1 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:07,760 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg to Washington, d C, 2 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:12,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg nine one to Boston, Bluemberg Well Mine to San Francisco, 3 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:16,440 Speaker 1: Blomberg nine sixty to the country, sis XM Channel one 4 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:20,040 Speaker 1: nineteen and around the globe the Bloomberg Radio Plus appen 5 00:00:20,079 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 1: Bouberg dot com. This is Bloomberg Surveillance. Good morning. I'm 6 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:28,479 Speaker 1: John Socker, along with David Gorey and Michael McKee. The 7 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: Opening Bell Report this morning being brought to you by 8 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: c g M, a employee Chartered Global Management Accountant, or 9 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:38,160 Speaker 1: empower your finance team with a c g M A program. 10 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 1: Learn more at c g M. A dot org slash 11 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: radio off to a lower start on Wall Street with 12 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:48,320 Speaker 1: a major indices on this we'll call it Merger Thursday. 13 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: Among companies moving on corporate news, a comcast of course, 14 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 1: offering forty one dollars a share for DreamWorks DreamWorks and 15 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:59,400 Speaker 1: moving higher. Also Facebook jumping about eleven percent of reporting 16 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:03,480 Speaker 1: sales and off it that Blue Past Analysts estimates businesses 17 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:06,960 Speaker 1: spent more in video ads on its main mobile app. 18 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 1: Also St. Jude Medical surging about Abbot Labs agreeing to 19 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 1: buy it at a deal that values the maker of 20 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: the heart devices at about twenty five billion dollars abbot heres. 21 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:20,680 Speaker 1: They are lower as a result. Right now we have 22 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 1: SMP down five points, the down Jones Industrial l Average 23 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:27,400 Speaker 1: seventy two points lower. That's down four tents of percent. 24 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 1: The Nasday Composite Index in the early going right now 25 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:35,160 Speaker 1: that is down six points. That's down about ten of 26 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 1: a percent. And that's an updates on the markets at 27 00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:42,040 Speaker 1: the opening, Bill, Michael David, Thank you very much, John Tucker. 28 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:44,839 Speaker 1: A lot of news this morning. Here's my favorite story 29 00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 1: of the morning. Uh. It has nothing to do with 30 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: Wall Street. It has to do with the presidential campaign. 31 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 1: John Bayner, This is amazing at Stanford speech right, Yeah, 32 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: I in Stanford. The Stanford Daily reporting that John Bayner 33 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: went out to the to the college there and said 34 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 1: that he would vote for Donald Trump in the general election, 35 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:04,520 Speaker 1: but he would not vote for Ted Cruz, whom he 36 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 1: called lucifer in the flesh and said, I've never worked 37 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 1: with a more miserable son of you know what in 38 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 1: my life. The political theme gets weirder and weirder. But 39 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: it has been an extraordinarily busy morning in terms of deals. 40 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 1: DreamWorks just the latest one. We started uh the morning 41 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 1: off with Abbott Labs buying St. Jude Medical. We've got 42 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 1: Abvy buying the stem Centrics, which is privately held cancer 43 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:43,640 Speaker 1: research company. So, um, the medical healthcare area continues to 44 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 1: just explode. B T I G. Said Dan Leone follows 45 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 1: all of this. So what are we to make a 46 00:02:50,639 --> 00:02:53,680 Speaker 1: coincidence these two deals come out today, I presume. But uh, 47 00:02:53,720 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 1: there's certainly, um, no no sign that consolidation in healthcare 48 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 1: is slowing down. Consolidation remains a key theme I think 49 00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 1: across the healthcare space. Uh. You know, some of that's 50 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:11,280 Speaker 1: from the commentary from the political spectrum and regulators. You know, 51 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 1: pricing is still a key theme across medtech and and therapeutic. 52 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 1: So this really comes as no surprise. And we do 53 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 1: think this is going to be an ongoing team for 54 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:22,920 Speaker 1: the next twelve months at least. Do you think this 55 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 1: face is uh, this this mergual face much in the 56 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:29,800 Speaker 1: way of regulatory hurdles? Uh? Interestingly, Uh, the size would 57 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 1: make you think so, but the actual product overlap is 58 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 1: fairly minimal. UM. And you know, if you think about 59 00:03:38,040 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: the total aggregate post deal revenue rate of you know, 60 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 1: somewhere around twenty eight billion. Our analysis would suggest there's 61 00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 1: probably max of only one point five billion and product 62 00:03:50,320 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 1: category overlap, so we don't think so, and do feel 63 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: confident that I think you could get this deal done 64 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: by the fourth quarter of sixteen. The interesting thing about 65 