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Speaker 1: gambler dot net in West Virginia. All right, welcome to

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Speaker 1: Hoops Tonight, presented by Fandel here at the volume Happy Tuesday, everybody.

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Speaker 1: I'm Jason timp. I appreciate you guys coming to hang out.

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Speaker 1: We are almost two the start of the NBA Finals.

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Speaker 1: The matchup that I wanted this whole time, the teams

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Speaker 1: that I'm most excited to see faced off Boston and

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Speaker 1: Golden State today. In this video, we are going to

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Speaker 1: break down every single element of this series. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: talk about their regular season matchups as much as you

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Speaker 1: can take away from them. Since the NBA regular season

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Speaker 1: continues to provide almost no information about what the end

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Speaker 1: of the book is going to be like, We're gonna

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Speaker 1: look at both sides of the basketball, what it looks

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Speaker 1: like with Golden State on offense and what it looks

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Speaker 1: like with Boston on offense, and then we're gonna look

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Speaker 1: at some series why dynamics, some experience factors, and some

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Speaker 1: other elements of the game that I think are going

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Speaker 1: to play a factor in this series. So let's start

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Speaker 1: with the regular season now. As is typically the case

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Speaker 1: for teams that are playing across conference lines, they only

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Speaker 1: played twice. Golden State won the early matchup back in one,

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Speaker 1: and then Boston won a game in March where Steph

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Speaker 1: got hurt in the second quarter. Um they played, there

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Speaker 1: were forty one minutes with both Tatum and Steph on

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Speaker 1: the floor together at the same time. In those minutes,

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Speaker 1: Golden State average ninety four points per one hundred possessions

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Speaker 1: and Boston averaged a hundred and nine point three points

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Speaker 1: per one hundred possessions. So the regular season stuff doesn't

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Speaker 1: look good for Golden State. But at the same time,

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Speaker 1: it didn't look good for Golden State in the Dallas

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Speaker 1: matchup either, and that ended up meaning absolutely nothing. So

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure what you can take from that regular

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Speaker 1: season series was one one I would say, for the

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Speaker 1: most part, it doesn't really apply. I tried to watch

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Speaker 1: the tape as much as possible, just to look at

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Speaker 1: physical matchups and look at like specific plays. What did

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Speaker 1: it look like when Steph tried to guard Tatum, What

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Speaker 1: did it look like when Marcus Smart tried to guard Steph?

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Speaker 1: You know, like those kinds of things to try to

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Speaker 1: pick up on those little details. Both teams ran drop

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Speaker 1: coverage for the most part in both games with their

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Speaker 1: big men, so with Keval Luniar, with Rob Williams or

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Speaker 1: with Al Horford. That you again, in the NBA regular season,

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Speaker 1: teams love to run drop because it protects the paint

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Speaker 1: and if you're gonna eat innings in the regular season

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Speaker 1: just to try to get through the eighty two games,

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Speaker 1: might as well take away the paint make teams beat

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Speaker 1: you with the jump shot. So it's pretty typical to

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Speaker 1: see that sort of thing. It's hard to say how

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Speaker 1: much they'll play drop in this playoff series, in this

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Speaker 1: NBA Finals series, but then again, like Boston ran drop

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Speaker 1: almost exclusively against Miami for whatever reason, so it could

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Speaker 1: be a matchup thing, But we're gonna get into that

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Speaker 1: here in just a minute. A couple of outlier performances.

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Speaker 1: Uh Andrew Wiggins had a twenty seven point game in

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Speaker 1: the Tatum matchup. Covon Looney had seven offensive rebounds in

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Speaker 1: the two games. Offensive rebounding is gonna be really interesting

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Speaker 1: swing factor in the series. Golden State has been a

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Speaker 1: great rebounding team in this playoff run. Boston not so much.

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Speaker 1: They ranked third out of the four conference finalist teams

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Speaker 1: in defensive rebound percentage. They struggled to secure defensive rebounds

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Speaker 1: against both Milwaukee and Miami. That's something I think Golden

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Speaker 1: State will try to exploit. And then Jordan Pool, you

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Speaker 1: had a twenty nine point game in the step in

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Speaker 1: the game that Steph got hurt. Obviously, Boston blew them

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Speaker 1: out in that game, but Pool demonstrated that he can

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Speaker 1: score against this Boston defense. So that's something that should

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Speaker 1: be encouraging for Golden State fans. Let's start with Golden

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Speaker 1: State on offense. So the number one swing factor I

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Speaker 1: think in this matchup is gonna be what coverage Boston

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Speaker 1: goes with. You guys know, I'm a big believer in

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Speaker 1: switching as is always the case when you pick a

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Speaker 1: different coverage, there's a given a take. So obviously, if

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Speaker 1: you're a proponent of drop, you're gonna dislike things about switching,

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Speaker 1: like giving up seize mismatches on rebounding opportunities, giving up

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Speaker 1: seize mismatches for post ups or on the perimeter, or

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Speaker 1: a quickness mismatch with a big man guarding a small guard.

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Speaker 1: You're concerned about mismatches and switching situations. That's typical to me.

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Speaker 1: I just think the pros of switching the way that

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Speaker 1: it can bait teams into isolation basketball, disrupt their actions,

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Speaker 1: make it so that when they run their sets they

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Speaker 1: don't get open shots. I tend to think that those

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Speaker 1: vastly outweigh the hans and switching, But people have different

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Speaker 1: opinions there. Against Miami, I thought for sure Boston would

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Speaker 1: switch because switching tests your dribble creation, your ability to

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Speaker 1: beat mismatches off the dribble. In Miami only had one

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Speaker 1: guy on the roster who was a good mismatch attacker

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Speaker 1: and Jimmy Butler, so I thought if they did a

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Speaker 1: lot of switching, they'd be able to basically play into

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Speaker 1: Miami's weaknesses. And have the most success. I also thought,

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Speaker 1: you know, with guys like Max Strus and Gave Vinson

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Speaker 1: and Kyle Lowry and Tyler Harrow that all love to

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Speaker 1: come flying off the screens with lots of space to

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Speaker 1: elevate and pull up a jump shot, why would you

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Speaker 1: run drop? It allows them to get those looks that

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Speaker 1: they otherwise wouldn't be able to get. And in spite

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Speaker 1: of all of that email, Judoka ran drop the entire series.

