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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action

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Speaker 1: Network a k a. Mr. Hoops, because I'm so good

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Speaker 1: at prognostication on the n b A and these playoffs. Um,

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Speaker 1: I've got a couple of guys who will back me

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Speaker 1: up on it. Action Network analyst Matt Moore is going

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Speaker 1: to join us in a minute. My Volume Podcast colleague

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Speaker 1: Jason Timf is gonna come back on. He's been on

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Speaker 1: before during the playoffs. We're gonna recap what's been happening

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Speaker 1: in the Warrior Celtics series. We're gonna predict what is

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Speaker 1: going to happen in the war Yours Celtics series. Before

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Speaker 1: Matt and Jason join us. Hello, some women, Simon Hunter

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Speaker 1: professional better might bff my companion like Capadre. How you doing, buddy?

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Speaker 1: It's nice to see these NBA players are just like us.

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Speaker 1: Have you seen on Twitter lately? How bored Kevin Durant

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Speaker 1: and Lebron James are? I love it. I love These

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Speaker 1: guys are sitting around just like us and are like,

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Speaker 1: I just want to talk sports. I just want to

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Speaker 1: chat up and disagree with people. I love that football.

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Speaker 1: We don't get that, like what quarterback is on Twitter

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Speaker 1: being like, nah, I'm the best player ever. This is why.

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Speaker 1: This is why you're an idiot. This is why you're

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Speaker 1: a fool. We don't get the NBA. These guys are

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Speaker 1: so loose. I love it they have you know, they're

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Speaker 1: sitting on their couch. Kevin Durant is probably smoking a

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Speaker 1: blunt and he's just firing away on people. And it's

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Speaker 1: just been really fun this offseason. It's so fun that

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Speaker 1: you say that. I was thinking, Look, I listened to

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Speaker 1: a lot of NBA radio, which I think is great.

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Speaker 1: And in the mornings, I listened to Frank I Sola

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Speaker 1: and Brian Scalabrini. When I'm taking my kids to school,

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Speaker 1: if i'm running an errand, it's always on. And then

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Speaker 1: in the afternoon when i'm picking my kid up, it's

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Speaker 1: usually Justin Termany and Eddie Johnson. I love listening to

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Speaker 1: NBA radio because this league, man, it is just so

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Speaker 1: full of the drama. And I do think that NBA

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Speaker 1: players Durant Lebron. I feel like they are bigger fans

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Speaker 1: of their sport than NFL players are of their sport,

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Speaker 1: and I think that's why you get like a they're

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Speaker 1: they're more prone to drama. I think in the NBA generally,

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of the players are more outspoken,

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Speaker 1: and I think they're sitting around watching these games at night,

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Speaker 1: and like NFL players. Look, NFL players outside of the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: they're playing every Sunday, and so when the games are happening,

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Speaker 1: they're playing right and so like there's a Monday night game,

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Speaker 1: a Thursday and night game, but NBA players they're watching

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Speaker 1: every game. I love. I love the drama this league

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Speaker 1: brings with these players, right Yeah. Like I just been like,

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Speaker 1: if Tom Brain in the middle of the Super Bowl

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Speaker 1: is tweeting, man, someone should have had me on their

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Speaker 1: podcast right now. We'd all be like, holy ship, this

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Speaker 1: is crazy. Like Lebron James just funny as HELLU being like,

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Speaker 1: I got a lot to say, um, but now it's

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Speaker 1: like we're about to dive into these guys. The playoffs

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Speaker 1: have been good, Honestly through two games. People have been

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Speaker 1: hating on the playoffs this year. Really competitive basketball these

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Speaker 1: last two games, and it's it's fun to here where

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Speaker 1: these guys think this year is gonna go, because yeah,

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Speaker 1: we know what we like. It's it's it's gonna be see.

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Speaker 1: Have you updated your view on this series? Are you

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Speaker 1: still holding tight with your Warriors prediction? Oh? My god,

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Speaker 1: I feel great. I got to remind people Simon is

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Speaker 1: invested to the tune of mid five figures uh north

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Speaker 1: of fifty k on the Warriors. He bet them on

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Speaker 1: a sort of the series price. Um, I have bet

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Speaker 1: the Warriors, uh for significantly less to win in sixth

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Speaker 1: I bet the war at at like plus four fifty

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Speaker 1: or something. I bet the Warriors to win in seven

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Speaker 1: at plus three something. I bet Steph Curry to lead

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Speaker 1: the series in scoring average and three point average per game,

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Speaker 1: uh plus four thirty. I have seen nothing, even in

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Speaker 1: the first game that made me feel like I should

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Speaker 1: walk away from the Warriors at this point. Um, we'll

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Speaker 1: go to Matt Moore first, who has talked about the Celtics,

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Speaker 1: who was like the Celtics, who believes in a model

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Speaker 1: that likes the Celtics. I think he's wrong, but you know,

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Speaker 1: he can try to convince us and see if anything

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Speaker 1: has changed his mind in the last you know hours.

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Speaker 1: I have no idea what you guys are saying here

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Speaker 1: to feel this guy. Like I saw Simon went back

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Speaker 1: in on on Steph Curry for Finals MVP the other

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Speaker 1: then I was like, what do you ask Watson? Uh? Look,

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Speaker 1: the consensus amongst like the hoop Heads is very much

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Speaker 1: that like the Celtics are getting what they want, that

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Speaker 1: they have a lot of strategic advantages. I think it's

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Speaker 1: a little too far. Uh. The series is pretty even.

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Speaker 1: But look Boston Steeles game, they have home court, they

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Speaker 1: responded after every single loss they have. The other thing

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Speaker 1: I would say is they made Golden State adjusting game too.

