WEBVTT - Why Tomorrow’s Elections Matter for Everyone 0:00:02.120 --> 0:00:07.560 Hey, folks, it is Monday, November third. It is election 0:00:08.080 --> 0:00:13.640 eve in five places, actually, but no matter where you are, 0:00:13.760 --> 0:00:16.200 if you're not in one of those five places, you 0:00:16.360 --> 0:00:20.080 damn sure better be paying attention to what happens tomorrow night. 0:00:20.120 --> 0:00:24.120 And with that, welcome to this election eve episode of 0:00:24.160 --> 0:00:26.120 Amy and TJ. Do you call it off year or 0:00:26.200 --> 0:00:28.720 odd year? Elections? 0:00:28.840 --> 0:00:31.880 Off year is what I've always called it, Yes, and yeah, 0:00:31.880 --> 0:00:35.280 we've got two big off yr elections right near to 0:00:35.400 --> 0:00:39.839 us in New York and New Jersey. And man, have 0:00:39.880 --> 0:00:41.879 we been inundated with political ads? 0:00:42.360 --> 0:00:47.120 I sometimes enjoy them, and they have been effective I 0:00:47.159 --> 0:00:51.680 think in this area. But yes, folks, it's it's hard 0:00:51.960 --> 0:00:56.000 is someone to get someone to think in Colorado or 0:00:56.040 --> 0:00:59.800 Texas or Detroit or wherever, why they need to care 0:01:00.120 --> 0:01:05.080 out who's elected mayor of New York or do they 0:01:05.280 --> 0:01:09.360 Is everyone paying as much attention as we think? We're 0:01:09.360 --> 0:01:12.120 inundated obviously because we're here, But even in news and 0:01:12.200 --> 0:01:14.440 news coverage, so much talk has been about this race. 0:01:14.520 --> 0:01:18.200 Yeah, it's hard to separate us from the rest of 0:01:18.200 --> 0:01:21.720 the country in terms of our perspective, but this has 0:01:21.800 --> 0:01:24.440 obviously been a huge topic of conversation. The New York 0:01:24.440 --> 0:01:29.000 City mayor. In politics, Trump gets asked about it, and 0:01:29.360 --> 0:01:33.479 clearly there is going to be It would seem some 0:01:33.560 --> 0:01:39.280 sort of there will be ripple effects if Mom Donnie 0:01:39.319 --> 0:01:41.880 is elected, as most people believe he will be, in 0:01:42.000 --> 0:01:48.160 terms of how then the relationship. I mean, there is 0:01:48.160 --> 0:01:50.920 no relationship between Trump and Mom Donnie. But can that 0:01:50.960 --> 0:01:53.640 relationship be used in the Republican's favor? I know that 0:01:53.640 --> 0:01:56.520 sounds crazy, But now if you've got a common enemy, 0:01:56.560 --> 0:01:58.320 and you've got somebody who you can call a communist, 0:01:58.320 --> 0:02:01.000 so you can call not a terrorists. I don't think 0:02:01.000 --> 0:02:03.720 he's gone that far, but certainly called him a communist. 0:02:04.160 --> 0:02:07.480 Now you've got something and someone to rally against. 0:02:09.000 --> 0:02:12.720 Oh yeah, they've made clear that they don't necessarily mind, 0:02:12.720 --> 0:02:14.640 and he has spent so much. Trump a part of 0:02:14.760 --> 0:02:17.800 the brace here. But the five places, let's get to that. 0:02:17.960 --> 0:02:20.600 First of all, we have off year odd year elections. 0:02:21.400 --> 0:02:24.640 Why we do these states have their different reasons? I 0:02:24.760 --> 0:02:28.560 couldn't actually Robes come up with. I didn't realize it 0:02:28.639 --> 0:02:29.200 was only five. 0:02:29.680 --> 0:02:33.520 I didn't either, I did not. I know midterm elections 0:02:33.520 --> 0:02:35.840 are a big deal. Obviously, we know that every two 0:02:35.880 --> 0:02:38.880 years after the presidential election. You usually see a sea 0:02:38.960 --> 0:02:42.640 change in Congress. A lot of times people rail against 0:02:42.639 --> 0:02:45.440 the current administration, and whoever was in power, it switches. 0:02:45.440 --> 0:02:50.600 So those are big, I catching, headline grabbing elections. I 0:02:50.639 --> 0:02:53.799 didn't realize an off year election. We're talking five states. 