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Speaker 1: Welcome to the best of the week for What's Right

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Speaker 1: with Nick Right the best takes in moments from this

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Speaker 1: week on the show. Enjoy. The Steelers beat the Ravens

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Speaker 1: in justin epic final game two seventy two of the

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty five NFL season. And before I get to

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Speaker 1: how seriously I'm taking the Steelers, the real story is,

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Speaker 1: of course, this season from Baltimore, and the developing story

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Speaker 1: is that at the moment it's ten forty five am

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Speaker 1: Eastern on January sixth, what was happening five years ago today?

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Speaker 1: At this time, it's ten forty five Eastern, six years ago.

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Speaker 1: At this time, I should say, uh, and John Harbaugh

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Speaker 1: still has a job. So right now it's status quo

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Speaker 1: in Baltimore. And we'll get into that piece of it

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Speaker 1: as well. But first I do want to show actual empathy,

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Speaker 1: and I mean this. This isn't tongue in cheek, This

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Speaker 1: isn't me being a smart ass, this isn't me doing

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Speaker 1: any subtle I told you so stuff about Lamar who

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Speaker 1: had such an interesting game Sunday night. But over the

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Speaker 1: last ten years, it is hard to find a franchise

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Speaker 1: that it's dealt with more end of season stomach punches

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Speaker 1: than the Baltimore Ravens. And it's literally nine of the

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Speaker 1: last ten years. So if I may go through it

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Speaker 1: just quickly, because this does the Ravens, because they've had

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Speaker 1: such success compared to mediocre or bad franchises, and because

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Speaker 1: they've got a two time MVP and a coach people

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Speaker 1: historically have really liked, and they've won two Super Bowls

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Speaker 1: this decade. I'm sorry this century people don't look at

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Speaker 1: them as like a cursed, cursed franchise. But here how

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Speaker 1: the last ten seasons have ended in Baltimore. Twenty sixteen,

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Speaker 1: the eight and six Baltimore Ravens are playing the nine

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Speaker 1: and five Pittsburgh Steelers. It is on Sunday Night Football

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Speaker 1: with the de facto division title on the line. The

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Speaker 1: Ravens have a three point lead. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: it was a three or a four point lead. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna check to get because I want to make sure

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Speaker 1: I have it right. They have a three point lead

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Speaker 1: with ten seconds left and Ben Roethlisberger throws just short

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Speaker 1: of the goal line to Antonio Brown, who gets hit

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Speaker 1: and stopped and Pittsburgh has no timeouts. He stopped short

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Speaker 1: of the goal line and as he's going down, he

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Speaker 1: turns around reaches the ball over the back of his head. Touchdown.

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Speaker 1: Division title. Baltimore loses the next week and misses the postseason.

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Speaker 1: Next year, Baltimore is in a win and in scenario

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Speaker 1: in Week seventeen against that got nothing to play for

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals and Andy Dalton. They have them in a

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Speaker 1: fourth and twelve with forty seconds remaining, and the Bengals

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Speaker 1: hit a sixty plus yard game winning insane touchdown pass

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Speaker 1: to end the Raven season. The next year is the

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Speaker 1: one year the reason I said nine out of ten

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Speaker 1: with heartbreak, the one year that didn't end in heartbreak.

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Speaker 1: The next year, the team's not good throws a figurative

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Speaker 1: Hail Mary by going to Lamar Jackson at mid You know,

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Speaker 1: late in the year, Lamar rips off a bunch of wins,

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Speaker 1: they sneak into the playoffs. They get absolutely crushed in

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Speaker 1: round one. But you had real reason for optimism, didn't

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Speaker 1: expect necessarily, you didn't expect to look as bad as

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Speaker 1: you did in Round one against the Chargers. But whatever,

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Speaker 1: But twenty sixteen, you lose a Week sixteen game for

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Speaker 1: the division in the final seconds. Twenty seventeen, you lose

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Speaker 1: a winning You're in game on a fourth and twelve

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Speaker 1: to Andy Dalton. Twenty nineteen. You have the number one seed,

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Speaker 1: you have the unanimous MVP, and you get dog walked

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Speaker 1: by the Tennessee Titans. In your first playoff game twenty twenty,

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Speaker 1: it is a ten to three snowy, cold weather defensive

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Speaker 1: battle in the divisional round. You are inside the ten

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Speaker 1: yard line going in for the game tying touchdown as

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Speaker 1: the waning moments of the fourth quarter approach of the

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Speaker 1: third quarter. In the waiting moments of the third quarter,

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson picks six. You lose the game right there.

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Speaker 1: Twenty twenty one, you're eight and three. Lamar Jackson gets

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Speaker 1: banged up. His coach thinks he'll be back soon. He

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Speaker 1: never comes back. You finish eight and nine. Twenty twenty two,

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Speaker 1: you're having another solid year. You're nine to four. Lamar

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Speaker 1: Jackson gets banged up, his coach thinks he's coming back.

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Speaker 1: You limp to the finish line, but make the playoffs anyway,

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Speaker 1: and you're seventeen seventeen in a playoff game against the

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati Angles with Tyler Huntley at quarterback, you're on the

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Speaker 1: goal line. You run a quarterback sneak fumble return touchdown

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Speaker 1: ninety nine yards. Lose that playoff game. Twenty twenty three,

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Speaker 1: you're the number one seed again. You have a home

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Speaker 1: playoff game. You're the number one DVOA team, the number

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Speaker 1: one DVOA defense, you have the MVP of the league

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Speaker 1: at quarterback. You turn the ball over three times in

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Speaker 1: that game, including a goal line fumble by Zay Flowers

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Speaker 1: and end zone pick by Lamar Jackson. You lose seventeen

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Speaker 1: to seven. Twenty twenty four, Lamar is the best year

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Speaker 1: of his career, arguably despite not winning MVP. You get

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Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills again. You have a furious second half comeback,

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Speaker 1: culminating in a two point conversion attempt to a wide

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Speaker 1: open Mark Andrewsy fumbles and twenty twenty five, you have

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Speaker 1: a season from hell, but you can make up for

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Speaker 1: all of it by beating your hated rival Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Speaker 1: And you have another unbelievable fourth quarter by Lamar, including

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Speaker 1: a fourth and seven conversion to Isaiah likely to give

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Speaker 1: you a chip shot field goal, and your rookie kicker

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Speaker 1: Tyler loop gaxit that is nine out of ten years

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Speaker 1: of utter heartbreak, and the one year that was not

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Speaker 1: included in the heartbreak was getting just annihilated in a

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Speaker 1: playoff game Lamar's rookie season. That is torture. And I

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Speaker 1: got real empathy for Ravens fans, honestly, and it's one

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Speaker 1: of the reasons I'm so surprised John Harbaugh is still

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Speaker 1: the coach, because even if that's not his fault, there's

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Speaker 1: too much scar tissue at this point and it sure

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Speaker 1: feels like a change needs to be made now. On

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Speaker 1: the game itself, how do we evaluate Lamar's play such

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Speaker 1: a weird game because for the first three quarters, and

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Speaker 1: Collinsworth set it on the broadcast early in the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 1: Lamar was five of ten for sixty seven yards and

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Speaker 1: wasn't running the ball and had done nothing. And then

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Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter he played the best quarter of

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Speaker 1: his life, including two of the best plays of his

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Speaker 1: entire career, the two free rushers sandwiching him, him him

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Speaker 1: avoiding that sack, and then hitting Zay Flowers on a

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Speaker 1: fifty plus yard touchdown. As amazing as that was, I

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Speaker 1: don't know if that was a better play than the

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Speaker 1: fourth and seven season on the line, perfect throw and

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Speaker 1: even better catch by likely to set up the chip

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Speaker 1: shot field goal. So Lamar, you in sports, it doesn't

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Speaker 1: matter how big of a hole you dig yourself. Ask

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Speaker 1: my guy Trevor with his four interception playoff game, if

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Speaker 1: your brilliance digs you out of it. The last two

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Speaker 1: years the game ending losses for Baltimore, it is felt

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Speaker 1: like Lamar helped dig them a big hole and then

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Speaker 1: dug them this close to out of it with brilliant play,

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Speaker 1: and then mistakes by other people cost him the full vindication.