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Speaker 1: But that's the big thing here is like Steve Kerr

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Speaker 1: had to crack first and be like, if we don't

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Speaker 1: win this game, we're sunk, So I gotta go ahead

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Speaker 1: and start making adjustments. Now, coaches in the in any

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Speaker 1: playoff series, they want to wait to adjust as long

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Speaker 1: as possible. You don't want to get out ahead of

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Speaker 1: it because now you're in this race of your counters

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Speaker 1: and my counters and you're not doing what you do best.

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Speaker 1: Kerr had to crack first, and now Imodoka has got

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Speaker 1: a full two days off before this Game three two

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Speaker 1: counter program. Nothing I'd say is I look back, I

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Speaker 1: went back into the film. There's big article over on

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Speaker 1: Action about game two and what happened the Celtics. Honestly,

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Speaker 1: it wasn't even necessarily just like playing badly. It was

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Speaker 1: just doing weird things like they jumped up their own spacing,

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Speaker 1: which they haven't done. There's all these types of things.

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Speaker 1: I cannot in six especially, I cannot believe that you

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Speaker 1: guys are like like, no, no, I feel great. Who

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Speaker 1: doesn't like have lost home court in the very first

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Speaker 1: game and then needing basically the Celtics to bombit on

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Speaker 1: themselves in game two. We're good, baby, We're good. Well,

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Speaker 1: I don't agree with your framing. My my theory on

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Speaker 1: this the entire time was the Warriors are gonna lose

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Speaker 1: one of the first two games. I firmly believe they

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Speaker 1: were gonna split. I also firmly believe that they will

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Speaker 1: steal a game in Boston. I still subscribe to the

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Speaker 1: best player in the series usually gives his team a

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Speaker 1: chance to gives his team a little bit of an edge,

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Speaker 1: which is why I have the Warriors and six, but

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Speaker 1: also bought them at seven. And Steph Curry so far

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Speaker 1: as the best player in this series, and uh, you can't,

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Speaker 1: you can't. You can't give me that look that more.

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Speaker 1: That's just fact right now. He has been a game

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Speaker 1: changer in this series. When he wasn't playing well in

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Speaker 1: the third quarter and the fourth quarter, the Warriors blow

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Speaker 1: their lead when they weren't shooting well. When he is

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Speaker 1: on fire and playing at full capacity and hitting shots

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Speaker 1: that nobody should be hitting except for him, the Warriors

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Speaker 1: go on and they dominate that game. And my feeling

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Speaker 1: on this series the entire time has been the Warriors

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Speaker 1: ceiling on scoring is higher than the Celtics, and when

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Speaker 1: everything is going right for them, they have an opportunity

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Speaker 1: just by virtue of the way the games are played,

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Speaker 1: to outscore Boston. We saw them in stark contrast. We

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Speaker 1: saw that theory exactly proven right in Game one in

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Speaker 1: that they kind of shipped the bed when they got

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Speaker 1: into the second half. At the end of the first half,

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Speaker 1: they couldn't score. In the fourth quarter, they couldn't score

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Speaker 1: for all the reasons why we think they can score

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Speaker 1: is a little bit like do basketball. When they hit threes.

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Speaker 1: They're unstoppable. When they don't, they can't. I am betting

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Speaker 1: on the fact that the Warriors will find ways to

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Speaker 1: hit the reads and score more often than go cold

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Speaker 1: in this NBA Finals. Jason tim before Matt more can

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Speaker 1: respond to me because I know he's got something he

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Speaker 1: wants to say talk to me. So one of the

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Speaker 1: things that Matt mentioned that I believe very strongly, and

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Speaker 1: especially in the playoff series where you're trying to get

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Speaker 1: a feel for process, because in a short sample size,

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Speaker 1: wild things can happen, right, Like in Game one, Marcus Smart,

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Speaker 1: Derek White and Al Horford going fift from three. That's

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Speaker 1: kind of wild, right, Or like in game two you

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Speaker 1: get Jordan Poole hitting half course shot. You know, like

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Speaker 1: there's all these kind of random things that can happen. Um.

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Speaker 1: But you look at process, you look at what, like

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Speaker 1: which team you know? I like, I like the way

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Speaker 1: Matt said it. Like it just the game looks a

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Speaker 1: little bit easier for Boston in the sense that to

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Speaker 1: get to their spots where they want to get to

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Speaker 1: to get the kinds of shots that they want to

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Speaker 1: get when they really lock in defensively and they need

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Speaker 1: to contain a certain matchup that feels like they're more

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Speaker 1: capable of doing so physically. The problem is they don't

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Speaker 1: get to that high end of their two way basketball

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Speaker 1: often enough, which is why I've always said they're the

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Speaker 1: jackal and hide team of this playoff run. I think

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Speaker 1: they're best punch is better than anybody else's best punch.

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Speaker 1: Has just been a question of whether or not that

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Speaker 1: could get there frequently enough, which is why I picked

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Speaker 1: Golden State to win this series and seven. I have

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Speaker 1: not seen enough to justify switching that pick yet, but

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Speaker 1: I do feel just slightly better about Boston now than

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Speaker 1: I did before the series. The interesting thing was in

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Speaker 1: Game one, Boston was getting incredible dribble penetration, particularly with

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Speaker 1: Jlen Brown, who's my sneaky pick for Finals m v

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Speaker 1: P of Boston wins. But the adjustment that Matt Moore

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Speaker 1: mentioned was moving Draymond Green over to Jalon Brown. Draymond

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Speaker 1: Green is allowed to be very physical and use his

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Speaker 1: hands with the way that this series is playing out,

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Speaker 1: and he just basically held Jalen Brown in his place

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Speaker 1: on the perimeter and turned him into a perimeter shooter. Basically.

