WEBVTT - Best Bets for NFL Week 4 | Top Picks and Predictions (Ep. 531) 0:00:01.040 --> 0:00:03.320 Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 0:00:03.360 --> 0:00:05.840 your bets. It is me JOEYP Joe Pizipia and this 0:00:06.400 --> 0:00:08.960 is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead to the 0:00:09.000 --> 0:00:12.200 best bets for week four in the NFL. We're still 0:00:12.240 --> 0:00:15.120 in the early stages, still learning a lot about the 0:00:15.160 --> 0:00:18.919 teams and certainly a lot to glean from week three. 0:00:19.440 --> 0:00:21.360 It's a lot of upsets, a lot of things that 0:00:21.400 --> 0:00:24.040 maybe we did not see coming. But this time I 0:00:24.079 --> 0:00:26.120 think we have a good idea of what to expect 0:00:26.160 --> 0:00:27.520 in week four and help we break it down, of 0:00:27.520 --> 0:00:31.639 course is the Undertaker, Andrew Erickson and Terrell Furman Junior. 0:00:31.680 --> 0:00:33.320 And of course for all of you hanging out with us, 0:00:33.360 --> 0:00:35.600 don't forget to subscribe to the YouTube channel Ring that 0:00:35.600 --> 0:00:38.040 Belt to the goes Ding drop your comments below, but 0:00:38.080 --> 0:00:40.960 of course use the tools. Download the Betting Pros app 0:00:41.000 --> 0:00:43.600 Sink your Sports Books for free. Again. The app is 0:00:43.640 --> 0:00:47.000 on iOS, it's on Android, and it's a great way 0:00:47.080 --> 0:00:49.600 to not only get the best lines, but to track 0:00:49.680 --> 0:00:52.600 all your bets on all the different sports books in 0:00:52.680 --> 0:00:56.120 one spot. You can monitor your performances by sport, by 0:00:56.160 --> 0:00:58.880 bet type, make you a better better which is a 0:00:58.920 --> 0:01:00.840 fun thing to say out loud. You can create custom 0:01:00.880 --> 0:01:04.319 betting systems and find winning trends and profitable opportunities as well. 0:01:04.319 --> 0:01:07.119 So get a free trial a Betting Pros premium right 0:01:07.160 --> 0:01:10.039 now today by downloading the app and activating your free 0:01:10.040 --> 0:01:14.120 trial on the upgrade screen. It can't possibly upgrade anymore 0:01:14.240 --> 0:01:16.479 than my co hosts here, So we're just gonna jump 0:01:16.480 --> 0:01:20.240 into things here right away. To Ralph Furman, let's start 0:01:20.280 --> 0:01:23.080 with the Steelers. It's a game that Andrew Erics and 0:01:23.120 --> 0:01:25.600 I already jumped on early. In case you missed the 0:01:25.600 --> 0:01:28.399 look Ahead show, It's on the YouTube channels on the 0:01:28.400 --> 0:01:31.479 podcast weed go back, listen and watch. Andrew and I 0:01:31.560 --> 0:01:33.120 jumped on this one right away. But I want to 0:01:33.160 --> 0:01:36.520 hear your thoughts as the three and oh Steelers bring 0:01:36.880 --> 0:01:40.560 Justin Fields into down to face the Indianapolis Colts. 0:01:40.959 --> 0:01:43.840 Yeah, and I'm on the same side as you all 0:01:43.920 --> 0:01:47.160 in that aspect of it is Tomlin. It's a short 0:01:47.360 --> 0:01:49.880 a short spread, it means a close game, and Tomlin 0:01:49.960 --> 0:01:52.840 in close games is good money. But I decided for 0:01:52.920 --> 0:01:55.480 the people, I might as well give out an extra 0:01:55.560 --> 0:01:58.560 bit something else that I like, so the people always 0:01:58.680 --> 0:02:05.800 have extra sweat so under forty in this game, because ah, 0:02:06.080 --> 0:02:08.720 I think that once we start getting into the thirties 0:02:08.800 --> 0:02:11.639 of the totals, people start to say, oh, that's kind 0:02:11.680 --> 0:02:13.760 of lote. We need to hop in on the over. 0:02:13.960 --> 0:02:17.320 We need to be contrarian here, and this is not 0:02:17.400 --> 0:02:19.040 the spot to do it. In fact, both of these 0:02:19.040 --> 0:02:21.919 two teams are five and one to the under at 0:02:21.960 --> 0:02:26.519 this number this season combined, so there's nothing here. Anthony 0:02:26.600 --> 0:02:29.960 Richardson probably might not be a good quarterback. Like, there's 0:02:30.000 --> 0:02:34.320 