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Speaker 1: I made people forget how long college football season is.

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Speaker 1: It is a long, long season, guys. I would guess

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Speaker 1: that by the time we get to December and we

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Speaker 1: look back over the top dozen things that were the

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Speaker 1: biggest impact things that happened this season, ten or eleven

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Speaker 1: of them have not happened yet, but they could start

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Speaker 1: to happen this weekend. We're jam packed hyatape prepared downtown Nashville, Tennessee, Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: September nineteenth, Year of Our Lord, twenty twenty three. We

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Speaker 1: are prepared for one of the biggest Saturdays in the

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Speaker 1: modern era of college football. I'll tell you how loaded

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Speaker 1: it is because we've got a metric ton of games

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Speaker 1: to predict. Tonight, I have got a totally and completely

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Speaker 1: unhinged JP pole to drop in your lap, so much

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Speaker 1: so that I will probably call it out right along

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Speaker 1: with you. Guys. Remember it's the model's fault, not my fault.

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Speaker 1: There is a tax you're paying, not necessarily out of

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Speaker 1: your wallet, but there's a tax you're paying in college

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Speaker 1: football right now. Kind of hinted at it the other night,

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Speaker 1: but I'm diving in head first tonight and explaining the

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Speaker 1: tax that we're all paying. It's a blessing to pay

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Speaker 1: it if you're in my line of work, but it

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Speaker 1: is a tax nonetheless. Also, we've got other odds and

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Speaker 1: ends to talk about. Six ranked on ranked matchups this Saturday.

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Speaker 1: That's the most since two thousand and six for a

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Speaker 1: single Saturday. That's a long long time ago. Bradley was

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Speaker 1: only like thirty five years old back in six So

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be a good Saturday. They're watching us in Hickory,

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, and Arbor, Michigan, Dalton, Georgia, Chicago, Illinois. I'll

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Speaker 1: be in Chicago this weekend. I'll be there two nights. Actually,

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Speaker 1: I have got to give you fair warning because I

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Speaker 1: got word from the warehouse. Those we kept the receipts

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Speaker 1: shirts in the Peate State store peytstatematerial dot com for

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Speaker 1: those unfamiliar, flying just flying out. So we got that one,

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Speaker 1: and later on i'll show you, but I'll just remind

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Speaker 1: you we put one shirt in there per week for

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Speaker 1: our once upon a Saturday tour. We're headed to South

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Speaker 1: Bend Saturday, Ohio State and Notre Dame. We're gonna break

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Speaker 1: the game down in about ten minutes. That shirt's in

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Speaker 1: there and Once it's gone, it's gone. Once Saturday turns

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Speaker 1: into Sunday, it's gone, and you'll never see it again.

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Speaker 1: So if you want to grab one, I'm giving you

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Speaker 1: fair warning. Now, Look, we got a loaded show. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna pace myself. I can't go anywhere anyway, cause, like

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Speaker 1: three and a half minutes before we went on air,

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Speaker 1: I spilled water all in my lap. So I've got

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Speaker 1: a case of what Mema would call the old Saggi

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Speaker 1: crotch right now, So I can't get up to begin with.

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Speaker 1: Even if we've if you have closed up shop right now,

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Speaker 1: I'd have to sit here in the dark. So let's

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Speaker 1: talk some college football, shall we? Oh? How in depth

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Speaker 1: did I go on this the other night? I think

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Speaker 1: I went pretty in depth. Okay, I know some of

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Speaker 1: you love talking about Deon Sanders. Others of you cannot

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Speaker 1: stand talking about Dion Sanders, and then there's probably a

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Speaker 1: healthy middle ground where you're like, Okay, i'll talk about him,

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Speaker 1: but you better have something new to say. Well, the

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Speaker 1: other night I hinted at something that was happening sort

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Speaker 1: of a phenomenon within the phenomenon of the prime effect

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Speaker 1: in college football, and I called it the Dion Tax,

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Speaker 1: and you're all paying it. Every one of you's paying

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Speaker 1: it right now. Kind of a tax that's been placed

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Speaker 1: on the entirety of college football. Now, I warned you

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Speaker 1: about the Deon tax. I told you it was coming.

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Speaker 1: Deon Sanders has been a massive blessing to college football.

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Speaker 1: This is my opinion. You can think whatever you want to.

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Speaker 1: Deon Sanders has been awesome for the sport. Now, I'm

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Speaker 1: of the opinion that even if you don't like everything

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Speaker 1: about him, you probably should still look at it and say, well,

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Speaker 1: that's great. So much attention is coming in that otherwise

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Speaker 1: wouldn't have come in. As a fair fact, it's pouring in.

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Speaker 1: It's not just coming in. A's pouring in. And especially

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Speaker 1: if you're in my line of work, there's a reason

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Speaker 1: why you don't hear anyone on my side of the

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Speaker 1: fence over here complaining about Dion Sanders publicly because he's

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Speaker 1: making a lot of folks a lot of money, myself included.

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Speaker 1: So I'll just be upfront with you about that. But

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Speaker 1: there is a tax with that blessing of a lot

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Speaker 1: of folks from outside the college football sphere coming into

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Speaker 1: the college football sphere. There's also a curse attached to that.

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Speaker 1: It's called the Dion tax. I told you the other

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Speaker 1: night it was coming, and now it's on full display

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Speaker 1: for all to see. The Dion tax is the people

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Speaker 1: who otherwise would never care about college football caring about

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Speaker 1: college football. You may think, Josh, that's not a tax.

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Speaker 1: That's great. You're right, it is wonderful. I love it.

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Speaker 1: I love it, I love it. But as Mema once said,

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Speaker 1: those who know the least usually talk the most, and

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Speaker 1: a lot of the kind of casual drive by crowd that,

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Speaker 1: to his credit, Dion's brought into the sport. They can't

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Speaker 1: just come in and sit down in the back and

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Speaker 1: learn the ropes. They got to sit in the front

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Speaker 1: row and they got to start running their mouth. And

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Speaker 1: it's happening. The Colin is showing you right now a

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Speaker 1: chart that is mind boggling. We don't talk ratings on

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Speaker 1: the show a lot because they don't impact you. They

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Speaker 1: have nothing to do with you, even though you are

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Speaker 1: what those are. Those are ratings Colorado State, Colorado. The

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Speaker 1: other night was like a ten pm kickoff Eastern Time.

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Speaker 1: It had nine point three million viewers. It spiked in

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Speaker 1: the nine million range after midnight on the East coast.

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Speaker 1: Those are just ungodly numbers. Those are like high level,

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Speaker 1: like Premiere Boxing in its prime did that kind of stuff.

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Speaker 1: It's wild anyway. So obviously there are a lot of

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Speaker 1: outsiders that care about this. Well. I told you this

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Speaker 1: was coming, and now one example of it is happening.

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Speaker 1: You probably saw Henry Blackburn's the safety for Colorado State

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Speaker 1: that wiped out Travis Hunter. Lacerated spleen was the official injury.

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Speaker 1: Travis Hunter's out for three weeks. It sounds like Carl

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Speaker 1: Reid by the way, Johnny on the spot getting that

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Speaker 1: injury report earlier today, coach Carl to me, and so

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Speaker 1: he's out for a little while. Hate it. Hate it

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Speaker 1: should have been a fifteen yarder personal foul, which I

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Speaker 1: believe it was flagged. I did not get on board

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Speaker 1: necessarily with the let's send the kid to guantanamo for

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Speaker 1: the rest of his days to think about what he

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Speaker 1: just did. Let's charge him with a Class A felony.

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Speaker 1: I didn't get on board with all that. But there

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Speaker 1: were some people who could not just stop it. That

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Speaker 1: was a late hit, or that was a late hit,

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Speaker 1: and that was a dirty play. They couldn't stop there,

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Speaker 1: because that doesn't get you heard. Somebody had to step

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Speaker 1: up and say no, that kid should lose his scholarship,

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Speaker 1: that kid should be disqualified from college athletics. This was

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Speaker 1: all included in a very popular tweet that was making

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Speaker 1: the rounds from someone who you normally wouldn't hear speak

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Speaker 1: a word about college football. So, in typical drive by

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Speaker 1: casual fashion, what you'll find in life and in sports

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Speaker 1: is anytime there is clout to be gained by outrage,

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Speaker 1: nine times out of ten, the crowd that's outraged will

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Speaker 1: be madder than the people who should be mad, Like

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Speaker 1: Dion Travis Hunter. Those are the folks who should be

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Speaker 1: mad in this case, right. So if I got someone

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Speaker 1: thinking this kid needs to be kicked out of the

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Speaker 1: sport and banned for life and dequed from college athletics

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Speaker 1: if he's mad, my goodness, Colin, Director, Colin, what does

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Speaker 1: Dion think about that?

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Speaker 2: I'm sadden If there's any of our fans that's on

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Speaker 2: the other side of those threats, I would hope and

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Speaker 2: pray not. But that kid was just playing the best

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Speaker 2: of his ability and he made a mistake. So I

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Speaker 2: forgive him. See you on our team. Forgive him, Travis

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Speaker 2: is he's forgiven him. Let's move on.

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Speaker 1: Well that didn't quite go the way I thought. But

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Speaker 1: you know what, fair enough, Dion's not the guy who

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Speaker 1: wiped out. Travis Hunter was the guy who got wiped out.

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Speaker 1: So if one dude who wasn't on the field Saturday

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Speaker 1: wants the dude band for life Travis Hunter, and I

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Speaker 1: would imagine he'd probably be dressing a full giraffe outfit.

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna guess Travis Hunter had to have some

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Speaker 1: strong things to say about this, right.

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Speaker 3: It's football. At the end of the day. That's like,

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Speaker 3: that's gonna happen. So I just stay humble. Hey, you

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Speaker 3: deal what he was supposed to do. It's football. Something

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Speaker 3: that's gonna happen on that later. We just gotta get

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Speaker 3: up and fight again. That's what I try to do.

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Speaker 3: Get up and fight. Good thing the doctor's starting me.

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Speaker 3: Because there's no doctor's there, I would have still been

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Speaker 3: out there playing. I don't thank you for everybody that

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Speaker 3: helped me that day. Yeah, you work on a speed

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Speaker 3: of recovery.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, sorry, I was yawning in the middle of that.

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Speaker 1: That's It's not because of him. It's because that's predictably

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Speaker 1: the way it's gonna go. Credit Travis Hunter and credit

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Speaker 1: Deon Sanders, because they could have gone the opposite way

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Speaker 1: and fan the flames of that. And what Dion was

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Speaker 1: talking about was that safety of Colorado state receiving death threats,

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Speaker 1: which is like the punk move to end all punk moves,

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Speaker 1: because it's always done via the Internet. Like I know

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Speaker 1: people in our end, Let me let me give you

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Speaker 1: a little heads up. By the way, if you're out

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Speaker 1: there and you are one of the folks on the

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Speaker 1: World Wide Web who creates burner accounts and issues death threats,

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Speaker 1: I need you to know something. They know who you are.

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Speaker 1: I'll give you an example. There is someone in my

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Speaker 1: industry who was on the receiving end in the past

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Speaker 1: couple of years, and I happen to know some of

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Speaker 1: the inner workings. I happen to know that private investigation

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Speaker 1: firms really geolocated pretty quickly the few Burner accounts that

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Speaker 1: it was issuing the threats. They know exactly where you are.

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Speaker 1: They know what school you go to, they know what

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Speaker 1: street you live in and what dorm you reside in. Now,

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Speaker 1: they didn't choose to pursue them in this case, and

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Speaker 1: so you know they probably aren't even aware that they've

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Speaker 1: been out in you got outed, you need to be

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Speaker 1: a lot more careful or or alternate point of view here,

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Speaker 1: alternate strategy. Don't threaten anyone's life over anything, especially football.

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Speaker 1: So anyway back to the Deon tax. I got an

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Speaker 1: approach that I'm going to try out this year. The

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Speaker 1: Deon tax is new on us all. I love that

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Speaker 1: Deon Sanders is here. I guess I'm gonna have to

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Speaker 1: accept the tax of the drive by casual crowd that

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Speaker 1: comes in and runs its mouth. But that is Dion's fault.

