WEBVTT - Spring Training Risers & Fallers + Last-Minute Draft Tips (Ep. 481) 0:00:00.760 --> 0:00:12.960 The ups and downs of spring. Let's talk to the pros. 0:00:16.400 --> 0:00:18.080 Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros. 0:00:18.160 --> 0:00:21.560 This is the Fantasy Baseball Podcast. It is me, Joey P. 0:00:22.160 --> 0:00:25.160 Joe P's Apia with me as always as the Welsh, 0:00:25.200 --> 0:00:27.440 and it's you and today we're going to talk about 0:00:27.880 --> 0:00:30.080 the same old thing we talked about all last year, 0:00:30.400 --> 0:00:33.240 Jacob de Gram's injury. Oh my goodness, are we back 0:00:33.280 --> 0:00:36.400 again where we started? Let's hope not. But we're also 0:00:36.520 --> 0:00:39.159 going to talk a lot more about the good things 0:00:39.240 --> 0:00:42.760 in spring, the risers in our rankings from what we've 0:00:42.800 --> 0:00:45.920 seen so far from spring performances, and of course wherever 0:00:45.960 --> 0:00:48.840 there's risers, there's fallers as well, So we'll be going 0:00:48.840 --> 0:00:50.479 through some of the guys that maybe had not so 0:00:50.560 --> 0:00:53.960 good springs, maybe some injury concerns or some other issues 0:00:54.000 --> 0:00:56.400 have crept up that we've dropped in our rankings. And 0:00:56.440 --> 0:00:59.400 since we know this is the biggest weekend of MLB drafting, 0:00:59.440 --> 0:01:01.120 there is to give you a couple of quick little 0:01:01.160 --> 0:01:03.600 tips at the end to make you smarter, because that's 0:01:03.600 --> 0:01:05.800 what the Welsh and I do. Welsh, as we were 0:01:05.800 --> 0:01:07.600 talking before the show, we're getting closer and closer to 0:01:07.640 --> 0:01:10.640 actual baseball. We're less than a week away now, and 0:01:10.680 --> 0:01:12.440 I'm getting very excited for the start of the season, 0:01:12.480 --> 0:01:13.039 how about you. 0:01:13.480 --> 0:01:16.399 I was until I got sick and then Jacob de 0:01:16.440 --> 0:01:19.279 Grom got hurt. So if there's two constants in the world, 0:01:19.720 --> 0:01:22.880 is me going down right before all of the big 0:01:22.920 --> 0:01:26.119 stuff happens and Jacob de gram hurting his arm again, 0:01:26.600 --> 0:01:28.760 ruining my draft shares and all that stuff. But no, 0:01:28.840 --> 0:01:31.760 I am excited. I have a different perspective than a 0:01:31.760 --> 0:01:33.880 lot of you guys because of spring training. You know, 0:01:33.959 --> 0:01:38.200 like I've been inundated with baseball in person for you know, 0:01:38.240 --> 0:01:40.840 a month, getting to see games, getting to be around players, 0:01:40.880 --> 0:01:44.320 getting to watch practices, getting to see the little things 0:01:44.360 --> 0:01:47.600 on where guys are going, the players that aren't coming out, 0:01:47.640 --> 0:01:49.440 all that type of stuff. So my perspective is a 0:01:49.440 --> 0:01:52.560 little bit different. But of course getting into games that 0:01:52.640 --> 0:01:55.480 like really count gonna be pretty exciting. 0:01:56.120 --> 0:01:59.040 No, absolutely, And before we start to break down all 0:01:59.080 --> 0:02:01.600 those players, I want to remind everybody if you got 0:02:01.600 --> 0:02:04.840 your draft coming up this weekend tonight, doesn't matter. The 0:02:04.920 --> 0:02:07.600 draft assistant with Sink is there for you to help you. 0:02:08.080 --> 0:02:10.520 At fantasypros dot com. Slash Draft Wizard. So if you're 0:02:10.520 --> 0:02:13.480 making investments in leagues, you should be investing in the 0:02:13.520 --> 0:02:15.680 best tools, and we've got them here in Fancy Pros 0:02:15.720 --> 0:02:17.679 to help you. I don't understand why you wouldn't want 0:02:17.680 --> 0:02:19.919 to do this, because they're amazing. So the Draft Assistant 0:02:19.960 --> 0:02:22.160 what it does is it sinks ups to your draft right, 0:02:22.440 --> 0:02:25.880 It gives you suggestions for picks in real time. It 0:02:25.880 --> 0:02:27.720 can tell you when a player might last an extra 0:02:27.800 --> 0:02:29.960 round if you reached on a player. Basically what you've 0:02:30.000 --> 0:02:31.840 seen from the Draft Wizard as we've been doing shows 0:02:31.840 --> 0:02:33.880 here too, but a whole lot more. And it sinks 0:02:33.960 --> 0:02:37.640 up to Yahoo, ESPN, CBS, all the major ones there, 0:02:37.800 --> 0:02:39.840 and it's got the same interface as the Draft Simulator. 0:02:39.880 --> 0:02:42.200 So basically, if you're an MVP or a Hall of 0:02:42.200 --> 0:02:44.480 Fame subscriber here Fantasy Pros, you have access to the 0:02:44.560 --> 0:02:46.480 Draft Assistant with SINK. That means you can put the 0:02:46.560 --> 0:02:48.359 cheat sheets along with it too, so you can pick 0:02:48.440 --> 0:02:51.600 me and well, sure, maybe your other favorite. I don't 0:02:51.639 --> 0:02:53.600 know why you'd have another favorite besides us, but if 0:02:53.639 --> 0:02:55.760 you have other favorite analysts, you can put them on 0:02:55.760 --> 0:02:57.720 that cheat sheet. Two. Every time we make an adjustment 0:02:57.760 --> 0:03:00.520 to our rankings. We're gonna have that cheat sheet updated 0:03:00.520 --> 0:03:03.079 for you as well. So again that Draft Assistant with 0:03:03.200 --> 0:03:05.400 SYNC is the best thing you could possibly do in 0:03:05.520 --> 0:03:07.640 terms of getting prepared and having the best draft you 0:03:07.680 --> 0:03:10.480 possibly can and it's only available at fantasypros dot com 0:03:10.480 --> 0:03:14.160 slash Draft Wizard. Also, just a quick reminder too, we've 0:03:14.160 --> 0:03:17.000 also got that MLB Draft kit now that's free, so 0:03:17.040 --> 0:03:19.400 all you people you know don't want to spend any money, 0:03:19.480 --> 0:03:21.440 We've got the free stuff too, a fanacypros dot Com 0:03:21.440 --> 0:03:23.919 slash kit, and you can dominate your draft. We love 0:03:23.960 --> 0:03:26.880 to dominate our drafts around here with our free mlbdraftkit 0:03:26.919 --> 0:03:29.440 at Fantasypros dot com slash Kit. It's loaded with the 0:03:29.480 --> 0:03:32.920 consensus rankings, the projections, salary cap values. If you're in 0:03:32.960 --> 0:03:35.080 those formats. You got the cheat cheat you can print 0:03:35.120 --> 0:03:38.280 out the sleepers, the bus, the draft strategy, everything, it's 0:03:38.320 --> 0:03:40.800 all there at Fantasypros dot com slash Kidd And don't 0:03:40.800 --> 0:03:43.720 forget to subscribe to our YouTube channel YouTube dot com 0:03:43.720 --> 0:03:47.120 slash Fantasy Pros MLB because the Welsh and I starting 0:03:47.200 --> 0:03:50.400 on Wednesday before the season starts, we're gonna start and 0:03:50.400 --> 0:03:52.200 we're gonna start leading off and it's gonna be great. 0:03:52.200 --> 0:03:54.080 So we want all those peanuts and cracker jacks to 0:03:54.120 --> 0:03:56.880 follow us there. Subscribe to the YouTube channel. Click that 0:03:56.960 --> 0:03:59.680 notifications bell so you can join us live, ask questions. 0:03:59.800 --> 0:04:02.960 If you got funny comments, snarky comments, you'll make the show. 0:04:03.240 --> 0:04:06.160 We love the interactive maybe of that show. And Welsh 0:04:06.200 --> 0:04:08.080 you're gonna be the You're gonna get a chance to 0:04:08.080 --> 0:04:09.720 really interact with the peanuts and cracker jacks at a 0:04:09.760 --> 0:04:10.840 high level. Are you excited? 0:04:11.000 --> 0:04:14.440 I mean, I interact with crackers and peanut jacks, panat. 0:04:14.160 --> 0:04:17.800 Jacks, crackers and pena jacks. That's all. That's That's a 0:04:17.800 --> 0:04:20.040 whole lot of it. Like I do a lot of 0:04:20.839 --> 0:04:21.680 American history. 0:04:21.720 --> 0:04:22.840 I think, yeah, you can't do that. 0:04:23.000 --> 0:04:25.120 Two notes. I wanted to because you busted through like 0:04:25.200 --> 0:04:27.000 a ton of stuff there, so it was like I 0:04:27.040 --> 0:04:28.760 was waiting to try to like crevice my way in 0:04:29.400 --> 0:04:33.839 Two things. I just released the my draft cheat sheet 0:04:34.040 --> 0:04:36.880 that's available, the articles that honestly pro that's part of 0:04:36.920 --> 0:04:38.760 the Yeah, but yours was last week. Mine's there if 0:04:38.760 --> 0:04:41.039 people want to check that out as a solo article 0:04:41.160 --> 0:04:43.440 or part of the draft kit. And also we were 0:04:43.480 --> 0:04:46.160 doing a mock draft on in this league, our final one. 0:04:46.240 --> 0:04:50.000 You know, we do these mock drafts through January. It's wild. 0:04:50.680 --> 0:04:53.160 They're a completely different experience than what we do here. 0:04:53.640 --> 0:04:56.680 And it was our final one and one of the 0:04:56.680 --> 0:04:58.800 guys in there, one of our army members on our 0:04:59.080 --> 0:05:01.880 on our in this league patrio, we have he Uh, 0:05:01.920 --> 0:05:04.760 he's a great fantasy guy. And we started to notice 0:05:04.760 --> 0:05:06.680 because he'd done a couple of mock drafts. We're like, 0:05:07.680 --> 0:05:11.320 he's projecting out great every single time, and he is 0:05:11.360 --> 0:05:14.880 a staunch Fantasy pros guy. And this last one we 0:05:15.000 --> 0:05:17.599 finally were like, wait a minute, this is fishy. He 0:05:17.640 --> 0:05:20.680 would we didn't. We haven't gotten to the controversy. We're 0:05:20.720 --> 0:05:23.960 one hundred confident that he was using the Draft Wizard 0:05:23.960 --> 0:05:26.360 against us in it, because he got a perfect one 0:05:26.480 --> 0:05:29.040 hundred in the mock draft and did in the final 0:05:29.080 --> 0:05:31.839 one projected out number one, and we were like, the 0:05:31.839 --> 0:05:34.520 hell's going on here? And it's happened in two straight 0:05:34.600 --> 0:05:35.279 mock drafts. 0:05:35.720 --> 0:05:38.040 I can guarantee you he's using the Draft Assistant. 0:05:38.200 --> 0:05:39.080 No, we know he was. 0:05:39.120 --> 0:05:42.000 He's a Fantasy pros like hardcore guy, so we know it. 0:05:42.760 --> 0:05:44.960 Uh telling you, I mean, we're not selling stuff here. 0:05:44.960 --> 0:05:47.159 We're trying to win you stuff. There's a big difference. Okay, 0:05:47.279 --> 0:05:50.920 we're part of this together, all the peanuts and cracker jacks, 0:05:50.920 --> 0:05:52.200 not the crackers and the peanut jacks. 0:05:52.200 --> 0:05:52.839 I don't know who those are. 0:05:53.279 --> 0:06:00.800 Jacks, Damn peanut jacks. Man. I love you know. I'm 0:06:00.839 --> 0:06:04.159 so hungry lake snails. Hungry after that bad start. Yes, 0:06:06.360 --> 0:06:08.640 all right, let's start with the headlines. And of course 0:06:08.680 --> 0:06:11.440 I woke up and it's you know, I'm old, so 0:06:11.480 --> 0:06:13.160 I fall asleep at like ten o'clock and I woke 0:06:13.240 --> 0:06:14.279 up this morning. 0:06:14.480 --> 0:06:16.920 And it's it's April Fool's Day. 0:06:16.960 --> 0:06:18.680 And I see the Jacob de Gram tweets and I'm like, 0:06:18.720 --> 0:06:22.440 a ha ha, okay, but no, it's real. He's going 0:06:22.440 --> 0:06:24.520 for an MRI on his shoulder. He's got some tightness. 0:06:24.520 --> 0:06:28.200 Now this could very well be soreness tightness, and you're 0:06:28.320 --> 0:06:30.280 you're just kind of the normal thing that happens to 0:06:30.320 --> 0:06:32.880 pictures that they ramp up. But because it's Jacob Degram, 0:06:33.160 --> 0:06:36.640 there's hyperventilating going on, and rightfully so, because of everything 0:06:36.640 --> 0:06:39.280 we saw last year when he's on the mound Welsh, 0:06:39.360 --> 0:06:40.919 he is the best there is. 0:06:41.040 --> 0:06:43.240 I mean, it's just it's it's not even like to 0:06:43.279 --> 0:06:43.880 say he's. 0:06:43.680 --> 0:06:46.680 The best is not fair to the word the best, 0:06:46.720 --> 0:06:50.040 because he is so dominant, he's so incredible. Even it's 0:06:50.120 --> 0:06:51.640 kind of like, you know, when he had Derrick Henry 0:06:51.800 --> 0:06:53.320 who got hurt last year and he was still like 0:06:53.440 --> 0:06:55.200 RB ten or whatever by the end of the season 0:06:55.200 --> 0:06:57.480 because he was so good With de Gram, he had 0:06:57.480 --> 0:07:00.599 a one eight ERA last year, a point five whip, 0:07:00.600 --> 0:07:02.920 which is just nuts over ninety two innings. Check out 0:07:02.920 --> 0:07:05.960 one hundred and forty six guys walk just eleven. I mean, 0:07:06.040 --> 0:07:09.400 it's absurd, it's disgusting how good he is so well 0:07:09.720 --> 0:07:11.880 going into this weekend. Now, what do you do with 0:07:11.960 --> 0:07:14.360 de Gram? How do you approach him from a draft standpoint? 0:07:14.400 --> 0:07:16.360 Now that we have this latest news where things are 0:07:16.360 --> 0:07:17.240 a little bit up in the air. 0:07:17.680 --> 0:07:21.440 Here's the benefit to it? Because I it's a little 0:07:21.440 --> 0:07:24.400 tough for me because I've been a staunched a Gram guy. 0:07:24.920 --> 0:07:27.720 I tend to do this. I recognize it, and I 0:07:27.760 --> 0:07:30.800 think people that listen to me recognize it. These guys 0:07:30.880 --> 0:07:35.160 that are incredible talents that might have an injury tag 0:07:35.200 --> 0:07:38.640 around them, I don't like to ding them to the 0:07:38.720 --> 0:07:40.720 level of even like what was happening with Da Grom. 0:07:40.800 --> 0:07:42.400 You know where people are like, listen, you can't take 0:07:42.600 --> 0:07:44.440 maybe in the fourth round, but you can't take Da 0:07:44.480 --> 0:07:46.800 Grom in the top five pitchers. Blah blah blah. And 0:07:46.840 --> 0:07:48.520 then as soon as I called it, it was one of 0:07:48.560 --> 0:07:51.000 those things I absolutely called. I said, watch what happens 0:07:51.040 --> 0:07:53.240 when you start seeing him pitch. He's gonna go back 0:07:53.320 --> 0:07:55.840 up to being the top pitcher. He went two I 0:07:55.840 --> 0:07:58.720 think overall in a main event on NFBC this past weekend. 