a possible real situation and if I know that I 0:02:34.360 --> 0:02:36.880 can get to the goal line and potentially walk away 0:02:36.880 --> 0:02:39.680 with zero points because Anthony Richardson wants to lob the 0:02:39.720 --> 0:02:41.880 ball up and just let anybody go up there and 0:02:41.919 --> 0:02:44.560 get it, then absolutely I want in on the under 0:02:44.560 --> 0:02:47.320 in that situation. Justin Fields has struggled to finish drives 0:02:47.320 --> 0:02:48.720 over the course of the season. I'm not going to 0:02:49.080 --> 0:02:51.919 hold him from that very very real criticism that they're having. 0:02:51.960 --> 0:02:55.360 But it's this defense, TJ. Watt, and this defense keeps 0:02:55.360 --> 0:02:59.040 them in the game every single time. And I'm one 0:02:59.080 --> 0:03:00.880 hundred percent going to back that. I don't think it's 0:03:00.880 --> 0:03:02.600 going to be a lot of points. Score is forty. 0:03:02.800 --> 0:03:04.639 I think it's going to be closer to thirty. So yes, 0:03:04.720 --> 0:03:06.079 I'm all in on the under forty. 0:03:06.400 --> 0:03:08.320 I don't remember who said it with me. It might 0:03:08.360 --> 0:03:10.040 have been Bogman, it might have been you Erickson do 0:03:10.080 --> 0:03:11.760 a lot of shows with a lot of people. But 0:03:11.800 --> 0:03:16.320 the conversation was what Anthony Richardson needs is reps. But unfortunately, 0:03:16.400 --> 0:03:18.920 right now it's those hard reps where you're just making 0:03:18.960 --> 0:03:21.760 a ton of mistakes and things aren't going well. And 0:03:21.960 --> 0:03:23.440 it's funny because at the other end of the game 0:03:23.440 --> 0:03:26.239 you got Justin Field, who is finally in a situation 0:03:26.320 --> 0:03:29.399 it feels like where things are going in the right way. 0:03:29.560 --> 0:03:32.239 You see the completion percentage go up. You see like 0:03:32.280 --> 0:03:34.480 every week he seems to get a little bit more confident, 0:03:35.200 --> 0:03:38.400 a little bit further removed from the PTSD of playing 0:03:38.400 --> 0:03:42.640 for the Bears. Richardson's so dangerous, Andrew that any moment 0:03:42.680 --> 0:03:44.560 he can make a play. But you and I have 0:03:44.640 --> 0:03:47.560 been on the Steelers since Monday morning. I'm still on 0:03:47.600 --> 0:03:50.080 the Steelers. Are you still on the Steelers? Andrew? Yeah? 0:03:50.080 --> 0:03:52.320 Because the Steelers are still minus one, still can get 0:03:52.320 --> 0:03:52.920 minus one and a half. 0:03:53.000 --> 0:03:53.080 Right. 0:03:53.120 --> 0:03:54.720 I thought we was talking about how this line was 0:03:54.720 --> 0:03:57.560 going to move to Steelers minus three, and at least 0:03:57.600 --> 0:03:59.440 what I've seen is it's not moved yet. It's still 0:03:59.520 --> 0:04:01.440 minus one and a half. So I still like the value. 0:04:01.440 --> 0:04:03.680 And this is about being right, not about giving more 0:04:03.720 --> 0:04:05.520 and more picks. I want to be right on this show, 0:04:05.560 --> 0:04:08.000 so I'm just gonna continue to back the Steelers at 0:04:08.120 --> 0:04:10.560 minus one and a half. Look talking about how good 0:04:10.600 --> 0:04:12.640 the Steelers are on the road twelve and six against 0:04:12.640 --> 0:04:15.120 the spread in their last eighteen road games, five and 0:04:15.160 --> 0:04:16.840 four against the spread and the money line on the 0:04:16.920 --> 0:04:20.000 road since the start of last season. And the one 0:04:20.000 --> 0:04:22.120 thing that going back to last year was Shane Steichen 0:04:22.200 --> 0:04:25.560 and this Colts team, they don't win when they're not favored. 0:04:25.920 --> 0:04:27.880 They don't they don't win these games. So when they're 0:04:27.920 --> 0:04:30.880 the underdog, they lose the game. You look at Colts games, 0:04:30.920 --> 0:04:34.520 the favorites have won fourteen of the colts last fifteen games. 