0:02:54.160 --> 0:02:58.960 Just five on New Jersey, Virginia, Mississippi, Louisiana, Kentucky. Now 0:02:59.080 --> 0:03:02.960 New Jersey start doing this in nineteen forty seven. I 0:03:02.960 --> 0:03:05.640 can't remember which party it was, but the president was 0:03:05.680 --> 0:03:08.440 so popular that they said, hey, we don't want that 0:03:08.560 --> 0:03:09.960 influence coming into. 0:03:09.680 --> 0:03:12.040 Our probably the other party then, so yes. 0:03:12.000 --> 0:03:14.440 It was. So they said, let's separate it so we 0:03:14.520 --> 0:03:17.880 don't have any national influence on our state elections. That 0:03:17.960 --> 0:03:18.560 kind of makes sense. 0:03:18.560 --> 0:03:20.840 It makes total sense because most people go out to 0:03:20.880 --> 0:03:24.400 the polls in presidential elections, who wouldn't necessarily go out 0:03:24.400 --> 0:03:26.600 at a midtern and certainly not in an off your election. 0:03:26.720 --> 0:03:27.480 So that makes sense. 0:03:27.680 --> 0:03:29.880 That does make sense, and it's kind of expensive to 0:03:30.480 --> 0:03:32.800 separate the two, so to do so means you're really 0:03:32.840 --> 0:03:35.760 sticking to it and you believe it. I didn't necessarily 0:03:36.080 --> 0:03:39.000 mind that. Now the other states, what do you see 0:03:39.040 --> 0:03:42.800 about them that you think they have in common Louisiana, Kentucky, Virginia, Mississippi, 0:03:43.240 --> 0:03:46.200 louis the Southern states. There are Southern states. Now. There 0:03:46.200 --> 0:03:48.400 are several trains of thought as to why they do it, 0:03:48.440 --> 0:03:51.480 and some go back to voter suppression in the Jim 0:03:51.640 --> 0:03:52.760 Crow era. 0:03:52.960 --> 0:03:53.880 That also makes sense. 0:03:53.920 --> 0:03:59.240 Some of these states did not want federal control of 0:03:59.280 --> 0:04:03.000 their election and they wanted their power, and so they 0:04:03.000 --> 0:04:05.440 wanted to keep their separate so they didn't have to 0:04:05.440 --> 0:04:08.160 have federal monitors. And this is around times of the 0:04:08.240 --> 0:04:12.160 Voting Rights Act was just in its infancy and those things. Now, 0:04:12.320 --> 0:04:16.360 Mississippi did this outright. They were blatant about theirs. There's 0:04:16.360 --> 0:04:19.120 some questions about the other states. But some historians will 0:04:19.120 --> 0:04:21.640 tell you this had something to do with several of 0:04:21.720 --> 0:04:25.400 these states and why who. I did not know. 0:04:25.600 --> 0:04:27.640 That makes a lot of sense. I did not know that, 0:04:27.720 --> 0:04:32.320 but that actually does read. So it's I'm sure it's true, 0:04:32.360 --> 0:04:35.279 even though I know it's slightly conjecture. That makes sense. 0:04:35.279 --> 0:04:39.040 Now New York City mayor, I actually I get confused 0:04:39.120 --> 0:04:41.520 as to how many years, Like obviously the president it's 0:04:41.560 --> 0:04:47.120 every four years, Senators every six years, members of Congress 0:04:47.360 --> 0:04:52.440 every four years, correct, and then mayors different is two years. 0:04:52.480 --> 0:04:57.560 It's two years senators, senators, six congressmen and women, two 0:04:58.080 --> 0:05:03.400 governors four generally yes, generally all right. Presidents for mayors 0:05:04.360 --> 0:05:08.200 runs the gamut New York City mayor. It is tough 0:05:08.240 --> 0:05:10.200 to keep all the numbers together. But yes, we're up 0:05:10.240 --> 0:05:12.800 for New York City mayor. And this has been as 0:05:12.839 --> 0:05:16.119 contested as I can remember any race being. And we've 0:05:16.160 --> 0:05:18.080 lived here almost the same amount of time. I've been 0:05:18.080 --> 0:05:22.719 here for more than two decades. This has been an. 0:05:22.640 --> 0:05:27.159 Extreme It's been a mess, just really with Mayor Adams. 0:05:27.920 --> 0:05:31.599 I mean just with scandal controversy. He was indicted, all right, 0:05:31.640 --> 0:05:33.320 the case got dropped. 0:05:33.080 --> 0:05:33.960 So was our president. 