1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:05,800 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,840 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: dot com, the Radio plus mobile app and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,200 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm kerin Moscow. 4 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:16,440 Speaker 1: This updates brought to you by American Arbitration Association. Business 5 00:00:16,480 --> 00:00:20,920 Speaker 1: disputes are inevitable, resolve faster with the American Arbitration Association, 6 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:24,240 Speaker 1: the global leader in alternative dispute resolution for over eighty 7 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:27,320 Speaker 1: five years. Learn more at a d R dot org. 8 00:00:28,040 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: Stocks are rallying with emerging markets as investors add to 9 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 1: bets that US interest rates will stay lower for longer, 10 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: keeping growth on track. And we check the markets every 11 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 1: fifteen minutes throughout the trading day on Bloomberg SNP Emity 12 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 1: futures up five points, Dow E Mini futures of fifty 13 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 1: three and NASDAC emny futures of eleven. The decks in 14 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,560 Speaker 1: Germany's up one point eight percent ten your treasury of 15 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 1: three thirty seconds, the yield one point seven two percent 16 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 1: yield on the two year point seven nine percent Nimax 17 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 1: screwde oil of one point three percent or sixty four 18 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: cents to fifty dollars thirty three. Sense of barrel go 19 00:01:01,200 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 1: make's goal down six tenths per cent or seven dollars 20 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: ten cents to twelve forty thirty, announced the euro a 21 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 1: dollar thirteen forty the end one oh seven point seven four, 22 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 1: and Valiant Pharmaceuticals International cutting its sixteen profit forecast as 23 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:18,400 Speaker 1: its new chief executive starts his attempt to turn around 24 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:21,400 Speaker 1: the embattled drug maker. And that's a Bloomberg business flash, 25 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 1: Tom and Mike Karen Moscow, thank you very much. Bloomberg 26 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:28,319 Speaker 1: Shurvalance is brought to you you by the Jeep Grand Cherokee, 27 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: the most awarded suv ever. The Grand Cherokee continues to 28 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: raise the bar with its luxurious interior and legendary four 29 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: by four capability. Drive one at your local Jeep dealer today. 30 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 1: According to the Associated Press, it is to be Hillary 31 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 1: Hilly Clinton has enough pledged and super delegates to claim 32 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:50,760 Speaker 1: the Democratic domination, the first woman nominated by a major 33 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 1: American political party to run for president. Bernie Sanders disagrees, 34 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 1: we'll see what happens in the primaries that are today, 35 00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 1: but if indeed this is our lineup Trump against Clinton, 36 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton has to unify her party and get on 37 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:10,080 Speaker 1: with the one on one race Margie Omearro is a 38 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:13,240 Speaker 1: Democratic strategist. She's executive vice president of public Affairs at 39 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 1: Penn Shawn Berlin and she joins US. Now, Margie, there's 40 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: a very interesting new poll out from the ABC Washington 41 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 1: Post polling folks Gary Langer and and his folks, uh 42 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:31,639 Speaker 1: that compares this year to two thousand eight. In two 43 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: thousand of Clinton supporters said they would vote for John 44 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:41,080 Speaker 1: McCain over Barack Obama. When Hillary Clinton finally conceded that 45 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: didn't happen. They ended up voting overwhelmingly for Obama. This year, 46 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: of Sanders supporters say they'll vote for Trump over Clinton. 47 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 1: Do we see the same playbook play out? Do those 48 00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:57,119 Speaker 1: voters come home? Well? Sure, Well, I think that's very 49 00:02:57,200 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 1: very likely to happen. And those numbers are right and 50 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:03,640 Speaker 1: they're consistent. There have been other metrics, other ways to 51 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:08,240 Speaker 1: compare two thousand eight to this year's NBC. Wall Street 52 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:11,520 Speaker 1: Journal has similar numbers where they asked folks, now, and 53 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 1: in two thousand eight, you think the long primary has 54 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 1: been helpful or harmful? And you have more folks saying 55 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:21,880 Speaker 1: it was harmful in two eight than now. This is 56 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 1: among Democrats. Um, you have Sanders and Clinton voters in 57 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 1: gallop gallut recent gallup poles saying that the long primary 58 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:32,359 Speaker 1: has not hurt the party. So if there's been a 59 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:34,920 Speaker 1: lot of poles that that are pointed to the same point, 60 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: so you know, and you also have that half. This 61 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 1: is the kind of funny part. The Democrats are divided 62 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 1: on whether or not they're divided, while Republicans are unified 63 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 1: on the fact that they're divided. That's another interesting