1 00:00:00,680 --> 00:00:05,320 Speaker 1: Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, dred minutes 2 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:09,160 Speaker 1: a week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants 3 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He 4 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as the 5 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:20,240 Speaker 1: rich pill poppers in the penthouse, to clearinghouse of hot takes, 6 00:00:20,280 --> 00:00:24,080 Speaker 1: break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben 7 00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 1: Maller starts right now, nine nine nine in the air everywhere, 8 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:35,159 Speaker 1: and welcome into the podcast, o Joe. Not your normal 9 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:37,600 Speaker 1: run of the mill podcast, No, no, no, it's the 10 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 1: Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard and Danny g Radio as 11 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 1: we are back at it for another weekend. And Danny, 12 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: this being Friday, there's only one thing we need to 13 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: do here right anytime. Alright, we strike up the band 14 00:00:56,400 --> 00:01:04,720 Speaker 1: right now here we go. Welcome players, You're welcome. It's 15 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:13,040 Speaker 1: time now penny the penny. All right, So now before 16 00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 1: we look ahead, we must look back. We're gonna get 17 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 1: to the week five card every game on Sunday, every 18 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 1: game on the entire week at Sunday night, Monday, you 19 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:28,479 Speaker 1: name it. Handicapping of NFL games for the regular guy, 20 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 1: crunching the numbers and the way this works. We're doing 21 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 1: this on radio and podcasting for many, many years. It 22 00:01:35,200 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: is man versus inanimate object who will pick more winners? 23 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 1: And Danny is the keeper of the penny, and we'll 24 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:45,959 Speaker 1: clip the penny up for every single game. But we 25 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 1: must look back first, because I have people monitoring this 26 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: Robin Vegas, David in Florida with Roscoe, the parent, and others, 27 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:57,240 Speaker 1: and they're keeping close track of how I am doing here. 28 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:01,480 Speaker 1: They're monitoring my picks versus the penny. So in week 29 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 1: number four, looking back against the spread, I had a 30 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: middling week. I had a couple of games go the 31 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 1: wrong direction. I had a couple of pushes, and so 32 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 1: I ended up with a winning week. If you had 33 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 1: bet every game the same amount on every game, you 34 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 1: wouldn't want a couple of shekels. I was eight six 35 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 1: and two. We gotta do better than that. That's not 36 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:26,799 Speaker 1: good enough. Eight six and two is not good enough. 37 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:31,359 Speaker 1: But a five seventy one winning percentage the penny. Second 38 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:35,400 Speaker 1: consecutive losing week for the penny, as the penny went 39 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 1: seven eight and one against the number, So that's a 40 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:45,280 Speaker 1: four sixties seven winning percentage overall. Danny, if you look 41 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:48,079 Speaker 1: at the numbers penny versus the penny. This year, the 42 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:52,960 Speaker 1: penny has a losing record, had a terrible week three, 43 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 1: was actually doing pretty well the first two weeks. The 44 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: last couple of weeks have gone sideways. So the penny 45 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:03,919 Speaker 1: is five games under five hundred thirty four and one. 46 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 1: That is a four sixty winning percentage, And yours truly, 47 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 1: Mr guest Baggery over here, I have a winning record 48 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:21,960 Speaker 1: thirty and two. That is a five sixty five winning percentage. 49 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 1: So that's that's good. We could do better. There are 50 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,639 Speaker 1: some games that we we lost. We were at Heartbreak 51 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 1: Hotel and some of these games. And remember, there's this 52 00:03:32,120 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 1: magic number, this magic percentage that you have to hit 53 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 1: in order to make money betting on sports, and right 54 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 1: now we are ahead of that, uh and so hopefully 55 00:03:42,880 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 1: we will continue doing that. But the penny, what's going 56 00:03:46,120 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 1: on with the penny here? I think, well, I guess 57 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:52,040 Speaker 1: there's a good reason why the penny has been hiding 58 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 1: out in Mike broads. Yea and shame right head down, 59 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 1: tail between the legs. The whole thing now that the 60 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: magic number if you want to win money as a 61 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,920 Speaker 1: sports better betting on on the NFL or anything for 62 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 1: that matter. But you have to hit more than fifty 63 00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: two point four percent of your bets to make money. 64 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 1: And so right now I'm at fifty six percent, so 65 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 1: we're ahead of where we need to be. But we 66 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:20,360 Speaker 1: gotta keep going. We gotta keep building, Danny, I gotta 67 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,280 Speaker 1: keep you. You got the penny, don't worry about Let 68 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:28,080 Speaker 1: the penny cook. This penny is doing about as good 69 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:31,479 Speaker 1: as the Broncos head coach and Russell Wilson. Yeah. Not 70 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 1: not a pretty situation. All right, let's get right to it. 71 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 1: We're gonna start. We have another London game to kick 72 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 1: off the festivities here in week five, and a refresher 73 00:04:40,480 --> 00:04:42,599 Speaker 1: course if you're new to the the benny versus the 74 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:45,160 Speaker 1: penny bit. Danny is the keeper of the pennies. We 75 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:48,599 Speaker 1: said home team is heads, the road team is tales. 76 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 1: Is that correct, Danny, sir? Alright? Because you travel with 77 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 1: your tail, you're sitting your behind on planes, trains and automobiles, 78 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 1: and when you're at home you just use your head, 79 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 1: all right. So first game up from London, it is 80 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 1: the New York Giants three and one at the Packers 81 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 1: are versus the Packers because it's a neutral site game 82 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 1: also three and one. This game in London on the 83 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: NFL network. They just left Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez 84 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 1: in London. They called the game last Sunday in London. 85 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:23,080 Speaker 1: They're back at it again. The Packers opened up a 86 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: sizeable favorite, an eight point favorite. I've seen this line 87 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 1: up at nine. It's back down to eight right now 88 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:33,400 Speaker 1: as we are doing Benny versus the Penny. The handle 89 00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 1: on this game over in favor of green Bay. Sunny 90 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:42,239 Speaker 1: temperatures in the sixties in London as they will play 91 00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:46,919 Speaker 1: yet again, same location is last week. The Giants over 92 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 1: the recent years, when they've had to travel a long distance, 93 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 1: typically to the West Coast, they don't usually go to London, 94 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:58,320 Speaker 1: but they have played there before. The Giants last fifteen 95 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 1: games against the spread, who in thirteen when traveling two 96 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 1: thousand miles or more. That's an interesting trend. Also, the Giants, though, 97 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 1: are averaging five point seven yards per Russia attempt, that 98 00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:14,200 Speaker 1: second best in the NFL. And Daniel Jones, who is 99 00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 1: expected to start this game seven and three against the 100 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,800 Speaker 1: spread the Giants are in his last ten starts. The 101 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 1: Giants going against the green Bay team here that does 102 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 1: not have a particularly great run defense. I'm gonna take 103 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 1: the Giants in this game. Daniel Jones as a sprained ankle, 104 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 1: He's going to start the game. How much mobility he 105 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 1: has we don't know, but se Quon Barkley should be 106 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:41,920 Speaker 1: able to get some chunk plays as the game goes 107 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: on against Green Bay and the Packers just don't have 108 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:50,159 Speaker 1: the wow factor for me. They barely got by Bailey 109 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 1: Zappy and the Patriots last week. Their offense is blah. 110 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 1: They're not gonna win many games by wide margins here, 111 00:06:57,880 --> 00:07:01,120 Speaker 1: and the Giants have shown that there are scrappy team. 112 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 1: You've got all those variables mixed in the first London 113 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 1: trip for the Packers. I say green Bay wins this game, 114 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 1: but it's a nip and tuck game. Packers twenty three 115 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 1: and the Giants twenty. Giants on the right side for 116 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 1: the wager, and we have a disagreement. Ride off the 117 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:25,720 Speaker 1: bat the penny as a cheese head on it. Now, 118 00:07:25,840 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 1: that's a lot of points to lay though with a 119 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:31,800 Speaker 1: team that's lacking at the wide receiver position. Next up 120 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 1: Seattle two and two at New Orleans one and three. 