0:05:34.240 --> 0:05:37.039 Oh and again he won it, he lost it. He's 0:05:37.320 --> 0:05:39.120 all kinds of stuff, you know. But what I'm saying 0:05:39.200 --> 0:05:42.600 is it's been a mess here, and the mess of 0:05:42.640 --> 0:05:45.880 Mayor Adams gave way to the rise of Mom Donnie. 0:05:45.880 --> 0:05:50.040 In this election. Cuomo is in there, and look, it 0:05:50.040 --> 0:05:53.000 would be history first Muslim mayor of New York. At 0:05:53.000 --> 0:05:57.840 this point if he were not to win, everybody would 0:05:57.839 --> 0:06:00.359 call this one into question, have some funny business, because 0:06:00.360 --> 0:06:04.279 he has been well ahead double digits. Doesn't even say 0:06:04.279 --> 0:06:07.159 it like well into double digits or his lead. 0:06:07.480 --> 0:06:11.440 He's been in double digits, and then when Eric Adams 0:06:11.440 --> 0:06:16.520 did drop out, that was tightened slightly. And really at 0:06:16.520 --> 0:06:20.120 this point, short of Curtis Sliwa, who is the third candidate, 0:06:20.160 --> 0:06:22.880 who's the Republican candidate, if he were to bout out, 0:06:22.920 --> 0:06:25.320 that would be the only reason why anybody I think 0:06:25.360 --> 0:06:28.120 would actually say this could be or it could go 0:06:28.279 --> 0:06:32.520 either way. Curtis Leiwa has been defiant. He is not. 0:06:33.000 --> 0:06:34.839 He even said if I got hit by a bus 0:06:34.839 --> 0:06:38.200 and died right now, my name would still be on 0:06:38.240 --> 0:06:43.280 the ballot. That's how defiant he's been. You know, he's 0:06:43.320 --> 0:06:46.080 a man who means what he says and says what 0:06:46.120 --> 0:06:46.800 he means. 0:06:46.800 --> 0:06:50.160 And there was something refreshing about him. But judging by 0:06:50.160 --> 0:06:52.599 all the polls, he does not have a chance to 0:06:52.720 --> 0:06:57.280 win this thing at all. So he hasn't dropped out 0:06:57.279 --> 0:06:59.719 given a support to Cuomo. So it looks like, Momdani, 0:06:59.760 --> 0:07:02.040 I mean, should be a cakewalk if you go buy 0:07:02.440 --> 0:07:06.599 the poll. So this is going to change what the city, 0:07:06.800 --> 0:07:11.400 the party is. It going to change the relationship with 0:07:11.440 --> 0:07:12.000 the White House. 0:07:12.720 --> 0:07:15.440 The impact of the New York City mayoral race is 0:07:15.480 --> 0:07:18.880 significant this year for all of those reasons you just said, 0:07:19.040 --> 0:07:22.400 because the Democrats are looking for a leader. And now 0:07:22.480 --> 0:07:24.600 Democrats have had to choose whether or not to align 0:07:24.640 --> 0:07:28.600 themselves with Cuomo or to align themselves with Mom Donnie. 0:07:28.640 --> 0:07:31.560 And we've seen make people make very different choices for 0:07:31.680 --> 0:07:32.520 very different reasons. 0:07:32.640 --> 0:07:35.360 They're going with the winner, with the front runner right now, 0:07:35.400 --> 0:07:38.080 and he has been well out ahead. But is this 0:07:38.160 --> 0:07:42.720 the direction, some would say, and some have said publicly yes. 0:07:43.160 --> 0:07:47.840 The idea of AOC Bernie Sanders and Mom Donnie standing 0:07:47.880 --> 0:07:51.240 on a stage holding hands together is exactly what every 0:07:51.280 --> 0:07:55.800 Republican wants to run against. There is no Democratic leader 0:07:55.880 --> 0:07:58.600 Newsom we were talking about earlier. He is. He is 0:07:58.720 --> 0:08:00.760 a a lot of peop will look at him, say 0:08:00.800 --> 0:08:03.280 he's the most visible Democrat right now, but he's not 0:08:03.320 --> 0:08:06.760 necessarily the leader of the party. So this city, the 0:08:07.280 --> 0:08:11.640 most important, the biggest city in the country, they just 0:08:11.680 --> 0:08:13.920 handed the keys over to this guy. 0:08:14.080 --> 0:08:16.520 It's interesting because I know you and I have been 0:08:16.560 --> 0:08:19.400 watching some of the coverage, even just with the volume down, 0:08:19.480 --> 0:08:23.400 the lines of people in New York City waiting to 0:08:23.520 --> 0:08:25.440 vote over the past couple of days. Early voting has 0:08:25.440 --> 0:08:28.480 been going on for a while. They say that so far. 0:08:28.640 --> 0:08:30.200 This is the latest thing from the New York Times. 