280 --> 01:12:40,559 Speaker 1: can get into opposing teams backfields, we'll see. Travel Wise, 1599 01:12:40,880 --> 01:12:42,759 Speaker 1: you could make an argument this is the most friendly 1600 01:12:42,880 --> 01:12:46,240 Speaker 1: Rainbow Warrior schedule in years because they start in week 1601 01:12:46,360 --> 01:12:49,240 Speaker 1: zero against Delaware State, which is just the pits, and 1602 01:12:49,520 --> 01:12:52,280 Speaker 1: at home. They utilized two buys before their trips to 1603 01:12:52,320 --> 01:12:54,920 Speaker 1: the mainland, so they get a buye. They go to 1604 01:12:54,920 --> 01:12:57,639 Speaker 1: to sam Houston State in week three and San Diego 1605 01:12:57,720 --> 01:13:01,439 Speaker 1: State on October fifth. They get New Mexico and Nevada 1606 01:13:01,479 --> 01:13:04,360 Speaker 1: at home, along with not one but two FCS teams. 1607 01:13:04,479 --> 01:13:08,120 Speaker 1: I mentioned Delaware State also Northern Iowa both stink. There's 1608 01:13:08,160 --> 01:13:10,840 Speaker 1: some years when Northern Iowa's feisty in the Missouri Valley. 1609 01:13:10,960 --> 01:13:13,559 Speaker 1: That's not the case right here. That's four wins right there, 1610 01:13:13,600 --> 01:13:15,280 Speaker 1: and when you look at the market, four and a 1611 01:13:15,320 --> 01:13:17,360 Speaker 1: half to five and a half. It gets interesting. So 1612 01:13:17,640 --> 01:13:19,880 Speaker 1: can I get one or two wins from this group 1613 01:13:20,200 --> 01:13:23,439 Speaker 1: at Sam Houston, at Utah State, at San Diego State. 1614 01:13:23,680 --> 01:13:25,920 Speaker 1: I feel like I can. I'm going over on the 1615 01:13:25,960 --> 01:13:28,559 Speaker 1: bows and Timmy Chang, what do you think Colin about 1616 01:13:28,640 --> 01:13:32,599 Speaker 1: Hawaii with a schedule? As I mentioned, they're always used 1617 01:13:32,600 --> 01:13:35,120 Speaker 1: to flying all over the place, but they're pretty much 1618 01:13:35,160 --> 01:13:36,960 Speaker 1: as protected as they can be this year. 1619 01:13:37,800 --> 01:13:40,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, four comfortable favorite spots are on the schedule of 1620 01:13:40,360 --> 01:13:42,720 Speaker 2: Delaware State, you and I, Nevada, New Mexico, and then 1621 01:13:42,760 --> 01:13:45,640 Speaker 2: after that you've got road travel to Sam Houston or 1622 01:13:46,320 --> 01:13:50,400 Speaker 2: a poorly rated Bearcats secondary. We will talk Conference USA tomorrow, 1623 01:13:50,400 --> 01:13:55,439 Speaker 2: but you know this Hawaii team, I would say that 1624 01:13:55,479 --> 01:13:57,160 Speaker 2: they have a chance to compete with you and LV, 1625 01:13:57,240 --> 01:13:58,760 Speaker 2: but the defense has no answers for the go go. 1626 01:13:58,920 --> 01:14:00,880 Speaker 2: But there are enough wins here to go over four 1627 01:14:00,880 --> 01:14:03,400 Speaker 2: and a half, which is listed at minus one sixty 1628 01:14:03,439 --> 01:14:06,240 Speaker 2: five in the market. I think you know you mentioned 1629 01:14:06,240 --> 01:14:08,879 Speaker 2: all the big players off this offense. What Stephen McBride 1630 01:14:08,880 --> 01:14:11,960 Speaker 2: with Stephen McBride and poflay Ashlock have done, especially from 1631 01:14:12,000 --> 01:14:15,479 Speaker 2: a yards per route run perspective, absolutely insane. I think 1632 01:14:15,479 --> 01:14:19,439 Speaker 2: it's important to mention that Braden Schager had twice as 1633 01:14:19,439 --> 01:14:22,000 Speaker 2: many big time throws as turnover worthy plays. I didn't 1634 01:14:22,000 --> 01:14:23,760 Speaker 2: think that was possible when I first saw this kid 1635 01:14:23,800 --> 01:14:27,040 Speaker 2: come into college football. He stabilized his turnover worthy plays. 1636 01:14:27,080 --> 01:14:29,200 Speaker 2: He was about two point six percent last year in 1637 01:14:29,240 --> 01:14:32,320 Speaker 2: a pressured pocket. That's a fantastic number when you think 1638 01:14:32,360 --> 01:14:34,280 Speaker 2: about being crowded, because it used to be I think 1639 01:14:34,320 --> 01:14:36,880 Speaker 2: seven percent in his first season. So he's really done 1640 01:14:36,880 --> 01:14:39,040 Speaker 2: a great job with that. They got three starters back 1641 01:14:39,080 --> 01:14:41,439 Speaker 2: in the offensive line. I think this offense can absolutely cook. 1642 01:14:41,520 --> 01:14:44,800 Speaker 2: They're going to be dialed in Week one against Delaware State, 1643 01:14:45,120 --> 01:14:47,800 Speaker 2: although a birdie who may live on the island told 1644 01:14:47,840 --> 01:14:49,439 Speaker 2: me that they're not going to show much because they're 1645 01:14:49,439 --> 01:14:54,599 Speaker 2: saving everything four Ucla in Week one. I think about 1646 01:14:54,640 --> 01:15:02,240 Speaker 2: that UCLA team, complete wipe of everything, coaching staff, schemes, philosophies. 1647 01:15:02,400 --> 01:15:06,040 Speaker 2: We want to run the ball, absolutely no secondary her 1648 01:15:06,120 --> 01:15:08,680 Speaker 2: tea damn right for an upset on the island in 1649 01:15:08,680 --> 01:15:10,880 Speaker 2: week one, after Hawaii's already had a warm up game 1650 01:15:10,920 --> 01:15:13,320 Speaker 2: with these weapons on the outside. Count me in on 1651 01:15:13,400 --> 01:15:15,280 Speaker 2: over four and a half minus one sixty five on 1652 01:15:15,320 --> 01:15:18,360 Speaker 2: the season, and as I've already put on the Action 1653 01:15:18,400 --> 01:15:21,559 Speaker 2: app Hawaii, he plus thirteen and a half against UCLA 1654 01:15:21,680 --> 01:15:23,679 Speaker 2: and grab some of that plus four to fifty money 1655 01:15:23,680 --> 01:15:26,920 Speaker 2: line out there, all right, yeah, please. 1656 01:15:26,680 --> 01:15:28,760 Speaker 1: Let's make it a clean sweep here, IML. Let's get 1657 01:15:28,800 --> 01:15:31,719 Speaker 1: all in lockstep with Timmy Chang and Rainbow. 1658 01:15:32,640 --> 01:15:35,600 Speaker 4: I said Wyoming was my favorite over win total. This 1659 01:15:35,680 --> 01:15:38,519 Speaker 4: is the second by a long shot. I am all 1660 01:15:38,640 --> 01:15:41,840 Speaker 4: aboard the Bows train. We're riding the Rainbow this year. 1661 01:15:42,920 --> 01:15:45,360 Speaker 4: For those who remember when we did our Mountain West 1662 01:15:45,360 --> 01:15:49,559 Speaker 4: preview podcast last year, I'm officially giving Brandon Scheger my 1663 01:15:49,880 --> 01:15:53,519 Speaker 4: Chevron Cordero Most Improved Player of the Year Award. He 1664 01:15:53,640 --> 01:15:55,640 Speaker 4: was terrible when he started, as you said, Colin, and 1665 01:15:56,200 --> 01:15:59,120 Speaker 4: he looked really, really improved last year. He actually flirted 1666 01:15:59,120 --> 01:16:01,200 Speaker 4: with the transfer portal. They got him to come out 1667 01:16:01,200 --> 01:16:04,040 Speaker 4: and stay, which is huge, and I love what they 1668 01:16:04,040 --> 01:16:07,880 Speaker 4: did where they brought in quarterback guru Dan Morrison as 1669 01:16:07,920 --> 01:16:12,040 Speaker 4: the QB coach to help improve Scheger even more. Dan 1670 01:16:12,120 --> 01:16:15,479 Speaker 4: Morrison was the QB coach at Hawaii when Timmy Chang 1671 01:16:15,560 --> 01:16:19,000 Speaker 4: and Cole Brennan rip were just chucking it all over, 1672 01:16:19,280 --> 01:16:21,040 Speaker 4: so they bring in him to help it really take 1673 01:16:21,040 --> 01:16:22,960 Speaker 4: this run and shoot offense to the next level. You 1674 01:16:23,000 --> 01:16:26,400 Speaker 