1 00:00:01,400 --> 00:00:02,080 Speaker 1: It's one of the two. 2 00:00:02,320 --> 00:00:02,760 Speaker 2: That's all. 3 00:00:06,720 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 3: All right, Welcome back, everybody, Welcome back, believe it or not. 4 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:14,880 Speaker 3: At the time we are doing this podcast live, we 5 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 3: are just nineteen days away from pitchers and catchers, which 6 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 3: to me, it's like a holiday. It's like Christmas. Twenty 7 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:25,760 Speaker 3: four days away from full squad workouts, and twenty eight 8 00:00:25,880 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 3: days away from the first spring training game of the season. 9 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 3: I'm probably not going to do a post game for 10 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 3: the first spring training game because it's a weekday, but 11 00:00:32,920 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 3: one lunar cycle. TK. Are you ready? 12 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 4: I'm ready. I'm so excited. 13 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:42,279 Speaker 5: It's been a long offseason, a lot of changes to 14 00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:44,560 Speaker 5: the roster. This is going to be a different Yankees team. 15 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 5: But I've pretty much now said goodbye to the twenty 16 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 5: twenty fourteen and I'm ready for the twenty twenty five team. 17 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 3: I feel like some of these statistics that they're projecting 18 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 3: are pretty spot on, and they're usually spot on with 19 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 3: the win, but there's a few of these are just 20 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 3: kind of alarming to me. So well, they don't really 21 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 3: have a lot of guys taking a huge step forward. 22 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:09,479 Speaker 3: So we'll we'll talk through all of these, but you know, first, 23 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:11,880 Speaker 3: you're out there in La So I just wanted to acknowledge, 24 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 3: like you've been dealing with all the fires and stuff. 25 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:16,040 Speaker 3: How's everything out there. I'm really had chance to talk 26 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:17,480 Speaker 3: to you since it all started. Everything good? 27 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:19,080 Speaker 4: Uh yeah, I. 28 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 5: Mean it's been scary. As far as where I live, 29 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 5: I've been. I've been fine. The air quality has just 30 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,039 Speaker 5: been a little sketchy. I do know some people that 31 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:30,480 Speaker 5: were affected. A colleague of mine lost his home in 32 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 5: Pacific Palisades, lost everything. I guess the scariest one for 33 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 5: me was the Sunset fire and the Hollywood Hills. From 34 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 5: my apartment rooftop about like a mile and a half off, 35 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 5: you could see flames, and the visual of that was 36 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 5: pretty pretty apocalyptic, pretty scary looking, to be honest. 37 00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's rough, man. I'm glad you're hanging in there 38 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 3: if you ever need to come back east. I'm sure 39 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:55,920 Speaker 3: a lot of these strange Internet people that are watch 40 00:01:55,960 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 3: every episode dying to get you in their in their house, 41 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 3: on their couch for totally non nefarious reasons. But let's 42 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 3: go ahead and let's go through some of these stats here, 43 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:10,360 Speaker 3: because we're gonna talk about fangrafts. Every year they project 44 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 3: the statistical numbers for everybody, and we'll do win lass 45 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 3: standings all that stuff another day because there's still some 46 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 3: free agents out there that I think could affect that. 47 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 3: So I don't want to kind of you jump the 48 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 3: shark a little bit on that and then have something change. 49 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 3: But a lot of these individual numbers we can go 50 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 3: ahead and start talking about. So I want to begin 51 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 3: with the infielders, and for the people listening, there's a 52 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 3: lot of stats on the screen. So this is one 53 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 3: of those episodes where it's probably better. I highly recommend 54 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 3: you watch in visual form on the YouTube channel. But 55 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 3: let's go through some of these guys, just thirty thousand 56 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 3: foot view. Some things that stand out to me. I 57 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 3: thought for sure they would have Jazz Chisholm going thirty 58 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:53,079 Speaker 3: thirty this year, but they have them getting twenty eight 59 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:56,920 Speaker 3: home runs and thirty four stolen bases, so close. But no, Cigar, 60 00:02:57,600 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 3: I think they're underestimating how much power he's gonna is 61 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 3: gonna jump, you know, a full year at Yankee Stadium. Also, 62 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:09,960 Speaker 3: you mentioned something before the telecast before while we were 63 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:14,080 Speaker 3: in our green room about Jazz Chisholm. What did you 64 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 3: see from Jazz this week? 65 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:20,600 Speaker 5: So Jazz was I already graduated, but he was visiting 66 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 5: my alma mater, Clemson University. Spent a few days with 67 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 5: the baseball program them. I think he was doing a 68 00:03:27,480 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 5: collaboration with the brand. Absolutely ridiculous. That's like the they 69 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:34,119 Speaker 5: make those like wild gloves with like the ice cream 70 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:35,520 Speaker 5: pattern on them and stuff like. 71 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 4: It's pretty cool stuff. 72 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 5: It's a little it's a little flashy for Yankees, I feel, 73 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 5: but I think it's cool. 74 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 4: I think it looks pretty cool. But yeah, that was 75 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 4: pretty cool. 76 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 5: He was spending time with the college guys and looked 77 00:03:46,120 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 5: like a good time. 78 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 3: Justin is you know, offering you a doghouse in the backyard. 