0:07:59.240 --> 0:08:03.200 So you know, the blinders come on, you should recognize it. 0:08:03.240 --> 0:08:06.000 But my fault is I don't ding him for these 0:08:06.000 --> 0:08:10.400 type of things because he is so insanely, insanely dominant. 0:08:10.760 --> 0:08:12.880 And I mean, how many times do you see, you know, 0:08:12.960 --> 0:08:15.600 projected pictures to have two and a half eras in 0:08:15.720 --> 0:08:19.560 projections you don't because projections follow the x FIP in 0:08:19.600 --> 0:08:21.280 a lot of those factors. He's just he is the 0:08:21.280 --> 0:08:24.000 best picture when he's out there. So to the question 0:08:24.280 --> 0:08:28.000 what do you do, here's a benefit MRI is happening 0:08:28.040 --> 0:08:30.760 here on Friday. You should know what you're getting into 0:08:30.800 --> 0:08:35.240 on Saturday. For the most part, the likely scenario is 0:08:35.360 --> 0:08:38.679 it's nothing serious. He does not pitch his scheduled start 0:08:38.679 --> 0:08:41.439 on Saturday, and then they just line him up for 0:08:41.480 --> 0:08:44.120 the season and no DL I el stint and then 0:08:44.320 --> 0:08:46.120 that's the best case scenario, and I think you move 0:08:46.160 --> 0:08:48.280 forward with what you were doing. I was never taking 0:08:48.360 --> 0:08:52.800 de Groam fifth or six overall of all players I loved. 0:08:53.040 --> 0:08:55.360 I loved to Grom before everybody else loved to Grom, 0:08:55.400 --> 0:08:57.880 and it was popular this year in the second round. 0:08:58.360 --> 0:09:00.560 That's where I really liked him. There a risk in 0:09:00.559 --> 0:09:02.480 the first. I don't like taking pictures in the first 0:09:02.559 --> 0:09:06.120 unless it's a points league in general. So nothing has 0:09:06.320 --> 0:09:10.280 changed for me. Everybody else has changed from maybe I'll 0:09:10.280 --> 0:09:13.360 take him in the late third to taking him fifth overall, 0:09:13.840 --> 0:09:16.800 I still stand where I stand now. If it's something 0:09:16.840 --> 0:09:20.600 where you know there's a slight tear and blah blah blah, 0:09:21.040 --> 0:09:22.880 you know, move him down, move him off the board. 0:09:22.920 --> 0:09:25.280 To be frank, If it's something that he's going to 0:09:25.320 --> 0:09:29.000 miss a month, he is going to plump. I mean 0:09:29.200 --> 0:09:31.400 to the point of not even drafting at that point, 0:09:31.440 --> 0:09:35.360 like maybe really late post one hundred. But best case scenario, 0:09:35.480 --> 0:09:38.480 we have answers on Friday following the MRI, we move 0:09:38.559 --> 0:09:40.839 forward and maybe just don't take him in the first. 0:09:40.840 --> 0:09:43.120 Take him after cold, take him after burns, take him 0:09:43.120 --> 0:09:44.840 in the second like I was always doing. 0:09:45.679 --> 0:09:47.760 It's very frustrating though, because this is a guy we 0:09:47.840 --> 0:09:49.920 want to take it in the top five picture. But 0:09:50.000 --> 0:09:52.400 there's a chance by the time we get to this 0:09:52.440 --> 0:09:55.760 weekend's drafts that he's more in the Chris Sale, Lance 0:09:55.840 --> 0:09:59.080 mccullor's Jack Flaherty bucket than he is in the top 0:09:59.120 --> 0:10:00.000 five Pitture bucket. 0:10:00.080 --> 0:10:01.000 And that's just a fact. 0:10:01.000 --> 0:10:03.200 And you just mentioned what if he does miss three months, 0:10:03.200 --> 0:10:04.440 what if he misses the whole season? 0:10:04.679 --> 0:10:06.800 You have to weigh that. And I always say this 0:10:06.840 --> 0:10:08.000 to everybody because. 0:10:07.760 --> 0:10:09.199 He had the end I mean interview, but he had 0:10:09.240 --> 0:10:11.640 like the elbow or the elbow inflammation I think it was, 0:10:11.720 --> 0:10:13.880 and then he also had the UCL stuff last year. 0:10:14.160 --> 0:10:17.600 So the absolute fear is any of this is tied 0:10:17.640 --> 0:10:19.839 to that, and this is going to remind people back 0:10:19.880 --> 0:10:20.400 on the injury. 0:10:20.440 --> 0:10:21.560 Oh absolutely, yeah. 0:10:21.640 --> 0:10:22.000 So God. 0:10:22.679 --> 0:10:26.840 I think the point I make to everybody is this, 0:10:27.000 --> 0:10:28.679 if you're in a league where you have a heavy 0:10:28.760 --> 0:10:31.640 financial investment, I'm just not taking the risk. 0:10:31.679 --> 0:10:33.280 I'm not doing it. There's other approaches. 0:10:33.320 --> 0:10:35.600 Why put yourself in a deficit, and it's heartbreaking because 0:10:35.600 --> 0:10:37.640 I know what the upside is. But if you're in 0:10:37.720 --> 0:10:40.400 a fun league, if you're at a casual league, yeah, 0:10:40.440 --> 0:10:42.000 this is a great way to have some fun and 0:10:42.200 --> 0:10:43.719 take a chance if you get a discount, and I 0:10:43.800 --> 0:10:45.600 assume you're gonna get a discount. If he was a 0:10:45.600 --> 0:10:48.480 pitcher going consistently in the second round, I would think, 0:10:48.559 --> 0:10:51.280 no matter what the MRI tells you, even if it's 0:10:51.320 --> 0:10:54.040 positive he's gonna at least take a two round hit, 0:10:54.160 --> 0:10:55.839 he's gonna go in the fourth round or something like 0:10:55.880 --> 0:10:58.800 that would be my guess for most casual leagues, or even. 0:10:58.760 --> 0:11:01.160 Unless you pitch his saturdy, if he goes back and 0:11:01.200 --> 0:11:02.679 he's on his normal schedule and. 0:11:02.640 --> 0:11:04.880 It's not that'd be really hard sale for me. I 0:11:04.880 --> 0:11:05.600 don't know about that. 0:11:05.640 --> 0:11:08.320 You think I'm just saying, well, that's his scheduled start. 0:11:08.360 --> 0:11:11.560 If you were to go and pitch just hypothetical, I 0:11:11.600 --> 0:11:15.480 think he's no longer a for sure first rounder. He's 0:11:15.480 --> 0:11:18.520 somewhere in the second, you know, maybe late second. Maybe 0:11:18.520 --> 0:11:20.160 you get a little bit of a discount on him. 0:11:20.200 --> 0:11:23.240 If we go back to a regular scheduling program like 0:11:23.400 --> 0:11:25.319 that's where that would go. But I don't know if 0:11:25.320 --> 0:11:26.200 that's going to be the case. 0:11:26.920 --> 0:11:29.839 All right, let's get back to our regularly scheduled topic here, 0:11:29.840 --> 0:11:32.520 which is spring, risers and fallers and Welsh what's start 0:11:32.559 --> 0:11:35.280 with you? Who's a guy that's rising up your board 0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:37.480 after spring is now sprung? 0:11:37.760 --> 0:11:40.000 Now this will be a funny one because as a 0:11:40.040 --> 0:11:43.720 prospect person, you guys know that, especially this specific person 0:11:43.760 --> 0:11:47.000 I've talked a whole lot about. But I have to 0:11:47.080 --> 0:11:51.280 admit I would chastise people in January for taking this 0:11:51.400 --> 0:11:55.160 guy so high because I didn't see the path. And 0:11:55.200 --> 0:11:58.520 then you had MLB's agreement on CBA come out and 0:11:58.559 --> 0:12:01.880 they have some incentives prospects to make the roster. Okay, 0:12:01.960 --> 0:12:04.880 that's a little bit better. Still didn't see the path. 0:12:05.360 --> 0:12:07.480 This team then made a move to trade for a 0:12:07.520 --> 0:12:11.120 positional player that this guy would be there. I still 0:12:11.160 --> 0:12:14.679 didn't see the path. Then I saw this guy in 0:12:14.800 --> 0:12:17.240 games and saw how the team was treating him on 0:12:17.280 --> 0:12:22.520 the backfields, and Julio Rodriguez had to skyrocket back up 0:12:22.559 --> 0:12:25.760 the boards. He wasn't a guy I was drafting early on. 0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:28.559 And because I mean honestly, the team has babied him. 0:12:28.880 --> 0:12:31.720 You know that there's been a breaking ball kind of thing. 0:12:31.800 --> 0:12:33.800 He gets a little bit wild, which he showed in 0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:37.200 a couple of days ago, where you know, he's young guy, 0:12:37.360 --> 0:12:39.760 base path, running defense. Sometimes I can get just a 0:12:39.760 --> 0:12:42.120 little bit wild, and I didn't see the need for 0:12:42.200 --> 0:12:45.160 the team to want to press him. But you now 0:12:45.200 --> 0:12:47.360 go out you see how he had some adversity. I 0:12:47.360 --> 0:12:51.120 think it was on Wednesday, and then Thursday he comes 0:12:51.120 --> 0:12:54.080 out and he has an inside the park homer. He's walking, 0:12:54.160 --> 0:12:56.360 He's two for two. He's a team leader. I've been 0:12:56.400 --> 0:12:59.080 on the backfields of the Mariners about four times over 0:12:59.120 --> 0:13:01.120 the last like two and a half weeks. He is 0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:05.080 consistently working with Kelnick, consistently working with Winker. He's with 0:13:05.120 --> 0:13:08.920 the majors at every point. He's most physically imposing guy. 0:13:09.000 --> 0:13:12.439 He's one of the best players that is out there 0:13:12.720 --> 0:13:16.920 consistently offensively, and it's hard to deny. I don't think 0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:19.600 the Mariners necessarily are doing it for the extra compensation, 0:13:20.240 --> 0:13:23.040 but when you get into that two hundred range, it 0:13:23.160 --> 0:13:26.160 is worth taking the risk and the shot. On Julio Rodriguez, 0:13:26.200 --> 0:13:28.560 it looks like he can make the opening day roster. 0:13:28.679 --> 0:13:30.640 I don't see what they're going to put him down 0:13:30.679 --> 0:13:34.120 for Kyle Lewis is hurt. Taylor Tremmell has not been playing, 0:13:34.160 --> 0:13:36.880 by the way, even healthy, he's all good, they're not 0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:40.000 playing him in competitive games. I think he's a fourth outfielder. 0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:43.200 I think Kohlio makes the roster. He has skyrocketed up 0:13:43.200 --> 0:13:45.080 the boards. I don't think I'll be the top guy 0:13:45.120 --> 0:13:48.360 on Fantasy pros, but I pushed him up very close 0:13:48.400 --> 0:13:50.640 into the two hundred range, and he's one of the 0:13:50.640 --> 0:13:53.400 top prospects you should draft, even though there's no guarantees 0:13:53.440 --> 0:13:56.120 on him. Do it now, because if they were to 0:13:56.240 --> 0:13:59.520 announce let's say today and Friday, coming into the weekend. 0:13:59.520 --> 0:14:00.760 I don't know when you guys are listening to this, 0:14:00.800 --> 0:14:03.640 but let's just say hypothetically, Scott Service comes out and says, 0:14:03.840 --> 0:14:06.720 Julio Rodriguez has made the roster and he'll be batting 0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:10.720 six for the Mariners this season. I'm not joking you. 0:14:11.080 --> 0:14:14.920 Julio might go right around one hundred overall. I'm serious. 0:14:15.080 --> 0:14:16.680 I really think he well, I've got him as a 0:14:16.720 --> 0:14:18.080 top fifty outfielder already. 0:14:18.280 --> 0:14:19.720 Yeah, I think he can get in that range. So 0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:21.760 that's why you should reach. You should go. And he 0:14:21.840 --> 0:14:24.400 has skyrocket up my board, and Spring has done him 0:14:24.600 --> 0:14:27.280 fantastic favors where most you know, most of these guys, 0:14:27.280 --> 0:14:29.640 it doesn't really do that right. 0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:31.760 And that's the other thing too. We always talk about 0:14:31.760 --> 0:14:35.360 how certain players Spring matters more than others. Other players 0:14:35.360 --> 0:14:37.720 they can, it doesn't matter. They can have good springs 0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:38.200 and bad springs. 0:14:38.240 --> 0:14:38.760 You know who they are. 0:14:38.800 --> 0:14:40.720 But to look at the ten games he's had this spring, 0:14:41.040 --> 0:14:44.200 two on the run, six RBI, nine strikeouts, but he's 0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:46.520 got three walks, three stone bases, hitting three sixty with 0:14:46.520 --> 0:14:48.800 a four to twenty nine OVP and the seven to 0:14:48.840 --> 0:14:51.320 twenty slugging. So the ops is eleven forty nine. So 0:14:51.400 --> 0:14:54.160 Rodriguez right now, I'm with you. In fact, I'm good 0:14:54.200 --> 0:14:55.800 with being aggressive on him. And if you have a 0:14:55.840 --> 0:14:59.080 draft Friday, as we're saying Saturday, when that news changes, 0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:01.440 if it does change, If it does, it's gonna be 0:15:01.480 --> 0:15:03.800 even worse in terms of price tag you're gonna have 0:15:03.800 --> 0:15:06.280 to pay for him. I wouldn't take over in a redraft. 0:15:06.280 --> 0:15:08.360 I'm not taking him over Jared Walsh yet. I'm not 0:15:08.360 --> 0:15:11.280 taking him over Hunter Renfro yet. But right around where 0:15:11.280 --> 0:15:13.480 you got to start to have that Jesse Winker say 0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:16.120 as a Zuki kind of conversation. That's where I'm starting 0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:18.320 to wonder do I want the upside? And I think 0:15:18.320 --> 0:15:19.280 it's a fair conversation. 0:15:19.360 --> 0:15:20.880 You and I are a little different on that. I 0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:23.000 just want to point out Winkers which one far higher. 0:15:23.040 --> 0:15:25.240 I mean, you put Winker in the saales Zu I 0:15:25.320 --> 0:15:27.760 do not. I do not remotely put those two in 0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:29.320 the same range. But I just want to point out 0:15:29.680 --> 0:15:32.080 in our last mock draft, I think Julio went about 0:15:32.080 --> 0:15:35.440 one seventy five, so I think between I think when 0:15:35.520 --> 0:15:39.400 one fifty hits, you need to start getting on your business. 