0:04:35.000 --> 0:04:36.760 So they're not the team that you want to back 0:04:36.839 --> 0:04:38.919 as an underdog, even though they're playing at home. And 0:04:39.000 --> 0:04:41.440 going back to Richardson, he leads the NFL and turnover 0:04:41.560 --> 0:04:43.719 worthy play rate. You know who ranks first in that 0:04:43.839 --> 0:04:45.679 in terms of the least amount of turner over worthy 0:04:45.680 --> 0:04:49.680 plays is Justin Fields. So again, it's way easier to 0:04:50.040 --> 0:04:52.960 not press when you're winning in games and when you're 0:04:52.960 --> 0:04:55.880 having leads. They don't need Justin Fields to be a superhero, 0:04:56.040 --> 0:04:57.880 but that's what they need with Anthony Richardson right now 0:04:57.920 --> 0:05:00.120 because their defense can't get off the field and I 0:05:00.120 --> 0:05:02.440 can't stop anybody, especially the runs. So I look at 0:05:02.440 --> 0:05:04.480 this matchup and you have the most the team that 0:05:04.520 --> 0:05:07.520 wants to run the ball more than anything else against 0:05:07.760 --> 0:05:11.200 the league's worst run defense with the Colts, so minus 0:05:11.240 --> 0:05:13.240 one and a half, when Justin Fields doesn't even have 0:05:13.320 --> 0:05:15.280 to do that much, and you're putting so much on 0:05:15.320 --> 0:05:17.640 Anthony Bridger. He has to be superman in this game 0:05:17.880 --> 0:05:19.800 for the Colts to win. So I just like the 0:05:19.800 --> 0:05:21.160 Steelers so much in this spot. 0:05:21.320 --> 0:05:23.200 I think the line hasn't moved because of the health 0:05:23.240 --> 0:05:25.640 of the backfield of the Steelers. I mean, I'm just 0:05:25.640 --> 0:05:28.360 gonna put it more the line because the offensive line 0:05:28.400 --> 0:05:30.240 as well. Like I think those two combinations, and I 0:05:30.279 --> 0:05:33.600 think there's rightfully so a little bit of panic in 0:05:33.640 --> 0:05:36.599 the marketplace, but I don't see it being enough where 0:05:36.600 --> 0:05:38.480 I'm concerned that Tom and the Steelers can't go in 0:05:38.520 --> 0:05:40.320 there and win this game by a field goal easily. Like, 0:05:40.400 --> 0:05:43.200 That's That's where I'm at with it. So I think 0:05:43.279 --> 0:05:45.760 that's why the line hasn't moved is the injuries have 0:05:45.880 --> 0:05:47.840 kept it close enough where people are like, oh, maybe 0:05:47.839 --> 0:05:50.560 there's some value here, you know with the you know 0:05:50.800 --> 0:05:53.800 home dogs here Indianapolis, you know, playmaking ability all that. 0:05:53.839 --> 0:05:56.560 But I get that sense that's where things are at, Terrell. 0:05:56.720 --> 0:05:59.560 Let's get to a big game here between the Vikings 0:05:59.560 --> 0:06:02.520 and the Greeners. Now, the Vikings have handled their business 0:06:02.560 --> 0:06:04.600 in green Bay the last couple of years. That was 0:06:04.640 --> 0:06:07.560 with Kirk cousin Zoe. Now you're getting Sam Darnold and 0:06:07.800 --> 0:06:11.320 look they're three to zero. The Packers have done everything 0:06:11.360 --> 0:06:14.159 you could have asked for them to do with Malik 0:06:14.200 --> 0:06:17.320 Willis these last couple of weeks, winning both games. I mean, 0:06:17.360 --> 0:06:19.400 you can't be happier than Matt Lafloor right now. And 0:06:19.480 --> 0:06:21.919 the way that this team has performed, they did not 0:06:22.000 --> 0:06:25.320 crumble under that situation. The road game didn't matter. They 0:06:25.400 --> 0:06:28.840 showed up. So what's your take on this game here? 0:06:28.880 --> 0:06:30.040 How do you want to approach it? Because I know 0:06:30.120 --> 0:06:31.960 you've got it. Earmark as one of your favorites of 0:06:31.960 --> 0:06:32.320 the week. 0:06:33.000 --> 0:06:36.919 Yeah, the Brian floor Is Revenge Tour is continuing long. 0:06:37.160 --> 0:06:40.960 We made stops on the Revenge Tour. It kicked off 0:06:41.000 --> 0:06:43.480 in Miami a few years ago, and then we delayed, 0:06:43.560 --> 0:06:45.800 and we delayed, and we delayed. We had pitt stop 0:06:46.120 --> 0:06:48.960 over in Pittsburgh and then delayed, delayed, delay. But now 0:06:50.240 --> 0:06:57.800 Houston gone, don't worry about them, say it, Fran, get 0:06:57.839 --> 0:07:00.800 out of here, MVP. Yeah right, I'm gonna show you 0:07:00.800 --> 0:07:03.320 a defense. My scheme is crazy, right, Yeah, I'm gonna 0:07:03.320 --> 0:07:06.600 show you a crazy scheme. All right. And then I mean, 0:07:06.640 --> 0:07:08.599 well New York was easy. He didn't even have to 0:07:08.640 --> 0:07:10.000 try there, he didn't even have. 0:07:09.960 --> 0:07:13.320 To show up. He didn't also, so. 0:07:14.920 --> 0:07:18.400 Why am I thinking he's gonna do anything like Matt Lafleur. 