Speaker 1: Welcome to a playoff edition of Bills by the Numbers,
Speaker 1: where we let the stats tell you where the Bills
Speaker 1: are at. We're presented by a fan du will make
Speaker 1: every moment more as we dive into this wild card matchup.
Speaker 2: What are the defining.
Speaker 1: Separators in Bills versus Jaguars? What do the quarterback numbers
Speaker 1: tell us? And we'll have our one burning question.
Speaker 2: It's playoff time.
Speaker 3: Let's ride logic it, stop by and see us here
Speaker 3: on Bill by the Numbers.
Speaker 1: Here Bill Ball of Famer Seves Chasser on Bill play
Speaker 1: by play man Chris Brown, and Buffalo has qualified for
Speaker 1: the playoffs for a seventh straight season, the only team
Speaker 1: to do so in the NFL over that stretch, but
Speaker 1: for the first time in six seasons, they will begin
Speaker 1: their playoff run on the road. The last time they
Speaker 1: did that was also against an AFC South opponent, the
Speaker 1: Houston Texans, where a sixteen to eight lead at the
Speaker 1: end of the third quarter disappeared and wound up being
Speaker 1: a twenty two to nineteen loss in overtime to end
Speaker 1: their season. This time around, it's a surging Jacksonville team
Speaker 1: that has won eight straight to finish their season with
Speaker 1: a signature win on the road at Denver, the AFC's
Speaker 1: top seed in Week sixteen, thirty four to twenty two.
Speaker 4: Things the Jaguars do.
Speaker 1: Exceptionally well stop the run, where they are first in
Speaker 1: the league allowing just eighty five yards on the ground
Speaker 1: per game, and taking the ball away. They are second
Speaker 1: in the league in total takeaways with thirty one. Not
Speaker 1: that the Bills had a choice, but do you think
Speaker 1: the Jaguars are a favorable matchup for Buffalo in light
Speaker 1: of those figures? Now?
Speaker 5: I think I think they're a tough matchup. In fact,
Speaker 5: we've talked about it on the Daily Show. This may
Speaker 5: be the toughest game of the playoffs for the Bills.
Speaker 5: This matchup is tough. Now, that doesn't mean there's not
Speaker 5: good teams and the Patriots or the Broncos, or the
Speaker 5: Texans or anybody else. They are a good team and
Speaker 5: have the ability to beat the Bills. I mean, any
Speaker 5: of these teams could win these games. But as a matchup,
Speaker 5: the Jaguars are coming into the playoffs on a heater.
Speaker 5: They've got a really good quarterback, and that's the spot
Speaker 5: where you begin all of these matchups. Certainly, Josh matches
Speaker 5: up with anybody but Trevor Lawrence. Even if you put
Speaker 5: Josh's better quarterback, the gap is not as wide as
Speaker 5: it is for the other guys. And their defense is
Speaker 5: playing extremely well, as you said, and their ability to
Speaker 5: get turnovers. I mean, the Bills benefited from that last year,
Speaker 5: got them all the way to the AFC Championship Game.
Speaker 5: So that's a trait. Yeah, and it seems like it
Speaker 5: goes season by season. Certainly it doesn't have to go,
Speaker 5: but if you're in a season where you're turning them out,
Speaker 5: you kind of count on it and it kind of
Speaker 5: comes to be a characteristic than this random number. So yeah,
Speaker 5: this is a tough matchup for the Bills, no question
Speaker 5: about it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think they're running into a team that
Speaker 1: is brimming with confidence.
Speaker 4: They're going to be in their own building.
Speaker 1: So somehow, some way, the Bills have to squash that
Speaker 1: and put some doubt in the minds of the Jaguars
Speaker 1: early on, preferably, because if you let them get out
Speaker 1: in front and continue on the role that they've been
Speaker 1: on the last two months, that will spell problems that'll
Speaker 1: be a difficult thing to overcome. So I think, you know,
Speaker 1: putting some doubt in the minds of the Jaguars Early
Speaker 1: will serve the Bills very well through the course of
Speaker 1: that football game. Taking a look at the quarterback statistics
Speaker 1: on Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence, we find that Allen
Speaker 1: is superior in completion percentage by almost ten percent, sixty
Speaker 1: nine point three to Lawrence's sixty one. Lawrence threw more
Speaker 1: touchdown passes twenty nine to Allen's twenty five, but Allen
Speaker 1: has one more total touchdown with thirty nine to Lawrence's
Speaker 1: thirty eight.
