1 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Tuesday morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. 2 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Matt parolt here off a betting pros 3 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 1: dot Com back for another day of picks, and well, 4 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: Monday did not go very well. I should go back 5 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:24,279 Speaker 1: in the hospital. It was better in the hospital then 6 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 1: one in four yesterday. That was not what we wanted. 7 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: And well, that's just one of those things, right, You're 8 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 1: gonna cool off. You're gonna come back down to earth 9 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 1: when eight and three over three days and come back 10 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 1: down to earth crashing picking five games. I shouldn't have 11 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 1: picked five games, but I'm gonna go back to the 12 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 1: well here, and I am a little bit nervous about 13 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 1: doing it. I'm gonna be honest, because I could. I 14 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 1: could put us into a hole here that is gonna 15 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 1: be very tough to get out of on a Tuesday. 16 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:52,839 Speaker 1: I normally don't like to come firing out of the 17 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 1: gate with four plays on Tuesday and five plays on Monday. 18 00:00:56,480 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 1: But this is a very unique set of circumstances, and well, 19 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 1: I'm just having a lot of fun with this, and 20 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 1: hopefully you guys are enjoying the podcast, and hopefully you 21 00:01:05,480 --> 00:01:08,399 Speaker 1: guys are enjoying what we're doing and you're along for 22 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 1: the ride. I'm loving me the interaction on Twitter. My 23 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 1: Twitter handle is at sports Talk Matt. You guys are 24 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 1: sweating these games with me, and it's really really fun 25 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: and I'm really enjoying it. And so look at I 26 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: think when it comes to making plays and picks, you've 27 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:25,840 Speaker 1: got to be within your own means. And I want 28 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 1: to reiterate something here at the top. I've talked about 29 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 1: flat wagering a lot. We've got my record for the 30 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 1: month of July, the first four weeks of the Deal 31 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:35,199 Speaker 1: Juice podcast. I'll get to that here in a second. 32 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: Can those Some of you guys are curious about how 33 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: many units I'm up, But I think it's really important 34 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: to remember that the downward turn is always going to happen. 35 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: It's always gonna happen. We're always gonna the second week 36 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: of this podcast, i went three and nine. Okay, that's 37 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:54,320 Speaker 1: gonna happen. You're gonna have bad weeks. We are in 38 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:56,840 Speaker 1: this for the long term, the long game. One of 39 00:01:56,840 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: you guys on Twitter reached out to me and said 40 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 1: that you listen to my talk about really liking one 41 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 1: of the plays yesterday and you doubled up. You went 42 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 1: on two units because you thought I was so adamant 43 00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 1: about it, and you just bought into it. I'm gonna 44 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:12,040 Speaker 1: sell you on the picks because I believe in the picks. 45 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:14,679 Speaker 1: This is my money. I'm betting with you, guys. I'm 46 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 1: not like throwing up picks and being like, oh, I'm 47 00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 1: not playing. When you lose, I lose. So like, if 48 00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:22,360 Speaker 1: you guys want to come after me and say, like, Matt, 49 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 1: why did you do that? Or well that was stupid 50 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:27,680 Speaker 1: of you. Okay, but guess what, I'm losing two. But 51 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 1: bank roll management is really important, Okay, So don't go crazy. 52 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 1: Don't go firing two units or three units on a game, 53 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: and we do everything based off one hundred dollars. I 54 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:39,919 Speaker 1: don't know what your unit is, but if your unit 55 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 1: is two hundred dollars or five hundred dollars or whatever 56 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 1: it is, you've got to do it within your own means. 