121 00:07:36,080 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 1: It's on Fox with Brandon Godden and Matt Millen. They 122 00:07:41,200 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: have the call. The line opened up the Saints by six. 123 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:46,880 Speaker 1: The line is stayed the same. New Orleans a six 124 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 1: point favorite in this game, and the handle uh six 125 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 1: of the cash is on the side of the Seahawks 126 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:58,880 Speaker 1: at the super Dome. So whether it's not a factor, 127 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 1: check this out. The Seahawks are five and two their 128 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 1: last seven games with Gino Smith under center, and New 129 00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: Orleans has been a terrible bet at home in the Dome. 130 00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 1: Remember they never lost there last ten games. From a 131 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:18,240 Speaker 1: gambling perspective, which is what we care about here, New 132 00:08:18,360 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 1: Orleans just three and seven against the spread at the 133 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 1: super Dome their last ten, and they've averaged eight and 134 00:08:26,000 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 1: a half penalties per game. That is second worst of 135 00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 1: the Saints in the NFL. Seattle is not much better, 136 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:35,720 Speaker 1: their thirtieth in the NFL in penalty. So there's gonna 137 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:38,480 Speaker 1: be a mistake filled game. Both teams are undisciplined, both 138 00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:42,559 Speaker 1: teams are lacking. The Seahawks, though, are the pick. I'm 139 00:08:42,559 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 1: gonna take Seattle. I realized that's a that's probably gonna 140 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:48,720 Speaker 1: I'm gonna get burned by this, but I don't trust 141 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:53,079 Speaker 1: the Saints and Gino Smith has been playing good, good football. 142 00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:57,080 Speaker 1: He's made a deal with the devil here and right 143 00:08:57,120 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 1: now he's the best quarterback in this game. Jamis Winston's hurt, 144 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 1: Maybe he plays, maybe not. Otherwise it's Andy Dalton, Michael Thomas, 145 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:08,839 Speaker 1: the star receivers. Heard New Orleans is getting some guys back. 146 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 1: But the Seahawks have shown that they can they can 147 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 1: put some points up. Last week was a weird situation 148 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:19,439 Speaker 1: because they played the Lions, and the Lions are a 149 00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:22,480 Speaker 1: team that could not stop the Fox Sports Radio football 150 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: squad on Thanksgiving. But I'm gonna take the Saints to 151 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:28,239 Speaker 1: win this game. But I think Seattle, we'll hang around, 152 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:32,880 Speaker 1: hanging around, hanging around. So Saints Seahawks twenty Seattle, the 153 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 1: right side of the back. The penny does not like 154 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 1: you this morning. It is going with the Saints, all right. 155 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:45,400 Speaker 1: So the penny marching in to the lost column there 156 00:09:46,320 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: with New Orleans next up Houston, oh three and one 157 00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:57,199 Speaker 1: at Jacksonville, the Jags coming off that loss to Philly 158 00:09:57,240 --> 00:10:01,040 Speaker 1: there two and two. It's on CBS with Spiro Adidas 159 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:05,200 Speaker 1: and Jay Feely, and this is a line that has 160 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 1: Jacksonville favored by seven. They opened as a seven point favorite. 161 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:13,160 Speaker 1: They're still favored by seven and it appears to be 162 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:16,960 Speaker 1: one of those games where they're just handing out free 163 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:20,960 Speaker 1: money because the number on this, the amount of cash, 164 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:25,960 Speaker 1: the percentage of cash on Jacksonville ninety over ninety percent 165 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 1: of the money. It's like a weird mirror the reflection 166 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:35,679 Speaker 1: on that n on Jacksonville at t I A A 167 00:10:35,920 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 1: bank Field, Sonny and temperatures in the low eighties in 168 00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:46,520 Speaker 1: Jacksonville at kickoff Houston. They're they've gotta by coming up. 169 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:50,280 Speaker 1: They've been very good over the years before a bye 170 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:52,960 Speaker 1: with various coaches, seven and two of their last nine 171 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:57,640 Speaker 1: before the bye. Davis Mills, although not very good statistically, 172 00:10:58,800 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 1: the Texans are seven and three against the spread his 173 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 1: last ten Stars and Jacksonville. I know they're better now, 174 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:11,480 Speaker 1: but they've lost eight consecutive games to Houston straight up 175 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 1: and are just two and six against the the team 176 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:21,319 Speaker 1: from Houston over the last few years. So it's been 177 00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:24,040 Speaker 1: really lopside. It's not like the Texans have had great 178 00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:29,920 Speaker 1: teams in recent years. They've they've been full of flatulence themselves. 179 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:32,960 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Texans in this game. That's the pick. 180 00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:37,640 Speaker 1: The Texans have yet to really get anything right on 181 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 1: offense other than Damon Pierce, the running back is pretty good. 182 00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 1: He had a big run last week against the Chargers. 183 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:46,840 Speaker 1: I think it was a seventy yard touchdown scamper, But 184 00:11:47,120 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 1: he's the stud of the offense. Davis Mills has to 185 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:53,840 Speaker 1: snap out of the funk, and he just gotta cut 186 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:56,440 Speaker 1: down the interceptions here. He's had four of them the 187 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 1: last three weeks. The Jags have their own issues. They're 188 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,840 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence fumbled four times in the rain last week. 189 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 1: I just think this is gonna be a competitive game. 190 00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 1: I always love getting a touchdown or more in a 191 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 1: divisional game. The line as we look at it right 192 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:14,880 Speaker 1: now is seven. That's a rule of thumb. So another 193 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:17,280 Speaker 1: one of these games where I think the team wins 194 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 1: but doesn't cover the spread. So I'll take Jacksonville twenty three, 195 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: the Texans seventeen, and Houston the right side of the bet, 196 00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 1: and finally, in agreement, the penny also going with the Texans. Alright, 197 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:37,960 Speaker 1: So the penny on my side, and my deepest sympathy 198 00:12:38,040 --> 00:12:39,880 Speaker 1: to the penny there because that will probably a game 199 00:12:39,920 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 1: I lose now because the penny is on the side 200 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:46,439 Speaker 1: of me. Next up Pittsburgh one in three at Buffalo 201 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:52,040 Speaker 1: three and one. It's on CBS. What a rocky road 202 00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:54,920 Speaker 1: it has been for the Steelers. Jim Nance and Tony 203 00:12:55,040 --> 00:13:00,280 Speaker 1: Romo have the call. Why because the Steelers bring ray things, 204 00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 1: no matter how big of a white hot tire fire 205 