79 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 3: You could get your own food and water. So that's 80 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 3: that's good. Some other things here Anthony Volpi. They actually 81 00:03:57,200 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 3: have him kind of taking a step backwards in batting average, 82 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 3: slightly upwards in power to nineteen home runs on base 83 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 3: percentage slightly up. I'd much rather see him hit two 84 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 3: seventy with you know, status quo power, but they're certainly 85 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 3: not high on him. But they do have him getting 86 00:04:12,720 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 3: a four wins above replacement, which is not bad one 87 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:19,600 Speaker 3: oh one WRC plus UH and three h nine Whobo, 88 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:23,919 Speaker 3: which is slightly below average, roughly average Austin Wells, I 89 00:04:24,040 --> 00:04:26,840 Speaker 3: feel like they're kind of sleeping on him. They've got 90 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:29,479 Speaker 3: a three point six war two thirty one average, seventeen 91 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 3: home runs. I think they're kind of light on all 92 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:34,839 Speaker 3: of those numbers. I think this is one of those areas, 93 00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:37,120 Speaker 3: and Austin was is one of those guys where the 94 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 3: statistical model I think falls a little bit short because 95 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:43,920 Speaker 3: of how he improves. You know, he seems to make 96 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 3: improvements quick right. He seems to catch on like he 97 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:48,600 Speaker 3: wasn't a great catcher. He's been putting in a ton 98 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 3: of work on being a catcher. We saw him turn 99 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 3: it on after a cold month last year where he 100 00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:57,720 Speaker 3: was unlucky. And I think he's gonna hit two fifty 101 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:01,080 Speaker 3: twenty plus home runs, I really do. And then Paul 102 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 3: Goldschmidt two fifty twenty four home runs eighty two are 103 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 3: honestly compared to what we've gotten out of first base 104 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 3: the past couple of years. I would sign up for 105 00:05:09,320 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 3: that right now. And then I've got Paraza and Cabrera 106 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 3: on there, neither one of them doing huge things. Oswaldo 107 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 3: hitting two forty three ten home runs, Oswald Paraza hitting 108 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:23,880 Speaker 3: two thirty eight home runs. Thoughts on all of these guys, TK. 109 00:05:24,520 --> 00:05:26,400 Speaker 4: I'm pretty much in lockstep about a couple of things. 110 00:05:26,960 --> 00:05:28,919 Speaker 4: Gold Schmidt. If he gives you that, I'm. 111 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:31,920 Speaker 3: Totally fine, sign up, sign up for right now, one hundred. 112 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:33,240 Speaker 4: Percent totally sign up for that. 113 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:35,719 Speaker 5: Play solid defense, give me, give me twenty five bumps 114 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 5: with Volpi. I would much rather see him sacrifice like 115 00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:42,360 Speaker 5: nine home runs for thirty more points on the average. 116 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 5: I don't really, like I've said this last year, I 117 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 5: I don't really care if Volpi hits home runs or not. 118 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:50,479 Speaker 5: And I do agree with you twenty eight home runs 119 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 5: for Jazz. I do think he's gonna be around that 120 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:56,000 Speaker 5: twenty five to thirty range because obviously lefty swinging short porch, 121 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:58,280 Speaker 5: and I mean, Jude Jazz is not like a big guy, 122 00:05:58,320 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 5: but he's he's really got this. He's got a really 123 00:06:01,760 --> 00:06:03,840 Speaker 5: he kind of like contorts his whole body and he 124 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 5: really gets everything out of the swing. 125 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 3: He's explosive too, like athletically like those guys with the 126 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 3: lightning power. He's kind of got like the Dede Gregorious, 127 00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 3: you know, Alfonso Soriano body type where he's like thin 128 00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 3: and strong, but with super fast hands and click twitch muscles. 129 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 3: Things like that. I see someone in the chat not 130 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:25,480 Speaker 3: believing he's gonna go thirty thirty. I think he's got 131 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:27,040 Speaker 3: a shot. I really do. He hit twenty four home 132 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:29,720 Speaker 3: runs and had forty stolen bases last year, so six 133 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:31,880 Speaker 3: more home runs playing an extra two and a half 134 00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 3: months at Yankee Stadium. Absolutely, I think he can do that. 135 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:39,360 Speaker 3: As far as Anthony Volpi goes, what would you project 136 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 3: would be his numbers for the season, Like if you 137 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 3: had to say, all right, uh, you know, average home 138 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 3: runs RBIs kind of what would be your guest. I'm 139 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 3: gonna pull up his his player page. 140 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 5: Here, Well, I will say if Volpi just left the 141 00:06:57,440 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 5: graphic there, Ivolpi puts up the fan graph numbers that 142 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:02,760 Speaker 5: they're saying. I mean, I don't know about you, Derek, 143 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:04,720 Speaker 5: but we're gonna have to start having a conversation about 144 00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:06,520 Speaker 5: him being a disappointing prospect. 145 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 4: I mean, this was a guy that we were holding on. 146 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 5: To because he was supposed to be and I hate 147 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 5: the whole like Derek Jeter talk, He's not Derek Jeter, 148 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 5: all right. I mean, Derek Jeter is a hall a 149 00:07:16,760 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 5: first ballot, ballot Hall of Famer, Like, you can't just 150 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 5: set those expectations like that. But I understand, you know, 151 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 5: he's grew up a Yankee fan from New Jersey, plays shortstop. 152 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:31,040 Speaker 5: There's a lot there, right, grew up idolizing Uter. But 153 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 5: they're not the same kind of player at all as well, 154 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 5: Like they're archetype. 155 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 4: Of a player. 156 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 5: But again, this is a guy who was like a 157 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 5: top five prospect in baseball. They didn't trade him for Castillo, 158 00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 5: who was a top of the end starter at the time. 159 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:48,680 Speaker 5: I mean, he's still a very good pitcher. So and 160 00:07:48,720 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 5: we passed on Corey Seeger Trey Turn that's also adding 161 00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 5: to this as well. So I'm really saying, like, if 162 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 5: this guy goes out and hits two forty next year, 163 00:07:57,760 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 5: and he hits nineteen home runs, like nineteen home runs, 164 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 5: that's nice. But I mean I was being told that 165 00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 5: this guy was gonna hit two eighty five at the 166 00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 5: top of the lineup, steal forty bags, and play elite defense. 