4: mentioned McBride and Ashlock both back nine touchdowns at piece 1675 01:16:26,479 --> 01:16:29,120 Speaker 4: last year and the issue was defense. But I am 1676 01:16:29,200 --> 01:16:32,439 Speaker 4: really really excited about Dennis Durban coming in as the DC. 1677 01:16:32,560 --> 01:16:35,679 Speaker 4: He's going to completely rework this defense that struggled giving 1678 01:16:35,760 --> 01:16:39,320 Speaker 4: up big plays last season. Thurman was the dba's coach 1679 01:16:39,360 --> 01:16:41,840 Speaker 4: and the defensive coordinator for the Jets under Rex Ryan. 1680 01:16:42,040 --> 01:16:45,360 Speaker 4: He was the dbast coach during that Revus Island era 1681 01:16:45,479 --> 01:16:48,080 Speaker 4: and we saw what that secondary looked like. I think 1682 01:16:48,080 --> 01:16:49,920 Speaker 4: he has a pretty good secondary to work with here. 1683 01:16:49,920 --> 01:16:52,719 Speaker 4: You got Verdell Edwards and Cam Stone coming back at corner, 1684 01:16:53,080 --> 01:16:55,600 Speaker 4: Pete Munamah at safety, who has a chance to be 1685 01:16:55,600 --> 01:16:58,519 Speaker 4: an All Mountain West safety. And they don't play that 1686 01:16:58,600 --> 01:17:01,080 Speaker 4: thirteenth Bonus game this sh year that they usually do. 1687 01:17:02,360 --> 01:17:04,400 Speaker 4: Chang said he kind of wanted to nix that, let 1688 01:17:04,400 --> 01:17:06,599 Speaker 4: the guys kind of save their bodies a little bit, 1689 01:17:06,640 --> 01:17:09,000 Speaker 4: which I like actually, And yeah, they have a good 1690 01:17:09,080 --> 01:17:10,760 Speaker 4: chance to start, you know, three and one in the 1691 01:17:10,800 --> 01:17:13,160 Speaker 4: non con four and oh apparently according to Colin So, 1692 01:17:13,240 --> 01:17:16,439 Speaker 4: I mean, we're gonna hit this over like Halloween, and 1693 01:17:16,800 --> 01:17:19,560 Speaker 4: you know, they do have to play Boise Fresno and 1694 01:17:19,640 --> 01:17:22,280 Speaker 4: UNOV But then they also get Nevada New Mexico, which 1695 01:17:22,320 --> 01:17:24,160 Speaker 4: are the two teams you want to play in this conference, 1696 01:17:24,600 --> 01:17:27,040 Speaker 4: and they should be decent favorites and kind of you know, 1697 01:17:27,160 --> 01:17:29,679 Speaker 4: basically five games plus a pair of coin flips against 1698 01:17:29,680 --> 01:17:32,280 Speaker 4: San Diego State and Utah State, both of whom we 1699 01:17:32,400 --> 01:17:34,960 Speaker 4: both we all just said we're down on. So there's 1700 01:17:35,080 --> 01:17:36,840 Speaker 4: there's your seven right there, and you know they only 1701 01:17:36,840 --> 01:17:38,800 Speaker 4: really need one of those to go over. You mentioned it. 1702 01:17:39,000 --> 01:17:41,320 Speaker 4: Look across the board, you got over four and a 1703 01:17:41,360 --> 01:17:44,080 Speaker 4: half with juice, you got to you know, over five 1704 01:17:44,120 --> 01:17:46,680 Speaker 4: and a half at plus money. I personally found an 1705 01:17:46,760 --> 01:17:49,080 Speaker 4: over five at pretty close to even. I think it 1706 01:17:49,120 --> 01:17:51,160 Speaker 4: was minus one ten. That's where I chose to play 1707 01:17:51,160 --> 01:17:52,920 Speaker 4: it because I'm pretty confident they'll get to five, and 1708 01:17:52,920 --> 01:17:55,200 Speaker 4: I think if they beat San Diego State and Utah State, 1709 01:17:55,200 --> 01:17:57,120 Speaker 4: then they're at six and they're bowling. If you want 1710 01:17:57,160 --> 01:17:58,680 Speaker 4: to do the four and a half with Colin, just 1711 01:17:58,680 --> 01:18:01,559 Speaker 4: to be safer, I'm coming lay five at even money. 1712 01:18:02,800 --> 01:18:04,920 Speaker 1: All right, we go from positivity to a team that 1713 01:18:04,960 --> 01:18:07,880 Speaker 1: you teased Dianello that you're not so positive on Wazoo. 1714 01:18:07,960 --> 01:18:10,439 Speaker 1: We bring back in a pack two member Jake Dickard 1715 01:18:10,479 --> 01:18:13,120 Speaker 1: headed to year four five and seven, two and seven 1716 01:18:13,240 --> 01:18:16,679 Speaker 1: in conference in the Pac twelve Swan Song win totals 1717 01:18:16,720 --> 01:18:19,160 Speaker 1: at seven and a half forty to one. To make 1718 01:18:19,160 --> 01:18:22,479 Speaker 1: the College Football Playoff, we'll start with net Tarp minus 1719 01:18:22,520 --> 01:18:25,799 Speaker 1: four point five, new quarterback in and John Matteer replacing 1720 01:18:25,840 --> 01:18:28,679 Speaker 1: cam Ward. Offensive Line was fine last year in pass 1721 01:18:28,720 --> 01:18:31,559 Speaker 1: protection seventy fourth according to Pro Football Focus. They returned 1722 01:18:31,560 --> 01:18:34,200 Speaker 1: four starters there. Receiving corp gets a nice boost out 1723 01:18:34,240 --> 01:18:36,080 Speaker 1: of the portal, but they did lose Josh Kelly and 1724 01:18:36,160 --> 01:18:40,320 Speaker 1: Lincoln Lincoln Victor. Defense wasn't great last year and returns 1725 01:18:40,400 --> 01:18:42,400 Speaker 1: just three starters. I think that's the headline here. Pass 1726 01:18:42,479 --> 01:18:44,439 Speaker 1: rush could be a problem again. They only got to 1727 01:18:44,479 --> 01:18:47,040 Speaker 1: the quarterback twenty four times all of last year, and 1728 01:18:47,080 --> 01:18:50,040 Speaker 1: they lose thirteen and a half of those sacks to graduation. 1729 01:18:50,560 --> 01:18:53,320 Speaker 1: Like Oregon State. Big emotional question here, how do they 1730 01:18:53,320 --> 01:18:56,160 Speaker 1: handle being left for dead because there's no time whatsoever 1731 01:18:56,200 --> 01:18:59,439 Speaker 1: to feel sorry for themselves. Texas Tech, Washington and back 1732 01:18:59,479 --> 01:19:03,160 Speaker 1: to back road at Boise and Fresno all before mid October. 1733 01:19:03,360 --> 01:19:06,080 Speaker 1: That's a lot of quality teams, some hungry teams like 1734 01:19:06,120 --> 01:19:07,960 Speaker 1: Texas Tech that are not going to feel bad for 1735 01:19:08,080 --> 01:19:10,960 Speaker 1: Washington State back half is far more forgiving, with home 1736 01:19:11,000 --> 01:19:13,840 Speaker 1: games against way, Utah State and Wyoming and trips to 1737 01:19:13,840 --> 01:19:16,920 Speaker 1: San Diego State, New Mexico and Oregon State. I still 1738 01:19:16,960 --> 01:19:18,479 Speaker 1: think seven and a half is too rich, but I 1739 01:19:18,520 --> 01:19:20,559 Speaker 1: don't want to step on your lines here. I lo, 1740 01:19:20,640 --> 01:19:21,120 Speaker 1: what do you think? 