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:07,480 Speaker 1: they are. People watch the Steelers and the Cowboys. Pittsburgh 206 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:10,240 Speaker 1: certainly looks like they're on vacation right now, or they 207 00:13:10,320 --> 00:13:14,840 Speaker 1: need to take a vacation. The Bills opened up a 208 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half point favorite, and they're getting the 209 00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:21,240 Speaker 1: embombing fluid ready for the Steelers, So the Bills are 210 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:26,440 Speaker 1: a fourteen point favorite. There's a massive line in the 211 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 1: NFL the amount of money or so on the Bills, 212 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:35,000 Speaker 1: which is a lot considering the point spread and temperatures 213 00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:39,720 Speaker 1: in the fifties at kickoff at high Mark Stadium here 214 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:45,040 Speaker 1: in early October. Some of the trends on this. The 215 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:50,440 Speaker 1: pitts merg Steelers as a road underdog are fourteen and 216 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 1: nine the last twenty three games as a road underdog, 217 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 1: but Mike Tomlin historically twenty games over five as a 218 00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 1: old dog all time, going back to the good old 219 00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:06,320 Speaker 1: days in Prince Pittsburgh. Many people taking a wait and 220 00:14:06,400 --> 00:14:09,840 Speaker 1: see attitude on this Buffalo. They've been very good against 221 00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:13,640 Speaker 1: teams that have a losing record, eight and two against 222 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 1: the spread. I want to take the Steelers in this game. 223 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 1: That's the pick. And the Bills are coming off back 224 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 1: to back tough games. They played the Dolphins and the Ravens. 225 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,920 Speaker 1: Those were big early season games for them, and this 226 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:30,480 Speaker 1: is a game that they can sleep walk through and 227 00:14:30,560 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 1: still win. And I believe up ahead on the horizon 228 00:14:34,960 --> 00:14:37,680 Speaker 1: is a date with the Kansas City Chiefs that is 229 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:42,960 Speaker 1: gonna be musty TV for Buffalo and Kansas City, a 230 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:46,880 Speaker 1: rematch of that classic playoff duel from last week. Now, 231 00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:49,440 Speaker 1: the main reason to bet against the Steelers would be 232 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 1: Kenny Pickett, but I say no, he's gonna make his 233 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:55,600 Speaker 1: first start here. He got tossed into the fray against 234 00:14:55,640 --> 00:14:58,800 Speaker 1: the Jets. People are saying he threw three interceptions, but 235 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:01,120 Speaker 1: that just tells you they didn't want the game because 236 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 1: two of those interceptions were tip passes off wide receivers. 237 00:15:06,040 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 1: Hands for Pittsburgh, hands on balls. You gotta catch those balls. 238 00:15:10,440 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 1: And the last one was a Heill Mary at the 239 00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:15,760 Speaker 1: end of the game. So I'm hoping for some beginner's 240 00:15:15,840 --> 00:15:19,520 Speaker 1: luck here and again, I'm gonna go against the grade 241 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:21,480 Speaker 1: on wash to think the Bills are just gonna show 242 00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 1: up and win forty one to ten, and maybe that'll happen. 243 00:15:24,520 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 1: I look like a complete donkey here, But Pittsburgh, I 244 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:30,440 Speaker 1: know they're gonna work like a bunch of mules under 245 00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:33,640 Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin. So I'll take them to hang around and 246 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:39,480 Speaker 1: get a backdoor cover here. Bills and the Steelers sixteen 247 00:15:39,760 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 1: the final and the Penny says picket is the perfect 248 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:50,840 Speaker 1: name for the Steelers new QB. Yeah, yeah, yeah, this 249 00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:53,800 Speaker 1: copper is part of the mafia. No, there'll be a 250 00:15:54,360 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 1: picket fence around Pittsburgh because of Kenny Pickett. Wrong hometown 251 00:16:01,320 --> 00:16:05,440 Speaker 1: kid from college to the NFL coasting along all right. 252 00:16:05,520 --> 00:16:08,960 Speaker 1: Next up, as we continue our exclusive Fenny Versus the 253 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,080 Speaker 1: Penny coverage right here only on the podcast, Tell a friend. 254 00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:16,600 Speaker 1: Every NFL game Sunday and Monday, we handicap them, We 255 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 1: give you our opinion, we tell you why we think 256 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 1: the teams are gonna win. You know the deal here, 257 00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:24,200 Speaker 1: so let's go to it. Next up, Atlanta two and 258 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:27,360 Speaker 1: two at Tampa Bay two and two It's on Fox 259 00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 1: with Joe Davis and Darryl Moose Johnson. Joe Davis, Dodger, 260 00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 1: Guy Moose Johnson, the Old Cowboy. The Bucks opened up 261 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:39,320 Speaker 1: an eight point favorite. They're favored by nine nine in 262 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:44,640 Speaker 1: this game, and the handle a slight lean to the Falcons. 263 00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 1: Temperatures in the mid eighties at Raymond James Stadium and 264 00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:54,120 Speaker 1: Sonny at kickoff. Tampa is nine and one against the 265 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:59,080 Speaker 1: spread their last ten with Tom Brady starting against the Falcons. 266 00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 1: So Tampa business very well as they've dominated here, and 267 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:07,200 Speaker 1: the Falcons are still pigeonholders, a bad team even though 268 00:17:07,200 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 1: they're two and two. But from a gambling standpoint, there's 269 00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:14,119 Speaker 1: been value here and and you're you're barking up the 270 00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:16,560 Speaker 1: wrong tree if you think I'm not gonna take the value. 271 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 1: Atlanta eight and two against the spread their last ten 272 00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:24,119 Speaker 1: under Arthur Smith, and five and two against the spread 273 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:29,400 Speaker 1: their last seven overall. The pick is the Falcons, even 274 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:32,919 Speaker 1: with Cordarrel Patterson out to start running back. He's gone 275 00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:37,160 Speaker 1: and he's on injured reserve. But the Falcons, uh, they're 276 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:39,360 Speaker 1: they're not gonna get down in the fetal position here. 277 00:17:39,840 --> 00:17:42,560 Speaker 1: Next man up through your job they've shown some gumption 278 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:46,639 Speaker 1: of late, and the Buccaneers still have some issues. And 279 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:49,800 Speaker 1: last week Tom Brady had a great stat line and 280 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 1: everyone got all excited, but you never really got the 281 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:55,960 Speaker 1: feeling that the Chiefs were in any danger of losing 282 00:17:56,760 --> 00:18:00,879 Speaker 1: that particular game. And the defense for the Bucks was 283 00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:03,520 Speaker 1: all over the place. So who the heck knows who's 284 00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:05,640 Speaker 1: gonna show up Tom Brady in this practice this week. 285 00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:10,439 Speaker 1: He's got some nagging injuries. And I'm looking around here 286 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:12,440 Speaker 1: and I'm like, wait a minute. I got an Atlanta 287 00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:16,160 Speaker 1: team that's not terrible. They're average. I don't think they're great, 288 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:20,760 Speaker 1: but they're average. And you're getting over a touchdown against 289 00:18:20,800 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 1: the Tampa team that's I'm not I'm not all in on. 290 00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:26,840 Speaker 1: I'm not all in on on Tampa Bay. This is 291 00:18:26,840 --> 00:18:30,280 Speaker 1: not a whip saw situation. So anytime I get over 292 00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:32,680 Speaker 1: a touchdown in these divisional games, I always take them 293 00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:35,240 Speaker 1: where I don't bet them, And we bet every game 294 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:37,960 Speaker 1: on benny versus the penny. So I will take the 295 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:41,720 Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons plus nine, getting almost double digit points here 296 00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:46,600 Speaker 1: with the dirty Birds Bucks seven Falcons twenty two. The 297 00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 1: back door cover on this one as well, and the 298 00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,600 Speaker 1: Penny says, don't give Brady any extra chips for his 299 00:18:56,680 --> 00:19:00,359 Speaker 1: shoulder going with the bucks. Now, Brady, he doesn't have 300 00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:02,600 Speaker 1: to worry about where to put his wedding ring anymore, right, 301 00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 1: because you don't have to worry about that. He's done 302 00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:07,479 Speaker 1: with that. He's checked out, right. Yes, well it's not 303 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:10,360 Speaker 1: final yet. It's not final, but they've hired the lawyers. 