0:08:30.200 --> 0:08:33.160 Seven hundred and thirty five thousand New Yorkers have voted early. 0:08:33.760 --> 0:08:36.760 That is four times as many as in the twenty 0:08:36.800 --> 0:08:39.760 twenty one contest. That just goes to show you and so, yes, 0:08:39.800 --> 0:08:42.360 this is an off election year. It's not tied to 0:08:42.400 --> 0:08:46.079 any big referendum and certainly not anything presidential beyond that. 0:08:46.120 --> 0:08:50.120 So that is truly remarkable that it's gotten to that 0:08:50.160 --> 0:08:53.960 point where people feel like they're livelihoods at stake. There 0:08:54.000 --> 0:08:55.960 have been a lot of promises made by mom Donnie 0:08:55.960 --> 0:08:58.360 that he's going to make this city affordable, but at 0:08:58.400 --> 0:09:00.600 the expensive people who make a lot of money, And 0:09:00.640 --> 0:09:04.679 so you have people who run Wall Street saying they're 0:09:04.720 --> 0:09:06.640 going to run for the hills if this guy gets 0:09:06.679 --> 0:09:08.800 elected in New York City. It's interesting to see what 0:09:08.840 --> 0:09:11.200 will happen, what the aftermath will be, if there will 0:09:11.200 --> 0:09:15.240 be a mass exodus of the rich leaving New York City. 0:09:15.520 --> 0:09:17.240 Will people change. 0:09:17.559 --> 0:09:20.200 Good riddance, get him out of here, and someone cares. 0:09:20.320 --> 0:09:22.680 But they need the tax dollars. That's the problem. That's 0:09:22.679 --> 0:09:25.560 the whole way he funds this and his agenda and 0:09:25.600 --> 0:09:29.079 his policy that he wants to put into place. You 0:09:30.000 --> 0:09:33.200 need the wealthy folks to foot the bill, so it'll 0:09:33.200 --> 0:09:35.920 be an interesting I mean, I'm fascinated by what's going 0:09:35.960 --> 0:09:36.360 to happen. 0:09:37.720 --> 0:09:39.920 What a night though. If we're about we're on the 0:09:40.000 --> 0:09:42.240 verge of electing the first Muslim mayor of New York City, 0:09:42.520 --> 0:09:47.319 that's incredible. That should be celebrated. I think that is awesome. 0:09:47.400 --> 0:09:50.080 This is not a policy thing. This is where the 0:09:50.120 --> 0:09:53.920 city is, where we are now. I'll be damned. I'll 0:09:53.920 --> 0:09:56.360 be damned. Don't even know what could possibly be next. 0:09:56.400 --> 0:09:59.120 But mister mom Donnie, can you please tell some of 0:09:59.160 --> 0:10:02.880 your crazy the fans to stop coming by our window 0:10:02.960 --> 0:10:05.440 in the boat yelling and screaming, yes, scaring the hell 0:10:05.480 --> 0:10:05.840 out of us. 0:10:05.880 --> 0:10:09.920 This happened? Was it yesterday? It was yesterday. It was 0:10:10.000 --> 0:10:11.880 kind of a nice day, so we had the windows open, 0:10:12.360 --> 0:10:15.040 and all of a sudden we heard screaming and shouting 0:10:15.160 --> 0:10:18.200 and like music, What is going on? We look out 0:10:18.240 --> 0:10:22.640 and it's a boat filled with Mom Donnie supporters having 0:10:22.720 --> 0:10:27.240 the time of their lives, racing down the Hudson screaming 0:10:27.320 --> 0:10:30.120 vote for Mom Donnie. They've never seen anything like that before. 0:10:30.200 --> 0:10:32.440 But he has a crazed bunch and they haven't seen 0:10:32.440 --> 0:10:35.480 anything like him before, doing TikTok videos whatever. He's reached 0:10:35.480 --> 0:10:38.439 them the way he's reached them. They this is their guy. Hey, 0:10:38.520 --> 0:10:40.959 it is fascinating to see what happens now across the river. 0:10:40.960 --> 0:10:44.280 It's been my favorite race when in terms of political ads, 0:10:44.280 --> 0:10:48.160 the race for governor of New Jersey, which is a 0:10:48.480 --> 0:10:52.400 race Jack Chitarelli and Mickey Cheryl. 0:10:52.559 --> 0:10:55.720 Yes, the Democrat statistically tied. Right. 