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Speaker 1: In Game one, he had a leven shot attempts in

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Speaker 1: the paint. In Game two we only had four. But

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Speaker 1: the flip side of that is emmy email Judoka did

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Speaker 1: absolutely nothing to try to punish that mismatch in reverse.

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Speaker 1: So for instance, they didn't attack the offensive glass without

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Speaker 1: Horford nearly enough. They only posted up Al Horford on

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Speaker 1: Clay Thompson one time in the game where he immediately

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Speaker 1: drew a double team and then he just didn't see

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Speaker 1: the double team coming and ended up missing a shot.

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Speaker 1: But in general, I do think Boston has a lot

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Speaker 1: more moves to make um Also, I think Boston has

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Speaker 1: their best line up entirely figured out. Derek White, Marcus Smart,

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Speaker 1: Tatum and Brown and Al Horford. That's who they're gonna

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Speaker 1: go with when the chips are on the table, Whereas

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Speaker 1: with Golden State you could tell they're still kind of

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Speaker 1: trying to figure out, like how the perfect balance of

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00:11:32,600 --> 00:11:35,400
Speaker 1: offense and defense to go with. But at the end

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Speaker 1: of the day, I mean that I think I think

219
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Speaker 1: Fantel has basically at a coin flip right now. Right

220
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Speaker 1: Golden State is just a barely a favorite at this point.

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Speaker 1: I you're getting you're getting home court for Game seven,

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Speaker 1: for Golden State, you're getting the experience advantage. And what

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Speaker 1: I do agree with you, Chad, even though I do

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Speaker 1: think the next two three four players are probably Boston.

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Speaker 1: I think Steph is clearly far and away the best

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Speaker 1: player in the series. He's playing his best NBA Finals

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Speaker 1: he's ever played to this point, and that's, you know,

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Speaker 1: another huge card in Golden States pocket. But my point

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Speaker 1: is as if you're a Boston fan, you should be

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Speaker 1: feeling pretty good right now. Listen, Matt Moore, I'm not

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Speaker 1: letting you talk yet because I know it's killing you

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Speaker 1: that now. Jason agrees with me. Uh in my assessment,

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Speaker 1: Simon Uh even invested heavily in the Warriors, the prices

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Speaker 1: significantly lower than it was before the series. It's one one,

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Speaker 1: having seen two games, do you now start investing again

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Speaker 1: in the Warriors? Yeah? But I did, like I did,

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Speaker 1: Like Matt, we brought it up that I bought more

238
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Speaker 1: shares of Steph for m v P. It's a simple

239
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Speaker 1: fact that he's looked the best through two games in

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Speaker 1: my opinion as well on offense and the game too.

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Speaker 1: We saw his defense really show up. And these writers,

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Speaker 1: they all were talking about that. Two votes on these awards,

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Speaker 1: so they are already were gonna give him a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a leeway to win the m v P.

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Speaker 1: And the fact that he's doing on offense of the

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Speaker 1: court now, which has always been a kind of a

247
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Speaker 1: knack on him, is like, Okay, great, he showed up

248
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Speaker 1: on offense, but look how a liability was on defense.

249
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Speaker 1: That's huge. And the fact he didn play the fourth

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Speaker 1: quarter in that last game. People were talking about that.

251
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Speaker 1: I mean, the guy he is what makes them that

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Speaker 1: team go. So I bought a little bit more, not

253
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Speaker 1: enough to really like go crazy about, but I did

254
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Speaker 1: bet them again I minus one and a half to

255
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Speaker 1: win this series. Because again, as much as we're about

256
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Speaker 1: to talk to you about Boston at home court and

257
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Speaker 1: what they think has happened in Game three, we've seen

258
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Speaker 1: these playoffs. Boston has not been that good at home.

259
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Speaker 1: They've they've been much better on the road. And we

260
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Speaker 1: know Golden State through their history, loves to play on

261
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Speaker 1: the road. Draymond loves to be hated. He feeds off

262
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Speaker 1: the crowd. I think this is what Clay Thomas needs.

263
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Speaker 1: He needs to get the hell out of the same brand,

264
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Speaker 1: get out to Boston, clear his head, and I think

265
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Speaker 1: we're gonna have a really good clay game. So to me,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet money line either first game or the

267
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Speaker 1: second game. But I can get it to you. If

268
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Speaker 1: they lose first game, I'll be on the moneyline Golden

269
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Speaker 1: State second games. So start with you, Matt, what do

270
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Speaker 1: you think is gonna happen this game? Through? Heavy on Boston?

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Speaker 1: This is this is like the one spot that that

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Speaker 1: I'm really target in the series for a game that

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Speaker 1: um a couple of things. So Boston had a ton

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Speaker 1: of turnovers in Game two. That's been their Achilles heel

275
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Speaker 1: and every Celtics writer has talked about it. Uh, in

276
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Speaker 1: games after they have fourteen or more turnovers, which they

277
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Speaker 1: had in Game two. In the playoffs, the Celtics are

278
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Speaker 1: eight and three straight up, eight and three against the spread.

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Speaker 1: After losses, there's six and oh straight up six and

280
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Speaker 1: oh against the spread with the average margin of victory

281
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Speaker 1: plus fifteen and a half. Like that's defined them these

282
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Speaker 1: playoffs is their ability to bounce back from losses. They

283
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Speaker 1: haven't caught two in a row yet, but Golden State

284
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Speaker 1: after a win this postseason just six and seven against

285
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Speaker 1: the spread. Uh, that's just part of the cap on.