1741 01:19:21,880 --> 01:19:23,559 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'd left like the under here, and I think 1742 01:19:23,560 --> 01:19:25,479 Speaker 4: it's kind of everything you just said about. I have 1743 01:19:25,760 --> 01:19:28,840 Speaker 4: major major questions about this defense. This is team that 1744 01:19:28,920 --> 01:19:30,920 Speaker 4: every time I watched them last year they were getting 1745 01:19:30,920 --> 01:19:33,240 Speaker 4: absolutely torched through the air, and now they lose their 1746 01:19:33,360 --> 01:19:36,040 Speaker 4: entire secondary My arege gonna be their backups? Probably worse 1747 01:19:36,160 --> 01:19:38,559 Speaker 4: they lose km Ward who kind of was he? Kind 1748 01:19:38,560 --> 01:19:40,599 Speaker 4: of did it all? At times? Their schedule is brutal, 1749 01:19:40,640 --> 01:19:43,040 Speaker 4: and you have to wonder what their mental state is. 1750 01:19:43,360 --> 01:19:45,559 Speaker 4: At what point do they get the hey, we didn't sign. 1751 01:19:45,439 --> 01:19:45,800 Speaker 2: Up for this. 1752 01:19:46,000 --> 01:19:48,760 Speaker 4: I mean, if they're starting one in five, this team 1753 01:19:48,800 --> 01:19:50,800 Speaker 4: has quit written all over it. And even if they 1754 01:19:50,800 --> 01:19:52,880 Speaker 4: don't quit, I just don't think the defense is gonna 1755 01:19:52,880 --> 01:19:55,200 Speaker 4: be good at all. So I like under seven and half. 1756 01:19:55,280 --> 01:19:57,280 Speaker 4: I actually think Oregon's and they also by the way 1757 01:19:57,360 --> 01:19:59,760 Speaker 4: they play at corbalis So, when you're kind of looking 1758 01:19:59,760 --> 01:20:02,000 Speaker 4: at this seven and a half with Oregon State seven 1759 01:20:02,000 --> 01:20:04,479 Speaker 4: and a half with Washington State, Washington State has to 1760 01:20:04,479 --> 01:20:07,000 Speaker 4: go to corballis So I like the chances of Oregon 1761 01:20:07,000 --> 01:20:09,519 Speaker 4: State winning the Pac twelve championship this year. I don't 1762 01:20:09,520 --> 01:20:11,200 Speaker 4: know if that future bets being offered, but I would 1763 01:20:11,240 --> 01:20:12,679 Speaker 4: take Oregon State to win the Pac twelve. 1764 01:20:13,640 --> 01:20:16,280 Speaker 1: Even with Big Cats spamming the Shark wheel play. He 1765 01:20:16,320 --> 01:20:19,280 Speaker 1: couldn't get Wazuo scoring enough points to win games in 1766 01:20:19,320 --> 01:20:22,920 Speaker 1: college football twenty five. So if he can't get it done, 1767 01:20:23,320 --> 01:20:25,360 Speaker 1: is there any chance on the field in real life 1768 01:20:25,360 --> 01:20:27,800 Speaker 1: here in twenty twenty four that this offense can be 1769 01:20:27,800 --> 01:20:29,600 Speaker 1: good enough to make up for a defense. That's some 1770 01:20:29,640 --> 01:20:30,880 Speaker 1: real serious questions. Colin. 1771 01:20:31,439 --> 01:20:34,360 Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean you're looking at the quarterback battle. John Mattier. 1772 01:20:34,720 --> 01:20:37,240 Speaker 2: He's been there for two years, he's got nothing right, 1773 01:20:37,439 --> 01:20:40,240 Speaker 2: and then FCS they went from Brian, they got zeb Khouse. 1774 01:20:40,680 --> 01:20:43,280 Speaker 2: There's some good things happening there in Eckhouse's numbers, there's 1775 01:20:43,439 --> 01:20:45,720 Speaker 2: cam Ward like without the turnovers. We'll see if that 1776 01:20:45,760 --> 01:20:47,879 Speaker 2: happens here. But I have a real problem with this offense, 1777 01:20:48,080 --> 01:20:50,120 Speaker 2: which is the right side of the offensive line Christian 1778 01:20:50,160 --> 01:20:54,240 Speaker 2: Hillborn but Ali Ali Follimo, Yes bloodline. They both allowed 1779 01:20:54,320 --> 01:20:57,320 Speaker 2: thirty six quarterback puries. The whole right side of the 1780 01:20:57,360 --> 01:21:01,559 Speaker 2: offensive line could not protect the wind from getting through 1781 01:21:01,640 --> 01:21:04,559 Speaker 2: and getting to the quarterback. Three three five defense for 1782 01:21:04,560 --> 01:21:06,920 Speaker 2: schmeddling on the other side of the ball, they're terrible 1783 01:21:06,920 --> 01:21:08,960 Speaker 2: one hundred and fourteenth and tackling one hundred and twelfth 1784 01:21:09,000 --> 01:21:11,880 Speaker 2: in havoc outside the top one hundred defensive finishing drives. 1785 01:21:11,920 --> 01:21:14,000 Speaker 2: You know, if you can't do your finishing drives, I'm 1786 01:21:14,040 --> 01:21:15,919 Speaker 2: not gonna have any part of you. And the defensive 1787 01:21:15,920 --> 01:21:19,640 Speaker 2: interior David Gusta, he returned sixteen pressures, was grated as 1788 01:21:19,680 --> 01:21:22,520 Speaker 2: one of the poorest hass rushers in all of PFF 1789 01:21:22,640 --> 01:21:24,960 Speaker 2: with certain number of snaps. So you have the Apple 1790 01:21:24,960 --> 01:21:26,720 Speaker 2: Cup to play four, you have Boise State to play for. 1791 01:21:26,840 --> 01:21:28,760 Speaker 2: I project seven point one. I like under seven and 1792 01:21:28,800 --> 01:21:30,040 Speaker 2: a half here, I'm not sure they can even get 1793 01:21:30,080 --> 01:21:30,759 Speaker 2: to seven wins. 1794 01:21:32,320 --> 01:21:34,679 Speaker 1: The San Jose State Spartans win total send at four 1795 01:21:34,680 --> 01:21:37,559 Speaker 1: and a half to win the conference championship sixty five 1796 01:21:37,600 --> 01:21:39,519 Speaker 1: to one, three hundred to one to make the twelve 1797 01:21:39,520 --> 01:21:42,680 Speaker 1: team College Football Playoff. I told y'all they were going 1798 01:21:42,720 --> 01:21:44,479 Speaker 1: to win out in the regular season. Last year. I 1799 01:21:44,479 --> 01:21:45,920 Speaker 1: want to go ahead and too my horn on that one. 1800 01:21:45,920 --> 01:21:47,880 Speaker 1: They started one to five with the brutal schedule. They 1801 01:21:47,960 --> 01:21:51,559 Speaker 1: win sixth straight. Chevin Cordero has finally gone, as well 1802 01:21:51,600 --> 01:21:54,200 Speaker 1: as head coach Brett Brennan, after seven seasons in the 1803 01:21:54,200 --> 01:21:56,559 Speaker 1: Bay Area. He finished in the top twenty five during 1804 01:21:56,560 --> 01:21:59,080 Speaker 1: that COVID year, took the Spartans to three Bowls. He's 1805 01:21:59,080 --> 01:22:02,600 Speaker 1: off to Arizona. Ken Niu Matalolo is in and I 1806 01:22:02,600 --> 01:22:04,679 Speaker 1: have a lot of thoughts on him. First great hire 1807 01:22:04,680 --> 01:22:06,519 Speaker 1: for a program like this. He won one hundred and 1808 01:22:06,560 --> 01:22:08,680 Speaker 1: nine games of the Naval Academy, took the Midshipman too 1809 01:22:08,680 --> 01:22:12,160 Speaker 1: eleven Bowl games. He had two top twenty finishes. What 1810 01:22:12,320 --> 01:22:15,160 Speaker 1: isn't coming with him is the option attack. He hired 1811 01:22:15,160 --> 01:22:18,280 Speaker 1: Craig Stutsman to be a OC. Recent experience for stuts 1812 01:22:18,280 --> 01:22:20,560 Speaker 1: includes times at Texas State, where he served as the 1813 01:22:20,560 --> 01:22:23,320 Speaker 1: wide receivers coach in twenty twenty three, stops at Utah 1814 01:22:23,320 --> 01:22:26,640 Speaker 1: Tech as OC, as well as co offenseive coordinator at Wazoo. 1815 01:22:26,800 --> 01:22:29,800 Speaker 1: According to Joe DeSalvo of the CFF site, as a 1816 01:22:29,880 --> 01:22:32,400 Speaker 1: play caller. In those three seasons, the offense is through 1817 01:22:32,400 --> 01:22:34,519 Speaker 1: the ball on average fifty seven percent of the time, 1818 01:22:34,680 --> 01:22:37,559 Speaker 1: so a big departure from the option attack. He has 1819 01:22:37,640 --> 01:22:40,360 Speaker 1: Nick Nash. He has Justin Lockhart, two tall wide receivers 1820 01:22:40,360 --> 01:22:43,040 Speaker 1: to work with, very productive in their career. Here's where 1821 01:22:43,040 --> 01:22:47,160 Speaker 1: their questions really start. Who starts a quarterback? Shrug Emoji 1822 01:22:47,240 --> 01:22:51,400 Speaker 1: Walker eget or Washington State transfer Emmitt Brown. Jay Butterfield 1823 01:22:51,520 --> 01:22:52,880 Speaker 1: is a big name, but he's not even on the 1824 01:22:52,880 --> 01:22:55,640 Speaker 1: Midsummer roster. And I called the provos office at San 1825 01:22:55,680 --> 01:22:57,439 Speaker 1: Jose State didn't return my call, so I don't know 1826 01:22:57,479 --> 01:22:59,720 Speaker 1: what to tell you if he's on campus or not. 1827 01:23:00,120 --> 01:23:02,519 Speaker 1: Either way, the starting quarterback is