167 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 4: That's that's what I was being told. 168 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, so I think if he hits two sixty five, 169 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 3: two seventy with fifteen home runs and plays e leite defense, 170 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 3: you know that's a four and a half to five 171 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:25,040 Speaker 3: war player. I'll sign up for that. Yeah, the first 172 00:08:25,080 --> 00:08:27,360 Speaker 3: couple of months of the season last year, I feel 173 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 3: like he was the guy. Like he he had one 174 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:33,200 Speaker 3: of the best improvements I've ever seen season overseas, because 175 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 3: he looked so lost as a rookie, especially at the 176 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 3: end of the season, and then he comes in and 177 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 3: you know, he's got thirty four on base, thirty four 178 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:42,079 Speaker 3: game on bass streak. Now, part of that was probably 179 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 3: hitting in front of Juan Soto too, so he's gonna 180 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 3: lose a little bit of that. But he came up 181 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 3: and grabbed that leadoff spot, you know, and then it 182 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 3: just seemed to fall apart, like and he always seemed 183 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:56,160 Speaker 3: to do a little bit better after he got some 184 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:58,880 Speaker 3: time off. So I've been advocating all winter give him 185 00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:01,040 Speaker 3: more time off. But also part of this has to 186 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 3: be on Volpi. It's one hundred and sixty two game season, man, 187 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:05,200 Speaker 3: you got to come in in better shape. I mean, 188 00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 3: he doesn't look he's in bad shape, but like you know, 189 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:11,440 Speaker 3: Rocky four, like climb the mountain this winter, right, get 190 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 3: up there, like, you know, come in ready for one 191 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:16,440 Speaker 3: sixty two and assume you're not gonna get breaks because 192 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 3: the team is gonna need you. So I think, you know, 193 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 3: there's room athletically for him to improve as well. And 194 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 3: plus just going through the league again getting more confident. 195 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 3: You know, he he he played in the World Series 196 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:30,160 Speaker 3: last year, so he's he's played in the maximum pressure 197 00:09:30,200 --> 00:09:33,439 Speaker 3: situation so far, so you know, hopefully he'll improve a 198 00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 3: little bit. Uh, a couple of other things. I didn't 199 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 3: put DJ lemayhew on here because I don't think he's 200 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:42,439 Speaker 3: gonna affect the team really at all. I don't anticipate it. 201 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:44,200 Speaker 3: But they did have some projections for him. They were 202 00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:47,640 Speaker 3: about what you'd expect. Uh. And you know, there's still 203 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 3: room that the Yankees could go out and get another infielder. 204 00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 3: You know, there's been more talk in the last couple 205 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:53,200 Speaker 3: of days about Bragman. I don't think it's gonna happen. 206 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 3: I think the Yankees are still kind of trying to 207 00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:58,199 Speaker 3: be careful with money. Nobody's really spending out there, So 208 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:01,320 Speaker 3: I ultimately think Bregman I end up going back to 209 00:10:01,760 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 3: Houston now, and then they might move Altuve to left field, 210 00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:08,080 Speaker 3: move east Soak Parades to second base. That's what the 211 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 3: that's what Chandler Rome, who does Crush City Territory, who's 212 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:17,280 Speaker 3: an Astro's insider, suspected could happen today on Foul Territory. 213 00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 3: So you know something, I. 214 00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:22,640 Speaker 4: Believe the report. I think it's true. I think it's stupid. 215 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 4: I don't know why you would do that. 216 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:27,040 Speaker 5: But one last thing about VOLTI that I want to 217 00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 5: mention though he did have a good postseason and I'm 218 00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 5: very happy with how he performed in the postseason for 219 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:33,520 Speaker 5: the most part, get a couple of big moments, So like, 220 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 5: just want to put that out there. But yeah, I 221 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 5: don't really see the Yankees getting Bregman. I don't want Bregman. 222 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:41,760 Speaker 5: I don't really think he fits. I don't think his 223 00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:44,680 Speaker 5: swing fits well the Yankee Stadium. His swing fits for 224 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:47,360 Speaker 5: Fenway and the Crawford Boxes. That's pretty much it. 225 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:50,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, probably there's no lefty. There's no like, there's 226 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:52,760 Speaker 3: no Robin Ventura out there, you know what I mean, 227 00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 3: Like that's what we really need. There's no Wade Bogs 228 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 3: one of these guys. 229 00:10:57,440 --> 00:10:57,679 Speaker 1: I think. 230 00:10:58,120 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 4: I'm sorry, just last thing. 231 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:01,720 Speaker 5: The only thing I think they could spend money on 232 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:04,400 Speaker 5: right now immediately as a left handed reliever Tim Hills 233 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:07,559 Speaker 5: kind of the obvious option, but it doesn't really seem 234 00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:09,200 Speaker 5: like they want to do that. They want to see 235 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:10,320 Speaker 5: what they'll do with Stroman first. 236 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 4: I think they. 237 00:11:11,120 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 3: Want to get under that three hundred and one million 238 00:11:13,040 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 3: dollar threshold and whatnot. Let's talk about the outfield here. 239 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:20,360 Speaker 3: There were a few things that I wanted to point 240 00:11:20,360 --> 00:11:25,199 Speaker 3: out here. Obviously, Aaron Judge forty eight home runs, two 241 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:28,600 Speaker 3: seventy two average, seven point two war. That's a fifty 242 00:11:28,640 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 3: point drop in batting average and a drop of ten 243 00:11:32,600 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 3: in home runs. Major regression, but still insane numbers. But 244 00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:37,600 Speaker 3: I think the Yankees to get where they're wanting to go, 245 00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 3: need him to be basically what he was last year. 246 00:11:41,440 --> 00:11:44,400 Speaker 3: And I see some people saying, Oh, it's because Sodo's 247 00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:47,439 Speaker 3: not protecting him. That's not how protection works. Judge was 248 00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:50,720 Speaker 3: protecting Sodo. I could see Sodo losing ten home runs. 249 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 3: I could see Soto losing some average not having Judge 250 00:11:54,080 --> 00:11:56,920 Speaker 3: behind him. But you know, Judge, I think he's gonna 251 00:11:56,960 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 3: hit three hundred. I think he's gonna hit fifty five 252 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 3: home runs at minimum. This is assuming he's healthy, which 253 00:12:01,520 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 3: is far from a guarantee given his history. And the 254 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:05,959 Speaker 3: fact that he's gonna be in right field where he's 255 00:12:05,960 --> 00:12:09,000 Speaker 3: gonna have to contend with more tricky, you know, foul 256 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:12,680 Speaker 3: territory type of walls, you know, especially a Yankee stadium. 