0:07:18.600 --> 0:07:22.160 If you make Malik Willis look better than c. J. 0:07:22.320 --> 0:07:25.680 Stroud and Rock Perty and I won't even mention the 0:07:25.720 --> 0:07:29.720 third quarterbacks name against this Vikings defense, then you're you 0:07:29.760 --> 0:07:32.080 know what, You're the quarterback whisper. I'll go ahead and 0:07:32.080 --> 0:07:34.600 anoint you the quarterback whisper. You did it. But as 0:07:34.680 --> 0:07:37.800 of right now, Brian Flores got called a bully by 0:07:37.920 --> 0:07:40.360 Tua and said that he was hurt into his feelings 0:07:40.400 --> 0:07:42.920 while he was his coach, and now Brian Flores is like, 0:07:42.960 --> 0:07:44.960 all right, now, I got to prove to the league 0:07:45.000 --> 0:07:47.920 who I am as a defensive coordinator and put it 0:07:47.960 --> 0:07:52.800 on every single young rookie like he's absolutely he's got 0:07:52.800 --> 0:07:55.880 them flustered. C J. Stroud was an amazing quarterback last year, 0:07:55.880 --> 0:07:58.280 and he looked like he didn't even know what to 0:07:58.320 --> 0:07:59.200 do against a. 0:07:59.160 --> 0:08:01.480 Guy who's performed against the Blitz this year. And what 0:08:01.600 --> 0:08:03.680 he puts like sixty seven percent at the time last week, 0:08:03.680 --> 0:08:05.520 I think I saw that number was insane, and yes, 0:08:05.640 --> 0:08:07.200 it was like, you know what, I don't care. I'm 0:08:07.200 --> 0:08:08.600 just going to keep bringing the pressure. And he brought 0:08:08.680 --> 0:08:10.200 from a lot of different places too, which was very 0:08:10.200 --> 0:08:13.400 cool to see. We bring in Aaron Jones, who wanted 0:08:13.480 --> 0:08:15.520 to be back here in Green Bay. He wanted to 0:08:15.520 --> 0:08:17.360 stay in Green Bay. Green Bay didn't want him back. 0:08:17.480 --> 0:08:20.040 He was forced out. He didn't want to go to Minnesota. 0:08:20.080 --> 0:08:21.520 He wanted to stay in Green Bay. I think this 0:08:21.560 --> 0:08:23.520 is the Aaron Jones revenge game. I think they're going 0:08:23.600 --> 0:08:25.480 to run the ball really well. Sam Darnold is going 0:08:25.520 --> 0:08:27.640 to do enough, but that defense is going to steal 0:08:27.680 --> 0:08:29.560 the show. I think Milik Willis is going. 0:08:29.480 --> 0:08:31.400 To look like who everybody thought Milik Willis was going 0:08:31.440 --> 0:08:33.000 to look like when he first got to Green Bay. 0:08:33.360 --> 0:08:35.439 And now, like, I think there's a coach on the 0:08:35.480 --> 0:08:37.760 other side who has taken players who I in the 0:08:37.760 --> 0:08:40.240 beginning of the season didn't think would make a great defense, 0:08:40.360 --> 0:08:42.640 but he's coaching up an amazing scheme. This is all 0:08:42.640 --> 0:08:45.400 about the Vikings defense. For me, I think that the 0:08:45.640 --> 0:08:47.319 Packers aren't gonna be able to move the football. The 0:08:47.400 --> 0:08:48.920 Vikings are going to do enough and get this winning 0:08:48.960 --> 0:08:49.360 Green Bay. 0:08:49.600 --> 0:08:51.800 Yeah, I like where your heads at And I kind 0:08:51.800 --> 0:08:53.640 of think the same way. And look, I'm old enough 0:08:53.640 --> 0:08:55.880 to remember Brian Flores as a player, and I know 0:08:55.920 --> 0:08:58.880 what kind of intensity that dude brings. And I remember 0:08:58.960 --> 0:09:01.360 him as an assistant on Patriots, remember him all the 0:09:01.360 --> 0:09:03.720 way through, And I think this is a great opportunity 0:09:03.760 --> 0:09:05.760 here for him to re establish himself in that market. 