WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 5) 0:00:00.680 --> 0:00:05.320 Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, dred minutes 0:00:05.360 --> 0:00:09.160 a week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants 0:00:09.160 --> 0:00:12.440 of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He 0:00:12.560 --> 0:00:15.480 treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as the 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:20.240 rich pill poppers in the penthouse, to clearinghouse of hot takes, 0:00:20.280 --> 0:00:24.080 break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben 0:00:24.120 --> 0:00:31.760 Maller starts right now, nine nine nine in the air everywhere, 0:00:31.880 --> 0:00:35.159 and welcome into the podcast, o Joe. Not your normal 0:00:35.320 --> 0:00:37.600 run of the mill podcast, No, no, no, it's the 0:00:37.720 --> 0:00:42.640 Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard and Danny g Radio as 0:00:42.760 --> 0:00:47.760 we are back at it for another weekend. And Danny, 0:00:47.920 --> 0:00:51.720 this being Friday, there's only one thing we need to 0:00:51.760 --> 0:00:56.240 do here right anytime. Alright, we strike up the band 0:00:56.400 --> 0:01:04.720 right now here we go. Welcome players, You're welcome. It's 0:01:04.800 --> 0:01:13.040 time now penny the penny. All right, So now before 0:01:13.080 --> 0:01:15.240 we look ahead, we must look back. We're gonna get 0:01:15.280 --> 0:01:19.440 to the week five card every game on Sunday, every 0:01:19.520 --> 0:01:23.560 game on the entire week at Sunday night, Monday, you 0:01:23.640 --> 0:01:28.479 name it. Handicapping of NFL games for the regular guy, 0:01:28.560 --> 0:01:31.480 crunching the numbers and the way this works. We're doing 0:01:31.480 --> 0:01:35.080 this on radio and podcasting for many, many years. It 0:01:35.200 --> 0:01:39.800 is man versus inanimate object who will pick more winners? 0:01:40.440 --> 0:01:44.160 And Danny is the keeper of the penny, and we'll 0:01:44.200 --> 0:01:45.959 clip the penny up for every single game. But we 0:01:46.000 --> 0:01:48.560 must look back first, because I have people monitoring this 0:01:48.720 --> 0:01:54.040 Robin Vegas, David in Florida with Roscoe, the parent, and others, 0:01:54.520 --> 0:01:57.240 and they're keeping close track of how I am doing here. 0:01:57.240 --> 0:02:01.480 They're monitoring my picks versus the penny. So in week 0:02:01.640 --> 0:02:07.040 number four, looking back against the spread, I had a 0:02:07.080 --> 0:02:10.320 middling week. I had a couple of games go the 0:02:10.400 --> 0:02:13.480 wrong direction. I had a couple of pushes, and so 0:02:13.560 --> 0:02:15.440 I ended up with a winning week. If you had 0:02:15.480 --> 0:02:18.520 bet every game the same amount on every game, you 0:02:18.520 --> 0:02:21.600 wouldn't want a couple of shekels. I was eight six 0:02:21.680 --> 0:02:24.880 and two. We gotta do better than that. That's not 0:02:24.919 --> 0:02:26.799 good enough. Eight six and two is not good enough. 0:02:27.440 --> 0:02:31.359 But a five seventy one winning percentage the penny. Second 0:02:31.440 --> 0:02:35.400 consecutive losing week for the penny, as the penny went 0:02:35.560 --> 0:02:40.800 seven eight and one against the number, So that's a 0:02:40.840 --> 0:02:45.280 four sixties seven winning percentage overall. Danny, if you look 0:02:45.320 --> 0:02:48.079 at the numbers penny versus the penny. This year, the 0:02:48.120 --> 0:02:52.960 penny has a losing record, had a terrible week three, 0:02:53.240 --> 0:02:55.880 was actually doing pretty well the first two weeks. The 0:02:55.960 --> 0:02:58.360 last couple of weeks have gone sideways. So the penny 0:02:58.520 --> 0:03:03.919 is five games under five hundred thirty four and one. 0:03:04.480 --> 0:03:09.320 That is a four sixty winning percentage, And yours truly, 0:03:09.840 --> 0:03:14.400 Mr guest Baggery over here, I have a winning record 0:03:14.520 --> 0:03:21.960 thirty and two. That is a five sixty five winning percentage. 