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Speaker 1: Hey guys, So are you welcome into a Thursday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Deal Juice Podcast with me Matt Parult

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Speaker 1: here on Bettingpros dot com YouTube for the video wherever

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Speaker 1: you get your audio podcasts. Follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt or at Betting Pros on Twitter for

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros. The offer from BETMGM is still live and

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Speaker 1: still available ten dollars bet wins you one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars on any event promo Codejuice one fifty with

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Speaker 1: a new account at BETEMGM or betemgm dot com. All Right,

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Speaker 1: it's been kind of a crap week. One in one

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Speaker 1: on the overnight plays, Iowa State wins outright at Oklahoma State.

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Speaker 1: Plus four comes in, but the under gets obliterated and

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Speaker 1: it wound up being like one hundred and sixty five

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Speaker 1: points or something like that. We bet under one twenty

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Speaker 1: six and a half game was not an under went

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Speaker 1: flying over. So again, I'm going to try to talk

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Speaker 1: myself back into this idea of like stop betting unders

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Speaker 1: and overs and totals and just start betting sides because

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Speaker 1: it's just not, you know, very volatile up and down

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Speaker 1: and can be difficult to bet, and I just I

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Speaker 1: don't do all that well betting totals. I do better

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Speaker 1: betting sides. So I'm going to kind of focus a

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Speaker 1: little bit on sides. Here two college basketball games that

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Speaker 1: I got for you guys coming up here today. The

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Speaker 1: prop bets go Zher to two. A couple of prop

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Speaker 1: bets I got on my other show that I liked

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Speaker 1: a lot, and I trailed them and they both missed.

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Speaker 1: Chris Middleton over four and a half rebounds he got four,

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Speaker 1: and then Bam out of Bio over fifteen and a

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Speaker 1: half points he had six. So short there. I do

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Speaker 1: have two player props. I'll tell you right here. I

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Speaker 1: can't bet them because they're not available as of yet

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Speaker 1: because Joel Embiid props never come out overnight. But just

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Speaker 1: bet over Jewel Embiid. I mean, he's it's insane, Lakers.

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Speaker 1: You know he's gonna play crazy. Anthony Davis might limit him,

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Speaker 1: but like at the level he's playing right now, his

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Speaker 1: number probably would be thirty one and a half. He

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Speaker 1: has gone over that like a psychotic number of times,

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Speaker 1: and he is scoring forty forty five points a night,

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Speaker 1: and it's just now you've got a big spotlight on

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Speaker 1: Thursday Night with the Lakers. Bet that and on the

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Speaker 1: other end, Steph Curry shooting threes. If the books hang

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Speaker 1: a four and a half for made threes for Curry,

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Speaker 1: I would bet the under. If they hang three and

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Speaker 1: a half, I would bet the over Steph Curry so

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Speaker 1: far two for ten, one for thirteen, four for thirteen,

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Speaker 1: six for sixteen, four for eight, four for ten, two

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Speaker 1: for six, two for nine, four for eleven, one for nine,

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Speaker 1: one for ten, six for twelve. Those are the twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty two three point shooting numbers for Steph Curry made threes.

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Speaker 1: He is shooting way more twos, not shooting threes. It's

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Speaker 1: a weird thing to watch Steph Curry, like wire you

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Speaker 1: shooting threes, but he's not hitting them. And four is

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Speaker 1: the number he has gone over four twice in twenty two,

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Speaker 1: twenty two. That's it. Four as a number. If they

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Speaker 1: hang three and a half, you bet over. They bet

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Speaker 1: they hang four and a half, We bet under. Kind

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Speaker 1: of where we are with Steph Curry right now for

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Speaker 1: his three point shooting. It's bizarre because it's just not

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Speaker 1: typical for Steph Curry to shoot this poorly. But Timberwolves TNT,

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Speaker 1: they're at home. They just scored one hundred and thirty points.

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Speaker 1: They scored one hundred and thirty points against Dallas Mavericks.

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Speaker 1: We had the under in that game. We were dead

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Speaker 1: wrong on that. But Steph Curry, I mean, you think

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Speaker 1: one thirty Steph Curry scored a bunch of points, right, Nope,

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Speaker 1: Steph Curry scored eighteen points on two sorry, eighteen points

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Speaker 1: on two of ten three point shooting. For Steph Curry

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Speaker 1: in that game, it was Klay Thompson who really shot

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Speaker 1: three for five from behind the arc. Clay looked great.