0:15:39.400 --> 0:15:41.440 You need to start considering if he's a guy I 0:15:41.440 --> 0:15:44.680 think around for do Go, I think around Carlson. Suzuki 0:15:44.760 --> 0:15:47.400 is a great example a Doulus Garcia. That's where you 0:15:47.440 --> 0:15:50.360 need to start considering if you want to be aggressive 0:15:50.400 --> 0:15:53.320 on him. Rookies are a little bit dangerous, but regardless, 0:15:53.320 --> 0:15:55.560 this could be I mean, Julio's running now, so he 0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:58.040 might steal fifteen if he plays all year, and he 0:15:58.240 --> 0:16:01.200 legit could hit thirty strikeouts. Though you got to watch, 0:16:01.200 --> 0:16:03.200 and that's always been the thing I got right. I 0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:03.920 don't know if they bring. 0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:04.800 Him up well in Roto. 0:16:04.880 --> 0:16:07.280 I think the power speed combination is tantalizing enough in 0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:09.400 points league's different story, so I think. 0:16:09.280 --> 0:16:11.440 That's also with the caveat all. Right, let's go to 0:16:11.480 --> 0:16:11.880 my guy. 0:16:11.960 --> 0:16:14.200 First on my list is Tore Scooble, who's had a 0:16:14.600 --> 0:16:17.320 wonderful spring so far. If you look at what he's 0:16:17.360 --> 0:16:19.800 done so far over the three game starts, eight two 0:16:19.800 --> 0:16:23.080 thirds innings, thirteen strikeouts, just three walks, just a one 0:16:23.120 --> 0:16:26.520 point two six whip. People have been waiting on kind 0:16:26.520 --> 0:16:28.400 of in this grouping of the Mannings and the Mises 0:16:28.440 --> 0:16:31.560 and miss pitched very well also. But I think with Scooble, 0:16:31.920 --> 0:16:34.120 what you've seen so far is he's gotten hit around 0:16:34.120 --> 0:16:35.880 the ballpark a little bit, and that's the thing that 0:16:35.960 --> 0:16:37.600 you want to try to cut back a little bit. 0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:39.760 Home runs last year a big problem too. Gave up 0:16:39.760 --> 0:16:41.160 thirty five of them. That's going to be way too 0:16:41.200 --> 0:16:43.760 many to have success. But I think if you look 0:16:43.760 --> 0:16:46.240 at what he's doing now, this is very encouraging because 0:16:46.280 --> 0:16:48.720 it's twenty five years old this year. This is where 0:16:48.720 --> 0:16:50.920 you want to see him after you know he's had 0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:53.040 about what thirty five starts or so in the big leagues. 0:16:53.440 --> 0:16:55.360 This is where I think you want to look and 0:16:55.360 --> 0:16:58.000 take that step forwards, like, okay, you got your feet wet, 0:16:58.280 --> 0:16:59.480 Now what's your confidence level? 0:16:59.480 --> 0:17:00.160 And I think when you're. 0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:02.360 Looking at Schooble, this is one of those pictures we 0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:05.360 always talk about, you know, good pictures on bad teams. Yeah, 0:17:05.400 --> 0:17:07.280 they probably can help you with wins, but if they 0:17:07.280 --> 0:17:09.360 can help you with quality start leagues, keep an eye 0:17:09.400 --> 0:17:11.600 on them. And if they're efficient, that's important, and if 0:17:11.600 --> 0:17:13.800 they can help you strikeouts and school might be able 0:17:13.800 --> 0:17:15.800 to do a lot of those things. So although he 0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:18.120 might not get you w's when you're looking at guys 0:17:18.160 --> 0:17:20.480 who are undervalued right now, I think he's one of 0:17:20.520 --> 0:17:22.920 those guys. So Schooble for me, is one to keep 0:17:22.920 --> 0:17:24.959 an eye on. Any I've moved him up my board too. 0:17:25.040 --> 0:17:27.399 I'm not I'm not saying that he's, you know, a 0:17:27.480 --> 0:17:30.320 number three starter by any stretcher that means, but I 0:17:30.359 --> 0:17:33.320 think he is in that conversation now, in that top 0:17:33.600 --> 0:17:36.320 sixty ish range to at least consider what do you think? 0:17:36.720 --> 0:17:39.520 Yeah, you know, people forget too. There was a period 0:17:39.560 --> 0:17:42.399 of time where people started to like Scooble over Casey Miz, 0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:45.199 you know, in Casey Miss with the big Splitter, you know, 0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:47.760 has always been unique, but Scooble has been, you know, 0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:50.760 a big two punch type of guy, big fastball, just 0:17:50.760 --> 0:17:52.640 needed to get right. And I think both of these 0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:55.480 guys it's the you know, Matt Manning throwing in there 0:17:55.600 --> 0:17:57.520 is also really interesting because at one time he was 0:17:57.560 --> 0:17:58.919 seen as a top guy, and I think he's kind 0:17:58.920 --> 0:18:01.280 of moved below those three. I think it's been very, 0:18:01.359 --> 0:18:05.080 very encouraging. He was a really intriguing strikeout guy on 0:18:05.119 --> 0:18:07.119 the back end of this last year. And what's weird 0:18:07.240 --> 0:18:12.359 is myz doesn't have like this, and I say secondaries 0:18:12.720 --> 0:18:16.919 outside of the splitter, he doesn't have overpowering secondaries of that. 0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:21.159 Matt Manning hasn't really proved to be consistent. Scooble probably 0:18:21.240 --> 0:18:23.879 is the best strikeout guy here. And you know, probably 0:18:23.920 --> 0:18:25.600 at the end of the day when we're just trying 0:18:25.640 --> 0:18:28.240 to piece together a couple of these categories, if you 0:18:28.280 --> 0:18:31.960 can get strikeouts cheap late, this might be a nine 0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:34.520 and a half, maybe even higher K per nine type 0:18:34.560 --> 0:18:36.880 of guy. Detroit's got a few more pieces in there, 0:18:36.960 --> 0:18:40.399 especially if they let Torque and Riley Green break camp 0:18:40.520 --> 0:18:42.640 and they've got Hobby Bison, they might sneak a couple 0:18:42.680 --> 0:18:45.160 more wins. I wouldn't be surprised to see to Scoogble 0:18:45.240 --> 0:18:46.800 pick up a few more wins as well and be 0:18:46.840 --> 0:18:48.720 more of an asset. So I like that pick. 0:18:49.200 --> 0:18:50.679 Let's take a quick break in the action to tell 0:18:50.720 --> 0:18:53.200 you about fan Tracks. 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Each active league counts as one active entry, 0:19:26.840 --> 0:19:29.560 and the winner will be chosen and emailed by April 0:19:29.560 --> 0:19:32.240 twenty nine. So get on that again. Go to fantracks 0:19:32.240 --> 0:19:35.560 dot com slash fantasy pros to enter. Now that's fantracks 0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:38.880 dot Com slash Fantasy Pros and now back to the action. 0:19:39.720 --> 0:19:41.520 All right, let's go to another one of your risers 0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:42.920 this spring. Well, she was on your list. 0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:45.399 Now that's a big name guy, and this is probably 0:19:45.400 --> 0:19:49.000 a pretty obvious one, but I soured quite a bit 0:19:49.080 --> 0:19:51.920 coming into this year on Chris Bryant, who I've always loved, 0:19:52.520 --> 0:19:55.480 you know, really poorous year didn't really seem to have 0:19:55.640 --> 0:19:58.160 a proper home. You know, the Giants were a question 0:19:58.200 --> 0:20:02.879 where was he gonna play? But I can't deny going 0:20:02.920 --> 0:20:08.960 to Colorado absolutely changed everything. It's almost like the dumb 0:20:09.000 --> 0:20:13.000 and dumber thing, like absolutely, you know, just when I 0:20:13.040 --> 0:20:15.960 had him, God, man, I had him around, I think. 0:20:15.960 --> 0:20:18.200 Totally redeemed himself. Yeah that's that, yeah line you're. 0:20:18.040 --> 0:20:22.240 Looking for, totally redeemed yourself. He was around the nineties. 0:20:22.320 --> 0:20:24.960 I mean, I was legit thinking between Anthony Rendon and 0:20:25.040 --> 0:20:28.879 Chris Bryant. The move to Colorado in the extra the 0:20:28.960 --> 0:20:31.919 extra love that you're gonna get with kind of a 0:20:31.920 --> 0:20:35.480 crappy position in general, I'm not the biggest Alex bregnant guy. 0:20:35.920 --> 0:20:38.960 Aaron Otto's fine, but the upside on Bryant to regain 0:20:39.000 --> 0:20:42.399 that MVP quality in the most hit or friendly place, 0:20:42.480 --> 0:20:44.680 even though they all have humidors now, which is interesting. 0:20:45.800 --> 0:20:49.040 He flew up my board and I haven't gotten into 0:20:49.080 --> 0:20:52.000 this territory where people are taking him around twenty five 0:20:52.280 --> 0:20:56.760 thirty overall, which is bonkers on that bed especially. 0:20:56.720 --> 0:20:59.160 I think they do it for the position flexibility, which 0:20:59.200 --> 0:21:00.879 is in the mack we do. A couple weeks ago. 0:21:01.160 --> 0:21:03.080 I did that, and I love the fact that the 0:21:03.200 --> 0:21:05.000 draft then came to me and I could go BPA 0:21:05.119 --> 0:21:07.600 for three rounds after and just keep moving him around 0:21:07.640 --> 0:21:11.200 the diamond. That's a huge That is worth a little 0:21:11.200 --> 0:21:12.560 bit of a premium to me. I don't want to 0:21:12.760 --> 0:21:16.200 overstate it, but the deeper the format you play, the 0:21:16.200 --> 0:21:19.280 more that becomes a huge asset because less the draft 0:21:19.320 --> 0:21:21.399 than filter to you, and you could keep taking the 0:21:21.400 --> 0:21:21.840 best talent. 0:21:22.000 --> 0:21:22.280 Just move. 0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:24.399 I'm not gonna move to first, move to third, can 0:21:24.440 --> 0:21:25.640 move now for like a move all over. 0:21:26.080 --> 0:21:30.159 I agree, but I think it's more the Colorado. It 0:21:30.359 --> 0:21:31.280 just put a hit. 0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:33.040 It helps him thirty homers in. 0:21:33.080 --> 0:21:37.840 Colorado who's had like Cody Bellinger. Everybody's off on Cody 0:21:37.840 --> 0:21:40.840 Bellinger right now. Everybody is kind of fading him. It's 0:21:40.880 --> 0:21:42.960 actually not a guy will probably talk about here in 0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:47.360 a little bit, But imagine Cody Bellinger coming off these 0:21:47.359 --> 0:21:50.119 bad years and then going into Colorado. What people would do, 0:21:50.320 --> 0:21:51.840 you would forget. So it's kind of the same thing 0:21:51.880 --> 0:21:54.240 as Chris Bryant. Chris Bryant has proven to be a 0:21:54.280 --> 0:21:58.200 better hitter, So I agree, position flexibility is great, third 0:21:58.200 --> 0:22:01.120 base sucks, and put a you know, big bopping hitter 0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:03.840 in Colorado. All those factors came in. But from a 0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:07.879 rising perspective, that's it for me. He's really moved up. Plus, 0:22:07.880 --> 0:22:09.919 I think this team can be aggressive on the base paths, 0:22:10.160 --> 0:22:13.119 which might be good for players in front for RBI opportunities. 0:22:13.320 --> 0:22:16.199 It's not a there's obviously, the Dodgers are incredible. The 0:22:16.200 --> 0:22:19.480 Padres are fine, though they're little wonky and their staff, 0:22:19.680 --> 0:22:21.160 but you know, you get to play Arizona, you get 0:22:21.160 --> 0:22:23.679 to play in Colorado. So he has really moved up 0:22:23.720 --> 0:22:26.520 into that you know, top fifty range. I don't really 0:22:26.600 --> 0:22:29.760 love it inside the top twenty five, but anywhere between 0:22:30.040 --> 0:22:32.080 thirty and fifty if you want to jump on it, 0:22:32.280 --> 0:22:34.440 I'm good with it. And he has rocketed up my board. 0:22:35.400 --> 0:22:36.919 All right, I'll give you another big name on my 0:22:37.000 --> 0:22:39.399 list too, since we're doing the big names here and 0:22:39.440 --> 0:22:40.520 it's Francisco Lindor. 0:22:40.640 --> 0:22:43.399 Who is I know, you know, he's had good springs 0:22:43.400 --> 0:22:43.879 in the past. 0:22:43.960 --> 0:22:46.160 I get that. I understand that that's that's good, that's 0:22:46.160 --> 0:22:48.600 a positive thing. But after last year, it was such 0:22:48.600 --> 0:22:50.720 a bad taste in everyone's mouth, and we saw the 0:22:50.760 --> 0:22:53.520 typical guy signs a big contract in a new place, 0:22:53.600 --> 0:22:57.040 especially a big market, struggles out of the gate, gets 0:22:57.040 --> 0:22:59.200 into some media tussle, especially New York. 0:22:59.280 --> 0:23:00.400 You have that whole controversy. 0:23:00.400 --> 0:23:02.240 Who went bias showed up, They where the thumbs down 0:23:02.280 --> 0:23:04.520 stuff and all that nonsense. But at the end of 0:23:04.520 --> 0:23:08.240 the year, those people held on to Francisco Lindor, those 0:23:08.240 --> 0:23:12.720 people who acquired him actually ended up getting a benefit there. 