0:09:05.800 --> 0:09:07.400 I'd like to see him get another look as a 0:09:07.400 --> 0:09:09.200 head coach, because I do think you got a raw 0:09:09.240 --> 0:09:11.319 deal in Miami. All right, let's get to the next 0:09:11.320 --> 0:09:12.960 one on our list, ericson what do you have as 0:09:13.000 --> 0:09:15.959 your second pick here? For this game that may or 0:09:16.000 --> 0:09:18.160 may not be played this weekend too. Just want to 0:09:18.160 --> 0:09:19.839 put that out there, depending on the weather of how 0:09:19.840 --> 0:09:20.680 things are going here. 0:09:20.800 --> 0:09:22.200 Well, if they don't play, that means they don't score 0:09:22.200 --> 0:09:25.080 any points. So that mays that means the under is. 0:09:25.080 --> 0:09:25.480 Kind of hit. 0:09:25.640 --> 0:09:27.000 So Tampa Bay filled out. 0:09:27.000 --> 0:09:29.480 There's a moment of zen everybody watching the show today. 0:09:29.600 --> 0:09:33.040 Tampa Bay Philadelphia under forty four and a half points. 0:09:33.280 --> 0:09:35.280 I'm following the trends here, looking at the Eagles, what 0:09:35.320 --> 0:09:37.000 they've done on the road, their last six road games 0:09:37.040 --> 0:09:39.600 gone under the total. Look at their last twelve three 0:09:39.679 --> 0:09:42.160 and nine towards the over on the road in Tampa 0:09:42.200 --> 0:09:44.920 Bay traditionally has been a team that you don't score 0:09:44.920 --> 0:09:47.120 a lot of points at home, average fewer than thirty 0:09:47.120 --> 0:09:49.280 five points total at home since the beginning of last year, 0:09:49.480 --> 0:09:52.360 two and eight record toward the over. So I like 0:09:52.400 --> 0:09:55.640 the trends pointing to these two teams playing towards the under. 0:09:55.880 --> 0:09:57.160 When you're having the Eagles on the road and the 0:09:57.160 --> 0:09:59.640 Buccaneers playing at home. The Buccaneers traditionally have a very 0:09:59.640 --> 0:10:02.559 good red zone defense, so they don't let teams score touchdowns, 0:10:02.559 --> 0:10:04.800 they don't let them convert when they drive down the field. 0:10:05.000 --> 0:10:06.480 You also have the Eagles without a lot of their 0:10:06.520 --> 0:10:08.800 top playmakers. A. J. Brown is probably not gonna play 0:10:08.800 --> 0:10:11.319 in this game. DeVante Smith has a concussion. Lane Johnson 0:10:11.400 --> 0:10:13.800 has a concussion. We talk about Lane Johnson when he's 0:10:13.840 --> 0:10:15.960 off on and off the field, the splits and how 0:10:16.000 --> 0:10:19.000 good Jalen Hurts is with Lane Johnson. Lane Johnson didn't 0:10:19.000 --> 0:10:21.040 play much of last week. What happened to the Eagles offense? 0:10:21.840 --> 0:10:22.280 Wasn't there? 0:10:22.400 --> 0:10:23.440 Right? They didn't. They don't. 0:10:23.440 --> 0:10:26.040 They're not nearly as efficient when he doesn't play. So again, 0:10:26.160 --> 0:10:28.599 not so sure exactly when these guys will clear the 0:10:28.640 --> 0:10:31.840 concussion protocol. But I just like the under overall in 0:10:31.840 --> 0:10:35.480 this game. I don't see these two offenses converging in Oh, 0:10:35.559 --> 0:10:38.360 they're gonna be super explosive. Baker Mayfield is taking the 0:10:38.480 --> 0:10:41.000 highest sack to pressure rate in the NFL. So it's 0:10:41.040 --> 0:10:43.440 not even his offensive line's fault half the time. It's 0:10:43.559 --> 0:10:46.559 when he's getting pressured. He's just taking sacks. Sacks, kill 0:10:46.679 --> 0:10:49.400 drives and kill points to score. So I like the 0:10:49.480 --> 0:10:53.000 under here. Again, what is I haven't seen the weather reports, Joe, 0:10:53.040 --> 0:10:54.440 so can you just kind of fill me in? 0:10:54.520 --> 0:10:56.640 Well? We're talking about the hurricane coming in here through. 0:10:56.679 --> 0:10:58.600 You know, it's supposed touchdown at some point there in 0:10:58.600 --> 0:11:01.719 the Florida coast area, So it all depends on when 0:11:01.760 --> 0:11:03.840 it hits land, how long it says, and all that stuff. 