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Speaker 1: Hey, everybody, Welcome back to the Betting Pros Podcast. I'm

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Speaker 1: your host, Dan Harris. Find me on Twitter at Dan

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Speaker 1: Harris eighty. It's time to talk about our week six

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Speaker 1: best bets for the NFL season. Here's me to do

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Speaker 1: that is Benny Richardi from FTN. Find him on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at Benny R eleven. Benny, thanks for joining me. How

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Speaker 1: you doing?

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Speaker 2: I'm doing good man. It's an interesting week coming up here.

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Speaker 2: Some some good games to bet on, some other ones

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Speaker 2: that I don't really know what I want to.

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Speaker 3: Do with, so I'm just kind of avoiding them.

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Speaker 2: But again, the good thing is the book's got to

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Speaker 2: make a line for all of them. We just got

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Speaker 2: to find one or two that we like.

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Speaker 1: I feel like this week is harder. I just I

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Speaker 1: don't have a good enough sense for a lot of

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Speaker 1: these games. Like I look at a lot of these

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Speaker 1: games usually, you know, you we were just talking about

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Speaker 1: how we do opening lines, right, you do you know

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Speaker 1: a big video I do podcast, and how like I

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Speaker 1: generally feel like there's usually I don't know, four or five,

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Speaker 1: maybe six games I have kind of a strong reaction

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Speaker 1: to it. This week, I didn't.

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Speaker 3: This week.

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Speaker 1: I was very much like ah, these are these are

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Speaker 1: kind of sharp. You feel the same way.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a lot of there's a lot of those

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Speaker 2: games that have the hook on the on the other side,

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Speaker 2: Like if it was three, I'd be like, oh, I'm

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Speaker 2: definitely taking this, But like that hooks a big deal, man,

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Speaker 2: when you got the three and a half's there or

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Speaker 2: even some of them are at four, like the you know,

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Speaker 2: like one of them I think we're gonna talk.

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Speaker 3: About in a little bit here with with Dallas.

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Speaker 2: Like those those are key numbers, and those numbers like

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Speaker 2: they change a lot there, you know. I mean I

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Speaker 2: I think that numbers are in that area are even

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Speaker 2: more important than people are making a big deal. Oh

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Speaker 2: Carolina was favored to start the week and now they're

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Speaker 2: the other minus one to plus one.

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Speaker 3: That to me, that's the melting move.

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Speaker 1: Nothing move.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Like it doesn't matter to me when that happens.

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Speaker 2: But you know, you go from from three to three

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Speaker 2: and a half or three to four and a half

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Speaker 2: like that one and a half one point right there,

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Speaker 2: much bigger deal to me.

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Speaker 3: And we got a lot of those this week.

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Speaker 2: So absolutely, I'm hoping I'm not on the wrong side

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Speaker 2: of a bunch of hooks on something that's basically what I'm.

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Speaker 1: Saying on here. We'll find out soon enough, as you

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Speaker 1: guys know, with this one, we talk about each of

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Speaker 1: our three best bets for the weekend, can be spread,

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Speaker 1: can be total, can be moneylined if we want, and

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Speaker 1: then we're going to quickly run through the remaining games

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Speaker 1: before we get into a couple of housekeeping things again.

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Speaker 1: This podcast, as you guys surely know by now, is

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Speaker 1: guys know how to enter by now I'll get it.

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Speaker 1: Was the review for the show Apple Podcasts or cast

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Speaker 1: box and then go to Betting Pros dot com slash

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Speaker 1: review if you are subscribed to our YouTube channel YouTube

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Speaker 1: dot com slash Betting Pros counts as three times the entries.

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Speaker 1: All right, Benny, Before we get into it, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: run through how we did last week. Our guest Scott

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Speaker 1: Bagman went one, one and one. He hit on the

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Speaker 1: Pats and Texans over thirty nine and a half. He

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Speaker 1: missed on the Vikings laying nine and a half to

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Speaker 1: the Lions, and then he pushed on the Packers, laying

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Speaker 1: three to the Bengals, which I'm sure his heart was

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Speaker 1: in his throat throughout that day. I had another positive day,

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Speaker 1: third week in a row. Here I hit on the Eagles,

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Speaker 1: getting three and a half from the Panthers, and the

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Speaker 1: Jets and the Falcons over forty five and a half.

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Speaker 1: But the train on the Broncos under finally ended, and

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Speaker 1: I missed on the under thirty nine and a half

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Speaker 1: with the Broncos and the Steelers. But it's been a

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Speaker 1: couple of good weeks here, seven and two over the

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Speaker 1: last three, Benny, So if this goes downhill, I will

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Speaker 1: be blaming you. But it's fine. We're gonna be using

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Speaker 1: the lines. I'll check the lines of betting pros come

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Speaker 1: but obviously it's all over the place with the various books,

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Speaker 1: and I will point it out. Benny, you are the guest.

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Speaker 1: You get to get us started. What's your favorite bet

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Speaker 1: here of the weekend?

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Speaker 2: So my favorite bet of the week is actually the

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati Bengals on the road against Detroit in one of

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Speaker 2: those games where the hook is on the other side

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Speaker 2: from what I was talking about here. So I'm actually

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Speaker 2: willing to lay the three and a half here with Cincinnati.

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati has a top nine rated offense a top seven

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Speaker 2: rated defense. You know, when I originally looked at this line,

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Speaker 2: I said, oh, this must be the line in case

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Speaker 2: Joe Burrow doesn't play because they had to take him

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Speaker 2: to the hospital after the last game, some kind of

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Speaker 2: throat contrusion or something that happens. He did finish the game.

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Speaker 2: He's been practicing all week. I just thought that the

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Speaker 2: three and a half was just way, way too low

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Speaker 2: of a number here.

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Speaker 3: You know, you look at this Detroit team.

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Speaker 2: Most people in their power rankings have Detroit and like

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Speaker 2: the bottom four, the bottom five of the league. Now,

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Speaker 2: there are four or five teams that are just absolutely

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Speaker 2: horrible football teams that depending on which power ranking you use,

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Speaker 2: on which site you're looking at, but it's the same

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Speaker 2: five teams that are basically down there, with Detroit being

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Speaker 2: one of them. Cincinnati right now is you know, you

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Speaker 2: look at PFF, you look at some of the other

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Speaker 2: rating systems out there, this is a top ten overall team.

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Speaker 3: Good on both sides of the football here.

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Speaker 2: One of the things that their defense is really good

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Speaker 2: at is stopping to run. The only thing that Detroit

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Speaker 2: can basically do right now is kind of run the

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Speaker 2: football a little bit there with you know, the two

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Speaker 2: good running backs that they have in Swift and Williams.

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Speaker 2: So that's really the way that they want to play.

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Speaker 2: And if Cincinnati's going to stop them, then they're not

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Speaker 2: going to be able to do that. So they're going

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Speaker 2: to have to go to the air when you look

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Speaker 2: at Detroit having to go to the air. It is

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Speaker 2: Jared Goff throwing the ball to pretty much wide receivers

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Speaker 2: like three, four and five on their list right now,

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Speaker 2: because when you look down at the list, it's going

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Speaker 2: to be like Khalif Raymond, probably like Amen ros Saint Brown.

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Speaker 2: You know, those are the guys that are going to

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Speaker 2: be in there. Tyrell Williams has been out with a

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Speaker 2: concussion for a couple of weeks. They lost a Quintes

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Speaker 2: Siphas last week. Even TJ. Hockinson, who is probably the

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Speaker 2: one guy you could really count on on that team,

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Speaker 2: mispracticed yesterday. His status is up in the air for

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Speaker 2: this weekend. You know, I'm looking at this here, and

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Speaker 2: then you look at the other side of the ball too.

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Speaker 2: Detroit has one of the worst pass coverage defense, is

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Speaker 2: one of the worst pass coverage grades in the entire league.

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Speaker 2: And then you have a healthy T Higgins. Now you

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Speaker 2: have arguably the rookie of the year out there, you know,

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Speaker 2: catching touchdowns every week, and that Tyler Boyd as well.

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Speaker 2: And it's like even cj Uzaman, who had a big

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Speaker 2: week two weeks ago. There are just so many weapons

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Speaker 2: here for Joe Burrow to play with against the defense

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Speaker 2: that has absolutely no chance to stop the pass. So Cincinnati,

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Speaker 2: I know they're on the road. I know they're laying

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Speaker 2: the hook. I know it's three and a half. I

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Speaker 2: think the reason it's three and a half is because

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Speaker 2: the books know if they left us at minus three,

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Speaker 2: this game would get absolutely hammered by everybody, So they

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Speaker 2: added the hook there to try to scare a few

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Speaker 2: people away. But I'm a little smarter than the book,

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Speaker 2: so I'm not gonna be scared by it. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: lay the three and a half.

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Speaker 1: Within I'm looking at the various lines that are available,

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Speaker 1: and there is a three, oddly enough, sitting one three

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Speaker 1: sitting out there at points. Bet it's just up it's

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Speaker 1: minus one thirty here if you're gonna lay the three.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, three and a half is there. I think

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Speaker 1: I agree with you. I don't have a strong feeling

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Speaker 1: about this, just because when I look at it, it

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Speaker 1: does feel like even with the hook, with it being

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Speaker 1: over three, the books want you to take the Bengals,

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Speaker 1: and the books expect you to take the Bengals. Like

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Speaker 1: I imagine the public, the number of tickets that are

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Speaker 1: going to come in. It's got to be heavily on

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Speaker 1: the Bengals, right, Even after that loss, nobody wants to

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Speaker 1: back the lines at this point and with a small spread, right,

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Speaker 1: So it feels like my only worry with it is

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Speaker 1: the fact that I feel like the books kind of

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Speaker 1: want you. Do you ever factor that in? By the way,

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Speaker 1: do you ever look at a line and say, this

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Speaker 1: almost feels like they're baiting me, they want me to

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Speaker 1: do this, or do you just throw that out the window?

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Speaker 3: I do, but I look at it the other way.