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Speaker 1: Mark Andrews cost him a shot at overtime and Tyler

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Speaker 1: Loop cost him a win. But how do we do

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Speaker 1: the math on that? It'd be ridiculous to pin the

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Speaker 1: loss on Lamar, but it would also be ridiculous to

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Speaker 1: give him credit for coming through in a game that

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Speaker 1: they lost, and in part they lost because in the

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Speaker 1: Bills game last year and the Steelers game this year

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Speaker 1: really really shaky first half performances including a turnover or

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Speaker 1: in the Bill's game, a couple turnovers, So that part

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Speaker 1: is hard to parse and history probably won't remember the

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Speaker 1: details as much as more big games that the Ravens

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Speaker 1: were favored in. And that's the other piece that I

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Speaker 1: didn't even mention in this favored in that game against

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs, favored in obvious, the game against the Bills,

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Speaker 1: favored in, the game against Pittsburgh lost, lost loss. Now,

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Speaker 1: the very end of the game, should John Harbaugh have

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Speaker 1: attempted to put Tyler Loop in a better position? The

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Speaker 1: easy answer is yes, why didn't he? The uncomfortable answer

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Speaker 1: is because Derrick Henry had a fumbling problem this year,

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Speaker 1: and all of that matters. The fact that the Ravens

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Speaker 1: moved on from Justin Tucker to a rookie kicker mattered

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Speaker 1: this year, the fact that Derrick Henry fumbled early in

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Speaker 1: the year and seemed to be in his head about it,

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Speaker 1: despite how brilliant he was. If it wasn't in his head,

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Speaker 1: it was in Harball's because you had fourteen seconds, you

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Speaker 1: had one time out, and you were staring at a

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Speaker 1: forty one yard field goal in the toughest stadium to

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Speaker 1: kick in the sport. And instead of asking Derrick Henry

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Speaker 1: to make it a thirty five yard field goal or

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Speaker 1: maybe a zero yard field goal if he pops one,

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Speaker 1: you made it a forty four yard field goal. Because

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Speaker 1: you don't want to risk the turnover. Also, Lamar told

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Speaker 1: us that not long before Tyler looped and I don't

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Speaker 1: know if Harbaugh knew this. Not long before Tyler loop

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Speaker 1: goes to take the kick that will define his entire

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Speaker 1: NFL career, most likely Lamar flipped out on him on

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Speaker 1: the sidelines. He kicked the ball out of bounds. That's

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Speaker 1: gotta be tough for the rookie kicker. I don't know

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Speaker 1: how confident he was walking into that kick, and we

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Speaker 1: only the cameras didn't catch that. Lamar told us that

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Speaker 1: after the game. But ultimately the reason the Ravens lost

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Speaker 1: was because they were not a good team this year.

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Speaker 1: They were an eight to nine team in every fashion.

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Speaker 1: They had moments of brilliant defense and moments of horrific defense,

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Speaker 1: and that was over the course of the season, and

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Speaker 1: in the final game of the year, their quarterback had

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Speaker 1: moments of brilliant play and moments of the shakiest play

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Speaker 1: of his career. That was all season, and in Week eighteen.

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Speaker 1: They're coached by a special teams coach, and the special

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Speaker 1: teams were shaky throughout the season, and then they lost

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Speaker 1: it for him in Week eighteen. That was not a

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Speaker 1: great football team, and that was not a team that,

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Speaker 1: had they won, they were going to be super dangerous,

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Speaker 1: even though people tried to convince themselves they would be.

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Speaker 1: That was a team that needed the Cleveland Browns and

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Speaker 1: Shadoor Sanders to win a Week seventeen game just to

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Speaker 1: make Week eighteen matter for them. And so why will

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Speaker 1: this team be different next year? Well, right now, as

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Speaker 1: I keep checking my phone for an update, it doesn't

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Speaker 1: look like they're going to be. Which Lamar was asked

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Speaker 1: after the game if he wants Harbaugh back next year,

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Speaker 1: and he said, I can't focus on that right now.

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Speaker 1: We just lost, which is a damning and telling answer.

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Speaker 1: And I have been of the informed belief that Lamar

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Speaker 1: is over John Harbaugh. Lamar's answer to that question just

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Speaker 1: furthered that belief, which again is not naked speculation. And

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Speaker 1: if I were the Ravens, I'd almost always picked the

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Speaker 1: player over the coach. It doesn't seem like they have

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Speaker 1: any interest in moving on from Lamar, so I just

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Speaker 1: assumed they knew they had to move on from Harbaugh.

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Speaker 1: And again, by the time you listen to this, maybe

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Speaker 1: that will have happened. But it has not happened yet,

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Speaker 1: and the Lamar contracts situation becomes very tricky because he

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Speaker 1: has got two years left on what is now a

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Speaker 1: drastically undermarket deal that averages fifty two million dollars a year.

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Speaker 1: The top of the market's now sixty. Also, they need

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Speaker 1: to rework that deal because it's got a cap hit

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Speaker 1: of seventy five million dollars next year and the year after,

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Speaker 1: which is completely untenable. And Lamar, who turned twenty nine

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Speaker 1: tomorrow and is coming off his worst year as a

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Speaker 1: pro and a year with five injuries, is going to

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Speaker 1: want a top of market, fully guaranteed contract. And if

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Speaker 1: the Ravens keep John Harbaugh, what was already going to

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Speaker 1: be a very tough contract negotiation for the Baltimore Ravens

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Speaker 1: with Lamar, I think we'll get that much tougher. So

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Speaker 1: I don't want to spend too much time right now

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Speaker 1: on the Lamar future Harball future angle, just because I

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Speaker 1: still feel like this could become day in hours, because

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Speaker 1: I still feel like the Ravens are probably moving on

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Speaker 1: All right, demanse, let's get to Harball before we get

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Speaker 1: to some of the other games.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 3: So, sadly, after eighteen seasons, twelve postseason appearances in a

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Speaker 3: Super Bowl ring, the Ravens are partner ways with John Harball.

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Speaker 3: You everything would call this on Tuesday, But now that

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Speaker 3: it's official, where are the Ravens going?

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Speaker 1: So it's really interesting interviewing Brian flores Uh found that

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Speaker 1: out today. I I would be really interested in Mike

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Speaker 1: McDaniel just got fired and a lot of people are

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Speaker 1: connecting Harbaugh to the Dolphins.

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Speaker 2: I couldn't see him coaching.

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Speaker 1: I couldn't see who coaching was.

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Speaker 2: I couldn't see Harball coaching in Miami.

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Speaker 1: Well, I think there's like a weird Steve. I think

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Speaker 1: I should know this. I think there's some Michigan connections

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Speaker 1: Stephen Ross, but doesn't matter. Like the I think it'd

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Speaker 1: be hard to go from Lamar Jackson to two, but

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Speaker 1: they're not even gonna have Tua. Like what are they

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Speaker 1: gonna do?

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Miami's in a tough spot. I what's funny not funny,

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Speaker 1: But what's interesting is I thought Mike McDaniel as the

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Speaker 1: Ravens offensive coordinator was an awesome idea, like that running

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Speaker 1: game that he did developed, except you have Lamar and

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Speaker 1: Derrick Henry, Like that would be you know, Mike McDaniel

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Speaker 1: as as it was like Matt Nagy's leaving the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: I know it's different systems and everything, but man, oh man,

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Speaker 1: Mike McDaniel's the Chiefs offensive coordinator is something I'm super

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Speaker 1: intrigued by, even though I think it's very unlikely. Now,

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Speaker 1: maybe McDaniel thinks he's gonna step into a head coaching job.