286
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Speaker 1: This part of it also is we've talked about some

287
00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:52,880
Speaker 1: of these things with you know, Jason brought up Draymond

288
00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:55,800
Speaker 1: Green on Jalen Brown, Like I mentioned the weird things

289
00:14:55,840 --> 00:14:57,200
Speaker 1: Boston did. So if you have Ja, if you have

290
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Speaker 1: Draymond Green on Jalen Brown, what do you want to do? Like,

291
00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:01,200
Speaker 1: you want to space him out right, you want to

292
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Speaker 1: get him out of the paint so that at least

293
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Speaker 1: he can't muck up things as a health defender. Yeah. No,

294
00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:07,920
Speaker 1: the Celtics put Jalen Brown in the dunker spot and

295
00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:12,680
Speaker 1: let Draymond Green just completely funk up the the Celtics drives.

296
00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:15,720
Speaker 1: It was absolutely insane. Uh, some of the same stuff

297
00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:18,560
Speaker 1: happened where they put Play Thompson on Robert Williams, so

298
00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:20,600
Speaker 1: Robert Williams can't do anything else, so he's in the

299
00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:22,960
Speaker 1: dunker spot, and that contributed to how bad Boston was

300
00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:25,360
Speaker 1: from two point range. So you got celt you've got

301
00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:30,080
Speaker 1: bad Celtics adjustments, lack of Celtics adjustments, you've got turnover issues,

302
00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:32,480
Speaker 1: all these type of things. Two days to work on it.

303
00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:35,560
Speaker 1: I genuinely think that this is a great Boston spot.

304
00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:37,520
Speaker 1: They'll get good shooting at home now, Chad, I don't

305
00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:39,840
Speaker 1: I don't necessarily think they're gonna win two at home.

306
00:15:39,880 --> 00:15:42,440
Speaker 1: I think it's possible, but I kind of lean towards

307
00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:45,600
Speaker 1: Golden State winning to put this at two two in

308
00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:48,280
Speaker 1: game four. But I do like Boston very much in

309
00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:50,560
Speaker 1: the spot based off of what I've seen from the

310
00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:53,440
Speaker 1: adjustments how these games have played out. So on the

311
00:15:53,440 --> 00:15:55,680
Speaker 1: Steph Curry front, Look, if you're gonna bet Warriors, I

312
00:15:55,680 --> 00:15:58,200
Speaker 1: think Steph Curry is probably the best value here. Right.

313
00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:01,560
Speaker 1: You don't have to worry about them winning three of

314
00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:03,200
Speaker 1: the next four. You don't have to worry about that

315
00:16:03,280 --> 00:16:04,800
Speaker 1: in order to make sure that you don't avoid the

316
00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:06,560
Speaker 1: game seven if you're doing the MIAs one and a half.

317
00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:08,440
Speaker 1: So if you're gonna bet it, just bet Steph Curry.

318
00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:11,120
Speaker 1: Because I think Simon's right, like he's gonna win. He's

319
00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:16,960
Speaker 1: been the best player in the series. I guess like

320
00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:19,360
Speaker 1: a lot of this is if you actually look at

321
00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:21,880
Speaker 1: what happened. Here's what happened Game one. The Celtics screwed

322
00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:24,080
Speaker 1: up their coverage and played drop against him, and everyone

323
00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:26,360
Speaker 1: was like, what are you doing? He goes five or

324
00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:29,880
Speaker 1: sixteen and quarters too through four in Game one second

325
00:16:30,240 --> 00:16:33,160
Speaker 1: game right, he has twenty eight points on twenty one shots.

326
00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:36,760
Speaker 1: Good efficiency, It's not otherworldly. And really, when you go

327
00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:38,880
Speaker 1: back and you break it down, here's what happened in

328
00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:42,920
Speaker 1: the third quarter. They did things like, hey, let's play

329
00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:45,520
Speaker 1: Daniel Tye and have him played drop against Steph Curry

330
00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:47,800
Speaker 1: and see what happens. To the point that I'm like,

331
00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:50,160
Speaker 1: was Udoka just like lulling them into a false sense

332
00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:53,640
Speaker 1: of security. What's happening here? So if you like the Warriors,

333
00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:55,920
Speaker 1: I think Steph Curry is the play because plays Thompson

334
00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:59,120
Speaker 1: has been so bad in games one and two, so

335
00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:01,200
Speaker 1: bad in games one and two. I have a hard

336
00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,440
Speaker 1: time seeing anybody being able to get the scoring up

337
00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:07,760
Speaker 1: to where it's like, I guess the defaults is Steph Curry.

338
00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:12,000
Speaker 1: But ultimately, like I don't necessarily like to me, Curry

339
00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:14,800
Speaker 1: is not solving the good coverage that the Celtics bring

340
00:17:14,840 --> 00:17:18,680
Speaker 1: on him. The Celtics have just had breakdowns, really inexplicable ones,

341
00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,760
Speaker 1: and when they've been locked in, Steps having a hard

342
00:17:21,800 --> 00:17:23,800
Speaker 1: time because he doesn't want to run picking a roll

343
00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:26,040
Speaker 1: fifty times like he did in Game two. That's not

344
00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:27,960
Speaker 1: what he wants to do. That's not their offense. They're

345
00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,000
Speaker 1: out of their comfort zone right now, and I think

346
00:17:30,040 --> 00:17:36,680
Speaker 1: that matters. So sometimes I wonder, you know, Simon and I,

347
00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:42,320
Speaker 1: we're NFL experts, NFL betting experts say that with all humility,