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Speaker 2: As you know, if you see a line out there

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Speaker 2: that's minus two and a half, to me, that's almost

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Speaker 2: the books baiting me to take the minus two and

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Speaker 2: a half, being like, oh, I'm going to get the

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Speaker 2: three on it. When they bump it up to three

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Speaker 2: and a half, I kind of look at it the

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Speaker 2: other way. It's like they bumped this up to three

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Speaker 2: and a half to try to keep me from taking

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Speaker 2: this line because they knew that if it was two

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Speaker 2: and a half or three, people would be more likely

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Speaker 2: to take it, and then they would get something that is,

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Speaker 2: you know, completely one sided, which is obviously not what

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Speaker 2: the books want to do, right.

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Speaker 3: You know, I think.

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Speaker 2: People because Detroit had a couple of those games where

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Speaker 2: they lost by like, you know, less than a field goal. There,

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Speaker 2: I think people are giving Detroit a little too much

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Speaker 2: credit for being a good team. Like Detroit is not

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Speaker 2: a good team. They're not good on offense, they're not

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Speaker 2: good on defense, they're not really all that great on

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Speaker 2: special teams. Not that that is a major factor in

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Speaker 2: my numbers, but when I look at it, I just

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Speaker 2: think that.

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Speaker 3: They're being a little bit overvalued right now. And that's

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Speaker 3: what you really want to do.

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Speaker 2: You want to find the teams that books are overvaluing,

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Speaker 2: and you want to bet against them, and you want

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Speaker 2: to find the teams that they're undervaluing and kind of

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Speaker 2: bet on them.

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Speaker 3: I still think since he's being undervalued, and I think

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Speaker 3: Detroit's being overvalued.

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Speaker 2: So when you put those two things together here, I

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Speaker 2: love this bet on the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so, I mean your point is correct. Obviously they're

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Speaker 1: three and a half. That's sort of something that is saying, oh,

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Speaker 1: you might not you know, in a vacuum, you would say, oh,

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Speaker 1: you don't want to take the Bengals. It's over a

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Speaker 1: field goal. Like look at this. I think for me, though,

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Speaker 1: with the very very Joe Q Public out there betting,

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Speaker 1: I just feel like looks at sort of be like

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Speaker 1: the Lions suck their own five. I know they almost

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Speaker 1: won that game, but they should have lost. They think

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Speaker 1: the Bengals are young and exciting. If it's anything remotely

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Speaker 1: hanging around a field goal, I feel like Joe Q

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Speaker 1: Public is going to want to take it. It's interesting.

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Speaker 1: I don't that is the side that I would go

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Speaker 1: and if I had to go on another side, but

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Speaker 1: I'm going to stick in this game. Okay, this isn't

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Speaker 1: technically my second bet whatever, but I'm sticking in this

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Speaker 1: game for another one of my bats. Actually, it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be the under the forty seven and a half, and

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Speaker 1: a lot of it is based on the points that

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Speaker 1: you made, Benny, which is the Lion's offense is abysmal

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Speaker 1: right now, like really really terrible. And don't forget the

239
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Speaker 1: offensive line for them, at one point was a strength

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Speaker 1: of this team and it is decimated, especially with ragnow out.

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Speaker 1: That's a huge loss for them, right And you mentioned Hockinson. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: my guess is he's gonna play because he's been playing

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Speaker 1: through this new thing a lot. But without the offensive

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Speaker 1: line there to block or anything like that. It doesn't

245
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Speaker 1: do it. You mentioned Cefest Brocus collar bone, he's going

246
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Speaker 1: to be out. They don't have the pass catchers. They

247
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Speaker 1: do have the running backs. We're pretty strong, but you

248
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Speaker 1: mentioned it. That's kind of Cincinnati's strength here on defense

249
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Speaker 1: seventh in defensive DVOA against the run. So it's really

250
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Speaker 1: hard for me to see the Lions. I mean, you

251
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Speaker 1: got the coach, you know, Dan Campbell, talking about how

252
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Speaker 1: you know, Jared gobb is struggling with like too many

253
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Speaker 1: plays and stuff like that, like he he knows realistically,

254
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Speaker 1: they're not going to put a point. So for me,

255
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Speaker 1: it's all about whether or not Cincinnati completely explodes offensively

256
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Speaker 1: in this game. And they could. I mean, obviously they

257
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Speaker 1: have the three wide receivers back, Joe Mixon appears healthy

258
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Speaker 1: though I know he was limited early in the league.

259
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Speaker 1: But obviously they should win this game for sure. But

260
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Speaker 1: for me, the reason, part of the reason why I

261
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Speaker 1: like the under both teams are really slow. I mean, Benny, like,

262
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Speaker 1: the Lions are the sixth slowest neutral pass play pace

263
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Speaker 1: of play in neutral situations, the Bengals are the second slowest.

264
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Speaker 1: Like neither one of these teams, other than the fact

265
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Speaker 1: that there's going to be like a seventy yard pass

266
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Speaker 1: play to Jamar Chase and we just have to fake

267
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Speaker 1: that in Neither one of these teams wants to hurry up,

268
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Speaker 1: let's go, let's go, let's go, let's run this. They

269
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Speaker 1: want to milk the clock, they want to play it slow.

270
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Speaker 1: So I do see the Bengals winning this game. I

271
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Speaker 1: do think they win it by more than a field goal.

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Speaker 1: So I'm on your side there if I have to

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Speaker 1: go away. But I still I just don't see it

274
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Speaker 1: being like this high, you know, powered game or anything

275
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Speaker 1: like that. I think it's going to be a relatively

276
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Speaker 1: low scoring game. So at forty seven and a half,

277
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Speaker 1: it's the only total on my list right now, it's

278
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Speaker 1: the only I like, but it's my favorite total of

279
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Speaker 1: the week. What do you think about that?

280
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Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I mean when you look at Detroit, they

281
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Speaker 2: went seventeen seventeen, fourteen, seventeen in their last four games here.

282
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Speaker 2: So basically what you're betting on right now is that

283
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Speaker 2: the Cincinnati Bengals aren't gonna score thirty five points.

284
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Speaker 3: So I think Cincinnati's gonna win this game too. But

285
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Speaker 3: thirty five is asking a lot for them.

286
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Speaker 2: If Detroit's defense could play well enough to keep since

287
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Speaker 2: the other five touchdowns, I think you got it.

288
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Speaker 3: I think you got a winner there.

289
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Speaker 1: And I think the only thing that, like, the one

290
00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:29,200
Speaker 1: thing that the Lions kind of do it from a

291
00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:32,520
Speaker 1: defensive standpoint is they do get pressure, Like they're able

292
00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:34,880
Speaker 1: to get pressure on the quarterback. And Burrow's taking some shots.

293
00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:37,360
Speaker 1: You're right, he's gonna be fine with that throat contusion

294
00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:39,640
Speaker 1: or whatever, but he's taken some shots the last couple

295
00:11:39,679 --> 00:11:41,840
Speaker 1: of weeks. So I think with them getting pressure that

296
00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:44,000
Speaker 1: is gonna at least throw them out of their rhythm

297
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Speaker 1: and probably affect them offensively. So it's something let's go

298
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Speaker 1: for both of us winning this one, the Bengals winning

299
00:11:49,400 --> 00:11:52,079
Speaker 1: you know, a nice tidy twenty to thirteen game. We'll

300
00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:54,040
Speaker 1: both go home winners. Go to your second bet. What

301
00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:54,440
Speaker 1: do you got?

302
00:11:55,160 --> 00:11:56,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, so the second one I'm looking at here. I'm

303
00:11:56,960 --> 00:11:58,840
Speaker 2: actually gonna bet we're gonna go to a total in

304
00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:01,760
Speaker 2: this one. I'm betting the over in the Kansas City

305
00:12:01,840 --> 00:12:04,199
Speaker 2: Washington game. And I know it's a big number. Is

306
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Speaker 2: it fifty five?

307
00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:06,559
Speaker 3: Right now? I mean, what are you looking at.

308
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Speaker 1: Let me take the consensus. It was fifty five and

309
00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:12,040
Speaker 1: a half last time I saw it. I'll pull it

310
00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:15,960
Speaker 1: up here, hold on, it is ooh, fifty there's it's

311
00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:17,960
Speaker 1: some books are at fifty five and a half, but

312
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Speaker 1: the consensus, the majority books fifty four and a half.

313
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Speaker 1: So even better for you, right you're going out.

314
00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:23,600
Speaker 3: There, I'll take it.

315
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Speaker 2: I mean, here, here's the numbers so that you can

316
00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:28,319
Speaker 2: you can see why I'm on this side. So far

317
00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:31,080
Speaker 2: this year, Kansas City averaging thirty one points per game,

318
00:12:31,160 --> 00:12:35,000
Speaker 2: giving up thirty two points per game, Washington averaging twenty

319
00:12:35,040 --> 00:12:37,280
Speaker 2: four points per game, giving up thirty points per game.

320
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Speaker 3: So we're looking in.

321
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Speaker 2: That fifty five sixty five rage right there. If we

322
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Speaker 2: just kind of, you know, go with those raw numbers

323
00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:45,839
Speaker 2: and add them together and then you know, the thing

324
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Speaker 2: that I don't think people understand is like everybody looks

325
00:12:48,040 --> 00:12:50,240
Speaker 2: at Washington and they think of last year with the

326
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Speaker 2: Washington Redskins, top.

327
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Speaker 3: Five defense, like you know, all that stuff. The offense

328
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Speaker 3: is really bad.

329
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Speaker 2: But so far this year that's not really the way

330
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Speaker 2: it's been. Other than the first game, which again was

331
00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:03,120
Speaker 2: Ryan Fitzpatrick, not you know, Taylor Heineke, who's in there now.

332
00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:05,680
Speaker 2: Heinike's actually been putting up points with this team, So

333
00:13:06,160 --> 00:13:08,240
Speaker 2: you know, if this team is gonna score. And then

334
00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:10,400
Speaker 2: the other thing is the defense hasn't been as good

335
00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:10,800
Speaker 2: this year.

336
00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:11,440
Speaker 3: This year.