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Speaker 1: It was obviously part of the game plan. He was

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Speaker 1: banking that Miami's wouldn't shoot well. Into his defense, they

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Speaker 1: didn't shoot well. But I also thought it was Boston's

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Speaker 1: worst defensive series in terms of the numbers that they

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Speaker 1: gave up with in the con text of the level

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Speaker 1: of talent they were playing. So that's gonna be an

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Speaker 1: interesting element. Will they continue to run drop against this

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Speaker 1: Golden State team? And again, and I shared clips on

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Speaker 1: my Twitter feed. You guys can see it there. In

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Speaker 1: both regular season matchups this year against Golden State, Boston

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Speaker 1: ran drop. And so that'll be a really interesting thing

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Speaker 1: to see because I would think that baiting Steph and

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Speaker 1: Jordan pool into isolation situations, which yeah, they're gonna take

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Speaker 1: your bigs and they're gonna beat them off the dribble.

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Speaker 1: But in terms of the physical wear and tear it

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Speaker 1: takes to try to convince those guys to repeatedly put

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Speaker 1: their head down and go to the rim. I like

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Speaker 1: that as a as a game plan option better than

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Speaker 1: the idea of dropping. But I'm really curious to see

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Speaker 1: what they do if they play drop. I expect guys

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Speaker 1: like Stephen Jordan's pool to burn them and Clay Thompson

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Speaker 1: to burn them. So I'm really really curious to see, uh,

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Speaker 1: which defensive strategy Boston goes with. We will know a

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Speaker 1: lot more after Game one in that department. In Game one,

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Speaker 1: and in particular, I think we're gonna see a really

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Speaker 1: interesting dynamic because there's there's two elements. An element that

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Speaker 1: either team is going to have to face that's gonna

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Speaker 1: be very, very different than what they've faced in previous

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Speaker 1: series is with Golden State on offense. So I've talked

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Speaker 1: about this with before, with you guys adjusting to length

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Speaker 1: and athleticism. I thought this was a huge thing that

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Speaker 1: hurt Dallas early in the season or early in the

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Speaker 1: series against Phoenix. The reason why they fell down to

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Speaker 1: oh in my opinion, when you go from playing against

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Speaker 1: a certain level of defensive personnel to an entirely different

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Speaker 1: level of defensive personnel, a ton more length, a ton

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Speaker 1: more athleticism, there's usually an adjustment period as you get

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Speaker 1: used to the different habits that you have to have

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Speaker 1: to succeed against that kind of length and athleticism. I've

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Speaker 1: told this story on the show before, but like I

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Speaker 1: played at the college level, is a good basketball player.

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Speaker 1: But I play against amateurs now. But almost every summer

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Speaker 1: a bunch of pros and college players come back into town,

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Speaker 1: and that's when I get with those guys that I

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Speaker 1: work out with them, and I play with them almost

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Speaker 1: every time. There's an adjustment for me just getting you

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Speaker 1: to the increased length and athleticism. It's just, you know,

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Speaker 1: that post entury pass that you made, maybe you need

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Speaker 1: to make a pass fake first this time, which you

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Speaker 1: perceived to be an opening in a passing lane might

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Speaker 1: not be an opening against a better athlete. There's an

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Speaker 1: adjustment period there. So Golden State is going to have

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Speaker 1: to adjust to the massively better defensive personnel that Boston

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Speaker 1: has compared to Dallas. The flip side of that is

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Speaker 1: Golden State's movement. Boston has played pretty traditional offensive machines

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Speaker 1: to this point. Brooklyn and Miami and UH and Milwaukee

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Speaker 1: all ran a lot of high pick and roll. It's

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Speaker 1: a lot of isolation. It's a lot of the same

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Speaker 1: stuff that they've seen at every single level against the

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Speaker 1: other twenty eight teams in the league. Against Golden State,

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Speaker 1: their offense doesn't resemble anything that anybody else does. This

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Speaker 1: is a huge part of white Golden State is always

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Speaker 1: so good at the beginning of series. There's an adjustment

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Speaker 1: period to adjust to the way they run their offense.

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Speaker 1: It just doesn't look like anything else that you see,

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Speaker 1: and you can get caught off guard. The types of

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Speaker 1: switches and coverages that you run against the traditional offense

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Speaker 1: don't look the same as they do against Golden State.

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Speaker 1: So in Game one, it's gonna be an interesting battle.

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Speaker 1: Who's gonna adjust quicker. Will Golden State adjust to Boston's

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Speaker 1: length and athleticism on defense quicker or will Boston adjust

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Speaker 1: to Golden State's motion and movement and off ball threat quicker.

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Speaker 1: That's gonna be the swing factor in Game one against

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Speaker 1: drop coverage. If Boston goes withdrop a huge part it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be how much contact is Golden State allowed to

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Speaker 1: get away with on these screens, Because Golden State does

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Speaker 1: set a lot of moving screens, just like everybody else

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Speaker 1: in the league. So it's not a slander in that regard,

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Speaker 1: but they do set a lot of moving screens. If

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Speaker 1: they are allowed to, Boston players will get caught on screens,

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Speaker 1: Guys will get open looks if that's held a little

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Speaker 1: bit more, you know, by the book, by the refs,

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Speaker 1: that gives Boston a huge advantage chasing guys over the

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Speaker 1: top of screen. So that will be an interesting dynamic

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Speaker 1: there against the switch as is always the case, you guys,

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Speaker 1: uh go, the State's gonna get a certain amount of

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Speaker 1: open dunks and layups against Boston switching defense, just because

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Speaker 1: of how confusing it could be to track everybody. Just

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Speaker 1: because how confusing it can be when there's three players

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Speaker 1: in an action, or when you get Steph Clay and