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Speaker 1: That would surprise me. I don't think he's gonna go right,

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Speaker 1: but maybe he will. His record wasn't terrible, the team

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Speaker 1: didn't quit at the end, and some people might be like,

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Speaker 1: look at what he did with Tua. As far as

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Speaker 1: the Ravens decision on firing Harball. I there was no decision, guys,

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Speaker 1: the and I've done enough victory lapping on Twitter, so

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Speaker 1: I don't need to. And it's not victory lapping about

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Speaker 1: someone losing their job, to be clear, victory lapping on

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Speaker 1: I told you guys all year there was a problem

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Speaker 1: between Lamar and Harrball, and you guys thought I was

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Speaker 1: just I spun a wheel. People thought like, oh, Nick

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Speaker 1: just decided today, he's gonna create this out of thin air,

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Speaker 1: as opposed to a paying close attention to the incredibly

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Speaker 1: odd objective fact that they didn't communicate about how hurt

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Speaker 1: he was and also having a little behind the scenes insights.

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Speaker 1: So their ability to ensure Lamar was a Raven for

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Speaker 1: life and was a raven next year was going to

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Speaker 1: be kneecapped had they kept Harball. So they didn't, so

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Speaker 1: they move on. And even though tell me if this

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Speaker 1: makes sense to you, de Monse, the odds are the

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Speaker 1: next coach of the Ravens is not near as good

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Speaker 1: of a coach as John Harball. But that doesn't mean

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Speaker 1: that coach won't be the one to get him over

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Speaker 1: the hump.

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Speaker 2: He might be a.

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Speaker 1: Worse coach, but also like that they just need something

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Speaker 1: new or better luck or whatever it is, and that

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Speaker 1: it felt like you couldn't just run it back again

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Speaker 1: with Harball. So I felt like the move needed to

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Speaker 1: be made, even though I think Harball is an excellent

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Speaker 1: coach that tracked to you.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I definitely don't think the next coach that we

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Speaker 3: would get will be better or as.

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Speaker 2: Good as John Harball.

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Speaker 3: I think it's it's gonna be pretty hard to find

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Speaker 3: Belichick wanted them to.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so it sounds contradictory. Is the Belichick thing so

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Speaker 1: interesting had he not had this embarrassment of a year

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Speaker 1: in his coaching? Yes, I really think so. And you

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Speaker 1: wouldn't care that that he's old, that it's not long term,

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Speaker 1: because it's like, no, we just need to get over

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Speaker 1: the whole lamar For Harball, obviously, I think he could

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Speaker 1: have his pick of jobs. If I'm John Harbaugh, I

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Speaker 1: don't know that I want any of these jobs. I

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Speaker 1: certainly because it was reported yesterday that he's gonna wait

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Speaker 1: a week before he starts taking interviews. I think that's

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Speaker 1: smart because I'd be awful interested in if the Eagles,

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Speaker 1: Bill's or Packers losing Round one to any of those teams,

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Speaker 1: ownership decide we're gonna fire our coach to hire Harball. Now,

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Speaker 1: on that note, I think Cincinnati should reach out to

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Speaker 1: harror Ball's agent today and be like, if this job

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Speaker 1: was open, would he take it? And if the answers yes,

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Speaker 1: I'd fire Zach Taylor. Now that's not really Cincinnati's style.

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Speaker 1: For Philadelphia, it might sound harsh, Sirianni is literally the

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Speaker 1: defending Super Bowl champion, but Howie Roseman and Jeffrey Loriie

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Speaker 1: have never cared about being harsh. They drafted Carson Wentz

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Speaker 1: number two overall, gave him a huge contract, moved on

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Speaker 1: from him. Doug Peterson won a Super Bowl with Nick Foles,

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Speaker 1: then won a Playoff game the next year with Nick Foles.

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Speaker 1: They moved on from him. They moved like they will

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Speaker 1: if they think they can get better, they will move

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Speaker 1: on from somebody. And I think Harbaugh, who came like

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Speaker 1: started coaching in Philly. I think that's really interesting there.

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Speaker 1: Buffalo less interesting, and he, Danny explained, I didn't quite

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Speaker 1: follow it. He has some real like green Bay ties

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Speaker 1: about like his who his agent is, and the green

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Speaker 1: Bay I don't totally follow it doesn't matter, but it

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Speaker 1: seemed like Lafleoor midway through the season there was little

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Speaker 1: scuttle but about Lafleur not being quite as safe as

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Speaker 1: people thought and how he hadn't gotten an extension. So

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Speaker 1: if I'm Harball, I just want to wait and see

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Speaker 1: do what does a job come open where the quarterback

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Speaker 1: is set Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Jordan Love or am

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Speaker 1: I gonna have to roll the Jackson Dart Dice or

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Speaker 1: Atlanta with Michael Pennix. Like, So that's what I think.

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Speaker 3: Is those places went over there would be more likely

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Speaker 3: to move off the quarterback though, right Like it's like, oh,

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Speaker 3: he's obvious.

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Speaker 2: It's not the coach that's the problem.

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Speaker 3: It's the quarterback more likely to oh you have a

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Speaker 3: little bit more control over who's coming in.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I mean I think John Harball will get

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Speaker 1: whatever he wants because there's also not another great head

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Speaker 1: coaching option out there. Yeah, it's not like there's also

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Speaker 1: Sean Payton and Jim Harball waiting in the wings or

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Speaker 1: Ben Johnson. You know that guy doesn't seem to exist

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Speaker 1: this cycle. Now, let me say this about what this

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Speaker 1: means pardon me, guys, what this means for Lamar?

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Speaker 3: Come come with it next year, dude.

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Speaker 2: They have.

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Speaker 1: Changed defensive coordinators multiple times since he's been there. Again,

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Speaker 1: no culpability on his end for that, just stating effect.

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Speaker 1: They've changed offensive coordinators multiple times and they're about to

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Speaker 1: do it again. They've now changed head coaches. They brought

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Speaker 1: in Derrick Henry, who has been nothing but dominant since

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Speaker 1: he became a Raven. We can argue about how good

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Speaker 1: these picks were, but since Lamar has been there, they

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Speaker 1: have spent three first round picks on wide receiver. They

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Speaker 1: perennially lead the league or near the top of the

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Speaker 1: league in Pro bowlers on the roster. And now I believe,

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Speaker 1: with reason to believe, he got what he wanted and

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Speaker 1: he's getting a new head coach. Got to go be

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Speaker 1: awesome now. And more than being awesome, you gotta be available.

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Speaker 1: You want to know a shocking fact, Demons, In the

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Speaker 1: last five years, Lamar Jackson and always injured brittle Joe

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Speaker 1: Burrow have played the exact same amount of games. No,

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Speaker 1: that's true. I'm not making that up.

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Speaker 2: That is an insane stat.

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Speaker 1: In the last five years, Lamar Jackson has played seventy

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Speaker 1: regular season games and four playoff games, and Joe Burrow's

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00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:08,680
Speaker 1: played sixty seven regular season games and seven playoff games.

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Speaker 1: To the tune of them both playing in the last

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Speaker 1: five years seventy four games. In the last five years,

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Speaker 1: they both have played in the playoffs two years and

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Speaker 1: either missed or not been healthy for the playoffs the

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Speaker 1: other three years. For context on that, in the last

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Speaker 1: five years, Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes have also played

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Speaker 1: the exact same number of games ninety three, so nineteen games,

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Speaker 1: more more than a full season in a playoff run

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Speaker 1: of more availability. And the Lamar stat is stunning, isn't it?