57 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:46,640 Speaker 1: You got to be careful, Okay, don't go crazy. And 58 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:49,399 Speaker 1: just because you're on a heater doesn't mean the other 59 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 1: side it's not gonna hit and happen. So just keep 60 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:54,959 Speaker 1: that in mind. Okay. I don't want any of you 61 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 1: guys to get into trouble. Nobody should be spending too 62 00:02:57,600 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 1: much money here. No one should be going above and 63 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 1: be on their means when it comes to betting. This 64 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 1: is entertainment, This is fun, and just have skin in 65 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 1: the game, Okay, enjoy it, have a good time, and look, 66 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 1: we're gonna roll with the bad times together. We're gonna 67 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 1: celebrate the victories together. Right. So that's the idea, that's 68 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 1: what we're all trying to do here. So I just 69 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: want to reiterate that that I do believe in flat wagering, 70 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 1: and just because I may sell a pick harder than 71 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: another one, unless I'm telling you to put two units down, 72 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:26,520 Speaker 1: and I have yet to do that in the five 73 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:28,920 Speaker 1: weeks we've been doing this podcast. I've told you to 74 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:32,040 Speaker 1: bet half units, but I haven't told you to bet 75 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 1: bet two units. Normally, if I don't specify, it's a 76 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 1: one unit flat wager play. So just wanted to say 77 00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 1: that at the top before we get to the recap 78 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 1: of Monday and talk about what's gonna happen here on 79 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: a Tuesday morning for our picks. So the guys at 80 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:47,840 Speaker 1: Betting Pros have been keeping track of this, and I 81 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 1: feel like this is accurate. I know there's a couple 82 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:51,640 Speaker 1: of discrepancies we had going back and forth, but for 83 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 1: the most part, for the first month of the year, 84 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:56,560 Speaker 1: what we went was thirty two and twenty four. That 85 00:03:56,640 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: was our record. I thought I was thirty one. They 86 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 1: think I'm thirty two. I think I'm up for like 87 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 1: four four and a half units. They think it's three 88 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 1: point eighty five. Whatever, it's fine, We're gonna go with those. 89 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: Thirty two and twenty four is the official mark. That's 90 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 1: what they've been keeping track of, and we're basically up 91 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:15,360 Speaker 1: four units going into this month. I'm gonna go month 92 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:18,120 Speaker 1: by month because right now we just want to went 93 00:04:18,200 --> 00:04:21,480 Speaker 1: one and four. So clearly we're down a bunch here 94 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 1: in the first day, you know, the Monday, or the 95 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 1: first week of week five. But we're gonna go month 96 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 1: by month. It's a long month. We're in this for 97 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 1: the long haul. We're not looking at this from the 98 00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 1: short term perspective, long term perspective. So month number one 99 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 1: thirty two and twenty four, and we're up basically four units, 100 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: So we're gonna try to go from there. We're gonna 101 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 1: go here into our second month and We're just gonna 102 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 1: try to stack winning months on top of each other. 103 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 1: We're gonna have bad weeks in bad days, just part 104 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 1: of the game and part of the fun of sports gambling. 105 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:53,160 Speaker 1: So one in four yesterday brutal, right, just absolutely brutal. 106 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:56,920 Speaker 1: Got our teeth kicked in in really bad ways. So 107 00:04:57,120 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: we start with what happened in basketball. Memphis does not 108 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:04,600 Speaker 1: come close to covering that plus four against the Pelicans, 109 00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:08,760 Speaker 1: and man, John Morant killed us five of twenty one 110 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:11,159 Speaker 1: for John Moran, he just couldn't hit a shot. It 111 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 1: was a good game, I mean, big lead for the Pelicans. 112 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 1: I felt like Memphis fought really hard and they just 113 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: kind of ran out of gas, and so did Zion 114 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 1: for that matter. He flat out ran a gas too. 115 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:22,600 Speaker 1: But he made some plays down the stretch and he 116 00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 1: was in there in the fourth quarter. And of course, 117 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:26,599 Speaker 1: right this is the game, not the first game that 118 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: we thought Zion would play big minutes or at least 119 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:31,160 Speaker 1: good minutes down the stretch. This is the game where 120 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 1: he plays down the stretch and he looked completely out 121 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 1: of shape. I mean, that dude has got to get 122 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 1: a nutritionist tomorrow and he has to start eating right 123 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 1: because he is just way too big for an NBA 124 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 1: basketball player want to play in the NFL, go right ahead, 125 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:46,280 Speaker 1: but he suck and win too much, and he just 126 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 1: isn't in shape. And why isn't he in shape at all? 127 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:50,720 Speaker 1: I mean, it's a little weird that they had all 128 00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 1: this time in quarantine and what was he doing. So 129 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:56,840 Speaker 1: Zion's body is definitely a concern for that team going forward. 