348
00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:49,560
Speaker 1: and yet sometimes because we are so inside of the game, Yeah,

349
00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:52,720
Speaker 1: it becomes harder for us to make the right decision

350
00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:56,560
Speaker 1: when we're betting. And I feel like when I'm listening

351
00:17:56,600 --> 00:18:03,640
Speaker 1: to hardcore inside NBA analysts like Jason and Matt, but

352
00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:06,119
Speaker 1: more so Mad than Jason, because Jason agrees with me

353
00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:11,879
Speaker 1: Um just in this case, just Matt. They keep accounting

354
00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:16,440
Speaker 1: for inconsistencies in Boston as if this isn't going to happen,

355
00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:21,320
Speaker 1: when we've seen the evidence. It happens literally in every

356
00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:26,960
Speaker 1: single playoff series, no joke. First game of the playoffs,

357
00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:30,320
Speaker 1: they are killing the nets, and the nets in the

358
00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:34,240
Speaker 1: final three minutes outscore the Celtics, going on a crazy run.

359
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:37,320
Speaker 1: The Celtics let Kyrie run loose, and they need a

360
00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:41,400
Speaker 1: miracle slashing layoup from Jason Tatum to win that game,

361
00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:44,160
Speaker 1: and even the rest of the games were close, even

362
00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:46,560
Speaker 1: though they won that for nothing, and throughout the rest

363
00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:49,520
Speaker 1: of the series, we see they don't beat the box

364
00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:52,880
Speaker 1: without Chris Middleton going down, Jimmy Butler misses a wide

365
00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:55,960
Speaker 1: open three, they lose that game. In Game seven, they

366
00:18:56,000 --> 00:19:00,360
Speaker 1: had plenty of inconsistent performances against the Heat. Why am

367
00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:02,560
Speaker 1: I to believe that they're not going to continue to

368
00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:05,080
Speaker 1: do that and give the Warriors chances to win? Matt More,

369
00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:06,840
Speaker 1: you say they're going to clean it up. I say

370
00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:09,639
Speaker 1: it's gonna keep happening. I say, this is the Warriors

371
00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:15,360
Speaker 1: series to lose in six. I'm I say that you're right,

372
00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:17,080
Speaker 1: but they probably are gonna keep doing this. But you

373
00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:19,240
Speaker 1: also can't look at Golden State you want to talk

374
00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 1: about like like oh they're doing They're noting those Warriors

375
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:24,600
Speaker 1: are gonna screw around, like getting beat by fifty in

376
00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:28,520
Speaker 1: Game five versus the Memphis Grizzlies. Like this has been

377
00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:31,120
Speaker 1: Golden State's m O the whole time. Like the defining

378
00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:33,280
Speaker 1: moment for me of the Warrior's entire time is not

379
00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:36,520
Speaker 1: any sort of heroic championship moment. It's Steph Curry throwing

380
00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:39,000
Speaker 1: the ball out of bounds in Game seven after being

381
00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:41,120
Speaker 1: up three one. This is who they are. You want

382
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,040
Speaker 1: to like, I agree with you. This sometimes we can

383
00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:44,439
Speaker 1: get too much in the weeds, so we can like

384
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,920
Speaker 1: bring it back. Who's been the best team since January nine,

385
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:51,440
Speaker 1: over five months of basketball, It's been the Boston Celtics.

386
00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:55,000
Speaker 1: Just they've been better. Uh you talk about, well, the

387
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:59,119
Speaker 1: Warriors have a higher ceiling. The Celtics entire design is

388
00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:01,600
Speaker 1: to keep you from getting there. That's why they've had

389
00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:03,600
Speaker 1: the best defense in the league. One that's been you know,

390
00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:05,719
Speaker 1: talked about is one of the better ones ever. I

391
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:07,760
Speaker 1: don't go that far. I think that's ridiculous. This is

392
00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:10,719
Speaker 1: not the O four Pistons, but it's a really by

393
00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:12,920
Speaker 1: the numbers, that's one of the better defenses we've seen

394
00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:15,720
Speaker 1: over the last twenty years. So you have this combination

395
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:17,320
Speaker 1: of a team that will keep you from getting to it.

396
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:20,160
Speaker 1: Plus the Warriors, they're just you see this with Clay Thompson,

397
00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:22,040
Speaker 1: you see this with Jordan Poole, you see this honestly

398
00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:24,960
Speaker 1: with Steph Curry. This is not Splash Brothers that they're

399
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:26,840
Speaker 1: just not the same team, or about this before the

400
00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:29,960
Speaker 1: finals on action. This is just not that same team.

401
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:32,200
Speaker 1: They're different. I think they're really good and they can

402
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,320
Speaker 1: definitely win the championship. Like I don't think this is

403
00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:36,959
Speaker 1: a lot by any means, But we're looking at value

404
00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:40,560
Speaker 1: with a team that stole one on the road already,

405
00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:44,280
Speaker 1: that has won the first half in both of these games,

406
00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:47,359
Speaker 1: that's had a huge advantage in terms of how they

407
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:51,240
Speaker 1: make the tactical matchup decisions. I personally can't get into

408
00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:52,960
Speaker 1: any sort of idea that this is like, oh yeah,

409
00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:55,000
Speaker 1: the Warriors have got this. I think you're looking at

410
00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:57,520
Speaker 1: the value now right now. The war the Celtics are

411
00:20:57,520 --> 00:20:58,880
Speaker 1: favored in a lot of spots. I think you wait

412
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:00,520
Speaker 1: until the Celtics lose again if you want to come

