1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:07,920 Speaker 2: Wow. 3 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: We like to remind everybody that Amazon Home Depot, Fedexups, 4 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 1: also Giga Cloud Technology are just some of our next 5 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 1: guest big customers. We're talking about the one hundred and 6 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:19,799 Speaker 1: twenty five billion dollar market cap company. It is a 7 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:24,080 Speaker 1: warehouse logistical read it is Prologious, that is massive, and 8 00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 1: it owns, develops and manages logistical warehouses for the biggest 9 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:30,320 Speaker 1: companies like we just mentioned. And they've got more than 10 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:33,600 Speaker 1: a one point three billion square feet in twenty countries. 11 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 1: So what a great person to get a view in 12 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: terms of the macro of what's going on around the world. 13 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 3: Considering tim our backdrop. 14 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:42,319 Speaker 4: Shares up about three percent so far this year. We've 15 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 4: got Dan Letter with us CEO of pro Logis. He 16 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:45,959 Speaker 4: joins us here in the studio. Dan, good to see 17 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 4: you again. You just took over as CEO that we've 18 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 4: spoken just a few months before that. I want to 19 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 4: start with what Carol mentioned in the macro, because we 20 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 4: are just squarely focused on an increase in oil prices 21 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 4: as a result of the war or iron what that 22 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:03,240 Speaker 4: means for consumers, what it means for business leaders. 23 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 5: How are you looking at the macro environment. 24 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, first, thanks for having me. Great to be 25 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:10,280 Speaker 2: here with you too. I look at the macro environment 26 00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 2: right now, and I think about all the chaos and 27 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 2: turbulence our customers have been through, going back to COVID 28 00:01:18,720 --> 00:01:22,960 Speaker 2: six years ago, the world was shut down right over 29 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:26,399 Speaker 2: the course of these six years. Think of all the 30 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 2: geopolitical events post COVID, the raid hikes, and how that 31 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 2: impacted our customers. And I actually look at these customers 32 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 2: and I realize they've built a lot of endurance. They 33 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 2: actually this turbulence is more of a feature of the 34 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 2: environment that we're living in today. And I look back 35 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 2: to a conference where we were talking to investors a 36 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 2: couple weeks ago, actually right after the weekend of the 37 00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 2: original I ran bombing, and we were telling our customers 38 00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 2: twenty twenty six started really strong. Twenty twenty five was 39 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 2: our second largest leasing year ever, and we were seeing 40 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 2: that go into twenty twenty six. 41 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 3: Does that continue. 42 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: There's a lot that's happened, like it's just I think, 43 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:10,919 Speaker 1: kind of shocking. And we talk about this so much. 44 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:12,799 Speaker 1: No one expected some of the things that have come 45 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 1: at us DAN in twenty twenty six, So since that 46 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:17,519 Speaker 1: that was just a few weeks ago or a month 47 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 1: ago or so of that update and that you were 48 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 1: talking with like is that optimism still there and is 49 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:25,080 Speaker 1: your outlook on twenty twenty six still the same. 50 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 2: So what we see at this time is customers don't 51 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 2: necessarily pull back. I look back to last year at 52 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 2: this time we had expressed a little caution that led 53 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 2: into what was Liberation Day, right, and you see customers 54 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 2: just look around and see what's going on and then 55 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 2: lean in. They make long term decisions, five, seven, ten 56 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 2: year decisions when they're working with us, right, and so 57 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 2: they're really kind of seeing through that noise. And when 58 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 2: you look at these decisions they're making, it's really only 59 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 2: three to five percent of the overall cost of the 60 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:55,839 Speaker 2: supply chain. 61 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:57,920 Speaker 1: So no people who were maybe going to sign a 62 00:02:57,919 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 1: contract that backed out or anything. 63 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:02,359 Speaker 2: Like that, we hadn't seen that. And it's really just 64 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 2: a matter of they digest it and then they it 65 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 2: comes in different forms. Maybe you end up seeing some 66 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:10,840 Speaker 2: short term leasing or but certainly no pullback. 67 00:03:11,320 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 4: What about when it comes specifically to data centers, because 68 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:16,640 Speaker 4: last time we talked with you about the data center 69 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 4: activity you're seeing and in that time a lot has happened. 70 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 4: We've heard from different companies. Microsoft is renting a Texas 71 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:24,520 Speaker 4: data center that was dropped by Oracle and open Ai. 72 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 4: Are you seeing any signs of weakness or slow down 73 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:30,520 Speaker 4: or changing trends when it comes to the data center business? 