130 00:05:56,839 --> 00:06:00,360 Speaker 1: But we lose that bet. Lakers Utah came down to 131 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,359 Speaker 1: just a couple of possessions. Man, I got really the 132 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 1: second quarter killed us. I knew I was in trouble 133 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:07,839 Speaker 1: the second that I saw that they scored think fifty 134 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 1: five points at halftime. That was dangerous. The under one 135 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:13,599 Speaker 1: oh six and a half. They hit a three and 136 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:16,599 Speaker 1: got fouled. That pushed it over and then if you 137 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 1: had the Lakers minus six, I mean, my goodness, that 138 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:22,159 Speaker 1: was a crazy sweat. We didn't play that, but that 139 00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:26,080 Speaker 1: was one of those if that three counts, the Jazz 140 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:29,920 Speaker 1: cover instead the Lakers cover, and they had they called 141 00:06:29,960 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 1: a five second call, so that Tonom Mitchell three did 142 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:35,920 Speaker 1: not count. The Lakers wind up covering that that six 143 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 1: point spread, So Lakers win there. They are the officially 144 00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 1: the number one seed in the Western Conference, by the way, 145 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 1: So watch that for their future games as to how 146 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:45,480 Speaker 1: they're going to approach this so bad loss in the 147 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 1: Laker Utah game, bad loss in the Memphis game. Got 148 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:50,919 Speaker 1: the Raptors game right. That was the only pick we 149 00:06:50,960 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 1: got right, and that was a crazy sweat or it 150 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 1: would have been an zero to five day. So we 151 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 1: got that right. They win by four, and it was 152 00:06:57,520 --> 00:07:00,120 Speaker 1: a little bit controversial at the end, but we'll take it. 153 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:03,360 Speaker 1: And we needed that victory desperately. So one and two 154 00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:05,919 Speaker 1: in the NBA yesterday, and then zero and two in 155 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 1: baseball the Rockies and the Giants. They scored five runs 156 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 1: in the first five we played the over seven and 157 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 1: a half, the total was thirteen. The two teams combined 158 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: for thirteen, So they scored a bunch of runs late, 159 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: not a bunch of runs early. We got that wrong. 160 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 1: We predicted early. Unfortunately it came late, and then we 161 00:07:24,320 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 1: got just a horrible break with Mike Soroka tearing his achilles. 162 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 1: It was three nothing, and there was a chance potentially 163 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 1: if he had stayed out there, if he'd gotten out 164 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 1: of that inning, he'd gotten, you know, out of that 165 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 1: big jam and maybe kept it at three nothing. It 166 00:07:38,840 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 1: would have been okay because potentially, you know, he comes 167 00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 1: back out there, he pitches like an ace, and maybe 168 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 1: the four and a half under hits for us. Instead 169 00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:50,360 Speaker 1: he blows his achilles out. He's done. The reliever who 170 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 1: comes in gives up a bunch of runs and the 171 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 1: Mets go on and win that game for Jacob de Gram, 172 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:58,080 Speaker 1: who was phenomenal. Degram was de Gram, But that injury 173 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 1: to Soroka is just horrible. He tears of achilles, he's 174 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:04,680 Speaker 1: done for the year, great young pitcher, and kiss a 175 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:06,840 Speaker 1: death from me here on the daily juice to go 176 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 1: ahead and give that guy a nod. So not a 177 00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 1: great not a great day at all for us. But 178 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: we're back at it here today and we've got four 179 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 1: plays for you. Like I mentioned, I'm a little concern 180 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: going back to the well this quickly with four plays. 