337
00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:13,600
Speaker 2: Again, I'm not saying they're like a bottom ten defense

338
00:13:13,679 --> 00:13:15,599
Speaker 2: or anything like that, but they're a middle of the

339
00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:18,040
Speaker 2: road defense. And you know what, the Kansas City Chiefs

340
00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:20,400
Speaker 2: are gonna pick apart a middle of the road defense,

341
00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:22,800
Speaker 2: a top five defense like they've played last week with

342
00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:26,280
Speaker 2: the Buffalo Bills. Yeah, and even Buffalo top defense in

343
00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:28,320
Speaker 2: the league, one of the top five defenses depending on

344
00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:31,199
Speaker 2: whatever ratings you're looking at. They still hung up twenty

345
00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:33,920
Speaker 2: points on Buffalo last week. They're gonna hang up thirty

346
00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:36,280
Speaker 2: here this week on Washington. And then the thing is,

347
00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:38,560
Speaker 2: I think Washington can hang it up on them because

348
00:13:38,640 --> 00:13:41,600
Speaker 2: right now, Kansas City is literally the worst defense in

349
00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:44,480
Speaker 2: the league. So the only way that Kansas City could

350
00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:48,040
Speaker 2: win games is getting into shootouts and basically Washington at

351
00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:50,360
Speaker 2: this point, I'm not saying this offense is elite.

352
00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:52,640
Speaker 3: I'm not saying it's great. There are pieces missing.

353
00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:55,360
Speaker 2: Logan Thomas being out is obviously a big deal to

354
00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:58,120
Speaker 2: this defense. Antonio Gibson's been a little banged up, not

355
00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:01,360
Speaker 2: completely himself, and you can run on Kansas City, so

356
00:14:01,400 --> 00:14:03,040
Speaker 2: that would be something that you want to hope that

357
00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:05,520
Speaker 2: he's going to be in there, or at least whoever

358
00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:07,400
Speaker 2: is in there at running back, whether it's j D

359
00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:10,000
Speaker 2: Mciszick or somebody else further down the you know, the

360
00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:11,400
Speaker 2: depth chart is going to be able to get some

361
00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:12,000
Speaker 2: yardage here.

362
00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:14,439
Speaker 3: I just think there's gonna be points on both sides

363
00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:14,920
Speaker 3: of this game.

364
00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:17,640
Speaker 2: And I have no problem playing overs with Kansas City

365
00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:19,880
Speaker 2: because this is the exact kind of team that I

366
00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:22,800
Speaker 2: want to play overs with. Their defense can't stop anybody,

367
00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:25,160
Speaker 2: so anybody can put up points on them, and their

368
00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:27,480
Speaker 2: offense literally doesn't need more than three plays to go

369
00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:29,840
Speaker 2: eighty yards down the field and put up a touchdown.

370
00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:32,600
Speaker 2: So I am hoping that this gets into one of

371
00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:36,360
Speaker 2: those close, back and forth kind of games where Kansas

372
00:14:36,400 --> 00:14:39,640
Speaker 2: City goes down I don't know, fourteen three or something,

373
00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:43,120
Speaker 2: storms back to make it seventeen to fourteen. Washington scores,

374
00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:45,840
Speaker 2: then Kansas City scores, then Washington scores because Kansas City

375
00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:47,480
Speaker 2: can't stop them, and then the next thing you know,

376
00:14:47,520 --> 00:14:49,240
Speaker 2: we're up there in the sixties. And I mean just

377
00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:51,200
Speaker 2: look at the scores for Kansas City's games this year.

378
00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:53,480
Speaker 2: Sixty two was the total in the first game, seventy

379
00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:55,960
Speaker 2: one in the second. The bad game they had was

380
00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:58,080
Speaker 2: fifty four in the third game, and then it was

381
00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:00,200
Speaker 2: sixty two and fifty eight in the last game. So

382
00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:02,400
Speaker 2: I mean, it's not like this is, you know, fifty

383
00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:05,440
Speaker 2: five very high number, but the way Kansas.

384
00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,360
Speaker 3: City's playing, they're almost playing like a college football team.

385
00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:08,920
Speaker 2: So if you're gonna get those kind of points in

386
00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:11,440
Speaker 2: their games, I'm still gonna be on the over here.

387
00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:13,240
Speaker 2: I know a lot of the public is on the

388
00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:15,400
Speaker 2: under So wait a little bit. If you can get

389
00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:16,920
Speaker 2: it at fifty four and a half, I like that.

390
00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:19,480
Speaker 2: If it drops even lower than that, that just means

391
00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:20,320
Speaker 2: you got a bit bigger.

392
00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:24,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you one hundred percent. Like I realized,

393
00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:28,960
Speaker 1: like it's like, oh, the Chiefs defense is so abysmal

394
00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:32,520
Speaker 1: that I can't even really put into words. And Washington's

395
00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:35,440
Speaker 1: their offense. It's not explosive or anything like that. But

396
00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:38,240
Speaker 1: at you know, as much as Antonio Gibson apparently has

397
00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:41,360
Speaker 1: the stress fractor in his shin, he looked fine last

398
00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:44,600
Speaker 1: week he scored two touchdowns. Terry McLaurin, I realize now

399
00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:46,840
Speaker 1: that he's pretty much the last guy standing because even

400
00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:49,360
Speaker 1: Curtis Samuel again came back for ten minutes and then

401
00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:52,120
Speaker 1: is out. That's fine, doesn't matter. They cannot stop wide

402
00:15:52,160 --> 00:15:54,920
Speaker 1: receivers no matter what you do. Heineke's played better than expected.

403
00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:56,960
Speaker 1: I think Jad McKissick is probably gonna have a decent

404
00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:58,360
Speaker 1: game in here. So I agree with you, and the

405
00:15:58,440 --> 00:16:01,040
Speaker 1: Chiefs have to win, and the only way the Chiefs

406
00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:03,600
Speaker 1: can win their two and three is to outscore you.

407
00:16:03,760 --> 00:16:06,200
Speaker 1: So it is going to be monstrous amount of points. Yeah,

408
00:16:06,240 --> 00:16:07,520
Speaker 1: it said fifty four and a half to me. I'm

409
00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:09,520
Speaker 1: in New Hampshire. I have only access to DraftKings. It's

410
00:16:09,520 --> 00:16:11,840
Speaker 1: fifty four and a half at DraftKings, which is great.

411
00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:16,080
Speaker 1: I totally love it. Again, and you mentioned it Washington's

412
00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:18,960
Speaker 1: defense man, like, where are we where all of the like?

413
00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,880
Speaker 1: I expected them to be a complete strength coming into

414
00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:24,520
Speaker 1: this year, complete strength and their defense right now that

415
00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:26,560
Speaker 1: you can pick on. So I don't know where this

416
00:16:26,640 --> 00:16:30,040
Speaker 1: happened now. The one thing is Tyreek Kel has misspracticed.

417
00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:32,520
Speaker 1: He misspracticed again today, so I want to make sure

418
00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:36,040
Speaker 1: he plays. Of course, by assuming he does. Even if

419
00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:38,760
Speaker 1: he doesn't, they'll i mean, pal Hartman will probably just

420
00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:39,520
Speaker 1: step right in.

421
00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:41,880
Speaker 3: Right Iron Pringle get a touchdown there.

422
00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:44,600
Speaker 2: You know, one of the things about Washington's defense this year,

423
00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:47,040
Speaker 2: they do still have a good pass rush. They have

424
00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:48,520
Speaker 2: good I shouldn't even say they have a good pass

425
00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,440
Speaker 2: they have good pass rushers, right, but the secondary is

426
00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:54,040
Speaker 2: so bad that I mean, like, listen, these guys still

427
00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:56,480
Speaker 2: need about three seconds to get to the quarterback. If

428
00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:58,480
Speaker 2: they can't even guard, if they can't even stop anybody

429
00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:00,600
Speaker 2: or cover anybody for three seconds, it's not going to

430
00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:01,200
Speaker 2: make a difference.

431
00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:04,240
Speaker 3: And that's really what the you know, what the numbers

432
00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:04,920
Speaker 3: have shown.

433
00:17:04,760 --> 00:17:07,160
Speaker 2: Right now is that their secondary is just so bad

434
00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:08,760
Speaker 2: that they can't even stop anybody here.

435
00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:11,359
Speaker 3: So they're not even giving that line a chance. With

436
00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:14,160
Speaker 3: all those pass rushers they have to kind of get home.

437
00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:15,240
Speaker 3: And that's the thing.

438
00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:17,400
Speaker 2: You hope that your a good defensive line can help

439
00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:19,399
Speaker 2: out your corners, but the corner's got to do a

440
00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:20,200
Speaker 2: little bit of work too.

441
00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:21,960
Speaker 3: If it's like you know, teams.

442
00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:24,440
Speaker 2: Are just throwing all over you, I mean, really, there's

443
00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:26,280
Speaker 2: nothing you can do about it. And again that's the

444
00:17:26,320 --> 00:17:29,080
Speaker 2: big difference between not Washington defense this year and last year.

445
00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:31,880
Speaker 2: Last year you weren't lighting them up through the air

446
00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:34,960
Speaker 2: and those guys were getting home. This year, it feels

447
00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:37,520
Speaker 2: like there's always receivers open, so quarterbacks don't have to

448
00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:39,439
Speaker 2: hold on to it too long. They can get rid

449
00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:42,000
Speaker 2: of it. If you're not getting home, they're gonna get

450
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:43,439
Speaker 2: picked apart. And that's what's been happening.

451
00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:46,040
Speaker 1: Yep, I'm in agreeing with you. I like the over here.

452
00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:48,960
Speaker 1: Don't care that basically taking a Chiefs over sounds so

453
00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:51,160
Speaker 1: like Chalky or whatever. I'll take it out they get

454
00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:52,840
Speaker 1: they can't stop anybody. I think it's going to be

455
00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:55,959
Speaker 1: a shootout again in a game that they absolutely have

456
00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:57,679
Speaker 1: to win, and they win by putting up points. So

457
00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:00,600
Speaker 1: I agree with you there. I'm really interested, Benny, to

458
00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,439
Speaker 1: hear your opinion on my next pick, okay, because you

459
00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:07,040
Speaker 1: may hate it. I like it obviously because I'm picking it,

460
00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:08,800
Speaker 1: but you may hit it, so let me get through it.