304 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:13,480 Speaker 1: If I and Giselle was without the ring this week. 305 00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 1: So yeah, well, whenever a divorce attorney is involved, bet 306 00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:21,480 Speaker 1: that Tom Brady is going to be extra piste off. Yeah, 307 00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:24,639 Speaker 1: we'll bet that that the winner of this will be 308 00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:27,040 Speaker 1: the divorce laur They're the ones that are gonna win 309 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,680 Speaker 1: in a blaze of glory. The real winner of any 310 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:33,320 Speaker 1: of these bets. Yes, no matter whether you win your 311 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:38,119 Speaker 1: case or not, the attorney will win. Garanteed. All right. 312 00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:42,720 Speaker 1: Next up Chicago two and two at Minnesota three and one. 313 00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:47,080 Speaker 1: It's on Fox with Adam Aman and marsh layh Riff. 314 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:50,679 Speaker 1: The Bears still trying to chase rainbows with their their offense. 315 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,760 Speaker 1: What a hot mess this is. And the Vikings opened 316 00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:56,160 Speaker 1: up a six and a half point favorite, and they 317 00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 1: are favored by seven. I had to do a double 318 00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:02,600 Speaker 1: take this one. Also, the numbers that we have over 319 00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:05,720 Speaker 1: nine of the money's on Minnesota. Another one of these games. 320 00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:09,480 Speaker 1: Free money, free money, Just show up, get the money. 321 00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:14,240 Speaker 1: At us Bank Stadium. The temperature around the sixties, but 322 00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:16,840 Speaker 1: it's it's it's in the domes, so who cares. It 323 00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:20,440 Speaker 1: doesn't matter what the temperature is outside. The Bears their 324 00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:23,800 Speaker 1: last ten games with justin Fields, the former Ohio State 325 00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:29,000 Speaker 1: Buckeye at quarterback, are two and eight against the spread. 326 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:32,200 Speaker 1: They are going the wrong direction there in quicksand right now. 327 00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:35,960 Speaker 1: The Bears four and eleven their last fifteen games against 328 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:40,639 Speaker 1: teams that have a winning record. Frankly speaking, that blows. 329 00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:44,320 Speaker 1: But Minnesota, if you look at some of the trends 330 00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:46,360 Speaker 1: for the Vikings here, I'm gonna touch a raw nerve 331 00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:48,639 Speaker 1: with my guys in the Twin Cities. But the the 332 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 1: Vikings have not exactly been God's gift to football when 333 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:56,399 Speaker 1: they've been playing at home. There ten fifteen, ten and 334 00:20:56,480 --> 00:21:00,840 Speaker 1: fifteen last games with Kirk Cousins against the spread at 335 00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:07,639 Speaker 1: home and as a home favorite. Since the Vikings have 336 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:11,960 Speaker 1: a losing record as a home favorite against the spread, 337 00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:14,960 Speaker 1: They've had a losing record so against my better judgment. 338 00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 1: Even though I believe that this offense should be taken 339 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:22,800 Speaker 1: to euthanasia, I'm gonna take the Bears here. The pick 340 00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:27,440 Speaker 1: is the Bears justin fields running a nineteen forties style offense. 341 00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:30,920 Speaker 1: The Bears coaching staff doesn't trust him. They don't even 342 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:33,320 Speaker 1: try to throw the ball all that much. The only 343 00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:35,520 Speaker 1: thing the Bears can do is run the ball. Is 344 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:38,360 Speaker 1: that gonna be enough to hang around? The Vikings are 345 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:41,560 Speaker 1: coming back from London. They're bouncing off the walls here. 346 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:45,160 Speaker 1: It's a a weird situation in this game as well. 347 00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:49,280 Speaker 1: Minnesota has a habit of playing down to the competition. 348 00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:53,000 Speaker 1: Chicago is a trash team. But you know, there's big 349 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:58,240 Speaker 1: value in trash. There is massive value in trash. Waste management. 350 00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:01,000 Speaker 1: You've heard of that company right there, Any waste management. Oh, 351 00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 1: of course, I saw an ad that they were hiring. 352 00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:05,880 Speaker 1: There were well, we work in the trash business. There 353 00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:09,440 Speaker 1: were fifteen billion dollars and all they do is pick 354 00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,760 Speaker 1: up people's trash so they can you can live happily 355 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:16,280 Speaker 1: ever after with trash, betting on trash. So I'm counting 356 00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:18,359 Speaker 1: on the Bears running game. And also there's there's a 357 00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:20,640 Speaker 1: couple of things. They're done. They've done all right on defense, 358 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:24,159 Speaker 1: and I just mainly don't trust the Vikings that they 359 00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 1: should win this game by thirty points. They will win 360 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:29,880 Speaker 1: the game, but the Bears are gonna hang around. It's 361 00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 1: a divisional game again, what do I always say? Divisional games? 362 00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:37,399 Speaker 1: When you get a touchdowner more, you don't ask a 363 00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:39,800 Speaker 1: lot of questions. You were framed from spending too much 364 00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:42,399 Speaker 1: time looking at the numbers here, and you take the 365 00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:45,240 Speaker 1: team that's the dog. And that's what I'm doing here. 366 00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:54,480 Speaker 1: Vikings twenty six, Bears twenty the final. The penny agrees 367 00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 1: with you taking Chicago. Vikings are still hungover from too 368 00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:02,040 Speaker 1: much tea all week. Cow, that's both of us picking 369 00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:06,640 Speaker 1: the Bears with that terrible nineties offense, all right. Next up, 370 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:11,720 Speaker 1: Tennessee at Washington. Titans come in two and two and 371 00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,480 Speaker 1: the team formula known as the Redskins one and threts 372 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:18,720 Speaker 1: on CBS with Andrew Catalan and the Old Green Bay 373 00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:22,200 Speaker 1: Packer and Raider James Lofton have the call. This game 374 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:26,440 Speaker 1: opened up a pick them and the Tennessee Titans are 375 00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:29,680 Speaker 1: a two and a half point favorite, two and a 376 00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,560 Speaker 1: half point favorite, and the money on this the handle 377 00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:38,520 Speaker 1: over sev last we checked with the Tennessee Titans. Temperatures 378 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:43,440 Speaker 1: in the fifties, clear conditions in landover Maryland at FedEx 379 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,760 Speaker 1: Field when they kicked this game off. Some of the 380 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:50,480 Speaker 1: numbers here. Tennessee historically has been a terrible team on 381 00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:54,800 Speaker 1: the road before by there one in nine, one in 382 00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:58,199 Speaker 1: nine before by the last ten times. That's that's a 383 00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:02,359 Speaker 1: pretty strong trend. And the Titans are seven and eight 384 00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:06,199 Speaker 1: against the spread their last fifteen games overall under the 385 00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:10,160 Speaker 1: Mike Rabel regime. So they got off that great start 386 00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:12,760 Speaker 1: last year. The stars have not aligned, you know, in 387 00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:14,480 Speaker 1: you know, in a while. Last week they got to 388 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:18,160 Speaker 1: win against the Colts. I loved the Titans last week. 389 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,400 Speaker 1: I don't love the Titans this week. I just mildly 390 00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 1: liked the Titans. But it's more a bet against the opposition. 391 00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:28,480 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the Titans as a small road 392 00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:34,479 Speaker 1: favorite against the uglies from Washington. There's no way I 393 00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:38,040 Speaker 1: can invest in the Commandos the way they are playing 394 00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:41,360 Speaker 1: right now. It's a bad product. Carson Wentz is the Titanic. 