0:03:22.680 --> 0:03:25.760 So that's that's good. We could do better. There are 0:03:25.800 --> 0:03:28.639 some games that we we lost. We were at Heartbreak 0:03:28.680 --> 0:03:32.000 Hotel and some of these games. And remember, there's this 0:03:32.120 --> 0:03:36.160 magic number, this magic percentage that you have to hit 0:03:36.240 --> 0:03:39.440 in order to make money betting on sports, and right 0:03:39.440 --> 0:03:42.840 now we are ahead of that, uh and so hopefully 0:03:42.880 --> 0:03:46.080 we will continue doing that. But the penny, what's going 0:03:46.120 --> 0:03:49.760 on with the penny here? I think, well, I guess 0:03:49.800 --> 0:03:52.040 there's a good reason why the penny has been hiding 0:03:52.040 --> 0:03:55.480 out in Mike broads. Yea and shame right head down, 0:03:55.480 --> 0:03:57.760 tail between the legs. The whole thing now that the 0:03:57.840 --> 0:04:01.040 magic number if you want to win money as a 0:04:01.080 --> 0:04:03.920 sports better betting on on the NFL or anything for 0:04:03.920 --> 0:04:06.440 that matter. But you have to hit more than fifty 0:04:06.480 --> 0:04:10.160 two point four percent of your bets to make money. 0:04:10.440 --> 0:04:15.480 And so right now I'm at fifty six percent, so 0:04:15.560 --> 0:04:18.080 we're ahead of where we need to be. But we 0:04:18.120 --> 0:04:20.360 gotta keep going. We gotta keep building, Danny, I gotta 0:04:20.400 --> 0:04:23.280 keep you. You got the penny, don't worry about Let 0:04:23.320 --> 0:04:28.080 the penny cook. This penny is doing about as good 0:04:28.080 --> 0:04:31.479 as the Broncos head coach and Russell Wilson. Yeah. Not 0:04:31.880 --> 0:04:33.960 not a pretty situation. All right, let's get right to it. 0:04:34.000 --> 0:04:37.000 We're gonna start. We have another London game to kick 0:04:37.040 --> 0:04:40.400 off the festivities here in week five, and a refresher 0:04:40.480 --> 0:04:42.599 course if you're new to the the benny versus the 0:04:42.600 --> 0:04:45.160 penny bit. Danny is the keeper of the pennies. We 0:04:45.240 --> 0:04:48.599 said home team is heads, the road team is tales. 0:04:48.720 --> 0:04:51.960 Is that correct, Danny, sir? Alright? Because you travel with 0:04:52.000 --> 0:04:56.039 your tail, you're sitting your behind on planes, trains and automobiles, 0:04:56.520 --> 0:04:58.240 and when you're at home you just use your head, 0:04:58.360 --> 0:05:01.760 all right. So first game up from London, it is 0:05:01.880 --> 0:05:06.560 the New York Giants three and one at the Packers 0:05:06.560 --> 0:05:09.080 are versus the Packers because it's a neutral site game 0:05:09.520 --> 0:05:13.080 also three and one. This game in London on the 0:05:13.200 --> 0:05:16.240 NFL network. They just left Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez 0:05:16.240 --> 0:05:19.320 in London. They called the game last Sunday in London. 0:05:19.320 --> 0:05:23.080 They're back at it again. The Packers opened up a 0:05:23.279 --> 0:05:27.440 sizeable favorite, an eight point favorite. I've seen this line 0:05:27.520 --> 0:05:30.000 up at nine. It's back down to eight right now 0:05:30.120 --> 0:05:33.400 as we are doing Benny versus the Penny. The handle 0:05:33.480 --> 0:05:38.080 on this game over in favor of green Bay. Sunny 0:05:38.160 --> 0:05:42.239 temperatures in the sixties in London as they will play 0:05:42.320 --> 0:05:46.919 yet again, same location is last week. The Giants over 0:05:46.960 --> 0:05:51.200 the recent years, when they've had to travel a long distance, 0:05:51.480 --> 0:05:54.000 typically to the West Coast, they don't usually go to London, 0:05:54.040 --> 0:05:58.320 but they have played there before. The Giants last fifteen 0:05:58.360 --> 0:06:01.960 games against the spread, who in thirteen when traveling two 0:06:02.000 --> 0:06:06.520 thousand miles or more. That's an interesting trend. Also, the Giants, though, 0:06:06.560 --> 0:06:09.880 are averaging five point seven yards per Russia attempt, that 0:06:09.960 --> 0:06:14.200 second best in the NFL. And Daniel Jones, who is 0:06:14.279 --> 0:06:17.200 expected to start this game seven and three against the 0:06:17.240 --> 0:06:20.800 spread the Giants are in his last ten starts. The 0:06:20.839 --> 0:06:24.760 Giants going against the green Bay team here that does 0:06:24.800 --> 0:06:28.800 not have a particularly great run defense. I'm gonna take 0:06:28.800 --> 0:06:32.120 the Giants