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Speaker 1: Jordan Pool in an action and everybody panics and excellently

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Speaker 1: chases the wrong guy. They're gonna get a certain amount

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Speaker 1: of stuff out of that. However, there will be a

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Speaker 1: considerable amount of possessions where when Boston switches. It bits

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Speaker 1: Boston or Golden State into a situation or Steaf or

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Speaker 1: Jordan Poole has the ball against the matchup that they

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Speaker 1: like and they have to do something. And for both teams,

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Speaker 1: because we're gonna talk about this with Boston in a second,

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Speaker 1: it's just vitally important that you get dribble penetration and

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Speaker 1: you engage help defenders so that you can get the

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Speaker 1: defense and rotation and not fall into the trap of

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Speaker 1: pull up dribble off the dribble isolation jump shots which

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Speaker 1: stagnate you and get your teammates out of rhythm. That's

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Speaker 1: gonna be for both teams when they're in those switching environments.

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Speaker 1: Both team have to get persistent rim pressure. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's move forward to Boston on offense. So once again,

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Speaker 1: Golden State ran dropped in the regular season in this

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Speaker 1: matchup with Kevon Looney. I'm really curious to see what

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Speaker 1: they do because Miami ran a lot of drop in

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Speaker 1: the regular season with bam at a bio, but then

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Speaker 1: they did a lot more switching against Boston. I think

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Speaker 1: switching is a genius defense to run against Boston because

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Speaker 1: it tests their decision making because it puts the onus

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Speaker 1: on Tatum and Brown and Smart to not play the

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Speaker 1: game they want to play, which is to get into

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Speaker 1: their bag and mix people up, but rather get them

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Speaker 1: to really focus on having to get dribble penetration. And

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Speaker 1: more often than not they don't do that, they get

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Speaker 1: stagnant and they have issues. So I think it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be really important for Golden State to take a note

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Speaker 1: from Miami's book, a lot of switching, a lot of zone,

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Speaker 1: just like they did against Dallas, to mix things up,

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Speaker 1: make things complicated. They ran a lot of zone in

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Speaker 1: their second matchup against Boston this year, again because Draymond

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Speaker 1: Green was out, but I expect to see a lot

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Speaker 1: of zone as well. But that switching instead of dropping

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Speaker 1: as much as possible, and then the classics Steve Kerr

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Speaker 1: mixing up coverages I think is going to go a

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Speaker 1: long way now against switching. What did Boston do against Miami.

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Speaker 1: They relentlessly attacked Max Truce, They relentlessly attacked Tyler Harrow

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Speaker 1: when he was healthy, and Gabe Vincent. They will do

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Speaker 1: the same thing against Jordan's pool and staff. Now here's

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Speaker 1: the thing. I said the same thing about the Dallas

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Speaker 1: Mavericks but Dallas was unable to consistently attack Steph and

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Speaker 1: Jordan's pool because Steve Kerr had an easy fix hedge

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Speaker 1: and recover. He would just have Steph or Jordan or

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Speaker 1: whoever it was. When their man would come set of screen,

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Speaker 1: they would hedge, which would force Luca to retreat back

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Speaker 1: to half court to get around the hedge, which would

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Speaker 1: give Andrew Wiggins time to recover below the screen and

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Speaker 1: get back to Luca. Here's the thing, lucas very methodical

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Speaker 1: with that sort of thing. Boston's slashers are an entirely

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Speaker 1: different type of rim pressure. You're going to see a

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Speaker 1: lot of Tatum and Brown attacking quickly against those hedges,

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Speaker 1: and it works. I saw Jimmy Butler in Miami do

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Speaker 1: this to Boston a lot. They would try to hedge

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Speaker 1: with Derek White on these kinds of actions, and Jimmy

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Speaker 1: would try to beat the hedge by attacking quickly, and

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Speaker 1: he got a lot of straight line drives in great

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Speaker 1: rim rim pressure from that sort of thing. So for Boston,

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Speaker 1: when they get into those switching situations, they're gonna have

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Speaker 1: to persistently attack staff and persistently attack Jordan pool and

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Speaker 1: get into the rim. The advantage of having multiple players

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Speaker 1: that can drive, unlike Dallas is going to be there

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Speaker 1: one of their angles that they can go to. With Dallas,

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Speaker 1: you had to get them switched onto Luca or get

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Speaker 1: them switched onto Jalen Brunson in order to attack them.

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Speaker 1: Golden State wasn't allowing the switch. Boston they have the

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Speaker 1: luxury of like, hey, we'll just throw it over to

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Speaker 1: Marcus Smart because Stepford Jordan's gonna have to guard one

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Speaker 1: of those guys because the bigger Wings are gonna be

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Speaker 1: guarding Tatum and Brown and so they might or another

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Speaker 1: guy's like like Derek White. If you can just swing

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Speaker 1: the ball to Derek White and he's already on step,

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Speaker 1: If those guys can get consistent dribble penetration against them,

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Speaker 1: that will be a huge help. But once again for Boston,

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Speaker 1: just like with Golden State, against the Switches, have to

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Speaker 1: get dribble penetration and engage help defenders and not fall

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Speaker 1: into isolation basketball. So those are the dynamics on either

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Speaker 1: side of the ball. A couple of series wide dynamics

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Speaker 1: really quick. Um, we just talked about this minute ago,

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Speaker 1: but in Game one, in Game one, I'm really curious

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Speaker 1: to see if Boston, in a good defensive groove coming

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Speaker 1: out of that Miami series, throws Golden State off with

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Speaker 1: their length and athletes said, I thought it says him

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Speaker 1: once again. Golden State only a ninety four offensive rating

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Speaker 1: with Steph on the floor this year with Tatum on

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Speaker 1: the floor. I mentioned this earlier. They killed Denver on offense,

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Speaker 1: they killed the Grizzlies with Jaw on offense, and they

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Speaker 1: killed the Dallas Mavericks on offense. But against Memphis without Jaw,

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Speaker 1: they only average about a hundred and four points per

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Speaker 1: one Hunter possession. So they have shown a tendency to

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Speaker 1: get stagnant and to have some offensive issues against great defense.