257 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:16,000 Speaker 3: But I think seven point two war feels a little 258 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:18,480 Speaker 3: light for me. Stanton. I think there's a chance they 259 00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:21,360 Speaker 3: could be overestimating with thirty two home runs. I predicted 260 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:24,600 Speaker 3: in my Countdown show that he was gonna get thirty 261 00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:26,960 Speaker 3: five ish or so, but I didn't feel super confident 262 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 3: in it. I could see him getting twenty seven, twenty eight, 263 00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 3: spending a month on the il like always. As long 264 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 3: as he's here for the postseason, I couldn't care less 265 00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 3: if he underperforms these numbers, as long as he's there 266 00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 3: as the Yankees are in the playoffs and he's gonna 267 00:12:39,920 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 3: line up sign me up Bellinger. I also feel they're 268 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 3: a little light on Bellinger two fifty four twenty three 269 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:48,520 Speaker 3: home runs. That would be kind of a disappointment. I 270 00:12:48,520 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 3: think some of his earlier struggles with the Dodgers are 271 00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 3: baked into the cake here. But I'm betting he's closer 272 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 3: to two eighty than the two fifty and closer to 273 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:59,000 Speaker 3: thirty home runs than to twenty home runs and Dimingaz. Look, 274 00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:01,439 Speaker 3: Diminga is another guy. If the Yankees want to get 275 00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 3: where they want to go, he's got to do better 276 00:13:04,120 --> 00:13:06,440 Speaker 3: than the numbers they're projecting, and that's asking a lot 277 00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:09,200 Speaker 3: for a rookie. Two point five war, two forty nine average, 278 00:13:09,240 --> 00:13:12,760 Speaker 3: twenty home runs, seventy RBIs. Most of the time you 279 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:17,360 Speaker 3: consider that a w for a rookie a terrific rookie year. 280 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:20,480 Speaker 3: But I think the Yankees are gonna need him to 281 00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:22,439 Speaker 3: do better. I think they need him to hit two 282 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:26,680 Speaker 3: sixty to seventy, twenty five to twenty eight home runs, 283 00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:30,080 Speaker 3: thirty plus stolen bases, and a war closer to four. 284 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:32,800 Speaker 3: I know that's asking a lot. I also think he's 285 00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 3: capable of it. So your thoughts on these projections. 286 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:41,840 Speaker 5: I think the starting outfield is all pretty much pretty light. 287 00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:45,720 Speaker 5: Stanton to me, is about right, Grisham kind of whatever, 288 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:50,240 Speaker 5: Benjamina fourth outfielder. I think the Bellinger is a little 289 00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 5: bit light in the batting average. I think he'll hit 290 00:13:51,960 --> 00:13:54,000 Speaker 5: for a higher average. I think Dimingez will also hit 291 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 5: for a higher average. I think twenty home runs is 292 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:58,199 Speaker 5: about right. Twenty twenty five home runs for Dominguez is 293 00:13:58,280 --> 00:14:02,040 Speaker 5: kind of what I was feeling. I think Judge is 294 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:05,720 Speaker 5: waylight and I think they've done this pretty much every 295 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:08,680 Speaker 5: time because the thing about Aaron Judge is the numbers 296 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 5: that they just projected for him are like an MVP 297 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 5: caliber season, and Aaron Judge is having a prime that 298 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 5: is kind of unprecedent, Like the dude is hitting three 299 00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:21,200 Speaker 5: point thirty with fifty plus home runs. That's like absolutely 300 00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:25,040 Speaker 5: bonkers video game numbers. Right, So I just don't think 301 00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:28,120 Speaker 5: they're going into it like they're like, that's not possible. 302 00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:29,680 Speaker 5: He can't do it a third time in a row. 303 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 5: He can't do it for a third time. 304 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:31,880 Speaker 4: I'm like, yeah, you can. 305 00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:35,320 Speaker 5: I honestly think he will hit three hundred and he 306 00:14:35,360 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 5: will probably hit fifty home runs. 307 00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:39,400 Speaker 4: I think it's kind of a lock actually. 308 00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:42,080 Speaker 5: Because when he gets hot, Man, when Aaron Judge is hot, 309 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:42,960 Speaker 5: it's scary. 310 00:14:43,120 --> 00:14:43,960 Speaker 4: I don't think there's a. 311 00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:46,840 Speaker 5: Guy in the league that is better than him offensively 312 00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 5: when he is hot. Show Hey, throw all those guys 313 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:52,080 Speaker 5: in their show, Hey, akunya. I don't care when Aaron 314 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:54,320 Speaker 5: Judge is hot. He is the best baseball player on 315 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 5: the planet. 316 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:55,640 Speaker 1: Right. 317 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 3: We need to be hot for the playoffs. Like there's 318 00:14:58,240 --> 00:15:02,480 Speaker 3: gonna be one cloud that hangs over him all season long, 319 00:15:03,520 --> 00:15:05,840 Speaker 3: and that is will he get it done when it 320 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 3: matters now? Obviously, three fifty plus home run season, six 321 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:15,000 Speaker 3: time All Star, four time Silver Slugger, Yankees captain, biggest 322 00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:18,640 Speaker 3: contract in Yankees history, but don't mean a thing if 323 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:20,800 Speaker 3: you don't get the ring. And we need him to 324 00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:24,240 Speaker 3: pick up that ring and to get it. It's not 325 00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:25,680 Speaker 3: one of those things where the rest of the team 326 00:15:25,760 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 3: is gonna carry him. There's no Sodo this year. Nobody's 327 00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:31,680 Speaker 3: gonna carry the Yankees to the World Series other than 328 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 3: Aaron Judge. He has got to do it. And look, 329 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 3: I just feel like he's gonna play with a chip 330 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:40,920 Speaker 3: on his shoulder this year. I'm expecting big things. To me, 331 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 3: forty eight home runs is just way too light. I'll 332 00:15:43,280 --> 00:15:45,480 Speaker 3: put the projections back up. 333 00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 4: But Mabon was saying the same thing, right, you're in 334 00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 4: Judge Revenge Store when you had him on. 335 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:53,640 Speaker 3: So yeah, let's talk Tomingez. What are your thoughts on Jason? 336 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:55,120 Speaker 4: Jason? 