0:11:04.120 --> 0:11:07.160 But if I'm the Eagles, I'm begging for this storm 0:11:07.600 --> 0:11:11.040 because I've got no Devanta Smith, I've got no Aj Brown. 0:11:11.840 --> 0:11:14.320 I'd rather be inconvenienced later in the year and try 0:11:14.360 --> 0:11:16.480 to make up this game somehow and see if maybe 0:11:16.520 --> 0:11:19.600 there's a situation where you know, the stars align and 0:11:19.720 --> 0:11:21.920 you play this team later on. You're playing at your 0:11:21.960 --> 0:11:26.080 worst health right now, so again it's soon to know 0:11:26.200 --> 0:11:28.640 about that. A lot of speculation as of us recording this, 0:11:28.760 --> 0:11:30.600 so just stay on top of things, and that's why 0:11:30.600 --> 0:11:32.480 you set the line alerts too. Make sure you see 0:11:32.480 --> 0:11:34.720 how things are moving too, because if they are going 0:11:34.760 --> 0:11:37.040 to push through and the weather is an issue regardless, 0:11:37.320 --> 0:11:39.600 but it's okay for them to play, that could change 0:11:39.600 --> 0:11:41.240 the total a little bit too in terms of what 0:11:41.280 --> 0:11:43.240 that number is you might get. So set your line 0:11:43.240 --> 0:11:45.120 alerts when you're on the VP app for this game, 0:11:45.120 --> 0:11:47.040 if you're in on it this week, and while you're 0:11:47.080 --> 0:11:50.280 at it, join our discord, bettingpros dot Com, slash Chat. 0:11:50.320 --> 0:11:54.480 It's free, it's fun. Matt Perrault does an incredible job 0:11:54.559 --> 0:11:58.080 of wrangling all the madness of everybody in this incredible 0:11:58.400 --> 0:12:01.120 sports betting community we have and the analysts are on 0:12:01.160 --> 0:12:03.079 there two to get in touch with. You can get 0:12:03.080 --> 0:12:06.080 free picks from expert handgappers, connect with fellow betters, and 0:12:06.120 --> 0:12:09.240 you can elevate your strategies with insights from the pros. Plus, 0:12:09.920 --> 0:12:12.440 we joined the NFL podcast group. Just sink your picks 0:12:12.600 --> 0:12:14.760 and use the quick pick feature on the Betting Pros 0:12:14.760 --> 0:12:16.680 app for a chance to win prizes. Join the group 0:12:16.720 --> 0:12:18.240 today again. You don't even have to make wagers and 0:12:18.320 --> 0:12:21.040 keep telling everybody just make picks. It doesn't matter if 0:12:21.160 --> 0:12:23.600 wagering is even legal in your state. You can still 0:12:23.600 --> 0:12:26.480 have fun in the contest. Weekly prizes, monthly prizes are 0:12:26.520 --> 0:12:30.280 all there. Go download the Betting Pros app right now 0:12:30.400 --> 0:12:32.840 and join the NFL podcast group and that way you 0:12:32.840 --> 0:12:34.839 can go and make some picks, have some fun and 0:12:34.880 --> 0:12:37.080 win some free stuff. All right, Sorell, Let's go to 0:12:37.080 --> 0:12:38.360 one of the games has got one of the biggest 0:12:38.360 --> 0:12:41.000 totals on the week. It's the Arizona Cardinals and the 0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:44.400 Washington Commanders. Now this one looks like a fun, wide 0:12:44.400 --> 0:12:47.040 open athletic contest. How are you approaching it? 0:12:47.480 --> 0:12:50.960 Yeah, I'm going ahead and I'm going to back the 0:12:52.160 --> 0:12:55.000 Come on now, the Arizona Cardinals. I'm laying three and 0:12:55.000 --> 0:12:58.960 a half. We all watched Monday night, and I think 0:12:59.000 --> 0:13:02.040 the best part of the doubleheader on Monday night is 0:13:02.080 --> 0:13:07.640 the stagger at start time, because after whoever was still 0:13:07.720 --> 0:13:11.319 watching that Bills and JAG's Gabe at that point. Kudos 0:13:11.320 --> 0:13:12.720 to you, by the way, if you were still watching 0:13:12.840 --> 0:13:15.720 at the end of the game, you came over and 0:13:15.800 --> 0:13:20.600 you watched Jaydon Daniels win that game. And now everybody's 0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:22.800 drinking the kool Aid. I mean kool Aid is at 0:13:22.840 --> 0:13:24.960 an all time high. It's a whole pound of sugar 0:13:24.960 --> 