Speaker 4: Where you see a bit more.
Speaker 1: Of a difference between the two quarterbacks is on the
Speaker 1: money down and in crunch time. On third down, Josh
Speaker 1: Allen has a sixty seven percent completion percentage to Lawrence's
Speaker 1: fifty seven percent, and Lawrence has five interceptions on third
Speaker 1: down this season while Allen has three. As a result,
Speaker 1: Allen's passer rating is twelve points higher on third down,
Speaker 1: ninety six point eight to eighty four point five, and
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter, Allen is the third best quarterback
Speaker 1: in the league with a one to ten point eight rating.
Speaker 1: Buffalo signal caller seventy percent completion percentage in the final
Speaker 1: frame with eight touchdowns and two picks. He also averages
Speaker 1: almost nine yards in attempt in the fourth quarter. Lawrence
Speaker 1: is the thirty eighth rated quarterback in the fourth cours
Speaker 1: with a rating of seventy four point one, completing just
Speaker 1: under fifty two percent of his passes in the fourth quarter.
Speaker 1: Average is just over six yards in attempt, five touchdowns,
Speaker 1: three interceptions. I realized I threw a lot of numbers
Speaker 1: out there at people. All you gotta know is allan
Speaker 1: third rated quarterback in the league in the fourth quarter,
Speaker 1: Lawrence thirty eighth. The thing that really stands out though,
Speaker 1: in both areas is the completion percentage. Steve Allen ten
Speaker 1: percent better on third down and almost twenty percent better
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter. What conclusions do you draw from
Speaker 1: those numbers as it pertains to this wild You.
Speaker 5: Can chalk some of it if you're going to try
Speaker 5: and spin this in favor of the Jacksonville team, or
Speaker 5: either way, you know Jack, you can say Hustin Jacksonville
Speaker 5: was on a heater the last eight games of the season.
Speaker 5: He didn't have to throw the football very much in
Speaker 5: the fourth quarter. They're winning games, although they were in
Speaker 5: some tight games. We've seen this and I think Josh's
Speaker 5: critics tend to poop poo these numbers, particul these fourth
Speaker 5: quarter numbers, because they've always got this thing where they
Speaker 5: just revert back to, well, he's never never won the
Speaker 5: championship game, he's never gone to the Super Bowl, He's
Speaker 5: never done this. I told Brown of this, and I
Speaker 5: said all the time, nobody plays as well as Josh
Speaker 5: Allen in the big moments. Nobody, not Mahomes, not Lamar,
Speaker 5: not Burrow, nobody, nobody currently playing in the league plays
Speaker 5: better in crunch time than Josh. And that's we talked
Speaker 5: a little bit about this in the Daily Show. There's
Speaker 5: been a little bit of contention fatigue here, I think,
Speaker 5: particularly early in the season here when they got off
Speaker 5: to a four to oh start and they're like, we
Speaker 5: still got we still have thirteen games to play before
Speaker 5: we can play one that matters.
Speaker 2: We're going.
Speaker 5: They knew after the first month of the season they
Speaker 5: were going to the playoffs, and all they had to
Speaker 5: do is wait, well, they're finally here. You would expect
Speaker 5: them to have a gear. They have not showed own
Speaker 5: consistently throughout the year, and certainly we know that their
Speaker 5: quarterback has that gear. That's what these numbers tell you.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and the completion percentage that the swath of space
Speaker 1: between these two quarterbacks. I mean, I don't know if
Speaker 1: you can explain away a twenty percent difference in completion
Speaker 1: percentage in the fourth quarter. I look, I know Jaguars
Speaker 1: have been ahead a lot in the fourth quarter. They've
Speaker 1: won games by decided point margins because I think since
Speaker 1: Week ten they lead the league in point differential. They're
Speaker 1: like a plus one fifty three. That does not explain
Speaker 1: that level of inefficiency for me. That coupled with the
Speaker 1: fact that Lawrence hasn't been to the playoffs in three
Speaker 1: seasons and the last time he was there he threw
Speaker 1: five picks in two games, I think that says something.