nugget 64 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 1: from the APC Wall Street, UH Washington Post pole. So 65 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 1: I think taken together, this is a sign that, you know, 66 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 1: Democrats are very much going to be united among you know, 67 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 1: one for the for the historic nature of our supremely 68 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: qualified and strong presumptive nominee in Hillary Clinton, and in 69 00:04:07,120 --> 00:04:11,839 Speaker 1: the and the you know, the incredibly dangerous and unqualified 70 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 1: and um, you know, I'm shocked that you would say 71 00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 1: anything like that. Of course, it's it's just not respect 72 00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:22,240 Speaker 1: for the office. So, I mean, we're all we're all 73 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:24,560 Speaker 1: going to rally around, for sure, around the fact that 74 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 1: the Republican there are some warning signs in the polls. 75 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:32,479 Speaker 1: And again a quote from the ABC Washington Post poll, 76 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 1: and that is with young people because Bernie Sanders has 77 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:38,159 Speaker 1: certainly energized a lot of them, brought them out to vote, 78 00:04:38,680 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 1: and according to the this survey in March, the under thirties, 79 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:48,839 Speaker 1: if asked whether they would be supporting Hillary versus Donald, 80 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:55,560 Speaker 1: was for her. But in May two it it closed 81 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 1: up a lot um. What what does she have to 82 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:02,360 Speaker 1: do to vince young people? I mean she's a status 83 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:05,719 Speaker 1: quo candidate that she can be a candidate of change, 84 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 1: you know, to to it appeal to what they want. Well, 85 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:12,080 Speaker 1: I think there's a couple of different ways to do, 86 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,000 Speaker 1: you know, do that. I mean one is simply by 87 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:17,039 Speaker 1: being the nominee that will help move a lot of 88 00:05:17,040 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 1: those voters over who simply find Trump distasteful for all 89 00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:25,560 Speaker 1: the obvious reasons. I think a focus on the issues 90 00:05:25,600 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 1: that affect a lot of young people personally, which she's 91 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 1: done and I think we'll continue to do, just making 92 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:36,599 Speaker 1: college more affordable, um, gender pay, equality, family medical leave, 93 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:41,279 Speaker 1: and also a reform of the UH, the influence of 94 00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 1: special interests in of the electoral system. I think a 95 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 1: lot of those things are really very much appeal to 96 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:47,920 Speaker 1: younger people. If you have Obama coming out and stumping 97 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:50,240 Speaker 1: for her, I think that'll play a little too, marjor 98 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:53,239 Speaker 1: merrow with us with Penn shown Berlin obviously in support 99 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:56,440 Speaker 1: of the secretary Margie. I love the idea that you 100 00:05:56,520 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 1: worked for a shop called Purple Strategies and perp sites. 101 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:06,719 Speaker 1: Does the Secretary go after Mr Trump to gain purple 102 00:06:06,880 --> 00:06:12,600 Speaker 1: votes or does the secretary act presidential and remove herself 103 00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: above the fray the discourse of the moment? Does she 104 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:21,800 Speaker 1: stay away from it or does she attack them head 105 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:26,920 Speaker 1: on to get those independent votes? Well? I think that, Um, 106 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:29,280 Speaker 1: I think a few things. One, I think women are 107 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 1: going to decide this election, and I think, um, women 108 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 1: who you know, can be very much responsive to Clinton's message, 109 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:39,919 Speaker 1: pointing out not just Trump's incredibly insulting views on women, 110 00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:42,480 Speaker 1: but insulting views towards everybody. I mean, when I hear 111 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:45,520 Speaker 1: in focus groups, particularly with women voters, is a worry 112 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:48,360 Speaker 1: that Trump doesn't have the right temperament to be president, 113 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 1: um by any social imagination. So you know, even folks 114 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 1: who agree with him moory that he or who are 115 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:57,239 Speaker 1: strong Republicans worry that he doesn't have the right temperament 116 00:06:57,360 --> 00:06:59,720 Speaker 1: in president. So pointing that out, I think it's important. 117 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,359 Speaker 1: And she had she had a very great reception to 118 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:09,240 Speaker 1: her foreign policy speech last week where she spoke about Trump, uh, 119 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 1: you know, his unfit, unfitness for the job. And I 120 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:16,160 Speaker 1: think he's gonna get that. And with your pedigree Mayors 121 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: against Illegal Guns, Emily's List, the the d c C 122 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 1: and you know, you know, working with the Democratic Party. 