337 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:57,200 Speaker 5: Yeah, I think two forty nine is low. I think 338 00:15:57,280 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 5: twenty home runs is about right. Twenty Like I said, 339 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:01,600 Speaker 5: twenty two twenty five home months, but I do think 340 00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 5: he's going to hit closer to two sixty or even 341 00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 5: to seventy if he has a really good season. I 342 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:10,400 Speaker 5: do think he's gonna win Rookie of the Year. I mean, 343 00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 5: what would be the other candidates this year? 344 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:12,840 Speaker 4: I don't know. 345 00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:14,520 Speaker 5: I'm not gonna get into that, but I do think 346 00:16:14,520 --> 00:16:16,160 Speaker 5: he'll win Rookie of the Year. I think twenty to 347 00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 5: twenty five home runs is about right, but I'm thinking 348 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:21,280 Speaker 5: more like two seventy on the average, and they're gonna 349 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 5: need that if they, like you said, want to get 350 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 5: to where they want to go. Jason's gonna have to 351 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 5: step up, which is a lot asking asking for a 352 00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 5: lot for a rookie. But this is a guy whose 353 00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 5: nickname is the Martian, who's been like the phenom prospects 354 00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 5: since he was sixteen years old like he's and he 355 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:39,240 Speaker 5: was in the major leagues as like a twenty year old, 356 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 5: like nuking pitches. 357 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 4: So I really don't think the moment is going to 358 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:43,320 Speaker 4: be too big for him. 359 00:16:43,320 --> 00:16:47,920 Speaker 3: To be honest, I agree with you. Look I see 360 00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 3: some people in the chat saying if he plays a 361 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:53,880 Speaker 3: full season, he's one hundred percent going thirty thirty. I 362 00:16:53,880 --> 00:16:55,880 Speaker 3: think he's got the talent. I think one hundred percent 363 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 3: he's going to go thirty thirty at some point. I 364 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:00,520 Speaker 3: don't think you can guarantee that, but I mean, this 365 00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:02,800 Speaker 3: guy who hit over three hundred in the miners last 366 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:05,679 Speaker 3: year coming back from an injury. He's got the hit tool. 367 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:08,639 Speaker 3: I think to hit that two seventy two eighty like 368 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:10,200 Speaker 3: we would hope. I think he's got to get a 369 00:17:10,200 --> 00:17:12,359 Speaker 3: lot better from the right side. I heard, and I 370 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:14,719 Speaker 3: mentioned this a couple times on the podcast already. Susan 371 00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:18,119 Speaker 3: Waldman talked to him this winter. She actually spoke with him, 372 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:19,800 Speaker 3: and I think it was at some event or you know, 373 00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:21,840 Speaker 3: I don't know if it was a project or whatever, 374 00:17:22,320 --> 00:17:24,600 Speaker 3: but she said that, like he basically said, he's been 375 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 3: working on two things overwhelmingly this year this winter, hitting 376 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:32,000 Speaker 3: from the right side and defense. And that's exactly what 377 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:35,560 Speaker 3: I wanted to hear. Turn those weaknesses into strengths. 378 00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:38,919 Speaker 5: Oh yeah, one hundred percent. I still don't know if 379 00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:40,440 Speaker 5: they're going to have him in left or in center. 380 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:43,360 Speaker 5: Me myself, i'd rather have him in center with Bellinger 381 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:45,840 Speaker 5: and left. I don't think they're going to do that. 382 00:17:45,960 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 5: They're probably gonna have that flipped around. I think that's 383 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,399 Speaker 5: kind of silly, just because, again, Jason is supposed to 384 00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:54,679 Speaker 5: be like your future, your long term plan, so you 385 00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:56,520 Speaker 5: kind of want him to grow into that center field 386 00:17:56,600 --> 00:17:59,399 Speaker 5: role instead of having him go to left and then 387 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:01,160 Speaker 5: Bellinger's here for like a year or two, and let's 388 00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:03,040 Speaker 5: say they don't resign him, and then you're putting him 389 00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 5: back in center. I just think it's weird, and I 390 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:06,440 Speaker 5: think it's a lot. Just just put him in center 391 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:08,520 Speaker 5: and keep him. Their left field is big enough. Belender 392 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:10,159 Speaker 5: can handle it and he'll be a great left fielder. 393 00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 3: Let's talk about the rotation. Go hair on my tongue 394 00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:18,879 Speaker 3: might need to take over in a second. That's the 395 00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:23,680 Speaker 3: Cats having Cats, man having Cats, So Garrett Cole they 396 00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:26,080 Speaker 3: got three point nine three ERA, so that would obviously 397 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,199 Speaker 3: be a slight step back for him, but that's expected, 398 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:30,320 Speaker 3: you know, as he ages, I think he's going to 399 00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 3: continue to regres a little bit. One hundred and ninety 400 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:35,640 Speaker 3: seven strikeouts still got him leading the staff. Max Fried's 401 00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:38,240 Speaker 3: first year with the Yankees three point three six e er. 402 00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:40,760 Speaker 3: I think he makes twenty nine starts with a three 403 00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:43,760 Speaker 3: point three six ERA Yanks are in good shape, Luisi, 404 00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:45,680 Speaker 3: I think they're off here. They've got him with a 405 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:48,200 Speaker 3: four point one to nine ERA, so they got him 406 00:18:48,240 --> 00:18:50,960 Speaker 3: regressing a little bit one hundred and seventy nine strikeouts. 407 00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:54,800 Speaker 3: I do like the twenty five point seven percent strikeout rate, 408 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 3: but again, I think that he's a He had an 409 00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:00,879 Speaker 3: ERA around three almost all last It was really the 410 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 3: last game of the season that he got hammered that 411 00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:04,720 Speaker 3: pushed it up to three point five to zero. I 412 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 3: think he's a three e RA guy, I really do. 413 00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:09,879 Speaker 3: I think he's gonna win fifteen games again, Carlos Rodin, 414 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:12,959 Speaker 3: I think they're overestimating him a little bit. They've got 415 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:15,480 Speaker 3: him with a twenty seven point two percent strikeout percentage. 416 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:18,439 Speaker 3: I think that's gonna continue to drop as he loses 417 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:20,880 Speaker 3: a little bit more off that fastball every year, as 418 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:23,520 Speaker 3: the back condition gets, you know, a little bit worse 419 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:25,919 Speaker 3: every year. With age, that's just gonna happen. Although I 420 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,280 Speaker 3: saw some pictures of him on Instagram, he does look 421 00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:30,720 Speaker 3: like he's continued to trim down and get stronger and 422 00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:33,879 Speaker 3: get more fit, just like me and then Clark Schmid. 