Speaker 1: I don't know that you can bank on Trevor Lawrence
Speaker 1: the way you can bank on Josh Allen in the
Speaker 1: postseason when he elevates his game.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm the point differently, I'm not trying to knock Lawrence,
Speaker 5: but I'm just saying he's not act Something's right. Yeah,
Speaker 5: there's something in that that the Chargers were starting with
Speaker 5: the Chargers game where the Chargers only hung up six
Speaker 5: points on this Jacksonville team on the road on a
Speaker 5: one o'clock game coming from the West.
Speaker 4: We're talking about earlier this season, right, Yeah.
Speaker 5: So you look back at this eight game and I
Speaker 5: don't want to poke well, I'm poking holes in it.
Speaker 5: They gave up. They won by twenty nine points against
Speaker 5: the Chargers, which was a good win, except it's that
Speaker 5: old thing where the West Coast team coming to the
Speaker 5: East Coast playing on a one o'clock game is notoriously
Speaker 5: a difficult time slot. Then they played Arizona, struggling team,
Speaker 5: they won by three. They played Tennessee Titans twice. They
Speaker 5: played the Indianapolis Colts twice after the Indianapolis Colts were
Speaker 5: in flames. Then they played the Jets. So the Cardinals,
Speaker 5: the Titans twice, the Colts twice is not a gauntlet.
Speaker 5: If they are a good team, and the Jacksonville Jaguars
Speaker 5: are a good team, they should have been winning big
Speaker 5: on those teams, and they did. They beat the Jets
Speaker 5: by twenty eight, They beat the Colts by six, and
Speaker 5: then they beat them by seventeen the first match. They
Speaker 5: beat the Titans by thirty four. On the final game
Speaker 5: of the season, when the Titans were done. They also
Speaker 5: beat the Titans by twenty two earlier in the season,
Speaker 5: Week thirteen, when the Titans were not going to the playoffs. Okay,
Speaker 5: you're supposed to beat teams like that, and that's why
Speaker 5: their point differential is what it is. The Bills played
Speaker 5: their backups. They played their backups in the same stretch.
Speaker 5: And let's remember, you know what the Bills did by
Speaker 5: beating the Jets, you know, by twenty seven points. And
Speaker 5: that's why what you're supposed to do.
Speaker 1: We know that this matchup is more than just the quarterback,
Speaker 1: so taking a deeper look at the surrounding cast. Obviously,
Speaker 1: James Cook, as the league's leading rusher, gives Buffalo a
Speaker 1: great one two punch with Allen, but Travis Etn had
Speaker 1: over eleven hundred yards on the ground for Jacksonville this season.
Speaker 1: In the pass game, these two teams are quite similar,
Speaker 1: with neither team having an alpha male pass catching threat.
Speaker 1: Both have balanced receiving corps with a quality receiving tight
Speaker 1: end Kincaid for Buffalo, Brenton Strange for the Jaguars. Even
Speaker 1: though Parker Washington led the Jags in receiving yards, Jacoby Myers,
Speaker 1: a trade deadline pickup has been a force multiplier for
Speaker 1: their passing game. He's been huge on inbreaking routes in
Speaker 1: the middle of the field, a trade deadline pickup. So
Speaker 1: Jacksonville leans on their pass game a bit more than
Speaker 1: Buffalo does, as they throw at fifty five percent of
Speaker 1: the time. Meanwhile, Buffalo updated second in the NFL in
Speaker 1: run percentage at fifty and an half percent. So what
Speaker 1: grabs your attention most with some of these figures, Steve.