going to have have 1828 01:23:02,600 --> 01:23:04,280 Speaker 1: to have his head on a swivel this year because 1829 01:23:04,280 --> 01:23:06,800 Speaker 1: they returned just one starter on the line. Defense was 1830 01:23:06,880 --> 01:23:09,519 Speaker 1: awesome against the pass last year sixteenth and passing D 1831 01:23:09,800 --> 01:23:12,320 Speaker 1: twenty ninth and coverage grade, but they returned only one 1832 01:23:12,360 --> 01:23:15,280 Speaker 1: starter in junior Michael Dansby. What they do have, though, 1833 01:23:15,320 --> 01:23:18,519 Speaker 1: is Derek Odom. He's been a sporty defensive coordinator for 1834 01:23:18,600 --> 01:23:22,519 Speaker 1: nearly a decade with Sacramento State, Kennesaw and Nevada. Early 1835 01:23:22,760 --> 01:23:24,840 Speaker 1: I think he'll coach up these new faces and field 1836 01:23:24,880 --> 01:23:28,280 Speaker 1: another let's call it top seventy defense at air Force 1837 01:23:28,439 --> 01:23:32,000 Speaker 1: at Wazoo, at Oregon State, Boise at home, UNLV at home, 1838 01:23:32,360 --> 01:23:34,519 Speaker 1: oh And a home game at the very end against 1839 01:23:34,520 --> 01:23:37,720 Speaker 1: Stanford to end the year. Rough schedule to get over 1840 01:23:37,760 --> 01:23:39,360 Speaker 1: four and a half in my opinion, with so many 1841 01:23:39,439 --> 01:23:43,560 Speaker 1: questions at quarterback, even Sacramento State is a perennial FCS 1842 01:23:43,800 --> 01:23:47,040 Speaker 1: playoff team. So while I like the coach and I 1843 01:23:47,120 --> 01:23:49,360 Speaker 1: like the defensive coordinator a whole lot, I like what 1844 01:23:49,400 --> 01:23:51,120 Speaker 1: they built in this program. I think they did a 1845 01:23:51,120 --> 01:23:54,360 Speaker 1: great job stabilizing with this hire. This is a team 1846 01:23:54,400 --> 01:23:57,360 Speaker 1: I'm interested in twenty twenty five, not this season. Pure 1847 01:23:57,400 --> 01:23:58,880 Speaker 1: pass for me, what are your thoughts calling? 1848 01:24:00,040 --> 01:24:01,960 Speaker 2: Actually have the projection on the wind total over the 1849 01:24:01,960 --> 01:24:03,519 Speaker 2: four and a half that's in the market. But I'm 1850 01:24:03,560 --> 01:24:06,400 Speaker 2: just having a really hard time putting any money down 1851 01:24:06,439 --> 01:24:08,439 Speaker 2: on this. A couple of things that you know, kind 1852 01:24:08,479 --> 01:24:12,240 Speaker 2: of bug me after my time with ken Nea Mantalolo 1853 01:24:13,160 --> 01:24:17,120 Speaker 2: in Vegas at Mountain West Media Days. They're not gonna 1854 01:24:17,160 --> 01:24:19,960 Speaker 2: run the triple, They're gonna run this spread and shred 1855 01:24:20,040 --> 01:24:22,639 Speaker 2: from Craig Stutsman after he spent time with Nick Rolovich 1856 01:24:22,760 --> 01:24:25,880 Speaker 2: nick Rolovich's staff at Hawaii then at Washington State. The 1857 01:24:25,920 --> 01:24:28,599 Speaker 2: spread and shred, the run and shoot version that they 1858 01:24:28,600 --> 01:24:31,440 Speaker 2: were running. You're gonna expect a lot of ten personnel 1859 01:24:32,080 --> 01:24:34,880 Speaker 2: more than the standard eleven. High rate of passing coming 1860 01:24:34,920 --> 01:24:37,040 Speaker 2: in inside zone is going to be the backbone of 1861 01:24:37,080 --> 01:24:40,599 Speaker 2: the rush activities. But look at this collection of quarterbacks 1862 01:24:40,680 --> 01:24:42,439 Speaker 2: you mentioned them off. I don't know who's getting nicknashed 1863 01:24:42,479 --> 01:24:45,960 Speaker 2: the ball. Derek Odom sticks around. He was on Brendan's staff. 1864 01:24:45,960 --> 01:24:48,320 Speaker 2: He stays behind, so you can expect what you saw 1865 01:24:48,400 --> 01:24:51,760 Speaker 2: last year to come over several different personnels works. He's 1866 01:24:51,840 --> 01:24:54,080 Speaker 2: very multiple. He runs quarters and cover three to prevent 1867 01:24:54,120 --> 01:24:57,519 Speaker 2: explosive plays. Linebacker Jordan Poler would have the most experienced 1868 01:24:57,520 --> 01:25:00,280 Speaker 2: here in his third season, but his grades were not 1869 01:25:00,479 --> 01:25:02,559 Speaker 2: I mean against the rush, they were horrific. He's great 1870 01:25:02,600 --> 01:25:05,599 Speaker 2: in coverage, he was terrible at defending the run. There's 1871 01:25:05,640 --> 01:25:08,320 Speaker 2: zero scheduling breaks. I mean, look at the end Wyoming, Fresno, 1872 01:25:08,479 --> 01:25:12,879 Speaker 2: Boise UNLV. It's gross. There's two separate trips to elevation 1873 01:25:13,080 --> 01:25:15,320 Speaker 2: with air force on the schedule. That's not good for 1874 01:25:15,360 --> 01:25:19,120 Speaker 2: San Jose State, who is right at sea level short 1875 01:25:19,200 --> 01:25:21,599 Speaker 2: underdog and four games on the schedule with three favorite 1876 01:25:21,640 --> 01:25:25,599 Speaker 2: spots Sack State, Kennesaw, and Nevada. It's those three games. 1877 01:25:25,640 --> 01:25:27,760 Speaker 2: If they can get Sacramento State, Kennesaw, and Nevada, and 1878 01:25:27,760 --> 01:25:29,240 Speaker 2: they got a good shot of going over four and 1879 01:25:29,240 --> 01:25:32,320 Speaker 2: a half. But I can't touch it. I can't touch it, 1880 01:25:32,360 --> 01:25:34,400 Speaker 2: not with what's going on on this offensive side, not 1881 01:25:34,520 --> 01:25:37,559 Speaker 2: with the quarterback situation that's going on. It could be 1882 01:25:37,560 --> 01:25:39,679 Speaker 2: a complete disaster and it could be a six win season. 1883 01:25:39,760 --> 01:25:42,000 Speaker 2: You just don't know when you have six people battling 1884 01:25:42,320 --> 01:25:45,040 Speaker 2: for a quarterback position in a brand new offense that 1885 01:25:45,120 --> 01:25:47,559 Speaker 2: this program has never seen, with a head coach that's 1886 01:25:47,600 --> 01:25:49,720 Speaker 2: never seen it. So forget it. I'm out. I'm not 1887 01:25:49,760 --> 01:25:50,479 Speaker 2: touching these guys. 1888 01:25:51,800 --> 01:25:53,559 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's a pass for me as well. I think 1889 01:25:53,680 --> 01:25:57,559 Speaker 4: you know you mentioned there's an obviously Cordero and this 1890 01:25:57,640 --> 01:26:00,360 Speaker 4: defense really turned to corner last Season's kind of what 1891 01:26:00,400 --> 01:26:02,720 Speaker 4: propelled them to that sixteen winning streak was how good 1892 01:26:02,720 --> 01:26:04,680 Speaker 4: the defense was down the stretch. Now they bring back 1893 01:26:04,760 --> 01:26:06,559 Speaker 4: just three starters, so I think that's going to take 1894 01:26:06,560 --> 01:26:09,559 Speaker 4: a step back, and this is just a program that 1895 01:26:09,720 --> 01:26:12,839 Speaker 4: is extremely difficult to win at. I think Brent Brennan 1896 01:26:12,920 --> 01:26:14,519 Speaker 4: kind of made us forget how hard it is to 1897 01:26:14,560 --> 01:26:18,280 Speaker 4: win at San Jose State. Since nineteen ninety two, they 1898 01:26:18,360 --> 01:26:22,800 Speaker 4: have only six winning seasons, and three of them came 1899 01:26:22,840 --> 01:26:26,000 Speaker 4: in the last four years under Brennan. So you mentioned 1900 01:26:26,000 --> 01:26:29,360 Speaker 4: the schedule too. They're probably only favored in three games, 1901 01:26:29,360 --> 01:26:31,680 Speaker 4: so they have to not get upset, and then they 1902 01:26:31,760 --> 01:26:34,080 Speaker 4: likely need to go two and one against air Force, 1903 01:26:34,160 --> 01:26:37,680 Speaker 4: Colorado State, and Wyoming. Obviously we're high in coliad State 1904 01:26:37,680 --> 01:26:39,840 Speaker 4: in Wyoming, so that's already tough. So yeah, I think 1905 01:26:39,880 --> 01:26:41,360 Speaker 4: I want to go over. I haven't bet it yet, 1906 01:26:41,400 --> 01:26:43,360 Speaker 4: but I would. I would definitely lean under. 