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Speaker 1: Because we look at Burrow as.

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Speaker 2: Injury always, I thought.

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Speaker 1: Right, and with Joe we also like and their very

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Speaker 1: what do you call it, like significant injuries, you know

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Speaker 1: what I mean? Like Joe Burrow, like, oh he's out

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Speaker 1: months with a turf toe. Oh he's out the end

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Speaker 1: of the season. With the UCL Lamar they it's I

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Speaker 1: couldn't when I didn't know that. When I was looking

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Speaker 1: it up, I was just like, I'm curious.

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Speaker 3: Well, you feel like with Lamar they are less crucial

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Speaker 3: injuries than.

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Speaker 1: Well, they're not. It hasn't been like needed surgery like

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Speaker 1: Joe needed on both the right, but the it's stunning

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Speaker 1: seventy four games each, so he's got to be available.

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Speaker 1: He turned twenty nine yesterday. He's gonna get the biggest

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Speaker 1: contract in NFL history this offseason. It's got to go perform.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not sitting here saying he can't do it.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, pretty big offseason. Pretty pretty big offseason. By

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Speaker 1: the way, if you're thinking about upgrading to the all

430
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441
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Speaker 1: Delivery available for select devices purchased at boost mobile dot Com.

442
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Speaker 1: Terms of course do apply.

443
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:49,680
Speaker 3: Right so the playoffs are officially here, wildcar Wee can

444
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:52,400
Speaker 3: coming up. A lot of the big dogs are missing

445
00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 3: out of the playoffs. So with that being said, in

446
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:57,440
Speaker 3: the teams that you see, what are some of the

447
00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 3: big storylines that you'll be following this postseason?

448
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:06,400
Speaker 1: So top five storylines in order. I think I reserve

449
00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:09,560
Speaker 1: the right to revise it, and I listen. I saw

450
00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 1: my friend Mina Kimes and Dominique Foxworth mocking this idea,

451
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:22,319
Speaker 1: but respectfully, they're wrong. The most interesting story about these

452
00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:27,240
Speaker 1: these NFL playoffs are is this the year Josh Allen

453
00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:31,320
Speaker 1: breaks through. I understand they're the sixth seed. I understand

454
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:33,920
Speaker 1: they are a flawed team with a bad run defense,

455
00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:38,600
Speaker 1: but this is not Josh Allen on the Washington Generals.

456
00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 1: They have the rushing champ, they have an excellent pass defense,

457
00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:48,160
Speaker 1: they have a great offensive line that there it would be.

458
00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:53,839
Speaker 1: It's going to take greatness from Josh Allen to make

459
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:57,360
Speaker 1: it through on the road this playoff field, but it's doable.

460
00:34:58,040 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 1: And I wonder I for Bills fans, forget for Josh.

461
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:13,760
Speaker 1: Would Bills fans rather have a better team, the best

462
00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:18,520
Speaker 1: Bills team, whatever year you think that is, But have

463
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:24,839
Speaker 1: Mahomes and Burrow in the field, or a flawed team

464
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:28,200
Speaker 1: but have no Mahomes in Burrow. I think Bill's fans

465
00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:33,240
Speaker 1: would say, give me the flawed team on the road

466
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:37,960
Speaker 1: without the bugeyman plus Joe Burrow sitting in the bracket,

467
00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:43,520
Speaker 1: and I think the Bills can do it now. I

468
00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:45,960
Speaker 1: also think the Jags are a very dangerous team. I

469
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:49,279
Speaker 1: said this on TV. I don't know if I said

470
00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:53,480
Speaker 1: it on here, and you'll find you'll find out who

471
00:35:53,560 --> 00:35:57,920
Speaker 1: I'm picking in this game, uh later in the show.

472
00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:04,600
Speaker 1: But I believe the winner of this game is going

473
00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:07,759
Speaker 1: to win the AFC. I believe in both of these

474
00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:10,600
Speaker 1: teams more than I believe in the top two seeds

475
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 1: the Patriots and the Broncos. So that is to me.

476
00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:19,359
Speaker 1: Storyline number one is can Josh Allen breakthrough? That's the

477
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:28,000
Speaker 1: most interesting storyline. Storyline number two is will any of

478
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:35,000
Speaker 1: these year two quarterbacks go on a run? You have Caleb,

479
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:43,400
Speaker 1: you have Drake, you have both. Drake has the most

480
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:48,480
Speaker 1: well rounded team. Well, I don't know. The Broncos might

481
00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:51,800
Speaker 1: be a more well rounded team than the Patriots. The Broncos,

482
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:54,879
Speaker 1: let me, I take that back, because I actually part

483
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:56,839
Speaker 1: of the reason that I think the Patriots are better

484
00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:59,279
Speaker 1: than the Broncos is because I think Drake is so

485
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:05,280
Speaker 1: much better than both. But if you were to, if

486
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:08,759
Speaker 1: you take the quarterbacks off of it and evaluate the rosters,

487
00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:13,520
Speaker 1: it's probably Bronco's number one. The Bears are an interesting

488
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:16,640
Speaker 1: one because the offense is so good, but the defense

489
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:20,279
Speaker 1: of those three teams is the shakiest. But here's what

490
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:23,880
Speaker 1: I'm getting at, Demanse and listen, you know, I don't

491
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 1: believe in bow Knicks, but it's the number one seed,

492
00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:28,279
Speaker 1: and if he goes on a playoff run, I don't

493
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 1: know what I'm gonna say. Yeah, we live in a

494
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:36,279
Speaker 1: world where Mahomes missed the playoffs and just tore his

495
00:37:36,360 --> 00:37:40,760
Speaker 1: Acol Lamar missed the playoffs as coach, just got fired.

496
00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:46,920
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow missed the playoffs for the third straight year. Okay,

497
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:54,400
Speaker 1: if one of these second year quarterbacks goes on a

498
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:59,239
Speaker 1: real run, wins multiple playoff games, shows up in the

499
00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:04,680
Speaker 1: super Bowl, whomever it is. Assuming again, and I don't

500
00:38:04,719 --> 00:38:06,719
Speaker 1: even really want to include bo Nicks in this, but

501
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 1: I have to be fair, assuming that it's not the

502
00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:13,839
Speaker 1: two thousand Ravens way to the Super Bowl that the

503
00:38:13,840 --> 00:38:17,239
Speaker 1: offense more than carries its weight, which obviously would have

504
00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:22,080
Speaker 1: to happen with the Patriots or the Bears. Right, does

505
00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:26,400
Speaker 1: that top of the NFL, not the very top, but

506
00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:29,840
Speaker 1: the top ish of the NFL quarterback pyramid have to

507
00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:34,360
Speaker 1: start to include one of these kids? Yeah, you know

508
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:37,040
Speaker 1: what I mean, Like the if Drake May and the

509
00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:39,880
Speaker 1: Patriots make the Super Bowl. I already think Drake May

510
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:42,799
Speaker 1: is probably a top five quarterback, then it becomes undeniable.

511
00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:46,880
Speaker 1: If Caleb puts it all together, God forbid, if bo

512
00:38:47,080 --> 00:38:50,800
Speaker 1: Nicks wins two playoff games and makes like so, which

513
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:54,080
Speaker 1: of these young quarterbacks are any of them gonna go

514
00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:57,640
Speaker 1: on a run? And are any of these young quarterbacks

515
00:38:57,680 --> 00:39:00,560
Speaker 1: bow at least has been to the playoffs going to

516
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 1: have you know, those first playoff game jitters or first

517
00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:11,279
Speaker 1: real expectations in the playoffs. You know stumble That to

518
00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:13,279
Speaker 1: me is the second biggest storyline. Go ahead. It seems

519
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 1: like you want to say something.