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Speaker 1: In Game one, I'm really curious to see if Boston

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Speaker 1: can leverage that because that's their best chance to win

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Speaker 1: this series. I'm picking Golden State. I'm picking them in

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Speaker 1: seven games. I think this is gonna be a long series,

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Speaker 1: but I think Golden State is the more trustworthy team,

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Speaker 1: which makes them the better basketball team because execution and

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Speaker 1: attention to detail is all part of what makes a

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Speaker 1: good basketball team, and Golden State is simply better in

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Speaker 1: those areas. Game one will be Boston's best chance if

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Speaker 1: they can steal game one because Golden State struggles to

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Speaker 1: adapt to the defense that they bring, that will be

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Speaker 1: their best chance then to then try to close the

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Speaker 1: series out in six. But once again, that dynamic goes

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Speaker 1: both ways. Golden State is a very different type of

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Speaker 1: offensive approach. It's very different than anything Boston has seen

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Speaker 1: so far in this playoff run. If they catch Boston

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Speaker 1: off guard and they end up going up two oh

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Speaker 1: in this series, I don't think that's something Boston can

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Speaker 1: recover from. So Game one is gonna be interesting thing.

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Speaker 1: Two other quick notes crunch time once again a huge

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Speaker 1: part of what makes a good basketball team the ability

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Speaker 1: to close games. Boston has played twenty eight clutch minutes

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Speaker 1: this year in the playoffs. Member playoffs, it's within five

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Speaker 1: minutes at the end of the game, within five points. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Boston has played twenty eight clutch minutes. Golden States played

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Speaker 1: thirty clutch minutes. Golden State plus twelve net rating and

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Speaker 1: clutch time Boston minus one and a half. Boston has

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Speaker 1: not been a good execution team down the stretch of games.

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Speaker 1: Golden State has been a great execution team down the

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Speaker 1: stretch of games. In a very close series that's likely

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Speaker 1: to have some close games. That's a big advantage towards

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Speaker 1: Golden State. And last but not least, I think steps

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Speaker 1: the best player. Tatum has been very good. It's been

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Speaker 1: a meteoric rise for him this year. I said this

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Speaker 1: on the show the other day, and I sincerely mean it.

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Speaker 1: I think Janice is on a tier by himself atop

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Speaker 1: the league, but I think Steph has the best case

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Speaker 1: for number two. He had a really bad regular season.

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Speaker 1: His percentages were way down from when he was in

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Speaker 1: his prime. There was definitely something weird going on there.

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Speaker 1: But in this playoff run, Steph has been the best

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Speaker 1: player in this field remaining obviously not counting Janice. So

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Speaker 1: I think that's another big advantage towards step Towards Golden State.

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Speaker 1: Boston might actually be the more talented team in terms

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Speaker 1: of two way players, but I think Golden States a

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Speaker 1: better basketball team and their attention to detail and it

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Speaker 1: shows up in things like what they do in in

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Speaker 1: crunched in in crunch time, and just their overall consistent

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Speaker 1: effort and focus. Then Steph is the best player. So

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Speaker 1: in this very close series, I'm leaning Golden State in

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Speaker 1: seven to get their fourth championship of this era on

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Speaker 1: their home floor at Chase Center. Hoops Tonight is presented

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Speaker 1: so they know I sent you all right, I wanted

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Speaker 1: to take a couple of minutes today to talk about

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Speaker 1: this latest drama between Kevin Durant and Warriors Nation, which

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Speaker 1: began when my boss Colin Coward had Draymond Green on

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Speaker 1: for an interview for almost an hour yesterday, which was

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Speaker 1: incredibly interesting. If you haven't checked it out yet, please do.

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Speaker 1: It's on the Volumes YouTube channel. They get into a

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Speaker 1: ton of good stuff, including some prep for this year's

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Speaker 1: NBA Finals. Um, but what ended up stealing the show

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Speaker 1: was Draymond Green. In a discussion centering around Steph Curry

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Speaker 1: and Finals m VPS. Dreymond is, in kind of like

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Speaker 1: a throwaway line that wasn't even really related to the

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Speaker 1: point he was trying to make, said that Steph faced

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Speaker 1: quote unquote seven times the amount of double teams that

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Speaker 1: k D play at face as a matter of fact,

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna play the clip. So here's the clip

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Speaker 1: of Draymond Green on the Account Calling Coward podcast yesterday.

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Speaker 1: Steph couldn't have definitely hal Finals m DPS because Steph

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Speaker 1: has the ball, like Steph. Now, Stephan is coming down

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Speaker 1: to court and he's calling says and he's like, oh,

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Speaker 1: we gotta missmash with Kevin Durant. We're gonna get Kevin

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Speaker 1: Durant the ball every single time. He can hijack the

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Speaker 1: game and no one's gonna say a word. If Steph

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Speaker 1: Curry comes down and he calls for a pick and

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Speaker 1: roll every pace nobody's going to say a word, including

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Speaker 1: Kevin Durrett by the way, nobody's gonna say anything. That's

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Speaker 1: not who he is, that's not what he does. And

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Speaker 1: so when when you watch a game and Kevin Durant

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Speaker 1: was absolutely incredible those finals runs, as you know you

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Speaker 1: watched it, we all watched it. Kevin Durant was absolutely insane.

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Speaker 1: Steph Curry got double team probably seven times the amount

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Speaker 1: that Katie did in a in a given series. So

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Speaker 1: as you guys can see, he's just talking about a coverage,

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Speaker 1: but Katie took it personally. He's specifically on Twitter. Uh.

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Speaker 1: Draymond saw it, Katie complaining about it, and Draymond tweeted

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Speaker 1: at him. You have to learn to listen to full

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Speaker 1: takes and not snippets before you get baited into tweeting Champ.