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Speaker 1: But it's not Dion's fault. And so so here's what

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do. My approach is what we call the

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Speaker 1: BUCkies protocol. If you've never been in a BUCkies, find

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Speaker 1: one and go into a Bucki's. They got like one

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Speaker 1: hundred and twenty gas pumps out front. You can see

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Speaker 1: it from space, and when you walk in, you hear this.

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Speaker 1: Wel come to BUCkies. They just yell. They yell at you.

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Speaker 1: The front station attendants yell at you, and it's almost

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Speaker 1: like a shock to the senses. And when I'm driving

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Speaker 1: at night. It's really a wake up call because I'm groggy,

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Speaker 1: I'm halfway asleep. I probably should have pulled over miles

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Speaker 1: and miles ago, but it was trying to hold out

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Speaker 1: for BUCkies. And so the BUCkies protocol is it's like

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Speaker 1: frog gigging in the South. Like you take a five

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Speaker 1: million candle power flashlight and you just boom, shine it

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Speaker 1: right in their eyes. And if it works on a

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Speaker 1: bullfrog from forty five feet away, it will work on

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Speaker 1: a drive by casual. So no matter how negative they are,

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Speaker 1: no matter how off the wall they are, here is

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Speaker 1: my approach this year. Welcome to college football. I'm just

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Speaker 1: inserting college football where BUCkies would be. That's the only

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Speaker 1: difference in the Buckies' protocol and how I'm going to

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Speaker 1: handle drive by cash Le's cause, ultimately, while we may

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Speaker 1: not be gigging frogs here, same strategy works. I'm not gonna,

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Speaker 1: you know, peel their legs off and fry them and

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Speaker 1: eat them. Instead, I want to take these folks and

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Speaker 1: I want to introduce them to some other aspects of

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Speaker 1: our sport. It's not just Colorado, it's not just Deon.

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Speaker 1: This happens to be the greatest sport in the face

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Speaker 1: of the earth. We know that they don't know it

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Speaker 1: yet they could find out. Probably not best to be

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Speaker 1: confrontational with these people. They're new here to New Land,

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Speaker 1: they're just discovering it for the first time. They're scared,

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Speaker 1: they're probably a little unsure of themselves, and so it's

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Speaker 1: up to us to be the bigger man and the

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Speaker 1: bigger woman and welcome them in. Also, you are going

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Speaker 1: to see some of the most low hanging fruit in

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Speaker 1: society be utilized in the day to day takes on

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Speaker 1: Dion and Colorado and whatnot. I think most of you

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Speaker 1: understand what I'm talking about. I don't give it the

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Speaker 1: time of day or dignify it on this show, and

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Speaker 1: I would encourage you to do the same, although I

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Speaker 1: know it's very hard when you see it right in

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Speaker 1: front of your face. So yes, the deon taxes here

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Speaker 1: probably to stay. I view it as a blessing. There

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Speaker 1: is some downside to it, but we're gonna take the

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Speaker 1: downside in our glass form and we're going to turn

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Speaker 1: it into the upside using the classic BUCkies protocol. And

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Speaker 1: I don't normally beg for advertising on this show because

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Speaker 1: Academy takes care of us. But if that BUCkies call

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Speaker 1: ever came, it would be tough to send that one

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Speaker 1: to voicemail. All right, we've got games to predict. I

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Speaker 1: normally just do wall to wall predictions, but I need

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Speaker 1: to talk about the dion. I did need to talk

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Speaker 1: about the deon tax. Tonight, Here we go, Here we go,

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Speaker 1: Ohio State Notre Dame, Saturday night, seven thirty Eastern time, NBC.

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Speaker 1: We will be there. We will be on the sideline

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Speaker 1: in Notre Dame Stadium. The once upon a Saturday tour

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Speaker 1: is headed to South Bend. I am so excited about this.

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Speaker 1: I cannot tell you how awesome it was the first

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Speaker 1: time I ever went to a Notre Dame game as

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Speaker 1: a young child growing up in the South, never thinking

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Speaker 1: I would get to do that sort of thing. So

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Speaker 1: now we get to go up there and we get

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Speaker 1: to see one of the biggest out of conference games

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Speaker 1: of the season. I asked earlier on Twitter, I just

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Speaker 1: asked everyone, what's your read on this game? Because I

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Speaker 1: swear to you I went back and forth like seven

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Speaker 1: times on who I'm gonna pick to win this today.

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Speaker 1: Ohio State's a three point favorite for the record, and

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Speaker 1: if you're into totals fifty five and a half right now.

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Speaker 1: They played last year it ended up Jesse what was

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Speaker 1: at twenty one to ten I think the final was,

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Speaker 1: but it was really close in the fourth quarter and

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Speaker 1: Ohio State tacked a couple of scores on late. And

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Speaker 1: that was in Columbus. I was thinking today about how

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Speaker 1: different the offensive mentality must be for Notre Dame. Last year,

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame was basically looking to ball control their way

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Speaker 1: to a win, maybe force a couple turnovers short in

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Speaker 1: the game, and kind of go in there and steal

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Speaker 1: one because they were playing with Tyler Buckner. Also last year,

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Speaker 1: Chris Tyree was their leading rusher. He had six carries

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Speaker 1: for twenty eight yards. How in the world did they

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Speaker 1: even make that a close game? Well, they played really

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Speaker 1: good defense and that was cej in Ohio State. Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame played good enough defense to hold him in check.

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Speaker 1: That is not the case this year. That does not

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Speaker 1: have to be the approach for Notre Dame this year.

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Speaker 1: Sam Hartman is a very very good quarterback. It gives

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame the quarterback edge in the game, at least

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Speaker 1: from a thousand foots view. Now, when you get on

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Speaker 1: the field Saturday, anything could happen over a four quarter game.

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Speaker 1: Audric estimate the tailback for Notre Dame. I don't know

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Speaker 1: how much he'll go off Saturday night, but I would

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Speaker 1: imagine that six carries for twenty eight yards could be eclipsed.

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Speaker 1: On the first drive, it could be eclipsed. He's eight

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Speaker 1: point three yards per carrier right now, one hundred and

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Speaker 1: thirty point seven yards per game. He is the real deal.

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Speaker 1: There was a hearty debate happening earlier today that I

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Speaker 1: was just privy to about whether that kid may actually

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Speaker 1: be the best tailback in the country. And there's a

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Speaker 1: lot of, you know, Blake Korum chatter. Travon Henderson looks

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Speaker 1: really good now for Ohio State, by the way, but

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Speaker 1: suffice it to say, he's in the conversation. I don't

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Speaker 1: really care if he's number one or number three, four

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Speaker 1: or five. He's in the conversation this right here, though,

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Speaker 1: Saturday night. That's the moment for the Ohio State offensive line.

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Speaker 1: We came out of spring. What did everyone in Columbus say?

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Speaker 1: We got a championship team with a SUSAF offensive line tackles?

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Speaker 1: A question we got to go to San Diego State

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Speaker 1: and get a kid to hopefully be a plug and

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Speaker 1: play well they did, hadn't really been tested yet. Now

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Speaker 1: they're tested Saturday night and they go on the road,

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Speaker 1: and so it's it's going to be really fun to watch.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is when you have to find that

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Speaker 1: stuff out. You don't want to wait until week eight

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Speaker 1: to find out. Notre Dame number two pressure rate in

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Speaker 1: the nation right now. So matchup wise, it doesn't sound

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Speaker 1: favorable for Ohio State. Ohio State ran the ball well

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Speaker 1: in this game last year. Treyvon Henderson, May and Williams.

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Speaker 1: They both had six yards per carry that they each

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Speaker 1: average about six yards per carry. Henderson looks good, man

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Speaker 1: like Treymount. Henderson's had trouble with injury in his career.

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Speaker 1: And I'll just insert the obligatory Oh it was only

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Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. I get it. But I would encourage you

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Speaker 1: go back and watch him last week. I did last night,

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Speaker 1: and uh, man, that burst that he once had and

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Speaker 1: then you thought he would have it all throughout his career.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if he's looked like that in practice,

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Speaker 1: but man, he looked good last week. My biggest questions

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Speaker 1: here I got several of them, but I'll just quickly

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Speaker 1: roll through him. Number one. As much as that offensive

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Speaker 1: line may be a question for Ohio State, do we

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Speaker 1: think Notre Dame has the kind of defensive personnel in

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Speaker 1: their front to wreck a game just to be something

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Speaker 1: that Ohio State has no answer for, and they got

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Speaker 1: to keep max protection in there most of the night.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. That's what I wrestled with today, because

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Speaker 1: that would be the answer, ironically, with all this offensive talk,

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Speaker 1: that would be the answer to Notre Dame taken over

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Speaker 1: the game. Number two. I wonder if this turns into

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Speaker 1: a slug fest. I wonder if Ryan Day is comfortable

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Speaker 1: enough and patient enough to let the game come to them,

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Speaker 1: because I think I think Notre Dame could be fairly

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Speaker 1: aggressive in the passing game. They should be. They should

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Speaker 1: be because they've got the quarterback to do it. But sometimes

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Speaker 1: when that's the case, they'll end up putting the ball

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Speaker 1: in the air and you got a shot to pick

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Speaker 1: it off. And Ohio State absolutely has the defensive personnel

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Speaker 1: to do that. And so you know, what if that

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Speaker 1: turnover situation, what if those possessions get tilted plus two

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Speaker 1: in your favor. You don't really have to do anything

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Speaker 1: fireworkish or overly special offensively. That's a question I have.

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Speaker 1: And also if you do go to the air, you know,

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Speaker 1: if you do try and utilize the weapons you have.

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Speaker 1: If you're Ohio State, could be any of a number

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Speaker 1: of them. But do they have a wide receiver who

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Speaker 1: takes the game over? I know everyone looks at Harrison

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Speaker 1: kate'st over at tight end has been really good, But

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Speaker 1: in Mecca Agbuca, Fleming, Carnel, Tate, like any of those

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Speaker 1: guys in a one off setting, have a potential to

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Speaker 1: go off. So let's take a look at what Vegas thinks.

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Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the model thinks. You

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Speaker 1: see the Vegas number, it's Ohio State minus. I was

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Speaker 1: very interested to crank the old model up today and

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Speaker 1: see what it thought about this. The model actually leans

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Speaker 1: Ohio State minus four and a half. So I told

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Speaker 1: you I went back and forth like seven times. I

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00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:13,240
Speaker 1: can make a really good argument for both sides. No

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Speaker 1: money will be wagered by yours truly on this game.

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Speaker 1: Where I land is the place you land when you're

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Speaker 1: trying to see around the corner. So I'm really high

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Speaker 1: on Ohio State. I'm gonna pick them to win the game.

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Speaker 1: I'll pick them to cover. It is not because of

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Speaker 1: what I've seen from them so far. If I were

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Speaker 1: going off what I've seen from these teams so far,

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Speaker 1: i'd lean Notre Dame to win almost lean them to win. Anyway,

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Speaker 1: what I think is going to happen is I think

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Speaker 1: there'll be an effort above and beyond what we've seen

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Speaker 1: so far this year, I think, and what I think

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Speaker 1: is just what I think. I think there'll be a

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Speaker 1: level of execution offensively that is a little bit, especially

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Speaker 1: with the competition factored in. I think it'll be a

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Speaker 1: level above what we've seen so far this year. And look,

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Speaker 1: defense can win the game for him. Defense can absolutely

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Speaker 1: win the game for him if it's a game played

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Speaker 1: in the upper team's low twenties. That's the kind of

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Speaker 1: team that Ohio State has this year. I'm high on

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Speaker 1: them for a reason. I think the players are there,

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Speaker 1: even if it hasn't necessarily come together. I also think

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Speaker 1: you got a staff up there that should be good

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Speaker 1: enough to coach around some of those deficiencies. And I

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Speaker 1: don't know, And this is what I kept coming back

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Speaker 1: to and I could absolutely eat these words. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if Notre Dame is built to expose some of

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Speaker 1: the flaws that Ohio State possesses. So I'm going to

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Speaker 1: Ohio State to win, and I'll lay the three because

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Speaker 1: it would be ludicrous to pick Ohio State to win,

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Speaker 1: but Notre Dame to cover three. Needless to say, looking

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Speaker 1: very very forward to that one. And a reminder, a

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Speaker 1: reminder the once Upon a Saturday Tour will be there,

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00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:49,800
Speaker 1: and that bad boy right there if you're listening on podcast,

395
00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:52,800
Speaker 1: that t shirt right there is available for one, two, three,

396
00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:55,160
Speaker 1: about four or five more days, and then it will

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Speaker 1: be lost to history. You'll only see it in museums.