in this game. Daniel Jones as a sprained ankle, 0:06:32.680 --> 0:06:36.240 He's going to start the game. How much mobility he 0:06:36.320 --> 0:06:39.080 has we don't know, but se Quon Barkley should be 0:06:39.120 --> 0:06:41.920 able to get some chunk plays as the game goes 0:06:41.960 --> 0:06:46.520 on against Green Bay and the Packers just don't have 0:06:46.600 --> 0:06:50.159 the wow factor for me. They barely got by Bailey 0:06:50.279 --> 0:06:54.400 Zappy and the Patriots last week. Their offense is blah. 0:06:54.520 --> 0:06:57.520 They're not gonna win many games by wide margins here, 0:06:57.880 --> 0:07:01.120 and the Giants have shown that there are scrappy team. 0:07:01.240 --> 0:07:04.960 You've got all those variables mixed in the first London 0:07:05.040 --> 0:07:08.080 trip for the Packers. I say green Bay wins this game, 0:07:08.120 --> 0:07:11.560 but it's a nip and tuck game. Packers twenty three 0:07:11.720 --> 0:07:15.320 and the Giants twenty. Giants on the right side for 0:07:15.440 --> 0:07:22.280 the wager, and we have a disagreement. Ride off the 0:07:22.320 --> 0:07:25.720 bat the penny as a cheese head on it. Now, 0:07:25.840 --> 0:07:27.680 that's a lot of points to lay though with a 0:07:27.720 --> 0:07:31.800 team that's lacking at the wide receiver position. Next up 0:07:31.880 --> 0:07:36.040 Seattle two and two at New Orleans one and three. 0:07:36.080 --> 0:07:41.160 It's on Fox with Brandon Godden and Matt Millen. They 0:07:41.200 --> 0:07:45.000 have the call. The line opened up the Saints by six. 0:07:45.040 --> 0:07:46.880 The line is stayed the same. New Orleans a six 0:07:46.960 --> 0:07:51.800 point favorite in this game, and the handle uh six 0:07:52.720 --> 0:07:55.920 of the cash is on the side of the Seahawks 0:07:55.960 --> 0:07:58.880 at the super Dome. So whether it's not a factor, 0:07:59.480 --> 0:08:02.960 check this out. The Seahawks are five and two their 0:08:03.040 --> 0:08:07.400 last seven games with Gino Smith under center, and New 0:08:07.600 --> 0:08:10.760 Orleans has been a terrible bet at home in the Dome. 0:08:10.840 --> 0:08:14.800 Remember they never lost there last ten games. From a 0:08:14.960 --> 0:08:18.240 gambling perspective, which is what we care about here, New 0:08:18.360 --> 0:08:22.200 Orleans just three and seven against the spread at the 0:08:22.240 --> 0:08:25.920 super Dome their last ten, and they've averaged eight and 0:08:26.000 --> 0:08:29.600 a half penalties per game. That is second worst of 0:08:29.720 --> 0:08:32.480 the Saints in the NFL. Seattle is not much better, 0:08:32.520 --> 0:08:35.720 their thirtieth in the NFL in penalty. So there's gonna 0:08:35.720 --> 0:08:38.480 be a mistake filled game. Both teams are undisciplined, both 0:08:38.480 --> 0:08:42.559 teams are lacking. The Seahawks, though, are the pick. I'm 0:08:42.559 --> 0:08:46.280 gonna take Seattle. I realized that's a that's probably gonna 0:08:46.559 --> 0:08:48.720 I'm gonna get burned by this, but I don't trust 0:08:48.760 --> 0:08:53.079 the Saints and Gino Smith has been playing good, good football. 0:08:53.080 --> 0:08:57.080 He's made a deal with the devil here and right 0:08:57.120 --> 0:09:00.400 now he's the best quarterback in this game. Jamis Winston's hurt, 0:09:00.880 --> 0:09:04.880 Maybe he plays, maybe not. Otherwise it's Andy Dalton, Michael Thomas, 0:09:05.240 --> 0:09:08.839 the star receivers. Heard New Orleans is getting some guys back. 0:09:09.320 --> 0:09:11.400 But the Seahawks have shown that they can they can 0:09:11.440 --> 0:09:15.400 put some points up. Last week was a weird situation 0:09:15.480 --> 0:09:19.439 because they played the Lions, and the Lions are a 0:09:19.600 --> 0:09:22.480 team that could not stop the Fox Sports Radio football 0:09:22.800 --> 0:09:25.280 squad on Thanksgiving. But I'm gonna take the Saints to 0:09:25.320 --> 0:09:28.239 win this game. But I think Seattle, we'll hang around, 0:09:28.280 --> 0:09:32.880 hanging around, hanging around. So Saints Seahawks twenty Seattle, the 0:09:33.000 --> 0:09:38.920 right side of the back. The penny does not like 0:09:39.000 --> 0:09:42.400 you this morning. It is going with the Saints, all right. 