0:23:12.840 --> 0:23:16.680 They stayed true eventually, if you were still relevant, Francisco 0:23:16.720 --> 0:23:19.119 Lindor did perform. And what he's doing right now this 0:23:19.200 --> 0:23:22.360 spring with ten hits, ten RBI, four home runs, already 0:23:22.520 --> 0:23:24.960 hit four hundred this spring, he's showing you power. He's 0:23:24.960 --> 0:23:27.480 got a couple doubles too. Again, stolen a base, which 0:23:27.520 --> 0:23:29.119 is just I'd like to see him steal a base 0:23:29.560 --> 0:23:32.200 the spring. That'd be nice. But this was a player 0:23:32.240 --> 0:23:34.760 a couple of years ago, just a year removed basically 0:23:35.200 --> 0:23:38.479 from he's kind of an almost first round talent, and 0:23:38.520 --> 0:23:40.640 I think we have to buy back in. I think 0:23:40.680 --> 0:23:43.800 the hype that goes along when you go to a 0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:47.560 big market team is the adverse that happens too, is 0:23:47.560 --> 0:23:50.040 when you don't perform well all of a sudden, then 0:23:50.160 --> 0:23:53.399 people underestimate you and forget and they want to pile 0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:55.320 on a little bit because the exposure level was so 0:23:55.400 --> 0:23:58.240 big on the positives and the failures, and he felt 0:23:58.240 --> 0:23:59.680 a little bit last year. Let's be honest, I would 0:23:59.720 --> 0:24:01.200 say what four and a half months of the season 0:24:01.280 --> 0:24:03.760 was a failure for Cisco Landor? Right? Would you agree 0:24:03.760 --> 0:24:06.920 with that? Well? About about right. So now we're getting 0:24:06.960 --> 0:24:08.560 to a point with Lindor where if he's got a 0:24:08.600 --> 0:24:10.560 good spring, if he seems like he's got a good 0:24:10.600 --> 0:24:12.600 fresh attitude going in there, I think here's a lot 0:24:12.600 --> 0:24:14.600 more attention on guys like Scherzer right now and some 0:24:14.640 --> 0:24:17.040 of the other acquisitions, and there is necessarily on Lindor. 0:24:17.200 --> 0:24:19.040 That's all the good things. So Lindor to me's another 0:24:19.040 --> 0:24:22.040 player that I I know say move up because he's 0:24:22.080 --> 0:24:24.600 already pretty highly rated player. That's the struggle kind of 0:24:24.600 --> 0:24:27.520 like with Welshissing. But I've moved him back into that 0:24:27.520 --> 0:24:29.800 place where I think, yeah, you know what, this guy 0:24:29.960 --> 0:24:31.960 is a second round talent and you might be able 0:24:31.960 --> 0:24:33.920 to get him, might maybe in the third or fourth round. 0:24:33.960 --> 0:24:34.639 And I think that's right. 0:24:34.760 --> 0:24:37.159 Yeah, man, Yeah, I mean I think depending on the 0:24:37.160 --> 0:24:38.480 depth of your league too. I mean, if you're in 0:24:38.520 --> 0:24:40.119 a shallow league, he's going a little bit later than 0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:42.320 he should because people also look at shortstop, but it's 0:24:42.480 --> 0:24:45.560 quote so deep end quote they're kind of dismissing the 0:24:45.560 --> 0:24:47.760 talent there. And I think Lindor has another big season 0:24:47.760 --> 0:24:49.359 potentially in him. But this is a guy with you know, 0:24:49.560 --> 0:24:51.200 twenty five to twenty five kind of potential. 0:24:51.440 --> 0:24:53.840 Yeah, I mean I was. I'm with you because I 0:24:53.920 --> 0:24:56.960 was always there this spring, you know, digging in on 0:24:57.080 --> 0:24:59.480 last year. I mean, there's a lot of like little 0:24:59.520 --> 0:25:02.120 worrisome things that were poking out there. But it's one 0:25:02.160 --> 0:25:04.520 of those anomalies to the picture who he was if 0:25:04.520 --> 0:25:06.440 you take it over you know, the COVID year in 0:25:06.520 --> 0:25:09.680 last year. Otherwise, this had been a really consistent hitter, 0:25:10.240 --> 0:25:12.360 you know, a twenty twenty type of guy, a five 0:25:12.400 --> 0:25:15.320 tool player. If you a five tool, right shortstop where 0:25:15.359 --> 0:25:18.040 you get those really needed stolen bases where some of 0:25:18.040 --> 0:25:20.159 these guys don't you know where you're not getting him 0:25:20.160 --> 0:25:22.520 from Seeger and Korea by as you're not getting the 0:25:22.520 --> 0:25:25.400 batting average for you got all of that with Lindor, 0:25:25.600 --> 0:25:28.600 and Lindor, like you said, uniquely could be a first 0:25:28.680 --> 0:25:30.639 round talent that you can get in the third or 0:25:30.680 --> 0:25:33.440 fourth round and you know he's had. We've also talked 0:25:33.440 --> 0:25:35.840 about this before where a lot of these guys in 0:25:35.920 --> 0:25:40.359 this new adjustment team period where they change major franchises, 0:25:40.640 --> 0:25:44.600 they've got some growing pains to learn, new divisions, new teammates, 0:25:44.800 --> 0:25:48.640 just new life, you know, circumstances, and then they come 0:25:48.680 --> 0:25:51.080 in and they rEFInd themselves. Matchata as an example of that. 0:25:51.280 --> 0:25:54.000 I think this can be that year for Frankie Lindor. 0:25:54.119 --> 0:25:56.840 So I have been there with you. I'm totally with it. 0:25:57.040 --> 0:26:00.840 He was high pre spring and I'm still there and 0:26:00.880 --> 0:26:02.879 I'm excited. I'm excited to try to draft him. Actually 0:26:02.880 --> 0:26:04.400 this weekend, I don't know if I have a ton 0:26:04.440 --> 0:26:05.160 of shares. 0:26:05.760 --> 0:26:08.160 Well, I don't have any yet. I haven't really gotten 0:26:08.160 --> 0:26:10.000 a chance to take him. He's going as the ninth 0:26:10.040 --> 0:26:13.080 shortstop off the board. Right now. I would take him 0:26:13.080 --> 0:26:15.760 over Tatisse right now. I think I would take him 0:26:15.800 --> 0:26:18.359 in a five by five over wander Franco. I would 0:26:18.359 --> 0:26:21.040 take him over Trevor's story. Personally, I think he is 0:26:21.680 --> 0:26:23.520 the conversation with Tim Anderson. If you want to have 0:26:23.520 --> 0:26:25.320 that one, that's fine, But I think he's you know, 0:26:25.480 --> 0:26:28.080 maybe safer than Marcus Simeon coming off that career year. 0:26:28.200 --> 0:26:30.080 You can make the argument the Lindor. 0:26:30.560 --> 0:26:32.919 Is the third or fourth shortstop in fantasy. You can 0:26:32.960 --> 0:26:35.159 make an argument because you can never make the argument. 0:26:35.320 --> 0:26:37.720 Yeah. The problem is there's that also the problem in 0:26:37.720 --> 0:26:41.440 that position, there's this clump of all these great guys 0:26:41.480 --> 0:26:44.159 that I don't even like to sit here and have 0:26:44.200 --> 0:26:46.440 this argument of like this guy over this guy, because 0:26:46.480 --> 0:26:49.080 literally within a ten pick range, I think you're looking 0:26:49.119 --> 0:26:53.159 at Tim Anderson, Trevor's story, Wander Franco, Francisco, Lindor's a 0:26:53.160 --> 0:26:57.040 and Bogarts and all those guys, and you can pick 0:26:57.080 --> 0:26:59.400 and choose. You know, it's a create your own adventure 0:26:59.600 --> 0:27:01.760 with what whatever shortstop you want, where it's like, hey, 0:27:01.800 --> 0:27:05.320 I get second base eligibility with Trevor story at some point, 0:27:05.440 --> 0:27:07.480 or I'm going to get the stolen bases here, or 0:27:07.480 --> 0:27:09.480 I'm going to get better batting average with Franco, you know, 0:27:09.520 --> 0:27:12.199 so you can build the stories of all of those guys, 0:27:12.320 --> 0:27:15.400 but it also kind of muddies that position a little bit. 0:27:15.440 --> 0:27:18.000 Why I probably don't have the shares because there's so 0:27:18.119 --> 0:27:20.480 many guys, and there's guys later like we've talked about 0:27:20.760 --> 0:27:24.120 with the you know, Willie Damis or the Brandon Crawford's 0:27:24.160 --> 0:27:27.200 even super late or Bobby Witt Junior. So that's why 0:27:27.240 --> 0:27:29.920 I don't get in on that. But what would be 0:27:30.040 --> 0:27:33.280 nice is if Lindor is the faller, and he's likely 0:27:33.359 --> 0:27:36.360 to be the guy that falls because story's got new 0:27:36.400 --> 0:27:40.120 big buzz. Tim Anderson is big on stolen bases, Wander Franco, 0:27:40.520 --> 0:27:43.080 you know, the next big thing. Lindor seems to be 0:27:43.160 --> 0:27:46.000 the odd man out, and that's actually really good for that, 0:27:46.080 --> 0:27:47.840 like you know, forty to fifty range if you can 0:27:47.840 --> 0:27:48.479 swoop him up. 0:27:49.400 --> 0:27:51.320 All right, let's get to another guy who's a riser 0:27:51.320 --> 0:27:53.280 for you this spring Welsh in the draft boards. 0:27:53.760 --> 0:27:56.400 I'm going with another young guy, Jeremy Pania. I don't 0:27:56.400 --> 0:27:58.800 know how many people are up on Jeremy Pagnia. He's 0:27:58.800 --> 0:28:01.399 a shortstop with the system. He's actually out here in 0:28:01.440 --> 0:28:04.359 the Arizona Fall League, like two thousand and nineteen, I 0:28:04.440 --> 0:28:08.520 believe it was, and he has consistently bulked gotten bigger. 0:28:08.560 --> 0:28:11.440 He's a hulk out there, and the team loves him, 0:28:11.480 --> 0:28:14.200 loves him so much that they've given him the reins 0:28:14.359 --> 0:28:17.560 for Carlo's Korea Leaving. On the broadcast just a couple 0:28:17.520 --> 0:28:19.480 of days ago, I was watching Jeff Bagwell was just 0:28:19.520 --> 0:28:22.159 owing and awing about him where they were hitting him 0:28:22.200 --> 0:28:24.240 up high in the batting order. I don't really truly 0:28:24.280 --> 0:28:27.080 believe they would do this, but they're talking about even 0:28:27.119 --> 0:28:30.520 potentially letting Jeremy Paenia lead off occasionally. He's a really 0:28:30.560 --> 0:28:36.159 solid contact guy. He's got completely underrated power because just 0:28:36.200 --> 0:28:39.880 people don't understand or really know about Jeremy Pania, and 0:28:40.040 --> 0:28:42.960 if you're hitting high in that lineup, you kind of 0:28:43.000 --> 0:28:45.800 can't deny the value that might be there from the 0:28:45.840 --> 0:28:49.520 shortstop position for a guy like this later in drafts, 0:28:49.560 --> 0:28:51.040 and I think I've seen a lot of people picking 0:28:51.080 --> 0:28:55.040 him up late just his perspective. In twenty and twenty one, Painia, 0:28:55.480 --> 0:28:57.960 in only one hundred and forty five at bats, had 0:28:58.080 --> 0:29:00.920 ten homers. With sixtill in them. Base is hitting two 0:29:01.040 --> 0:29:03.760 ninety seven in the minors and he has hit over 0:29:03.840 --> 0:29:07.480 two ninety since twenty nineteen. He's gone through four levels 0:29:07.560 --> 0:29:10.240 of the minor leagues. He's twenty four years old, big 0:29:10.280 --> 0:29:13.960 six foot shortstop, added power. I think he could sneak 0:29:13.960 --> 0:29:16.880 into twenty homers there. He'll steal some bases as well. 0:29:17.320 --> 0:29:19.560 Astros don't steal bases, so we'll kind of see how 0:29:19.600 --> 0:29:22.800 that goes. But if they are really gonna put Kyle 0:29:22.880 --> 0:29:25.680 Tucker back in the order and not lead off Altuve 0:29:26.000 --> 0:29:27.840 and Paynya is going to get some of that run. 0:29:28.120 --> 0:29:30.440 This is a guy who through his spring he's been 0:29:30.480 --> 0:29:33.240 successful and the team has talked him up and they 0:29:33.240 --> 0:29:36.760 haven't filled his position. So Jeremy Pania super good, sneaky 0:29:36.840 --> 0:29:39.240 late shortstop to pick, and he has moved up my 0:29:39.320 --> 0:29:41.480 draft board to really pay attention to because we would 0:29:41.480 --> 0:29:43.920 be drafting him as more of a middle infielder and 0:29:43.960 --> 0:29:44.800 he might be worth. 0:29:44.640 --> 0:29:47.200 It, I can tell you right now. Via to the 0:29:47.200 --> 0:29:48.440 top of the order in April. 0:29:48.880 --> 0:29:50.880 I'm gonna be very interested in the DFS world in 0:29:50.960 --> 0:29:52.680 him because he's going to be a lot cheaper than 0:29:52.720 --> 0:29:54.760 a lot of the other guys in that position, and 0:29:55.000 --> 0:29:56.480 hitting at the tubby the order is always something you 0:29:56.480 --> 0:29:58.120 want to targeting those. So I think that's a great 0:29:58.200 --> 0:30:00.400 name to throw out, not just for season long, for 0:30:00.720 --> 0:30:04.040 DFS purposes too, So Welsh throughout a young guy, I'm 0:30:04.040 --> 0:30:06.880 gonna throw out an old fart. Normally it's good when 0:30:06.880 --> 0:30:09.280 you lead the league in home runs, except when you're 0:30:09.280 --> 0:30:12.560 a pitcher. Patrick Corbin last year gave up thirty seven 0:30:12.600 --> 0:30:14.680 of him not good. He also led the league and 0:30:14.720 --> 0:30:17.880 earned runs, giving up one hundred and eleven. Patrick Corbin 0:30:18.120 --> 0:30:20.880 is such an odd career when you look at it, 0:30:20.880 --> 0:30:22.840 because if you go back to some of those diamondback days, 0:30:23.120 --> 0:30:25.240 you know the years where he's going two hundred innings 0:30:25.280 --> 0:30:28.000 back to back, right back to back seasons. In eighteen 0:30:28.000 --> 0:30:31.160 to nineteen, the ERA was under three to three, and 0:30:31.200 --> 0:30:33.600 then all of a sudden, right he goes to the Nationals, 0:30:33.640 --> 0:30:35.200 has a good season there, we think, okay, you know, 0:30:35.240 --> 0:30:37.160 two hundred and thirty eighth strikeouts, All right, this is 0:30:37.400 --> 0:30:40.920 this is the guy we won Patrick Corbyn. Then twenty 0:30:40.960 --> 0:30:43.280 twenty the wheels fell off four to six six ERA, 0:30:43.440 --> 0:30:45.360 and then last year, I mean the whole he fell 0:30:45.400 --> 0:30:46.880 out of the car. I mean, if the wheels fell 0:30:46.920 --> 0:30:49.120 off the car, he was like Fred Flintstone, kind of 0:30:49.120 --> 0:30:50.720 like trying to put it together with his feet. Which 0:30:50.720 --> 0:30:52.120 I know that's an older reference for some of you 0:30:52.160 --> 0:30:54.480 out there. You could go google it, but I mean 0:30:54.560 --> 0:30:56.840 last year he was nine and sixteen. I know we 0:30:56.840 --> 0:30:59.280 don't pay an attention at records, but it's just funny. 