398
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Speaker 1: I don't know which one, but you'll only see any

399
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:05,080
Speaker 1: museums Once Upon a Saturday Tour Notre Dame Stadium still

400
00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:09,080
Speaker 1: only September. Gotta love this sport. I've got good news.

401
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:12,040
Speaker 1: Chatlive Supremacy are going out all over the country, and

402
00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,720
Speaker 1: we've got another I think we've sent four or five

403
00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:17,399
Speaker 1: of them Jesse out today. I've got another one to

404
00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,560
Speaker 1: give out and I will just show you momentarily what

405
00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:22,680
Speaker 1: it's about. But Academy Sports and Outdoors your one stop

406
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:25,080
Speaker 1: shop for all things outdoor, sporting goods and supplies. If

407
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Speaker 1: you can't get there in person, Academy dot com has

408
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Speaker 1: your hook up. It is such a beautiful thing. When

409
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Speaker 1: a new Academy Sports and Outdoors opens and I put

410
00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:36,880
Speaker 1: out the challenge, go there, go to the grand opening,

411
00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:39,480
Speaker 1: have a great time. Tell the folks we said, hey,

412
00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:42,560
Speaker 1: send us evidence that you went, and you will be

413
00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:45,439
Speaker 1: registered to win a Chalice of Supremacy. Well, this is

414
00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 1: from Brooks and friends and they're at the new grand

415
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,640
Speaker 1: opening out there in Kyle, Texas. I told you guys

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00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:54,240
Speaker 1: about that's near Austin, and there you go. Not one receipt,

417
00:20:54,320 --> 00:20:57,520
Speaker 1: not two receipts, but three receipts. And look some Peate

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00:20:57,560 --> 00:20:59,800
Speaker 1: state signage while we're at it. They may not allow

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00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:01,880
Speaker 1: it college game day, but they allow it at Academy

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00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:04,760
Speaker 1: Sports and Outdoors in Kyle, Texas. So Brooks and the

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00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:07,679
Speaker 1: guys chalice of Supremacy on the way looking for that

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00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:11,240
Speaker 1: shipping information. Appreciate you. And several more went out. I

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Speaker 1: can't feature all of them because of time constraints, But

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Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors. You need those tents, you need

425
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:20,639
Speaker 1: those chairs, everything you need for tailgating. Grills, et cetera.

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00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:24,040
Speaker 1: They have got you covered, new locations opening up all

427
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:31,320
Speaker 1: over the place. Let's roll on good pace so far tonight.

428
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:33,080
Speaker 1: But man, we got so far to go. We got

429
00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:35,040
Speaker 1: a lot of games to get to. I thought we

430
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:37,200
Speaker 1: were gonna be at this game, this next one. I

431
00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:39,679
Speaker 1: thought for sure a month ago we were gonna be

432
00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 1: at this one. And can you guess which one it is?

433
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:49,080
Speaker 1: Probably FSU is favored at Clemson two and a half

434
00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:53,800
Speaker 1: point favorite. And this is a noon kickoff Saturday at

435
00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:57,959
Speaker 1: twelve high noon Eastern on ABC. It is the first

436
00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:02,520
Speaker 1: time Clemson has been a home underdog since twenty sixteen.

437
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:08,719
Speaker 1: Clemson has won twenty five straight ACC home games. This

438
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 1: is a referendum game, is what it is. I don't

439
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:11,920
Speaker 1: really care about the rest of that. I was just

440
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:16,080
Speaker 1: reading it for your amusement. But I was doing radio

441
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:18,159
Speaker 1: with our guys at ten eighty up in Portland, of

442
00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:20,679
Speaker 1: all places, the other day, and we were talking about

443
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:24,639
Speaker 1: this game, and I said the same thing I'm going

444
00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:28,560
Speaker 1: to say right now. This FSU Clemson game is the

445
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:32,080
Speaker 1: referendum game. Because as much as Clemson looked bad losing

446
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 1: a duke in Week one, and as unspecial as they

447
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:39,879
Speaker 1: looked at certain positions. That wasn't the one where they

448
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,040
Speaker 1: were really going to be exposed. That wasn't the one

449
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:44,240
Speaker 1: that anyone was going to really turn on Dabo because

450
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:47,520
Speaker 1: of that was just kind of ugly. But this one

451
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:51,240
Speaker 1: right here, when you've got a head coach in Dabo

452
00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:55,159
Speaker 1: Swinny that is refused voluntarily to use that portal, and

453
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:57,480
Speaker 1: you got a guy in Mike Norvel who has rebuilt

454
00:22:57,480 --> 00:23:01,160
Speaker 1: his entire roster heavily using that poor those are two

455
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:04,720
Speaker 1: different philosophies, very obviously. But now they're going to go

456
00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:08,719
Speaker 1: head to head road teams favored in your building, and

457
00:23:08,760 --> 00:23:11,600
Speaker 1: you're you're already wounded. You took one to the kneecaps

458
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,560
Speaker 1: in week one and it was a conference game, so

459
00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:17,280
Speaker 1: you don't have any margin for error. And I've said

460
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:20,399
Speaker 1: ever since that game, if Florida State comes in here

461
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:23,080
Speaker 1: and embarrasses you, if they win by double digits, that

462
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:25,920
Speaker 1: is the stamp on your forehead that you can't afford.

463
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,800
Speaker 1: And I'm not talking about just with this year. So

464
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:32,000
Speaker 1: this is a big deal, big referendum game. Where will

465
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 1: the Clemson offense come from? This is my first question

466
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:38,640
Speaker 1: for you. The first thing, actually, I got a one

467
00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:42,160
Speaker 1: A in a one B one A. As I think

468
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:45,360
Speaker 1: back to that Duke game, is can anyone out there

469
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:48,000
Speaker 1: promise me turnovers won't be a big su for Clemson

470
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 1: in this game? Because I can't even promise you. I

471
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,240
Speaker 1: can pronounce the school right, So can you promise me

472
00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:56,960
Speaker 1: an even turnover game? Let's just say for the sake

473
00:23:57,000 --> 00:24:00,560
Speaker 1: of argument, it's even in the turnover battle piece or

474
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 1: maybe zero apiece clean game. If we get that. Still,

475
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:09,119
Speaker 1: where does the offense come from for Clemson? Shipley and

476
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:12,160
Speaker 1: MafA six point four yards per carry so far this year?

477
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:16,119
Speaker 1: Caid Clubnick, I think, also has to be a factor here. Look.

478
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,679
Speaker 1: I know a lot of people who watched the LSU

479
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:21,879
Speaker 1: game for Florida State and they haven't watched him since then.

480
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:25,160
Speaker 1: They're thinking of FSU as like the superpower team. They

481
00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 1: got gashed last week, and specifically that quarterback for Boston

482
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:33,160
Speaker 1: College gashed him. So yeah, it's there to be had now.

483
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 1: I think that was a wake up call, but it's

484
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 1: there to be had. I wonder how effective Caid Clubnick

485
00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:40,920
Speaker 1: could be at using his feet. I asked one of

486
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:45,680
Speaker 1: our evaluators today, who shall remain nameless, I said, how

487
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 1: would you describe Caid Clubnick's running ability? And they said

488
00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:56,480
Speaker 1: he's a saturated Joe Burrow. It's one of those really

489
00:24:56,560 --> 00:25:02,159
Speaker 1: really edgy like next level evaluation terms that I'm just

490
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:06,919
Speaker 1: not ready for yet, a saturated Joe Burrow. And so

491
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 1: with that in mind, can they run the ball well enough? Also?

492
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,120
Speaker 1: Are they gonna keep the game close enough to where

493
00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:16,360
Speaker 1: they can't afford to run the ball. Here's the deciding

494
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:19,200
Speaker 1: factor to me? FSU Clemson. I'll save you some time.

495
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,159
Speaker 1: I think the deciding factor is Clemson so far this

496
00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:26,240
Speaker 1: year has been good in the secondary at limiting explosive

497
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:30,400
Speaker 1: pass plays. I know the natural follow up is well,

498
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:35,639
Speaker 1: Josh hoopstiff. They played answer not very much, but they'll

499
00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:38,160
Speaker 1: get a heavy dose of it Saturday at high noon

500
00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 1: or shortly thereafter. FSU has eight plays through the air

501
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 1: already of thirty yards or more. Next question, is Clemson's

502
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 1: front going to be able to pressure enough, because really

503
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:55,680
Speaker 1: it's been a mixed bag of results so far from

504
00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:59,399
Speaker 1: them now, I don't know. I think both of them

505
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:01,479
Speaker 1: probably have bottle things up that we haven't seen yet

506
00:26:01,520 --> 00:26:04,920
Speaker 1: for this game. That's natural. I expect an inspired effort

507
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,040
Speaker 1: from Clemson I really do. I know that that program

508
00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:12,880
Speaker 1: treats doubt and disrespect like oxygen, and so they've got it.

509
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:16,960
Speaker 1: Got the oxygen mask on two and a half point

510
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:21,320
Speaker 1: dog unranked there it is. The oxygen mask has been applied.

511
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,840
Speaker 1: Dabo's gotta love it. However, FS, you could silence that

512
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,960
Speaker 1: place they go up ten nothing because there's this thing

513
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:30,639
Speaker 1: in the pit of your stomach when you know your

514
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:33,359
Speaker 1: team's vulnerable. Bama folks are gonna feel it Saturday. If

515
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,920
Speaker 1: Ole Miss goes up early. Clemson folks will feel it

516
00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 1: if Florida State goes up early and you know you've

517
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:42,200
Speaker 1: already been wounded by a much lesser team, all due respect,

518
00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:45,880
Speaker 1: there's that thing in your stomach that says, uh oh,

519
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 1: and you kind of go quiet because human nature sets them.

520
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:53,600
Speaker 1: And twelve o'clock that place is insane, and twelve eighteen

521
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 1: that place is crickets and it's not even you know, halftime, FS,

522
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:01,440
Speaker 1: you can do that. Umson has been suspect in field

523
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 1: goal kicking, so much so that allegedly reportedly they brought

524
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:08,760
Speaker 1: a guy out of retirement who's in grad school to

525
00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 1: kick field goals for him. Other than that, everything's great

526
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:13,000
Speaker 1: at colemes in right now. So let's take a look

527
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:15,719
Speaker 1: at what the model thinks. Let's take a look at

528
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:18,960
Speaker 1: what Vegas thinks. The current number as of Tuesday night

529
00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 1: at seven to twenty seven pm Central Standard Time is

530
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:26,280
Speaker 1: Florida State minus two and a half. The model is

531
00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:29,040
Speaker 1: even tighter than that. Models got it as a straight

532
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:31,439
Speaker 1: up pick him. I've got to be honest with you.

533
00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:34,719
Speaker 1: I think Florida State's gonna win the game convincingly, and

534
00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:37,119
Speaker 1: so I'm gonna take FSU to win. I'm gonna take

535
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:40,399
Speaker 1: him to cover somehow, some way. I think last week's

536
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:43,920
Speaker 1: near debacle at Boston College will serve this team well.

537
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:47,160
Speaker 1: I also want to ask you, guys this question. I'm

538
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: not gonna answer it. I'm just gonna ask it. Who

539
00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:55,400
Speaker 1: has the coaching edge in this game? There are two

540
00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:59,000
Speaker 1: very different schools of thought there. One of you will think,

541
00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:01,879
Speaker 1: from this point moving forward, you may have immense respect

542
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:04,800
Speaker 1: from Mike Norvel, and you may say Norvel and staff.

543
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 1: The other person in the room may look at Dabo's

544
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:11,640
Speaker 1: track record and his resume and say he's won multiple titles.

545
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:14,080
Speaker 1: How could you ever claim that a guy with none

546
00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:17,760
Speaker 1: is better than a guy with multiple different ways of thinking.

547
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:21,000
Speaker 1: Comment section will be open. Who do you think the

548
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:23,480
Speaker 1: better coaching staff is? Who do you give the coaching

549
00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:26,040
Speaker 1: edge to. I'm taking FSU to win. I'm taking them

550
00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:27,880
Speaker 1: to cover. I think they're the best team in the ACC.