423 00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:35,640 Speaker 3: I think they're they're kind of light on him. They've 424 00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:37,600 Speaker 3: got a three point nine two ERA last year. It 425 00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:41,840 Speaker 3: was about two and a half. I understand he missed 426 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:43,720 Speaker 3: some time and didn't pitch a full season, but he 427 00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:47,040 Speaker 3: was lights out when he was out there for the 428 00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:49,440 Speaker 3: first first, you know, part of the year. So I 429 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:53,359 Speaker 3: think three ERA for him pretty much the worst he'll do. 430 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,080 Speaker 3: So thoughts on that, Yeah. 431 00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 5: Louis Hill, they got him in a sophomore slump. I 432 00:19:58,040 --> 00:20:01,439 Speaker 5: think four one nine is way high. I'm totally in 433 00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:04,360 Speaker 5: agreement with you. I think are low threes, maybe even 434 00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:06,400 Speaker 5: a high twos. If he goes off to a really 435 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:10,800 Speaker 5: hot start, He's got ace potential. His his problem is command. 436 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:14,840 Speaker 5: They have him at an almost eleven percent walk rate. 437 00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:18,640 Speaker 5: I'm rounding up there. So that's obviously way too high 438 00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:20,360 Speaker 5: for a starting pitcher. If that's gonna be the case, 439 00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:23,960 Speaker 5: if that's what he does, I think that as he ages, 440 00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:26,240 Speaker 5: as he learns, and also, you got to you gotta 441 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:29,359 Speaker 5: think about it this way, right, he's a young, impressionable pitcher. 442 00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:30,520 Speaker 4: There's value in. 443 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:33,080 Speaker 5: Being around guys that have done it with a high 444 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:34,080 Speaker 5: success rate in the league. 445 00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:35,399 Speaker 4: Cole now freed. 446 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:37,720 Speaker 5: Even Rodin's had a lot of success in the league 447 00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:39,639 Speaker 5: in the past, so just being around those guys I 448 00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:43,440 Speaker 5: think is valuable just to learn Matt Blake good pitching coach. 449 00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:45,280 Speaker 5: I don't see a four to one to nine. I 450 00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:48,440 Speaker 5: think that's way too high. I do think Louis Hill 451 00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:50,360 Speaker 5: will just kind of pick up where he left off 452 00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 5: and just continue to be good. I think now he's 453 00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:55,040 Speaker 5: used and now he's pitched a full season pretty much too, 454 00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 5: so I have a little bit more confidence there with 455 00:20:57,560 --> 00:21:01,320 Speaker 5: stretching him out and hopefully if he gets the command down. Dude, 456 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:03,199 Speaker 5: we're talking top five in the league. 457 00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:07,400 Speaker 3: Yeah. My one thing with Louise Heel, I think he's 458 00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 3: gonna have a more evenly like paced season. I don't 459 00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 3: see him having the you know, lights out first two 460 00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,120 Speaker 3: months like he had this year. I think it will 461 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,480 Speaker 3: be more you know that the league's seen him once. 462 00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:21,000 Speaker 3: It'll be more him having to make adjustments, the league 463 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:23,240 Speaker 3: making adjustments, you know, like at normal pitcher where you 464 00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:25,320 Speaker 3: rattle off two or three good starts. Maybe I have 465 00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 3: a one that's not so good, but maybe you don't 466 00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:30,840 Speaker 3: get bombed. Right. I think that he can probably win 467 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 3: fifteen games three ERA, but it's gonna be a lot, 468 00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:36,399 Speaker 3: you know. I don't see the stretch where he's eleven 469 00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:38,280 Speaker 3: and one with a one point eight like he had 470 00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:41,080 Speaker 3: last year or whatever it was. So just because he's 471 00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:43,679 Speaker 3: you know, league seeing them. So that's where we're at. 472 00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:46,000 Speaker 3: Let's go ahead and take a look at the bullpen. Now, 473 00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:50,120 Speaker 3: the bullpen again, era is a little bit higher than 474 00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:52,960 Speaker 3: you would like to see. I think they will do 475 00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:55,200 Speaker 3: better than this. They got Luke Weaver at three point 476 00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,400 Speaker 3: six to eight. I think he's a lock for two something. 477 00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:00,280 Speaker 3: Devin Williams at three point two zero. Again, he was 478 00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:04,080 Speaker 3: a sub too. He's projected as the best relief pitcher 479 00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:06,760 Speaker 3: in baseball by the Shredder. But they also had Bobby 480 00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:09,439 Speaker 3: Witt Junior as the fourth best shortstop. I think WIT's 481 00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:13,600 Speaker 3: the best shortstop. Jake Cousins three point seven to nine. 482 00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:15,720 Speaker 3: You got Ian Hamilton three point four to seven, and 483 00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:18,840 Speaker 3: Fernando Cruz at three point three zero. I think if 484 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:21,639 Speaker 3: you get three point three out of Fernando Cruz with 485 00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:26,600 Speaker 3: a thirty one almost thirty two percent strikeout percentage, damn, 486 00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:28,560 Speaker 3: I mean I'll sign up for that. In a second. 487 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 5: Thoughts on this, Yeah, I think they're pretty light again 488 00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:36,160 Speaker 5: on the on the bullpen, it seems like they're kind 489 00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:41,119 Speaker 5: of underestimating the pitching performances I think as a whole overall. 490 00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:43,240 Speaker 4: But yeah, I think Weaver. 491 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:49,760 Speaker 5: I mean, dude, that's that's nutsack we're talking about. Come on, 492 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:53,840 Speaker 5: that's Randy. That's Randy right there with the wheelbarrow. Three 493 00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:56,520 Speaker 5: six I think is way too high. Again, Devin Williams, 494 00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:59,440 Speaker 5: that's literally one of the best closers in the game. 495 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:01,640 Speaker 4: He's been for his entire career. 496 00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:05,440 Speaker 3: I got I got something, I got something to say 497 00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:08,000 Speaker 3: about their projection. And this is just a little shout 498 00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:11,480 Speaker 3: out to my man, Bob Josh the bit outside Jeah, 499 00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:14,440 Speaker 3: just a bit outside rest in peace to Bob Youcker. 500 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 4: Rest and peace, man. 501 00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:17,600 Speaker 5: But uh yeah, I think they're a bit They're a 502 00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:21,080 Speaker 5: bit kind of off there. Devin Williams is literally top 503 00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:25,399 Speaker 5: three closer in the game, lock arguably number one. I 504 00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:28,159 Speaker 5: don't see an era with the number three as the 505 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:31,080 Speaker 5: first number for him, right, Fernando Cruz, I think that's 506 00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 5: probably about right. Jake Cousins, maybe a little off, but 507 00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:36,639 Speaker 5: just about right. But Weaver, Weaver and Williams to me 508 00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:38,640 Speaker 5: are kind of the most egregious, like what are you doing? 