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Speaker 1: Clay looked like Clay, and so maybe he takes a

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Speaker 1: bigger lead here. But under threes, four and a half,

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Speaker 1: if it's four and a half, over three and a

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Speaker 1: half threes, if it's three and a half for Steph Curry,

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Speaker 1: duel Embiid, whatever the hell, that number is just ahead

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Speaker 1: and bet the over because that guy is automatic. But

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Speaker 1: that's where we'll be player prop wise for today. So

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Speaker 1: we'll take a look at that here on a Thursday.

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Speaker 1: But I do have two half unit college basketball bets.

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Speaker 1: I want to talk about, Okay, I want to talk

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Speaker 1: about the valley. I want to talk about Loyola Chicago,

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Speaker 1: who I love on the road against the Sulukies of

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Speaker 1: Southern Illinois. What's funny about Southern is that they have

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Speaker 1: an incredibly young head coach named Brian Mullins. Brian Mullens

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Speaker 1: was the point guard of Southern when I was covering

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Speaker 1: the Creighton University Blue Jays taking on the Sulukies. This

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Speaker 1: was a fierce rivalry. Southern and Creighton was an unbelievable rivalry.

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Speaker 1: There's so many great, great basketball games between these two schools. Loyola,

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Speaker 1: as we know, I'm in love with Leola. Okay, six

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Speaker 1: and one in the Missouri Valley Conference. We've got a

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Speaker 1: big plus one fifty bet on them to win the

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Speaker 1: Valley regular season. They're in first place. They're fifteen and

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Speaker 1: three overall, Southern ten and ten, three and five in

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Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley. However, these teams just played about a

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Speaker 1: week ago in Chicago on the road. It was a

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Speaker 1: fifty nine to forty seven victory for Loyola on the road. However,

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Speaker 1: that game closed on eleven to two run. The lead

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Speaker 1: had been cut to one and then Loyola gave up

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Speaker 1: or Laiola went on a big eleven and two run

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Speaker 1: to stretch that out to make that look like a

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Speaker 1: bigger win than it actually was. The Sulukis have the

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Speaker 1: number one scoring defense in the Missouri Valley Conference and

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Speaker 1: they are currently number twenty three in the country in

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Speaker 1: scoring defense. This has always been the calling card of Southern.

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Speaker 1: They play defense, they play hard. The number is six.

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Speaker 1: Now kem Pom's got this at plus five. It's plus six,

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Speaker 1: so it's a little bit off. We get a point

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Speaker 1: of value there according to ken Pom, But also I

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Speaker 1: just think this is a team when you start looking

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Speaker 1: at the way that Loyola has been playing in the

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Speaker 1: way that's from a numbers perspective. We'll talk about who's

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Speaker 1: playing hot. Sulukis are six and two against the spread

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Speaker 1: at home. Now on the road, Layola is five to

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Speaker 1: two in one, but they haven't covered over the last

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Speaker 1: two in conference play though. Layola Chicago is one five

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Speaker 1: and one in conference play against the spread, while Southern

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Speaker 1: is six and two against the spread in conference play

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Speaker 1: four and one over the last five in six and

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Speaker 1: four over to the last ten games. Here, Southern plays hard.

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Speaker 1: Southern's at home catching six points from Loyola a team.

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Speaker 1: They lost by nine on the road, and they were

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Speaker 1: close late. I think Carbondale rises up here. I think

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Speaker 1: this is a tight basketball game. I think Leyola wins

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Speaker 1: by two or three, but I'll take the two full possessions.

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Speaker 1: Two three is really three, you know, a three position

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Speaker 1: game almost. I'm taking Southern plus six at home against

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Speaker 1: Loyola Chicago for a half a unit in the Missouri Valley,

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Speaker 1: and then i want to go to the Big Ten,

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Speaker 1: staying in the same kind of middle part of the country.

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Speaker 1: And let's talk about Iowa and Purdue. Arguably the game

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Speaker 1: of the night. Here, you've got Perdue on the road

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Speaker 1: laying two and a half points. The total was one

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Speaker 1: fifty eight and a half. I don't mind the over

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Speaker 1: in the game, but again I'm not playing that. I

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Speaker 1: don't mind the under too. By the way, in Southern,

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Speaker 1: don't mind that bet on the under. It's one twenty four.

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Speaker 1: Though from a total perspective for Southern, I mean, one

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Speaker 1: twenty four is so low, and we just bet under

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Speaker 1: one twenty six and a half with Iowa State and

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma State and flew over. So I'm not going to

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Speaker 1: go back to the well there on that bet. But

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Speaker 1: Southern and Leola going under probably not that bad of

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Speaker 1: a bet. The first game combined for one hundred and

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Speaker 1: eight points, so it went way under one twenty four.