Speaker 5: Well, I think the thing that grabs me is the
Speaker 5: Bill's ability when teams know they've got James Cook, when
Speaker 5: they know he's gonna run the ball, when they know
Speaker 5: they want to, the Bills are still able to run
Speaker 5: the ball half the time. It'll be interesting to see
Speaker 5: if Jacksonville feels like they need to do anything to
Speaker 5: bolster what is already a good run defense. Are the
Speaker 5: Bills going to get be able to give productive enough
Speaker 5: in the run game to force Jacksonville to double down
Speaker 5: on their run defense and thereby giving Josh a chance
Speaker 5: to throw the football a little better more effectively. The
Speaker 5: health of the wide receiving room has been an issue
Speaker 5: all year. It's been a revolving door, not only because
Speaker 5: of injuries to Palmer, to Sanders, all these guys, but
Speaker 5: also to Kincaid. They've just it's just been a revolving
Speaker 5: door out there. So if they can get a little
Speaker 5: healthier and come out healthier than they have been, perhaps
Speaker 5: that's the kind of boost the passing game needs that
Speaker 5: they don't have to throw to run the football more
Speaker 5: than half the time. But that's the question of this game.
Speaker 5: Number one run defense against the number one run offense.
Speaker 5: And it's a number one run offense that doesn't go
Speaker 5: away from it. You can't scare them off it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And what I will say is Jacksonville's defense is
Speaker 1: a speed oriented defense that is designed to fly to
Speaker 1: the football and the first tackler usually gets them on
Speaker 1: the ground. They do not give up many yards either
Speaker 1: a after contact in the ground game or b after
Speaker 1: the catch and the receiving game. The offense is that
Speaker 1: Jacksonville has struggled with the most are the big personnel
Speaker 1: offenses San Francisco. You know they put tight ends on
Speaker 1: the field. The Bill we know use two three tight ends.
Speaker 1: Those are the offenses that Jacksonville struggles with more. You
Speaker 1: go big against them, you can sustain drives and finish
Speaker 1: in the end zone. So I think that is one
Speaker 1: area where Buffalo has an edge on a defense that
Speaker 1: has been very good this season. So I'm hopeful that
Speaker 1: the Bills will stick with what has worked for them
Speaker 1: for the balance of the season and continue to go
Speaker 1: twelve personnel thirteen when necessary in hell jumbo if you
Speaker 1: want to with Alec Anderson. When it comes to the
Speaker 1: two defensive units, the Jaguars have a solid group, but
Speaker 1: they do have trouble generating a consistent pass rush, which
Speaker 1: is strange because if you have the number one run defense,
Speaker 1: you should be putting opponents in obvious passing situations. But
Speaker 1: they have just thirty two sacks on the season and
Speaker 1: rank thirtieth in sacks per play. Even Buffalo's defense has
Speaker 1: more sacks than Jacksonville with thirty six, and the Bills
Speaker 1: are fourteenth in sacks per play. Both teams, excuse me.
Speaker 1: Both teams have had their share of problems getting off
Speaker 1: the field on third down. They each surrender third down
Speaker 1: conversions just over forty percent of the time, and they
Speaker 1: are identical when it comes to red zone defense. They
Speaker 1: have both given up exactly twenty eight touchdowns on forty
Speaker 1: seven red zone possessions for a touchdown percentage of fifty
Speaker 1: nine point six percent allowed. So what do you make
Speaker 1: of the Jacksonville struggle to generate an effective pass rush
Speaker 1: and it seems like their defense has some similar problems
Speaker 1: to that of the Bills when it comes to third down.
Speaker 5: Well, I'll say I think, well, one of the reasons
Speaker 5: is it might be that they get enough pressure because
Speaker 5: that helps them in churning out turnovers, which is what
Speaker 5: they're really good at. I think the turnover number wipes
Speaker 5: out a lot of problems.
Speaker 4: For their defense.
Speaker 5: Ball security is going to be huge for the Buffalo
Speaker 5: Bills offense. It comes to be when it comes to
Speaker 5: this game, and I think that stat we saw it
Speaker 5: last year. You just don't worry about your pass rush
Speaker 5: when you're chopping the ball out on fumbles or picking
Speaker 5: it off. I think that's one of the things that
Speaker 5: ball security can really highlight more. If they can't get turnovers,
Speaker 5: they are going to start to feel a little bit
Speaker 5: defenseless in the passing game because of their fact that
Speaker 5: they can't get to Josh. But it starts with ball security,
Speaker 5: that's my take.