509 00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:39,760 Speaker 4: Like that's not off? 510 00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:42,760 Speaker 3: I agree with you. I agree with it, so I 511 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:44,640 Speaker 3: know I said we wouldn't do this, but like win 512 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:46,960 Speaker 3: total for the year, Like right now, what are you 513 00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,280 Speaker 3: thinking for the Yankees? Just we won't hold we won't 514 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:51,920 Speaker 3: lock you in on this, and don't bet your life 515 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,399 Speaker 3: savings on this people watching, because there's still time for 516 00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:57,680 Speaker 3: things to change over the next several weeks. But let's 517 00:23:57,680 --> 00:23:59,720 Speaker 3: just throw out a couple of numbers here. I'll let 518 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:01,800 Speaker 3: you go first. Where are you at right now? 519 00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:04,879 Speaker 5: This is with what they currently have on the roster. 520 00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:07,440 Speaker 5: I don't know if there's another move coming before spring training. 521 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:11,080 Speaker 5: Let's just have that caveat and as presently constantuted right now, 522 00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:13,159 Speaker 5: I want to say ninety five wins. 523 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:15,880 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go light, I'm gonna say ninety one. I'm 524 00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:18,080 Speaker 3: gonna say about ninety one. I think the pitching is better, 525 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:21,159 Speaker 3: but their offense has taken a step back without Soto. 526 00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:22,960 Speaker 3: Sodo had an eight war last year. I mean, it's 527 00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:26,440 Speaker 3: gonna be very difficult to replace. And until we see 528 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:28,520 Speaker 3: Domingez do it in the regular season, until we see 529 00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:31,080 Speaker 3: VOPI take that next step, wells take that next step. 530 00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,440 Speaker 3: I just can't. I can't say they're better than last year. 531 00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:37,000 Speaker 3: I've got to see it. Although, although to be fair, 532 00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:39,520 Speaker 3: a lot of our losses last year were because of 533 00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:43,040 Speaker 3: Clay Frickin Holmes thirteen blown saves or whatever. It was 534 00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:46,120 Speaker 3: gonna say that, yeah, take it away, take it away. 535 00:24:46,359 --> 00:24:49,119 Speaker 5: I was just gonna say that that if Clay Holmes 536 00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:51,520 Speaker 5: didn't blow those saves, the Yankees probably have a better 537 00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:53,399 Speaker 5: record than the Dodgers, and you got four games at 538 00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 5: the Yankee Stadium. So I was literally, literally just gonna 539 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:00,600 Speaker 5: say that that the difference this year is that you 540 00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:02,760 Speaker 5: got Devin Williams top three closure in the game. 541 00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:04,560 Speaker 4: That projection, to me is just wrong. 542 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 5: They're gonna lose some tough games that it's baseball season, 543 00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:12,200 Speaker 5: but I think ninety five wins is fair. Replacing Soda 544 00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:14,320 Speaker 5: will be really difficult, but I think that their lineup 545 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,880 Speaker 5: is more well rounded now. The lineup last year, although 546 00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:21,040 Speaker 5: the top of the lineup was amazing with Judge and Soto, 547 00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:23,440 Speaker 5: it was very top heavy as well, like once you 548 00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:26,400 Speaker 5: got outside of them, it started to drop off pretty quickly. 549 00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 5: But yeah, you're gonna need the young guys to perform 550 00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:32,000 Speaker 5: to step up, but I think ninety five is fair. 551 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:33,400 Speaker 4: We'll see what they do with the deadline. 552 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,639 Speaker 5: We'll see if there's any more moves to come before 553 00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:38,640 Speaker 5: spring training starts. But I think that's like a very 554 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:42,960 Speaker 5: very reasonable number to ask. And then there are some 555 00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 5: teams in terms of like threats in the American League, 556 00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:48,120 Speaker 5: because the American League is weaker than the National League 557 00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:50,359 Speaker 5: at the moment. But to me, dude, like there are 558 00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:52,840 Speaker 5: a couple teams where no one's really talking about them, 559 00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:54,720 Speaker 5: and I'm like, they they might be a little some something. 560 00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:57,320 Speaker 3: I think Guardians are going to be difficult once again. 561 00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:00,200 Speaker 3: And they just added Paul Seawell to that bullpen, which 562 00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:04,800 Speaker 3: is always tough. You know. I could see the Astros 563 00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:07,160 Speaker 3: if they get Bregman just being really really difficult again, 564 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:12,720 Speaker 3: like bringing him back. You know, we'll see the Red 565 00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:17,040 Speaker 3: Sox taking a step forward. I think to yeah, the 566 00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:20,680 Speaker 3: Orioles are they are Orioles lost Burns, but they've got 567 00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:22,560 Speaker 3: some younger guys like they got Kolbe Mayo. I think, 568 00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:25,920 Speaker 3: who's Jason Deminge's biggest uh, I guess competition for the 569 00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,640 Speaker 3: Rookie of the Year award. So we'll see, we'll see 570 00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:31,359 Speaker 3: how it shakes out. Terrence, We're gonna say goodbye to Terrence. 571 00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:33,800 Speaker 3: Terrence appreciate it. We're gonna go take some voicemails now, 572 00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:37,400 Speaker 3: but uh stay safe out there in uh in California, 573 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:41,080 Speaker 3: and we'll see you on again here soon, hopefully with 574 00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:43,359 Speaker 3: some news that the Yankees got another bat. We'll see 575 00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:46,480 Speaker 3: but TK, we'll catch you next time. All right, let's 576 00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,959 Speaker 3: get to your voicemails here. We've got a couple of calls. 577 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:52,679 Speaker 3: Let's start with Cashman and the Dodgers here. 578 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:57,840 Speaker 2: Hey, Derek, Steve calling from Farmington again. Derek, what is 579 00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:03,480 Speaker 2: going on with Cashman? The Dodgers are piling up all 580 00:27:03,520 --> 00:27:07,640 Speaker 2: stars or near all stars that he's still looking at 581 00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:10,840 Speaker 2: guys with high velocity in the bullpen with a five 582 00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:13,840 Speaker 2: and a half hour and run average hitters who are 583 00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:16,880 Speaker 2: very versatile, but they can only hit one eighty. Bring 584 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:20,040 Speaker 2: back John Birdie. I know we had so many injuries 585 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:23,240 Speaker 2: last year, but just kind of playing the Cubs and 586 00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:29,480 Speaker 2: how do we miss out on Iglesias. You know, Cashman 587 00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:32,440 Speaker 2: is resting on his laurels right now because he did 588 00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:34,679 Speaker 2: a little bit better than we expected, but he's not 589 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:36,080 Speaker 2: doing well enough. 