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Speaker 1: The volume. Is there a better sports month than October?

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Speaker 1: Let me think about that. Uh No, Football's Underway, baseball playoffs, basketball,

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Speaker 1: hockey seasons are upon us pretty good. While we love

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Speaker 1: watching our favorite teams on TV, there is nothing better

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Speaker 1: lowest prices guaranteed. All right, little reaction on the Phillies

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Speaker 1: wrapping up their series headed to the National League Championship

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Speaker 1: Series again and the Broncos getting sort of humiliated nineteen

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Speaker 1: to eight. Didn't feel anywhere close to that. Chad Milman

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Speaker 1: sharper square in ten minutes. So two things. One, Kansas

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Speaker 1: City needs to go get a wide receiver at the

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Speaker 1: trade deadline. Jerry Judy Cortland Sutton. I think Denver at

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Speaker 1: this point would trade in division. I think Denver's got

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Speaker 1: to figure out Denver. I think they know they're not

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Speaker 1: in the same stratosphere as Denver knows they're not in

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Speaker 1: Kansas City's galaxy. So they used to be sort of

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Speaker 1: an unwritten rule. You just didn't trade in division, try

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Speaker 1: not to trade in conference. If you're Sean Payton, you're

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Speaker 1: staring at Russell Wilson's contract. You got to solve your stuff.

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Speaker 1: You can't worry about that. You can't where anybody you

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Speaker 1: trade them is not going to be around in two

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Speaker 1: or three years probably. Anyway, Kansas City moves off star receivers,

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Speaker 1: they move off all receivers, including Tyreek Hill and others,

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Speaker 1: Juju Smith, Schuster, one and done. So. Kansas City is

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Speaker 1: a really good football team. But I think the entire

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Speaker 1: league looks at San Francisco and looks at the way

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Speaker 1: they thrash Pittsburgh's roster and the Cowboys. You're going to

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Speaker 1: really struggle to move the football if you're the Chiefs

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Speaker 1: against that San Francisco defense, if you event faced them,

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Speaker 1: or Philadelphia's defense for that matter. So Chiefs go get

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Speaker 1: a wide receiver to deadline. We've been talking about that

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Speaker 1: for a couple of weeks. When you have Andy Reid

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Speaker 1: and Mahomes and you're scoring nineteen and dominating time of possession,

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Speaker 1: you need another pop on the perimeter. You know, as

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Speaker 1: far as Denver, there's just no way Russell Wilson's going

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Speaker 1: to last half of this contract. New owner Sean Payton.

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Speaker 1: You can say what you want about Sean Payton, but

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Speaker 1: he next to Andy Reid, is the most innovative offensive

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Speaker 1: guy in the last fifteen years in the NFL. I

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Speaker 1: know half a dozen players that have played for him

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Speaker 1: and loved him. Thought he was just a brilliant coach.

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Speaker 1: And there's a reason, you know, many people wanted to

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Speaker 1: interview him. He's the smartest football coach I've ever interviewed

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Speaker 1: on a consistent basis in terms of knowledge of offense.

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Speaker 1: It's I mean, just layered, beyond layered. He won with

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Speaker 1: Teddy Bridgewater, Drew Brees, he won with a Taysom Hill,

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Speaker 1: a winning record, never been shut out. I mean, he

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Speaker 1: knows what he's doing. I know people didn't like the

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Speaker 1: call he made tonight at the end of the first half.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't matter. There's no salary cap for coaches. He's

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Speaker 1: going nowhere. The GM might get replaced now. The good

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Speaker 1: news for Denver, even with Russell Wilson's contract, you can

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Speaker 1: turn things around really quickly in this league. This is

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Speaker 1: not Major League Baseball, where you need like four drafts

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Speaker 1: and certain teams have spending limitations. Right like a third

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Speaker 1: of Major League Baseball, maybe half, just can't compete with

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Speaker 1: the Houstons and the Dodgers and the Mets. Financially, it's

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Speaker 1: not the NBA where you really have to have three

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Speaker 1: high end players to compete for a championship. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Kansas City has one elite defensive player. Bolton's a very

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Speaker 1: good linebacker, but Chris Jones is your Pro bowler. The

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Speaker 1: bottom line, young and cheap on defense works. You know

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Speaker 1: you're going to spend your money on quarterback, left tackle,

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Speaker 1: star receiver or tight end. That's where the smart teams

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Speaker 1: in this league, like Kansas City spend their money on offense.

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Speaker 1: The teams like Pittsburgh that are spending their money on defense,

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Speaker 1: when's their last big playoff last decade? Right? So you know,

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Speaker 1: you get rid of some players, you get yourself ten

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Speaker 1: or eleven draft picks, you hit on seven of them.

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Speaker 1: I mean the Rams had fourteen guys make the team

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Speaker 1: this year out of the draft. I think it was fourteen.

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Speaker 1: It could be wrong on that number. And they've been

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Speaker 1: much better defensively than anybody thought, so you can turn

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Speaker 1: it around. I mean, the Seahawks had back to back

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Speaker 1: drafts where they they nailed their first four or five picks.

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Speaker 1: That's ten players, and that's what Denver has to do.

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Speaker 1: They've got to nail five or six players per draft

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Speaker 1: over the next two years and have a lot of

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Speaker 1: you know, for lack of a better term, cheap labor.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they got to have inexpensive players, a lot

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Speaker 1: of third, fourth, fifth, sixth round guys. And when you're

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Speaker 1: not a great defensive team like the Rams coming into

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Speaker 1: this season, you can do that fifth round guys have

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Speaker 1: an impact. So but this just isn't gonna work. I mean,

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Speaker 1: ninety five yards passing, seventeen yards passing I think, or

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Speaker 1: thirty two yards passing in the first half for Russell Willson.

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Speaker 1: It's just not going to work. And you know, people say, well,

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Speaker 1: it's not Russell's fault. Listen, when that game was thirteen nothing,

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Speaker 1: it felt over. It would not have felt over with

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurtz, Justin Herbert, Trevor Lawrence.