74 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:32,880 Speaker 2: So, our data center business was really born from our 75 00:03:32,960 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 2: higher and better use business. When you have six thousand buildings, 76 00:03:36,080 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 2: fourteen thousand acres of land close to seventy eight percent 77 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 2: of the world GDP, that is where the next way 78 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 2: of the economy is. That's where data centers need to be. 79 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 2: And we have deep relationships with these hyperscalers. We have 80 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 2: a fortress of a balance sheet, and every megau we 81 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 2: can deliver over the next three years is in some 82 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:55,800 Speaker 2: sort of least discussion right now. And we have five 83 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 2: point seven gigawats of power that we control or are 84 00:03:58,800 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 2: in its advanced. 85 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 5: Meaning full capacity in terms of negotiations. 86 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 2: Right now, we're at full capacity. 87 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 4: So nobody else could come to you right now and 88 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 4: say we're interested in the next few years and you 89 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 4: have an option for them. 90 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:13,320 Speaker 2: No, that's not the case. Just the next three years 91 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 2: of power that we can deliver. These hyperscalers. These major 92 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 2: data center users are heavily focused on near term power, 93 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:23,240 Speaker 2: and we're focused on delivering power much longer beyond that, 94 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:26,880 Speaker 2: and so we're certainly in discussions beyond that next three years, 95 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:29,280 Speaker 2: and that's where this five point seven gigawatts of power 96 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:29,839 Speaker 2: will come in. 97 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 3: So that's the power you've secured, right. 98 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:34,839 Speaker 2: So we've secured one point eight gigawatts, and then we 99 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 2: have three point nine gigawatts that we call in the 100 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:41,159 Speaker 2: advanced stages, which means it's a year or two behind. Okay, 101 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:43,720 Speaker 2: but again, think of the universe of opportunities we have 102 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 2: behind that five point seven you have, which is just 103 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:48,839 Speaker 2: the size of our platform. 104 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: All right, So then I'm going to say, are you 105 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:52,080 Speaker 1: looking to secure even more power? 106 00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:56,040 Speaker 2: Absolutely, we are working. And remember we're a global company. 107 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 2: As you said, we're in joy countries and so we're 108 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:00,280 Speaker 2: working around the tier one, tier two mare it's in 109 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 2: the United States, we work around the flapp dy markets 110 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 2: in Europe, and we're starting to see it actually in 111 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:08,280 Speaker 2: Latin America and Japan as well. 112 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 1: So has anything changed because of the war or is 113 00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:13,920 Speaker 1: really everybody kind of looking through this because we talk 114 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 1: about an energy environment, you know, We've talked a lot 115 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 1: about LNG specifically because Qatar has lost about thirty percent 116 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:22,120 Speaker 1: of their capacity and that's going to take three to 117 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:24,640 Speaker 1: five years to build. There's going to be a floor 118 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:27,159 Speaker 1: where energy prices are higher, and so I'm just curious 119 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:29,919 Speaker 1: has any of that impacted you guys in terms of 120 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: how you think about outlook build spend. 121 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 2: Costs well as it relates to logistics real estate. Again, 122 00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 2: it's three to five percent of the overall costs. So 123 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 2: our customers need to make these decisions long term and 124 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 2: they want to be close to those population centers. So 125 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:46,719 Speaker 2: can't necessarily sit back and wait. 126 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:48,600 Speaker 3: Can I just throw one thing out there? 127 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 1: This could be a little wacky, but it's it's Elon 128 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 1: and so that's kind of whacky. But we've talked this 129 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:56,600 Speaker 1: week right about data centers in space. Is that something 130 00:05:57,160 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 1: you are thinking about and how that might impact you guys? 131 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:02,479 Speaker 1: You obviously are doing this on Mother Earth, and I'm 132 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:04,360 Speaker 1: just wondering, is that just something that. 133 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 2: Well, we're going to stick to these twenty countries that 134 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 2: we're focused on. I think I think there's plenty of 135 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:17,240 Speaker 2: opportunity for us for the foreseeable future. But maybe ask 136 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:18,040 Speaker 2: me in ten years. 137 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 4: Okay, yeah, I mean, but to Carroll's point, why you know, 138 00:06:20,680 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 4: with that getting so much discussion right now, why are 139 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:26,720 Speaker 4: you just focused on terrestrial? I mean, I know it 140 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:29,360 Speaker 4: would have sound crazy. It sounded crazy a year ago 141 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 4: to be talking about this, but this is something that 142 00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 4: you know a lot of people think is the future 143 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:34,279 Speaker 4: of these data centers. 144 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 2: Well, we do this business one hundred percent on a 145 00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 2: build the suit basis, so we have leases in place 146 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 2: before we put a shovel in the ground, and we 147 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 2: have so much opportunity in front of us, we don't 148 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:48,080 Speaker 2: need to be thinking about another vector to grow this 149 00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:49,240 Speaker 2: data center business. 