0:10:56.000 --> 0:10:59.200 Yeah, it's not supposed to be. She had an earlier lead, 0:10:59.240 --> 0:11:01.680 but this thing has gotten tight Titan as of late. 0:11:01.720 --> 0:11:05.680 And he has a habit of breaking late, does he not. 0:11:05.920 --> 0:11:06.160 Yes. 0:11:06.280 --> 0:11:08.360 In his last election he looked like he was out 0:11:08.360 --> 0:11:10.040 of it and closed the gap boom. 0:11:10.120 --> 0:11:13.680 And so this is his third time attempting to become 0:11:13.760 --> 0:11:15.720 New Jersey's governor. The first time he didn't get out 0:11:15.760 --> 0:11:18.200 of the Republican primary. I think he came in second, 0:11:18.800 --> 0:11:21.880 but he he has come close. And you of you 0:11:21.960 --> 0:11:26.000 have called some of the advertising that we've been watching effective. 0:11:26.480 --> 0:11:29.400 It has been. I mean, I don't know who did it, 0:11:29.520 --> 0:11:31.480 who needs to study it or whatever. I know it 0:11:31.520 --> 0:11:34.480 has been effective. In terms of me. I don't know 0:11:34.559 --> 0:11:39.640 anything about Mickey Cheryl but he has left an impression 0:11:40.080 --> 0:11:43.320 of her on me from one clip and one interview 0:11:43.360 --> 0:11:45.280 where she had a bad moment. And I know not 0:11:45.840 --> 0:11:48.960 to take this one moment and say that's who she is, 0:11:49.040 --> 0:11:50.960 but that's all I can see anything. 0:11:50.960 --> 0:11:52.959 They keep playing it over and over again. 0:11:53.000 --> 0:11:56.440 But it's it's only her in her own words. It's 0:11:56.520 --> 0:11:57.240 so effective. 0:11:57.320 --> 0:12:00.520 He's not mean, he's not slinging mud, he's not calling 0:12:00.559 --> 0:12:03.480 her names, he's not saying how terrible she's going to be. 0:12:03.559 --> 0:12:06.439 He just lets her, for lack of a better term, 0:12:06.480 --> 0:12:08.840 hang herself. Yeah, it with her own words. 0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:11.079 It's been effective. And of course we see and I 0:12:11.120 --> 0:12:13.080 don't know how many times a day, but it has 0:12:13.080 --> 0:12:15.280 been a fact. But the race has tightened. And this 0:12:15.440 --> 0:12:19.640 is a a left leaning state, of course, but kind 0:12:19.679 --> 0:12:21.480 of a purple governors mansion. 0:12:21.600 --> 0:12:24.600 It's true. Republicans have won five out of the last 0:12:24.800 --> 0:12:28.280 ten gubernatorial racest Chris Christy obviously probably the most recently 0:12:28.440 --> 0:12:32.839 most famous Republican from New Jersey outspoken. But Trump only 0:12:32.880 --> 0:12:38.479 lost New Jersey by six percent last year. That is remarkable, 0:12:38.480 --> 0:12:41.280 and he only lost it by sixteen percent in twenty twenty. 0:12:41.760 --> 0:12:45.040 So there is a strong Republican foothold in that state 0:12:45.280 --> 0:12:45.839 for sure. 0:12:46.679 --> 0:12:49.079 The other governor's race, keeping an eye on Virginia. This 0:12:49.120 --> 0:12:51.480 is history will be made no matter who. 0:12:52.120 --> 0:12:56.440 This is a really cool race. Representative Abigail Spanberger and 0:12:56.520 --> 0:13:01.360 Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earl Sears, two women vuying to become 0:13:01.520 --> 0:13:06.040 Virginia's first female governor. I think that's awesome. Also, I 0:13:06.160 --> 0:13:09.840 note that Lieutenant Governor wins Some Earl Sears is a 0:13:09.920 --> 0:13:13.360 republic is a Republican candidate, and she's black. So I 0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:16.920 thought that was really interesting to have those two choices. 0:13:17.240 --> 0:13:20.160 And certainly there will be first all around. In some 0:13:20.360 --> 0:13:21.400 former fashion, you. 0:13:21.360 --> 0:13:23.000 Were going through the line, you're kind of doing a 0:13:23.000 --> 0:13:25.200 deep dive in Virginia. But it was it was so 0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:28.000 much diverse, yes, and candidates. 