0:30:59.320 --> 0:31:01.600 So he led the lead again, lost games, He led 0:31:01.600 --> 0:31:03.360 the league and earned runs, and he led the league 0:31:03.400 --> 0:31:06.320 in home runs given up. It's not good, but but 0:31:07.160 --> 0:31:11.440 he is free and so far this spring nine innings, 0:31:11.600 --> 0:31:14.800 ten strikeouts, two walks. So I don't know if it's 0:31:14.840 --> 0:31:16.720 a health issue the last couple of years with him, 0:31:16.880 --> 0:31:18.480 I don't know if it's a confidence issue. I don't 0:31:18.520 --> 0:31:20.600 know what it is. Well, but as a free pitcher 0:31:20.640 --> 0:31:22.760 towards the end of drafts, if you're gonna give me 0:31:22.760 --> 0:31:25.000 a healthy enough Patrick Corbyn, who could even get dealt 0:31:25.040 --> 0:31:27.760 as I'm sure Washington's gonna just continue to unload assets 0:31:27.800 --> 0:31:30.520 here this year, he could end up on a much 0:31:30.520 --> 0:31:33.200 better team sometime in July or August. If that happens. 0:31:34.040 --> 0:31:36.280 You know, right now, the spring performance has been eye 0:31:36.320 --> 0:31:37.880 opening to me, and I always like to look at this. 0:31:38.080 --> 0:31:40.040 You know, those bounce back guys are just as important 0:31:40.080 --> 0:31:43.520 as the young sexy guys like the Rodriguezz that we 0:31:43.600 --> 0:31:46.360 talked about before, the school bulls. Sometimes the old fart 0:31:46.400 --> 0:31:49.120 guys too that people have kind of dismissed and forgotten about. 0:31:49.120 --> 0:31:51.040 And if he can get back on track, this is 0:31:51.080 --> 0:31:52.920 a guy. Once upon a time, Welsh was one of 0:31:52.960 --> 0:31:54.320 those guys you looked at as a one to a 0:31:54.520 --> 0:31:57.000 kind of ace in fantasy baseball. And I know the 0:31:57.040 --> 0:31:58.760 Nats aren't gonna win a ton of games, but I 0:31:58.800 --> 0:32:00.560 think as a free square, I'm investing. 0:32:00.560 --> 0:32:02.560 What do you think about KORbin potentially bouncing back? 0:32:02.640 --> 0:32:04.640 Yeah, this is another one of those guys. You picked 0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:06.800 another one that I like as well. Twenty nineteen he 0:32:06.800 --> 0:32:09.960 had fourteen wins with an over ten k per nine 0:32:10.560 --> 0:32:14.080 and a three ERA. He actually had three and a 0:32:14.080 --> 0:32:17.320 half x FIP in two thousand and nineteen and twenty 0:32:17.400 --> 0:32:20.440 eighteen he had a sub three x FIP, which is bonkers. 0:32:20.440 --> 0:32:23.320 I mean literally, his x FIP was better than his era. 0:32:24.320 --> 0:32:27.680 The problem is, guy's a two pitch pitcher, and if 0:32:27.720 --> 0:32:31.840 you get inconsistent or you're not full in anybody, you're 0:32:31.840 --> 0:32:34.200 not gonna work, and that's where he's falling apart. It's 0:32:34.240 --> 0:32:36.600 the same thing we've seen with the Chris Paddock with 0:32:36.680 --> 0:32:39.880 the padres where you know, I know he has tried 0:32:39.880 --> 0:32:41.640 to add a third pitch and try it. I think 0:32:41.640 --> 0:32:44.240 it's the curveball and trying to get more. You know, guys, 0:32:44.840 --> 0:32:47.120 you have to be able to set up more, and 0:32:47.160 --> 0:32:48.880 when you're a two pitch pitcher, you don't have a 0:32:48.920 --> 0:32:51.080 lot of that, especially if your fastball is flattening out 0:32:51.160 --> 0:32:53.400 or you're not getting spin on it, you're not commanding it, 0:32:53.720 --> 0:32:55.800 and all guys are gonna do is sit on your 0:32:55.840 --> 0:32:58.280 second sit and wait on your secondaries because they know 0:32:58.320 --> 0:33:00.280 they can catch up to your fastball. And that's a 0:33:00.280 --> 0:33:02.480 lot of what we saw with Patrick Corban. But I'm 0:33:02.520 --> 0:33:06.160 in because this team can't get out from under the 0:33:06.200 --> 0:33:09.800 pitching because of the contracts. They also, even though we 0:33:09.840 --> 0:33:11.960 talk about them maybe blowing it up, they're kind of 0:33:12.000 --> 0:33:15.600 pseudo still in there and still competing. And if the 0:33:15.640 --> 0:33:17.400 pitchers were to work, I think it would get them 0:33:17.440 --> 0:33:19.560 back in that. Patrick Corbyn is a guy that I 0:33:19.560 --> 0:33:21.640 think can get back into double digit wins. I think 0:33:21.640 --> 0:33:23.720 he can regain the strikeouts we're kind of seeing it 0:33:23.720 --> 0:33:25.760 in the spring, which I think is encouraging. And the 0:33:25.840 --> 0:33:29.239 most important part is he is free. He's free with 0:33:29.320 --> 0:33:32.240 only two years removed of ten plus k per nine 0:33:32.240 --> 0:33:34.560 and lots of wins. It's not the same team, but 0:33:34.960 --> 0:33:37.240 I will take free ninety nine on Patrick Corbyn and 0:33:37.280 --> 0:33:37.680 I'm in. 0:33:38.560 --> 0:33:41.479 He's free like the MLB draft kit over fantasypros dot 0:33:41.520 --> 0:33:44.440 Com slash kid. See what I did there. So I've 0:33:44.480 --> 0:33:46.320 got Patrick Corbin. I've moved him all the way up 0:33:46.320 --> 0:33:49.040 into the high sixties here. He's in that same range 0:33:49.040 --> 0:33:51.160 as like Casey Mice and Louis Patino. Would you take 0:33:51.280 --> 0:33:54.120 Corbyn or one of those younger guys. 0:33:54.560 --> 0:33:56.560 In a redraft to Pattino or. 0:33:57.640 --> 0:34:00.120 Yeah, Louis Patino and Casey Mice, Yeah. 0:34:00.080 --> 0:34:03.880 They're all in the same tier. I might well, you 0:34:03.880 --> 0:34:06.000 know what, I would have said, Patino, but he's been 0:34:06.520 --> 0:34:08.840 like a little bit banged up. I might take Corbin. 0:34:08.960 --> 0:34:12.320 I think I might take Corbyn. I've got Corbin ahead 0:34:12.320 --> 0:34:14.319 of him again, that's the order right now. I've got 0:34:14.360 --> 0:34:17.759 it corbyin Patino myz. And then you know some guys 0:34:17.800 --> 0:34:20.200 like Alex Cobb floating around there too. Well, that's a 0:34:20.200 --> 0:34:22.080 bonus one we're not gonna talk about, but I'm sure 0:34:22.080 --> 0:34:24.680 he's flying up and rightfully so. If he's touching ninety 0:34:24.680 --> 0:34:26.640 seven on the gun coming off a good year in 0:34:26.680 --> 0:34:29.279 Los Angeles, that's another bonus guy that wasn't on our 0:34:29.320 --> 0:34:33.359 lists but almost made mine. But I just think I'll 0:34:33.360 --> 0:34:34.959 take my shirt on the guy who's thrown two hundred 0:34:34.960 --> 0:34:37.160 innings more than once. You know. 0:34:37.440 --> 0:34:39.799 Yeah, And that's actually the really important key there is 0:34:39.920 --> 0:34:42.480 he's gonna get massive amounts of innings. They're gonna rely 0:34:42.560 --> 0:34:44.440 on him all year long. I don't think they can 0:34:44.480 --> 0:34:47.000 get out from the contract. You hope he doesn't have 0:34:47.200 --> 0:34:50.360 sixteen losses again this year, but it kind of a 0:34:50.360 --> 0:34:51.040 scrappy team. 0:34:51.120 --> 0:34:52.840 I'll take the sixteen losses if he gives me a 0:34:52.880 --> 0:34:54.839 ten K per nine. He gives me a mid three 0:34:54.920 --> 0:34:56.280 z e R, I'll take that. 0:34:56.280 --> 0:34:56.680 That's fine. 0:34:56.719 --> 0:34:58.319 You can lose all those games you want, all right, 0:34:58.360 --> 0:35:00.000 Let's go to the last guy on the Riser list 0:35:00.120 --> 0:35:01.760 for you while show you got. 0:35:01.760 --> 0:35:04.280 If you're talking about, who are the guys during spring 0:35:04.360 --> 0:35:06.799 that have helped their cause, I'm not sure there is 0:35:06.840 --> 0:35:09.200 a guy that's helped their cause more than Haesu's Lozardo, 0:35:09.560 --> 0:35:13.560 whose former top prospect. I absolutely loved him with the 0:35:13.600 --> 0:35:16.799 A's and he really fell into inconsistency, which is so 0:35:16.880 --> 0:35:18.520 interesting because that is a lot of what he was 0:35:18.560 --> 0:35:22.240 built off of. Lozardo multi pitch pitcher, lots of different pitches, 0:35:22.640 --> 0:35:24.799 he could command the zone. But one of the things 0:35:24.840 --> 0:35:27.480 I loved about him, he's a very off kilter pitcher. 0:35:27.520 --> 0:35:29.759 So you know, he would normal pitch you and then 0:35:30.200 --> 0:35:32.600 you know, second pitch in he might he might quick 0:35:32.640 --> 0:35:34.520 pitch you, like he gets the ball and just bahm, 0:35:34.760 --> 0:35:37.319 and then he might do a hold, you know, hold 0:35:37.400 --> 0:35:40.160 his foot motion and then pitch, so he would keep 0:35:40.200 --> 0:35:42.920 guys off balance. He's a really smart pitcher with multiple 0:35:42.920 --> 0:35:46.480 good pitches, and became completely inconsistent. He lost a decent 0:35:46.520 --> 0:35:50.480 amount of his fastball. He's risen his average fastball. This 0:35:50.920 --> 0:35:53.160 I know one of the starts, and my buddy Chris 0:35:53.200 --> 0:35:55.759 Claig had tweeted about a couple of these things. You've 0:35:55.760 --> 0:35:58.560 seen him a put almost three miles per hour back 0:35:58.600 --> 0:36:02.279 on his fastball, hitting the high nineties and see b 0:36:02.800 --> 0:36:07.799 see jumping in and throwing the curveball more than the fastball. 0:36:07.960 --> 0:36:10.200 And that really sets up because if you are throwing 0:36:10.320 --> 0:36:13.960 ninety nine and everybody has to sit on that curveball, 0:36:14.080 --> 0:36:16.400 you're going to get strikeouts. It's just the type of 0:36:16.440 --> 0:36:18.880 success a young pitcher that's actually like kind of like 0:36:18.920 --> 0:36:21.080 a twenty seven to twenty eight, twenty nine year old 0:36:21.120 --> 0:36:22.800 type of game I would think they would be playing. 0:36:23.239 --> 0:36:25.719 This is a really smart game plan for him, and 0:36:25.760 --> 0:36:28.239 I think it's going to lead to success. Overpowering with 0:36:28.280 --> 0:36:31.160 your secondaries and then just punch out, you know, high 0:36:31.239 --> 0:36:34.520 on the fastball and him adding that type of ve low. 0:36:35.200 --> 0:36:37.040 That speaks for itself. You know, that's not even a 0:36:37.040 --> 0:36:41.040 spring stat. That is just result, and we don't always 0:36:41.080 --> 0:36:44.040 need stats to you know, make us come to our decisions. 0:36:44.200 --> 0:36:47.200 That is a simple result that leads to probably him 0:36:47.200 --> 0:36:49.440 being a guy that not only need to target, but 0:36:49.680 --> 0:36:51.960 we've talked about the cheat code guys. He's an RP. 0:36:52.280 --> 0:36:54.720 He's in a qualify relief pitcher for a lot of places. 0:36:54.719 --> 0:36:56.600 So if you want to sneak in that, throw him 0:36:56.600 --> 0:36:57.920 in there. So Lizardo's moved. 0:36:57.800 --> 0:37:00.880 Up for me, all right? Love that one. Love Wizardo. 0:37:00.960 --> 0:37:02.840 In those leagues where he might qualify at RP and 0:37:02.920 --> 0:37:06.120 s P, that's that's huge, especially in those mandatory spots there. 0:37:06.160 --> 0:37:07.960 So I hope he gets back on track because I'm 0:37:08.000 --> 0:37:09.600 like you, Welsh, I was somebody who was absolutely in 0:37:09.680 --> 0:37:11.720 love with the talent in the Oakland system. 0:37:11.760 --> 0:37:14.279 And then it's just he's not free anymore, which I 0:37:14.320 --> 0:37:17.799 don't like. He was free before. He's much less free. 0:37:17.840 --> 0:37:20.759 He's really risen up boards, So I don't I will 0:37:20.800 --> 0:37:23.520 say this, I'm not willing to overpay for him and 0:37:23.600 --> 0:37:26.959 a lot of other people buzzy names. People will pay 0:37:27.040 --> 0:37:29.440 whatever the costs, even the guys we've talked. 0:37:29.200 --> 0:37:32.520 About, like, well, he's consensus to seventy three overall right now, 0:37:32.560 --> 0:37:34.160 pitcher number eighty three on the board. 0:37:34.360 --> 0:37:35.560 That's it's pretty good. 0:37:35.719 --> 0:37:39.000 But I've seen him go into the two hundreds. 0:37:39.040 --> 0:37:40.800 Like, well, here's a question for you. 0:37:40.840 --> 0:37:43.240 Would you take Alex Cobb or would you take Hazu's 0:37:43.320 --> 0:37:45.680 Lozardo because those they're pretty close to each other right 0:37:45.680 --> 0:37:48.040 now in terms of the expert consensus rankings on Fantasy 0:37:48.040 --> 0:37:48.480 pers you. 0:37:48.440 --> 0:37:50.280 Picked another guy who's had a lot of good vload 0:37:50.360 --> 0:37:51.000 changes as well. 0:37:51.600 --> 0:37:53.200 Yeah, that's why I put it out there. 0:37:53.320 --> 0:37:57.000 I would take Cobb personally, but I think Iron as well. 0:37:57.080 --> 0:37:59.880 I'm hiring like that ballpark, Yeah. 0:37:59.760 --> 0:38:01.960 Yeah, I'm in the same mind as you, all right, 0:38:02.040 --> 0:38:05.000 last guy for me, it's a riser. Mackenzie Gore having 0:38:05.000 --> 0:38:08.279 a wonderful spring this year. He's taking the ball three 0:38:08.320 --> 0:38:12.759 times nine innings so far, eleven strikeouts, one walk. If 0:38:12.760 --> 0:38:15.000 you go look at the minor league track record over 0:38:15.239 --> 0:38:17.720 fifty five minor league starts, he's got a three point 0:38:17.719 --> 0:38:20.680 two eight career eer got a two point eight five 0:38:20.760 --> 0:38:22.719 career era. Pardon me, I was, We'll get the wrong 0:38:22.760 --> 0:38:25.680 number there, the one point one zero six whip. The 0:38:25.719 --> 0:38:28.839 guy's striking out eleven per nine. This is a guy 0:38:28.920 --> 0:38:31.799 we've been hearing about for ages now. It seems like 0:38:31.920 --> 0:38:34.200 and just haven't quite cracked that rotation. We thought he 0:38:34.280 --> 0:38:36.480 might get dealt in one of these deals moving back 0:38:36.520 --> 0:38:39.120 and forth. But I mean, Mackenzie Gore right now certainly 0:38:39.120 --> 0:38:41.960 looks like a guy that should get a shot at 0:38:42.000 --> 0:38:45.600 this rotation. Clevenger did start this week. It was not 0:38:45.640 --> 0:38:47.799 a great start. Clevenger said, I always think and bring. 