461
00:18:08,880 --> 00:18:10,560
Speaker 1: Then after that, I want to hear this is the

462
00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:12,959
Speaker 1: Browns laying three to the Cardinals. No, this was two

463
00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:15,080
Speaker 1: and a half when it opens, so it's at three. That'snnoing,

464
00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:16,439
Speaker 1: there's actually a three and a half out there as

465
00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:18,960
Speaker 1: I'm looking right now at Fox Bet, but at three

466
00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:21,640
Speaker 1: I'm going to take it. Kind of a combination here

467
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:24,040
Speaker 1: of me buying the Browns and selling the Cardinals. The

468
00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:27,040
Speaker 1: Browns are just a really, really impressive football team. Their

469
00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:29,000
Speaker 1: run game is awesome. As we know, Baker Mayfield had

470
00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:31,960
Speaker 1: that one terrible game against the Vikings, but overall he's

471
00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:35,960
Speaker 1: played pretty well. Defense is very good, maybe not quote elite,

472
00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,040
Speaker 1: but they are very very good. They're not that far

473
00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:40,439
Speaker 1: away from being five to zero, including that game against

474
00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:43,280
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. They lost against the Chargers in that heartbreaking fashion.

475
00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:46,000
Speaker 1: And conversely, I'm just selling the Cardinals a little bit.

476
00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:48,160
Speaker 1: I mean, they were outplayed by the forty nine ers

477
00:18:48,240 --> 00:18:51,280
Speaker 1: last week in like many notable categories. They could have

478
00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:53,080
Speaker 1: lost that one. They should have lost that game to

479
00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:55,159
Speaker 1: the Vikings that were behind against the Jaguars. I know

480
00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:57,359
Speaker 1: it was a little fluky, but still they are due

481
00:18:57,400 --> 00:18:59,960
Speaker 1: for a letdown game, and this game in particular, feel

482
00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:03,800
Speaker 1: like it favors the Browns. Starting on Saturday in Cleveland,

483
00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:08,160
Speaker 1: it's supposed to be horribly windy for like three straight days.

484
00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:10,639
Speaker 1: It's supposed to be twenty to twenty five mile an

485
00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:13,320
Speaker 1: hour wins. What does that favor the run game, which

486
00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:15,360
Speaker 1: is all Cleveland wants to do, so I think that's

487
00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:17,280
Speaker 1: gonna be something good. The Cardinals have allowed five point

488
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:20,040
Speaker 1: four yards per carry on the year. Cardinals have a

489
00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:22,480
Speaker 1: lot of injury concerns. They lost Max William obviously the

490
00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:24,359
Speaker 1: tight end. Now they have a million pass catchers, but

491
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:27,600
Speaker 1: still that's something. Chandler Jones is likely out. He is

492
00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:29,680
Speaker 1: on the COVID nineteen list. And they lost their center

493
00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:31,879
Speaker 1: Rodney Hudson with the rib injuries. So they've got some

494
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:35,919
Speaker 1: injuries that they're dealing with. Everything here screams the regression

495
00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:38,080
Speaker 1: to the mean for the Cardinals to me. The Browns

496
00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 1: bouncing back from that tough loss again two and a

497
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,320
Speaker 1: half earlier in the week. I liked it. I didn't

498
00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:44,680
Speaker 1: bet it. I should have. It's still at three right now.

499
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:46,399
Speaker 1: I see one three and a half out there, so

500
00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:48,399
Speaker 1: I'm gonna lock it in before it gets there. I

501
00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:50,760
Speaker 1: will take the Browns at home Lang three. Benny, your

502
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:52,000
Speaker 1: thoughts please.

503
00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:53,840
Speaker 2: Well, I mean you didn't even mention the fact that

504
00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:55,680
Speaker 2: Kyler Murray's a little banged up as well.

505
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:56,120
Speaker 1: That's true?

506
00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:59,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely right, Yes, it's a throwing shoulder, which is

507
00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:01,600
Speaker 2: obviously gonna be a big deal for them. And I

508
00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:04,119
Speaker 2: mean he's been amazing this year, you know, no knock

509
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:06,520
Speaker 2: on him whatsoever. He's been absolutely great for them so

510
00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:09,640
Speaker 2: far this season. But he wasn't that great last game.

511
00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:11,679
Speaker 2: And that's what you started seeing it there. You know,

512
00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:13,840
Speaker 2: this team had been putting up a lot more points

513
00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:15,040
Speaker 2: than they did in that last game.

514
00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:16,600
Speaker 3: And again, decent defense.

515
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:18,440
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say great defense, but a decent defense

516
00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:20,560
Speaker 2: they played last week and all that. So you would

517
00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:23,320
Speaker 2: expect a little bit less than you know, the stellar

518
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:24,359
Speaker 2: performances you put.

519
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:25,879
Speaker 3: Up against some of the weaker teams in the league.

520
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:28,280
Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean there are there are quite a

521
00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:31,280
Speaker 2: few red flags here for the five and oh Arizona Cardinals,

522
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,719
Speaker 2: which again I don't think many people thought the Cardinals,

523
00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:36,560
Speaker 2: including the Cardinals, who haven't done that in like thirty years,

524
00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:38,520
Speaker 2: started off a season five and oh, I think I

525
00:20:38,520 --> 00:20:39,720
Speaker 2: don't even know if they did it in like the

526
00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:41,879
Speaker 2: Kurt Order days when they were in there, you know,

527
00:20:41,920 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 2: at least in our lifetime when they were in their

528
00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 2: kind of heyday right here.

529
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,080
Speaker 3: But you know, yeah, I don't mind it at all.

530
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:50,280
Speaker 2: I mean, you know that Cleveland is gonna basically play

531
00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 2: hard nos football. They're gonna play good defense, They're gonna

532
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,480
Speaker 2: run the football down your throat as often as they can,

533
00:20:56,760 --> 00:20:58,960
Speaker 2: and when they throw, it's gonna be play action off

534
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:01,679
Speaker 2: of those you know, off of those runs. So windy

535
00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:04,040
Speaker 2: day doesn't affect them anywhere near as much as it

536
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:06,320
Speaker 2: effects a team like Arizona that would need to kind

537
00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:08,359
Speaker 2: of spread it out. So you got the weather on

538
00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:10,320
Speaker 2: your side, you got the injuries on your side, you

539
00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:13,160
Speaker 2: got Arizona having to travel to Cleveland for this game.

540
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:15,960
Speaker 2: You got Cleveland being a little upset at, you know,

541
00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:18,480
Speaker 2: losing that game last week forty seven to forty two

542
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:21,440
Speaker 2: in a game that they played very well against arguably

543
00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:23,480
Speaker 2: an even better defense than they're going to be facing here,

544
00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:25,560
Speaker 2: and they still hung up forty two points. So yep,

545
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:27,879
Speaker 2: I mean, this Cleveland team is another one kind of

546
00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:31,159
Speaker 2: like the Bengals, where the offense is pretty good, the

547
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:33,680
Speaker 2: defense is very good, and people were still under rating them.

548
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:36,399
Speaker 2: Probably a better team than most people think when you

549
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:37,640
Speaker 2: look at the Cleveland Browns here.

550
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:38,959
Speaker 3: So I don't hate it.

551
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:42,280
Speaker 1: I like it extremely well coached. I really like what

552
00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:44,720
Speaker 1: Stefanski's then obviously coach of the year last year, and yes,

553
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,320
Speaker 1: totally spaced for whatever reason, even though I had factored

554
00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:51,240
Speaker 1: it in the Murray injury, which again he's gonna play fine,

555
00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,800
Speaker 1: But I do think that that did you know, impact

556
00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,639
Speaker 1: him last week against the fourty niners. He's a slight guy.

557
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:59,359
Speaker 1: We saw him injured obviously last year. That really affects

558
00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:02,560
Speaker 1: his performance. So all the factors taken together, that might

559
00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:04,240
Speaker 1: be why the spread has moved up to three. I

560
00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 1: like it, but I am locking it in now before

561
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,760
Speaker 1: it moves. God passed again, Fox Bes already at three

562
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:10,320
Speaker 1: and a half. All right, last pick, Benny, what do

563
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:11,639
Speaker 1: you got? Yeah?

564
00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:13,359
Speaker 2: So I was hoping to get a little bit of

565
00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:15,119
Speaker 2: a better number on this game. I'm not gonna lie

566
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,359
Speaker 2: to you, but I do think this is another situation

567
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:20,760
Speaker 2: where it's one team that the books are still overvaluing

568
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:23,560
Speaker 2: because of name brand recognition with the New England Patriots,

569
00:22:23,840 --> 00:22:25,879
Speaker 2: and one team that the books are undervaluing with the

570
00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:28,879
Speaker 2: Dallas Cowboys. The Dallas Cowboys being the only team that

571
00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:31,400
Speaker 2: is five and zero against the spread so far this year. Now,

572
00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 2: I will say this based on the way my numbers

573
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:36,560
Speaker 2: look and based on what I've seen the last couple

574
00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:38,760
Speaker 2: of weeks from the books, I do think the books

575
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 2: did actually make an adjustment to Dallas this week, So

576
00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:43,840
Speaker 2: I was expecting to get Dallas closer to like one

577
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:46,240
Speaker 2: and a half two points. Right now I think it's

578
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:47,960
Speaker 2: three and a half some places. I've even seen it

579
00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 2: as four, you know, so it is kind of creeping

580
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:53,040
Speaker 2: up there. But that doesn't really matter to me, to

581
00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:56,159
Speaker 2: be honest with you. The Patriots defense is not the

582
00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:59,400
Speaker 2: Patriots defense that was the one two or three years

583
00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:01,199
Speaker 2: ago that every but he was scared of. That was

584
00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:03,880
Speaker 2: like the super defense. And people keep pointing to oh,

585
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:05,080
Speaker 2: look they shut down the Jets.

586
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:08,680
Speaker 3: I am a Jets fan. That is not hard to do. Yeah,

587
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:09,679
Speaker 3: it is not hard to do.

588
00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:12,600
Speaker 2: Like, if your best argument you could make to me it's, oh,

589
00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:14,440
Speaker 2: well look what they did to the Jets, I'm gonna

590
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:16,800
Speaker 2: be like, yeah, so, like you know, my kids pop

591
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:18,120
Speaker 2: order team can shut down the Jets.

592
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:20,399
Speaker 3: I'm not worried about that whatsoever.

593
00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:22,600
Speaker 2: You know, this defense, if you look at them right now,

594
00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:25,560
Speaker 2: the Patriots are like middle of the pack, honestly, even

595
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:27,119
Speaker 2: in the lower half of the league, and a lot

596
00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:29,920
Speaker 2: of categories that you look at overall and you look

597
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 2: at Dallas's offense right now. You know, I know Pro

598
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,800
Speaker 2: Football Focus has them right that's the number one overall offense.