Speaker 1: Josh has been sacked forty times this season, and I
Speaker 1: don't think it's been necessarily a breakdown in the quality
Speaker 1: of the pass protection that Buffalo has had this season.
Speaker 1: I think Josh has been hesitant to throw the ball
Speaker 1: away this year on first down, second down, third down.
Speaker 1: He has not thrown it away to live for another
Speaker 1: play as much as he has in the past. And
Speaker 1: hopefully with Joe Brady having Josh Josh self scout himself
Speaker 1: last week, it will encourage him to throw the ball
Speaker 1: away and live for another down rather than take a
Speaker 1: ten yard loss and put your team in a much
Speaker 1: more difficult situation to sustain a drive. And look, I'm
Speaker 1: not dismissing Josh heinz Allen. He has always been a
Speaker 1: problem for the Bills over the years. He was a
Speaker 1: menace in that nine to six game back in twenty
Speaker 1: twenty one. He was a problem in the London game
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three that the Bill's lost to the Jags.
Speaker 1: So I'm not dismissing him or the number one pick
Speaker 1: in the draft a couple of years ago, Trayvon Walker,
Speaker 1: who was a six', five two hundred and seventy two
Speaker 1: pound condor coming off the edge For jacksonville on the other.
Speaker 4: Side you gotta respect those.
Speaker 1: Guys BUT i Think josh just has to be mindful
Speaker 1: of throwing the ball away and living for second and
Speaker 1: ten or third and five instead of creating a second
Speaker 1: and twenty or a third and. Fifteen, finally we know. Points,
Speaker 1: Sorry i'm struggling. Here now you're doing. Good we know
Speaker 1: points are the thing that decides. Games, overall The bills
Speaker 1: were fifth in total point differential at plus one. Sixteen
Speaker 1: jaguars were fourth at one thirty, eight and Since week,
Speaker 1: Eleven jags are the first in THE nfl at plus
Speaker 1: one fifty three on their eight game winning. Streak but
Speaker 1: The bills are the best second half team in the
Speaker 1: league in point differential plus one twenty. Seven jacksonville ranks
Speaker 1: seventh at a plus thirty seven in the second. Half
Speaker 1: any kind of advantage here For buffalo if the results
Speaker 1: from the regular season hold to.
Speaker 5: Form, well, YEAH i, mean the game's not over until
Speaker 5: the second half. Ends to not over win the first half,
Speaker 5: Ends so you gotta hang tough with them and get
Speaker 5: through this first half and keep it, even keep it.
Speaker 5: Closer if these numbers hold hold To buffalo has been
Speaker 5: a NOTORIOUSLY i don't say a slow starting. Team there
Speaker 5: have been games where they've started, slow BUT i think
Speaker 5: because of the way they have performed in the second,
Speaker 5: half it makes it seem like the first half is slower, Anyway.
Speaker 5: RIGHT i mean that there have been games when they've
Speaker 5: been shut, out that particularly The eagles, game, Right but
Speaker 5: for the most, part they play so well in the second.
Speaker 5: Half you, know you look at That New england. Game,
Speaker 5: Yeah bills were struggling on both sides of the ball
Speaker 5: in That New england. Game they gave a big plays
Speaker 5: and particularly the offense of The, patriots BUT i think
Speaker 5: it exacerbates what you, know it even widens the, margin
Speaker 5: the perceived margin between their first and second. HALF i
Speaker 5: don't think there is big a different, team much of
Speaker 5: a different team in the first and second. Half but
Speaker 5: they do do some things better and certainly do adjust
Speaker 5: very well at halftime and coming out after. Halftime and
Speaker 5: if that holds true to, FORM i don't know that
Speaker 5: there's a lead THAT i would feel comfortable with If
Speaker 5: I'm jacksonville going into.