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Speaker 1: And then Kadie quote tweeted that by saying, oh, I've

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Speaker 1: seen it, my brethren. I appreciate the compliments, but I

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Speaker 1: disagree with what you said about double teams. That's all

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Speaker 1: I love the show. And then you tweeted at one

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Speaker 1: point at a Golden State Warriors fan and said, y'all

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Speaker 1: let twitter trolls get y'all riled up and got y'all insecure.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, I was the sole reason for anything.

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Speaker 1: I always made it about the team. Y'all insecurity has

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Speaker 1: got y'all like this. So the latest beef between Kevin

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Speaker 1: Durant and Warriors fans surrounding the Steph Curry thing, which

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Speaker 1: once again was one of the main reasons why I

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Speaker 1: think Katie left to begin with because of the the

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Speaker 1: amount of credit that he was given for what had

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Speaker 1: happened during those couple of seasons. Now, to be clear

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Speaker 1: up front, I think Katie and Draymond are both right.

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Speaker 1: The point that Draymond's making is simple. If you are

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Speaker 1: holding it against Steph that he doesn't have a finals

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Speaker 1: m v P, then you are being dishonest, because he

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Speaker 1: damn sure deserved to win it in two thousand fifteen,

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Speaker 1: and he played like a finals m v P in

430
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:51,800
Speaker 1: two thousand seventeen, and in two thousand eighteen he he

431
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:54,399
Speaker 1: The whole thing that Draymond was trying to say is

432
00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:57,399
Speaker 1: Steph was every bit as good as Draymond, or excuse me,

433
00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 1: Steph was every bit as good as k D during

434
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,920
Speaker 1: that era, which is true. They were two of the

435
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:05,680
Speaker 1: top three players in the world playing at the peak

436
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,960
Speaker 1: of their powers. They both impacted the game at a

437
00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:12,600
Speaker 1: very similar level, just in their own unique way. That's

438
00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:14,800
Speaker 1: the only point Draymond was trying to make. It was

439
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:18,600
Speaker 1: about Steph and a lot of this mainly Lebron fans,

440
00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:21,560
Speaker 1: because again, this is all this all stems from stand culture.

441
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 1: The theme of this segment is stayand culture and fans

442
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:29,800
Speaker 1: being obsessed with bolstering an individual players legacy instead of

443
00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 1: paying attention to what's happening in a team sport. Is

444
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:35,160
Speaker 1: how we get into these debates to begin with. It's

445
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:38,240
Speaker 1: what drove Kevin Durant away from the Warriors, and it's

446
00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:40,840
Speaker 1: the reason why he's dealing with this right now. And

447
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 1: it started with Lebron fans discrediting Steph Curry for not

448
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:48,760
Speaker 1: having a Finals MVP, which was total bullshit, and Draymond

449
00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:51,919
Speaker 1: was just simply making that point. Now, where KD is

450
00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:54,879
Speaker 1: right is I don't think it's fair for Draymond to

451
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:58,320
Speaker 1: say that that Steph faced seven times as many double

452
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:01,639
Speaker 1: teams as k D, because neither player, when they were

453
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 1: crossing half court was just getting an outright double from

454
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:08,560
Speaker 1: somebody to get the ball out of their hands. However,

455
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 1: they ran a lot of high pick and roll with

456
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:15,360
Speaker 1: Stephen Draymond, and every team for the last half decade

457
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:18,400
Speaker 1: has guarded the Steph Draymond high pick and roll by

458
00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:23,160
Speaker 1: blitzing it. And the reason why is simple, because Draymond

459
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:25,159
Speaker 1: is not as much of a scoring threat, and so

460
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:27,600
Speaker 1: your best bet to try to stop that action is

461
00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:29,360
Speaker 1: to get the ball out of steps hands and make

462
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:33,359
Speaker 1: Draymond make a play. And yes, Steph is dragging a

463
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:35,919
Speaker 1: second defender with him, but it's a second defender that

464
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:40,280
Speaker 1: Draymond brought to him. So yes, by the book, Steph's

465
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 1: functional steps specific role in that offense to initiate things

466
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:48,479
Speaker 1: by running high pick and roll involved him dragging multiple defenders.

467
00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:50,679
Speaker 1: But it was by design in the scheme and it

468
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:53,520
Speaker 1: worked out great for Golden State. Why because Draymond is

469
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 1: one of the best short role players in the league,

470
00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 1: because he's one of the best passing big men ever,

471
00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,600
Speaker 1: and Clay Thompson's every bit as important. Guys, The Warriors

472
00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:08,320
Speaker 1: were sixteenth in offense this year, despite death playing in

473
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:13,240
Speaker 1: sixty four games. How did that happen? Because important pieces

474
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:16,399
Speaker 1: were missing? Again, this is a team sport, guys, I

475
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,040
Speaker 1: thought Lebron was a top ten player in the NBA

476
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 1: this year and the Lakers missed the playoffs. The Lakers

477
00:25:22,520 --> 00:25:25,600
Speaker 1: missed the playoffs in a league that currently allows twenty

478
00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:29,919
Speaker 1: of the thirty teams to be in the playoffs, and

479
00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:32,720
Speaker 1: Lebron is a top ten player could not get them

480
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 1: into that mix. That's how much a team, That's how

481
00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:39,639
Speaker 1: much your teammates matter, and that's why staying culture is

482
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 1: so stupid. The bottom line is, Kadie needed the Warriors,

483
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:49,159
Speaker 1: but the Warriors also needed k D. Looking at kad first,

484
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,240
Speaker 1: he was playing in an archaic system with a ball

485
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:56,040
Speaker 1: hog point guard that frequently took more shots than him

486
00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 1: on a team that lacked a lot of the offensive

487
00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:01,880
Speaker 1: personnel needed to Katie to play a free for a

488
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:04,399
Speaker 1: free flowing form of basketball, which has always been what

489
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 1: he wanted to play, and so he left them to

490
00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:10,119
Speaker 1: go to a team that helped him play a style

491
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:12,960
Speaker 1: of basketball that he wanted to play, and as a result,

492
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:16,879
Speaker 1: he was surrounded with the necessary talent and he won championships.