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Speaker 1: So Russell Wilson is the problem. If you trail thirteen

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Speaker 1: to nothing against a good defense and the game feels

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Speaker 1: over at any point other than the last five minutes,

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Speaker 1: the quarterback's the issue. It doesn't mean he's the worst

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Speaker 1: player on the team. It doesn't mean there are other issues,

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Speaker 1: but his salary combined with his lack of juice, he's

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Speaker 1: the issue. Right. It's really unprecedented where you see a

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Speaker 1: star quarterback with no major injury drop off a cliff.

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Speaker 1: It's unprecedented in the history of the NFL. I've never

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Speaker 1: seen anything like it. I mean, I saw Peyton Manning

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Speaker 1: at the end five years older than Russ is now

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Speaker 1: and four next surgeries go from really good to you know,

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Speaker 1: clearly not the same quarterback. Russ is never a major injury.

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Speaker 1: He's a workaholic. It's just you know, Pete Carroll saw

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Speaker 1: a lot of things. He saw him age quickly, and

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Speaker 1: now it's Sean Payton's problem. So it's just not going

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Speaker 1: to last very long. This owner and this coach. I

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Speaker 1: think they're going to try to accumulate a lot of

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Speaker 1: picks and somewhere in this draft, a very strong quarterback draft,

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Speaker 1: try to get themselves the next guy. I'm dead serious.

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Speaker 1: I just don't think they're going to be patient, especially

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Speaker 1: in the AFC. You know, patients is what fired coaches say.

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Speaker 1: You know, that's what they preach. You got to get

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Speaker 1: stuff solved. Phillies National League Championship Series again. So a

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Speaker 1: lot of people in baseball are discouraged or disappointed that

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Speaker 1: the Rays and the Orioles and the Dodgers and the

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Speaker 1: Braves who had dominating regular seasons all got flushed out

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Speaker 1: of the playoffs rather quickly. But I talked about this

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Speaker 1: on FS one to day. I don't think it's a

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Speaker 1: terrible thing. I think the Phillies with Bryce Harper are

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Speaker 1: a great watch. And I mean it's you know, the Rays,

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Speaker 1: the Orioles don't have national followings, So I don't think

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Speaker 1: it's bad for the networks, you know, at all. I

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Speaker 1: think the reality is baseball is an everyday sport and

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Speaker 1: when you give favorites they don't have to play in

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Speaker 1: that wildcard round, they get five six days off. I

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Speaker 1: think that's problematic for those teams. I don't think it's

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Speaker 1: problematic for baseball, because again I think the Phillies to

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Speaker 1: me are as much fun or a better watch due

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Speaker 1: to Bryce Harper than the Braves. But the bigger issue

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Speaker 1: is the Yankees weren't very good this year. In the

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Speaker 1: Red Sox weren't very good this year, and the Mets

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Speaker 1: were a complete disappointment, and so if the Yankees were

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Speaker 1: a viable franchise, Houston's gonna following, Phillies have a following,

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Speaker 1: you'd be fine. But you know, baseball did a lot

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Speaker 1: of things right in the last couple of years. The

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Speaker 1: speed the game up at tenant and TV ratings are

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Speaker 1: up about ten percent. They got rid of the defensive shift.

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Speaker 1: I thought that was very smart. They'll never get rid

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Speaker 1: of Bay games and get down to like one hundred

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Speaker 1: and twenty games a year, which I think they should.

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Speaker 1: I think they should start a month later, finish six

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Speaker 1: weeks earlier, and wrap it up by October first or

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Speaker 1: September fifteenth. By the time the NFL's cooking getting into

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Speaker 1: it second week, you're done. NFL is so popular now

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Speaker 1: that baseball stands very little chance of pulling away audience.

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Speaker 1: You know, if you get into late October, you have

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Speaker 1: to have the Yankees or like the Cubs going for

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Speaker 1: a World Series. You're just not going to be able

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Speaker 1: to do it unless you have the biggest brands. And

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Speaker 1: there's some crappy TV football games on which you know,

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Speaker 1: it's Thursday night on Amazon. Those games are usually pretty dull.

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Speaker 1: But I don't think it's necessarily a problem that wildcard

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Speaker 1: teams win. I think it's the reality of baseball, that

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Speaker 1: it's an everyday sport. The Dodgers offense dried up, the

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Speaker 1: Braves offense dried up. Okay, But if you're really honest

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Speaker 1: about it is that season baseball is a different experience

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Speaker 1: entirely in a different sport than regular season baseball. So

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Speaker 1: you know, regular season baseball is a marathon, it's a triathlon,

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Speaker 1: and the postseason is about getting a hit, getting a stop,

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Speaker 1: getting an out. You'll bring a star pitcher out of

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Speaker 1: the bullpen to get an out and get a win.

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Speaker 1: If you want to seal a series, or you have

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Speaker 1: a weaker pitcher going the next night against their superior pitcher.

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Speaker 1: You need outs. You need to create momentum. Now you

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Speaker 1: need urgency. That's not the regular season. So you know,

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Speaker 1: I just think analytics are true, and they work in

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Speaker 1: both the NBA and baseball, and they're and they're smart.

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Speaker 1: But postseason baseball is completely different, and the NBA playoffs

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Speaker 1: are different. Sometimes you just need a bucket, you need

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Speaker 1: a mid range jumper. So you know, I use the

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Speaker 1: analogy today that when you take your kids in a

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Speaker 1: five or six hour drive, same kids, same car, it's

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Speaker 1: different than taking a nine minute drive to school. Right,

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Speaker 1: it's a different sensibility and a different strategy with young

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Speaker 1: kids in a car for six hours, and so you know,

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Speaker 1: same kids, same car. You know, same teams, same players,

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Speaker 1: same manager, different strategy in the postseason. So the time

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Speaker 1: off I think can be problematic for favored teams. And

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Speaker 1: you know the Dodgors didn't you know, they had a

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Speaker 1: domestic issue with a pitcher, domestic violence issue with the pitcher,

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Speaker 1: Kershaw's age and injuries, so they didn't really have a

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Speaker 1: true ace. And Freddie Freeman and Mookie Betch just didn't hit,

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Speaker 1: which is it's harder to hit in the postseason. It's

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Speaker 1: superior pitching, more pressure, So golf and baseball are that

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Speaker 1: way bigger the tournament, more pressure, those putts get harder,

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Speaker 1: So listen. I can't wait to watch the Phillies. I

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Speaker 1: think they're a great team, and I think Bryce Harper

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Speaker 1: is the biggest star remaining in the sport. So I

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Speaker 1: do not think it's terrible news for Major League Baseball.