0:13:28.840 in there, stirred up. They actually took two packets and 0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:31.800 made like a strawberry lemonade. Instead of just doing the 0:13:31.840 --> 0:13:35.160 one strawberry or just maybe a peach or lemonade, they 0:13:35.280 --> 0:13:38.080 mixed two together, put all the sugar in it, and 0:13:38.280 --> 0:13:40.560 stirred it up. It's actually a couple of sugar particles 0:13:40.600 --> 0:13:42.760 still sitting at the end. They're drinking it. They're all 0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:46.520 drinking it and I one hundred percent agree. I get it. 0:13:46.559 --> 0:13:50.800 He's really really good. This is a road spot after 0:13:50.880 --> 0:13:53.679 a big Monday night football win on a short week 0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:58.360 with Dan Quinn at head coach and Johnathan Cannon. I 0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:00.280 don't know if you guys remember, but John think and 0:14:00.320 --> 0:14:02.800 kind of ran through the NFC East last year. I 0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:05.200 mean he lost the most important game against my New 0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:08.560 York Football Giants and Daniel Jones of course, but other 0:14:08.640 --> 0:14:13.320 than that, Eagles Wentz gave them an L, Cowboys gave 0:14:13.360 --> 0:14:16.120 them an L. With Josh Dobbs like, I think this 0:14:16.200 --> 0:14:18.439 is a very very good spot where a Gannon is 0:14:18.480 --> 0:14:20.360 going to do what he's done coach up a really 0:14:20.400 --> 0:14:23.520 really good team against the NFC East, a former division 0:14:23.520 --> 0:14:25.760 that he's been in as a defensive coordinator for the Eagles, 0:14:26.080 --> 0:14:27.960 and Kyler Murray is going to go out there and 0:14:28.360 --> 0:14:31.960 give Cliff Kingsbury a piece of his mind. This is 0:14:31.960 --> 0:14:34.600 your fault, Cliff, this is your fault. We are all 0:14:34.600 --> 0:14:37.280 at this position because of you, Cliff, because of you, 0:14:37.600 --> 0:14:39.560 So you know what. I think Kyler Murray is going 0:14:39.600 --> 0:14:41.240 to show out. I think that defense is going to 0:14:41.280 --> 0:14:43.320 have a good day. I think Commander's role. Give me 0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:44.960 the three and a half points for sure. 0:14:45.640 --> 0:14:48.720 All right, let's stay out West a little bit here, 0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:51.160 and let's go with the Chargers and the Kansas in 0:14:51.280 --> 0:14:54.200 Chiefs spread that we talked about quite a bit. We 0:14:54.280 --> 0:14:57.320 talked about Andrew on Monday. Where this line may or 0:14:57.320 --> 0:15:00.680 may not go depending on the injuries. I'm in anticipating too, 0:15:00.720 --> 0:15:02.880 this might be the time to pounce on some Travis 0:15:02.960 --> 0:15:05.800 Kelce props because his all time stats against the Chargers 0:15:05.800 --> 0:15:07.640 are all time great. If there's going to be a 0:15:07.640 --> 0:15:09.480 breakout game, this is it. And if it's not, then 0:15:09.480 --> 0:15:13.040 it ain't ever coming. So where are you at currently 0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:14.600 with this game? How are you approaching it now that 0:15:14.600 --> 0:15:16.600 you have a little bit more time to marinate on it. 0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:18.160 I just like the under in this game. I don't 0:15:18.160 --> 0:15:21.000 think both teams are game planning. Hey, we need to 0:15:21.000 --> 0:15:23.600 score thirty points. The Chiefs haven't even been close to 0:15:23.640 --> 0:15:25.800 The Chiefs have been a team that has been hitting unders. 