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 1: it is if they came out right up front and 66 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 1: said it's going to cost us money for a couple 67 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 1: of years, and then you looked at before we really 68 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:12,320 Speaker 1: see accretion um our shareholders going to be happy with that. 69 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 1: I think it's actually about in line where UH estimates 70 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:20,839 Speaker 1: had been. So if you if you rewind to August fifteen, 71 00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:24,479 Speaker 1: there had been a rumor floated in media that these 72 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 1: two companies were looking to get together, which was subsequently 73 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 1: denied by by both parties. However, a number of US 74 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 1: went through the analysis and back then we were looking 75 00:04:35,120 --> 00:04:37,920 Speaker 1: for around three hundred million and apax synergy. They actually 76 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 1: came in a little bit above that today at three 77 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 1: seventy five with around a hundred twenty five and revenue synergies. 78 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 1: So it looks about in line. Obviously, the equity component 79 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: um and and the premium dial back. The first year 80 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 1: synergy a little bit too, slightly below ten percent, but 81 00:04:56,960 --> 00:05:00,480 Speaker 1: um still about in line with what what people were thinking. Uh. 82 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 1: And more importantly, UH, this this removes kind of an 83 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 1: albatross um around the around Abbot um. You know, there 84 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:11,600 Speaker 1: there have been concerns on the vascular business, which is 85 00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 1: which has really failed to grow and was expected to 86 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 1: be down this year. How to diversify some of the 87 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 1: issues there and and thank you definitely brings those solutions 88 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 1: to the table. We're talking with our reporter Michelle Cortez 89 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:25,000 Speaker 1: a little while back about this deal and what's motivated it. 90 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: And something she brought up is this push from hospitals 91 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:31,359 Speaker 1: for for lower prices. How how big a push is 92 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 1: that on medical device companies right now? Uh, there's been 93 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 1: a push for for a while now, so this has 94 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 1: been an ongoing team and scale is really the way 95 00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: to defend against that. And that's why you've seen with 96 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 1: Metronic and Convinian. So this kind of continues to carry 97 00:05:48,880 --> 00:05:53,919 Speaker 1: in the same theme of bigger is better. The folks 98 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 1: that Abbot were also involved in an effort to snap 99 00:05:57,240 --> 00:06:00,800 Speaker 1: up a lier uh and that for while looked to 100 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 1: be kind of off the block. And I know people 101 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 1: looked at the uh St Jude deal and said, Um, well, 102 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 1: maybe they're giving up, And yet they come out on 103 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 1: the call and say we're we've got the financing for 104 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:16,600 Speaker 1: earlier and we're gonna try and go ahead with it. Yeah. 105 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 1: I think the market is still trying to pass through 106 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:21,919 Speaker 1: some of the mixed signals Abbott has been sending lately. 107 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:25,119 Speaker 1: So in the first Core call, the CEO Miles White, 108 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 1: was very vague about the the commitment of Abbott to 109 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 1: the Weird deal. And then today, as you said, there 110 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:37,719 Speaker 1: was an explicit uh point made in the press release 111 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 1: saying they had financing contemplated for for both deals and 112 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: could remain investment grade. However, when we discussed a leer 113 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:50,840 Speaker 1: on the call at eight o'clock again, the CEO kind 114 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 1: of backed away from making any firm commitment to the 115 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:56,200 Speaker 1: Weird deal. So, um, if you know the history, they're 116 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 1: they're they're having some accounting issues and have a D 117 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 1: O D and instigation open right now. Um so, uh, 118 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:05,479 Speaker 1: you know, we're trying to read through the tea leaves here, 119 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:08,239 Speaker 1: but um, it does seem like Abbott saying a message 120 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 1: of you know, get get your stuff organized or we 121 00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 1: have we have other things to do. What does this 122 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:16,760 Speaker 1: deal say to you the way that it's structured, the 123 00:07:16,960 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 1: way that it's set up, about where things are headed 124 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 1: in the medical device industry. You're looking at more mergers 125 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:25,640 Speaker 1: coming down the line. There's been a lot of consolidation 126 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:29,160 Speaker 1: to date. UH that that does not preclude more from happening. 