599
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:36,560
Speaker 3: I know over at FTN, I think we have them

600
00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:37,879
Speaker 3: as number two or number three.

601
00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:40,639
Speaker 2: Every single projection system that you look at right now

602
00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:42,200
Speaker 2: has this Dallas offense.

603
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:43,000
Speaker 3: As being near elite.

604
00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:44,399
Speaker 2: And then just look at what they've done in the

605
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,240
Speaker 2: last couple of games, forty one points, thirty six points,

606
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 2: forty four points in the last three games. They're putting

607
00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:51,760
Speaker 2: up thirty four points on the season. Now, do I

608
00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:54,639
Speaker 2: think they get anywhere near thirty four against the Patriots? No,

609
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 2: the Patriots are gonna have a good game plan. The

610
00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 2: Patriots defense, I'm not saying they suck. I'm just saying

611
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:00,680
Speaker 2: they're not the.

612
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:03,480
Speaker 3: Elite level defense that people used to look at them.

613
00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:06,760
Speaker 2: Ass They traded away Steven Gilmour, who is a major

614
00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:08,639
Speaker 2: piece of that team, and people don't realize when you

615
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:10,680
Speaker 2: have a guy who could be a one on one

616
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:14,480
Speaker 2: island shutdown corner, it allows your defense, especially a smart

617
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 2: guy like Belichick, to do a lot of other things

618
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:18,640
Speaker 2: because you could just stick him out there and say,

619
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:20,400
Speaker 2: all right, your job this game is to take away

620
00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:22,680
Speaker 2: Amari Cooper, and you know that that's going to happen,

621
00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:24,920
Speaker 2: and then you're playing ten on ten with everybody else

622
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:27,239
Speaker 2: trying to figure out how to stop teams. When you

623
00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:29,919
Speaker 2: lose that guy, that's a big deal. Now you have

624
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:31,639
Speaker 2: to make up for that fact because now you can't

625
00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:33,880
Speaker 2: just say we're taking away that side of the field

626
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:36,400
Speaker 2: and you know, playing ten on ten on the other side.

627
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,000
Speaker 2: Now they actually have to go out there and you know,

628
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 2: be an eleven man unit that actually goes and shuts

629
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:43,919
Speaker 2: teams down, and so far this year they haven't been

630
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:45,880
Speaker 2: able to do it. And then the other reason why

631
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:48,240
Speaker 2: I like it, I think Dallas's defense is a little

632
00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:50,440
Speaker 2: better than people give them credit for, and I think

633
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:54,440
Speaker 2: the Patriots offense is even worse. Patriots right now basically

634
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:56,760
Speaker 2: only averaging nineteen points on that side of the ball.

635
00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:59,800
Speaker 2: So if Dallas can get to like twenty four, they

636
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:02,440
Speaker 2: this number. I don't think they get to the thirty

637
00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:04,760
Speaker 2: four they've been averaging, but I think think it gets

638
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 2: twenty four. And if you can score twenty points against

639
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:09,320
Speaker 2: the Patriots, you're gonna win because this team just can't score.

640
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 1: So I'm not going against you, but I'm not jumping

641
00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:16,399
Speaker 1: on the train. I don't know what it is, Benny,

642
00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:18,399
Speaker 1: So this is like not this is not great now.

643
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:19,960
Speaker 1: I'm gonna throw it out there. It's not great now

644
00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,480
Speaker 1: for me. I don't know what it is, and it

645
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 1: might just be my history. Of course, we're both Jets fans.

646
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 1: I live in New England, of understanding this spot for

647
00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:32,000
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick. Now, obviously you want to talk about the defense.

648
00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:34,520
Speaker 1: I mean, Davis Mills just totally lit you up right,

649
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:36,480
Speaker 1: like that's not an offense that you're necessarily crad of.

650
00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:40,119
Speaker 1: Dallas has been home for three games, right, three straight games.

651
00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 1: Now you're coming on the road. That's a spot generally historically,

652
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:46,560
Speaker 1: doesn't you know, bode well for teams, at least as

653
00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:50,879
Speaker 1: against the spread. For sure. Mac Jones is not a

654
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:53,600
Speaker 1: great quarterback or anything like that. He's been okay. He

655
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:56,760
Speaker 1: really struggles with pressure. That's the one thing Dallas doesn't

656
00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:58,800
Speaker 1: really get. They don't get a tone of pressure on

657
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,280
Speaker 1: the quarterback. So I think I think their offense, the

658
00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:04,879
Speaker 1: Patriots can have some success here in this game. The

659
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,159
Speaker 1: big question is whether or not their defense can shut

660
00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:11,639
Speaker 1: down what is basically an elite offense with Dallas and

661
00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:14,239
Speaker 1: I'm not sure that they can. I don't think they

662
00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:15,760
Speaker 1: could sew him down. I mean, even you admit you

663
00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: don't expect this to be the you know, thirty eight

664
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:19,920
Speaker 1: points or anything from the cap rights, like, you don't

665
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,240
Speaker 1: expect this to be crazy at all. I just don't

666
00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:25,960
Speaker 1: have it. Again, I kind of felt like this different obviously,

667
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,399
Speaker 1: and there were weather against the Bucks, but it strikes

668
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:29,879
Speaker 1: me a little bit against the Bucks where I was like,

669
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:31,679
Speaker 1: I don't see how you're gonna put up any points.

670
00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:33,680
Speaker 1: I don't see how your defense is going to possibly

671
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:35,880
Speaker 1: hold them in check. There was no way. I felt

672
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:38,000
Speaker 1: good about the Patriots in that game, and they came

673
00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 1: out and they played extremely, extremely well. It strikes me

674
00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 1: as it's going to be one of those games and

675
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:43,800
Speaker 1: it's going to be a close game. But again, this

676
00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 1: is not great analysis bending because I don't I just

677
00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:47,680
Speaker 1: don't have it like here. It's just something that makes

678
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:48,600
Speaker 1: me uncomfortable.

679
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:51,639
Speaker 2: I've actually had this same discussion already once today with

680
00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 2: my producer when we were talking about it on the

681
00:26:54,040 --> 00:26:57,080
Speaker 2: show earlier yeap, and basically what I said to him

682
00:26:57,240 --> 00:26:59,800
Speaker 2: is the Tampa Bay game literally required an act of God.

683
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,520
Speaker 2: The weather was horrible in that game. It required an

684
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:04,560
Speaker 2: act of God to slow them down. But on the

685
00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:06,360
Speaker 2: other side of it, you were right. They still only

686
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:09,640
Speaker 2: scored seventeen points. This is a seventeen to twenty four

687
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 2: point a game offense. That's the best you're going to

688
00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:13,160
Speaker 2: get out of this new England team.

689
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:15,439
Speaker 3: There's no explosive wide receivers. You know.

690
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:17,560
Speaker 2: Again, they lost Damien Harris, not that he was I

691
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:20,000
Speaker 2: don't think that that's a big deal. I think Rimandre

692
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:23,800
Speaker 2: Stevenson can give you basically approximate what you got out

693
00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 2: of out of Damian Harris. I think the bigger deal

694
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:29,119
Speaker 2: was them losing James White a couple weeks ago because

695
00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:31,960
Speaker 2: Bolden being in there now and taking that role.

696
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:33,119
Speaker 3: And I like Bolden.

697
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,679
Speaker 2: I think he's a solid guy that could be on

698
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:38,320
Speaker 2: the roster, but he's not the same upside that James

699
00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:40,399
Speaker 2: White was, so that only hurts their offense even more

700
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 2: right there. Like I said, my biggest problem here is

701
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 2: I don't think the Patriots can put up more than

702
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:47,280
Speaker 2: twenty and I don't think the Patriots defense, which is

703
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:49,400
Speaker 2: not as elite as they used to be, can keep

704
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:52,679
Speaker 2: this elite because Dallas's offense is elite can keep this

705
00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:55,560
Speaker 2: elite Dallas offense under twenty. So I'm hoping I get

706
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,440
Speaker 2: a twenty four, seventeen, even twenty four to twenty.

707
00:27:58,480 --> 00:27:59,919
Speaker 3: If you can get it out the three and a half, right,

708
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:00,960
Speaker 3: it would work for me too.

709
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:03,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a three and a half everywhere pretty much again,

710
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:06,040
Speaker 1: except for me. It's at three at DraftKings. Maybe a

711
00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:08,760
Speaker 1: little bit better. It's the little Patriots love there, I guess.

712
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think really the issue for me with

713
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:14,200
Speaker 1: the Cowboys is not their offense whatsoever. It is I

714
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:15,879
Speaker 1: don't have as much faith in their defense. I mean,

715
00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:17,960
Speaker 1: Treyvon Diggs is great. Of course, they don't get a

716
00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:20,199
Speaker 1: ton of pressure. They've been built so much on this

717
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 1: insane turnover rate that they have. But again, this is

718
00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:27,760
Speaker 1: not the offense that can exploit that with the Cowboys,

719
00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:30,520
Speaker 1: right because they're just not explosive. So I feel you.

720
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:32,920
Speaker 1: I really don't hate it. It's something though I can't

721
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 1: do it personally because again, I'm just scared. I'm a

722
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:37,440
Speaker 1: scared man, and I don't mind that. I don't bet

723
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:39,680
Speaker 1: games i'm afraid of, but I will bet a disgusting

724
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:42,080
Speaker 1: game right now that we alluded to earlier it's a

725
00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:45,080
Speaker 1: line that has crossed zero, but doesn't really matter to me.

726
00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 1: It's whatever side you want to be on, is the

727
00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 1: side you're on. I'm going to take the Vikings laying

728
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:51,600
Speaker 1: a point in a half right now to the Panthers. Again,

729
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:53,840
Speaker 1: you mentioned it. I think it opened at the Panthers

730
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:55,880
Speaker 1: laying a point or maybe laying a point to half

731
00:28:56,120 --> 00:28:58,120
Speaker 1: at some point. It's not cross but again, you and

732
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,080
Speaker 1: I talked about it. That is a far less significant

733
00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 1: move than going from two and a half to three

734
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:04,400
Speaker 1: and a half or three to three and a half,

735
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:07,560
Speaker 1: anything like that. I have a bit of an irrational

736
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:09,560
Speaker 1: love for the Vikings and they have done nothing to

737
00:29:09,680 --> 00:29:12,880
Speaker 1: justify it whatsoever. I've only actually taken them on the

738
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:15,400
Speaker 1: show once, it was against the Cardinals, and they did cover,

739
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 1: even though they wound up losing that game. This is

740
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 1: much more, though, of a fade of the Panthers. Things

741
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,560
Speaker 1: look a lot different for the Panthers right now when

742
00:29:24,560 --> 00:29:28,920
Speaker 1: they're not facing the Jets or the Texans. And Benny,

743
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 1: you are a Jets fan. I am a Jets fan.