395 00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:46,200 Speaker 1: After the Iceberg back away, back away the first two 396 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:50,520 Speaker 1: weeks of the season, Carson Wentz had seven touchdowns and 397 00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:54,919 Speaker 1: three interceptions of passer rating of a hundred, so you're like, Okay, 398 00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:58,680 Speaker 1: maybe we've got something here. The last two weeks Carson 399 00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:03,879 Speaker 1: Wentz one touch down, two interceptions, passerrating below sixty, the 400 00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:09,480 Speaker 1: artistic license of a finger painting by a kindergartener with fingerpaint, 401 00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:13,440 Speaker 1: and just a terrible numbers across the board, averaging less 402 00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:16,199 Speaker 1: than five yards per passim So this is more of 403 00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:20,080 Speaker 1: a bet against the commanders. Again, I don't love the 404 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,920 Speaker 1: Titans here. Derrick Henry will get some yards and Tannehill's 405 00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:31,080 Speaker 1: blah whatever. But Tennessee Washington sixteen with several more Carson 406 00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:39,359 Speaker 1: Wentz turnovers delivered right to the front door the penny 407 00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:42,919 Speaker 1: letting it all hang out with the commandos. Alright, So 408 00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:46,800 Speaker 1: we disagree on that game. Another disagreement for the way 409 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 1: this is going right now. One of us is going 410 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:50,200 Speaker 1: to be doing very well and the other one will 411 00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:53,239 Speaker 1: be like, what the hell app effective immediately? All right? 412 00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:58,040 Speaker 1: Next up Miami three and one at the Jets two 413 00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:03,880 Speaker 1: and two and a FC East battle Royal. Kevin Harlan 414 00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:07,399 Speaker 1: and Trent Green have the call on CBS and the 415 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:10,719 Speaker 1: line on this game. The Dolphins. The early line, they 416 00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:14,480 Speaker 1: were favored by six points, and then with the injury 417 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:18,600 Speaker 1: news to Miami, Miami, Miami, the line is down to three. 418 00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:23,359 Speaker 1: Dolphins a three point road favorite, and they lost. We know, 419 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:28,159 Speaker 1: last week Thursday Night Football against the ben Gals, the 420 00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:30,680 Speaker 1: whole kit and kaboodle went away with two of getting hurt. 421 00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:35,160 Speaker 1: Temperatures in the low sixties and sunny in Jersey at 422 00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:40,960 Speaker 1: MetLife Stadium to start this game. Miami six and one 423 00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:44,159 Speaker 1: against the spread their last seven against the Jets, and 424 00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:47,399 Speaker 1: the Jets as a home dog are just one in 425 00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:49,840 Speaker 1: six against the spread their last seven. So those are 426 00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:54,320 Speaker 1: some of the trends. And I'm gonna go against something 427 00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:56,200 Speaker 1: I said a couple of weeks ago, I'm never gonna 428 00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:57,959 Speaker 1: bet on the Jets again. Blah blah blah. I bet 429 00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:00,399 Speaker 1: on him last week. I was happy with that, and 430 00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:03,920 Speaker 1: I actually like the Jets again this week. It's another 431 00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:07,159 Speaker 1: one of those games. Everyone thinks they just Miami shows 432 00:27:07,240 --> 00:27:09,280 Speaker 1: up and they're a wagon and they're gonna win this 433 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:11,840 Speaker 1: game and all that stuff. The defense of the Dolphins 434 00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:15,840 Speaker 1: is not that particularly great. And I don't know what 435 00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:18,200 Speaker 1: to make a Teddy Bridgewater. He's a guy the more 436 00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:21,320 Speaker 1: he's played over the years. The more he gets out there, 437 00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,879 Speaker 1: the less impressive he looks. He's got some good skilled 438 00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,879 Speaker 1: players with the Dolphins. Just feed him the ball and 439 00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:31,000 Speaker 1: he'll be Okay. You figure get Tyreek killed the ball. 440 00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:34,399 Speaker 1: Waddle the ball. But this is a free money game 441 00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:37,359 Speaker 1: that the Jets have shown some fight here. This line 442 00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:40,959 Speaker 1: scares me some. I was expecting the Dolphins to be 443 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 1: favored by more. I'd like the Jets a whole lot 444 00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:47,680 Speaker 1: more if the line was higher. It is not. I 445 00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:49,920 Speaker 1: would like to like this game a lot, as I said, 446 00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:51,720 Speaker 1: under that scenario, but I do believe the Jets are 447 00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,159 Speaker 1: actually gonna win the game. So take that for what 448 00:27:54,240 --> 00:28:04,240 Speaker 1: it's worth. Jets twenty four Dolphins one. The final and 449 00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 1: the penning says, out of your mind going with the Dolphins. 450 00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:13,760 Speaker 1: Another disagreement. All right, it's the weekend of disagreement on 451 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,879 Speaker 1: Benny versus the penny. You're not raking this dandy. This 452 00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 1: is legitimate, right. We don't want to get in trouble. No, 453 00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:24,400 Speaker 1: this is next up the l A Chargers of Carson 454 00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:28,959 Speaker 1: and Inglewood in the hood in Inglewood and their two 455 00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 1: and two they take on Cleveland two and two on 456 00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:34,080 Speaker 1: CBS with a man that hates sports talk radio, Greg 457 00:28:34,080 --> 00:28:37,760 Speaker 1: Gumbel and Adam Archiletta, they have to call. The Chargers 458 00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:41,000 Speaker 1: opened up a one point favorite. They got back in 459 00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:44,480 Speaker 1: the wind calm last week against the Texans. Chargers now 460 00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:47,920 Speaker 1: a three point favorite. A number of players still in 461 00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:51,800 Speaker 1: limbo as we handicap this game right now. The handle 462 00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:57,520 Speaker 1: a lean towards Cleveland with almost sixty taking the Browns. 463 00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:02,200 Speaker 1: Sunny and temperatures in the fifties at First Energy Stadium 464 00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:07,400 Speaker 1: in Ohio, and the numbers on this game the Chargers. 465 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:12,040 Speaker 1: They've been very good in Sunday road games going back 466 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:14,200 Speaker 1: the last number of years. There are ten games over. 467 00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:18,960 Speaker 1: If you go back to last fifty and under Brandon Staley, 468 00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:21,920 Speaker 1: there's six and four against the spread on the road. 469 00:29:22,320 --> 00:29:24,640 Speaker 1: You go down the list here, Cleveland just two and 470 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:28,080 Speaker 1: eight against the spread their last ten at home on 471 00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:32,960 Speaker 1: Sunday and four ten and one their last fifteen home 472 00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:37,720 Speaker 1: games in the Kevin Stefanski era. Jeez, Luise, does that 473 00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:40,880 Speaker 1: not sound particularly good as a gambler? Four ten and 474 00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,640 Speaker 1: one against the spread. So a lot to chew on. 475 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,960 Speaker 1: But trends tell you what has happened. They don't tell 476 00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,760 Speaker 1: you what's going to happen? And I want to take 477 00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:55,120 Speaker 1: the Browns here. I learned this watching boxing for many 478 00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:58,680 Speaker 1: years back in the day, old school boxing. Fisticuffs, styles 479 00:29:58,760 --> 00:30:03,600 Speaker 1: make fights, night styles make fights. And we love Justin Herbert, 480 00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:07,720 Speaker 1: but Cleveland has an elite running game with Nick Chubb 481 00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:11,240 Speaker 1: and Kareem Hunt. The Chargers kryptonite has been stopping the 482 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:16,000 Speaker 1: run their thirty feet in the NFL, allowing five point 483 00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:20,920 Speaker 1: four yards per carry. That ain't good. Uh, Cleveland, what 484 00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:23,640 Speaker 1: do they got? They got the Chubbing and Kareem Hunt, 485 00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:25,920 Speaker 1: and they also are supposed to get Miles Garrett back 486 00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:29,200 Speaker 1: this week for that defense, which should give heartburn to 487 00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:33,280 Speaker 1: Justin Herbert, the quarterback. Back to back road games for 488 00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:40,000 Speaker 1: the Chargers, the Browns as a home dog, Browns and 489 00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:49,120 Speaker 1: the Chargers twenty three the final. Wow, this is legit, Manny. 490 00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:52,800 Speaker 1: You can see the penny right here going with the Chargers. 491 00:30:53,240 --> 00:30:57,720 Speaker 1: All right, So Chargers, there we go another another disagreement. 