127 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 1: But we think this is uh maybe one of of 128 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 1: the last remaining mega mergers really expected. Uh. You know 129 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 1: the other ones out there that have been hypothesized in 130 00:07:40,720 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 1: the media have been uh Edwards. UM. And obviously you 131 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: can't ignore the fact that Johnson and Johnson has around 132 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: thirty five billion in cash right now. UH. We've also 133 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 1: seen Sonopie going to market today to try and buy 134 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 1: a company, have each chin to buy a company. UM. 135 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 1: This is not over, no. Uh. The therapeutic side is 136 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:11,080 Speaker 1: going to remain a very hot area for for a while. Uh. 137 00:08:11,120 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 1: There's a lot of the big guys are trying to reconcile. 138 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 1: UH some some legacy product lines have slowed down. Pricing pressures, 139 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 1: discussions uh in the US media and political landscape about 140 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 1: how how they run their businesses so uh and in 141 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:32,959 Speaker 1: multiples in the in the smaller end of the biotech 142 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 1: space and spec PHARMACTACE have come down a lot, making 143 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 1: those assets more attractive. So we think this tame is 144 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:41,200 Speaker 1: is going to continue as well, and really quick here 145 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 1: on the way out. Any indication of when the steel 146 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:44,920 Speaker 1: is going to close the anything about that on the 147 00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 1: call uh St Jude for St. Judan Abbit is expected 148 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 1: to close at the end of the fourth quarter, and 149 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:54,840 Speaker 1: although no update was given, the prior indication was that 150 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:56,719 Speaker 1: a were and Abbot would close that end of the 151 00:08:56,800 --> 00:08:58,840 Speaker 1: year as well. All right, that's Stan Leon, He's an 152 00:08:58,880 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 1: analyst with bt IG, joining us here to talk about 153 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:03,840 Speaker 1: one of many big deal stories we've gotten this morning. 154 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:06,600 Speaker 1: That's Abbott agreeing to buy St. Jude Medical for twenty 155 00:09:06,640 --> 00:09:10,200 Speaker 1: five billion dollars. Working up here on Bloomberg Surveillance, I'm 156 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,959 Speaker 1: David GIRRW with Michael McKee wor coming up after the break. 157 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:19,280 Speaker 1: This hour of Surveillance is brought to by Westchester Subar up. 158 00:09:19,360 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 1: Is it Westchester subar dot com. Here's Michael bar with 159 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 1: the latest World of national headlines. Mike, David, thank you 160 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:27,160 Speaker 1: very much. Democrats on Capitol Hill are warning there could 161 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 1: be a major Zeka virus outbreak in the US if 162 00:09:30,320 --> 00:09:33,840 Speaker 1: Congress does not move soon on a funding measure. Democratic 163 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 1: Senator Barbara mcculski is calling on Congress to allocate one 164 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:41,080 Speaker 1: point nine billion dollars to zeke A prevention and research 165 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:44,560 Speaker 1: at the White House requested. The mosquitoes are already here. 166 00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:47,840 Speaker 1: You can't go defence to keep them out, and the 167 00:09:47,880 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 1: mosquitoes won't pay for it. However, House Speaker Paul Ryan's 168 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:54,199 Speaker 1: as Republicans are being cautious with the money. The administration 169 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:56,880 Speaker 1: has a bit of a track record of of overrequesting 170 00:09:56,920 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 1: what they need. Um, don't forget one thing. It is 171 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:02,760 Speaker 1: money in the pipeline right now. We take this very seriously. 172 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:07,000 Speaker 1: Former House Speaker John Banner reportedly had some strong words 173 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:11,440 Speaker 1: concerning Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz. According to the Stanford Daily, 174 00:10:12,080 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 1: bintercalled the Texas senator quote now Lucifer in the flesh, 175 00:10:16,200 --> 00:10:18,640 Speaker 1: you know how Republican also says he has never worked 176 00:10:18,640 --> 00:10:21,440 Speaker 1: with a more miserable fill in the blank in my life. 177 00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:25,280 Speaker 1: Bener also says he preferred Donald Trump. It's looking more 178 00:10:25,320 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 1: like a British Airways jet did not strike a drone 179 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:30,439 Speaker 1: while landing at London seats Row Airport earlier this month. 180 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:33,520 Speaker 1: The government at first expected a drone, but no longer 181 00:10:33,520 --> 00:10:36,600 Speaker 1: believes that global news twenty four hours a day, powered 182 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:39,200 Speaker 1: by our twenty four hundred journalists and more than a 183 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:41,800 Speaker 1: hundred fifty bureaus from around the world. Now, Mike Labar, 184 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:45,200 Speaker 1: Mike David, thank you, Michael Well. It has been an 185 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:47,959 Speaker 1: incredible day of news headlines. We've still got twenty minutes 186 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:50,560 Speaker 1: to go left in Bloomberg Surveillance. Can we get one 187 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:57,360 Speaker 1: or more additional mergers, takeovers or corporate news headlines? Stay 188 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 1: tuned to Bloomberg Radio. Coming up on Bloomberg's Surveillance. We 189 00:11:02,960 --> 00:11:05,680 Speaker 1: continue to look at all of the news from central 190 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:09,120 Speaker 1: banks that fed yesterday. Bank of Japan news breaking overnight 191 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:11,679 Speaker 1: that policy was going to change that markedly. Mush will 192 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 1: talk f X with the head of g TN f 193 00:11:13,520 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: X at Standard Chartered. Coming up,