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Speaker 2: That easy.

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Speaker 1: That's the code Colin c O L I N Only

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Speaker 1: on Draftking Sportsbook and official sports betting partner of the NFL.

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Speaker 1: The crown is yours all right. Chad Millman had a

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Speaker 1: great week. We had a great week five and oh

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Speaker 1: off our four and one week hit nine of ten

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Speaker 1: sharper square. Chad, of course, the CEO of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: All of our odds are provided by DraftKings. As a

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Speaker 1: hard working mason, one brick at a time, not gonna

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Speaker 1: get cocky, no reason to get over confident. I have

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Speaker 1: an zero to five and a five and oh, and

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Speaker 1: we're only five weeks into the season, so take a

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Speaker 1: deep breath. There are there are some trends though I

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Speaker 1: see are you ready to hear them?

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Speaker 2: I can't wait. This is gonna be good.

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Speaker 1: So I tend to be like Warren Buffett of value seeker, right,

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Speaker 1: I tend to take points. But I went back and

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Speaker 1: look at why I was struggling in the first two weeks,

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Speaker 1: and then I made a little switch. As the league's

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Speaker 1: become more quarterback centric, I was taking off in the

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Speaker 1: second best quarterback in games though I was getting value.

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Speaker 1: So I said, listen, it's becoming more quarterback centric, so

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do that. I'm gonna seek value but

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Speaker 1: not be afraid to take some fit. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: start with some favorites. So I'm not getting the best line.

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Speaker 1: But if you watch the raven Steelers play, Baltimore was

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Speaker 1: a much better team two drop touchdown passes. Lamar Jackson

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Speaker 1: is having a spectacular season. Dropped passes are like fumbles

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Speaker 1: and fumble recoveries. They go in spurts. Baltimore is a

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Speaker 1: really good team getting healthier. I don't think Tennessee is

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Speaker 1: it's four and a half. I'd like it four. It

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Speaker 1: is what it is. I get the much more dynamic quarterback.

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Speaker 1: I also get a great coach, no coaching disadvantage. The

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Speaker 1: rabel Baltimore minus four and a half Sharper square.

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Speaker 3: Well, it's square, but but it's not square like some

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Speaker 3: of your other square picks. Yeah, this is sort of

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Speaker 3: square in the sense that wise guys are taking the

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Speaker 3: Titans because of the number and nothing else. Your logic

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Speaker 3: is sound. The conversations I had today were exactly what

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Speaker 3: you just said. The Ravens actually played really well last week.

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Speaker 3: Zay Flowers dropped the pass that was wide open, like

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Speaker 3: there were there were three or four spots where that

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Speaker 3: game was over if the Ravens receivers catch a pass

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Speaker 3: open open, like wide open, wide open, and so it was.

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Speaker 3: It was a very fluky, fluky game. Right, Like in

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Speaker 3: what universe right now should Kenny Pickett and the Pittsburgh

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Speaker 3: Steelers be tied with the Baltimore Ravens for first place

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Speaker 3: in the AFC North right? So your your logic is sound,

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Speaker 3: and it's why a lot of wise guys have had

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Speaker 3: a hard time with this game. It opened at five

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Speaker 3: and a half, got that down to five, got to

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Speaker 3: four and a half, got down to four. When it

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Speaker 3: got to four, that was sort of the breaking point,

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Speaker 3: and people started betting on the Ravens again. The challenge

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Speaker 3: here that I think is screwing a lot of people

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Speaker 3: up is the fact that it's a London game, and

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Speaker 3: if it was, if it wasn't a London game, you'd

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Speaker 3: have Vrabel as more than a field goal underdog. And

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Speaker 3: there are a few coaches in the NFL who wise

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Speaker 3: guys will automatically bet if they're underdogs. Vrabel is one

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Speaker 3: of them. Mike Tomlin is one of them. John Harbaugh

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Speaker 3: is one of them.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 3: The flip side is that John Harbaugh is not very

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Speaker 3: good as a favorite, and Lamar is actually terrible as

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Speaker 3: a favorite. So I think the wise guys are trying

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Speaker 3: to figure out what do I think of the London

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Speaker 3: factor in all this, and it's scaring them a little bit.

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Speaker 2: But they're taking the Titans another favorite.

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Speaker 1: You know, I love the number four. It's one thing

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Speaker 1: value is on the Colts. But to take Gardner Minshew.

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Speaker 1: Backup quarterbacks on the road are different than spunky backups

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Speaker 1: at home in a dome. I don't buy the Jags.

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Speaker 1: We're in London two weeks, they'll come home, they'll be flat.

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Speaker 1: They're playing very well. They like Baltimore are undervalue due

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Speaker 1: to a series of ridiculous drops in the first three weeks.

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Speaker 1: They handled a Buffalo team that we loved three days earlier.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the Jags minus four Sharper square.

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Speaker 3: Wow, that one is very square, and there is no

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Speaker 3: sort of equivocation from professional betters on this one. This

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Speaker 3: line opened significantly higher and has been bet down.

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Speaker 2: There's a couple of things going on here.

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Speaker 3: Number One, Doug Peterson historically is very good against the

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Speaker 3: spread in the second half of the year, but not

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Speaker 3: in the first half of the year. Number two, specifically

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Speaker 3: to what you just said about the Jags beating the Bills,

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Speaker 3: who we loved, right, The Jags in that game lost

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Speaker 3: a Pro Bowl caliber cornerback and a Pro Bow caliber linebacker,

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Speaker 3: and yet at the end of the game Josh Allen

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Speaker 3: miraculously nearly led the Bills back to a win against

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Speaker 3: the Jags.

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Speaker 2: Number one.

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Speaker 3: Number two teams coming back from London without the buy,

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Speaker 3: and this applies to both Bills this week against the

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Speaker 3: Giants and the Jags historically struggle during the game, and

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Speaker 3: those games tend to be very very close that they

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Speaker 3: are either trailing or tied in the fourth quarter. Historically,

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Speaker 3: teams that come back without a buy from London. So

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Speaker 3: we're looking at a close game historically, and the Colts,

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Speaker 3: their offensive line is just much much better than it

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Speaker 3: has been the past couple of years. Defensively, they have

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Speaker 3: the leading tackler in the NFL. Jonathan Taylor has come

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Speaker 3: back to run behind that offensive line against the Jags

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Speaker 3: defense that is just not very good, right, And so

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Speaker 3: the wise guys here they're not agreeing with you.