413
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:02,280
Speaker 1: back in on them, Like I think there's a good

414
00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:04,240
Speaker 1: chance that there's a good spot to bet Warriors after

415
00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:06,200
Speaker 1: Game three because I think the Celtics are gonna win

416
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,399
Speaker 1: Game three. We look at the again, the history of

417
00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:12,560
Speaker 1: how they've played after they lose says that the Boston

418
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:14,760
Speaker 1: Celtics are probably gonna win Game three at home. And

419
00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:16,400
Speaker 1: I think that's a good spot for you to get

420
00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:18,440
Speaker 1: back in on the Warriors or hedge. I think that's

421
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,760
Speaker 1: a perfectly find spot because I do think Golden State's

422
00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:24,600
Speaker 1: really good. But if we're talking about the matchup, if

423
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,000
Speaker 1: we're talking about team quality. If we if we step

424
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,639
Speaker 1: back and we just go, okay, like, who's the best

425
00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:31,920
Speaker 1: player on the team, Steff in between the two series,

426
00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:35,280
Speaker 1: Steph Curry, all Right, who's more easily able to actually

427
00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:37,520
Speaker 1: influence things? Well, it's Jayson Tatum because he can run,

428
00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:40,280
Speaker 1: pick and roll more. That's Jason Tatum. He's been amazing.

429
00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:42,600
Speaker 1: He doesn't need to run five off ball screens to

430
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,440
Speaker 1: get an open three. So all these kind of factors combine,

431
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:48,320
Speaker 1: you go down the list of the remaining players. Marcus

432
00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 1: Smart hasn't played well yet, Jalen Brown honestly hasn't played

433
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:53,199
Speaker 1: great yet. I think there's way more upside for the

434
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:59,280
Speaker 1: Boston Celtics in this series six. Steph Curry would never

435
00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:02,160
Speaker 1: go But Jason, just real quick, I want to hear

436
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:03,840
Speaker 1: what your view is on Game three? Are you with him?

437
00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:06,240
Speaker 1: Are you just like Boston continues a trend? They just

438
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 1: bounced back this whole playoffs after after a loss. I'm again,

439
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:11,840
Speaker 1: I love going against trends like that because they're due,

440
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:13,600
Speaker 1: But I would love hear what your view is on that.

441
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,600
Speaker 1: Let me just set some context here right now, the

442
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:23,000
Speaker 1: Celtics are three and a half point favorites in game.

443
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 1: So my head is exactly where Chat is in terms

444
00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 1: of like the my dealing with the Celtics team this

445
00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:33,479
Speaker 1: entire playoff run. I've never seen a team that like

446
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:36,840
Speaker 1: is so allergic to success, meaning like they struggle to

447
00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:40,320
Speaker 1: identify why they're winning and they immediately go away from

448
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 1: those things. Their shot selection in game two was appalling.

449
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:47,400
Speaker 1: There was just a hilarious sequence where Tatum had Numania

450
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:50,439
Speaker 1: be elitza Golden State's worst defender, on a switch and

451
00:22:50,480 --> 00:22:52,560
Speaker 1: he passed out of it, didn't take a shot. They

452
00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:54,320
Speaker 1: went down, they got a step to stop, he came

453
00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:57,160
Speaker 1: back down and shot an early clock pull up three

454
00:22:57,280 --> 00:22:59,640
Speaker 1: over Andrew Wiggins and made it. And I'm literally sitting

455
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:01,520
Speaker 1: there and I'm like, how is it that you wouldn't

456
00:23:01,520 --> 00:23:03,600
Speaker 1: shoot on their worst defender and then you took an

457
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 1: early clock pull up three on their best defender. I'm like,

458
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:07,679
Speaker 1: what are you doing? Man? But that's the That's the

459
00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,359
Speaker 1: entirety of the way this Celtics team has approached every

460
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:12,920
Speaker 1: single game in this playoff run. It's like it's literally

461
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:16,359
Speaker 1: just incredibly volatile. Now to the point about the home

462
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 1: road thing, I don't think it's about a home road thing.

463
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 1: Some teams psychologically are just unaffected by the arena. The

464
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:25,119
Speaker 1: Celtics are one of those teams. They're just an inconsistent team,

465
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,400
Speaker 1: which means they're gonna lose at home just like they're

466
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:29,760
Speaker 1: gonna lose on the road on the road. So the

467
00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 1: way I look at it, I think this Game three

468
00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:35,440
Speaker 1: will be the most dominant Boston game of this playoff run,

469
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:37,880
Speaker 1: the best game that they will have played in this

470
00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:41,160
Speaker 1: entire run. The I think it's the first NBA Finals

471
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:43,760
Speaker 1: game at home for Boston since what two thousand ten,

472
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:48,040
Speaker 1: so you can expect just an incredible environment in that arena.

473
00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:52,320
Speaker 1: The Celtics just got their butts kicked, which, to Matt's point,

474
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,120
Speaker 1: every time that's happened in this playoff run, not only

475
00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:59,199
Speaker 1: have they responded, they've responded resoundingly. They come out and

476
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:02,360
Speaker 1: kick your as in the next game. So from that standpoint,

477
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 1: I think, and then also Golden State is a famous

478
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,120
Speaker 1: team that when things start to go bad, they'll pack

479
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:09,120
Speaker 1: it in for the next night because their veterans. They'll

480
00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:11,399
Speaker 1: bench guys in the fourth quarter. They've got that guys

481
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:13,440
Speaker 1: dealing with injuries. Out of Porter has got a foot thing.