590 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:41,440 Speaker 3: I appreciate the call. There's a couple of things that 591 00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,879 Speaker 3: I just wanted to fire back at to allow me 592 00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:49,160 Speaker 3: to retort. I don't think jose Anglesias is the difference 593 00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:51,439 Speaker 3: between the Yankees and the Dodgers right now. Right what 594 00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:55,160 Speaker 3: the Dodgers are doing is crazy. I mean, I got 595 00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:56,920 Speaker 3: like three hundred and seventy three hundred and eighty million 596 00:27:56,920 --> 00:27:59,840 Speaker 3: dollars payroll or whatever. They're able to do that because 597 00:27:59,880 --> 00:28:02,280 Speaker 3: they made smart investments. There's the reason why the Yankees 598 00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:04,560 Speaker 3: wanted to show Hey, back in the day, it didn't 599 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:08,199 Speaker 3: get them, but they basically own the Japanese market. Now 600 00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:10,560 Speaker 3: they're getting all that influx of money from Japan and 601 00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:14,080 Speaker 3: they're spending it. You know that the Yankees have the money, 602 00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:17,680 Speaker 3: they could go to that level. They do have insane 603 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:21,000 Speaker 3: revenues as a worldwide brand. But I just don't know 604 00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:23,760 Speaker 3: that there's the players out there that Cashman could go 605 00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:26,720 Speaker 3: pick up that would make the difference right now to 606 00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:28,760 Speaker 3: get them to where you look at those two teams 607 00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:31,119 Speaker 3: and you say, well, the Yankees are better than the Dodgers. 608 00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,320 Speaker 3: I just don't think that that can happen this year. 609 00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:35,560 Speaker 3: I just don't think that there's those players available. Do 610 00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:39,000 Speaker 3: I think the Yankees could beat the Dodgers in a series, absolutely, 611 00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:40,800 Speaker 3: but they're gonna need some breaks because the Dodgers are 612 00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:43,360 Speaker 3: a better team. So you know, we'll see. I'm not 613 00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,080 Speaker 3: gonna kill Cashman. He had, he had a good winter 614 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:48,440 Speaker 3: this year. I don't know there's much else he could 615 00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,160 Speaker 3: have done other than getting another infielder. 616 00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:56,560 Speaker 1: What's going on, Derek? Really appreciate the content you've been 617 00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 1: pumping out during the off season here, uh three minute 618 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:02,880 Speaker 1: ten and you know, the collaboration with Fell Territory has 619 00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:05,840 Speaker 1: been amazing for your fanel and just for you in general, 620 00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:08,640 Speaker 1: and it's been great. Something I just wanted to touch 621 00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:12,600 Speaker 1: on really quickly regarding the Yankees. First of all, you know, 622 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:14,680 Speaker 1: I do hope they make that last infield move, but 623 00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:17,480 Speaker 1: I absolutely love the offseason they've had. They got a 624 00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:20,040 Speaker 1: top tier starter. Maybe a slight over pay, but at 625 00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:22,200 Speaker 1: the end of the day, they're the Yankees. They could 626 00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 1: handle it. If that's what it took to get it done, 627 00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:26,880 Speaker 1: then it was worth a slight over pay. I think 628 00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:29,440 Speaker 1: the Goldski contract and a hitting Jim, I think even 629 00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:33,080 Speaker 1: if underperformed, it hasn't been a year similar to last year. 630 00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:37,600 Speaker 3: Okay, so the audience cutting out, you know, probably. 631 00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 1: Twenty home runs at least seven thirty issue. 632 00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:42,200 Speaker 3: All right, So I'm sorry. I should have listened to 633 00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:45,400 Speaker 3: that more carefully. Maybe next time, don't call from underwater. 634 00:29:46,120 --> 00:29:49,120 Speaker 3: But yeah, gold Schmidt, I could you know, I could 635 00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:52,240 Speaker 3: see him being a solid pick up. I like the 636 00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:58,000 Speaker 3: steady force, professional hitter, good defender. I believe in in 637 00:29:58,080 --> 00:29:59,920 Speaker 3: Paul Goldsmith much more now than I did when the 638 00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:02,080 Speaker 3: Yankees got him, So the more I look into it, 639 00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:03,719 Speaker 3: I think that might be one where the Yankees hit. 640 00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:07,320 Speaker 3: But again, fighting father Time and Father Time is undefeated. 641 00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:10,080 Speaker 3: So all right, ladies and gentlemen, I hope you enjoyed 642 00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:13,520 Speaker 3: the show. Reminder two, like subscribe all that stuff. Only 643 00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:16,560 Speaker 3: a few more weeks until baseball season. So you know, 644 00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:18,640 Speaker 3: I've been kind of slow with the podcast because there 645 00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:20,640 Speaker 3: hasn't been a lot happening over the last several weeks. 646 00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:23,040 Speaker 3: But you know, let me know what topics you guys 647 00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:25,560 Speaker 3: want to talk about. We do have to fill some 648 00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:29,720 Speaker 3: some podcast hours between now and the start of the season, 649 00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:32,440 Speaker 3: So let me know what you guys want, whether it's 650 00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:36,320 Speaker 3: voicemail shows, countdown shows, behind the scenes stuff. I could 651 00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:38,960 Speaker 3: do a studio tour, whatever you guys want, and we'll 652 00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:42,000 Speaker 3: get it. We'll get it. Rocking appreciate you watching. We'll 653 00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:43,320 Speaker 3: see you next time. 654 00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:47,560 Speaker 2: Hey. 655 00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:49,600 Speaker 3: While I've got you here, be sure to like the 656 00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:53,800 Speaker 3: video and subscribe to the channel. Pinstripe Territory is the 657 00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:57,920 Speaker 3: official Yankees podcast of the Foul Territory Network. We are 658 00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:01,440 Speaker 3: home to the number one most watched MLB postgame show 659 00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:05,040 Speaker 3: on YouTube since twenty twenty one. We're here after every 660 00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:08,840 Speaker 3: Yankees game and for reactions to all the best news 661 00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:11,960 Speaker 3: and rumors during the offseason. Be a part of the 662 00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 3: show by calling in to the voicemail seven one, eight, eight, nine, nine, 663 00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:18,480 Speaker 3: ten sixty eight. Try to keep it clean for me, 664 00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:21,240 Speaker 3: and if you ever miss us on YouTube, be sure 665 00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:24,840 Speaker 3: and subscribe on all your favorite podcast platforms. Go ahead 666 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:27,880 Speaker 3: and rate us five stars. It'll help other people find 667 00:31:27,920 --> 00:32:00,120 Speaker 3: the show. Thanks for watching, See you