744
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 1: As we just said, we have watched mister Sam Darnold,

745
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:37,920
Speaker 1: and I don't I'm glad Sam Darnold is out of

746
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 1: the Adam Gase threshold right now and able to have

747
00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:44,000
Speaker 1: some modicum of success. But one thing that I don't

748
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:46,720
Speaker 1: really think was a product of Adam Gase was how

749
00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:49,720
Speaker 1: Sam Darnold looked under pressure. I think that he is

750
00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:52,200
Speaker 1: not a great quarterback under pressure. We have seen it

751
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:55,200
Speaker 1: in his career. We have seen it now with the Panthers,

752
00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:57,760
Speaker 1: and we certainly saw it last week against the Eagles.

753
00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:00,760
Speaker 1: They pressured him forty three percent of the time. And

754
00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 1: the stats from Sunday against the Eagles when he got

755
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:04,640
Speaker 1: rid of the ball under two and a half seconds,

756
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,200
Speaker 1: he was eleven for eleven for seventy nine yards and

757
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:09,360
Speaker 1: a touchdown. When he had it held on to the

758
00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 1: ball for longer than two and a half seconds five

759
00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 1: to seventeen with two interceptions. So Donald generally holds the

760
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 1: ball too long. That's kind of what he does two

761
00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:19,040
Speaker 1: point eight seconds on average. And again, the games that

762
00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:21,400
Speaker 1: he has won is against the Jets, against the Saints

763
00:30:21,400 --> 00:30:23,000
Speaker 1: that you know, we don't really know what the Saints

764
00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,360
Speaker 1: are yet, and against the text and now the Vikings

765
00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 1: do have holes on their defense, but they get pressure

766
00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 1: second in the NFL in pressure rate, Zimmer is a

767
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:34,040
Speaker 1: good defensive coach. They might have CMC back here. I

768
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 1: guess they're supposed to. But again, yesterday Matt rules that

769
00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 1: he was fifty to fifty. Who knows that will help Darnald,

770
00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:43,440
Speaker 1: But still I think we are basically starting to, you know,

771
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:45,959
Speaker 1: look like what he's going to look like against a

772
00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 1: legitimate defense. The Vikings have a good offense, they just

773
00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:51,719
Speaker 1: don't score a ton or anything like that. And Cousins

774
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:54,160
Speaker 1: the Carolina gets a lot of pressure too, but Cousins

775
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 1: is much better under pressure. So I think this is

776
00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 1: a close game. But I think the Vikings figure this

777
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 1: one out. I think the Panthers are having the balloon

778
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:03,760
Speaker 1: burst a little bit with them, So I'm going to

779
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:06,040
Speaker 1: take the Vikings laying a point a half to the Panthers.

780
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:06,600
Speaker 3: Yeah.

781
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:08,320
Speaker 2: One of the things I like to do every week

782
00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:13,280
Speaker 2: is look at teams that are underperforming and or overperforming

783
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 2: what they should be. And the Vikings are one of

784
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,800
Speaker 2: those teams that you look at their you know, you

785
00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 2: look at their grades by position, you look at the

786
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:24,600
Speaker 2: guys on that offense, you look at even the defense,

787
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:27,440
Speaker 2: which is supposed to be much improved from last year,

788
00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:30,560
Speaker 2: although it hasn't really looked much improved yet this year.

789
00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:33,360
Speaker 2: But that was the consensus coming into the season that

790
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:35,400
Speaker 2: they were going to be much better here. So they

791
00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:40,440
Speaker 2: have played just nowhere near up to expectations this far. Now, again,

792
00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:43,320
Speaker 2: if you're somebody who believes in variants, maybe they just

793
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:45,600
Speaker 2: had a couple of those down games, played a couple

794
00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:48,240
Speaker 2: better opponents the first couple of weeks, a couple of

795
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:50,160
Speaker 2: the teams they played, our teams that are showing up

796
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:52,479
Speaker 2: better than a lot of people thought they would. So

797
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:55,520
Speaker 2: to start out two and three not the worst thing

798
00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:57,120
Speaker 2: in the world. And then you look in the other

799
00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,640
Speaker 2: side with Carolina, and you mentioned it. You know, Carolina

800
00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:01,800
Speaker 2: is three and on the season, but who have they

801
00:32:01,800 --> 00:32:05,240
Speaker 2: really beat? You know, that Saints game made everybody excited

802
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:06,680
Speaker 2: in the second week because the Saints went.

803
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 3: Out in Week one and beat Green Bay.

804
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 2: But if Green Bay and New Orleans played again tomorrow,

805
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:12,360
Speaker 2: I don't think anybody in the world would think that

806
00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 2: New Orleans should be favored in that game. Right now,

807
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 2: they just happened to run into a buzzsaw. Aaron Rodgers

808
00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:19,120
Speaker 2: had to touch the football in like four months. He

809
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 2: was still playing jeopardy and figuring out the answers and

810
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 2: all that stuff. So, I mean, I think people overrated

811
00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:28,080
Speaker 2: the Saints, which made them overrate Carolina for beating up

812
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:30,400
Speaker 2: on the Saints. You know, I mean, I agree with

813
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:33,280
Speaker 2: everything that you're saying here. Listen, the market moved for

814
00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:35,920
Speaker 2: a reason, right The market opened that way. The money

815
00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:38,920
Speaker 2: came in heavy, and that's why it moved from Carolina

816
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 2: being favored to Carolina being the underdog.

817
00:32:41,280 --> 00:32:43,160
Speaker 3: You know, whether or not it moved enough, it doesn't

818
00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 3: really matter. When you're talking.

819
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 2: About one point yere one and a half points there,

820
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 2: anything under a field goal.

821
00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:49,640
Speaker 3: You still just picked the team that you like. On

822
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:50,480
Speaker 3: either side there.

823
00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:52,680
Speaker 2: I would have liked you have taken Minnesota if you

824
00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 2: really liked them on Sunday Monday when it was still

825
00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:58,480
Speaker 2: like plus one ten or you know, something like that.

826
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 3: But even now, I have no problem laying a one

827
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 3: and a half on that side.

828
00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:04,239
Speaker 2: I just think even though they haven't showed it yet,

829
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 2: I just think they're the better football team overall.

830
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:09,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, and their defense to right, coming into the year,

831
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 1: people were kind of excited about them that they had

832
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:13,560
Speaker 1: a lot of new faces, but the secondary hasn't played

833
00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:15,840
Speaker 1: as well as kind of we expected. Them to play necessarily.

834
00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:18,040
Speaker 1: But I do think they are a better team than

835
00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:20,440
Speaker 1: what they have showed right now, and their record could

836
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,600
Speaker 1: be better. Obviously, they just you know, they almost won

837
00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:24,800
Speaker 1: against the Cardinals. They probably should have won that game.

838
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:26,720
Speaker 1: So it is something where I think they're a little

839
00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 1: bit of a better team. And again it's largely a

840
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:30,360
Speaker 1: fade at the Panthers at this point. Who again we

841
00:33:30,800 --> 00:33:33,160
Speaker 1: as you mentioned it, their strength of the you know,

842
00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:36,360
Speaker 1: opponents who they have beaten is not impressive. All right,

843
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 1: So let's recap very quickly. You were taking the Chiefs

844
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 1: and the Washington football team. I'm going to give you

845
00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 1: fifty four and a half. That's like this line over

846
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 1: fifty four and a half, the Bengals laying three and

847
00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:49,080
Speaker 1: a half to the Lions, and the Cowboys laying three

848
00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:51,520
Speaker 1: and a half to the Pats. I am taking the

849
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:54,120
Speaker 1: Browns laying three to the Cardinals, the Bengals and the

850
00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:57,800
Speaker 1: Lions under forty seven and a half, and the Vikings

851
00:33:57,840 --> 00:34:00,320
Speaker 1: now laying one and a half to the Panthers. You're

852
00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:02,680
Speaker 1: ready to run through very quickly all the remaining spreads.

853
00:34:03,040 --> 00:34:03,600
Speaker 3: Let's do it.

854
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 1: Let's do it. London game, really exciting one here, the

855
00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:10,320
Speaker 1: Dolphins laying three to the Jaguars.

856
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:12,640
Speaker 3: What do you think I'm gonna go?

857
00:34:13,080 --> 00:34:15,279
Speaker 2: My number is actually a little below three, but it's

858
00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:17,160
Speaker 2: still Miami being favored. I think it's like two and

859
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:19,239
Speaker 2: a half or so, So I'll take the Miami side

860
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:19,719
Speaker 2: of that game.

861
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:21,880
Speaker 3: I just don't want to be on the Jacksonville side.

862
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:27,080
Speaker 1: That's the correct answer, which is probably like Jacksonville like there,

863
00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:29,759
Speaker 1: maybe there's some value on Jacksonville, but you just can't

864
00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 1: do it right, there's under no sus right, you just

865
00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:35,040
Speaker 1: can't do it. I completely agree with you. Chargers are

866
00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:37,680
Speaker 1: visiting the Ravens. I think this was the Ravens saying

867
00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:40,520
Speaker 1: three when I looked early in the week. But right

868
00:34:40,560 --> 00:34:42,279
Speaker 1: now it's down to two and a half. There is

869
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:44,600
Speaker 1: still three out there at FanDuel at points bet, but

870
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,279
Speaker 1: the consensus line Ravens laying two and a half to

871
00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:49,040
Speaker 1: the Chargers in Baltimore.

872
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, my number was actually Baltimore minus four, So if

873
00:34:52,239 --> 00:34:53,879
Speaker 2: I could get it at the two and a half now,

874
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:56,840
Speaker 2: I would definitely be on the Baltimore side of it. Again,

875
00:34:56,960 --> 00:34:59,279
Speaker 2: to me, that one and a half points right there

876
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,160
Speaker 2: is worth a lot more more than the one or

877
00:35:01,160 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 2: two points that we saw the move in the other game,

878
00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:05,279
Speaker 2: so I thought it should be Baltimore minus four.