493
00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:21,240
Speaker 1: But Golden State also doesn't have three titles right now

494
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:25,879
Speaker 1: if Katie doesn't go to them. The biggest weakness of

495
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 1: the Steph Warriors dynasty was not having a big wing

496
00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:35,840
Speaker 1: that could persistently pressure the rim or score against mismatches

497
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:41,879
Speaker 1: consistently inefficiently. When Katie filled that hole, they became unbeatable.

498
00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:48,879
Speaker 1: So Katie absolutely was unbelievably important to Golden State and

499
00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:52,639
Speaker 1: establishing the dynasty that they have. But so was Steph

500
00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:56,159
Speaker 1: and so is Draymond, and so was Clay Thompson, and

501
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:58,840
Speaker 1: so were all of the really smart role players over

502
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:02,199
Speaker 1: the years that functionally allowed the Golden State system to

503
00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:05,240
Speaker 1: work because it depends on high i q s making

504
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:07,880
Speaker 1: plays off of the attention their stars gather. That's why

505
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:10,400
Speaker 1: a guy like Kelly you Bray wasn't a great fit.

506
00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 1: That's why a guy like Ted Baysmore wasn't a great fit.

507
00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:20,879
Speaker 1: But again, there there is no individual dynasty. I've seen Lebron,

508
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:22,920
Speaker 1: who's the second best player who's ever played the game

509
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:25,880
Speaker 1: and the best player of this era, lose often when

510
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:29,720
Speaker 1: he doesn't have the requisite pieces. There is no individual dynasty.

511
00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:33,720
Speaker 1: Dynasties require greatness from a great many people. And I

512
00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 1: don't blame kd for being upset. He devoted the best

513
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:43,800
Speaker 1: years of his career, his absolute peak. He devoted them

514
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 1: to that franchise, and all they did was tell everyone

515
00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:51,880
Speaker 1: that Steph was better and kick him in the butt

516
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:55,480
Speaker 1: on his way out the door. So that's why he left,

517
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 1: and that's why that's why he feels the way he

518
00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:01,560
Speaker 1: does now. And again, is Golden's eight thriving without him? Yes,

519
00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:03,399
Speaker 1: but there's a lot of reasons for that. They have

520
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:06,000
Speaker 1: a lot of talent, the draft picks, they were able

521
00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:09,399
Speaker 1: to get from down years, from injuries. Andrew Wiggins, who

522
00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:13,199
Speaker 1: was one of their most important players this season, was

523
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:18,240
Speaker 1: retrieved using the k D asset. If you don't have

524
00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 1: Andrew Wiggins, you're probably not a championship contender if you

525
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:24,440
Speaker 1: don't have Andrew and you don't have Andrew Wiggins without

526
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 1: Kevin Durant. And I'm not trying to undercut anything that

527
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:30,160
Speaker 1: Golden State has done, because this is all a product

528
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:32,159
Speaker 1: of all of them and everything that they bring to

529
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 1: the table. All I'm saying is, why do you gotta

530
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 1: treat KD like that? Like he won your championships? Why

531
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:43,080
Speaker 1: are you kicking him when he's gone? I just I

532
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 1: just don't get it. And guys, what do you think

533
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:50,560
Speaker 1: Steph thinks the guy you're standing, the guy that you

534
00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 1: are uplifting at Katie's expense. He knows that he needed KD,

535
00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:59,520
Speaker 1: just like Katie knows that he needed Steph. He would

536
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:02,400
Speaker 1: never treat a k D that way because he knows

537
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,520
Speaker 1: better because he was on the court. And again, we've

538
00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:07,520
Speaker 1: all done this. When I was younger, I used to

539
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:10,200
Speaker 1: engage in a lot of this nonsense with the Lebron stuff.

540
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:14,920
Speaker 1: But my point is is the whole basketball world and

541
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:17,320
Speaker 1: the way we talk about the game will get better

542
00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:21,120
Speaker 1: the sooner we get past this. The sooner we talked

543
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:24,400
Speaker 1: about how the Golden State Warriors were a perfect basketball

544
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 1: team constructed with an all world offensive engine and Steph

545
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:31,160
Speaker 1: Curry in the best tip of the spear in the league,

546
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:34,440
Speaker 1: and Kevin Durant and the best defensive player in the league,

547
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:37,520
Speaker 1: and Draymond Green and the second best shooter to ever

548
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,480
Speaker 1: lace them up in Clay Thompson in one of the

549
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 1: best perimeter defenders to ever lace them up in Andrea Guadala,

550
00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:47,160
Speaker 1: and one of the best midrange scorers to ever lace

551
00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:48,880
Speaker 1: them up in Sean Livingston. We can go on and

552
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:50,880
Speaker 1: on and on. And one of the best coaches, Steve

553
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:52,440
Speaker 1: Kerr is one of the best coaches in the league.

554
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:56,880
Speaker 1: The bottom line is this was it's a dynasty, and

555
00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:00,600
Speaker 1: dynasty's are not based on individuals. Dynasties are based on

556
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:02,480
Speaker 1: a group effort. And I say that as someone who

557
00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:05,240
Speaker 1: thinks Steph Curry genuinely has a case to be a

558
00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 1: top five player in NBA history if he wins this year.

559
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:12,360
Speaker 1: Just to me, the individual legacies, we don't need to

560
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:16,960
Speaker 1: have those discussions by trouncing all over other people that

561
00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 1: also have great individual legacies. We're just better than that.

562
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:21,400
Speaker 1: And I feel bad for Kadi, and I feel bad

563
00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:24,040
Speaker 1: for Steph because he ends up at he ends up

564
00:30:24,040 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 1: taking on a lot of this reputation, which is really

565
00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:29,720
Speaker 1: coming from his fans, and I just hope eventually we

566
00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 1: can get past all that. We're gonna bring my guy

567
00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:34,000
Speaker 1: Carson on and we're gonna play a game of over

568
00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:38,560
Speaker 1: unders based on the NBA Finals, presented by Fandel Sports Book.