0:09:42.480 --> 0:09:45.400 So the penny marching in to the lost column there 0:09:46.320 --> 0:09:51.640 with New Orleans next up Houston, oh three and one 0:09:52.559 --> 0:09:57.199 at Jacksonville, the Jags coming off that loss to Philly 0:09:57.240 --> 0:10:01.040 there two and two. It's on CBS with Spiro Adidas 0:10:01.160 --> 0:10:05.200 and Jay Feely, and this is a line that has 0:10:05.320 --> 0:10:09.280 Jacksonville favored by seven. They opened as a seven point favorite. 0:10:09.640 --> 0:10:13.160 They're still favored by seven and it appears to be 0:10:13.200 --> 0:10:16.960 one of those games where they're just handing out free 0:10:17.000 --> 0:10:20.960 money because the number on this, the amount of cash, 0:10:21.120 --> 0:10:25.960 the percentage of cash on Jacksonville ninety over ninety percent 0:10:26.040 --> 0:10:29.320 of the money. It's like a weird mirror the reflection 0:10:29.360 --> 0:10:35.679 on that n on Jacksonville at t I A A 0:10:35.920 --> 0:10:40.760 bank Field, Sonny and temperatures in the low eighties in 0:10:40.840 --> 0:10:46.520 Jacksonville at kickoff Houston. They're they've gotta by coming up. 0:10:46.840 --> 0:10:50.280 They've been very good over the years before a bye 0:10:50.360 --> 0:10:52.960 with various coaches, seven and two of their last nine 0:10:53.400 --> 0:10:57.640 before the bye. Davis Mills, although not very good statistically, 0:10:58.800 --> 0:11:02.400 the Texans are seven and three against the spread his 0:11:02.559 --> 0:11:05.960 last ten Stars and Jacksonville. I know they're better now, 0:11:06.559 --> 0:11:11.480 but they've lost eight consecutive games to Houston straight up 0:11:12.120 --> 0:11:17.520 and are just two and six against the the team 0:11:17.880 --> 0:11:21.319 from Houston over the last few years. So it's been 0:11:21.520 --> 0:11:24.040 really lopside. It's not like the Texans have had great 0:11:24.080 --> 0:11:29.920 teams in recent years. They've they've been full of flatulence themselves. 0:11:30.240 --> 0:11:32.960 I'm gonna take the Texans in this game. That's the pick. 0:11:33.080 --> 0:11:37.640 The Texans have yet to really get anything right on 0:11:37.720 --> 0:11:40.800 offense other than Damon Pierce, the running back is pretty good. 0:11:40.800 --> 0:11:43.160 He had a big run last week against the Chargers. 0:11:43.200 --> 0:11:46.840 I think it was a seventy yard touchdown scamper, But 0:11:47.120 --> 0:11:50.360 he's the stud of the offense. Davis Mills has to 0:11:50.440 --> 0:11:53.840 snap out of the funk, and he just gotta cut 0:11:53.880 --> 0:11:56.440 down the interceptions here. He's had four of them the 0:11:56.520 --> 0:11:59.960 last three weeks. The Jags have their own issues. They're 0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:02.840 Trevor Lawrence fumbled four times in the rain last week. 0:12:03.400 --> 0:12:05.280 I just think this is gonna be a competitive game. 0:12:05.320 --> 0:12:09.360 I always love getting a touchdown or more in a 0:12:09.400 --> 0:12:11.720 divisional game. The line as we look at it right 0:12:11.720 --> 0:12:14.880 now is seven. That's a rule of thumb. So another 0:12:14.920 --> 0:12:17.280 one of these games where I think the team wins 0:12:17.320 --> 0:12:20.480 but doesn't cover the spread. So I'll take Jacksonville twenty three, 0:12:20.520 --> 0:12:25.120 the Texans seventeen, and Houston the right side of the bet, 0:12:29.400 --> 0:12:34.480 and finally, in agreement, the penny also going with the Texans. Alright, 0:12:34.480 --> 0:12:37.960 So the penny on my side, and my deepest sympathy 0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:39.880 to the penny there because that will probably a game 0:12:39.920 --> 0:12:41.800 I lose now because the penny is on the side 0:12:41.880 --> 0:12:46.439 of me. Next up Pittsburgh one in three at Buffalo 0:12:46.840 --> 0:12:52.040 three and one. It's on CBS. What a rocky road 0:12:52.120 --> 0:12:54.920 it has been for the Steelers. Jim Nance and Tony 0:12:55.040 --> 0:13:00.280 Romo have the call. Why because the Steelers bring ray things, 0:13:00.320 --> 0:13:03.520 no matter how big of a white hot tire fire 0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:07.480 they are. People watch the Steelers and the Cowboys. Pittsburgh 0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:10.240 