1907 01:26:43,520 --> 01:26:46,160 Speaker 2: Brent Brennan started three and twenty two at San Jose State. 1908 01:26:46,200 --> 01:26:48,240 Speaker 2: You can't flip this overnight. This is just program. You 1909 01:26:48,280 --> 01:26:48,760 Speaker 2: can't do it. 1910 01:26:50,479 --> 01:26:52,920 Speaker 1: Another new head coach here in the Conference, New Mexico, 1911 01:26:53,080 --> 01:26:55,920 Speaker 1: hiring Bronco Mendenhall to lead the Lobos. Their win total 1912 01:26:55,920 --> 01:26:57,240 Speaker 1: set at one and a half or two and a 1913 01:26:57,240 --> 01:26:59,080 Speaker 1: half out in the market. They went four to eight 1914 01:26:59,160 --> 01:27:01,280 Speaker 1: last year at four and eight for a team that 1915 01:27:01,360 --> 01:27:04,519 Speaker 1: I think had the floor of potentially being one of 1916 01:27:04,560 --> 01:27:06,840 Speaker 1: the worst, you know, twenty teams in America, but they 1917 01:27:06,840 --> 01:27:09,160 Speaker 1: finished two and six in the conference, two hundred and 1918 01:27:09,200 --> 01:27:11,840 Speaker 1: fifty to one to win the conference. This year five 1919 01:27:11,920 --> 01:27:13,519 Speaker 1: hundred to one in may As will be five million 1920 01:27:13,560 --> 01:27:16,400 Speaker 1: to make the college will playoff. But the headlines Bronco 1921 01:27:16,560 --> 01:27:19,320 Speaker 1: comes in. Won ninety nine games at BYU, winning ten 1922 01:27:19,439 --> 01:27:22,679 Speaker 1: or more games five times, took Uba to the Orange 1923 01:27:22,680 --> 01:27:25,920 Speaker 1: Bowl in the middle of a rebuild. You goddamn right, 1924 01:27:26,640 --> 01:27:28,760 Speaker 1: and the Lobos, I mean they haven't finished. We just 1925 01:27:28,760 --> 01:27:31,120 Speaker 1: talked about San Jase State. They haven't finished a season 1926 01:27:31,200 --> 01:27:33,880 Speaker 1: ranked in the poll since Barry Goldwater was running against 1927 01:27:33,960 --> 01:27:37,160 Speaker 1: Linda Johnson for president. So Bob Davey and Rocky Long 1928 01:27:37,240 --> 01:27:38,960 Speaker 1: hat tip. They both found a way to win nine 1929 01:27:38,960 --> 01:27:42,840 Speaker 1: games in Albuquerque's That's the eventual goal here for Bronco. 1930 01:27:43,120 --> 01:27:45,200 Speaker 1: Win eight or nine games, moved back up to a 1931 01:27:45,200 --> 01:27:48,160 Speaker 1: bigger job. Danny Gonzalez wasn't so lucky, but he didn't 1932 01:27:48,200 --> 01:27:51,280 Speaker 1: leave the cupboard completely bare. Devin dan Pierre returns in 1933 01:27:51,360 --> 01:27:53,960 Speaker 1: limited work as a true freshman. He completed sixty three 1934 01:27:53,960 --> 01:27:57,160 Speaker 1: percent of his passes, six t ds, zero picks. He 1935 01:27:57,200 --> 01:27:59,240 Speaker 1: also is a plus runner. He averaged five point six 1936 01:27:59,320 --> 01:28:02,160 Speaker 1: yards per carry with four more scores and Bronco as 1937 01:28:02,200 --> 01:28:04,800 Speaker 1: we know those wonders with dual threat quarterbacks, Taysom Hill, 1938 01:28:04,960 --> 01:28:07,880 Speaker 1: Bryce Perkins, Brendan Armstrong, the list goes on and on. 1939 01:28:08,120 --> 01:28:10,800 Speaker 1: As a play caller, he has no problem keeping the 1940 01:28:10,800 --> 01:28:13,960 Speaker 1: ball with the quarterback. His quarterback's average over twenty seven 1941 01:28:14,000 --> 01:28:16,920 Speaker 1: percent rushing volume in which is the fifth highest in 1942 01:28:16,960 --> 01:28:19,599 Speaker 1: the G five. So I think there's an opportunity from 1943 01:28:19,680 --> 01:28:23,040 Speaker 1: a fantasy perspective, from a player prop perspective, just know 1944 01:28:23,160 --> 01:28:25,160 Speaker 1: that when you bet on New Mexico, it's going to 1945 01:28:25,160 --> 01:28:27,040 Speaker 1: be in Dan Pier's hands a lot. There's going to 1946 01:28:27,080 --> 01:28:30,600 Speaker 1: be a lot of keepers. Here's the problem. Jacorey Crosskey 1947 01:28:30,880 --> 01:28:34,240 Speaker 1: Merritt and his seventeen tds, they're gone transferre to Arizona 1948 01:28:34,439 --> 01:28:37,000 Speaker 1: and they return zero starters along the offensive line. So 1949 01:28:37,439 --> 01:28:39,559 Speaker 1: when you want to run and your prized you know 1950 01:28:40,160 --> 01:28:42,880 Speaker 1: skill position player is your quarterback. Keeping him healthy for 1951 01:28:42,920 --> 01:28:45,400 Speaker 1: the whole year is going to be an issue. Likewise, 1952 01:28:45,439 --> 01:28:48,439 Speaker 1: the back seven is breaking in six new faces. So 1953 01:28:48,840 --> 01:28:52,360 Speaker 1: no line continuity, no secondary continuity. Oh in the schedule 1954 01:28:52,640 --> 01:28:55,600 Speaker 1: at Arizona, at Auburn, Fresno at home, all in September, 1955 01:28:55,880 --> 01:28:59,479 Speaker 1: winnable games Montana State, but they're one of the handful 1956 01:28:59,520 --> 01:29:02,080 Speaker 1: teams that win the FCS National Championship, so that's not 1957 01:29:02,120 --> 01:29:05,400 Speaker 1: an auto win. At New Mexico State, at Utah State, 1958 01:29:05,439 --> 01:29:08,439 Speaker 1: at Hawaii are the next best bets to potentially get 1959 01:29:08,479 --> 01:29:11,720 Speaker 1: some dubs. But year one in Charlottesville, when you look back, 1960 01:29:11,760 --> 01:29:13,840 Speaker 1: Bronco went to and ten. I think it's gonna be 1961 01:29:13,840 --> 01:29:16,040 Speaker 1: a similar, you know, called a one and eleven season. 1962 01:29:16,560 --> 01:29:18,400 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna bet under one and a half. I'm 1963 01:29:18,400 --> 01:29:20,840 Speaker 1: not gonna do it to myself in torture myself. But 1964 01:29:21,360 --> 01:29:24,080 Speaker 1: you know, two and a half, maybe maybe I'll lay 1965 01:29:24,120 --> 01:29:26,840 Speaker 1: the juice. But honestly, there's just, you know, better ways 1966 01:29:26,880 --> 01:29:30,040 Speaker 1: to spend your saturdays throughout the fall than rooting against Bronco, 1967 01:29:30,080 --> 01:29:32,200 Speaker 1: Mendenhall and the Lobo. So I'll leave it at that, 1968 01:29:33,000 --> 01:29:33,920 Speaker 1: goddamn right. 1969 01:29:34,640 --> 01:29:37,439 Speaker 4: I think this team has like quiet upside. I think 1970 01:29:37,479 --> 01:29:40,799 Speaker 4: if Dan Beer hits, he could be sick. I watched 1971 01:29:40,840 --> 01:29:43,040 Speaker 4: him a lot last year. He is very fun to watch. 1972 01:29:43,120 --> 01:29:45,880 Speaker 4: He is good with his legs, He's got an electric arm. 1973 01:29:46,000 --> 01:29:48,720 Speaker 4: They they bring back leading receiver Caleb Medford. They bring 1974 01:29:48,720 --> 01:29:52,360 Speaker 4: in two power five receivers from Illinois Syracuse. I'm definitely 1975 01:29:52,560 --> 01:29:54,640 Speaker 4: learned about the offensive line I don't know how they 1976 01:29:54,680 --> 01:29:57,800 Speaker 4: replaced Crosskey Merit in the backfield. Defense is also a 1977 01:29:57,880 --> 01:30:00,559 Speaker 4: complete rebuild. You know, davy On Combs is their best 1978 01:30:00,560 --> 01:30:02,840 Speaker 4: returner and he's been recovering from an injury all season. 