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Speaker 1: Colin one more favorite. I like the number at two

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Speaker 1: and a half. It'll probably be three in most areas.

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Speaker 1: Bengals minus two and a half hosting Seattle, so well,

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Speaker 1: Seattle has extra time. I value extra time differently with

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Speaker 1: offensive coaches who bring more tricks Andy Reid, McVeigh, Shanahan

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Speaker 1: than I do defensive coaches who are largely motivators. They

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Speaker 1: give guys rest, they want healthy defensive guys. I don't

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Speaker 1: look at Pete Carroll, Tomlin Belichick extra at rest like

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Speaker 1: I do Andy Reid or McVeagh. So I get a

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Speaker 1: more rested Seattle team, but I get a significantly better

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Speaker 1: quarterback who now is healthy. So the Bengals for three

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Speaker 1: straight years have been a lousy September early October team

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Speaker 1: why Earl had two surgeries and a calf injury. It's

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Speaker 1: about this time Cincinnati hits. These games are also urgent

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Speaker 1: for them, so they play with great urgency early in

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Speaker 1: this division. That's good. Minus two and a half, I

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Speaker 1: think it's a great number. Minus three, I'd still bet

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Speaker 1: at three and a half. I move off at sharper.

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Speaker 2: Square at two and a half, at sharp at three.

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Speaker 2: It's not.

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Speaker 3: So it's really this is about the number, and you know,

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Speaker 3: to use a football metaphor, it's a fifty to fifty ball, right.

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Speaker 3: It's really about how much do you believe in Joe Burrow?

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Speaker 3: And a lot of professional betters believe that what they

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Speaker 3: saw with last week, what they saw last week with

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Speaker 3: Joe Burrow is that he's better. And part of it is, Hey,

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Speaker 3: every year the Bengals starts slow, he's injured, he takes

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Speaker 3: time to get his timing. Jamar Chase the past two

356
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Speaker 3: weeks has basically against the Rams and then against the

357
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Speaker 3: Cardinals has basically had a season's worth of receptions and

358
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Speaker 3: receiving yards, like he's really found his rhythm with Joe

359
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Speaker 3: Burrow again. And what the wise guys liked about Joe

360
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Speaker 3: Burrow last week. It's not the fact that they beat

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Speaker 3: the Cardinals, who probably are a team that has been

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Speaker 3: overperforming regardless, and kudos to their coaching staff for getting

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Speaker 3: so much out of that talent, But it was the

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Speaker 3: way Joe Burrow was able to move into the pocket.

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Speaker 3: He was able to get around offenders, maintain his stance,

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Speaker 3: step into throws, find his timing with Jamar Chase. That's

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Speaker 3: what they like about it. I mean, I'm sure you

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Speaker 3: and Cosell probably talked about this on the show this week.

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Speaker 3: But that's why they're betting on the Bengals a two

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Speaker 3: and a half, and they do feel if they had

371
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Speaker 3: looked a little bit better one week earlier, they might

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Speaker 3: be getting the Bengals and minus fours. So there's about

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Speaker 3: a point and a half of value. But at three,

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Speaker 3: they buy back the Seahawks or they pass the market.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes is a week late. I just think they're a

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Speaker 1: week late on Cincinnati. I think they're by the end

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Speaker 1: of this game, they'll catch up to Cincinnati. So let's

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Speaker 1: go to underdogs. So the Rams lost to the Eagles,

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Speaker 1: but if you watch the game, it wasn't close. When

380
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Speaker 1: you play Philadelphia and your defense is on the field

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Speaker 1: for forty minutes. That team that will have repercussions this week.

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Speaker 1: I don't love Arizona, but at plus seven six and

383
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Speaker 1: a half, the stadium is not a home field advantage.

384
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Speaker 1: Numbers came out this week showing that home field is

385
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Speaker 1: now down to one and a half points. Well, the

386
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Speaker 1: Rams is less than that, so it's really do I

387
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Speaker 1: think a Rams team off a Philadelphia game in which

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Speaker 1: they got beat up physically. I don't like teams that

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Speaker 1: play the next week after they play the Niners or

390
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Speaker 1: the Eagles in the NFC. The seven here, the six

391
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Speaker 1: and a half is screaming Arizona for the record division

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Speaker 1: rive game. Arizona played San Francisco tougher than you'd expect.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to take the point sharper square.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the Cardinals are a real conundrum for better this year,

395
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Speaker 3: as have the Rams been a conundrum for betters this year.

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Speaker 3: Because the Cardinals everyone expected them to be the worst

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Speaker 3: team in the league, and certainly there was a lot

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Speaker 3: of mocking of Jonathan Gannon before the season began with

399
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Speaker 3: his social interactions with his players, right that sort of

400
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:31,920
Speaker 3: became a meme on social media and what you've seen

401
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,600
Speaker 3: with the Cardinals and what you've seen with the Colts,

402
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:37,520
Speaker 3: and a byproduct of this is what you've seen with

403
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Speaker 3: the Eagles is how good Gannon has been and putting

404
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Speaker 3: his pilayers in a position to succeed, making the right

405
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Speaker 3: play calls that give them confidence in high risk situations

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Speaker 3: that put them in a better position statistically to win.

407
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Speaker 3: Shaan Stikeen's done the same exact thing with the Colts,

408
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Speaker 3: which is why professional betters are liking the Colts and

409
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Speaker 3: not so worried about Gardner Minshew. You've also seen with

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Speaker 3: the Eagles the lack of those two guys has had

411
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Speaker 3: an impact on how they play on defense and how

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Speaker 3: they play on offense, which is a testament to how

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Speaker 3: good they were.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 3: The Rams meanwhile, and I'm equivocating a little bit here,

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Speaker 3: The Rams meanwhile have been great against the spread until

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Speaker 3: this past week. So the wise guys have come in

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Speaker 3: on the Rams because this number has gone up. But

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Speaker 3: there's not a ton of confidence on this game. It's

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Speaker 3: not a game where I've got my phone blowing up

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Speaker 3: and people are saying, oh my god, I love the

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Speaker 3: Cardinals here, or oh my god, the Rams are exact

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Speaker 3: the right spot. It's sort of like you took the

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Speaker 3: Rams at six and a half. It's at seven. We're

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Speaker 3: going to kind of pass from here.