551
00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:36,119
Speaker 1: Next up, moving right along. So this game is on

552
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:42,600
Speaker 1: the docket now, huh Ole Miss Alabama Saturday, three point

553
00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:46,560
Speaker 1: thirty Eastern, two thirty Central kick on CBS. Our crew

554
00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 1: will be there. We won't. I won't be there, but

555
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:52,320
Speaker 1: our CBS crew will be there. Bama's a favorite, favored

556
00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:57,520
Speaker 1: by seven. It is a tense, tense vibe around Tuscaloosa

557
00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 1: right now. Jalen Milroe is going to start. I don't

558
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:03,920
Speaker 1: think that was all that difficult to see coming, although

559
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 1: I got some pushback Sunday night when I said no,

560
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:08,640
Speaker 1: he's going to start this Saturday. Who in the world

561
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,960
Speaker 1: that watched the South Florida game with doubt that Ole Miss?

562
00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 1: They're Old Miss, loses can be they'll come in there.

563
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:17,840
Speaker 1: Lane Kiffin could lose by fifty or win by fifty.

564
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:20,640
Speaker 1: He just just keep talking the next time they play,

565
00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:23,560
Speaker 1: because that's Lane Kiffin. He is zero to four against

566
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,560
Speaker 1: Nick Saban. They had the twelve to ten game another

567
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:30,080
Speaker 1: generation ago when he was at Tennessee thirty to twenty four,

568
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:34,120
Speaker 1: forty two to twenty one, sixty three to forty eight.

569
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 1: Those are the three final scores as long as He's

570
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:38,640
Speaker 1: been the head coach at Ole Miss and Saban's been

571
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:44,000
Speaker 1: the head coach at Bama. Not surprisingly, I think Alabama's

572
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:46,560
Speaker 1: offensive line is the most important unit in this game.

573
00:29:46,600 --> 00:29:49,840
Speaker 1: It's been the most crushingly disappointing unit in America to

574
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:52,160
Speaker 1: me this year. And here's what I mean by that

575
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:56,880
Speaker 1: paper pop stat. Bama has the worst sack rate allowed

576
00:29:56,920 --> 00:30:00,680
Speaker 1: in Power five all the teams, and the team in

577
00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:04,000
Speaker 1: Tuscaloosa is the worst one. This could go down as

578
00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:10,240
Speaker 1: the single worst prediction and worst expectation level I ever

579
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:15,880
Speaker 1: had for a position unit in history. I digress Ole Mess,

580
00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:17,840
Speaker 1: by the way, so let me not just gloss over this.

581
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:20,560
Speaker 1: Bama has the worst sack rate allowed in Power five

582
00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:23,960
Speaker 1: poverty offensive line right now. Ole Miss has ten sacks

583
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 1: through three games. Well, there's the red light emoji going off.

584
00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 1: We continue. I think the approach by Alabama in this

585
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 1: game with Milroe starting will actually be what it should

586
00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:39,560
Speaker 1: have been against Texas, and that is a game plan

587
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:43,000
Speaker 1: that utilizes his strengths. Look, I know you guys doubt

588
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:44,960
Speaker 1: this right now. I still think they can be a

589
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:48,680
Speaker 1: half decent offense if the game is called right with

590
00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:51,200
Speaker 1: the right guy at quarterback. Don't think we're going to

591
00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 1: rewrite the record books there. But they can be fine.

592
00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:56,400
Speaker 1: They can be more than fine offensively, especially with the

593
00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:59,680
Speaker 1: way they play defense, which is what's crazy. They have

594
00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 1: looked awful the last game they played. I told you,

595
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:06,080
Speaker 1: I thought it was the worst I've ever seen them. Look,

596
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:10,560
Speaker 1: they can still win every game they play. They still can.

597
00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:13,480
Speaker 1: It just seems so far out of reach. But really

598
00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:17,480
Speaker 1: it's like fractions of degrees of change. It's like when

599
00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:20,920
Speaker 1: you move a ship's rudder. It's not all that much.

600
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,960
Speaker 1: It's just that you learn how small the margins are

601
00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:27,560
Speaker 1: in this sport, and you learn how being a little

602
00:31:27,560 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 1: bit off here or a little bit off there, you

603
00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 1: can go from winning a national championship to struggling to

604
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 1: pull away from South Florida. And point spreads tell you

605
00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 1: that's not the way it works. Xbox tells you that's

606
00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:40,280
Speaker 1: not the way it works. Your buddy at the barbecue

607
00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:42,280
Speaker 1: joint Tuesday afternoon tells you that's not the way it works.

608
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 1: That's the way it works. That's just the way it works. Runs,

609
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:50,840
Speaker 1: quarterback runs, included, rollouts, occasional deep shots. That's the game

610
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:54,160
Speaker 1: plan offensively for Alabama. And it doesn't really matter if

611
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:57,000
Speaker 1: they know it's coming, if you do it right. The

612
00:31:57,040 --> 00:31:59,360
Speaker 1: wrench that ole Miss can throw in this thing, and

613
00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 1: they're fully capable of doing it, is grabbing an early lead.

614
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:08,560
Speaker 1: And if you doubt it, remember what Quinn Youwers did

615
00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:11,440
Speaker 1: when Youwers popped him over the top. He popped Alabama

616
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:14,960
Speaker 1: over the top several times. Jackson Dart twelve point five

617
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,440
Speaker 1: yards per attempt this year. That's right up there near

618
00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 1: the top of college football. So they can hit the

619
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,720
Speaker 1: explosive play through the air. Interested to see who can

620
00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:26,080
Speaker 1: and can't go for ole Miss at wide receiver, Keep

621
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:29,520
Speaker 1: checking that throughout the week. There are two paths for Alabama.

622
00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:33,880
Speaker 1: Two paths remain and the two paths for Alabama right now.

623
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:36,880
Speaker 1: Or they can elevate or they can evaporate, because I

624
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:38,920
Speaker 1: need to tell you this is going to be a

625
00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:41,840
Speaker 1: very competitive game. Ole Miss could win this game out right.

626
00:32:42,280 --> 00:32:46,480
Speaker 1: And do you understand what that means? Do you understand

627
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,480
Speaker 1: what happens if Alabama loses. If Alabama is a two

628
00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:54,400
Speaker 1: loss team on what September twenty second or twenty third, Dude,

629
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:56,680
Speaker 1: it's not October yet and they got two losses. That's

630
00:32:56,720 --> 00:33:00,680
Speaker 1: never happened. That doesn't happen. For all intents and purposes,

631
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:05,720
Speaker 1: they're out of it. I know mathematically they're not. But dude,

632
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:07,360
Speaker 1: if old Miss goes in there and beats them, it

633
00:33:07,400 --> 00:33:11,760
Speaker 1: will be because the same problems persisted, They're gonna have

634
00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 1: multiple additional losses if they're not drastically improved. You've never

635
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 1: seen that climate around that program. This isn't a program

636
00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:22,280
Speaker 1: that knows how to lose. And that's a compliment, it's

637
00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:26,040
Speaker 1: a testament to them. So you can either elevate, and

638
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 1: if they elevate, man, like, I'll be right back all

639
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:29,920
Speaker 1: in because I've picked them in the title, so I

640
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,680
Speaker 1: got no other choice here. Like I'm I am Leo

641
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:36,240
Speaker 1: DiCaprio on the top of the ship as it's going down,

642
00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:39,200
Speaker 1: and I'm telling I'm telling Kate Winsley all right, when

643
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 1: I say hold your breath, breathe as deep as you

644
00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 1: can and hold your breath. Right now, we're underwater, Okay,

645
00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:48,680
Speaker 1: we're being suck down but we're kicking. We're kicking, we're paddling.

646
00:33:48,720 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 1: We're trying to get to the surface. We just need

647
00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:55,040
Speaker 1: a gasp of air. Tommy Reese, please give us a

648
00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 1: gasp of air. Colins, show me what the model thinks.

649
00:33:58,360 --> 00:34:00,719
Speaker 1: It sounds like I'm rooting against Ole Miss because I'm

650
00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:03,320
Speaker 1: trying to juke some folks in the ribs who were

651
00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 1: having fun with me the other night telling me I

652
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 1: hate the program because naturally, I grew up in Harris County, Georgia,

653
00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 1: so you know, of course I hate Old Miss. It's

654
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:18,279
Speaker 1: that natural West Central Georgia Northern Mississippi rivalry tale as

655
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:20,919
Speaker 1: old as time. There, I don't hate Old Miss. Let's

656
00:34:20,920 --> 00:34:23,280
Speaker 1: see what the model thinks. The Vegas number is Bama

657
00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:26,799
Speaker 1: minus seven. The model, believe it or not, leans Alabama.

658
00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:29,279
Speaker 1: There is none of my bias built in there. I

659
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:32,400
Speaker 1: can assure you the model does lean Bama because it

660
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 1: is once again the same way it is with Ohio State.

661
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:37,960
Speaker 1: Trying to see around the corner a little bit. I

662
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 1: think it makes sense that we see an inspired performance

663
00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:44,759
Speaker 1: from Bama Saturday. I think it makes sense that if

664
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:47,319
Speaker 1: I'm right about that team and the chemistry or lack

665
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:50,080
Speaker 1: thereof when they didn't get the quarterback they wanted. If

666
00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:53,919
Speaker 1: they do get Jalen Milroe, that's Nick Saban basically saying,

667
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:57,280
Speaker 1: all right, you want this dude. Here he is again.

668
00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:00,239
Speaker 1: It didn't work out the first time. Show me what

669
00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:04,040
Speaker 1: you got now. Any competitor worth his or her salt

670
00:35:04,520 --> 00:35:08,239
Speaker 1: will respond Saturday, and if Alabama responds, Alabama should win,

671
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:11,839
Speaker 1: Alabama should cover. I'm actually gonna take him to do it.

672
00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:16,840
Speaker 1: I have no confidence in this whatsoever. So I'm following

673
00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:19,399
Speaker 1: the model because I don't know any other thing to do.

674
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:22,279
Speaker 1: So I will take Alabama to win. I'll take them

675
00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:25,799
Speaker 1: to cover. Kids. I cannot stress enough. There's so much

676
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:27,560
Speaker 1: better things, so many better things you can do with

677
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:30,719
Speaker 1: your money em betted on this game, and so Uncle

678
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:33,160
Speaker 1: Josh does not advise you to do that. But as

679
00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:36,120
Speaker 1: I said, I'm on the ship for better or for worse,

680
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 1: and if it's going down, I'm still on the ship.

681
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:40,839
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Bama to win, Bama to cover, and

682
00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:44,560
Speaker 1: one way or the other, this is a lead topic

683
00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:48,759
Speaker 1: for Sunday night because either they've rectified things and in

684
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 1: that case that could be off to the races, or

685
00:35:50,840 --> 00:35:55,560
Speaker 1: they haven't and Oh boy, find your nearest tombstone and

686
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:59,520
Speaker 1: just start etching. Same way with Clemson, two teams that

687
00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:02,600
Speaker 1: were run running this sport five or six years ago,

688
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:04,960
Speaker 1: and it looked like there was no end in sight.

689
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:11,240
Speaker 1: My goodness, how times potentially could have changed. Next game,

690
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:14,160
Speaker 1: you want to talk entertainment, Let me take a sip

691
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:18,800
Speaker 1: from the chalice here. M you want to talk entertainment.

692
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:21,399
Speaker 1: First off, I want to say thank you to those

693
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:23,400
Speaker 1: of you who are watching live. Make sure you like

694
00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:26,279
Speaker 1: the video because we got several thousand in here, and

695
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:29,880
Speaker 1: we got less than a thousand likes, again, a poverty

696
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:37,280
Speaker 1: number that we could fix immediately. Who Colorado plays Oregon Saturday.