0:38:47.840 --> 0:38:50.239 He hasn't pitched in a very long time, so there's 0:38:50.280 --> 0:38:54.040 a chance maybe that Clevenger's working behind everybody. I'm not 0:38:54.160 --> 0:38:56.080 exactly sure how many starts we're gonna get out of 0:38:56.080 --> 0:38:58.400 Mackenzie Gore this year, but I think you're gonna get 0:38:58.520 --> 0:39:00.759 enough to invest in him, so I moved him up 0:39:00.760 --> 0:39:03.160 my board a decent amount, still kind of after some 0:39:03.200 --> 0:39:05.120 of these other guys because of the unknown factors a 0:39:05.160 --> 0:39:06.840 little bit. And he is still a young pitcher, so 0:39:06.840 --> 0:39:09.879 there's still some limitations. But when you're looking at Mackenzie Gore, 0:39:10.160 --> 0:39:12.040 where do you have him Welsh and and what are 0:39:12.080 --> 0:39:14.080 your expectations for Gore in twenty twenty two. 0:39:15.000 --> 0:39:18.080 I am not with everybody else on this. And I 0:39:18.120 --> 0:39:22.279 loved Mackenzie Gore back in twenty seventeen, was at his 0:39:22.560 --> 0:39:25.400 pro his first pro start, one of my favorite pictures. 0:39:25.440 --> 0:39:29.000 I had him at number one forever. But over this 0:39:29.120 --> 0:39:32.120 last two years he's really kind of fallen apart a 0:39:32.160 --> 0:39:34.640 little bit as who he was. Saw him in common. 0:39:34.680 --> 0:39:36.600 He was terrible in the Arizona Fall. By the way, 0:39:36.600 --> 0:39:38.000 I don't know if you watched him. He was a 0:39:38.080 --> 0:39:39.640 seventy hour dude. 0:39:39.640 --> 0:39:41.919 He was gonna say you saw him, bitch, he was. 0:39:42.120 --> 0:39:44.640 Did He played rookie ball out here. They kept him 0:39:44.680 --> 0:39:46.520 hanging at the complex for a while. Then he played 0:39:46.600 --> 0:39:49.880 rookie ball. Then he went to the AFL after he's 0:39:50.040 --> 0:39:53.080 shown signs, but that's my problem with him. I believe 0:39:53.120 --> 0:39:55.120 he's a reliever and I think he should be groomed 0:39:55.120 --> 0:39:58.280 to be a closer at some point. His fastball doesn't 0:39:58.280 --> 0:40:00.760 have the spin that it used to. He can't pump 0:40:00.840 --> 0:40:04.160 ninety seven inconsistent. He's got a pump closer to ninety four. 0:40:05.280 --> 0:40:07.560 He started throwing his curveball again, which I think has 0:40:07.640 --> 0:40:10.400 been more success. But his stuff is all right, you know, 0:40:10.440 --> 0:40:12.440 and he's had more He has more confidence right now 0:40:12.480 --> 0:40:14.760 where he's hitting the zones. But I don't personally believe 0:40:15.040 --> 0:40:18.520 he's gonna get into the second or third through the lineup, 0:40:18.719 --> 0:40:20.600 and that's going to hurt as a starter. So my 0:40:20.680 --> 0:40:23.040 expectation for this year, and maybe I'll be wrong. You know, 0:40:23.200 --> 0:40:26.800 the Potters might trade out Chris Paddock and Nick Martinez 0:40:26.840 --> 0:40:28.120 is not an option, and they put him in. But 0:40:28.120 --> 0:40:30.719 I don't think there's a role for Mackenzie Gore to 0:40:30.760 --> 0:40:32.360 be a starter. I think he'd be a spot starter. 0:40:32.480 --> 0:40:34.400 I think he's a kind of mid reliever playing a 0:40:34.440 --> 0:40:37.439 Garrett Crochet role. I think he'll find success. Maybe he'll 0:40:37.480 --> 0:40:40.080 be a starter next year, but I really believe the 0:40:40.120 --> 0:40:41.920 bullpen long term is where he's going to go. But 0:40:41.960 --> 0:40:44.560 I will point out he has worked with the starters 0:40:44.840 --> 0:40:48.880 the entire offseason. Here in the spring, he's with Paddock 0:40:48.920 --> 0:40:51.120 all the time is where I usually see him. I 0:40:51.120 --> 0:40:53.040 don't see him hanging out with any of the relievers 0:40:53.120 --> 0:40:54.960 or anything like that. So they're going to continue to 0:40:54.960 --> 0:40:57.279 do it until they can't. But I personally do not 0:40:57.440 --> 0:41:00.680 believe he can. So I'm not on board with McKenzie gore. 0:41:01.600 --> 0:41:03.880 All right, fair enough there, So those are our risers, 0:41:03.920 --> 0:41:07.279 Treek schoobl Francisco Lindor, Patrick Corbin, Mackenzie Gore. For me, 0:41:07.600 --> 0:41:10.680 I would also throw Hunter Green into that mix as well. 0:41:10.719 --> 0:41:13.600 Who's making the rotation? Who? My goodness, I only had 0:41:13.640 --> 0:41:15.560 eight keepers in this one league, and I kept him 0:41:15.800 --> 0:41:18.000 for like three bucks because I was like, I feel 0:41:18.000 --> 0:41:20.440 like he's gonna play this year a lot, and feeling 0:41:20.480 --> 0:41:22.319 pretty good about that one. So that's good. That same 0:41:22.320 --> 0:41:24.720 team as to gram on it. So hopefully somebody pitches 0:41:24.719 --> 0:41:27.239 for me this week, Oh my god. All right, and 0:41:27.280 --> 0:41:30.960 then of course the Welsh has Julio Rodriguez, Chris Bryant, 0:41:31.040 --> 0:41:33.840 Jeremy Pinia, hayesus Lozardo. When we threw an Alex cobb 0:41:33.880 --> 0:41:35.719 in there two as a mutual one. All right, let's 0:41:35.719 --> 0:41:38.640 get some of the followers here. For me, number one 0:41:38.719 --> 0:41:40.880 was Lance mccullors. I mean, this is just easy, and 0:41:40.920 --> 0:41:43.560 it's injury related. You know, spring performance when there's zero 0:41:43.640 --> 0:41:46.279 spring performance and this lingering injuries with a guy who's 0:41:46.280 --> 0:41:50.640 had injuries already. I love the talent. I was very 0:41:50.760 --> 0:41:52.360 high on him. If he asked me in January, I 0:41:52.400 --> 0:41:53.680 was like, oh, I'm and I have all the mccolors 0:41:53.680 --> 0:41:55.839 this year. Hopefully shows up to camp healthy and we're 0:41:55.880 --> 0:41:58.560 ready to go. That hasn't happened. He's been a foller 0:41:58.560 --> 0:42:01.560 for me. I've knocked him sick magnificantly down in my rankings. 0:42:01.560 --> 0:42:04.600 In fact, I'm going to do another, probably another refresh 0:42:04.600 --> 0:42:07.840 of some of these rankings right before we finished this show, 0:42:08.040 --> 0:42:11.400 and I've just plummeted him. I just don't feel like 0:42:11.440 --> 0:42:13.719 we're going to get a Lansma Color Seniors season at 0:42:13.719 --> 0:42:15.520 this point, which is very sad. 0:42:15.600 --> 0:42:17.040 So I'm just not touching him. 0:42:17.040 --> 0:42:19.759 I have him at Pitcher seventy five right now, but 0:42:20.080 --> 0:42:23.880 that might even potentially get worse. So he's a definite 0:42:24.000 --> 0:42:26.879 faller for me. Welsh, who is a faller on your list. 0:42:27.880 --> 0:42:30.000 You know, it's not as significant as that, And I 0:42:30.000 --> 0:42:32.000 don't want to make every single one of these about injuries, 0:42:32.040 --> 0:42:34.680 but Luis Castillo has kind of fallen for me. He's 0:42:34.719 --> 0:42:37.359 been the kind of some of the inconsistencies with the team. 0:42:37.360 --> 0:42:40.480 I'm really worried about the team context with him as well. 0:42:41.280 --> 0:42:45.080 Injury worries are out there, so I've pushed him outside 0:42:45.120 --> 0:42:47.160 of my top one hundred. And you know, he's one 0:42:47.200 --> 0:42:49.960 of those guys everybody, you know, primatively everyone's like, oh 0:42:50.080 --> 0:42:53.200 Lois Castillo, he's going to break out, and he's inconsistent 0:42:53.239 --> 0:42:56.399 in seasons. He's got months of eight eras and then 0:42:56.400 --> 0:42:58.279 he finds it for a month and a half. He's 0:42:58.320 --> 0:43:01.600 the hobby Bayas or the He's the odabertilmnd Tocy of 0:43:01.640 --> 0:43:03.279 pitchers type of guy, like he could be one of 0:43:03.320 --> 0:43:05.759 the best and he can completely fall apart. I'm just 0:43:05.800 --> 0:43:08.320 not I would take him if Bush comes to shove, 0:43:08.520 --> 0:43:11.120 but I'm not interested in paying the cost for him. 0:43:11.239 --> 0:43:14.000 And you know, them decimating that team has moved him 0:43:14.000 --> 0:43:16.200 off a little bit. So Luis Castillo number one for me? 0:43:17.160 --> 0:43:17.520 All right? 0:43:17.800 --> 0:43:20.880 For me? Another faller's Cody Bellinger. I was trying to 0:43:20.960 --> 0:43:23.520 be patient, give him the benefit of the doubt, Welsh, 0:43:23.520 --> 0:43:24.920 and I think that's a smart thing to do when 0:43:24.960 --> 0:43:28.000 you've seen players who have had monstrous seasons, right, I 0:43:28.040 --> 0:43:30.359 don't want to go and be the prisoner of the moment. 0:43:30.400 --> 0:43:32.160 I don't want to go and see a player who 0:43:32.200 --> 0:43:34.920 was once hitting forty bombs and then have some struggles 0:43:34.960 --> 0:43:36.600 and all of a sudden say, yeah, that guy's toast. 0:43:36.640 --> 0:43:39.880 He's done. But man, I'm just not seeing anything. Cody Bellinger, 0:43:39.880 --> 0:43:41.680 he's had a buck forty eight so far. I know 0:43:41.719 --> 0:43:44.080 he had a decent postseason where people start to get 0:43:44.080 --> 0:43:46.040 a little excited again. But the biggest one for me, 0:43:46.120 --> 0:43:49.200 Welsh this spring He's had ten games, twenty seven at bats. 0:43:49.280 --> 0:43:52.520 He's had seventeen strikeouts in those twenty seven at bats. 0:43:52.960 --> 0:43:55.520 Something's wrong there, and I'm just not touching him. I'm 0:43:55.520 --> 0:43:56.040 not touching him. 0:43:56.080 --> 0:43:57.160 For whatever the ADP is. 0:43:57.600 --> 0:44:01.279 It was the discount of all discounts, maybe very very 0:44:01.360 --> 0:44:03.720 late in a draft, but that's not gonna happen. Somebody 0:44:03.719 --> 0:44:06.160 in your draft is probably gonna take Cody Bollinger a 0:44:06.200 --> 0:44:09.480 little earlier based on previous performance. But Welsh, I can't 0:44:09.600 --> 0:44:12.680 help but get around the seventeen strikeouts and twenty seven 0:44:12.680 --> 0:44:14.479 at pass, to me, that's a huge flag. 0:44:14.520 --> 0:44:17.040 What do you think the punchies he calls him. He said, 0:44:17.080 --> 0:44:18.759 He's like, that's what spring's for. You got to get 0:44:18.760 --> 0:44:20.720 the punchies out of the way. Yeah. 0:44:20.719 --> 0:44:22.000 Well, he's getting them all out of the way. He's 0:44:22.000 --> 0:44:23.120 not gonna have any left at this point. 0:44:23.160 --> 0:44:26.680 He is. I am a Cody Bellinger disciple. I kind 0:44:26.680 --> 0:44:29.160 of defend him a bit. I definitely am a little 0:44:29.200 --> 0:44:32.799 bit worried with how bad this spring is. But to 0:44:32.880 --> 0:44:35.680 the same point, good or bad, you don't want to 0:44:35.719 --> 0:44:39.160 buy everything in. But seeing the amount of strikeouts and 0:44:39.200 --> 0:44:41.400 some of the changes he's done is a little bit worrisome. 0:44:41.480 --> 0:44:43.439 I think there's just a lot of playing around that's 0:44:43.440 --> 0:44:46.479 going on. As well season comes. I think he's gonna 0:44:46.480 --> 0:44:48.920 stop screwing around. You know, he's gonna stop messing with 0:44:49.000 --> 0:44:51.040 his swing, and he's gonna get back to basics. The 0:44:51.080 --> 0:44:53.440 basics might be the problem. Though, here's what I'll say. 0:44:53.440 --> 0:44:55.799 I'm not with you. He has fallen. He actually has 0:44:55.800 --> 0:44:57.920 fallen a little bit because I think I was hyper aggressive. 0:44:58.320 --> 0:45:00.719 I will still draft him, but I like it now 0:45:00.760 --> 0:45:03.080 because he comes at a much cheaper cost because he 0:45:03.160 --> 0:45:04.239 was starting to rise up. 0:45:04.280 --> 0:45:04.759 There were some. 0:45:05.400 --> 0:45:07.840 Behind the scenes a couple people I've talked to that 0:45:07.920 --> 0:45:10.400 had some good things to say about some stuff that 0:45:10.440 --> 0:45:13.160 Cody Bellinger's did this past offseason that could help and 0:45:13.200 --> 0:45:15.680 could go to a breakout. It's not an application right 0:45:15.680 --> 0:45:17.840 now during the spring, but I am hoping that the 0:45:17.840 --> 0:45:20.080 punches are out of the way and I can take 0:45:20.160 --> 0:45:21.040 him a little bit later. 0:45:21.920 --> 0:45:24.240 Coming into this year, I feel like we had Yelich 0:45:24.280 --> 0:45:28.560 and Bellingers like Okay, some around like outfielder twenty five. 0:45:28.640 --> 0:45:30.000 You could take a shot on one of these guys. 0:45:30.640 --> 0:45:32.960 I'm not taking the shot on Bellinger there, not even close. 0:45:33.120 --> 0:45:35.240 I mean at this point, I'd rather be taking shots 0:45:35.280 --> 0:45:37.680 later and guys like Kirolov we talked about a lot 0:45:37.680 --> 0:45:40.560 more earlier this week on shows. All right, let's get 0:45:40.560 --> 0:45:43.000 to another guy on your list, Welsh, who you have? 0:45:43.440 --> 0:45:45.160 I mean, it's just an easy I don't need to 0:45:45.160 --> 0:45:47.080 go crazy into it. It's kind of like your mccoulers. 0:45:47.120 --> 0:45:50.200 It's flerty flirty with the injury stuff. He's also kind 0:45:50.200 --> 0:45:52.839 of had some of those inconsistencies of a good month, 0:45:52.920 --> 0:45:57.080 bad month. He's coming into the season on an il stint. 0:45:57.960 --> 0:46:00.800 Do we really fully know the extent of of these injuries. 0:46:01.360 --> 0:46:04.719 You just moved way down and he's I'm less likely 0:46:04.760 --> 0:46:06.319 to draft him. I don't want to call him off 0:46:06.320 --> 0:46:08.840 my board, but I don't see a scenario where I 0:46:08.920 --> 0:46:10.960 draft him. So he's kind of plummeted down in the 0:46:10.960 --> 0:46:12.080 same mccullor's range. 