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Speaker 1: I want to take Chica.

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Speaker 3: I do think I will say one more thing like Colin.

428
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:46,440
Speaker 3: I think people thought the Cardinals were at the top

429
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:50,840
Speaker 3: of the market after the Cowboys, and they've done everything

430
00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:53,600
Speaker 3: they can do with the talent they have. Josh Jobbs

431
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:55,960
Speaker 3: was not as good last week. They've been a little

432
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,640
Speaker 3: bit exposed. There's only so much coaching that you can

433
00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:00,320
Speaker 3: do when your talent isn't a part.

434
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,280
Speaker 1: So I'm going to take Chicago Extra Rest plus two

435
00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 1: and a half. I think it's a locker room game.

436
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:09,240
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson's out trade rumors Kirk Cousins. The white flag

437
00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 1: is up inside the locker room. Players are now playing

438
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:14,880
Speaker 1: just to be capable on film of not getting called

439
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:18,520
Speaker 1: out on Monday. Chicago feels like we found the magic potion.

440
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:22,720
Speaker 1: Chicago has an energized locker room. Justin Fields is playing

441
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:26,240
Speaker 1: to retain his position, and Kayleb Williams not yet drafted.

442
00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 1: This is an energized team at home. Extra Rest found

443
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,680
Speaker 1: their magic. I think you're going to get a Minnesota

444
00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:36,240
Speaker 1: team that I think the messaging is waving the white flag.

445
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:38,800
Speaker 1: I take the Bears. I love it. At three two

446
00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:40,000
Speaker 1: and a half, I still like it.

447
00:24:40,600 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 3: Sharper square, Yeah, that's sharp whise. Guys like the Bears here.

448
00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:46,560
Speaker 3: It's why it's been bet down. It was at three,

449
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 3: it went down to two and a half. It's a

450
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 3: fascinating game, and in a lot of weeks you probably

451
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:55,399
Speaker 3: want to play the Vikings because of this situation they

452
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 3: just found themselves in and the situation the Bears found

453
00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:01,639
Speaker 3: themselves in, which was winning in prime time. So bookmakers

454
00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:04,320
Speaker 3: will automatically inflate their line, right, they would be a

455
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:06,679
Speaker 3: little bit higher than they normally would because they think

456
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 3: the public is going to come in on a team

457
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,879
Speaker 3: that just dominated in primetime. What's interesting here is a

458
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:13,919
Speaker 3: lot of what you just said about the Vikings. They

459
00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:18,000
Speaker 3: might be the better team, but strategically they have not

460
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:20,480
Speaker 3: been making the right calls on defense. This is a

461
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:24,040
Speaker 3: team that is blitzing at an extraordinary rate, one of

462
00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:26,920
Speaker 3: the highest blitz rates in the NFL, with the least

463
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,840
Speaker 3: amount of success. Right, so they're getting to the quarterback

464
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,240
Speaker 3: on blitzes half the amount of time as other teams

465
00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 3: in the NFL, even though they're running so many more blitzes.

466
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:38,639
Speaker 3: I do think that plays a little bit to the

467
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:42,359
Speaker 3: Bears advantage with the way they're starting to use Justin

468
00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:45,960
Speaker 3: Fields as a runner a little bit more. And also

469
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:49,120
Speaker 3: DJ Moore and him have started to click. And if

470
00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:51,320
Speaker 3: you look pat, if you look back, one of the

471
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:54,080
Speaker 3: reasons people were so excited about the Bears this year

472
00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 3: is because Justin Fields, who had been developing, got a

473
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:02,359
Speaker 3: number one receiver in DJ. Number one receivers make young

474
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:06,359
Speaker 3: quarterbacks better. Their catch radius is better, they get fifty

475
00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:10,400
Speaker 3: to fifty balls more often. They make young quarterbacks more

476
00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:13,560
Speaker 3: accurate and more confident. You saw it when Stefon Diggs

477
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:15,520
Speaker 3: joined the Bills and Josh Allen. You saw it when

478
00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:19,040
Speaker 3: AJ Brown joined Jalen Hurtz. We hadn't seen that with

479
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:21,040
Speaker 3: the Bears the first three weeks. We have seen it

480
00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 3: in the past two weeks, where Justin Fields and DJ

481
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 3: Moore have been lights out. I think this is a

482
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:28,640
Speaker 3: really good spot. The Vikings secondary is not very good,

483
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:32,159
Speaker 3: and if they are blitzing, then that gives Justin Fields

484
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:35,880
Speaker 3: an opportunity to get Dj Moore in advantageous situations.

485
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 1: So generally I would love the Cowboys, big brand, capable

486
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:45,119
Speaker 1: quarterback rebound game. Vander Rush is now out, Trayvon Diggs

487
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 1: out for the year. It's not the same defense. Also,

488
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:51,040
Speaker 1: they played the Niners, got buried. The one thing the

489
00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 1: Chargers are struggling with is situational short yardage gains. Fourth

490
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:59,119
Speaker 1: and one, third and two. Here comes their chess piece,

491
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,879
Speaker 1: Austin Eckler, who unless you watch the Chargers, you have

492
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:05,119
Speaker 1: no idea how valuable he is. Don't tell me. Running

493
00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:07,240
Speaker 1: backs don't matter. They're not a good fourth and one,

494
00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:10,600
Speaker 1: third and two team without Austin Eckler. They will lean

495
00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:16,960
Speaker 1: heavy on him. Keenan Allen Eckler, Gerald Everett significantly better

496
00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:21,680
Speaker 1: quarterback and a Chargers team where Kellen Moore. The Chargers

497
00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 1: have gone from a bad second half offense to a

498
00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:27,520
Speaker 1: great one, a bad red zone team to a great one.

499
00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:31,399
Speaker 1: The Cowboys reverse all those. It's the Kellen Moore factor.

500
00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:33,960
Speaker 1: It's a show off game with an extra data prep.

501
00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:36,840
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the points and the Chargers sharper square

502
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:37,119
Speaker 1: two and.