492 00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:00,400 Speaker 1: Either I'm gonna have a great week of penny is 493 00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,120 Speaker 1: gonna have a great week And we'll figure that out 494 00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:05,680 Speaker 1: when all these games were done. Next up Detroit one 495 00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:11,120 Speaker 1: in three at New England one in three it's on 496 00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:15,680 Speaker 1: Fox with Kenny Albert, a friend of the show, and 497 00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:18,960 Speaker 1: he'll be hanging out with Jonathan Vilma as they have 498 00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:21,960 Speaker 1: the call on Fox. The Patriots opened up a one 499 00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:24,560 Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. They are the odds on 500 00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:28,200 Speaker 1: favorite here at minus three. And here's here's a number 501 00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:32,680 Speaker 1: that really upset me because I like the game one direction, 502 00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:34,560 Speaker 1: and I saw where the money is, and that always 503 00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:36,760 Speaker 1: scares me. I hate being on the side of the money. 504 00:31:36,800 --> 00:31:40,280 Speaker 1: But eighty over eight of the money is on the Patriots. 505 00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:44,120 Speaker 1: The early cash and Gillette Stadium. The scene here mostly sunny, 506 00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:49,240 Speaker 1: temperatures in the fifties as the Lions unleashed that biblically 507 00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,000 Speaker 1: bad defense. But they've been a great team for gamblers. 508 00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:56,600 Speaker 1: Detroit eight and two against the spread their last ten 509 00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:01,040 Speaker 1: games with Dan Campbell at coach, they're eleven and four 510 00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,320 Speaker 1: their last fifteen with Dan Campbell eight and two with 511 00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:07,880 Speaker 1: Jared Golf. The Lions coming off that soul crushing performance 512 00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:10,959 Speaker 1: where they gave up forty eight points to Geno Smith 513 00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:15,040 Speaker 1: forty eight points that's never happened since he was at 514 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:19,720 Speaker 1: West Virginia. Forty eight points. The Lions defense gave up 515 00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:22,840 Speaker 1: New England is six and one against the spread their 516 00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:27,920 Speaker 1: last seven when playing at home following in overtime game, 517 00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:31,800 Speaker 1: I'm taking the Patriots. I I'm going against my better 518 00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:34,640 Speaker 1: judgment here because of the amount of money that's all 519 00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:39,760 Speaker 1: on New England, the Matt Patricia revenge game, the old 520 00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:45,680 Speaker 1: Lions coach here with Bailey Zappy making his first ever start. Yeah, 521 00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:51,240 Speaker 1: exactly what Western Kentucky's Bailey Zappy? And if New England 522 00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:53,760 Speaker 1: is going to be relevant, if they're going to have 523 00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 1: a chance at a playoff situation, this is a must 524 00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:02,880 Speaker 1: win situation. Otherwise you start thinking about are they going 525 00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:08,280 Speaker 1: to tank for the NFL Draft? You start thinking about that. 526 00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:13,400 Speaker 1: And the Lions defense, I call it a seven eleven 527 00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,840 Speaker 1: defense because a lot of these guys will be working 528 00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:18,600 Speaker 1: at seven eleven soon if they don't figure out how 529 00:33:18,600 --> 00:33:22,040 Speaker 1: to tackle. I can't believe that forty eight point. If 530 00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:25,000 Speaker 1: you give up forty eight points to Gino Smith, you 531 00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,800 Speaker 1: should give up twenty four points to Bailey Zappy. The 532 00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:32,080 Speaker 1: Lions are bad in every phase of defensive football. They're 533 00:33:32,120 --> 00:33:36,880 Speaker 1: giving up five point six yards per carry. Five point 534 00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,680 Speaker 1: six yards per carry, And I look at that and 535 00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:44,360 Speaker 1: I'm like, Okay, Well, even if Bailey. Zappy doesn't do 536 00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:48,320 Speaker 1: all that well. He seemed okay and coming off the bench. 537 00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:51,640 Speaker 1: Last week we saw the game with with Green Bay 538 00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:54,480 Speaker 1: and came down to the very end of overtime. But 539 00:33:54,560 --> 00:33:58,160 Speaker 1: I'm thinking the strategy here for the Patriots with the 540 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:02,400 Speaker 1: de facto offensive Cord and later Matt Patricia and Bill 541 00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:06,280 Speaker 1: Belichick is to just run, run, run, run, run, and 542 00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:08,040 Speaker 1: try to play keep away because the lines have been 543 00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:11,160 Speaker 1: able to move the ball with Jared Goff, so the 544 00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:15,160 Speaker 1: Patriots have a pretty good stable running backs and they 545 00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:19,480 Speaker 1: can rotate those backs in and get some yardage and 546 00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:22,160 Speaker 1: run time off the clock and shorten the game and 547 00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,600 Speaker 1: hand it off to Damon Harris and Ramandre Stevenson and 548 00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:29,400 Speaker 1: go back and forth and back and forth. And Patriots 549 00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:39,480 Speaker 1: twenty four, the Lions twenty the final and the Penny 550 00:34:39,719 --> 00:34:41,560 Speaker 1: is a big fan of the R and B group, 551 00:34:41,680 --> 00:34:47,440 Speaker 1: Roger and Zappy, who also going with the Patriots. Alright. 552 00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:50,240 Speaker 1: Next up for US we have the late television window 553 00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:55,280 Speaker 1: Now and San Francisco, which actually plays in Santa Clara, 554 00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:58,799 Speaker 1: The Forts two and two, the Panthers one and three. 555 00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:02,640 Speaker 1: It's on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis. The 556 00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:06,720 Speaker 1: forty Niners opened up a five and a half point favorite. 557 00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:09,720 Speaker 1: They're favored by six and a half a road favored 558 00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:12,200 Speaker 1: by six and a half. The handle on this game, 559 00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:15,840 Speaker 1: over sixty of the money is on the forty Niners. 560 00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:18,600 Speaker 1: They become a popular team based on the Monday night 561 00:35:18,640 --> 00:35:22,400 Speaker 1: game Sonny and in the seventies at Bank of America 562 00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:27,360 Speaker 1: Stadium in downtown Charlotte. The forty Niners have not done 563 00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:31,120 Speaker 1: well against Carolina the last twelve matchups over the years 564 00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:36,080 Speaker 1: three and nine against the spread, but the Niners have 565 00:35:36,160 --> 00:35:40,520 Speaker 1: been straight cash homy with Jimmy Garoppolo starting their eleven 566 00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:44,560 Speaker 1: and four their last fifteen games. That is a trolley 567 00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:49,680 Speaker 1: ride into heaven and nineteen and nine the last road 568 00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:53,919 Speaker 1: games for Garoppolo. However, I got, I got a number 569 00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:56,520 Speaker 1: for everything here the Niners, if you go back over 570 00:35:56,560 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 1: the years after playing on Monday Night Football, they are 571 00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:05,160 Speaker 1: sub five team the week after against the spread. There's 572 00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:07,919 Speaker 1: seven games under since if you go back to last 573 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:11,359 Speaker 1: twenty five games they played in that situation, which goes 574 00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:15,439 Speaker 1: back since the beginning of this this period of time 575 00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:21,319 Speaker 1: the two thousands, Carolina they have been morbidly bad at home. 576 00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:24,880 Speaker 1: They're two and thirteen against the spread, their last fifteen 577 00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:28,120 Speaker 1: at home against teams that have a losing record, so 578 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:31,000 Speaker 1: they haven't even been able to cover against teams that 579 00:36:31,040 --> 00:36:33,799 Speaker 1: have a losing record. The forty Niners are a five 580 00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:37,239 Speaker 1: other teams, so they're not a losing team. I'm gonna 581 00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:39,879 Speaker 1: take the Panthers in this game. I I'll tell you why. 582 00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,480 Speaker 1: The forty Niners will be smelling themselves after beating the 583 00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:45,040 Speaker 1: Rams on Monday Night football. Now they have to go 584 00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:49,520 Speaker 1: to the East Coast. They play a very unglamorous opponent 585 00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:53,640 Speaker 1: in Carolina, a team that has had Baker Mayfield called out. 586 00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:57,560 Speaker 1: The head coach, Matt Rule is on life support. The 587 00:36:57,640 --> 00:37:01,480 Speaker 1: Panthers do have a legitimate def ends. They ranked ninth 588 00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:06,200 Speaker 1: in yards per play allowed, twelve in defensive passer rating, 589 00:37:06,640 --> 00:37:10,200 Speaker 1: and fourth in red zone defense. The big bugaboo has 590 00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:13,400 Speaker 1: been Baker Mayfield, who has sucked at a time you 591 00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:16,319 Speaker 1: cannot suck. He's kept, he keeps getting the passes batted down, 592 00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:19,640 Speaker 1: He's turned the ball over. It's been a hot mess. 593 00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:22,160 Speaker 1: I believe, though this will be a low scoring game, 594 00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:24,000 Speaker 1: Caroline will be able to get a few field goals 595 00:37:24,520 --> 00:37:27,680 Speaker 1: and hang around. Hang around, even when the Niners win. 596 00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:30,440 Speaker 1: They don't usually put up that many points. Forty nine, 597 00:37:30,520 --> 00:37:35,040 Speaker 1: Ers seventeen and the Panthers twelve the final and Carolina 598 00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:42,400 Speaker 1: gets the money. The penny says, don't boo Baker, also 599 00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:47,080 Speaker 1: going with the Panthers. No booing Baker, No booing Baker. 