1979 01:30:02,880 --> 01:30:05,479 Speaker 4: So I don't like that team was terrible up front 1980 01:30:05,520 --> 01:30:07,840 Speaker 4: last year, can't rush the pass, can't stop the run. 1981 01:30:08,320 --> 01:30:11,280 Speaker 4: But they're definitely a team I'm gonna look to bet 1982 01:30:11,320 --> 01:30:14,479 Speaker 4: On as double digit underdogs and just trust that Bronco 1983 01:30:14,520 --> 01:30:16,559 Speaker 4: will keep him in the game and that Damn Pierre 1984 01:30:16,560 --> 01:30:18,360 Speaker 4: will make it play late to get in the back door. 1985 01:30:18,760 --> 01:30:22,240 Speaker 2: I do like New Mexico. There's an over two minus 1986 01:30:22,240 --> 01:30:25,320 Speaker 2: one twenty out there, and there are things about the 1987 01:30:25,360 --> 01:30:27,680 Speaker 2: Mendenhall higher that I like. First of all, Jason Beck 1988 01:30:27,720 --> 01:30:30,160 Speaker 2: and Nick hal his offensive and defensive coordinator. They've been 1989 01:30:30,200 --> 01:30:32,559 Speaker 2: with him forever. They know exactly the kind of system 1990 01:30:32,600 --> 01:30:35,280 Speaker 2: that they want to put in. They are great recruiters 1991 01:30:35,280 --> 01:30:38,479 Speaker 2: along with Bronco in this territory. He dominated the state 1992 01:30:38,479 --> 01:30:42,120 Speaker 2: of Utah, he dominated Nevada, this is his area. He 1993 01:30:42,200 --> 01:30:45,320 Speaker 2: started here as a defensive coordinator for Rocky Long in 1994 01:30:45,400 --> 01:30:47,200 Speaker 2: New Mexico. So there's a lot of ties in the 1995 01:30:47,240 --> 01:30:48,960 Speaker 2: Lobos program. I think it's a great hiring and they're 1996 01:30:48,960 --> 01:30:50,960 Speaker 2: gonna get it turned around. The question is can they 1997 01:30:50,960 --> 01:30:54,200 Speaker 2: get two wins off of this schedule. You mentioned the 1998 01:30:54,240 --> 01:30:57,479 Speaker 2: offensive line had a roster wipe. I mean their portal 1999 01:30:57,520 --> 01:31:00,559 Speaker 2: names that they've got are from Grambling, Texas A and Commerce, 2000 01:31:01,120 --> 01:31:04,120 Speaker 2: East Carolina and FAU. It's not really an all star cast, 2001 01:31:04,160 --> 01:31:05,800 Speaker 2: so it's gonna have to be all in damp here 2002 01:31:06,840 --> 01:31:08,400 Speaker 2: and and his legs. He had three hundred and twenty 2003 01:31:08,439 --> 01:31:10,760 Speaker 2: rushing yards last year. Now, I think when you look 2004 01:31:10,760 --> 01:31:13,080 Speaker 2: at the defensive side, they do run a three three five, 2005 01:31:13,200 --> 01:31:15,080 Speaker 2: and that means you have to have a very good 2006 01:31:15,160 --> 01:31:18,160 Speaker 2: nickel They do. They have tav and Combs. He allowed 2007 01:31:18,200 --> 01:31:20,800 Speaker 2: just six tds and seventy six career targets that have 2008 01:31:20,840 --> 01:31:24,040 Speaker 2: been against him. His highest grades come as a pass rusher. 2009 01:31:24,120 --> 01:31:26,080 Speaker 2: He is absolutely the kind of player that you need 2010 01:31:26,120 --> 01:31:27,880 Speaker 2: when you're starting up a brand new defensive scheme and 2011 01:31:27,920 --> 01:31:29,840 Speaker 2: you got to have a nickelback, which would be the 2012 01:31:29,880 --> 01:31:33,240 Speaker 2: most important player that can float around, you know. And 2013 01:31:33,280 --> 01:31:35,200 Speaker 2: then there's Dmitri Johnson. That's a name you're gonna hear 2014 01:31:35,200 --> 01:31:38,120 Speaker 2: on Saturday, every Saturday. He's a Linebacker's got the best 2015 01:31:38,200 --> 01:31:40,559 Speaker 2: chance to create some havoc here. I think you guys 2016 01:31:40,640 --> 01:31:43,559 Speaker 2: might forget, like just how bad this conference is, right, 2017 01:31:43,640 --> 01:31:46,479 Speaker 2: I mean there's spots to win. Short Dog New Mexico State, 2018 01:31:46,880 --> 01:31:49,360 Speaker 2: they get a buye before they play Air Force. Utah 2019 01:31:49,439 --> 01:31:52,320 Speaker 2: State could be a complete disarray, and San Diego State 2020 01:31:52,400 --> 01:31:54,680 Speaker 2: is in complete real rebuild mode, just like Bronco is 2021 01:31:54,720 --> 01:31:57,000 Speaker 2: here in New Mexico. So I like the O two, 2022 01:31:57,080 --> 01:31:59,640 Speaker 2: the flat number two at minus one twenty. They can 2023 01:31:59,720 --> 01:32:02,679 Speaker 2: definitely sneak two games there. If it pushes a two, fine, 2024 01:32:02,720 --> 01:32:07,240 Speaker 2: but it's a indicator arrow pointing up on this squad. 2025 01:32:09,520 --> 01:32:14,240 Speaker 1: Sor right, We're gonna close things out with Wolfpack in Renot, 2026 01:32:14,240 --> 01:32:17,839 Speaker 1: Nevada two and ten last year two and six in conference, 2027 01:32:18,120 --> 01:32:21,160 Speaker 1: Jeff Choate has been hired. They went total set at 2028 01:32:21,200 --> 01:32:23,160 Speaker 1: two and a half odds to win the conference one 2029 01:32:23,200 --> 01:32:24,960 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty to one odds to make the culturable 2030 01:32:25,000 --> 01:32:26,280 Speaker 1: playoff five hundred to one. 2031 01:32:26,760 --> 01:32:27,800 Speaker 4: Novada. 2032 01:32:27,880 --> 01:32:33,240 Speaker 1: Are you kidding me, Novada for being honest. Jeff chote 2033 01:32:33,640 --> 01:32:36,120 Speaker 1: my kind of higher huge success as a head coach. 2034 01:32:36,280 --> 01:32:39,000 Speaker 1: I like that head coach in Montana State taking the 2035 01:32:39,000 --> 01:32:41,519 Speaker 1: Bobs to the fcs semis before leaving for the Texas 2036 01:32:41,560 --> 01:32:45,240 Speaker 1: defensive coordinator job, so he has big time power for experience, 2037 01:32:45,479 --> 01:32:46,879 Speaker 1: big time head coaching experience. 2038 01:32:46,920 --> 01:32:47,479 Speaker 2: In terms of. 2039 01:32:47,439 --> 01:32:50,280 Speaker 1: Success, the defense was absolute garbage last year, with the 2040 01:32:50,320 --> 01:32:54,320 Speaker 1: exception of their six to zero win over San Diego State, which, 2041 01:32:54,360 --> 01:32:56,519 Speaker 1: by the way, that game film should be put in 2042 01:32:56,600 --> 01:32:58,679 Speaker 1: a capsule and sent to the bottom of the goddamn otion. 2043 01:32:58,840 --> 01:33:02,799 Speaker 1: Twelve punts, only one turnover. Jayden Maiden achieved a QBR 2044 01:33:02,920 --> 01:33:05,720 Speaker 1: a four point one out of one hundred three miss 2045 01:33:05,760 --> 01:33:08,360 Speaker 1: field goals and zero points in the second half. That's 2046 01:33:08,400 --> 01:33:10,080 Speaker 1: my nominee for worst game of twenty twenty. 2047 01:33:10,320 --> 01:33:11,920 Speaker 4: Colin have you over? Did Colin have you over? 2048 01:33:11,960 --> 01:33:13,960 Speaker 1: In that one? There's just a lot of live bend 2049 01:33:14,000 --> 01:33:17,240 Speaker 1: the overs on that one over four and a half? 2050 01:33:18,720 --> 01:33:21,160 Speaker 2: Oh no, we suck again. 2051 01:33:22,000 --> 01:33:25,240 Speaker 1: If they're transfers in the secondary from Texas West Virginia click, 2052 01:33:25,320 --> 01:33:28,280 Speaker 1: this defense could be all right in the back seven 2053 01:33:28,360 --> 01:33:32,200 Speaker 1: you know, eighties nineties against the pass. Let's call it offensively. 2054 01:33:32,280 --> 01:33:34,360 Speaker 1: I don't like Brandon Lewis, but I do like Sean 2055 01:33:34,439 --> 01:33:37,680 Speaker 1: Dollars for the former Oregon running back now Chubb a 2056 01:33:37,760 --> 01:33:39,840 Speaker 1: party is in the mix to start a quarterback and 2057 01:33:39,880 --> 01:33:43,960 Speaker 1: the line added three power four transfers, like maybe they 2058 01:33:43,960 --> 01:33:46,000 Speaker 1: could be a little bit feisty if they get some 2059 01:33:46,080 --> 01:33:49,400 Speaker 1: continuity and one of the quarterbacks pop outside of Lewis. 