certainly looks like they're on vacation right now, or they 0:13:10.320 --> 0:13:14.840 need to take a vacation. The Bills opened up a 0:13:15.000 --> 0:13:18.400 thirteen and a half point favorite, and they're getting the 0:13:18.440 --> 0:13:21.240 embombing fluid ready for the Steelers, So the Bills are 0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:26.440 a fourteen point favorite. There's a massive line in the 0:13:26.600 --> 0:13:31.280 NFL the amount of money or so on the Bills, 0:13:31.280 --> 0:13:35.000 which is a lot considering the point spread and temperatures 0:13:35.000 --> 0:13:39.720 in the fifties at kickoff at high Mark Stadium here 0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:45.040 in early October. Some of the trends on this. The 0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:50.440 pitts merg Steelers as a road underdog are fourteen and 0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:53.560 nine the last twenty three games as a road underdog, 0:13:53.640 --> 0:13:59.640 but Mike Tomlin historically twenty games over five as a 0:14:00.000 --> 0:14:03.160 old dog all time, going back to the good old 0:14:03.240 --> 0:14:06.320 days in Prince Pittsburgh. Many people taking a wait and 0:14:06.400 --> 0:14:09.840 see attitude on this Buffalo. They've been very good against 0:14:09.840 --> 0:14:13.640 teams that have a losing record, eight and two against 0:14:13.640 --> 0:14:15.480 the spread. I want to take the Steelers in this game. 0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:19.120 That's the pick. And the Bills are coming off back 0:14:19.200 --> 0:14:23.800 to back tough games. They played the Dolphins and the Ravens. 0:14:23.840 --> 0:14:26.920 Those were big early season games for them, and this 0:14:27.000 --> 0:14:30.480 is a game that they can sleep walk through and 0:14:30.560 --> 0:14:34.680 still win. And I believe up ahead on the horizon 0:14:34.960 --> 0:14:37.680 is a date with the Kansas City Chiefs that is 0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:42.960 gonna be musty TV for Buffalo and Kansas City, a 0:14:43.040 --> 0:14:46.880 rematch of that classic playoff duel from last week. Now, 0:14:46.920 --> 0:14:49.440 the main reason to bet against the Steelers would be 0:14:49.480 --> 0:14:52.560 Kenny Pickett, but I say no, he's gonna make his 0:14:52.640 --> 0:14:55.600 first start here. He got tossed into the fray against 0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:58.800 the Jets. People are saying he threw three interceptions, but 0:14:58.840 --> 0:15:01.120 that just tells you they didn't want the game because 0:15:01.200 --> 0:15:05.960 two of those interceptions were tip passes off wide receivers. 0:15:06.040 --> 0:15:10.320 Hands for Pittsburgh, hands on balls. You gotta catch those balls. 0:15:10.440 --> 0:15:13.280 And the last one was a Heill Mary at the 0:15:13.440 --> 0:15:15.760 end of the game. So I'm hoping for some beginner's 0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:19.520 luck here and again, I'm gonna go against the grade 0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:21.480 on wash to think the Bills are just gonna show 0:15:21.520 --> 0:15:24.480 up and win forty one to ten, and maybe that'll happen. 0:15:24.520 --> 0:15:27.880 I look like a complete donkey here, But Pittsburgh, I 0:15:28.000 --> 0:15:30.440 know they're gonna work like a bunch of mules under 0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:33.640 Mike Tomlin. So I'll take them to hang around and 0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:39.480 get a backdoor cover here. Bills and the Steelers sixteen 0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:46.960 the final and the Penny says picket is the perfect 0:15:47.040 --> 0:15:50.840 name for the Steelers new QB. Yeah, yeah, yeah, this 0:15:51.000 --> 0:15:53.800 copper is part of the mafia. No, there'll be a 0:15:54.360 --> 0:16:01.160 picket fence around Pittsburgh because of Kenny Pickett. Wrong hometown 0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:05.440 kid from college to the NFL coasting along all right. 