482
00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:16,680
Speaker 1: Everybody's banged up, right, So I think this is the

483
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:20,359
Speaker 1: resounding Boston blowout. Game is Game three. But then to

484
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,280
Speaker 1: Simon's point, I'd be sitting there at Game four, like, man,

485
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,720
Speaker 1: that Golden State line looks really interesting, because, like, I

486
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 1: just don't expect them to replicate that performance. When someone

487
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 1: tells you repeatedly exactly who they are, I'm inconsistent, then

488
00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:35,959
Speaker 1: you should believe them. And Boston has told you they

489
00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:40,440
Speaker 1: are inconsistent. The NBA Finals are here, and so is

490
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518
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Speaker 1: dot net in West Virginia. Hey, Matt, how are you

519
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 1: thinking about player props now that we've had a two

520
00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 1: games sample size you look at so many people bet

521
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:30,119
Speaker 1: Jayson Tatum over twenty six and a half, twenty seven,

522
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,920
Speaker 1: twenty seven and a half. I know you actually had

523
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:36,159
Speaker 1: an outline by the way, like Warriors minus nine or

524
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,920
Speaker 1: something like that, So good job in that one. Uh.

525
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,480
Speaker 1: A lot of people liked Andrew Wiggins over sixteen and

526
00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:43,480
Speaker 1: a half he had eleven. A lot of people like

527
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:47,480
Speaker 1: the Auto Porter over southern and half points he had three. Um,

528
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:52,320
Speaker 1: how are you thinking about props during the series when

529
00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:55,399
Speaker 1: teams are playing each other only against each other and

530
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 1: you're starting to see adjustments your handicap props a little

531
00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:00,879
Speaker 1: bit differently, I would imagine. Yeah. So one of the

532
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:02,840
Speaker 1: things that we've really tried to target in on the playoffs,

533
00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:04,960
Speaker 1: on on the Action NBA side is trying to look

534
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:08,159
Speaker 1: at who's gonna get written out of the rotation. For me,

535
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:10,400
Speaker 1: the biggest targeted honestly, and this will probably surprise Jason

536
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,680
Speaker 1: little bit, it's Robert Williams. I actually think Robert Williams

537
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:15,639
Speaker 1: is gonna be a problem for Boston in terms of

538
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:17,840
Speaker 1: trying to like they need to go small when they

539
00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:19,520
Speaker 1: have Williams on the court, It's like, oh, what a

540
00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 1: massive block by him? Oh, he stayed back and allowed

541
00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:26,280
Speaker 1: Steph Curry to shoot three threes off the bounce. That's

542
00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:28,120
Speaker 1: that's not what you want, like you makes Steph Curry

543
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:31,159
Speaker 1: make layups and so Um, I think Williams is going

544
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,440
Speaker 1: to be a spot. But the problem is we run

545
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:35,080
Speaker 1: into this all the time of do you want to

546
00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,280
Speaker 1: get ahead of the of the coaching adjustment or do

547
00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:40,280
Speaker 1: you want to wait for it? And with Kerr and Udoka,

548
00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:42,280
Speaker 1: I also have to wait for it. Um, there are

549
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:45,760
Speaker 1: some props problems. I liken this one. Wiggins had seventeen

550
00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:49,280
Speaker 1: points and rebounds and only played thirty minutes. That game

551
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,399
Speaker 1: is not a blowout. If Boston just doesn't completely shut

552
00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:56,080
Speaker 1: the bed offensively, he probably gets there. Steph Curry ten

553
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:58,840
Speaker 1: a half over assistant rebounds was a really painful one.

554
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 1: He had ten over ten and a half. He had ten.

555
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 1: I got hit by the hook and he sits the

556
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:07,120
Speaker 1: entire fourth quarter. I'm back on that for Game three.

557
00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:09,280
Speaker 1: I like assistant rebounds for Curry with where this is

558
00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:13,600
Speaker 1: gonna gonna go, even with expecting a Boston win in

559
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:18,960
Speaker 1: this one. Uh, Brandon Anderson, who will not hesitate to

560
00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:22,640
Speaker 1: always tell me how he would have known better? Um,

561
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:26,560
Speaker 1: as he constantly victory laps on buckets. Our podcast, he

562
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:28,440
Speaker 1: was like, why were you guys betting the Tatum over

563
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,080
Speaker 1: assist prop? Because when the Celtic you all thought the

564
00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:34,400
Speaker 1: Celtics were gonna lose Game two, And when the Celtics lose,

565
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 1: Tatum doesn't get assist and his assist prop is like

566
00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:41,320
Speaker 1: plus three over the line in wins. So this is, obviously,

567
00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:43,800
Speaker 1: I think a great spot to that Tatum over on assist.

568
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:46,960
Speaker 1: I tailed Raybon because he's been red hot in Game

569
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 1: two and that was a miss, but I think this

570
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 1: is a much better spot for it. The other one

571
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:53,680
Speaker 1: I really like here honestly is Okay, we think that

572
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:57,840
Speaker 1: Williams might play less, who plays more? And it's Al Horford.