181 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: Normally I would slow down just a little bit. Just 182 00:08:21,960 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 1: given a one in four day, you have the potential 183 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 1: to get into a really big hole. If we go 184 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 1: zero to four again, we'd be one and eight on 185 00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 1: the week. But we're gonna try it here and tiptoe in. 186 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 1: These are all one unit plays. But I don't blame 187 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:34,959 Speaker 1: you if you want to fade me or you want 188 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 1: to avoid these today because you see me going Okay, Matt, 189 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:40,560 Speaker 1: you're not seeing it this week. But here's where I am. 190 00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:43,560 Speaker 1: I'm making plays, I'm making picks. Here are the games 191 00:08:43,600 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 1: I have bet already. Let's start in the NBA with 192 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 1: the Rockets and the Blazers. You guys asked me, one 193 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 1: of you guys on Twitter asked me that the total 194 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 1: of two forty four. I said on the podcast, Hey, 195 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: auto fire right, two forty four just way too high. 196 00:08:58,520 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 1: I'm gonna backtrack off that comment just a little bit. 197 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:05,200 Speaker 1: And the reason is the Portland Trailblazers are taking on 198 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 1: the Rockets. Rockets are favored by four and a half. 199 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 1: The numbers moving. I got it at four and a half. 200 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 1: I've seen it at books at five. It might go 201 00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:15,679 Speaker 1: even higher than that by the time you get this. 202 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 1: So get this number as fast as you possibly can, 203 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 1: because this number is going to move. I think it 204 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 1: could be as high as five and a half or 205 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:25,720 Speaker 1: six by the time this game tips off. But my 206 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: play is Rockets minus four and a half against the Blazers, 207 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 1: not the under. So here's why not the under. So 208 00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 1: the Bucks shot pretty well from behind the arc. But 209 00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 1: the Rockets hit sixty shot sixty one times from behind 210 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:46,199 Speaker 1: the NBA record, hitting thirty four percent, hit twenty one 211 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:50,360 Speaker 1: of them. They're gonna have a million more. Looks. The 212 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 1: Bucks defense was pack the paint, don't let drives happen, 213 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 1: to let him shoot threes, right, That was their whole defense. 214 00:09:56,360 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 1: But Portland cannot stop the three anyway. So whether they 215 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 1: they pack it in or not, this is one of 216 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:05,600 Speaker 1: the worst teams in three point field goal percentage. Defensively, 217 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:09,640 Speaker 1: Portland gives up thirty eight percent, third worst in the NBA. 218 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:11,440 Speaker 1: So you have a team that wants to shoot a 219 00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:14,319 Speaker 1: ton of threes. They're playing incredibly fast, and you look 220 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:16,920 Speaker 1: at what the Blazers gave up one thirty five in 221 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 1: overtime within one twenty eight to the Celtics in regulation. 222 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 1: Oh no, I don't know how many points the Rockets 223 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 1: are gonna score, but I'm not getting in front of this. 224 00:10:25,840 --> 00:10:28,560 Speaker 1: I'm gonna avoid playing a total on this because I 225 00:10:28,600 --> 00:10:31,440 Speaker 1: could definitely see the under coming in. I'm just not 226 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:35,079 Speaker 1: gonna play it because the Rockets very easily could score 227 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 1: like one hundred and fifty coming up tonight, So I'm 228 00:10:38,040 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 1: not touching the total, but I am taking the Rockets 229 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:44,120 Speaker 1: minus four and a half here because I think they're 230 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:46,880 Speaker 1: going to beat up on this Portland team. They can score, 231 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:48,680 Speaker 1: they can run, but this is one of the teams 232 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 1: that's just better at them at what they do. So defensively, 233 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:54,720 Speaker 1: Portin's not very good. Houston is trying to move up 234 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 1: the ranks here in the Western Conference. I'm gonna lay 235 00:10:57,040 --> 00:10:59,599 Speaker 1: the four and a half. Take the Rockets over the 236 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 1: Blazer here coming up tonight for play number one, play 237 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:07,079 Speaker 1: number two. Staying in the NBA. I know you guys 238 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,440 Speaker 1: are gonna call this a Homer pick, but I think 239 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:12,920 Speaker 1: the Celtics against the Miami Heat. I think Boston is 240 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:16,080 Speaker 1: starting to come into form. I think they're starting to 241 00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:18,840 Speaker 1: show their might in their muscle. Jason Tatum had a 242 00:11:18,880 --> 00:11:22,360 Speaker 1: big game against the Portland trev Lazers. Boston laying three 243 00:11:22,400 --> 00:11:24,680 Speaker 1: and a half against Miami here. This is the battle 244 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 1: between the third and fourth place teams in the Eastern Conference. 