520
00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:17,239
Speaker 2: No, I mean, but bow Nick's getting there.

521
00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:20,520
Speaker 3: I feel like you'd attribute you would attribute that to

522
00:39:20,600 --> 00:39:21,480
Speaker 3: the defense carrying.

523
00:39:21,640 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 2: I think it also depends on how they yeah, I mean,

524
00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:25,719
Speaker 2: how they do on the run.

525
00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:28,880
Speaker 1: Right, you gotta see how the game plays out. I

526
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 1: think the third biggest storyline is and again I know

527
00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:36,799
Speaker 1: that I'm quarterback centric in this, but because the storylines

528
00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:41,400
Speaker 1: are typically third biggest storyline is what if Aaron Rodgers

529
00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:46,200
Speaker 1: goes on a run. I don't. I don't think it's likely,

530
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:49,719
Speaker 1: but after that game against Baltimore, I don't think it's impossible.

531
00:39:50,120 --> 00:39:55,040
Speaker 3: Is that ere another super Bowl? Yeah?

532
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:58,319
Speaker 1: I mean the guy's got four MVPs. The guy as

533
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:03,640
Speaker 1: regular season wise, he's a top three quarterback of all time,

534
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:11,960
Speaker 1: and so I obviously winning a super Bowl puts him

535
00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:16,759
Speaker 1: in a the it's a totally different world worry to

536
00:40:16,800 --> 00:40:19,080
Speaker 1: win a super Bowl. But I don't even if he

537
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:25,080
Speaker 1: just they break the Steelers break their decade long playoff

538
00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:28,680
Speaker 1: win drought, pull off some upsets, they show up in

539
00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:33,920
Speaker 1: a conference championship game, be unbelievable and so I and

540
00:40:34,960 --> 00:40:37,480
Speaker 1: the Browns game was an abomination. But aside from that,

541
00:40:37,520 --> 00:40:40,000
Speaker 1: he's been really good for the last five weeks and

542
00:40:40,080 --> 00:40:40,920
Speaker 1: he gets dk.

543
00:40:40,760 --> 00:40:47,040
Speaker 2: Metcalf back, so no DK insane.

544
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:51,120
Speaker 1: I know the and not having DK almost costs him

545
00:40:51,120 --> 00:40:55,880
Speaker 1: the their season. I think the fourth biggest storyline is,

546
00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:58,160
Speaker 1: and maybe this should have been bigger, is what if

547
00:40:58,160 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 1: the Eagles repeat, Yeah, nobody want under the radar. Yeah,

548
00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:05,799
Speaker 1: they've kind of been flying under the radar as a

549
00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:09,440
Speaker 1: defending Super Bowl champion, and I think it's because they

550
00:41:09,440 --> 00:41:14,359
Speaker 1: have seemed flawed, so flawed all year. But if they

551
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:20,000
Speaker 1: go back, like if they go back to back, what

552
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:23,799
Speaker 1: that means for everyone involved on that team all of

553
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:27,440
Speaker 1: a sudden. Jalen Hurts is a no doubt Hall of famer,

554
00:41:28,239 --> 00:41:33,960
Speaker 1: the you know, the Howie Roseman and the Eagles. Maybe

555
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:38,160
Speaker 1: they got an argument that they, not the Chiefs, are

556
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:44,400
Speaker 1: the the prestige franchise. Well, I listen to the Chiefs.

557
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:48,320
Speaker 1: The Chiefs have been to five Super Bowls in seven

558
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:53,680
Speaker 1: years now and one three. The Eagles would have been

559
00:41:53,760 --> 00:41:56,839
Speaker 1: to three and four years one two, and then if

560
00:41:56,840 --> 00:41:59,799
Speaker 1: we extend it back to Foles, it's hard to call

561
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:02,520
Speaker 1: that like part of this. It's a different coach, it's

562
00:42:02,560 --> 00:42:06,759
Speaker 1: different quarterback, but it would have been they've been if

563
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:10,680
Speaker 1: they win this year that in nine years, Demons, they

564
00:42:10,719 --> 00:42:14,759
Speaker 1: went to four super Bowls, won three. That's pretty unbelievable.

565
00:42:14,760 --> 00:42:17,640
Speaker 2: It's so hard to imagine them repeating given other seasons.

566
00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:22,120
Speaker 1: That's the thing I just don't it doesn't seem possible,

567
00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:26,760
Speaker 1: but maybe, But they're big favorites, relatively big favorites against

568
00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:29,880
Speaker 1: the Niners in round one. No one would be shocked

569
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:35,440
Speaker 1: if they went on the road and beat Chicago in

570
00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:38,960
Speaker 1: round two. And if Chicago loses in round one, then

571
00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:42,960
Speaker 1: Philly would be home for round two. Like there's a

572
00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:51,520
Speaker 1: path there. And then number five is which of the

573
00:42:51,680 --> 00:43:02,880
Speaker 1: two NFC West juggernaut teams is able to in the

574
00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:05,520
Speaker 1: playoffs look the way they did most of the regular season,

575
00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:08,200
Speaker 1: which is like the best team in football for either

576
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:11,680
Speaker 1: of them, the Rams and the Seahawks. The Rams path

577
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:17,080
Speaker 1: is harder, but their quarterback is so much better. The Seahawks, though,

578
00:43:17,120 --> 00:43:20,640
Speaker 1: being at home, being rested, being healthy, with that defense

579
00:43:20,680 --> 00:43:24,520
Speaker 1: in that crowd. Dude, I am not dismissing at all

580
00:43:25,000 --> 00:43:28,160
Speaker 1: the very real possibility of the Seattle Seahawks winning the

581
00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. I think that's Sam darnoald the Seahawks can

582
00:43:31,280 --> 00:43:34,160
Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. I can't believe it. I think

583
00:43:34,239 --> 00:43:38,560
Speaker 1: right now my pick would be Matt Stafford in the Rams,

584
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:45,000
Speaker 1: but I think Seahawks can do it. In order to

585
00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:50,359
Speaker 1: keep the five hundred or better streak alive. I think

586
00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:52,680
Speaker 1: four of the five years on this pod we've been

587
00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:56,279
Speaker 1: five hundred or better. We needed to go three and

588
00:43:56,400 --> 00:44:02,399
Speaker 1: two or better the final weekend. Let's go through it.

589
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:07,359
Speaker 1: Because we laid two and a half with Tampa. They

590
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:12,080
Speaker 1: won by two, so now we gotta go three and

591
00:44:12,120 --> 00:44:17,160
Speaker 1: one down the stretch. Seattle minus one felt great the

592
00:44:17,160 --> 00:44:21,759
Speaker 1: whole way. Raiders plus five and a half. I told you, guys,

593
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:25,759
Speaker 1: my god, that Chiefs offense is just so bad. So

594
00:44:25,920 --> 00:44:29,120
Speaker 1: now we just need one win in the late windows.

595
00:44:29,680 --> 00:44:34,279
Speaker 1: Miami plus twelve felt dead pretty early. So it all

596
00:44:34,320 --> 00:44:38,480
Speaker 1: came down to Pittsburgh against Baltimore. And you have I

597
00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:42,319
Speaker 1: was rooting for Pittsburgh to win. Outright, that's great because

598
00:44:42,360 --> 00:44:44,680
Speaker 1: I picked them. I know it makes you said, but

599
00:44:44,760 --> 00:44:50,680
Speaker 1: I picked them, and I uh, and I just the

600
00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:55,319
Speaker 1: so I was rooting for it despite that. You should

601
00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:58,239
Speaker 1: have seen how I reacted to Boswell's missed extra point.