569
00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 1: All right, Carson, you're gonna name an over under that's

570
00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:45,320
Speaker 1: currently listed on FanDuel, and I'm gonna tell you, guys

571
00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:47,960
Speaker 1: whether or not I think you should go over or under.

572
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 1: All right, Jason, We're gonna start with the point total

573
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:54,360
Speaker 1: for game one over under two twelve and a half.

574
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 1: Which side are you on? I am on the under

575
00:30:57,360 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 1: for this one couple of things. First of all, both

576
00:30:59,440 --> 00:31:02,560
Speaker 1: teams right now are playing at a pace under one

577
00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 1: hundred possessions per game in this postseason run. What that

578
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:09,160
Speaker 1: means is, when you look at things like offensive rating

579
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:12,560
Speaker 1: and defensive rating, you can count on the scoreboard reflecting

580
00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:16,360
Speaker 1: slightly less than whatever that number is. So to be clear,

581
00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:21,000
Speaker 1: like I've mentioned before, Golden State's offensive rating in this

582
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 1: postseason has been great against Denver and against the Grizzlies

583
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:29,520
Speaker 1: with Jaw, and against that Dallas Mavericks team which lacked

584
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 1: a lot of defensive personnel. However, this is the best

585
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:36,160
Speaker 1: defense they've played, and against Memphis without Jaw, which was

586
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:38,680
Speaker 1: the best defense they played before this series. They only

587
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:40,720
Speaker 1: average about a hundred and four points per one hundred

588
00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:44,480
Speaker 1: possessions during this regular season. With Steph on the floor

589
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:48,880
Speaker 1: Verse Boston, Golden State only average nine four points per

590
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 1: one hundred possessions. And I think they're gonna win Game one,

591
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:53,360
Speaker 1: so I think this is gonna be low scoring. I

592
00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:56,000
Speaker 1: think it's gonna be both teams really really caught off

593
00:31:56,040 --> 00:31:59,480
Speaker 1: guard by the intensity and the increased level of competition.

594
00:31:59,720 --> 00:32:01,400
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be a low scoring affairs, so

595
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:04,560
Speaker 1: I'd go under to twelve point five. Okay, now we

596
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 1: got Steph Curry over under twenty seven and a half points. Jason,

597
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 1: which side are you taking? So I think Steph is

598
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:16,000
Speaker 1: gonna have big scoring nights in this series. For instance,

599
00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:18,960
Speaker 1: in game two's in this playoff run, he's averaging thirty

600
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 1: one points per game. However, typically Steph in the first

601
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:26,640
Speaker 1: game of a playoff series is more interested in being

602
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:29,760
Speaker 1: the decoy and letting his teammates get involved. He has

603
00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 1: not scored over twenty four points or taken more than

604
00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:35,880
Speaker 1: twenty shots in any of the game ones in this

605
00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 1: postseason run. Plus, he's adjusting to the best defense that

606
00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:41,400
Speaker 1: he's gonna play to this point in the season. He's

607
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 1: just it's going to be a game where I think

608
00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:48,760
Speaker 1: he's more comfortable playing a supporting role offensively. Again, not

609
00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:51,960
Speaker 1: an indicator of the way he's gonna score over the series, However,

610
00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:55,600
Speaker 1: judging on his approaches so far in game ones in

611
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:58,600
Speaker 1: this playoff run, it's smart to go under twenty seven

612
00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 1: point five points with Steph tonight Tomorrow night, all right,

613
00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:08,000
Speaker 1: Draymond points, rebounds, and assists combined over under twenty one

614
00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:13,440
Speaker 1: and a half. This one's tough because Draymond's impact is

615
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,960
Speaker 1: always so different based on the matchup. I'm gonna go

616
00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 1: under here, and the reason why is Boston is big,

617
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 1: not just underneath the basket, but on the perimeter. But

618
00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:29,120
Speaker 1: I expect Draymond to be locked in box outs almost

619
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:32,320
Speaker 1: NonStop with the likes of Robert Williams and Grant Williams

620
00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:35,880
Speaker 1: and Al Horford. And because of that, the rebounds themselves

621
00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:38,440
Speaker 1: are gonna end up falling to his teammates crashing from

622
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 1: the perimeter. In addition to that, just in general, it's

623
00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 1: extremely difficult to score against this Boston team. So even

624
00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:47,640
Speaker 1: though Draymond, I think is going to be forced to

625
00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:50,400
Speaker 1: be a score in some respects, I don't expect him

626
00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:53,480
Speaker 1: to have a massive statistical impact in this series. I

627
00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 1: think his he'll have the classic Draymond impact and his

628
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:58,920
Speaker 1: ability to make decisions in the short roll, him being

629
00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:02,000
Speaker 1: the defensive court or back, his ability to bang bodies

630
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 1: with players that are a lot bigger than him. He's

631
00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:06,720
Speaker 1: gonna be classic Draymond. I just don't expect big box

632
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:08,760
Speaker 1: score numbers from him. So I'm gonna go under twenty

633
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:11,200
Speaker 1: one and a half here. All right, we'll see if

634
00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:15,439
Speaker 1: the streak of betting unders continues here. Jason Tatum over

635
00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:18,640
Speaker 1: under twenty eight and a half points. Jason, which side

636
00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:20,799
Speaker 1: do you like? They're big shock? I'm going with the

637
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:24,160
Speaker 1: under here, Carson. I don't think people realize. I don't

638
00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:27,239
Speaker 1: think people realize just just nearly how much of a

639
00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:30,440
Speaker 1: rock fight this series is gonna be. This is again

640
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:33,480
Speaker 1: Golden State in Boston, two best defenses in the league

641
00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 1: this year. You know, now, Boston I think is a

642
00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 1: better defense overall. But I mean, these are two incredible defenses.