503
00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:38,679
Speaker 2: A half, totally sharp.

504
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 3: The line has moved from two and a half down

505
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:42,480
Speaker 3: to two at a lot of places because of the wise

506
00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 3: guy money because specifically of what you just said, Kellen

507
00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:48,840
Speaker 3: Moore is the difference here right that he has been

508
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:53,600
Speaker 3: making this a much better offense. Brandon Staley, like as

509
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:55,679
Speaker 3: much as he wants to get in the way and

510
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:59,560
Speaker 3: make bad decisions for this team, Kellen Moore is trying

511
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:03,520
Speaker 3: to for him out of that habit, and Justin Herbert

512
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:07,080
Speaker 3: is lights out right now. Like when he comes back.

513
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 3: I had him a twenty five to one to lead

514
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 3: the league in passing yards this year, and I think

515
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:16,160
Speaker 3: he's gonna go on a hot streak right now, starting

516
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:19,360
Speaker 3: with this game against the Cowboys. Who look, we talked

517
00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:22,080
Speaker 3: about this last week. I hated the Cowboys last week.

518
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:24,959
Speaker 3: I'm not a buyer on Dak Prescott. I'm not a buyer.

519
00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 3: And Mike McCarthy the Niners were probably my second biggest

520
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:31,560
Speaker 3: bet of the year. I got a little bit over

521
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 3: extended on the Steelers last week, but it worked out

522
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 3: okay for me. But I just think Mike McCarthy he

523
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:42,920
Speaker 3: had the benefit of Aaron Rodgers and still didn't do

524
00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:46,080
Speaker 3: everything he could have done with Aaron Rodgers. The Cowboys

525
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:48,000
Speaker 3: are in bad shape wise, guys.

526
00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:51,720
Speaker 1: Like the Chargers, right, there's always a game. I ask

527
00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 1: you about because I am interested. So I thought Niners

528
00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,080
Speaker 1: minus four and a half was to play now at seven.

529
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:03,160
Speaker 1: If it's a backup quarterback against who with little prep

530
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 1: time against this defense, this defense may not be as

531
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:11,720
Speaker 1: good in the red zone as they were a year ago.

532
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:16,160
Speaker 1: It's hard to get in the red zone. You're giving

533
00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:18,600
Speaker 1: me a backup if Deshaun doesn't play. I don't care

534
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:22,600
Speaker 1: what the number is. Again, I usually fade teams in

535
00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:27,880
Speaker 1: dominating wins. This team is playing after losing to Philadelphia.

536
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:31,480
Speaker 1: They're playing to go seventeen to zero. They are physically

537
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:37,440
Speaker 1: mauling teams early. Backups trailing are not going to move

538
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 1: the ball in this defense. I didn't put it in there.

539
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 1: I could be talked into it. Where are the wise guys?

540
00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 2: Well, looks at seven?

541
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 3: The wise guys are in Cleveland, right, there's just new

542
00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:51,480
Speaker 3: two ways about it.

543
00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:54,120
Speaker 2: And at the game was at.

544
00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:58,160
Speaker 3: Three, I know, and the wise guys last week started

545
00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:00,960
Speaker 3: betting the Niners and betting the nine and betting the

546
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:05,719
Speaker 3: Niners because there was the rumor about Deshaun Watson seven

547
00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 3: seven and a half, eight, which it may get to

548
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:10,880
Speaker 3: because the public is just going to keep pounding the

549
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:15,280
Speaker 3: Niners until this kickoff. The wise guys are going to

550
00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:18,240
Speaker 3: be in the Browns because while the Niners have a

551
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 3: great defense, the Browns have an historically great defense. Six

552
00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:30,040
Speaker 3: red zone possessions in four games so far this year.

553
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 3: They act like they can win games by themselves. Remember

554
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:35,480
Speaker 3: the eighty five Bears. Ye like they would get on

555
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:38,520
Speaker 3: the field, it didn't matter what their offense was, they

556
00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:40,320
Speaker 3: would get on the field, and you would assume, all right,

557
00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 3: the Barrels will just score two touchdowns on defense, Like

558
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 3: that's what the Browns can do, and you are getting

559
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:50,440
Speaker 3: the Niners right now. Look, Rock Purdy is seven to

560
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:53,920
Speaker 3: one to be MVP because he threw four touchdown passes

561
00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:57,520
Speaker 3: against the Dallas Cowboys, and the Dallas Cowboys who did

562
00:30:57,560 --> 00:31:00,959
Speaker 3: not have their best cornerback playing for them anymore. So,

563
00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:05,400
Speaker 3: this guy brock perty looks like a brilliant, brilliant quarterback,

564
00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 3: and I think he is. But is he going to

565
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:11,840
Speaker 3: look that good against a Browns defense that is as

566
00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:14,200
Speaker 3: good as they are from front to back. He's not

567
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:17,720
Speaker 3: playing the Cowboys secondary. He's playing Jim Schwartz defense that

568
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,280
Speaker 3: is going to be incredibly aggressive and by the way,

569
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:25,400
Speaker 3: that has dominated in scenarios like this against Kyle Shanahan.

570
00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:27,480
Speaker 2: So seven's a lot, Colin.

571
00:31:27,560 --> 00:31:29,360
Speaker 3: I know it's ugly, but this could be an ugly

572
00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:34,240
Speaker 3: game whether it's supposed to be bad throughout the Midwest.

573
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:35,640
Speaker 2: I'm taking the seven.

574
00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,600
Speaker 1: And finally talk me into an ugly game, talk me

575
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 1: into something I haven't touched.

576
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:42,160
Speaker 2: I didn't just do that with the Browns.

577
00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:43,760
Speaker 1: Oh, I know that was give me another.

578
00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:47,120
Speaker 3: Like, come on, be with me on the Browns, Colin,

579
00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:47,920
Speaker 3: be with me.

580
00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:49,600
Speaker 2: It's hard, be my buddy.

581
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 1: I can't. Then, what what about Houston Saints?

582
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:55,080
Speaker 2: This is an interesting game.

583
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 3: The public has been coming in on the Texans to

584
00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:01,560
Speaker 3: the point where it's been bet down to the Saints

585
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:04,840
Speaker 3: or minus one. The wise guys are going to bet

586
00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 3: the Saints in this game, like they actually can't believe

587
00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:08,320
Speaker 3: they're able to get the Saints at minus one.