0:46:12.960 --> 0:46:16.279 Yeah, that's fair, And look, injuries are important, especially when 0:46:16.280 --> 0:46:18.279 it comes to the pitchers here that you have to 0:46:18.360 --> 0:46:20.400 knock them down. You can't always think everything's going to 0:46:20.440 --> 0:46:22.800 be rosy and you can't say, well, you know, hopefully 0:46:22.800 --> 0:46:25.240 you can get healthy. Because we've seen this already. It's 0:46:25.280 --> 0:46:27.840 your starting off at a deficit. You're already going to 0:46:27.920 --> 0:46:30.520 have to deal with injuries in season. If you're going 0:46:30.520 --> 0:46:33.560 to make investments, especially big investments on pictures who are 0:46:33.640 --> 0:46:36.279 very talented but are already hard to hurt to start 0:46:36.360 --> 0:46:39.279 the year, Excuse me, that's tough. I mean, I think 0:46:39.320 --> 0:46:41.239 you're already putting yourself behind the eight ball and it's 0:46:41.280 --> 0:46:43.359 not a place to be. Another guy for me that's 0:46:43.360 --> 0:46:46.120 falling down is Jared Kellnick, another one that I thought 0:46:46.120 --> 0:46:49.920 Spring was very important for seven strikeouts in the nine 0:46:50.000 --> 0:46:52.600 games and the twenty five played appearances, hitting just two 0:46:52.760 --> 0:46:55.720 hundred two thirty one obps. Take it, just one walk 0:46:55.880 --> 0:46:59.000 in those twenty five at bats. So part of the 0:46:59.000 --> 0:47:01.640 reason why I've been moving up Julio Rodriguez because I 0:47:01.640 --> 0:47:04.040 feel really confident about that guy and the tools that 0:47:04.040 --> 0:47:06.280 he brings. And I'm still waiting for Kellenick to click, 0:47:06.680 --> 0:47:09.399 and it just feels like he's one of these can't 0:47:09.440 --> 0:47:12.160 miss prospects. But we see this happen well sometimes where 0:47:13.080 --> 0:47:16.040 maybe something was lost in translation, maybe that first run 0:47:16.080 --> 0:47:18.279 of the Major League is really hurt his confidence, or 0:47:18.400 --> 0:47:20.880 I don't know what's going on with Jared Kellenick, but 0:47:20.960 --> 0:47:22.720 if you look at the track record in the minor leagues, 0:47:22.800 --> 0:47:24.439 was this a very solid player. A lot of people 0:47:24.480 --> 0:47:27.080 felt a very polished player that would actually transition to 0:47:27.239 --> 0:47:31.120 the major leagues quite easily, and everybody was wrong about that. 0:47:31.560 --> 0:47:34.399 And until he shows it to me, I'm knocking him 0:47:34.400 --> 0:47:37.000 down significantly in my rankings. I just can't get there. 0:47:37.080 --> 0:47:39.600 I can't do it. To me. There's a lot of 0:47:39.640 --> 0:47:42.480 guys in the outfield that are suspect as you get deeper, 0:47:42.960 --> 0:47:45.200 and if I'm gonna take somebody's suspect, I'm gonna take 0:47:45.239 --> 0:47:47.360 somebody that's got more of a track record I'm gonna 0:47:47.600 --> 0:47:49.720 try to take right now. I mean, you got guys 0:47:49.760 --> 0:47:52.200 like Horay Solaier, Adam Duval, Jared Kellenick. They're kind of 0:47:52.200 --> 0:47:54.480 in that same range. I gotta be honest with you. 0:47:54.520 --> 0:47:56.000 I'll take some of the boppers that I know are 0:47:56.040 --> 0:47:58.440 gonna crush batting average, but they're also gonna crush dingers. 0:47:58.480 --> 0:48:01.239 I don't know what Kellenick's gonna crush set by batting average, 0:48:01.360 --> 0:48:03.160 and I know they're committed to him, and I think 0:48:03.160 --> 0:48:05.480 that's great. But there's even guys like Tommy fam and 0:48:05.480 --> 0:48:07.120 Andrew Bennan Tendi where I kind of feel like they 0:48:07.160 --> 0:48:09.480 might be safer than kell Nick. He re draft leagues 0:48:09.560 --> 0:48:10.760 right now, Welsh, what do you think. 0:48:10.600 --> 0:48:12.680 I'm huge on Andrew ben and Tendi this year? Yeah, 0:48:12.680 --> 0:48:16.080 I don't reach for Jared kell Nick. Some players have 0:48:16.200 --> 0:48:19.880 to learn adversity. I think Joey Dell was experiencing that. 0:48:19.960 --> 0:48:21.560 I don't think there was a lot of, you know, 0:48:21.640 --> 0:48:25.440 baseball adversity he was dealing with. Jared Kelnick. No baseball adversity. 0:48:25.640 --> 0:48:28.640 You know, he dominated at every level. The biggest adversity 0:48:28.680 --> 0:48:31.920 he faced was being traded to the Mariners, and these 0:48:31.960 --> 0:48:34.960 guys haven't experienced a whole lot of failure. And then 0:48:35.000 --> 0:48:37.799 you get to the highest competitive level where they're being 0:48:37.960 --> 0:48:41.680 challenged where they weren't being challenged before, and you're seeing major, major, 0:48:41.920 --> 0:48:45.479 major struggles. Some players don't need it. You know, we've 0:48:45.719 --> 0:48:49.240 Wanda Franco, doesn't. You know, like failure is not an option. 0:48:49.320 --> 0:48:52.200 You know, that's not something that is in his game 0:48:52.200 --> 0:48:54.239 plan of how he plays the game. Some guys do. 0:48:54.640 --> 0:48:56.560 And I think you're gonna and that's gonna be the 0:48:56.600 --> 0:49:00.560 true testament. But you know, why pay up right now 0:49:00.600 --> 0:49:03.760 for the opportunity for him to get it fixed. Spring 0:49:03.840 --> 0:49:06.560 looks okay, he still looks a little bit beat. Julio 0:49:06.600 --> 0:49:09.040 looks better than him right now. So I don't disagree 0:49:09.040 --> 0:49:11.360 with you. I still believe in Kelnick, but he's not 0:49:11.440 --> 0:49:13.279 a draft target for me. I don't think I've moved 0:49:13.320 --> 0:49:16.360 him down a ton, but I really just don't prioritize 0:49:16.440 --> 0:49:17.000 drafting him. 0:49:17.719 --> 0:49:19.800 I have him, I've got him right now in the 0:49:19.840 --> 0:49:23.640 low seventies ish range. Like if Michael Confordo doesn't have 0:49:23.640 --> 0:49:25.799 a team the Minnick Michael Conforto signs, I would take 0:49:25.880 --> 0:49:29.359 him over Jared Kelnick. Here's a question for you. These 0:49:29.360 --> 0:49:32.760 guys have clumped together, Cavin Bizio, Jared Kellnick, Andrew Vaughn. 0:49:33.120 --> 0:49:34.759 Who would you rather have those three if you had 0:49:34.760 --> 0:49:35.319 the draft one? 0:49:35.400 --> 0:49:37.120 Oh? Kel Nick? Hands down? 0:49:37.440 --> 0:49:40.879 Okay, so still Kellenick for you. All Right, Well, let's 0:49:40.880 --> 0:49:42.440 just get another guy on your list. Who you got? 0:49:42.560 --> 0:49:44.919 Well, this is gonna be an interesting one. I don't 0:49:44.920 --> 0:49:46.560 know if you saw my notes I put up here. 0:49:48.560 --> 0:49:50.400 I don't have a third one. I gotta tell you 0:49:50.400 --> 0:49:53.320 because of a trade that just went down, a huge 0:49:53.360 --> 0:49:56.240 trade which has massive implications. And it was the guy 0:49:56.360 --> 0:50:00.440 that I had on this list. I had Craig Kimberl. 0:50:00.520 --> 0:50:03.600 I watched Kimberl pitch the other day against the Los 0:50:03.640 --> 0:50:08.040 Angeles Dodgers. It was Walker Bueller. Kimberl didn't really look fantastic. 0:50:08.080 --> 0:50:10.440 I gotta admit to you. He didn't looked great. The 0:50:10.520 --> 0:50:13.040 White Sox kept talking about keeping him. They had not 0:50:13.280 --> 0:50:17.080 moved him. I didn't feel good about anything happening with 0:50:17.160 --> 0:50:19.600 Craig Kimberl, and I put him on this list. And 0:50:19.640 --> 0:50:23.440 then as we were recording this show, Craig Kimberl traded 0:50:23.480 --> 0:50:26.960 to the Los Angeles Dodgers for Aj Pollock. It's a 0:50:27.320 --> 0:50:31.239 massive move. So I'm cheating because he's not on the 0:50:31.280 --> 0:50:34.480 list now because that was the guy, and he jumps 0:50:34.480 --> 0:50:37.120 into that closer role. Blake Trinon is now the guy 0:50:37.160 --> 0:50:39.440 that is, So that's my pick. Blake Trinon is the 0:50:39.440 --> 0:50:42.120 guy because he's no longer the closer. He likes to 0:50:42.160 --> 0:50:44.759 even be that high leverage guy. Kimberl's the closer with 0:50:44.800 --> 0:50:49.240 the Dodgers skyrockets up and Blake Trinon moves down. Also 0:50:49.360 --> 0:50:52.319 an uptick to Gavin lux who I think might be 0:50:52.360 --> 0:50:54.560 able to take some of this playing time for Aj Pollock. 0:50:54.680 --> 0:50:58.759 So lucks up, Kimber up, Trynon down. That's my pick 0:50:58.800 --> 0:51:00.440 because I literally had to that. 0:51:00.640 --> 0:51:02.279 Thanks for all those people who took Trent in early, 0:51:02.440 --> 0:51:04.800 especially after you felt if you took him really early 0:51:04.840 --> 0:51:07.839 before the Kenley Jansen move, you felt like a million bucks, 0:51:08.000 --> 0:51:11.440 like I'm a genius. Only six days before the season 0:51:11.480 --> 0:51:13.799 to have this happen, that's just that's crushing. All right. 0:51:14.239 --> 0:51:16.080 I've got one more on my list, is yours kind 0:51:16.120 --> 0:51:18.200 of got stolen from underneath you? Why don't you take 0:51:18.200 --> 0:51:18.920 another one here? 0:51:19.880 --> 0:51:22.520 Oh yeah, my last one on my list is Kamilla 0:51:22.600 --> 0:51:25.160 Daval kind of in the same range. He's a guy 0:51:25.160 --> 0:51:28.320 that's moved down. He actually could still be really interesting 0:51:28.360 --> 0:51:31.480 to draft, I would say, because I think he will. 0:51:31.760 --> 0:51:34.680 Bogmin's even said he thinks Camilla will lead the team 0:51:34.719 --> 0:51:37.560 in saves, and I believe it, but people are still 0:51:37.640 --> 0:51:40.640 drafting him pretty high. I always got on Bogman's case 0:51:40.640 --> 0:51:42.719 about doing it because there were no guarantees. They've said 0:51:42.760 --> 0:51:46.080 Jake McGee is the current closer. So from the perspective 0:51:46.080 --> 0:51:49.719 of falling down list, Kamille Deval has moved pretty far down. Kapler, 0:51:50.000 --> 0:51:52.040 you know, is he going to give away that job early, 0:51:52.120 --> 0:51:54.680 especially to a young guy, doesn't seem likely. I think 0:51:54.719 --> 0:51:56.920 McGee is going to get the opportunity for quite some 0:51:57.040 --> 0:51:59.879 time here. So Kmilla Daval was another guy that over 0:52:00.040 --> 0:52:01.000 spring has moved down. 0:52:02.080 --> 0:52:03.759 Well, she's gonna hate me for this last one. It's 0:52:03.840 --> 0:52:07.359 Jesse Winker. I just think last year was a one 0:52:07.440 --> 0:52:10.840 year wonder I do. He's always been a good contact 0:52:10.880 --> 0:52:12.800 hitter in the minor leagues, never had a lot of power. 0:52:13.360 --> 0:52:15.680 But to me, it's it's not even the Spring performance, 0:52:15.680 --> 0:52:17.480 which if you want, I could give it to you. 0:52:17.520 --> 0:52:19.239 You want to hear the spring performance twenty two ap 0:52:19.280 --> 0:52:23.759 bats point zero four or five batting average. Okay, he's 0:52:23.800 --> 0:52:28.000 not hitting anything right now, showing no power right and 0:52:28.080 --> 0:52:29.920 on top of which, he's moving now to the Seattle 0:52:29.960 --> 0:52:32.359 Ballpark away from Cincinnati. I just don't like this move. 0:52:32.600 --> 0:52:35.439 I think people are overrating him based on the fact 0:52:35.440 --> 0:52:37.760 that someone traded for him. He's a nice baseball player. 0:52:38.080 --> 0:52:40.759 But I'm telling you, if the power regresses and he 0:52:40.800 --> 0:52:42.319 doesn't have that same kind of run, he had a 0:52:42.360 --> 0:52:45.839 magnificent month of baseball last year and that power was fantastic, 0:52:45.840 --> 0:52:48.200 And I agree. I was in that train, going Okay, 0:52:48.600 --> 0:52:50.960 maybe Jesse Winker has turned this corner, and if he's 0:52:51.000 --> 0:52:53.160 going to turn it, Cincinnai's a hell of a place 0:52:53.160 --> 0:52:56.080 to sustain it. I'm just concerned that he can't sustain it. 0:52:56.160 --> 0:52:58.400 If he was crushing the ball this spring, maybe I 0:52:58.400 --> 0:53:00.640 would feel a little bit more comfortable arm and Fuzzy 0:53:00.640 --> 0:53:03.000 and my Tom Tom about it. But I don't, I don't, 0:53:03.320 --> 0:53:05.200 and I don't like this point zero four to five 0:53:05.239 --> 0:53:08.200 batting average and spring spring can get overrated. Well, you 0:53:08.239 --> 0:53:10.080 couple that with a move from a great power hitting 0:53:10.080 --> 0:53:12.440 ballpark to it not as great power hitting ballpark, not 0:53:12.480 --> 0:53:14.640 saying you can't hit them runs there. But Winker's been 0:53:15.000 --> 0:53:16.719 more of a contact guy than a power guy in 0:53:16.760 --> 0:53:19.080 his career either. Sometimes I left you right, he splits 0:53:19.200 --> 0:53:22.240 two against pitchers have been less than thrilling with Winker 0:53:22.239 --> 0:53:24.200 and his career. Also, I think there's a lot more 0:53:24.280 --> 0:53:26.799 risk than people realize. So that's where I am. 0:53:26.840 --> 0:53:28.759 And the only thing I don't like about it is 0:53:28.800 --> 0:53:31.480 where people are giving Brian Reynolds the pass if he's 0:53:31.520 --> 0:53:33.720 the funnest, coolest guy to draft on the planet. 0:53:34.040 --> 0:53:34.359 He is. 0:53:34.520 --> 0:53:37.920 They're the same player, Jesse Winkers are the exact same player, 0:53:38.320 --> 0:53:41.759 and right now, Jessin Winker plays on an exponentially better 0:53:41.800 --> 0:53:43.799 offensive team if you get now, if Reynolds gets straighted 0:53:43.800 --> 0:53:45.960 to the padres, that's maybe a little different story. But 0:53:46.040 --> 0:53:48.799 I just feel like there's they're the exact same guy, 0:53:49.040 --> 0:53:51.880 and everyone loves Reynolds and now everybody hates Winker. So 0:53:51.920 --> 0:53:53.279 I just don't I don't buy it. 0:53:54.640 --> 0:53:58.040 This is good. Debate is good, difference of opinion good. 0:53:58.480 --> 0:54:00.200 We shall see how this one ends up at the 0:54:00.280 --> 0:54:02.359 end of the day. But he is Team Winker. I 0:54:02.400 --> 0:54:05.040 am not. Now, we promise you at the beginning of 0:54:05.080 --> 0:54:07.480 the show, a few little draft tips here to close 0:54:07.520 --> 0:54:09.799 things out as we're heading into the final draft season 0:54:09.840 --> 0:54:12.279 where we're giving you all the tools here fantasy pros 0:54:12.320 --> 0:54:14.960 to be successful. We're giving you all the podcasts, all 0:54:15.000 --> 0:54:17.759 the YouTube stuff, all the knowledge we have, our our 0:54:17.800 --> 0:54:20.560 own little cheat sheets and our draft strategy guides. That 0:54:20.600 --> 0:54:22.520 Welsh put out that I put out, Bachmann put one 0:54:22.560 --> 0:54:25.480 out to. I think Cleig put one out there. I 0:54:25.520 --> 0:54:27.319 want to say, Mayor probably put one out there also. 0:54:27.400 --> 0:54:31.160 They probably let Yeah, they probably let Mayor they mayor. 