0:16:05.520 --> 0:16:08.960 Next up, as we continue our exclusive Fenny Versus the 0:16:09.000 --> 0:16:12.080 Penny coverage right here only on the podcast, Tell a friend. 0:16:12.720 --> 0:16:16.600 Every NFL game Sunday and Monday, we handicap them, We 0:16:16.760 --> 0:16:19.160 give you our opinion, we tell you why we think 0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:21.160 the teams are gonna win. You know the deal here, 0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:24.200 so let's go to it. Next up, Atlanta two and 0:16:24.280 --> 0:16:27.360 two at Tampa Bay two and two It's on Fox 0:16:27.800 --> 0:16:31.480 with Joe Davis and Darryl Moose Johnson. Joe Davis, Dodger, 0:16:31.520 --> 0:16:35.040 Guy Moose Johnson, the Old Cowboy. The Bucks opened up 0:16:35.080 --> 0:16:39.320 an eight point favorite. They're favored by nine nine in 0:16:39.400 --> 0:16:44.640 this game, and the handle a slight lean to the Falcons. 0:16:44.680 --> 0:16:48.760 Temperatures in the mid eighties at Raymond James Stadium and 0:16:48.840 --> 0:16:54.120 Sonny at kickoff. Tampa is nine and one against the 0:16:54.160 --> 0:16:59.080 spread their last ten with Tom Brady starting against the Falcons. 0:16:59.080 --> 0:17:03.760 So Tampa business very well as they've dominated here, and 0:17:04.000 --> 0:17:07.200 the Falcons are still pigeonholders, a bad team even though 0:17:07.200 --> 0:17:10.520 they're two and two. But from a gambling standpoint, there's 0:17:10.560 --> 0:17:14.119 been value here and and you're you're barking up the 0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:16.560 wrong tree if you think I'm not gonna take the value. 0:17:16.760 --> 0:17:19.520 Atlanta eight and two against the spread their last ten 0:17:20.040 --> 0:17:24.119 under Arthur Smith, and five and two against the spread 0:17:24.119 --> 0:17:29.400 their last seven overall. The pick is the Falcons, even 0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:32.919 with Cordarrel Patterson out to start running back. He's gone 0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:37.160 and he's on injured reserve. But the Falcons, uh, they're 0:17:37.200 --> 0:17:39.360 they're not gonna get down in the fetal position here. 0:17:39.840 --> 0:17:42.560 Next man up through your job they've shown some gumption 0:17:42.640 --> 0:17:46.639 of late, and the Buccaneers still have some issues. And 0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:49.800 last week Tom Brady had a great stat line and 0:17:49.840 --> 0:17:52.600 everyone got all excited, but you never really got the 0:17:52.640 --> 0:17:55.960 feeling that the Chiefs were in any danger of losing 0:17:56.760 --> 0:18:00.879 that particular game. And the defense for the Bucks was 0:18:00.960 --> 0:18:03.520 all over the place. So who the heck knows who's 0:18:03.520 --> 0:18:05.640 gonna show up Tom Brady in this practice this week. 0:18:05.640 --> 0:18:10.439 He's got some nagging injuries. And I'm looking around here 0:18:10.440 --> 0:18:12.440 and I'm like, wait a minute. I got an Atlanta 0:18:12.560 --> 0:18:16.160 team that's not terrible. They're average. I don't think they're great, 0:18:16.160 --> 0:18:20.760 but they're average. And you're getting over a touchdown against 0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:24.840 the Tampa team that's I'm not I'm not all in on. 0:18:24.960 --> 0:18:26.840 I'm not all in on on Tampa Bay. This is 0:18:26.840 --> 0:18:30.280 not a whip saw situation. So anytime I get over 0:18:30.320 --> 0:18:32.680 a touchdown in these divisional games, I always take them 0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:35.240 where I don't bet them, And we bet every game 0:18:35.240 --> 0:18:37.960 on benny versus the penny. So I will take the 0:18:38.000 --> 0:18:41.720 Atlanta Falcons plus nine, getting almost double digit points here 0:18:42.119 --> 0:18:46.600 with the dirty Birds Bucks seven Falcons twenty two. The 0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:53.080 back door cover on this one as well, and the 0:18:53.160 --> 0:18:56.600 Penny says, don't give Brady any extra chips for his 0:18:56.680 --> 0:19:00.359 shoulder going with the bucks. Now, Brady, he doesn't have 0:19:00.440 --> 0:19:02.600 to worry about where to put his wedding ring anymore, right, 0:19:02.600 --> 0:19:04.480 because you don't have to worry about that. He's done 0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:07.479 with that. He's checked out, right. Yes, well it's not 0:19:07.560 --> 0:19:10.360 final yet. It's not final, but they've hired the lawyers. 