879
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:06,359
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be a great game.

880
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:09,160
Speaker 2: Like I wouldn't be shocked if the Chargers wound up

881
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 2: winning this, But Baltimore seems to be able. They win ugly,

882
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:14,640
Speaker 2: but they win, right and at the end of the day,

883
00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:16,719
Speaker 2: you are what your record says you are. And you

884
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:18,640
Speaker 2: know they got a good record because they come through

885
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:20,080
Speaker 2: and they win those close games.

886
00:35:20,200 --> 00:35:22,719
Speaker 3: So I think Baltimore wins a close one at two

887
00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:24,480
Speaker 3: and a half. I would be on the Baltimore side.

888
00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:25,040
Speaker 3: I think they cover.

889
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:28,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I liked the Chargers getting the three. I don't

890
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:30,359
Speaker 1: like them under the field goal.

891
00:35:30,840 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 3: I don't know.

892
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:32,960
Speaker 1: I'm a little concerned because I don't know what we're

893
00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:35,279
Speaker 1: gonna see here from the Ravens off that game, right,

894
00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:39,520
Speaker 1: that is an emotionally draining game. That's you know, they're

895
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:41,839
Speaker 1: on a short week, so I just I'm a little

896
00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:43,600
Speaker 1: concerned with what we're gonna see. I'm just I'm gonna

897
00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:45,960
Speaker 1: stay away. I'm just gonna watch it completely. But if

898
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:47,680
Speaker 1: it was three, I kind of like the Chargers because

899
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:51,080
Speaker 1: I'm really god, I love I love the coaching staff,

900
00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:53,319
Speaker 1: I love the way the team is playing, so I

901
00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 1: do love them. The Colts are laying ten to the

902
00:35:56,239 --> 00:35:57,359
Speaker 1: Texans right here at home?

903
00:35:57,360 --> 00:35:59,680
Speaker 3: What do you think too many? For me? I thought

904
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:00,439
Speaker 3: it should be eight.

905
00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:04,399
Speaker 2: So again, I'm not games like this, like I don't

906
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 2: want to. I'm not actually betting the Houston signe. Like

907
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:07,799
Speaker 2: I said at the beginning show, we don't have to

908
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:10,160
Speaker 2: bet every game. But if we're playing in a pool

909
00:36:10,160 --> 00:36:12,120
Speaker 2: here and you got to pick a side, I think

910
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:13,240
Speaker 2: ten is too many points.

911
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:15,160
Speaker 3: I think the Colts are gonna win. I just think

912
00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:15,960
Speaker 3: it's too many points.

913
00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:18,480
Speaker 1: I agree, I'm not betting it. I agree with you,

914
00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 1: but ten points, really, I mean, given the fact like

915
00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:24,640
Speaker 1: how exhausted they are, how much their spirit was broken

916
00:36:24,680 --> 00:36:28,160
Speaker 1: on Monday, how decimated their secondary is, the Texans are

917
00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:30,239
Speaker 1: a little better than people have kind of given them

918
00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:33,239
Speaker 1: credit for, like throughout the season, ten is too many.

919
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 1: At the same time, I'm with you, Like if I'm

920
00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:36,799
Speaker 1: in a pool and I have to bet it, I'm

921
00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 1: going with the Colts. I mean, I do not have to.

922
00:36:39,040 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 3: Bet Colt survivor pick by all means, if you got survivor,

923
00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:44,520
Speaker 3: I got no problem with it. But I don't want

924
00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:45,839
Speaker 3: to lay ten with them. Yeah.

925
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:48,480
Speaker 1: How about the Packers visiting the Bears. The Packers are

926
00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:51,040
Speaker 1: laying five right now. There's four and a half five,

927
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:52,879
Speaker 1: five and a half actually out there at Fox Bet,

928
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:54,520
Speaker 1: but five is the consensus. What do you think?

929
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:56,600
Speaker 3: How are the Chicago Bears three and two? I have

930
00:36:56,680 --> 00:36:58,160
Speaker 3: no idea how the sea was three and two.

931
00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:01,120
Speaker 2: The offense is horrible, the deep is not as good

932
00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:02,840
Speaker 2: as they have no idea how they've.

933
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:05,279
Speaker 3: Got the three and two. I thought this numbers should

934
00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:05,840
Speaker 3: have been bigger.

935
00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:08,799
Speaker 2: I think this is gonna be like if you're in

936
00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:11,680
Speaker 2: one of those you know, like circa millions or something

937
00:37:11,719 --> 00:37:11,880
Speaker 2: like that.

938
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 3: I think this is gonna be the.

939
00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:14,640
Speaker 2: Most picked game of the week. I think everybody's on

940
00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:16,879
Speaker 2: the green Bay side. I know we are as well.

941
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:19,359
Speaker 2: That was one of our circle picks. So I'm going

942
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:20,799
Speaker 2: with green Bay in this one.

943
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:21,520
Speaker 3: No problem with that.

944
00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 1: How about the Rams visiting the Giants. They're laying consensus

945
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:27,080
Speaker 1: is nine and a half. It bounces back and forth

946
00:37:27,080 --> 00:37:29,680
Speaker 1: between nine a half and ten. We obviously have, you know,

947
00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:32,120
Speaker 1: eighteen thousand question marks right now about the Giants. We

948
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:33,400
Speaker 1: don't even know if Daniel Jones is going to be

949
00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:34,400
Speaker 1: up for this game, So I don't know if you

950
00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:36,399
Speaker 1: can even touch it right now, but what do you think?

951
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:39,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, for the fact that there's all those

952
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:42,040
Speaker 2: question marks and I actually thought it should be double digits. Anyway,

953
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:43,920
Speaker 2: I would be on the Rams side of this, but

954
00:37:43,960 --> 00:37:45,920
Speaker 2: again it's it's not a game i'm betting on. Again,

955
00:37:46,520 --> 00:37:48,439
Speaker 2: laying ten points is a lot of points. People don't

956
00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:51,399
Speaker 2: realize that's a lot of points. But I do think

957
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:54,400
Speaker 2: the Rams could cover because the Giants right now, assuming

958
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:56,000
Speaker 2: that even half of these guys are out.

959
00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 3: They're gonna be playing with like a skeleton squad. Kadarius

960
00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:00,279
Speaker 3: I hear Kadarius Tony might be playing.

961
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:02,279
Speaker 2: Quarterback this week, which since I heard that, I was like,

962
00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:03,719
Speaker 2: all right, I'll lay the ten in that game.

963
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:06,040
Speaker 1: I mean, and they might be better. Who knows I have.

964
00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:07,840
Speaker 1: I can only get it at ten here drafting, so

965
00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 1: I wouldn't get it, but I would take it at

966
00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 1: nine and a half because again, the Rams are off

967
00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:13,520
Speaker 1: the mini by they shouldn't look to make a statement here,

968
00:38:13,520 --> 00:38:15,600
Speaker 1: and the Giants are just in disarray at this point,

969
00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:18,000
Speaker 1: regardless of who plays. You mentioned the total in this one.

970
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:20,799
Speaker 1: How about the side the Chiefs are visiting Washington and

971
00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 1: they're laying six and a half.

972
00:38:22,480 --> 00:38:22,760
Speaker 3: Yeah.

973
00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:26,040
Speaker 2: I the Chiefs are like one in four against the

974
00:38:26,120 --> 00:38:28,560
Speaker 2: spread this year, and it's because the defense is so

975
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:31,920
Speaker 2: bad that you know, you always feel like the other

976
00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:33,480
Speaker 2: team is going to score. At the end of the game,

977
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:35,120
Speaker 2: you feel like the Chiefs are going to score too,

978
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 2: and it really comes down to who has it last.

979
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 2: But if you're forcing me to take a side here,

980
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,040
Speaker 2: I'll take Kansas City, but I'm not betting it. I

981
00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:43,200
Speaker 2: don't feel comfortable with it.

982
00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:46,160
Speaker 1: What worries me a little about this game, Benny, is

983
00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:49,160
Speaker 1: that this is a please tease this game down to

984
00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:51,520
Speaker 1: half a point, which makes me a little worried about

985
00:38:51,560 --> 00:38:52,960
Speaker 1: what we're going to see here in this game, right

986
00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:55,560
Speaker 1: that this like this has got to be one of

987
00:38:55,560 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 1: the legs and everybody's two teams teas there this week.

988
00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:00,520
Speaker 3: It is.

989
00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:02,279
Speaker 1: It's gonna be in mind too. I don't care if

990
00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:04,560
Speaker 1: the trap doesn't matter to be, it's got to be,

991
00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:07,319
Speaker 1: which makes me just a little concerned about it. So

992
00:39:07,640 --> 00:39:09,239
Speaker 1: it's a stay away from me again. You mentioned the

993
00:39:09,320 --> 00:39:11,600
Speaker 1: Chiefs just they I mean, they haven't been winning obviously,

994
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:15,000
Speaker 1: but they never cover if forced to take a side,

995
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:17,960
Speaker 1: I agree like it should be the Chiefs in this

996
00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:21,440
Speaker 1: game under a touchdown, but man, this is day. I

997
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:24,080
Speaker 1: just that number makes me very, very nervous because it

998
00:39:24,200 --> 00:39:26,120
Speaker 1: seems like they're like, we know what's gonna happen and

999
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:26,680
Speaker 1: we're okay with it.

1000
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:29,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, last year they were this way and so far

1001
00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:30,600
Speaker 2: to start this year it's been the same way as

1002
00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:32,600
Speaker 2: they win a lot, well not this year, but last

1003
00:39:32,640 --> 00:39:33,799
Speaker 2: year they won a lot, but they.

1004
00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:36,520
Speaker 3: Didn't cover a lot. This year they're not winning or covering,

1005
00:39:36,520 --> 00:39:37,840
Speaker 3: which always makes me nervous.

1006
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:40,799
Speaker 2: But at the same point in time, like if you're

1007
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:43,160
Speaker 2: asking me, that's the side I want to take, you know,

1008
00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:45,560
Speaker 2: if I had to, But man, it just it hasn't

1009
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:49,480
Speaker 2: worked out well. The variants has to swing at some point, right, Like, Yeah,

1010
00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 2: it's too good for it not to be.