602
00:44:58,880 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 1: Because Boswell's miss miss sextra point, I'm like, oh my god,

603
00:45:02,719 --> 00:45:06,320
Speaker 1: plus three and a half is home. Like, now there's

604
00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:10,759
Speaker 1: no overtime, there's no funny business. Now it's either gonna

605
00:45:10,760 --> 00:45:15,760
Speaker 1: be a Raven's two point win or Pittsburgh. I'm sorry,

606
00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:18,879
Speaker 1: a Raven's one point winner. A Pittsburgh two point win,

607
00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:23,640
Speaker 1: so we got it for forty four and two. Nothing

608
00:45:23,680 --> 00:45:26,520
Speaker 1: to write home about. You would have lost money on

609
00:45:26,600 --> 00:45:30,200
Speaker 1: it because of the big but still going five hundred

610
00:45:30,840 --> 00:45:37,440
Speaker 1: picking games is I'll call it difficult. I would have

611
00:45:37,560 --> 00:45:41,080
Speaker 1: liked to do better. The only the only piece of

612
00:45:41,120 --> 00:45:44,440
Speaker 1: our gambling show that was dominant, and we'll get to

613
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:48,120
Speaker 1: it more in a moment, was Demonse's teasers, which I

614
00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:53,840
Speaker 1: am considering next year to Monsey putting real funds behind.

615
00:45:55,120 --> 00:46:00,680
Speaker 1: Like I am, I'm considering having a huge portion of

616
00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:06,440
Speaker 1: my twenty twenty six football gambling portfolio b Demons's teasers.

617
00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:10,880
Speaker 1: I appreciate you are I mean you really you can

618
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:14,040
Speaker 1: a great job that well, you did a great job

619
00:46:14,160 --> 00:46:18,239
Speaker 1: you It was just impressive. Yeah, we'll get we'll get

620
00:46:18,280 --> 00:46:21,799
Speaker 1: to that in a moment. But now all lines are

621
00:46:22,239 --> 00:46:25,040
Speaker 1: of course from hard Rock Bet. But I'm told something

622
00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:26,799
Speaker 1: that there's a twist this year.

623
00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:29,640
Speaker 3: Uh yeah, so we're gonna you're gonna be picking on

624
00:46:29,719 --> 00:46:31,840
Speaker 3: all the games, but I'm gonna be going ahead to

625
00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:35,640
Speaker 3: head with you in picking picking games as well. For you,

626
00:46:35,640 --> 00:46:38,080
Speaker 3: you stepped over to the teaser landscape, I'm gonna step

627
00:46:38,120 --> 00:46:39,520
Speaker 3: over to the pigs landscape.

628
00:46:40,120 --> 00:46:42,480
Speaker 1: Okay, love it, and so I don't know where we

629
00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:46,479
Speaker 1: agree or disagree. So why don't you So you set

630
00:46:46,560 --> 00:46:48,959
Speaker 1: up the you say the game. I'll say my pick,

631
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:50,520
Speaker 1: and then you say where you stand on it.

632
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:53,600
Speaker 3: Okay, So first we got the Rams minus ten and

633
00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:54,719
Speaker 3: a half at Carolina.

634
00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:56,359
Speaker 2: You're taking the Rams there.

635
00:46:57,520 --> 00:47:04,239
Speaker 1: Listen, this is a I believe square play. The home favorite.

636
00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:10,080
Speaker 1: Home dogs. Big home dogs in the playoffs are always cover.

637
00:47:11,680 --> 00:47:17,400
Speaker 1: The producers tell me there have only been nine home

638
00:47:17,520 --> 00:47:21,359
Speaker 1: dogs in the playoffs since nineteen seventy of greater than

639
00:47:21,400 --> 00:47:26,760
Speaker 1: four points, and they're one and eight. The road favorite

640
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:30,120
Speaker 1: is one and eight against the spread. I understand that,

641
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:32,720
Speaker 1: and ten and a half is a ton of points.

642
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:39,719
Speaker 1: I just believe Carolina is not only the worst team

643
00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:43,719
Speaker 1: that made the playoffs. I don't think they're a good team.

644
00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:47,759
Speaker 1: I think that there were five or six teams that

645
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:51,439
Speaker 1: missed the playoffs that right now this week I think

646
00:47:51,760 --> 00:47:56,239
Speaker 1: are better than Carolina. Yea, and the fact that the

647
00:47:56,320 --> 00:48:00,200
Speaker 1: Rams played them and lost to them will give them

648
00:48:00,600 --> 00:48:04,640
Speaker 1: just enough appropriate fear to know. It doesn't matter that

649
00:48:04,640 --> 00:48:07,000
Speaker 1: we're double digit favorites. We have to take care of business.

650
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:10,960
Speaker 1: I will swallow this huge number and lay the ten

651
00:48:11,040 --> 00:48:12,440
Speaker 1: and a half with the Rams.

652
00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:17,319
Speaker 2: Your thoughts, I'm taking I'm taking Carolina there. I knew

653
00:48:17,320 --> 00:48:17,800
Speaker 2: you would.

654
00:48:18,120 --> 00:48:22,160
Speaker 3: I'm uh yeah, no, I'm I'm I trust Carolina. And

655
00:48:22,160 --> 00:48:23,240
Speaker 3: that's It's a lot of points.

656
00:48:23,280 --> 00:48:28,279
Speaker 1: Honestly, Yeah, I was gonna say, you just like the points.

657
00:48:28,080 --> 00:48:30,280
Speaker 1: It's totally fine. It's a lot of points.

658
00:48:32,400 --> 00:48:34,680
Speaker 3: So that's that's why I am there. I mean, all right,

659
00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 3: next one, the next one. You got Chicago plus one

660
00:48:38,400 --> 00:48:39,239
Speaker 3: versus Green Bay.

661
00:48:40,760 --> 00:48:42,920
Speaker 1: Listen, Chicago's at home. And I think they're better than

662
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:48,360
Speaker 1: the Packers, and they have played the Packers twice. Both

663
00:48:48,480 --> 00:48:53,160
Speaker 1: games came down to the final moments. But the Packers

664
00:48:54,239 --> 00:49:01,480
Speaker 1: are the are not the same team from an injury reperspective.

665
00:49:01,800 --> 00:49:04,000
Speaker 2: They were playing right.

666
00:49:04,560 --> 00:49:08,560
Speaker 1: Jordan Love hasn't played the Packers. Obviously, don't have Micah,

667
00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:11,920
Speaker 1: don't have Tucker Kraft, don't have a lot of key guys.

668
00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:16,759
Speaker 1: They when they played the Bears the first time, cale

669
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:20,040
Speaker 1: about to pass into the end zone to potentially, you know,

670
00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:21,799
Speaker 1: tie the game. I think they probably would have gone

671
00:49:21,800 --> 00:49:23,479
Speaker 1: for two. He threw the pick, and when they played

672
00:49:23,520 --> 00:49:26,040
Speaker 1: him the second time, he had the pass in overtime

673
00:49:26,440 --> 00:49:29,959
Speaker 1: to win the game. I think the Bears are better,

674
00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:32,640
Speaker 1: the Bears are home, the Bears are healthier. I did

675
00:49:32,680 --> 00:49:35,520
Speaker 1: not like how the Bears played this weekend. I still

676
00:49:35,600 --> 00:49:38,839
Speaker 1: think the Packers won nine games because they were about

677
00:49:38,840 --> 00:49:41,399
Speaker 1: the quality. Once everybody got hurt of a nine win team,

678
00:49:41,719 --> 00:49:43,160
Speaker 1: I'll take Chicago plus one.

679
00:49:43,320 --> 00:49:45,920
Speaker 3: The Bears might have the better coach. Oh, we know

680
00:49:45,960 --> 00:49:48,920
Speaker 3: these days, but yeah, I took Chicago there too. I

681
00:49:48,960 --> 00:49:50,000
Speaker 3: don't know if you said that.