588
00:32:08,800 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 2: There will be regression with CJ. Shroud. You started to

589
00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:13,160
Speaker 2: see a little bit of it last week.

590
00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:15,239
Speaker 3: He was brilliant at the end of the game with

591
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 3: that drive that put them ahead in the final two minutes,

592
00:32:18,200 --> 00:32:22,080
Speaker 3: but throughout the game there were some moments where he

593
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:25,120
Speaker 3: made some really bad passes that should have been intercepted

594
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:27,920
Speaker 3: by a Falcons defense that is not nearly as good

595
00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 3: as the Saints, and that is one thing the Saints

596
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:33,000
Speaker 3: have been doing really well this year. I'm not a

597
00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 3: Dennis Allen fan. I don't know why anyone would hire

598
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:36,960
Speaker 3: Deniz Allen to be a head coach. But he's a

599
00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 3: very good defensive coordinator, and he's got that defense playing

600
00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:42,080
Speaker 3: at a really high level right now.

601
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:44,520
Speaker 2: So I like the Saints in that game.

602
00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:48,920
Speaker 3: Two games we haven't discussed that I think are pretty gross,

603
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:53,880
Speaker 3: and i'd like you to consider. Remember I'm seventeen and

604
00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:57,120
Speaker 3: three the past two weeks. Colin, all right, I want

605
00:32:57,160 --> 00:33:00,320
Speaker 3: you to be with me on this train. Can I

606
00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 3: interest you in the New England Patriots plus three plus

607
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:06,840
Speaker 3: three and a half against the Las Vegas Raider.

608
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 1: Nope, not going to listen. Go to the next one.

609
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:13,640
Speaker 1: Will not listen. I'm not listening. I refuse to listen.

610
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:17,760
Speaker 1: Why listen? It's like somebody that says, trust me, you'll

611
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:19,520
Speaker 1: love radiohead. Let's go to the concert.

612
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 3: Can I what about the what about the Tampa Bay

613
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:26,160
Speaker 3: Okay buccaneer?

614
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:29,160
Speaker 2: Yes, plus three plus three and a half against the lines.

615
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 1: Plus three and a half Tampa's de side. I could

616
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 1: be talked into that because that was one of the

617
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 1: games I have here on my list that I didn't do.

618
00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:37,680
Speaker 1: Tampa plus three and a half. Detroit comes off a

619
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:43,400
Speaker 1: big win. The world loves Detroit. Carolina is really bad,

620
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:45,440
Speaker 1: and actually Tampa Bay at home is pretty good.

621
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:50,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Baker, Look, there is some question about right

622
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:54,560
Speaker 3: now about Mike Evans because he is still a little

623
00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:58,160
Speaker 3: bit injured. But a couple of things have changed for

624
00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:01,360
Speaker 3: Baker Mayfield. You might notice in watching these Bucks games,

625
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,120
Speaker 3: and I've been fading the Bucks and so like, I've

626
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:06,440
Speaker 3: had to pay attention to them because my rating on

627
00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:11,399
Speaker 3: them is changing a little bit. He's not making the

628
00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:15,120
Speaker 3: enormous amount of Baker mistakes that he's made in the past. Right,

629
00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:18,840
Speaker 3: he seems to have learned something in his travels from

630
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:23,560
Speaker 3: Cleveland to Carolina to la Certainly Sean McVay put something

631
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:25,759
Speaker 3: in his ear that made him realize he's making the

632
00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 3: same mistakes over and over when it comes to risk taking.

633
00:34:28,719 --> 00:34:31,040
Speaker 3: And I also think you naturally are better when you

634
00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:33,360
Speaker 3: have Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. He's never had receivers

635
00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:36,439
Speaker 3: like this, so I think there's a big opportunity here

636
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:40,000
Speaker 3: to buy a little bit lower on the bucks and

637
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:44,359
Speaker 3: sell way way way high on the lines. Like look,

638
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 3: Jared Goff, most profitable quarterback against the spread the past

639
00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:50,319
Speaker 3: five years in the NFL. But he's a much different

640
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 3: quarterback when he's in a dome than he is on

641
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:55,640
Speaker 3: the road. And he's under five hundred against the spread

642
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:58,920
Speaker 3: on the road. People love the lines right now, they're dominating,

643
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:00,240
Speaker 3: but this is a tough.

644
00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:02,960
Speaker 1: Spot, right Yeah, I'm not going to listen to the Patriots.

645
00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 2: How about the Jets plus seven against the Eagles.

646
00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Philadelphia has found a bit of an identity.

647
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:16,960
Speaker 1: They're a little banged up. I think my concern about

648
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:22,239
Speaker 1: Philadelphia I looked at that. I think my concern about

649
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:29,960
Speaker 1: Philadelphia is on the road again, don't really have their identity.

650
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:32,400
Speaker 1: And I don't think Jalen's quite Jalen. I do think

651
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,120
Speaker 1: Shane steik and I think he's trying that he's riding himself,

652
00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:39,400
Speaker 1: but he's made some mistakes. He's made about two bad throws.

653
00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:41,759
Speaker 1: And I think against the Rams you can get away

654
00:35:41,800 --> 00:35:43,640
Speaker 1: with it. I don't think you can get away with

655
00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:46,319
Speaker 1: it with the Jets. And the number seven, isn't it

656
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 1: six and a half or seven? Yeah, big that I

657
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:53,400
Speaker 1: could be talked into that. That's a pretty interesting I

658
00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:56,800
Speaker 1: looked at that game. I wonder if I would be

659
00:35:56,880 --> 00:35:59,239
Speaker 1: buying top of the Zach Wilson market or is this

660
00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:04,480
Speaker 1: the new Zach. But I will say this, Jalen's great.

661
00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 1: He's a top seven guy in the league. But it

662
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:09,399
Speaker 1: doesn't quite look the same as last year.