573
00:28:57,880 --> 00:28:59,840
Speaker 1: Al Horford I think gets a ton of minutes. I

574
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 1: also found this at home. Horford is averaging three point

575
00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:06,520
Speaker 1: six assists. That's a huge differential from his road splits

576
00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:09,480
Speaker 1: and so his rebounds and assists only. So we just

577
00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 1: think that he's gonna play a lot of five, get

578
00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:13,440
Speaker 1: a lot of rebounds, but probably crash the offensive glass

579
00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 1: a lot more. Jason talked about that adjustment. Twelve and

580
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:19,560
Speaker 1: a half over is plus one oh four so that

581
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 1: gets us a really kind of a good number. They're

582
00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:23,280
Speaker 1: getting a plus number, and what I think it is

583
00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:25,040
Speaker 1: a good spot for al Horford. That's where I'm looking

584
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:28,480
Speaker 1: at for props. But as a general strategy, I think

585
00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 1: that you need to try and stay away from the

586
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:32,520
Speaker 1: obvious ones unless it's something like, oh, I think the

587
00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:34,160
Speaker 1: Warriors are gonna win and the only way they win

588
00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 1: as if Steff has a huge game, some bed step overs,

589
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:38,320
Speaker 1: you should try and correlate those a little bit. But

590
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:40,200
Speaker 1: other than that may be alternate markets for things like

591
00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:44,240
Speaker 1: assistant rebounds is where there's more value. That is really

592
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:48,000
Speaker 1: good advice. Mam More, Um, I don't know. I feel

593
00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:49,680
Speaker 1: like we've covered it all. I feel like we've covered

594
00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:51,840
Speaker 1: game three. I feel like we covered potential m v

595
00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:54,560
Speaker 1: P s. I feel like we covered sort of who

596
00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:57,120
Speaker 1: we like for the future. We covered player props. What

597
00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:58,880
Speaker 1: is it, Matt More? You want to say something? I

598
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:00,640
Speaker 1: have two things before we get out of here. At one,

599
00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 1: steph Curry has two games where he's had worse than

600
00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 1: a minus thirty six. Thank you, Simon. And then and too,

601
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:10,360
Speaker 1: I'm excited back on here next week to be told

602
00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:12,480
Speaker 1: how I'm I'm totally crazy that the Celtics gonna win

603
00:30:12,520 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 1: when they're up three to really really quickly. Jalen Brown

604
00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 1: is plus seven fifty to win Finals MVP. Now, regardless

605
00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:22,360
Speaker 1: of how you feel about the series, that's one hell

606
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:24,280
Speaker 1: of a number and most importantly, match just hit on

607
00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:26,920
Speaker 1: this with Live Moods today on Instagram. I was talking

608
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,680
Speaker 1: about how I liked tatums over assists at five and

609
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:33,000
Speaker 1: a half. The big thing there is it's breaking down

610
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:36,200
Speaker 1: with the way golden status guarding that the best dynamic

611
00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:38,720
Speaker 1: for Boston is Tatum to almost play decoy just to

612
00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:41,120
Speaker 1: get dribble penetration and kick out and start their driving

613
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 1: kick and for Jalen Brown to be there, let him

614
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:47,680
Speaker 1: loose gunning score and I could see him. I think

615
00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:49,280
Speaker 1: he's only twenty two and a half or is over

616
00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:52,440
Speaker 1: under points tonight, which I really like, and for the series,

617
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:55,800
Speaker 1: I could see him being just placed in terms of

618
00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:58,640
Speaker 1: his role on the team as the dynamic score. There's

619
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:02,400
Speaker 1: a real there's a real possible outcome here where Boston

620
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:05,400
Speaker 1: wins your average twenty six points. Tatum has an inefficient,

621
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:07,640
Speaker 1: low scoring series and he ends up getting Finals MVP

622
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:11,160
Speaker 1: and plus seven fifties an incredible number there. Wow, that

623
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 1: is really good. I think Matt Morris shaking his head,

624
00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:15,720
Speaker 1: he likes that too. I think if you like the Celtics,

625
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,560
Speaker 1: you bet Jyalen Brown m VP. If you like the Warriors,

626
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:21,240
Speaker 1: you bet Steph Curry MVP. Like to win the series.

627
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 1: The number is built in that people are sitting out

628
00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:25,160
Speaker 1: there are four you to one fifty one tickets on

629
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:27,640
Speaker 1: the Celtics right now to win the NBA Championship. Like

630
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:31,080
Speaker 1: the Celtics were a huge, huge, huge dog to win

631
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:33,320
Speaker 1: it all. So when you keep people keep reaching out

632
00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:35,600
Speaker 1: there like why is this line so fishy? Like why

633
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 1: are the Warriors only minus one fifteen? It's a lot

634
00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 1: of that that's built into it. Also, the bookmakers are

635
00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 1: they they're following a trend. They believe Boston will win

636
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:46,880
Speaker 1: a game after they lose, so right now and their

637
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:49,280
Speaker 1: mind they have Boston winning the next game. So I

638
00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:50,960
Speaker 1: know a lot of people have asked about the minus

639
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,640
Speaker 1: one fifty minus one tent for the series price. I

640
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 1: don't think it's fishy. If you like the number, take it.

641
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Speaker 1: It's not. I just want to overthinking people are kind

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Speaker 1: of overthinking it. There's a lot that goes into it again. End.

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Speaker 1: There's people sitting on four to one Boston to win

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00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:05,120
Speaker 1: it All tickets, it's the books. If Boston wins it all,

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00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:07,680
Speaker 1: they're probably gonna take a law. So it's something to

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Speaker 1: keep in mind when you're betting these serious prices. Don't

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Speaker 1: over think it. Keep it simple, stupid. That's what we

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Speaker 1: do here on the Favorites podcast on the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: For Jason timp from the Volume Podcast Network. For Matt

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00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:27,320
Speaker 1: Moore from the Action Network. For Simon Hunter, my co host.

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Speaker 1: This has been the Favorites Podcast. Download us from Apple podcasts,

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00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:34,320
Speaker 1: from Spotify, wherever you get your podcast. Leave us a

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00:32:34,360 --> 00:32:37,719
Speaker 1: five star reviews, say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift.

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Speaker 1: Until next time, I Love you,