682
00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:52,359
Speaker 1: The Okay, so we're on the same page there all

683
00:49:52,440 --> 00:49:53,040
Speaker 1: right now, same.

684
00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:55,880
Speaker 3: Page there, Jacksonville plus one versus Buffalo.

685
00:49:56,880 --> 00:50:03,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I'm taking the Jags plus the points. And

686
00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 1: you might say what points its point? I gotta be

687
00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:11,799
Speaker 1: honest with my dear friends at hard Rock. Bet I'm

688
00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:16,439
Speaker 1: disappointed that I can't that this isn't one and a half,

689
00:50:16,880 --> 00:50:25,000
Speaker 1: and I really want that half point because I think so.

690
00:50:25,080 --> 00:50:32,200
Speaker 1: Let me explain my pick here, Okay. I think Jacksonville

691
00:50:32,520 --> 00:50:37,680
Speaker 1: is the more well rounded team and the team that

692
00:50:37,760 --> 00:50:43,040
Speaker 1: currently is playing better. I also think Buffalo's tendency to

693
00:50:43,120 --> 00:50:47,640
Speaker 1: play poor early and then rally late could be a

694
00:50:47,680 --> 00:50:52,520
Speaker 1: problem for them in this game. If Jacksonville is able

695
00:50:53,120 --> 00:50:56,759
Speaker 1: to shorten the game by efficient passing and running the

696
00:50:56,760 --> 00:51:01,600
Speaker 1: ball with etn. Also the reason I said I want

697
00:51:01,600 --> 00:51:07,440
Speaker 1: that half point is for some reason or another, deep

698
00:51:07,520 --> 00:51:10,680
Speaker 1: down kind of think Buffalo is gonna win this game

699
00:51:10,719 --> 00:51:17,080
Speaker 1: by one, and so like that a twenty four to

700
00:51:17,080 --> 00:51:24,640
Speaker 1: twenty three Bill's win. And so I know this is

701
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:27,600
Speaker 1: the definition of kind of having it both ways. I

702
00:51:27,680 --> 00:51:30,680
Speaker 1: get that I don't have a super strong conviction. I

703
00:51:30,760 --> 00:51:33,240
Speaker 1: really liked when I thought I was gonna be getting

704
00:51:33,600 --> 00:51:35,759
Speaker 1: I thought when this game, I thought it was gonna

705
00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:38,600
Speaker 1: be Bill's or minus two and a half, but it

706
00:51:38,640 --> 00:51:40,359
Speaker 1: was Bill's minus one and a half. And now it's

707
00:51:40,360 --> 00:51:47,040
Speaker 1: Bill's minus one. But I will take Jacksonville plus one.

708
00:51:47,120 --> 00:51:48,920
Speaker 1: And to be clear, because I see what the producers

709
00:51:48,960 --> 00:51:51,920
Speaker 1: wrote said the number one storyline was Josh breaking through.

710
00:51:52,480 --> 00:51:55,640
Speaker 1: To me, those storylines were not all predictions. It was

711
00:51:55,760 --> 00:51:59,440
Speaker 1: what the biggest storyline is, will Josh break through? And

712
00:51:59,520 --> 00:52:02,560
Speaker 1: this bet can it? You know Bills, the Bills win

713
00:52:02,680 --> 00:52:05,799
Speaker 1: by one. There is no way to win this pick

714
00:52:05,880 --> 00:52:09,479
Speaker 1: in either direction. It would mean the line's exactly right.

715
00:52:10,400 --> 00:52:17,520
Speaker 1: I just think I think the Jags, they're a thirteen

716
00:52:17,600 --> 00:52:21,520
Speaker 1: win team that's at home, that's healthy, that's playing great.

717
00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:26,279
Speaker 1: They shouldn't be home dogs. So I just I'm obligated

718
00:52:26,320 --> 00:52:31,719
Speaker 1: to this. I don't love it. You never love you

719
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:35,239
Speaker 1: never love picking against the team that you think is

720
00:52:35,280 --> 00:52:38,680
Speaker 1: more likely to win because you're getting the points, but

721
00:52:38,800 --> 00:52:42,719
Speaker 1: the points you're getting are one one. You know, you

722
00:52:42,760 --> 00:52:45,520
Speaker 1: don't love that, you really don't love that. But it

723
00:52:45,640 --> 00:52:47,719
Speaker 1: is Jacksonville plus one.

724
00:52:48,040 --> 00:52:51,000
Speaker 3: I took Buffalo minus the point just because if Josh

725
00:52:51,040 --> 00:52:52,960
Speaker 3: Allen does not go out there and it's gonna be

726
00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:54,799
Speaker 3: really bad for him, it's going to be really bad

727
00:52:54,840 --> 00:52:57,120
Speaker 3: for Buffalo. I think if they don't go out and

728
00:52:57,160 --> 00:52:59,600
Speaker 3: get this win. So I took with minus the points.

729
00:53:00,160 --> 00:53:03,560
Speaker 3: But San Francisco plus four and a half at Philly.

730
00:53:04,680 --> 00:53:07,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll take the Niners plus the points. Yeah, I

731
00:53:07,760 --> 00:53:11,480
Speaker 1: just I think that I think this should be Philly

732
00:53:11,520 --> 00:53:14,600
Speaker 1: minus three, and it's Philly minus four and a half,

733
00:53:15,360 --> 00:53:20,680
Speaker 1: and I think San Francisco can win. I certainly just

734
00:53:22,239 --> 00:53:30,560
Speaker 1: I don't trust Philadelphia to look impressive offensively again against

735
00:53:30,560 --> 00:53:34,120
Speaker 1: teams that had a pulse down the stretch. Beat the

736
00:53:34,160 --> 00:53:39,160
Speaker 1: Bills by one, lost to the Chargers by three in overtime,

737
00:53:39,560 --> 00:53:43,040
Speaker 1: lost to the Bears by nine, beat the Lions, who

738
00:53:43,120 --> 00:53:46,160
Speaker 1: had a pulse at that point in time, by nine,

739
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:51,560
Speaker 1: but beat the Packers by three, lost to the Broncos

740
00:53:51,680 --> 00:53:56,359
Speaker 1: by four, like they just even early in the year,

741
00:53:56,480 --> 00:53:59,480
Speaker 1: beat the Cowboys by four, beat the Chiefs by three.

742
00:54:00,080 --> 00:54:02,640
Speaker 1: That Rams game, you'll that, you'll oh, they beat the

743
00:54:02,719 --> 00:54:05,800
Speaker 1: Rams by seven. Not really, they were beating the Rams

744
00:54:05,800 --> 00:54:08,320
Speaker 1: by one. The Rams were attempting a game winning field

745
00:54:08,360 --> 00:54:11,719
Speaker 1: goal and then it got blocked and returned for a touchdown.

746
00:54:12,160 --> 00:54:16,600
Speaker 1: They beat the Bucks by six, like their wins by

747
00:54:16,840 --> 00:54:20,640
Speaker 1: real margin this year. They're how a more than one

748
00:54:20,719 --> 00:54:27,520
Speaker 1: score wins the Giants, the Raiders, the Commanders. So and

749
00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:29,719
Speaker 1: I understand it's not like I'm getting seven and a half.

750
00:54:29,719 --> 00:54:33,640
Speaker 1: I'm getting four and a half, But I do. I

751
00:54:33,640 --> 00:54:37,080
Speaker 1: thought the Niners defense played its best game in forever

752
00:54:37,200 --> 00:54:45,680
Speaker 1: against Seattle, and I think that if they it now.