600 00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:49,200 Speaker 1: Right next he said he doesn't hear any of that. Ben. 601 00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:52,400 Speaker 1: He doesn't care exactly, but but he also asked a 602 00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:56,480 Speaker 1: reporter this week for advice on how to avoid having 603 00:37:56,760 --> 00:38:00,319 Speaker 1: balls batted down the line. And I would say if 604 00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:02,840 Speaker 1: he wears like high heels, maybe that would help, and 605 00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:04,920 Speaker 1: I'll get him up a little bit more. It's a 606 00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:10,759 Speaker 1: hype thing out. Yeah, it's a cheap shot. Next up, 607 00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:12,520 Speaker 1: this is the game has got a little juice to it. 608 00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:16,640 Speaker 1: Philadelphia four and no at Arizona too and two. It's 609 00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:21,880 Speaker 1: on Fox with Chris Myers and Robert Smith. The line 610 00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:26,040 Speaker 1: opened up the Eagles by five despite playing on the road, 611 00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:30,520 Speaker 1: and they are a five point favorite. Still, the money's 612 00:38:30,600 --> 00:38:34,520 Speaker 1: pretty even on this game, nobody going one direction to 613 00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:38,080 Speaker 1: the other. Sunny and ninety degrees that kick off at 614 00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:43,000 Speaker 1: State Farm Stadium, Philadelphia five and eight against the spread. 615 00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:45,720 Speaker 1: Their last third team with Jalen hurts starting on the road. 616 00:38:47,080 --> 00:38:50,360 Speaker 1: And check this out. The Cliff Kingsbury and the Cardinals 617 00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:55,120 Speaker 1: last seven games at State Farm Stadium, their home stadium, 618 00:38:55,120 --> 00:39:00,760 Speaker 1: their own seven against the spread, and with Tayler Murray 619 00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:04,400 Speaker 1: little alligator arms Murray there two and eight the last 620 00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:10,360 Speaker 1: ten games at home. I very rarely take road favorites 621 00:39:10,560 --> 00:39:13,960 Speaker 1: as a general rule, doing Benny versus the penny over 622 00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:16,279 Speaker 1: the years, but I like to pick my spots. This 623 00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:19,680 Speaker 1: is one of those spots. Unless the Eagles go to 624 00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:21,959 Speaker 1: Arizona and are just hanging out of a day spot, 625 00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:24,359 Speaker 1: they should be fine. I'm gonna take the Eagles here 626 00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:27,440 Speaker 1: and I'll tell you why. Jalen Hurts. He was mortal 627 00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:30,400 Speaker 1: last week in the rain drops. We expect him to 628 00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:33,719 Speaker 1: return to elite form this week in the climate controlled 629 00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:38,640 Speaker 1: environment of a dome in Arizona. The Eagles have so 630 00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:41,400 Speaker 1: many ways they can attack that Cardinal defense, which is 631 00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:44,719 Speaker 1: a middle of the pack cardinal defense, and and it 632 00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:50,400 Speaker 1: needed late heroics last week Arizona did to beat a 633 00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:54,640 Speaker 1: bad Carolina team. They are blah and have been a 634 00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,359 Speaker 1: bad home team here as we said in recent years. 635 00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:00,840 Speaker 1: So I love the Eagles defense getting after Kyler Murray, 636 00:40:00,840 --> 00:40:05,439 Speaker 1: who is not very good himself. Eagles seven, Cardinals seventeen 637 00:40:05,719 --> 00:40:13,640 Speaker 1: the final and the Penny also going with the Eagles. 638 00:40:14,120 --> 00:40:17,560 Speaker 1: Suddenly three agreements in a row here. Alright, So things 639 00:40:17,560 --> 00:40:20,360 Speaker 1: are calming down here on Benny versus the Penny. But 640 00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:24,080 Speaker 1: next up for us a game. I actually considered going 641 00:40:24,120 --> 00:40:25,920 Speaker 1: to Danny and then I thought, you know what, I 642 00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:27,440 Speaker 1: don't know that I want to watch this game in 643 00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:31,160 Speaker 1: person after watching what happened on Monday night Dallas three 644 00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:34,160 Speaker 1: and one at the l A Raams two and two. 645 00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:38,640 Speaker 1: It's on Fox. Are you almost bet against your Rams 646 00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:43,759 Speaker 1: last week? Yeah? Well I did. Actually. Kevin Burkhard and 647 00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:47,640 Speaker 1: Greg Olsen have the call here. The Rams opened up 648 00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:51,919 Speaker 1: a seven point favorite a seven point favorite. They are 649 00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:57,719 Speaker 1: currently favorite by four and over eight eight percent over 650 00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:02,360 Speaker 1: of the money in favor of like Cowboys, Sonny and 651 00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:04,560 Speaker 1: eighty one agrees at SOFI Stadium. Even though it's got 652 00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:08,279 Speaker 1: a roof, the NFL says it's not a dome. Go figure. Uh. 653 00:41:08,440 --> 00:41:13,880 Speaker 1: Mike McCarthy has has not had any success against Sean McVeigh. 654 00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:16,960 Speaker 1: L A is six and one their last seven games 655 00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:21,080 Speaker 1: against Mike McCarthy coach teams, so that bodes well. The 656 00:41:21,280 --> 00:41:24,120 Speaker 1: Rams are nine and one their last ten games against 657 00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:29,200 Speaker 1: the spread after a conference loss, straight up, and I'm 658 00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:32,600 Speaker 1: gonna take the Rams in this game. And I'll tell 659 00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:35,680 Speaker 1: you why there's value in this because everyone thinks the 660 00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:37,560 Speaker 1: Rams are now a peewee football team because of the 661 00:41:37,560 --> 00:41:40,080 Speaker 1: way they played on Monday night. You're never as bad 662 00:41:40,120 --> 00:41:42,000 Speaker 1: as you look, and you're never as good as you look. 663 00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:45,040 Speaker 1: You're somewhere in the middle. I will agree. The blocking 664 00:41:45,160 --> 00:41:49,200 Speaker 1: was atrocious, the tackling was embarrassing, and I expect a 665 00:41:49,280 --> 00:41:53,719 Speaker 1: better performance this week. But Cooper Rush, he's worse than 666 00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:56,719 Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo. He's a game manager. Now. The thing that 667 00:41:56,840 --> 00:41:59,560 Speaker 1: scares you here is Micah Parsons and that cowboy defense, 668 00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:05,080 Speaker 1: and Matthew Stafford is one brain fart after another at quarterback. 669 00:42:05,120 --> 00:42:07,400 Speaker 1: The Rams have nobody who can get any kind of 670 00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:12,520 Speaker 1: separation other than one guy at wide receiver. And they've 671 00:42:12,520 --> 00:42:15,960 Speaker 1: got one weapon right now that granted, that's a pretty 672 00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:19,040 Speaker 1: good weapon, but you gotta have a little more than that. 673 00:42:19,040 --> 00:42:23,480 Speaker 1: That being said, the Cowboys have a pretty big matchup 674 00:42:23,520 --> 00:42:28,439 Speaker 1: next week with Philadelphia, a key divisional game. Historically, they've 675 00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:30,839 Speaker 1: not been that good playing the week before they play 676 00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:34,719 Speaker 1: the Eagles. In fact, the last ten they've got a 677 00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:39,080 Speaker 1: losing record against the spread. So I will cover my 678 00:42:39,160 --> 00:42:41,200 Speaker 1: eyes on this. I'll take the Rams as a small 679 00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:43,440 Speaker 1: favorite at home to surprise the world, get back in 680 00:42:43,480 --> 00:42:46,719 Speaker 1: the wind column, and then that'll clear the path by 681 00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:50,719 Speaker 1: the way for Dakota Prescott to come back with a 682 00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:53,800 Speaker 1: bang if the Cowboys do end up in the lost 683 00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:58,239 Speaker 1: column this weekend, Rams twenty three and the Cowboys seventeen 684 00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:05,319 Speaker 1: the final and the penny is on the Cooper Rush 685 00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:08,680 Speaker 1: bandwagon going with the Cowboys all right? Next up for 686 00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:14,680 Speaker 1: US Sunday Night Football. Sunday Night Football Sincecinnati two and 687 00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:19,640 Speaker 1: two at Baltimore two and two, it's on and Bcy 688 00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:26,280 Speaker 1: with Mike Rico and Chris Collinsworth and the Ravens opened 689 00:43:26,320 --> 00:43:28,279 Speaker 1: up a three and a point favorite. They are a 690 00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:33,400 Speaker 1: three point favorite right now as we speak. Most of 691 00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:36,560 Speaker 1: the money's on the side of Baltimore of the cash 692 00:43:37,080 --> 00:43:41,840 Speaker 1: at M and T Bank Stadium, clear skies, temperatures in 693 00:43:41,880 --> 00:43:48,560 Speaker 1: the fifties that kick off on Sunday Night Football Cincinnati. 