697
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:40,759
Speaker 1: This is a three thirty Eastern kick on ABC. It's

698
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:44,839
Speaker 1: twelve thirty local time story of the year. I don't

699
00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:47,560
Speaker 1: need to rehash what Colorado has meant in this sport

700
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:51,480
Speaker 1: this year. Did over Dion Sanders. But it feels like

701
00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:55,040
Speaker 1: everyone's waiting for the shoe to drop, like there's a

702
00:36:55,120 --> 00:36:57,480
Speaker 1: lot of folks out there waiting for them to run

703
00:36:57,560 --> 00:37:02,680
Speaker 1: up against a real power team. All due respect to TCU,

704
00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:07,960
Speaker 1: all due respect to Nebraska, this is Oregon. Oregon is

705
00:37:07,960 --> 00:37:10,360
Speaker 1: in many a top ten out there, including mine. Oregon

706
00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 1: is actually the AP top ten or number ten team.

707
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:15,799
Speaker 1: I will see where they are in the JP pole

708
00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:18,719
Speaker 1: later in the show. So everyone's waiting. There's a group

709
00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:21,920
Speaker 1: of folks out there who think Oregon will splatter Colorado

710
00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:24,720
Speaker 1: all over the place Saturday. You know what, I think

711
00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:30,640
Speaker 1: this is a major stage because of Colorado. As much

712
00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:32,640
Speaker 1: as you like Oregon, you could be the most diehard

713
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:34,320
Speaker 1: Oregon fan in the world. You know there's gonna be

714
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:38,160
Speaker 1: a massive audience that tunes into this because you're playing Colorado. Well,

715
00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:42,040
Speaker 1: here's what you do. You take advantage of it. This

716
00:37:42,120 --> 00:37:45,680
Speaker 1: is bo Nix's shot right here. Bo Nicks plays for Oregon.

717
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:47,520
Speaker 1: Bon Nick has been a really good player. They got

718
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:50,839
Speaker 1: a Heisman campaign built around some really cool merch by

719
00:37:50,840 --> 00:37:55,200
Speaker 1: the way, but he's still playing in the PAC twelve

720
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:59,280
Speaker 1: and that works against you, although it shouldn't. Colorado comes

721
00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:02,560
Speaker 1: in and you're gonna get a worldwide audience at your doorstep.

722
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:07,480
Speaker 1: And Travis Hunter is out for Colorado, and Colorado has

723
00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:10,279
Speaker 1: allowed two hundred and sixty five pass yards per game

724
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:13,920
Speaker 1: with him in there. It is a byproduct of playing

725
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:16,120
Speaker 1: Dion's team that everyone is going to be watching you

726
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:20,480
Speaker 1: do something with it, do something with it, catapultruyself, throw

727
00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:24,320
Speaker 1: for four point fifty and five touchdowns, go off against Colorado,

728
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:27,279
Speaker 1: and catapult yourself in front of a worldwide audience right

729
00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:29,600
Speaker 1: into that Heisman conversation that, truthfully, you should already be

730
00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:32,960
Speaker 1: a part of anyway. Shador Sanders speaking of quarterbacks is

731
00:38:33,040 --> 00:38:37,239
Speaker 1: going to have to be electric Saturday because they're a

732
00:38:37,320 --> 00:38:41,120
Speaker 1: three touchdown underdog in this game, and that's for a reason.

733
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:44,560
Speaker 1: But they were also that against TCU and they came

734
00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:48,280
Speaker 1: out on top. So crazier things have happened. Here's the problem.

735
00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:52,320
Speaker 1: He's got to do it behind a very suspect offensive line.

736
00:38:52,560 --> 00:38:55,680
Speaker 1: Bo Nick should be okay behind his Shador Sanders is

737
00:38:55,680 --> 00:38:58,520
Speaker 1: playing behind the line that's allowed sixteen sacks through three games,

738
00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:01,480
Speaker 1: and they can't run the ball either. So Colorado, you know,

739
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:05,120
Speaker 1: Shdor Sanders, he's got to have a whole lot more

740
00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:07,359
Speaker 1: of that offense go through him than bo Knicks will

741
00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:09,439
Speaker 1: have go through him on the Oregon side. But what's

742
00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 1: the shot, Like, that's a lot of stuff that's pro orgon.

743
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:14,200
Speaker 1: What's the shot for Colorado here? If they were to

744
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:18,239
Speaker 1: pull the upset? The shot to me number one is

745
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:22,120
Speaker 1: catch Oregon playing undisciplined. They're one hundred and nineteenth in

746
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:27,000
Speaker 1: penalties so far this year. Colorado has ten takeaways. They

747
00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:30,120
Speaker 1: are number one in FBS in takeaways. They're doing that

748
00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 1: thing USC did last year. Now here's the small problem

749
00:39:33,200 --> 00:39:35,560
Speaker 1: with that. Oregon hadn't turned the ball over yet this year.

750
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:39,640
Speaker 1: They are one of two teams with zero turnovers. Now,

751
00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 1: it doesn't bite you until it bites you, So for

752
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:44,719
Speaker 1: all I know, for the first three times they turn

753
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:47,839
Speaker 1: the ball over are all coming this Saturday. Let's take

754
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,200
Speaker 1: a look at what the model thinks. I'll tell you

755
00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:53,920
Speaker 1: right now. Vegas is minus twenty one at the moment.

756
00:39:54,040 --> 00:39:56,239
Speaker 1: That thing's been going up and up and up all

757
00:39:56,280 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 1: week community, So the model's even higher than that leans

758
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:04,640
Speaker 1: heavily Oregon. Here we got Oregon minus twenty three. I

759
00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:08,239
Speaker 1: think that this is the kind of game that sort

760
00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:11,160
Speaker 1: of hits the reset button a little bit. I know,

761
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:13,719
Speaker 1: I thought about it. I thought it about TCU. I

762
00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:17,200
Speaker 1: was wrong. Prove me wrong again. I guess I'm gonna

763
00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:19,600
Speaker 1: take Oregon to win. I think they'll end up covering,

764
00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:23,920
Speaker 1: and it'll be really interesting to see how toxic the

765
00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:26,239
Speaker 1: talk is after that, because I don't know when it's

766
00:40:26,280 --> 00:40:29,439
Speaker 1: gonna happen, whether it's this week against Oregon or next

767
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:32,719
Speaker 1: week against the USC But whenever someone does get a

768
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:37,000
Speaker 1: good piece of Colorado, you know what's coming. It's gonna

769
00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:39,000
Speaker 1: be so dumb. Some of the conversation is gonna be

770
00:40:39,080 --> 00:40:41,080
Speaker 1: so stupid. You're gonna have a bunch of folks saying

771
00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:45,040
Speaker 1: I told you so about Colorado losing a football game

772
00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:47,280
Speaker 1: when they were supposed to lose. What was the count

773
00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 1: nine of them or ten of them according to Vegas Yeah, yeah, shocker.

774
00:40:51,200 --> 00:40:53,120
Speaker 1: If they do lose Saturday, they lost to a top

775
00:40:53,160 --> 00:40:57,360
Speaker 1: ten team, Shacker recalibration of expectation warns you about it

776
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,040
Speaker 1: a long time ago. I guess that's also part of

777
00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:01,480
Speaker 1: the Dion taxs. Huh. You got casuals who come in,

778
00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:03,120
Speaker 1: But then you got folks who claim to be diehard

779
00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:06,200
Speaker 1: fans of the sport who lose their mind entirely. And

780
00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:09,359
Speaker 1: here we are just trying to keep things balanced here

781
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:11,719
Speaker 1: in the middle. But I am taking Organ to win.

782
00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 1: I'm taking Organ to cover. It's time to take a

783
00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:19,000
Speaker 1: brief recess from predicting games. I got to tell you

784
00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:20,680
Speaker 1: the show is about to go off the rails. I

785
00:41:20,719 --> 00:41:26,480
Speaker 1: apologize for it entirely, but we've got to do this

786
00:41:27,480 --> 00:41:30,239
Speaker 1: one last sip from the chalice before we descend into

787
00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:40,319
Speaker 1: complete chaos here. So every week, and Colin, this is

788
00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:42,440
Speaker 1: an explainer. You know what, Colin put this in the

789
00:41:42,520 --> 00:41:45,920
Speaker 1: video when we make it every week? I released the

790
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,920
Speaker 1: Jpee pole on Tuesday Night show. And it's just a

791
00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:50,640
Speaker 1: power rating. It's not a ranking. If I were an

792
00:41:50,680 --> 00:41:53,440
Speaker 1: AP voter, I would rank teams a lot different than

793
00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:55,560
Speaker 1: I'm about to show you that I've power rated them.

794
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:58,799
Speaker 1: It's just our computer model here. It is right here.

795
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:03,440
Speaker 1: Meet the people, people meet the model, and the model

796
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:05,560
Speaker 1: spits out a power rating, and all it is is

797
00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:08,040
Speaker 1: ordering the teams based off of who it would favor

798
00:42:08,040 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 1: against two on a neutral field tomorrow. That's it, by

799
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:12,880
Speaker 1: the way, that's all. That's the entire explanation of what

800
00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:15,000
Speaker 1: you're about to see. I always have to explain it

801
00:42:15,000 --> 00:42:19,520
Speaker 1: because it falls on deaf ears, and fourteen nanoseconds after

802
00:42:19,600 --> 00:42:22,160
Speaker 1: I released this, someone's gonna ask why so and so

803
00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:24,960
Speaker 1: is ranked behind so and so. I don't rank teams.

804
00:42:25,160 --> 00:42:29,360
Speaker 1: This is a power rating. Having said that, I will

805
00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:32,400
Speaker 1: disagree with this batch of power ratings. I'm about to

806
00:42:32,400 --> 00:42:34,880
Speaker 1: show you more than any batch of power ratings I've

807
00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:37,920
Speaker 1: ever seen. I looked at it this morning and it

808
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:41,439
Speaker 1: was unhinged, and I thought to myself self, you could

809
00:42:41,440 --> 00:42:44,840
Speaker 1: insert yourself here. The people don't have to know. You

810
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:47,759
Speaker 1: could make it a little more palatable. But I thought, no,

811
00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:50,719
Speaker 1: you know what, I'm gonna let the model ride, and

812
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 1: I'm gonna let the model walk the plank, and one

813
00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:55,400
Speaker 1: way or the other, the model will look like a

814
00:42:55,440 --> 00:42:58,759
Speaker 1: goat or a genius here. So here we go. Let's

815
00:42:58,760 --> 00:43:00,919
Speaker 1: start from twenty five. I'm gonna quickly worked to one,

816
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:03,360
Speaker 1: and I'm just gonna shout out my beefs with this

817
00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:06,120
Speaker 1: along the way. Missouri is not power rating, Like, what

818
00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:09,279
Speaker 1: are we doing right now? So North Carolina's twenty five.

819
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:14,200
Speaker 1: Central Florida is twenty four. TCU is back in the

820
00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:19,040
Speaker 1: power rating at number twenty three. Again, this is the model.

821
00:43:19,080 --> 00:43:22,040
Speaker 1: This is not me, Like if I watched Missouri, the

822
00:43:22,080 --> 00:43:24,920
Speaker 1: Missouri team I saw in person last week against TCU.

823
00:43:25,000 --> 00:43:27,799
Speaker 1: Right now, I lean Missouri, but the model says no,

824
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:31,000
Speaker 1: Tennessee's at twenty two. UCLA should be higher. To me,

825
00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:33,440
Speaker 1: They're at twenty one. Dante More is going off right now.

826
00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 1: They play Utah Saturday, one of the sneakiest good games

827
00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:43,080
Speaker 1: in the country. We continue into the top twenty. Miami's

828
00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:46,960
Speaker 1: number twenty. I like Miami to be higher than that. Texas,

829
00:43:47,080 --> 00:43:49,799
Speaker 1: So Florida's nineteen. I'm okay with that, Floyd. At least

830
00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:51,759
Speaker 1: Florida is ahead of Tennessee right now. I think they're

831
00:43:51,760 --> 00:43:54,400
Speaker 1: a better team than Tennessee. A and M's at eighteen.

832
00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:58,880
Speaker 1: What happened? A and M goes I'm talking not to you, guys.

833
00:43:59,080 --> 00:44:01,960
Speaker 1: It's just between me and the Model. What are you doing? Like?

834
00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:06,120
Speaker 1: A and M is number eighteen? A and M played

835
00:44:06,520 --> 00:44:09,200
Speaker 1: basically a trash can last week. I don't want to

836
00:44:09,200 --> 00:44:11,759
Speaker 1: do that to our folks down in Monroe. But I mean, seriously, now,

837
00:44:12,200 --> 00:44:15,160
Speaker 1: how do you go from not rated to number eighteen?