0:13:28.040 --> 0:13:31.080 The lieutenant governor's race would be the it'd be the 0:13:31.080 --> 0:13:36.960 first openly gay man actually running against what would be 0:13:37.000 --> 0:13:42.200 the first Indian candidate to get lieutenant governor. And then 0:13:42.280 --> 0:13:45.360 the other race had another diversity. So I was like, wow, 0:13:45.640 --> 0:13:49.600 look at you New Jersey showing up doing some first Virginia. 0:13:49.679 --> 0:13:52.360 Oh my gosh, I said, New Jersey, Virginia. It's the 0:13:52.480 --> 0:13:54.920 end of a long day. Yes, Virginia but this is 0:13:54.960 --> 0:13:57.760 a state that has been a bill whether of presidential 0:13:58.080 --> 0:14:01.880 elections as well. It's been purple. Sometimes it leans blue, 0:14:01.920 --> 0:14:04.840 sometimes it leans red. Obviously, when you're in northern Virginia 0:14:04.920 --> 0:14:08.240 near DC, it's very very much blue. But this is 0:14:08.240 --> 0:14:11.320 a state that has gone in either direction, and so 0:14:11.400 --> 0:14:12.680 this will be an interesting one. 0:14:12.800 --> 0:14:17.040 They go the direction opposite the White House. I thought 0:14:17.040 --> 0:14:19.320 that was the greatest stat that eleven out of the 0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:25.440 past twelve governors of New Jersey belonged in Virginia. 0:14:25.480 --> 0:14:27.880 Because you said New Jersey too. 0:14:27.760 --> 0:14:31.000 There's only five states. 0:14:29.800 --> 0:14:31.920 Saying this because I did the same thing. I don't 0:14:31.960 --> 0:14:35.480 know why, but yes, Virginia has been It's a really 0:14:35.480 --> 0:14:36.320 remarkable streak. 0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:43.200 Yeah. Yeah, North Dakota is insane. Okay, we're a stick 0:14:43.240 --> 0:14:48.240 with Virginia. Point being here, whoever wins in Virginia has 0:14:48.360 --> 0:14:51.640 been from the opposite party of whoever is in the 0:14:51.680 --> 0:14:56.520 White House eleven out of the past twelve. So judging 0:14:56.520 --> 0:14:58.320 by that, the Democrat is going to win this and 0:14:58.480 --> 0:15:01.280 she is pretty hand Minnie the Poles. 0:15:01.400 --> 0:15:06.120 Yes, Representative Abigail Spanberger, she's ahead quite quite a bit, Yeah, 0:15:06.200 --> 0:15:08.960 quite a bit, So that one isn't as close. And 0:15:09.000 --> 0:15:14.440 then well, please continue my life. 0:15:14.440 --> 0:15:16.000 It's my fat I gave her a little signal that 0:15:16.040 --> 0:15:17.880 we were about to take a break, and she just 0:15:18.600 --> 0:15:20.440 she didn't want to keep rolling with it, so she 0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:23.880 just kind of stopped talking all together, which wasn't helpful either. 0:15:23.920 --> 0:15:25.800 But when we come back, we'll. 0:15:25.560 --> 0:15:27.560 Get to showing them how the sausage is made. 0:15:27.840 --> 0:15:31.360 And we come back, folks, why everybody's paying attention to 0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:35.480 what California is going to do tomorrow and what is 0:15:35.480 --> 0:15:41.000 happening in District eighteen in Texas the last two people 0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:54.560 who held that seat died. Stay here, welcome. 0:15:54.240 --> 0:15:59.320 Back as we continue our conversation on the big day tomorrow. 0:15:59.400 --> 0:16:01.880 Off your LuFe might not sound like that big of 0:16:01.920 --> 0:16:04.760 a deal, but some of these are going to have 0:16:05.080 --> 0:16:09.480 sweeping impact on the country, And notably we are looking 0:16:09.640 --> 0:16:13.200 at what's happening in California because what's happening in California 0:16:13.400 --> 0:16:15.560 has also been happening in a few other states around 0:16:15.560 --> 0:16:20.000 this country and literally will have an impact on the 0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:23.640 makeup of Congress. And we all, I think, have learned 0:16:24.280 --> 0:16:27.080 in recent years how important that actually is. 0:16:27.360 --> 0:16:30.720 Yeah, they set off