123 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 1: That's all fine. She's got a win by going to 124 00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:31,600 Speaker 1: get other voters, right, how does she do that? I 125 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 1: mean she's been a little distracted recently. How does she 126 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:38,240 Speaker 1: go get those people that maybe want to vote for 127 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:42,440 Speaker 1: Mr Trump but can't. What's her what's your prescription for 128 00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 1: her to win those voters? Well, a few things. One, 129 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:48,840 Speaker 1: you know, to make this election about the voters. Donald 130 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 1: Trump is making it about Donald Trump, about himself, about 131 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 1: how he's a winner and how great he is. Voters 132 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:58,440 Speaker 1: want to vote for somebody who is going to fight 133 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:01,120 Speaker 1: for them, who puts them for us, to understand them, 134 00:08:01,160 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 1: who gets their struggles, gets their needs. And that's something 135 00:08:04,640 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 1: that Clinton has done in a lot of her small events. 136 00:08:07,200 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 1: She's done a lot of her advertising. Can now as 137 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 1: as the primary received in the rear view mirror. Over 138 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 1: the next few months, um, she's gonna be able to 139 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 1: really devote more time to really trust that and draw 140 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 1: that sharp contrast between yourself and Trump. What does she 141 00:08:22,480 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 1: need to do to gin up enthusiasm in the fall 142 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 1: in the sense that, uh, he has tremendously high negatives, 143 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 1: but hers aren't far behind, and a lot of people say, 144 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:36,520 Speaker 1: pops on both their houses. Yeah, I just I mean, look, 145 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 1: he is the most unpopular candidate with his own base, 146 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 1: you know, the most unpopular Republican candidate with Republicans in 147 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:47,240 Speaker 1: modern times. I mean, he he has a lot. I mean, 148 00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 1: he walks through to his nomination yet is supremely damaged. 149 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 1: So you know, so he has a lot of He 150 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 1: for sure has a lot of work to do with 151 00:08:56,559 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 1: the phone. Serious, you know, let's start they're right. Um. Meanwhile, 152 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 1: I think for Clinton, there's this myths that people are 153 00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:06,440 Speaker 1: not enthusiastic about her. The last pole, it might have 154 00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:09,040 Speaker 1: been the ABC Wall Teacher Watching Past Pole or the 155 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:13,200 Speaker 1: NBC where they looked at the enthusiasm gap between Sanders 156 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:15,840 Speaker 1: and Clinton and it was single digits. It was really 157 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 1: like six points. It was not some you know, overwhelming crisis. 158 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 1: It was something that can be short up between now 159 00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:25,959 Speaker 1: and November. For sure, whom does she choose us for 160 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:29,360 Speaker 1: running me. Well, I think you know, they're looking at 161 00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 1: a lot of you know, great folks from what I've 162 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: read in the reports. And I know whether that was 163 00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 1: y well, that's a very good polling question I have 164 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:40,880 Speaker 1: not had the honor to answer, and I don't know. 165 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 1: You know, I think having that today, Okay, I'll send 166 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 1: you the invoice. I mean, you know, I think having 167 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 1: a woman would be great. Um. I think having uh, 168 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 1: you know, it's just sort of highlight for sure, the 169 00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 1: difference between and what's going on in the Democratic state, 170 00:10:01,920 --> 00:10:05,680 Speaker 1: our inclusivity and health or the party of everybody versus 171 00:10:06,040 --> 00:10:08,440 Speaker 1: what's going on Trump and he's the you know, he's 172 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:11,440 Speaker 1: hijacked the party and they seem, you know, willing to 173 00:10:11,520 --> 00:10:14,080 Speaker 1: let it happen. Um. So I think that would be great, 174 00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:16,000 Speaker 1: But I know there are lots of other really great options. 175 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:19,840 Speaker 1: And you know, whether it's Kim Kine or Julian Castro 176 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 1: or um or you know, al Frankie, people talk about 177 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:25,599 Speaker 1: I think we have a really good bench. We have 178 00:10:25,640 --> 00:10:28,960 Speaker 1: a really good bench. That would be something Clinton Franken. 179 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:34,480 Speaker 1: I mean, I mean what we don't have is you know, 180 00:10:34,559 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 1: candidates who are would be unwilling who would say no, 181 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:43,080 Speaker 1: which is okay. That's an important distinction. Marigo Meryll, thank 182 00:10:43,160 --> 00:10:45,400 Speaker 1: you so much. Our email has lit up like a 183 00:10:45,520 --> 00:10:49,440 Speaker 1: candle since you come out. Margo Merrill with pen shown Berlin, 184 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:53,000 Speaker 1: clearly showing your support for the secretary. This morning, no surprise, 185 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:57,560 Speaker 1: Nancy Pelosi has now come out and endorsed Hillary Clinton. 186 00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:00,800 Speaker 1: She remained neutral as the lead or of the Democrats 187 00:11:00,800 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 1: in the House and through the primary season, but has 188 00:11:02,880 --> 00:11:07,440 Speaker 1: now decided to throw her support to the election. The 189 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 1: conventions back in also, of course, a vote in the 190 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:14,240 Speaker 1: United Kingdom. Another hour of Bloomberg surveillance.