1011
00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:53,120
Speaker 1: You and I take the over. We'll tease it down,

1012
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:56,359
Speaker 1: We'll be fine. Raiders are visiting the Broncos. Broncos here

1013
00:39:56,360 --> 00:39:58,800
Speaker 1: are length three and a half. I have no idea

1014
00:39:58,840 --> 00:40:00,840
Speaker 1: what happens with the Gruden stuff, Like, I don't know

1015
00:40:00,840 --> 00:40:02,680
Speaker 1: what the impact is of it on this team, So

1016
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:03,400
Speaker 1: what do you think?

1017
00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:06,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I try to go by that. I try not

1018
00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:08,080
Speaker 3: to use narratives here.

1019
00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:10,520
Speaker 2: Maybe they come out with their hair on fire and

1020
00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:13,360
Speaker 2: you want to prove to everybody that they're gonna be

1021
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:16,319
Speaker 2: better without John Gruden or something. But just based right

1022
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:18,640
Speaker 2: on the numbers, Denver's the side I want to be on.

1023
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:21,000
Speaker 2: I would have liked it at minus three, but I

1024
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:22,719
Speaker 2: would even lay the three and a half there because

1025
00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:24,240
Speaker 2: that's the side I feel more confident.

1026
00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:26,440
Speaker 1: Again, this is one of them that I'm just I

1027
00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:28,879
Speaker 1: felt like a lot of the lines are tight right

1028
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:30,759
Speaker 1: now and it's not one that I want to go after.

1029
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:32,520
Speaker 1: If I do pick a side, it would be Denver.

1030
00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:35,160
Speaker 1: Who I will I will generally if there's a tiebreaker,

1031
00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:36,920
Speaker 1: if I'm unsure, if I have to bet it, I

1032
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:39,680
Speaker 1: will always lean the Broncos at home, particularly early in

1033
00:40:39,719 --> 00:40:42,520
Speaker 1: the season. But still it's a good line. It's the

1034
00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:44,720
Speaker 1: right line and something that I'm staying away from. Forced

1035
00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:47,759
Speaker 1: to choose, I would take the Broncos. This is one

1036
00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:50,680
Speaker 1: where I wish it was a little lower because it

1037
00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:52,720
Speaker 1: might have been one of my picks. But the consensus

1038
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:55,320
Speaker 1: Ligne right now is the Steelers are laying five and

1039
00:40:55,360 --> 00:40:59,880
Speaker 1: a half to the Russell Wilson less Seahawks on Sunday, night,

1040
00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:01,919
Speaker 1: Well in Pittsburgh five and a half, what do you think?

1041
00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:05,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, so the problem with this game this week is

1042
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:08,600
Speaker 2: you have to figure out how many points Russell Wilson

1043
00:41:08,640 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 2: is worth to the Seahawks side. My number came out

1044
00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:13,360
Speaker 2: to just shy of seven. I think it was like

1045
00:41:13,440 --> 00:41:16,120
Speaker 2: six and three quarters or something like that. So I

1046
00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:18,480
Speaker 2: think that this game should actually be Pittsburgh closer to

1047
00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:20,759
Speaker 2: six and a half. So minus five, I'd still be

1048
00:41:20,760 --> 00:41:22,960
Speaker 2: willing to take it there because you got to also

1049
00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:25,279
Speaker 2: factor in that all these other weapons are going to

1050
00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:29,200
Speaker 2: be decreased without oh Wilson. Oh, so you know, it

1051
00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:32,319
Speaker 2: hurts DK, it hurts Tyler, it hurts everybody on that

1052
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:35,400
Speaker 2: entire team right now. And again another former Jet quarterback,

1053
00:41:35,440 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 2: Gino Smith going out there.

1054
00:41:36,520 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 1: So you and I love it, Yeah, I mean we've

1055
00:41:38,520 --> 00:41:41,439
Speaker 1: seen him enough. That's the thing that he played very

1056
00:41:41,520 --> 00:41:44,279
Speaker 1: very well in relief last week, like surprisingly well. I

1057
00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:46,840
Speaker 1: was very impressed. But it is a much much different

1058
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:49,319
Speaker 1: story when you pop in in relief in a game

1059
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:50,960
Speaker 1: by the way that you're down and it's a negative

1060
00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:54,560
Speaker 1: game script anyway, but when nobody has prepared for you whatsoever,

1061
00:41:54,600 --> 00:41:56,160
Speaker 1: and then you pop off a couple of good throws

1062
00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:58,359
Speaker 1: and everything like that. That's a much different story than when

1063
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,080
Speaker 1: you give a team a week to say, Okay, you

1064
00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:02,880
Speaker 1: know Smith as the starting quarterback, let's plan our defensive

1065
00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:05,359
Speaker 1: game plan around this. I agree with you. This is

1066
00:42:05,400 --> 00:42:07,440
Speaker 1: the spot you hate back in the Steelers in right,

1067
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:09,880
Speaker 1: you hate back in the Steelers when they are home favorites.

1068
00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:12,000
Speaker 1: You want to back them in their road underdogs, and

1069
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:15,120
Speaker 1: Tomlin can get them all coached up. But still I

1070
00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:17,520
Speaker 1: completely agree with you, Like there's no way. And again,

1071
00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:21,440
Speaker 1: they look better last weekend. Like I was surprised with

1072
00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:25,120
Speaker 1: how cohesive their offense looked, especially the run game. And

1073
00:42:25,440 --> 00:42:28,439
Speaker 1: you know, their offensive line looked better. Whether it looked

1074
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:29,920
Speaker 1: like more of a change in the scheme than it

1075
00:42:29,960 --> 00:42:32,040
Speaker 1: was suddenly them improving and everything like that, but the

1076
00:42:32,040 --> 00:42:34,279
Speaker 1: offense did look better. The defense is still solid. With

1077
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:36,880
Speaker 1: Gino going, I think it really hurts Tyler Lockett for sure.

1078
00:42:37,160 --> 00:42:38,920
Speaker 1: I agree with you. I will take the Steelers, even

1079
00:42:38,960 --> 00:42:41,400
Speaker 1: though it's five and a half. It's a little nerve wracking,

1080
00:42:41,400 --> 00:42:43,640
Speaker 1: but I will take them. Last game here Monday Night football,

1081
00:42:43,680 --> 00:42:47,080
Speaker 1: the Bills are visiting the Titans. Titans are getting five

1082
00:42:47,080 --> 00:42:48,680
Speaker 1: and a half points. What about this one.

1083
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:51,319
Speaker 2: I mean, I have Buffalo as the number one team

1084
00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:53,640
Speaker 2: right now in my power rankings.

1085
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:55,520
Speaker 3: This opened lower than this.

1086
00:42:55,520 --> 00:42:57,239
Speaker 2: This opened that like three and a half, four and

1087
00:42:57,280 --> 00:42:59,520
Speaker 2: a half on a lot of sites somewhere in that range.

1088
00:42:59,560 --> 00:43:02,080
Speaker 2: So my number was five and a half, which is

1089
00:43:02,080 --> 00:43:04,560
Speaker 2: what it has come up to right now. So again,

1090
00:43:04,680 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 2: if I didn't have to bet, I wouldn't be on it.

1091
00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:09,200
Speaker 2: But I will stick with the Buffalo side. Like I said,

1092
00:43:09,280 --> 00:43:11,879
Speaker 2: number one team in my power rankings right now. The

1093
00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:14,879
Speaker 2: defense is just elite and the offense is good enough

1094
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:16,879
Speaker 2: to put up The offense is good enough to put up.

1095
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:17,680
Speaker 3: A lot of points.

1096
00:43:17,719 --> 00:43:19,440
Speaker 2: You got an elite defense and an offense I could

1097
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:20,840
Speaker 2: put up a lot of points. You're gonna win a

1098
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:22,120
Speaker 2: hell of a lot of football games.

1099
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:24,560
Speaker 1: I don't know why I'm taking. I'm not betting on

1100
00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:26,360
Speaker 1: it again. I've told you only though what I bet.

1101
00:43:26,520 --> 00:43:28,319
Speaker 1: But I think I take the Titans. First of all,

1102
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:29,800
Speaker 1: I expect Julio Jones to play in this one. I

1103
00:43:29,800 --> 00:43:31,200
Speaker 1: think this is the game he comes back and you

1104
00:43:31,280 --> 00:43:33,960
Speaker 1: returned to practice yesterday. I don't know about today yet,

1105
00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:35,920
Speaker 1: but obviously it wasn't placed on my r. This is

1106
00:43:35,960 --> 00:43:39,480
Speaker 1: Game three. They're at home. It's a big spot. I

1107
00:43:39,480 --> 00:43:41,160
Speaker 1: could see a little bit of a letdown here for

1108
00:43:41,200 --> 00:43:43,640
Speaker 1: the Bills after coming off that giant win. But it's

1109
00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:45,040
Speaker 1: a tough game and it's five and a half. It's

1110
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:46,239
Speaker 1: like a dead number. What do you want to do

1111
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:48,160
Speaker 1: with it? But I think I'll just take the points

1112
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:49,600
Speaker 1: here with the Titans. It forced too if I were

1113
00:43:49,600 --> 00:43:52,720
Speaker 1: in a pool, which I'm not. Benny, I really enjoyed

1114
00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:54,239
Speaker 1: talking to you. I'm glad you came on the show.

1115
00:43:54,239 --> 00:43:56,759
Speaker 1: Remind everybody you do fantastic work. Remind everybody where they

1116
00:43:56,800 --> 00:43:57,399
Speaker 1: can check it out.

1117
00:43:57,719 --> 00:43:59,720
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, you could always follow me over on Twitter

1118
00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:02,239
Speaker 2: at Benny R eleven. You can catch me there or

1119
00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:04,960
Speaker 2: anything going on at the FTN network. My fingerprints are

1120
00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:07,400
Speaker 2: on it, either in front of or behind the scenes

1121
00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:08,200
Speaker 2: one or the other day.

1122
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:10,720
Speaker 1: All right, we'll keep crashing it over there in the meantime,

1123
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:13,359
Speaker 1: enjoy your football this week, and everybody, we'll be back

1124
00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:17,040
Speaker 1: as always on Monday talking about our early reaction to

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00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:22,760
Speaker 1: the Week seven NFL lines. I will talk to you then,