Speaker 1: Halftime right at the same, time you have to believe
Speaker 1: The bills don't want to rely on, that you, know
Speaker 1: their second half. PROWESS i don't think they want to
Speaker 1: rely on that in a playoff. GAME i think they'd
Speaker 1: obviously like to get off to a strong start in this,
Speaker 1: game or any playoff game for that, matter because you're
Speaker 1: playing better teams in the, postseason and you, know coming
Speaker 1: back on a team of that quality is more difficult
Speaker 1: in the playoffs than it might be in the regular,
Speaker 1: season even though To steve's, point they have done it
Speaker 1: against playoff caliber teams Like New. ENGLAND i think in
Speaker 1: the grand scheme of, things don't have a fat deficit
Speaker 1: at halftime that you have to rally the troops and you,
Speaker 1: know have some monster second half. Effort you're just making
Speaker 1: life harder for yourself. Overall so hopefully they don't have
Speaker 1: to resort to that kind of a second half. Comeback
Speaker 1: but we know it's, there, yeah if they absolutely need.
Speaker 5: It it's not and talking like that we, do and
Speaker 5: we have everybody talks the exact same way that we.
Speaker 5: Do you, know they can't rely on coming. Back they're
Speaker 5: not trying to rely on. Anything they're trying to win
Speaker 5: the game in the first. Half they're trying to score
Speaker 5: so many points that the other team gives. UP i
Speaker 5: mean that's they're trying to do.
Speaker 4: That they.
Speaker 5: Don't they're not, Thinking, okay we'll get this together later.
Speaker 5: On that's not the mindset of AN nfl football team.
Speaker 5: Ever in any, case in any, scenario they're coming out
Speaker 5: and trying to get off to a fast, start and
Speaker 5: they have to adjust to what is another good football
Speaker 5: team is trying to accomplish against. Them they got to
Speaker 5: react to that and adjust to it and get out in.
Speaker 5: Front they have not in too many. Games they have
Speaker 5: not been able to come out and attack the other
Speaker 5: team in a way that the other team is caught
Speaker 5: off guard or in a you can't you don't come
Speaker 5: out faster than the other team is able to come out.
Speaker 5: Fast and it's gonna be even exacerbated by the fact
Speaker 5: that you're on a road against a really good football
Speaker 5: team in the playoffs who's on a. Heater it's going
Speaker 5: to exacerbate their ability to start. Fast you would think
Speaker 5: it doesn't mean it has to be that.
Speaker 4: Way so The.
Speaker 5: Bills, never it's not their strategy to lay down in
Speaker 5: the first half and then adjust and then come out.
Speaker 5: Firing that's never the. Strategy that's the way it looks
Speaker 5: to you, KNOW us fans out, here so don't get
Speaker 5: the mentality or even talk about it like we do
Speaker 5: about them saying they're just gonna wait and see what
Speaker 5: happens in the first, half because nobody does.
Speaker 1: That to illustrate how close many expect this wild card
Speaker 1: game to. Be not only do the odds makers have
Speaker 1: it with a one point, spread BUT espn analytics people
Speaker 1: in Their Football Power index give The bills a forty
Speaker 1: nine point one percent chance to advance to the divisional
Speaker 1: round and The jaguars a fifty point nine percent chance
Speaker 1: to advance to the divisional. Round it's essentially a coin
Speaker 1: flip game in the eyes of the analytics. People let's
Speaker 1: flip things over to the numbers, game Where steve will
Speaker 1: be quizzed.
Speaker 2: On bill's wild card.
Speaker 1: History here we, Go question number, One, steve how many
Speaker 1: wild card games have The bills played in team? History
Speaker 1: not counting This? Sunday all, right he's working through the.
Speaker 4: Years.
Speaker 2: Five it's a lot more than. That, ten it's a
Speaker 2: little bit.
Speaker 1: More it's, thirteen, really thirteen wild card games and this
Speaker 1: will be the fourteenth On. SUNDAY idea question question, well
Speaker 1: question number, two what would you guess to be The
Speaker 1: bills average points per game in wild card. Games twenty it's, higher,
Speaker 1: really twenty, three a little bit more really twenty. Six
Speaker 1: it's twenty seven point seven one the, GAME i mean
Speaker 1: you have your forty one to thirty eight wild card, win,
Speaker 1: right you, know the, comeback comeback. Game you Got josh
Speaker 1: rolling up, points forty seven to, seventeen perfect.