0:19:10.920 --> 0:19:13.480 If I and Giselle was without the ring this week. 0:19:13.560 --> 0:19:18.280 So yeah, well, whenever a divorce attorney is involved, bet 0:19:18.400 --> 0:19:21.480 that Tom Brady is going to be extra piste off. Yeah, 0:19:21.720 --> 0:19:24.639 we'll bet that that the winner of this will be 0:19:24.840 --> 0:19:27.040 the divorce laur They're the ones that are gonna win 0:19:27.680 --> 0:19:30.680 in a blaze of glory. The real winner of any 0:19:30.680 --> 0:19:33.320 of these bets. Yes, no matter whether you win your 0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:38.119 case or not, the attorney will win. Garanteed. All right. 0:19:38.200 --> 0:19:42.720 Next up Chicago two and two at Minnesota three and one. 0:19:42.760 --> 0:19:47.080 It's on Fox with Adam Aman and marsh layh Riff. 0:19:47.600 --> 0:19:50.679 The Bears still trying to chase rainbows with their their offense. 0:19:50.720 --> 0:19:53.760 What a hot mess this is. And the Vikings opened 0:19:53.840 --> 0:19:56.160 up a six and a half point favorite, and they 0:19:56.200 --> 0:19:59.600 are favored by seven. I had to do a double 0:19:59.640 --> 0:20:02.600 take this one. Also, the numbers that we have over 0:20:02.760 --> 0:20:05.720 nine of the money's on Minnesota. Another one of these games. 0:20:06.119 --> 0:20:09.480 Free money, free money, Just show up, get the money. 0:20:10.080 --> 0:20:14.240 At us Bank Stadium. The temperature around the sixties, but 0:20:14.240 --> 0:20:16.840 it's it's it's in the domes, so who cares. It 0:20:16.880 --> 0:20:20.440 doesn't matter what the temperature is outside. The Bears their 0:20:20.560 --> 0:20:23.800 last ten games with justin Fields, the former Ohio State 0:20:23.840 --> 0:20:29.000 Buckeye at quarterback, are two and eight against the spread. 0:20:29.000 --> 0:20:32.200 They are going the wrong direction there in quicksand right now. 0:20:32.240 --> 0:20:35.960 The Bears four and eleven their last fifteen games against 0:20:36.000 --> 0:20:40.639 teams that have a winning record. Frankly speaking, that blows. 0:20:40.680 --> 0:20:44.320 But Minnesota, if you look at some of the trends 0:20:44.320 --> 0:20:46.360 for the Vikings here, I'm gonna touch a raw nerve 0:20:46.440 --> 0:20:48.639 with my guys in the Twin Cities. But the the 0:20:48.800 --> 0:20:52.280 Vikings have not exactly been God's gift to football when 0:20:52.320 --> 0:20:56.399 they've been playing at home. There ten fifteen, ten and 0:20:56.480 --> 0:21:00.840 fifteen last games with Kirk Cousins against the spread at 0:21:00.880 --> 0:21:07.639 home and as a home favorite. Since the Vikings have 0:21:07.720 --> 0:21:11.960 a losing record as a home favorite against the spread, 0:21:11.960 --> 0:21:14.960 They've had a losing record so against my better judgment. 0:21:15.040 --> 0:21:19.280 Even though I believe that this offense should be taken 0:21:19.320 --> 0:21:22.800 to euthanasia, I'm gonna take the Bears here. The pick 0:21:22.880 --> 0:21:27.440 is the Bears justin fields running a nineteen forties style offense. 0:21:27.720 --> 0:21:30.920 The Bears coaching staff doesn't trust him. They don't even 0:21:30.920 --> 0:21:33.320 try to throw the ball all that much. The only 0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:35.520 thing the Bears can do is run the ball. Is 0:21:35.560 --> 0:21:38.360 that gonna be enough to hang around? The Vikings are 0:21:38.400 --> 0:21:41.560 coming back from London. They're bouncing off the walls here. 0:21:41.560 --> 0:21:45.160 It's a a weird situation in this game as well. 0:21:45.200 --> 0:21:49.280 Minnesota has a habit of playing down to the competition. 0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:53.000 Chicago is a trash team. But you know, there's big 0:21:53.080 --> 0:21:58.240 value in trash. There is massive value in trash. Waste management. 0:21:58.359 --> 0:22:01.000 You've heard of that company right there, Any waste management. Oh, 0:22:01.080 --> 0:22:03.040 of course, I saw an ad that they were hiring. 