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Speaker 1: But I'm going to come back and just take the

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Speaker 1: six points with plus six for the home dogs. The

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Speaker 1: sulukis dogs at home for Southern Illinois, but under I

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Speaker 1: don't mind that either. However, Purdue in Iowa, so, Iowa

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Speaker 1: is twelve and seven against the spread. Purdue was ten

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Speaker 1: and nine in the Big Ten. Purdue was three and

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Speaker 1: five against the spread. Iowa is four and four at home,

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Speaker 1: though the Hawkeyes are eight and four against the spread

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Speaker 1: at Carver Hawkeye four and four for Purdue on the road. Now,

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Speaker 1: these two teams played a couple of weeks ago, but

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Speaker 1: Iowa was without Keegan Murray, their best leading scorer, one

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Speaker 1: of their top scorers okay kids, averaging twenty two point

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Speaker 1: eight points per game. He did not play in the

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Speaker 1: first matchup. He has scored fifteen, thirteen, twenty five, twelve,

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Speaker 1: and twenty seven over his last five games. And this

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Speaker 1: Purdue team they're good, Okay, I'm not debating that they're

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Speaker 1: not good. They're good. But you've got a home dog

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Speaker 1: in Iowa at Carver, Hawkeye with one of their better

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Speaker 1: players now playing, and they lost seventy seven to seventy

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Speaker 1: in the first matchup. This total one p fifty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half is pretty high if you look at

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Speaker 1: historical totals for both Purdue and Iowa. These numbers are

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Speaker 1: getting up there. But Iowa just beat Penn State as

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Speaker 1: ten and a half point home favorites the one by seventeen.

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Speaker 1: They did lose to Rutgers on the road, which is

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Speaker 1: somewhat of a shocker, kind of a thud game, but

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Speaker 1: they had beaten Minnesota, they had beat Indiana to Wisconsin,

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Speaker 1: they beat Maryland on the other side. The Indiana loss

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Speaker 1: for Purdue was kind of like a wow on the road.

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Speaker 1: But they came back to beat Northwestern at home, laying twelve,

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Speaker 1: they won by twenty. They were catching one and a

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Speaker 1: half against Illinois, they won by eight in that game,

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Speaker 1: and they were laying twenty to Nebraska and they won

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Speaker 1: by twenty seven. And that one their loss came to

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin in Indiana so far and Rutgers in Big Ten play,

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Speaker 1: both Iowa and Purdue both lost to Rutgers on the road,

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Speaker 1: which is kind of funny. But I just think having

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Speaker 1: Murray back is significant for Iowa. I have over one possession.

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Speaker 1: I have plus two and a half on a home

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Speaker 1: dog for the Iowa Hawkeyes. We took the home dog

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Speaker 1: or the road dog with Iowa State yesterday. Let's come

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Speaker 1: back and take Iowa plus two and a half Hawkeyes

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Speaker 1: at home plus two and a half up against Purdue

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Speaker 1: on the road half a unit we're taking. Purdue are

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Speaker 1: taking Iowa plus two and a half. Here, mine's one

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Speaker 1: ten of both those bets. Okay, So the card today again,

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Speaker 1: we're going light until we get to the weekend because

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Speaker 1: it's championship weekend, and then we can start to really

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Speaker 1: unravel and and start to really pour it on here

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Speaker 1: for Championship weekend on Sunday and have four or five

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Speaker 1: six different units in play, We'll have a ton of

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Speaker 1: stuff going huge football Sunday. Looking forward to that. And

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Speaker 1: then we got to look at the exotics. It's that

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Speaker 1: time of the year, right we start looking at the USFL.

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Speaker 1: All right, we've got football coming. Spring football is in

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Speaker 1: the USFL. We're gonna have it. We're gonna be betting

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Speaker 1: on those games. I love betting on these spring footballs

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Speaker 1: and you know, not betting a lot on them, but

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Speaker 1: it's fun to have money down against football. At the

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Speaker 1: end of the day, it's still football, so we'll bet

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Speaker 1: on that. Got to look at golf, got to look

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Speaker 1: at NASCAR, We got to look at NBA plays. But

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Speaker 1: from the prop bet perspective, embad over Curry under or

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Speaker 1: over threes, depending on where it is. From a number perspective,

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Speaker 1: over three and a half or under four and a half,

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Speaker 1: depending on what the books put it here. So I'll

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Speaker 1: confirm both those prop bets coming up in the discord channel,

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com, slash chat or the link is undern

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Speaker 1: me on YouTube. We'll confirm that later today, so be

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Speaker 1: looking out for that. I'll add everyone coming up for that.

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Speaker 1: So Southern plus six at home, Iowa plus two and

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Speaker 1: a half at home. The play is for a Thursday's

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice. I'm at Pearoltz, follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Every morning it's the Daily Juice podcast,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by bet MGM