Speaker 4: Game like there's some fat numbers in.
Speaker 5: THERE i, mean like we had the sixteen or nineteen
Speaker 5: points In, houston seventeen to seven Over, houston then the
Speaker 5: ten to three game In jacksonville or whatever is, right three.
Speaker 4: Points so, yeah.
Speaker 5: That's twenty seven is a fat number with those kinds
Speaker 5: Sprinkled in.
Speaker 6: Question number, three what Current bills player is tied for
Speaker 6: third in team history in wild card game? Receptions Current bills,
Speaker 6: Player he's tied for third in team history and wild
Speaker 6: card game.
Speaker 1: Receptions Dawson. Knox you nailed, It. Steve he's got, fourteen
Speaker 1: well done and one got. One and question, four what
Speaker 1: Current bill's player holds the franchise mark for most rushing
Speaker 1: yards in Wild card?
Speaker 4: Games Josh.
Speaker 2: Allen it Is Josh allen three and fifty two rushing.
Speaker 4: Yard vision with a.
Speaker 2: Flurry let's.
Speaker 4: Go in case you.
Speaker 1: Were, Wondering James cook is third with two hundred and
Speaker 1: thirty eight rushing yards in wild card. Games well you
Speaker 1: know the current team, Anyway good for you.
Speaker 2: Can't remember the. OTHERS U bill's.
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Speaker 1: now for our one burning. Question over the last four,
Speaker 1: years the three lower seeded wild card, teams the, five,
Speaker 1: six and, seven have gone oh and twelve not a single.
Speaker 1: Victory the last time a lower wild card team in
Speaker 1: THE afc one was in twenty, twenty when six Seeded
Speaker 1: cleveland upset three Seed pittsburgh and five Seed baltimore upset
Speaker 1: four Seed. Tennessee will this postseason wild card round be
Speaker 1: more like twenty? Twenty and if, so?
Speaker 5: WHY i think it could be because of the way
Speaker 5: the teams are built and the guys taking. Snaps you
Speaker 5: can make a case for you, know THE, afc in
Speaker 5: particular with The jaguars and The, Bills Chargers, Patriots.
Speaker 4: Chargers.
Speaker 5: Patriots it's gonna be a Rough it's it's later in the.
Speaker 5: Day this this ONE pm thing is not going to
Speaker 5: be a factor for The. Chargers they'll play. Better Justin
Speaker 5: herbert is every bit physically as capable and probably a
Speaker 5: better passer Than Drake. May the home, field the home
Speaker 5: field is is, real But Drake Drake may is a
Speaker 5: complete Quarter he can run the, football picks his spots,
Speaker 5: well great decision. Maker but certainly The Bill's jaguars is
Speaker 5: going to be a really good matchup between two teams
Speaker 5: and Experienced bill's team that is coming down the, stretch
Speaker 5: has been waiting for the playoffs for quite some, time
Speaker 5: LIKE i, Said and This jaguars team's playing as well
Speaker 5: as any team in THE nfl right, now particularly. Offensively so,
Speaker 5: YEAH i mean you're. Not Josh allen is a better
Speaker 5: than a wild card, quarterback Right he's DEFENDING, mvp and
Speaker 5: he's got a gear that nobody else. Does and This
Speaker 5: bills team has a gear, that while it's been, inconsistent it's.
Speaker 5: There it's under the hood AND i think you're gonna
Speaker 5: get their best. Efforts so, YEAH i think it could
Speaker 5: be one of those games where at least one of
Speaker 5: these two teams can.
Speaker 1: UPSET i think we could be looking at a weekend
Speaker 1: where two of the lower seeded teams. WIN i think
Speaker 1: The chargers have a favorable matchup With New england because
Speaker 1: they do not have a very good pass. Rush so
Speaker 1: for A chargers team that doesn't have each of their offensive,
Speaker 1: TACKLES i don't think it's as glaring a problem against
Speaker 1: A patriots team that struggles to get after the.
Speaker 2: Quarterback AND i also believe The.