0:22:03.520 --> 0:22:05.880 There were well, we work in the trash business. There 0:22:05.920 --> 0:22:09.440 were fifteen billion dollars and all they do is pick 0:22:09.520 --> 0:22:12.760 up people's trash so they can you can live happily 0:22:12.800 --> 0:22:16.280 ever after with trash, betting on trash. So I'm counting 0:22:16.280 --> 0:22:18.359 on the Bears running game. And also there's there's a 0:22:18.400 --> 0:22:20.640 couple of things. They're done. They've done all right on defense, 0:22:20.920 --> 0:22:24.159 and I just mainly don't trust the Vikings that they 0:22:24.160 --> 0:22:27.280 should win this game by thirty points. They will win 0:22:27.359 --> 0:22:29.880 the game, but the Bears are gonna hang around. It's 0:22:29.880 --> 0:22:33.080 a divisional game again, what do I always say? Divisional games? 0:22:33.359 --> 0:22:37.399 When you get a touchdowner more, you don't ask a 0:22:37.400 --> 0:22:39.800 lot of questions. You were framed from spending too much 0:22:39.800 --> 0:22:42.399 time looking at the numbers here, and you take the 0:22:42.440 --> 0:22:45.240 team that's the dog. And that's what I'm doing here. 0:22:45.400 --> 0:22:54.480 Vikings twenty six, Bears twenty the final. The penny agrees 0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:58.520 with you taking Chicago. Vikings are still hungover from too 0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:02.040 much tea all week. Cow, that's both of us picking 0:23:02.080 --> 0:23:06.640 the Bears with that terrible nineties offense, all right. Next up, 0:23:06.800 --> 0:23:11.720 Tennessee at Washington. Titans come in two and two and 0:23:12.240 --> 0:23:14.480 the team formula known as the Redskins one and threts 0:23:14.560 --> 0:23:18.720 on CBS with Andrew Catalan and the Old Green Bay 0:23:18.720 --> 0:23:22.200 Packer and Raider James Lofton have the call. This game 0:23:22.280 --> 0:23:26.440 opened up a pick them and the Tennessee Titans are 0:23:26.600 --> 0:23:29.680 a two and a half point favorite, two and a 0:23:29.720 --> 0:23:32.560 half point favorite, and the money on this the handle 0:23:33.359 --> 0:23:38.520 over sev last we checked with the Tennessee Titans. Temperatures 0:23:38.560 --> 0:23:43.440 in the fifties, clear conditions in landover Maryland at FedEx 0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:45.760 Field when they kicked this game off. Some of the 0:23:45.840 --> 0:23:50.480 numbers here. Tennessee historically has been a terrible team on 0:23:50.520 --> 0:23:54.800 the road before by there one in nine, one in 0:23:54.960 --> 0:23:58.199 nine before by the last ten times. That's that's a 0:23:58.240 --> 0:24:02.359 pretty strong trend. And the Titans are seven and eight 0:24:02.560 --> 0:24:06.199 against the spread their last fifteen games overall under the 0:24:06.359 --> 0:24:10.160 Mike Rabel regime. So they got off that great start 0:24:10.240 --> 0:24:12.760 last year. The stars have not aligned, you know, in 0:24:12.920 --> 0:24:14.480 you know, in a while. Last week they got to 0:24:14.520 --> 0:24:18.160 win against the Colts. I loved the Titans last week. 0:24:18.200 --> 0:24:21.400 I don't love the Titans this week. I just mildly 0:24:21.520 --> 0:24:24.960 liked the Titans. But it's more a bet against the opposition. 0:24:25.000 --> 0:24:28.480 So I'm gonna take the Titans as a small road 0:24:28.640 --> 0:24:34.479 favorite against the uglies from Washington. There's no way I 0:24:34.560 --> 0:24:38.040 can invest in the Commandos the way they are playing 0:24:38.119 --> 0:24:41.360 right now. It's a bad product. Carson Wentz is the Titanic. 0:24:41.920 --> 0:24:46.200 After the Iceberg back away, back away the first two 0:24:46.240 --> 0:24:50.520 weeks of the season, Carson Wentz had seven touchdowns and 0:24:50.680 --> 0:24:54.919 three interceptions of passer rating of a hundred, so you're like, Okay, 0:24:54.960 --> 0:24:58.680 maybe we've got something here. The last two weeks Carson 0:24:58.680 --> 0:25:03.879 Wentz one touch down, two interceptions, passerrating below sixty, the 0:25:04.040 --> 0:25:09.480 artistic license of a finger painting by a kindergartener with fingerpaint, 0:25:09.880 --> 0:25:13.440