0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:28.040 That's the team that you look at Mahomes and you think, 0:15:28.120 --> 0:15:31.240 oh man, high flying scoring offense. He ranks dead last 0:15:31.280 --> 0:15:33.360 in the NFL and average s deps of target. He 0:15:33.600 --> 0:15:35.640 is I don't want to say it, but he's turned 0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:37.720 into a checkdown king, at least through three weeks of 0:15:37.760 --> 0:15:39.280 the NFL's Eeason. That's what he's doing. He's just checking 0:15:39.320 --> 0:15:41.400 the ball down and Rushi Rice that is the offensive 0:15:41.400 --> 0:15:43.440 game plan, and running the ball with one of their 0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:45.680 ten different running backs that they're using, maybe Kareem Hunt 0:15:45.680 --> 0:15:47.920 this week. So I just like the under Overall, the 0:15:48.000 --> 0:15:50.040 Chargers are three and zero towards the end of the season. 0:15:50.120 --> 0:15:52.160 The Chiefs are two and one towards the over But 0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:55.720 I just don't see the offensive firepower with the Chiefs. 0:15:55.960 --> 0:15:57.680 Seven of the chiefs last ten games have gone under 0:15:57.720 --> 0:16:00.240 the total nine to the last twelve. Since the start 0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:02.040 of twenty twenty three, the Chiefs is not allowed a 0:16:02.040 --> 0:16:04.240 team to score twenty seven points against them, so their 0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:06.360 defense has been solid. What do we expect from the 0:16:06.440 --> 0:16:09.840 Chargers offense without their two starting tackles? Potentially I expect 0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:12.200 Justin Herbert to play this matchup, but I think it's, hey, 0:16:12.280 --> 0:16:14.360 let's give the ball to JK. Dobbins twenty five times 0:16:14.400 --> 0:16:16.320 and hope he rips off a big run. You know, 0:16:16.320 --> 0:16:18.160 whether it happens or not remains to be seen. But 0:16:18.560 --> 0:16:21.120 that doesn't tell me or suggest to me that, oh, 0:16:21.160 --> 0:16:24.160 there's going to be points scored in bunches in this 0:16:24.160 --> 0:16:27.080 particular matchup. So I really like the under here even 0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:27.600 at forty. 0:16:27.960 --> 0:16:29.840 All right, let's move on to the next bet that 0:16:29.880 --> 0:16:32.400 the guys have number four for everybody. Let's talk about 0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:34.880 the Broncos. Terrell, how are you approaching this game for 0:16:34.960 --> 0:16:38.000 them here against the New York Jets where Look, I'm 0:16:38.040 --> 0:16:39.720 in on the Jets side of this one, but I 0:16:39.760 --> 0:16:42.560 want to hear your case for Denver because I think 0:16:42.680 --> 0:16:44.720 bon Nick's running upgainst this defense is going to be 0:16:44.720 --> 0:16:46.320 a little bit of a different day at the offense 0:16:46.360 --> 0:16:49.400 than what happened last week against Tampa. But you sell me, 0:16:49.720 --> 0:16:51.800 sell me on the Broncos side of this game with 0:16:51.840 --> 0:16:52.200 the points. 0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:54.840 Well, did you see last week? That's what happens when 0:16:54.880 --> 0:16:57.680 Sean p gets to they When Sean Payton gets to 0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:00.280 week three and week four, his teams just figure it out. 0:17:00.360 --> 0:17:02.400 They just figure it out and they go on through 0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:04.879 the season. And so I think this is another situation 0:17:04.960 --> 0:17:07.119 where his team went on the road and what was 0:17:07.160 --> 0:17:11.280 a horrible spot going to Florida, hot weather road spot 0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:16.600 for your rookie quarterback, and they absolutely dominated this Tampa 0:17:16.640 --> 0:17:19.120 Bay Bucks team. And now we come back. We saw 0:17:19.160 --> 0:17:21.720 what happened on Thursday night, and everybody's back on the Jets. 0:17:21.760 --> 0:17:23.679 But I don't think not so fast, because this is 0:17:23.720 --> 0:17:26.400