Speaker 1: Texans The texans can be a problem for A steelers
Speaker 1: team with a quarterback who isn't as mobile as he
Speaker 1: used to. BE i realized that The texans defense doesn't
Speaker 1: look as fierce on the road as they do in
Speaker 1: their own. Building but to, me that's a. Problem that's
Speaker 1: a problem for The, Steelers SO i could easily see
Speaker 1: them winning. Too and we know This Bill's jaguars. Game
Speaker 1: everybody says it's a coin flip. Game i'm banking on
Speaker 1: seventeen in this one kind of rising up and being
Speaker 1: the better quarterback in this. MATCHUP i Think Trevor lawrence
Speaker 1: has had a fantastic. Season it's just hard for me
Speaker 1: to believe his level of play is going to look
Speaker 1: every bit as good in the. Postseason and as you
Speaker 1: have said many times, Before, steve in this, league it
Speaker 1: is hard to sustain an elite level of play for
Speaker 1: more than two. Months guess, what The jags have played
Speaker 1: elite for two. Months that time might be.
Speaker 5: Up and when we're trying and let's what we. DO
Speaker 5: i mean on these podcasts and everybody around the. Country
Speaker 5: there's nine GAZILLION nfl, podcasts nine networks with all their
Speaker 5: guys on and they all try and predict how these
Speaker 5: games are gonna. Go when you're trying to predict, it
Speaker 5: you're looking At Josh Allen Trevor. Lawrence in this, Game Josh,
Speaker 5: allen you figure it's going to be a close, game
Speaker 5: it's gonna be a playoff, game it's gonna be on
Speaker 5: the road In. Jacksonville Trevor lawrence has played extremely well
Speaker 5: down the. Stretch but when you look at when the
Speaker 5: game's gonna matter in the fourth, quarter you've seen it
Speaker 5: and he's proven it time and time and time. Again Josh,
Speaker 5: allen you know what you're gonna, get you don't really,
Speaker 5: know or at Least Trevor lawrence hasn't proven it the
Speaker 5: Way Josh allen has proven. It, Certainly Trevor lawrence is
Speaker 5: a great, quarterback no question about. It but, man oh,
Speaker 5: man there are some holes in the analysis of his
Speaker 5: game that we've talked about here that are not there
Speaker 5: In Josh. Allen so if it does come down to,
Speaker 5: that you got to Give buffalo that. Edge that doesn't
Speaker 5: say that jash lets have a really good team and
Speaker 5: they're playing at. Home but that's where that's Where i'm.
Speaker 5: At i'm with, you. Brownie you know you're gonna get
Speaker 5: what you're gonna get From, josh and you're only kind
Speaker 5: of sure you think what you're gonna get what you're
Speaker 5: gonna get From trevor Larn and as.
Speaker 1: We outlined, earlier the fourth quarter passing numbers are not
Speaker 1: super encouraging when it comes To Trevor lawrence's play in
Speaker 1: the Regular.
Speaker 5: SEAS i say, it you just gotta play well on that.
Speaker 4: Day gotta play well on that. Day our closing, Figure,
Speaker 4: oh let's try that.
Speaker 1: Again our closing figure examines teams that go into the
Speaker 1: playoffs on long winning. Streaks The, jaguars as we've, said
Speaker 1: have won eight in a row to finish their regular.
Speaker 1: Season the last thirteen teams to enter the postseason on
Speaker 1: an eight game winning streak or more have failed to
Speaker 1: win The Super, bowl and six of those, thirteen almost,
Speaker 1: half have failed to win a single playoff. Game that'll
Speaker 1: do it for this. Edition wait to, Go, brownie he
Speaker 1: got through. It, oh you can Tell brownie's not feeling it,
Speaker 1: today but you gotta do.
Speaker 4: It that's.
Speaker 1: Awesome that'll do it for this. Edition make sure you
Speaker 1: subscribe on whatever podcast platform you're using so you know
Speaker 1: when our next episode.
Speaker 2: Drops or watch us on The.
Speaker 1: Bills YouTube, channel because when you need to know about The,
Speaker 1: bills you need to Check bills by The Numbers For Steve.
Speaker 4: Tasker I'm Chris. Brown thanks for. Listening we'll catch you next.
Speaker 1: Time, everybody