694 00:43:49,080 --> 00:43:53,560 Speaker 1: As a road underdog, they have been. They've been straight 695 00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:57,360 Speaker 1: money eighteen and seven their last twenty five games against 696 00:43:57,400 --> 00:44:01,720 Speaker 1: the spread. As a road dog and INTWO overall against 697 00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:04,880 Speaker 1: the spread their last ten on the road. And what's 698 00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:08,240 Speaker 1: going on with Baltimore. Baltimore has trailed for a total 699 00:44:08,280 --> 00:44:12,799 Speaker 1: of fourteen seconds and they've lost two games. That's it, 700 00:44:13,040 --> 00:44:15,239 Speaker 1: fourteen seconds, but they've lost a bunch of games in 701 00:44:15,239 --> 00:44:19,160 Speaker 1: a row at home here and with Lamar Jackson starting 702 00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:22,680 Speaker 1: in his last twenty nine games at M ANDT Bank Stadium, 703 00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:27,120 Speaker 1: Baltimore has a losing record against the spread. And that's 704 00:44:27,120 --> 00:44:30,640 Speaker 1: what we care about as gamblers here. I'm on the Bengals. 705 00:44:30,640 --> 00:44:32,960 Speaker 1: The Ravens are able to score, they will be able 706 00:44:33,000 --> 00:44:36,160 Speaker 1: to score here, but they're unable to hold leads against 707 00:44:36,160 --> 00:44:41,279 Speaker 1: teams that have halfway decent offenses. Baltimore's defense is thirty 708 00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:44,680 Speaker 1: in the NFL. It will throttle down yet again, giving 709 00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:48,960 Speaker 1: up four five yards per game. The past defense is 710 00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:52,120 Speaker 1: thirty second in the NFL. So Joe Burrows over there 711 00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:56,280 Speaker 1: licking his chops and the Bengals have been a little 712 00:44:56,360 --> 00:44:59,480 Speaker 1: slow on offense. They expect more from that Cincinnati offense 713 00:44:59,480 --> 00:45:03,759 Speaker 1: with Jamar Chase and whatnot, But Cincinnati's the team's got 714 00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:08,759 Speaker 1: a little extra rest. You like that. Bengals seven and 715 00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:16,200 Speaker 1: the Ravens the final, and I hope that's good luck 716 00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:18,840 Speaker 1: for you and the penny Bannett rolled off the table 717 00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:23,080 Speaker 1: and landed on tails bangals. Alright, so we agree on that. 718 00:45:23,120 --> 00:45:27,680 Speaker 1: Another agreement. Last game up, last game on the board. 719 00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:32,680 Speaker 1: Monday Night Football, Dun, dunt dune and dunt dune and 720 00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:34,960 Speaker 1: dunt dun. You know where Danny G will be? He'll 721 00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:37,319 Speaker 1: be watching this game at home? Danny? Or are you 722 00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:39,759 Speaker 1: going to a sports bar? What's the plan here? I'm 723 00:45:39,760 --> 00:45:42,160 Speaker 1: gonna be at the studios when it first starts, so 724 00:45:42,160 --> 00:45:44,680 Speaker 1: I'll probably have to run across the street to Buffalo 725 00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:46,880 Speaker 1: Wild Wings. All right, So you can meet Danny G 726 00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:49,400 Speaker 1: at Buffalo Bio Wings right across the street from the 727 00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:53,520 Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio tire Track tire Rack dot tire rack 728 00:45:53,640 --> 00:45:57,000 Speaker 1: dot com studios. There the best rack in sports radio. Right, 729 00:45:57,239 --> 00:46:00,600 Speaker 1: absolutely correct? So Las Vegas one in three Kansas City 730 00:46:00,600 --> 00:46:05,799 Speaker 1: three and one on the Monday night football broadcast with 731 00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:10,560 Speaker 1: Joe Buck and Troy Aikman on ABC. And the line 732 00:46:10,560 --> 00:46:13,320 Speaker 1: of this game, the Chiefs opened a seven point favorite. 733 00:46:13,360 --> 00:46:15,840 Speaker 1: They are favored by seven another one of these games. 734 00:46:16,160 --> 00:46:19,399 Speaker 1: Everyone's all horny for the Chiefs now because they look 735 00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:23,880 Speaker 1: so good against Tampa Bay last week. Over nine percent 736 00:46:24,000 --> 00:46:27,920 Speaker 1: of the money is on the Chiefs. Light rain, temperatures 737 00:46:27,920 --> 00:46:33,960 Speaker 1: in the sixties at kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium. Andy Reid 738 00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:37,400 Speaker 1: seven and three against the spread his last ten against 739 00:46:37,400 --> 00:46:40,200 Speaker 1: the Raiders, and we know that the numbers are not 740 00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:42,800 Speaker 1: good across the board for the Raiders against the Chiefs. 741 00:46:42,800 --> 00:46:45,000 Speaker 1: They had that big win a couple of years ago 742 00:46:45,040 --> 00:46:48,279 Speaker 1: when John Gruden did the victory lap around Arrowhead and 743 00:46:48,320 --> 00:46:51,080 Speaker 1: that was like the highlights since since then and before then. 744 00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:55,600 Speaker 1: Don't ask Derek Carr when he started against the Chiefs. 745 00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:59,720 Speaker 1: The Raiders are five and ten against the spread. Every 746 00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:01,960 Speaker 1: train and says, bet on the Chiefs, bet on the Chiefs, 747 00:47:01,960 --> 00:47:04,359 Speaker 1: bet on the Chiefs. Bet on the Chiefs. Runaway from 748 00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:07,279 Speaker 1: the Raiders. So I'm taking the Raiders. This is a 749 00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:11,600 Speaker 1: sandwich game for Kansas City, and you love the sandwich, 750 00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:14,080 Speaker 1: so I'm not going to cook on my knee much 751 00:47:14,160 --> 00:47:17,600 Speaker 1: much munch. They played a primetime game with the Bucks 752 00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:21,840 Speaker 1: last week. They have a massive made for TV game 753 00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:26,719 Speaker 1: on deck the Buffalo Bills in week number six, and 754 00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:29,839 Speaker 1: the Raiders can sachet their way in here. I know 755 00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:33,040 Speaker 1: it's a divisional opponent, but right now, This is not 756 00:47:33,080 --> 00:47:34,680 Speaker 1: a team you get up for. The Raiders are one 757 00:47:34,719 --> 00:47:39,040 Speaker 1: in three, Derek Carr having some issues. The raiders red 758 00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:42,560 Speaker 1: zone offense has been terrible. Kansas City also won both 759 00:47:42,640 --> 00:47:46,920 Speaker 1: of last year's matchups by a combined score of eighty 760 00:47:47,080 --> 00:47:51,240 Speaker 1: nine to twenty three. They absolutely kicked the snot out 761 00:47:51,280 --> 00:47:54,759 Speaker 1: of the Raiders. But that's what happened last year. That 762 00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:58,080 Speaker 1: doesn't mean it's gonna happen this year. And that that part, 763 00:47:58,200 --> 00:48:00,520 Speaker 1: you know, it scares you a little bit what happened 764 00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:03,400 Speaker 1: last year. But these are different teams, different coaching staff 765 00:48:03,840 --> 00:48:06,360 Speaker 1: with the Raiders, and so I'm gonna puke up in 766 00:48:06,480 --> 00:48:09,080 Speaker 1: my mouth a little bit, but I'm gonna take your Raiders. 767 00:48:09,160 --> 00:48:14,320 Speaker 1: Danny g to hang around, hang around and claw a 768 00:48:14,400 --> 00:48:19,520 Speaker 1: little bit. Get the back door cover Chiefs thirty Raiders 769 00:48:19,560 --> 00:48:21,759 Speaker 1: twenty four. So the Raiders the right side of the 770 00:48:21,760 --> 00:48:29,000 Speaker 1: bet and the penny bags and I'm gonna throw this 771 00:48:29,080 --> 00:48:31,960 Speaker 1: penny back into the garage going with the Chiefs there, 772 00:48:32,400 --> 00:48:34,279 Speaker 1: all right, So the penny taking the Chiefs, I am 773 00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:38,080 Speaker 1: taking the Raiders the seven. Thank you for having them 774 00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:40,680 Speaker 1: not being blown out? Do you expect this to be 775 00:48:40,680 --> 00:48:43,240 Speaker 1: a blowout there? And be honest, you. Actually, after seeing 776 00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:45,719 Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs run the way he did last week, I 777 00:48:45,760 --> 00:48:49,200 Speaker 1: think the Raiders can keep it close. Unfortunately, though you're 778 00:48:49,200 --> 00:48:51,560 Speaker 1: playing the Chiefs, you're not playing the Broncos. But but 779 00:48:51,640 --> 00:48:53,560 Speaker 1: I do I do like the Raiders in this game. 780 00:48:53,600 --> 00:48:56,799 Speaker 1: I think divisional game. Usually these are pretty close. Last 781 00:48:56,880 --> 00:49:00,960 Speaker 1: year things got completely lopsided in favor of Kansas City. 782 00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:02,960 Speaker 1: All right, we'll get out on that. That's every game 783 00:49:03,080 --> 00:49:05,600 Speaker 1: against the number. If you like this, give us five 784 00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:09,920 Speaker 1: stars on the podcast page right there where you download this. 785 00:49:09,960 --> 00:49:12,399 Speaker 1: One star for you, one star for the penny. That's 786 00:49:12,440 --> 00:49:15,160 Speaker 1: two stars. No no, no, no, it's it's it's five 787 00:49:15,400 --> 00:49:18,239 Speaker 1: five stars for me. No stars for the penny because 788 00:49:18,239 --> 00:49:20,680 Speaker 1: the penny said back to back losing week's bad job 789 00:49:20,719 --> 00:49:22,839 Speaker 1: by the penny. And tell a friend if you got 790 00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:26,279 Speaker 1: buddies of years like gambling, and let them know about this. Hey, 791 00:49:26,320 --> 00:49:28,000 Speaker 1: I got a little podcast you might want to listen 792 00:49:28,000 --> 00:49:31,520 Speaker 1: to get a little knowledge on the NFL. But we'll 793 00:49:31,520 --> 00:49:33,279 Speaker 1: put the baby in bed and we have a whole 794 00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:36,440 Speaker 1: weekend of podcasts to come. Our normal fair will have 795 00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:41,640 Speaker 1: the Life of Mallard and Danny g podcast on Saturday 796 00:49:41,760 --> 00:49:44,960 Speaker 1: and coming up on Sunday, the mail bag and you 797 00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:47,200 Speaker 1: can eat your heart out on that, and we will 798 00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:51,400 Speaker 1: catch you next time. Osta pasta boffliction