643
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:44,560
Speaker 1: Everyone thinks of them as as offensive firepower types of teams,

644
00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 1: and they are. But typically teams that commit to defense

645
00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:51,320
Speaker 1: the way that they do don't have the legs to

646
00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:53,600
Speaker 1: just go light the world on fire on offense. And

647
00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:55,080
Speaker 1: so I expect it to be a lot more of

648
00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:57,080
Speaker 1: a rock fight as far as Tatum goes. A couple

649
00:34:57,120 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 1: of things. First of all, Golden State is a lot

650
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:02,440
Speaker 1: better defensively than people think. And I thought Luca was

651
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:04,600
Speaker 1: a great indicator of just how much of a cold like,

652
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 1: just as much of a shock it is to step

653
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:10,719
Speaker 1: into the arena and experience the different level of intensity

654
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:14,040
Speaker 1: and scheming and different looks and all the different things

655
00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:16,560
Speaker 1: that you get from Golden State, and so because of that,

656
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:21,480
Speaker 1: I expect Tatum to struggle. Also, just in general, the

657
00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:24,799
Speaker 1: NBA Finals are a massive stage, and I think one

658
00:35:24,840 --> 00:35:28,520
Speaker 1: of the most underplayed dynamics in this series is Golden

659
00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:32,200
Speaker 1: States experience. I have seen so many times over the years,

660
00:35:32,560 --> 00:35:36,200
Speaker 1: young teams just struggle with the scale and the scope

661
00:35:36,239 --> 00:35:39,640
Speaker 1: and the history and the pressure and the vibe that

662
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:42,440
Speaker 1: comes with the NBA Finals. And as good as Jayson

663
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:44,960
Speaker 1: Tatum is, I do expect him to experience some of that,

664
00:35:45,120 --> 00:35:48,600
Speaker 1: some of those jitters. So I expect an inefficient, sloppy

665
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:51,320
Speaker 1: game one from Jayson Tatum. So I'm going under twenty

666
00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:54,920
Speaker 1: eight and a half points alright, last one here, Jordan

667
00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 1: Pool over under eighteen and a half points and assists

668
00:35:58,560 --> 00:36:02,160
Speaker 1: can bind Jason. What do you think? So this is

669
00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:05,040
Speaker 1: this one? I'm going over eighteen and a half is

670
00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:08,760
Speaker 1: super low. Uh. First of all, against Boston this season

671
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:11,319
Speaker 1: and their only matchup that Jordan Pool played in, he

672
00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:15,080
Speaker 1: had thirty two points plus assists and in game ones

673
00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:17,879
Speaker 1: in this playoff runs, so three, uh, we have three

674
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 1: games to take as a sample there in game ones,

675
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 1: he's been particularly aggressive. He's averaging thirty two points plus

676
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:28,120
Speaker 1: assists in game ones in this playoff run. A couple

677
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,960
Speaker 1: of things too. The way that Boston is going to

678
00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:34,800
Speaker 1: defend is going to demand dribble penetration from Steph and

679
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:38,320
Speaker 1: Jordan Pool. They specifically need him to be very aggressive

680
00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:40,600
Speaker 1: because I put in my notes like will he get

681
00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:44,200
Speaker 1: enough minutes? That's my biggest concern because if Boston is

682
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:47,439
Speaker 1: punishing him too relentlessly. On the other end, Steve Kerr

683
00:36:47,520 --> 00:36:50,239
Speaker 1: has shown the willingness, and Mike Brown as well, when

684
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:52,839
Speaker 1: Steve Kerr was out, has shown the willingness to pull

685
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,480
Speaker 1: Jordan Pool when he's not playing well on the defensive

686
00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 1: end of the floor. So that's one of the one

687
00:36:57,520 --> 00:37:00,920
Speaker 1: of the weird kind of like variables here. However, I

688
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:03,920
Speaker 1: think they're gonna need him so much on offense to

689
00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:07,520
Speaker 1: get the necessary dribble penetration to keep Boston in rotation

690
00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:09,480
Speaker 1: that I think he is gonna play a lot. And

691
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:12,440
Speaker 1: once again he's been aggressive in game ones. He's shown

692
00:37:12,440 --> 00:37:14,560
Speaker 1: the ability to score against this Boston defense in this

693
00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:16,840
Speaker 1: regular season. I think eighteen and a half is a

694
00:37:16,960 --> 00:37:19,960
Speaker 1: very achievable number for him to hit in points plus assists.

695
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:25,680
Speaker 1: Out of the five bets that we threw out there today,

696
00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:29,680
Speaker 1: which of those over unders is your favorite? Jason, Oh,

697
00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:34,000
Speaker 1: that is a very good question, man. I think I'm

698
00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 1: gonna go with Tatum under twenty eight and a half.

699
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:40,560
Speaker 1: I just think, remember when we were debating in the

700
00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:43,200
Speaker 1: in the Dallas series, like are they gonna make Luca

701
00:37:43,600 --> 00:37:46,720
Speaker 1: beat him as a score or are they gonna send help?

702
00:37:47,120 --> 00:37:50,160
Speaker 1: And uh put the onus on the shooters to make shots.

703
00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:52,920
Speaker 1: Golden State very quickly from the beginning of that series

704
00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:55,520
Speaker 1: was like we're attacking Luca and we're gonna make them

705
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:57,799
Speaker 1: make shots. Remember the Dallas got twenty eight wide open

706
00:37:57,840 --> 00:38:00,520
Speaker 1: threes in Game one. That that just kind of shows

707
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:04,600
Speaker 1: you the general approach that Steve Kerr has here. Now,

708
00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:07,200
Speaker 1: if I remember correctly, Lucas still had a monster scoring

709
00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:09,400
Speaker 1: game in that game, but he's a gunner. Lucas a

710
00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:11,799
Speaker 1: gunner in a way that Tatum is not. And so

711
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 1: I think the Tatum has shown a willingness in recent

712
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:17,560
Speaker 1: games to be the guy who accepts the defensive attention

713
00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:20,560
Speaker 1: and keeps things moving with the past. So I think

714
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:23,200
Speaker 1: the safest bet for Game one is Tatum under twenty

715
00:38:23,239 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 1: eight and a half points the volume