California set off the redistricting race 0:16:31.280 --> 0:16:35.600 after Texas did what it did. Yeah, Governor Newsom got 0:16:35.600 --> 0:16:40.040 with the legislature out there and they passed legislation to 0:16:40.160 --> 0:16:44.600 change and redistrict to balance out what Texas did. Problem is, 0:16:44.640 --> 0:16:47.560 they have an independent commission out there in California. It's 0:16:47.640 --> 0:16:51.760 their job to actually redistrict, So they had to pass 0:16:51.920 --> 0:16:56.720 legislation to put it before the voters. So the voters 0:16:56.720 --> 0:16:59.240 in California tomorrow are going to vote whether or not 0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:02.680 they want to redistrict in California, and the poll show 0:17:02.800 --> 0:17:05.000 this is going to win fairly easily. Yeah. 0:17:05.080 --> 0:17:08.640 This is called Proposition fifty and this is about adding 0:17:09.359 --> 0:17:12.679 it would be five Democratic seats to the state of 0:17:12.720 --> 0:17:16.480 California to offset the five Republican seats that Texas was 0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:20.800 able to redistrict. And it's remarkable to know that they 0:17:20.800 --> 0:17:24.240 can just look at the demographics. They know exactly how 0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:28.520 to redraw the lines to get a higher percentage of 0:17:28.680 --> 0:17:32.720 whatever political affiliation you want based on where you live. 0:17:32.960 --> 0:17:34.199 It's kind of crazy. 0:17:34.280 --> 0:17:36.280 I don't know those split anymore because if they go 0:17:36.320 --> 0:17:39.560 tip for tag with Texas, Several other states have done this, 0:17:39.680 --> 0:17:41.760 and there was one state that was only really picking 0:17:41.840 --> 0:17:44.920 up one seat. But I don't even know who has 0:17:44.960 --> 0:17:47.040 an advantage necessarily, I've. 0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:50.040 Lost count to set. Yeah, but yes, so California that is, 0:17:50.160 --> 0:17:52.520 and that alone will bring folks out to the polls 0:17:52.560 --> 0:17:55.720 because this is of national significance. 0:17:56.440 --> 0:18:01.600 The other one here that will end on is you 0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:05.280 don't really pay attention to District eighteen in Texas. Nobody 0:18:05.320 --> 0:18:08.240 anywhere else who gives the damn about District eighteen. But 0:18:08.320 --> 0:18:10.600 if we explain it, this is the one where Sheila 0:18:10.680 --> 0:18:14.119 Jackson Lee spent so much time and everybody's familiar with her, 0:18:14.240 --> 0:18:17.400 but she passed away last year. But this is her 0:18:17.600 --> 0:18:23.680 seat for Robes, they have been without representation in four years, 0:18:24.160 --> 0:18:28.000 for essentially a year because their last two reps died. 0:18:28.400 --> 0:18:32.280 That's I mean, just so sad and unfortunate the timing 0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:35.120 of it, but just in general, I didn't realize that 0:18:35.280 --> 0:18:40.800 Shila Jackson Lee held that seat YEP for almost thirty years, 0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:44.359 twenty nine years. It was from nineteen ninety five to 0:18:44.560 --> 0:18:47.720 twenty twenty four. She died in March of twenty twenty four. 0:18:48.119 --> 0:18:50.000 She had that seat for twenty nine years, So they 0:18:50.040 --> 0:18:52.920 had so much stability in that district for so long. 0:18:53.119 --> 0:18:55.679 You know, no matter what you think about her politics, 0:18:55.720 --> 0:18:58.119 you have to give her credit for fighting for her state. 0:18:58.200 --> 0:19:00.720 She was always reprisen in Texas and up in Houston. 