2060 01:33:49,439 --> 01:33:54,080 Speaker 1: But let's talk schedule. Georgia Southern at home Eastern Washington 2061 01:33:54,360 --> 01:33:56,479 Speaker 1: down here. For the Eagles, by the way, FCS football, 2062 01:33:56,479 --> 01:33:58,720 Speaker 1: it's important. You might look at them and say, this 2063 01:33:58,760 --> 01:34:01,400 Speaker 1: is a team that's made some deep runs, Cooper Cup, 2064 01:34:01,439 --> 01:34:03,000 Speaker 1: all that kind of stuff. Not this year. For the 2065 01:34:03,000 --> 01:34:05,960 Speaker 1: Eagles at San Jose State. Those are the winnables. So 2066 01:34:06,240 --> 01:34:09,320 Speaker 1: Georgia Southern, Eastern Washington, Santase State. Anything else would be 2067 01:34:09,320 --> 01:34:11,360 Speaker 1: a big upset. I'm going to go under, although I 2068 01:34:11,400 --> 01:34:13,040 Speaker 1: do really like the hire. What do you think calling? 2069 01:34:13,680 --> 01:34:16,360 Speaker 2: I'm taking a conference win total under one and a 2070 01:34:16,439 --> 01:34:20,800 Speaker 2: half minus one thirty ah Sean Dollers is going to 2071 01:34:20,800 --> 01:34:23,559 Speaker 2: get some backup with Pat Garwo from Boston College. Neither 2072 01:34:23,600 --> 01:34:26,200 Speaker 2: of them have a looseness, neither of them have breakaway speed, 2073 01:34:26,360 --> 01:34:28,280 Speaker 2: neither of them can get the three yards after contact, 2074 01:34:28,280 --> 01:34:30,439 Speaker 2: So there's no juice for there whatsoever. What's happening with 2075 01:34:30,479 --> 01:34:32,639 Speaker 2: the wide receivers here? Oh, in the words of John 2076 01:34:32,720 --> 01:34:34,519 Speaker 2: kyla Pari, I talked to the team, there is no 2077 01:34:34,600 --> 01:34:38,200 Speaker 2: team there's no wide receivers coming back at all. Zero catches, 2078 01:34:38,280 --> 01:34:41,200 Speaker 2: all right, tight end cam Zidler got twelve targets last year. 2079 01:34:41,360 --> 01:34:44,920 Speaker 2: That's their highest returning producer from the air attack. Aw, 2080 01:34:46,080 --> 01:34:48,280 Speaker 2: you go to the other side of the ball, and 2081 01:34:48,560 --> 01:34:50,519 Speaker 2: you know I mean this. The defense returns seventy one 2082 01:34:50,560 --> 01:34:52,760 Speaker 2: percent per tarp, seventy five percent of their PBUs and 2083 01:34:52,800 --> 01:34:55,439 Speaker 2: pressures are coming back. They have some players over here 2084 01:34:55,760 --> 01:34:57,599 Speaker 2: and they have thirteen games on their schedule. The fact 2085 01:34:57,600 --> 01:34:58,840 Speaker 2: that their win total is at two and a half 2086 01:34:58,880 --> 01:35:01,639 Speaker 2: and you have thirteen games five non cons to start, 2087 01:35:01,840 --> 01:35:03,920 Speaker 2: it's pretty impressive about how bad this team is going 2088 01:35:04,000 --> 01:35:06,160 Speaker 2: to be. Three games are gonna turmin the win total. 2089 01:35:06,360 --> 01:35:09,320 Speaker 2: Georgia Southern, Colorado State and air Force And so what 2090 01:35:09,400 --> 01:35:11,920 Speaker 2: you have to do is can these opponents defend the 2091 01:35:11,920 --> 01:35:14,400 Speaker 2: Nevada rushing attack, because the Nevada rushing attack is all 2092 01:35:14,479 --> 01:35:17,800 Speaker 2: that they've got. Colorado State has a lower rated defensive line, 2093 01:35:17,800 --> 01:35:20,799 Speaker 2: but Nevada has no answers for the rams pass none. 2094 01:35:21,120 --> 01:35:23,679 Speaker 2: Georgia Southern, per projected to be one of the worst 2095 01:35:23,720 --> 01:35:25,920 Speaker 2: defensive lines in the Sun Belt, could be a win. 2096 01:35:26,600 --> 01:35:28,880 Speaker 2: And air Force loaded on the is loaded on the 2097 01:35:28,920 --> 01:35:32,320 Speaker 2: defensive interior. From a Mountain West perspective, Nevada can't even 2098 01:35:32,400 --> 01:35:37,160 Speaker 2: defend the full back dive. I don't see two wins 2099 01:35:37,240 --> 01:35:40,040 Speaker 2: in the Mountain West on this schedule, so under one 2100 01:35:40,080 --> 01:35:40,360 Speaker 2: and a half. 2101 01:35:40,400 --> 01:35:43,960 Speaker 1: From a conference perspective, I'm of the barrel here imlo 2102 01:35:44,080 --> 01:35:44,759 Speaker 1: for the Maundwest. 2103 01:35:45,880 --> 01:35:49,280 Speaker 4: I'm not fully as down on as you guys. I 2104 01:35:49,280 --> 01:35:51,400 Speaker 4: think they brought in a ton of Power five transfers, 2105 01:35:51,400 --> 01:35:53,720 Speaker 4: so it's just a lot of unknown. It's a lot 2106 01:35:53,720 --> 01:35:57,360 Speaker 4: of you're betting on talent, you think, But I think 2107 01:35:57,400 --> 01:35:59,920 Speaker 4: Cuba Party does take Lewis's job. I'm with you. I 2108 01:36:00,080 --> 01:36:02,679 Speaker 4: don't like Lewis. I think Purdy's a better option there. 2109 01:36:03,280 --> 01:36:05,960 Speaker 4: I don't hate Gara at running back. You know they 2110 01:36:06,000 --> 01:36:08,639 Speaker 4: got Savion Red coming in from Texas is another good 2111 01:36:08,680 --> 01:36:11,599 Speaker 4: back they added. They added a wi receiver from West Virginia, 2112 01:36:11,680 --> 01:36:14,120 Speaker 4: tight end from Florida. I mean, the defense was horrible 2113 01:36:14,160 --> 01:36:15,719 Speaker 4: last year, so I think they're going to be better 2114 01:36:15,760 --> 01:36:18,559 Speaker 4: just based on talent alone. Then defense was crash and 2115 01:36:18,600 --> 01:36:21,280 Speaker 4: it's just a massive rebuild. For me, I'm more down 2116 01:36:21,520 --> 01:36:23,479 Speaker 4: just the schedule, which you guys pointed out. They play 2117 01:36:23,520 --> 01:36:26,280 Speaker 4: thirteen games, but ten of those teams reached a ball 2118 01:36:26,360 --> 01:36:29,280 Speaker 4: last year. They're gonna be favorit one game kind of it. 2119 01:36:29,280 --> 01:36:31,439 Speaker 4: It's definitely hard to see three or four wins here. 2120 01:36:31,920 --> 01:36:36,400 Speaker 1: Oh all right, before we go to our title game, 2121 01:36:36,439 --> 01:36:38,800 Speaker 1: picks and get out of here. On the Mountain West 2122 01:36:38,840 --> 01:36:42,200 Speaker 1: Conference Preview. A programming note. If you're watching this on YouTube, 2123 01:36:42,240 --> 01:36:46,479 Speaker 1: you have successfully subscribed to BBOC our new YouTube channel. 2124 01:36:46,520 --> 01:36:48,679 Speaker 1: We're going to drop all of our conference previews early. 2125 01:36:48,760 --> 01:36:50,360 Speaker 1: This is the place to get it. If you were 2126 01:36:50,400 --> 01:36:52,080 Speaker 1: listening to this and you're thinking to yourself, man, I 2127 01:36:52,120 --> 01:36:54,320 Speaker 1: wish I got this a couple of days early, I 2128 01:36:54,320 --> 01:36:56,599 Speaker 1: got good news for you. You go to the description 2129 01:36:56,920 --> 01:36:59,479 Speaker 1: of this podcast. There is a link to go ahead 2130 01:36:59,560 --> 01:37:02,600 Speaker 1: directly to the YouTube page and to subscribe. If you 2131 01:37:02,640 --> 01:37:04,559 Speaker 1: are more old school and you want to, you know, 2132 01:37:04,680 --> 01:37:07,839 Speaker 1: go on the Information super Highway. You type in YouTube, 2133 01:37:08,000 --> 01:37:11,240 Speaker 1: you go into search BBOC Sports Betting. You're gonna see 2134 01:37:11,280 --> 01:37:13,360 Speaker 1: our beautiful faces pop up. You go ahead and click 2135 01:37:13,600 --> 01:37:16,040 Speaker 1: you subscribe. You're gonna get content early, not just the 2136 01:37:16,040 --> 01:37:19,639 Speaker 1: conference previews, but also special bonus material throughout the year. 2137 01:37:19,800 --> 01:37:21,760 Speaker 1: We're gonna be doing stuff with College Football twenty five, 2138 01:37:21,800 --> 01:37:24,360 Speaker 1: the video game series. We're gonna have you know, specials 2139 01:37:24,360 --> 01:37:27,439 Speaker 1: with stuff like Johnny Manziel given out as Heisman picks 2140 01:37:27,760 --> 01:37:30,559 Speaker 1: content that won't exist anywhere else. You're gonna get it early. 