753
00:54:45,960 --> 00:54:50,160
Speaker 1: Trent Williams not practicing Wednesday, I don't love. I've got

754
00:54:50,200 --> 00:54:54,239
Speaker 1: to imagine he will play in this game Sunday. I

755
00:54:54,360 --> 00:54:56,759
Speaker 1: like that this game is Sunday instead of Saturday. For

756
00:54:56,800 --> 00:55:00,000
Speaker 1: that purpose, I think San Francisco can win. I'm gonna

757
00:55:00,160 --> 00:55:02,040
Speaker 1: more than a field goal against a team whose offense

758
00:55:02,120 --> 00:55:04,520
Speaker 1: is broken. I'll take San Francisco plus four and a half.

759
00:55:04,920 --> 00:55:09,640
Speaker 3: I'm riding with you there y, yeah, okay, all right,

760
00:55:10,120 --> 00:55:12,200
Speaker 3: Chargers plus four at New England.

761
00:55:14,800 --> 00:55:16,680
Speaker 1: I think the Pats win, but I think the Pats

762
00:55:16,680 --> 00:55:21,960
Speaker 1: win by three. I'll take the four points. I'm underdog heavy,

763
00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:31,719
Speaker 1: but I just I can't this is this would be traumatic.

764
00:55:31,920 --> 00:55:35,040
Speaker 1: And I understand his offensive line's brutal. I got it.

765
00:55:37,480 --> 00:55:40,959
Speaker 1: This would be traumatic for Herbert. If he lays another egg.

766
00:55:41,640 --> 00:55:44,080
Speaker 1: He doesn't have to win. Like, I'm not gonna that.

767
00:55:44,200 --> 00:55:46,520
Speaker 1: They aren't as good as New England. They're on the road.

768
00:55:47,080 --> 00:55:50,320
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna if he, you know, plays a normal

769
00:55:50,360 --> 00:55:53,240
Speaker 1: Herbert game and they just lose. Now, he's not gonna

770
00:55:53,239 --> 00:55:55,680
Speaker 1: get like bonus credit, but I'm not gonna kill him

771
00:55:55,680 --> 00:56:01,640
Speaker 1: for it. But he can't lay an egg. I don't

772
00:56:01,840 --> 00:56:06,799
Speaker 1: imagine he will. He's been carrying this team on the

773
00:56:06,840 --> 00:56:09,080
Speaker 1: offensive side of the ball throughout the year. The defense.

774
00:56:09,440 --> 00:56:12,840
Speaker 1: But the real the real reason that I like grabbing

775
00:56:12,880 --> 00:56:18,319
Speaker 1: the points heer to Masse is Drake may has not

776
00:56:18,440 --> 00:56:22,680
Speaker 1: faced a defense as good as the Chargers defense. I

777
00:56:22,719 --> 00:56:26,080
Speaker 1: don't know if he's done it all year. Like I'm

778
00:56:26,120 --> 00:56:33,520
Speaker 1: trying to think who's the best defense the Patriots faced.

779
00:56:34,000 --> 00:56:39,200
Speaker 1: I I can't find a good one. And the Steelers.

780
00:56:39,239 --> 00:56:41,759
Speaker 1: I guess you could argue they turn the ball over

781
00:56:41,840 --> 00:56:45,480
Speaker 1: five times the Panthers, like early in the year, I

782
00:56:45,520 --> 00:56:50,120
Speaker 1: don't know, like the Bills. The Bills pass defense has

783
00:56:50,160 --> 00:56:54,680
Speaker 1: been really good all year. Drake May threw zero touchdowns

784
00:56:54,719 --> 00:56:58,520
Speaker 1: against him in two games. Now, listen, this isn't me.

785
00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:02,520
Speaker 1: I'm I think the are gonna win. But I get

786
00:57:02,560 --> 00:57:05,280
Speaker 1: four points and what I think will be a low scoring,

787
00:57:05,600 --> 00:57:11,000
Speaker 1: cold game at night, and I just don't think it's

788
00:57:11,040 --> 00:57:14,160
Speaker 1: gonna be a prolific passing attack. I also think Vrabel

789
00:57:14,280 --> 00:57:17,800
Speaker 1: can shorten the game if he needs to. I'll take

790
00:57:17,840 --> 00:57:22,200
Speaker 1: the four points with the Chargers taking the four. Okay,

791
00:57:22,240 --> 00:57:26,600
Speaker 1: so right now, our only difference is you've got Carolina

792
00:57:26,720 --> 00:57:29,680
Speaker 1: plus ten and a half and you've got the Bills

793
00:57:29,760 --> 00:57:32,200
Speaker 1: minus one. Other than that, we're on the same page,

794
00:57:32,240 --> 00:57:32,480
Speaker 1: all right.

795
00:57:32,560 --> 00:57:36,120
Speaker 3: Last one, last yeart Pittsburgh plus three versus Houston.

796
00:57:37,080 --> 00:57:44,120
Speaker 1: I think Steelers are gonna win. And I understand Tomlin

797
00:57:44,200 --> 00:57:46,680
Speaker 1: hasn't won a playoff game in a decade. I get it.

798
00:57:47,920 --> 00:57:51,040
Speaker 1: They get DJ Metcalf back, They're coming off that type

799
00:57:51,080 --> 00:57:56,000
Speaker 1: of victory. Houston's offense never got fixed. It got a pulse,

800
00:57:56,360 --> 00:58:00,120
Speaker 1: but it never got fixed. There is this weird stat

801
00:58:00,160 --> 00:58:02,400
Speaker 1: only I care about, which is that Mike Tomlin's the

802
00:58:02,440 --> 00:58:05,880
Speaker 1: greatest Monday night football coach ever. He's twenty two and

803
00:58:06,120 --> 00:58:09,680
Speaker 1: three in his career on Monday nights and twelve and

804
00:58:09,760 --> 00:58:13,920
Speaker 1: oh at home. He's been the head coach for twenty years.

805
00:58:14,560 --> 00:58:17,280
Speaker 1: He's never lost a home Monday night game. This is

806
00:58:17,320 --> 00:58:25,080
Speaker 1: a home Monday night game, and I think that Rogers

807
00:58:25,160 --> 00:58:27,680
Speaker 1: is going to be for the first time all year,

808
00:58:27,720 --> 00:58:30,920
Speaker 1: Demonsey willing to stand in the pocket and get hit

809
00:58:30,960 --> 00:58:33,720
Speaker 1: if he needs to be because they're in the playoffs.

810
00:58:34,320 --> 00:58:39,000
Speaker 1: And again, just like a kind of auto gambling rule.

811
00:58:39,120 --> 00:58:42,720
Speaker 1: I know it has not been a good rule in

812
00:58:42,800 --> 00:58:47,520
Speaker 1: the playoffs the last decade, but Mike Tomlin at home

813
00:58:47,680 --> 00:58:51,160
Speaker 1: getting points, I just gotta I gotta be on that

814
00:58:51,240 --> 00:58:54,120
Speaker 1: side of it. So I'll take Pittsburgh plus the three.

815
00:58:54,440 --> 00:58:57,800
Speaker 3: Rogers might get mangled, though he might, that would be

816
00:58:57,800 --> 00:58:59,840
Speaker 3: a good Yeah, I'm with you on I'm with you

817
00:58:59,880 --> 00:59:00,200
Speaker 3: on that.

818
00:59:00,240 --> 00:59:01,400
Speaker 2: To Pittsburgh plus three.

819
00:59:02,320 --> 00:59:05,480
Speaker 1: Great, So we only have two differences. Yeah, but my

820
00:59:05,800 --> 00:59:10,200
Speaker 1: picksar the Rams minus ten and a half and then

821
00:59:10,280 --> 00:59:14,640
Speaker 1: all the underdogs Chicago plus one, Jacksonville plus one, the

822
00:59:14,760 --> 00:59:17,120
Speaker 1: Niners plus four, and a half the chargers plus four,

823
00:59:17,480 --> 00:59:18,720
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh plus three