663
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:12,920
Speaker 3: No. And so my feeling on the Eagles, and I

664
00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:14,600
Speaker 3: might have said this to you last week, is that

665
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:18,880
Speaker 3: they've got a I actually think they'll represent the NFC

666
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:23,720
Speaker 3: in the Super Bowl. And I think their defense when healthy,

667
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:27,960
Speaker 3: is as competitive as the Niners. I love their offense,

668
00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:32,279
Speaker 3: like I think that they remind me of the Patriots

669
00:36:32,760 --> 00:36:37,759
Speaker 3: circa twenty ten to fifteen, where they might not get

670
00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:41,440
Speaker 3: it all right early in the year, but their coaching

671
00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:44,880
Speaker 3: is so good, their play calling is so good, and

672
00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:48,680
Speaker 3: the players are so confident that they can fix it

673
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:51,600
Speaker 3: while they're playing. They can change the wheels on the

674
00:36:51,600 --> 00:36:54,400
Speaker 3: truck in real time. But that doesn't mean they're going

675
00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:56,319
Speaker 3: to cover every week, and we've seen that. We've seen

676
00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 3: that against Washington, We've seen that in certain scenarios. So

677
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 3: this to me feels like a spot on the road

678
00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:06,160
Speaker 3: against a really good defense against a team that clearly

679
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:08,040
Speaker 3: has a lot of spirit and a lot of pride.

680
00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 3: I don't know if it's Zach Wilson thing like the

681
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:15,360
Speaker 3: he is playing better clearly and against the defensive backfield

682
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:17,600
Speaker 3: for the Eagles that are struggling and injured.

683
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:19,200
Speaker 2: But I like seven.

684
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:23,319
Speaker 3: I feel like we should do sort of an an

685
00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:26,200
Speaker 3: alterna blazing five, like the blazing five that you're gonna

686
00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:28,120
Speaker 3: end up doing that is full of your favorites, and

687
00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:30,920
Speaker 3: you know you've convinced yourself that you can't bet ugly teams,

688
00:37:31,200 --> 00:37:33,080
Speaker 3: and then the blaze and five that is the teams

689
00:37:33,080 --> 00:37:38,080
Speaker 3: that make you absolutely afraid. Like Bettan the Patriots betting,

690
00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:40,280
Speaker 3: the Browns bet and the Jets.

691
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:43,640
Speaker 1: No Jets, Jets isn't. I'm not afraid to bet the Jets.

692
00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 1: I think if the number goes, if I could get seven,

693
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:49,040
Speaker 1: I think it's a really solid bet. I think it

694
00:37:49,239 --> 00:37:52,320
Speaker 1: listen the bet. I like that. The guy wise guys don't.

695
00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:55,680
Speaker 1: And I'll just say I like the Ravens who were

696
00:37:55,719 --> 00:37:59,680
Speaker 1: so embarrassed about how they had played last time they

697
00:37:59,719 --> 00:38:04,719
Speaker 1: were on London. They spent the off season preparing for this.

698
00:38:05,640 --> 00:38:09,080
Speaker 1: I think I'm getting value at minus four. I don't

699
00:38:09,120 --> 00:38:13,000
Speaker 1: think Tennessee's very good. I really don't, and I don't

700
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:16,000
Speaker 1: even think I think you're betting on Vaybel, but I

701
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:20,479
Speaker 1: think that's muted somewhat by Harball. And so by the way,

702
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:26,080
Speaker 1: Tennessee leaving late every Thursday in London game everyone one

703
00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:31,040
Speaker 1: team isn't ready to go Buffalo Commanders every You don't

704
00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:33,000
Speaker 1: ever get two teams in London and you're like, that's

705
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:36,040
Speaker 1: the best they've played in years. You don't get Thursday games.

706
00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:40,920
Speaker 1: Bears ready, Washington came out of overtime against Arrival. If

707
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:43,600
Speaker 1: you're telling me one team's gonna click, I'm going to

708
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 1: be the team that got there thirty six hours earlier,

709
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:50,960
Speaker 1: undervalued by the market, and I get a superstar quarterback

710
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:54,560
Speaker 1: against the quarterback the other team keeps drafting quarterbacks to

711
00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 1: replace him, and he's just better than those bad guys.

712
00:38:57,760 --> 00:38:58,239
Speaker 2: I like that.

713
00:38:58,320 --> 00:39:01,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, but right now, you're not convincing me of a

714
00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:06,360
Speaker 3: game that I'm overly confident in. Like I agree with

715
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:09,520
Speaker 3: everything you're saying. It's like I'm playing the number. That's

716
00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:12,239
Speaker 3: all I'm doing is playing the number right. It's it

717
00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:13,680
Speaker 3: could be right, it could be wrong, and for the

718
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:16,080
Speaker 3: wise guys. This is one of those fifty to fifty balls, right.

719
00:39:16,080 --> 00:39:18,200
Speaker 3: That's why it's why the number went from four and

720
00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:19,680
Speaker 3: a half to four and has gone back up to

721
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 3: four and a half like it's because there's there's sentiment

722
00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:23,800
Speaker 3: on both sides.

723
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:26,200
Speaker 2: What I'm telling you is.

724
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:33,640
Speaker 3: Go big, go Browns, Go Patriots, Go Panther, Go Giants,

725
00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:36,360
Speaker 3: go go go Jets.

726
00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:37,960
Speaker 2: Have some fun with it.

727
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:41,440
Speaker 1: There's no such thing as fun. My life is masonry.

728
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:43,839
Speaker 1: I've never had any fun in my life except hanging

729
00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:48,840
Speaker 1: out with Oh my god, my wife is a struggle.

730
00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:53,279
Speaker 2: That.

731
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:57,760
Speaker 3: That is the biggest lie I've ever heard anyone say

732
00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:00,240
Speaker 3: about themselves.

733
00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:02,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have some fun. I gotta be honest. I

734
00:40:02,320 --> 00:40:04,120
Speaker 1: do have a lot of fun. I got a fun.

735
00:40:04,360 --> 00:40:07,279
Speaker 3: Number of times I've gotten calls from you. I don't

736
00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:10,480
Speaker 3: even know from where. Hey, Milman, check out this view.

737
00:40:10,680 --> 00:40:11,520
Speaker 3: It's amazing.

738
00:40:14,120 --> 00:40:20,719
Speaker 1: Whatever, All right, Chad Millman, Action Network c COEO. All

739
00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:24,080
Speaker 1: lawns provided by Draft Kings. Good luck, my friend, dear brother.

740
00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:26,200
Speaker 1: The volume