150 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's pretty fascinating. What would change your mind? 151 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 2: Though? 152 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:53,279 Speaker 3: In terms? 153 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:55,279 Speaker 1: Would it have to be an economic slode in which 154 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:57,599 Speaker 1: some have talked about, depending on when this war ends 155 00:06:57,680 --> 00:07:00,920 Speaker 1: or even if we start, if we see inflationary pressures continue, 156 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 1: and whether there's demand destruction that slows down essentially. 157 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 3: The global economy, a lot has to fall into place, as. 158 00:07:05,480 --> 00:07:09,040 Speaker 1: You know, Is that what would maybe change your outlook? 159 00:07:09,120 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 1: Or again, because everything's locked in place, if the economy 160 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,120 Speaker 1: slows down, what kind of impact might that have on 161 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:17,600 Speaker 1: you guys? Or it doesn't matter because you've already kind 162 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 1: of signed things in are moving ahead because it's longer term. 163 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 2: When I think about our core business, Yeah, if you 164 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:25,720 Speaker 2: think of the building blocks for our core business is 165 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:29,240 Speaker 2: seventy percent of the US GDP is consumption. Our buildings 166 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 2: are close to the major population centers the United States. 167 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 2: So on top of that, there's the e commerce secular 168 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 2: demand driver. We've been talking about e commerce for a 169 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 2: long time. Pre Covid, e commerce penetration as a percentage 170 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 2: retail sales was in the seventeen ish percent ratio rate. 171 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:50,880 Speaker 2: Now it's like mid twenties. We see that growing another 172 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 2: one seventy five to one hundred basis points a year 173 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 2: through the end of the decade. That alone is additional 174 00:07:56,320 --> 00:07:59,320 Speaker 2: demand on top of that. So there's a big tailwind 175 00:07:59,320 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 2: for our growth. 176 00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 1: So but if there was an economic slowdown, that could 177 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 1: be a problem, well or would that not even impact 178 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. 179 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 2: One thing I forgot to mention is, yeah, e commerce 180 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 2: for every dollar retail sales, it needs three x the 181 00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:15,280 Speaker 2: warehouse space because think of all the activities that happen 182 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:18,400 Speaker 2: in the brick and mortar and the returns happened there. 183 00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 2: There's the stock in the back. And then with e commerce, 184 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 2: there's been that proliferation of skews and all of us 185 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 2: we're looking for speed and we're looking for choice, right 186 00:08:27,320 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 2: and so that's been a big driver. And you may 187 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 2: see flat retail sales, but you'll see e commerce penetration. 188 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:33,439 Speaker 5: That's good. 189 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:37,160 Speaker 2: That's commerce penetration is great news for logistics real estate. 190 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 4: On that I'm interested in the droid venture that you 191 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:42,280 Speaker 4: guys announced last week, one point six billion dollar JV 192 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:45,360 Speaker 4: with GIC to build a suit warehouse development. 193 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 5: Why partner with GIC, Why not do this solo? 194 00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 2: Well, we've long been developing on our balance sheet, but 195 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 2: now look at our development business. We can build forty 196 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 2: three billion dollars more of logistics space in our land 197 00:08:58,520 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 2: bank alone, not buying any more lane. And on top 198 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:03,439 Speaker 2: of that, we have this data center business. 199 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:05,599 Speaker 3: We see that one more time. That's tremendous. 200 00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 2: So we have two hundred and thirty billion worth of 201 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:10,760 Speaker 2: AUM today at the end of last quarter. Yeah, we 202 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:14,960 Speaker 2: can build another forty three billion of logistics buildings on 203 00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 2: our fourteen thousand acres of land. That's two hundred and 204 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 2: forty million square fee. We can grow at the company 205 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 2: eighteen percent without buying another piece of land. Then we 206 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 2: have this data center business. Think about it from a 207 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:28,560 Speaker 2: megawatt perspective. If you build a powered shell that's on 208 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:31,120 Speaker 2: the continuum poweredshell over here, that's about two and a 209 00:09:31,160 --> 00:09:34,840 Speaker 2: half to three million dollars of megawatt. You go out 210 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:37,440 Speaker 2: this side of the continuum and that's a turnkey that's 211 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:42,080 Speaker 2: everything soup to nuts built out. That's fifteen million a megawatt. 212 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 2: So think about how big that data center development could be. 213 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:49,760 Speaker 2: So we're looking at diversifying our capital stacked there and 214 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:53,080 Speaker 2: our partners great to have a new partner with GIC here. 215 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:56,240 Speaker 2: They want a piece of this development business and when 216 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 2: we're doing that to help build bigger relationships globally. 217 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:04,040 Speaker 3: Same you're not optimistic, Dan, come back soon. 218 00:10:04,280 --> 00:10:04,920 Speaker 2: Thanks for having me. 219 00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:07,760 Speaker 3: Really appreciate it. Dan let Our CEO of Prologists,