838
00:44:15,640 --> 00:44:18,919
Speaker 1: Knowing full well Miami just hung half one hundred on them,

839
00:44:19,200 --> 00:44:22,680
Speaker 1: and you got A ANDM ahead of Miami by the way,

840
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:27,640
Speaker 1: So again, I've got significant issues with this. Don't think

841
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:29,400
Speaker 1: this is on me. No, this is not on me.

842
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:31,719
Speaker 1: This is on the model. Now. A and M could

843
00:44:32,239 --> 00:44:35,960
Speaker 1: beat Auburn into a coma Saturday, and maybe this is justified.

844
00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:39,800
Speaker 1: I don't know, Ole Missus number seventeen Utah's number sixteen.

845
00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:44,560
Speaker 1: Utah at home at sixteen, plays our number twenty one

846
00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:48,440
Speaker 1: team this Saturday. We'll see who I picked later this

847
00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:51,000
Speaker 1: week we move on. We haven't even gotten to the

848
00:44:51,000 --> 00:44:57,320
Speaker 1: top fifteen yet. Clemson's number fifteen, Oregon State's number fourteen.

849
00:44:58,080 --> 00:45:01,319
Speaker 1: Oregon State I think will beat Washington State, who we

850
00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:04,600
Speaker 1: inexplicably don't even have power rated Saturday night. But we'll

851
00:45:04,600 --> 00:45:08,080
Speaker 1: see about that. Notre Dame's number thirteen huh, Oklahoma's number

852
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:13,520
Speaker 1: twelve huh. Florida State plummeted because of that Boston College mishap. Now,

853
00:45:13,800 --> 00:45:20,239
Speaker 1: I will say there were there were some trouble signs

854
00:45:20,560 --> 00:45:23,640
Speaker 1: in that Boston College game. BC was right on the

855
00:45:23,640 --> 00:45:27,359
Speaker 1: precipice of winning that thing, but they didn't. Now for

856
00:45:27,600 --> 00:45:30,200
Speaker 1: a win as a win crowd, you're technically right, especially

857
00:45:30,239 --> 00:45:33,719
Speaker 1: in a conference game. But there were things that in

858
00:45:33,800 --> 00:45:37,040
Speaker 1: that game happened in a two point win that you're

859
00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:40,560
Speaker 1: glossing over that I think would be meltdown material if

860
00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:43,680
Speaker 1: you lost by two points. Well, the model just sees

861
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:47,200
Speaker 1: it either way. So it did doc Florida State heavily.

862
00:45:47,200 --> 00:45:49,800
Speaker 1: I mean, it's got FSU outside the top ten right now. Interesting,

863
00:45:50,600 --> 00:45:52,719
Speaker 1: So who's in the top ten. Well, let's roll it.

864
00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:56,799
Speaker 1: Colin Michigan is at number ten. I know folks who

865
00:45:56,840 --> 00:45:59,880
Speaker 1: have Michigan number one in the country, But Michigan, I

866
00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:03,920
Speaker 1: don't know if they've been sleepwalking, that's my guess, But

867
00:46:03,960 --> 00:46:07,000
Speaker 1: the model doesn't know that. The model does not test

868
00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:09,799
Speaker 1: how drowsy you are as a team. It just sees

869
00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 1: that you've been playing very laxa day's cool and it

870
00:46:12,160 --> 00:46:15,239
Speaker 1: has punished Michigan. I'm talking about like a broomstick over

871
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:19,800
Speaker 1: the wrist. Number ten, Penn State's raided ahead of Michigan.

872
00:46:20,080 --> 00:46:24,560
Speaker 1: The model would favor Penn State slightly against Michigan on

873
00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:28,080
Speaker 1: a neutral field tomorrow. Penn State fans are shaking their

874
00:46:28,120 --> 00:46:30,239
Speaker 1: head right now. Penn State folks are looking at this

875
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:35,440
Speaker 1: saying we can't stop their running game right now. I

876
00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:38,720
Speaker 1: don't know that I disagree with you. I would favor

877
00:46:38,960 --> 00:46:41,880
Speaker 1: Michigan over Penn State, but the model says, no, not me.

878
00:46:43,080 --> 00:46:48,560
Speaker 1: All right, hero Bama's number eight. I don't know Bama's

879
00:46:48,600 --> 00:46:51,359
Speaker 1: number eight. I guess the one solace we can take

880
00:46:51,440 --> 00:46:54,320
Speaker 1: is LSU has vaulted ahead of Alabama. So for the

881
00:46:54,320 --> 00:46:56,799
Speaker 1: first time this year, we have a different number one

882
00:46:57,000 --> 00:47:02,319
Speaker 1: in the West than Alabama, So LSU seven. Oregon's up

883
00:47:02,320 --> 00:47:04,440
Speaker 1: there at number six. Now you know we've been higher

884
00:47:04,440 --> 00:47:07,720
Speaker 1: on Oregon all year. I do agree with that. Now, Colin,

885
00:47:07,800 --> 00:47:12,560
Speaker 1: before we roll to the top five, you'll notice, I

886
00:47:12,600 --> 00:47:15,560
Speaker 1: think one thing, and the further up in the Pacific

887
00:47:15,600 --> 00:47:18,400
Speaker 1: Northwest you go, the more likely you are to notice

888
00:47:19,120 --> 00:47:22,239
Speaker 1: there is one team that's been absent, and it's the

889
00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:26,120
Speaker 1: team that I have been chastised the most about this

890
00:47:26,200 --> 00:47:29,200
Speaker 1: year because this team was rated I think, inside the

891
00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:31,719
Speaker 1: ap top ten to begin the year, we had them

892
00:47:31,719 --> 00:47:35,480
Speaker 1: outside the top twenty. And boy, has there been a

893
00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:40,080
Speaker 1: course correction from the hypocritical model itself. Roll at, Colin,

894
00:47:40,600 --> 00:47:44,040
Speaker 1: Guess who's in the top five. Washington is in the

895
00:47:44,080 --> 00:47:47,839
Speaker 1: top five. Now Washington at number five, they vault up

896
00:47:47,960 --> 00:47:52,239
Speaker 1: nine spots. Texas is four. Georgia is no longer the

897
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:54,520
Speaker 1: number one team in the country. So you get a

898
00:47:54,640 --> 00:47:57,719
Speaker 1: nice ten point win in conference play, and the model says, nope,

899
00:47:57,800 --> 00:48:01,560
Speaker 1: sucks to be you. Boop boop drop. It's Georgia to three.

900
00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:06,400
Speaker 1: So it can put Southern Cow, who has played basically

901
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:10,520
Speaker 1: four of my neighbors so far on their schedule. Southern

902
00:48:10,520 --> 00:48:13,080
Speaker 1: Cow is the number two team in the country. Are

903
00:48:13,120 --> 00:48:16,520
Speaker 1: we kidding ourselves right now? And Ohio State is number one?

904
00:48:16,719 --> 00:48:19,360
Speaker 1: Ohio State could lose by ten for all we know

905
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:25,960
Speaker 1: Saturday night. So in conclusion, I want to tell you

906
00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:28,640
Speaker 1: I think Ohio State's probably a little bit too high.

907
00:48:28,719 --> 00:48:32,200
Speaker 1: I think it's insanity to have USC number two right now.

908
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:35,839
Speaker 1: Georgia at number three, I think is on their way

909
00:48:35,880 --> 00:48:38,359
Speaker 1: to figuring a lot of things out. Offensively, I'd still

910
00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:42,440
Speaker 1: have Georgia number one. Texas I'm cool with Washington looks

911
00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:46,839
Speaker 1: like a machine right now, and so as crazy as

912
00:48:46,920 --> 00:48:49,759
Speaker 1: it would have seemed to me to see Washington at

913
00:48:49,800 --> 00:48:53,120
Speaker 1: five a few weeks ago, strangely, I have no problem

914
00:48:53,200 --> 00:48:56,920
Speaker 1: with it. But ma'am that Bama rating at number eight.

915
00:48:57,239 --> 00:48:59,840
Speaker 1: That's the difference in ranking and rating, because there is

916
00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:02,640
Speaker 1: not a world where I rank Alabama in the top

917
00:49:02,680 --> 00:49:06,040
Speaker 1: ten right now, but power ratings wise, just knowing how

918
00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 1: odds work, that still be way up there. Like I

919
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:12,480
Speaker 1: told you guys last year, at this time, it takes

920
00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:14,920
Speaker 1: a lot more than one loss or even two losses

921
00:49:15,120 --> 00:49:17,360
Speaker 1: in the eyes of odds makers to knock a roster

922
00:49:17,520 --> 00:49:21,440
Speaker 1: that talented out of a top ten power rating. Man

923
00:49:21,520 --> 00:49:25,000
Speaker 1: I wanted Missouri in the top twenty five like I

924
00:49:25,120 --> 00:49:27,560
Speaker 1: wanted it, guys, I wanted him in the top twenty five.

925
00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:30,520
Speaker 1: It did not happen. I think the comments will be

926
00:49:30,640 --> 00:49:34,400
Speaker 1: very lively here. Just to understand, if you're mad at me,

927
00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:38,440
Speaker 1: it's not my fault. It's the model's fault. If you

928
00:49:38,520 --> 00:49:42,000
Speaker 1: have praise that you want to deliver. My name's on

929
00:49:42,040 --> 00:49:44,840
Speaker 1: the poll, so with all due respect, it should be

930
00:49:44,920 --> 00:49:48,000
Speaker 1: me you're praising. But if you want to hate, hate

931
00:49:48,000 --> 00:49:50,480
Speaker 1: the model, don't hate me. I just want the credit

932
00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:53,839
Speaker 1: with none of the blame. Thank you. This has been

933
00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:58,160
Speaker 1: the JPE pole for Tuesday night, September nineteenth. They're watching

934
00:49:58,239 --> 00:50:03,080
Speaker 1: us in McKinney, Texas, ching us into will Maher Minnesota, Seattle, Washington, Charlotte,

935
00:50:03,080 --> 00:50:07,279
Speaker 1: North Carolina. Thank you guys so much. That's about to

936
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:12,560
Speaker 1: go live on Twitter. I think in two minutes it will.

937
00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:16,080
Speaker 1: It'll be ugly. That's what I'll have to deal with

938
00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:22,320
Speaker 1: when we get off air tonight. All right, very very

939
00:50:22,320 --> 00:50:24,439
Speaker 1: off the radar, intriguing game to talk to you guys

940
00:50:24,480 --> 00:50:28,919
Speaker 1: about Auburn plays A and M Saturday. And here's why

941
00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:31,640
Speaker 1: this is sneaky. So A and M has no margin

942
00:50:31,680 --> 00:50:35,560
Speaker 1: for air. They already lost humbly, might I add, but

943
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:38,400
Speaker 1: they haven't played a conference game yet, and so this

944
00:50:38,480 --> 00:50:40,560
Speaker 1: is the conference opener, I think for both teams, Auburn

945
00:50:40,640 --> 00:50:42,359
Speaker 1: at Texas A and M. A and M's minus seven

946
00:50:42,400 --> 00:50:45,880
Speaker 1: and a half. It's a noon kickoff Eastern time on ESPN.

947
00:50:46,040 --> 00:50:49,360
Speaker 1: Think about this now, there are big once upon a

948
00:50:49,400 --> 00:50:52,359
Speaker 1: Saturday to our implications here. If Auburn were to win

949
00:50:52,360 --> 00:50:55,040
Speaker 1: this game as a seven and a half point dog,

950
00:50:55,120 --> 00:50:59,440
Speaker 1: they would remain undefeated and they would come home to

951
00:50:59,520 --> 00:51:03,640
Speaker 1: welcome in Georgia next week CBS Game of the Week.