245 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 1: Boston's got a two and a half game lead. This 246 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:32,560 Speaker 1: is a back to back for the Miami Heat. This 247 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:35,360 Speaker 1: is not easy. They just lost a tough one to 248 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:38,520 Speaker 1: the Raptors turning around having to play the Boston Celtics. 249 00:11:38,640 --> 00:11:42,440 Speaker 1: That is not easy on the year. Miami is five 250 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:46,640 Speaker 1: and six straight up on short rest. Boston has won 251 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 1: both games against Miami this year by eight points and 252 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:53,520 Speaker 1: nineteen points. And I think this team defensively is starting 253 00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 1: to step up and play the way that you would 254 00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 1: want if you're Brad Stevens. They're deep, Kemba Walker's minutes 255 00:11:59,120 --> 00:12:02,079 Speaker 1: are starting to go up. Enus Canter is playing really well. 256 00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:04,920 Speaker 1: I have loved Gordon Hayward and what he has looked like. 257 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:08,960 Speaker 1: Tatum and Brown maybe the best two young guard tandem 258 00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:11,839 Speaker 1: in the NBA. You combine that with Kemba Walker playing 259 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:14,839 Speaker 1: bigger minutes. I love Miami. I love what they've done. 260 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:17,600 Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler has looked great here. Glad that the COVID 261 00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:20,040 Speaker 1: thing was only a scare, no big deal. I know 262 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:22,800 Speaker 1: Miami shoots a lot of threes and that can be 263 00:12:22,840 --> 00:12:25,480 Speaker 1: a little bit scary, but I think Boston's just a 264 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 1: better basketball team, a deeper basketball team, and this is 265 00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:30,960 Speaker 1: a team right behind them. This is a big game 266 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:34,199 Speaker 1: for Boston in the seedings. They need it, they need 267 00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 1: to play well. I'm gonna lay the three and a 268 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:38,959 Speaker 1: half points and take the Boston Celtics minus three and 269 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:41,360 Speaker 1: a half against the Miami Heat for our second play, 270 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: third play. It is our first hockey play ever here 271 00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 1: on the Daily Juice. Let's talk about first period unders. 272 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,080 Speaker 1: And there is a big trend right now going on. 273 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 1: Have you've seen it? Have seen people talking about it? 274 00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 1: First period unders. So books are putting up this number 275 00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 1: first period goals more than one and a half goals 276 00:13:01,240 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 1: or under one and a half goals. That's the total 277 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:06,239 Speaker 1: number number being put up. Islanders taking on the Panthers. 278 00:13:06,280 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 1: It's an early game. It is a nine am Pacific 279 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:11,199 Speaker 1: time start twelve noon, all right, So I'm gonna be 280 00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:13,800 Speaker 1: up with coffee watching watching this game, getting ready for 281 00:13:13,840 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 1: my radio show. You've got Brabrovski versus var Alarmoff. You've 282 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:21,319 Speaker 1: got two very good goaltenders. The New York Islanders are 283 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:23,960 Speaker 1: tied with the Boston Bruins for the fewest goals giving 284 00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 1: up in the NHL. Game one was a two to 285 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:29,480 Speaker 1: one final one by the Islanders. Here. This is a 286 00:13:29,679 --> 00:13:32,839 Speaker 1: really interesting game. But I think this is a tight game. 287 00:13:33,160 --> 00:13:35,400 Speaker 1: It's a must win for the Panthers, right They don't 288 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:36,599 Speaker 1: want to go down two to zho here in a 289 00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:39,320 Speaker 1: best of five series to the Islanders. But I don't 290 00:13:39,360 --> 00:13:41,959 Speaker 1: think either goaltender is going to be off their game 291 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 1: in the first period. We're gonna play the first period 292 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 1: under one and a half goals at minus one forty 293 00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:52,200 Speaker 1: for the Islanders and the Panthers yesterday. I think first 294 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 1: period unders yesterday went six and one, I think, or 295 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:57,559 Speaker 1: maybe six and two, somewhere in that range, five and two, 296 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 1: somewhere in that range. I'm gonna ride this train and 297 