2141 01:37:30,600 --> 01:37:32,720 Speaker 1: You're gonna get it first, So go ahead and make 2142 01:37:32,760 --> 01:37:35,920 Speaker 1: sure hit that button like subscribe, tell a friend, tell 2143 01:37:35,960 --> 01:37:37,840 Speaker 1: an enemy. You know how we do here at Big 2144 01:37:37,880 --> 01:37:40,519 Speaker 1: Bets on campus. All right, let's close things out, guys, 2145 01:37:40,840 --> 01:37:43,680 Speaker 1: who are your title game matchups? Who do you have 2146 01:37:43,760 --> 01:37:46,960 Speaker 1: winning it? And you can give one last quick plug 2147 01:37:47,000 --> 01:37:50,040 Speaker 1: to your favorite over under of the win total in 2148 01:37:50,080 --> 01:37:51,920 Speaker 1: the entire conference. We'll start with you, Ianello. 2149 01:37:52,760 --> 01:37:55,719 Speaker 4: I'm going with I want to be different than you guys, 2150 01:37:55,760 --> 01:38:01,439 Speaker 4: so I'm going with Boise State against Wyoming. I do 2151 01:38:01,600 --> 01:38:04,040 Speaker 4: like Fresno, but I'm gonna go with the Boise Wyoming 2152 01:38:04,280 --> 01:38:08,400 Speaker 4: matchup and my favorite win total is Wyoming over six 2153 01:38:08,479 --> 01:38:10,679 Speaker 4: and a half and Hawaii over five. 2154 01:38:11,160 --> 01:38:11,960 Speaker 1: Colin with you up? 2155 01:38:12,479 --> 01:38:14,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I don't want to sound repetitive here, 2156 01:38:14,320 --> 01:38:16,360 Speaker 2: but you know UNLV gets to play Boise State and 2157 01:38:16,400 --> 01:38:19,400 Speaker 2: Fresno State. So we're gonna determine there could be this 2158 01:38:19,439 --> 01:38:22,240 Speaker 2: whole Harris Pole BCS poll or we've got three teams 2159 01:38:22,240 --> 01:38:23,760 Speaker 2: with the same standing. We got to figure out which 2160 01:38:23,760 --> 01:38:25,880 Speaker 2: two we're gonna make the Mountain West Championship. I think 2161 01:38:25,920 --> 01:38:29,080 Speaker 2: those three teams are Fresno, UNLV, and Boise State. I'm 2162 01:38:29,120 --> 01:38:32,679 Speaker 2: gonna go with you, Andyoma. Yeah, in Wyoming. I'm gonna 2163 01:38:32,720 --> 01:38:36,040 Speaker 2: go with UNLV taking on Fresno State in the conference championship. 2164 01:38:36,080 --> 01:38:38,280 Speaker 2: I think Boise will just tie lose out from the 2165 01:38:38,320 --> 01:38:41,360 Speaker 2: computer polls, we'll see. I have problems with Boise, so 2166 01:38:41,400 --> 01:38:43,519 Speaker 2: we'll see what happens with that defense. Now, my favorite 2167 01:38:43,560 --> 01:38:46,120 Speaker 2: win total is Wyoming on the over. I mean I 2168 01:38:46,120 --> 01:38:47,800 Speaker 2: can name so many overs on there. I think there's 2169 01:38:47,840 --> 01:38:50,880 Speaker 2: potential on the offense, there's continuity and the coaching staff, 2170 01:38:50,920 --> 01:38:54,559 Speaker 2: even though this is a new head coach, not really so. 2171 01:38:54,840 --> 01:38:56,879 Speaker 2: I like the over six and a half on Wyoming 2172 01:38:56,920 --> 01:38:59,320 Speaker 2: by far Malka Nelson. 2173 01:38:59,360 --> 01:39:02,000 Speaker 1: There's still time. You can eat a double cheeseburger with 2174 01:39:02,000 --> 01:39:04,320 Speaker 1: the peanut butter milkshake and get up to a certain 2175 01:39:04,360 --> 01:39:07,559 Speaker 1: weight level that is appropriate for our beefed up Colin Wilson. 2176 01:39:07,840 --> 01:39:10,639 Speaker 1: If you do this, offense is gonna pop. They're gonna 2177 01:39:10,640 --> 01:39:13,080 Speaker 1: win the conference. They're gonna beat ilon LV. Who I 2178 01:39:13,120 --> 01:39:16,479 Speaker 1: can't wait to say see Sluca or Williams running that 2179 01:39:16,520 --> 01:39:20,120 Speaker 1: go go offense. I think they are cut above everybody else. Fresno. 2180 01:39:20,240 --> 01:39:21,640 Speaker 1: It would have given me a lot of pause if 2181 01:39:21,680 --> 01:39:24,519 Speaker 1: Tedford was there, So I'll go ahead with Boise over 2182 01:39:24,720 --> 01:39:26,639 Speaker 1: Ulv and prematchup last year. 2183 01:39:26,960 --> 01:39:29,920 Speaker 4: We need to get Malachi Nelson on a strict idahoe 2184 01:39:29,920 --> 01:39:31,520 Speaker 4: potato diet until. 2185 01:39:32,840 --> 01:39:35,479 Speaker 1: Covered in cheese and bacon and some ranch as well. 2186 01:39:35,560 --> 01:39:37,640 Speaker 1: And then for my favorite win total. This is the 2187 01:39:37,720 --> 01:39:39,960 Speaker 1: year for Hawaii. They're gonna get to Bowl eligibility. In 2188 01:39:39,960 --> 01:39:41,200 Speaker 1: my opinion, you want to play them at four and 2189 01:39:41,240 --> 01:39:43,080 Speaker 1: a half, five, five and a half. I think they 2190 01:39:43,080 --> 01:39:45,479 Speaker 1: get to six wins. This schedule is tailor mate. This 2191 01:39:45,520 --> 01:39:47,840 Speaker 1: is what previous season's all about. It's us breaking down 2192 01:39:47,840 --> 01:39:50,080 Speaker 1: the schedules. It's not just how good you are, it's 2193 01:39:50,160 --> 01:39:52,040 Speaker 1: who you play and when you play them. So that's 2194 01:39:52,040 --> 01:39:54,160 Speaker 1: why I'm on the bows for Mike Ianello on Mike 2195 01:39:54,240 --> 01:39:57,280 Speaker 1: Calabres and thank you to our special guest Colin Wilson. 2196 01:39:57,360 --> 01:39:59,280 Speaker 1: We couldn't have done any of this preview work without all 2197 01:39:59,320 --> 01:40:01,920 Speaker 1: of your exhaust of work in terms of the transfer, portal, 2198 01:40:02,000 --> 01:40:04,640 Speaker 1: returning production. Leaning on you in so many ways, so 2199 01:40:04,680 --> 01:40:06,479 Speaker 1: thank you so much for coming on to the program. 2200 01:40:06,600 --> 01:40:09,040 Speaker 1: A special programming note as well. If you're listening to this, 2201 01:40:09,200 --> 01:40:11,519 Speaker 1: the sun Belt is also in the bag. Mount West 2202 01:40:11,520 --> 01:40:15,240 Speaker 1: now done, Conference USA next And as a teaser, are 2203 01:40:15,280 --> 01:40:17,000 Speaker 1: there any teams other than Liberty? You're gonna have to 2204 01:40:17,040 --> 01:40:19,280 Speaker 1: listen to find out. All right, that's it, guys, have 2205 01:40:19,360 --> 01:40:20,040 Speaker 1: a good one. 2206 01:40:20,680 --> 01:40:23,000 Speaker 3: Follock you back. 2207 01:40:26,160 --> 01:40:28,560 Speaker 2: I've seen it. 2208 01:40:27,840 --> 01:40:29,880 Speaker 1: Fine god. 2209 01:40:32,400 --> 01:40:34,680 Speaker 3: Sattle from Starmer. 2210 01:40:35,960 --> 01:40:36,519 Speaker 2: A lot of. 2211 01:40:41,720 --> 01:40:42,599 Speaker 3: Rocky bub. 2212 01:40:47,600 --> 01:40:57,040 Speaker 1: Rocky Back. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If 2213 01:40:57,080 --> 01:40:59,679 Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 2214 01:41:00,040 --> 01:41:02,920 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred 2215 01:41:03,000 --> 01:41:03,439 Speaker 1: Gambler