952
00:51:03,680 --> 00:51:07,239
Speaker 1: By the way, So you know I love a good

953
00:51:07,239 --> 00:51:10,000
Speaker 1: trip to Lee County, Alabama. A and M's in desperation

954
00:51:10,120 --> 00:51:12,880
Speaker 1: mode here that this is the deep end. Okay, if

955
00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:14,960
Speaker 1: you've ever grown up and you learn how to swim,

956
00:51:15,320 --> 00:51:17,840
Speaker 1: some of us got thrown in the deep end. Others

957
00:51:17,920 --> 00:51:20,520
Speaker 1: were allowed to stand in the shallow end and tiptoe

958
00:51:20,600 --> 00:51:22,359
Speaker 1: their way to where the pool starts to cut off

959
00:51:22,360 --> 00:51:25,399
Speaker 1: towards the deep end, and you find out how far

960
00:51:25,920 --> 00:51:28,120
Speaker 1: down that ledge can you walk and still keep your

961
00:51:28,160 --> 00:51:29,920
Speaker 1: head above water. Well, that's where A and M is

962
00:51:30,000 --> 00:51:32,120
Speaker 1: right now. They're starting to walk out into the deep end.

963
00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:34,960
Speaker 1: For the record, so is Auburn. Auburn won this game

964
00:51:35,040 --> 00:51:38,400
Speaker 1: last year. The Brian Harrison led Auburn Tigers won this

965
00:51:38,480 --> 00:51:44,680
Speaker 1: game last year, thirteen to ten. Catti, you know what, Colin,

966
00:51:44,719 --> 00:51:46,799
Speaker 1: that's a good call. Cadillac Williams was the head coach

967
00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:50,520
Speaker 1: by that point. I would have been roasted in the

968
00:51:50,520 --> 00:51:53,120
Speaker 1: comment section for that, cause that's that game at Jordan

969
00:51:53,160 --> 00:51:57,000
Speaker 1: Hare Stadium that was on fire, huge recruiting weekend, and

970
00:51:57,600 --> 00:52:00,960
Speaker 1: outsiders probably turned it on and thought, why are these

971
00:52:01,000 --> 00:52:03,440
Speaker 1: people so fired up? It's college football. They got a

972
00:52:03,480 --> 00:52:04,840
Speaker 1: lot of pride in the program, That's why they were

973
00:52:04,880 --> 00:52:07,359
Speaker 1: fired up. So Auburn won thirteen to ten. They out

974
00:52:07,480 --> 00:52:12,680
Speaker 1: rushed A and M two seventy to ninety four that night. However,

975
00:52:13,600 --> 00:52:16,640
Speaker 1: this is Peyton Thorn's game. This is the Peyton Thorn

976
00:52:16,680 --> 00:52:19,479
Speaker 1: game because Auburn is a run first team right now

977
00:52:19,600 --> 00:52:21,960
Speaker 1: and an m is allowing under one hundred yards per

978
00:52:22,000 --> 00:52:25,120
Speaker 1: game even against Miami. Miami didn't run the ball very

979
00:52:25,120 --> 00:52:26,799
Speaker 1: well against the Miami just threw the ball all over

980
00:52:26,800 --> 00:52:30,120
Speaker 1: the place, which begs the question, can Peyton Thorn do

981
00:52:30,160 --> 00:52:32,879
Speaker 1: the same. Auburn's run the ball one hundred and twenty

982
00:52:32,880 --> 00:52:35,680
Speaker 1: five times this year, They've thrown at seventy eight. Auburn's

983
00:52:35,719 --> 00:52:39,280
Speaker 1: leading receiver has fourteen catches for one hundred and seventy

984
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:43,120
Speaker 1: four yards. It's been a very pedestrian passing offense. It'll

985
00:52:43,160 --> 00:52:46,000
Speaker 1: have to be radically different Saturday, unless you're going plus

986
00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:48,480
Speaker 1: four turnovers on me. It has to be radically different.

987
00:52:48,960 --> 00:52:52,360
Speaker 1: But as much as it has to be the Peyton

988
00:52:52,400 --> 00:52:55,239
Speaker 1: Thorn game for Auburn, I think it very well could

989
00:52:55,239 --> 00:52:58,040
Speaker 1: be the Connor Wigman game. Connor Wigman can end up

990
00:52:58,040 --> 00:53:00,160
Speaker 1: being the best quarterback in the SEC this year, and

991
00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:02,160
Speaker 1: I don't think people are fully on board with it

992
00:53:02,239 --> 00:53:07,120
Speaker 1: yet because they attribute that loss against Miami to you know,

993
00:53:07,239 --> 00:53:10,279
Speaker 1: quarterbacks somehow have win lost stats. I don't really get

994
00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:12,600
Speaker 1: how that works. But he's throwing it for three hundred

995
00:53:12,600 --> 00:53:15,759
Speaker 1: and three per game, eight touchdowns, two picks so far.

996
00:53:16,920 --> 00:53:19,680
Speaker 1: He could be in a situation where his game is

997
00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:22,080
Speaker 1: about to scale up a little bit and this would

998
00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:25,880
Speaker 1: be ideally for them. Where it starts, You've got Evan

999
00:53:25,960 --> 00:53:28,840
Speaker 1: Stewart on that team at wide receiver, A. Nayah Smith's

1000
00:53:28,840 --> 00:53:32,200
Speaker 1: out there, Noah Thomas, muse Muhammad. They are deep. They

1001
00:53:32,239 --> 00:53:35,840
Speaker 1: are deep in the pass catching department and Connor Wigman

1002
00:53:35,960 --> 00:53:40,880
Speaker 1: has SECQB one potential. He has got a skill set

1003
00:53:41,360 --> 00:53:43,040
Speaker 1: And it sounds crazy, I know, because it's A and

1004
00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:45,640
Speaker 1: M and you haven't married yourself to the idea of

1005
00:53:45,640 --> 00:53:50,040
Speaker 1: them being functional offensively. Yet he has got all American potential.

1006
00:53:50,080 --> 00:53:52,120
Speaker 1: He's got that kind of skill set. If he played

1007
00:53:52,160 --> 00:53:54,520
Speaker 1: for Lincoln Riley, he'd be a Heisman contender. It's what

1008
00:53:54,520 --> 00:53:56,719
Speaker 1: I'm trying to tell you. But he doesn't. But that's

1009
00:53:56,760 --> 00:53:59,480
Speaker 1: okay because you do have Bobby Petrino in the building

1010
00:53:59,480 --> 00:54:02,480
Speaker 1: out there. Now, the roster view of this, you know,

1011
00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:06,200
Speaker 1: just if you go paper pop roster. A and M's

1012
00:54:06,200 --> 00:54:09,760
Speaker 1: got to decide to talent advantage. Here they are fourth

1013
00:54:10,120 --> 00:54:12,720
Speaker 1: in the twenty four to seven Sports team talent rating,

1014
00:54:12,920 --> 00:54:16,360
Speaker 1: Auburn's eighteenth. But where the real separation is and you

1015
00:54:16,400 --> 00:54:18,880
Speaker 1: can you can do with this whatever you want. A

1016
00:54:18,920 --> 00:54:20,960
Speaker 1: and M's got ten five star players on their team.

1017
00:54:21,000 --> 00:54:23,000
Speaker 1: Auburn doesn't have a single one. Let's take a look

1018
00:54:23,040 --> 00:54:25,239
Speaker 1: at what the model thinks. The Vegas number is A

1019
00:54:25,320 --> 00:54:28,440
Speaker 1: and M minus seven and a half, and the model

1020
00:54:28,520 --> 00:54:31,399
Speaker 1: is it's like a pancake stacked right on top of it.

1021
00:54:31,680 --> 00:54:35,919
Speaker 1: Model is identical nearly to Vegas. It's just off a touch.

1022
00:54:35,960 --> 00:54:42,280
Speaker 1: It's got A and M minus seven. So every time

1023
00:54:43,040 --> 00:54:46,240
Speaker 1: think you got a game figured out, something crazy happens.

1024
00:54:46,320 --> 00:54:48,799
Speaker 1: So this game right here reminds me of Kansas State

1025
00:54:48,840 --> 00:54:51,880
Speaker 1: Missouri last week. I don't think anyone's picking Auburn to

1026
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:55,759
Speaker 1: win this, but the line is one possession and that's

1027
00:54:55,800 --> 00:54:58,040
Speaker 1: the same way it was with Kansas State last week.

1028
00:54:58,600 --> 00:55:02,000
Speaker 1: Remember I said, I think most people said, why is

1029
00:55:02,040 --> 00:55:04,480
Speaker 1: this line only three and a half or four? I said,

1030
00:55:05,640 --> 00:55:10,560
Speaker 1: every edge that I can see leans towards Kansas State. Well,

1031
00:55:10,600 --> 00:55:14,360
Speaker 1: then a football game happened and a funny outcome occurred.

1032
00:55:14,680 --> 00:55:16,680
Speaker 1: That was a sixty one yard walk off field goal.

1033
00:55:17,239 --> 00:55:19,640
Speaker 1: Is there a path for Auburn here, Yes, there is.

1034
00:55:20,120 --> 00:55:22,080
Speaker 1: I just think there are more paths for A and M.

1035
00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:26,000
Speaker 1: So I'll lean the side. I'll take the percentages, and

1036
00:55:26,040 --> 00:55:28,399
Speaker 1: I'll take A and M. And in a year where

1037
00:55:28,440 --> 00:55:31,000
Speaker 1: I do think they at least possessed the offensive ability

1038
00:55:31,040 --> 00:55:34,200
Speaker 1: to get some margin rather than having to win every

1039
00:55:34,239 --> 00:55:36,879
Speaker 1: game by the skin of their teeth, I'll even lay

1040
00:55:36,880 --> 00:55:38,560
Speaker 1: the seven and a half. I think there's a little

1041
00:55:38,600 --> 00:55:41,080
Speaker 1: trap aspect there with that number, So I'll take A

1042
00:55:41,120 --> 00:55:43,760
Speaker 1: and m to win. I'll take them to cover, knowing

1043
00:55:43,920 --> 00:55:46,279
Speaker 1: full well the history of the Auburn program when you

1044
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:49,799
Speaker 1: pick against them. Oh man, hit my funny bone on

1045
00:55:49,840 --> 00:55:52,520
Speaker 1: my chair. I got one more game here. I have

1046
00:55:52,640 --> 00:55:55,719
Speaker 1: got two added best bets on the Romannudle Express tonight

1047
00:55:55,840 --> 00:55:58,319
Speaker 1: as well. I am very proud at the pace we

1048
00:55:58,400 --> 00:55:59,680
Speaker 1: have had on this show, because I thought this thing

1049
00:55:59,719 --> 00:56:01,600
Speaker 1: was going to be like two hours tonight. I thought

1050
00:56:01,640 --> 00:56:04,640
Speaker 1: we were gonna go like Jerry Lewis telethon style Bradley

1051
00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:07,160
Speaker 1: answering phones over here. But no, so let me take

1052
00:56:07,160 --> 00:56:09,680
Speaker 1: a step from the Chalice got one more game to

1053
00:56:09,680 --> 00:56:14,920
Speaker 1: break down, and then we got two best bets. Oh Challice,

1054
00:56:15,000 --> 00:56:19,120
Speaker 1: running low. Haven't haven't drained it yet, but it's running low.

1055
00:56:19,400 --> 00:56:22,200
Speaker 1: Iowa is at Penn State. And get this. It's the

1056
00:56:22,239 --> 00:56:27,239
Speaker 1: wide Out Game. Saturday night, seven thirty Eastern timekick. It's

1057
00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:30,959
Speaker 1: on CBS. It's actually it's a CBS game, So we've

1058
00:56:30,960 --> 00:56:32,880
Speaker 1: got it. I know it says otherwise down at the

1059
00:56:32,920 --> 00:56:35,720
Speaker 1: bottom of the screen, but no, no, no whiteout alert.

1060
00:56:35,760 --> 00:56:38,600
Speaker 1: Baby love the white Out Game. The white Out game

1061
00:56:38,880 --> 00:56:43,040
Speaker 1: I experienced a couple of years ago. Wonderful experience. Anyone

1062
00:56:43,040 --> 00:56:46,479
Speaker 1: who's on the ledge about, you know, spending your next

1063
00:56:46,480 --> 00:56:49,480
Speaker 1: couple of paychecks to attend this thing. Do it. Do it.

1064
00:56:49,800 --> 00:56:52,080
Speaker 1: You won't miss five hundred dollars ten years from now,

1065
00:56:52,120 --> 00:56:55,040
Speaker 1: but you will have missed this memory. Buy your memories, people,

1066
00:56:55,320 --> 00:56:58,279
Speaker 1: Buy your memories, and just worry about your debt later.