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 1: I'm gonna hop on it with the Islands in the 298 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:08,079 Speaker 1: Panthers first period under one and a half goals at 299 00:14:08,160 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 1: minus one forty. You want an early morning sweat. There's 300 00:14:11,400 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 1: your game for you. And finally, our fourth play here, 301 00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 1: And like I mentioned, we've got a fourth play and 302 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 1: this might be not smart for me to do, but 303 00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:23,560 Speaker 1: here's what I'm gonna do for baseball. We've not been 304 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:26,280 Speaker 1: great in baseball, Gonna try to be better. But here's 305 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 1: where we're going. We're going with the Indians and the Reds. 306 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:31,520 Speaker 1: The Reds have won three games in a row. Cleveland 307 00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:35,000 Speaker 1: needs a victory, and Cleveland hands the ball to Shane 308 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 1: Bieber This dude is going to be one of the 309 00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 1: biggest superstars in baseball very soon. On the pitcher's mount 310 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 1: he struck out thirteen batters without allowing a walk or 311 00:14:45,160 --> 00:14:48,520 Speaker 1: a run on Thursday against the Twins. He has twenty 312 00:14:48,640 --> 00:14:51,760 Speaker 1: seven strikeouts over two stars, which is tied for the 313 00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 1: most in Major League history in a pitcher's first two 314 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:58,040 Speaker 1: starts of the year, according to MLB dot Com. And 315 00:14:58,080 --> 00:15:02,880 Speaker 1: he's facing a pitch sure who has really really bad stats, 316 00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:06,320 Speaker 1: stats that would scare you. Tyler Maylee is zero to 317 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 1: two with an eleven point three seven ERA and a 318 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:12,760 Speaker 1: two point six eight four whip two point six to 319 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 1: eight four whip in two career starts against the Cleveland Indians. 320 00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 1: This dude has been tattooed by the Cleveland Indians in 321 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 1: twenty eighteen and in twenty nineteen. Melee gave up two 322 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 1: runs and six hits over four innings on Tuesday against 323 00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:27,760 Speaker 1: the Cubs. He's got a four point five oh ERA 324 00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:31,160 Speaker 1: with four k's. But Cleveland needs a victory. I think 325 00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 1: Shane Bieber is gonna be outstanding, and I'm gonna take 326 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 1: the run line here for the Cleveland Indians minus one 327 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:41,160 Speaker 1: and a half at minus one ten against the Cincinnati 328 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:45,200 Speaker 1: Reds with Shane Bieber being outstanding. Bieber Fever is going 329 00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 1: to be electric coming up today for the Cleveland Indians 330 00:15:48,680 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 1: with another amazing start for a lineup that does strike 331 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 1: out quite a bit here for the Cincinnati Reds. We're 332 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:57,120 Speaker 1: gonna go run line minus one and a half Cleveland 333 00:15:57,240 --> 00:15:59,920 Speaker 1: versus the Cincinnati Reds. So our plays for you to reak. 334 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:02,720 Speaker 1: Rockets minus four and a half at minus one ten, 335 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 1: Boston minus three and a half at minus one ten, 336 00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 1: Islanders Panthers under one and a half goals in the 337 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:12,280 Speaker 1: first period at minus one forty, and Indians run line 338 00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 1: minus one and a half runs at minus one ten. 339 00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:17,880 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolts. Make sure you subscribe to 340 00:16:17,920 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 1: the podcast where you get your podcasts. We're making picks. 341 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:23,840 Speaker 1: Hopefully we're back with some winners tomorrow. Hopefully we're talking 342 00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 1: about a great day. Let's get it. I'm scared. I'm 343 00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: definitely nervous because normally I would pick two games and say, okay, 344 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:33,160 Speaker 1: let's lick our wounds. But we're gonna attempt to come 345 00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:35,720 Speaker 1: back here. I'm not chasing yet because we're still up. Technically, 346 00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:37,880 Speaker 1: we're still up. On units, so I'm not chasing. We're 347 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 1: still doing well. It's just one of those days where 348 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:43,760 Speaker 1: you're like, hey, after one and four day, you get 349 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 1: a little bit concerned, right, You're like, okay, but we're 350 00:16:46,920 --> 00:16:49,360 Speaker 1: gonna fire and come back with four plays. Here on 351 00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:52,800 Speaker 1: a Tuesday's Daily Juice minus Matt Parolt. Follow me on 352 00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:55,640 Speaker 1: Twitter at sports doc Matt or We're back tomorrow morning 353 00:16:55,680 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 1: for another Daily Juice podcast off bettingpros dot com.