0:54:30.960 --> 0:54:31.640 Go do something. 0:54:31.680 --> 0:54:35.239 That's what they say. Ryan on that list, Ryan Mountcastle, 0:54:35.280 --> 0:54:38.120 I'm sure it's round one, Ryan Mountcastle, Round two. Uh, 0:54:38.239 --> 0:54:42.319 Ryan Moultcastle, Round three, round four, Ryan Mountcastle. Right. 0:54:42.400 --> 0:54:43.840 Yeah. 0:54:43.920 --> 0:54:45.920 But here's some other tips that won't want to give you. 0:54:45.960 --> 0:54:48.600 And the first one is draft good assets. 0:54:48.760 --> 0:54:50.120 And what I mean. 0:54:50.000 --> 0:54:52.319 By this is, well, that sounds really stupid, but I 0:54:52.320 --> 0:54:55.319 think people get too hung up on trying to fill 0:54:55.360 --> 0:54:59.839 out their team instead of drafting core roster strength. If 0:54:59.840 --> 0:55:02.680 the outfield market comes to you, hammer that outfield market, 0:55:02.880 --> 0:55:05.800 If the pitching market comes to you, hammer that pitching market. 0:55:05.960 --> 0:55:08.000 Whatever the value is in the draft. Over the course 0:55:08.040 --> 0:55:09.520 of the year. You can make trades, you can make 0:55:09.520 --> 0:55:12.320 waiver pickups. There's going to be movement in the league. 0:55:12.640 --> 0:55:17.360 Use your draft, especially salary cap driven drafts, to acquire 0:55:17.480 --> 0:55:20.000 good assets, because the more talent you have on your roster, 0:55:20.360 --> 0:55:22.480 the better your roster is going to be, and the 0:55:22.520 --> 0:55:24.759 better it will be over the long run as other 0:55:24.840 --> 0:55:28.239 things inevitably do happen, like injuries or miss time. I 0:55:28.280 --> 0:55:30.200 know they've changed the rules a little bit this year too, 0:55:30.239 --> 0:55:31.640 so the pitchers have to go in the IL for 0:55:31.680 --> 0:55:34.839 fifteen days, position players ten, which is good because now 0:55:34.840 --> 0:55:36.799 you're not going to that manipulation anymore that you had 0:55:36.840 --> 0:55:38.680 in the system in the last few years. But I'm 0:55:38.680 --> 0:55:41.000 telling you right now, we know the inevitability is going 0:55:41.040 --> 0:55:43.839 to happen. We're're going to lose players. Get as much 0:55:43.880 --> 0:55:46.200 talent as you can on your roster. That's what your 0:55:46.239 --> 0:55:49.080 draft is for. You'll fill out your team. Don't worry 0:55:49.120 --> 0:55:52.360 about it. It'll all work out in the end. Draft assets, 0:55:52.440 --> 0:55:55.600 especially in dynasty keeper leagues. Don't get hung up on 0:55:55.719 --> 0:55:58.920 positions so much or filling out your team. There's ways 0:55:58.960 --> 0:56:00.919 to get that done. Give me one of your draft. 0:56:01.239 --> 0:56:03.040 Well, I just want to add in I'm going to 0:56:03.120 --> 0:56:06.080 jump to my second one because I didn't read how 0:56:06.120 --> 0:56:09.080 you wrote yours. How you just said it. It's literally 0:56:09.120 --> 0:56:11.919 the same thing how I wrote mine was don't stress 0:56:11.960 --> 0:56:15.080 about positions early where people are like, ooh, I already 0:56:15.120 --> 0:56:17.080 got a short stop. I mean, you just said everything, 0:56:17.120 --> 0:56:18.520 so I don't need to repeat it. But that was 0:56:18.560 --> 0:56:22.040 my take as well, is don't worry about going nuts 0:56:22.040 --> 0:56:25.360 about roster construction and getting the best players. Plenty of 0:56:25.400 --> 0:56:27.640 great players might take two short stops in the first 0:56:27.680 --> 0:56:30.520 four rounds. You can make it work with middle and shortstop. 0:56:30.600 --> 0:56:32.240 You can do or even utility. 0:56:32.280 --> 0:56:34.719 If you've got great players on the board, take the 0:56:34.760 --> 0:56:35.520 great players. 0:56:35.680 --> 0:56:36.960 This is RPV. One on one. 0:56:37.080 --> 0:56:40.160 Create an advantage somewhere. Otherwise you're just a mediocre team 0:56:40.160 --> 0:56:40.640 in the middle. 0:56:40.840 --> 0:56:43.160 Yeah. So I'm gonna move to the second one because 0:56:43.160 --> 0:56:45.840 I agree with that one of and it's kind of 0:56:45.880 --> 0:56:48.080 in line with even your second one as well. But 0:56:48.200 --> 0:56:54.480 it's take closers with actual jobs. Like there's a theory 0:56:54.800 --> 0:56:56.759 across the board, and you're going to kind of talk 0:56:56.760 --> 0:56:58.520 about it how you can treat closers. But at the 0:56:58.600 --> 0:56:59.960 end of the day, this is just a way of 0:57:00.120 --> 0:57:03.560 me saying get your closers early that you know have gigs. 0:57:03.640 --> 0:57:06.480 You can speculate and people will win. There will be 0:57:06.520 --> 0:57:10.520 winners early in drafts or in April and in waivers 0:57:10.880 --> 0:57:13.040 on guys that get some closer gigs and that you 0:57:13.320 --> 0:57:15.680 made it out of it. But you don't have to 0:57:15.680 --> 0:57:18.440 play the game. If you get involved and you get 0:57:18.800 --> 0:57:22.240 class as, or you get Haters or Hendrix or Iglesias 0:57:22.680 --> 0:57:25.760 or Craig Kimberl's, you get those guys, be the one 0:57:25.800 --> 0:57:29.200 that doesn't have to chase and doesn't have volatility and 0:57:29.320 --> 0:57:33.120 loses their gigs. Your roster construction will feel better and 0:57:33.320 --> 0:57:36.080 you won't have to chase those saves later, which again, 0:57:36.160 --> 0:57:38.240 some people can make it work. If you've got a 0:57:38.240 --> 0:57:41.200 plan and maybe you're gonna go really heavy starting pitching 0:57:41.240 --> 0:57:43.040 and you're gonna just go for cheap guys, you can 0:57:43.080 --> 0:57:46.160 do that. That's a solid pivot. But I prefer to get, 0:57:46.320 --> 0:57:48.920 especially in Rode, to get my lockdown saves guys this 0:57:49.040 --> 0:57:51.960 year that have gigs without question marks. So I'm not 0:57:52.120 --> 0:57:54.880 playing around this year and I'm getting the top closers. 0:57:55.960 --> 0:57:57.560 I was just in my head, all I kept thinking 0:57:57.680 --> 0:58:01.960 was take the card jobs mark. Yeah, they took our jobs. 0:58:02.440 --> 0:58:06.160 For me, it's don't overpay for mid tier closers, whether 0:58:06.160 --> 0:58:08.800 they have job security or not. You can find a 0:58:08.840 --> 0:58:11.000 guy laid on a bad team, maybe it's a Gregory 0:58:11.040 --> 0:58:13.760 Soto or somebody else later saves or saves at the 0:58:13.840 --> 0:58:15.640 end of the day. Yeah, some of the ratios blah 0:58:15.680 --> 0:58:18.439 blah blah, saves or saves, and those jobs are gonna 0:58:18.440 --> 0:58:21.760 turn over. They do every year. Don't pass on good 0:58:21.920 --> 0:58:25.760 quality depth in that mid like one fifty ish range 0:58:26.480 --> 0:58:29.120 for guys who may or may not be closers. It's 0:58:29.520 --> 0:58:32.200 absolute fantasy death. And my last one here for me 0:58:32.560 --> 0:58:37.640 is attack that one a slash high end SP two 0:58:37.760 --> 0:58:40.880 market this year. To me, that is a very profitable 0:58:40.920 --> 0:58:44.840 place to attack. It's that Freddie Peralta Giolito all the 0:58:44.840 --> 0:58:47.720 way down to you know, the older guys like Verlander 0:58:47.720 --> 0:58:51.080 and Charlie Morton. To me, it's okay to start your 0:58:51.200 --> 0:58:54.360 roster with two offensive players, even in a points league, 0:58:54.760 --> 0:58:57.760 and then just hammer this pitching market after that. Trevor Rodgers, 0:58:57.800 --> 0:58:59.720 I think it's gonna make a huge step forward. There's 0:58:59.720 --> 0:59:02.160 a lot lot of guys in this tier that I 0:59:02.200 --> 0:59:04.919 think have huge upside to perform, like aces this year. 0:59:05.080 --> 0:59:07.240 So that's just more of a not a general strategy, 0:59:07.280 --> 0:59:10.560 it's specific for twenty twenty twenty two. Welsh, what's your 0:59:10.640 --> 0:59:13.240 last draft tip for everybody's we send them off into 0:59:13.280 --> 0:59:13.760 the weekend. 0:59:14.120 --> 0:59:15.800 Yeah, you're gonna be adults. We're gonna send you off 0:59:15.800 --> 0:59:17.680 to college and you're gonna draft and you're gonna be 0:59:17.720 --> 0:59:19.280 all growns up. It's all growns up. 0:59:19.280 --> 0:59:21.160 Mikey's growns all growns up, and Welsh and I are 0:59:21.200 --> 0:59:23.200 gonna cry and have empty nest syndrome because we're so 0:59:23.320 --> 0:59:25.360 proud of you. I so far you've come. 0:59:25.720 --> 0:59:29.600 Pay attention to steals. I'm not saying overpay, and I'm 0:59:29.600 --> 0:59:34.720 not saying don't overpay. I'm saying, pay attention to steals. 0:59:35.120 --> 0:59:36.840 Watch it as it goes along in the draft. Pay 0:59:36.840 --> 0:59:39.000 attention to the people that are doing it. You can 0:59:39.040 --> 0:59:41.840 get steals all over. I tend to. Here's a nice 0:59:41.880 --> 0:59:44.200 thing about the top round guys. A lot of them steal, 0:59:44.320 --> 0:59:46.280 and I kind of want those guys because they're consistent. 0:59:46.560 --> 0:59:48.920 There's some middle guys that are gonna get you stolen bases. 0:59:49.080 --> 0:59:52.920 Frankie Lindor pay attention later in drafts. Do you have 0:59:53.000 --> 0:59:55.920 to overreach for Miles Straw. No you don't, but pay 0:59:55.960 --> 1:00:00.560 attention Andrew Benintendi, Ahmed Rosario, there's late stone and Basis, 1:00:00.680 --> 1:00:05.080 Josh Rojas, even Aj Pollock steals. There are late stolen bases. 1:00:05.160 --> 1:00:07.720 If you get one or two core guys, you can 1:00:07.800 --> 1:00:10.680 easily find three to four other ten plus stolen base 1:00:10.720 --> 1:00:13.320 guys as you move along in the draft. So pay 1:00:13.360 --> 1:00:17.080 attention to steals without going one direction or the other. 1:00:17.160 --> 1:00:18.760 And I think it's going to help you out. 1:00:19.480 --> 1:00:22.480 All right, So we've given you all. Wee can the 1:00:22.600 --> 1:00:26.800 Risers the Fallers next week on YouTube dot com. Slash 1:00:26.880 --> 1:00:30.080 Fantasy Pros MLB leading Off is going to start on 1:00:30.200 --> 1:00:33.320 Wednesday at noon. Be there live. Subscribe to the YouTube 1:00:33.400 --> 1:00:35.800 channel and click that little notifications bell so you know 1:00:35.840 --> 1:00:37.480 when we go live. So you can just go right 1:00:37.520 --> 1:00:39.400 there and listen on your lunch break or listen on 1:00:39.440 --> 1:00:41.160 the West coast. Will you just get into work and 1:00:41.240 --> 1:00:43.320 tell your boss hang on. I know it's nine am 1:00:43.320 --> 1:00:45.520 and there's a meeting, but Welsh and Joey p are talking. 1:00:45.600 --> 1:00:47.880 I got a meeting with Welsh and Joey. 1:00:48.160 --> 1:00:51.760 Yeah, I got an important meeting here with Welsh, Joeyp 1:00:52.160 --> 1:00:53.200 everything else can wait. 1:00:53.240 --> 1:00:54.360 That's what you tell your boss. 1:00:54.680 --> 1:00:58.480 Also, free stuff Fantasypros dot com slash kit, our MLB 1:00:58.640 --> 1:01:01.520 draft kit is there for you. The ranks, the projections, 1:01:01.760 --> 1:01:06.080 the values, the printable cheat sheets. It's amazing everything that 1:01:06.080 --> 1:01:08.480 we've got there for you. The prospect articles too. If 1:01:08.480 --> 1:01:10.760 you're dealing with dynasty, we've got that also, so make 1:01:10.800 --> 1:01:13.080 sure you get in on that for free at fantasypros 1:01:13.120 --> 1:01:15.960 dot com slash kit, and then the draft assistant with 1:01:16.080 --> 1:01:18.440 sink As Welsh was saying, how is that guy gaming 1:01:18.480 --> 1:01:21.640 the system? He's using the right tools at Fantasy Pros. 1:01:21.640 --> 1:01:24.480 So make sure you upgrade to that MVP or that 1:01:24.520 --> 1:01:27.000 Hall of Fame subscription. And when you do, then you 1:01:27.040 --> 1:01:29.680 can go and take part in stages on Discord and 1:01:29.720 --> 1:01:31.760 all the other things. There's lots of perks to being 1:01:31.840 --> 1:01:32.840 in with the cool kids. 1:01:32.920 --> 1:01:35.200 I'm going I'm supposed to do with stages this week 1:01:35.280 --> 1:01:38.280 part way, but I got sick and kind of a cold, 1:01:38.600 --> 1:01:40.040 so I think it's going to be pushed. But I 1:01:40.040 --> 1:01:42.080 think I'll be doing my first stages next week. 1:01:42.200 --> 1:01:42.920 So just to excell. 1:01:43.040 --> 1:01:43.880 There's so much fun. 1:01:44.200 --> 1:01:45.439 It's like a call in radio show. 1:01:45.440 --> 1:01:47.520 You can talk about your problems your life problems, your 1:01:47.520 --> 1:01:49.560 team problems. It will help you out. But I'm telling 1:01:49.560 --> 1:01:52.880 you this draft assistant with sink. It looks up to Yahoo, ESPN, CBS, 1:01:52.920 --> 1:01:54.720 It doesn't matter what you got. We hook up to 1:01:54.800 --> 1:01:57.000 it and it gives you that insights that you need 1:01:57.040 --> 1:01:59.440 and the advantage you need every single round to know 1:01:59.480 --> 1:02:01.520 exactly what you're doing, how you're building your roster, the 1:02:01.520 --> 1:02:04.200 players to take, the players to avoid, and most importantly, 1:02:04.240 --> 1:02:06.200 when to take them. And that's a fantasypros dot Com 1:02:06.200 --> 1:02:08.720 slash draft wizard that'll do it for us. But the 1:02:08.720 --> 1:02:10.400 story of the game goes on for the Welsh. I'm 1:02:10.480 --> 1:02:12.760 Joey P. We will see you next time. 1:02:12.880 --> 1:02:13.200 Kids,