0:19:01.040 --> 0:19:03.040 Give her credit for that, God rest of saw. But yeah, 0:19:03.080 --> 0:19:05.600 she passed in March of twenty twenty four, left the 0:19:05.640 --> 0:19:06.160 seat open. 0:19:06.359 --> 0:19:08.800 You don't know a lot of congressmen and women's names, 0:19:09.040 --> 0:19:11.600 like we know a lot of Senators because they're two 0:19:11.600 --> 0:19:13.199 from each date and so you get to know them, 0:19:13.240 --> 0:19:15.240 and they tend to just be more prominent, right in 0:19:15.240 --> 0:19:18.880 the sense they're there for six years, so you you 0:19:19.080 --> 0:19:22.320 know who they are. You don't often know the names 0:19:22.720 --> 0:19:25.240 of congressmen and women unless they're leaders, unless they're like 0:19:25.320 --> 0:19:29.040 majority with or minority whatever. So it's interesting that you 0:19:29.200 --> 0:19:31.480 know her name or you remembered her name because she 0:19:31.600 --> 0:19:33.840 was such a president, such a force for so long. 0:19:33.920 --> 0:19:36.080 That's a good point. Most members of Congress are not 0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:40.600 household name. Yes, Sheila Jackson Lane absolutely was. 0:19:40.960 --> 0:19:44.480 Yes, And yes so Vester Turner. He he died in 0:19:44.520 --> 0:19:45.200 March of this year. 0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:46.400 He was a Houston mayor. 0:19:47.080 --> 0:19:49.360 But but it was just after. 0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:54.880 Speech, the speech from twenty four. It wasn't the State 0:19:54.880 --> 0:19:57.320 of the Union, it was he addressed both he had 0:19:57.400 --> 0:20:01.320 just Congress, Yes, after Trump. It was that night that 0:20:02.080 --> 0:20:03.480 was so freaky. 0:20:03.600 --> 0:20:06.600 That was so free Here is so sixteen candidates are 0:20:06.640 --> 0:20:09.719 on the ballot. Clearly no one is going to get 0:20:09.760 --> 0:20:12.040 the majority with that many candidates. 0:20:11.720 --> 0:20:15.040 So that means they're going to still be without representation 0:20:15.840 --> 0:20:18.960 until I believe it's January of next year when they 0:20:18.960 --> 0:20:22.159 have a special election. Just timing wise, that's it. But 0:20:22.280 --> 0:20:25.399 that district to have so much stability and then have 0:20:25.560 --> 0:20:27.720 back to back and he was a long time sevest return, 0:20:27.800 --> 0:20:30.640 a long time mayor of Houston, just was known so well. 0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:33.600 Everyone knew his name, everyone knew who he was. And 0:20:33.640 --> 0:20:38.480 so when you have sixteen unknowns, basically ain't one of 0:20:38.520 --> 0:20:39.960 them going to get fifty one percent? 0:20:40.560 --> 0:20:42.800 Not even close run off and they will once again, 0:20:43.200 --> 0:20:46.120 it will be almost two years. I mean semester Turney 0:20:46.240 --> 0:20:49.399 was there, but only barely a month or so before 0:20:49.440 --> 0:20:52.639 he passed, so they really haven't had representation in nearly 0:20:52.760 --> 0:20:54.399 two years. 0:20:54.440 --> 0:20:56.679 It'll ultimately be I don't want to put you on 0:20:56.720 --> 0:20:59.680 the spot, but I was curious, do you know basically 0:20:59.800 --> 0:21:03.960 the run off do they pick the top three candidates? 0:21:04.040 --> 0:21:07.199 How do they top two candidates? That's I actually just 0:21:07.200 --> 0:21:08.480 looked it up and answered my own question. 0:21:08.560 --> 0:21:11.600 Well, anybody got fifty one to be over, but I 0:21:11.640 --> 0:21:13.480 don't think they have a stand out that they expect 0:21:14.240 --> 0:21:17.640 for that. But yeah, folks, that's just a preview, I know. Uh. Look, 0:21:17.680 --> 0:21:19.680 there's a lot on TV and people talking about a 0:21:19.680 --> 0:21:22.040 lot of these races, but they're interesting for different reasons. 0:21:23.080 --> 0:21:25.000 They have little nuggets there we thought were interesting. But 0:21:25.040 --> 0:21:26.159 it's still worth paying attention to. 0:21:26.200 --> 0:21:27.720 It, I think so. And I think a lot of 0:21:27.760 --> 0:21:31.640 times we cast off or we don't give local elections 0:21:31.720 --> 0:21:34.840