1067
00:56:58,480 --> 00:57:00,200
Speaker 1: There's one piece of advice I can get of you.

1068
00:57:00,280 --> 00:57:02,360
Speaker 1: It's dad. Just don't worry about your debt. You'll be fine.

1069
00:57:02,680 --> 00:57:05,040
Speaker 1: Penn State has another gear to them. I know they do.

1070
00:57:05,960 --> 00:57:08,040
Speaker 1: I know their offense has another gear they haven't hit

1071
00:57:08,080 --> 00:57:09,480
Speaker 1: yet because I know they can run the ball better,

1072
00:57:09,600 --> 00:57:11,239
Speaker 1: or I think I know they can run the ball

1073
00:57:11,280 --> 00:57:13,759
Speaker 1: even better than they have so far. So listen to this.

1074
00:57:16,120 --> 00:57:20,880
Speaker 1: Forty percent of Iowa's offensive production is out out for

1075
00:57:20,960 --> 00:57:23,360
Speaker 1: the game. And this is already a team prone to

1076
00:57:23,400 --> 00:57:26,560
Speaker 1: sucking offensively, So forty percent of their production is out.

1077
00:57:26,720 --> 00:57:30,560
Speaker 1: Luke Leche tight end out, Patterson, the running back out,

1078
00:57:30,760 --> 00:57:35,440
Speaker 1: Caleb Johnson another running back out. No available player for

1079
00:57:35,560 --> 00:57:39,760
Speaker 1: them has more than eighty one yards receiving. So what's

1080
00:57:39,760 --> 00:57:41,880
Speaker 1: gonna is it? The first to ten wins Saturday night.

1081
00:57:42,280 --> 00:57:45,120
Speaker 1: Iowa has to force turnovers, very obvious. What they have

1082
00:57:45,200 --> 00:57:46,840
Speaker 1: to do? They have to go, they have to go

1083
00:57:46,920 --> 00:57:50,760
Speaker 1: Venus flytrap mode, and for that to happen, Penn State

1084
00:57:50,800 --> 00:57:52,960
Speaker 1: has to give the game to them. I don't think

1085
00:57:53,000 --> 00:57:55,400
Speaker 1: they will. Penn State has zero turnovers this year. They're

1086
00:57:55,440 --> 00:57:58,040
Speaker 1: plus seven in the turnover department. That's the best in

1087
00:57:58,160 --> 00:58:01,760
Speaker 1: Power five. So again, the turnover bug doesn't bite you

1088
00:58:01,840 --> 00:58:04,360
Speaker 1: until it does. But Penn States has shown the ability

1089
00:58:04,400 --> 00:58:07,280
Speaker 1: to protect the football. It could actually go the other way.

1090
00:58:07,320 --> 00:58:10,240
Speaker 1: You know, if you're missing a couple of tailbacks and

1091
00:58:10,320 --> 00:58:12,880
Speaker 1: you are struggling like I don't know what to move

1092
00:58:12,920 --> 00:58:16,240
Speaker 1: the ball, it may be that you asked Kaye McNamara.

1093
00:58:16,320 --> 00:58:19,520
Speaker 1: If you're Iowa to take some risk through the air.

1094
00:58:19,680 --> 00:58:22,480
Speaker 1: It may be that Penn State defense that forces some

1095
00:58:22,520 --> 00:58:25,680
Speaker 1: turnovers and you already can't afford it because you already

1096
00:58:25,680 --> 00:58:28,919
Speaker 1: are very very short on playmakers. I think Penn State

1097
00:58:28,960 --> 00:58:30,760
Speaker 1: will have the chance to hit Iowa over the top.

1098
00:58:30,960 --> 00:58:32,760
Speaker 1: Like as much as it sounds like they're just gonna

1099
00:58:32,760 --> 00:58:35,400
Speaker 1: grind out this game, and I think by and large

1100
00:58:35,440 --> 00:58:39,320
Speaker 1: they'll try to. There are going to be plays to

1101
00:58:39,400 --> 00:58:43,040
Speaker 1: be had over the top. Like Iowa's secondary has shown,

1102
00:58:45,040 --> 00:58:49,840
Speaker 1: you know, not ineptitude by any stretch, but there are

1103
00:58:49,840 --> 00:58:52,160
Speaker 1: plays to be had in that secondary, more so than

1104
00:58:52,200 --> 00:58:55,960
Speaker 1: in most years. I think. However, Singleton and Allen, the

1105
00:58:55,960 --> 00:58:59,520
Speaker 1: two tailbacks for Penn State, still waiting on them to

1106
00:58:59,560 --> 00:59:03,200
Speaker 1: break loose. They've got a different gear that they can

1107
00:59:03,280 --> 00:59:05,360
Speaker 1: kick it in, and I think they will in this game.

1108
00:59:05,440 --> 00:59:08,040
Speaker 1: Here's what the model thinks. The Vegas number is Penn

1109
00:59:08,040 --> 00:59:11,240
Speaker 1: State minus fourteen and a half. The model is a

1110
00:59:11,240 --> 00:59:13,960
Speaker 1: little bit shorter than that, it's Penn State minus thirteen.

1111
00:59:15,160 --> 00:59:17,880
Speaker 1: I think this is going to be an ugly looking game.

1112
00:59:18,200 --> 00:59:20,560
Speaker 1: I think it'll be a weird looking score. Like I

1113
00:59:20,560 --> 00:59:23,680
Speaker 1: don't predict scores, but you know, like twenty nine to

1114
00:59:23,880 --> 00:59:25,880
Speaker 1: nine or something like that. I think that's what this

1115
00:59:25,920 --> 00:59:29,680
Speaker 1: will line up looking like. And so even though it's

1116
00:59:29,720 --> 00:59:32,000
Speaker 1: a double digit spread, I don't think Penn State has

1117
00:59:32,040 --> 00:59:34,720
Speaker 1: to score a ton to cover. That's the feel I

1118
00:59:34,760 --> 00:59:39,640
Speaker 1: have on this Penn State. Oh how helpful nine ozho

1119
00:59:39,680 --> 00:59:42,840
Speaker 1: to one against the spread in their last ten games. Now,

1120
00:59:42,880 --> 00:59:45,840
Speaker 1: I am the person who famously said trends are good

1121
00:59:45,840 --> 00:59:49,040
Speaker 1: at predicting the past, we're worried about the future. But

1122
00:59:49,160 --> 00:59:51,880
Speaker 1: since that happens to anecdotally back up my argument here,

1123
00:59:52,400 --> 00:59:54,880
Speaker 1: I'll repeat it on air. I'm gonna take Penn State

1124
00:59:54,880 --> 00:59:56,160
Speaker 1: to win. I'm going to take them to cover the

1125
00:59:56,160 --> 00:59:58,840
Speaker 1: fourteen and a half. I think they'll win by seventeen plus.

1126
00:59:59,040 --> 01:00:01,840
Speaker 1: And current lee this is the number three team and

1127
01:00:01,880 --> 01:00:04,080
Speaker 1: the number four team in the odds to win the

1128
01:00:04,080 --> 01:00:07,240
Speaker 1: Big Ten Championship key distinction. One of them's in the

1129
01:00:07,280 --> 01:00:10,960
Speaker 1: West and Penn State is the other team. All right,

1130
01:00:11,040 --> 01:00:12,760
Speaker 1: let's get some best bets in here and let's get

1131
01:00:12,760 --> 01:00:16,000
Speaker 1: out of here. Oh, by the way, before anyone rails

1132
01:00:16,040 --> 01:00:19,200
Speaker 1: against me in the comment section, Oregon State, Washington State.

1133
01:00:19,360 --> 01:00:22,080
Speaker 1: I know we didn't pick it yet. Texas Baylor, we

1134
01:00:22,120 --> 01:00:25,520
Speaker 1: didn't pick it yet. Ucla Utah, we didn't pick it yet.

1135
01:00:25,680 --> 01:00:27,720
Speaker 1: Thursday night. We couldnot fit all those games in the

1136
01:00:27,760 --> 01:00:31,240
Speaker 1: show tonight. So Thursday night, I'm not overlooking those. We

1137
01:00:31,320 --> 01:00:34,240
Speaker 1: just have such a loaded slate that I wanted to

1138
01:00:34,280 --> 01:00:37,720
Speaker 1: give due diligence to all the games, and we would

1139
01:00:37,760 --> 01:00:40,000
Speaker 1: have skimmed the surface too much tonight if we did that. Okay,

1140
01:00:40,400 --> 01:00:43,240
Speaker 1: rominudle Express best bets. We're already on two games that

1141
01:00:43,320 --> 01:00:46,800
Speaker 1: I gave you Sunday night, and that's Middle Tennessee State

1142
01:00:46,920 --> 01:00:50,439
Speaker 1: minus two. They're playing Colorado State. And then we've got

1143
01:00:50,480 --> 01:00:52,560
Speaker 1: Oregon State minus two and a half. They're going to

1144
01:00:52,680 --> 01:00:54,680
Speaker 1: Washington State. I guess that kind of burns the prediction

1145
01:00:54,720 --> 01:00:57,840
Speaker 1: on that game, but we'll break it down anyway. All right,

1146
01:00:57,920 --> 01:01:02,960
Speaker 1: two added best bets. We're going Pit plus seven and

1147
01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:06,600
Speaker 1: a half, I believe at home against North Carolina. And

1148
01:01:07,040 --> 01:01:08,840
Speaker 1: you know what we're gonna do. We're gonna bet Kent

1149
01:01:09,080 --> 01:01:11,640
Speaker 1: State because it moved to twenty eight, which we were

1150
01:01:11,640 --> 01:01:14,520
Speaker 1: waiting on for two days. It's long two days. Kent

1151
01:01:14,600 --> 01:01:18,320
Speaker 1: State plus twenty eight. They're at Fresno Fresno casually plus

1152
01:01:18,320 --> 01:01:20,200
Speaker 1: eight turnovers last week, so this is pretty much an

1153
01:01:20,200 --> 01:01:22,919
Speaker 1: auto play against them. So Kent State plus twenty eight,

1154
01:01:23,160 --> 01:01:25,800
Speaker 1: Pit plus seven and a half, Oregon State minus two

1155
01:01:25,840 --> 01:01:28,600
Speaker 1: and a half, Middle Tennessee minus two. You know what

1156
01:01:28,640 --> 01:01:33,280
Speaker 1: I did tonight? I enacted what we call Jimbo protocol

1157
01:01:33,520 --> 01:01:34,920
Speaker 1: because I knew we had a lot to get to

1158
01:01:35,240 --> 01:01:36,800
Speaker 1: and there's really only one way you can get through

1159
01:01:36,800 --> 01:01:39,240
Speaker 1: breaking down seven games, JP Poll best bets and the

1160
01:01:39,280 --> 01:01:41,880
Speaker 1: deon tacks, and that is to talk at about six

1161
01:01:41,960 --> 01:01:44,960
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty words a minute. I can't take credit

1162
01:01:45,000 --> 01:01:48,560
Speaker 1: for it, friends, I learned it from attending Jimbo Fisher

1163
01:01:48,560 --> 01:01:52,160
Speaker 1: press conferences Jimbo Fisher. You pull the string and you

1164
01:01:52,240 --> 01:01:55,120
Speaker 1: let it go, and instead of farm animal, sounds like

1165
01:01:55,120 --> 01:01:57,360
Speaker 1: that toy you had as a kid. He just talks

1166
01:01:57,400 --> 01:02:00,800
Speaker 1: like an auctioneer. It's amazing. It is. It's a sight

1167
01:02:00,880 --> 01:02:04,080
Speaker 1: to behold in person, and I tried my best to

1168
01:02:04,120 --> 01:02:06,680
Speaker 1: do it tonight and look at us, Colin Jesse. We

1169
01:02:06,760 --> 01:02:09,640
Speaker 1: wrapped the show up in just over an hour. Thank

1170
01:02:09,680 --> 01:02:12,640
Speaker 1: you guys so much. For producer Jesse, for director Colin,

1171
01:02:12,760 --> 01:02:14,680
Speaker 1: I'm Josh Bate. Take care. We'll be back same time

1172
01:02:14,720 --> 01:02:17,520
Speaker 1: Thursday night. Until then, take care and God bless